XAU/USD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Thursday, 30 July 2026

Every read JAFX AI made on the XAU/USD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.

23:47 UTC

Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 56 · price 4,109.37

Higher highs into range near session top.

NY session rallied from the ~4028 low to a 4120 session high, then settled into a 4083–4117 consolidation just under the top. The $4,100 handle — the digest's rejection zone — is now acting as support, with price holding above it into the late session.

Support: 4,083.18

Resistance: 4,120.22, 4,117.39

What it said to watch

  • Close above 4120 session high opens continuation
  • Failure to hold 4083 swing low confirms a lower low
  • Fri UoM inflation expectations / Chicago PMI could shift this read

23:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 53 · price 4,109.37

Consolidating below session high after rejection.

Gold ran from the 4028 Asia low to a session high at 4120 through NY hours, then got rejected and settled into a 4100-4115 range into thin Asia trade. RSI(14) has cooled back to the mid-50s; price is holding above the 4100 round-number floor with the 4120 session high still capping.

Support: 4,100.00, 4,085.00

Resistance: 4,115.00, 4,120.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4120 session high reopens upside
  • Loss of 4100 round number exposes the 4085 swing low
  • UoM inflation expectations Fri 14:00 UTC could shift USD and this read

23:31 UTC

Uptrend stalling, consolidating · RSI 47 · price 4,103.93

Range after impulsive rally, fading into Asia.

Gold ripped from 4065 to the 4120 session high during NY hours before sellers rejected the level, per the well-flagged $4,100 handle cap. Price has since consolidated between 4083 and 4117 and is drifting lower on thin Asia volume, now sitting on the 4100 psych level with RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s.

Support: 4,100.00, 4,083.18, 4,065.11

Resistance: 4,117.39, 4,120.22

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4083 swing low confirms a lower-low and voids the range read
  • Reclaim of 4117 swing high reopens a test of the 4120 session high
  • Fri UoM inflation expectations (14:00 UTC) could shift the read intraday

23:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum fading · RSI 46 · price 4,103.93

NY rally to 4120 stalling, consolidating near 4100.

NY session drove gold from 4028 to a 4120 session high before sellers twice rejected that handle, leaving price consolidating around 4100 as liquidity thins into the Asia open. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s and price now sits just below EMA20 but holds above EMA50.

Support: 4,100.00, 4,084.00

Resistance: 4,120.00, 4,115.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4100 psych opens a retest of the 4084 swing low
  • Reclaim of 4115 prior high puts the 4120 session high back in play
  • UoM inflation expectations (Fri 14:00 UTC) could reset this read

23:16 UTC

Uptrend stalling into consolidation · RSI 53 · price 4,107.01

Range-bound after NY rally topped at 4120.

Gold rallied through the NY session from 4028 to a 4120 session high, then rejected and settled into a 4100–4116 range as thin Asian hours took over. Price holds just above the 4100 psych level with RSI(14) neutral near 53; no fresh momentum in play.

Support: 4,100.00

Resistance: 4,116.00, 4,120.22

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4120 reopens the upside; loss of 4100 exposes 4085 swing low
  • UoM inflation expectations Fri 14:00 UTC could shift the read on USD-driven gold

23:02 UTC

Intraday uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 57 · price 4,110.51

HH/HL chain, consolidating near session highs.

NY session lifted gold from the Asian low near 4028 to a session high of 4120, RSI(14) cooling off the extension into thin late-session volume. Price now consolidates 4100–4115, with sellers rejecting the 4120 handle and the $4,100 pivot flagged in context holding as near-term support.

Support: 4,100.00, 4,085.00

Resistance: 4,120.22, 4,115.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4100 opens the 4085 swing low
  • Break and hold above 4120 extends the intraday HH sequence
  • Fri ECI (12:30 UTC) and UoM inflation expectations (14:00 UTC) could shift the read

23:02 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 60 · price 4,110.51

Consolidating near session highs above 4100.

Gold ground steadily higher through NY, printing a session high at 4120.22 before easing, and has since coiled between 4100 and 4117 into thin Asia hours. Price is holding above the 4100 round level flagged as the prior rejection zone, RSI(14) near 60 as the earlier momentum cools.

Support: 4,100.00, 4,083.18

Resistance: 4,120.22, 4,117.39

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4100 reopens the 4083 swing low
  • Break above 4120.22 session high extends the intraday advance
  • Fri UoM inflation expectations / Chicago PMI (14:00 UTC) could shift this read

22:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling near highs · RSI 60 · price 4,109.70

Higher highs into 4120, now ranging below.

Gold rallied off the 4028 Asian low toward 4120 as a softer post-FOMC USD gave the metal relief, then stalled with sellers rejecting the 4120 session high. Price now consolidates 4100–4115, holding above the round 4100 pivot and the 4083 swing low.

Support: 4,100.00, 4,083.18

Resistance: 4,120.22

What it said to watch

  • Sustained M15 close above 4120 session high opens continuation
  • Loss of 4100 round level exposes the 4083 swing low
  • UoM inflation expectations Fri 14:00 UTC could reprice this move

22:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum flattening · RSI 56 · price 4,109.70

Consolidating near session high after HH/HL run.

Gold recovered off the 4028 low through London/NY, printing a session high at 4120 before stalling — consistent with the post-FOMC $4,000-4,100 cage, with supply capping near 4120. Now drifting 4100-4115 into Asian hours, RSI cooled to mid-range, holding above EMA20/50.

Support: 4,100.00, 4,083.18

Resistance: 4,120.22

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4120.22 extends the session high sequence
  • Loss of 4100 psych opens the 4083 swing low
  • UoM inflation expectations Fri 14:00 UTC could shift the read

22:32 UTC

Uptrend, momentum flattening near highs · RSI 55 · price 4,107.85

Higher highs into 4119, now consolidating just below.

Gold ground higher through the NY session from 4028 to a 4119 session high, then stalled into a 4099-4119 consolidation just under the top. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-50s as the last bars go quiet post-close; this sits inside the digest's post-FOMC 4000-4100 cage where 4100 has been a repeated rejection zone.

Support: 4,099.00

Resistance: 4,119.23, 4,120.22

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4120 extends the leg; failure keeps the consolidation intact
  • Loss of 4099 confirms a lower-low and shifts the intraday structure
  • Fri UoM inflation expectations (14:00 UTC) could materially shift this read

22:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum stalling near highs · RSI 53 · price 4,107.85

Consolidation under session high after impulse leg.

Gold ran from the 4028 base to a 4120 session high during London-NY, then coiled in a 4100–4116 band as sellers rejected the 4120 handle. Last bars are thin post-NY-close prints with RSI(14) cooling to the low-50s; no fresh direction while 4100 holds.

Support: 4,100.00, 4,083.18

Resistance: 4,115.93, 4,120.22

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4120 reopens the upside path
  • Loss of 4100 exposes the 4083 swing low
  • UoM inflation expectations Fri 14:00 UTC could shift this read

22:17 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing near highs · RSI 54 · price 4,107.87

Consolidation below session high after HH/HL chain.

NY session drove gold off the 4028 low through the $4,100 handle to a session high of 4120, then faded to 4083 before stabilising. Price is now consolidating 4100–4115 into Asia hours, holding above $4,100 after repeated rejections there flagged in the macro read.

Support: 4,100.00, 4,083.18, 4,028.48

Resistance: 4,120.22, 4,115.00

What it said to watch

  • Sustained close below 4100 round number reopens the 4083 swing low
  • Break and hold above 4120.22 session high extends the intraday uptrend
  • UoM inflation expectations Fri 14:00 UTC could shift this read

22:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 54 · price 4,107.87

Consolidating below session high after NY rally.

Gold ran from the 4028 low up through the 4100 handle to a 4120.22 session high during NY, defying the digest's $4,100 rejection read. Price is now consolidating 4099–4116 into thin Asia-session trade, RSI cooling back toward the mid-50s.

Support: 4,099.19, 4,083.18

Resistance: 4,116.44, 4,120.22

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4120.22 session high extends the rally
  • Loss of 4099.19 swing low opens 4083 swing low
  • UoM inflation expectations Fri 14:00 UTC could shift the read

22:03 UTC

Uptrend, pulling back · RSI 51 · price 4,103.67

HH into 4120, consolidating below.

Gold rallied off 4028 through the NY session, tagging 4120.22 before rejecting and settling into a 4098–4117 range; softer core PCE gave the lift but a firmer USD on US-Iran tension keeps it capped below $4,100. Latest bars slipped from 4117 to 4103, RSI(14) cooling to mid-50s and price now under EMA20.

Support: 4,085.30

Resistance: 4,117.40, 4,120.20

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 4098 range floor exposes the 4085 swing low
  • Reclaim of 4117 reopens the 4120 session high
  • Fri ECI + UoM inflation expectations (14:00 UTC) could shift this read

22:02 UTC

Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 47 · price 4,103.67

Consolidating below session high after NY rally.

Gold ran from the 4028 low through NY hours to peak at 4120, then rolled over into a rejection near 4117 as the hawkish-hold Fed narrative kept it offered below the 4100 psych barrier. Now consolidating either side of 4100 into the Asia session, RSI(14) cooled back to neutral.

Support: 4,100.00

Resistance: 4,117.40, 4,120.20

What it said to watch

  • Failure to hold 4100 psych keeps price offered and opens the 4085 swing low
  • M15 close back above 4117 session high reopens the 4120 range top
  • Fri ECI + UoM inflation expectations could reprice Sept hike odds and shift this read

21:47 UTC

Uptrend stalling, consolidating · RSI 47 · price 4,103.67

Range below 4120 session high after strong rally.

Gold ripped from 4065 to the 4120 session high during the NY session before stalling, then chopping in a 4099-4117 range on the hawkish-hold Fed backdrop. Last two bars rejected 4117 and slid to 4099; RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s as price sits back on the 4100 psych level.

Support: 4,099.19

Resistance: 4,117.39, 4,120.22

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4117 reopens the 4120 range high
  • Failure to hold 4099 confirms a lower low toward 4085
  • Fri ECI/UoM inflation expectations (12:30-14:00 UTC) could shift this read

21:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 49 · price 4,103.67

Consolidating below session high after pullback.

NY session drove gold from the 4028 low to a 4120 session high before stalling; price is now consolidating and just slipped back to 4102 late in the session with RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s. Rejection at 4120 held and 4100 is being retested as support into the Asia handover.

Support: 4,100.00, 4,098.50, 4,083.20

Resistance: 4,120.20

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4098.5 opens the path toward the 4083 swing low
  • Reclaim of 4120 needed to resume the leg higher
  • Fri ECI and UoM inflation expectations could shift the USD read

21:32 UTC

Intraday uptrend, momentum stalling · RSI 50 · price 4,103.67

Higher highs into 4120, pullback in progress.

NY session drove gold to a session high at 4120 before stalling, RSI(14) cooling back to neutral as price slips under EMA20. Buyers held the 4100 round number on the latest pullback; the 4119-4120 shelf still caps intraday upside.

Support: 4,100.00, 4,083.18

Resistance: 4,119.23

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4098 opens the 4083 swing low
  • Reclaim of 4119 needed to resume the intraday uptrend
  • Fri ECI / UoM inflation expectations could shift this read

21:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum stalling · RSI 49 · price 4,103.67

Consolidating below session high after impulsive US-session rally.

NY session drove gold off the 4028 low up to a 4120 session high, then stalled and consolidated 4100-4115 with a rejection at the highs. Latest bars have slipped back to the 4100 round level as RSI(14) cooled to the mid-40s; price is pinned inside the $4,000-4,100 zone flagged in the macro read.

Support: 4,100.00, 4,085.00

Resistance: 4,120.22, 4,113.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4100 opens 4085 swing low
  • Reclaim of 4113 puts the 4120 session high back in play
  • ECI / Chicago PMI tomorrow 12:30-13:45 UTC could reprice the hike path and shift this read

21:17 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 52 · price 4,103.67

Rally to 4120 then consolidation below session high.

Gold ran from the 4028 low up to a 4120 session high through NY hours, then rejected there and settled into a 4100-4117 consolidation. Last bar sold from 4114 back to 4103, RSI cooling to mid-range as the move stalls below the session high.

Support: 4,100.00, 4,083.18

Resistance: 4,117.39, 4,120.22

What it said to watch

  • Close above 4120 session high reopens the upside
  • Failure to hold 4100 round exposes the 4083 swing low
  • ECI Fri 12:30 UTC could shift this read

21:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum fading late NY · RSI 48 · price 4,103.67

Pullback after 4120 peak, holding above 4100.

Gold rallied off 4028 through the NY session to a 4120 session high on a softer post-FOMC USD, then faded into a 4100-4115 consolidation. Last hour saw rejection near 4117 and a slip back to 4103, RSI cooling to the mid-40s; the round-number 4100 is the immediate pivot.

Support: 4,100.00, 4,083.18

Resistance: 4,120.22

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4100 round number exposes 4083 swing low
  • Reclaim of 4115 recent high re-opens the 4120 session high
  • Fri ECI (12:30 UTC) and UoM inflation expectations could reprice USD and shift this read

21:04 UTC

Recovered off lows, momentum flat · RSI 48 · price 4,103.67

Range near session highs after NY rally.

Gold rallied off 4028 through the NY session to tag 4120, then rolled into a 4100-4117 range as momentum cooled. Last bars slipped back to the 4100 psych level, holding above the 4085 swing low.

Support: 4,100.00, 4,085.00

Resistance: 4,114.00, 4,120.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4100 exposes the 4085 swing low
  • Reclaim of 4114 range top reopens the 4120 session high
  • Fri ECI + UoM inflation expectations could shift this read

21:04 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 52 · price 4,103.67

Consolidating below session high after NY rally.

NY session drove gold off the 4028 low up to a session high at 4120.22, then stalled into a 4100-4115 range. Price is now grinding at the range floor near 4100 with RSI(14) back around 52 after the impulse faded; the recent pullback to 4102 keeps it just under EMA20.

Support: 4,100.00, 4,084.82

Resistance: 4,120.22

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 4100 psych support opens the 4085 swing low
  • M15 close above 4120.22 session high resumes the NY uptrend
  • Fri ECI (12:30 UTC) and UoM inflation expectations (14:00 UTC) could reprice USD and shift this read

20:47 UTC

Intraday uptrend, stalling near highs · RSI 52 · price 4,103.32

HH chain into 4120 then consolidation below the high.

NY session drove gold from the 4028 low to a 4120 session high, then stalled into a 4100-4115 consolidation as USD firmed on hawkish-Fed pricing. Last bar rejected 4113 and slipped back to 4103; the 4100 psych level is the immediate pivot.

Support: 4,100.00, 4,085.00

Resistance: 4,113.00, 4,120.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4120 reopens continuation higher
  • Failure to hold 4100 exposes the 4085 fib 38.2 zone
  • Fri UoM inflation expectations (14:00 UTC) could re-arm the hike trade and shift this read

20:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum stalling · RSI 50 · price 4,103.32

Consolidating below 4120 session high after rally off 4028.

Gold rallied from 4028 to a 4120 session high through the NY session, then coiled into a tight 4100-4116 range as USD stayed offered post-FOMC. Late NY hours saw a pullback to 4103, dipping just below EMA20 with RSI(14) cooling to mid-range; the 4100 psych level and 4083 swing low are the near-term floor.

Support: 4,100.00, 4,083.18

Resistance: 4,120.22, 4,115.85

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4083 confirms a lower-low and breaks the range
  • Reclaim of 4120 reopens the upside extension
  • Fri ECI + UoM inflation expectations (14:00 UTC) could shift this read

20:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 61 · price 4,110.23

Consolidating just below session high after rally.

NY session drove gold off the 4028 low up to 4120, and price is now holding a tight consolidation between 4098 and 4117 into the close. Move followed the hawkish-hold Fed and soft core PCE/GDP whipsaw, with 4120 capping and buyers defending 4098.

Support: 4,083.18

Resistance: 4,117.39, 4,120.22

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4120 rally high opens continuation higher
  • Loss of 4098 range low exposes 4083 swing low
  • Fri UoM inflation expectations (14:00 UTC) could shift this read

20:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing near highs · RSI 62 · price 4,110.23

Higher lows off 4028, consolidating below session high.

NY session drove gold off the 4028 low to a session high at 4120, and price is now consolidating in a tight 4100-4117 band with RSI(14) cooling from the push. The bounce fits a softer USD after the hawkish-hold FOMC and weak GDP, though 4100-4117 has repeatedly capped attempts.

Support: 4,100.00

Resistance: 4,117.39, 4,120.22

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4120 opens further upside
  • Failure to hold 4100 threatens the rally off 4028
  • Fri UoM inflation expectations (14:00 UTC) could shift this read

20:17 UTC

Intraday uptrend, momentum steadying · RSI 62 · price 4,114.83

Higher lows since the 4028 low, grinding back toward session high.

Gold clawed back through the NY session from the 4028 low to a 4120 session high, then held 4083 on the pullback and is now grinding back up to 4114. RSI(14) mid-60s, no extreme; price sits above EMA20/50 with 4120 the ceiling to clear and 4100 flipped to near-term support.

Support: 4,100.00, 4,083.18

Resistance: 4,120.22

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4120 session high opens continuation
  • Failure to hold 4100 psych level exposes the 4083 swing low
  • Fri 12:30 GMT US ECI + 13:45 Chicago PMI could shift USD and this read

20:16 UTC

Uptrend, recovering off lows · RSI 62 · price 4,114.83

Higher highs / higher lows since 4065.

Gold recovered from the 4065 session low through the NY session, breaking the $4,100 rejection ceiling and printing a session high at 4120. Price now consolidates 4110–4115 above prior resistance-turned-support, RSI mid-60s and cooling.

Support: 4,100.00, 4,083.18, 4,065.11

Resistance: 4,120.22, 4,222.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back below 4100 flips the prior ceiling into resistance and re-opens the 4083 swing low
  • Break above 4120 session high extends the recovery toward the ~4222 cta trigger
  • Fri 12:30 GMT ECI + 14:00 UoM inflation expectations could shift this read

20:02 UTC

Intraday uptrend, momentum easing · RSI 61 · price 4,110.69

Consolidating below session high after recovery.

NY session drove a recovery off the 4028 lows to a 4120 session high, with 4100 flipping from a rejection ceiling to intraday support. Price is now consolidating 4100-4115, RSI cooling from mid-60s as the push into the high stalls.

Support: 4,100.00, 4,085.00

Resistance: 4,120.00, 4,115.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4100 exposes the 4085 swing low
  • Break and hold above 4120 session high opens continuation
  • Fri ECI / Chicago PMI (12:30-14:00 GMT) could shift the read

20:02 UTC

Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 58 · price 4,110.69

Higher highs off 4028, ranging under session high.

NY session drove gold off the 4028 low up to a session high at 4120, and price is now consolidating 4100–4115 near the highs. The move breaks above the $4,100 rejection ceiling flagged post-FOMC; buyers stepped in twice around 4098 into month-end, RSI(14) mid-range with room.

Support: 4,100.00

Resistance: 4,120.22

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4100 round level would break the rising structure
  • Break above 4120 session high extends the intraday leg
  • Fri UoM inflation expectations / Chicago PMI could shift the read

19:46 UTC

Recovery off lows, grinding higher · RSI 62 · price 4,112.07

Higher lows since 4028 base.

Late NY session: gold recovered from the 4028 base to tag the 4120 session high, pulled back to 4085, and is now holding 4112 above the 4100 psych level that had capped the earlier bounce. RSI(14) around 62 — firm but not stretched.

Support: 4,100.00, 4,085.00

Resistance: 4,120.22

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back below 4100 psych flip reopens the 4085 swing low
  • Break and hold above 4120 session high needed to extend the recovery
  • Fri 12:30 GMT ECI and 14:00 UoM inflation expectations could shift this read

19:46 UTC

Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 62 · price 4,112.07

Higher lows off 4028, holding above reclaimed 4100.

NY session rallied off the 4028 low and reclaimed the 4100 rejection ceiling flagged into the FOMC hold, printing a session high at 4120. Price is holding above 4100 on the retest, RSI(14) mid-60s, with 4085 and 4076 the last higher lows underneath.

Support: 4,100.00, 4,076.34

Resistance: 4,120.22

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back below 4100 reopens the sub-100 defensive tone
  • Break above 4120.22 session high extends the rally toward the ~4222 zone
  • Fri UoM inflation expectations / Chicago PMI could shift USD and cap this bounce

19:31 UTC

Uptrend, recovering into session high · RSI 64 · price 4,113.35

HH/HL chain off 4028 low, capped near 4120.

NY session rallied off the 4028 low, reclaimed the 4100 rejection ceiling and pushed to a 4120.22 session high before easing to 4113. Price is consolidating just under that high with RSI(14) mid-60s; the 4100 break held on retest.

Support: 4,098.00

Resistance: 4,120.22, 4,222.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back below 4098 puts price under the reclaimed 4100 level and threatens the HH/HL chain
  • Break and hold above 4120 session high opens the path toward the 4222 cta trigger
  • Fri 12:30 GMT ECI and 14:00 GMT UoM inflation expectations could shift this read

19:31 UTC

Recovery, grinding into session high · RSI 63 · price 4,113.35

Higher lows off 4028, testing 4120 top.

NY session clawed back from the 4028 low to 4113, RSI(14) mid-60s and price now consolidating just under the 4120 session high. The $4,100 zone flagged as the post-FOMC rejection ceiling is holding as intraday support; buyers stepped in twice around 4098-4100 in the last few hours.

Support: 4,100.00, 4,083.18, 4,065.00

Resistance: 4,120.22

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4120 extends the recovery toward the CTA trigger near 4222
  • Failure to hold 4100 reopens 4083 swing low and 4065
  • Fri 12:30 GMT ECI and UoM inflation expectations could shift this read

19:17 UTC

Recovery off lows, momentum flattening · RSI 52 · price 4,104.05

Consolidating below session high after bounce from 4028.

Gold recovered off the 4028 low through the London-NY window to tag the 4120 session high, and is now consolidating in a tight 4098–4120 band with RSI(14) neutral near 52. The digest keeps bullion defensive after the hawkish Fed hold, and price is coiling just under the 4120 session high.

Support: 4,098.00, 4,085.00

Resistance: 4,120.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4120 session high opens continuation toward the CTA trigger near 4222
  • Loss of 4098 support turns the read back toward the 4085 swing low
  • Fri UoM inflation expectations / Chicago PMI could shift USD and this read

19:16 UTC

Uptrend recovery, momentum slowing · RSI 54 · price 4,104.05

Consolidating near session highs after rally off 4028.

NY session rallied from ~4085 to a session high at 4120 then stalled, now consolidating between 4098 and 4116 into month-end; USD firmed on the hawkish Fed hold, capping bullion. RSI(14) has cooled to mid-50s as price coils below the highs.

Support: 4,098.00, 4,085.00

Resistance: 4,116.00, 4,120.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4120 opens continuation higher
  • Failure to hold 4098 exposes the 4085 swing low
  • Fri ECI + UoM inflation expectations could reprice USD and shift this read

19:02 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 47 · price 4,099.08

Rally into 4120 stalling, ranging 4098–4116.

NY session pushed gold off the 4028 low to a 4120 high, then twice rejected ~4119–4120 leaving a double top, with price now easing back to the 4100 round number as RSI(14) cools to ~47. Move is corrective off the FOMC hold; USD firm on hawkish dissents keeps rallies capped below the 4120 ceiling.

Support: 4,085.00, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,120.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4120 needed to resume the intraday uptrend
  • Loss of 4085 swing low confirms a lower low
  • 4000 psych support remains the line bears keep testing

19:02 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 45 · price 4,099.08

HH into 4120, now consolidating below 4100.

NY session pushed gold to a session high of 4120 before fading back under the $4,100 psych level, where price is now stalling with RSI(14) cooling near 45. The leg off the 4028 low remains intact but 4100 is capping the recovery into month-end after the hawkish Fed hold and firmer USD.

Support: 4,083.18, 4,028.48

Resistance: 4,100.00, 4,120.22

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 4100 psych reopens the 4120 session high
  • M15 close below 4083 swing low confirms a lower low
  • Fri 14:00 GMT UoM inflation expectations could shift this read

18:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum flattening · RSI 56 · price 4,104.89

Consolidating below double top after leg up off 4028.

Gold rallied off 4028 through the NY session to tag 4120 twice, forming a double top and rejecting both times; USD softness post-FOMC underpinned the bounce but the metal stays capped below 4120. Price now coils 4100–4113, RSI(14) cooling to mid-50s with momentum flattening.

Support: 4,100.00, 4,083.18

Resistance: 4,120.22, 4,113.13

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4120 double top opens continuation higher
  • Loss of 4083 swing low confirms a lower low and stalls the leg up
  • Fri UoM inflation expectations / Chicago PMI could shift the USD read

18:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 53 · price 4,104.89

HH/HL off 4028 low, consolidating below 4120.

NY session drove gold off the 4028 low back to 4120 before rejecting there; price now consolidating 4100–4115 with RSI(14) neutral near 53. The $4,100 psych level is holding as intraday support after the FOMC hold left bullion defensive.

Support: 4,100.00, 4,085.00

Resistance: 4,115.00, 4,120.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4120 session high opens the path toward the CTA short-cover zone ~4222
  • Loss of 4100 round number exposes the 4085 swing low
  • Fri 14:00 UoM inflation expectations could reprice Sept hike odds and move gold

18:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum flattening · RSI 55 · price 4,104.24

Consolidation under session high after HH/HL rally.

NY session recovered gold from the FOMC-driven 4028 low up to a 4120 session high, which was rejected. Price is now consolidating around the 4100 psych level, RSI cooling into the mid-50s with the rally's momentum flattening.

Support: 4,100.00, 4,085.00

Resistance: 4,120.00, 4,116.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4120 session high extends the leg toward the 4116 prior-high zone break
  • Loss of 4100 psych opens a retest of the 4085 swing low
  • Fri 12:30 GMT ECI and 14:00 GMT UoM inflation expectations could reprice USD and shift this read

18:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 56 · price 4,104.24

Higher lows off 4028, consolidating below 4120.

Gold rallied from the 4028 London low to a 4120 session high, then stalled and is now consolidating 4100–4116 into late NY hours. Sellers capped the move at 4120 with the wider 4100 rejection ceiling still in play; RSI(14) cooling from the highs toward neutral.

Support: 4,100.00

Resistance: 4,120.22, 4,116.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4100 undermines the higher-low chain and opens the $4,000 test
  • Break and hold above 4120 extends the intraday uptrend
  • Fri 12:30–14:00 GMT ECI / Chicago PMI / UoM inflation expectations could shift this read

18:16 UTC

Intraday uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 55 · price 4,105.19

Higher highs/lows off 4065, easing below 4120.

Gold clawed back through NY from the 4065 low to a 4120 session high, then eased to 4105 as the 4116-4120 ceiling capped the push. Price holds above the 4100 psych level with RSI cooling off, in line with the hawkish-Fed backdrop keeping rallies corrective near this zone.

Support: 4,100.00, 4,085.00, 4,065.00

Resistance: 4,120.00, 4,116.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4100 psych puts the 4085 swing low back in play
  • Reclaim of 4120 session high needed to extend the intraday uptrend
  • Fri Chicago PMI / UoM inflation expectations could shift USD and this read

18:16 UTC

Intraday uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 58 · price 4,105.19

Higher highs/lows off 4028, stalling below 4120.

NY session drove gold from 4028 to a session high of 4120 before easing to 4105, RSI(14) cooling from the highs as price consolidates below 4116-4120. The break above 4100 held despite the hawkish-Fed backdrop capping bullion; buyers stepped in repeatedly around 4098 into the close.

Support: 4,098.00

Resistance: 4,116.00, 4,120.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4120 opens intraday continuation
  • Loss of 4098 breaks the rising higher-low structure
  • Fri UoM inflation expectations / Chicago PMI could shift this read

18:02 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 58 · price 4,104.22

Higher highs into consolidation below session high.

Gold ran from the London low near 4028 up to a 4120 NY session high, then stalled into a tight 4100–4115 consolidation as RSI(14) cooled from overbought. The soft core PCE print offered mild support, but the $4,100 area that has capped prior recoveries is again in play.

Support: 4,100.00, 4,085.00

Resistance: 4,120.22

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4120.22 opens continuation toward the next NY leg
  • Loss of 4100 psych exposes the 4085 swing low
  • Fri 12:30 UTC ECI could reprice USD and shift this read

17:47 UTC

Uptrend, near session high · RSI 58 · price 4,108.34

Higher lows, consolidating below 4120.

NY session pushed gold to a 4120 session high around 17:00 broker after the soft core PCE print, then rejected and settled into a 4100–4116 consolidation. RSI(14) cooling from earlier highs while price holds above EMA20/50 on a chain of higher lows.

Support: 4,100.00, 4,085.00

Resistance: 4,120.00, 4,116.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4120 session high opens the path toward the 4222 zone flagged in macro context
  • Failure to hold 4100 psych exposes the 4085 swing low
  • Fri 12:30 UTC ECI / 14:00 UTC Michigan data could shift this read

17:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 59 · price 4,108.34

Higher lows, consolidating below session high.

NY session drove gold off the 4028 low up to a 4120 session high, and price is now consolidating 4083–4120 with RSI(14) easing back toward mid-range. Softer core PCE (0.1% MoM) gave only limited lift; the 4120 area has capped the last push.

Support: 4,083.18

Resistance: 4,120.22

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4120 extends the higher-high sequence
  • Failure to hold 4083 breaks the rising support and confirms a lower-low
  • ECI Fri 12:30 UTC could shift this read

17:31 UTC

Intraday uptrend, momentum cooling near highs · RSI 57 · price 4,101.69

Higher lows into session high, now consolidating.

NY session drove gold up to a session high at 4120 before easing back to the 4100 psych line, the zone that has capped every recovery attempt. Chain of higher lows off the 4028 base is still intact, RSI cooling from the mid-60s as price consolidates just under the highs.

Support: 4,100.00, 4,085.00, 4,065.00

Resistance: 4,120.22

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4120 session high opens the path higher
  • Failure to hold 4085 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
  • Loss of the 4100 psych line reopens the 4065 swing low

17:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 57 · price 4,101.69

Higher highs, consolidating below session high.

NY session drove gold to a session high at 4120.22 before fading, and price is now consolidating on the 4100 round number with RSI(14) cooled to the mid-50s. The metal remains capped below 4116-4120 after repeated rejections there, consistent with the broader failure to hold above 4100.

Support: 4,100.00, 4,085.28

Resistance: 4,116.00, 4,120.22

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4120.22 extends the intraday high sequence
  • Loss of 4100 round number exposes the 4085 swing low
  • Fri 12:30 UTC ECI and 14:00 UTC Michigan data could shift this read

17:17 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing near highs · RSI 57 · price 4,104.31

Higher lows into a 4120 double top.

NY session drove gold off the 4065 low up to 4120, where it was rejected twice to form a double top; price is now consolidating just above the 4100 psych level. RSI(14) cooling from the highs into the mid-50s as the up-leg loses pace.

Support: 4,100.00, 4,083.00, 4,065.00

Resistance: 4,120.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4120 invalidates the double-top read and opens 4130+
  • Failure to hold 4083 breaks the rising-low sequence
  • Fri ECI/Michigan inflation data could reset the USD-driven read

17:16 UTC

Intraday uptrend, momentum easing · RSI 58 · price 4,104.31

Higher highs into 4120, now consolidating.

NY session ran gold up to a 4120 session high twice and got rejected, forming a double top, price now cooling to 4104 above the 4100 psych level. Softer core PCE gave only limited lift against a firm USD, and the metal stays capped below the 4100-4120 zone flagged as the recovery ceiling.

Support: 4,100.00, 4,085.28

Resistance: 4,120.22

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4120.22 negates the double top and opens higher
  • Failure to hold the 4085 swing low breaks the intraday higher-low chain
  • Loss of 4100 psych puts the rising trendline into play
  • Fri Michigan/ECI risk could reprice USD and shift this read

17:03 UTC

Uptrend, momentum steady · RSI 64 · price 4,110.13

Higher highs into session high, holding above 4100.

NY session drove gold through $4,100 to a session high of 4120 as softer core PCE offered a floor; the pullback to 4085 was bought back and price now consolidates just under the high. RSI(14) mid-60s, room before extremes, with the 4100 psych level acting as the near-term pivot.

Support: 4,100.00

Resistance: 4,120.22

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4120.22 extends the session high and opens 4130+
  • Failure to hold 4100 shifts focus back to the 4085 swing low
  • Fri 12:30 UTC ECI / 14:00 UTC Michigan inflation expectations could reprice this move

17:03 UTC

Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 64 · price 4,110.13

Higher lows into 4120 session high.

NY session drove gold off the 4028 low back through the $4,100 barrier to a 4120 session high, now consolidating around 4110 with RSI(14) mid-60s. The recovery followed soft core PCE and a GDP miss, though the metal remains inside the broader $4,000–$4,100 zone that has capped prior attempts.

Support: 4,085.28

Resistance: 4,120.22

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4085 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
  • Sustained trade above 4120 opens room past the psych level
  • Fri 12:30 UTC ECI and 14:00 UTC Michigan data could shift this read

16:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 63 · price 4,108.55

Higher highs into session high, shallow pullback.

NY session drove gold through the $4,100 barrier that had capped every recovery attempt, tagging 4120 before easing to 4108, aided by today's softer core PCE. RSI(14) near 63 shows momentum cooling, not exhausted, with 4100 now flipping to support on the retest.

Support: 4,100.00, 4,085.00

Resistance: 4,120.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back below 4100 negates the breakout and reopens 4085
  • A push above 4120 session high extends the leg
  • Fri ECI (12:30 UTC) and Michigan inflation expectations (14:00 UTC) could shift this read

16:46 UTC

Uptrend, grinding into session highs · RSI 63 · price 4,108.55

Higher highs and higher lows since London-NY transition.

NY session drove gold off the 4065 swing low up to a 4120.22 session high, recovering after the softer core PCE print, though the $4,100 zone that has capped every rally attempt keeps price pinned. Consolidating around 4108 just under session highs, RSI(14) mid-60s with no extreme.

Support: 4,085.00, 4,065.00

Resistance: 4,120.00

What it said to watch

  • Sustained M15 close above 4120 session high extends the higher-high sequence
  • Loss of 4085 swing low breaks the intraday higher-low chain
  • Fri 12:30 UTC ECI and 14:00 UTC Michigan inflation expectations could shift this read

16:32 UTC

Uptrend, momentum extended · RSI 68 · price 4,114.86

Chain of higher highs and higher lows into session high.

NY session drove gold up through the $4,100 zone that had capped every prior recovery, helped by today's softer core PCE (0.1% vs 0.2%), and price is now grinding into the 4120 session high with RSI(14) elevated near 68. Higher-low chain intact from the 4028 base; 4100 now flips to first support.

Support: 4,100.00, 4,085.00

Resistance: 4,120.22

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back below 4100 reopens the 4085 swing low
  • Rejection at the 4120.22 session high would stall the push
  • Fri 12:30 UTC ECI and 14:00 UTC Michigan inflation expectations could shift this read

16:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum extended · RSI 69 · price 4,114.86

Higher highs into session high, above $4,100.

NY session drove gold off the 4067 swing low up through the 4100 barrier that had capped every prior recovery, printing a 4120 session high before easing to 4114. Softer core PCE and weak GDP gave the metal room to run; RSI(14) near 68 is hot but consistent with the leg.

Support: 4,100.00, 4,067.00

Resistance: 4,120.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4120 session high extends the up-leg
  • Loss of 4100 psych returns price into the prior range
  • Fri 12:30 UTC ECI and 14:00 UTC Michigan expectations could shift this read

16:16 UTC

Uptrend, near session highs · RSI 64 · price 4,114.82

Chain of higher highs / higher lows, above prior cap.

NY session drove gold through the $4,100 barrier that had capped every prior recovery, tagging 4120 before a shallow dip to 4083 and a push back to 4114. Softer core PCE earlier offered limited support; the 4100 zone has flipped to a retest area with RSI(14) elevated but not extreme.

Support: 4,100.00, 4,083.18

Resistance: 4,120.22

What it said to watch

  • A close back below 4100 would negate the breakout and reopen the 4083 swing low
  • 4120 session high — area to watch for rejection or continuation
  • Fri 12:30 UTC ECI and 14:00 UTC Michigan inflation expectations could shift this read

16:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum firm · RSI 66 · price 4,114.82

Higher highs, higher lows since Asia low.

Gold ground higher through the NY session, breaking the $4,100 zone that had capped prior recovery attempts and tagging a session high at 4120 before easing. Price is now retesting 4100 from above after softer US core PCE (0.1% vs 0.2%) trimmed the dollar; RSI(14) sits firm near 66, not yet stretched.

Support: 4,100.00, 4,085.28

Resistance: 4,120.22

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back below 4100 reopens the 4085 swing low
  • Break and hold above 4120 extends the intraday range higher
  • Fri 12:30 UTC ECI and 14:00 UTC Michigan inflation expectations could shift this read

16:02 UTC

Uptrend, recovery into 4100 zone · RSI 61 · price 4,110.96

Higher lows since 4028, testing session highs.

NY session grinding back above the $4,100 barrier after a London-NY recovery off the 4028 low, RSI(14) cooling in the low 60s. Session high 4120.22 capped the last push; 4100 now the pivot the recovery is leaning on.

Support: 4,100.00, 4,083.18

Resistance: 4,120.22

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back below 4100 puts the 4083 swing low back in play
  • Rejection at 4120.22 keeps the $4,100 barrier read intact per the digest
  • Fri 12:30 UTC ECI could materially shift this read

16:02 UTC

Uptrend, extended into resistance · RSI 64 · price 4,110.96

Higher highs off NY-session low, capped near 4120.

NY session drove gold off the 4065 low to a session high 4120, where it was rejected, now consolidating around 4110 after softer core PCE offered marginal support. RSI(14) mid-60s, not yet stretched; 4100 flips back to intraday support while 4120 caps.

Support: 4,065.11

Resistance: 4,120.22, 4,100.00

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 4085 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
  • M15 close above 4120 session high opens room past the 4100 rejection zone
  • Fri ECI (12:30 UTC) and Michigan expectations (14:00 UTC) can shift this read via hike pricing

15:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 58 · price 4,103.94

Higher highs into NY, pullback holding.

NY session drove gold to a 4120 session high before rejection; the 4100 barrier — the level that has capped every recovery — is now reclaimed, with buyers stepping in at 4083. RSI(14) cooling from the push, sitting mid-range near 58 after softer core PCE offered only limited support against a hot GDP price index.

Support: 4,100.00, 4,083.18

Resistance: 4,120.22

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4083 breaks the rising higher-low sequence
  • 4120 session high — area to watch for rejection or break
  • Fri 12:30 UTC ECI and 14:00 UTC Michigan inflation expectations could shift this read

15:46 UTC

Uptrend, recovering into resistance · RSI 60 · price 4,103.94

Higher lows off 4028, pressing the 4100 cap.

NY session drove gold off the 4028 base up to 4120 near 14:00 UTC, then a pullback to 4083 that buyers reclaimed; price now retesting the 4100 psych level, the same zone that has capped prior recovery attempts. RSI(14) mid-range at ~60, so momentum has room without being stretched.

Support: 4,085.00

Resistance: 4,120.22, 4,100.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4120 extends the recovery toward the 4222 CTA zone
  • Failure to hold 4085 confirms a lower-low and breaks the rising-low chain
  • Fri 12:30/14:00 UTC ECI + Michigan inflation expectations could reprice this read

15:31 UTC

Intraday uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 55 · price 4,092.67

Higher highs into NY, pullback from session high.

NY session drove gold to a session high of 4120.22 then rejected, with price now consolidating around 4092 after core PCE came in soft. Uptrend structure intact above 4085; RSI(14) has cooled from the highs into the mid-50s as the push stalls under 4113.

Support: 4,085.00, 4,065.00

Resistance: 4,113.00, 4,120.22

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4085 opens the 4065 swing low
  • Reclaim of 4113 puts the 4120 session high back in play
  • Fri 12:30 UTC ECI / 14:00 UTC Michigan inflation expectations could shift this read

15:31 UTC

Intraday uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 58 · price 4,092.67

Higher highs off 4028 low, stalling near 4100-4120.

NY session drove gold from the 4028 swing low up to a session high of 4120, but sellers rejected the move and price is back below the 4100 psych cap the digest flags as the recurring recovery ceiling. Pullback holding above 4083 so far, RSI(14) cooling from the highs near 58.

Support: 4,083.00, 4,067.00

Resistance: 4,100.00, 4,120.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4120 session high opens path back toward the 4100+ recovery attempts
  • Failure to hold 4083 recent low confirms a lower-low and reopens 4067 swing low
  • Fri 12:30 UTC ECI and 14:00 UTC Michigan inflation expectations could reprice the Sep-hike bet and shift this read

15:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 56 · price 4,089.86

Higher highs into 4120, pulling back.

NY session drove gold up to 4120.22 before sellers rejected the move, price now back to 4090 with the $4,100 zone capping as flagged post-FOMC. Softer core PCE gave only limited lift; the metal is oscillating between the 4083 swing low and the 4100 psych cap.

Support: 4,083.18, 4,065.11

Resistance: 4,100.00, 4,120.22

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4120.22 extends the higher-high sequence
  • Loss of 4083 swing low opens 4065
  • Fri 12:30 UTC ECI / 14:00 UTC Michigan data could shift this read

15:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling after rejection · RSI 57 · price 4,089.86

Higher highs into 4120, now pulling back.

NY session drove gold from 4029 up to 4120 before sellers capped it at the $4,100 barrier flagged in the macro read, with two rejections near 4113-4120 stalling the rally. Price is back to 4085-4090; RSI(14) has cooled from the highs but structure stays constructive above the rising swing lows.

Support: 4,085.00, 4,065.00, 4,028.50

Resistance: 4,113.00, 4,120.00

What it said to watch

  • Failure to hold 4085 exposes the 4065 swing low and breaks the higher-low chain
  • M15 close above 4113 reopens the 4120 session high
  • Fri 12:30 UTC ECI and 14:00 UTC Michigan data could shift this read

15:02 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling into session high · RSI 64 · price 4,098.16

Higher highs off 4028 low, rejected at 4120.

NY session drove gold from the 4028 low to a session high of 4120, then rejected back to 4098 with the 4100 round number capping — consistent with the recovery running into the well-flagged 4100 barrier. RSI(14) cooling from the push but structure holds above 4085.

Support: 4,085.00, 4,065.00

Resistance: 4,100.00, 4,120.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4120 opens continuation past the session high
  • Loss of 4085 threatens the higher-low structure toward 4065
  • Fri 12:30 UTC ECI and 14:00 UTC Michigan inflation expectations could reprice USD and shift this read

15:02 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 63 · price 4,098.16

Higher highs into session high, pullback under 4100.

NY session drove a rally off 4028 to a session high at 4120, then faded back under the 4100 psych barrier that has capped every recovery attempt. RSI(14) cooling from the push, price holding above rising EMA20/EMA50.

Support: 4,085.00, 4,028.48

Resistance: 4,100.00, 4,120.22

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4120 extends the up leg
  • Failure to hold 4085 breaks the rising-low structure
  • 4100 psych — area to watch for rejection or reclaim

14:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum extended · RSI 66 · price 4,107.69

Higher highs into session high, breakout above 4100.

NY session pushed gold off the 4065 swing low through the 4100 barrier that capped every earlier recovery, tagging a 4120.22 session high before easing back to 4108. RSI(14) hot but not extreme; 4100 psych now acting as the pivot beneath price.

Support: 4,100.00, 4,077.00, 4,065.00

Resistance: 4,113.13, 4,120.22

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back below 4100 negates the breakout and reopens 4077
  • Reclaim of 4113–4120 confirms continuation of the NY leg
  • Fri ECI + Michigan inflation expectations (12:30/14:00 UTC) could reset this read

14:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum extended · RSI 68 · price 4,107.69

Higher highs into NY session, breakout above 4100.

NY session drove gold through the $4,100 barrier that had capped every prior recovery, tagging a session high at 4120 before easing back to 4107. Softer core PCE gave the metal room to breathe; the shallow pullback held 4094, keeping the HH/HL chain intact with RSI(14) hot near 68.

Support: 4,094.00, 4,075.00

Resistance: 4,120.22

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4120 session high extends the breakout
  • Failure to hold 4094 swing low reopens the 4075 area
  • Fri 12:30 UTC ECI and 14:00 UTC Michigan inflation expectations could reprice this move

14:31 UTC

Uptrend, testing prior cap · RSI 62 · price 4,097.79

Higher lows into 4100 barrier.

NY session pushed gold through the $4,100 barrier to a session high of 4120, then faded back to 4097 to retest the level that has capped every recovery. RSI(14) cooling from the spike, price still holding above EMA20/50 on a rising sequence of lows off 4028.

Support: 4,087.10, 4,028.48

Resistance: 4,100.00, 4,120.22

What it said to watch

  • Sustained M15 closes above 4100 keep the breakout intact; failure back below reasserts the rejection zone
  • Loss of 4087 swing low breaks the rising-low sequence
  • Fri 12:30 UTC ECI and 14:00 UTC Michigan inflation expectations could shift this read

14:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling near 4100 · RSI 63 · price 4,097.79

Higher highs into session high, pullback underway.

NY session drove gold up to a session high of 4120 before rejection pulled it back to 4098, right at the $4,100 psych cap flagged in the macro read as the level that has stalled every recovery. RSI(14) cooling from the impulse; price still holds above EMA20/50 with the 4065-4075 pivots intact.

Support: 4,075.00, 4,065.11

Resistance: 4,120.22

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4120 extends the breakout toward higher levels
  • Failure to hold 4075 negates the breakout and reopens 4065
  • Fri 12:30 UTC ECI and 14:00 UTC Michigan inflation expectations could reprice this read

14:16 UTC

Uptrend, extended into resistance · RSI 65 · price 4,097.30

Higher highs, breaking above 4100.

NY session drove gold to a 4120 session high, the first push through the $4,100 barrier that has capped every recovery, before pulling back to retest 4100. RSI(14) mid-60s and holding above EMA20/50; the softer core PCE print earlier offered marginal support against a firmer USD.

Support: 4,075.00, 4,065.00

Resistance: 4,100.00, 4,120.22

What it said to watch

  • Hold above 4100 keeps the breakout intact; a close back below re-establishes the rejection zone
  • Failure to hold 4075 confirms a lower-low into the swing base at 4065
  • Fri 12:30 UTC ECI and 14:00 UTC Michigan inflation expectations could reprice USD and shift this read

14:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 65 · price 4,097.30

Higher highs into session high, pullback underway.

NY session drove gold to a session high at 4120 before rejecting back under the 4100 psych level, RSI(14) cooling from the mid-60s. The move extends a steady intraday climb off the 4028 session low, but the $4,100 zone flagged in the macro read is once again capping the advance.

Support: 4,085.00, 4,065.00, 4,028.48

Resistance: 4,100.00, 4,120.22

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4120 opens the path back toward the $4,100+ recovery attempt
  • Loss of 4085 breakout shelf would confirm the pullback deepening toward 4065
  • Fri 12:30 UTC ECI and 14:00 UTC Michigan inflation expectations could shift this read

14:03 UTC

Uptrend, momentum accelerating into session high · RSI 71 · price 4,117.23

Higher lows off 4028, breaking prior session high.

Gold ground higher through NY hours, squeezing off the 4028 swing low and now printing fresh session highs at 4118.95 after soft US PCE/GDP eased hike fear. RSI(14) near 71, hot but not extreme; price has cleared the earlier 4116 rejection zone.

Support: 4,095.00, 4,085.00

Resistance: 4,118.95, 4,120.00

What it said to watch

  • Sustained M15 close above 4118.95 extends the breakout toward 4120 round number
  • Rejection back under 4095 swing stalls the push and re-opens 4085
  • Fri UoM inflation expectations (14:00 UTC) could reprice hike odds and shift this read

14:02 UTC

Uptrend, momentum accelerating · RSI 74 · price 4,117.23

Higher lows into fresh session high.

NY session pushed gold back above the $4,100 psych level and through the prior session high near 4116, printing 4118.95 with RSI(14) hot at ~73. The recovery built on a higher-low chain off the 4028 swing low despite the broadly heavy post-FOMC backdrop; buyers stepped in repeatedly through the 4065 area.

Support: 4,095.00, 4,065.00, 4,028.00

Resistance: 4,118.95

What it said to watch

  • Sustained M15 close above 4118.95 session high extends the breakout
  • Loss of the 4095 reclaim would negate the breakout and re-open 4065
  • Fri UoM inflation expectations (14:00 UTC) could re-price Fed hike bets and shift this read

13:47 UTC

Recovery off session low, momentum firm · RSI 63 · price 4,090.24

Higher lows since 4028, testing session high.

NY session gold clawed back from the 4028 session low to spike 4098.61 before closing 4090, RSI(14) mid-60s and holding a higher-low chain. Post-FOMC chop persists — the 4100 zone that rejected earlier is back in play, and buyers have defended 4065 repeatedly.

Support: 4,065.00, 4,041.00, 4,028.48

Resistance: 4,098.61, 4,116.48

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4098.61 opens the path back to the 4116 prior high
  • Failure to hold 4065 reopens the 4041–4028 session lows
  • Fri UoM inflation expectations (14:00 UTC) could reprice Fed-hike odds and shift this read

13:46 UTC

Recovering, testing session resistance · RSI 63 · price 4,090.24

Higher lows off 4028, capped near 4100.

NY session drove gold off the 4065 swing low up to 4098, stalling just under the $4,100 rejection zone flagged post-FOMC. Last bar faded to 4090 with RSI(14) mid-60s; higher-low structure from the 4028 low remains intact.

Support: 4,065.00, 4,041.00

Resistance: 4,100.00, 4,116.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4100 psych level opens the path to the 4116 session high
  • Failure to hold 4065 swing low exposes the 4041 range low
  • Fri UoM inflation expectations (14:00 UTC) could reprice hike bets and shift this read

13:31 UTC

Recovery, momentum slowing into resistance · RSI 54 · price 4,080.20

Consolidation 4065-4086 after intraday bounce off 4028.

Gold has recovered off the 4028 swing low into NY afternoon and is now chopping in a tight 4065-4086 band, capped repeatedly at the 4086 session high. RSI(14) neutral near 54; post-FOMC/soft-PCE tape keeps price hemmed below the 4100 psych level after earlier rejections there.

Support: 4,065.00, 4,041.00, 4,028.48

Resistance: 4,100.00, 4,116.48

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4086 opens the path back toward 4100 and the 4116 window high
  • Loss of 4065 session low reopens 4041 and the 4028 swing low
  • Fri UoM inflation expectations could shift Fed-hike pricing and this range read

13:31 UTC

Recovery off lows, momentum flat · RSI 55 · price 4,080.20

Consolidating below session high after V-recovery from 4028.

Gold spiked to 4116 on the soft US GDP/PCE prints then sold back to 4028 before recovering into the NY session; now consolidating 4065–4086. Price sits on the 61.8% retracement of the 4116–4028 leg, capped repeatedly by the 4086 session high with 4100 the rejection zone above.

Support: 4,065.00, 4,041.00, 4,028.48

Resistance: 4,086.00, 4,100.00, 4,116.48

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4086 opens the path to the 4100 round number
  • Failure to hold 4065 exposes the 4041 and 4028 swing lows
  • Fri ECI (12:30 UTC) and UoM inflation expectations (14:00 UTC) could shift this read

13:16 UTC

Range after post-FOMC volatility · RSI 52 · price 4,075.89

Consolidating 4065-4086 below 4100 rejection.

Gold spiked to 4116 then sold off to 4028 in the post-FOMC whipsaw, and has since recovered into a tight 4065-4086 range through the NY session with RSI(14) flat near 52. The $4,100 rejection zone still caps and USD stays firm on hawkish FOMC dissents.

Support: 4,065.00, 4,028.48

Resistance: 4,086.00, 4,100.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4086 puts the 4100 rejection zone back in play
  • Loss of 4065 range low opens the 4028 swing low
  • Fri ECI + UoM inflation expectations could break this range

13:16 UTC

Recovery off lows, now ranging · RSI 54 · price 4,075.89

Range 4065-4086 after bounce from 4028.

Gold recovered off the 4028 day low and is now ranging 4065-4086 into NY hours, RSI(14) neutral near 54. The 4100 zone that rejected earlier in the window remains the capping level; sub-4086 the tape is drifting sideways.

Support: 4,065.11, 4,041.00, 4,028.48

Resistance: 4,100.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4086 opens the path back to the 4100 psych level
  • Failure to hold 4065 exposes 4041 and the 4028 day low
  • Fri ECI and UoM inflation expectations could shift this read

13:03 UTC

Range, drifting off highs · RSI 44 · price 4,069.78

Consolidation under session high, holding above swing lows.

Gold is boxed 4065-4086 through the NY session after the hawkish Fed hold, with soft PCE/GDP failing to spark a durable bid. Sellers rejected 4086 into the last hour and price is now leaning on the 4065 session low, RSI(14) mid-40s and price back under EMA20.

Support: 4,065.11, 4,028.48

Resistance: 4,100.36

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4065 session low exposes 4041/4028 swing lows
  • Reclaim of 4086 session high needed to re-test 4100 psych
  • Fri UoM inflation expectations could shift this read toward the $4,000 support

13:03 UTC

Sideways after rejection near 4100 · RSI 48 · price 4,069.78

Consolidation between 4065 and 4086.

Gold is consolidating 4065-4086 in early NY hours after repeated rejections near the 4100 psych level, with RSI(14) neutral around 48. Price whipped post-FOMC and remains heavy sub-4100 as USD holds firm; the recovery off the 4028 session low has stalled below the session high.

Support: 4,065.00, 4,052.00, 4,028.48

Resistance: 4,100.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4065 range low opens a 4052 swing low then 4028 session low test
  • Reclaim of 4086 session high puts the 4100 psych level back in play
  • UoM inflation expectations Fri could shift the read

12:46 UTC

Recovery off lows, momentum flat · RSI 55 · price 4,077.42

Consolidating under 4086 after basing at 4028.

Gold based at 4028 during NY hours and climbed back into a tight 4071-4086 consolidation, capped short of the 4100 psych ceiling that rejected price earlier. RSI(14) mid-range near 55, no momentum edge; PCE/GDP just crossed at 12:30 UTC and can override this structure.

Support: 4,060.00, 4,028.48

Resistance: 4,100.00

What it said to watch

  • Close above 4086 session high opens the path to the 4100 psych ceiling
  • Break below 4060 swing low re-exposes the 4028 session low
  • Core PCE/GDP reaction (just released) can override the consolidation read

12:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum flattening · RSI 56 · price 4,077.42

Consolidating below session high.

Gold recovered off the 4028 swing low back toward the session high at 4086, but the last several bars have coiled tight between 4060 and 4086 with RSI(14) flat near 56. The earlier spike to 4116 was rejected and price is now range-bound, sitting just under 4086 into the US data drop.

Support: 4,060.00, 4,028.48

Resistance: 4,100.00, 4,116.48

What it said to watch

  • Core PCE / GDP landing now (12:30 UTC) can inject immediate volatility and reset this range
  • M15 close above 4086 opens the path toward the 4100 psych level
  • Loss of 4060 exposes the 4028 swing low

12:31 UTC

Recovery, higher lows into session high · RSI 58 · price 4,080.00

Consolidating below 4086 after rebound from 4028.

Gold rebounded from the 4028 session low and is now coiling just under the 4086 session high, RSI(14) mid-range near 58. Core PCE/GDP landed at 12:30 UTC — the last bar prints into the release, so structure is unstable until it settles.

Support: 4,064.00, 4,028.00

Resistance: 4,086.00, 4,100.00

What it said to watch

  • Core PCE/GDP just released — likely to override this read on the next bars
  • M15 close above 4086 opens the path to the 4100 ceiling
  • Loss of 4064 breaks the higher-low chain built off 4028

12:31 UTC

Recovery, momentum flattening · RSI 57 · price 4,080.00

Higher lows off 4028, capped near 4086.

Gold clawed back from the 4028 NY-session low to press the 4086 session high, now coiling in a tight 4076–4086 band. The earlier spike to 4116 was rejected hard; 4100 remains the key ceiling above.

Support: 4,060.00, 4,028.48

Resistance: 4,100.00, 4,116.48

What it said to watch

  • Core PCE/GDP just landed (12:30 UTC) — can materially shift this read in the next bars
  • M15 close above 4086 opens a retest of the 4100 rejection ceiling
  • Loss of 4060 confirms a lower-low and reopens the 4028 session low

12:17 UTC

Recovering, consolidating near session high · RSI 56 · price 4,076.20

Higher lows off 4028, capped at 4082.

Gold recovered from the 4028 session low back to the 4082 session high, then stalled into a tight 4076-4082 consolidation with RSI(14) neutral near 56. Move stalls just under the 4100 rejection zone flagged repeatedly this week; Core PCE at 12:30 UTC is imminent and can break this range either way.

Support: 4,060.00, 4,041.00

Resistance: 4,100.00

What it said to watch

  • Core PCE + GDP at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read within the next bar
  • M15 close above 4082 opens the path back toward the 4100 rejection zone
  • Loss of 4060 reopens the 4041-4028 support band

12:16 UTC

Recovery uptrend, momentum flattening · RSI 56 · price 4,076.20

Higher lows off session low, capped sub-4083.

Gold recovered from the 4028 session low back toward 4083 and is now coiling tightly in a 4076-4083 band as NY hours open, with the 4100 rejection zone still capping above. RSI(14) mid-range near 56 after the recovery leg lost steam. US Core PCE due imminently sits directly under this consolidation.

Support: 4,060.00, 4,045.00, 4,028.48

Resistance: 4,083.10, 4,100.00

What it said to watch

  • US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC can break the 4076-4083 band either way
  • Close above 4083 opens the path to the 4100 rejection zone
  • Loss of 4060 pivot exposes 4045 and the 4028 session low

12:02 UTC

Uptrend, momentum flattening · RSI 57 · price 4,077.71

Recovery stalling below session high.

Gold recovered from the 4028 session low back to 4082 through the NY session, then stalled into a tight 4076-4082 coil ahead of US Core PCE. RSI(14) mid-range near 57 as momentum flattens; 4100 remains the rejection zone flagged all week.

Support: 4,064.00, 4,041.00

Resistance: 4,082.70, 4,100.00

What it said to watch

  • US Core PCE / GDP at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read within the next bar
  • M15 close above 4082.7 opens the path to the 4100 psych level
  • Failure to hold 4064 confirms a lower low and re-exposes 4041

12:02 UTC

Recovering, momentum flattening · RSI 58 · price 4,077.71

Higher lows off 4028, consolidating below session high.

Gold recovered from the 4028 session low along a rising-low chain and is now consolidating 4062-4083 just below the session high, RSI(14) mid-range near 58. Price stalled under the 4083 session high with the 4100 rejection zone capping any extension. US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC lands in under 30 minutes and can break this range either way.

Support: 4,062.00, 4,041.00, 4,028.48

Resistance: 4,083.10, 4,100.00

What it said to watch

  • US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
  • M15 close above 4083 opens the path to the 4100 rejection zone
  • Failure to hold 4062 swing low exposes 4041 and the 4028 session low

11:47 UTC

Recovery, momentum cooling · RSI 59 · price 4,076.41

Bounced off 4028 low, consolidating below session high.

NY session recovered off the 4028 swing low back to the 4083 session high, retracing ~62% of the earlier 4116-4028 leg down, with RSI(14) cooling near 59. Price is now stalling in a tight band just under 4083 ahead of the Core PCE cluster.

Support: 4,060.00, 4,028.48

Resistance: 4,083.00, 4,100.00

What it said to watch

  • US Core PCE + GDP at 12:30 UTC (~45m) can materially shift this read
  • Close above 4083 opens the path back to the 4100 psych rejection zone
  • Failure to hold 4060 exposes the 4028 swing low again

11:46 UTC

Recovery, momentum flattening · RSI 55 · price 4,076.41

Consolidating below session high after bounce off 4028.

Gold recovered from the 4028 swing low back to the 4083 session high during NY hours and is now stalling in a tight 4076-4083 band, RSI(14) mid-range near 55. Prior intraday failures around 4100 keep that the upside rejection zone, consistent with the offered tone below 4,100.

Support: 4,060.00, 4,052.00, 4,028.00

Resistance: 4,083.00, 4,100.00

What it said to watch

  • US Core PCE / GDP cluster at 12:30 UTC (~45m) could materially shift this read
  • M15 close above 4083 session high opens the path to the 4100 psych zone
  • Failure to hold 4060 pivot exposes 4052 session low

11:32 UTC

Recovering, grinding higher off session low · RSI 58 · price 4,077.06

Higher lows since 4028, capped below 4083.

Gold clawed back from the 4028 session low through the London session, printing higher lows and now stalling just under the 4083 session high after the post-FOMC whipsaw. RSI(14) mid-range near 58, price holding above EMA20/50 but the 4100 rejection zone still caps.

Support: 4,060.00, 4,028.48

Resistance: 4,083.00, 4,100.00

What it said to watch

  • US Core PCE / GDP cluster at 12:30 UTC (~1h) can materially shift this read
  • Loss of 4060 pullback low breaks the higher-low chain
  • M15 close above 4083 session high opens the path to the 4100 psych zone

11:31 UTC

Intraday recovery, grinding higher · RSI 61 · price 4,077.06

Higher lows off 4028, capped below 4083.

Gold clawed back from the 4028 session low to press session-high resistance at 4083, RSI(14) mid-range near 60. Price is coiling in a 4060-4083 band below the 4100 rejection zone, capped since the earlier fade off 4116. Core PCE/GDP cluster lands at 12:30 UTC.

Support: 4,060.00, 4,044.00, 4,028.48

Resistance: 4,083.00, 4,100.00, 4,116.48

What it said to watch

  • Core PCE / GDP at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
  • M15 close above 4083 opens the path to the 4100 psych level
  • Loss of 4060 exposes 4044 and the 4028 session low

11:17 UTC

Recovery leg, higher highs into NY · RSI 62 · price 4,080.44

Rising lows off 4028, retracing prior downleg.

Gold has recovered off the 4028 session low in a chain of higher lows, now pressing 4080 — roughly the 61.8% retrace of the 4116-to-4028 downleg. The 4100 rejection zone caps overhead while 4060 holds as the nearest higher low. Core PCE and GDP land at 12:30 UTC (~75 min), the dominant near-term risk.

Support: 4,060.00, 4,028.48

Resistance: 4,100.00, 4,116.48

What it said to watch

  • Core PCE / GDP at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
  • Reclaim of 4100 rejection zone opens a path back toward the 4116 session high
  • Loss of 4060 swing low breaks the rising-low sequence and exposes 4028

11:16 UTC

Recovery off session low, momentum steadying · RSI 58 · price 4,080.44

Higher lows off 4028, capped below 4100.

Gold clawed back from the 4028 swing low to the 61.8% retracement near 4082 and is consolidating just under the 4100 rejection zone it rolled over from post-Fed. RSI(14) mid-range at ~58, higher-low chain intact but supply capped the last push at 4083.

Support: 4,028.48, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,100.00, 4,116.48

What it said to watch

  • US Core PCE/GDP cluster at 12:30 UTC (~75m) could materially shift this read
  • Reclaim of 4100 needed to reopen the 4116 session high
  • Loss of 4028 swing low confirms a lower low toward the 4000 psych level

11:02 UTC

Recovery, momentum firm · RSI 64 · price 4,079.40

Higher lows off 4028, testing session high.

Gold has clawed back from the 4028 swing low in a chain of higher lows, now pressing the 4083 session high with RSI(14) near 63. Price is stalling around the 0.618 retrace of the 4116-to-4028 drop; the 12:30 UTC Core PCE/GDP cluster is the dominant near-term risk.

Support: 4,060.00, 4,045.00

Resistance: 4,083.00, 4,100.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4083 opens the path toward the 4100 psych level
  • Failure to hold 4060 exposes the 4045 session low
  • Core PCE/GDP at 12:30 UTC (~1.5h) could materially shift this read

11:02 UTC

Intraday recovery, momentum stalling near highs · RSI 62 · price 4,079.40

Higher lows off 4028, capped at 4083.

Gold recovered from the 4028 session low through London, chaining higher lows back to 4083 where supply capped the last three bars. Price holds above EMA20/50 at 4079 with RSI near 62; Core PCE/GDP at 12:30 UTC (~1.5h) is the next catalyst.

Support: 4,064.00, 4,052.00, 4,028.48

Resistance: 4,083.00, 4,100.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4083 opens the path to the 4100 round number
  • Failure to hold 4064 threatens the recovery and reopens 4052
  • Core PCE / GDP at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

10:46 UTC

Recovering, near-term uptrend · RSI 65 · price 4,082.08

Higher highs/lows off 4028, pressing 4090.

Gold recovered from the 4028 session low to press 4082, building higher lows through the London-NY transition with RSI(14) mid-60s. Price is stalling just under the 4090 ceiling; the 4100 psych level caps above and marks the offered zone flagged post-Fed.

Support: 4,065.00, 4,052.00, 4,028.48

Resistance: 4,090.00, 4,100.00, 4,116.48

What it said to watch

  • Core PCE/GDP at 12:30 UTC (~2h) is a high-impact catalyst that could reset this read
  • M15 close above 4100 opens the path back toward the 4116 session high
  • Failure to hold 4065 breaks the rising-lows chain and exposes 4052/4028

10:46 UTC

Intraday uptrend, testing 4100 ceiling · RSI 65 · price 4,082.08

Higher lows since 4028, grinding toward range top.

London session has ground gold up from the 4028 low to 4082, holding a chain of higher lows and re-approaching the 4100 ceiling that capped earlier. RSI(14) mid-60s, room before overbought; price sits above EMA20/50 with the offered post-Fed tone yet to reassert.

Support: 4,065.00

Resistance: 4,100.00, 4,116.48

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4100 opens the path to the 4116 session high
  • Failure to hold rising support at 4065 breaks the higher-low sequence
  • Core PCE/GDP at 12:30 UTC (~1.7h) could materially shift this read

10:32 UTC

Recovery, testing session high · RSI 62 · price 4,075.90

Higher lows off 4028, retesting 4077.

Gold recovered from the 4028 swing low through the London session, printing higher lows into a retest of the 4077 session high with RSI(14) around 61. Price is capped at 4077 for now, roughly a 55% retrace of the 4116-4028 drop, with Core PCE/GDP looming.

Support: 4,060.00, 4,028.48

Resistance: 4,077.00, 4,100.00, 4,116.48

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4077 opens the path to the 4100 ceiling
  • Failure to hold 4060 exposes the 4028 swing low again
  • US Core PCE / GDP at 12:30 UTC (~2h) could materially shift this read

10:31 UTC

Recovery leg up, momentum steady · RSI 62 · price 4,075.90

Higher lows off 4028, testing session high.

Gold has ground back up from the 4028 range low through the London session, chaining higher lows and now retesting the 4077 session high with RSI(14) around 61. Move sits near the 0.5 retrace of the 4116-4028 leg; 4100 remains the ceiling that capped the post-FOMC swing.

Support: 4,060.00

Resistance: 4,077.60, 4,100.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4077.6 opens the path back to the 4100 psych ceiling
  • Loss of 4060 recent low breaks the higher-low chain toward 4028 range low
  • Core PCE/GDP double-header at 12:30 UTC (~2h) can materially shift this read

10:17 UTC

Recovering, micro-uptrend into resistance · RSI 60 · price 4,070.63

Higher lows off 4028, capped near 4074.

Gold has clawed back from the 4028 session low to press the 4074 area, building a chain of higher lows through the NY session; RSI(14) mid-60s, no extreme. Repeated attempts have been capped at 4072-4074, and the broader tone stays offered below the 4100 ceiling after yesterday's hawkish Fed hold.

Support: 4,052.00, 4,028.48

Resistance: 4,074.00, 4,100.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4074 opens the path back toward the 4100 psych ceiling
  • Loss of the rising support / 4052 swing low breaks the higher-low sequence
  • Core PCE & GDP at 12:30 UTC (~2.5h) can materially shift this read

10:16 UTC

Recovery within broader range · RSI 56 · price 4,070.63

Ranging after FOMC spike faded, higher lows into session high.

London session gold recovered off the 4028 session low back to the 4074 ceiling, RSI(14) mid-range near 56. Price is coiling just under session highs after yesterday's FOMC-driven 4116 spike bled off; still boxed 4060–4074.

Support: 4,060.00, 4,045.00, 4,028.00

Resistance: 4,074.00, 4,090.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4074 opens path toward 4090
  • Failure to hold 4060 exposes 4045 and the 4028 session low
  • Core PCE / GDP at 12:30 UTC (~2h) could materially reshape this read

10:03 UTC

Recovery within broader range · RSI 55 · price 4,064.70

Ranging after rally-and-pullback, higher lows forming.

Gold recovered off the 4028 swing low and is grinding higher lows back toward the 4073 session high after the 4116 spike faded on the hawkish Fed hold. Price is ranging 4045-4073, RSI(14) neutral near 55, with the 4100 psych ceiling still capping.

Support: 4,045.00

Resistance: 4,073.00, 4,090.00, 4,100.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4073 session high opens the path to 4090 and the 4100 psych ceiling
  • Failure to hold 4045 exposes the 4028 swing low
  • US Core PCE/GDP at 12:30 UTC (~2.5h) could materially shift this read

10:02 UTC

Recovering within range, momentum neutral · RSI 54 · price 4,064.70

Ranging after post-Fed volatility spike and fade.

Gold spiked to 4116 on the hawkish Fed hold then faded hard to 4028; price has since clawed back to 4064 and is ranging 4030-4072. Recovery is holding above the 4060 session low but 4072 is capping, with the $4100 ceiling still the rejection zone above.

Support: 4,060.00, 4,030.00

Resistance: 4,072.00, 4,090.00, 4,100.00

What it said to watch

  • Core PCE/GDP at 12:30 UTC (~2.5h) could break the range
  • M15 close above 4072 opens the path to the 4090-4100 ceiling
  • Failure to hold 4060 exposes the 4030 swing low

09:47 UTC

Recovering off lows, choppy · RSI 56 · price 4,064.61

Range within post-Fed band.

Gold recovered off the 4028 swing low back toward the session high at 4072, RSI(14) near 56 and mid-range after post-Fed chop. Price holds above the 4041 range floor but is capped under 4072; the broader 4041-4100 post-Fed band remains intact.

Support: 4,041.00, 4,028.48, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,100.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4072 session high opens the 4100 cap
  • Loss of 4041 range floor exposes the 4028 swing low and 4000 psych
  • US Core PCE / GDP at 12:30 UTC (~4h) could materially shift this read

09:47 UTC

Recovery off swing low, ranging · RSI 58 · price 4,064.61

Higher lows into session high, capped inside post-Fed band.

Gold recovered from the 4028 swing low back to the session high at 4072, holding a chain of higher lows through the NY session. Price remains inside the 4041-4100 post-Fed band with RSI(14) mid-range, no extreme in play.

Support: 4,052.00, 4,041.00, 4,028.48

Resistance: 4,100.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4072 opens the 4100 psych cap
  • Failure to hold 4052/4041 range floor reopens the 4028 swing low
  • US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC (~3h) is the main catalyst and can reshape this read

09:31 UTC

Choppy range, near-term recovery · RSI 56 · price 4,065.23

Post-Fed range 4028-4100, mid-range bounce.

Gold is chopping in a 4028-4100 band carved out after yesterday's hawkish-hold Fed whipsaw. Current bar recovered from the 4036 area back to test the 4072 session high, RSI(14) mid-range near 56; price sits above EMA20 and EMA50. US Core PCE/GDP at 12:30 UTC (~3h) is the next catalyst and can break this range either way.

Support: 4,041.00, 4,028.48

Resistance: 4,072.86, 4,100.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4072.86 session high opens a retest of the 4100 cap
  • Failure to hold 4041 pivot exposes the 4028.48 range low
  • US Core PCE/GDP at 12:30 UTC (~3h) could materially shift this read

09:17 UTC

Recovering off session low, momentum firming · RSI 59 · price 4,065.36

Choppy range, higher lows building into NY.

Gold whipsawed within the post-Fed 4041–4100 band; London dipped to 4028 then buyers stepped in, lifting price back to 4065 with RSI(14) near 59. Session high at 4072.86 is the nearest cap, with the repeatedly-failed 4100 above.

Support: 4,046.00, 4,028.48, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,072.86, 4,100.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4072.86 opens the path toward the 4100 post-fed cap
  • Loss of 4046 and the 4028.48 swing low reopens the 4000 psych test
  • US Core PCE/GDP at 12:30 UTC (~3.5h) is the key catalyst and can override this range read

09:17 UTC

Recovery off session low, mid-range · RSI 58 · price 4,065.36

Double bottom near 4029, higher lows building.

Gold whipsawed after yesterday's FOMC spike to 4116, then bled to a double bottom near 4029 before recovering to 4065 through London hours. Price is mid-range with RSI(14) neutral near 58; the 4073 session high caps and 4041-4029 has held twice.

Support: 4,041.00, 4,029.00

Resistance: 4,073.00, 4,100.00, 4,116.00

What it said to watch

  • US Core PCE/GDP at 12:30 UTC (~3h) could materially shift this read
  • M15 close above 4073 opens the path back toward the 4100 cap
  • Loss of 4041 exposes the 4029 double bottom

09:04 UTC

Choppy, recovering off lows · RSI 56 · price 4,061.66

Post-Fed range, higher low into London.

Gold is chopping in a 4028-4072 band since the post-Fed spike to 4116 faded; London hours bought the 4028 dip and lifted price back to 4062, RSI(14) mid-range near 56. Recovery leg is intact but the 4072 session high still caps.

Support: 4,040.00, 4,028.48

Resistance: 4,100.00, 4,116.48

What it said to watch

  • US Core PCE / GDP at 12:30 UTC (~3.5h) can break this range in either direction
  • M15 close above 4072 opens the path back toward the 4100 cap
  • Loss of 4040 reopens the 4028 range low

09:03 UTC

Recovering off session low · RSI 58 · price 4,061.66

Higher lows into 4072, capped below prior high.

Gold recovered from the session low at 4028.48 back to 4072 and is now consolidating at 4061 within the post-Fed 4040-4100 band, RSI(14) mid-range. The current London bar holds above the 4040 pivot but has yet to clear the 4072 session high.

Support: 4,040.00, 4,028.48, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,100.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4072 opens the path to the 4100 cap
  • Failure to hold 4040 exposes 4028 session low and the 4000 fed line
  • US Core PCE / GDP at 12:30 UTC (~3.5h) is the key catalyst that could reset this range

08:47 UTC

Recovery off session low, momentum building · RSI 61 · price 4,067.44

Higher lows since 4028, retracing the earlier drop.

Recovery from the 4028 session low through London hours; buyers stepped in near 4028-4036 twice and price now grinds toward the 4083 swing. RSI(14) around 61 with price back above EMA20/50 after the post-Fed whipsaw.

Support: 4,041.00, 4,028.48

Resistance: 4,083.00, 4,100.00, 4,116.48

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4083 opens the path to the 4100 cap and session high 4116
  • Failure to hold 4041 exposes the 4028 session low again
  • US Core PCE / GDP at 12:30 UTC (~4h) is the main catalyst and could reset this read

08:46 UTC

Recovering off session low, short-term up · RSI 58 · price 4,067.44

Range 4028-4100, higher lows since low.

Gold recovered off the 4028 session low to 4067 during early NY hours, building a chain of higher lows and holding well above the $4,000 Fed-test line. Price now sits mid-range under the 4072 session high with RSI(14) around mid-50s; the post-spike 4090-4100 cap remains untested.

Support: 4,052.00, 4,036.00, 4,028.00

Resistance: 4,072.00, 4,090.00, 4,100.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4072 session high opens the path to the 4090 prior high and 4100 cap
  • Failure to hold 4052 recent low exposes 4036 and the 4028 session low
  • US Core PCE / GDP / jobless claims at 12:30 UTC (~4h) is the key catalyst and could reset this read

08:32 UTC

Intraday recovery, momentum building · RSI 63 · price 4,066.96

Range break higher off session low.

London session recovered off the 4028 session low and broke above the 4028-4051 range, retracing the post-Fed drop from 4116 back to 4066 with RSI(14) near 63 — firm but not stretched. Prior high at 4086 and the 4100 psych cap sit overhead, with ascending support tracking the recent higher lows.

Support: 4,051.00, 4,028.00

Resistance: 4,086.00, 4,100.00, 4,116.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back below 4051 negates the range breakout
  • US Core PCE / GDP at 12:30 UTC (~4h) could materially shift this read
  • Failure to hold 4028 confirms a lower low

08:31 UTC

Rebounding within post-Fed range · RSI 62 · price 4,066.96

Higher lows off 4028, testing range mid.

Gold rebounded off a double bottom near 4028 through the London hours and is pressing back into the 4041-4100 post-Fed range, last 4067 with RSI(14) around 62. The 4083 prior high is the immediate cap; broader 4100 rejection level still untested this session.

Support: 4,041.00, 4,028.40

Resistance: 4,083.00, 4,100.00

What it said to watch

  • US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC (~4h) is the main catalyst and can break the 4041-4100 post-Fed range
  • Close above 4083 opens the path toward the 4100 cap
  • Failure to hold 4041 range low re-exposes the 4028 swing low

08:17 UTC

Range-bound, recovering off lows · RSI 54 · price 4,054.24

Choppy range post-Fed, mid-range bounce.

Gold spiked to 4116 on yesterday's FOMC hold then faded into a 4028-4100 range, with 4100 capping twice. Price is now bouncing off the 4028 swing low, sitting mid-range near 4054 with RSI(14) neutral around 53.

Support: 4,028.00, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,100.00, 4,116.00

What it said to watch

  • US Core PCE/GDP at 12:30 UTC (~4h) is the main catalyst and could break this range
  • M15 close above 4100 reopens the path to the 4116 session high
  • Loss of 4028 confirms a lower low and exposes 4000 psych level

08:17 UTC

Pullback from spike, now ranging · RSI 53 · price 4,054.24

Consolidation between 4028 and 4056 after fade from 4116.

Gold spiked to 4116 on the post-Fed whipsaw then faded, and price is now boxed between 4028 and 4056 with the 4100 cap repeatedly rejected. Last bars firmed off 4028 back to 4054, RSI(14) neutral near 53 into the US PCE double-header.

Support: 4,028.00, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,056.00, 4,100.00

What it said to watch

  • US Core PCE / GDP at 12:30 UTC (~4h) could break the 4028-4056 range
  • M15 close above 4056 opens a retest of the 4100 cap
  • Failure to hold 4028 targets the 4000 psych support

08:03 UTC

Range after volatility spike · RSI 48 · price 4,037.45

Consolidating 4028-4051 post-FOMC fade.

Post-FOMC spike to 4116 faded through the London session and price is now churning between 4028 and 4051, RSI(14) flat near neutral. Repeated rejections at the 4051 range top keep intraday structure sideways below EMA20.

Support: 4,028.48, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,051.34, 4,067.16

What it said to watch

  • US Core PCE + GDP at 12:30 UTC is the near-term catalyst and could break this range either way
  • M15 close above 4051 opens the path back toward 4067
  • Loss of 4028 exposes the 4000 psychological support

08:03 UTC

Pullback from spike high, now ranging · RSI 45 · price 4,037.45

Faded off 4116, consolidating 4028-4051.

Gold spiked to 4116 during NY hours post-Fed then unwound, and is now ranging 4028-4051 into the Asia session with RSI(14) mid-range. The 4028 session low held on the last pullback while the 4051 swing high caps recent bounces; the 4100 range cap remains the upper reference.

Support: 4,028.00, 4,013.00, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,051.00, 4,076.00, 4,100.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4051 swing high reopens 4076 prior high
  • Loss of 4028 session low exposes 4013 swing low and the 4000 psych level
  • US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC is the near-term catalyst and could reshape this range

07:47 UTC

Choppy, range-bound after post-Fed spike · RSI 53 · price 4,045.89

Ranging 4028-4051 below EMA50.

Gold spiked to 4116 on the post-Fed hawkish-dissent whipsaw yesterday, then unwound and has spent London hours ranging between 4028 and 4051, now hovering at 4046 on the EMA20. Current price sits near the 61.8% retrace of that post-Fed rally; RSI(14) neutral around 53 with no extreme.

Support: 4,028.48, 4,009.33

Resistance: 4,051.34, 4,067.16

What it said to watch

  • US Core PCE/GDP cluster at 12:30 UTC is the near-term catalyst and could break this range
  • M15 close above 4051 opens the path to 4067
  • Failure to hold 4028 confirms a lower low toward 4009

07:46 UTC

Sideways after post-Fed spike · RSI 51 · price 4,045.89

Range-bound, mid-range.

Gold is chopping between 4028 and 4051 through the Asian session into London open, unwinding yesterday's post-Fed spike toward 4116. RSI(14) sits neutral near 51 and price is below EMA20/50, keeping the read sideways ahead of data.

Support: 4,028.00, 4,013.00, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,051.00, 4,067.00

What it said to watch

  • Core PCE / GDP cluster at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
  • M15 close above 4051 session high opens the path to 4067 prior high
  • Loss of 4028 session low confirms a lower-low toward 4013 swing low and 4000 psych

07:32 UTC

Pullback off intraday high, momentum flat · RSI 45 · price 4,042.79

Retreat from 4116 peak, sitting at range base.

Gold spiked to 4116 on the post-Fed short-covering burst then bled lower through London, now pinned near the 4030-4051 range base with RSI(14) neutral around 44. The 4100 cap has repeatedly rejected; price holding the 61.8% retrace of the 3996-4116 leg.

Support: 4,030.00, 4,009.00

Resistance: 4,051.00, 4,067.00, 4,100.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4030 confirms a lower-low toward 4009
  • Reclaim of 4051 session cap reopens 4067
  • US Core PCE / GDP at 12:30 UTC (~6h) could materially shift this read

07:32 UTC

Range after post-Fed spike faded · RSI 49 · price 4,042.79

Consolidating 4030–4051 below spike high.

Post-Fed spike to 4116 was rejected and faded back through NY; price now ranges 4030–4051 with RSI(14) neutral near 48. Buyers defended 4030 repeatedly during the London session while 4051 caps the recovery.

Support: 4,030.00, 4,009.00, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,051.00, 4,067.00, 4,100.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4051 opens the path to 4067 then the 4100 cap
  • Break below 4030 exposes 4009 and the 4000 psych level
  • US Core PCE/GDP at 12:30 UTC (~5h) could break this range

07:17 UTC

Range-bound after post-Fed whipsaw · RSI 53 · price 4,047.94

Chopping inside 4028-4055 post-Fed range.

Gold spiked to 4116 during NY hours on the hawkish-hold whipsaw, then faded and has spent London morning chopping the 4028-4055 post-Fed range, now at 4047.94 mid-range with RSI(14) neutral near 53. No directional setup in play; the 4100 cap and 4028 swing low bracket price.

Support: 4,028.00, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,055.00, 4,100.00

What it said to watch

  • Core PCE/GDP at 12:30 UTC (~5h) is the catalyst that likely breaks the 4028-4055 chop
  • M15 close above 4055 supply reopens the path to the 4100 post-fed cap
  • Loss of 4028 swing low exposes the 4000 psych level

07:17 UTC

Pullback from session high, now ranging · RSI 54 · price 4,047.94

Lower highs off 4116 spike, basing above 4028.

Gold spiked to 4116 on the hawkish 9-3 Fed hold then bled back through the session, printing lower highs and basing near 4028. Price is now chopping 4028–4055 into the Asian tail, RSI(14) neutral around 54 after the bounce off the session low.

Support: 4,028.48, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,055.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4055 breaks the sequence of lower highs and reopens 4066
  • Failure to hold 4028 confirms a lower-low toward the 4000 psych level
  • US Core PCE/GDP at 12:30 UTC (~5h) is the key catalyst and can override this range

07:02 UTC

Downtrend off intraday high, consolidating · RSI 45 · price 4,039.60

Lower highs from 4116, holding 4028.

Gold spiked to 4116 post-Fed then rolled over through the London session, printing lower highs and tapping 4028 before recovering to 4039. Price now chops in a tight 4028-4050 band below EMA20; the post-Fed 4050 pivot caps and the 4090-4100 zone remains the ceiling that has repeatedly rejected.

Support: 4,028.00, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,050.00, 4,090.00, 4,100.00

What it said to watch

  • US Core PCE + advance GDP at 12:30 UTC (~6h) could materially shift this read
  • Loss of 4028 swing low opens the path to the 4000 psych level
  • M15 close back above 4050 post-fed pivot reopens the 4090 swing high

06:46 UTC

Downtrend, fading post-Fed spike · RSI 43 · price 4,036.23

Lower highs, testing 4030 support.

Post-Fed spike to 4116 during NY faded steadily; price has ground down through Asia into London to retest the 4028-4030 swing low, RSI(14) mid-40s. Sellers have capped every bounce near 4051 — the 4100 post-Fed high stands as the session cap.

Support: 4,028.00, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,051.00, 4,100.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4028 confirms a lower low, opening the 4000 psych level
  • Reclaim of 4051 swing high needed to break the descending sequence of lower highs
  • US Core PCE / GDP at 12:30 UTC (~6h) could materially shift this read

06:46 UTC

Intraday downtrend, momentum slowing · RSI 44 · price 4,036.23

Lower highs off 4100, basing near 4028-4030.

Gold faded from the post-Fed 4100 cap through the London morning, printing lower highs into a session low at 4028 before basing in a tight 4030-4039 band. RSI(14) sits mid-40s, no extreme; price trades below EMA20 and EMA50.

Support: 4,028.00, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,051.00, 4,100.00

What it said to watch

  • US Core PCE + GDP at 12:30 UTC (~6h) could materially shift this read
  • M15 close below 4028 confirms a lower-low and opens 4000
  • Reclaim of 4051 breaks the descending resistance off 4100

06:32 UTC

Pulling back from post-FOMC highs · RSI 42 · price 4,032.52

Lower highs since 4116 peak, testing session lows.

Gold surged post-FOMC to 4116 then bled back through NY into Asia, now grinding session lows around 4028-4032 with RSI(14) mid-40s. Sequence of lower highs off 4100 caps the pullback; 4051 is the nearest supply.

Support: 4,028.48, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,051.26, 4,100.36

What it said to watch

  • Core PCE + GDP cluster at 12:30 UTC (~6h) could materially shift this read
  • M15 close below 4028 swing low confirms continuation lower toward 4000 psych
  • Reclaim of 4051 prior high needed to break the lower-high sequence

06:32 UTC

Downtrend off post-FOMC high, momentum easing · RSI 43 · price 4,032.52

Lower highs since 4100, testing 4030 support.

Gold spiked to 4100 on the post-FOMC relief bid then faded through the NY-Asia handover, printing a chain of lower highs into 4028. Price now grinds along the 4030 support shelf below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 42.

Support: 4,028.48, 4,013.00, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,051.26, 4,100.36

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4028 confirms a lower-low and opens 4013 then the 4000 psych level
  • Reclaim of 4051 lower high needed to stall the downtrend read
  • US Core PCE + GDP at 12:30 UTC (~6h) can materially shift this read

06:17 UTC

Downtrend, grinding into support · RSI 39 · price 4,031.18

Lower highs from 4116 peak, testing 4030.

Gold rolled over from the post-FOMC 4116 spike and has printed steady lower highs back to the 4030 area during the Asian session, price below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) near 39. Buyers defended the 4028 swing low on the last leg down; 4000 psych sits below as the next reference.

Support: 4,028.48, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,046.71

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4028.48 confirms a lower low, opening the 4000 psych test
  • Reclaim of 4046.71 swing high needed to ease the downside pressure
  • US Core PCE + GDP cluster at 12:30 UTC (~6h) can materially shift this read

06:16 UTC

Downtrend, retracing from post-Fed spike · RSI 41 · price 4,031.18

Lower highs, probing 4030 support.

NY session spiked to 4116 on the post-Fed relief bid, then bled off in a chain of lower highs through the Asia session. Price is now probing 4030 support with RSI(14) near 40; sellers repeatedly capped the 4090 area on the way down.

Support: 4,030.00, 4,009.00

Resistance: 4,055.00, 4,090.00, 4,116.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4028 confirms a lower low, opening 4009
  • Reclaim of 4055 needed to challenge the descending highs
  • US Core PCE + GDP cluster at 12:30 UTC (~6h) can reset this read

05:46 UTC

Downtrend, grinding off FOMC high · RSI 38 · price 4,032.62

Lower highs from 4116, testing session low.

Gold spiked to 4116 on the Fed hold then repeatedly rejected the 4100 cap, printing lower highs into the Asia session. Price is now grinding down to the 4028 session low with RSI(14) near 38, well below EMA20/50.

Support: 4,028.00, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,067.00, 4,100.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4028 session low opens the 4000 psych level
  • Reclaim of 4067 swing high needed to break the lower-high chain
  • Core PCE / GDP cluster at 12:30 UTC (~7h) could reset this read

05:32 UTC

Downtrend, lower highs off 4100 peak · RSI 41 · price 4,049.07

Pullback from post-FOMC spike, LH/LL chain.

Gold spiked to 4116 on the post-FOMC relief bid then faded through the NY-Asia handover, printing a lower-high chain from 4100 and now grinding around 4044-4049 below EMA20/50. RSI(14) at ~41, no extreme; the 4041-4037 shelf has held repeatedly while 4067 caps rallies.

Support: 4,041.00, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,067.16, 4,100.36, 4,116.48

What it said to watch

  • Break below 4037 session low confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence toward 4000 psych
  • Reclaim of 4067 swing high needed to break the lower-high chain
  • Core PCE / GDP cluster at 12:30 UTC (~7h) can materially shift this read

05:32 UTC

Downtrend, momentum slowing · RSI 44 · price 4,049.07

Lower highs, lower lows off 4100; small bounce off 4037.

Gold spiked to 4116 on the FOMC hold before fading; M15 has carved a sequence of lower highs through the Asian session down to a 4037 session low, now nudging back to 4049. RSI mid-40s and price sits below EMA20/50, keeping the intraday tilt lower.

Support: 4,037.00, 4,022.00, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,066.00

What it said to watch

  • Close above 4066 breaks the lower-highs sequence
  • Failure to hold 4037 opens 4022 then the 4000 psych level
  • Core PCE/GDP cluster at 12:30 UTC (~7h) could reset this read

05:17 UTC

Downtrend, fading post-Fed spike · RSI 41 · price 4,045.24

Lower highs off 4116, testing range floor.

Gold spiked to 4116 on the post-Fed relief bid then bled back through a chain of lower highs, now pressing the 4041 range floor at roughly the 61.8% retrace of that rally. Sits at the bottom of the 4041-4100 band with RSI(14) near 41.

Support: 4,041.00, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,067.00, 4,100.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4041 opens the 4000 psych level
  • Reclaim of 4067 swing high negates the lower-high sequence
  • Core PCE / GDP cluster at 12:30 UTC (~7h) is the key catalyst

05:17 UTC

Downtrend off post-FOMC high · RSI 38 · price 4,045.24

Lower highs since 4116, testing 4044 swing low.

Gold spiked to 4116 on the FOMC hold then bled lower through a chain of lower highs, now grinding back to the 4044 swing low during the Asia session with price below EMA20/50. The 4100 cap rejected repeatedly and RSI(14) sits near 38, no reversal signal yet.

Support: 4,044.00

Resistance: 4,067.00, 4,100.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4044 confirms a lower low
  • Reclaim of 4067 swing high would break the lower-high sequence
  • US Core PCE / GDP cluster ~12:30 UTC could reset this read

05:04 UTC

Downtrend, pulling back from 4100 cap · RSI 40 · price 4,043.91

Lower highs off 4116, testing session lows.

Gold surged to 4116 post-FOMC then rolled over, printing lower highs into the Asian session and now sitting on 4043 — the 61.8% fib of the 3996-4116 rally. The 4100 cap has rejected twice; momentum is soft with RSI(14) near 40 and price below both EMAs.

Support: 4,043.00, 4,030.00, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,067.00, 4,100.00, 4,116.48

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4043 opens the 4030 swing low then 4000 psych
  • Reclaim of 4067 needed to re-challenge the 4100 cap
  • US Core PCE / GDP cluster at 12:30 UTC (~7.5h) can reset this range

05:03 UTC

Downtrend, retracing post-FOMC spike · RSI 34 · price 4,043.91

Lower highs off 4116 session high.

Gold spiked to 4116 on the FOMC hold during NY, then faded through a chain of lower highs and is now testing 4043, which aligns with the 61.8% retrace of the 3996-4116 move. RSI(14) has cooled into the mid-30s as sellers press the intraday lows.

Support: 4,043.00, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,060.00, 4,100.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4043 opens the path to the 4000 psych floor
  • Reclaim of 4060 needed to challenge the descending highs toward 4100
  • Core PCE/GDP cluster at 12:30 UTC (~7.7h) can materially shift this read

04:47 UTC

Downtrend, pulling back off post-FOMC spike · RSI 42 · price 4,050.04

Lower highs since 4116, testing session low.

Gold spiked to 4116 on the hawkish Fed hold (three dissents for hikes) then unwound in a steady chain of lower highs, now grinding on the 4047 session low with RSI(14) mid-40s. Price sits below EMA20/50 as the post-FOMC 4041-4100 range compresses toward its base.

Support: 4,041.00, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,067.16, 4,116.48

What it said to watch

  • US PCE/GDP cluster at 12:30 UTC (~8h) could break the range in either direction
  • M15 close below 4047 confirms a lower low toward 4041/4000
  • Reclaim of 4067 needed to challenge the 4091 session high

04:46 UTC

Pullback after post-FOMC spike · RSI 44 · price 4,050.04

Lower highs off 4116, holding above range low.

Gold surged to 4116 during NY hours on the hawkish Fed hold, then bled back to 4050 into the Asian session on a chain of lower highs. RSI(14) sits near 43, mid-range; price is holding above the 4041 post-FOMC range low.

Support: 4,041.00, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,070.00

What it said to watch

  • US PCE/GDP cluster at 12:30 UTC (~8h) could materially shift this read
  • Close below 4041 range low confirms continuation lower toward 4000
  • Reclaim of 4070 swing high negates the lower-high sequence

04:31 UTC

Pullback off post-FOMC high, lower highs · RSI 41 · price 4,052.97

Lower highs since 4116 spike, retracing the FOMC leg.

Gold spiked to 4116 on the hawkish Fed hold, then rejected and rolled into a lower-high pullback, now grinding down to 4052 with RSI(14) near 41. Price sits below both EMAs, mid-way into the retrace of the 3996–4116 FOMC leg; 4044 swing low is the near pivot.

Support: 4,044.00, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,076.00

What it said to watch

  • US PCE/GDP cluster at 12:30 UTC (~8h) could materially shift this read
  • Break below 4044 confirms a lower low toward 4000 psych
  • M15 close above 4076 swing high negates the lower-high sequence

04:31 UTC

Downtrend, fading post-FOMC spike · RSI 41 · price 4,052.97

Lower highs off 4116 peak.

Post-FOMC spike to 4116 faded through NY hours and price is now grinding lower to 4053, sitting on the 50% retrace of the 3996-4116 rally. Lower highs are stacking and RSI(14) has cooled to the low 40s; $4,000 remains the flagged line into today's PCE/GDP cluster.

Support: 4,041.00

Resistance: 4,066.00

What it said to watch

  • US PCE/GDP cluster in ~8h could materially shift this read
  • M15 close below 4041 confirms continuation lower
  • Reclaim of 4066 breaks the lower-high chain

04:17 UTC

Downtrend, off post-FOMC high · RSI 38 · price 4,053.54

Lower highs, pressing 4050 support.

Gold has bled off the post-FOMC $4,100 top in a steady chain of lower highs, now pressing the 4050 session low with RSI(14) near 38. Move down from the 4044 swing low into 4100 has been almost fully retraced; buyers stepped in twice around 4050.

Support: 4,050.00, 4,044.37, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,067.00, 4,100.36

What it said to watch

  • US PCE/GDP cluster at 12:30 UTC (~8h) can materially shift this read
  • M15 close below 4044 confirms a lower low and opens 4000 psych
  • Reclaim of 4067 swing high needed to challenge the descending highs

04:17 UTC

Downtrend, retracing post-FOMC spike · RSI 36 · price 4,053.54

Lower highs, lower lows since 4116 peak.

Gold rolled over from the post-FOMC high near 4116, printing a lower-high chain through Asia into early London and now retesting 4050-4044 support after the volatile Fed reaction. RSI(14) sits near 36, price back below EMA20/50 as the retracement of the FOMC leg deepens toward the 61.8% area at 4042.

Support: 4,050.00, 4,044.00, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,066.00

What it said to watch

  • US PCE/GDP cluster at 12:30 UTC (~8h) could materially shift this read
  • M15 close below 4044 confirms a lower-low, opening the path toward the 4000 psych level
  • Reclaim of 4066 swing high needed to break the lower-high sequence

04:03 UTC

Pullback after NY rally, momentum lower · RSI 40 · price 4,058.66

Lower highs from 4116, pressing swing low.

Gold spiked to 4116 during NY hours on oil/geopolitical bid, then faded through the Asia session and is now drifting lower at 4058, pressing the 4050 swing low. Lower highs from 4093 with RSI in the high-30s; price below both EMAs.

Support: 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,086.00, 4,116.48

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4050 confirms a lower-low, opens path toward 4000
  • Reclaim of 4086 breaks the lower-high chain
  • US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

03:47 UTC

Downtrend, pullback from NY high · RSI 42 · price 4,055.50

Lower highs since 4116 peak.

Asia session grinding lower after the NY session rally to 4100/4116, printing lower highs into 4055 — right on the 50% retrace of the 3996-4116 move. RSI(14) cooling near 42, price below EMA20; 4050 session low is the near-term pivot.

Support: 4,044.37

Resistance: 4,100.36

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4050 opens the path toward the 4044 swing low
  • Reclaim of 4066 minor high needed to challenge the descending highs
  • US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC (HIGH) could materially shift this read

03:47 UTC

Pullback after NY spike · RSI 40 · price 4,055.50

Lower highs off 4116 session high.

Gold spiked to the 4116 session high during NY hours on the firm-USD/oil backdrop, then rejected and has bled lower into the Asian session in a chain of lower highs. Price now sits near 4055 at the 50% retrace of the 3996-4116 rally, RSI(14) cooling toward 40 with the psych 4050 handle and 4044 swing low just below.

Support: 4,050.00, 4,044.37, 4,013.25

Resistance: 4,116.48

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4044 confirms a lower low and opens 4013 range low
  • Reclaim of 4066 minor high would stall the pullback
  • US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC (HIGH) can materially shift this read

03:32 UTC

Downtrend, pullback from session high · RSI 37 · price 4,052.58

Lower highs since 4116 spike, sliding toward swing low.

Gold spiked to 4116 during NY hours on the US-Iran/oil bid, then faded through the Asia session in a chain of lower highs. A session gap up to 4086 was sold, and price now presses the 4044 swing low with RSI(14) near 36; the 61.8% retrace of the rally sits right at that swing low.

Support: 4,044.00, 4,027.00

Resistance: 4,086.00, 4,116.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4044 confirms a lower low, opening the path toward 4027
  • Reclaim of the 4086 gap high negates the down leg
  • US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

03:32 UTC

Intraday pullback off spike high · RSI 37 · price 4,052.58

Lower highs since 4100, retracing NY rally.

Gold spiked to 4116 during NY hours on the oil/US-Iran move, then faded through the Asia session in a chain of lower highs. Price now sits at 4052, roughly the 50% retrace of the 3996–4116 leg, with RSI(14) cooling into the mid-30s and price back below both EMAs.

Support: 4,044.37, 4,000.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4044 swing low confirms deeper retrace toward the 4000 psych level
  • Reclaim of 4066 needed to break the lower-high sequence
  • US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

03:17 UTC

Pullback after impulsive rally · RSI 44 · price 4,063.30

Lower high at 4100 after 4116 spike.

Gold spiked hard to 4116 on the oil/US-Iran escalation move before rolling over into a lower high at 4100, now fading toward 4060 with RSI(14) cooling into the mid-40s. Price sits back below EMA20 but holds above EMA50, retracing roughly half the 3996-to-4116 rally.

Support: 4,060.00, 4,044.40

Resistance: 4,100.00

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 4044 swing low confirms a lower-low
  • Reclaim of 4100 lower high negates the rollover
  • US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

03:02 UTC

Pullback after impulsive spike · RSI 42 · price 4,065.21

Lower highs off 4116 peak.

Gold spiked from ~4000 to a 4116 session high on the oil-driven risk move, then rolled over into a chain of lower highs, currently 4065 and below EMA20/50. RSI(14) near 42, no reclaim of the 4090 zone since the rejection.

Support: 4,044.37, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,116.48

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 4090 would break the lower-high sequence
  • Loss of 4044 opens the path back toward 4000 psych
  • US Core PCE 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

02:47 UTC

Recovered off lows, now pulling back · RSI 44 · price 4,075.65

Consolidating below 4100 after 4116 rejection.

Gold spiked to 4116 during NY hours then faded, and is now consolidating in a 4044-4100 band with the current Asia-session drift stalling near 4075. Price rejected the 4100 range high twice and has slipped back below EMA20, RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s.

Support: 4,066.00, 4,044.37

Resistance: 4,100.36, 4,116.48

What it said to watch

  • US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
  • Loss of 4066 opens a retest of the 4044 range low
  • M15 close above 4100 reopens the path to the 4116 session high

02:32 UTC

Recovery off 4000, momentum flattening · RSI 52 · price 4,080.57

Consolidation after impulse, higher lows.

Gold rallied off the 3996 low to a session high spike at 4116 before rejection, and has since coiled in a 4064–4100 consolidation through the Asia session. Price is pinned near EMA20 around 4080 with RSI(14) neutral; higher lows at 4044 and 4064 keep the near-term structure intact.

Support: 4,044.37

Resistance: 4,100.36, 4,116.48

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4064 swing low confirms a lower-low and reopens 4044
  • Break and hold above 4100 prior high exposes the 4116 session high
  • US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

02:31 UTC

Uptrend, consolidating after spike · RSI 50 · price 4,080.57

Range-bound below session high post-rally.

Sharp rally off 3996 on heavy volume topped at the 4116.48 session high before fading into a 4066–4100 consolidation. A gap higher on session reopen filled quickly and price now hovers at 4080, RSI(14) neutral near 50.

Support: 4,066.13, 4,044.37

Resistance: 4,100.00, 4,116.48

What it said to watch

  • US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC (~10h) could materially shift this read
  • M15 close above 4100 opens the path back to 4116.48 session high
  • Failure to hold 4066 confirms a lower-low and reopens 4044.37

02:17 UTC

Up off overnight low, momentum flattening · RSI 53 · price 4,080.71

Consolidating below session high after impulse.

Gold ripped from the 3996 overnight low to a 4116 session peak, then handed back into a 4066–4100 range now trading mid-book near 4080 in the Asia session. RSI(14) has cooled to the low 50s as price stalled under 4100; supply capped the last two pushes into that level.

Support: 4,066.00

Resistance: 4,100.00, 4,116.48

What it said to watch

  • US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
  • M15 close above 4100 opens the path back to the 4116 session peak
  • Loss of 4066 confirms a lower low toward 4044

02:17 UTC

Recovery stalling, now consolidating · RSI 50 · price 4,080.71

Range between 4066 and 4100 after NY spike.

Gold spiked to 4116 during NY hours then rejected, unwinding into a 4066–4100 range as thin early-Asia flow keeps price pinned near 4080. Recovery from the 4044 NY low held higher, but 4100 capped the last push and momentum has flattened with RSI back near neutral.

Support: 4,066.00, 4,044.37

Resistance: 4,100.00, 4,116.48

What it said to watch

  • US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC could materially reset this range
  • M15 close below 4066 confirms a lower low toward 4044
  • Reclaim of 4100 opens the path back to the 4116 range high

02:03 UTC

Uptrend, pulling back · RSI 45 · price 4,068.06

Pullback from session high after NY rally.

Gold ripped from 4044 to a session high of 4116 through NY hours, then rejected and rolled over; price is now unwinding into the Asia session and sits at 4068, back below EMA20. The pullback has retraced roughly half of the 4044–4100 leg with RSI cooling to the mid-40s.

Support: 4,044.37

Resistance: 4,100.36, 4,116.48

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 4044 swing low confirms a lower low and breaks the intraday uptrend
  • Reclaim of 4100 round reopens the 4116 session high
  • US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC is a HIGH-impact print that could override this structure

02:03 UTC

Rally faded, pulling back · RSI 44 · price 4,068.06

Lower high at 4100 after 4116 peak, retracing.

Gold spiked from the $4,003 area to a 4116 session high on the late-NY news bar, then set a lower high at 4100 and is bleeding back toward the low-4060s in Asia hours. RSI(14) has cooled into the mid-40s as the pullback extends off the 4100 rejection.

Support: 4,044.37

Resistance: 4,100.00, 4,116.48

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 4100 lower high needed to re-engage the rally
  • Loss of 4044 swing low confirms a lower low
  • US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

01:47 UTC

Up off 4000 lows, now pulling back · RSI 43 · price 4,068.06

Post-rally retrace, lower highs forming.

Gold spiked from the ~4000 base to 4116 before rejection, then set a lower high at 4100 and rolled back to 4068 with RSI(14) cooling into the low 40s. Price now sits below EMA20 but holds above EMA50; immediate support is the 4065 session low ahead of the 4044 swing.

Support: 4,065.00, 4,044.40, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,100.40

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4065 session low exposes 4044 swing low
  • Reclaim above 4100 session high needed to re-target 4116 window high
  • US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC (HIGH) could materially reshape this read

01:32 UTC

Pulling back after spike, momentum fading · RSI 45 · price 4,068.06

Range 4044–4116, lower high forming under 4100.

Gold spiked to 4116 in the prior NY session on US-Iran headlines, then settled into a 4044–4100 range. Asia session is drifting lower with a lower high near 4100.36 and price slipping below EMA20; RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s.

Support: 4,044.00, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,100.00, 4,116.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4044 opens path toward 4000 psych support
  • Reclaim of 4100 round number needed to resume the intraday advance
  • US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

01:32 UTC

Rally stalling, pulling back · RSI 44 · price 4,068.06

Consolidation below the 4116 spike high.

NY session ripped from the 4000 area to a 4116 session high on the data cluster, then rejected 4100 and drifted back through the Asia session to 4068. Price now sits below EMA20 with a chain of lower highs off the spike, holding above the 4044 swing low.

Support: 4,044.37, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,100.00, 4,116.48

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4044 confirms a lower low and reopens 4000 psych
  • Reclaim of 4100 round level reopens the 4116 session high
  • US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC (HIGH) could materially shift this read

01:17 UTC

Uptrend, pullback underway · RSI 48 · price 4,068.06

Lower high at 4100 after 4116 peak.

Gold ripped off the 4000 psych support through the NY session, spiking to 4116 on heavy volume before fading. Price has since printed a lower high at 4100 and slipped to 4068; RSI(14) back near neutral as the move cools.

Support: 4,044.00, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,100.00

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 4100 needed to resume the upside leg
  • Close below 4044 swing low opens the 4000 psych support
  • US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC is the key gold driver and can reset this read

01:17 UTC

Faded rally, lower highs · RSI 43 · price 4,068.06

Pullback after spike rejection at 4116.

Gold spiked to 4116 during the NY session on heavy volume then got rejected, and price has since faded to 4068 carving lower highs through the Asia session. RSI(14) has cooled into the low 40s and price is back below EMA20 but holding above EMA50.

Support: 4,044.37

Resistance: 4,090.00, 4,116.48

What it said to watch

  • US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC is the key gold driver and could reshape this read
  • Break below the 4044 swing low confirms a lower low
  • Reclaim of the 4090 lower high needed to challenge the 4116 session high

01:04 UTC

Intraday uptrend, pulling back · RSI 46 · price 4,068.06

Impulsive NY rally, now correcting in Asia.

NY session ripped from 4044 to a 4116 session high on the post-Fed move, then faded. Asia is correcting lower after rejection at the 4100 round number, price now 4068 with RSI(14) cooled to the mid-40s.

Support: 4,044.00

Resistance: 4,100.00, 4,116.00

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 4044 swing low confirms a deeper pullback
  • Reclaim of 4100 round number reopens the 4116 session high
  • US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC is a high-impact driver that can reset this read

01:04 UTC

Pulling back after NY rally · RSI 42 · price 4,068.06

Lower highs off 4100, holding above 4044.

Asia session drifting lower off the 4100 session high after yesterday's NY spike to 4116, RSI cooling near 42. Lower highs stacking since 4100 while the 4044 swing low has held so far.

Support: 4,044.00, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,100.00, 4,116.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4044 confirms a lower low, opens the 4000 psych
  • Reclaim of 4100 session high negates the pullback
  • US Core PCE later today could materially shift this read

00:47 UTC

Pullback after impulsive rally · RSI 43 · price 4,068.06

Lower highs off 4116 peak, testing 4065.

NY session spiked to 4116 in the FOMC aftermath then faded, printing lower highs from 4100 and slipping below EMA20 into the Asia handover. Price is retracing the 4044-4100 up leg and now probing the 4065 session low; RSI(14) cooled to the low-40s.

Support: 4,065.00, 4,050.00, 4,044.37

Resistance: 4,100.00, 4,116.48

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4065 opens the 4050 round number
  • Reclaim of 4090 negates the lower-high pullback
  • US Core PCE / GDP at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

00:46 UTC

Up-leg fading, pullback underway · RSI 48 · price 4,068.06

Retrace off session high after impulse.

NY session ripped from 4009 to a 4116 session high on the volume surge, then faded. Price has since bled back to 4068, hovering near the 38.2% fib of that impulse with RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s.

Support: 4,052.00

What it said to watch

  • US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
  • Loss of 4052 swing low confirms deeper retrace toward the 50% fib
  • Reclaim of 4093 prior high reopens the 4116 session high

00:32 UTC

Uptrend, pulling back · RSI 53 · price 4,075.77

Consolidating below session high after NY rally.

A sharp NY-session rally off $4,000 drove gold to 4116 before a rejection near 4100 capped the recovery. Price is now consolidating between 4064 and 4100 through Asia hours, with RSI(14) cooling back to neutral after the overbought spike.

Support: 4,064.00, 4,045.00

Resistance: 4,100.00, 4,116.00

What it said to watch

  • Rejection at 4100 — area to watch for another cap or break
  • Loss of 4064 opens a retest of the 4045 swing low
  • US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC is the key gold driver and could reset this read

00:32 UTC

Uptrend off session low, momentum cooling · RSI 56 · price 4,075.77

Consolidating below 4100 after impulsive NY rally.

NY session ripped from the 3996 low to a 4116 high on a high-volume spike near 18:00 UTC, then rejected and settled into a 4064–4100 consolidation. RSI(14) has cooled from the rally peak into the mid-50s; price holds above EMA20/50 but momentum has flattened just under the 4100 round number.

Support: 4,064.00, 4,045.00

Resistance: 4,100.00, 4,116.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4100 opens the path back to the 4116 session high
  • Failure to hold 4064 exposes the 4045 swing low
  • US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC is the key gold driver and could reset this read

00:17 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 56 · price 4,083.14

Higher lows post-spike, capped at 4100.

Gold ripped off 3996 on a US-session spike to 4116, then flushed to 4044 before grinding back up in a chain of higher lows. Price now consolidating 4080-4100 with 4100 capping twice; RSI(14) mid-range near 56, momentum cooling.

Support: 4,067.00, 4,044.37

Resistance: 4,100.36, 4,116.48

What it said to watch

  • Rejection or break at 4100 range cap defines next intraday leg
  • Loss of 4067 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
  • Core PCE + GDP Thu 12:30 UTC is a HIGH-impact catalyst that could reset this read

00:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 58 · price 4,083.14

Post-rally consolidation below session high.

NY session drove gold sharply from ~3996 to a 4116 spike high, which was rejected and unwound to 4044 before recovering. Asia is now consolidating 4064-4100 with price at 4083 mid-range, RSI(14) near 58 after cooling off the highs.

Support: 4,064.00, 4,044.37

Resistance: 4,100.36, 4,116.48

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4100 reopens a test of the 4116 spike high
  • Loss of 4064 asia low exposes the 4044 swing low
  • Core PCE + GDP Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

00:02 UTC

Intraday uptrend, recovering after pullback · RSI 59 · price 4,086.25

Higher low off 4044, grinding back toward session high.

Gold spiked hard through the NY session to 4116 on volume, then faded to 4044 before Asia bid it back to 4086. Higher low holding at 4044; price now pressing the 4090-4100 area, resistance to watch for rejection or break.

Support: 4,064.00, 4,044.37

Resistance: 4,100.36, 4,116.48

What it said to watch

  • Core PCE / GDP cluster Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
  • M15 close above 4100 opens the path back to the 4116 session high
  • Failure to hold 4064 exposes the 4044 swing low

00:02 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 58 · price 4,086.25

Consolidating below session high after FOMC spike.

Gold spiked to 4116 on the FOMC hold then flushed back to 4044, and the Asia session has since ground higher into a 4064-4100 range. Price stalled at the 4100 cap and eased to 4086; RSI(14) mid-range at 58 after cooling from the spike.

Support: 4,044.37

Resistance: 4,100.36, 4,116.48

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4100 session high reopens the 4116 spike high
  • Loss of 4064 session low exposes the 4044 swing low
  • Core PCE + GDP at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

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