Gold cleared the $4,100 cap that rejected earlier this week, rallying off Tuesday's ~3996 low through the FOMC spike and holding gains into the current session. Price is now consolidating a tight 4098–4120 band just under the week high, with RSI(14) elevated near 63 and both EMAs beneath price. The $4,100 handle that previously capped is now acting as the pivot the move is built on.
Resistance: 4,120.22
What it said to watch
H1 close back below 4098 would reopen the 4064 swing low and question the breakout
Sustained close above 4120 extends the week's advance
Fri UoM inflation expectations (14:00 UTC) could firm USD and pressure this read
Gold reclaimed the $4,100 cap during the NY session, rallying off the ~3996 low with a sharp post-FOMC impulse into 4120. Price is now consolidating just above 4100, with the week high at 4120 capping and RSI elevated but flattening. The metal has held above EMA20 and EMA50 through the advance, keeping the near-term structure of higher lows intact despite the broader bearish weekly tone.
Support: 4,100.00, 4,065.00
Resistance: 4,120.22
What it said to watch
H1 close above 4120 opens the path to extend the advance
Loss of 4100 reopens downside toward the 4065 swing low
UoM inflation expectations and Chicago PMI Friday could shift this read
Gold clawed back off the $3,996 low during Wednesday's session and has since ground higher through the NY session, reclaiming and holding above the $4,100 barrier that capped it all week. The soft core PCE and weak Q2 GDP print gave the relief leg; the hawkish-hold Fed keeps a lid overhead, with supply repeatedly capping into $4,120. RSI(14) sits in the low-60s, no divergence into the latest push.
Support: 4,100.00
Resistance: 4,120.00
What it said to watch
H1 close back below 4100 puts price under the week-long barrier again
A decisive break above 4120 opens the path toward higher supply
Fri ECI + UoM inflation expectations could reprice the Sept hike path and shift this read
22:02 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 64 · price 4,103.67
Higher lows off $4,000, testing week highs.
Gold recovered hard off the $4,000 defense mid-week and pushed through the $4,100 barrier that capped every attempt this week, after the Fed's hawkish hold and softer core PCE. RSI(14) has cycled in the 55-68 band as each pullback found the rising EMA(20), and price is now coiling near the 4116-4120 week high. Momentum is intact above EMA(20) and EMA(50) but the move is extended into resistance.
Support: 4,098.00, 4,083.00
Resistance: 4,116.00, 4,120.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above 4120 opens continuation higher
Failure to hold 4098 exposes 4083 and the EMA(20)
Loss of 4083 threatens the higher-low sequence
Fri ECI + UoM inflation expectations could reprice hike odds and shift this read
21:04 UTC
Recovery off lows, testing range top · RSI 61 · price 4,103.67
Higher lows since 3996, probing weekly ceiling.
Gold clawed back from the 3996 low into the NY session, riding the FOMC hawkish-hold whipsaw and softer core PCE to re-test the 4100-4120 zone that capped price all week. Higher lows are intact and price holds above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) near 60, but the last bar rejected from 4117 and closed back at 4103. The 4120 week high remains the barrier bulls have failed to clear.
Support: 4,100.00, 4,083.00, 4,066.00
Resistance: 4,120.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above 4120 opens the path back toward the spike high area
Failure to hold 4100 reopens the 4083 retest and 4066 swing low
UoM inflation expectations Fri and ISM Mon could materially shift this read
Gold recovered off its $4,000 defence and pushed into the NY session, tagging the $4,118 week high before the last bar faded back to 4103. The leg accelerated after the FOMC hold and soft core PCE, but a firmer dollar keeps capping attempts above $4,116. RSI cycles in the upper half and price holds above EMA(20), with rising higher-lows from the $3,996 base intact.
Support: 4,066.00
Resistance: 4,118.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above 4118 opens continuation; repeated rejection keeps the week range capped
Failure to hold 4066 rising support confirms a lower-low
Fri ECI and UoM inflation expectations could materially shift this read
Gold spent the week grinding on $4,000 support, which held on repeated tests, before the FOMC hold sparked a spike to $4,120 then a fade back to $4,044. Since the NY session the metal has recovered a full leg, reclaiming the $4,100 rejection ceiling that capped price earlier in the week, with RSI(14) pushing into the low-60s. Price sits above both EMA(20) and EMA(50) as the higher-low sequence off $4,000 holds.
What it said to watch
Sustained H1 close above $4,120 opens continuation toward the CTA short-cover zone higher up
Failure to hold above $4,100 reopens the $4,066/$4,044 pullback lows
Fri Chicago PMI and UoM inflation expectations could reprice hike odds and shift this read
Higher lows off week low, consolidating below 4120.
Gold carved a V-recovery this week, testing the 4000 psych area and a Wednesday low near 3996 before the FOMC hold sparked a sharp spike to the 4120 week high. Hawkish dissents and a firmer USD have capped the metal below that fomc spike, with price now consolidating in the upper 4100s and holding above EMA20/EMA50. Benign core PCE (0.1% vs 0.2%) offered no fresh downside, leaving the session low near 4098 as the pivot.
Support: 4,098.00, 4,066.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,120.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above 4120 week high opens the path toward the ~4222 CTA zone
Failure to hold 4098 session low re-exposes the 4066 swing low
Fri ECI / Chicago PMI / UoM inflation expectations could shift this read
19:03 UTC
Recovery off $4,000, capped near $4,110 · RSI 57 · price 4,099.20
Higher lows since Tuesday's low, testing week high.
Gold rebounded off Tuesday's $4,000 area and rallied through the NY session into the $4,110–4,120 zone before easing back toward $4,100. The FOMC hold with hawkish dissents whipsawed price mid-week, but the sequence of higher lows since then holds and price sits above EMA(20). The $4,110 area has capped the last several bars while RSI cycles in the mid-50s.
Support: 4,066.00, 4,044.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,120.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above 4120 opens the path back toward the CTA trigger near 4222
Failure to hold 4066 exposes 4044 and the 4000 psych support
Fri 14:00 GMT UoM inflation expectations could shift USD and this read
Gold clawed back from the week's $3,996 low through the NY session, reclaiming $4,100 after the hawkish Fed hold but stalling under the $4,120 week high. RSI(14) has cycled up toward 60 with price holding above EMA(20) on this recovery leg. The $4,100 area has capped repeated pushes, keeping the rebound corrective for now.
Support: 4,066.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,120.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above 4120 opens the path back toward the ~4222 zone
Failure to hold 4066 reopens the 4000 psych test
UoM inflation expectations Fri 14:00 GMT could shift this read
Gold has rallied hard off Wednesday's 3996 low, reclaiming the 4100 barrier that had capped every recovery attempt this week — helped by today's softer core PCE and weak GDP print. Two pushes into 4120 have stalled, leaving a double top at the week high, while pullbacks have printed higher lows off 4028. RSI(14) sits mid-60s with price holding above both EMA(20) and EMA(50).
Support: 4,100.00, 4,066.00, 4,028.00
Resistance: 4,120.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above 4120 clears the week high and opens room higher
Failure to hold 4100 reopens the 4066 swing low
Fri 12:30 UTC ECI and 14:00 UTC Michigan inflation expectations could reprice the Sep-hike view and shift this read
18:02 UTC
Recovery, momentum building · RSI 65 · price 4,104.83
Higher lows off week low, testing 4100 cap.
Gold has clawed back off the $4,000 area, whipsawing $4,041–$4,120 around yesterday's hawkish Fed hold, and is now pressing back above the $4,100 zone that capped every recovery attempt this week. Price sits above both EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) cycling in the low-60s as higher lows build since the week's 3996 base. The 4120 week high is the immediate barrier; softer core PCE offered only limited fuel against a firmer dollar.
Support: 4,100.00, 4,044.00
Resistance: 4,120.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above 4120 week high opens continuation
Failure to hold the 4100 prior cap reopens the 4044 swing low
Fri 12:30 UTC ECI and 14:00 UTC Michigan inflation expectations could shift this read
Gold based near the 3996 low midweek then recovered hard through the FOMC hold, reclaiming 4100 into the NY session with price holding above EMA20 and EMA50. Softer core PCE and a weak GDP print gave the metal marginal relief, but 4120 has capped the last two pushes. RSI(14) is cycling in the low-60s as the recovery leg extends toward week highs.
Support: 4,100.00, 4,066.00
Resistance: 4,120.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above 4120 opens the path toward higher CTA levels
failure to hold 4100 psych exposes the 4066 swing
Fri ECI/Michigan inflation expectations could reprice Sep-hike odds and shift this read
Gold has clawed back off the $3,996 week low, riding the FOMC whipsaw and reclaiming the $4,100 zone into the NY session with RSI(14) cycling in the low 60s and price holding above both EMA20 and EMA50. Softer core PCE (0.1% vs 0.2% f/c) and a weak GDP print gave the metal breathing room, but the $4,120 week high has capped the latest push. Structure is a chain of higher lows since Wednesday, with 4100 now acting as reclaimed support.
Support: 4,083.00, 4,044.00
Resistance: 4,120.22
What it said to watch
H1 close above 4120.22 opens the path toward the next handle
Failure to hold the 4100 zone reopens 4083 then 4044 swing lows
Fri 12:30 UTC ECI and 14:00 UTC Michigan inflation expectations could shift this read materially
16:02 UTC
Recovery, momentum building · RSI 64 · price 4,111.44
Higher lows, breaking week range top.
Gold has recovered off this week's $3,996 low and pushed above the $4,100 barrier that capped every attempt since Monday, printing a session high at $4,120 during NY hours. The move came after the hawkish-hold FOMC and today's softer core PCE (0.1% MoM) offered marginal relief; price now holds above EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) at 64. The $4,100 zone flips to the immediate pivot after the break.
Support: 4,100.00
Resistance: 4,120.00, 4,222.00
What it said to watch
H1 close back below 4100 negates the break of this week's barrier
Close above 4120 opens the path toward the 4222 CTA zone
Fri 12:30 UTC ECI and 14:00 UTC Michigan inflation expectations could materially shift this read
Gold has climbed from the 3996 low set mid-window back through the 4100 zone that capped every recovery attempt this week, printing a week high at 4120 in the NY session. Softer core PCE (0.1% vs 0.2%) offered marginal support against a firmer USD, and price is now holding above EMA20 with RSI(14) pushing into the low 60s. The breakout above 4100 keeps the intraday sequence of higher lows intact off the 4083 pullback.
Support: 4,083.18, 4,046.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,120.22, 4,100.00
What it said to watch
H1 close back below 4100 would put the breakout back into the prior cap zone
Failure to hold 4083 reopens the 4046 session low and 4000 psych level
Fri 12:30 UTC ECI and 14:00 UTC Michigan inflation expectations could materially shift this read
15:03 UTC
Recovery, testing range top · RSI 62 · price 4,098.80
Range 4000-4120, pressing resistance.
Gold whipsawed around the FOMC hold, tagging the 3996 area before recovering into the $4,100 barrier that has capped every attempt this week. Today's softer core PCE (0.1% vs 0.2%) offered only limited lift against a hot GDP price index, and price stalled at 4120 before easing back to 4099. Structure remains a $4,000-$4,120 range with the metal probing the top edge.
Support: 4,066.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,120.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above 4120 clears the rejection zone and opens the path toward 4222
Failure to hold 4066 reopens the 4000 psych test
Fri 12:30 UTC ECI and 14:00 UTC Michigan inflation expectations could shift this read
15:02 UTC
Recovery off lows, capped at 4100 · RSI 62 · price 4,098.80
Choppy range 4000-4120, higher lows building.
Gold whipsawed around the FOMC hold and today's soft core PCE, swinging the 4000-4120 range all week before grinding higher into the NY session off a 3996 base. The 4100 barrier has capped every recovery attempt this week and price stalled there again after tagging the 4120 week high, closing back at 4098.8. Higher lows since yesterday's dip keep the metal above EMA20, but the metal has not sustained a break above 4100.
Support: 4,066.00, 4,044.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,100.00, 4,120.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above 4100 opens the path to the 4120 week high
Failure to hold the 4066 pullback low reopens 4044 swing low and 4000 psych support
Fri 12:30 UTC ECI and 14:00 UTC Michigan inflation expectations could shift this read
14:02 UTC
Recovery off the lows, momentum building · RSI 69 · price 4,118.74
Week's decline reversed, breaking the 4100 cap.
Gold spent most of the week grinding lower into the pivotal $4,000 handle before basing and turning higher; the recovery accelerated into the NY session as soft US GDP and a Core PCE miss offered relief. Price has now pushed through the $4,100 cap that rejected repeatedly this week, tagging 4118 with RSI(14) cycling toward 69. The 4100 zone flips to the first support test on any pullback.
Support: 4,100.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,116.00
What it said to watch
H1 close back below 4100 negates the breakout and reopens the 4000 support test
Sustained hold above 4100 keeps the recovery structure intact toward the 4116 prior high
Fri UoM inflation expectations (14:00 UTC) could materially shift this read via Fed-hike repricing
Gold ground lower all week toward the pivotal 4000 handle before a sharp spike to 4116 on the post-PCE/GDP session, which was immediately faded back to the mid-4040s — a clear false break. Price has since recovered to 4071, sitting just above EMA20 with RSI cycling back to mid-range, but 4100 has capped every attempt this week. The 4116 rejection and repeated 4100 failures keep the higher timeframe structure heavy despite the bounce off 4000.
Support: 4,042.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,100.00, 4,116.48
What it said to watch
H1 close above 4100 would negate the repeated rejection read
Loss of 4042 reopens the 4000 support test
Fri UoM inflation expectations (14:00 UTC) could reprice Fed-hike odds and shift this read
Gold has been whipped inside a 4000-4116 range all week; the spike to 4116 mid-week faded straight back to 4044, and soft US Core PCE and GDP misses today gave only limited relief. Price based near 4029 and ground back to 4071 on rising higher lows, with RSI(14) cycling mid-range around 54. The 4100 zone has repeatedly capped attempts, keeping the range intact.
Support: 4,029.00, 4,000.00, 3,996.02
Resistance: 4,100.00, 4,116.48
What it said to watch
H1 close below 4000 opens fresh downside toward the 3996 week low
Repeated rejection at 4100 keeps the range structure intact; a close above it targets the 4116 week high
Fri UoM inflation expectations (14:00 UTC) and ECI could materially shift this read
Gold ground lower from Monday's ~4075 open toward 4000 support through the week, then the hawkish FOMC hold triggered a spike to 4116 that was immediately rejected back near 4044. Price has since clawed higher off the 4028 area, reclaiming EMA20 and pressing to 4076 with RSI near 55, but the 4100 zone has capped every recovery attempt this week. Core PCE lands imminently and remains the swing factor.
Support: 4,040.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,100.00, 4,116.00
What it said to watch
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC (~30 min) could materially shift this read
H1 close above 4100 opens path toward the 4116 week high
Gold ground lower from ~4116 Monday toward the 4000 psych support into the Fed, printing 3996 before whipsawing on the hawkish 9-3 hold — a spike to 4116 was rejected straight back toward 4044. Price has since clawed back to 4076, holding above EMA20 with RSI cycling near the mid-50s, but the 4100 zone has repeatedly capped attempts this week. Bears retained control through the decline while the recovery leans on the 4030-4041 range low.
Support: 4,041.00, 4,030.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,100.00, 4,116.00
What it said to watch
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC (~30m) could materially shift this read
H1 close above 4100 opens the path back to the 4116 week high
Failure to hold 4041 range low re-exposes the 4000 psych support and prior 3996 sweep
11:03 UTC
Downtrend this week, recovering off lows · RSI 57 · price 4,079.02
Range $4,000-$4,100, bouncing from lower bound.
Gold gapped higher into the week then bled lower toward the $4,000 key level, before the hawkish FOMC hold sparked a violent spike to the $4,116 week high that was immediately rejected back below $4,100. Price has since clawed back off the $4,044 swing low into the NY session, reclaiming EMA20 and EMA50 around $4,079 with RSI(14) recovering toward 57. The $4,100 range top remains the ceiling that has capped every rally this week.
Support: 4,044.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,100.00, 4,116.48
What it said to watch
Core PCE + GDP cluster at 12:30 UTC (~1.5h) could materially shift this read
H1 close above 4100 range top opens the path to the 4116 week high
Failure to hold 4044 swing low reopens the 4000 key level test
Gold has clawed back from Wednesday's $3,996 low after the hawkish Fed hold, grinding to $4,079 into the NY session and reclaiming both EMAs. The FOMC spike tagged $4,116 before being rejected hard back to $4,044, keeping the $4,100 ceiling that has capped rallies all week intact. RSI(14) has cycled back up through 50 as the recovery extends off the base.
Support: 4,044.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,100.00, 4,116.48
What it said to watch
Core PCE / GDP at 12:30 UTC (~1.5h) is a high-impact catalyst that could reset this read
H1 close above 4100 opens the path back toward the 4116 week high
Failure to hold 4044 reopens the 4000 fed-test level
Gold has been pinned in the $4,000-$4,100 band all week, with the hawkish 9-3 Fed hold sparking a spike to 4116 that was rejected hard back to 4044 — a second failure at the 4116 zone after Tuesday's peak. Price has since clawed back above EMA(20) to ~4064, holding mid-range with RSI(14) neutral near 52. The $4,100 ceiling continues to cap and the offered tone persists into the US data cluster.
Support: 4,044.45, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,100.00, 4,116.48
What it said to watch
Core PCE/GDP at 12:30 UTC (~2.5h) is a high-impact catalyst that could break this range
H1 close above 4100 invalidates the range-top read and reopens 4116
Failure to hold 4044 opens the path back to the 4000 fed-test
10:03 UTC
Range-bound, choppy · RSI 53 · price 4,063.97
Ranging 4000-4100 after spike rejection.
Gold has been pinned in a 4000-4100 range all week under a hawkish Fed hold, with the sharp spike to 4116 quickly rejected back below 4045 — a clean false break of the ceiling. Price has since based off 4029 and is chopping back toward the 4073 prior high, holding just above EMA20 with RSI(14) mid-range near 53. The 4100 ceiling remains the dominant cap; 4044/4029 are the demand shelf beneath.
Support: 4,044.00, 4,029.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,073.00, 4,100.00, 4,116.00
What it said to watch
US Core PCE / GDP cluster at 12:30 UTC (~2.5h) is high-impact and could reshape this read
H1 close above 4100 ceiling reopens the path to the 4116 week high
Failure to hold 4044 exposes 4029 and the 4000 psych support
09:04 UTC
Range, choppy post-Fed · RSI 50 · price 4,061.54
Consolidation between 4029 and 4090.
Gold gapped higher over the weekend near 4093, faded toward the 4000 area, then whipsawed on the divided Fed hold — spiking to 4116 before reversing hard back below 4045, a clean false break of the upside. Since then price has consolidated in a 4029-4090 band, now near 4061 with RSI(14) mid-range and price hovering around EMA20. The $4,000 support and the 4090-4100 cap frame this week's tape.
Support: 4,029.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,090.00, 4,116.00
What it said to watch
US Core PCE / Q2 GDP at 12:30 UTC (~3.5h) is the key catalyst and can break this range
H1 close below 4029 exposes the 4000 psych support
Gold has held a 4000–4100 range all week, firming near/above 4000 support after the divided-hold FOMC. A sharp spike to 4116 was immediately rejected back under 4100 — a false break that reinforced the cap; price now sits mid-range near 4061 at the EMA20. RSI cycling around 50 confirms the two-way, non-directional tone.
Support: 4,028.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,100.00, 4,116.48
What it said to watch
US Core PCE / GDP at 12:30 UTC (~4h) is the key catalyst and could break this range
H1 close above 4100 opens the path back toward the 4116 week high
Gold remains boxed in the $4,000-$4,100 range that has defined the week; the hawkish-hold FOMC spike to 4116 was rejected hard back to 4045, a clean false break above the range cap. Price now trades below EMA20 (~4046) mid-range with RSI(14) near 44 after repeated failures above 4100. The $4,000 psychological floor is the key line under any downside extension.
Support: 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,046.00, 4,100.00
What it said to watch
Core PCE / GDP cluster at 12:30 UTC is the near-term catalyst and could reset this range read
H1 close below 4000 confirms a break of the range floor
Rangebound 4000-4100, back below mid after FOMC spike faded.
Gold spiked to 4116 on the hawkish-hold FOMC then fully reversed, leaving a false break of the 4100 range cap and rejection back into the body of the week's 4000-4100 range. Price now sits near 4037, below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) in the low 40s, having retraced roughly two-thirds of the 3996-4116 impulse. The 4066 lower high has capped the bounce while 4020 and the 4000 psych level remain the downside markers.
Support: 4,020.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,066.00, 4,100.00, 4,116.00
What it said to watch
Core PCE / GDP at 12:30 UTC is the near-term catalyst and could reset this range read
H1 close below 4020 opens the path toward the 4000 psych level and a range break lower
Reclaim of 4066 puts the 4100 range cap back in play
Gold spiked to 4116 on the hawkish-hold reaction then immediately reversed, leaving a false break and defining the post-Fed 4041-4100 range. Since then price has carved lower highs and faded back to the 4050 pivot, now slipping to 4040 with RSI sub-50 and price under both EMAs. The 4100 cap rejected twice this week while 4000 has repeatedly held.
Support: 4,028.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,050.00, 4,066.00, 4,100.00
What it said to watch
H1 close below 4028 confirms a lower low toward the 4000 round number
Reclaim of 4066 puts the 4100 range cap back in play
US Core PCE + advance GDP at 12:30 UTC (~6h) is the key catalyst for this range
The FOMC hold sparked a spike to 4116 that was immediately faded back below 4050, leaving a false break at the week high and a post-Fed 4041–4100 range. Since then H1 has printed lower highs off 4116 and price now sits at the 4034–4050 lower bound, trading below EMA20 with RSI(14) in the mid-40s. The 4100 cap has repeatedly rejected while 4000 has defended on the week.
Support: 4,034.00, 4,020.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,050.00, 4,100.00
What it said to watch
US Core PCE + GDP at 12:30 UTC (~6h) can materially shift this read
H1 close below 4020 exposes the 4000 round number
Reclaim of the 4050 pivot needed before another test of the 4100 cap
Gold spiked to 4116 during the FOMC reaction then reversed hard, a false break that has since stair-stepped lower through the NY session as the hawkish 9-3 hold reasserted pressure. Price now trades below EMA20 and EMA50 at 4035 with lower highs at 4100 and 4066 intact and RSI(14) sub-40. The 4020 swing low is the floor of this leg ahead of the 12:30 UTC PCE/GDP cluster.
Support: 4,020.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,066.00, 4,100.00
What it said to watch
Core PCE / GDP at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close below 4020 opens the 4000 psych test
Reclaim of 4066 needed to challenge the 4100 fomc cap
Gold spiked to 4116 on the Fed hold then was rejected hard, and has printed lower highs (4088, 4066, 4051) through the NY session and into Asia since. Price now sits below EMA20/50 and is grinding back toward the 4020 swing area, with the 4000-4003 pivot the week's repeatedly-tested floor. The move is corrective inside a broad 4000-4100 weekly band rather than a clean trend.
Support: 4,020.00, 4,003.00
Resistance: 4,066.00, 4,100.00
What it said to watch
H1 close below 4020 opens the 4000-4003 psych test
Reclaim of 4066 breaks the lower-high sequence
Core PCE / GDP cluster at 12:30 UTC (~6h) can materially shift this read
Gold spiked to 4116 on the Fed hold yesterday then was rejected straight back, and price has chopped inside a 4041-4100 band since, capped repeatedly near 4100. Into the Asia-to-London hours today it sits back below EMA(20) and EMA(50) at the range floor around 4041, with RSI(14) rolling toward the mid-40s. The 9-3 hawkish split reasserted pressure, keeping flows reactive rather than trending.
Support: 4,041.00, 4,000.00, 3,996.02
Resistance: 4,100.00, 4,116.48
What it said to watch
US Core PCE / GDP cluster at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close below 4041 opens the 4000 psych / 3996 week-low test
Reclaim of 4066 keeps price inside the 4041-4100 range
Gold spiked to 4116 in the post-FOMC session then was sharply rejected, unwinding the entire move back toward the 4041-4100 band floor. Price has printed successive lower highs since the reversal and now trades below EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) hovering in the low 40s. The 4066 area capped the last bounce; 4022-4000 marks the lower edge that held pre-Fed.
Support: 4,022.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,066.00, 4,100.00, 4,116.48
What it said to watch
Core PCE / GDP at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close above 4066 negates the lower-high sequence
Gold has chopped inside a $4,000–$4,100 band all week after the Fed held at 3.75%, with the sharp spike to 4116 during yesterday's NY session promptly rejected back below 4070 — a clean false break of the range top. Price now hovers near EMA(20)/EMA(50) around 4055–4060 with RSI(14) flat mid-range, showing no directional resolution. The day high at 4088 has capped the latest bounce.
Support: 4,044.00, 4,022.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,088.00, 4,116.00
What it said to watch
US Core PCE + GDP today 12:30 UTC could break the range read
H1 close below 4044 exposes 4022 and the 4000 psych floor
Reclaiming 4088 reopens the 4100–4116 range cap
04:03 UTC
Range-bound, no clear direction · RSI 48 · price 4,059.53
Trapped in $4,000–$4,100 weekly range.
Gold has chopped inside the $4,000–$4,100 band all week, with the Fed hold at 3.75% yesterday triggering a violent spike to 4116 that was fully rejected back to 4045 within two bars. Price has since stabilised near 4060, mid-range and hugging the EMA20, with RSI(14) neutral around 47. The 4088–4100 zone has capped every rebound while demand keeps stepping in near 4000–4020.
Support: 4,020.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,088.00, 4,100.00, 4,116.00
What it said to watch
US Core PCE today 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close above 4100 invalidates the range-cap read
Failure to hold 4000 confirms a break of the weekly floor
03:03 UTC
Range-bound, no clear direction · RSI 51 · price 4,064.30
4000-4116 weekly range, spike rejected.
Gold has chopped inside a 4000-4116 range all week, filling the earlier weekly gap and failing repeatedly above 4100. A high-volume spike to 4116 during yesterday's session was rejected hard back to 4044, leaving the range cap intact; price now sits mid-range near 4064, back above a flattening EMA(20). The Fed's hold at 3.75% keeps the hawkish lean in place.
Support: 4,042.00, 4,020.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,100.00, 4,116.00
What it said to watch
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC (HIGH) could materially shift this read
H1 close above 4100 challenges the range cap toward 4116
Failure to hold 4042 opens the path to 4020 and the 4000 psych level
Gold has chopped inside a 4000–4116 range all week, capped repeatedly near the 4100 cap. Yesterday's NY-session spike to 4116 was fully unwound within the hour — a false break that closed back at 4044, and price has since drifted to 4064 under a series of lower highs. RSI(14) sits mid-range as the post-Fed hawkish-hold read keeps rebounds heavy.
Support: 4,042.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,088.00, 4,100.00, 4,116.00
What it said to watch
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC (HIGH) could materially shift this read
Close below 4042 opens the path toward the 4000 psych support
H1 close above 4088 revives a test of the 4100 range cap
02:03 UTC
Range-bound, choppy · RSI 56 · price 4,086.40
Consolidation inside weekly range.
Gold has chopped inside a $4,000–$4,100 band all week, filling the weekend gap and failing repeatedly at the range cap. The spike to $4,116 in yesterday's NY session was rejected hard back to $4,044, a false break above the cap, before buyers stepped in to reclaim $4,086 and hold above the EMA(20). Price now sits mid-range with RSI(14) recovered to the mid-50s ahead of US Core PCE.
Support: 4,044.00, 4,000.00, 3,996.00
Resistance: 4,100.00, 4,116.00
What it said to watch
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC (HIGH) could materially shift this read
H1 close above 4100 reopens the 4116 week high
Loss of 4044 exposes the 4000 psych level and 3996 week low
02:02 UTC
Range-bound, choppy · RSI 56 · price 4,086.40
Range with spike-and-fade.
Gold spiked to 4116 during the NY session before an immediate fade back to 4045, a false break that left the week's 4000–4116 range intact. Price has since recovered to 4086, holding above EMA20 with RSI mid-range near 56; the 4100 round level and 4116 week high remain the cap, while 4044 swing low and the 4000 psych floor bound the downside. Core PCE and GDP at 12:30 UTC are the next test.
Support: 4,044.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,100.00, 4,116.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above 4100 puts the 4116 week high back in play
Loss of 4044 swing low reopens the 4000 psych support
US Core PCE / GDP at 12:30 UTC could reset the range read
Gold has held the $4,000–$4,100 range all week, filling the weekend gap and repeatedly rejecting $4,100 into and through the FOMC hold at 3.75%. A high-volume spike to $4,116 was faded straight back to $4,044 before buyers stepped in to recover toward $4,086, keeping price above the H1 EMA(20) with RSI(14) back near 58. The $4,000 psych floor remains the pivot the week is built on.
Support: 4,045.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,100.00, 4,116.00
What it said to watch
US Core PCE/GDP at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close above 4100 opens the path toward the 4116 week high
Loss of the 4045 swing low reopens the 4000 psych support
01:04 UTC
Range recovery, momentum turning up · RSI 56 · price 4,086.40
Week range 4000-4116, rebound off lows.
Gold rebounded off the $4,000-$4,022 base and spiked to $4,116 in the NY session before rejection dumped it back to $4,045, with price now stabilising near $4,086 above EMA(20). The $4,116 highs marked earlier this week and on the recent spike form a double top, keeping the $4,000-$4,116 range intact. The move came into the PCE data batch after a hawkish-hold FOMC left hike risk on the table.
Support: 4,044.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,116.00
What it said to watch
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC today is the key catalyst and can materially shift this read
H1 close above 4116 invalidates the range top and double top
Failure to hold 4044 reopens the 4000 psychological support
00:03 UTC
Range-bound, recovering off support · RSI 55 · price 4,086.40
$4,000-$4,100 range, twin rejections at $4,116.
Gold has churned the $4,000-$4,100 range all week as the Fed hold at 3.75% kept bullion heavy. Wednesday's spike to $4,116 was rejected straight back to $4,044 — a second failure at the same level after Monday's high — before buyers returned toward $4,088 into the NY close. Price now sits above EMA20/EMA50 mid-range with RSI back near 55.
Support: 4,044.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,100.00, 4,116.00
What it said to watch
Core PCE + GDP Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this range read
H1 close above 4100 range cap opens the 4116 double-top retest
Failure to hold 4044 swing low exposes the 4000 psych level
00:02 UTC
Range-bound, recovering off lows · RSI 54 · price 4,086.40
Choppy range, mid-range after upside spike faded.
Gold has churned inside a 4000–4116 range all week, kept heavy near 4000 after the Fed held at 3.75%. Yesterday's NY session saw a high-volume spike to 4116 that immediately reversed to 4044 — a false break of the range cap — before price clawed back toward 4086 and reclaimed EMA20/EMA50. RSI(14) is mid-band around 54, matching the indecisive, mean-reverting price action.
Support: 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,116.00
What it said to watch
Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Decisive H1 close below 4000 psych opens deeper losses
H1 close above 4116 week high needed to negate the false break