XAU/USD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Monday, 22 June 2026

Every read JAFX AI made on the XAU/USD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.

23:46 UTC

Rangebound, momentum flat · RSI 53 · price 4,193.34

Tight Asia-session consolidation after NY fade.

XAUUSD is pinned in a tight 4188–4196 range through quiet Asia hours, volumes thinning into the session. Earlier London/NY pushed up to the 4214 session high before fading toward the 4170 swing low; price now sits mid-range near the 50% retrace of that move with RSI flat near 53.

Support: 4,188.00, 4,169.82

Resistance: 4,196.00, 4,205.00, 4,214.22

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4196 range top opens the path back to 4205/4214
  • Failure to hold 4188 range floor exposes the 4170 swing low
  • S&P Global Flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC could break this range

23:46 UTC

Sideways, momentum flat · RSI 53 · price 4,193.34

Tight consolidation under 4205.

Late Asia session has gold coiling in a tight 4188–4195 band after fading from the 4214 swing high, RSI(14) flat near 53 and ATR compressing. Bounce off ~4170 stalled below the 4205 area, leaving price mid-range with no intraday setup in play.

Support: 4,180.00, 4,169.82

Resistance: 4,205.00, 4,214.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4205 opens the path back to the 4214 swing high
  • Loss of 4180 session low exposes the 4170 swing low
  • US S&P Global flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC could break this range

23:31 UTC

Range-bound, momentum flat · RSI 51 · price 4,191.25

Consolidation after faded rally.

Gold has compressed into a tight 4185-4192 band through the quiet Asian session on thinning volume, holding the ~0.5 retrace of the earlier 4215-4170 drop. The London/NY push to 4220 faded back, and price now sits mid-range with RSI flat near 50.

Support: 4,185.00, 4,169.82

Resistance: 4,205.00, 4,215.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4205 reopens the 4215-4220 highs
  • Loss of 4185 exposes the 4169.82 swing low
  • S&P Global flash PMIs Tue 13:45 UTC could break this range

23:31 UTC

Ranging, momentum flat · RSI 51 · price 4,191.25

Tight consolidation under session high.

Gold pushed to a 4220.96 session high on the US-Iran talks bounce, then faded and has spent the Asia session pinned in a tight 4188–4193 band on thinning volume. RSI(14) sits flat near 51 with price coiled between the 4180 range low and the 4210 range top — no setup in play.

Support: 4,180.00, 4,170.00

Resistance: 4,210.00, 4,220.96

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4210 reopens the 4220.96 session high
  • Loss of 4180 exposes the 4170 swing low
  • US S&P Global flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC could break the range

23:16 UTC

Ranging, momentum flat · RSI 51 · price 4,190.78

Tight consolidation under prior swing high.

Thin Asia-session trade has gold pinned in a tight 4187–4194 band after rejection from the 4214 swing high and a recovery off the 4169 session low. RSI(14) flat near 51, no directional pressure; volume drained into the late session.

Support: 4,187.00, 4,180.00

Resistance: 4,194.00, 4,214.22

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4194 reopens the 4214 swing high
  • Loss of 4187 range floor exposes 4180 and the 4169 session low
  • US S&P Global PMIs Jun 23 13:45 UTC could break this range

23:16 UTC

Ranging, momentum flat · RSI 50 · price 4,190.78

Tight consolidation after wide intraday range.

Asia session is dead-quiet, coiling in a tight 4188–4193 band after London/NY churned the broader 4170–4221 range on the US-Iran talks bounce. RSI(14) is neutral near 50 and EMA20/50 are flat and intertwined — no setup in play.

Support: 4,188.00, 4,180.46, 4,169.82

Resistance: 4,205.72, 4,213.00, 4,220.96

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4205.72 reopens the 4213/4221 session highs
  • Failure to hold 4188 exposes the 4180 swing low then 4170
  • S&P Global flash PMIs Tue 13:45 UTC can break this range

23:02 UTC

Ranging, soft bid in thin Asia · RSI 51 · price 4,191.75

Consolidation after pullback from 4220 high.

Gold spiked to 4220 mid-window then faded, and price is now coiling around 4190 in thin Asian-hours liquidity (sub-700 volume bars). The $4,200 pivot caps and the 4180 recent low underpins; no directional structure in play with the broader tape holding the $4,150-4,200 hawkish-Fed range.

Support: 4,180.46, 4,169.82

Resistance: 4,200.00, 4,215.11

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4200 reopens a test of the 4215 session high
  • Loss of 4180 exposes the 4170 swing low
  • S&P Global PMIs Tue 13:45 GMT could break this range

23:02 UTC

Ranging, flat after pullback · RSI 53 · price 4,191.75

Tight consolidation under 4200 pivot.

Gold is coiling in a tight 4185-4193 band through quiet Asia hours after earlier supply capped the rally at 4220 and price faded to a 4169.82 session low. The 4200 pivot flagged in the macro read stays untested overhead; volume has thinned out, no setup in play.

Support: 4,180.00, 4,169.82

Resistance: 4,200.00, 4,215.11

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4200 pivot reopens the 4215 swing high
  • Failure to hold 4180 exposes the 4169.82 session low
  • S&P Global PMIs Tue 13:45 GMT could break this range

22:46 UTC

Range-bound, momentum flat · RSI 50 · price 4,190.13

Intraday range 4170-4214, mid-range.

Gold ranging 4170-4214 after an early spike to 4220 faded; price now sits mid-range near 4190 with the $4,200 pivot capping rebounds, consistent with the directionless soft bid flagged in the macro read. Asian session is thin and quiet, volumes drying up into the last few bars.

Support: 4,169.82

Resistance: 4,200.00, 4,214.22

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above the 4200 pivot opens the path back toward the 4214 swing high
  • Loss of the 4170 session low confirms a lower low
  • S&P Global PMIs Tue 13:45 GMT could break the range and reset this read

22:46 UTC

Ranging, momentum flat · RSI 50 · price 4,190.13

Consolidation under 4200 pivot.

XAU spiked to 4220 early in the window then unwound, settling into a 4170–4215 range with price now coiling near 4190 on thin late-session volume. RSI(14) sits mid-range and the 4200 pivot has capped the last several pushes higher.

Support: 4,170.00

Resistance: 4,200.00, 4,215.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4200 pivot would re-open the 4215 swing high
  • Loss of 4170 swing low confirms a lower-low and breaks the range
  • S&P Global PMIs Tue 13:45 GMT could materially shift this read

22:31 UTC

Range-bound after pullback · RSI 50 · price 4,192.71

Consolidation under 4200 pivot.

Gold spiked to 4220.96 then sold off, and has since gone quiet, drifting around 4190 through a thin early-Asia session on dwindling volume. Price sits just under the 4200 pivot, coiling between the 4180 recent low and the 4214 swing high with no fresh impulse.

Support: 4,180.00, 4,169.82

Resistance: 4,200.00, 4,214.22, 4,220.96

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4200 pivot reopens the 4214 swing high
  • Loss of 4180 recent low exposes the 4169.82 swing low
  • Tue 13:45 GMT S&P Global PMIs can break this range

22:31 UTC

Range-bound, momentum flat · RSI 50 · price 4,192.71

Tight consolidation after fading the 4220 spike.

Gold spiked to a 4220 session high then faded, and has settled into a tight low-volume consolidation around 4190 through the late-session quiet hours. Price is pinned near the 4200 pivot with RSI flat near 50 — no directional structure in play.

Support: 4,180.00, 4,169.82

Resistance: 4,200.00, 4,214.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above the 4200 pivot reopens 4214 swing high
  • Loss of 4180 range low exposes the 4170 session low
  • S&P Global PMIs Tue 13:45 GMT could break this consolidation

22:16 UTC

Ranging, momentum flat · RSI 49 · price 4,191.88

Consolidation after pullback from 4215 high.

Thin early-Asia session, volume drained, price coiling in a tight 4180-4193 band after the pullback from the 4215 high to the 4170 swing low. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 49 with no momentum either way; the $4,200 pivot caps above.

Support: 4,180.00, 4,169.82

Resistance: 4,193.00, 4,200.00, 4,215.11

What it said to watch

  • Close above 4200 pivot reopens the 4215 prior high
  • Loss of 4180 range floor exposes the 4169.82 swing low
  • S&P Global flash PMIs Tue 13:45 GMT could break the range

22:16 UTC

Range after pullback, momentum flat · RSI 51 · price 4,191.88

Consolidating mid-range below session high.

Gold rolled off the 4214 session high to tag 4169.82 before stabilising, now coiling around the 50% mark of that swing near 4191. Volume thinned into the late Asia hours with no directional commitment; 4200 caps, 4181 holds beneath. Broader tone stays soft amid hawkish-Fed pricing.

Support: 4,181.00, 4,169.82

Resistance: 4,200.00, 4,214.22

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4200 reopens the 4214 session high
  • Loss of 4181 exposes the 4169.82 session low
  • S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 GMT could break this range

22:02 UTC

Range after pullback from highs · RSI 50 · price 4,191.36

Consolidating mid-range, holding the 50% of the 4214-4170 move.

Gold is pinned in a tight Asia-session range, holding the ~4192 midpoint of the prior 4214-4170 swing as volume thins. After the rejection off 4214 and the bounce from the 4170 session low, price is coiling between 4184 and 4194 with RSI flat near 50 — no directional move in play.

Support: 4,184.00, 4,170.00

Resistance: 4,194.00, 4,214.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4194 reopens the 4214 session high
  • Loss of 4184 puts the 4170 session low back in focus
  • S&P Global flash PMIs Tue 13:45 GMT could break this range

22:02 UTC

Range-bound, momentum flat · RSI 50 · price 4,191.36

Consolidating mid-range after sweep to 4220.

XAU swept to 4220 then faded into a 4170–4214 range, now coiling near the 4192 midpoint into thin Asia hours. RSI(14) flat near 50 with declining volume — no setup in play, price pinned around the 4200 pivot.

Support: 4,169.82

Resistance: 4,200.00, 4,214.22

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4200 pivot opens the 4214 session high
  • Loss of 4170 swing low confirms a lower-low
  • S&P Global PMIs Tue 13:45 GMT could break this range

21:46 UTC

Range, drifting after pullback from highs · RSI 49 · price 4,191.36

Ranging between 4170 and 4210, mid-range.

Gold is hovering near 4190 in late NY hours, holding the middle of a 4170-4210 range after fading from the 4220 session high. RSI(14) is neutral around 49 and ATR has cooled, with no momentum either way; price sitting just above EMA20 but capped under EMA50.

Support: 4,180.00, 4,169.82

Resistance: 4,210.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4210 reopens the 4220 session high
  • Loss of 4180 then 4170 confirms a lower-low toward the 4120 one-week low
  • S&P Global PMIs Tue 13:45 GMT could shift this read via USD

21:46 UTC

Range, drifting off highs · RSI 53 · price 4,191.36

Consolidation under 4210 after pop to 4220.

Gold spiked to 4220 then unwound, settling into a 4180-4210 range through the quiet Asia session. Price is mid-range near 4191 on fading volume with RSI flat around 53; no setup in play.

Support: 4,180.00, 4,169.82

Resistance: 4,210.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4180 opens 4169.82 swing low
  • Reclaim above 4210 reopens the 4220 swing high
  • S&P Global PMIs Tue 13:45 GMT could break this range

21:31 UTC

Rangebound after rejection from 4220 · RSI 51 · price 4,191.36

Consolidation between 4170 and 4214, drifting mid-range.

Gold rejected the 4220 peak earlier and has since coiled in a 4170–4214 range, now hovering near 4191 in a quiet late session with RSI(14) flat around 51. Price is pinned just under the 4193.75 recent high after buyers defended the 4170 intraday low; no momentum either way as the bearish hawkish-Fed backdrop keeps a soft cap on rallies.

Support: 4,180.00, 4,169.82

Resistance: 4,193.75, 4,214.22

What it said to watch

  • Close above 4214 swing high reopens the path toward 4220
  • Loss of 4180 session low exposes the 4169.82 intraday low
  • S&P Global PMIs Tue 13:45 GMT could break this range

21:31 UTC

Range, no clear direction · RSI 51 · price 4,191.36

Rangebound, mid-range.

Gold is ranging roughly between 4170 and 4214 after rejecting the 4200 pivot, now flat near 4191 at the 50% retrace of the last down leg. Soft, directionless intraday flow consistent with the broader $4,150–4,200 holding pattern; RSI(14) neutral around 51.

Support: 4,170.00

Resistance: 4,200.00, 4,214.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4200 reopens the path to the 4214 swing high
  • Loss of 4170 session low confirms a lower-low
  • S&P Global PMIs Tue 13:45 GMT could break this range

21:16 UTC

Range after rally faded · RSI 51 · price 4,191.36

Consolidating below 4200 pivot.

XAU spiked to 4220 then faded back into a 4180-4200 range, with the 4200 pivot capping on retests. Volume has thinned into the late-session lull and RSI(14) sits flat near 51; price holds the 50% retrace of the 4136-4220 rally with no setup in play.

Support: 4,180.00, 4,170.00

Resistance: 4,200.00, 4,215.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4200 reopens the 4215-4220 area
  • Loss of 4180 exposes the 4170 session low
  • S&P Global PMIs Tue 13:45 GMT could materially shift this read

21:16 UTC

Range, mild recovery off intraday low · RSI 52 · price 4,191.36

Ranging 4170–4214, mid-range now.

Gold holding mid-range near 4191 in quiet late-NY/Asia trade, volumes thin after the swing high tagged 4214 and the dip to 4170. Price coils around the $4,200 pivot with hawkish-Fed pressure keeping a soft tone; RSI flat near 51, no momentum either way.

Support: 4,180.00, 4,169.82

Resistance: 4,200.00, 4,214.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4200 pivot opens path back to 4214 swing high
  • Loss of 4180 swing low exposes 4170 session low
  • S&P PMIs Tue 13:45 GMT could break the range

21:04 UTC

Range, no clear direction · RSI 50 · price 4,191.36

Consolidating mid-range after recovery off intraday low.

XAU is consolidating around 4191 into the Asia session after recovering from the 4169.82 swing low; price sits near the 50% retrace of that drop. Range capped at the 4200 pivot with 4214 the upper edge, soft bid holding the 4184 session low as gold drifts near $4,150-4,200 on the hawkish-Fed backdrop.

Support: 4,184.00, 4,169.82

Resistance: 4,200.00, 4,214.18

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4200 pivot reopens 4214 prior high
  • Loss of 4184 session low exposes the 4169.82 swing low
  • PMIs Tue 13:45 GMT could break this range

21:03 UTC

Range, soft bid · RSI 54 · price 4,191.36

Ranging below 4200 after recovery off 4170.

Gold faded from the 4214 session high, swept the 4170 swing low during NY hours, then recovered into a tight 4180-4193 band. Asia hours quiet, RSI(14) neutral near 53 with the $4,200 pivot capping the bounce.

Support: 4,180.00, 4,170.00

Resistance: 4,200.00, 4,214.00

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of the 4200 pivot opens the path back to 4214
  • Loss of 4180 base reopens the 4170 swing low
  • US flash PMIs Tue 13:45 GMT could materially shift this read

20:46 UTC

Ranging, soft bid · RSI 53 · price 4,193.27

Balancing mid-range after recovery off session low.

XAU is ranging 4170-4215, sitting mid-range at 4193 after a bounce off the 4169.82 session low; price has reclaimed the EMA20 but stalls under the 4200 pivot flagged in the macro read. Late-session drift, RSI(14) neutral near 53, no clean directional structure in play.

Support: 4,169.82

Resistance: 4,200.00, 4,215.11

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4200 opens a retest of the 4215 swing high
  • Loss of 4170 confirms a lower-low and exposes the wider downtrend
  • S&P Global PMIs Tue 13:45 GMT could materially shift this read

20:46 UTC

Intraday range, soft drift lower · RSI 54 · price 4,193.27

Rangebound below 4214 swing high.

XAU is grinding sideways near 4193 after fading from the 4214 session high, holding a soft bid as traders weigh US-Iran peace talks against the hawkish Fed. Price has carved a 4180-4214 range through the NY-to-late session, RSI(14) neutral near 54 with no momentum extreme in play.

Support: 4,180.46

Resistance: 4,214.22

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4180.46 opens the 4169 swing low
  • Reclaim of 4214 reopens the 4220 day high
  • S&P PMIs Tue 13:45 GMT could shift this read

20:31 UTC

Range, post-spike consolidation · RSI 50 · price 4,190.11

Ranging 4180–4210 after spike to 4220.

Gold spiked to 4220 during the NY session then settled into a 4180–4210 range, a corrective bounce that the hawkish-Fed digest flags as lacking conviction. Price drifting near 4190 in thin late-session volume, RSI(14) flat near 50, no setup in play.

Support: 4,180.00, 4,170.00

Resistance: 4,210.00, 4,220.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4210 reopens the 4220 swing high
  • Break below 4180 confirms a lower low toward 4170
  • Tue S&P Global PMIs (13:45 UTC) could shift this read

20:31 UTC

Corrective bounce, momentum flat · RSI 50 · price 4,190.11

Ranging below 4200 after pullback off 4214.

Gold faded from the 4214 swing high during NY hours and is consolidating around 4190 in a corrective bounce that lacks conviction per the hawkish-Fed tone. 4200 pivot caps the upside while 4170 swing low marks the recent floor; price sits mid-range.

Support: 4,170.00, 4,150.00

Resistance: 4,200.00, 4,214.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4200 pivot opens a retest of 4214
  • Failure to hold 4170 swing low confirms a lower-low toward 4150
  • Tue 13:45 UTC US flash PMIs could break this range

20:16 UTC

Corrective bounce, momentum flat · RSI 52 · price 4,190.04

Ranging after pullback from 4215 high.

Gold rejected the 4215 session high and unwound to 4169.82 before stabilising in a 4180-4200 range; price sits back at EMA20 with RSI(14) neutral near 52. The bounce lacks conviction in late NY hours, consistent with the hawkish-Fed cap below the 4200 pivot.

Support: 4,180.00, 4,169.82

Resistance: 4,200.00, 4,215.11

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4200 opens a retest of the 4215 session high
  • Failure to hold 4180 exposes the 4169.82 session low
  • Tue S&P Global PMIs (13:45 UTC) could break the range

20:16 UTC

Range after pullback from highs · RSI 53 · price 4,190.04

Consolidating 4180-4200 below session high.

Gold rejected the 4214 session high and dropped to a 4169.82 swing low before basing in a 4180-4200 range during late NY hours; current 4190.04 sits mid-range with RSI flat near 53. The bounce fits the corrective stabilization near 4150-4200 noted on the hawkish-Fed backdrop, but conviction is thin and no setup is in play.

Support: 4,180.00, 4,169.82

Resistance: 4,200.00, 4,214.22

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4200 opens the path back to the 4214 session high
  • Loss of 4169.82 confirms a fresh lower low
  • Tue S&P Global PMIs (13:45 UTC) could break this range

20:02 UTC

Ranging after spike, momentum flat · RSI 52 · price 4,190.91

Consolidation inside 4170–4214 range.

Gold spiked to 4220.96 then settled into a 4170–4214 range, a corrective bounce in a market still capped by the hawkish-Fed bid per the digest. Price is mid-range near 4190 with RSI(14) flat around 52; the 4214 swing high has rejected attempts to extend higher.

Support: 4,170.00, 4,147.00

Resistance: 4,214.20, 4,220.96

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4170 swing low confirms a lower low and opens 4147
  • Reclaim and hold above 4214 swing high reopens the 4220 session high
  • Tue 13:45 UTC US flash PMIs could shift this range read

20:02 UTC

Range, post-rally pullback · RSI 53 · price 4,190.91

Ranging 4170–4210 after rejection at 4220.

Gold spiked to 4220 then faded into a 4170–4210 range as the hawkish-Fed bid keeps the $4,200 pivot capping rallies. Price drifting near 4190 late in the NY session, RSI(14) flat in the low 50s; the 4169.82 swing low held on the last leg down.

Support: 4,169.82

Resistance: 4,200.00, 4,210.16

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4200 reopens the 4210 swing high
  • Failure to hold 4169.82 confirms a lower low
  • Tue S&P Global PMIs (13:45 UTC) could materially shift this read

19:46 UTC

Rally faded, now ranging · RSI 48 · price 4,185.56

Consolidation under 4214 after rejection.

NY session: the spike to 4220 faded and price has churned in a 4170–4214 range, RSI neutral near 48 and price slipping back below EMA20/50. Last push to 4194 was rejected and price is drifting back toward the 4180 intraday low with little conviction either way.

Support: 4,180.00, 4,170.00

Resistance: 4,194.00, 4,214.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4214 reopens the rally high
  • loss of 4170 confirms a lower low, exposes 4150
  • Tue S&P Global PMIs (13:45 UTC) could shift this read

19:46 UTC

Corrective pullback after rally · RSI 46 · price 4,185.56

Ranging below 4200 pivot.

Gold rallied to 4220 then rolled into a range, drifting back to 4185 with price pinned just under the EMA20/50 cluster. Repeated rejections at the 4200 pivot are capping the corrective bounce flagged in the hawkish-Fed read, while 4180 has held the downside.

Support: 4,180.00, 4,169.82, 4,147.00

Resistance: 4,200.00, 4,214.22

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4200 reopens 4214/4220
  • Close below 4170 confirms a lower low toward 4147
  • Tue S&P Global PMIs (13:45 UTC) could break the range

19:31 UTC

Pullback from highs, consolidating · RSI 50 · price 4,187.23

Range after rejection off 4220.

Gold spiked to a 4220.96 session high during NY hours then faded, with 4200 capping every retest since — consistent with the hawkish-Fed backdrop keeping the bounce shallow. Price now consolidating in a tight 4180-4192 band, RSI(14) flat near 50.

Support: 4,180.00, 4,169.82

Resistance: 4,200.00, 4,214.22, 4,220.96

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4200 reopens the path toward the 4214/4220 highs
  • Failure to hold 4180 exposes the 4170 swing low
  • Tue S&P Global PMIs (13:45 UTC) could materially shift this read

19:31 UTC

Range after pullback from session high · RSI 49 · price 4,187.23

Consolidating between 4170 and 4214.

Gold faded from the 4214 session high and is ranging 4170-4214, a corrective bounce capped near the 4200 pivot per the hawkish-Fed backdrop. Price hugs EMA20/50 around 4189-4193 with RSI(14) flat near 48 — no momentum either way into the NY afternoon.

Support: 4,170.00, 4,147.00

Resistance: 4,200.00, 4,214.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4200 reopens the 4214 session high
  • Loss of 4170 confirms a lower low and exposes 4147
  • Tue S&P Global PMIs could shift this read

19:16 UTC

Recovery within range, momentum neutral · RSI 55 · price 4,191.41

Ranging under 4200 after recovering from session low.

Gold dipped to 4169.82 mid-window then ground back to 4191, but the $4,200 pivot keeps capping the recovery — the corrective bounce flagged in the hawkish-Fed read still lacks conviction. Price now coils between 4180 and 4200 in late NY hours, RSI near 55 and unremarkable.

Support: 4,180.00, 4,169.82

Resistance: 4,200.00, 4,214.20

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4200 opens a retest of the 4214 session high
  • Failure to hold 4180 reopens the 4169.82 swing low
  • Tue S&P Global PMIs (13:45 UTC) could shift this read sharply

19:16 UTC

Corrective bounce within range · RSI 56 · price 4,191.41

Ranging 4170-4214 after spike to 4220.

Gold spiked to 4220 then faded into a 4170-4214 range through the NY session; price now grinding back to 4191 with RSI mid-band. Corrective bounce on a hawkish-Fed tape that keeps the 4200 pivot as the near-term cap.

Support: 4,180.00, 4,169.82

Resistance: 4,200.00, 4,214.22

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4200 round number reopens 4214 session high
  • Loss of 4180 session pivot exposes 4169.82 swing low
  • Tue S&P Global PMIs (13:45 UTC) could break this range

19:02 UTC

Recovering off session lows, grinding higher · RSI 55 · price 4,191.51

Range after pullback from 4221, higher lows building.

Gold sold from the 4221 spike to a 4169.82 session low during NY, then ground back toward the 4200 pivot in a corrective bounce — consistent with the hawkish-Fed cap on any recovery. Price is curling higher with a chain of higher lows from 4170; 4200 still capping.

Support: 4,180.00, 4,169.82

Resistance: 4,200.00, 4,214.22

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4200 opens the path back to 4214 swing high
  • Failure to hold 4180 reopens the 4169.82 session low
  • Tue S&P Global PMIs (13:45 UTC) could shift this read

19:02 UTC

Corrective bounce off intraday low · RSI 56 · price 4,191.51

Recovery from 4170, mid-range.

Gold sold off from the 4215 session high during NY hours, bottomed at 4169.82, and has clawed back to 4191 — now sitting on the 50% retrace of that drop. Bounce lacks conviction per the hawkish-Fed backdrop; 4200 caps the recovery while the rising support off the 4170 low holds.

Support: 4,180.00, 4,169.82

Resistance: 4,200.00, 4,215.11

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4200 opens a retest of the 4215 session high
  • Failure to hold 4180/4170 confirms a lower-low and ends the bounce
  • Tue S&P Global PMIs (13:45 UTC) could materially shift this read

18:46 UTC

Corrective bounce off session low · RSI 56 · price 4,191.88

Recovered from 4170, grinding into 4200 cap.

Late NY session: gold clawed back from the session low at 4170 to retest the 4200 cap, the level flagged as near-term resistance with the hawkish-Fed bid keeping the USD firm. Price is sitting on the 50% retrace of the 4214–4170 drop, RSI(14) mid-range near 56 with no extreme.

Support: 4,180.00, 4,169.82

Resistance: 4,200.00, 4,214.20

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4200 opens path back to the 4214 swing high
  • Failure to hold 4180 reopens the 4170 session low
  • Tue S&P Global PMIs (13:45 UTC) could materially shift this read

18:46 UTC

Corrective bounce within pullback · RSI 54 · price 4,191.88

Range, recovering off session low.

NY session faded from the 4214 high to a 4169.82 session low, where buyers stepped in twice during late hours; price has recovered to 4192 but sits capped under the 4200 psych pivot. RSI(14) neutral near 54 with the broader gold tone still heavy on the hawkish Fed read.

Support: 4,169.82

Resistance: 4,200.00, 4,214.20

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4200 psych pivot opens the path back to the 4214 session high
  • Failure to hold 4169.82 session low confirms a lower-low
  • Tue S&P Global PMIs (13:45 UTC) could materially shift this read

18:31 UTC

Pullback off session high, stabilising · RSI 51 · price 4,188.82

Lower highs from 4220, holding above 4170 low.

Gold faded from the 4220.96 session high in a corrective slide, with buyers stepping in at 4169.82 and lifting price back to 4188. RSI(14) neutral near 51 as the move consolidates around the 50% retrace of the 4214-4170 leg; the broader hawkish-Fed bid keeps 4200 as a near-term cap.

Support: 4,169.82

Resistance: 4,205.36, 4,220.96

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4205 reopens the 4220.96 session high
  • Failure to hold 4169.82 confirms a fresh lower low

18:31 UTC

Pullback off intraday highs, stabilising · RSI 51 · price 4,188.82

Lower high then bounce off 4170.

Gold faded from the 4215 session high during NY hours into a 4169.82 low, then bounced to 4188 with RSI(14) back near 50. Price sits below the 4200 pivot in a corrective range; the broader bid stays capped as a firm USD and hawkish Fed read weigh.

Support: 4,169.82

Resistance: 4,200.00, 4,215.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4200 pivot opens a retest of the 4215 session high
  • Failure to hold 4170 swing low confirms a lower low
  • Tue S&P Global PMIs (13:45 UTC) could shift this read

18:16 UTC

Corrective pullback after rally, momentum flat · RSI 48 · price 4,186.54

Ranging below 4214 lower high, holding above 4170.

Gold faded from the 4220 high to a 4170 swing low and is now chopping in a tight 4180-4190 band, in line with the conviction-light bounce flagged in the broader hawkish-Fed read. Price sits just under EMA20 with RSI mid-range; the 4200 pivot caps and 4214 marks the last lower high.

Support: 4,170.00

Resistance: 4,200.00, 4,214.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4200 reopens the 4214 lower high
  • Failure to hold 4170 confirms a lower low
  • Tue 13:45 UTC S&P Global PMIs could shift this read

18:16 UTC

Pullback after intraday rally, momentum flat · RSI 49 · price 4,186.54

Lower highs off 4221, consolidating above 4170.

Gold spiked to a 4221 session high during NY hours then faded to a 4170 session low, with hawkish-Fed flows capping the corrective bounce. Price is now consolidating between 4178 and 4192, holding below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) hovering near 49 — no clean directional structure in play.

Support: 4,178.00, 4,170.00, 4,147.00

Resistance: 4,192.00, 4,210.00, 4,221.00

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim and close above 4192 minor high reopens the 4210 swing high
  • Loss of 4170 session low confirms a lower-low and exposes 4147
  • Thu Core PCE (12:30 UTC) is the week's key risk to this read

18:02 UTC

Pullback after NY rally peak · RSI 44 · price 4,182.89

Lower highs since 4220, holding 4170.

Gold spiked to 4220 in the NY session then faded, printing lower highs into 4214 and 4205 — a corrective bounce capped, consistent with the hawkish-Fed bid in the USD. Buyers stepped in near 4170 and lifted price back to the 4182-4192 zone, which is now the immediate pivot.

Support: 4,170.00, 4,147.00

Resistance: 4,192.00, 4,205.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4170 confirms a lower low and reopens 4147
  • Reclaim of 4205 negates the lower-high sequence
  • Tue S&P Global PMIs (13:45 UTC) could shift the read

18:02 UTC

Pullback from intraday highs · RSI 47 · price 4,182.89

Lower highs after 4220 peak, holding above 4170.

Gold rallied to a 4221 session high during the NY session then faded, printing lower highs and sweeping the 4170 low before bouncing back to 4183. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 46; hawkish-Fed tone is keeping the recovery capped under the 4192 area.

Support: 4,170.00, 4,147.00

Resistance: 4,192.00, 4,215.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4170 confirms a lower-low toward 4147
  • Reclaim and hold above 4192 reopens the 4215 swing high

17:46 UTC

Corrective pullback, lower highs · RSI 44 · price 4,180.22

Range fading off the 4220 high.

Gold's relief bounce stalled at 4220 earlier and has since faded into a sequence of lower highs, slipping back under EMA20/50 to 4180. Price is holding the 4170 swing low after a brief dip to 4169.82, with the hawkish-Fed read capping recovery attempts.

Support: 4,170.00, 4,150.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4170 confirms a lower low, opening 4150
  • Reclaim of 4192 negates the lower-high sequence
  • Tue S&P Global PMIs (13:45 UTC) could shift this read

17:46 UTC

Pullback after rally, momentum fading · RSI 45 · price 4,180.22

Lower highs off 4214, holding above 4170.

Gold rallied to 4221 on the NY push then faded, printing lower highs back to 4180 as the corrective bounce near 4150-4200 lacks conviction under a firm USD. Buyers stepped in at 4170 once, but price now sits below EMA20/50 with RSI near 44.

Support: 4,170.00, 4,147.00

Resistance: 4,192.00, 4,214.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 4192 reopens the path to the 4214 session high
  • Failure to hold 4170 confirms a lower-low toward 4147
  • Tue S&P Global PMIs (13:45 UTC) could materially shift this read

17:31 UTC

Pullback off the highs, momentum soft · RSI 44 · price 4,184.18

Lower highs since 4220 peak, holding above 4170.

Gold faded from the 4214 swing high back toward 4170 during NY hours, and the corrective bounce is stalling under the 4192 EMA20. The hawkish-Fed read keeps 4200 as a near-term cap; RSI mid-range with no extreme in play.

Support: 4,170.00, 4,147.00

Resistance: 4,200.00, 4,214.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4170 confirms a lower low and opens the path toward 4147
  • Reclaim of 4200 needed to neutralise the lower-highs sequence
  • Tue S&P Global PMIs (13:45 UTC) could materially shift this read

17:31 UTC

Range-bound, off the highs · RSI 45 · price 4,184.18

Lower highs since 4221, holding above 4170.

After the sharp NY rally to 4221, gold settled into a 4170-4214 range and is now drifting in its lower half at 4184, around the 50% retrace of that move. The 4200 pivot capped the latest bounce while 4170 has held as session support; RSI(14) mid-range with no momentum extreme.

Support: 4,170.00, 4,147.00

Resistance: 4,200.00, 4,214.00, 4,221.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4170 confirms a lower-low, opening 4147
  • Reclaim of 4200 pivot reopens 4214 session high
  • Tue S&P Global PMIs (13:45 UTC) could shift the read

17:16 UTC

Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 46 · price 4,187.30

Lower highs off 4215 session peak.

Gold rallied from 4140 to a 4215 session high then faded, printing lower highs and now drifting 4180-4190 below EMA20; the corrective bounce lacks conviction with the broader hawkish-Fed tone capping near 4200. RSI(14) cooled back to mid-40s as the move unwound. Buyers stepped in near 4170 on the latest dip.

Support: 4,170.00, 4,147.00

Resistance: 4,200.00, 4,215.00

What it said to watch

  • Close back above 4200 pivot reopens the 4215 session high
  • Failure to hold 4170 confirms a lower-low toward 4147
  • Tue S&P Global PMIs (13:45 UTC) could shift this read

17:16 UTC

Corrective pullback after rally stalled · RSI 47 · price 4,187.30

Lower highs off 4220, holding above 4170.

Gold spiked to 4220 during the NY session then faded, printing lower highs and slipping to a 4170 session low before bouncing back to 4187. Price is corrective inside 4170-4214 with the 4200 pivot capping, consistent with the hawkish-Fed read draining the recovery.

Support: 4,170.00, 4,147.00

Resistance: 4,200.00, 4,214.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4200 reopens the 4214 swing high
  • Failure to hold 4170 confirms a lower low toward 4147
  • Tue S&P Global PMIs could materially shift this read

17:03 UTC

Pullback after NY rejection · RSI 44 · price 4,189.19

Lower high off 4214, holding above 4170.

Gold pushed into 4214-4220 through the NY session then rolled over, printing a lower high and sliding to a 4169 swing low before bouncing to 4189. RSI(14) cooling near 44 and price back below the 4200 pivot; corrective bounce lacks conviction per the hawkish-Fed backdrop.

Support: 4,170.00, 4,140.00

Resistance: 4,200.00, 4,214.00, 4,220.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 4200 needed to re-engage 4214/4220
  • Loss of 4170 confirms a lower low, opening 4140
  • Tue S&P Global PMIs (13:45 UTC) could shift this read

17:03 UTC

Intraday downtrend, bouncing · RSI 44 · price 4,189.19

Lower highs off 4215, bounce off 4170.

Gold rolled over from the 4215 NY high and ground down to 4170 through the afternoon, with the $4,200 pivot capping each push. Price has clawed back to 4189 into the close but remains below EMA20/50; the corrective bounce noted in the macro read lacks follow-through so far.

Support: 4,170.00

Resistance: 4,200.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4170 confirms a fresh lower low
  • Reclaim of 4200 needed to negate the descending-highs structure
  • Tue S&P Global PMIs could shift the USD/gold read

16:46 UTC

Intraday downtrend off 4220 high · RSI 42 · price 4,181.71

Lower highs since 4220, holding above 4170.

Gold rolled over from the 4220 session high through the NY session, printing lower highs and dipping to 4169.82 before a shallow bounce to 4181. RSI(14) sits mid-40s with price under EMA20/50; the 4200 pivot caps and the corrective bounce lacks conviction amid the hawkish-Fed bid.

Support: 4,169.82, 4,147.00

Resistance: 4,200.00, 4,214.18

What it said to watch

  • Close below 4170 swing low confirms continuation toward 4147 prior range
  • Reclaim of 4200 pivot needed to challenge the 4214 swing high
  • Tue S&P Global PMIs (13:45 UTC) could shift this read

16:46 UTC

Intraday uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 43 · price 4,181.71

Lower highs off 4215, holding above 4170.

Gold ran into a wall at the 4200 pivot and rolled over from the 4215 session high, slipping into the low 4170s as the hawkish-Fed USD bid caps the corrective bounce. RSI(14) has cooled into the low 40s and price sits below both EMAs; buyers stepped in at 4170 to stem the slide.

Support: 4,169.82, 4,147.00

Resistance: 4,200.00, 4,215.11

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 4200 reasserts the bounce toward 4215
  • Failure to hold 4170 confirms a lower-low and opens 4147
  • Tue S&P Global PMIs (13:45 UTC) could materially shift this read

16:31 UTC

Intraday downtrend off session high · RSI 43 · price 4,182.05

Lower highs since 4215, bouncing off 4170.

Gold rolled over from the NY session high near 4215, grinding out lower highs and printing a low at 4170 before a shallow bounce to 4182. The 4200 pivot is capping; the broader bid stays heavy under a hawkish-Fed USD with the geopolitical premium drained.

Support: 4,170.00, 4,150.00

Resistance: 4,200.00, 4,215.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4170 confirms a lower low and opens 4150
  • Reclaim of 4200 negates the lower-high sequence

16:31 UTC

Pullback from session high · RSI 44 · price 4,182.05

Lower highs since 4215 peak.

Gold rejected the session high near 4214 and slid to 4169 before bouncing to 4182, RSI(14) hovering mid-40s. Hawkish Fed tone and the drained Iran premium keep 4200 capping; price now holding the 0.5 retrace of the 4136-4221 leg.

Support: 4,169.00, 4,147.00

Resistance: 4,214.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4200 negates the lower-high sequence
  • Break below 4169 opens 4147
  • Tue S&P Global PMIs (13:45 UTC) could shift this read

16:16 UTC

Intraday downtrend off 4215 · RSI 39 · price 4,176.63

Lower highs, lower lows since session high.

Gold rolled over from the 4215 session high into NY afternoon, printing a clean lower-high/lower-low sequence down to 4169.82, with the 4200 pivot capping repeatedly — consistent with the hawkish-Fed bid keeping rallies in check. RSI(14) near 38, momentum soft but not yet oversold; ATR around 1010 pips keeps swings wide.

Support: 4,169.82, 4,147.34

Resistance: 4,200.00, 4,215.11

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4169.82 extends the lower-low sequence toward 4147
  • Reclaim of 4200 invalidates the intraday down read

16:16 UTC

Pullback off highs, momentum down · RSI 41 · price 4,176.63

Lower highs since 4214, testing intraday support.

NY session faded the 4214 session high and rolled over toward the 4170 swing low, RSI(14) cooling into the low 40s as price slipped below the EMA20/50. A hawkish-Fed, firm-USD backdrop is capping every bounce around the 4200 pivot; the 4220/4214 twin highs stand as the near-term ceiling.

Support: 4,170.00, 4,147.00

Resistance: 4,200.00, 4,214.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4170 confirms a lower low and opens 4147
  • Reclaim of 4200 pivot negates the lower-high sequence
  • Tue 13:45 UTC US S&P Global PMIs could shift this read

16:02 UTC

Pullback off the highs, momentum down · RSI 44 · price 4,183.54

Lower highs after 4214, swept 4170 then bounced.

Gold rolled over from the 4214 session high into NY afternoon, sweeping the 4170 low before a thin bounce to 4183. RSI(14) sits mid-40s after cooling from the rally peak; price now trades below both EMAs with 4200 capping any recovery.

Support: 4,170.00, 4,150.00

Resistance: 4,200.00, 4,214.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 4200 reopens the 4214 session high
  • Failure to hold 4170 confirms a lower low toward 4150
  • Tue S&P Global PMIs (13:45 UTC) could shift this read

16:02 UTC

Downtrend, pulling off highs · RSI 43 · price 4,183.54

Lower highs after rejection near 4215.

Gold faded from the 4221 NY-session high and is grinding lower in a chain of lower highs, the $4,200 pivot now capping as the hawkish-Fed bid keeps USD firm. Price swept the 4170 swing low and bounced to 4183; RSI(14) mid-40s, no momentum extreme.

Support: 4,170.00, 4,150.00

Resistance: 4,200.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4170 confirms a lower low, opens 4150 prior range
  • Reclaim of the 4200 pivot would negate the intraday slide

15:46 UTC

Downtrend, pulling off session high · RSI 38 · price 4,177.62

Lower highs since 4215, breaking below intraday range.

NY session faded from the 4,215 session high back through the 4,200 pivot, with price now pressing 4,178 on an extended lower-high chain. RSI(14) sub-40 confirms the intraday slide; 4,200 pivot is the level capping any bounce.

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4,170 swing low confirms a fresh lower-low
  • Reclaim of the 4,200 pivot neutralises the intraday breakdown
  • S&P Global PMIs Tue 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read

15:46 UTC

Intraday uptrend rolling over · RSI 39 · price 4,177.62

Lower highs off 4221, breaking below 4200 pivot.

Gold rallied to 4221 mid-window then carved lower highs through the NY session, with the late push breaking back below the 4200 pivot. Price is now testing the 50% retrace of the day's rally near 4178, RSI(14) cooling into the high-30s.

Support: 4,178.00, 4,170.00

Resistance: 4,200.00, 4,221.00

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 4170 confirms a deeper lower-low against the day's range
  • Reclaim of 4200 pivot would neutralise the rollover
  • S&P Global PMIs Tue 13:45 UTC is the next driver for USD/gold

15:31 UTC

Range, pulling back from session high · RSI 45 · price 4,188.21

Lower high after 4220 peak, holding above 4185.

Gold faded from the 4220 session high and is grinding back toward 4188 during NY hours, RSI(14) cooling into the mid-40s. The $4,200 pivot now caps as resistance while 4185 holds; price is locked in a 4185–4215 range.

Support: 4,185.49, 4,175.13

Resistance: 4,200.00, 4,215.11

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4185 opens 4175
  • Reclaim of 4200 pivot needed to re-engage 4215 session high
  • S&P Global PMIs Tue 13:45 UTC could shift this read

15:31 UTC

Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 44 · price 4,188.21

Faded off 4214 session high, testing 4185 support.

Gold rallied through the NY session to 4220.96 on the softer-dollar relief bounce, then faded into the close and is now retracing to 4188, sitting near the 38.2% of the 4136-4221 leg. RSI(14) has cooled to the low-40s with price slipping back below EMA20/50; 4185 session low is the line holding the pullback.

Support: 4,185.49

Resistance: 4,200.00, 4,214.22, 4,220.96

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4185 opens a move toward 4170 swing low
  • Reclaim of the 4200 round level re-engages the 4214 session high
  • S&P Global Flash PMIs Tue 13:45 UTC could shift the dollar read sharply

15:16 UTC

Intraday uptrend, momentum stalling · RSI 54 · price 4,196.72

Consolidating below session high after rally.

Gold's NY-session rally off 4136 stalled at 4215 then pulled back to 4186, recovering to consolidate just under the $4,200 pivot. RSI(14) has cooled to mid-50s with price hugging the EMA20-EMA50 band; the easing Iran/energy bid leaves the move corrective rather than directional.

Resistance: 4,200.00, 4,215.11

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4200 pivot re-opens 4215 session high
  • Loss of 4186 confirms a lower-low
  • S&P Global PMIs Tue 13:45 UTC could shift this read

15:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 50 · price 4,196.72

Higher highs into NY, now consolidating below 4214.

Gold rallied through NY hours from the 4136 session low to a 4221 spike high, then settled into a 4185–4214 consolidation around the $4,200 pivot flagged in the digest. RSI(14) back near 50 as the impulse stalls; price sits below EMA20 but holds above EMA50.

Support: 4,185.00

Resistance: 4,214.00, 4,221.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4214 reopens the path toward the 4221 spike high
  • Loss of 4185 swing low confirms a lower-low and breaks rising support
  • S&P Global PMIs Tue 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read

15:02 UTC

Rally stalled, consolidating · RSI 51 · price 4,200.14

Range after impulse, capped near 4200.

Gold clawed back from the 4136 NY-session low to ~4220, then settled into a choppy range between 4185 and 4214 — the 4200 area flagged in the digest as a near-term cap is being tested. RSI(14) neutral near 51; no clear directional bias intraday, repeated rejections under 4214.

Support: 4,185.49

Resistance: 4,214.22

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4214 reopens the 4220 session high
  • Loss of 4185 confirms a lower-low and breaks the range
  • S&P Global PMIs Tue 13:45 UTC could shift this read sharply

15:02 UTC

Uptrend stalling, now ranging · RSI 51 · price 4,200.14

Consolidation under session high after rally off 4136.

Gold rallied off the 4136 low to a 4220 session high during NY hours then stalled, clawing back to ~4200 as the digest's hawkish-USD tape caps gains. Price now oscillates 4185-4214 with RSI flat near 51; the 4200 round level is acting as a near-term cap.

Support: 4,185.00, 4,170.00

Resistance: 4,214.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4220 reopens the upside leg
  • failure to hold 4185 confirms a lower low toward 4170
  • S&P Global PMIs Tue 13:45 UTC could shift this read

14:46 UTC

Rally stalling, consolidating below session high · RSI 48 · price 4,196.31

Lower highs after push to 4215, range developing.

Gold ran to a session high near 4215 during NY hours then faded, clawing back to ~4196 with a chain of lower highs as the $4,200 cap held. RSI(14) mid-range around 47, ATR wide near 970 pips; price now consolidating between 4186 and 4207 with no clean break.

Support: 4,186.00, 4,178.00

Resistance: 4,207.00, 4,215.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4215 reopens the session-high break
  • Failure to hold 4186 confirms a lower-low toward 4178
  • S&P Global PMIs Tue 13:45 UTC could shift this read

14:46 UTC

Rally stalled, ranging · RSI 49 · price 4,196.31

Consolidation between 4185 and 4215 after impulsive leg up.

NY session: gold clawed back toward $4,200 after the European-hours pop to 4220.96, now drifting mid-range between 4185 and 4215 with RSI(14) flat near 48. The hawkish-Fed/firm-USD backdrop is capping rallies; no clean intraday setup while the range holds.

Support: 4,185.00, 4,170.00

Resistance: 4,215.00, 4,220.96

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4215 breaks the range and re-opens 4220.96 session high
  • Failure to hold 4185 range floor exposes the 4170 swing low
  • S&P Global PMIs (Tue 13:45 UTC) could materially shift this read

14:32 UTC

Uptrend, momentum fading · RSI 47 · price 4,190.74

Pullback after rejection at session highs.

Gold ran to a session high at 4221 in Asian hours, with a second push into 4215 rejected near 11:00 UTC; the NY pullback has price consolidating around 4190, back below EMA20. Per the digest, bullion clawed toward $4,200 but lacks conviction as a firm USD caps rallies.

Support: 4,185.00

Resistance: 4,210.00, 4,221.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 4210 reopens the 4221 session high
  • Failure to hold 4185 confirms a lower low and breaks rising support
  • S&P PMIs (Tue 13:45 UTC) the next major directional input

14:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 48 · price 4,190.74

Pullback after rally into session high.

Gold ripped from 4136 to 4220 in European/NY hours per the relief-bid read, then stalled and chopped between 4185 and 4214. Last push to 4210 was rejected and price slipped under the 4200 psych level toward the 4185 swing low; RSI(14) has cooled to mid-range.

Support: 4,185.00, 4,170.00

Resistance: 4,200.00, 4,214.00, 4,220.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 4200 reopens the 4214 session high
  • loss of 4185 swing low confirms a deeper pullback toward 4170
  • S&P Global PMIs Tue 13:45 UTC could shift this read

14:16 UTC

Recovery, momentum flattening · RSI 52 · price 4,204.76

Ranging under 4214 after rally off 4136.

Gold rallied off the 4136 session low through 4200 into European hours, tagging 4220 before stalling. Price now oscillates 4186–4214 with the $4,200 area, flagged as a near-term cap, repeatedly tested; RSI(14) back to neutral after the impulse.

Support: 4,186.00, 4,170.00

Resistance: 4,214.20

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4214 reopens the 4220 swing high
  • Failure to hold 4186 confirms a lower-low back toward 4170
  • S&P Global PMIs Tue 13:45 UTC could shift this read

14:16 UTC

Recovery off lows, momentum flattening · RSI 53 · price 4,204.76

Ranging after intraday bounce.

Gold clawed back to ~4205 in NY hours after a slide to 4183, now consolidating in a 4183-4215 band with RSI(14) neutral. Hawkish-Fed USD strength keeps rallies capped near the 4220 session high.

Support: 4,183.00, 4,140.00

Resistance: 4,215.00, 4,221.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4221 opens path back toward higher levels
  • Break below 4183 confirms a lower low toward 4140
  • S&P Global PMIs Tue 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read

14:02 UTC

Intraday uptrend, consolidating · RSI 49 · price 4,197.55

Higher high to 4220, ranging 4185-4214.

Gold rallied off the 4136 low through 4220 during European/NY hours, clawing back to ~$4,200 as the digest notes, then stalled. Price now consolidating 4185-4214 with RSI(14) back to neutral; the 4214-4220 zone has capped each push higher.

Support: 4,185.00, 4,170.00

Resistance: 4,214.00, 4,220.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4214 reopens the 4220 swing high
  • Failure to hold 4185 opens the 4170 swing low
  • S&P Global PMIs Tue 13:45 UTC could shift this read

14:02 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 50 · price 4,197.55

Higher lows into NY, pulling back from session high.

Gold rallied through European-NY hours to a session high near 4215, then rejected and pulled back to 4183 as RSI(14) cooled toward mid-range. Price now hovers just under the $4,200 cap flagged by the broader hawkish-Fed tape; higher-low chain from 4140 still intact.

Support: 4,183.00

Resistance: 4,215.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4215 resumes the intraday uptrend
  • Loss of 4183 confirms a lower low and breaks the rising support
  • S&P Global PMIs Tue 13:45 UTC could shift this read

13:46 UTC

Intraday uptrend, momentum fading · RSI 44 · price 4,193.28

Pullback off session high after extended NY rally.

Gold rallied through London-NY from 4140 to a 4214 session high, then faded to 4185 and now sits at 4193, slipping below EMA20. The pullback stalled at the 38.2% retrace of the up-leg; RSI(14) cooled to mid-40s after the climb, no fresh catalyst with Waller already past.

Support: 4,185.00

Resistance: 4,214.20, 4,220.96

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4185 swing low confirms a lower-low and ends the intraday up-structure
  • Reclaim of the 4214 session high reopens the path to the 4221 prior high
  • Thu Core PCE / PMI risk could materially shift this read

13:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum stalling · RSI 47 · price 4,193.28

Pullback from session high after NY rally.

Gold rallied through NY hours from 4140 to a session high near 4215, then rejected and retraced to 4183 before reclaiming 4193. Move stalled into Waller's speech; RSI(14) cooled back to mid-40s as price slipped under EMA20.

Support: 4,183.00

Resistance: 4,210.00, 4,215.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4183 confirms a lower-low and deepens the pullback
  • Reclaim of 4210 reopens the 4215 day high
  • Waller remarks / pre-PMI positioning could shift this read

13:31 UTC

Pullback from session high, near-term down · RSI 42 · price 4,186.67

Rolled over off 4221, breaking below consolidation.

Gold faded from the 4221 session peak through NY hours, RSI cooling toward 40. The 4190-4215 consolidation gave way in the last hour, with price slipping under 4192 toward the 4178 swing low; Waller's 13:00 UTC remarks weighed on the move.

Support: 4,178.00, 4,150.00

Resistance: 4,200.00, 4,215.00, 4,221.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 4200 negates the downside break
  • Loss of 4178 swing low opens the 4150 prior low
  • S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read

13:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum fading · RSI 42 · price 4,186.67

Pullback off session high after range break lower.

Gold rallied from 4136 into a 4214 session high during NY hours, then stalled into a double-tap of resistance and rolled over, slipping back to 4186 with RSI(14) cooling toward 41. The pullback broke the 4190 range floor; 4214/4220 caps overhead, Waller's 13:00 UTC remarks the immediate driver behind the fade.

Support: 4,183.00

Resistance: 4,214.22

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4183 session low confirms a lower-low toward 4170 swing low
  • Reclaim of 4204 reopens the 4214 session high
  • PMIs Tue 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read

13:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 46 · price 4,196.77

Pullback after session-high rejection.

Gold rallied through the European-NY transition to a session high at 4215 before fading; price now pulling back to 4196, sitting on the 23.6% fib of the 4136-4215 leg. RSI cooling toward mid-40s with the last M15 closes printing a lower high, consistent with the consolidation read just above last week's $4,121 floor. Waller's speech (13:00 UTC) landed inside this window with only a modest fade so far.

Support: 4,175.13

Resistance: 4,215.11

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4188 swing low confirms a deeper retrace toward 4175
  • Reclaim of 4208 intraday reopens the 4215 session high
  • Waller follow-through / S&P PMIs ahead could shift this read

13:16 UTC

Uptrend stalling, consolidating near highs · RSI 48 · price 4,196.77

Range 4188–4214 after NY rally, slight lower high.

Gold ran from the 4136 low to 4220 through NY hours, then settled into a 4188–4214 range; price is mid-range at 4196 after a dip to 4188 was bought. RSI(14) has cooled back to neutral as the rally lost steam under hawkish-Fed pressure on bullion.

Support: 4,188.00

Resistance: 4,214.00

What it said to watch

  • Waller speech (13:00 UTC) could shift the read this hour
  • M15 close below 4188 confirms a lower-low and breaks the range
  • Close above 4214 reopens the 4220 swing high

13:03 UTC

Uptrend, pulling back from highs · RSI 48 · price 4,195.60

HH/HL rally stalling, first lower high forming.

Gold rallied through the London-NY session from 4140 to a 4215 session high, then rejected and slipped under EMA20 as price pulled back to 4192. Move tracks the broader hawkish-Fed grind; the pullback is so far holding above the 4192 swing low.

Support: 4,192.25

Resistance: 4,215.11, 4,210.16

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4192.25 confirms a lower low and breaks the rising support line
  • Reclaim of 4210 reopens the 4215 session high
  • Waller comments / upcoming US PMIs could shift this read

13:03 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 50 · price 4,195.60

HH/HL chain off session low, pulling back from session high.

NY session ran gold from the 4136 low to a 4215 session high before stalling; price has since faded to 4195 with RSI(14) back to neutral. Rejection near 4215 capped the move and the pullback is now probing the 4188 swing low.

Support: 4,188.60

Resistance: 4,215.10, 4,220.90

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4188.6 confirms a lower-low and breaks the intraday HL chain
  • Reclaim of 4215.1 reopens the path to the 4220.9 prior high
  • S&P Global PMIs (Tue 13:45 UTC) and Waller comments could materially shift this read

12:46 UTC

Recovery uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 52 · price 4,203.20

Higher lows since 4136, capped near 4215.

NY session ground higher off the 4136 low, peaking at the 4215 session high before stalling. Price now consolidating 4200–4215, RSI(14) back near neutral. Waller speech at 13:00 UTC sits right ahead of the current bar.

Support: 4,200.00, 4,189.00

Resistance: 4,215.00, 4,221.00

What it said to watch

  • Fed's Waller speech 13:00 UTC could shift this read
  • M15 close above 4215 session high opens the path to 4221 rally high
  • Failure to hold 4200 psych exposes 4189 swing low

12:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing near highs · RSI 57 · price 4,203.20

Higher highs/higher lows, consolidating below session high.

Gold rallied from the 4136 low through the European session, spiking to 4220.9 before settling into a 4197–4214 range near the highs. RSI(14) cooled to mid-50s as the advance stalled, with price holding above EMA20/50. Fed's Waller speech (13:00 UTC) lands imminently and could shake this consolidation.

Support: 4,197.00

Resistance: 4,214.20, 4,220.90

What it said to watch

  • Waller speech 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read
  • M15 close above 4214 opens the path toward the 4220 day high
  • Failure to hold 4197 risks a pullback toward the 4188 swing low

12:31 UTC

Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 57 · price 4,205.17

Higher highs into 4214, tight range at top.

Gold rallied off the 4140 low and reclaimed the 4200-4214 zone the digest flagged, now consolidating in a tight 4201-4214 range just below the session high. RSI(14) mid-range with momentum cooling after the push. Waller speaks at 13:00 UTC, ~30 min out, a live catalyst for this range.

Support: 4,194.40

Resistance: 4,214.20, 4,220.96

What it said to watch

  • Fed's Waller 13:00 UTC could break this range either way
  • M15 close above 4214 reopens the 4221 day high
  • Loss of 4201 range floor exposes 4194 swing low

12:31 UTC

Intraday uptrend, momentum cooling near highs · RSI 56 · price 4,205.17

Higher highs/higher lows, capped at 4214-4215.

Gold rebounded off the 4140 low into the 4200-4214 reclaim zone the digest flagged, stalling repeatedly at the 4215 session high with RSI(14) cooling off the highs. Price holds above the 4197 shelf, structure of higher lows intact into the London-NY hours.

Support: 4,197.00

Resistance: 4,215.10

What it said to watch

  • Fed's Waller speech 13:00 UTC (~30m out) could materially shift this read
  • Close above 4215 opens the path to the 4220 prior high
  • Loss of 4197 breaks the higher-low chain, exposing 4171

12:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 57 · price 4,206.76

Higher highs/lows, consolidating below session high.

Gold staged a sharp NY-session recovery off the 4136 low into the 4200-4214 reclaim zone flagged in the macro read, then stalled, chopping sideways between 4204 and 4214 with RSI flattening near 57. Buyers held 4204 repeatedly while the session high at 4214 caps; no fresh break in play.

Support: 4,204.30, 4,190.00

Resistance: 4,214.20

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4214 opens a push toward the 4220 prior spike
  • Loss of 4204 floor exposes 4190 swing low
  • Fed's Waller 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read

12:16 UTC

Intraday uptrend, momentum cooling near highs · RSI 59 · price 4,206.76

Higher highs and higher lows, grinding into session high.

NY climbed steadily off the 4140 session low into the 4200-4214 reclaim zone flagged in the macro read, with price now grinding sideways just under the 4214 session high. RSI cooling from earlier highs as the advance flattens.

Support: 4,194.00, 4,140.00

Resistance: 4,214.00, 4,221.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4214 opens the path to the 4221 swing high
  • Failure to hold 4194 marks the first lower-low of the session
  • Fed's Waller speech ~13:00 UTC could materially shift this read

12:02 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing near highs · RSI 60 · price 4,207.50

Higher highs/higher lows, stalling under session high.

Gold ground higher off the 4136 low back into the 4200-4214 reclaim zone flagged in the macro read, stalling just under the 4214 session high with RSI(14) cooling near 60. Price is consolidating in a tight 4200-4214 band as the move loses steam ahead of Waller's speech.

Support: 4,200.00, 4,189.00

Resistance: 4,214.20

What it said to watch

  • Fed's Waller speech at 13:00 UTC (~1h) could materially shift this read
  • M15 close above 4214 opens the path to the 4220 spike high
  • Loss of 4200 and the 4189 swing low would break the rising-low chain

12:02 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing near range top · RSI 61 · price 4,207.50

Higher highs and higher lows since the 4136 low.

Gold extended its recovery off the 4136 low into the 4200–4214 reclaim zone the news flagged, RSI in the low 60s. Buyers stepped in repeatedly above 4197 through the NY session, but the 4214 session high is capping for now.

Support: 4,197.00, 4,178.30

Resistance: 4,214.20, 4,221.00

What it said to watch

  • Close above 4214 opens the 4221 spike high
  • Failure to hold 4197 reopens 4178
  • Waller speech 13:00 UTC and Tue PMIs could shift this read

11:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 56 · price 4,204.69

Higher highs/lows, consolidating below session high.

Gold spiked to 4220.96 in the Asian session then faded to 4189 before London recovered the move, grinding back toward the 4214 session high. Price now consolidating ~4204, RSI(14) mid-range as momentum cools just under the highs.

Support: 4,189.00

Resistance: 4,214.22, 4,220.96

What it said to watch

  • Close above 4214.22 reopens the path to the 4220.96 asian high
  • Loss of 4189 range low breaks the intraday higher-low chain
  • Fed's Waller 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read

11:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing near highs · RSI 60 · price 4,204.69

Higher highs/higher lows, consolidating below session high.

Gold ground higher through the NY session from the 4136 low, tagging a session high at 4215 before stalling. Price now consolidates 4202–4214 with RSI cooling off the highs; rising support off the intraday lows is intact.

Support: 4,202.00, 4,188.70

Resistance: 4,215.10, 4,221.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4215 reopens the 4221 intraday high
  • Loss of 4202 breaks the higher-low chain toward 4189
  • Fed's Waller 13:00 UTC could shift this read sharply

11:31 UTC

Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 60 · price 4,204.39

Higher highs, pausing below session high.

Gold rallied off the 4136 low to tag 4221, then ground higher through the session to print a 4214 session high; price is now consolidating 4197-4214 just under that ceiling with RSI(14) easing back to the high-50s. The bid has stuck despite the firm-USD backdrop, with demand stepping in repeatedly above 4190.

Support: 4,197.00, 4,190.00

Resistance: 4,214.20, 4,221.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4214 extends the rally toward the 4221 prior high
  • Loss of 4197 then 4190 signals a lower-low and stalls the climb
  • Fed's Waller (13:00 UTC, ~1.5h out) could materially shift this read

11:31 UTC

Intraday uptrend, grinding into highs · RSI 59 · price 4,204.39

Higher highs and higher lows, stalling below session high.

Gold rallied off the 4136 low through 4220 during the NY session and is now grinding sideways 4204-4215, capped at the session high while holding above EMA20. RSI(14) near 59 has cooled from the rally peak; safe-haven flow from stalled US-Iran talks keeps the bid intact for now.

Support: 4,189.00

Resistance: 4,215.11

What it said to watch

  • Fed's Waller (13:00 UTC, ~1.5h out) could materially shift this read
  • M15 close above 4215 reopens the path to 4220 rally high
  • Failure to hold 4189 swing low confirms a lower-low

11:16 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 59 · price 4,207.15

HH/HL chain, consolidating below session high.

Gold squeezed off the 4140 low on a sharp impulse to 4220, then carved a rising channel through the London session back up to a 4214 session high. Despite the multi-week bearish lean, intraday flow is constructive — RSI(14) near 59 with room, price holding above the rising support off 4178.

Support: 4,197.00, 4,178.30

Resistance: 4,214.20, 4,220.96

What it said to watch

  • Fed's Waller speech at 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read
  • Break above 4214 session high opens path to the 4221 spike high
  • Loss of 4197 swing low breaks the rising channel structure

11:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 61 · price 4,207.15

Higher highs / higher lows since the 4136 low.

Gold rallied off the 4136 low into a 4221 high, pulled back to find demand at 4178, then ground higher to retest 4215 — a short-covering bounce against the broader hawkish-Fed read. RSI(14) near 61, momentum easing as price stalls just under session resistance.

Support: 4,197.00, 4,178.30

Resistance: 4,215.00, 4,221.00

What it said to watch

  • Fed's Waller speech 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read
  • M15 close above 4215 opens the path back to the 4221 prior high
  • Loss of 4197 then 4178 breaks the higher-low chain

11:02 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 61 · price 4,205.24

Rising lows into session high.

Gold climbed steadily through European hours off the 4136 base, posting a fresh session high at 4214 before easing to 4205, RSI(14) cooling near 60. Rising-low structure intact above 4197; price recovered well off last week's 4121 area as hawkish-Fed pressure paused.

Support: 4,197.00

Resistance: 4,214.22, 4,220.96

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4197 breaks the rising-low structure
  • Fed's Waller 13:00 UTC (~2h) could materially shift this read
  • Acceptance above 4214 session high opens the 4221 swing high

11:02 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 61 · price 4,205.24

Higher highs and higher lows since the $4,170 swing.

Gold rallied off the $4,136 low through the Asia session to $4,220.96, pulled back to $4,170, then ground back up through London to print a $4,214 session high. Price is now consolidating near $4,205 with RSI(14) easing back from earlier highs.

Resistance: 4,214.20

What it said to watch

  • Close above 4214 session high reopens the 4220 swing high
  • Loss of the 4170 session low breaks the higher-low chain
  • Fed's Waller speech 13:00 UTC (~2h) could materially shift this read

10:46 UTC

Uptrend, extending into highs · RSI 64 · price 4,208.75

Higher highs / higher lows since the 4136 low.

Gold rallied off the 4136 intraday low through London into a recovery toward the 4200-4210 zone macro flagged, printing a session high at 4214 before stalling. RSI(14) elevated near 64 but not stretched; last few bars are consolidating in a tight 4208-4214 band.

Support: 4,197.40, 4,188.66

Resistance: 4,214.22, 4,220.96

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4214 session high opens the path toward 4221 prior high
  • Failure to hold 4197 risks a pullback toward the 4189 swing low
  • Fed's Waller speech ~13:00 UTC (~2h) could materially shift this read

10:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling near highs · RSI 62 · price 4,208.75

Higher highs, consolidating below session high.

Gold ran from the 4136 base to a 4220.96 day high, pulled back to 4170 and is now grinding sideways just under the 4214 session high in thin pre-NY trade. Buyers stepped back in around the 4197/4185 swing lows; structure stays constructive while those hold, but momentum is flattening into resistance.

Support: 4,197.00, 4,185.00, 4,170.00

Resistance: 4,214.00, 4,220.96

What it said to watch

  • Close above 4214 reopens the 4220.96 day high
  • Loss of 4197 then 4185 breaks the rising-low sequence
  • Fed's Waller 13:00 UTC (~2h) could materially shift this read

10:31 UTC

Uptrend, near session highs · RSI 65 · price 4,209.96

Higher highs and higher lows since the London-NY surge.

Gold ripped from 4136 through the 4200 handle on the London-NY session, with the move stalling at a 4220.96 spike high before a shallow pullback to 4170 was bought back up. Price now grinds at 4210 just under the 4214 session high; RSI(14) elevated near 64 but not yet stretched. The bounce defies the broader hawkish-Fed pressure noted in the news read, keeping the 4150-4200 band as the prior resistance now flipped below.

Support: 4,197.00, 4,178.00

Resistance: 4,214.22, 4,220.96

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 4197 then 4178 would break the intraday higher-low chain
  • A close above 4214.22 opens the path back to the 4220.96 spike high
  • Fed's Waller at 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read

10:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum firm · RSI 67 · price 4,209.96

Higher highs, higher lows since the NY-session surge.

Gold ran from the 4140 low to 4221 then based around 4170-4197 before grinding back to session highs near 4214; the digest reads this as the $4,150 area holding and rallies pressing the 4,200 resistance band. Structure is a clean intraday uptrend, RSI(14) firm but short of overbought, price riding above both EMAs.

Support: 4,197.00

Resistance: 4,214.22, 4,220.96

What it said to watch

  • Fed's Waller at 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read
  • A close above 4220.96 opens continuation past prior high
  • A close below 4197 breaks the rising intraday structure

10:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum extended · RSI 68 · price 4,210.84

Higher highs and higher lows since London open.

London session drove a steady climb off the 4140 low through the 4200 round number, with price now pressing the 4214 session high inside the 4200-4220 band flagged as near-term resistance. RSI(14) near 67 is hot but not extreme, and the higher-low chain off 4170 remains intact.

Support: 4,200.00, 4,170.00

Resistance: 4,214.18, 4,220.96

What it said to watch

  • Fed's Waller at 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read
  • M15 close above 4221 extends the breakout
  • Loss of 4188 breaks the ascending support and the higher-low chain

10:16 UTC

Uptrend, grinding back to session highs · RSI 65 · price 4,210.84

Higher highs and higher lows since the 4140 base.

Gold rallied off the 4140 base into the 4220.96 session high, pulled back to 4170 and has since carved higher lows back toward the top at 4210. Move runs against the broader hawkish-Fed tone, with the 4150-4200 band cited as a bounce zone; RSI(14) elevated near 65 but not yet stretched.

Support: 4,197.00

Resistance: 4,220.96

What it said to watch

  • Fed's Waller at 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read
  • Close above 4220.96 session high extends the rally
  • Failure to hold 4197 swing low breaks the rising sequence

10:02 UTC

Uptrend, grinding into session high · RSI 63 · price 4,208.37

Higher highs/higher lows since the Monday low.

Gold ran from the Monday low near 4140 to a 4220.9 session high during the London session, pulled back to 4170 and has since ground back up to 4208, holding a clean higher-low chain. Price now sits just under the 4211 session high with RSI mid-60s; the 4150-4200 band the macro read flags as resistance has so far been reclaimed intraday.

Support: 4,197.00, 4,178.30

Resistance: 4,211.00, 4,220.90

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4220.9 extends the session high; rejection there caps the advance
  • Loss of the 4197 pivot and 4178 swing low would break the higher-low chain
  • Fed's Waller at 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read

10:02 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling near highs · RSI 62 · price 4,208.37

Higher highs/lows, consolidating below session high.

Gold rallied through the NY session, pushing to a session high at 4220 before settling into a 4190-4210 band, with RSI cooling off the highs. Buyers stepped in around 4170-4178 on the pullback and lifted price back toward the top of the range. Macro tone stays USD-firm, but intraday structure remains constructive while 4178 holds.

Support: 4,178.00

Resistance: 4,210.00, 4,220.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4220 reopens the session high
  • Failure to hold 4178 breaks the rising support and confirms a lower low
  • Fed's Waller at 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read

09:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling near cap · RSI 62 · price 4,205.56

Higher highs/higher lows, pressing recovery cap.

Short-covering bounce off the 4136 base extended through NY into the $4,200-4,210 recovery cap flagged in the macro read, with buyers stepping in repeatedly around 4170 on the pullback. RSI(14) near 62 — firm, not stretched — as price grinds back toward the 4221 swing high.

Support: 4,197.00

Resistance: 4,210.00, 4,221.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4210 opens the path back toward the 4221 swing high
  • Failure to hold 4197 risks a retest of the 4170 session low
  • Fed's Waller speech 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read

09:46 UTC

Uptrend, near session highs · RSI 62 · price 4,205.56

Higher highs / higher lows off intraday low.

Gold rallied from the 4136 intraday low to a 4220.96 session high, then settled into a steady grind back toward the top with rising lows holding at 4188. Price sits just under the 4200-4210 recovery cap flagged as resistance, RSI(14) firm near 61 with no extreme reading.

Support: 4,188.66, 4,178.33

Resistance: 4,210.04, 4,220.96

What it said to watch

  • Close above 4210.04 opens a retest of the 4220.96 session high
  • Loss of 4188.66 rising low breaks the higher-low chain toward 4178
  • Fed's Waller speech at 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read

09:31 UTC

Intraday uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 62 · price 4,202.57

Higher lows into a recovery-cap test.

Gold rallied off 4140 to a 4221 session high during NY hours, then pulled back to 4170 before grinding back up to retest the 4200-4210 recovery cap flagged as resistance. RSI is cooling off its earlier highs while price holds above EMA20/50; the series of higher lows remains intact for now.

Support: 4,189.00, 4,140.02

Resistance: 4,210.00, 4,220.96

What it said to watch

  • Close above the 4221 session high opens continuation
  • Loss of the 4189 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
  • Fed's Waller 13:00 UTC could shift this read

09:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 62 · price 4,202.57

Higher lows after rally peak, holding gains.

NY session ramped gold from 4140 to a 4220.96 session high before a pullback to 4170, then buyers reclaimed into 4205 — a short-covering bounce consistent with the firm-USD/hawkish-Fed backdrop stalling. RSI(14) sits mid-60s, momentum easing but structure intact with higher lows holding above 4188.

Support: 4,170.74, 4,140.02

Resistance: 4,220.96

What it said to watch

  • Fed's Waller 13:00 UTC could shift this read — a less hawkish tone supports the bounce
  • Loss of 4170.74 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
  • Close above 4220.96 session high reopens upside continuation

09:16 UTC

Uptrend, recovering · RSI 64 · price 4,204.55

Higher lows off session low, retesting session high.

Gold rallied off the 4136 session low through 4220.96 before pulling back to 4170, then carved higher lows back up to retest the 4209 session high. RSI(14) near 64, room before stretched; this is the short-covering snapback the digest flagged with DXY momentum stalling into Waller.

Support: 4,189.00, 4,170.00

Resistance: 4,220.96

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4209 reopens the 4220.96 swing high
  • Loss of 4189 breaks the higher-low chain back toward 4170
  • Fed's Waller 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read

09:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 62 · price 4,204.55

Higher highs and higher lows since the 4136 base.

Gold rallied off the 4136 base to a 4221 session high, then pulled back to 4178 before grinding back into the 4200-4210 recovery cap flagged in the macro read. RSI(14) mid-60s, momentum easing as price tests the cap into the London-NY transition.

Support: 4,178.30

Resistance: 4,210.00, 4,220.96

What it said to watch

  • Fed's Waller speech 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read
  • M15 close above 4210 opens the path back to the 4220.96 session high
  • Failure to hold 4178 confirms a lower-low and unwinds the recovery

09:03 UTC

Uptrend off intraday low, momentum slowing · RSI 59 · price 4,196.56

Higher lows, capped under 4207.

Gold spiked to 4220 in early Asia then unwound to 4170 before grinding steadily back up through the London session; price now consolidates just under the 4207 cap with RSI(14) near 59. Recovery sits inside the $4,200-4,210 zone the macro read flags as a rebound cap, with higher lows holding from 4170.

Support: 4,188.00

Resistance: 4,207.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4207 reopens the 4220 spike high
  • Loss of 4188 intraday low breaks the rising support
  • Fed's Waller 13:00 UTC could shift this read

09:03 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 53 · price 4,196.56

Consolidating below session high after rally.

Gold ran ~2% off the 4136 low to a session high of 4220 in the short-covering bounce flagged into the 4200-4210 zone, then settled into a 4188-4207 range. RSI(14) cooled to the low-50s; price holds above EMA20/50 with a higher low at 4170.

Support: 4,188.00

Resistance: 4,207.29

What it said to watch

  • Close above 4207 reopens the 4220 session high
  • Loss of 4188 range floor exposes the 4170 pullback low
  • Fed's Waller 13:00 UTC could shift this read

08:46 UTC

Recovery, consolidating near highs · RSI 54 · price 4,193.13

Higher low off 4178, capped below 4207.

Early-session spike to 4220.96 faded to 4178, then price recovered through London to consolidate 4190-4200 below the 4207 swing high. RSI(14) neutral near 54, holding above EMA20/50 with no extreme in play.

Support: 4,178.30, 4,140.00

Resistance: 4,207.30, 4,220.96

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4207 reopens 4220.96 session high
  • Failure to hold 4178 swing low exposes 4140 monday low
  • Fed's Waller 13:00 UTC could shift the read

08:46 UTC

Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 54 · price 4,193.13

Higher highs into a tight range under 4207.

Gold rallied from 4140 to a session high of 4220 then pulled back to 4170 before recovering; now coiling in a tight 4188-4207 range around 4193 after rejection at the 4207 swing high. Short-covering snapback off Friday's slide remains intact while the range low holds.

Support: 4,188.00

Resistance: 4,207.29

What it said to watch

  • Close above 4207 reopens the 4220 session high
  • Loss of 4188 range low exposes the 4170 swing low
  • Fed's Waller 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read

08:32 UTC

Rally faded, consolidating near highs · RSI 48 · price 4,189.87

Tight range under session high after Asia spike.

Asia session spiked to 4220.96 then London ground higher to a 4207 session high before drifting back toward 4190. Price now coils right on EMA20 between 4178 and 4207, momentum flat with RSI near 48.

Support: 4,178.33

Resistance: 4,207.29, 4,220.96

What it said to watch

  • Close below 4178 pullback low confirms a lower-low
  • Reclaim of 4207 session high reopens the 4220 asia high
  • Fed's Waller 13:00 UTC could shift this read

08:31 UTC

Intraday uptrend, momentum fading · RSI 50 · price 4,189.87

Consolidating below session high after Asia rally.

Gold ripped from 4140 to 4220.96 through Asia, then London capped the move and price has drifted lower into 4190, rejected twice around the 4207 session high. RSI(14) back near 50 as the rally cools; price slipping under the EMA20 while holding above the rising EMA50.

Support: 4,170.74

Resistance: 4,207.29, 4,220.96

What it said to watch

  • Close below 4170.74 negates the rising-support read and confirms a lower low
  • Reclaim of 4207 session high reopens the 4221 swing high
  • Fed's Waller 13:00 UTC could shift this read

08:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 53 · price 4,190.81

Consolidating below session high after rally.

Gold rallied off 4140 through the Asian session to tag 4220.96, then set a lower high at 4207 and is drifting into London hours around 4190 with RSI(14) cooling to mid-range. Price is holding a rising series of higher lows above 4170 but capped under the 4207 session high.

Support: 4,170.74, 4,140.00

Resistance: 4,207.29, 4,220.96

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4207 reopens the 4220.96 high
  • Loss of 4170.74 breaks the rising-low chain
  • Fed's Waller 13:00 UTC could shift this read

08:16 UTC

Intraday uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 52 · price 4,190.81

Rally then consolidation below session high.

Gold ripped off the 4140 pivot low to a 4220.96 swing high in early London — the short-covering snapback the macro digest flagged toward the 4200-4210 cap. Price has since consolidated 4188-4207 with RSI(14) cooling to mid-range; the session high at 4207 is capping and buyers held the 4175 swing low.

Support: 4,175.00, 4,140.00

Resistance: 4,207.29, 4,220.96

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4207.29 reopens the 4220.96 swing high
  • Loss of 4175 swing low breaks the rising sequence
  • Fed's Waller 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read

08:02 UTC

Uptrend, pulling back from highs · RSI 51 · price 4,189.92

HH/HL chain on Monday, now consolidating below 4207.

Gold ran from the 4140 base to a session high of 4220.96 on the Monday open before fading, helped by short-covering as DXY stalled near YTD highs. Price is now consolidating around 4190 between the 4207 swing high and 4178 swing low, RSI back at mid-range after the climb cooled.

Support: 4,178.30, 4,140.20

Resistance: 4,207.30, 4,220.96

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 4207 reopens the path back to 4220.96 session high
  • Loss of 4178 confirms a lower-low and unwinds the Monday advance
  • Fed's Waller 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read

08:02 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 52 · price 4,189.92

Rally stalling, consolidating below session high.

London session ran a sharp leg from the 4136 low to a 4220.96 swing high, then pulled back into a 4178–4207 range. Price now sits mid-range near 4190, RSI(14) cooled from the spike back to neutral; 4207.29 session high caps and 4178.33 swing low holds the pullback.

Support: 4,178.33, 4,161.05

Resistance: 4,207.29, 4,220.96

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4207.29 reopens the path to the 4220.96 swing high
  • Loss of 4178.33 swing low confirms a deeper pullback toward 4161
  • Fed's Waller 13:00 UTC could shift the read on USD strength

07:46 UTC

Uptrend off the Monday low, momentum cooling · RSI 56 · price 4,193.55

Consolidating below session high after impulsive rally.

Gold ripped off the 4136 low into the London session, tagging a 4220.9 session high before retracing to 4170.7 (~62% of the move) where buyers stepped back in. Price is now consolidating between 4184 and 4207 with RSI(14) easing to mid-50s.

Support: 4,184.00, 4,170.70

Resistance: 4,207.30, 4,220.90

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4207 opens a retest of the 4220.9 session high
  • Loss of 4184 puts the 4170.7 pullback low back in play
  • Fed's Waller speech 13:00 UTC could shift the read

07:46 UTC

Recovering, grinding higher off intraday low · RSI 58 · price 4,193.55

Higher lows since 4171, capped under 4207-4220.

Asia spiked to 4220.96 then retraced ~61.8% to 4171 before London bought it back up to a 4207 swing high; price now consolidating around 4193 with RSI mid-range. Recovery is consistent with the digest's short-covering snapback theme into Waller, but supply has capped twice under 4207.

Support: 4,171.00, 4,140.00

Resistance: 4,207.30, 4,220.90

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4207 reopens the 4220 session high
  • Loss of 4171 confirms a lower low and deepens the retrace toward 4140
  • Fed's Waller 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read

07:31 UTC

Uptrend, recovering off lows · RSI 62 · price 4,195.01

Higher highs and higher lows since 4136 low.

Gold short-covered off the 4136 session low to a 4207 high through London hours, a snapback consistent with the priced-in hawkish-Fed/firm-DXY backdrop. Price now consolidating in the 4195–4207 zone, holding above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-range, no extreme.

Support: 4,178.33

Resistance: 4,207.29

What it said to watch

  • Fed's Waller 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read
  • Close above 4207 opens the path to the 4220 spike high
  • Loss of 4178 negates the recovery structure

07:31 UTC

Uptrend, recovery extending · RSI 62 · price 4,195.01

Higher lows off $4,136, capped near $4,210.

London session grinding higher after a recovery off $4,136; the spike to the $4,220 session high faded into $4,170 before buyers stepped back in. Price is now pressing the $4,200-4,210 recovery cap with RSI(14) in the low-60s, not yet stretched.

Support: 4,178.00

Resistance: 4,210.00, 4,220.96

What it said to watch

  • Fed's Waller speech 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read
  • Close above 4210 opens the path back to the 4220.96 session high
  • Failure to hold 4178 breaks the higher-low chain

07:16 UTC

Intraday uptrend, grinding into resistance · RSI 62 · price 4,200.79

Higher lows since pullback, recovering toward range high.

Gold rallied off 4140 to a 4220.96 range high, pulled back to 4170.74, then carved higher lows back into the 4200-4210 recovery cap flagged in the macro read. Price is stalling just under the 4207.29 session high with RSI mid-60s; the rising-lows structure holds while 4191 supports.

Support: 4,191.15, 4,183.59, 4,170.74

Resistance: 4,207.29, 4,220.96

What it said to watch

  • Close above 4207.29 opens the path to the 4220.96 range high
  • Loss of 4191 rising-lows line exposes 4183.59 swing low
  • Fed's Waller 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read

07:16 UTC

Intraday uptrend, recovery grind · RSI 61 · price 4,200.79

Higher highs and higher lows off 4170.

Gold short-covered off the 4140 session low into the 4200-4210 recovery cap flagged in macro context, printing higher lows from 4170. Price stalling just under the 4207 session high with RSI(14) around 61, not yet stretched.

Support: 4,140.02

Resistance: 4,207.29, 4,220.96

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim above 4207 opens path to the 4221 day high
  • Loss of 4170 breaks the higher-low chain
  • Fed's Waller speech 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read

07:02 UTC

Intraday uptrend, higher lows intact · RSI 61 · price 4,197.71

Rising from 4136 low, holding above pullback support.

Gold staged a relief bounce off the 4136 low up to 4220, in line with the digest's $4,200-$4,210 recovery zone, then pulled back to 4171 before grinding back to test 4207. Higher lows intact and price holds above EMA20/50; 4207-4220 is the cap to watch for rejection or break.

Support: 4,171.00

Resistance: 4,207.00, 4,220.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4220 extends the recovery; rejection at 4207 keeps the range capped
  • Loss of 4171 breaks the higher-low chain
  • Fed's Waller at 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read

07:02 UTC

Intraday recovery, uptrend · RSI 64 · price 4,197.71

Higher highs and higher lows off 4170.

Gold recovered through the Asian session from the 4170 swing low back toward the 4220 asia high, now pressing the 4207 session high into London. RSI(14) mid-60s with price holding above EMA20/50 — a relief bounce within the broader bearish regime, gold trading off the Fed not geopolitics.

Support: 4,178.33

Resistance: 4,207.29

What it said to watch

  • Close above 4207 session high opens path to 4220 asia high
  • Loss of 4178 pullback low confirms a lower high
  • Fed's Waller (13:00 UTC) could materially shift this read

06:46 UTC

Intraday uptrend, recovering · RSI 66 · price 4,204.58

Higher lows after pullback from session high.

Gold rallied off the 4140 session low into NY hours, spiking to 4221 before fading back to the 4170 pullback low; price has since ground back up toward 4205, into the 4200-4210 relief area flagged in the macro read. RSI(14) elevated near 66 but not stretched, with the recovery building a chain of higher lows.

Support: 4,170.00, 4,140.00

Resistance: 4,210.00, 4,220.96

What it said to watch

  • Close above 4220.96 session high reopens upside extension
  • Failure to hold 4170 negates the recovery into a lower low
  • Fed's Waller at 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read

06:46 UTC

Uptrend, recovery extending · RSI 69 · price 4,204.58

Higher highs after holding 4170.

Gold rebounded off the 4136 low and spiked to a 4220.96 session high before pulling back to 4170, where demand stepped in and price is now grinding back toward the 4211 prior high. The recovery fits the relief-bounce read after Friday's slide; RSI(14) firm near 68, not yet stretched.

Support: 4,170.74

Resistance: 4,211.00, 4,220.96

What it said to watch

  • Sustained move above 4211 opens the path back to the 4220.96 session high
  • Loss of 4170.74 swing low breaks the recovery higher-low chain
  • Fed's Waller at 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read

06:31 UTC

Intraday recovery, higher lows · RSI 59 · price 4,195.53

HH/HL chain off 4170 base.

Gold spiked to 4220.96 then pulled back to 4170 before grinding back up to 4195, building higher lows through the recovery as it stabilises after the multi-week selloff. RSI(14) mid-50s, room left before extremes; price holding above EMA20 and EMA50.

Resistance: 4,207.38, 4,220.96

What it said to watch

  • Close above 4207 opens the path to the 4220 session high
  • Loss of 4170 swing low negates the recovery structure
  • Fed's Waller 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read

06:31 UTC

Intraday uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 57 · price 4,195.53

Higher lows after NY rally, holding above prior breakout.

NY session ripped from the 4140.02 session low to a 4220.96 session high before pulling back to the 4171.57 swing low, where buyers stepped back in — a short-covering bounce in line with the broader bearish gold backdrop. Price now recovering toward the 4200 round number, holding above the ema20 with RSI mid-range.

Support: 4,171.57, 4,140.02

Resistance: 4,200.00, 4,220.96

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim and close above 4200 round number opens the path back to the 4220.96 session high
  • Loss of the 4171.57 swing low confirms a lower-low and reopens 4140.02 session low
  • Fed's Waller 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read

06:16 UTC

Recovering, short-term uptrend · RSI 60 · price 4,195.77

Higher lows since session pullback, retesting session high.

Gold short-covered off 4140 to a session high at 4220.96 during the Asia session, then pulled back to 4171 before grinding back toward the 4200 psych level. RSI(14) near 60 after cooling from the spike; price holding above EMA20/50 with a chain of higher lows into the recovery.

Support: 4,171.00, 4,140.00

Resistance: 4,200.00, 4,220.90

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4220.96 reopens the upside path
  • Failure to hold 4171 session low confirms a lower-low
  • Fed's Waller 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read

06:16 UTC

Recovering after pullback · RSI 59 · price 4,195.77

Higher lows off 4170 since the 4220 spike.

Early-session spike tagged 4220.96 before fading to 4170; price has since ground back up to 4195 on a chain of higher lows. RSI mid-50s with room, the 4200 psych level the immediate cap.

Support: 4,170.74

Resistance: 4,200.00, 4,220.96

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim above 4200 opens the path back to the 4220.96 session high
  • Failure to hold 4170.74 confirms a lower-low
  • Fed's Waller 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read

06:02 UTC

Intraday uptrend, recovering · RSI 60 · price 4,194.47

Higher low off 4170, pressing back toward session high.

Asia session ripped from 4136 to a 4220 session high before retracing to 4170, where buyers stepped in to set a higher low. Price is now grinding back up through 4178 toward the 4200 psych level, RSI(14) mid-range near 60 with room to run.

Support: 4,178.00

Resistance: 4,200.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4170 invalidates the higher-low read
  • Break and hold above 4220 session high opens continuation
  • Fed's Waller 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read

06:02 UTC

Recovering, higher lows building · RSI 61 · price 4,194.47

Pullback off session high, grinding back up.

Gold spiked to a session high at 4220.96 then retraced to 4170 before buyers stepped in and lifted price back toward the 4200 round number. Higher lows are building off 4170.74 with RSI(14) mid-range near 60; short-covering bounce in play after the multi-day selloff.

Support: 4,170.74

Resistance: 4,200.00, 4,220.96

What it said to watch

  • Close above 4220.96 extends the recovery; rejection there keeps the pullback structure intact
  • Failure to hold 4170.74 confirms a lower low and resumes the downside
  • Fed's Waller 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read

05:46 UTC

Recovering, momentum building · RSI 64 · price 4,193.07

Higher lows off 4170 after spike rejection.

Gold spiked to 4220 during the prior NY session then bled back to 4170; price has since carved higher lows and is grinding back toward the 4200 round number into Asian hours. RSI(14) mid-60s with no extreme, last bar volume thin.

Resistance: 4,200.00

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 4200 round number opens a retest of the 4220 session high
  • Loss of 4170 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
  • Fed's Waller (13:00 UTC) could materially shift this read

05:46 UTC

Recovering after pullback, momentum building · RSI 62 · price 4,193.07

Higher low off 4170 after impulsive rally.

Impulsive rally off the 4140 base spiked to a session high of 4220.96 before pulling back to 4170, where buyers stepped in to form a higher low. Price is now grinding back toward the 4200 round number with RSI in the low-60s, no overbought extreme.

Support: 4,140.00

Resistance: 4,200.00, 4,220.96

What it said to watch

  • Close back below 4170 swing low negates the recovery and reopens 4140
  • Reclaim of 4220 session high extends the up-leg
  • Fed's Waller 13:00 UTC could shift USD and reprice this read

05:31 UTC

Uptrend off intraday low, momentum moderating · RSI 61 · price 4,192.50

Higher low at 4170 after rejection at 4221 session high.

Asia session spiked to 4220.96 then rejected, with price pulling back to a higher low at 4170 before recovering to 4192. Gold sits below the 4200 round number after the rejection, holding the rebound off 4140 amid the broader hawkish-Fed bid in the dollar.

Support: 4,170.00, 4,140.00

Resistance: 4,200.00, 4,221.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4200 round number opens path to 4221 session high
  • Loss of 4170 swing low confirms a lower-low
  • Waller speech 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read

05:31 UTC

Recovering after spike pullback · RSI 59 · price 4,192.50

Higher lows into prior session high.

NY session ripped from 4140 to a 4220.96 session high, then pulled back to 4170 before buyers stepped in on a chain of higher lows; price now grinding back toward the 4200 round number. RSI(14) mid-range at ~59, no extreme in play.

Support: 4,170.74, 4,140.02

Resistance: 4,200.00, 4,220.96

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim above 4200 round number reopens the 4220.96 session high
  • Loss of 4170.74 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
  • Fed's Waller 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read

05:16 UTC

Recovering after spike, range-bound · RSI 55 · price 4,185.97

Consolidation under 4200 post-spike.

Gold spiked to a session high of 4220.96 then unwound to 4170.74 before stabilising; price now grinds back to 4185.97 inside a 4170–4200 range. Move fits the broader hawkish-Fed-driven chop near $4,150-4,200 with RSI(14) neutral around 54.

Support: 4,170.74, 4,140.02

Resistance: 4,200.00, 4,220.96

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4200 reopens the 4220.96 session high
  • Loss of 4170.74 exposes the 4140.02 session low
  • Fed's Waller speech at 13:00 UTC could shift this read

05:16 UTC

Intraday rally faded, consolidating · RSI 54 · price 4,185.97

Spike high then pullback, holding above 4170.

Gold spiked to a session high of 4221 then faded back below 4200, with buyers stepping in near 4170 to hold the lower half of the move; price now sits at 4186, hovering at EMA20 with RSI mid-range. Broader tape stays heavy on hawkish-Fed repricing, so this is short-covering relief inside a larger down move.

Support: 4,140.00

Resistance: 4,200.00, 4,220.96

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 4200 psych level reopens the 4221 session high
  • Loss of 4170 swing low confirms a lower-low and exposes 4140
  • Fed's Waller at 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read

05:03 UTC

Choppy, recovering after spike fade · RSI 49 · price 4,181.26

Spike to 4220 rejected, consolidating mid-range.

Gold spiked to 4220 on the week's open then faded hard, with supply capping at the 4200 round number on the retrace. Price now consolidating around the 4180 fib midpoint, holding above the 4170 swing low after the third weekly slide flagged in the macro read.

Support: 4,140.02

Resistance: 4,200.30

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4200 reopens the 4220 session high
  • Failure to hold 4170 exposes the 4140 week low
  • Fed's Waller at 13:00 UTC could shift the USD-driven read

05:02 UTC

Intraday pullback after spike, consolidating · RSI 49 · price 4,181.26

Spike to 4221 then fade, now ranging mid-move.

A sharp NY-session spike pushed gold to 4221 before sellers rejected the highs and dragged price back to the 4180 area — the 50% retrace of that 4140-4221 leg. Now consolidating between 4170 and 4200 with RSI back to neutral; the broader hawkish-Fed, firm-USD backdrop keeps rallies capped.

Support: 4,140.02

Resistance: 4,200.30, 4,220.96

What it said to watch

  • Close below 4170 confirms a lower low and reopens 4140
  • Reclaim of 4200 puts the 4221 session high back in play
  • Waller speech 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read

04:46 UTC

Pulled back from spike, consolidating · RSI 47 · price 4,177.69

Tight range after rejection at 4220.

Asian session spiked to 4220.96 around 01:00 UTC then faded back to the 4176 area, with supply capping at the 4200 psych level on the retest. Price now consolidating in a tight 4174-4180 band, RSI(14) neutral near 46 after working off the spike.

Support: 4,170.00, 4,140.00

Resistance: 4,200.00, 4,220.96

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4200 reopens the path to the 4220 session high
  • Loss of 4170 confirms a lower-low toward the 4140 session low
  • Fed's Waller 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read

04:46 UTC

Pullback after impulsive spike, momentum cooling · RSI 48 · price 4,177.69

Spiked to 4221 then faded, consolidating 4170-4180.

Gold ripped from 4140 to a 4220.96 session high during NY hours then faded back, now consolidating 4170-4180 just below EMA20. RSI(14) has reset to neutral near 47 after the impulse; 4170 is holding as near-term support.

Support: 4,170.74, 4,150.00

Resistance: 4,200.00, 4,220.96

What it said to watch

  • Close above 4200 reopens the 4220.96 session high
  • Failure to hold 4170.74 session low exposes 4150
  • Waller speech 13:00 UTC could shift this read

04:31 UTC

Rally off lows, pulling back · RSI 47 · price 4,176.57

Spike to 4220 rejected, retracing the move.

Asian session ripped off the 4140 low to a 4220.96 spike before rejection dragged price back to 4176, roughly a 55% retrace of that leg with RSI(14) cooling toward neutral. The bounce came against a firm USD and hawkish-Fed backdrop, so the recovery is corrective rather than a trend turn. Price now consolidating just under EMA20 with the 4200 round level capping.

Support: 4,140.02

Resistance: 4,200.00, 4,220.96

What it said to watch

  • Close above 4200 reopens the 4220 session high
  • Break of 4170 recent low exposes 4140 session low
  • Fed's Waller speech 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read

04:31 UTC

Pullback after spike, momentum fading · RSI 48 · price 4,176.57

Faded NY spike, holding above 4170.

Gold spiked to 4220.96 on the NY-session push then faded back to 4176, with supply capping the move above 4200. Price is now consolidating just above the 4170 session low, RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s.

Support: 4,140.00

Resistance: 4,200.00, 4,220.96

What it said to watch

  • Close below 4170 session low exposes the 4155 and 4140 swing lows
  • Reclaim of 4200 psych level reopens the 4211-4220 session high
  • Fed's Waller speech 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read

04:16 UTC

Short-term up, pulling back · RSI 47 · price 4,176.31

Retracement after impulsive Monday rally.

Gold spiked to 4220.96 on the Monday open then bled back to 4176, now hovering at the 50% retrace of that leg. Asia hours are holding above the 4170 session low; price slipped below EMA20 as the surge cools, RSI(14) back near neutral.

Support: 4,170.74, 4,155.36, 4,140.02

Resistance: 4,200.30, 4,220.96

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4170.74 exposes 4155 then the 4140 monday low
  • Reclaim of 4200 reopens the 4220.96 spike high
  • Fed's Waller speech 13:00 UTC could shift this read

04:16 UTC

Up impulse fading, pullback in progress · RSI 48 · price 4,176.31

Sharp rally then retrace to mid-move.

Session spiked from the 4136 swing low to a 4220 session high in thin trade as the USD eased, then faded. Price is now retracing to the 50% fib near 4178, sitting just below EMA20 but holding above the 4170 session low.

Support: 4,150.00

Resistance: 4,192.00

What it said to watch

  • Close below 4168 (61.8% fib) exposes the 4150 prior pivot then 4136 swing low
  • Reclaim of 4192 swing high reopens the 4220 session high
  • Fed's Waller speech 13:00 UTC could shift the USD read and this move

04:02 UTC

Intraday rally fading, pullback in progress · RSI 44 · price 4,172.15

Lower highs off session high after sharp spike.

New-week trade spiked from the 4140 session low to a 4220.96 session high before fading, USD firm at 13-month highs keeping gold capped. Price has since printed lower highs back to the 0.618 retrace near 4172, RSI cooling toward mid-range; the 4151 swing low marks the next support shelf below.

Support: 4,151.00, 4,140.00

Resistance: 4,192.00, 4,201.00, 4,220.96

What it said to watch

  • Close below 4151 swing low reopens the 4140 session low
  • Reclaim of 4192 lower high needed to challenge the 4201 swing high
  • Fed's Waller (13:00 UTC) could shift the USD-driven read

04:02 UTC

Pullback after rally, momentum fading · RSI 43 · price 4,172.15

Lower highs off the session peak.

Gold ripped from 4140 to a session high at 4220.96 as the USD eased in thin holiday trade, then faded steadily back to 4172 with RSI(14) cooling toward 42. The 4200 psych level capped the retrace and price is now sitting near the 0.618 of the rally; lower highs since the peak.

Support: 4,158.00, 4,140.00

Resistance: 4,200.00, 4,220.96

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4158 swing low exposes the 4140 session low
  • Reclaim of 4200 psych puts the 4220.96 session high back in play
  • Waller speech 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read

03:46 UTC

Recovery stalling, fading off session high · RSI 49 · price 4,175.73

Spike to 4220 then pullback into 4175.

NY session ripped gold from the 4136 low up to a 4220 session high before supply capped it and price faded back to 4175, leaving a false break of 4200. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s as the move unwinds into early Asia.

Support: 4,150.00

Resistance: 4,200.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 4200 reopens the 4220 session high
  • Loss of 4150 swing low exposes the 4136 session low
  • Fed's Waller speech 13:00 UTC could shift this read

03:46 UTC

Intraday pullback after sharp rally · RSI 46 · price 4,175.73

Retracing the 4136-4220 impulse.

Gold spiked from the 4136 session low to 4220.96 on the reopen before fading back to 4175, roughly the 50% retrace of that impulse, with RSI(14) cooling toward neutral. Supply capped the move at 4220 and price is now sitting on the 4178 mid-point of the swing.

Support: 4,150.00

Resistance: 4,200.00, 4,220.96

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4150 confirms a lower low and re-exposes the 4136 session low
  • Reclaim of 4200 reopens the 4220 session high
  • Fed's Waller speech 13:00 UTC could shift the USD read and this range

03:31 UTC

Intraday up-leg, pulling back · RSI 52 · price 4,180.12

Rally to 4221 then retrace to 50% fib.

Monday Asian session opened with a sharp rally off the 4140 swing low to 4221, where price stalled and rejected. Pullback has unwound to the 50% retrace near 4180 with RSI cooling to mid-range; 4200 psych is now the immediate cap and the 4174 recent low the first floor.

Support: 4,174.00, 4,140.00

Resistance: 4,200.00, 4,220.96

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 4200 reopens the 4221 session high
  • Loss of 4174 recent low exposes the 4140 swing low
  • Fed's Waller 13:00 UTC could shift USD and this read

03:31 UTC

Intraday rally fading after impulse high · RSI 51 · price 4,180.12

Pullback within higher-high sequence.

Gold ripped from the 4136 low to a 4220 session high on a high-volume impulse, then rejected and faded back to 4180, roughly the 0.5 retrace of that leg. RSI(14) has cooled to neutral near 51 as the pullback retests the breakout zone, with the 4173 low so far holding.

Support: 4,168.00, 4,140.00

Resistance: 4,200.00

What it said to watch

  • Close back above 4200 reopens the 4220 session high
  • Failure to hold 4168 (0.618 fib) exposes the 4140 swing low
  • Fed's Waller speech 13:00 UTC could shift this read

03:16 UTC

Short-term up, momentum slowing on pullback · RSI 52 · price 4,180.41

Rally off 4140 stalled at 4220, retracing into mid-range.

Asian session: gold ripped from 4140 to a session high of 4220.96 — a relief bounce against the firm USD — before fading back to 4180, roughly the 50% retrace of that leg. Price is now retesting the breakout zone with RSI(14) cooling back to neutral around 51.

Support: 4,178.30, 4,161.00, 4,140.00

Resistance: 4,200.00, 4,220.96

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4178 exposes 4161 then 4140 range low
  • Reclaim of 4200 puts the 4220 session high back in play
  • Fed's Waller speech 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read

03:16 UTC

Short-term uptrend, pulling back · RSI 52 · price 4,180.41

Rally from 4140, fading off session high.

Gold spiked from the 4140 base to a session high of 4220.96 during Asian hours, then faded back to 4180 as the move stalled below 4200. Pullback now sits near the 50% retracement of the rally; RSI(14) has cooled off the highs to mid-range.

Support: 4,151.00, 4,140.00

Resistance: 4,200.00, 4,220.96

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 4200 reopens the 4220.96 session high
  • Close below 4151 negates the rally structure
  • Fed's Waller (13:00 UTC) could shift the USD/gold read

03:02 UTC

Uptrend, pulling back · RSI 53 · price 4,187.92

Rally rejected at session high, consolidating mid-move.

Gold ripped from 4136 to a 4220.96 session high in early Asia trade, then rejected the level and pulled back to consolidate near 4188 — roughly the 50% retrace of that leg. RSI(14) has cooled to the low-50s as momentum eases; price holds above the 4183.51 swing low.

Support: 4,183.51, 4,140.02

Resistance: 4,200.30, 4,220.96

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4183 swing low opens the path back to 4140 prior low
  • Reclaim of 4200 round number then 4220 session high resumes the advance
  • Fed's Waller speech 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read

03:02 UTC

Intraday uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 53 · price 4,187.92

Rallied to 4221, now pulling back.

Gold ripped from the 4140 session low to 4221 then faded to 4188, with the 4200 round number capping the pullback bounce and RSI(14) cooling off the spike. Price is holding above the 4183 swing low, sitting near the 38.2% retracement of the up-leg.

Support: 4,140.02

Resistance: 4,200.00, 4,220.96

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4183 swing low confirms a lower low and opens the 4170 fib 61.8
  • Reclaim of the 4200 round number reopens the 4221 session high
  • Fed's Waller speech at 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read

02:46 UTC

Intraday uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 56 · price 4,188.77

Higher lows into session high, pullback in play.

Gold rallied off the 4140 low to a session high at 4221 in early Asia trade, then faded back to 4188 with RSI(14) cooling from overbought. Price holding above the 4184 swing low and sitting near the 38.2% retrace of the rally; the 4200 round number is capping the rebound.

Support: 4,184.00, 4,170.90

Resistance: 4,200.00, 4,221.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4184 confirms a lower-low, exposes the 4170.9 fib 61.8%
  • Reclaim of 4200 round number reopens the 4221 session high
  • Fed's Waller speech 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read

02:46 UTC

Intraday uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 55 · price 4,188.77

Rally off session low, pullback holding above 4183.

Asia session reopened with a sharp run from 4136 to 4220.96, then rejected at the session high and pulled back to hold above 4183. RSI(14) has cooled from overbought to mid-50s as the move consolidates; price sits near the 38.2% retrace of the up-leg with both EMAs below.

Support: 4,183.50, 4,162.00

Resistance: 4,200.00, 4,220.96

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4183.5 opens the 4162 pivot
  • Reclaim of 4200 psych reopens the 4220.96 session high
  • Fed's Waller speech (13:00 UTC) could shift the USD-driven read

02:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling after spike · RSI 56 · price 4,191.67

Week-open rally, pulling back from session high.

Week opened with a sharp Asia-session rally from 4136 through 4220, fitting the relief-bounce scenario toward the 4200-4300 zone. Price has since faded to 4191, RSI cooling from overbought, but holding above the 4183 swing low keeps the up-leg intact.

Support: 4,183.50, 4,161.00

Resistance: 4,207.30, 4,220.96

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4183.5 signals a deeper retrace toward the 4161 pivot
  • Reclaim of 4207 and a push at 4220.96 reopens the session-high break
  • Fed's Waller (13:00 UTC) could shift the USD-driven read

02:31 UTC

Intraday uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 56 · price 4,191.67

Rally to session high then pullback.

Gold ripped from the 4140 session low to a 4221 high before sellers capped it; price has since pulled back to 4191, holding above the 4184 pullback low. RSI(14) cooling from the spike, with the move stalling under 4221 after the USD bid eased into thin holiday flow.

Support: 4,184.00, 4,161.00, 4,140.00

Resistance: 4,221.00

What it said to watch

  • Close back below 4184 exposes 4161 and unwinds the session rally
  • Reclaim of 4221 reopens the upside toward the $4,300 cap noted in macro
  • Waller speech at 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read

02:16 UTC

Uptrend, pulling back after spike · RSI 61 · price 4,184.30

Rally then retrace off session high.

Asia-session Monday open ripped from the 4140 session low to a 4220.96 high before fading, RSI(14) cooling from the spike to ~61. Price now pulling back to 4184 toward the 4165 breakout area; the broader rates-driven backdrop keeps USD firm into Waller's speech.

Support: 4,183.50, 4,165.00, 4,140.00

Resistance: 4,220.96

What it said to watch

  • Close back below 4165 negates the breakout
  • Hold above 4183.5 keeps the higher-low structure intact
  • Fed's Waller speech 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read

02:16 UTC

Short-term up, pulling back · RSI 56 · price 4,184.30

Impulse rally off 4140, now retracing.

Post-gap session opened with a sharp relief rally from 4140 to a 4221 session high, in line with the digest's bounce-toward-resistance read, before stalling and retracing to 4184 near the 50% fib. RSI(14) cooling from the impulse high; price still holding above EMA20/50 as the move retraces.

Support: 4,170.00, 4,140.00

Resistance: 4,200.00, 4,221.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back below 4170 negates the rally and re-exposes 4140
  • Reclaim of 4200 reopens the 4221 session high
  • Fed's Waller speech at 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read

02:02 UTC

Short-term up, pulling back after rejection · RSI 58 · price 4,189.13

Impulse off 4136 into 4221, rejection then pullback.

NY session ripped from 4136 to 4221 — a relief bounce off the recent lows as USD eased on holiday-thinned flows — then was sharply rejected at the high, pulling back to 4189. RSI(14) cooled off the move to mid-range; the 4175 breakout area is the first test of whether the impulse holds.

Support: 4,175.00, 4,150.00

Resistance: 4,221.00

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 4175 negates the breakout and reopens 4150
  • Close above 4221 reopens the upside toward 4300 cluster
  • Fed's Waller speech 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read

02:02 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 57 · price 4,189.13

Impulsive rally then pullback off session high.

Gold ripped from the 4136 session low to a 4220.96 high this session, stabilising the broader USD-driven slide, with RSI(14) cooling off its highs as price pulls back to 4189. The pullback is holding above the 4175 breakout shelf so far.

Resistance: 4,220.96

What it said to watch

  • Close back below 4175 negates the breakout retest read
  • Reclaim of 4220.96 reopens the upside extension
  • Fed's Waller speech 13:00 UTC could shift this read

01:46 UTC

Sharp intraday rally, pulling back · RSI 70 · price 4,200.44

Higher highs, breakout then retrace toward 4200.

A sharp relief rally into the Asia session open lifted gold from 4140 to a session high at 4220.96, breaking out of the prior 4140–4175 range. Price has since pulled back to the 4200 round number with RSI cooling from overbought; the 4175 breakout zone is the first support on a deeper retrace.

Support: 4,194.97, 4,140.02

Resistance: 4,220.96

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 4194.97 swing low opens a retrace toward the 4175 breakout zone
  • Reclaim of 4220.96 session high resumes the rally
  • Fed's Waller speech (13:00 UTC) could materially shift this read

01:46 UTC

Intraday rally, momentum cooling · RSI 65 · price 4,200.44

Sharp breakout off session low, first pullback.

Gold ripped from the session low at 4140 to a 4220.96 high in a sharp impulsive run, a relief bounce back to the $4,200 area the digest flagged. RSI(14) is cooling off the highs as price pulls back into the 4195 region, holding above the 4175 breakout shelf.

Support: 4,194.97, 4,175.00, 4,140.00

Resistance: 4,220.96, 4,300.00

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 4195 pullback low then 4175 breakout would unwind the rally
  • A reclaim of 4220.96 session high opens the path back toward 4300
  • Fed's Waller at 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read

01:31 UTC

Intraday uptrend, momentum cooling after spike · RSI 69 · price 4,204.97

Higher highs into 4220, pulling back from session high.

Gold ripped from 4136 to a session high of 4220 into the Sunday-into-Asia open, a relief bounce that reclaimed the $4,200 cap flagged in the macro read. Price has since eased to 4205 with RSI(14) cooling off the spike near 70.

Support: 4,200.00, 4,175.00

Resistance: 4,220.96

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 4220.96 extends the move; rejection there confirms it as the session cap
  • Failure to hold the 4200 psych level opens the 4175 breakout zone
  • Fed's Waller speech today 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read

01:31 UTC

Short-term uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 67 · price 4,204.97

Higher highs off 4136 low, pulling back from session high.

Gold ripped off the 4136 swing low through early Asia to tag a 4220.96 session high — a short-covering relief bounce after the multi-day slide. Price has since faded back to 4204 with RSI(14) cooling from overbought; the 4200 round number and prior 4175 breakout shelf are the levels holding the rally.

Support: 4,200.00, 4,175.00

Resistance: 4,220.96

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4220.96 extends the rally
  • Loss of 4200 then 4175 negates the breakout and reopens 4136
  • Fed's Waller 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read

01:16 UTC

Sharp recovery off lows, momentum strong · RSI 71 · price 4,213.48

Breakout from base, fresh session high.

Gold ripped higher into the Monday Asia open, clearing the 4200 round level in two impulsive M15 candles and printing a session high at 4221 from a base near 4136. RSI(14) near 71 reflects the stretched short-term push; price has parked just under the high with the breakout above 4200 holding so far.

Support: 4,200.00

Resistance: 4,221.00, 4,240.00

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 4200 reopens the 4175 prior high as the next support test
  • A close back above 4221 extends the recovery toward the 4240 overhead
  • Fed's Waller speech today 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read

01:16 UTC

Sharp intraday rally, momentum hot · RSI 75 · price 4,213.48

Higher highs off 4140, breakout extension.

Gold ripped from the 4140 session low to a 4220.96 high in the last few hours, a sharp short-covering relief bounce off the multi-day decline near 4120. Price now consolidates just under 4213 with RSI(14) running hot near 75; the 4200 breakout level is the first area to watch for retest or rejection.

Support: 4,200.00, 4,140.00

Resistance: 4,220.96, 4,233.00

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 4200 reopens 4175 and the 4140 session low
  • Acceptance above 4220.96 extends the rally toward 4233
  • Fed's Waller 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read

01:03 UTC

Sharp intraday rally, momentum hot · RSI 76 · price 4,210.78

Breakout off session low, higher highs.

Asia session opened with a vertical short-covering bounce off 4136.5, price ripping ~85 dollars to tag 4220.96 with RSI(14) running hot near 76. The move broke clear of the 4156-4178 consolidation; 4175 now flips to the immediate retest zone. Broader tone stays heavy, so this read is a stretched bounce, not a base.

Support: 4,175.00, 4,156.00, 4,136.50

Resistance: 4,220.96

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back below 4175 negates the breakout and reopens 4156
  • RSI(14) above 76 — short-term overbought into the spike
  • Fed's Waller (Mon 13:00 UTC) could shift the USD-driven tone

01:03 UTC

Intraday uptrend, momentum hot · RSI 72 · price 4,210.78

Breakout from intraday range.

A sharp late-session rally lifted gold off the 4136 session low straight to a session high at 4221, a clean breakout after a choppy 4136–4165 range. RSI(14) is running hot near 71 into the move, with 4175 now the flipped breakout level. Broader weekly tone stays bearish, but intraday momentum is firmly up.

Support: 4,175.00

Resistance: 4,220.96

What it said to watch

  • Hold above 4175 keeps the breakout intact; loss reopens the 4136 session low
  • Rejection at the 4220 session high risks a fade back into the prior range
  • Waller speech (Mon 13:00 UTC) could materially shift this read

00:46 UTC

Intraday recovery off session low · RSI 65 · price 4,178.96

Higher lows building from 4140, rebound underway.

Early Monday Asian tape bounced off the 4140 session low, with buyers stepping in twice near 4140-4145 before a clean push to 4179. RSI(14) firming around 64, recovery sits inside a broader weekly downtrend that flagged the 4121 weekly low as nearby support.

Support: 4,140.02, 4,121.00

Resistance: 4,179.11, 4,183.00, 4,218.00

What it said to watch

  • Close above 4183 prior high opens the path toward the 4218 swing high
  • Failure to hold 4140 confirms a lower low toward the 4121 weekly low
  • Waller speech 13:00 UTC and Tue PMIs are the next catalysts that could shift this read

00:46 UTC

Short-term bounce, momentum building · RSI 69 · price 4,178.96

Recovery off session low, testing prior high.

Asia session opened with a sharp bounce off the 4136 swing low, price recovering to 4179 and pressing the 4182 prior high, RSI(14) near 68. Clean recovery from the recent slide, but still capped under the 4182 prior high.

Support: 4,140.00, 4,121.00

Resistance: 4,182.98, 4,200.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4182.98 opens the path to 4200
  • Loss of 4140 session low reopens 4121 weekly low
  • Waller speech Mon 13:00 UTC and Tue PMIs could shift this read

00:31 UTC

Intraday recovery, momentum up · RSI 65 · price 4,169.43

Rebound off 4136 session low.

Gold rebounded sharply off the 4136 session low to retest the 4171 session high in thin Asian-session trade, RSI lifting through the mid-60s. Price reclaimed EMA20/50 on the bounce, though the broader tape stays heavy with the hawkish-Fed/USD theme capping rallies.

Support: 4,148.00

Resistance: 4,171.00, 4,182.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4171 opens the 4182 prior high
  • Loss of 4148 puts the 4136 session low back in play
  • Fed's Waller (Mon 13:00 UTC) and Tue PMIs could shift this read

00:31 UTC

Short-term recovery off session low · RSI 62 · price 4,169.43

Bouncing after thin-tape gap, higher lows building.

Gold dipped to a 4140 session low then snapped back to 4171 in the latest bars, RSI(14) firming into the low-60s as price reclaimed both EMAs. The bounce comes against a broader weekly slide on hawkish-Fed/USD strength, so this is recovery within pressure rather than a trend turn. Tape is thin around the gap, keep that in mind on move size.

Support: 4,140.00, 4,121.00

Resistance: 4,171.00, 4,183.00

What it said to watch

  • Sustained M15 close above 4171 session high opens 4183 prior high
  • Loss of 4140 session low re-exposes 4121 one-week low
  • Fed's Waller (Mon) and Tue PMIs could materially shift this read

00:16 UTC

Ranging, recent bounce · RSI 53 · price 4,163.96

Consolidation, holding above session low.

Thin holiday tape: gold sold off to 4136 then snapped back to retest the 4165 session high, the last bar reclaiming most of the prior down leg. Price is ranging roughly 4136-4165 with no clean break in either direction.

Resistance: 4,165.00, 4,178.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4165 opens 4178 prior high
  • Loss of 4136 reopens 4121 swing low
  • Fed's Waller (Mon 13:00 UTC) could shift this read

00:16 UTC

Downtrend stabilising, intraday bounce · RSI 55 · price 4,163.96

Ranging after sweep of session low.

Week-open Asia tape: gold swept the 4136 session low then snapped back to 4164 on the latest bar, holding inside a 4136-4165 range. Broader bias stays heavy after the hawkish Fed repricing, but the intraday move is a relief recovery rather than a breakout.

Resistance: 4,165.00, 4,182.98

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4136 opens the 4121 one-week low
  • Close above 4165 challenges the 4183 prior high
  • Fed's Waller (Mon) and Tue PMIs could reset this range

00:02 UTC

Downtrend stabilising, range-bound · RSI 44 · price 4,147.15

Consolidation after slide to one-week low.

Gold based near the 4121 one-week low and recovered into a 4140-4164 range, in line with the broader hawkish-Fed bleed. Latest bars rejected 4159 and dipped to 4140 before buyers stepped in at the session low; RSI(14) mid-range at 44.

Support: 4,140.02

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4136 reopens the 4121 week low
  • Reclaim and hold above 4164 puts 4180 prior high back in play
  • S&P Global PMIs Tue 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read

00:02 UTC

Downside drift, momentum soft · RSI 43 · price 4,147.15

Rotating off session high, testing lows.

Thin Monday Asia tape: gold rejected the 4164.58 session high and slid to 4136.51 before a modest bounce to 4147, still bleeding into a third weekly decline on hawkish-Fed/strong-USD flows. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-40s — no momentum either way yet.

Support: 4,136.51, 4,121.00

Resistance: 4,164.58

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4136.51 opens the 4121 one-week low
  • Reclaim of 4164.58 needed to neutralise the lower-high read
  • Fed's Waller (13:00 UTC) and Tue PMIs could shift this read

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