XAU/USD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Wednesday, 17 June 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the XAU/USD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:47 UTC
Downtrend off FOMC, recovering · RSI 57 · price 4,278.10
Post-plunge recovery into 38.2% fib.
Gold collapsed ~160 points from 4382 into 4219 on the hawkish FOMC dot-plot shift around the 18:00 UTC decision, then clawed back to 4278 through the late NY session. Price is grinding the 38.2% retrace of that plunge, capped under the 4283 session high with the $4,300 pivot the next overhead reference.
Support: 4,260.00, 4,219.00
Resistance: 4,283.00, 4,300.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4300 pivot reopens the 4394 recovery zone
Loss of 4260 session base reasserts the downside toward 4219 swing low
Failure to hold 4219 swing low confirms a fresh lower low
Jobless Claims + Philly Fed Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Gold collapsed ~160 points during the NY session after the hawkish FOMC dot-plot repricing, bottoming at 4219 before grinding back toward 4280. RSI(14) has recovered off oversold to neutral as price consolidates just under the 4284 session high; 4256 has held on the recovery.
Support: 4,256.00, 4,219.00, 4,200.00
Resistance: 4,284.00, 4,300.00, 4,332.00
What it said to watch
Close above the 4300 pivot opens the path back toward the 4332 prior range
Failure to hold 4256 reopens 4219 session low and the 4200 psych level
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed Thu 12:30 UTC could shift this read
Gold collapsed from 4382 to 4219 after the hawkish FOMC dot-plot shift and hot retail sales, a violent range break on heavy turnover. Price has since carved higher lows back to 4280, RSI(14) recovering near 54, but the move stalls under the 4283 session high with the $4,300 pivot still capping above.
Support: 4,256.00, 4,219.00
Resistance: 4,300.00
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 4300 pivot would extend the recovery toward 4326
Loss of 4256 base reopens 4219 session low
Jobless Claims / Philly Fed Thu 12:30 UTC could reset the read
Range break down then base, recovery toward pivot.
Hawkish FOMC dots plus a hot 0.9% retail sales print triggered a violent ~160-point flush from 4382 into 4219 during the NY session. Price has since carved a double-bottom base near 4219/4226 and is grinding back toward the 4300 pivot, with RSI(14) recovering off oversold into the mid-40s.
Support: 4,256.00, 4,219.00
Resistance: 4,300.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4300 pivot opens 4323 swing high
Loss of 4256 base reopens the 4219 session low
Jobless Claims / Philly Fed Thu 12:30 UTC could shift this read
23:16 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 50 · price 4,280.75
Impulsive selloff then basing.
Gold collapsed ~160 dollars from the 4382 session high to 4219 during NY hours as the hawkish FOMC dot-plot and hot retail sales repriced hike risk. Price has since based and clawed back to 4280, recovering the 4256 shelf with RSI(14) lifting off oversold; the 4300 pivot caps the bounce.
Support: 4,256.00, 4,227.00, 4,200.00
Resistance: 4,300.00, 4,382.00
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 4300 pivot would soften the breakdown read
Loss of 4256 base low reopens 4227 swing low and 4200 psych
US Jobless Claims + Philly Fed Thu 12:30 UTC could shift this read
Gold collapsed roughly $160 from 4382 into 4219 on the hawkish FOMC hold and the 0.9% retail sales beat, removing the dovish fuel behind the Iran-deal rebound. Price has since stabilized in a tight 4256-4271 band, with RSI(14) lifting off oversold toward 41 as the NY post-decision selloff cools.
Support: 4,256.00, 4,227.20, 4,219.00
Resistance: 4,271.40, 4,295.30, 4,332.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4256 reopens the 4227 swing low then 4219 session low
Reclaim of 4295 bounce high needed to challenge the 4332 pre-drop base
Initial Jobless Claims / Philly Fed Thu 12:30 UTC could reignite USD-driven moves
Gold collapsed from 4382 to 4219 on the hawkish FOMC dot-plot shift and 0.9% retail beat, wiping out the prior session's grind above 4330. Price has since clawed back to a tight 4256–4271 consolidation, RSI(14) recovering off oversold toward the mid-40s. No setup in play while it holds inside the post-crash range.
Support: 4,256.00, 4,219.00
Resistance: 4,271.00, 4,295.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4271 opens the path back to the 4295 swing pivot
Loss of 4256 reopens the 4219 session low
Jobless Claims / Philly Fed Thu 12:30 UTC could reignite the move
Gold collapsed roughly $160 from 4382 into 4219 during NY hours as the hawkish FOMC dot revision and a hot 0.9% retail sales print fired the dollar. Price is now consolidating in a tight 4256–4271 band with RSI(14) bouncing off oversold near 30; the 4300 pivot caps the recovery overhead.
Support: 4,256.04, 4,219.00, 4,200.00
Resistance: 4,271.37, 4,300.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4256 reopens 4219 then the 4200 psych level
Reclaim of 4300 pivot needed to neutralise the breakdown
Initial Jobless Claims + Philly Fed Thu 12:30 UTC could reset volatility
22:46 UTC
Downtrend, basing after impulse · RSI 43 · price 4,265.18
Sharp lower-low, consolidating above session low.
Hawkish FOMC and a 0.9% retail beat smashed gold from 4382 to 4219 in a single NY-session impulse, breaking clean below prior support. Price has since carved a base around 4220–4260 and is grinding back to 4265; RSI(14) recovering off oversold near 43. The $4,300 pivot caps the bounce overhead.
Support: 4,219.00
Resistance: 4,300.00
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 4300 pivot would negate the post-FOMC breakdown read
Loss of 4219 session low confirms another lower-low toward 4200
US Jobless Claims + Philly Fed Thu 12:30 UTC could shift this read
Gold collapsed from the 4382 NY high to 4219 as the hawkish FOMC dot revision and a hot 0.9% retail beat revived Fed-hike risk and bid the dollar. Price is now basing in a tight 4256–4271 band, RSI lifting off oversold but holding below EMA20/50.
Support: 4,256.00, 4,219.00
Resistance: 4,271.00, 4,300.00
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 4300 psych pivot would repair the breakdown
Loss of 4219 session low confirms continuation lower
US Initial Jobless Claims / Philly Fed Thu 12:30 UTC could reshape this read
Gold collapsed during the NY session on the hawkish FOMC hold and 0.9% retail beat, slicing from 4382 to a 4219 low — a violent break of the prior 4320–4380 base. Price has since clawed back to 4266 and is consolidating in a tight 4256–4271 band; RSI(14) recovering from oversold to ~43.
Support: 4,256.00, 4,219.00
Resistance: 4,271.00, 4,300.00
What it said to watch
Reclaim and hold above 4300 pivot would repair the breakdown
Loss of 4256 reopens the 4219 session low
Jobless Claims + Philly Fed Thu 12:30 UTC could re-accelerate this move
Gold cratered from 4382 to 4219 in two hours as the hawkish FOMC dot-plot and a 0.9% retail beat repriced the dollar higher. Price is now consolidating between 4256 and 4270 with RSI(14) recovering off the lows; the 4300 pivot caps the bounce and the 4219 session low marks the breakdown extreme.
Support: 4,256.00, 4,219.00, 4,200.00
Resistance: 4,270.00, 4,300.00
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 4300 pivot would neutralise the breakdown read
Loss of 4219 session low opens 4200 psych
US Jobless Claims/Philly Fed Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Gold collapsed roughly 160 points off 4382 after the hawkish FOMC dot-plot lift and the 0.9% retail beat, bottoming at 4219 before stabilising. Price is now grinding back to 4266 with RSI lifting off oversold; the 4256 base held into the close while the 4300 pivot caps from above.
Support: 4,256.00, 4,219.00
Resistance: 4,300.00
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 4300 pivot would repair the breakdown read
Loss of 4219 crash low opens the 4200 area
Jobless Claims + Philly Fed Thu 12:30 UTC could reset this read
Gold collapsed from 4382 into 4219 in under two hours as the hawkish FOMC dot-plot lift and 0.9% retail beat fired a USD bid. Price has since clawed back to 4257 with a chain of higher lows off 4219, RSI(14) recovering from sub-20 oversold; the 4269 bounce high caps the rebound for now.
Support: 4,219.00
Resistance: 4,300.00
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 4300 pivot would repair the breakdown structure
Loss of 4219 session low confirms downside continuation
Initial Jobless Claims/Philly Fed Thu 12:30 UTC could reset this read
22:02 UTC
Sharp downtrend, basing · RSI 39 · price 4,257.68
Vertical breakdown then consolidation off the low.
Gold collapsed ~160 dollars in minutes during NY afternoon as the hawkish FOMC dot-plot and a hot 0.9% retail print fired the dollar, slicing from 4382 to a 4219 session low. Price is now basing between 4220 and 4270, RSI(14) lifting off oversold near 39 as the freefall stalls.
Support: 4,219.00, 4,200.00
Resistance: 4,270.00, 4,300.00
What it said to watch
Loss of the 4219 session low opens 4200 psych
Reclaim of the 4300 pivot would repair the breakdown
Jobless Claims / Philly Fed Thu 12:30 UTC could re-accelerate this move
Vertical drop off session high, basing above 4219.
Gold collapsed from the 4382 session high to 4219 in under two hours as the hawkish FOMC dot-plot and a hot 0.9% retail sales print revived Fed-hike risk. Price is now basing around 4257, recovering off 4219 but capped at the 4269 recovery high; RSI(14) lifting from oversold near 40.
Support: 4,219.00, 4,200.00
Resistance: 4,295.30
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4219 confirms a lower low and opens the 4200 line
Reclaim of 4295 needed to challenge the pre-drop 4326 area
Thu jobless claims (12:30 UTC) could re-accelerate this move
A hawkish FOMC dot-plot revision and a 0.9% retail sales beat triggered a vertical drop from 4382 to 4219, gold cratering through the 4300 pivot during NY hours. Price has clawed back to 4257 on a shallow bounce, RSI(14) recovering off oversold; the 4270 bounce high and 4300 pivot now cap, with 4219 the session floor.
Support: 4,219.00
Resistance: 4,270.00, 4,300.00
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 4300 pivot would repair the post-FOMC break
Loss of 4219 session low extends the downtrend toward 4200
Initial Jobless Claims Thu 12:30 UTC could reset this read
NY session saw gold collapse from 4382 to 4219 after the hawkish FOMC dot-plot revision and a hot 0.9% retail sales beat repriced Fed-hike risk. Price is now basing in a 4219–4270 band with RSI(14) lifting off oversold; the 4300 pivot remains overhead.
Support: 4,219.00, 4,200.00
Resistance: 4,270.00, 4,300.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4219 opens the path to 4200
Reclaim of 4300 pivot needed to neutralise the breakdown
Jobless Claims + Philly Fed Thu 12:30 UTC could extend the move
Hawkish FOMC dot-plot revision and a 0.9% retail beat triggered a vertical collapse from 4382 to 4219, blowing through the prior NY range. Price has since clawed back to 4257 with RSI(14) lifting off oversold; the 4300 psych pivot is the line that capped the rebound coming into the print.
Support: 4,219.00
Resistance: 4,300.00
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 4300 psych pivot would neutralise the downside breakout
Loss of 4219 session low confirms continuation of lower lows
Initial Jobless Claims Thu 12:30 UTC could reset this read
Gold collapsed from 4382 to 4219 on the hawkish FOMC dot-plot revision and retail-sales beat, an ~160-point M15 break. RSI(14) printed oversold into the low and is recovering near 38 as price bases between 4220 and the 4270 bounce high; the 4300 pivot now caps from above.
Support: 4,219.00, 4,200.00
Resistance: 4,270.00, 4,300.00
What it said to watch
Loss of 4219 session low opens the 4200 key support cited by analysts
M15 close back above 4300 pivot would repair the post-FOMC break
US Jobless Claims & Philly Fed Thu 12:30 UTC could re-energise the move
Vertical break of session range, basing above lows.
Gold rejected 4382 then collapsed ~160 dollars to 4219 as the hawkish FOMC dot-plot revision and 0.9% retail beat hit during NY hours. Price is basing around 4257 with RSI recovering off oversold; the 4270 session high caps the bounce while 4300 is the broader pivot.
Support: 4,219.00
Resistance: 4,270.00, 4,300.00
What it said to watch
Loss of 4219 session low extends the breakdown toward 4200
Reclaim of 4300 pivot needed to repair the session range break
Jobless Claims + Philly Fed Thu 12:30 UTC could re-accelerate this move
NY session saw a vertical breakdown from ~4382 to 4219 on the hawkish FOMC dot-plot revision and the 0.9% retail sales beat, RSI plunging into oversold. Buyers stepped in around 4220 and price has recovered to 4257; the 4286 bounce high caps the rebound for now.
Support: 4,219.00
Resistance: 4,286.00, 4,382.00
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 4286 would ease the breakdown read
Loss of 4219 confirms continuation toward 4200
Jobless Claims / Philly Fed Thu 12:30 UTC could reset this read
NY session delivered a vertical post-FOMC selloff: the hawkish dot-plot revision tipped gold off the 4382 session high down to 4219, roughly 1600 pips in under two hours. Price is now basing 4220–4270 with RSI(14) recovering off oversold; the 4270 swing high caps the bounce.
Support: 4,219.00, 4,200.00
Resistance: 4,270.00, 4,300.00
What it said to watch
Loss of 4219 session low opens 4200 psych then lower
Reclaim of the 4300 pivot needed to repair the breakdown
Jobless Claims / Philly Fed Thu 12:30 UTC could re-accelerate this move
Post-FOMC breakdown, lower highs then base attempt.
Gold collapsed during NY hours as the hawkish FOMC dot-plot revision and a 0.9% retail sales beat hit a $4,382 high, dumping to $4,219 before stabilising near $4,261. Buyers stepped in twice around 4219–4235 and price is grinding back toward the 4286 bounce high; momentum cooling from oversold.
Support: 4,219.00, 4,235.00
Resistance: 4,286.00, 4,300.00
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 4300 pivot would ease the breakdown read
Failure to hold 4219 session low opens a fresh lower-low
Initial Jobless Claims Thu 12:30 UTC could reignite USD-driven volatility
Vertical breakdown then stabilisation off the low.
Gold collapsed ~$160 from 4382 to 4219 during NY hours as the FOMC's hawkish dot-plot revision and a hot 0.9% retail print fired a USD bid, slicing through the 4332 prior-support shelf. Price has since clawed back to 4261, holding above the 4219 low with RSI recovering from oversold; 4292 caps the bounce.
Support: 4,219.00, 4,200.00
Resistance: 4,292.00, 4,332.00, 4,382.00
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 4292 would mark a higher high and ease the breakdown read
Loss of 4219 opens 4200 then the wider 4024 zone
Initial Jobless Claims / Philly Fed Thu 12:30 UTC could re-shift the dollar
The hawkish FOMC dot shift triggered a vertical ~160-point flush from 4382 down to 4219, shredding the prior 4320–4380 balance. Price is now clawing back to 4258 with RSI(14) lifting off oversold; sellers capped the bounce at 4286 and the 4300 pivot sits overhead.
Support: 4,219.00, 4,200.00
Resistance: 4,286.00, 4,300.00
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 4300 pivot would neutralise the breakdown
Loss of 4219 reopens the 4200 round level
Thu jobless claims (12:30 UTC) could re-ignite USD-driven volatility
Broke down from session range, lower lows then bounce.
NY session spiked gold to 4382 then violently reversed after the hawkish FOMC dot shift and 0.9% retail beat, dumping over 160 dollars to 4219. Price is bouncing back to 4258, RSI(14) recovering from oversold; the 4300 pivot now caps from above.
Support: 4,219.00, 4,200.00
Resistance: 4,300.00
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 4300 pivot would neutralise the downside continuation read
Loss of 4219 session low opens 4200
Initial Jobless Claims / Philly Fed Thu 12:30 UTC could reprice this move
20:16 UTC
Sharp downtrend after FOMC · RSI 38 · price 4,254.21
Range break to downside, bouncing off lows.
Hawkish FOMC dots plus a 0.9% retail sales beat triggered a vertical selloff during NY hours, slicing from 4382 through the prior 4320–4360 range to a 4219 session low. Price is bouncing back to 4254 off that low, but sits well below EMA20/50 with the broken range now overhead resistance.
Support: 4,219.00, 4,200.00
Resistance: 4,300.00
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 4300 pivot would neutralise the downside range break
Loss of 4219 session low opens the 4200 psych level
Thursday jobless claims (12:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
Gold collapsed from the 4382 session high to 4226 after the hawkish FOMC dot shift and strong retail sales beat, shedding ~150 in under two hours. Price is now rebounding off the 4226 swing low into the 4254 area with RSI(14) lifting off oversold; 4264 bounce high caps the first leg up.
Resistance: 4,286.22
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 4286 swing high would ease the breakdown read
Loss of 4226 swing low confirms continuation toward 4200
Thu jobless claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could reset this read
Gold collapsed from 4382 to 4219 during the NY session as the hawkish FOMC dot shift and 0.9% retail sales beat torched the rebound, a single 100-dollar bar marking the break. RSI(14) is oversold near 29 and ATR has blown out; price is staging a shallow bounce to 4245 off the 4219 low.
Support: 4,219.00, 4,200.00
Resistance: 4,300.00
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 4219 opens the 4200 psych line
Reclaim of the 4300 pivot neutralizes the downside break
Thu jobless claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could re-accelerate the move
The hawkish FOMC hold and lifted dot plot smashed gold out of its 4360–4382 NY range, dumping ~160 dollars to 4219 on heavy volume. Price has clawed back to 4245 with RSI(14) recovering off oversold; the 4265–4295 zone is the first overhead supply, while 4219 marks the session low.
Support: 4,219.00, 4,200.00
Resistance: 4,265.00, 4,295.00, 4,300.00
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 4300 would invalidate the breakdown read
Failure to hold 4219 confirms continuation lower toward 4200
Thu jobless claims/Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could re-accelerate the move
Gold collapsed from 4382 to 4219 as the hawkish FOMC dot plot and Warsh presser repriced the dovish-hope rally; RSI(14) deeply oversold near 21. Price is consolidating just above the 4219 session low after the 4300 pivot gave way, with sellers having driven a clean break of the prior range.
Support: 4,219.00, 4,200.00
Resistance: 4,300.00
What it said to watch
Break below 4219 session low opens the 4200 psych level
Reclaim of the 4300 pivot needed to repair the broken structure
Initial Jobless Claims Thu 12:30 UTC could extend or reverse this move
Gold collapsed from 4382 after the hawkish FOMC dot plot, slicing through the 4300 pivot and bottoming at 4219, RSI(14) deep in oversold near 27. Price is staging a shallow bounce into the NY session, holding just above 4226 with the 4264 swing capping.
Support: 4,219.00, 4,200.00
Resistance: 4,300.00
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 4300 pivot would invalidate the breakdown read
Gold spiked to a session high of 4382 then collapsed ~160 dollars to 4220 after the hawkish FOMC dot plot repriced the dovish lean. RSI(14) deeply oversold near 18 as the move ran vertical; price sits at the lows with no sign of stabilisation yet.
Support: 4,200.00
Resistance: 4,300.00
What it said to watch
Loss of 4200 psych opens the 4024 zone cited by the digest
Reclaim of the 4300 pivot needed to ease the breakdown
Initial Jobless Claims Thu 12:30 UTC could extend the volatility
Gold collapsed through the NY session, dumping ~160 dollars from the 4382 session high to 4220 after the hawkish FOMC dot plot repriced the dovish-hope rally. The 4382-to-4220 leg was near-vertical, RSI(14) now deeply oversold near 20 and ATR blown out past 2700 pips. Price is sitting on the session low at 4220 with the 4300 pivot now a distant overhead cap.
Support: 4,220.58, 4,200.00
Resistance: 4,300.00, 4,382.39
What it said to watch
Loss of 4220.58 session low opens the 4200 psych level
Reclaim of the 4300 pivot needed to repair the breakdown
Warsh presser tone could extend or unwind this move
NY session collapsed off the 4382 high after the hawkish FOMC dot plot repriced the dovish-hope rally; one 15-min candle sliced ~100 points and gold tore through the 4300 pivot. RSI(14) is oversold near 22 with price pinned at session lows around 4252; ATR has exploded to ~2500 pips, signalling outsized two-way swing risk.
Support: 4,200.00
Resistance: 4,300.00, 4,382.39
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 4300 pivot would neutralise the breakdown read
Failure to hold 4252 opens 4200 psych support
Warsh presser tone still live — could violently shift this read
Initial Jobless Claims Thu 12:30 UTC adds further headline risk
Gold collapsed from the 4382 session high to 4252 after the hawkish FOMC dot plot (current-yr 3.8% vs 3.1% prior) repriced the dovish-hope rally; a single bar wiped ~100 dollars on 7755 volume. RSI(14) is sub-20 and ATR is blown out near 2500 pips, so price is deeply stretched below EMA20/50 with the 4300 pivot now overhead resistance.
Support: 4,250.00, 4,200.00
Resistance: 4,300.00, 4,382.00
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 4300 pivot would stall the breakdown
Failure to hold 4250 psych opens the 4200 support
Warsh press conference tone could extend or reverse this move
Price spiked to 4382 then violently reversed, collapsing to 4270 on the hawkish FOMC dots and Warsh presser, slicing through the prior 4355-4382 range. Now consolidating between 4283 and 4326 with price holding under the 4300 psych pivot, RSI(14) recovering from washed-out levels near 39.
Support: 4,270.00, 4,283.00
Resistance: 4,300.00, 4,326.00, 4,382.00
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 4300 pivot would ease the breakdown read; rejection there keeps pressure on 4270
Failure to hold 4270 confirms a lower-low and opens the path toward 4200
Live Warsh press conference tone could materially shift this read in the next bars
Gold ran to 4382 into the Warsh presser then collapsed over 100 points as the hawkish dot plot repriced the dovish rally, slicing through 4300 to a 4270 session low. Price now chops in the 4270-4332 wreckage with the 4300 pivot acting as resistance; ATR has exploded, expect wide swings.
Support: 4,270.00
Resistance: 4,300.00, 4,332.00
What it said to watch
Reclaiming 4300 would stabilise the post-FOMC unwind
Loss of 4270 session low opens the path toward 4200
Live FOMC presser tone continues to drive two-way volatility
Gold spiked to a session high of 4382 into the FOMC then collapsed over 100 points to 4270 as the hawkish dot plot (current-yr 3.8% vs 3.1% prior) repriced the dovish pre-meeting lean. Price has since clawed back to ~4320, holding above the 4300 pivot but capped under the 4326 bounce high.
Support: 4,300.00, 4,270.00
Resistance: 4,382.39
What it said to watch
Warsh presser tone could materially extend or unwind this move
Close below 4300 psych opens the 4270 session low
Reclaim of 4326 bounce high needed to repair the breakdown
Gold spiked to 4382 then collapsed to 4270 as the hawkish FOMC dot plot repriced the dovish-hope rally; price has since clawed back above the 4300 pivot to 4319. Volatility is extreme — ATR blown out near 1900 pips by the FOMC bar — and price now sits below both EMAs after the flush.
Support: 4,300.00, 4,277.20, 4,270.00
Resistance: 4,344.00, 4,382.39
What it said to watch
Hold above the 4300 pivot keeps the recovery intact; a clean break below 4277 reopens the spike low at 4270
Reclaiming 4344 would repair the post-FOMC damage toward the 4382 session high
Warsh press conference tone is the live driver and could materially shift this read
The 18:00 UTC FOMC decision detonated the range — gold swept the session high at 4382 then collapsed ~100 dollars to 4277 on a single bar of heavy volume. Price is now basing around 4287, RSI(14) deeply oversold near 31 with the move stretched far below EMA20/50.
Support: 4,277.20
Resistance: 4,308.29, 4,382.39
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 4308 bounce high would ease the breakdown read
Loss of 4277 spike low confirms continuation lower
Warsh presser (18:30 UTC) still in play — fresh volatility likely through this read
Gold spiked to 4382 then collapsed over 100 points to 4277 on the 18:00 UTC FOMC statement, a clean false break of the highs as hawkish dots and the hot Retail Sales print firmed the dollar. Price is hugging the lows near 4287 after a shallow bounce to 4308 was sold; RSI(14) at ~27 reflects the one-way move.
Support: 4,277.20
Resistance: 4,308.29
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 4308 needed to ease the post-FOMC breakdown
Warsh presser (18:30 UTC) ongoing — further volatility likely this hour
Gold spiked to 4382 then collapsed ~100 dollars on the 18:00 UTC FOMC decision, printing a 4277 low before stabilising near 4291. The push to fresh highs proved a false break — price sliced clean through the prior 4325-4355 range, with RSI(14) crashing to ~31. ATR is wildly inflated by the single decision bar.
Support: 4,277.20
Resistance: 4,300.00, 4,330.00, 4,355.00
What it said to watch
Warsh press conference 18:30 UTC is the next vol driver and can extend or reverse this move
Reclaim of 4300 psych then 4330 prior range would repair the breakdown
Failure to hold 4277 crash low opens further downside
The Fed decision at 18:00 UTC triggered a violent rejection — gold spiked to 4382 then collapsed roughly 100 dollars to 4277 in a single bar before stabilising near 4291. Prior support around 4330–4360 now sits overhead as resistance; RSI(14) slammed into the low 30s and ATR is blown out by the print.
Support: 4,277.20
Resistance: 4,330.00, 4,360.00, 4,382.39
What it said to watch
Warsh press conference at 18:30 UTC is the immediate vol driver and can flip this read
Failure to hold 4277 confirms the breakdown extending lower
Reclaim of 4330 would neutralise the FOMC rejection
Rising chain of HH/HL into FOMC, then spike rejection.
NY session ran gold up to 4382 on the 18:00 UTC FOMC release, then the print was sold hard back to 4350 — a 45-dollar spike-and-reject in a single bar. The day's earlier hot US Retail Sales (0.9% vs 0.5%) had already capped enthusiasm, and RSI(14) has cooled off the highs as price slipped back below the EMA20.
Support: 4,337.25, 4,324.43
Resistance: 4,366.44, 4,382.39
What it said to watch
Warsh presser at 18:30 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst and can override this read
Reclaim of 4366 reopens the 4382 fomc high
Failure to hold 4337.25 exposes the 4324 swing low
Gold spiked to a session high of 4382 on the 18:00 UTC FOMC release then was sharply rejected, the final bar wicking 45 pips back to close at 4350. The prior London-NY rally off 4317 is intact but momentum stalled at the 4400 cap flagged into the decision; price is now hovering at EMA20.
Support: 4,337.25, 4,317.29
Resistance: 4,382.39, 4,400.00
What it said to watch
Warsh presser at 18:30 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst and can override this read
NY session drove gold off the 4317 low through the 4360 shelf to a fresh session high at 4382, RSI(14) running hot near 77 into the FOMC. Move is impulsive and extended; rising lows held through the London-NY transition with the breakout level at 4360 now the pivot.
Support: 4,360.00
Resistance: 4,382.40, 4,394.00
What it said to watch
FOMC decision + dot plot at 18:00 UTC and Warsh presser 18:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Loss of 4360 breaks the rising-low chain and negates the breakout
Acceptance above 4382 opens the 4394 supply shelf
17:46 UTC
Uptrend, extended into FOMC · RSI 76 · price 4,377.10
Fresh higher highs, breakout in progress.
NY session ripped higher into the FOMC, gold breaking the prior $4,360 ceiling and printing a fresh session high at 4382 with RSI(14) hot near 76. Sharp last-hour push off the 4317 base; demand stepped in repeatedly through the London-NY transition. Tape is stretched right before the decision.
Support: 4,360.00, 4,344.00
Resistance: 4,382.40, 4,394.00
What it said to watch
FOMC rate decision + dot plot at 18:00 UTC and Warsh presser 18:30 UTC will likely override this read within minutes
Close above 4382 opens the 4394-4400 supply shelf
Loss of 4360 negates the breakout and reopens 4344
Higher highs/higher lows off the NY low, consolidating near session high.
Gold ramped through the NY session off the 4317 low, breaking the prior 4344 shelf and tagging a session high at 4366 ahead of the FOMC. Price is now consolidating in a tight 4355–4366 band; RSI(14) elevated near 62 but off its highs as momentum cools into the event.
Support: 4,355.10, 4,344.00
Resistance: 4,366.44, 4,394.00
What it said to watch
FOMC rate decision + dot plot at 18:00 UTC will likely override this structure within the next bar
Loss of 4355 swing low breaks the rising sequence and opens 4344 breakout retest
Close above 4366 session high exposes the 4394 supply shelf
NY session ran gold from the 4317 low up to a 4366 session high, with buyers stepping in repeatedly above 4355 on the pullbacks. RSI(14) cooling off but holding mid-60s as price coils just under the high ahead of the FOMC decision and dot plot.
Support: 4,355.10, 4,344.43
Resistance: 4,366.44, 4,394.00
What it said to watch
FOMC rate decision + dot plot at 18:00 UTC (~30m) could materially shift this read
Higher highs into session high, consolidating below 4366.
NY session drove gold off the 4317 session low to a 4366 high, with price now consolidating around 4358 just under that high; RSI(14) cooling from the spike. The post-Retail-Sales chop has held the up-leg intact, but the move stalls into the FOMC decision.
Support: 4,344.00, 4,331.00
Resistance: 4,366.44, 4,394.00
What it said to watch
FOMC rate decision + dot plot at 18:00 UTC (under 1h) can fully reset this read
Close above 4366 session high opens the 4394 resistance shelf
Loss of 4344 breakout level negates the up-leg, exposing 4331 then 4317
Higher highs off 4317, pullback from session high.
NY session pushed XAU off the 4317 low to a 4366 session high, with price now consolidating around 4358 after retail sales (0.9% vs 0.5%) failed to lift the dollar. RSI(14) cooling from the highs as the rally pauses; the 4350 higher-low remains intact ahead of FOMC.
Support: 4,350.00, 4,331.00
Resistance: 4,366.44, 4,394.00
What it said to watch
FOMC rate decision + dot plot at 18:00 UTC (~45m) is the binary for this read
Close above 4366 opens the 4394 shelf
Loss of 4344 breaks the higher-low chain toward 4331
NY session drove a sharp leg from the 4317 low, breaking the 4331-4344 range and tagging 4366 before easing back to 4358. RSI(14) cooling from the rally but holding above midline; the prior range top near 4344 now flips to support. Hot Retail Sales (0.9%) is a hawkish wrinkle but price stayed bid pre-FOMC.
Support: 4,344.00, 4,331.00
Resistance: 4,366.44, 4,394.00
What it said to watch
FOMC decision + dot plot at 18:00 UTC and Warsh presser 18:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Close above 4366 opens the 4394 resistance shelf
Loss of 4344 negates the breakout and reopens the 4331 range
NY session drove a clean rally off 4317 through the 4344 breakout to a 4366 session high, RSI(14) cooling from hot into the upper 50s/low 60s as price consolidates near 4358. Gold is coiling just under the high ahead of the FOMC decision, holding well above EMA20/50.
Support: 4,355.10
Resistance: 4,366.44, 4,394.00
What it said to watch
FOMC rate decision + dot plot at 18:00 UTC (~1h) can override this read entirely
Close above 4366 session high opens the 4394 resist shelf
Loss of 4355 swing low then 4344 breakout signals the rally stalling
NY session drove gold off the 4320 swing low up to a session high at 4366.44, helped by a defensive dollar pre-FOMC despite the hot 0.9% retail sales print. The last bar rejected 4366 back to 4357, RSI cooling from a stretched read as price consolidates ahead of the decision.
Support: 4,320.00
Resistance: 4,366.44, 4,394.00
What it said to watch
FOMC rate decision + dot plot at 18:00 UTC will likely override this intraday structure
Loss of 4344 intraday low signals the NY rally is stalling
Close above 4366.44 session high opens the 4394 shelf
Higher highs into NY, pulling back from session high.
NY session drove a clean breakout above the 4346 prior high, tagging 4365.77 before easing to 4357 with RSI(14) cooling from overbought. Gold remains supported above the 4344 intraday higher-low as traders position into the FOMC decision.
Resistance: 4,365.77, 4,394.00
What it said to watch
FOMC decision + dot plot at 18:00 UTC and Warsh presser 18:30 UTC will materially shift this read
Close back below 4344 breaks the intraday HH/HL chain
NY session squeezed gold off ~4320 up to a 4366.44 session high, a washed-out short base lifting into the FOMC dot plot. RSI(14) ~70 — hot but normal in trend; price stalling just under the session high with the final bar near-flat. The 4344 pullback low and 4331 swing low mark the rally's recent footing.
Support: 4,344.00, 4,331.00
Resistance: 4,366.44, 4,400.00
What it said to watch
FOMC rate decision + dot plot at 18:00 UTC (~1.5h) can override this structure
Loss of 4344 pullback low breaks the rising HL chain
Close above 4366.44 session high opens the 4394–4400 resistance shelf
NY session drove gold off the 4317 swing low through prior consolidation to a fresh session high at 4366, RSI(14) running hot near 71. Price holds above EMA20/50 with the 4300 pivot defended all session; the move is positioning into the 18:00 UTC FOMC dots.
Support: 4,348.00, 4,331.00, 4,317.30
Resistance: 4,366.40, 4,394.00
What it said to watch
FOMC rate decision + dot plot at 18:00 UTC (~1.5h) is the binary for this read
Close above 4366 opens the 4394 shelf
Failure to hold 4348 breaks the higher-low chain back toward the 4331 pivot
16:16 UTC
Uptrend, NY session momentum · RSI 67 · price 4,362.39
Gold ground higher through the NY session, breaking the $4,340 consolidation and tagging a $4,365.77 session high, with the soft-dollar/de-escalation backdrop keeping bullion bid above the $4,300 pivot. RSI(14) near 67 — hot but not extended. Move stalls just under the high into the FOMC.
Support: 4,348.00
Resistance: 4,365.77
What it said to watch
FOMC rate decision + dot plot at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
NY session drove gold off the 4317 session low up to a fresh session high at 4365.80, with price holding the upper band into the FOMC. RSI(14) near 69 is hot but consistent with the trend; the rebound is squeezing a washed-out short base after soft USD into the decision.
Support: 4,331.00, 4,317.30
Resistance: 4,365.80, 4,394.00
What it said to watch
FOMC rate decision + dot plot at 18:00 UTC will likely override this structure
M15 close above 4365.80 opens the path to the 4394 shelf
Loss of 4331 swing low breaks the intraday higher-low chain
NY session drove gold off the 4317 session low up to a fresh session high at 4365, RSI(14) hot near 73 but not yet at an extreme. The advance accelerated after the hot 0.9% Retail Sales print failed to lift the dollar; price is pinned at the highs into the FOMC.
Support: 4,331.00, 4,317.30
Resistance: 4,394.00
What it said to watch
FOMC decision + dot plot at 18:00 UTC (~2h) is the binary that overrides this read
Close above 4365 session high opens the path to the 4394 shelf
Loss of 4331 sweep low breaks the rising intraday support
NY session drove gold off the 4320 base to a fresh session high at 4365 ahead of the FOMC, RSI(14) running hot near 72. The advance is one-directional with higher lows holding at 4344 and 4331; the $4,394 shelf is the next overhead area to watch.
Support: 4,331.00, 4,319.88
Resistance: 4,365.58, 4,394.00
What it said to watch
FOMC decision + dot plot at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Loss of 4344 breaks the higher-low chain and exposes 4331
Acceptance above 4365.58 opens the path toward the 4394 shelf
15:46 UTC
Uptrend, near session high · RSI 67 · price 4,358.52
Higher highs and higher lows into NY session.
NY session lifted gold off the 4317 session low to test the 4364 session high after the hot 0.9% retail sales print left the dollar soft. Price holds the upper end of the range with RSI(14) elevated near 67; the 4394 resistance shelf caps above and a dip is being bought around 4344.
Support: 4,344.00, 4,317.29
Resistance: 4,364.00, 4,394.00
What it said to watch
FOMC decision + dot plot at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Loss of 4344 pullback low breaks the higher-low chain
Close above 4364 session high opens the 4394 resistance shelf
Higher highs into session top, holding above breakout.
NY session drove gold off the 4317 session low through the 4344 shelf, tagging 4363.96 before a sharp rejection back to 4331, then recovering to 4358. Strong US Retail Sales (0.9%) failed to lift the dollar, leaving bullion bid into the FOMC; RSI(14) elevated near 68 but not yet stretched.
Support: 4,344.00, 4,331.00, 4,317.29
Resistance: 4,363.96, 4,394.00
What it said to watch
FOMC decision + dot plot at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close above 4363.96 opens the 4394 resistance shelf
Loss of 4344 then 4331 would break the rising intraday support chain
NY session drove gold from ~4325 up to a session high at 4364, where it was rejected with a sharp drop to 4331 before recovering to 4356. RSI(14) is cooling off the highs near 58, and price holds above EMA20/50 — but this is pre-FOMC chop, with the dot plot at 18:00 UTC the binary.
Support: 4,331.00
Resistance: 4,364.00, 4,394.00
What it said to watch
FOMC rate decision + dot plot at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Close above 4364 opens the path to the 4394 shelf
Loss of 4331 swing low negates the intraday uptrend
NY session drove gold to a session high at 4364 before a sharp reversal swept the 4331 sweep low; buyers reclaimed it and price sits back at 4355. RSI mid-60s, ATR running hot ahead of the FOMC binary.
Support: 4,331.00, 4,319.00, 4,300.00
Resistance: 4,364.00, 4,394.00
What it said to watch
FOMC decision + dot plot at 18:00 UTC (~2.5h) is the binary and could fully reset this read
Close above 4364 session high opens the 4394 resist shelf
Loss of 4331 sweep low exposes 4319 swing low then the 4300 pivot
NY rally to session high, sharp pullback then stabilising.
NY session drove gold from ~4320 to a 4364 session high before a sharp rejection dumped it back to 4331; price has since recovered to 4350. RSI(14) cooled off the spike to mid-50s — the breakout above the day's range held but the high was sold into.
Support: 4,331.00, 4,324.00, 4,300.00
Resistance: 4,364.00, 4,394.00
What it said to watch
FOMC rate decision + dot plot at 18:00 UTC (~2.75h) can materially reset this read
M15 close above 4364 opens the 4394 shelf
Loss of 4331 exposes 4324 then the 4300 psych pivot
NY rally spiked into 4364, rejected, pulling back.
NY session ran gold up to 4363.96 then rejected hard, sweeping the 4331 low before recovering to 4350. Strong Retail Sales (0.9%) gave only a brief hawkish wrinkle; RSI cooling from the spike as price consolidates above 4331 ahead of FOMC.
Support: 4,331.01, 4,300.00
Resistance: 4,363.96, 4,394.00
What it said to watch
FOMC decision + dot plot at 18:00 UTC (~3h) can override this read entirely
Loss of 4331 swing low opens the 4300 pivot
M15 close above 4363.96 session high reopens the 4394 shelf
NY session pushed gold off the 4321 range low up through the 4347 shelf to a session high of 4364, then sold sharply back to 4346 — rejection at the highs with RSI cooling off the spike. Price holds the 4300 pivot region well above as traders sit on hands ahead of the FOMC.
Support: 4,331.00, 4,321.00, 4,300.00
Resistance: 4,347.00, 4,364.00, 4,394.00
What it said to watch
FOMC decision + dot plot at 18:00 UTC (~3h) can override this read
Reclaim of 4364 session high reopens the 4394 resistance
Higher highs into session top, rejected from 4364.
NY session pushed gold to a session high of 4364 before a sharp rejection dragged price back to 4331, now recovering to 4346 with RSI(14) cooling toward 60. The intraday leg up holds above the 4331 shelf, but this is pre-FOMC positioning above the $4,300 pivot.
Support: 4,331.01
Resistance: 4,363.96
What it said to watch
FOMC decision + dot plot at 18:00 UTC (~3h) is the binary that overrides this read
Loss of 4331 spike low opens the 4317 session low
M15 close above 4364 session high resumes the intraday push
NY session drove gold off the 4317 low through the 4340 ceiling to a 4363.96 session high before fading to 4353, RSI(14) cooling from the spike. A weaker USD on US-Iran de-escalation lent the bid, but the move stalled just shy of the 4364 cap ahead of the FOMC.
Support: 4,340.00, 4,317.29
Resistance: 4,363.96
What it said to watch
FOMC decision + dot plot at 18:00 UTC (~3h) can override this read
Rejection at 4364 session high keeps the rally capped
Loss of 4340 returns price into the prior range
14:46 UTC
Short-term uptrend, pulling back · RSI 67 · price 4,353.02
Higher highs into 4364, pullback off the high.
NY session ripped from the 4320 base to a 4364 session high before fading to 4353, RSI(14) cooling from the high 60s as the impulse stalls. Gold is coiled just under the high after the US-Iran de-escalation bid, but a 0.9% Retail Sales beat is capping follow-through into the FOMC decision.
Support: 4,341.00, 4,324.00
Resistance: 4,364.00, 4,394.00
What it said to watch
FOMC decision + dot plot at 18:00 UTC (~3h out) could materially shift this read
Reclaim and hold above 4364 reopens the 4394 resistance band
Loss of 4341 breakout level negates the upside push back toward 4324
14:31 UTC
Uptrend, fresh breakout leg · RSI 76 · price 4,362.76
Broke session range high, making higher highs.
NY session ripped through the 4341-4346 range top into FOMC, gold printing 4363.96 with RSI(14) hot near 76 on a weaker USD. The leg up retraced more than half the day's grind; 4341 prior cap is the breakout level now flipped to support.
Support: 4,341.00, 4,324.00, 4,317.30
Resistance: 4,364.00, 4,394.00
What it said to watch
FOMC decision + dot plot at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Loss of 4341 breakout level reopens the 4324-4317 range
Close above 4364 session high extends toward the 4394 resist band
14:31 UTC
Uptrend, fresh breakout · RSI 74 · price 4,362.76
Range break to session high.
NY session broke out of the 4317-4345 chop with a sharp push to a session high at 4364, RSI(14) running hot near 74. The move comes into the FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC, with prior resistance at 4345 now the immediate floor.
Support: 4,345.00, 4,317.29
Resistance: 4,363.96, 4,394.00
What it said to watch
FOMC + dot plot at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Close back below 4345 negates the breakout and returns price to the range
4394 supply zone is the next area to watch for rejection or break
Gold ground higher off the 4319.88 session low through NY hours, reclaiming the 4331 pivot and pressing the 4346 session high; RSI(14) mid-60s, not yet stretched. Price holds well above the $4,300 pivot, consolidating the post-Iran relief rally as traders sit on hands into FOMC.
Support: 4,331.00, 4,319.88
Resistance: 4,346.17, 4,349.72
What it said to watch
Close above 4349.72 extends the leg toward the 4394 resistance band
Loss of 4331 pivot reopens the 4319.88 session low
FOMC decision and dot plot at 18:00 UTC will likely override this intraday read
NY session has chopped in a 4317–4350 band all day; price recovered off the 4319 swing low back to 4342 with RSI(14) near 61, no extreme. Gold is frozen pre-FOMC after the three-day relief rally, holding above the 4332 pivot.
Support: 4,332.00, 4,319.00
Resistance: 4,350.00
What it said to watch
FOMC decision + dot plot at 18:00 UTC could break this range either way
M15 close above 4350 clears the session high
Loss of 4319 confirms a lower low and reopens 4300
14:02 UTC
Recovering from intraday low, momentum picking up · RSI 61 · price 4,338.34
Range with rising lows into NY.
NY session pushed gold off the 4317-4324 demand zone back up to the 4345 session high, RSI(14) firming near 61 as price reclaimed both EMAs. Move is a short-cover bounce within a $4,317-4,350 range, with traders sidelined into FOMC.
Support: 4,324.00
Resistance: 4,345.30, 4,349.70
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4349.7 extends the bounce; failure caps the range
Loss of 4324 reopens the 4317 range low
FOMC decision + dot plot at 18:00 UTC will override this intraday read
Gold bounced off the 4320 swing low twice and tagged 4345 in NY hours before easing back to 4338. Coiling above the $4,300 pivot, range-bound and stalling into FOMC; RSI mid-range, no clear lean.
Support: 4,320.00, 4,317.30
Resistance: 4,345.00, 4,350.00
What it said to watch
FOMC decision + dot plot at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Loss of the 4320 swing low opens 4317 session low then the $4,300 pivot
M15 close above 4350 session high extends the bounce
13:46 UTC
Ranging, edging to range top · RSI 63 · price 4,342.89
Intraday range 4317–4350, recent higher lows.
XAU has coiled in a 4317–4350 band through the session, holding above the $4,300 pivot as traders sit on hands pre-FOMC. The last few bars stair-stepped off the 4317 session low back toward the 4344–4350 top, RSI(14) firming into the low 60s but not stretched.
Support: 4,317.30, 4,300.00
Resistance: 4,349.72
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4350 opens the path toward the 4394 resistance band
Loss of 4317 session low confirms a lower-low and pressures the 4300 pivot
FOMC + dot plot at 18:00 UTC will likely override this range read
13:46 UTC
Choppy, recovering off lows · RSI 62 · price 4,342.89
Range, holding above $4,300 pivot.
Gold coiled in a $4,317–4,350 band through the NY session, holding above the $4,300 pivot as traders sit on hands pre-FOMC. Buyers stepped in twice near 4317–4320, and the latest leg pushed price back to 4342.89 with RSI(14) firming into the low 60s; session high at 4347.70 still caps.
Support: 4,320.00
Resistance: 4,347.70, 4,350.00
What it said to watch
FOMC decision + dot plot at 18:00 UTC (~4h) is the swing factor for this range
M15 close above 4350 opens the path back toward the 4394 resistance band
Loss of 4317 confirms a lower-low and breaks the range floor
13:31 UTC
Ranging, no clear direction · RSI 57 · price 4,336.15
Consolidation between 4317 and 4344 into FOMC.
XAUUSD is locked in a tight 4317–4344 range during NY hours, traders sitting on hands ahead of the 18:00 UTC FOMC. Price bounced off the 4320 range low and is mid-range near 4336; the early-window 4355 high capped the move as US-Iran peace optimism faded.
Support: 4,320.00, 4,317.00
Resistance: 4,344.00, 4,355.00
What it said to watch
FOMC decision + dot plot at 18:00 UTC, Warsh presser 18:30 UTC — dominant catalyst, will break this range
M15 close above 4344 opens a retest of the 4355 session high
Failure to hold 4317 confirms a lower-low and exposes 4300
Gold is pinned in a 4317-4355 range as traders sit on hands into the FOMC, with a recent bounce off the 4317 session low lifting price back to 4336. Momentum is neutral, RSI(14) mid-range; no setup in play while the range holds.
Support: 4,317.30
Resistance: 4,344.00, 4,355.00
What it said to watch
FOMC at 18:00 UTC plus Warsh presser 18:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and will likely break this range
M15 close below 4317 confirms a lower-low and opens 4300
Reclaim of 4344 puts the 4355 session high back in focus
13:16 UTC
Ranging, no clear direction · RSI 52 · price 4,332.06
Range-bound 4317-4355, price mid-range.
Gold has chopped sideways between 4317 and 4355 through the NY session, sitting mid-range at 4332 after a bounce off 4320. RSI(14) neutral near 52 — no directional structure in play with the FOMC decision looming.
Support: 4,317.30
Resistance: 4,344.00, 4,355.00
What it said to watch
FOMC at 18:00 UTC plus Warsh presser 18:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and will likely break this range
M15 close above 4344 then 4355 opens the path back toward the 4394 zone
Failure to hold 4317 swing low confirms a downside range break toward 4300
13:16 UTC
Sideways, no momentum · RSI 50 · price 4,332.06
Range-bound, coiling mid-range.
Gold has ranged roughly $4,313–$4,355 across the London-NY session and is coiling near $4,332 ahead of the 18:00 UTC FOMC. RSI(14) sits neutral near 50; the late bounce off $4,324 reclaimed EMA20 but momentum is flat with no setup in play.
Support: 4,317.30, 4,313.32
Resistance: 4,344.50, 4,354.89
What it said to watch
FOMC at 18:00 UTC and Warsh presser 18:30 UTC are the dominant catalyst — likely to break this range
M15 close above 4344.50 prior high targets the 4354.89 session high
Failure to hold 4317.30 range low opens the 4313.32 session low
Gold is chopping in a tight 4317-4349 range as traders sit on hands into Warsh's first FOMC, with a softer USD lending modest support. Price bounced off the 4317 session low and is back near the range mid; RSI(14) neutral around 54.
Support: 4,317.30
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC (~5h) plus Warsh presser is the dominant catalyst and could break this range either way
M15 close above 4349 opens the path back toward 4355
Loss of 4317 session low confirms a lower-low and exposes 4300
13:02 UTC
Ranging, no clear bias into FOMC · RSI 54 · price 4,332.31
Two-way range, mid-band.
Gold is oscillating in a tight 4317–4350 band as traders sit on hands ahead of the FOMC, holding above $4,300 with a defensive USD lending modest support. Buyers stepped in around 4317–4319 on the prior dip and price has recovered to 4332, back above EMA20/50; RSI(14) neutral near 54.
Support: 4,317.30
Resistance: 4,335.70, 4,349.70
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC plus Warsh presser 18:30 UTC will dominate this read
M15 close above 4335.70 reopens the 4349 session high
Loss of 4317.30 confirms a lower-low and breaks the range floor
XAU chopping between 4317 and 4340 around the 4335 pivot, RSI(14) neutral near 53 after a soft US Retail Sales print kept the bid above 4300. The last bar bounced off 4319 back into the middle of the range — no directional setup in play ahead of the FOMC.
Support: 4,317.30
Resistance: 4,347.70
What it said to watch
Fed decision + dot plots at 18:00 UTC (~5h) is the dominant catalyst and can void this range read
M15 close above 4340 opens the path back toward 4348
Failure to hold 4317 confirms a lower-low and extends the slide
12:46 UTC
Ranging, no clear direction · RSI 48 · price 4,332.15
Range-bound between 4317 and 4350.
XAUUSD is chopping in a 4317-4350 range, holding the $4,300 area as traders sit on hands ahead of the FOMC decision. The last bar popped from 4323 to 4332 around the US Retail Sales print, but price remains capped below the 4335 intraday high with RSI hugging neutral.
Support: 4,317.30
Resistance: 4,349.70
What it said to watch
FOMC decision + dot plots at 18:00 UTC is the key catalyst for this range
M15 close below 4317 confirms a lower low and breaks the range floor
Reclaim of 4350 reopens the path toward the $4,400 resistance
XAU is rotating in a 4317-4349 range, slipping back toward the lower third at 4326 after rejection at the 4335 pivot. RSI(14) near 44, no extreme; price holding below EMA20/50 as the rebound off year lows stalls under $4,400. Sits in pre-FOMC limbo with US Retail Sales (12:30 UTC) landing now.
Support: 4,317.29, 4,313.32
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4317 session low confirms a lower-low and opens 4313 window low
Reclaim of 4335 recent pivot puts 4349 session high back in play
FOMC + dots at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC is hitting the current bar — a soft print could lift the bid
12:31 UTC
Range, drifting lower · RSI 44 · price 4,326.67
Ranging with lower highs into FOMC.
Gold is locked in a 4317–4350 range, drifting lower to 4326 in pre-FOMC limbo after the US-Iran de-escalation bounce stalled below 4400. Repeated rejections near 4335 cap the upside while 4317 swing support has held the lows; RSI(14) mid-40s, no momentum either way.
Support: 4,317.29
Resistance: 4,349.72
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4317 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 4335 reopens the 4349 session high
Fed decision + dot plots at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Gold has bled lower through the NY session, carving lower highs from 4349 down to 4323 as the rebound stalled sub-4400 ahead of the FOMC. Price is pressing the 4317-4319 demand zone again with RSI(14) mid-40s; the descending highs cap rallies near 4335.
Support: 4,319.00, 4,317.29
What it said to watch
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC (f/c 0.5%) — likely to break the tight intraday range
FOMC dot-plot + Warsh presser 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close below 4317 confirms a lower-low extension
Reclaim of 4335 breaks the descending-highs structure
12:16 UTC
Range, drifting lower · RSI 42 · price 4,323.19
Lower highs into session low, range-bound sub-4400.
Gold drifting lower within a 4317-4350 range, capped well below 4400 as desks position into the FOMC. Sellers have set a chain of lower highs since the 4349.70 tag, and price now presses the 4317 session low with RSI(14) mid-40s.
Support: 4,317.30, 4,310.00
Resistance: 4,335.70, 4,349.70
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4317.30 confirms a lower-low and opens 4310
Reclaim of 4335.70 breaks the lower-highs sequence
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
12:02 UTC
Range, drifting lower · RSI 41 · price 4,323.61
Ranging 4317–4344, edging toward floor.
Gold is grinding lower inside a 4317–4344 range through the NY session, with supply capping each push near 4335 and the late bars sliding back toward the 4317 session low. RSI(14) sits in the low-40s, no extreme. Pre-FOMC limbo keeping ranges tight.
Support: 4,317.30, 4,313.32
What it said to watch
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC (f/c 0.5%) hits next bar — likely to break this range
M15 close below 4317 confirms a lower-low and opens 4313
Reclaim of 4335 puts the range top at 4344 back in play
FOMC at 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst for the session
Gold drifting lower through the NY session, printing lower highs and pinned near the 4317 swing low as traders square up ahead of US Retail Sales and the FOMC. Price sits below EMA20/EMA50 with RSI(14) around 41; rallies into 4335 have been capped repeatedly.
Support: 4,317.00, 4,300.00
Resistance: 4,335.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4317 confirms a fresh lower low toward 4300 psych
Reclaim of 4335 swing high neutralises the descending channel
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC, then FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
11:46 UTC
Ranging, drifting lower · RSI 44 · price 4,326.54
Intraday range, lower-highs into FOMC.
Gold is grinding sideways in a 4317–4336 band, pinned sub-$4,400 in pre-FOMC limbo with price slipping back toward the lower third after a rejection at 4335.7. RSI(14) mid-range and price under EMA20/50 reflects a soft, directionless drift rather than a trend.
Support: 4,317.30, 4,313.30
Resistance: 4,335.70, 4,347.00
What it said to watch
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC (f/c 0.5%) is the next intraday catalyst
M15 close above 4335.7 reopens the 4347–4354 band
Loss of 4317.3 confirms a lower-low and exposes 4313.3
FOMC + dot-plot at 18:00 UTC will override this intraday read
Gold is grinding in a tight 4317-4335 band, capped by a series of lower highs and below EMA20/50 as the market sits in pre-FOMC limbo. RSI(14) near 44 with no momentum extreme; the move down from 4354 into 4313 has been bought back but buyers stall at the 4335 range top.
Support: 4,317.00, 4,313.32
Resistance: 4,335.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4335 breaks the range top toward 4349
Loss of 4317 confirms a lower low toward 4313
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC then FOMC 18:00 UTC can break this range
Gold is grinding in a ~4317-4335 range, drifting toward the lower edge with price pinned just under EMA20/50 ahead of the FOMC. The rebound off yearly lows has stalled sub-$4,400, and pre-event limbo is keeping intraday swings contained. RSI(14) near 43 — neutral, no extreme.
Support: 4,317.00, 4,313.32
Resistance: 4,335.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4317 confirms a lower low and opens 4313
Reclaim of 4335 reopens the 4347 prior high
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC are the dominant catalysts
11:31 UTC
Range, drifting lower · RSI 43 · price 4,327.11
Rangebound between 4317 and 4347, lower highs into NY.
Gold ranging 4317–4347 through the London-NY transition, last at 4327 with RSI(14) mid-range and price under both EMAs. Sellers capped the 4335 swing high on the latest push while the 4320 range low keeps holding. US Retail Sales (12:30 UTC) and the FOMC (18:00 UTC) sit ahead.
Support: 4,320.00, 4,317.00
Resistance: 4,335.00, 4,347.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4317 swing low confirms a range break lower
Reclaim of 4335 swing high reopens the 4347 session high
FOMC at 18:00 UTC and Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
11:16 UTC
Ranging, no directional bias · RSI 48 · price 4,329.92
Consolidation between 4317 and 4336.
Gold is grinding sideways between the 4317 range floor and a 4336 range top in pre-FOMC limbo, with RSI(14) pinned near 48. The 4317 area has held three times across London-NY hours while rallies stall under 4336; no setup in play.
Support: 4,317.30
Resistance: 4,336.00, 4,347.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4336 range top opens the path back toward the 4347 swing high
Failure to hold the 4317 range floor confirms a lower-low
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC/dot-plot 18:00 UTC could materially break this range
11:16 UTC
Range, no clear momentum · RSI 51 · price 4,329.92
Rangebound, holding ~4317 floor.
Gold is chopping in a tight 4317–4336 band through the Asian and early London hours, pre-FOMC limbo with the dollar drifting near 99.50. The 4317 floor has been tagged three times and held; rallies keep stalling under 4336. RSI(14) flat near 51, no directional edge in play.
Support: 4,317.40
Resistance: 4,335.70
What it said to watch
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC (f/c +0.5%) is the next intraday catalyst
M15 close below 4317 confirms a lower-low and breaks the range floor
M15 close above 4336 opens the path back toward 4349
FOMC + dot-plot 18:00 UTC will override this intraday read
11:02 UTC
Range-bound, no momentum · RSI 51 · price 4,331.33
Consolidation between session pivots.
XAUUSD is grinding sideways in the 4317-4344 band through the European session, pre-positioned into today's FOMC and Retail Sales. Demand stepped in twice near 4317-4320 while supply capped attempts at 4335; RSI(14) is flat near mid-range, reflecting no directional commitment.
Support: 4,320.00, 4,317.30
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4344 reopens the path toward 4355 session high
Loss of 4317 confirms a lower-low and breaks the range floor
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC/dot-plot 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Gold is grinding in a 4317-4336 range into the FOMC, capped under a chain of lower highs after the early swing peak at 4354. Pre-FOMC limbo has flattened momentum with RSI hovering near 50 and price pinned around 4331.
Support: 4,317.30
Resistance: 4,335.70, 4,347.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4335.70 reopens the path to the 4347 session high
Loss of 4317.30 confirms a fresh lower-low
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC and FOMC at 18:00 UTC can break this range
10:46 UTC
Range, no clear direction · RSI 53 · price 4,331.72
Consolidation off session lows.
Gold is ranging roughly 4317–4336 after recovering off the session low at 4317.29, with price chopping around the EMAs near 4331. Two-way and largely capped sub-4400 into US Retail Sales and the FOMC, per the macro read.
Support: 4,317.29
Resistance: 4,335.73
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4335.73 opens the path to 4344
Failure to hold 4317.29 confirms a lower low
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
10:46 UTC
Range-bound, no clear trend · RSI 52 · price 4,331.72
Ranging 4317-4336, repeated lows at 4317.
Gold has been pinned between ~4317 and ~4336 through the London-NY transition, with 4317 holding on three tests and capping the downside. Price sits mid-range near 4331 ahead of US Retail Sales and the FOMC, RSI(14) neutral around 52 with no momentum edge in play.
Support: 4,317.30
Resistance: 4,336.00, 4,354.90
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4317 confirms a lower low and breaks the range floor
Close above 4336 opens the path back toward the 4347-4355 band
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC then FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Gold is ranging roughly 4317-4336 through the London session, hovering near 4329 after the slide off the 4349-4355 intraday high. RSI(14) sits near 50 with no momentum edge; price pinned around EMA20, capped under EMA50 as the market idles ahead of US data.
Support: 4,317.29, 4,313.32
Resistance: 4,335.73
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4336 reopens the 4349-4355 band
Loss of 4317 confirms a lower low toward 4313
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could break the range
10:31 UTC
Ranging, no clear direction · RSI 51 · price 4,329.25
Consolidation between 4317 and 4340.
Gold is chopping sideways between 4317 and 4340 through the London session, currently mid-range near 4329 with RSI(14) flat around 51. Sellers capped the recent bounce at 4335.73 while buyers defended the 4317 session low; price is coiling sub-4340 ahead of US risk events.
Support: 4,317.29
Resistance: 4,335.73, 4,344.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4340 reopens the 4344 prior high
Loss of 4317.29 confirms a fresh lower-low
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could break this range
FOMC at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
10:16 UTC
Range-bound, no clear trend · RSI 48 · price 4,329.18
Consolidating 4317-4335 after fading the 4354 high.
Gold faded the 4354 high into the London-NY transition and has since chopped in a 4317-4335 band, RSI flat near 47. Price sits mid-range around 4329 with the session low at 4317 holding repeatedly; rejection capping each push toward 4335.
Support: 4,317.30
Resistance: 4,335.73, 4,347.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4335.73 recent high opens the path to 4347 prior high
Loss of 4317.30 session low confirms a lower-low
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC then FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
XAUUSD is hemmed in a ~4313–4355 range, currently mid-band near 4329 having retraced ~38% of the earlier slide from 4355. Momentum is flat with RSI hovering near 50 as the market stalls in pre-FOMC limbo; demand stepped in twice around 4317 while supply has capped the recent bounce at 4335.
Support: 4,317.30, 4,313.32
Resistance: 4,347.04, 4,354.88
What it said to watch
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could break the 4313–4355 range
FOMC + dot-plot at 18:00 UTC materially shifts this read
M15 close below 4313 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 4347 reopens the 4355 range high
10:02 UTC
Downtrend, attempting to base · RSI 46 · price 4,329.15
Lower highs into pre-FOMC, consolidating off session low.
Gold has bled lower through the London session in a lower-highs chain from 4349, finding demand twice near the 4317 session low before stabilising around 4329. Move is pre-FOMC drift; Retail Sales (12:30 UTC) and the FOMC dot-plot are the catalysts that decide direction.
Support: 4,317.29
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4317 confirms a fresh lower-low
Reclaim of 4335 recent high needed to break the lower-highs sequence
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Gold drifted lower through London hours from the 4354 session high, printing lower highs and now coiling in a 4317-4335 range as NY gets underway. Price holds near 4329 with RSI(14) mid-zone; the rebound off yearly lows is capped sub-4400 ahead of the FOMC.
Support: 4,313.32
Resistance: 4,335.73
What it said to watch
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could front-run the FOMC move
FOMC decision + dot-plot at 18:00 UTC is the dominant risk for this read
M15 close above 4335.73 breaks the lower-high sequence
Loss of 4317 confirms a lower-low toward the 4313 session low
Gold is chopping in a 4317-4350 range, capped sub-4400 as the digest notes into Warsh's first FOMC. Latest push stalled and rejected near 4335, RSI(14) hovering mid-zone with price pinned to EMA20 and under EMA50.
Support: 4,317.29, 4,313.32
Resistance: 4,349.72
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4335 reopens the 4349 session high
Loss of 4317 confirms a lower-low toward 4313
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could break this range
Gold is chopping in a 4317-4349 range through the Asia-London hours, with a chain of lower highs since the 4354 session top and price now mid-range near 4329. RSI(14) sits neutral around 46; demand stepped in twice near 4317 while supply capped the 4336 bounces. Retail Sales (12:30 UTC) and the FOMC/SEP at 18:00 UTC are the catalysts that can break this range.
Support: 4,317.30
Resistance: 4,335.70
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4335.7 challenges the lower-high sequence
Break of 4317.3 confirms a fresh lower-low
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could break the range
09:31 UTC
Range, lower highs · RSI 50 · price 4,331.74
Consolidation between 4317 and 4344, recent bounce off the floor.
Gold is rotating in a 4317-4344 range through the pre-NY session, capped sub-$4,400 into the FOMC. Price bounced off the 4317 floor to 4332, RSI(14) flat near 50; the 4335-4344 band has rejected each push higher.
Support: 4,317.30, 4,313.32
Resistance: 4,344.20
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4344 invalidates the range-top read
Failure to hold 4317 confirms a lower-low toward 4313
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
09:31 UTC
Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 48 · price 4,331.74
Lower highs, double bottom at 4317.
Gold ground lower through the NY session from 4354 to a double bottom at 4317, then clawed back into Asia hours to 4331 with RSI(14) lifting off near-oversold toward neutral. Sub-$4,340 selling caps the rebound while 4317 has held twice; price is recovering above EMA20 but still under EMA50.
Support: 4,317.30, 4,313.32
Resistance: 4,344.25
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4344 would break the lower-high chain
Failure to hold 4317 confirms a lower low toward 4313
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Gold has ground lower through London, carving lower highs since the ~4349 NY pop and now retesting the 4317 session low. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) in the mid-40s — no momentum extreme, just a steady drift capped by descending resistance into the FOMC.
Support: 4,317.29, 4,313.32
Resistance: 4,334.33
What it said to watch
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could inject volatility ahead of the read
Close below 4317 confirms a fresh lower low toward 4313
Reclaim of 4334 breaks the descending sequence of lower highs
Gold has bled lower through the London session in a chain of lower highs, capped sub-4400 into the FOMC; price sits at 4326 below EMA20/50. The 4317 zone has absorbed three pushes lower while supply keeps pressing at 4332.
Support: 4,317.30
Resistance: 4,332.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4317 confirms a fresh lower-low
Close above 4332 breaks the descending highs
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC, then FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
09:03 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs · RSI 41 · price 4,323.08
Lower-high chain into 4317 demand.
Gold ground lower through the London session, printing a descending lower-high chain from 4349.70 with price capped sub-4400 ahead of the FOMC. Demand stepped in twice at 4317, leaving a tentative double bottom, but RSI(14) near 41 reflects no upside momentum yet.
Support: 4,317.30
Resistance: 4,333.00, 4,349.70
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4317 confirms a lower low and voids the double-bottom read
Reclaim of 4333 breaks the lower-high sequence
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC is the next intraday catalyst; FOMC + dot-plot at 18:00 UTC can reset this read entirely
09:02 UTC
Downtrend, grinding into lows · RSI 41 · price 4,323.08
Lower highs, coiling above 4317.
Gold drifted lower through the London session, printing lower highs off 4354 and now coiling between 4317 and 4333 with the dollar soft on US-Iran de-escalation but bulls struggling sub-4400. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-range; no setup in play, holding above the 4317 session low.
Support: 4,317.29, 4,313.32
Resistance: 4,333.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4317 session low confirms a fresh lower low toward 4313
Reclaim of 4333 recent high needed to break the lower-high sequence
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Gold ground lower through the London session in a chain of lower highs, printing a fresh session low at 4317.29 with RSI(14) near 34. Price is now pinned against the $4,300 pivot region the macro read flags as the recovery line, momentum stalled after rejection at 4349.72.
Support: 4,313.32, 4,300.00
Resistance: 4,349.72
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4313 confirms a lower-low and opens the 4300 pivot
Reclaim of 4332 breaks the lower-high sequence
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC then FOMC 18:00 UTC can override this read
Gold ground lower through the session in a descending channel, slipping from 4355 to fresh session lows at 4318 with a clean chain of lower highs. RSI(14) near 36, soft but not yet extreme; price sits below EMA20 and EMA50. Move fits the pre-FOMC drift after soft US data, with Retail Sales (12:30 UTC) and the FOMC dot plot (18:00 UTC) the dominant risks ahead.
Support: 4,317.30, 4,313.32, 4,300.00
Resistance: 4,332.79, 4,355.00
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 4332.79 swing high breaks the lower-high chain
Loss of 4317 session low exposes the 4313 swing low then 4300 psych
Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Gold has bled lower from the 4350 session high through London hours, printing a chain of lower highs with price now pinned near 4324 below both EMAs. RSI(14) sits mid-40s, no extreme, as the market coils ahead of US Retail Sales and FOMC. 4317 session low is the line in the sand for the recovery off YTD lows.
Support: 4,317.53, 4,313.32
Resistance: 4,332.79, 4,349.72
What it said to watch
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC then FOMC 18:00 UTC can override this structural read
M15 close below 4317.53 confirms a lower low and opens 4313
Reclaim of 4332.79 lower high needed to ease downside pressure
London session has ground lower in a chain of lower highs, with price coiling just above the 4317 swing low as enthusiasm cooled below 4344. RSI(14) sits mid-40s, no extreme; price trades under both EMA20 and EMA50 with momentum soft into a heavy data session.
Support: 4,300.00
Resistance: 4,344.17
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4317 confirms a lower low and opens 4300 pivot
Reclaim of 4332 lower high negates the near-term downdrift
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC then FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
08:16 UTC
Downtrend, drifting into lows · RSI 41 · price 4,322.48
Lower highs, retesting session lows.
Gold ground lower through the European session off a 4355 high into a 4317-4321 base, coiling near the lows ahead of the FOMC. RSI(14) near 41 with price under EMA20/50; the US-Iran deal and oil rout keep a soft tone but momentum is stalling rather than capitulating. US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC is the next intraday catalyst.
Support: 4,317.00, 4,313.00
Resistance: 4,333.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4313 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 4333 needed to break the lower-high chain
Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
08:16 UTC
Downtrend, drifting into FOMC · RSI 39 · price 4,322.48
Lower highs, probing session low.
Gold leaked lower through the NY session, printing lower highs from the 4355 peak and now pressing the 4317-4322 session low with RSI(14) near 39. Each push to 4333 has been faded; price coiling above prior-day support ahead of US Retail Sales and FOMC.
Support: 4,313.32
Resistance: 4,333.18
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4313 confirms a lower low and breaks the range
Reclaim of 4333 swing high needed to ease the lower-high sequence
Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
08:02 UTC
Ranging, momentum flat · RSI 44 · price 4,324.49
Consolidation between 4317 and 4334 after sell-off from 4355.
Gold is coiling between 4317 and 4334 during the European session after fading from the 4355 session high, with the US-Iran deal and the oil rout keeping the broader recovery intact. Price drifted to the lower half of the range into the bar close, RSI mid-40s, no setup in play ahead of FOMC.
Support: 4,317.53, 4,313.32
Resistance: 4,334.33, 4,354.89
What it said to watch
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC can materially shift this read
M15 close below 4317.53 confirms a lower low and exposes 4313.32
Gold is coiling in a 4313–4355 range and drifting toward the lower third at 4324 as enthusiasm cools ahead of the FOMC. A descending series of lower highs (4355 to 4349 to 4334) is capping bounces, and price now sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) in the low 40s.
Support: 4,313.30
Resistance: 4,334.30
What it said to watch
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC can both materially shift this read
Loss of 4317 session low confirms a lower-low toward 4313 range base
Reclaim of 4334 intraday lower high would relieve the downward drift
Ranging between ~4317 and ~4345, capped under session high.
London session is grinding sideways in a ~4317–4345 band after the 4354 session high was faded earlier in the day, with price hugging the EMAs and RSI(14) neutral near 48. Gold is coiling with no fresh structure as it waits on US Retail Sales and the FOMC.
Support: 4,320.00, 4,313.32
Resistance: 4,345.00
What it said to watch
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC and FOMC at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close back above 4345 reopens the 4354 session high
Gold is coiling between 4317 and 4345 after the NY session faded from 4354, with price now pinned near 4329 just under EMA20/50. Drift is mildly lower but RSI(14) sits neutral ~46 — no momentum, just compression ahead of Retail Sales and the FOMC.
Support: 4,317.50
Resistance: 4,344.60
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4317.5 confirms a lower low and breaks the session range
Reclaim of 4344.6 negates the lower-high drift
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC then FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
07:31 UTC
Downtrend off 4354, now ranging · RSI 46 · price 4,329.81
Lower highs into a 4317-4334 range.
Gold is coiling near 4330 into the FOMC, ranging 4317-4334 after the swing high at 4354 faded into lower highs. RSI(14) is neutral near 46; the bounce was capped at the recent high 4334 while buyers defended the session low 4317 twice.
Support: 4,317.00, 4,313.00
Resistance: 4,334.00, 4,344.00, 4,349.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4334 reopens 4344 then prior high 4349
Loss of 4317 session low exposes 4313 swing low, then 4300 pivot
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
07:31 UTC
Range, recovering off lows · RSI 50 · price 4,329.81
Choppy range, recent lower high into a higher low.
Gold is coiling between 4317 and 4347 in the London session, having put in a higher low at 4317.5 after rejection from 4349 earlier. Price is recovering toward EMA20 near current levels but momentum is flat as the market stalls into FOMC, with the US-Iran oil rout keeping a softer-USD backdrop in play.
Support: 4,317.53, 4,300.00
Resistance: 4,347.04
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4317.5 confirms a fresh lower low and opens 4300
Reclaim of 4347 reopens the 4354 session high
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could break the range; FOMC 18:00 UTC is the dominant risk
Gold coiled into FOMC, fading from the 4355 session high to sweep the 4317 low before buyers stepped in back toward 4332. RSI(14) neutral near 48 as price churns the 4317-4347 range with lower highs intact.
Support: 4,300.00
Resistance: 4,347.00, 4,355.00
What it said to watch
Close above 4347 reopens the 4355 session high
Loss of 4317 confirms a lower low toward the 4300 pivot
Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Gold is coiling into FOMC, printing lower highs off the 4354 session high with rejection near 4349 and a marginal session low at 4317.5 before the early-London bounce back to 4332. Momentum is neutral, RSI(14) hovering near 50 as price sits between the 4320 swing low and 4344 swing-high supply.
Support: 4,320.00, 4,317.50, 4,300.00
Resistance: 4,344.00, 4,354.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4344 swing high challenges the lower-high sequence
Loss of 4317.5 session low confirms continuation lower toward 4300 pivot
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC then FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Ranging 4317–4355 after rejection at session high.
XAUUSD coiling near 4331 in the London morning, capped repeatedly around 4347–4355 and supported at the 4317–4320 session low after the US-Iran deal and softening US data eased the rate path. RSI(14) mid-range, price pinned around EMA20 with no clean break in either direction ahead of US Retail Sales and the FOMC.
Support: 4,320.00
Resistance: 4,347.00, 4,355.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4347 reopens the 4355 session high
Failure to hold 4317 confirms a lower low
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Gold faded from the 4354 session high to retest 4317 during NY hours, now back at 4331 with RSI(14) neutral near 49. Price coiling between 4317 and 4344, no clean break either way as the market sits on its hands into FOMC.
Support: 4,313.32
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4344 reclaims the range top and the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 4317 confirms a lower-low toward 4313
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Consolidation between session swings, lower highs into NY.
Gold is rotating around the $4,300 handle, holding a 4313–4355 range as the US-Iran relief bounce stalls below $4,400 resistance ahead of the Fed. NY hours have carved lower highs, with price pinned near 4328 and RSI(14) mid-range; no clean break either side of the range yet.
Support: 4,313.32, 4,300.00
Resistance: 4,354.88
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4313 confirms a lower-low and opens 4300
Reclaim of 4349 needed to challenge the 4354 session high
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC, then FOMC dot plot 18:00 UTC — dominant intraday catalysts
Gold has bled lower through the London session, carving lower highs from the 4350 area down to a 4317 swing low before a shallow bounce back to 4327. RSI(14) hovers mid-range near 46 with no extreme; price is chopping above the 4300 pivot ahead of US Retail Sales and the FOMC dot plot.
Support: 4,313.32, 4,300.00
Resistance: 4,334.33, 4,349.72
What it said to watch
Loss of 4317 opens 4300 then 4313 zone breaks the consolidation
Reclaim of 4334 needed to challenge the 4349 session high
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC/dot plot 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Gold is chopping between 4313 and 4347 with a string of lower highs after the 4354.9 session high was rejected; price now hovers at 4325 near the lower half of the range. The drift mirrors the digest's stalled momentum below 4400 as traders sit on their hands into the FOMC dot plot.
Support: 4,313.30, 4,300.00
Resistance: 4,347.00, 4,354.90
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4313 confirms a lower-low and opens 4300
Reclaim of 4347 needed to neutralise the lower-high sequence
FOMC decision + dot plot at 18:00 UTC dominates the next sessions
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could shift the read pre-FOMC
06:31 UTC
Range, drifting lower · RSI 43 · price 4,325.34
Intraday range, lower highs late session.
Gold ranged 4313–4354 through the window, with repeated rejection into 4347 and a slow drift lower into the Asia session; RSI(14) sub-45 and price under EMA20/50. Still holding the $4,300 handle, momentum stalled below 4400 as the US-Iran relief bounce cooled ahead of the Fed.
Support: 4,313.32, 4,300.00
Resistance: 4,347.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4313 opens 4300 then deeper
Reclaim of 4347 needed to retest range high 4354
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC dot plot 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
06:16 UTC
Ranging, momentum flat after fade from highs · RSI 46 · price 4,328.71
Consolidation in low-4320s/4330s after rejection of 4355.
Gold faded from the 4355 session high during prior NY hours and has since coiled in a 4317–4334 range, holding the $4,300 pivot into Asia/early London. RSI(14) is flat near 46 with price under EMA20/50 — no directional impulse, balance ahead of the Fed.
Support: 4,313.30
Resistance: 4,354.90
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4334 reopens 4347 then the 4355 day high
Loss of 4317 confirms a lower-low and exposes the 4313/4300 area
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC and FOMC dot plot at 18:00 UTC could break this range
Gold ranging 4313–4354 through the Asian session, holding the $4,300 pivot with momentum stalled below the 4347 prior high. Last leg swept 4317 and bounced to 4328, but a chain of lower highs keeps price capped under EMA20/50 as traders sit on hands into the Fed.
Support: 4,313.30, 4,300.00
Resistance: 4,347.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4347 reclaims the prior high and breaks the lower-high sequence
Loss of 4317 session low exposes 4313 then the 4300 pivot
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC dot plot 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Sequence of lower highs off 4354, basing near 4317.
Gold slid from the $4,354 session high to a swing low at $4,317, carving a clean chain of lower highs as the US-Iran relief bid cooled. Price is now consolidating around $4,327 below EMA20, holding the $4,300 handle ahead of the Fed; momentum flat with RSI(14) near 44.
Support: 4,313.32, 4,300.00
Resistance: 4,334.33
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4334 breaks the lower-high sequence
Loss of 4317 session low opens 4313 then 4300
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC can override this read
Rotating inside session range, lower highs since the 4350 peak.
Gold is rotating between 4317 and 4350 with a string of lower highs since the 4355 window peak, price now pinned to mid-range at 4326 below EMA20/50 as the post US-Iran bounce stalls below 4400. Asia hours grinding sideways, RSI(14) neutral near 46 with no extreme in play.
Support: 4,313.32, 4,300.00
Resistance: 4,349.72, 4,354.89
What it said to watch
Loss of 4317 opens 4313 then the 4300 pivot
Reclaim of 4349 needed to reattack the 4355 window high
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC then FOMC dot plot 18:00 UTC can override this range read
Gold faded from the 4355 session high through the prior NY session and is consolidating around 4330 in Asian hours, RSI neutral near 47 and price below EMA20/50. Lower highs keep pressure under 4344 while 4317 has so far held; this is a hold of the $4,300 handle into the Fed.
Support: 4,317.50, 4,313.30
Resistance: 4,344.00, 4,355.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4317.5 opens 4313 then the deeper 4300 handle
Reclaim of 4344 reopens the 4355 session high
FOMC at 18:00 UTC (dot plot) is the dominant driver and can override this range read
05:46 UTC
Range, drifting lower · RSI 45 · price 4,329.68
Consolidation, lower highs into support.
Gold ranging roughly 4317–4350 through the Asian session, holding the $4,300 handle as the US-Iran relief bounce cools into the Fed. Price sits mid-range below EMA20/50 after a string of lower highs; RSI(14) neutral near 44, no setup in play.
Support: 4,317.53, 4,313.32, 4,300.00
Resistance: 4,349.72, 4,354.88
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4317.53 opens 4313.32 then the 4300 pivot
Reclaim of 4349.72 needed to challenge the 4354.88 session high
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC then FOMC dot plot 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
05:31 UTC
Downtrend on recent legs, inside broader range · RSI 46 · price 4,331.79
Lower highs off 4355, bounce from session low 4317.
Asian session drifted lower into 4317 (session low) before buyers stepped in, lifting price back to 4331 inside the broader 4313–4355 range. Momentum stalled below 4340 with RSI mid-range; the bounce sits in a quiet pre-London window. FOMC dot plot at 18:00 UTC and US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC are the dominant drivers ahead.
Support: 4,317.00, 4,313.32
Resistance: 4,340.00, 4,347.00, 4,354.89
What it said to watch
Loss of 4313 confirms a lower-low, opening the 4300 handle
Reclaim of 4340 reopens 4347 session high
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could break the intraday range
FOMC 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst into the next sessions
Gold drifted off the 4349.7 high through the overnight hours, sweeping down to 4317.5 before buyers stepped in twice around 4321. Price now sits at 4331.8, mid-range and just below EMA20, with RSI(14) recovering from a dip to mid-40s — no directional structure while the 4317–4349 range holds.
Support: 4,321.40, 4,317.53, 4,300.00
Resistance: 4,349.72
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4317.5 confirms a lower-low and opens the 4300 pivot
Reclaim of 4349.7 needed to break the lower-high sequence
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC then FOMC dot plot at 18:00 UTC can materially shift this read
05:16 UTC
Short-term downtrend within range · RSI 41 · price 4,322.17
Lower highs off 4355, testing range floor.
Gold drifted lower through Asian hours, fading from 4347 to tag the 4317.5 session low before stabilising near 4322; RSI(14) sub-42 but not stretched. Price holds above the 4300 pivot inside the broader 4313–4355 range as US-Iran euphoria cools ahead of the Fed.
Support: 4,317.50, 4,313.30, 4,300.00
Resistance: 4,334.00, 4,347.00, 4,355.00
What it said to watch
Loss of 4313 opens the 4300 pivot
Reclaim of 4334 negates the lower-high sequence
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC then FOMC dot plot 18:00 UTC could reset this read
05:16 UTC
Downtrend, near-term · RSI 40 · price 4,322.17
Lower highs into 4300 pivot.
Gold has slid from the 4349 swing high back to the 4300 handle, printing lower highs through the Asian session with RSI(14) near 39. The 4317 session low is the immediate floor; price holding just above the 4300 pivot that has kept the broader rebound intact.
Support: 4,313.32, 4,300.00
Resistance: 4,335.00
What it said to watch
Loss of 4317 opens 4313 then the 4300 pivot
Reclaim of 4335 needed to break the lower-high sequence
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC dot plot 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Gold faded from the 4355 intraday high through the session, printing lower highs and tagging 4317 before a shallow bounce to 4326, price below EMA20/50. The $4,300 pivot remains intact but momentum is heavy ahead of the 18:00 UTC FOMC and dot plot.
Support: 4,300.00
Resistance: 4,354.89
What it said to watch
Loss of 4317 swing low confirms a lower-low and opens 4300
M15 close back above 4344 session high negates the downtrend read
FOMC dot plot at 18:00 UTC is the dominant intraday driver
05:03 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs · RSI 43 · price 4,326.48
Sequence of lower highs, recent swing low swept.
Gold slid through the London open, sweeping the session low at 4317 before a modest bounce to 4326; RSI(14) near 42, off oversold. Lower highs persist below the 4335 swing into Retail Sales and the FOMC dot plot.
Support: 4,300.00
Resistance: 4,335.00
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 4335 swing breaks the lower-high sequence
Loss of 4317 session low opens 4300 psych pivot
Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and the FOMC dot plot 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
04:46 UTC
Downtrend, momentum building lower · RSI 39 · price 4,322.91
Lower highs, breaking session lows.
Gold faded through Asian hours after rejection at 4347, sliding to a 4317.50 session low before stalling at 4322. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 38; the $4,300 pivot is the line under price.
Support: 4,317.50, 4,313.30, 4,300.00
Resistance: 4,347.00
What it said to watch
Loss of 4317.50 opens 4313 then the 4300 psych pivot
Reclaim of 4347 swing high negates the lower-high sequence
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC and FOMC at 18:00 UTC can override intraday structure
04:46 UTC
Fading from range top, momentum down · RSI 40 · price 4,322.91
Range with lower high, testing range low.
Gold faded through the Asia–early-London hours from the 4349 swing high back to the 4317 range low, RSI(14) near 40. Price has held a 4313–4355 range all session; current bar is pressing the lower edge with no fresh demand evident yet.
Support: 4,313.32, 4,300.00
Resistance: 4,335.00, 4,354.88
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4317 confirms a lower-low toward 4300
Reclaim of 4335 puts the range mid back in play
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC then FOMC 18:00 UTC can override this read
04:31 UTC
Range, momentum rolling over · RSI 41 · price 4,325.15
Ranging 4313–4355, fading off the highs.
Gold has slid from the 4349.70 NY high back toward the lower third of the day's 4313–4355 range, RSI(14) cooling near 40 as the rebound stalls below 4394 resistance. Price sits at 4325 in early Asia hours with the 4320 swing low the immediate floor.
Support: 4,320.00, 4,313.30, 4,300.00
Resistance: 4,340.00, 4,349.70, 4,354.90
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4313 opens 4300 then deeper
Reclaim of 4340 puts 4349.70 back in play
Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC dot plot 18:00 UTC dominate the next sessions
Gold rejected 4349 early in the Asia session and drifted lower to 4324, holding inside the 4313–4355 window with RSI(14) cooling near 40. Move tracks the digest's stall below 4400 resistance as traders await Retail Sales and the FOMC dot plot.
Support: 4,313.32, 4,300.00
Resistance: 4,354.89
What it said to watch
Loss of 4313 session low opens 4300 psych pivot
Reclaim of 4344 prior high needed to challenge the 4355 swing high
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC can override this range read
Asia session has gold drifting back toward range lows after a rejection at the 4349.7 session high; price sits at 4330 below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 41. The $4,300-handle area holds while the rebound from yesterday's US-Iran relief bounce consolidates ahead of the Fed.
Support: 4,328.70, 4,319.00, 4,313.30
Resistance: 4,344.50, 4,349.70
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4328.7 opens 4319 then 4313 session low
Reclaim of 4344.5 needed to challenge the 4349.7 session high
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC dot plot 18:00 UTC can override this range read
04:16 UTC
Range, drifting lower · RSI 43 · price 4,330.23
Intraday range, lower highs forming.
XAUUSD is chopping in a 4313–4355 range with price now leaning on the 4328 session low after rejection from the 4350 swing high during the prior NY session. Momentum has cooled, RSI(14) mid-40s, as gold holds the $4,300 handle into the Fed; price sits below EMA20/50.
Support: 4,313.32
Resistance: 4,349.72, 4,354.89
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4328 opens the 4313 day low
Reclaim of 4350 needed to challenge the 4355 day high
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC then FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Gold rejected 4347 during the Asia session and slid back to the 4330 area, holding the 4300 pivot zone flagged in the macro read. Price is mid-range between 4313 and 4354 with RSI(14) in the mid-40s — no clear momentum, structure churning under 4347.
Support: 4,329.00, 4,313.32
Resistance: 4,347.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4329 opens the 4313 session low then 4300 pivot
Reclaim of 4347 needed to retest the 4354 session high
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Gold rolled off the 4355 intraday high and has been grinding lower through Asia hours, now pinned near 4331 below both EMAs with RSI(14) in the mid-40s. Price is consolidating between 4324 and the 4347 supply shelf as the US-Iran relief bounce stalls below 4400.
Support: 4,324.00, 4,313.32, 4,300.00
Resistance: 4,354.89
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4324 opens 4313 then the 4300 pivot
Reclaim of 4347 needed to re-test the 4355 intraday high
Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC dot plot dominate the next sessions
03:46 UTC
Range, drifting lower into Asia · RSI 45 · price 4,333.19
Consolidation below session highs after rejection at 4350.
Asia session ranging roughly 4328–4350 after sellers rejected the 4350 session high; price now sits mid-range at 4333, below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 44. Gold remains capped under the broader ~4400 ceiling flagged in the digest, with two-way risk dominating into the Fed.
Support: 4,322.05, 4,313.32
Resistance: 4,349.72
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4344 reopens the 4350 session high
Loss of 4328 session low exposes 4322 and the 4313 window low
Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
03:46 UTC
Range, drifting lower · RSI 45 · price 4,333.19
Rangebound, mid-to-lower portion.
Asia hours quiet, gold rolling back from the 4350 swing high toward 4329 support, holding the broad 4313–4355 range. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-range near 45 — no momentum extreme, consolidation ahead of the FOMC.
Support: 4,329.00, 4,313.32
Resistance: 4,350.00, 4,354.88
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4329 opens the 4313 session low
Reclaim of 4350 puts the 4355 session high back in play
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC then FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
03:31 UTC
Ranging, drifting lower · RSI 44 · price 4,332.46
Consolidation below recent highs.
Gold is ranging 4328–4348 through the Asia session, drifting lower into the current bar after rejection at 4347. Price stalls well below the ~4400 ceiling flagged in the wider read, RSI(14) mid-range near 43 with no extreme.
Support: 4,328.00, 4,313.32
Resistance: 4,347.50
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4328 opens a retest of 4313 session low
Close above 4348 reopens the 4354 session high
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
03:31 UTC
Ranging, momentum flat · RSI 43 · price 4,332.46
Choppy range, lower highs into Asia.
Gold is chopping in a 4313–4355 range during Asia hours, stalling well below the pivotal ~$4,400 ceiling flagged into the FOMC. The recovery off the 4313 session low rejected at 4349.7 and price has drifted back to the 4329–4332 zone, mid-range with RSI(14) flat near 43.
Support: 4,329.00, 4,313.32
Resistance: 4,349.70, 4,354.89
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4329 swing low opens a retest of the 4313.32 session low
Reclaim of 4349.7 swing high needed to challenge the 4354.89 session high
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Gold rolled over from the 4354 swing high during NY and has spent the Asian session grinding lower beneath a chain of lower highs, with rejection capping near 4344-4350. Price sits on the 4329-4330 range floor, RSI(14) mid-40s and below both EMAs after the prior risk-on pop stalled short of the $4,400 ceiling.
Support: 4,329.00, 4,313.32
Resistance: 4,350.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4329 confirms a lower low and opens 4313 swing low
Reclaim of 4350 needed to break the descending lower-high sequence
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC then FOMC 18:00 UTC are the dominant catalysts ahead
Consolidation under 4350, pulling toward range low.
XAUUSD is grinding the lower half of a 4313-4355 range during Asia hours, capped by a chain of lower highs near 4344-4350 after the de-escalation pop stalled below 4400. Price slid back to 4330 with RSI(14) around 42; sellers rejected the 4350 retest into the latest session high.
Support: 4,329.00, 4,313.30
Resistance: 4,349.70, 4,354.90
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4329 confirms a lower low and opens the 4313 swing
Reclaim of 4350 negates the lower-high sequence
Fed decision later today (18:00 UTC) is the dominant catalyst and can reset this read
03:02 UTC
Range, rolling off intraday highs · RSI 42 · price 4,331.49
Lower highs since 4355 peak, holding above 4317.
Gold ranged 4317-4355 through the NY-into-Asia window and is now rolling off, with supply capping at 4344-4350 and the current bar pressing back toward 4329. RSI(14) near 42 and price below both EMAs as Asia trades quietly under the wider $4,400 ceiling ahead of the FOMC.
Resistance: 4,349.70, 4,354.90
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4329 opens the 4317 swing low
Reclaim of 4344 needed to retest the 4355 session high
FOMC at 18:00 UTC and Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could reset this range
03:02 UTC
Range, drifting lower · RSI 44 · price 4,331.49
Intraday range, capped near 4347.
Gold has chopped between 4313 and 4355 over the last 24h, holding a mildly positive tone off the de-escalation pop but stalling below the 4400 ceiling. Latest bars rejected 4347 and slid to 4331, RSI(14) cooling into the mid-40s and price under both EMAs.
Support: 4,317.63, 4,313.32
Resistance: 4,347.97, 4,354.89, 4,400.00
What it said to watch
Close above 4347.97 reopens the 4354 swing high
Loss of 4317.63 confirms a lower low toward 4313
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC can override this intraday read
Consolidating below session high after pullback from 4354.88.
Quiet Asia session, gold ranging 4330–4350 after fading the London-NY push to 4354.88; price has drifted back to the lower half at 4335.91 with RSI(14) neutral near 46. The ~4400 ceiling flagged in macro context sits well above; intraday action is rotational ahead of US Retail Sales and FOMC.
Support: 4,330.00, 4,317.63
Resistance: 4,349.72, 4,354.88
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4350 reopens the 4354.88 high
Loss of 4330 confirms a lower-low toward 4317.63
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC then FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
02:46 UTC
Range, drifting off highs · RSI 46 · price 4,335.91
Rangebound below 4354 after pullback.
Gold stalled at 4354 after the de-escalation pop and has since ranged 4330–4354 through the Asia session, consistent with the digest's repeated stall below ~4400. Price sits mid-range near 4336 with RSI(14) neutral; rising lows off 4317 keep the pullback shallow.
Support: 4,330.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4354 reopens the path toward the 4400 ceiling
Loss of 4330 swing low exposes 4317 and 4307
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC are the dominant catalysts that could break this range
Asia session churning between ~4334 and 4350 after the earlier rejection from the 4354.88 swing high; RSI(14) neutral near mid-range. Gold stays capped below the $4,400 ceiling, the de-escalation pop already in price ahead of the Warsh-led FOMC.
Support: 4,334.20, 4,313.32
Resistance: 4,349.70, 4,354.88
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4354.88 swing high opens the path toward the $4,400 ceiling
Loss of 4334 intraday low exposes the 4313 range low
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Gold is churning in a 4330-4355 band through the Asian session after a 3-day de-escalation rally stalled below the $4,400 ceiling; price sits mid-range at 4341 with RSI flat near 53. Session high at 4354.89 capped two pushes while demand stepped in repeatedly around 4330.
Support: 4,330.00, 4,317.63
Resistance: 4,354.89
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4354.89 reopens the path toward the $4,400 ceiling
Loss of 4330 range floor exposes the 4317.63 swing low
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC can materially reset this range
Gold is grinding in a 4330-4350 range during the Asia session, holding the mildly positive tone after soft US housing data. The 4349-4354 zone has capped each push and 4330 has absorbed dips; RSI(14) is neutral mid-50s with no momentum extreme.
Support: 4,330.00, 4,322.00
Resistance: 4,349.70, 4,354.88, 4,400.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4354.88 opens the path back toward the 4400 ceiling
Loss of 4330 confirms a lower-low and exposes 4322 then 4307
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
02:16 UTC
Ranging, no clear direction · RSI 53 · price 4,342.18
Choppy range, prior swing low bought back.
Gold is ranging roughly 4330–4350 through the Asia session after stalling below 4355; the spike down to 4313 earlier was bought straight back. RSI(14) sits neutral near 53 with price hugging the EMAs — no setup in play as the market waits on today's FOMC.
Support: 4,330.00, 4,313.32
Resistance: 4,350.00, 4,354.88
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4355 reopens the upside toward the 4394 ceiling
Failure to hold 4330 exposes the 4313 swing low
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC and Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Consolidation under session high after sweep of lows.
Gold is ranging 4330–4350 in the Asia session after the London-NY rally tagged the 4354.88 session high. Mid-session saw a sweep of lows to 4313 before buyers stepped back in; price now holds the upper half of the range with RSI(14) neutral near 55, consistent with the digest's stall below the ~4,400 ceiling.
Support: 4,330.00, 4,313.32
Resistance: 4,350.00, 4,354.88
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4354.88 session high reopens the path toward the 4,400 ceiling
Loss of the 4330 recent base reopens the 4313 swing low
FOMC at 18:00 UTC and Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Gold is ranging 4325–4354 through the Asian session after the US-Iran de-escalation pop stalled below the ~4400 ceiling. Price was rejected at the 4350 session high and pulled back to 4337 before steadying near 4341; RSI(14) sits mid-range with no extreme.
Support: 4,325.00
Resistance: 4,350.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4354 swing high opens a retest of the ~4400 ceiling
Failure to hold 4325 range low confirms a lower-low toward 4313
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
01:46 UTC
Sideways, mid-range chop · RSI 55 · price 4,338.98
Range-bound between 4330 and 4350.
Gold is chopping in a 4330-4350 band during Asian hours, holding the mildly positive tone after soft US housing data while bulls stay capped below the ~4400 ceiling. The push to 4349.7 was rejected and price has drifted back to 4339; RSI(14) is neutral near 55 with no momentum edge.
Support: 4,330.00, 4,324.40, 4,307.70
Resistance: 4,349.70, 4,354.88
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4350 reopens the run toward 4354.88 swing high
Loss of 4330 base exposes 4324.4 and 4307.7
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
01:46 UTC
Ranging, no momentum · RSI 54 · price 4,340.23
Range between ~4330 and ~4350.
Gold is chopping in a 4330-4350 band through thin Asia-session liquidity, holding the mildly positive tone after the US-Iran de-escalation pop but stalling well below the $4,400 ceiling. A push to the session high at 4349.72 earlier faded back to mid-range; RSI(14) is neutral near 54 with no directional setup in play.
Support: 4,330.00, 4,313.32
Resistance: 4,349.72, 4,354.88
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4349.72 reopens the path toward the 4354.88 swing high
Loss of the 4330 range floor exposes the 4313.32 swing low
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Consolidation between 4330 and 4350 after stalling below 4400.
Thin Asia-hours trade chopping between 4330 and 4350; price stalled below the 4350 ceiling and reverted to 4341 on fading volume. Gold remains pinned under the broader $4,400 area after the US-Iran de-escalation pop, with two-way risk into the FOMC.
Support: 4,330.00, 4,313.32
Resistance: 4,350.00, 4,354.88
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4350 reopens the path to the 4354.88 session high
Loss of 4330 range low exposes 4313.32 swing low
FOMC and Retail Sales later today could materially shift this intraday read
01:31 UTC
Choppy, mild recovery into Asia · RSI 56 · price 4,341.73
Rangebound 4330-4350, last leg up stalling.
Gold chopped in a 4330-4350 band through the Asian hours, with a push to 4349.72 rejected and price easing back to 4341. Move stays well below the ~4400 ceiling that has capped this week's de-escalation rally; no clean break either side of the intraday range.
Support: 4,330.00, 4,328.55
Resistance: 4,349.72, 4,354.88
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4349.72 reopens the path toward the 4354.88 swing high
Loss of 4330 range floor exposes the 4328.55 session low
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Asia session ground higher off the 4332 pivot, tagging 4349.72 before closing back at 4344.77 — the 4350 area keeps capping. Price ranging between 4324 and the 4354 swing high; RSI(14) mid-range with no extreme, structure intact via higher lows.
Support: 4,332.00, 4,324.00, 4,313.30
Resistance: 4,350.00, 4,354.90
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4354.9 reopens the path toward the $4,400 ceiling
Loss of 4332 pivot exposes 4324 then 4313 intraday low
FOMC at 18:00 UTC and Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could override this intraday read
Asia session chopping inside 4313–4355 after London swept the 4354 high and reversed to 4313. Price has ground back to the 4345–4350 band where supply capped twice; RSI(14) mid-range near 58, no extreme. Gold remains pinned below the ~4400 ceiling into the FOMC catalyst.
Support: 4,330.00, 4,313.32
Resistance: 4,349.72, 4,354.88, 4,400.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4355 invalidates the range top and opens 4400
Failure to hold 4330 reopens the 4317–4313 session low
Retail Sales 12:30 UTC then FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
01:03 UTC
Ranging, no momentum · RSI 54 · price 4,338.74
Asian-session range after rejection at 4354.
Thin Asian-session trade chopping in a tight 4329-4341 band after London/NY stalled at 4354 and dipped to 4313. RSI(14) flat near mid-range; gold remains pinned well below the broader $4,400 ceiling into the FOMC week, with no intraday structure in play.
Support: 4,329.00, 4,322.00, 4,313.30
Resistance: 4,347.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4347 opens the path back toward 4354 session high
Failure to hold 4329 exposes 4322 then the 4313 session low
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC are the dominant catalysts ahead
01:03 UTC
Sideways after rally stalled · RSI 53 · price 4,338.74
Ranging 4313-4354, mid-range.
Gold is ranging between the 4313 range low and the 4354 swing high after the de-escalation rally stalled below the 4400 ceiling; price sits mid-range near 4339 in early Asia. The 4347 session high capped the last push and RSI is neutral around 53, no momentum extreme in play.
Support: 4,313.30
Resistance: 4,347.00, 4,400.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4354 swing high reopens the path to the 4400 ceiling
Loss of 4313 range low confirms a lower-low
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
00:46 UTC
Range, momentum flat · RSI 48 · price 4,334.13
Boxed between 4330 and 4346 after lower highs off 4354.
Gold stalled below the ~4400 ceiling and is grinding sideways through the Asia session in a thin 4330-4346 box after rejecting the 4354 swing high. Volume has dried up into the FOMC wait; price hugs EMA20/50 with RSI flat near 47, no directional setup in play.
Support: 4,330.00, 4,318.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4346 reopens the 4354 swing high; a break below 4330 exposes the 4318 prior swing
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and the FOMC decision 18:00 UTC are the dominant catalysts and will override this range read
00:46 UTC
Ranging, momentum flat · RSI 48 · price 4,334.13
Range-bound after pullback from 4355.
Gold is chopping in a tight Asia-session range between 4329 and 4341 after rejecting the 4355 session high and basing at 4317. RSI(14) sits near 50 and price is pinned around the EMA20/50 cluster, with thin holiday-style volume into the FOMC.
Support: 4,329.00
Resistance: 4,347.04, 4,354.89
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4347 reopens the run at the 4355 session high
Loss of 4329 exposes the 4317 prior low
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC then FOMC 18:00 UTC could break this range
00:31 UTC
Ranging after pullback from session high · RSI 53 · price 4,337.64
Consolidation between 4329 and 4342, below 4354 high.
Gold rejected the 4354.88 session high then dropped to 4317.63 before recovering; price has since coiled in a tight 4329-4342 range with RSI neutral near 53. No directional setup in play ahead of the Fed.
Support: 4,329.00, 4,317.63
Resistance: 4,342.00, 4,354.88
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4342 reopens the 4354 session high
Loss of 4329 puts the 4317 swing low back in play
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC are the dominant catalysts and can override this range
00:31 UTC
Range, momentum flat · RSI 54 · price 4,337.64
Consolidation after NY rejection.
Gold rejected the 4354.88 session high during NY hours and is now grinding in a tight 4329-4341 Asian range, RSI(14) flat near 54. Wider context keeps bulls capped under ~4400 ahead of the FOMC, with thin Asia volume offering no fresh direction.
Support: 4,329.57, 4,317.63
Resistance: 4,347.04, 4,354.88
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4347 reopens the 4354.88 session high
Loss of 4329.57 exposes the 4317.63 swing low
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC are the dominant catalysts and can break this range
00:16 UTC
Range, drifting mid · RSI 55 · price 4,339.44
Intraday range after failed push higher.
Gold ranging 4329-4347 in the Asia session after the prior NY push to 4354.89 was rejected and sold back to 4313. Price has reclaimed the EMAs and sits near the 61.8% retrace of that drop, but momentum is flat (RSI ~55) with bulls still stalling below the 4400 ceiling into FOMC.
Support: 4,329.00, 4,313.00
Resistance: 4,347.00, 4,354.89, 4,400.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4347 then 4354.89 reopens the path toward the 4400 psych ceiling
Failure to hold 4329 swing low exposes the 4313 session low
FOMC 18:00 UTC and Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
00:16 UTC
Ranging, no clear bias · RSI 53 · price 4,339.44
Consolidation between 4329 and 4347.
Gold is chopping between 4329 and 4347 after stalling below the ~4400 ceiling that's been driving the multi-day move; RSI(14) is neutral near 53. The drop from the 4354.9 session high to 4313.3 has retraced ~62% with no clean directional structure in play.
Support: 4,313.30
Resistance: 4,347.00, 4,354.90
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4347 reopens the 4354.9 session high
Loss of 4329 exposes the 4313.3 swing low
FOMC 18:00 UTC and Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
00:02 UTC
Ranging, drifting to lower end · RSI 45 · price 4,330.20
Consolidation after pullback from session high.
Asia session, gold ranging 4329-4342 after a rejection from the 4347-4354 session high during the prior NY hours. Price hugging the lower edge at 4330 with RSI(14) neutral near 44 and below both EMAs; volume thinning into the Asian range.
Support: 4,329.00, 4,317.63
Resistance: 4,342.00, 4,347.04
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4329 opens the 4317.63 swing low
M15 close above 4342 puts 4347/4354 session high back in play
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC can override this intraday read
Consolidation under recent highs after sweep and pullback.
Gold spiked to 4354.9 then was swept down to 4313 before recovering, and has since coiled in a 4329-4338 band through the quiet Asia hours below the stalled ~4400 ceiling. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 43 with price holding under EMA20/50; no setup in play.
Support: 4,329.00, 4,313.30
Resistance: 4,347.00, 4,354.90
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4329 reopens the 4313 swing low
Reclaim of 4347 brings the 4354.9 session high back into play
US Retail Sales (12:30 UTC) and FOMC (18:00 UTC) ahead can reshape this read