AUD/USD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Thursday, 9 July 2026

Every read JAFX AI made on the AUD/USD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.

23:47 UTC

Range-bound, drift higher · RSI 55 · price 0.69417

Consolidating just below session high.

AUDUSD is coiled around 0.6941 in thin Asia-session trade, holding just below the 0.69466 session high after a slow grind up through NY hours. Volume has collapsed on the latest bars and RSI(14) sits mid-range near 55 — no momentum, just chop under the level.

Support: 0.6939, 0.69285

Resistance: 0.69466, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69466 opens the path to the 0.6950 range cap
  • Loss of 0.6939 base exposes the 0.69285 session low
  • US flow / Iran headlines the main driver with AU calendar thin

23:47 UTC

Mild uptrend, momentum flat · RSI 57 · price 0.69417

Consolidating near session highs.

AUDUSD ground higher through London-NY from 0.6924 to the 0.69466 session high, then stalled into thin early-Asia hours around 0.6942. Volume has collapsed and candles are inside; price is pinned just under the session high with no fresh drive.

Support: 0.6939, 0.69346, 0.6930

Resistance: 0.69466, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69466 opens the 0.6950 range cap
  • Failure to hold 0.69346 breaks the rising intraday support
  • US CPI (Jul 14) is the dominant catalyst and could reshape this range

23:32 UTC

Mild grind higher, momentum flat · RSI 54 · price 0.69417

Range coiling below session high.

AUDUSD ground from the 0.6925 range low up to a 0.69466 session high before flatlining near 0.6942 into thin late-session hours, matching the coiled 0.6900–0.6950 read from the macro digest. Volume has dried up on the last bars, RSI(14) mid-range around 54, no directional catalyst in play.

Support: 0.69347, 0.6929

Resistance: 0.69466, 0.6940

What it said to watch

  • close above 0.69466 breaks the session high and opens the upside
  • loss of 0.6929 range low reopens the downside
  • US CPI (Jul 14) is the dominant near-term catalyst

23:32 UTC

Sideways, low momentum · RSI 55 · price 0.69417

Range-bound, rising intraday lows.

Quiet early-Asia session, AUDUSD coiling just above 0.6940 on thinning volume after London-NY drifted between 0.69345 and 0.69466. RSI(14) neutral near 55 with no momentum; digest shows dueling hawkish Fed minutes and RBA offsetting, leaving the pair chopping inside its band.

Support: 0.69345, 0.6929

Resistance: 0.69466, 0.6944

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69466 breaks the session high and extends the range top
  • Loss of 0.69345 session low reopens 0.69290 swing low
  • US CPI (Jul 14) is the dominant catalyst likely to break this coil

23:17 UTC

Sideways, no momentum · RSI 53 · price 0.69412

Range, mid-band chop.

AUDUSD ranging 0.6935-0.6946 through a thin Asia session, RSI(14) flat near 53 with no catalyst in play. Digest frames the pair coiled in the wider 0.6900-0.6950 band; the 0.69466 session high has capped every push higher.

Support: 0.69346, 0.69291

Resistance: 0.69466, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69466 opens the 0.6950 range top
  • Failure to hold 0.69346 exposes the 0.69291 swing low
  • US CPI (Jul 14) is the dominant catalyst that could break this range

23:16 UTC

Sideways, low momentum · RSI 55 · price 0.69412

Tight range near session highs.

AUDUSD is coiling in a 0.69346–0.69466 band on very thin, late-session volume, drifting flat near the highs with RSI(14) mid-range around 55. Move stalled after the earlier grind up off 0.69245; no setup in play, consistent with the two-way 0.6900–0.6950 chop flagged in the macro read.

Support: 0.69346, 0.69245

Resistance: 0.69466

What it said to watch

  • close above 0.69466 breaks the session high
  • failure to hold 0.69346 exposes 0.69245 session low
  • US CPI (Jul 14) is the dominant catalyst that could break this range

23:02 UTC

Sideways, momentum flat · RSI 54 · price 0.69415

Coiling near session highs.

AUDUSD ground higher through London-NY to tag 0.69466 before stalling; last few hours are thin Asia-session chop between 0.69345 and 0.69466 with RSI(14) mid-range near 54. Price is pinned around 0.6940 as split-FOMC USD softness and Middle East risk cancel out, matching the digest's range read.

Support: 0.69345, 0.69291, 0.69245

Resistance: 0.69466, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.69466 exposes the 0.69500 range top
  • Loss of 0.69345 opens the 0.69291 swing low
  • Thin Asia liquidity leaves moves prone to false break until London

23:02 UTC

Mild uptrend, momentum flat · RSI 55 · price 0.69415

Coiling below session high.

AUDUSD drifted up through London-NY to tag a session high at 0.69466, then flattened into thin Asian-session trade around 0.6941 on collapsing volume. Price is pinned near the top of the 0.6935–0.6946 band with RSI mid-range; split FOMC minutes softened the USD but no fresh catalyst is driving direction.

Support: 0.69346, 0.6930, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.69466, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6950 range top opens the path toward 0.6980
  • Failure to hold 0.69300 range floor exposes the 0.6900 pivot
  • Thin AU calendar leaves near-term direction to US/Middle East headlines

22:47 UTC

Sideways, momentum flat · RSI 53 · price 0.69409

Range-bound near session highs.

AUDUSD is grinding in a tight 0.6935–0.6947 band through the late NY/early Asia handover, volume thinning to single digits on the final bars. RSI(14) sits neutral near 53 after the session high at 0.69466 capped, and price is pinned as split FOMC minutes soften the USD while hawkish-RBA/risk-off offset — no setup in play.

Support: 0.69345, 0.69291, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.69466, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.69466 / 0.6950 opens the path toward 0.6980
  • Failure to hold 0.69345 exposes 0.69291 then the 0.6900 pivot
  • Iran/Hormuz headlines could inject a USD-driven break either way

22:47 UTC

Sideways, mild upward drift · RSI 54 · price 0.69409

Range-bound, coiling near range top.

AUDUSD is coiling in a tight 0.6929-0.6946 band during thin Asia hours, drifting sideways after a soft USD leg on the split FOMC minutes. Session high at 0.69466 capped the last push and volume has dried up into the current bars — no setup in play.

Support: 0.69347, 0.69291, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.69466, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6950 range top opens the path toward the 0.6980 ceiling
  • Failure to hold 0.6929 exposes the 0.6900 pivot
  • US CPI (Jul 14) is the dominant catalyst that could break this range

22:32 UTC

Mild uptrend, momentum flat · RSI 53 · price 0.69408

Coiling below session high, higher lows.

AUDUSD ground higher through the NY session to tag 0.69466 before easing to 0.6941 on thin late-session flow. Price is coiling in the upper half of a 0.6924–0.6947 range, RSI mid-range, with the pullback holding above the rising intraday lows.

Support: 0.69374, 0.6930, 0.69245

Resistance: 0.69466, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69466 opens the 0.6950 range top
  • Failure to hold 0.69374 exposes 0.6930 swing low

22:32 UTC

Sideways, momentum flat · RSI 53 · price 0.69408

Range-bound, mid-range.

AUDUSD chopped in a 0.69290–0.69466 band through the session, pinned near 0.6940 as split FOMC minutes softened the USD but Middle East safe-haven flows capped upside. Late-window volume has thinned into the Asia handover with price idling on the range mid, RSI(14) neutral near 53.

Support: 0.69345, 0.6929

Resistance: 0.69466, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69466 opens the 0.6950 range top
  • Failure to hold 0.69345 exposes the 0.69290 range low
  • US CPI (Jul 14) is the dominant near-term catalyst for this pair

22:17 UTC

Grind higher, momentum flattening · RSI 50 · price 0.69407

Consolidating near session highs after intraday uptrend.

AUDUSD ground higher through the London-NY window from the 0.69245 session low to a 0.69466 session high, aided by a softer USD after split FOMC minutes. Late-session flow has stalled into a tight 0.6935–0.6946 consolidation, RSI(14) back to neutral near 50 as the current bar hugs 0.6941.

Support: 0.69347, 0.69291, 0.69245

Resistance: 0.69466, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.69466 session high extends the intraday uptrend toward 0.6950
  • Loss of 0.69347 swing low reopens the 0.69291 range low
  • Broader move likely set by US CPI (Jul 14) and Iran/Hormuz headlines, not this session

22:17 UTC

Sideways, momentum flat · RSI 51 · price 0.69407

Range-bound, mid-range.

AUDUSD is coiled in a tight 0.6929–0.6946 band, chopping through the Asia session after hawkish FOMC minutes trimmed the USD. Price rejected the session high at 0.69466 and now sits mid-range near 0.69407 with RSI flat around 51; no setup in play.

Support: 0.69345, 0.6929

Resistance: 0.69466, 0.6942

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69466 session high would extend the intraday move
  • Loss of 0.69345 recent low reopens the 0.69290 range low
  • US CPI (Tue) is the catalyst likely to break this range

22:02 UTC

Range-bound, no momentum · RSI 51 · price 0.69399

Consolidating 0.6935-0.6947.

AUDUSD pinned in a tight 0.6935-0.6947 band through the Asia handover, RSI(14) flat near 51 with ATR compressing to ~4 pips. The 0.69466 session high capped the last push and price has drifted back to mid-range near 0.69399, consistent with the hawkish-FOMC-minutes USD softness offsetting risk-off flows — no setup in play.

Support: 0.69347, 0.69291

Resistance: 0.69466, 0.69444

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69466 opens the path back toward the 0.6950 range top
  • Loss of 0.69347 exposes 0.69291 range low
  • Range compression suggests a break needs a fresh USD or Middle East catalyst

22:02 UTC

Sideways, momentum flat · RSI 51 · price 0.69399

Range-bound below session high.

AUDUSD is chopping in a tight 0.6935-0.6946 band through the late NY/Asia handover, pinned as soft-USD post-FOMC-minutes flows offset Middle East safe-haven demand. RSI(14) sits neutral near 51 and price has recovered off the 0.69346 dip back to 0.694; no directional structure in play.

Support: 0.69346, 0.69291, 0.69245

Resistance: 0.69466, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69466 session high opens the 0.6950 range top
  • Failure to hold 0.69346 exposes the 0.69291 swing low
  • Thin AU calendar leaves near-term direction to USD/Middle East headlines

21:47 UTC

Range-bound, drifting off highs · RSI 44 · price 0.6937

Consolidation between session high and low.

AUDUSD chopped 0.6925-0.6946 through the NY session, tagging a session high near 0.6946 before fading back to 0.6937 as liquidity thinned into the Asia open. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 44 with price slipping under EMA20/50 — no directional setup, just consolidation inside a broader 0.6900-0.6950 band.

Support: 0.6925, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.6946, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6950 range top would confirm a break higher
  • Failure to hold 0.6925 session low opens 0.6900 psych support
  • US CPI (Jul 14) is the next material catalyst for the pair

21:46 UTC

Range, drifting off highs · RSI 44 · price 0.6937

Capped 0.6946, holding 0.6929 floor.

AUDUSD chopped between 0.6929 and 0.6946 through the session, rejecting the 0.6946 high before easing to 0.6937 on thin late-session flow. RSI(14) mid-range near 43, price back below EMA20/50 — consistent with the digest's 0.6900–0.6950 coil as hawkish-RBA and hawkish-Fed offset.

Support: 0.6929, 0.6924

Resistance: 0.6946, 0.6942

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6946 opens the 0.6980 upside noted in the digest
  • Loss of 0.6929 exposes range low at 0.6924
  • US CPI (Jul 14) is the next external catalyst for this pair

21:32 UTC

Sideways, drifting off session high · RSI 43 · price 0.69369

Range-bound, coiling below 0.6946.

NY pushed AUDUSD up to a session high of 0.6946 before sellers rejected the level, price now drifting back to 0.6937 into the thin Asia open. Contained inside 0.6930–0.6946 with RSI mid-range; no setup in play as hawkish-RBA/hawkish-Fed offset keeps it coiled.

Support: 0.6930, 0.69234, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.69466, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6950 range top opens the path toward 0.6980
  • Break below 0.6930 floor exposes the 0.6900 psych level
  • US CPI (Jul 14) is the pivot risk for broad USD flows

21:32 UTC

Range, drifting lower late session · RSI 46 · price 0.69369

Consolidation between 0.6923 and 0.6946.

AUDUSD chopped in a 0.6923–0.6946 range through London and NY, capped at the 0.6946 session high before easing back to 0.6937. Late-session liquidity is thin (volume collapsing into the rollover) and price is drifting below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-range near 46 — no setup in play.

Support: 0.6935, 0.6930, 0.6923

Resistance: 0.6946, 0.6940

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6946 resumes the intraday upside
  • Break below 0.6930 exposes the 0.6923 window low
  • US-Iran headlines could inject a fresh USD move into the Asia session

21:17 UTC

Uptrend, momentum fading · RSI 46 · price 0.69371

Rising channel, pulling back from session high.

AUDUSD ground higher through NY hours to a session high at 0.69466, then rejected and rolled back to 0.69371 with RSI(14) cooling toward mid-range. Price now sits below EMA20/50 as the late-session pullback tests the rising channel support that carried the move up from 0.69217.

Support: 0.6937, 0.69306, 0.69217

Resistance: 0.69466, 0.6942

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 0.69306 swing low breaks the rising channel and confirms a lower-low
  • Reclaim of 0.69466 session high reopens the 0.6950 area
  • US CPI (Jul 14) is the next major USD catalyst for this pair

21:17 UTC

Uptrend fading, pullback underway · RSI 44 · price 0.69371

Higher highs into 0.6946, now retracing.

Grind higher through the session topped out at 0.6946 before fading back to 0.6937, RSI(14) cooling to the low 40s. Price now sits under EMA20/50 as the pullback trims the intraday advance; still holding well above the 0.6925 session low.

Support: 0.6931, 0.69245, 0.69217

Resistance: 0.69466, 0.6944

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.6931 confirms a lower low and deepens the pullback
  • Reclaim of 0.6946 session high reopens the intraday upside
  • Broad USD flows into Asia hours can shift this range read

21:03 UTC

Grind higher, momentum flattening · RSI 52 · price 0.69407

Higher lows into resistance, now consolidating.

AUDUSD ground higher through London and NY on a broadly soft USD after split FOMC minutes, tagging a session high at 0.69466 before stalling. Late NY now consolidating around 0.6940 with RSI(14) neutral near 51; the swing low at 0.69386 has held as support.

Support: 0.69386, 0.6935, 0.6930

Resistance: 0.69466, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69466 reopens the path toward 0.6950
  • Failure to hold 0.69386 confirms a lower low toward 0.6935
  • US-Iran headlines / USD flows the main external swing factor overnight

21:03 UTC

Mild uptrend, momentum fading · RSI 47 · price 0.69407

Climbed through NY then stalling below session high.

NY session ground higher to a session high of 0.69466 before fading; price now consolidating around 0.6940 with RSI(14) neutral near 47. Buyers stepped in near 0.69386 to hold the last few hours' range, but the 0.6946 top is capping. Aussie stays coiled above 0.6900 as split FOMC minutes softened the USD.

Support: 0.69386, 0.69291, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.69466, 0.6950, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69466 opens the path to 0.6950 then 0.6980
  • Failure to hold 0.69386 exposes 0.6935 then swing low 0.69291
  • US CPI (Jul 14) is the next material catalyst for this read

20:47 UTC

Mild uptrend, momentum flattening · RSI 46 · price 0.69404

Consolidating below session high.

AUDUSD ground higher through NY to tag 0.69466 then stalled, coiling in a tight 0.6935–0.6946 band into the Asia handover with RSI(14) neutral near 46. Move reflects the soft-USD, range-bound tone the digest flags with the Aussie boxed inside 0.6900–0.6950.

Support: 0.6935, 0.69291, 0.6929

Resistance: 0.69466, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69466 opens the 0.6950 range top
  • Failure to hold 0.6935 exposes the 0.69291 intraday low
  • US CPI Tue is the next external catalyst; near-term calendar thin

20:47 UTC

Mild uptrend, momentum flattening · RSI 46 · price 0.69404

Consolidating below session high.

AUDUSD ground higher through the NY session into a 0.69466 session high, then stalled and drifted back to 0.6940 as USD softness from split FOMC minutes kept the Aussie supported above 0.6900. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s and late-session volume has thinned to a trickle, leaving price coiled just under the session top.

Support: 0.69386, 0.69291, 0.69245

Resistance: 0.69466, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69466 reopens the path to 0.6950
  • Failure to hold 0.69386 exposes the 0.69291 swing low
  • Thin late-session liquidity can exaggerate any move

20:32 UTC

Range, drifting off highs · RSI 46 · price 0.6940

Coiling below 0.6946 session high.

AUDUSD peaked at 0.69466 during NY hours then eased back toward 0.6940 as the session wound down, with the USD soft after split FOMC minutes. Price is coiling in a tight 0.6939–0.6946 band, RSI(14) mid-range near 46 and ATR barely 4-5 pips — no setup in play.

Support: 0.69386, 0.6935, 0.6930

Resistance: 0.69466, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6946 reopens the 0.6950 area
  • Failure to hold 0.6935 confirms a lower low
  • US-Iran headlines could shift USD safe-haven flows

20:31 UTC

Uptrend stalling, fading late NY · RSI 46 · price 0.6940

Range 0.6915–0.6950, drifting off highs.

NY session pushed AUDUSD to a 0.69466 session high before fading into the late-session hours, now hovering 0.6940 with RSI(14) back mid-range. Price is coiled inside the broader 0.6915–0.6950 range flagged as two-way, with USD softer after split FOMC minutes but no fresh catalyst; no setup in play.

Support: 0.6939, 0.6932, 0.6921

Resistance: 0.69466, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.69466 opens the path back toward the 0.6950 psych level
  • Failure to hold 0.6939 exposes 0.6932 swing low then 0.6921 session low
  • US CPI Jul 14 is the next material catalyst for this range

20:17 UTC

Mild uptrend, momentum flattening · RSI 49 · price 0.69404

Grind higher, now consolidating near highs.

AUDUSD ground up from the 0.6920 Asia low to a 0.6946 session high through the London-NY window, helped by broad USD softness after the divided FOMC minutes. Into late NY it stalled and slipped back to 0.6940, RSI cooling to mid-range; consolidation between 0.6935 and 0.6946.

Support: 0.6935, 0.6929, 0.6920

Resistance: 0.6946, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6946 opens the path toward the 0.6980 range top
  • Loss of the 0.6935 swing low exposes 0.6929 then the 0.6920 asia low
  • Move sits well below the 0.6900 broader support pivot

20:17 UTC

NY uptrend, momentum fading · RSI 46 · price 0.69404

Coiling below session high after stall.

NY session ground higher to a session high at 0.69466 before stalling, with price now drifting back to 0.6940 and RSI(14) cooling to mid-range. Move looks tired after the rejection at 0.69466; buyers held 0.69386 on the pullback.

Support: 0.69386, 0.69316, 0.69245

Resistance: 0.69466, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69466 reopens the path toward 0.6950
  • Loss of 0.69386 confirms a lower-low back toward 0.69316
  • Range persists 0.6938–0.6947 absent a fresh USD catalyst

20:02 UTC

Mild uptrend stalling near session high · RSI 45 · price 0.69397

Consolidation off the 0.6946 high.

AUDUSD ground up through the NY session to a high at 0.6946 before rolling back to 0.6940, RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s. Coiling near the top of a tight intraday range with the Aussie holding above 0.6900 on a softer USD; no fresh session catalyst late in the tape.

Support: 0.6938, 0.6930, 0.69217

Resistance: 0.69466, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69466 reopens the path toward the 0.6950 psych level
  • Loss of 0.69380 swing low exposes 0.69300 prior low
  • US CPI ahead is the next macro pivot that could reset this range

20:02 UTC

Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 47 · price 0.69397

NY rally to 0.6946 fading into late session.

NY session ground higher to a session high at 0.6946 before fading to 0.6939 into the late session, RSI(14) cooling to mid-40s. Price is coiling in the upper half of the 0.6922–0.6946 range, consistent with the broader 0.6900–0.6950 chop noted after divided FOMC minutes softened the USD.

Support: 0.6930, 0.6922

Resistance: 0.6946, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6946 reopens the session high toward 0.6950
  • Loss of 0.6930 swing low shifts focus to 0.6922 session low
  • US CPI (Mon 12:30 UTC) is the next catalyst for this range

19:47 UTC

Intraday uptrend, momentum fading · RSI 46 · price 0.69387

Higher lows through NY, stalling below session high.

NY session ground out higher lows into a session high at 0.69466 before rolling back to ~0.6939, RSI(14) cooling toward the mid-40s. Move fits the coiled 0.6900–0.6950 range flagged in the macro read; sellers capped the push at the highs and price is now retracing the intraday advance.

Support: 0.6932, 0.6930

Resistance: 0.69466, 0.6944

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69466 reopens the session-high push
  • Loss of 0.69300 breaks the rising-low structure
  • US CPI (Mon) is the next USD pivot for the pair

19:47 UTC

Mild uptrend, momentum fading · RSI 45 · price 0.69387

Higher lows into 0.6947 cap, now pulling back.

AUDUSD ground higher through the NY session to 0.6947 before stalling, and the last few bars have faded to 0.6939 with RSI cooling into the mid-40s. Rejection at 0.6947 has capped the advance; buyers had stepped in repeatedly around 0.6932 earlier. Move fits the soft-USD tone after the divided FOMC minutes, with the pair coiled above 0.6900.

Support: 0.69355, 0.69316, 0.69217

Resistance: 0.69444, 0.69466

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6947 resumes the up-leg
  • Loss of 0.69316 swing low opens 0.6921 range low

19:32 UTC

Mild uptrend, momentum flattening · RSI 48 · price 0.69397

Higher lows into consolidation below session high.

NY session ground higher off the 0.6925 session low to a 0.69466 session high, then rejected and drifted back to consolidate around the 0.6940 range low into late NY. RSI(14) cooled toward neutral as the up-leg stalled below 0.6950 psych.

Support: 0.6940, 0.69291, 0.6925

Resistance: 0.69466, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69466 session high opens the 0.6950 psych level
  • Loss of 0.69291 swing low negates the intraday up-leg
  • US CPI (Jul 14) is the next major USD catalyst for this pair

19:32 UTC

Uptrend, momentum fading · RSI 47 · price 0.69397

Consolidating below session high after NY push.

AUDUSD ground higher through the London-NY overlap to a session high at 0.69466, aided by a softer USD after split FOMC minutes, then stalled into the NY afternoon. Now consolidating just above 0.6940 with RSI cooling toward mid-range; the recent pivot at 0.6940 is holding for now.

Support: 0.6940, 0.69316, 0.69245

Resistance: 0.69466, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69400 opens the swing low at 0.69316
  • Reclaim of 0.69466 session high resumes the intraday advance
  • US CPI (Jul 14) is the next major USD catalyst for the range

19:17 UTC

Mild uptrend, momentum flat · RSI 52 · price 0.69413

Consolidating near session highs after NY grind up.

NY session ground higher off the 0.69217 low to a session high at 0.69466, then stalled into a tight 0.6940-0.6945 band with RSI(14) cooling to ~52. Soft USD post-FOMC minutes kept the Aussie firm but no fresh momentum into the NY close.

Support: 0.6940, 0.6930, 0.69217

Resistance: 0.69466, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.69466 opens the path to 0.6950
  • Failure to hold 0.6940 exposes the 0.6930 swing low
  • US CPI (Jul 14) is the next macro catalyst for the pair

19:17 UTC

Uptrend, momentum flattening · RSI 57 · price 0.69413

Higher lows, coiling below session high.

NY session ground higher off 0.6929 to tag a session high at 0.6946, then stalled into a tight 0.6940–0.6946 consolidation with RSI cooling off. Aussie holding firm above 0.6900 as the softer USD from split FOMC minutes keeps a bid under the pair.

Support: 0.6940, 0.6935, 0.6929

Resistance: 0.6946, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6946 session high opens 0.6950
  • Failure to hold 0.6935 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
  • US CPI (Jul 14) is the next external catalyst for USD flows

19:02 UTC

Mild uptrend, momentum flattening · RSI 54 · price 0.69428

Higher lows through NY, consolidating below session high.

AUDUSD ground higher through NY off the 0.69291 session low, tagging 0.69466 before stalling; last bars are coiling in a tight 0.6941-0.6944 range with RSI(14) cooled to the mid-50s. Move fits the USD drift lower after divided FOMC minutes, but price is now flat into the late-NY handover with no fresh catalyst.

Support: 0.6940, 0.6935, 0.69291

Resistance: 0.69466, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69466 reopens the path toward 0.6950
  • Loss of 0.69400 breaks the rising-lows chain and exposes 0.69350
  • Thin overnight liquidity into Asia can widen the consolidation range

19:02 UTC

Mild uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 57 · price 0.69428

Higher lows, coiling below session high.

AUDUSD ground higher through the London-NY session on a soft USD after divided FOMC minutes, printing a session high at 0.69466 before stalling. Price is now coiling near 0.6943 into the late-NY hours, RSI cooling from the highs with intraday higher lows still intact above 0.69406.

Support: 0.69406, 0.6935, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.69466, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69466 session high opens the path toward 0.6980 range top
  • Failure to hold 0.69406 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
  • US-Iran headlines could drive a fresh USD safe-haven move

18:47 UTC

Intraday uptrend, momentum flattening · RSI 55 · price 0.69418

Higher lows into session high, now coiling.

AUDUSD ground higher through NY hours on a soft USD after divided FOMC minutes, tagging a session high at 0.69466 before stalling near 0.6942. Higher lows intact but momentum has flattened into the late session; price is coiling just under the session high with RSI mid-range.

Support: 0.6940, 0.69355, 0.6931

Resistance: 0.69466, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69466 extends the session high; failure keeps price coiling
  • Loss of 0.694 pivot exposes the 0.69355 swing low
  • US CPI Jul 14 is the next major USD catalyst for this pair

18:47 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 55 · price 0.69418

HH/HL chain, now consolidating near session high.

Grinding uptrend through the NY session lifted price off the 0.6922 low to a session high at 0.69466, aided by a softer USD after divided FOMC minutes. Now stalling in a tight 0.6940–0.6946 consolidation with RSI cooling from the highs; range low at 0.6940 holding.

Support: 0.6940, 0.69358, 0.6929

Resistance: 0.69466, 0.6945

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.6940 breaks the consolidation and exposes 0.69358
  • Close above 0.69466 extends the session high, opening 0.6950
  • US CPI (Jul 14) is the next major USD catalyst for this pair

18:32 UTC

Uptrend, momentum easing · RSI 55 · price 0.69412

Higher lows into session high, coiling below 0.6946.

NY session ground higher through a chain of higher lows, tagging a session high at 0.69466 before stalling; price now hovering near 0.6941 with RSI(14) cooling to the mid-50s. Rejection capped the move at 0.6946 as the pair stays boxed under 0.6950, consistent with the broader 0.6900–0.6950 coil.

Support: 0.6934, 0.69291, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.69466, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69466 opens the path to the 0.6950 round number
  • Loss of 0.69340 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
  • US CPI (Jul 14) is the next macro catalyst for this range

18:32 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 56 · price 0.69412

Higher lows, coiling below session high.

AUDUSD ground higher through the NY session to a 0.6946 session high, supported above 0.6900 as dovish FOMC minutes kept the USD soft. Price now consolidating around 0.6941 with RSI cooling toward neutral; rising lows intact off 0.6929.

Support: 0.6940, 0.6935, 0.6929

Resistance: 0.6946, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • Close below 0.6935 breaks the rising support and threatens a lower low
  • Close above 0.6946 opens the path to the 0.6950 round number
  • Range read holds while price stays between 0.6935 and 0.6946

18:17 UTC

Intraday uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 61 · price 0.69434

Chain of higher lows into session highs.

AUDUSD ground higher through the NY session, printing higher lows off 0.69291 and stalling just under the 0.69466 session high; RSI(14) mid-60s, no extreme. USD stayed soft after the divided FOMC minutes, keeping the Aussie pinned near its intraday top.

Support: 0.6940, 0.69358, 0.69291

Resistance: 0.69466, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • Break and hold above 0.69466 session high opens the path to the 0.6950 round number
  • Loss of the 0.694 recent base breaks the higher-low chain, exposing 0.69358 swing low
  • US CPI Tue could materially shift this read

18:17 UTC

Grind higher, momentum easing · RSI 58 · price 0.69434

Higher lows into session high.

AUDUSD ground steadily higher through the NY session on a soft USD after the split FOMC minutes, printing a chain of higher lows into the 0.69466 session high. Momentum is easing as price stalls just under that cap, RSI(14) mid-range around 58.

Support: 0.69402, 0.69291, 0.69217

Resistance: 0.69466, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • Break and hold above 0.69466 session high extends the up-leg toward the 0.6980 range top
  • Loss of the rising lows at 0.69402 breaks the intraday sequence, exposing 0.69291
  • US CPI (Jul 14) is the dominant USD catalyst ahead

18:02 UTC

Grinding higher, momentum steady · RSI 58 · price 0.69443

HH/HL chain into session high.

NY session grinding higher into the 0.69466 session high, price coiled just below it with RSI(14) around 58 — no extreme. Broad USD softness after the divided FOMC minutes has kept the Aussie bid off the 0.69217 session low.

Support: 0.6940, 0.69336, 0.69217

Resistance: 0.69466, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69466 opens the path to 0.69500
  • Loss of 0.69400 breaks the rising-low sequence and reopens 0.69336
  • US CPI Jul 14 is the dominant near-term catalyst for USD flows

18:02 UTC

Uptrend, momentum easing near highs · RSI 61 · price 0.69443

Higher highs/lows, coiling below session high.

AUDUSD ground higher through the NY session, printing a fresh session high at 0.69466 before stalling into a tight 0.6941–0.6446 coil. RSI(14) mid-60s, no extreme; price holding above EMA20/50 as the broad 0.6900–0.6950 range top is tested. USD softness post FOMC minutes underpins the drift.

Support: 0.6940, 0.6935, 0.69291

Resistance: 0.69466, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69500 extends the intraday uptrend toward the 0.6980 range ceiling
  • Failure to hold 0.69400 marks a lower low and stalls the NY advance
  • US CPI (Jul 14) is the dominant upcoming catalyst for USD flows

17:47 UTC

Mild uptrend, grinding · RSI 59 · price 0.69438

Higher lows into NY, near session high.

AUDUSD ground higher through the NY session, printing higher lows off the 0.69217 range low and stalling just under the 0.69466 session high, RSI(14) mid-range near 59. USD softness after the divided FOMC minutes underpins the grind; ATR is thin at ~4 pips so moves are small and orderly.

Support: 0.6937, 0.69245, 0.69217

Resistance: 0.69466, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69466 opens the path toward 0.6950 and the 0.6980 range top
  • Failure to hold 0.69370 exposes the 0.69245 session low
  • US CPI (Tue) is the dominant catalyst that could reset this range

17:47 UTC

Mild uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 61 · price 0.69438

Higher lows into session high.

NY afternoon session grinding higher on a chain of higher lows, price pinned just under the 0.69466 session high with RSI(14) around 61. AUD holding firm above 0.6940 as a soft USD keeps the pair toward the top of its 0.6900–0.6950 coil; no fresh catalyst on the near-term calendar.

Support: 0.69406, 0.6930, 0.69217

Resistance: 0.69466, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.69466 opens the path toward 0.6950 psych level
  • Loss of 0.69406 recent low breaks the higher-low chain
  • US CPI (Jul 14) is the dominant upcoming driver for this pair

17:32 UTC

Intraday uptrend, momentum easing · RSI 58 · price 0.69445

Higher highs, higher lows grinding up.

NY session extended the grind higher, tagging 0.69466 before easing back to 0.6944 with RSI cooling from mid-60s. Buyers stepped in repeatedly along a rising support around 0.6930-0.6940; session high still capping.

Support: 0.6940, 0.6930, 0.6920

Resistance: 0.69466, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69466 opens the path toward 0.6950 psych
  • Loss of 0.6940 rising support confirms momentum fade back toward 0.6930
  • US CPI risk (Jul 14) is the next macro driver for this pair

17:32 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 61 · price 0.69445

Higher lows into session high, coiling near 0.6947.

AUDUSD ground higher through the NY session on a chain of higher lows, tagging a session high at 0.69466 before stalling just under it. RSI(14) cooling from the push, price consolidating around 0.6944 with EMA20/50 below; broader tone remains range-bound between 0.6900 support and 0.6980.

Support: 0.6940, 0.69355, 0.6930

Resistance: 0.69466, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69466 opens the path toward 0.6950 then 0.6980
  • Failure to hold 0.6940 pivot exposes 0.69355 and the range low at 0.6930

17:17 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 55 · price 0.69411

Higher highs into NY session high, now stalling.

AUDUSD ground higher through the London-NY session, tagging a session high at 0.69466 before stalling, with RSI cooling back to the mid-50s. Price is now pinned to the EMA20 near 0.6940 as the move consolidates; the softer USD tone below 101 keeps the Aussie coiled in its 0.6900-0.6950 band.

Support: 0.6940, 0.6937, 0.69217

Resistance: 0.69466, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69466 opens a retest of the 0.6950 psych level
  • Loss of 0.6937 swing low breaks the intraday higher-low chain
  • US CPI (Jul 14) is the next external catalyst for this range

17:17 UTC

Uptrend, momentum stalling · RSI 56 · price 0.69411

Higher lows into session high, now consolidating.

NY session ground higher off 0.6925 to tag 0.69466 before stalling, with the dollar soft on a split FOMC read. Price now coiling 0.6940–0.6946, RSI(14) cooling from its highs; session-high area still capping.

Support: 0.6940, 0.6935, 0.6930

Resistance: 0.69466, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69466 extends the run toward the 0.6950 psych level
  • Failure to hold 0.69400 exposes 0.69350 and confirms a lower high
  • US CPI (Jul 14) is the next macro catalyst that could reset this range

17:03 UTC

Uptrend, momentum easing · RSI 55 · price 0.69412

Higher highs, shallow pullback off session high.

NY session ground higher off the 0.6929 low, tagging a session high at 0.69466 before pulling back to 0.6941 as RSI cools off. Move fits the AUD's 0.6900–0.6950 coil; price now hovering at its rising support after the softer-USD FOMC-minutes bid.

Support: 0.6940, 0.6935, 0.6929

Resistance: 0.69466, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69466 session high extends the intraday uptrend toward the 0.6950 psych level
  • Loss of the 0.694 swing low opens 0.6935 prior low, then 0.6929 session low
  • US CPI next week remains the dominant near-term catalyst for this pair

17:03 UTC

Intraday uptrend, momentum easing · RSI 57 · price 0.69412

Higher lows into session high, stalling near top.

NY session ground higher off the 0.6929 session low, tagging a session high at 0.69466 before easing back to 0.69412. RSI(14) near mid-50s, momentum cooling as price stalls just under the range top.

Support: 0.69376, 0.69291

Resistance: 0.69466, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69466 session high opens the 0.6950 round number
  • Failure to hold 0.69376 swing low breaks the intraday higher-low chain
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst for USD repricing

16:47 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 62 · price 0.69426

Higher highs, higher lows into NY.

NY session extending a steady HH/HL climb off the London low near 0.6924, price pressing the session high at 0.69466 with RSI(14) around 61 — hot but not extended. Buyers stepped in repeatedly on dips into 0.6931–0.6940 through the London-NY transition.

Support: 0.6940, 0.69306, 0.69245

Resistance: 0.69466, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69500 opens the path toward the 0.6980 range top
  • Failure to hold 0.69400 breaks the rising sequence back toward 0.69306
  • US CPI (Jul 14) and Fed repricing the dominant near-term catalyst for USD

16:47 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 62 · price 0.69426

Higher lows into session high.

NY session ground higher through a chain of higher lows, tagging a session high at 0.69466 before easing to 0.69426. AUD stayed firm as the USD softened on the split FOMC minutes; RSI(14) mid-60s, no extreme.

Support: 0.69355, 0.6929

Resistance: 0.69466, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69466 extends the climb toward the 0.6980 region
  • Loss of 0.69355 breaks the rising support and the higher-low sequence
  • US CPI (Tue) is the dominant catalyst that could reshape this read

16:32 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 64 · price 0.69422

Higher highs, higher lows through NY session.

AUDUSD ground steadily higher through the NY session, printing a fresh session high at 0.69466 as a softer USD post-FOMC-minutes weighed on the dollar. Price holds above 0.6940 with RSI(14) mid-60s — firm but not extended; rising lows off 0.69306 keep the intraday structure intact.

Support: 0.69355, 0.69296

Resistance: 0.69466, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69466 extends the uptrend toward the 0.6950 round number
  • Loss of 0.69355 breaks the rising-low chain and reopens 0.69296
  • Move is external-catalyst driven — USD headlines could shift this read

16:32 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 64 · price 0.69422

Higher highs and higher lows into session high.

NY session ground higher into a fresh session high at 0.69466, price now hovering just below at 0.69422 with a softer USD after the split FOMC minutes. Chain of higher lows intact off the London-NY transition; RSI(14) firm but not yet extended.

Support: 0.69355, 0.6929

Resistance: 0.69466, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.69466 extends the session high and opens 0.69500
  • Loss of 0.69355 breaks the rising-low sequence
  • US-Iran headlines could shift broad USD flows in the next few hours

16:17 UTC

Uptrend, grinding into range top · RSI 68 · price 0.69466

Series of higher lows through NY hours.

NY session ground higher off the 0.69291 low, printing a clean chain of higher lows into the 0.69466 session high with RSI(14) around 68 — hot but not extreme. The 0.6950 range top per broader coil is the next area to watch for rejection or break; USD drift has kept the Aussie bid.

Support: 0.6941, 0.69358, 0.69291

Resistance: 0.69466, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6950 opens the path toward 0.6980
  • Loss of the 0.69358 higher-low pivot breaks the intraday uptrend structure

16:17 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher into NY · RSI 69 · price 0.69466

Chain of higher highs/lows, testing session top.

NY session pushed AUDUSD to a fresh session high at 0.69466 in a steady higher-high, higher-low grind, RSI(14) near 69 but not yet extreme. Dollar softness after the faded hawkish FOMC minutes underpins the drift up; 0.6950 range top is the next area to watch for rejection or break.

Support: 0.6935, 0.69217, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.69466, 0.6950, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6950 opens the path toward 0.6980
  • Loss of 0.69350 intraday pivot breaks the higher-low chain
  • US CPI (Jul 14) is the dominant catalyst that could reshape this read

16:02 UTC

Grinding uptrend, momentum steady · RSI 62 · price 0.6943

Rising lows, testing session high.

NY session ground higher off a 0.69300 swing low into a fresh session high at 0.69458, RSI(14) around 62 — hot but not stretched. USD softening after the dovish-read FOMC minutes underpins the drift; price now hugging the session top near 0.6943.

Support: 0.6930, 0.69217, 0.69126

Resistance: 0.69458, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69458 opens the path toward 0.6950 psych
  • Loss of 0.69300 swing low breaks the rising-low chain
  • US CPI (Jul 14) is the dominant catalyst ahead for this pair

16:02 UTC

Grinding higher into NY session · RSI 64 · price 0.6943

Higher lows, testing session high.

NY session grinding higher into the 0.6946 session high, holding above EMA20/50 with RSI in the low-60s. Price stays inside the broader 0.6900–0.6950 coil; range top at 0.6950 remains the cap.

Support: 0.6930, 0.6913

Resistance: 0.6946, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6950 opens the path toward 0.6980
  • Failure to hold 0.6930 breaks the higher-low chain
  • US CPI (Jul 14) is the dominant near-term catalyst for this pair

15:47 UTC

Uptrend, grinding into session highs · RSI 64 · price 0.69416

Higher lows, testing recent range top.

NY session drifting higher into 0.6944 with buyers stepping in around 0.6935 on each dip, RSI(14) mid-60s and not yet stretched. Price is pressing the 0.69453 session high, still capped below the 0.6950 range top flagged in the broader USD-soft backdrop.

Support: 0.69358, 0.6929, 0.69245

Resistance: 0.69453, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69453 opens the path toward 0.6950 psych level
  • Failure to hold 0.69358 breaks the higher-low chain
  • US CPI (Jul 14) is the dominant catalyst that could reshape this read

15:47 UTC

Mild uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 63 · price 0.69416

Higher lows into session high.

AUDUSD ground higher through the NY session, printing higher lows off 0.69296 and pressing the 0.69453 session high; move fits the dovish-Fed USD drift flagged this week. RSI(14) mid-60s, no extreme, ATR ~5 pips.

Support: 0.6940, 0.69358, 0.69296

Resistance: 0.69453, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • Sustained M15 close above 0.69453 opens the 0.6950 psych level
  • Loss of 0.69358 breaks the higher-low chain and reopens 0.69296
  • US CPI (Jul 14) is the dominant catalyst for the next USD leg

15:32 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 63 · price 0.69426

Higher lows into session high.

NY session grinding higher on a soft USD after divided FOMC minutes, AUDUSD at 0.69426 pressing the prior swing high at 0.69453. Higher lows intact; buyers stepped in repeatedly around 0.69358 through the session, RSI(14) firm near 63.

Support: 0.69358, 0.6930, 0.69245

Resistance: 0.69453, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.69453 opens the path toward the 0.69500 round number
  • Loss of 0.69358 breaks the higher-low chain and exposes 0.69300
  • US CPI (Jul 14) is the key external catalyst for the next USD leg

15:32 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 64 · price 0.69426

Higher lows into session high.

NY session ground higher along a rising channel, price pressing the 0.69453 session high with RSI(14) mid-60s and holding above EMA20/50. Buyers stepped in repeatedly around 0.6935 through the London-NY transition; USD softness on the divided FOMC minutes is the backdrop.

Support: 0.6935, 0.6929, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.69453, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69453 opens the 0.6950 round level
  • Loss of 0.69350 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
  • US CPI (Jul 14) is the key catalyst ahead of any sustained break

15:17 UTC

Uptrend, momentum steady · RSI 64 · price 0.69427

Higher highs/lows into session high.

NY session grinding higher off the 0.6930 swing low, price pressing the 0.69453 session high with RSI(14) in the low-60s — hot but not stretched. A tidy rising sequence of higher lows holds intact above 0.6930.

Support: 0.6930, 0.6922, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.69453, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69453 opens the 0.6950 psych level
  • Failure to hold 0.6930 breaks the rising sequence and exposes 0.6922 session low

15:17 UTC

Mild uptrend, grinding to session high · RSI 64 · price 0.69427

Higher lows into range top ~0.6945.

NY session grinding higher into the session high at 0.6944, holding a chain of higher lows off 0.6931. AUD remains coiled in its broader 0.6900–0.6950 band per the range read; RSI(14) mid-60s, hot but not extreme.

Support: 0.6935, 0.6931, 0.6921

Resistance: 0.69442, 0.69453

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69453 extends the intraday high and opens the path toward 0.6980
  • Failure to hold 0.6935 exposes 0.6931 then the 0.6921 session low
  • US CPI (Jul 14) is the key external catalyst for the broader range

15:02 UTC

Mild grind higher within range · RSI 55 · price 0.69376

Range-bound, higher lows into NY.

NY session ground higher off the 0.69291 swing low, tagging a session high at 0.69442 before easing back to 0.69376 with RSI(14) cooling from the mid-60s. Still boxed inside the broader 0.6900–0.6950 range; USD stayed soft after divided FOMC minutes.

Support: 0.69291, 0.69217, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.69442, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69442 opens the 0.6950 range top
  • Loss of 0.69291 confirms a lower low back toward 0.69217
  • US CPI (Jul 14) is the week's dominant catalyst for this pair

15:02 UTC

Mild uptrend, momentum flat · RSI 53 · price 0.69376

Grinding higher inside a tight range.

AUDUSD ground higher through the NY session to test 0.6944 before rejecting back to 0.6938, RSI(14) neutral near 53. Price stays boxed inside the broader 0.6900–0.6950 range flagged in the macro read, with 0.69306 the near support and 0.6944 capping.

Support: 0.69306, 0.69217

Resistance: 0.69442, 0.69453

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69453 opens room toward the 0.6980 range pivot
  • Loss of 0.69306 exposes the 0.69217 asian low
  • US CPI (Jul 14) is the dominant near-term catalyst for this pair

14:47 UTC

Mild uptrend, pressing session high · RSI 64 · price 0.69413

Higher lows into range top.

NY session grinding higher on a chain of higher lows, price stalling into the session high at 0.69453 with RSI(14) mid-60s — hot but not extreme. Buyers stepped in around 0.69306 through the London-NY transition and the ascent held above 0.69367; broader 0.6900–0.6950 range still intact per the AUD context.

Support: 0.69367, 0.69306, 0.6925

Resistance: 0.69453, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69453 opens the path toward the 0.6950 psych level
  • Loss of 0.69367 swing low breaks the rising sequence and reopens 0.69306
  • US CPI (Jul 14) is the dominant near-term catalyst for USD legs

14:47 UTC

Mild uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 62 · price 0.69413

Higher lows into session high.

NY session grinding higher on a chain of higher lows, price pressing the 0.6945 session high after USD softened post-FOMC minutes. RSI(14) mid-60s, no extreme; buyers holding the 0.6935 intraday floor.

Support: 0.6935, 0.6930, 0.6906

Resistance: 0.6945, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • Sustained break above 0.6945 opens path toward the 0.6980 pivot
  • Loss of 0.6935 breaks the higher-low chain and re-opens 0.6906
  • US CPI (Jul 14) is the dominant near-term catalyst for USD flows

14:32 UTC

Mild uptrend within range · RSI 58 · price 0.69403

Ranging, higher lows into NY.

AUDUSD grinding higher into the NY session, holding a chain of higher lows off 0.69245 and pressing the 0.69453 session high. Price sits mid-range (0.6930–0.6945) with RSI(14) neutral near 58; USD stayed soft after divided FOMC minutes, letting the Aussie drift up.

Support: 0.6930, 0.69245, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.69453, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69453 opens the path to the 0.69500 range top
  • Failure to hold 0.69300 exposes the 0.69245 swing low
  • Iran/Hormuz headlines remain the primary risk-sentiment swing factor for the Aussie

14:32 UTC

Grind higher, momentum steady · RSI 60 · price 0.69403

Higher lows into range top.

NY session grinding higher on a chain of higher lows, pressing the 0.69453 range top with RSI(14) around 60 — no exhaustion yet. Move tracks a softer USD after divided FOMC minutes; buyers stepped in repeatedly near 0.6931.

Support: 0.6931, 0.69065

Resistance: 0.69453, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69453 opens the path toward 0.6980
  • Loss of 0.6931 breaks the higher-low chain and exposes 0.69065

14:17 UTC

Sideways, drifting to range top · RSI 61 · price 0.69392

Intraday range, testing highs.

AUDUSD has ground sideways in a 0.6929–0.6945 band through the NY session, now pressing the range top with RSI(14) near 60. The 0.69453 session high has capped rallies twice; buyers keep stepping in near 0.6929 on dips.

Support: 0.6929, 0.69065

Resistance: 0.69453, 0.69442

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69453 breaks the range top and extends the drift higher
  • Loss of 0.6929 opens a move back toward the 0.69065 day low
  • Iran/Hormuz headlines remain the primary sentiment driver for the Aussie

14:17 UTC

Mild uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 61 · price 0.69392

Higher lows into NY afternoon, testing session high.

NY afternoon grind higher, price stacking higher lows and pressing the 0.69442 session high with RSI(14) around 61. Move sits inside the broader 0.6907–0.6945 range; USD stayed soft after hawkish-but-priced FOMC minutes, letting the Aussie drift up.

Support: 0.6930, 0.69291, 0.69066

Resistance: 0.69442, 0.69453, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.69453 opens the path toward the 0.6980 range cap
  • Failure to hold 0.6930 exposes 0.69291 session low then 0.69066
  • US CPI (Jul 14) is the dominant next catalyst for USD flows

14:02 UTC

Mild uptrend within range · RSI 60 · price 0.69408

Coiled range, testing session high.

AUDUSD ground higher through the NY session and is pressing the 0.69414 prior high, RSI(14) mid-60s. Price is coiled in the 0.6930–0.6945 band, still short of the 0.69453 session high that has capped the last several hours.

Support: 0.6930, 0.69245, 0.69066

Resistance: 0.69414, 0.69453

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69453 session high opens the path toward 0.6980
  • Failure to hold 0.69300 recent low returns focus to the 0.69245 range low
  • US CPI (Jul 14) is the dominant catalyst that could break this range

14:02 UTC

Sideways, drifting to range top · RSI 62 · price 0.69408

Intraday range, testing highs.

AUDUSD ground higher through the NY session and is pressing the day's high at 0.69453, RSI(14) in the low 60s with no extreme. Price has held a tight 0.6907–0.6945 band all window; buyers stepped back in around 0.6930 on the last dip.

Support: 0.6930, 0.69245, 0.69066

Resistance: 0.69453, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69453 opens the path to 0.6950
  • Failure to hold 0.69300 returns price to range mid
  • Iran/USD headlines remain the primary near-term driver

13:47 UTC

Sideways, mild upward drift · RSI 55 · price 0.69383

Range-bound, coiling near session high.

AUDUSD grinding sideways 0.6929–0.6945 through the London-NY transition, RSI(14) neutral near 55. Aussie holding a mild upward drift as a softer USD post-FOMC minutes keeps the range floor supported; no clean break either way.

Support: 0.6929, 0.69065

Resistance: 0.69453, 0.69414

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69453 opens continuation toward 0.6980 pivot
  • Failure to hold 0.69290 exposes 0.69065 asian low
  • Iran/Hormuz headlines remain the primary near-term risk-sentiment driver

13:46 UTC

Mild uptrend, momentum flat · RSI 56 · price 0.69383

Grinding higher inside 0.6930–0.6945.

AUDUSD is coiled just under 0.6940 after a slow London-NY grind up off the 0.69066 session low, RSI(14) mid-range near 56 and offering no extreme. Price holds above EMA20/50 but the 0.6940–0.69453 cap has rejected repeatedly; broader 0.6900–0.6950 range from the digest still frames the tape.

Support: 0.6930, 0.6919, 0.69066

Resistance: 0.6940, 0.69453

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69453 opens a push toward 0.6950
  • Loss of 0.69300 pivot exposes the 0.69190 swing low
  • US CPI (Jul 14) is the dominant catalyst that could break this range

13:32 UTC

Sideways, range-bound · RSI 56 · price 0.69384

Tight consolidation near range top.

AUDUSD coiled in a 0.69300–0.69453 range through the NY session, grinding sideways as a soft USD offsets Iran-driven safety bids. Price holds just under the range top with RSI(14) mid-band; no directional setup in play.

Support: 0.6930, 0.69245

Resistance: 0.69453, 0.6940

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69453 breaks the session high and opens 0.6950
  • Loss of 0.69300 range low exposes the 0.69245 swing low
  • US existing home sales and Fed's Williams later today could nudge USD flows

13:31 UTC

Sideways, tight range · RSI 56 · price 0.69384

Balanced range 0.6929–0.6940.

AUDUSD grinding sideways through the NY session, hemmed 0.6929–0.6941 with price back at 0.69384 into the close. RSI(14) neutral at 56, ATR ~25 pips; no setup in play as the pair coils, reflecting the two-way AUD tone into next week's US CPI.

Support: 0.69291, 0.69245, 0.69065

Resistance: 0.69414, 0.69453

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69453 swing high opens the path toward 0.6980
  • Loss of 0.69291 session low exposes the 0.69245 swing low
  • US CPI (Jul 14) is the dominant catalyst that could break this range

13:17 UTC

Sideways, coiling · RSI 52 · price 0.69364

Range-bound 0.6930-0.6945.

AUDUSD coiling in a tight 0.6930-0.6945 band through the NY session, RSI(14) flat near 52 with price pinned on its EMAs. The 0.69453 swing high capped the London-NY push; buyers held the 0.6929 floor into the current bar as hawkish RBA vs hawkish Fed minutes keep it two-way.

Support: 0.6929, 0.69245, 0.69065

Resistance: 0.6940, 0.69453

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.694 opens the path back to the 0.69453 swing high
  • Loss of 0.6929 range floor exposes 0.69245 session low
  • US CPI (Jul 14) is the dominant catalyst that could break this coil

13:16 UTC

Sideways, coiling · RSI 53 · price 0.69364

Range-bound intraday.

AUDUSD is coiling in a tight 0.6930–0.6945 band through the London-NY transition, RSI(14) flat near 53 with ATR compressed to ~4.5 pips. The July rebound stalled at 0.69453 during NY hours; price hugging EMA20/50, consistent with the digest's 0.6900–0.6950 pin as hawkish RBA and hawkish Fed minutes offset.

Support: 0.6930, 0.69265, 0.69066

Resistance: 0.69453, 0.6940

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69453 opens the path toward 0.6980
  • Loss of 0.6930 exposes 0.69265 then the 0.69066 swing low
  • US CPI (Jul 14) is the dominant catalyst that would break this coil

13:03 UTC

Range, momentum flat · RSI 48 · price 0.69327

Coiling inside intraday range.

AUDUSD coiling around 0.6932 through the NY session, boxed between 0.6929 and the 0.6940-0.6945 session high; RSI(14) neutral near 47 and price sitting just under the EMAs. Digest read matches the chart: July rebound stalled and pair flatlined as hawkish Fed minutes offset a soft USD.

Support: 0.6929, 0.69245, 0.69066

Resistance: 0.6940, 0.69453

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69453 breaks the session high and extends the range
  • Loss of 0.69290 opens the 0.69245 swing low
  • US Williams speech / jobless-claims aftermath could shift the coil

13:03 UTC

Sideways, coiling · RSI 49 · price 0.69327

Range-bound, mid-range.

AUDUSD is coiling in a tight 0.69290–0.69400 range through the London-NY session, price hugging flat EMAs with RSI(14) neutral near 48. NY probed the range top at 0.69400 and faded back to mid-range; the pair remains pinned inside its multi-day 0.6900–0.6950 coil with no intraday setup in play.

Support: 0.6929, 0.69245, 0.69105

Resistance: 0.6940, 0.69453

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69400 opens the path to the 0.69453 session high
  • Loss of 0.69290 range floor exposes the 0.69245 swing low
  • US Jobless Claims / Williams remarks could jolt this tight range

12:47 UTC

Sideways, coiling near range top · RSI 48 · price 0.69331

Range-bound between 0.6929 and 0.6945.

AUDUSD coiled through the London session in a tight 0.6929–0.6945 band after the earlier bounce off 0.6907, with price now sitting just below EMA20/50 and RSI hovering near neutral. Move stalled at 0.6945 (day high) as AUD stays pinned per the two-way RBA/Fed backdrop; no setup in play, range still intact.

Support: 0.6929, 0.69107, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.6940, 0.69453

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6945 opens the path toward 0.6980
  • Failure to hold 0.6929 exposes the range low at 0.6907
  • US Williams / jobless-claims aftermath could shift this read intraday

12:47 UTC

Sideways, mild upward drift · RSI 47 · price 0.69331

Range-bound within 0.6929–0.6945.

AUDUSD is coiling in a tight 0.6929–0.6945 band through the NY session, RSI(14) neutral near 47 with price hugging the EMAs. Rejection off 0.6945 earlier and demand near 0.6929 keeps the range intact; no setup in play.

Support: 0.69291, 0.69245, 0.69065

Resistance: 0.69397, 0.69453, 0.6940

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6945 opens the path toward the 0.6980 pivot
  • Loss of 0.6929 exposes 0.6924 session low then 0.6906
  • US Jobless Claims and Williams speech could shift the read within the hour

12:32 UTC

Sideways, coiling · RSI 55 · price 0.6937

Range-bound, mid-range.

AUDUSD ranging 0.6907–0.6945 through the London-NY session, coiling near the middle around 0.6937 with RSI(14) neutral. The early-window dip to 0.6907 was bought back and the session high at 0.6945 has capped attempts higher; no directional break in play.

Support: 0.6930, 0.6907, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.6945, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6945 opens the path toward 0.6980
  • Break below 0.6907 exposes the 0.6900 psych level
  • US jobless claims / Williams speech could shift this read

12:32 UTC

Sideways, coiling in upper half of range · RSI 55 · price 0.6937

Range-bound, higher lows off session low.

AUDUSD is coiling between 0.6929 and the 0.6945 session high through NY hours, RSI(14) neutral near 55 after the July rebound stalled. Price recovered off the 0.69065 session low and is grinding sideways in the upper half; hawkish FOMC minutes and softer USD leave it pinned in the 0.6900-0.6950 range flagged in the macro read.

Support: 0.6929, 0.69065, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.69453, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69453 session high extends the recovery toward the 0.6980 pivot
  • Loss of 0.69290 range floor reopens the 0.69065 session low
  • US jobless claims and Williams speech could shift this read within the hour

12:17 UTC

Sideways, range-bound · RSI 55 · price 0.69374

Coiling in upper half of intraday range.

AUDUSD ranging 0.6930–0.6945 through the London-NY transition, price grinding back toward the session high after the July rebound stalled around 0.6935. RSI(14) neutral near 55 and ATR compressed to ~4 pips — no setup in play as the pair coils per the digest's 0.6900–0.6950 read.

Support: 0.6930, 0.69066, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.6945, 0.69414

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6945 opens a retest of 0.6980
  • Loss of 0.6930 exposes 0.69066 session low then 0.6900
  • US jobless claims (12:30 UTC) and Williams (13:00 UTC) could break the coil

12:17 UTC

Sideways, coiling · RSI 54 · price 0.69374

Range-bound, tight coil below session high.

AUDUSD coiling in a tight 0.69290–0.69414 band after the session high stalled at 0.69453, consistent with the pair being pinned in its broader range. RSI(14) neutral near 54 and ATR compressed to under 4 pips — no intraday setup in play.

Support: 0.69291, 0.69245, 0.69066

Resistance: 0.69414, 0.69453

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69453 opens the path back toward the range top
  • Failure to hold 0.69290 exposes 0.69245 then the 0.69066 session low
  • US Initial Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC could break the coil

12:02 UTC

Recovery stalling into consolidation · RSI 49 · price 0.69349

Range-bound after intraday recovery off session low.

AUDUSD recovered from the 0.6907 session low through London and has since coiled in a tight 0.6930-0.6945 band, RSI(14) neutral near 48. Price is pinned around 0.6935 with the broader 0.6900-0.6950 chop intact as offsetting Fed-hawkish and RBA forces cancel out.

Support: 0.69291, 0.69066, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.69453, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69453 opens the path toward the 0.6980 range top
  • Failure to hold 0.69291 exposes the 0.6907 session low
  • US Initial Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC could break the range

12:02 UTC

Sideways, upper-range drift · RSI 52 · price 0.69349

Consolidation after recovery off session low.

AUDUSD recovered from the 0.6907 session low and is now coiling in the 0.6929-0.6945 band, RSI(14) flat near 52. Two-way flow persists as a softer USD offsets hawkish Fed minutes and Middle East risk, keeping the pair pinned in its broader 0.6900-0.6950 range.

Support: 0.6929, 0.69065

Resistance: 0.69453, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69453 extends toward the 0.6980 range top
  • Failure to hold 0.69290 reopens the 0.6907 session low
  • US Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC could break the current chop

11:47 UTC

Sideways, drifting lower off session high · RSI 42 · price 0.69322

Range-bound within intraday band, lower highs since 0.6945.

AUDUSD is chopping in the low 0.6930s, drifting off the 0.69453 session high with a chain of lower highs into the London session; price sits below EMA20/50 and RSI has cooled to the low 40s. Still boxed inside the broader 0.6900-0.6950 range flagged in the macro read, no clean directional break.

Support: 0.6929, 0.69245, 0.6915

Resistance: 0.6939, 0.69453

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.69453 opens the path back toward the 0.6950 range top
  • Break below 0.69245 exposes the 0.69150 session low
  • US Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC could break the range

11:47 UTC

Sideways, drifting off session high · RSI 44 · price 0.69322

Range with lower highs since NY high.

AUDUSD is coiling in a tight 0.6929-0.6945 band, having faded from the 0.69453 session high back below EMA20/50 as the Fed-hawkish/Middle-East risk vs RBA tug-of-war keeps it pinned. Momentum is neutral, RSI near 43, and price is retesting the 0.6930 support shelf.

Support: 0.6929, 0.69065

Resistance: 0.6939, 0.69453

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69290 opens the path toward 0.69065 swing low
  • Reclaim of 0.69390 minor high needed to retarget the 0.69453 session high
  • US Initial Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC could shift this read

11:32 UTC

Range, drifting off session high · RSI 46 · price 0.69302

Capped near 0.6945, holding 0.6929.

AUDUSD is ranging 0.6929-0.6945 after the 0.69453 session high was rejected, with price now easing back toward the range floor and RSI(14) mid-scale near 46. The move fits the 0.6900-0.6950 chop described in the context, with hawkish Fed minutes and softer USD cancelling out.

Support: 0.6929, 0.69245, 0.69066

Resistance: 0.6939, 0.69453

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69453 opens the path toward 0.6980
  • Loss of 0.69245 exposes 0.6907 day low
  • US jobless claims at 12:30 GMT could shift this intraday read

11:32 UTC

Sideways, mild pullback · RSI 43 · price 0.69302

Range-bound, drifting to range low.

London session churned in a 0.6929-0.6945 band; session high at 0.69453 was rejected and price has drifted back toward the range low ahead of US jobless claims. AUD stays pinned inside the broader 0.6900-0.6950 chop, RSI(14) cooling near 42.

Support: 0.6929, 0.69066, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.69453, 0.6940, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69453 reopens the path to 0.6980 range top
  • Loss of 0.69290 range low exposes 0.69066 session low, then 0.6900 psych
  • US Initial Jobless Claims 12:30 GMT (~1h) could break the range read

11:17 UTC

Range, drifting off highs · RSI 46 · price 0.69312

Intraday range 0.6907-0.6945.

AUDUSD ranging 0.6907-0.6945 through the London-NY transition, pinned by offsetting Fed-hawkish USD bid and RBA support per the digest. Price has slipped back below EMA20 to 0.6931 after failing the 0.6945 session high; RSI(14) neutral near 46, no directional break.

Support: 0.6929, 0.69066

Resistance: 0.69453, 0.6939

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6945 opens room back toward 0.6980
  • Break below 0.6929 exposes the 0.6907 session low
  • US Jobless Claims 12:30 GMT + Williams 13:00 GMT could break the range

11:17 UTC

Range, drifting lower into NY · RSI 42 · price 0.69312

Consolidation between session high and mid-range support.

AUDUSD coiling in a tight 0.6929-0.6945 band through late London, price slipping under EMA20/50 as it eased from the 0.69453 session high. RSI(14) cooling near 42, no directional setup in play as the pair stays pinned in the broader 0.6900-0.6950 range.

Support: 0.6929, 0.69245, 0.69066

Resistance: 0.6939, 0.69453

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69453 reopens the session-high break
  • Failure to hold 0.69290 exposes 0.69245 swing low
  • US Jobless Claims 12:30 GMT could shift this read

11:02 UTC

Sideways, low volatility drift · RSI 43 · price 0.69314

Range-bound, coiling near range mid.

AUDUSD coiled in the 0.6929–0.6945 band, pinned inside the broader 0.6900–0.6950 range flagged in the macro read, with ATR compressed to ~4 pips. Price faded off the 0.69453 session high and now sits mid-range at 0.69314, below EMA20 and EMA50; no directional structure in play.

Support: 0.6929, 0.6900, 0.69065

Resistance: 0.69453, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69453 / 0.6950 opens the range top
  • Loss of 0.69290 exposes 0.6900 range low
  • US Jobless Claims (12:30 UTC) and Fed's Williams (13:00 UTC) could break the coil

11:02 UTC

Sideways, drifting off session high · RSI 44 · price 0.69314

Range-bound, capped near 0.6945.

AUDUSD is boxed inside the well-worn 0.6929–0.6945 band, drifting back off the 0.69453 session high with RSI(14) mid-range near 44. The pair remains pinned in the 0.6900–0.6950 macro range as a softer USD offsets hawkish-Fed pricing; no setup in play.

Support: 0.69285, 0.69066

Resistance: 0.6939, 0.69453

What it said to watch

  • Break and hold above 0.69453 opens room toward the 0.6950 range top
  • Loss of 0.69285 exposes the 0.69066 swing low
  • US Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC and Fed's Williams 13:00 UTC could break the coil

10:46 UTC

Sideways, low momentum · RSI 48 · price 0.69342

Range-bound, coiling near range top.

AUDUSD grinding sideways in a 0.6929–0.6945 band through the London session, holding the broader 0.6900–0.6950 coil noted in the macro read. RSI(14) flat near 47 and tiny ATR confirm indecision; the 0.69453 swing high capped the last push and price has since drifted back to mid-range.

Support: 0.6929, 0.69065

Resistance: 0.69453, 0.69397

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69453 opens the path back toward 0.6950 range top
  • Loss of 0.69290 swing low exposes the 0.69065 session low
  • US Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC + Fed's Williams 13:00 UTC could break the coil

10:32 UTC

Mild uptrend, momentum flat · RSI 49 · price 0.69352

Coiling below session high after intraday leg up.

AUDUSD ground up off the 0.69066 session low through the London-NY transition, tagging a 0.69453 session high before fading back to 0.6935. Now coiling in a tight 0.69330–0.69390 band, RSI(14) flat near 49; no setup in play inside the well-worn 0.6900–0.6950 range.

Support: 0.6930, 0.69066, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.69453, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69453 opens the path toward the 0.69500 psych level
  • Loss of 0.69300 swing low reopens the 0.69066 session low
  • US Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC and Fed's Williams 13:00 UTC could break the coil

10:32 UTC

Sideways, range-bound · RSI 48 · price 0.69352

Coiled inside intraday range, mid-range.

AUDUSD is pinned in the well-worn 0.6900–0.6950 coil, with London tagging a session high at 0.69453 before drifting back to 0.6935. Weak China CPI and soft US data left the pair chopping; RSI(14) neutral near 47 with no momentum edge.

Support: 0.6929, 0.6920, 0.69065

Resistance: 0.69453, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69453 opens a test of the 0.6950 psych top
  • Loss of 0.6929 swing low points back toward the 0.69065 session low
  • US jobless claims 12:30 UTC and Fed's Williams 13:00 UTC could break the coil

10:17 UTC

Sideways, low momentum · RSI 52 · price 0.69363

Tight range coiling near session highs.

AUDUSD is coiling in a 0.6932–0.6945 band through the London session, RSI(14) flat near 52 and ATR compressed to ~5 pips. The 0.69453 session high capped the last push and price is drifting mid-range, matching the two-way macro read.

Support: 0.69317, 0.69065

Resistance: 0.69453, 0.6940

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69453 opens the path back toward 0.6950
  • Loss of 0.69317 exposes the 0.6907 session low
  • US Jobless Claims (12:30 UTC) and Williams (13:00 UTC) could break this range

10:17 UTC

Sideways, range-bound · RSI 52 · price 0.69363

Consolidation mid-range after rejection at session high.

AUDUSD is grinding in a tight 0.6930-0.6945 band through the London session after a rejection at the 0.69453 session high, RSI(14) neutral near 52. No setup in play — the wider 0.6900-0.6950 range still contains price and USD/Fed repricing is the swing factor.

Support: 0.6930, 0.69066, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.69453, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69453 opens a retest of the 0.6950 psych level
  • Failure to hold 0.6930 exposes the 0.69066 day low
  • US jobless claims 12:30 UTC could jolt this range read

10:02 UTC

Sideways, range-bound · RSI 51 · price 0.69363

Coiling in tight intraday range.

AUDUSD is grinding sideways around 0.6936, hemmed between 0.69290 and the 0.69453 session high after a fade off that high during London hours. RSI(14) sits neutral near 51 with ATR compressed to ~16 pips — no directional structure in play, consistent with the 0.6900-0.6950 macro coil.

Support: 0.6929, 0.69217, 0.69066

Resistance: 0.6940, 0.69453

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69453 opens the path back toward the 0.6980 range trigger
  • Break below 0.69290 exposes the 0.69217 and 0.69066 lows
  • US jobless claims 12:30 UTC and Williams 13:00 UTC could shift this read

10:02 UTC

Sideways, no momentum · RSI 51 · price 0.69363

Tight range near session highs.

AUDUSD is grinding in a tight 0.6930-0.6945 band through the London session, coiled within the broader 0.6900-0.6950 macro range as hawkish Fed and Middle East risk cancel out. RSI(14) flat near 50, ATR compressed to ~5 pips — no intraday setup in play.

Support: 0.6930, 0.69066, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.69453, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • Break and hold above 0.69453 session high opens 0.6950
  • Loss of 0.6930 exposes the 0.69066 swing low
  • US Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC + Williams 13:00 UTC could break the range

09:47 UTC

Sideways, no momentum · RSI 48 · price 0.69337

Range-bound mid-session.

AUDUSD is coiled around 0.6934, grinding sideways after London tagged a session high at 0.69453 and drifted back. RSI(14) flat near 48 and 4-pip ATR confirm a dead range — the pair sits mid the 0.6900-0.6950 coil flagged by the macro read, with hawkish-Fed vs hawkish-RBA cancelling out.

Support: 0.6929, 0.69065, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.69453, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69453 session high opens the path toward 0.6980 range top
  • Loss of 0.69290 swing low exposes the 0.6906 range low
  • US jobless claims 12:30 UTC and Williams 13:00 UTC could break the range

09:47 UTC

Sideways, range-bound · RSI 49 · price 0.69337

Consolidation inside intraday range.

London session grinding sideways between 0.6929 and the 0.69453 session high, price now hugging EMAs near 0.6934 with RSI(14) flat around midline. AUD stays coiled as the hawkish-Fed vs hawkish-RBA tug keeps it mid-range, no setup in play.

Support: 0.6929, 0.69065

Resistance: 0.69453, 0.69397

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69453 opens the session-high break
  • Loss of 0.6929 exposes the 0.69065 range low
  • US Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC and Williams 13:00 UTC could shift this read

09:32 UTC

Sideways, coiling near range top · RSI 51 · price 0.69352

Range-bound, higher-lows into resistance.

AUDUSD is grinding in a tight 0.6929–0.6945 band through the London session, capped by the 0.69453 session high and holding above the 0.69285 swing low. Price stalled just under EMA20 after rejecting 0.69453, RSI(14) flat around 50 — no impulse in either direction, consistent with the AUD's 0.6900–0.6950 pinning into US jobless claims and Williams later today.

Support: 0.69285, 0.69245, 0.69073

Resistance: 0.69453, 0.69414

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69453 opens a push toward 0.6980
  • Loss of 0.69285 exposes the 0.69245 session low
  • US jobless claims 12:30 UTC + Williams 13:00 UTC could break the range

09:32 UTC

Sideways, momentum flat · RSI 52 · price 0.69352

Coiling near range top after intraday grind higher.

AUDUSD ground up from the 0.69066 session low to a 0.69453 high, then stalled and is drifting sideways around 0.6935 into NY hours. Range top respected on the last push; RSI(14) flat near 52 with ATR compressed under 5 pips, consistent with the 0.6900–0.6950 coil the macro read flags.

Support: 0.6929, 0.69066, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.69453, 0.6940

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69453 breaks the session high and extends the intraday leg
  • Loss of 0.6929 opens a retest of the 0.69066 session low, then the 0.6900 range floor
  • US jobless claims and Fed's Williams later today could break the coil

09:17 UTC

Sideways, coiling near range top · RSI 47 · price 0.69342

Intraday range 0.6907–0.6945, tight coil last 3h.

AUDUSD is coiling in a 5-pip band just below the 0.69453 session high after failing to extend, price slipping under EMA20 with RSI(14) flat near 47. The pair holds the broader 0.69066–0.69453 intraday range, in line with the digest's 0.6900–0.6950 pin as hawkish Fed and safe-haven USD offset RBA talk.

Support: 0.69272, 0.69066, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.69453, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69453 reopens the upside toward the 0.6980 coil breaker
  • Loss of 0.69272 swing low exposes the 0.69066 session low and 0.6900 range floor
  • US Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC / Fed's Williams 13:00 UTC could break the coil

09:17 UTC

Sideways, no momentum · RSI 50 · price 0.69342

Range-bound, coiling near mid.

AUDUSD is coiling in a tight 0.6929–0.6945 band through the London session, RSI(14) flat near 50 with no impulse either way. The 0.69453 session high capped an earlier push and price has drifted back to the middle of the range as USD holds a firm safe-haven bid.

Support: 0.6929, 0.6922, 0.69065

Resistance: 0.6939, 0.69453

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69453 opens the path toward the 0.6980 coil-breaker
  • Failure of 0.69290 exposes the 0.69220 range floor and 0.69065 session low
  • US Jobless Claims (12:30 UTC) and Fed's Williams (13:00 UTC) could break the range

09:03 UTC

Sideways, mild grind higher stalling · RSI 51 · price 0.69346

Tight range near session highs.

AUDUSD coiling 0.6930–0.6945 through London hours after a rejection at the 0.69453 session high, consistent with the broader 0.6900–0.6950 pin. RSI(14) flat near 51, ATR ~5 pips — no momentum in play.

Support: 0.6929, 0.69245, 0.69066

Resistance: 0.69397, 0.69453

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69453 opens the path toward 0.6980
  • Failure of 0.69290 exposes the 0.69066 range low
  • US Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC could shift this read

09:03 UTC

Sideways, no momentum · RSI 49 · price 0.69346

Tight consolidation under session high.

AUDUSD is grinding sideways around 0.6935, coiling just under the 0.6945 session high after a brief poke to 0.69453 during London hours faded. Consistent with the macro 0.6900–0.6950 band; RSI(14) flat near 49 and ATR compressed to ~5 pips, no setup in play.

Support: 0.6930, 0.6928

Resistance: 0.6945, 0.6940

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6945 opens the path back toward the 0.6950 band top
  • Loss of 0.6930 exposes the 0.6928 swing low
  • US Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC could break the coil

08:47 UTC

Grinding uptrend, momentum flat · RSI 54 · price 0.69371

Series of higher lows into range top.

AUDUSD ground higher through the London session off the 0.69065 window low, tagging 0.69453 before stalling near 0.6937. Price is pinned in the wider 0.6900–0.6950 band the digest flags; RSI(14) is neutral around 54, no impulse in play.

Support: 0.6927, 0.69065

Resistance: 0.69414, 0.69453

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69453 extends the higher-high chain toward the 0.6980 range cap
  • Loss of 0.69270 breaks the rising-low structure and exposes the 0.69065 window low
  • US Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC could shift this read via USD repricing

08:47 UTC

Mild uptrend, momentum flat · RSI 54 · price 0.69371

Coiling near range top, higher lows.

AUDUSD is grinding sideways in a 0.6929–0.6945 band through the London morning, holding a chain of higher lows off the 0.6906 session low. Momentum is flat with RSI(14) mid-range and ATR compressed near 4 pips; the 0.69453 session high remains the near-term cap.

Support: 0.6929, 0.69245, 0.69066

Resistance: 0.69453, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69453 opens the path toward the 0.6950 psych level
  • Failure to hold 0.69290 exposes the 0.69066 session low
  • US Initial Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC could break the coil

08:32 UTC

Mild uptrend, momentum flattening · RSI 56 · price 0.69383

Consolidation near session highs after push to 0.69453.

London session ground higher off the 0.69245 low, tapping 0.69453 before easing into a tight coil around 0.6938 with RSI cooling into the mid-50s. AUD remains pinned in its broader 0.6900–0.6950 band as hawkish Fed and Iran flows offset RBA talk; price is holding a shallow rising support.

Support: 0.69329, 0.69275, 0.69066

Resistance: 0.69453, 0.69414

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69453 opens the path toward the 0.6950 band top
  • Loss of 0.69329 breaks the rising intraday support and exposes 0.69275
  • US Initial Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC could shift this read

08:32 UTC

Mild uptrend, momentum flattening · RSI 54 · price 0.69383

Consolidating below session high.

London session ground higher off the 0.6906 session low into a 0.69453 high, which rejected, and AUDUSD is now coiling around 0.6938 with RSI(14) mid-range. Move stalled just under the session high; broader 0.6900–0.6950 band still holds per the macro read.

Support: 0.6935, 0.6929, 0.69066

Resistance: 0.69453, 0.69414

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69453 opens a push toward the 0.6980 range cap
  • Loss of 0.6935 exposes the 0.69290 swing low
  • US Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC could shift this read

08:17 UTC

Shallow uptrend, momentum flat · RSI 54 · price 0.69372

Coiling near range top after London push.

London open pushed to 0.69453 then faded back to the 0.6937 area, holding a shallow uptrend inside the broader 0.6900–0.6950 band. RSI(14) is mid-range and ATR compressed near 4 pips, consistent with the coiling described in the AUD two-way context.

Support: 0.6929, 0.69245, 0.6906

Resistance: 0.69453, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim and hold above 0.69453 opens the path to the 0.6950 psych level
  • Loss of 0.6929 swing low breaks the rising sequence
  • US Jobless Claims (12:30 UTC) and Williams could shift this read

08:17 UTC

Mild uptrend, momentum flat · RSI 53 · price 0.69372

Coiling near session high after grind up from Asia low.

AUDUSD ground up from the 0.6906 Asia low to tag 0.69453 into London, now coiling just under that session high with RSI(14) neutral near 53. Price sits on its EMA20 inside the broader 0.6900–0.6950 band the digest flags, no directional edge in play.

Support: 0.69329, 0.69272, 0.69062

Resistance: 0.69453, 0.69414

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69453 extends the intraday sequence of higher highs
  • Loss of 0.69329 opens the 0.69272 range mid
  • US Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC and Williams 13:00 UTC could shift this read

08:02 UTC

Mild grind higher, momentum flat · RSI 54 · price 0.69365

Coiling inside 0.6906-0.6945.

AUDUSD ground higher through NY hours to a session high at 0.69453 before easing back to 0.6937, with AUD dead-pinned in its broader 0.6900-0.6950 coil. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 54 and ATR is compressed at ~5 pips — no intraday setup in play.

Support: 0.6929, 0.69106, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.69453, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69453 extends the session-high break
  • Loss of 0.69290 recent lows opens the 0.69106 swing low
  • China CPI and Iran/US headlines could break the coil either way

08:02 UTC

Sideways, no directional sponsorship · RSI 52 · price 0.69365

Tight intraday range, coiling.

AUDUSD coiled through the session, tagging a session high at 0.69453 in early London before fading back to 0.6936. RSI(14) flat near 52, ATR sub-5 pips — indecision candle, no setup in play with the pair pinned in the digest's 0.6900-0.6950 range.

Support: 0.69245, 0.69062

Resistance: 0.69453, 0.6939

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69453 breaks the session high and opens 0.69453+
  • Failure to hold 0.69245 exposes the 0.69062 range floor
  • China CPI / Iran-US headlines are the near-term catalysts for a break of the coil

07:47 UTC

Range-bound, momentum flat · RSI 50 · price 0.69346

Compressed range, top faded.

AUDUSD coiling in a tight band; buyers pushed to a session high at 0.69453 then faded back to 0.6935, RSI(14) neutral near 50. Move reflects the two-way pin flagged in the digest — hawkish-Fed USD bid versus RBA hawkishness cancelling out, no directional sponsorship into China CPI.

Support: 0.69275, 0.69062, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.69453, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69453 reopens the 0.6980 upside trigger
  • Loss of 0.69275 swing low exposes 0.69062 session low then 0.6900 range floor
  • China CPI / Iran headlines could break the coil either way

07:47 UTC

Range, drifting sideways · RSI 51 · price 0.69346

Coiling inside 0.6906-0.6945 intraday band.

AUDUSD is pinned in a tight intraday range, coiling between 0.6906 and the 0.69453 session high with RSI(14) flat near mid-scale. A brief push to 0.69453 in the NY session was faded back to 0.6935, leaving price mid-range as the market waits on China CPI. No setup in play.

Support: 0.6929, 0.6906

Resistance: 0.69453, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69453 opens a test of the 0.6950 range top
  • Break below 0.6906 session low turns the drift lower
  • China CPI is the near-term catalyst that could resolve this coil

07:32 UTC

Range-bound, no directional sponsorship · RSI 51 · price 0.69356

Coiling inside 0.6906–0.6945 intraday range.

AUDUSD is stuck in a tight 0.6906–0.6945 range, matching the broader 0.6900–0.6950 coil flagged in the macro read as hawkish-Fed USD demand and RBA hawkishness cancel out. Price rejected the 0.69453 session high and has drifted back to mid-range near 0.69356 with RSI neutral; no setup in play.

Support: 0.69285, 0.69062, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.69453, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69453 opens the path toward the 0.6950 psych level
  • Loss of 0.69062 session low exposes the 0.6900 range floor
  • China CPI is the AUD proxy catalyst that could break this coil

07:32 UTC

Range, mild upward drift · RSI 54 · price 0.69356

Coiling inside 0.6906–0.6945 intraday range.

AUDUSD dead-pinned in a tight London-session range, drifting up to a 0.69453 session high before fading back to 0.6936; RSI(14) neutral near 54. Move reflects the digest's stalemate — hawkish-Fed/Iran USD bid offset by RBA hawkishness — with no directional sponsorship into China CPI.

Support: 0.69245, 0.69062, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.69453, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69453 session high opens the 0.6950 range top
  • Loss of 0.69245 swing low exposes the 0.69062 session low
  • China CPI is the AUD catalyst that could break this coil either way

07:17 UTC

Mild grind higher within range · RSI 52 · price 0.69358

Range-bound, rising intraday lows.

AUDUSD ground higher off the 0.69062 session low through London hours, tagging a session high at 0.69453 before easing back to 0.69358 — RSI(14) neutral near 52. Price is coiling inside the digest's 0.6900-0.6950 band with no directional sponsorship, sitting on rising intraday lows.

Support: 0.6929, 0.69062

Resistance: 0.69453, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69453 opens the path to the 0.69500 round number
  • Failure to hold the 0.69290 swing low exposes 0.69062 session low
  • China CPI is the AUD catalyst that could break the 0.6900-0.6950 coil

07:17 UTC

Range-bound, drifting higher intraday · RSI 52 · price 0.69358

Coiling inside 0.6906–0.6945, capped at session high.

London session pushed to a session high of 0.69453 and was rejected, price fading back near 50% of the move to 0.69358 with RSI(14) neutral. AUDUSD remains pinned in the 0.6900–0.6950 coil flagged in the digest ahead of China CPI, no directional sponsorship in play.

Support: 0.69272, 0.69062, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.69453, 0.6940

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69453 opens the path to the 0.6980 upside trigger
  • Failure to hold 0.69272 exposes the 0.6900 range floor
  • China CPI / Iran-US headlines could break the coil either side

07:02 UTC

Recovering, grinding higher into range top · RSI 61 · price 0.69396

Rising lows since Asia, capped near 0.6945.

AUDUSD sold off early London yesterday to 0.69062, then ground higher through Asia and into today's London session, tagging a session high at 0.69453 before easing to 0.6940. RSI(14) around 60, still room below hot; pair remains pinned inside the broader 0.6900-0.6950 coil flagged into China CPI.

Support: 0.6930, 0.69245, 0.69062

Resistance: 0.69453, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69453 exposes the 0.69500 psych level
  • Break of the rising support off 0.69294 negates the higher-lows read
  • China CPI is the AUD catalyst that could resolve the 0.6900-0.6950 coil

07:02 UTC

Mild uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 58 · price 0.69396

Coiling near session high after London push.

London session ground AUDUSD up to a session high at 0.69453 before easing back to 0.69396, RSI(14) mid-range near 58. Pair remains pinned in its broader 0.6900-0.6950 coil; ATR is compressed at ~5 pips with buyers holding the 0.69330 pivot.

Support: 0.6933, 0.69245

Resistance: 0.69453, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69453 session high opens the path to 0.69500 psych
  • Failure to hold 0.69330 pivot exposes 0.69245 swing low
  • China CPI and Iran/US headlines could break the 0.6900-0.6950 coil

06:47 UTC

Grinding higher off session low · RSI 61 · price 0.69399

Recovery within 0.6900-0.6950 range.

London hours pushed AUDUSD off the 0.69065 session low to test 0.6945 before easing back to 0.69399, RSI(14) mid-60s and not yet extended. Price is coiled in the upper half of the macro 0.6900-0.6950 band flagged by desks, holding a chain of higher lows.

Support: 0.6930, 0.69065

Resistance: 0.6945, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6945 opens the 0.6950 range top
  • Loss of 0.6930 breaks the higher-low chain
  • US jobless claims 12:30 UTC and China inflation are near-term drivers for this pair

06:47 UTC

Grinding higher off range low · RSI 61 · price 0.69399

Coiled 0.6900-0.6950, testing top.

London hours ground AUDUSD up from the 0.6906 session low to tag 0.69453 before easing back to 0.69399, RSI(14) near 61. Price remains pinned inside the day's 0.6900-0.6950 range with the top yet to give way.

Support: 0.6932, 0.6906, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.69453, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69453 opens the 0.6950 range top
  • Loss of 0.6932 pivot reopens 0.6906 session low
  • China inflation print could shift the intraday tone

06:32 UTC

Grinding higher off session low · RSI 65 · price 0.69425

Rising lows, testing range top.

AUD/USD ground up from the 0.6906 low through a chain of higher lows, with the last bar tagging a session high at 0.6945 before easing to 0.69425. RSI mid-60s and the 0.6945 range top is capping for now, consistent with the pair pinned inside its broader 0.6900-0.6950 band.

Support: 0.6931, 0.69062

Resistance: 0.69453, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69453 opens the 0.6950 psych level
  • Loss of 0.6931 reopens the 0.6906 session low
  • China inflation and Iran risk headlines could shift near-term tone

06:32 UTC

Mild uptrend within range · RSI 61 · price 0.69425

Rising lows into range top.

AUDUSD ground higher through Asia hours, the last bar tagging the session high at 0.69453 on a small spike with RSI(14) near 61. Pair remains boxed in the 0.6900–0.6950 range flagged in the digest; buyers stepped in repeatedly around 0.69290 to build the rising lows.

Support: 0.6929, 0.69062, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.69453, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6950 range top would open the path toward 0.6980
  • Loss of 0.69290 swing low reopens 0.69062 session low
  • China inflation print could shift the range read

06:17 UTC

Mild uptrend, grinding · RSI 60 · price 0.69382

Higher lows into session high.

AUDUSD ground out a chain of higher lows through the Asian range and into the London open, tagging the session high at 0.69414 before stalling. RSI(14) neutral near 60 and ATR compressed to ~4 pips — a slow, low-range drift capped just under 0.69425.

Support: 0.69294, 0.69062, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.69414, 0.69425

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69425 opens the path toward 0.6950 range top
  • Loss of 0.69294 breaks the higher-low chain, exposing 0.6906
  • US jobless claims (12:30 UTC) and China inflation are near-term catalysts

06:16 UTC

Ranging, mild bid into Asia · RSI 57 · price 0.69382

Consolidation above session low, higher lows building.

AUDUSD is grinding a slow recovery off the 0.6906 session low, now curling into the 0.6941 session high during Asia hours with RSI(14) mid-range at 57. Price holds above both EMAs but the tape is thin and coiled inside the broader 0.6900-0.6950 range flagged by the macro read.

Support: 0.6932, 0.69245, 0.69062

Resistance: 0.69414, 0.6945, 0.6948

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6945 tests the range top and 0.6980 resistance zone
  • Loss of 0.6932 pivot reopens the 0.69245 swing low
  • China inflation print is the near-term risk driver for AUD

06:02 UTC

Recovering, grinding higher off session low · RSI 61 · price 0.69402

Higher lows into 0.6940 after early drop, capped at range top.

AUDUSD is grinding back toward 0.6940 through the Asia session after the earlier drop into 0.6906 on Iran/Hormuz risk-off flows into the USD. Micro structure holds a chain of higher lows off the 0.6930 pivot, RSI(14) mid-60s, but the 0.69425 prior high still caps the recovery.

Support: 0.6930, 0.69245, 0.69062

Resistance: 0.69425, 0.6955

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69425 opens the path back toward the 0.6955 range top
  • Failure to hold 0.6930 reopens the 0.69245 swing low
  • US jobless claims 12:30 UTC could shift USD tone and this read

06:02 UTC

Recovering, grinding higher into session highs · RSI 61 · price 0.69402

Higher lows off 0.6906 floor, testing range top.

AUDUSD dropped to 0.6906 during the London drift as USD firmed on Iran/Hormuz risk-off, then clawed back through Asia to retest the 0.69425 session high, now trading 0.69402. Chain of higher lows intact; RSI(14) near 61, no extreme.

Support: 0.6930, 0.6919, 0.69062

Resistance: 0.69425, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69425 opens the path toward 0.6955
  • Loss of 0.69300 breaks the higher-low chain and reopens 0.69190
  • US Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC and Fed's Williams 13:00 UTC could shift USD tone

05:47 UTC

Sideways, mild recovery bias · RSI 56 · price 0.69359

Consolidation after London flush, higher lows.

London session flushed AUDUSD to 0.69062 on the USD safe-haven bid, then price recovered through NY and Asia to grind sideways in a 0.69290–0.69397 range. Higher lows since the flush, RSI(14) mid-range near 56; no session high/low broken in the last few hours.

Support: 0.6929, 0.69062, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.69397, 0.6944

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69397 session high extends recovery toward 0.6944
  • Loss of 0.69290 range low reopens 0.69062 session low
  • US Initial Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC could shift this read

05:47 UTC

Range, grinding up off lows · RSI 55 · price 0.69359

Tight range near top after earlier flush.

Asia session grinding higher inside a tight 0.6929-0.6940 range after the earlier London flush to 0.6911, with AUD boxed in as firm USD from hawkish Fed minutes caps rallies. RSI(14) mid-range near 55, ATR compressed around 4 pips — no impulse in play.

Support: 0.6929, 0.69106, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.69397, 0.6944

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6940 opens the path toward 0.6955/0.6980
  • Failure to hold 0.6929 re-exposes the 0.6906 session low
  • US Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC could shift this read

05:32 UTC

Range-bound, grinding off session low · RSI 54 · price 0.69346

Range between 0.6906 and 0.6940, near top.

AUDUSD dropped sharply to 0.6906 during London hours as Trump's 'Iran deal over' remarks revived Hormuz risk-off and bid the USD, then recovered to grind sideways 0.6925-0.6940 through the Asia session. Price now sits near the top of that recovery range at 0.69346 with RSI mid-range; buyers have defended 0.6925 repeatedly.

Support: 0.69245, 0.69106, 0.69062

Resistance: 0.69397, 0.6944

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69397 opens a retest of 0.6944 prior high
  • Failure to hold 0.69245 reopens the 0.6910 session low
  • US Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC could shift USD tone and this range

05:32 UTC

Range, mild upward drift · RSI 56 · price 0.69346

Consolidation after earlier drop.

AUDUSD sold off to 0.6906 during the London session on renewed Hormuz risk-off USD bid, then clawed back to consolidate tightly between the 0.6929 range low and 0.6939 range high. Micro higher-lows are forming into 0.6935 with RSI(14) mid-range near 56 — no directional break yet.

Support: 0.6929, 0.69065, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.6939, 0.6955

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6939 range high opens the 0.6955 fibo
  • Close below 0.6929 range low exposes 0.6900 psych
  • US Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC could shift the USD read

05:17 UTC

Mild recovery, grinding up · RSI 56 · price 0.69376

Rising lows off 0.69066, capped near 0.6940.

AUD ground back to 0.6937 through the Asian session after the London-hours slide to 0.69062, with USD bid on Iran/Hormuz risk-off capping the pair earlier. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 56 and price is consolidating just under the 0.69397 session high, rising lows off 0.69066 intact.

Support: 0.6929, 0.69245, 0.69062

Resistance: 0.69397, 0.69443

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69397 opens the 0.69443 prior high
  • Loss of the rising support near 0.6929 breaks the higher-low chain
  • US Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC could shift USD tone

05:17 UTC

Range, grinding higher in Asia · RSI 58 · price 0.69376

Range-bound, mid-upper of session range.

AUDUSD is grinding up through the Asia session toward the 0.69397 session high after a sharp drop to 0.69106 during London-NY hours revived USD safe-haven flows on Iran/Hormuz risk. Price has recovered most of that leg and sits mid-upper range with RSI(14) neutral near 58; no clean break yet.

Support: 0.69285, 0.69106, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.69397, 0.6944

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69440 opens the path back toward the 0.6955 area
  • Failure to hold 0.69106 exposes the 0.6900 psych level
  • US Initial Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC could shift this read

05:03 UTC

Range, mild upward drift · RSI 55 · price 0.69366

Consolidating in upper half of session range after earlier drop.

AUDUSD is grinding sideways in the 0.69300-0.69397 band after a sharp London-hour flush to 0.69062 was fully recovered; the geopolitical USD bid on Iran/Hormuz risk-off is capping rallies. RSI(14) sits neutral near 55 with price holding above EMA20/50, no fresh momentum extension.

Support: 0.6930, 0.69062

Resistance: 0.69397, 0.69443

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69397 opens the path to 0.69443
  • Failure to hold 0.69300 exposes the 0.69062 swing low
  • FOMC Minutes/Williams and China CPI could shift this range read

05:03 UTC

Recovery off lows, momentum flat · RSI 54 · price 0.69366

Tight range after London selloff.

AUDUSD sold off to 0.6906 during London hours as Iran/Hormuz risk-off bid the USD, then clawed back into a tight 0.6930-0.6940 Asia band. RSI(14) neutral near 54, price holding above EMA20/50 but capped repeatedly at 0.6940.

Support: 0.6930, 0.6906

Resistance: 0.6940, 0.6955

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6940 opens the path to the 0.6955 fibo
  • Loss of 0.6930 exposes a retest of the 0.6906 session low
  • US Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC could shift USD tone

04:47 UTC

Range, no clear direction · RSI 52 · price 0.69335

Consolidation after prior drop.

Asia session grinding in a tight 0.6929-0.6940 band after yesterday's flush to 0.6906 on Iran/Hormuz risk-off drove USD bid. Price has recovered most of that drop but RSI(14) sits neutral near 52 with ATR compressed to ~5 pips — no setup in play.

Support: 0.69285, 0.69062, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.69397, 0.69449

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6940 opens the path back toward 0.69449
  • Loss of 0.6929 range floor exposes 0.6906 session low
  • US Jobless Claims (12:30 UTC) / Fed Williams could shift USD and this range

04:47 UTC

Range-bound, slightly heavy · RSI 51 · price 0.69335

Tight range inside a wider intraday band.

AUDUSD is coiling in a tight 0.6929-0.6940 band through the Asian session after an earlier flush to 0.69106 was fully recovered; the drop tracked the USD safe-haven bid on renewed Iran/Hormuz headlines. RSI(14) sits near 51 and price is pinned to its EMAs — no directional structure in play, just a holding pattern near the range top.

Support: 0.6929, 0.69106, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.69397, 0.69449

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69397 opens the path back toward the session high at 0.69449
  • Loss of 0.69290 reopens the 0.69106 swing low
  • US jobless claims 12:30 UTC and Fed's Williams could shift this read

04:32 UTC

Ranging, slightly heavy · RSI 48 · price 0.69314

Range-bound after sharp drop, recovery stalling.

AUDUSD sold off sharply to 0.6906 during London hours as Iran/Hormuz risk-off bid the USD, then clawed back into a 0.6929-0.6940 range through the NY session. Price now sits mid-range near 0.6931 with RSI neutral; recovery momentum has flattened.

Support: 0.6929, 0.6906, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.6940, 0.6955

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6940 opens the path back to 0.6955
  • Loss of 0.6929 re-exposes the 0.6906 session low, then 0.6900
  • US Initial Jobless Claims (12:30 UTC) and Fed's Williams (13:00 UTC) could shift this range read

04:32 UTC

Range, momentum flat · RSI 49 · price 0.69314

Consolidation after London drop.

London hours saw a sharp flush from 0.6945 to the 0.69062 session low as the USD caught a risk-off bid on renewed Hormuz headlines. Since then AUDUSD has consolidated inside 0.6906-0.6940 through NY and into thin Asia trade, with RSI(14) neutral near 49 and ATR compressing to ~4.5 pips.

Support: 0.69245, 0.69062

Resistance: 0.69397, 0.6935

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69397 range top opens a retest of 0.6955
  • Failure of the 0.69245 swing low re-exposes the 0.69062 session low
  • US jobless claims (12:30 UTC) could break the range

04:17 UTC

Range, slight recovery · RSI 54 · price 0.69356

Ranging after sharp drop, basing near 0.6930.

AUD swept down to 0.6906 mid-window as Iran/Hormuz risk-off bid the USD after faded from ~0.6955, then clawed back into a 0.6929-0.6940 range through the Asia session. Price is mid-range near 0.6936 with RSI(14) neutral around 54; no clean intraday setup, structure is basing.

Support: 0.69285, 0.69062, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.69397, 0.69449, 0.6955

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69285 reopens the 0.6906 session low
  • Close above 0.69397 session high puts 0.6945/0.6955 in play
  • US Initial Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC could shift the USD read

04:17 UTC

Range after sharp sell-off · RSI 53 · price 0.69356

Recovered off session low, ranging.

AUDUSD dumped from 0.6940 to a 0.69062 session low on the USD safe-haven bid around Iran/Hormuz risk-off, then clawed back to the 0.6925-0.6940 range. Price is now grinding sideways just under the 0.69397 session high with RSI(14) neutral near 53.

Support: 0.69245, 0.69106, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.69397, 0.69449

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69397 session high reopens the 0.69449 area
  • Loss of 0.69245 swing low reopens the 0.69106 session low
  • US Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC could shift this read

04:02 UTC

Range-bound, slightly heavy · RSI 52 · price 0.69336

Choppy range after early sweep and recovery.

AUDUSD swept down to 0.69062 during London hours as Iran/Hormuz risk-off bid the USD, then recovered to grind sideways in a 0.6927–0.6940 band into Asia. RSI(14) neutral near 52, ATR compressed to ~5 pips — no directional impulse in play, price pinned just above EMA20/50.

Support: 0.69272, 0.69106, 0.69062

Resistance: 0.69397, 0.69443

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69397 puts the 0.6944 prior high back in play
  • Loss of 0.69272 reopens the session-low zone at 0.69106
  • US Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC could shift the USD-driven read

04:02 UTC

Range-bound, slightly heavy · RSI 53 · price 0.69336

Ranging 0.6906–0.6940 after sharp drop.

AUDUSD sold off sharply from ~0.6940 to 0.6906 mid-window as USD firmed on Iran/Hormuz risk-off, then recovered and settled into a tight 0.6929–0.6940 range through late Asia. Price now sits mid-range near 0.6933, RSI(14) neutral around 53 with no directional impulse.

Support: 0.6929, 0.69062

Resistance: 0.6940, 0.69417

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6940 reopens the 0.69417 prior high
  • Loss of 0.6929 exposes the 0.69062 swing low
  • US Jobless Claims (12:30 UTC) and London open could break the range

03:47 UTC

Range recovery after sharp drop · RSI 53 · price 0.69348

Range-bound, basing above swing low.

AUDUSD dumped from ~0.6955 to 0.6906 as Trump's Iran remarks revived risk-off and bid the USD, then based into a 0.6906-0.6940 range. Price is grinding back to the session high at 0.69397 with RSI(14) mid-range, no momentum extreme in play.

Support: 0.69272, 0.69062, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.69397, 0.69449

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69397 opens a retest of the 0.69449 prior high
  • Loss of 0.69272 swing low re-exposes the 0.69062 double bottom
  • US Jobless Claims (12:30 UTC) could shift the USD read

03:47 UTC

Range, recovering off session low · RSI 54 · price 0.69348

Consolidating 0.6925-0.6940 after London drop.

AUD faded from ~0.6955 to a 0.69062 session low during London as Iran/Hormuz risk-off drove the USD bid, then clawed back into a 0.6925-0.6940 Asia range. RSI(14) neutral near 54, price holding just above EMA20/50; session high at 0.69397 capping.

Support: 0.69245, 0.69062

Resistance: 0.69397, 0.69449

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69397 opens the path to 0.69449
  • Failure to hold 0.69245 exposes the 0.69062 session low
  • US Jobless Claims (12:30 UTC) and Iran/Hormuz headlines could shift this read

03:32 UTC

Recovered off lows, now ranging · RSI 52 · price 0.69334

Range in upper half after sharp drop and double bottom.

AUDUSD sold off from ~0.6935 to 0.6906 on the USD safe-haven bid after Trump's Iran remarks, then carved a double bottom near 0.6906 and clawed back to the 0.6925-0.6940 range. Price now drifts mid-range at 0.6933, RSI(14) neutral near 52 with ATR compressed to ~4-5 pips.

Support: 0.6925, 0.69062

Resistance: 0.69397, 0.6955

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6940 session high opens the 0.6955 fibo
  • Loss of 0.6925 range floor re-exposes the 0.6906 double bottom
  • US Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC could shift the USD-driven read

03:32 UTC

Range-bound, no clear direction · RSI 52 · price 0.69334

Recovery off mid-window flush, back to mid-range.

AUDUSD flushed to 0.6911 mid-window on the USD safe-haven bid from Iran/Hormuz risk-off, then clawed back into a tight 0.6925-0.6940 band. Price sits at 0.6933 near mid-range with RSI(14) neutral around 52; no setup in play.

Support: 0.69245, 0.69106, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.69393, 0.69449

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69393 session high opens the path toward the 0.69449 prior high
  • Loss of 0.69245 swing low reopens the 0.69106 flush low
  • US Initial Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC could shift this read

03:17 UTC

Range, slightly heavy · RSI 47 · price 0.69301

Rangebound after London drop; mid-range in early Asia.

AUDUSD sold off through the London morning from ~0.6944 to 0.69062 as Iran/Hormuz risk-off drove a USD bid, then chopped back to 0.6930-0.6940 through NY. Early Asia is flat near 0.6930 in the middle of the 0.69062-0.69400 range, RSI(14) neutral around 47.

Support: 0.69062, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.6940, 0.69449

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69400 exits the range and reopens 0.6944
  • Break below 0.69062 session low exposes the 0.6900 round number
  • US jobless claims 12:30 UTC could shift the USD leg of this range

03:17 UTC

Range, slightly heavy · RSI 48 · price 0.69301

Consolidation after London flush, coiling near mid-range.

London sold AUDUSD to a swing low at 0.69062 on the Iran risk-off USD bid, then price recovered and has ranged 0.6925–0.6940 through Asia. Sits mid-range at 0.6930 with RSI(14) neutral near 47 and the recent high at 0.69393 capping bounces.

Support: 0.69245, 0.69062

Resistance: 0.69393, 0.69443

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69393 recent high opens the path back toward 0.6955
  • Loss of 0.69245 session low reopens the 0.69062 swing low
  • US Initial Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC could shift USD tone and break the range

03:02 UTC

Range after sharp drop, flat · RSI 46 · price 0.69304

Consolidation above the session low.

AUDUSD swept lower to 0.69062 on the Iran risk-off USD bid before basing and recovering into a 0.6925-0.6940 range. Asia session is quiet and rangebound, price coiling near the 61.8% retrace of the drop with RSI(14) flat around 46.

Support: 0.69245, 0.69062, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.69393, 0.6955

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69245 range floor reopens the 0.69062 swing low
  • M15 close above 0.69393 session high exposes the 0.6955 fib
  • US jobless claims 12:30 UTC and FOMC minutes tone could break the range

03:02 UTC

Recovering off flush, now ranging · RSI 49 · price 0.69304

Consolidation after sharp drop and rebound.

AUDUSD flushed to 0.69062 during the prior London/NY window as Iran/Hormuz risk-off bid the USD, then clawed back to a 0.69285-0.69397 range. Asia session is quiet, price hovering near the 61.8% retrace of that drop around 0.6931 with RSI(14) flat near 50.

Support: 0.69285, 0.69062, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.69397, 0.6955

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.69397 session high extends the recovery toward the 0.6955 fib zone
  • Loss of 0.69285 range low reopens the 0.69062 flush low and 0.6900 psych
  • China CPI/PMI and Iran/Hormuz headlines are the risk-sentiment swing factor for the next sessions

02:47 UTC

Range, slightly heavy · RSI 51 · price 0.69325

Intraday range after London fade, Asia consolidating.

London session faded AUD off 0.6945 to the session low at 0.69062 as a USD safe-haven bid on Iran/Hormuz headlines dominated. Price has since recovered into a 0.69245-0.69397 range through the Asia session; RSI(14) neutral near 50, ATR compressed to ~4 pips.

Support: 0.69245, 0.69062, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.69397, 0.6945

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69397 needed to break the intraday range top
  • Failure to hold 0.69245 exposes the 0.69062 session low then 0.6900 psych
  • US Initial Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC could shift USD tone

02:47 UTC

Range, slightly heavy · RSI 50 · price 0.69325

Consolidation off session low.

AUDUSD sold off from 0.6945 to a session low at 0.6906 during the London-NY window as USD caught an Iran risk-off bid, then clawed back into a tight 0.6920-0.6940 range through the Asia session. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 50 with ATR compressed to ~5 pips; no directional setup, price pinned around the EMA20 at 0.69325.

Support: 0.6922, 0.69062

Resistance: 0.6940, 0.69451

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6940 range top opens a retest of 0.69451
  • Failure to hold 0.6920 exposes the 0.6906 session low
  • US jobless claims 12:30 UTC could reprice USD and break this range

02:32 UTC

Recovered off lows, now flat · RSI 53 · price 0.69357

Ranging after risk-off flush.

AUDUSD flushed from ~0.6940 to 0.69062 during London hours on renewed Iran/Hormuz risk-off and USD safe-haven bid, then clawed back to consolidate 0.6925-0.6940 through the Asia session. RSI(14) neutral near 53, ATR compressed to ~5 pips; session high at 0.69397 capping while buyers hold above 0.69245.

Support: 0.69245, 0.69062

Resistance: 0.69397, 0.6945

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.69397 opens the path back to 0.69450
  • Failure to hold 0.69245 reopens the 0.69062 window low
  • US Jobless Claims / Williams later in session could shift USD tone

02:32 UTC

Recovering, momentum flat · RSI 54 · price 0.69357

Range after London flush.

AUDUSD flushed to 0.6906 during London on Iran risk-off USD bid, then clawed back and is now consolidating 0.6925-0.6940 through the Asia session. RSI(14) neutral near 54 with price holding above EMA20/50; no directional setup in play.

Support: 0.69275, 0.69062

Resistance: 0.69397, 0.6945

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69397 opens the path back to 0.6945/0.6955
  • Failure to hold 0.69275 reopens the 0.6906 day low
  • US Jobless Claims (12:30 UTC) and Fed's Williams could shift USD tone

02:17 UTC

Recovery off lows, momentum flat · RSI 54 · price 0.69346

Range after sweep of 0.6906.

AUDUSD sold off ~30 pips into 0.69062 during London hours as renewed Iran/Hormuz risk-off bid the USD, then ground back to 0.6935 through NY and into Asia. Twin lows at 0.69062/0.69066 formed a double bottom; price is now consolidating between the session low 0.69245 and session high 0.69397.

Support: 0.69245, 0.69062

Resistance: 0.69397, 0.6945

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69397 opens the path to the 0.6945 prior high
  • Failure to hold 0.69245 reopens the 0.69062 drop low
  • Iran/Hormuz headlines remain the risk-sentiment swing factor for USD

02:16 UTC

Range after sell-off, flat · RSI 54 · price 0.69346

Consolidation above session low.

AUDUSD sold off to 0.6906 during the London-NY session as renewed Iran/Hormuz risk-off bid the USD, then recovered into a tight Asia-session range between 0.6926 and 0.6940. RSI(14) mid-range near 54, no directional impulse; price sits just above EMA20/EMA50 with buyers defending the 0.6926 range low.

Support: 0.69245, 0.69062

Resistance: 0.69397, 0.69462

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6940 opens the path toward 0.6955
  • Failure to hold 0.6926 re-exposes the 0.6906 session low
  • US Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC / Williams 13:00 UTC could shift this read

02:02 UTC

Recovered off lows, now ranging · RSI 48 · price 0.69311

Range 0.6925–0.6940 after selloff.

AUDUSD sold off to 0.69062 during the London-NY window as Trump's Iran ceasefire remarks revived safe-haven USD demand, then clawed back to grind sideways. Price now ranges 0.6925–0.6940 in early Asia, RSI near 48, with 0.69393 capping recent pushes.

Support: 0.69245, 0.69106, 0.69062

Resistance: 0.69393, 0.69451

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69393 opens a retest of the 0.69451 prior high
  • Loss of 0.69245 session low re-exposes the 0.69106 drop low
  • FOMC Minutes fallout and Iran headlines could shift risk tone

02:02 UTC

Recovering, momentum flat · RSI 46 · price 0.69311

Ranging in upper half after sell-off base.

London risk-off flushed AUDUSD to 0.6906 on the Iran ceasefire headlines; buyers based twice near 0.69062 and lifted it back to 0.69397. Asia session now grinding sideways around 0.6931 on thin volume, RSI(14) neutral near 46.

Support: 0.69245, 0.69062, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.69397, 0.6945

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69245 puts the 0.69062 session low back in play
  • Reclaim of 0.69397 session high would extend the recovery toward 0.6945
  • Loss of 0.6900 psych floor opens structural downside

01:47 UTC

Sideways, off session low · RSI 46 · price 0.69283

Asia-session range, holding above 0.6925.

AUDUSD dropped sharply to 0.6906 during the prior session on Trump/Iran risk-off, then recovered and is now grinding sideways in a thin Asia session between 0.6925 and 0.6939. Price is stalling near the 61.8% retrace of that drop (~0.6930) with RSI mid-range; rejection capped the last push at 0.69393.

Support: 0.69245, 0.69106, 0.69062

Resistance: 0.69393, 0.69462

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69245 reopens the 0.6910/0.6906 drop base
  • Close above 0.69393 puts the 0.69462 prior high in play
  • Fresh Iran/Hormuz headlines could break the quiet range either way

01:47 UTC

Recovered off lows, drifting · RSI 47 · price 0.69283

Range 0.6906-0.6940.

AUD/USD flushed to 0.6906 mid-window on the Trump/Iran risk-off headline, then recovered to 0.6940. Asian session now drifting back toward the 0.6920 pivot with RSI(14) neutral near 47; the 0.6906-0.6940 range holds.

Support: 0.6920, 0.69062

Resistance: 0.6940, 0.69462

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.6906 confirms a lower low, opening the 0.6900 floor
  • M15 close above 0.6940 puts the 0.69462 prior high back in play
  • Fresh Iran/Hormuz headlines could reignite the risk-off USD bid

01:32 UTC

Range, easing off session high · RSI 45 · price 0.69267

Range 0.6906–0.6940, holding 38.2% fib.

London hours saw a sharp flush to 0.6906 on the safe-haven USD bid after Trump's Iran remarks; price has since recovered and is ranging. Asia session tagged 0.69397 then rejected, pulling back to the 38.2% fib of the recovery around 0.69267 where it now sits.

Support: 0.69217, 0.69062

Resistance: 0.69397, 0.6945

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69217 confirms a lower low toward the 0.6906 session low
  • Reclaim of 0.69397 reopens the upside toward 0.6945
  • FOMC minutes digestion and Iran-Hormuz headlines are the external risk to this range

01:32 UTC

Range, soft downside lean · RSI 44 · price 0.69267

Consolidating below intraday high after recovery.

Quiet Asia session, AUDUSD ranging 0.6926–0.6940 after recovering the sharp drop to 0.6906 earlier. Price faded from the 0.69397 session high back to the range floor with RSI(14) mid-40s; no setup in play.

Support: 0.69265, 0.69062, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.69397, 0.6945

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.6926 reopens the 0.6906 low
  • Reclaim of 0.6940 needed to challenge session high
  • FOMC Minutes tone and Iran-Hormuz headlines could shift this read

01:17 UTC

Range, mild downside lean · RSI 49 · price 0.69298

Consolidation after US-session drop.

AUDUSD is grinding a tight Asia-session range around 0.6930 after the US-session flush from 0.6946 to 0.6906 on the Iran-driven safe-haven USD bid. Price was rejected twice near 0.69397 and RSI(14) sits neutral around 49, no directional impulse in play.

Support: 0.69217, 0.69146, 0.69062

Resistance: 0.69397, 0.69462

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69397 opens the path to 0.69462
  • Failure to hold 0.69217 reopens session low 0.69062
  • China CPI/PMI and FOMC Minutes tone are the external risks that could break this range

01:17 UTC

Range after selloff, drifting mid · RSI 47 · price 0.69298

Recovered off 0.6906 low, choppy range.

AUDUSD sold off sharply mid-window to 0.6906 on the Iran-driven safe-haven USD bid, then clawed back into a 0.6906–0.6939 range. Asia session is thin and directionless, price stalling around 0.6930 with RSI(14) neutral near 47.

Support: 0.6920, 0.69062

Resistance: 0.69393, 0.69462

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.6906 reopens the downside toward the 0.6900 pivot
  • M15 close above 0.6939 puts the 0.6946 prior high back in play
  • FOMC Minutes digestion / Iran-Hormuz headlines can shift this range read

01:03 UTC

Range after sell-off, flat · RSI 49 · price 0.69319

Recovered off 0.6906 low, ranging mid.

AUDUSD sold off to 0.6906 on the Trump/Iran safe-haven USD bid, then clawed back and has been grinding sideways 0.6925-0.6940 through Asia hours. RSI(14) flat near 50, price pinned between EMA20 and EMA50 — no directional edge on the chart.

Support: 0.6925, 0.69062

Resistance: 0.6940, 0.69462

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6940 opens the path back to 0.69462
  • Break below 0.6925 re-exposes the 0.6906 swing low
  • US CPI (Jul 14) and FOMC repricing are the external risks that could break this range

01:03 UTC

Recovering off lows, now ranging · RSI 50 · price 0.69319

Range after a sharp drop and rebound.

Aussie sold off ~40 pips into 0.6906 during London hours on the safe-haven USD bid after Trump's Iran headlines, then clawed back to range between 0.6929 and 0.6940. Asia session is thin (volume drying up) and price is coiling near 0.6932, mid-range with RSI(14) balanced.

Support: 0.6929, 0.69062

Resistance: 0.6940, 0.69462

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6940 opens the path back to the 0.69462 pre-drop high
  • Loss of 0.6929 exposes the 0.6906 session low again
  • US Jobless Claims later today could inject direction into this range

00:47 UTC

Recovered off session low, now flat · RSI 53 · price 0.69326

Range after selloff, base holding.

AUDUSD sold off through the London morning to a session low of 0.69062 on the Iran-driven safe-haven USD bid, then rounded back to 0.6935 through the afternoon. Now ranging 0.6929-0.6940 in thin early-Asia hours with RSI neutral near 53.

Support: 0.6929, 0.6922, 0.69062

Resistance: 0.69397, 0.69462

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69397 opens a retest of the 0.69462 prior high
  • Loss of the 0.69220 swing low reopens the 0.69062 session low
  • US CPI (Jul 14) is the next major risk to this range

00:47 UTC

Recovered off lows, ranging · RSI 53 · price 0.69326

Range-bound after downside sweep.

AUDUSD dropped sharply mid-window to 0.69062 on the safe-haven USD bid after Trump declared the Iran MoU over, then clawed back and is ranging 0.6925-0.6940 in thin Asian liquidity. RSI(14) sits neutral near 53, no directional edge into the session.

Support: 0.6925, 0.69062

Resistance: 0.69397, 0.69451

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.6925 reopens the 0.69062 swing low
  • M15 close above 0.69397 session high targets 0.69451
  • China CPI/PMI and Iran-Hormuz headlines could break the range

00:32 UTC

Recovering, micro uptrend into resistance · RSI 58 · price 0.69383

Higher lows off 0.6906, retesting session high.

AUDUSD sold off to 0.6906 during the London-NY session on the Iran-driven safe-haven USD bid, then buyers stepped in repeatedly to grind back up through Asia hours. Price is now retesting the 0.6939 session high with RSI(14) around 58; ATR is thin at ~4 pips reflecting quiet Asian trade.

Support: 0.69275, 0.6915, 0.69066

Resistance: 0.69393, 0.6945

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6945 opens the path back toward 0.6955
  • Loss of 0.6928 reopens the 0.6915/0.6906 lows
  • US Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC could shift the USD tone

00:32 UTC

Recovering off session low, momentum firm · RSI 60 · price 0.69383

V-recovery from 0.69062, basing under 0.6940.

AUDUSD sold off to 0.69062 mid-window as the Iran-driven safe-haven USD bid hit growth-sensitive FX, then clawed back through the Asia session to retest 0.69395. Price is grinding higher on thin volume, holding above EMA20/50 with RSI near 60.

Support: 0.6929, 0.69062

Resistance: 0.69395, 0.69462

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69395 opens the path toward 0.69462
  • Failure to hold 0.69290 reopens the move back toward 0.69062
  • Iran-Hormuz headlines / FOMC Minutes fallout could shift this read

00:17 UTC

Recovery grind, momentum modest · RSI 61 · price 0.69394

Higher lows off session low, testing range top.

Asia session grinding back up from the session low at 0.6906 toward the prior high at 0.69451, with a chain of higher lows since the sharp mid-window drop; volume thin and ATR compressed to ~6 pips. AUD remains pinned near 0.6920-0.6940 as a safe-haven USD bid caps the recovery ahead of the 0.6955 upside cap flagged in the wider read.

Support: 0.6930, 0.69066

Resistance: 0.69451, 0.6955

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69451 opens the path toward the 0.6955 upside cap
  • Failure to hold 0.6930 exposes the 0.6906 session low again
  • US Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC could shift this read

00:17 UTC

Recovering off session low, grind higher · RSI 55 · price 0.69394

Range after flush, higher lows building.

AUDUSD flushed to 0.6906 during the London-NY session on the Iran-driven safe-haven USD bid, then carved a double bottom and ground back to 0.6939 into early Asia. Price now presses the 0.6945 session high with RSI(14) neutral around 55; low-volume Asian grind.

Support: 0.6927, 0.69065, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.6945, 0.69462, 0.6955

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6945 opens the path toward 0.6955 upside cap
  • Failure to hold 0.6927 swing low re-exposes the 0.6906 double bottom
  • Iran/Hormuz headlines could revive the safe-haven USD bid and cap the recovery

00:02 UTC

Recovery off session low, grinding up · RSI 58 · price 0.69364

Range reclaimed after mid-session flush.

AUDUSD flushed to a session low of 0.6906 during London hours on the safe-haven USD bid after Trump's Iran remarks, then clawed back to 0.6936 through thin late-Asia trade. Price is pressing the 0.6938-0.6939 cap; RSI(14) mid-range and ATR compressed to ~5 pips.

Support: 0.69275, 0.69065

Resistance: 0.6939, 0.69462

What it said to watch

  • A close above 0.69390 opens the path back to session high 0.69462
  • Failure to hold 0.69275 reopens the 0.6906 session low
  • Iran/Hormuz headlines and China CPI/PMI are the near-term external swing factors

00:02 UTC

Recovering off session low, momentum flattening · RSI 58 · price 0.69364

Consolidation near session recovery highs.

AUDUSD sold off to 0.6906 on the Trump/Iran safe-haven USD bid, then ground back to 0.6936 through thin Asia hours. Now coiled between 0.69275 and 0.69394, low volume, no fresh momentum either way.

Support: 0.69275, 0.69106, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.69394, 0.69451

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.69394 opens the path to 0.69451
  • Failure to hold 0.69275 re-exposes the 0.69106 session low
  • China CPI/PMI is the main external catalyst that could break this range

All markets that day · Today’s AUD/USD Live Scan in the terminal