AUD/USD AI Live Scan, 1-hour chart, Thursday, 9 July 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the AUD/USD 1-hour chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:02 UTC
Sideways, range-bound · RSI 55 · price 0.69415
0.6900–0.6958 range, recovering off week low.
AUDUSD is pinned in a 0.6900–0.6958 band this week as hawkish-RBA and hawkish-Fed drivers cancel out. A sharp flush to the 0.6906 week low mid-week was fully retraced, and price is back holding above EMA20 near 0.6940, roughly the 61.8% retrace of that drop after the FOMC minutes knocked the USD lower. RSI(14) is cycling around 55 with no directional extension.
Support: 0.6900, 0.6906, 0.6860
Resistance: 0.6958, 0.6980
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.6958 opens the path to the 0.6980 range top
Break below 0.6900 exposes 0.6860 and confirms a lower-low
US CPI Tue 14 Jul is the dominant near-term catalyst for this pair
23:02 UTC
Sideways, range-bound · RSI 53 · price 0.69415
0.6900-0.6960 range, mid-range.
AUDUSD has chopped inside a 0.6900-0.6960 band all week, with hawkish-RBA and hawkish-Fed pricing cancelling out. Price recovered off the 0.6906 week low after the split FOMC minutes softened the USD, and now sits mid-range near 0.6942 with RSI hovering around 50 and price holding just above EMA(20)/EMA(50). The 0.6960 range top has capped attempts, keeping the read balanced.
Support: 0.6900, 0.6906
Resistance: 0.6960, 0.6980
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.6960 range top opens the path toward 0.6980
Clean break of 0.6900 pivot exposes the 0.6906 week low then 0.6860
US CPI (Tue) is the dominant near-term catalyst and could break this range
22:02 UTC
Range-bound, no clear momentum · RSI 53 · price 0.69403
Chop inside weekly range, holding above the mid.
AUDUSD has chopped inside a 0.6900-0.6960 band all week, with the dip to 0.69062 twice defended into a double bottom before recovery. Price sits just above EMA(20) and EMA(50) after Fed minutes knocked the USD off its weekly high, offsetting Middle East safe-haven bids and pinning the pair near 0.6940. RSI(14) cycling around the 50s reflects the lack of directional drive.
Support: 0.6930, 0.69062, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6946, 0.6960, 0.6980
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.6960 opens the path to the 0.6980 ceiling
Loss of the 0.6900 psych pivot exposes 0.6860 downside
US CPI Tue could break the range decisively either way
22:02 UTC
Sideways, range-bound · RSI 54 · price 0.69403
0.6900-0.6960 range, recovered off week low.
AUDUSD has chopped inside a 0.6900-0.6960 band all week, with a midweek flush to 0.6906 twice defended before recovering — hawkish FOMC minutes knocked the USD lower and kept the Aussie pinned near range middle. Price holds just above EMA20/EMA50 with RSI(14) cycling around neutral 50-55, offering no clear momentum edge. The 0.6946 area has capped the latest NY-session push.
Support: 0.6930, 0.69062, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.69466, 0.6960, 0.6980
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.6946 opens the path back to the 0.6960 range top then 0.6980
Loss of 0.6900 pivot exposes the 0.6906 week low and downside toward 0.6860
US CPI Tue Jul 14 could break this range decisively
Iran/Hormuz headlines drive safe-haven USD flows and range direction
AUDUSD has spent the week coiled in a 0.6906–0.6958 band, flushing to 0.6906 mid-week before buyers recovered price back above EMA20 and EMA50, which now sit just under 0.6940. The pullback tracks a softer USD after split FOMC minutes, while a hawkish Fed base case keeps upside capped below 0.6958. RSI(14) is neutral near 53 with price mid-range into the London-NY transition.
Support: 0.6929, 0.6906
Resistance: 0.6946, 0.69586, 0.6980
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.69586 week high opens the path toward 0.6980 psych level
Failure to hold 0.69290 swing low re-exposes the 0.6906 week low
AUDUSD has spent the week coiling below 0.6950 after a mid-week flush to 0.69062 on the FOMC-minutes-driven USD swings, then recovering into a grind of higher lows. Price sits just above EMA20 and EMA50 at 0.6940 with RSI hovering mid-range, reflecting the two-way hawkish-RBA vs hawkish-Fed standoff. The 0.6946–0.6950 band has capped the recovery, while demand has stepped in repeatedly ahead of 0.6929.
Support: 0.69291, 0.69062, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6946, 0.6980
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.6950 opens the 0.6980 pivot
Failure to hold 0.6929 reopens the 0.69062 week low
Break below 0.6900 exposes 0.6860 key support
US CPI Jul 14 could materially shift this range read
AUDUSD has chopped sideways between 0.6906 and 0.6959 all week, unable to break either edge as hawkish RBA and hawkish Fed narratives offset. Price recovered off the 0.6906 low into the NY session yesterday and is grinding back above EMA20/EMA50 near 0.6939, with RSI(14) hovering just over 50. The dovish tilt from divided FOMC minutes softened the USD and kept the Aussie supported above 0.6900.
Support: 0.6931, 0.6906, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6946, 0.6959, 0.6980
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.6959 opens the path toward 0.6980 range top
Failure to hold 0.6906 week low exposes 0.6900 psych level
US CPI (Mon 14 Jul) is the next pivot for USD-driven direction
AUDUSD has chopped inside 0.6906–0.6958 all week, coiling as hawkish-RBA and a firm-but-fading USD offset each other after the divided FOMC minutes. Price sank to the 0.6906 week low during the NY session two days ago, then recovered to hover around 0.6939, sitting just above EMA20 with RSI(14) mid-range near 52. The 0.6958 area has capped recovery attempts while the low-0.6900s continue to attract demand.
Support: 0.6930, 0.69062
Resistance: 0.6980
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.6958 opens the path toward the 0.6980 range top
Loss of 0.69062 confirms a lower low and breaks the range floor
US CPI (Mon 14 Jul) is the next catalyst that could break this range
19:02 UTC
Range-bound, holding above EMAs · RSI 57 · price 0.69422
0.6900–0.6958 range, higher lows off the base.
AUDUSD has spent the week boxed inside 0.6900–0.6958, with a double bottom near 0.6906 after the mid-week flush and a steady recovery back to 0.6942. Price sits above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI cycling around the mid-50s; the divided FOMC minutes softening the USD gave the Aussie room to grind off its base while the 0.6946 range top has capped the latest push.
Support: 0.6906, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6946, 0.6958, 0.6980
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.6958 opens the 0.6980 break pivot
Loss of 0.6900 exposes structural downside
US CPI Jul 14 is the next major catalyst for this range
AUDUSD has chopped inside 0.6906–0.6958 all week, with the sharp drop to 0.6906 mid-week retraced as the USD softened after divided FOMC minutes. Price now sits just above EMA20 and EMA50 near 0.6942, carving higher lows off the base with RSI cycling around the mid-50s. The 0.6946 range top has capped the latest push while demand has held above 0.6906.
Support: 0.69062, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6946, 0.6980
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.6958 opens the path toward the 0.6980 break level
Loss of 0.6906 exposes the 0.6900 psych level
US CPI on Jul 14 could materially shift this range read
Coiling 0.6900-0.6950, higher lows since Wednesday dip.
AUDUSD has recovered off Wednesday's dip to 0.6906 and is grinding back toward the 0.6950 round level, helped by broad USD softness after the divided FOMC minutes. Price sits above both EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI cycling in the mid-50s, but the week's action stays boxed inside 0.6900-0.6950. Higher lows have built since the dip while 0.69596 continues to cap the topside.
Support: 0.69291, 0.69062, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6950, 0.69596, 0.6980
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 0.69596 opens the path toward 0.6980 range cap
Loss of the 0.69291 higher-low line reopens 0.6906 week low
US CPI Tue is the dominant catalyst and could reshape this range
AUDUSD is coiled inside the 0.6900–0.6950 range, rebounding off the 0.6906 week low printed midweek as the USD softened on the split-committee FOMC minutes. Price is holding above EMA20 with RSI cycling mid-50s, but the 0.6950 range top continues to cap upside. The recovery has carved a series of higher lows since Wednesday without a decisive test of resistance.
Support: 0.6938, 0.6906, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6950, 0.6980
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.6950 opens the path to 0.6980
Failure to hold 0.6900 exposes 0.6860 downside
US CPI Jul 14 is the dominant catalyst for this pair
AUDUSD has coiled inside roughly 0.6910–0.6946 this week, with the dip to the 0.6906 week low midweek — as renewed Iran/USD safe-haven bid capped the Aussie — bought back into the NY session. Price now sits just above EMA20 with RSI(14) cycling near 55, and a series of higher-lows has developed since that low. The 0.6946 range top has capped the last few attempts; hawkish-RBA vs hawkish-Fed offset keeps this two-way.
Support: 0.6929, 0.6910, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6946, 0.6980
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.6950 opens the path toward 0.6980 key resistance
Failure to hold 0.6900 exposes 0.6860 and the structural downside
US CPI Tue could materially shift this read via USD repricing
AUDUSD has spent the week coiling between 0.6906 and the 0.6958 week high, with a soft-USD leg after divided FOMC minutes lifting the pair off a double-bottom base near 0.6906. Price holds above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI cycling around the mid-50s — recovery off the base but no impulse through the range top. Rising lows since the mid-week low mark a shallow upward drift within the broader consolidation.
Support: 0.69065, 0.6900, 0.6930
Resistance: 0.6980
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.6958 week high opens the path toward 0.6980 range top
Loss of 0.6906 double-bottom base exposes 0.6900 psych level
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could break the range in either direction
AUDUSD has chopped inside a 0.6900–0.6950 range all week, with the week high stalling near 0.6959 and demand stepping in twice around 0.6906. The dip to the week low mid-week came on a USD safe-haven bid, but price has since climbed back above EMA(20)/EMA(50) with RSI(14) cycling back through 50. The read is balanced coil rather than trend, with the range top still capping.
Support: 0.6936, 0.6906, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6950, 0.6959, 0.6980
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.6950 range top opens the path toward 0.6980 key resistance
Loss of 0.6906 week low confirms a lower-low and exposes 0.6900 psych
US CPI (Jul 14) is the dominant catalyst that could break this range
AUDUSD has spent the week chopping inside a 0.6900–0.6950 range with the week high capped at 0.6959. Price swept the 0.6906 week low twice on Thursday's NY session — a double bottom — before recovering back above EMA20 and EMA50, with RSI(14) cycling back toward the mid-50s. The soft-USD tone after the FOMC minutes has kept the Aussie underpinned above 0.6900 but momentum stalls into the range top.
Support: 0.6935, 0.6906, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6950, 0.6959, 0.6980
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.6950 targets the 0.6959 week high, then 0.6980 range cap
Loss of 0.6900 psych confirms a lower low and exposes 0.6860
US CPI Jul 14 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst that could break this range
15:02 UTC
Sideways, range-bound · RSI 53 · price 0.69375
Range 0.6900-0.6950, mid-range.
AUD/USD has coiled inside a 0.6900-0.6950 range all week, torn between hawkish RBA rhetoric and Iran-driven USD safety bids. A flush to the 0.6906 week low mid-week was bought back, and the pair has since drifted up toward mid-range as softer FOMC minutes leaked out of the USD. Price now sits just above EMA(20)/EMA(50) with RSI(14) neutral near 53 — no directional momentum.
Support: 0.6930, 0.6906, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6946, 0.6980
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.6950 range top opens the path toward the 0.6980 pivot
Loss of 0.6900 psych exposes 0.6860
US CPI (Jul 14) is the dominant catalyst and could break this range
15:02 UTC
Sideways, range-bound · RSI 52 · price 0.69375
Range between 0.6900 and 0.6950, price mid-range.
AUDUSD has held a tight 0.6900–0.6950 range all week, with the dominant move a slide from 0.6959 to 0.6906 mid-window before a grind back toward the middle. Price now sits around 0.6937 near the 61.8% retrace of that decline, tracking just above EMA(20)/EMA(50) with RSI(14) hovering near 50 — no directional conviction. The recovery followed dovish-leaning FOMC minutes softening the USD, though Iran headlines keep a floor under the dollar and cap Aussie rallies.
Support: 0.69062, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6946, 0.69586
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.6900 range floor exposes 0.6860
H1 close above 0.6950 range top needed to break the week's consolidation
US CPI (Jul 14) is the dominant catalyst and could break this range
14:02 UTC
Range-bound, no clear direction · RSI 54 · price 0.69421
Consolidation within weekly 0.6900–0.6950 band.
AUDUSD has churned inside the weekly 0.6900–0.6950 band all week, printing indecision candles as hawkish-RBA and softer-USD themes offset each other. A washout to 0.6906 midweek — around the softer US data and dovish tilt from FOMC minutes — was bought back, and price is grinding higher-lows back toward the 0.6946 cap. Sitting just above EMA20/EMA50 with RSI cycling near 50–55, momentum remains muted.
Support: 0.69062, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.69462
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.6946 exposes the 0.6980 pivot at range top
Failure to hold 0.6900 opens 0.6860 on the weekly downside
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst for this read
Iran/Hormuz headlines can revive USD safe-haven bid and cap rallies
14:02 UTC
Range-bound, no clear momentum · RSI 55 · price 0.69421
Consolidation between 0.6900 and 0.6950.
AUDUSD has coiled between 0.6900 and 0.6950 all week, absorbing weaker China CPI and a softer dollar after the FOMC minutes failed to lift DXY. Price is drifting back to mid-range around 0.6942, sitting just above EMA20 with RSI(14) stuck near 55 — no directional conviction. The range top at 0.6950 capped the recovery after the dip to 0.6906 into the NY session.
Support: 0.6906, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6950
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.6950 range top would open the 0.6980 pivot
Failure to hold 0.6900 exposes downside toward 0.6860
US CPI (Jul 14) is the dominant catalyst that could break this range
AUDUSD is coiling around the weekly open near 0.6935 after mid-week strength stalled at 0.6958 and the NY session flushed to a 0.6906 week low. Price has since recovered on higher lows and sits at roughly the 50% retrace of that drop, with RSI(14) neutral near 48 and EMAs flat around price. The 0.6906–0.6958 range is well respected while the hawkish-Fed vs hawkish-RBA standoff keeps the pair pinned.
Support: 0.6906, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6950, 0.6958, 0.6980
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.6950 range top exposes 0.6958 week high then 0.6980 uob pivot
Loss of 0.6906 week low confirms a lower-low toward 0.6900 psych
US CPI Jul 14 is the dominant catalyst that could break this coil
AUDUSD is coiling mid-range this week between the 0.6906 week low and the 0.6959 week high, with price flattening back onto the EMA(20) near 0.6933 and RSI(14) parked around 50. The Wednesday flush to 0.6906 during NY hours has since been retraced roughly half, but momentum has stalled — the July rebound losing steam as hawkish RBA commentary offsets a hawkish-leaning Fed and Mideast-driven USD bid. No directional resolution yet; the range top at 0.6959 and prior-high cap at 0.6944 remain the near-term ceilings.
Support: 0.6920, 0.6906
Resistance: 0.6944, 0.6959
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.6959 week high opens the path toward 0.6980
Loss of 0.6906 week low confirms a lower-low and exposes downside
US jobless claims and Williams speech could break the coil in the next bars
12:03 UTC
Range-bound, no clear bias · RSI 53 · price 0.69359
0.6900-0.6950 range, recovering off double bottom.
AUDUSD stayed pinned in its 0.6900-0.6950 range all week as a firm-but-capped USD offset RBA tightening rhetoric, with the hawkish June FOMC minutes doing little to break the deadlock. Price dug out a double bottom near 0.6906 in the NY session and has recovered to sit just above EMA(20)/EMA(50), with RSI(14) cycling around the 50 midpoint. Range top at 0.6950 and the 0.6959 week high still cap; the 0.6959-0.6906 decline has retraced roughly halfway.
Support: 0.6906, 0.6900, 0.6860
Resistance: 0.6950, 0.6959, 0.6980
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.6950 range top opens the path to 0.6980 resistance
Loss of the 0.6906 double bottom exposes 0.6900 range low then 0.6860 key support
US jobless claims and Williams speech today, US CPI Jul 14 could break the range
12:02 UTC
Range-bound, no directional conviction · RSI 51 · price 0.69359
Coiling inside 0.6900-0.6950 this week.
AUDUSD is pinned mid-range near 0.6936 after this week's rebound stalled at the 0.6959 week high. A sharp NY-hours flush Wednesday tagged 0.6906 before demand recovered price back into the 0.6926-0.6946 band, where it has drifted with RSI(14) sitting flat around 50. Hawkish June FOMC minutes and Middle East risk (USD bid) are offsetting RBA tightening rhetoric, keeping the pair balanced with no impulse.
Support: 0.69062, 0.6900, 0.6926
Resistance: 0.6946, 0.6980
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 0.6946 prior high reopens the 0.6959 week high and 0.6980 range cap
Loss of 0.6906 week low confirms a lower-low and breaks the range floor
US Jobless Claims (12:30 UTC) and Williams speech could break the 0.6900-0.6950 balance
Boxed 0.6900-0.6950, indecisive after mid-week dip and recovery.
AUDUSD is pinned in a 0.6900-0.6950 coil, drifting sideways since the mid-week flush to 0.69062 was bought back into the NY session. Price sits right on EMA20 near the 50% retrace of that week's high-to-low leg, with RSI(14) chopping around 47 and offering no directional signal. Weaker China CPI and hawkish FOMC minutes have offset each other, leaving the pair range-bound.
Support: 0.69062, 0.6900, 0.6860
Resistance: 0.6940, 0.6950, 0.69586
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.6950 invalidates the range and reopens 0.69586 week high
Loss of 0.6900 confirms a lower-low and exposes 0.6860 support
US Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC and Fed's Williams 13:00 UTC could break the coil
11:02 UTC
Range-bound, no directional bias · RSI 48 · price 0.69315
Coiling inside 0.6900–0.6950, mid-range.
AUDUSD has spent the week coiling inside 0.6900–0.6950, with price back mid-range near flat EMA(20)/EMA(50) after a sharp NY-session flush to 0.6906 mid-week that was quickly recovered. RSI(14) is neutral around the midline and range extremes have held on both sides, consistent with the offsetting hawkish-RBA vs safe-haven-USD drivers in the digest. No clean structure until the 0.6900–0.6950 coil resolves.
Support: 0.6906, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6950, 0.6958
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.6950 opens the path back toward the 0.6958 week high
Loss of 0.6900 confirms a lower-low and exposes 0.6860
US CPI (Tue) and near-term Middle East/USD headlines could break the coil
10:03 UTC
Rangebound, no momentum · RSI 51 · price 0.69362
Consolidation inside 0.6900-0.6960.
AUDUSD has coiled between 0.6900 and 0.6960 all week, the July rebound stalling below the 0.6945-0.6959 range top with hawkish FOMC minutes and Iran-driven USD demand offsetting RBA tightening talk. Price dipped to the week low near 0.6906 mid-week before recovering to mid-range, and now sits pinned around the EMA20 with RSI hovering near 50. No directional resolution — the pair is chopping in the middle of its four-day band.
Support: 0.6935, 0.6906, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6945, 0.6959, 0.6980
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.6980 opens the range break toward 0.7070
Break below 0.6900 range floor exposes the 0.6870 area
US jobless claims and Williams speech today could shift USD tone
June CPI Tue 14 Jul is the week's main event for this pair
10:03 UTC
Range-bound, no directional bias · RSI 52 · price 0.69362
AUDUSD has churned inside 0.6900-0.6960 all week as hawkish FOMC minutes and Middle East safe-haven USD demand offset AUD's own hawkish-RBA support. Price slid to 0.6906 during Wednesday's NY session before recovering back onto the EMA(20)/EMA(50) cluster around 0.6935, with RSI(14) cycling near 50. The 0.6959 week high has capped every attempt and the range remains intact.
Support: 0.6906, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6959, 0.6980
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.6960 opens the path to the 0.6980 range top
Failure to hold 0.6900 exposes the 0.6870 support cluster
US CPI (Tue) and Fed's Williams could reprice USD and break the range
09:03 UTC
Rangebound, no clear direction · RSI 49 · price 0.69343
Coiling in 0.6900-0.6950 band.
AUDUSD has chopped inside a 0.6900-0.6950 band all week, with the rally to 0.69586 sold back into the 0.69062 week low before demand stepped in twice around 0.6906 to build a double bottom. Hawkish FOMC minutes and Iran safe-haven USD bid have offset RBA hawkish talk, leaving price pinned mid-range and hovering right on the EMA(20) with RSI(14) flat near 49.
Support: 0.6921, 0.69062, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6946, 0.69586
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.6900 exposes the 0.69062 week low and range floor
H1 close above 0.69460 session high reopens the 0.69586 week high
US Jobless Claims and CPI later this week could break the range read
09:03 UTC
Range-bound, no directional edge · RSI 49 · price 0.69343
Coiling inside 0.6900–0.6950 band.
AUDUSD has chopped inside a 0.6900–0.6950 band all week, with the mid-week push to 0.6958 fading and a NY-session flush to 0.6906 quickly bought back. Hawkish FOMC minutes and Iran-driven safe-haven USD bid have kept the Aussie pinned, and price now sits back at EMA(20) with RSI(14) hovering near 50. The 0.6946 range top has capped every rebound this week while 0.6900 holds the floor.
Support: 0.69062, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6946
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.6946 range top would open the path toward 0.6980
Failure of 0.6900 exposes 0.6870 support
US Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC today, then US CPI Jul 14, can break the coil
08:02 UTC
Range-bound, no directional sponsorship · RSI 52 · price 0.69367
Coiling inside 0.6900-0.6950.
AUDUSD stayed dead-pinned in the 0.6900-0.6950 coil this week, with the sharp flush to 0.6906 on the hawkish FOMC minutes and Iran-driven USD bid quickly bought back. Price has since ground out a series of higher lows into 0.6937 and sits back above EMA(20), with RSI(14) hovering near the mid-50s and no follow-through in either direction. The day high at 0.6946 and week high near 0.6959 remain the capping references.
Support: 0.6921, 0.6906, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6946, 0.6959, 0.6980
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.6959 week high opens the path to the 0.6980 break trigger
Failure to hold 0.6921 exposes the 0.6906 range floor and 0.6900 psych
China CPI is the AUD proxy catalyst that could resolve the coil
AUDUSD has coiled between the 0.69062 week low and the 0.69586 week high, with price hugging EMA(20) and RSI(14) flat near 52 into the NY session. The midweek flush to 0.6906 on the safe-haven USD bid was bought back, but the recovery stalled and price is now churning around the range mid. Hawkish-Fed vs RBA hawkishness is cancelling out, leaving no directional sponsorship.
Support: 0.6920, 0.69062, 0.6870
Resistance: 0.6946, 0.69586, 0.6980
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.69586 opens the path to the 0.6980 break trigger
Loss of 0.69062 exposes the 0.6870 200-dma zone
China CPI is the AUD proxy catalyst that could resolve the coil
07:02 UTC
Range-bound, coiling · RSI 53 · price 0.6939
Compressed range 0.6900-0.6960.
AUDUSD has been pinned in a 0.6900-0.6950 range all week as a firmer USD on hawkish FOMC minutes and Iran risk offsets RBA hawkishness. A sharp mid-week flush drove price to the 0.69062 week low before demand stepped back in and lifted it back to mid-range. Price sits marginally above EMA20/EMA50 with RSI(14) cycling near neutral — no directional sponsorship.
Support: 0.69062, 0.6900, 0.6870
Resistance: 0.6950, 0.6980
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.6950 then 0.6980 would resolve the coil higher
Failure to hold 0.6900 opens the 0.6870 200-dma zone
China CPI is the AUD proxy catalyst that could break the range
07:02 UTC
Rangebound, coiling · RSI 53 · price 0.6939
Compressed range 0.6900-0.6950.
AUDUSD is pinned in a tight 0.6900-0.6950 coil, with the offsetting hawkish-Fed USD bid and RBA hawkishness leaving no directional sponsorship this week. Price flushed to 0.6906 during the NY session mid-week before rebuilding a series of higher lows back to the 0.6939 range midpoint, with RSI(14) hovering near neutral and price sitting just above a flattening EMD(20). The 0.6950 range top has capped every attempt while demand keeps stepping in ahead of 0.6900.
Support: 0.6900, 0.6906, 0.6922
Resistance: 0.6950, 0.6980
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.6950 opens the path to the 0.6980 break trigger
Failure to hold 0.6900 exposes the 0.6906 week low
China CPI and Iran/US headlines could resolve the coil in either direction
06:02 UTC
Range-bound, slightly heavy · RSI 55 · price 0.6940
Sideways within weekly 0.6900-0.6960 band.
AUDUSD has churned inside a 0.6900-0.6960 band all week, with the dominant move a Wednesday NY-session slide from 0.6958 to a 0.6906 week low as Iran/Hormuz risk-off and hawkish FOMC minutes kept the USD bid. Price has since recovered back to 0.6940, reclaiming EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) cycling around the midline. Demand stepping in twice near 0.6906 has held the base, while supply capped the earlier push at the 0.6958 week high.
Support: 0.69062, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.69586, 0.6980
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.6958 week high reopens the 0.6980 range top
Failure to hold 0.6900 psych confirms a lower-low toward 0.6870
US Initial Jobless Claims (12:30 UTC) and Fed's Williams (13:00 UTC) could shift this read
06:02 UTC
Range-bound, slightly heavy · RSI 55 · price 0.6940
Recovering off weekly low within range.
AUDUSD has spent the week boxed between 0.6900 and 0.6960, with the dominant move a slide into the 0.69062 low as firm USD on hawkish FOMC Minutes and Iran/Hormuz risk-off dragged flows into the dollar. Price has since rebased toward 0.6940, sitting back above EMA20 with RSI(14) recovering to the mid-50s. The 0.6959 swing high capped the last recovery attempt; range structure remains intact.
Support: 0.6906, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6959, 0.6980
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.6960 opens the 0.6980 range top
Failure to hold 0.6900 confirms a lower low toward 0.6870
US jobless claims and Fed's Williams today could shift the USD read
05:03 UTC
Range-bound, recovering off lows · RSI 55 · price 0.69372
Week range, swept lows then bid back.
AUDUSD spent the week hemmed inside 0.6906-0.6959, with the dominant move a NY-session flush to 0.6906 as Iran/Hormuz risk-off and a firm USD dragged the Aussie lower after the FOMC Minutes. Price has since ground back to 0.69372, reclaiming EMA20 with RSI(14) recovering into the mid-50s. The 0.69460/0.69590 band has capped every rally this week and remains the range ceiling.
Support: 0.6921, 0.6909
Resistance: 0.6946, 0.6959, 0.6980
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.69590 opens the 0.6980 range top
Failure to hold 0.69090 week low exposes the 0.6870 zone
US Jobless Claims and Fed Williams later today could shift the USD read
05:03 UTC
Range-bound, base building · RSI 53 · price 0.69372
Consolidation inside weekly range after mid-week dip.
AUDUSD remains boxed in the 0.6900-0.6980 range flagged in the macro read, with a mid-week slide to 0.6906 during the NY session bought back and price now grinding along EMA(20) near 0.6932. RSI(14) has cycled back to the mid-50s off the lows as higher-lows print into the Asia session. USD strength on hawkish FOMC Minutes and Iran/Hormuz risk-off has capped every rally short of the 0.6959 week high.
Support: 0.6932, 0.6906, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6959, 0.6980
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.6959 opens the 0.6980 range top
Failure to hold 0.6906 exposes the 200-DMA band toward 0.6870
US Jobless Claims and Fed's Williams later today could shift the USD read
04:02 UTC
Sideways, slightly heavy · RSI 51 · price 0.69335
Range between 0.6906 and 0.6958.
AUDUSD faded from the 0.6958 week high back toward the mid-range after firm USD on Iran/Hormuz risk-off and hawkish FOMC minutes capped the rally. Price probed the 0.6906 week low during the prior session and has since recovered to hover around EMA(20), with RSI(14) sitting near 50. The 0.6906-0.6958 range has held all week and price is currently mid-band, sitting just under EMA(50).
Support: 0.6920, 0.6906, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6958, 0.6980
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.6958 opens the 0.6980 uob res
Failure to hold 0.6906 week low exposes the 0.6870 zone
China CPI/PMI and US jobless claims could shift this range read
04:02 UTC
Range-bound, slightly heavy · RSI 50 · price 0.69335
Sideways within weekly range.
AUDUSD stalled below 0.6958 mid-week and faded to a 0.6906 low as a firm USD on Iran/Hormuz risk-off and higher-for-longer FOMC minutes capped rallies. Price has since based back near 0.6933, holding above EMA20 but below EMA50, with RSI(14) neutral around 50. The 0.6900–0.6980 range remains intact and slightly heavy.
Support: 0.69062, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6980
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.6900 opens the 0.6870/0.6830 200-DMA band
Break above 0.6980 opens the 1-3wk upside case
US Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC could shift the USD read
03:02 UTC
Range-bound, slightly heavy · RSI 47 · price 0.69302
Consolidation off the week low.
AUDUSD faded from the 0.6958 week high back toward 0.6906 as a firm USD on Iran/Hormuz risk-off capped rallies, and price has since chopped sideways around 0.6930. It sits just below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI stuck near the mid-line, reflecting a two-way tape as hawkish RBA rhetoric offsets softer AU inflation. The 0.6920 swing low and 0.6958 week high frame the near-term range into FOMC Minutes digestion.
Support: 0.6920, 0.6906
Resistance: 0.6958, 0.6980
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.6958 reopens the 0.6980 range top
Loss of 0.6906 confirms a lower-low toward the 0.6870 zone
US Jobless Claims (12:30 UTC) and Fed's Williams could shift USD tone
03:02 UTC
Rangebound, slightly heavy · RSI 49 · price 0.69302
Range between 0.6906 and 0.6960.
AUDUSD faded from midweek highs near 0.6959 back into the low 0.6930s as renewed Iran/Hormuz risk-off firmed the USD ahead of FOMC Minutes. Price is boxed in a 0.6906-0.6960 range, with buyers stepping in twice around 0.6906-0.6910 after the sharp NY-session flush to 0.69062. Trading just above EMA(20) but capped by EMA(50), with RSI(14) hovering near the mid-line.
Support: 0.6910, 0.69062
Resistance: 0.6946, 0.69594, 0.6980
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.6906 confirms a lower low and exposes the 0.6870/0.6830 band
H1 close above 0.6960 needed to reopen the 0.6980 range-top test
US Initial Jobless Claims (12:30 UTC) could shift USD tone and this range read
02:03 UTC
Range, no clear direction · RSI 49 · price 0.69316
Two-way inside 0.6906–0.6957 band.
AUDUSD spent the week rangebound between 0.6957 and the 0.6906 week low, with the sharpest leg down coming on the renewed Trump-Iran risk-off USD bid that pressured the pair through the NY session. Price has since recovered to mid-band 0.6930s, sitting just above EMA(20) but capped under EMA(50), with RSI(14) neutral near 49. The 0.6944 prior high has repeatedly capped recovery attempts.
Support: 0.6909, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6944, 0.6957
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.6906 confirms a lower-low and opens the 0.6900 psych floor
H1 close above 0.6944 exposes the 0.6957 week high
US jobless claims and Fed's Williams later today could shift the USD read
02:02 UTC
Range-bound, no clear trend · RSI 47 · price 0.69316
Sideways range, lower highs off the week high.
AUDUSD has churned in a 0.6900–0.6960 range all week, with the dominant leg lower coming during Wednesday's NY session as Trump's Iran comments revived safe-haven USD demand and dragged the pair to a 0.6906 low. Price has since recovered to mid-range near 0.6932, sitting just above EMA(20) but under EMA(50), with RSI(14) cycling around 47. Lower highs since the 0.6958 week high keep supply capping rebounds.
Support: 0.69062, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6940, 0.69586
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.6900 confirms a lower-low and opens the 0.6870 area
Close above 0.6940 would challenge the lower-high sequence and re-open 0.6958
US Jobless Claims and Fed's Williams later today could shift the range read
AUDUSD has chopped inside a 0.6900–0.6960 band all week, faded from the 0.6958 high on Tuesday and flushed to 0.6906 mid-week as a safe-haven USD bid revived on Iran headlines. Price has since clawed back above EMA(20) around 0.6928 but stalls under EMA(50) near 0.6937, with RSI(14) hovering near the midline. The 0.6900 pivot has absorbed two dips this week and still caps the downside.
Support: 0.6906, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6940, 0.6956
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.6900 opens the path to the 200-DMA cluster
Close above 0.6956 range top invalidates the range read
China CPI/PMI and FOMC Minutes tone could shift this read
AUDUSD has chopped inside a 0.6906-0.6960 band all week, with the sharpest leg a NY-session flush that swept the week low at 0.6906 before buyers reclaimed the figure. Price now sits mid-range hugging EMA(20) near 0.6932 with RSI(14) back to neutral, reflecting the tug-of-war between a safe-haven USD bid on Iran headlines and softer domestic inflation. EMA(50) around 0.6946 caps the topside.
Support: 0.69065, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6946, 0.69596
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.6906 confirms a lower low toward the 0.6870 cluster
H1 close above 0.6960 opens the path to 0.6980
US CPI (Jul 14) and FOMC minutes tone could materially shift this read
AUDUSD has chopped inside a 0.6900-0.6960 band all week, with the dominant move a NY-session flush to the 0.69062 week low as renewed Iran headlines revived safe-haven USD demand. Buyers stepped in at that low and price has recovered back to mid-range near 0.6936, sitting above EMA(20) but capped under EMA(50). RSI(14) is neutral around 51, offering no directional edge.
Support: 0.69062, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6946, 0.69594
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.6960 week high opens the path toward 0.6980
Loss of 0.6900 pivot confirms a lower-low toward the 200-DMA cluster
China CPI/PMI and Middle East headlines are the near-term swing drivers
AUDUSD has spent the week trapped in a 0.6906-0.6960 band, with the sharp NY-session flush to the 0.6906 week low on renewed Iran-driven safe-haven USD demand quickly bought back toward the 0.6920 pivot. Price now sits back above EMA(20) but is capped by EMA(50) near 0.6946, and RSI(14) is neutral around 50 after the recovery. The week high at 0.6960 has yet to be seriously challenged.
Support: 0.6920, 0.69065
Resistance: 0.6946, 0.69594
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.6906 confirms a lower-low and breaks the week's range
Reclaim of EMA(50) near 0.6946 and a push through 0.6960 opens the upside cap
FOMC Minutes and China CPI plus Iran-Hormuz headlines could materially shift this read