AUD/USD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Friday, 18 September 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the AUD/USD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
20:47 UTC
Sideways, momentum flat into week close · RSI 56 · price 0.71251
Recovery off 0.71034 session low stalled into a 5-pip range under lower highs.
Price slid through London from the 0.71358 day high to a 0.71034 session low, then reclaimed most of it during NY hours and has since gone flat between 0.71220 and 0.71273 on sub-3-pip ATR. Bullock's hawkish parliamentary remarks supported AUD on the day but the firm USD keeps the recovery under the 0.71287 prior high and the lower-highs chain from 0.71358 intact.
Support: 0.7122, 0.71156, 0.71034
Resistance: 0.71273, 0.71287, 0.71358
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.71287 prior high breaks the lower-highs sequence and re-exposes 0.71358 day high
Loss of 0.71220 range low reopens the 0.71156 swing low and the 0.71034 session low
Thin late-Friday liquidity — the current range is low-conviction into the weekly close
RBA Bullock speech Mon 03:10 GMT is the first catalyst after the Asia reopen and could void this range read
20:32 UTC
Recovery off the NY low, momentum flat · RSI 57 · price 0.71259
Tight late-session range above a V-shaped low.
Asia set the day's high at 0.71358, then the NY morning flushed to 0.71034 before the move was fully bought back; price has spent the last four hours pinned in a 0.71214–0.71287 range into the Friday close on collapsing volume. RSI(14) at ~57 and ATR(14) near 2 pips — flat structure, with firm USD (10y back at 5%) capping the bounce while the hawkish Bullock read supports the lower end.
Support: 0.71214, 0.71156, 0.71034
Resistance: 0.71287, 0.71358
What it said to watch
Close above the 0.71287 range top would put the 0.71358 asia high back in play
Loss of the 0.71214 range floor reopens the 0.71156 swing low and the 0.71034 ny low
Final bars are end-of-week liquidity — range levels carry less weight until the new session opens
Bullock speech Tue 03:10 UTC is the first event risk capable of breaking this range
20:17 UTC
Recovery off the day low, now flat · RSI 60 · price 0.71262
Tight late-NY range after higher lows.
AUDUSD ground back from the 0.71034 day low through the NY session and has spent the last four hours pinned in a 4-pip band between the 0.71234 range floor and the 0.71273 range top, with volume collapsing into the Friday close. RSI(14) at 60 and ATR(14) at under 3 pips — no structural move in play, price simply holding above EMA20/EMA50 inside the broader 0.7095-0.7140 cap the market has respected since the Fed's hawkish hike.
Support: 0.71234, 0.71156, 0.71034
Resistance: 0.71273, 0.71318, 0.71358
What it said to watch
Acceptance above the 0.71273 range top would reopen 0.71318 prior high and the 0.71358 day high
Loss of the 0.71234 range floor puts the 0.71156 swing low back in play
Final bar is a stub print into the close — weekend gap risk means the range read may not survive the reopen
RBA Bullock speech Tue 03:10 UTC is the next event capable of shifting this intraday range
20:03 UTC
Recovery off session low, now flat · RSI 64 · price 0.71257
Tight coil under session high after higher lows out of 0.71034.
London's 0.71358 high was faded through the NY morning to a 0.71034 session low, and the late NY session has retraced roughly 70% of that leg before stalling in a 0.71214–0.71270 range. Last ten bars are coiled inside 3 pips with ATR(14) at 2.6 pips and RSI(14) at 64 — no structural expansion, consistent with the 0.7095-0.7140 containment the hawkish-Bullock/firm-USD mix has produced.
Support: 0.71214, 0.71156, 0.71034
Resistance: 0.7127, 0.71318, 0.71358
What it said to watch
Close above the 0.71270 range top would reopen the 0.71318 prior high and the 0.71358 london high
Loss of the 0.71214 range floor puts the 0.71156 swing low back in play, then the 0.71034 session low
Liquidity thinning into the weekly close — ranges this tight often fail to hold on the next session open
RBA Bullock speech Tue 03:10 UTC is the next scheduled catalyst that could break this range read
19:47 UTC
Recovery off the day low, momentum flattening · RSI 62 · price 0.71246
Higher lows from 0.71034, tight consolidation capped by the session high.
AUDUSD clawed back most of the NY leg down from 0.71358 to the 0.71034 day low and has spent the last three hours pinned between the 0.71234 range base and the 0.71270 session high, around the 65% retrace of that leg. Hawkish RBA rhetoric is underpinning AUD while firm US yields cap it; ATR(14) near 2.8 pips shows ranges compressing into the late-NY close.
Support: 0.71234, 0.71156, 0.71034
Resistance: 0.7127, 0.71317, 0.71358
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.71270 session high re-opens the 0.71317 prior high and 0.71358 day high
Loss of the 0.71234 range base exposes the 0.71156 swing low, then the 0.71034 day low
Thin late-NY liquidity into the weekly close can distort the current range read
Recovery off 0.71034 stalling under 0.71270, tight late-NY coil.
AUDUSD slid through the London-NY transition to 0.71034 before demand stepped in and retraced roughly two-thirds of that leg, helped by the hawkish RBA read that keeps the pair pinned in its 0.7095-0.7140 band. The last ten bars are coiled between 0.71210 and 0.71270 with ATR down to ~3 pips — nothing structural in play into the late NY hours.
Support: 0.7121, 0.71155, 0.71034
Resistance: 0.7127, 0.71358, 0.7140
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.71270 range top opens the path back to the 0.71358 prior high
Loss of the 0.71210 range floor re-exposes the 0.71155 bounce shelf and the 0.71034 ny low
0.71400 psych cap remains the level capping any extension; no AUD or USD data due in the next 8h, so drift risk dominates
19:18 UTC
Recovery off NY low, momentum flat · RSI 66 · price 0.71266
Tight consolidation under prior swing high after a V off the session low.
AUDUSD ground lower from the 0.71358 Asia high through London and printed the NY low at 0.71034 before a sharp recovery into the 17:00 UTC hour; the last ten bars are pinned in a 0.71230-0.71270 band with ATR down to ~3 pips. The whole 24h window sits inside the broader 0.7095-0.7140 band that hawkish RBA rhetoric and a firm post-FOMC dollar have carved out, and price now holds above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI in the mid-60s.
Support: 0.7123, 0.71155, 0.71034
Resistance: 0.71287, 0.71358, 0.7140
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.71287 swing high re-opens the 0.71358 asia high; the 0.7140 psych cap is still unchallenged
Loss of the 0.71230 range floor puts the 0.71155 prior shelf back in play and negates the NY recovery
No AUD or USD releases scheduled in the next 8h — Friday-close liquidity thinning, last bar volume already minimal
Higher lows since 0.7103, coiling under lower high at 0.7129.
AUDUSD rejected the 0.71358 session high in the London session, bled down to the 0.71034 session low in early NY, then recovered to 0.7125 where it has coiled in a sub-4-pip range for the last two hours. ATR(14) at ~3.5 pips shows liquidity draining into the Friday close; RSI(14) near 67 reflects the bounce, not an extension, with the 0.71287 lower high still unbroken and the hawkish-Fed 0.7140 cap noted in the macro read untested.
Support: 0.7122, 0.7113, 0.71034
Resistance: 0.71287, 0.71358
What it said to watch
A close above the 0.71287 lower high would end the consolidation and put the 0.71358 session high back in play
Loss of the 0.71220 range floor reopens the 0.71130 prior base and the 0.71034 session low
Thin late-NY conditions mean the current range is low-conviction; weekend gap risk applies
Australian PMIs Mon 23:00 GMT and Bullock Tue 03:10 GMT are the next scheduled drivers for this pair
Range; higher low at 0.71034 after 0.71358 rejection, coiling under 0.71258.
AUD/USD rebounded from the 0.71034 session low through the NY afternoon — the hawkish RBA tone from Bullock's hearing kept the bid — and has since gone flat in a 0.71220–0.71258 coil into the late NY hours, with the earlier 0.71358 prior high rejection still unmatched. RSI(14) at 59 and ATR(14) near 3.4 pips show compression rather than trend; price holds above EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 0.7122, 0.7115, 0.71034
Resistance: 0.71258, 0.71358, 0.7140
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.71258 range top would reopen 0.71358 and the 0.7140 psych cap
Loss of the 0.71220 range base puts the 0.71150 swing low back in play, then 0.71034
Thin late-Friday liquidity — the last bar is near-zero volume, so this range read is low-conviction into the weekend
Australian S&P Global PMIs Mon 23:00 GMT are the next scheduled input for AUD
Higher lows off session low, now coiling under prior high.
AUDUSD bounced off the 0.71034 session low in the NY afternoon and has retraced most of the drop from the 0.71358 session high, helped by Bullock's hawkish parliamentary remarks keeping AUD firm. Last six bars are pinned in a 0.71220–0.71258 band with ATR(14) near 3 pips and RSI(14) at 63 — flat, thin late-week tape just under the prior high at 0.71285.
Support: 0.71214, 0.71156, 0.71034
Resistance: 0.71285, 0.71358, 0.7140
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.71285 prior high extends the recovery leg toward the 0.71358 session high
Loss of the 0.71214 micro low breaks the higher-low chain and re-exposes the 0.71156 swing low
0.7140 cap remains the level that defines the wider intraday ceiling
Late-NY Friday liquidity thinning — 3-pip ATR means small orders move price disproportionately
18:17 UTC
Sideways after a recovery off the session low, momentum flattening · RSI 59 · price 0.71251
V-shaped NY recovery stalling under a flat top at 0.71257.
Asia topped at the 0.71358 asia high, London-NY sold it down to the 0.71034 session low, and the back half of NY has retraced roughly two-thirds of that decline before stalling into a flat top at the 0.71257 ny high. Last four bars are pinned in a 3-pip band above the 0.71200 range base with ATR(14) at ~3.4 pips and RSI(14) at 59 — thin late-Friday conditions, with AUD supported by hawkish Bullock rhetoric and a soft US industrial production print taking some edge off the dollar.
Support: 0.7120, 0.71034
Resistance: 0.71257, 0.71358, 0.7140
What it said to watch
Acceptance above the 0.71257 ny high re-opens the 0.71358 asia high and the 0.71400 psych level flagged as capping
Loss of the 0.71200 range base puts the 0.71034 session low back in play
Weekend close — gap risk on the reopen makes the current micro-range read provisional
V-shaped NY rebound now compressed into a 6-pip shelf under the NY high.
NY hours broke the earlier 0.71070 shelf down to a 0.71034 session low and immediately reversed, a false break that has since retraced roughly 60% of the drop from the 0.71358 day high — helped by the soft US industrial production print taking some edge off the dollar while AUD stays firm post-Bullock. Last five bars are pinned in a 0.71214–0.71257 shelf with ATR at 3.6 pips, so late-Friday activity is minimal.
Support: 0.71214, 0.7111, 0.71034
Resistance: 0.71257, 0.71287, 0.71358
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.71257 ny high would extend the rising lows toward the 0.71287 london pivot
Loss of the 0.71214 range floor puts the rising lows line near 0.71110 back in play
Thin liquidity into the Friday close can distort the shelf; RBA Bullock on Tue is the next scheduled risk for this pair
Higher lows since 0.71034, capped under lower highs.
AUDUSD spent the Asia and London sessions bleeding off the 0.71358 session high before NY hours printed the session low at 0.71034, then reclaimed roughly 22 pips into the 0.71257 recent high as softer US industrial production (0% vs 0.3% f/c) and an easing oil bid took some edge off the dollar late Friday. Price now sits above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) near 63 — constructive within the day range but still beneath the descending lower highs from 0.71358 to 0.71287.
Support: 0.71156, 0.71078, 0.71034
Resistance: 0.71257, 0.71287, 0.71358
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.71257 recent high puts the 0.71287 swing high and the lower-highs line in play
Loss of the 0.71156 micro pivot re-opens 0.71078 prior low and the 0.71034 session low
Late-Friday liquidity thins after London close — day range extremes can be tested on little follow-through
17:32 UTC
Recovery leg inside a tight intraday range · RSI 63 · price 0.71227
NY low at 0.71034 held, higher lows since; descending resistance broken.
Late NY hours: price bottomed at 0.71034, broke the descending line off the 0.71358 day high and is now stalling at the 61.8% retracement (~0.71234) just under the 0.71257 session high. Move fits the digest's 0.7095–0.7140 compression — hawkish RBA rhetoric supporting AUD against a USD at seven-week highs; ATR(14) only ~4 pips, so ranges are thin.
Support: 0.7115, 0.71078, 0.71034
Resistance: 0.71257, 0.71287, 0.71358
What it said to watch
Close above 0.71257 session high would extend the recovery toward 0.71287 swing high
Loss of the 0.71150 ema20 area re-exposes 0.71078 prior low and the 0.71034 ny low
Friday late-session liquidity thinning can distort the range read into the close
17:17 UTC
24h range, micro uptrend off the NY low · RSI 68 · price 0.7125
Higher lows since 0.71034, capped under prior high.
NY session has retraced most of the London-NY slide, grinding from the 0.71034 ny low back to 0.71250 in a clean higher-low chain, with price now above ema20 (~0.71145) and RSI(14) near 68. The prior high at 0.71285 and the 0.71358 day high cap the recovery; AUD stayed firm after Bullock's hawkish parliamentary remarks, while a seven-week-high dollar keeps the 24h range intact.
Support: 0.71145, 0.7110, 0.71034
Resistance: 0.71285, 0.71358
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.71285 prior high would extend the higher-low chain toward the 0.71358 day high
Loss of the 0.71100 psych level and ema20 re-opens the 0.71034 ny low
Late-NY liquidity thinning into the weekly close; ATR(14) ~4.5 pips means range edges dominate
Lower highs from the 0.71358 asia high into a 0.7107 base, now reclaiming 0.7120.
AUDUSD topped at the 0.71358 asia high after Bullock's hawkish parliamentary remarks, then bled lower through London and into NY as the firm USD capped the move, printing a session low of 0.71034. Five consecutive higher closes have lifted price back to 0.71222, above the ema20 near 0.7114, with RSI(14) recovering to ~62 and ATR(14) at just 4.4 pips.
Support: 0.7114, 0.7107, 0.71034
Resistance: 0.7126, 0.71287, 0.71358
What it said to watch
A 15m close above the 0.7126 swing high would break the chain of lower highs off the asia high
Failure to hold 0.7107 (dbl bottom) puts the 0.71034 session low back in play
Late-Friday liquidity thins into the close — ranges compress and moves off the ema20 can be erratic
Chain of lower highs from 0.71358; rebound off the 0.71034 session low back into the prior 0.7115/0.7120 support band.
Price ground lower all through London and into the NY session from the 0.71358 Asia high, bottoming at 0.71034 around midday NY before a four-bar recovery to 0.71193 — the soft US Industrial Production print did little to dent the broader hawkish-Fed USD tone. Current bounce is a retest of the 0.7115/0.7120 shelf that failed earlier; 0.71240 prior swing is also the 61.8% retracement of the decline.
Support: 0.7110, 0.71034, 0.71069
Resistance: 0.7124, 0.71287, 0.71358
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.71240 prior swing breaks the lower-high chain off 0.71358
Loss of the 0.71100 round number reopens the 0.71034 session low and the 0.71069 asian low
Thin late-NY Friday conditions can distort ATR (~4 pips) and exaggerate the bounce
Chain of lower highs off the Asia high, bouncing off the NY low.
AUDUSD peaked at the 0.71358 asia high on Bullock's hawkish parliamentary line, then bled lower through London and printed a 0.71034 ny low in the first NY hours as the post-FOMC dollar bid held. The last six bars have clawed ~12 pips back to EMA20, but the 0.71287 lower high and 0.71222 swing high still cap the sequence, with ATR(14) compressed near 4 pips.
Support: 0.71034, 0.7100
Resistance: 0.71222, 0.71287, 0.71358
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.71222 swing high breaks the chain of lower highs
Failure to hold the 0.71034 ny low exposes the 0.71000 round number
Thin late-NY hours into the weekly close keep ranges compressed; no top-tier AUD or USD data in the next 8h
Lower highs and lower lows off the London high, basing above the session low.
Price rolled over from the 0.71358 day high through the NY session, printing a clean chain of lower highs into a 0.71034 session low, with USD holding seven-week highs after the hawkish Fed dots capping the hawkish-RBA bid in AUD. Last six bars have flattened in a 0.71034–0.71117 band just under EMA20, RSI(14) around 40 with no divergence; ATR(14) ~4 pips means intraday swings are small.
Support: 0.71069, 0.71034, 0.7100
Resistance: 0.71156, 0.7123, 0.71358
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.71034 confirms a lower low and exposes the 0.71000 round number
Reclaim of the 0.71156 minor high, then 0.71230 swing high, breaks the lower-high chain
Hold of the 0.71069 asian low keeps the late-session range read intact
Thin late-Friday liquidity into the weekly close can exaggerate moves at either extreme
Lower highs / lower lows from 0.71358, basing above 0.71034.
Grinding lower through the NY session — the day high at 0.71358 capped the London push and each bounce since has failed at a lower level, with the 0.71230 swing high broken and the 0.71034 session low printed in the last two hours as the broad USD bid held. Price is now churning 0.71065–0.71104 under EMA20 and EMA50, RSI(14) near 39 and ATR(14) only ~4 pips, so ranges are compressing into the late session.
Support: 0.71034, 0.7100, 0.71069
Resistance: 0.71141, 0.7123, 0.71358
What it said to watch
15m close back above the 0.71141 micro high breaks the lower-high chain
Loss of 0.71034 session low confirms another lower low and exposes the 0.71000 round number
Acceptance above the 0.71230 swing high would invalidate the intraday downtrend read
15:47 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs into NY · RSI 34 · price 0.71078
Asian high 0.71358 rejected, stepping lows through London and NY, now basing above the session low.
AUDUSD topped at 0.71358 in the Asia session on the hawkish Bullock headlines, then bled lower through London and lost the 0.7112 shelf at the NY open, printing a session low at 0.71034. Price is now chopping in a 5-pip band under the ema20 with RSI(14) near 34 and ATR(14) around 4 pips.
Support: 0.71034, 0.7100
Resistance: 0.7111, 0.71156, 0.7123
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.71156 prior high would break the intraday lower-high chain
Acceptance back above the ema20 near 0.71110 would neutralise the NY downleg
Close below the 0.71034 session low exposes the 0.7100 round number
Thin late-NY liquidity into the weekly close can distort the range read
Lower highs and lower lows since the Asia-session peak; below the Asian range.
AUDUSD gave back the Asia-session pop to the 0.71358 session high — driven by the hawkish Bullock hearing and the fully-priced BoJ hike — with London and NY grinding it back under the Asian range and through the 0.71230 breakdown lvl. NY hours printed a 0.71034 session low before a shallow bounce stalled at the 0.71141 bounce high; RSI(14) near 32, ATR(14) about 4.6 pips.
Support: 0.71034, 0.7100
Resistance: 0.71141, 0.7123, 0.71358
What it said to watch
A 15m close back above the 0.71141 bounce high would break the lower-high chain off the session high
Acceptance below the 0.71034 session low puts the 0.71000 round number in play
Friday NY afternoon liquidity thins into the weekly close, which can distort the range read
Fed speaker slate early next week is the nearest catalyst able to shift this intraday read
Chain of lower highs / lower lows since the asia high; price under EMA20 and EMA50.
AUDUSD has bled lower through London and into the first hours of NY after the 0.71358 asia high was rejected, with the NY open accelerating the break of the 0.71156 prior shelf down to a 0.71034 session low. Hawkish Bullock repricing is being offset by post-Fed USD firmness; RSI(14) near 29 and ATR(14) around 4.5 pips, so ranges are tight relative to the distance travelled.
Support: 0.71034, 0.7100, 0.7075
Resistance: 0.71156, 0.7123, 0.71358
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 0.71156 prior shelf would break the sequence of lower highs
A close below the 0.7100 round number exposes 0.7075, the one-month low
Recovery above the 0.7123 swing pivot would invalidate the intraday downtrend read
Fed speaker headlines and thin Friday-afternoon liquidity can distort this range
15:03 UTC
Intraday downtrend, extended into day low · RSI 27 · price 0.71078
Lower highs and lower lows since the 0.71287 NY high; range floor broken.
NY hours sold AUDUSD off the 0.71287 session high and broke the 0.7115 shelf, last close 0.71078 sitting on the 0.71069 prior low with RSI(14) near 27. The hawkish-Fed dollar bid has fully unwound the Bullock-driven advance to 0.71358, and price is now pinned at the low of the 24h range with ATR(14) just 4.4 pips.
Support: 0.71069, 0.7105
Resistance: 0.71156, 0.71232, 0.71287
What it said to watch
Close back above 0.71156 prior high would break the lower-high chain
Failure to hold 0.71069 prior low exposes the 0.7105 round number
Thin late-week liquidity can exaggerate moves either side of the session low
Steady grind lower since the 0.71358 Asia session high, with the NY open pushing price through the 0.71230 breakdown level and a chain of lower highs capping at 0.71156. Last four bars are basing on 0.71092 with RSI(14) near 33 and ATR at ~4.3 pips — firm post-Fed USD is the backdrop, with no first-tier data in the window.
Support: 0.71092, 0.71069, 0.7100
Resistance: 0.71156, 0.7123, 0.71358
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.71156 lower high would break the descending sequence off the session high
Loss of the 0.71092 session low exposes the 0.71069 prior low and the 0.71000 round number
Fed speaker slate ahead is the nearest catalyst that could reset this intraday read
Lower highs since Asia high, London range broken lower, now coiling at session low.
AUDUSD lost the London floor at 0.71225 around 12:00 GMT and extended through the NY open to a session low of 0.71092, RSI(14) near 28 with price capped by the EMA20 at ~0.71160. The hawkish-Bullock bid has stalled far below the 0.7140 cap and the session high at 0.71358 has not been retested since Asia; the last four bars are flat in a 0.71092–0.71145 coil with ATR(14) only ~4.3 pips.
Support: 0.71092, 0.71069, 0.7100
Resistance: 0.7116, 0.71225, 0.71358
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 0.71225 london floor would negate the downside range break
Failure to hold 0.71092 session low and then the 0.71069 prev day low confirms a lower low and exposes the 0.71000 round number
No scheduled AUD or USD releases in the next 8h; drift risk into the late NY session with liquidity thinning
14:16 UTC
Downtrend within the intraday range, momentum stretched · RSI 31 · price 0.71122
Lower highs off 0.71358, NY break below the London range low.
Asia topped at 0.71358 on the hawkish Bullock headlines, then a chain of lower highs capped London inside 0.71201–0.71287; the NY open broke the range low and printed 0.71092. Price is back below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) near 31, and the 0.71172 minor high has held every bounce attempt since the break.
Support: 0.71092, 0.71069
Resistance: 0.71172, 0.71201, 0.71287
What it said to watch
A 15m close back above 0.71201 range low would invalidate the range break read
Failure to hold 0.71092 session low puts the 0.71069 prior low in play as a lower-low confirmation
ATR(14) at ~4.6 pips — moves are compressed, so a >10 pip bar signals a regime change
Late NY hours liquidity thinning into the weekly close can distort the break
14:02 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs into NY open · RSI 30 · price 0.71097
Asia high faded, chain of lower highs pressing back to prev day low.
Asia session printed the window high at 0.71358 on the hawkish-Bullock RBA repricing, London faded it and the NY open has pushed price back to 0.7110 — a clean chain of lower highs (0.71358, 0.71287, 0.71232) with price under ema20 at 0.71160. RSI(14) near 30 and ATR(14) around 4 pips; 0.71069 prev day low is the nearest floor, 0.71000 round number below it.
Support: 0.71069, 0.7100
Resistance: 0.7116, 0.71287, 0.71358
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.71069 prev day low confirms downside continuation toward the 0.71000 round number
Reclaim of the 0.71160 ema20 would break the lower high sequence
Thin late-Friday liquidity into the NY session can exaggerate moves at these levels
13:46 UTC
Downtrend into NY open, momentum extending · RSI 33 · price 0.71133
Lower highs off the Asia high, London range floor broken.
Asia squeezed AUDUSD to 0.71358 on the hawkish Bullock/BoJ mix, but London gave it all back and the first NY bars broke the 0.71200 shelf, printing a session low at 0.71094 before stabilising at 0.71133. Price is under both EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) near 33 and ATR(14) around 4 pips; lower highs from the swing high at 0.71287 remain intact.
Support: 0.71094, 0.71069
Resistance: 0.7120, 0.71287, 0.71358
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.71094 exposes the 0.71069 prior low from late yesterday
Reclaim of the 0.71200 broken shelf would neutralise the NY downside break
A close back above 0.71287 swing high is needed to re-engage the Asia high at 0.71358
US Industrial Production due in the NY session can drive the next impulse
13:31 UTC
Intraday downtrend off the early-London high · RSI 36 · price 0.71148
Lower highs since 0.71358, now basing in a tight 0.71126-0.71172 shelf.
Asia/early-London extended the hawkish-Bullock recovery to 0.71358 before a steady chain of lower highs; the 0.71230 shelf gave way into the NY open and price flushed to a 0.71126 session low. Last six bars are pinned in a 4-pip base under 0.71172, RSI(14) near 36 and ATR(14) at 4.2 pips — compression, no clean structure in play.
Support: 0.71126, 0.7110, 0.71069
Resistance: 0.71172, 0.7123, 0.71287
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.71230 would repair the broken shelf and end the lower-high chain
Loss of the 0.71126 session low exposes the 0.7110 round number and the 0.71069 prev day low
Hawkish-Fed pricing keeps USD firm into the late NY hours; thin post-London flow can widen this base quickly
13:16 UTC
Intraday downtrend off the 0.71358 session high · RSI 35 · price 0.71146
Lower highs since late Asia, midday range break to the downside.
AUDUSD topped at 0.71358 in late Asia on the hawkish Bullock/RBA repricing, then bled through London into a 0.71209-0.71287 range that broke lower around 12:00 UTC as hawkish Fedspeak firmed USD. Price is basing just above the 0.71126 session low with RSI(14) near 34 and EMA20/EMA50 (~0.7121) now overhead; 0.71230 broken supp is the first cap.
Support: 0.71126, 0.71069
Resistance: 0.7123, 0.71287, 0.71358
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.71230 broken supp would negate the midday range break
Loss of the 0.71126 session low exposes the 0.71069 prior low
US Industrial Production at 13:15 UTC and the NY open can widen the 3.8-pip ATR range quickly
A lower high below 0.71287 keeps the descending lower-high line intact
13:04 UTC
Downtrend intraday, lower highs since Asia · RSI 31 · price 0.71151
Range break lower, price below broken range floor.
Asia printed the day high at 0.71358 on the hawkish Bullock read, then the pair spent European hours grinding sideways between 0.71210 and 0.71287 before losing that range floor at 0.71230 into the London afternoon, tagging a session low of 0.71126. RSI(14) at ~31 with price under EMA20 and EMA50; ATR(14) just 3.8 pips, so ranges are compressed and the 0.71100 round number is the next reference below.
Support: 0.71126, 0.7110, 0.71069
Resistance: 0.7123, 0.71287, 0.71358
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 0.71230 range floor would invalidate the range break read
Close below the 0.71100 round number exposes the 0.71069 prior low
Failure to hold the 0.71126 session low confirms a lower low
US Industrial Production at 13:15 UTC is the only data left and can shift this intraday read
12:46 UTC
Short-term downtrend after intraday range break · RSI 34 · price 0.71146
Lower highs from 0.71358; London range low broken, price basing at 0.71126.
Rejection at 0.71287 into the London-NY transition broke the 0.71201-0.71287 London range low, a 16-pip slide that leaves price pinned at the 0.71126 session low with RSI(14) near 34 and price under both EMA20 and EMA50. The hawkish-Bullock bid that drove the Asia-session push to the 0.71358 day high has fully unwound as USD stayed firm post-Fed; ATR(14) is a thin 3.6 pips, so the move is already large relative to recent bar size.
Support: 0.71126, 0.71069, 0.7100
Resistance: 0.71201, 0.71287, 0.71358
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 0.71201 range low would neutralise the downside break
Failure to hold the 0.71126 session low opens the 0.71069 asia low and the 0.7100 round number
US Industrial Production at 13:15 UTC lands within the next bar period and could reprice USD quickly
12:31 UTC
Intraday downtrend, London fading the Asian rally · RSI 33 · price 0.71135
Lower highs since 0.71358; range base at 0.71215 given way.
London hours faded the Asian-session push to the 0.71358 asia high, and the last three bars sliced the 0.71215 range base to a session low at 0.71126 with RSI(14) near 33. The hawkish Bullock/RBA repricing that lifted AUD earlier stalled under the 0.71290 range top; ATR(14) is a thin ~4 pips, so the last leg was an outsized move by the window's standards.
Support: 0.71126, 0.7110, 0.71071
Resistance: 0.71215, 0.7129, 0.71358
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.71215 range base invalidates the range break read
Loss of the 0.71100 round number exposes the 0.71071 prev day low
Recovery through the 0.71290 range top puts the 0.71358 asia high back in scope
US Industrial Production 13:15 GMT and the NY open fall within the next few bars
12:16 UTC
Intraday rollover, lower highs since Asia · RSI 31 · price 0.71154
London range broken to the downside, price at session lows.
AUDUSD spent the London session boxed between 0.71210 and the 0.71287 session high before the last two bars cut through the range floor to 0.71154, the low of the day. Rejection at 0.71358 during Asia — the top of the hawkish-Bullock recovery leg — set the chain of lower highs, and RSI(14) at 31 with ATR only 3.4 pips shows a small-range grind rather than an impulsive flush.
Support: 0.7110, 0.71069
Resistance: 0.7121, 0.71287, 0.71358
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 0.71210 range floor would frame the move as a false break
Loss of the 0.71100 round number exposes the 0.71069 overnight low
US Industrial Production at 13:15 GMT plus Fed's Bowman can re-price this range within the next few bars
London range 0.71200-0.71290 after Asia high rejection.
Asia extended the hawkish-Bullock recovery to a day high of 0.71358 before the move was rejected, and London has spent the last eight hours boxed between 0.71201 and 0.71287. Price sits at 0.71217, under the ema20 with RSI(14) near 45 and ATR(14) just 3.2 pips — a compressed, directionless range ahead of the NY open.
Support: 0.71201, 0.7110, 0.71069
Resistance: 0.7124, 0.71287, 0.71358
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.71290 range top would end the London range read and re-expose the 0.71358 day high
Loss of the 0.71201 session low confirms a lower low and opens the 0.71100 round number, with the prior-day low at 0.71069 beneath
US Industrial Production at 13:15 GMT and the NY open follow immediately after this bar — likely to break the low-ATR compression
Range between 0.71209 and 0.71290 under a lower-highs sequence.
Asia session marked the high at 0.71358 on the hawkish Bullock/RBA repricing, and London has since ranged 0.71209–0.71290 with price closing back under EMA20 and the 50% fib of the 0.71069–0.71358 leg. RSI(14) near 47, ATR(14) only ~3 pips — compression, with the session low at 0.71209 holding three tests.
Support: 0.71209, 0.71214, 0.7110
Resistance: 0.7129, 0.71358, 0.7140
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.71290 range top re-opens the asia high at 0.71358 and the 0.71400 psych level
Loss of the 0.71209 session low breaks the 50% fib and confirms a lower low toward the 0.71100 round number
US Industrial Production at 13:15 GMT lands before NY open and could break this compression
Asia extended the hawkish-Bullock recovery to 0.71358 before the move was rejected, and London has since compressed into a 0.71209–0.71287 band with price pinned to EMA20 and RSI(14) flat near 53. ATR(14) has collapsed to ~3.6 pips — no directional structure in play inside the session range.
Support: 0.71209, 0.71165
Resistance: 0.71287, 0.71358
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.71287 range top re-opens the asia high at 0.71358
Loss of the 0.71209 session low confirms a lower-low and exposes the 0.71165 asia pivot
US Industrial Production at 13:15 GMT and the NY open are the nearest catalysts to break this compression
11:17 UTC
Sideways after Asia-session rally · RSI 51 · price 0.71259
Range-bound 0.71209-0.71287, higher low intact.
An Asia-session leg from 0.71069 to the 0.71358 day high was rejected, and London has since chopped in a tight 0.71209-0.71287 band with RSI(14) flat near 51 and ATR(14) compressed to ~3.4 pips. Price sits marginally above EMA20 and EMA50 — no directional resolution in play, with AUD still holding this week's hawkish-RBA recovery but capped below the day high.
Support: 0.71209, 0.7110
Resistance: 0.71287, 0.71358
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.71287 range top puts the 0.71358 day high back in focus
Loss of the 0.71209 swing low breaks the London range floor; 0.71100 round number is the next shelf
US Industrial Production at 13:15 GMT is the only near-term catalyst into the NY session
Asia pushed AUDUSD up to 0.71358 on the hawkish Bullock repricing, then London rejected there and price has spent roughly five hours compressed between the 0.71215 range floor and the 0.71286 range top. ATR(14) at 3.4 pips and RSI(14) near 55 — no structural expansion in play into the London-NY transition.
Support: 0.71215, 0.7113
Resistance: 0.71286, 0.71358
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.71286 range top would end the five-hour range and re-open 0.71358 asia high
Loss of 0.71215 range floor exposes 0.71130 prior swing
NY open liquidity could expand the 3.4-pip ATR out of this range
AUD ran to a session high at 0.7136 during the early London hours on hawkish Bullock testimony, then rejected and has spent the last six hours compressing in a 0.7121–0.7129 range with ATR down to ~3 pips. Price is sitting on the session low with RSI(14) mid-40s and below both EMA20 and EMA50 — range-bound, no structural break yet.
Support: 0.7121, 0.7113, 0.7107
Resistance: 0.7129, 0.7136, 0.7140
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.7121 breaks the range low and exposes the 0.7113 swing low
Reclaim of the 0.7129 range top re-opens the 0.7136 session high and the 0.7140 psych cap
US Industrial Production at 13:15 GMT is the only near-term catalyst that could break this compression
AUD popped to a session high of 0.71358 during Asian hours on hawkish Bullock testimony, then faded through the London open and has spent the last five hours coiling in a 0.71209–0.71285 band, with price pinned just above EMA20 and RSI(14) flat near 49. Lower highs from 0.71358 cap, but the session low at 0.71209 has held on each probe — no directional structure in play.
Support: 0.71209, 0.71069
Resistance: 0.71285, 0.71358
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.71285 range top re-opens the 0.71358 session high
Break of the 0.71209 session low confirms a lower low and exposes the 0.71069 prior low
US Industrial Production 13:15 GMT is the only scheduled catalyst inside the next few hours
10:16 UTC
Flat, range-bound after overnight pop · RSI 45 · price 0.7125
Lower highs capped by 0.71285, floor holding 0.71210.
AUD ran to a session high of 0.71358 in early European hours on hawkish Bullock testimony, was rejected there and has spent London in a tight 0.71210–0.71285 band with RSI(14) mid-40s and ATR barely 3.6 pips. Lower highs since the 0.71358 print, but the range floor at 0.71210 has absorbed three tests; measured from the 0.71079 asia low, price sits mid-retracement of that leg.
Support: 0.7121, 0.7113, 0.71079
Resistance: 0.71285, 0.71358
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.71285 range top ends the lower-highs sequence and re-engages 0.71358
Loss of the 0.71210 range floor exposes the 0.71130 swing low
US Industrial Production at 13:15 GMT is the one scheduled item that can break this range into the NY session
10:03 UTC
Uptrend stalling, now sideways · RSI 48 · price 0.71246
Tight range under the session high after an Asia-session push.
Asia session drove the pair from 0.71052 up to the 0.71358 session high on the hawkish Bullock parliamentary testimony, then faded and has since compressed into a 0.71209–0.71285 range through the London open. RSI(14) back to neutral near 48 and ATR(14) at just 3.6 pips — momentum has drained, no structural setup in play.
Support: 0.71209, 0.7113
Resistance: 0.71285, 0.71358, 0.7140
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.71285 range top re-opens the 0.71358 session high and the 0.71400 psych level
Loss of the 0.71209 swing low confirms a lower low and exposes the 0.71130 prior pivot
US Industrial Production at 13:15 GMT is the only near-term event risk and could break this compression
Consolidation range 0.71213–0.71285 under the 0.71358 session high.
Asia session drove a clean leg from 0.71079 to a 0.71358 session high on hawkish Bullock commentary and the as-expected BoJ hike, then rejection there handed price back into a tight 0.71213–0.71285 range through London. RSI(14) at 53 and ATR(14) just 3.4 pips — no structural setup in play while the range holds.
Support: 0.71213, 0.71128, 0.71079
Resistance: 0.71285, 0.71358, 0.7140
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.71285 range top re-opens the 0.71358 session high and the 0.71400 psych level
Failure to hold 0.71213 range low confirms a lower-low and exposes the 0.71128 breakout base
US Industrial Production at 13:15 GMT lands inside the next NY-session bars and could break this range
Lower highs off the asia high, holding above the 0.7121 session low.
Price ran from the 0.7107 swing low into the 0.7136 asia high on the hawkish Bullock headlines, then rejected there and has spent the London session grinding sideways between the 0.7121 session low and a 0.7129 range top. RSI(14) back at 48 and price pinned to EMA20 with ATR(14) only ~3.4 pips — no directional structure in play right now.
Support: 0.7121, 0.7107
Resistance: 0.7129, 0.7136, 0.7140
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7129 range top re-opens the 0.7136 asia high and the 0.7140 psych level
Loss of the 0.7121 session low confirms a lower low and exposes 0.7107
US Industrial Production at 13:15 GMT is the only US data left today and can break this range
Intraday range after Asia-session high, lower highs into London.
AUD pushed to an Asia-session high of 0.71358 on hawkish Bullock commentary, then faded and has spent the London morning boxed between 0.71209 and 0.71286 with a sequence of lower highs. RSI(14) back at 52 and ATR(14) just 3.7 pips — compression, no directional structure in play.
Support: 0.71209, 0.7115
Resistance: 0.71286, 0.71358
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.71286 range top would invalidate the lower-high sequence and re-expose the 0.71358 asia high
Loss of the 0.71209 range low opens the 0.71150 swing low
US Industrial Production at 13:15 GMT is the nearest catalyst that could break the compression
Higher low off 0.71069, now balancing under session high.
Asia pushed AUDUSD from 0.71069 to a 0.71358 session high on hawkish Bullock commentary, and the last three hours have been a tight 0.71209–0.71285 consolidation into early London. RSI(14) back at 53 and price pinned on EMA20; ATR(14) just 3.9 pips, so the range is the only structure in play.
Support: 0.71209, 0.7111
Resistance: 0.71285, 0.71358, 0.7140
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.71285 range top re-opens the 0.71358 session high, with 0.71400 the unreclaimed psych cap above
Loss of the 0.71209 session low confirms a lower low and exposes the 0.71110 asian low
US Industrial Production at 13:15 GMT is the nearest catalyst that could break this range
Asia leg up capped, now tight range under 0.71285.
Asia session pushed AUDUSD from 0.71069 to a session high of 0.71358 on hawkish Bullock carry, then rejected there and faded to a pullback low of 0.71209. Last ten bars are boxed between 0.71209 and the 0.71285 range top into the London open, RSI(14) back near 47 and ATR(14) just 4 pips — no structural break in play.
Support: 0.71209, 0.71069
Resistance: 0.71285, 0.71358
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.71285 range top reopens the 0.71358 session high
Loss of the 0.71209 pullback low confirms a lower low and puts the 0.71069 asia low back in view
US Industrial Production at 13:15 GMT could break the current consolidation
Asia-session pullback now coiling in a tight range under 0.71286.
Asia session pushed AUDUSD from 0.71109 to a 0.71358 high on the hawkish-RBA carry read, then gave back roughly 60% of that leg into the London open. Price is now coiling in a 0.71209–0.71286 range, RSI(14) flat near 49 and ATR(14) just 3.6 pips — no directional structure in play yet.
Support: 0.71209, 0.7119, 0.71109
Resistance: 0.71286, 0.71358
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.71286 range top would reopen the 0.71358 asia high
Loss of the 0.71209 session low confirms a lower-low and puts the 0.71190 ema50 in play
US Industrial Production at 13:15 GMT is the only scheduled risk that could break this range
Pullback consolidation under session high after late-Asia spike high.
Late-Asia hours pushed AUDUSD to 0.71358, the prior high, on the hawkish-RBA carry bid and softer USD; that leg was rejected and price has since chopped in a 0.71209-0.71286 band through the London open, with the session high capping four attempts. RSI(14) back to neutral near 48 and ATR(14) only ~3.6 pips — range conditions, no fresh impulse.
Support: 0.71209, 0.71069
Resistance: 0.71286, 0.71358
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.71286 session high re-opens 0.71358
Loss of the 0.71209 swing low breaks the higher-lows chain and exposes the 0.71069 asian low
US Industrial Production 13:15 GMT is the only second-tier catalyst inside today's session
Higher lows off 0.71069, flat base 0.71209-0.71283 after the 0.71358 rejection.
Asia session drove a 29-pip leg up from the 0.71069 asia low to a 0.71358 session high, with hawkish Bullock remarks overnight behind the lift, but that high was rejected immediately and price has gone flat between the 0.71209 swing low and the 0.71283 range top for the last eight bars. RSI(14) back to 47 and ATR(14) near 3.4 pips — compression rather than trend into the London open.
Support: 0.71209, 0.71069
Resistance: 0.71283, 0.71358, 0.7140
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.71283 range top re-opens the 0.71358 session high
Loss of the 0.71209 swing low confirms a lower low and puts the 0.71069 asia low back in focus
0.71400 psych area still caps the broader move; US Industrial Production at 13:15 GMT is the next scheduled risk
Higher high at 0.71358, then lower highs into a tight 0.71209-0.71283 box.
Late Asia bid AUD off the 0.71069 asia low up to 0.71358 after Bullock's hawkish 23:30 GMT speech, but that high was rejected and price has spent the last four hours boxed between 0.71209 and 0.71283 into the London open. RSI(14) back to the mid-40s and price pinned just under EMA20 — nothing structural in play while the box holds, with ATR(14) at ~3.8 pips showing compressed ranges.
Support: 0.71209, 0.7113, 0.71069
Resistance: 0.71283, 0.71358, 0.7140
What it said to watch
15m close above 0.71283 range top reopens the 0.71358 session high
Loss of 0.71209 session low confirms a lower low and puts the 0.71130 prior base back in focus
Fed's Bowman (07:30 GMT) and US Industrial Production (13:15 GMT) could break the box during London-NY hours
Asia session broke above yesterday's 0.71259 high and extended to an asia high of 0.71358 as hawkish Bullock comments met softer USD, but the move has since bled back to the 61.8% retracement near 0.71236 with a chain of lower highs capped at 0.71283. Price is consolidating in a 0.71209–0.71283 band into the first hour of London, RSI(14) back to neutral at ~46 and ATR(14) just 3.3 pips.
Support: 0.71209, 0.71161, 0.71085
Resistance: 0.71283, 0.71358
What it said to watch
15m close below 0.71209 swing low confirms a lower low and puts the asia base at 0.71161 back in play
Reclaim of 0.71283 prior high needed to re-open the 0.71358 asia high
Fed's Bowman at 07:30 GMT and today's BoJ decision could materially shift this read within the next few bars
Loss of 0.71085 prior low would erase the entire Asia breakout
Lower highs off the session high, holding above a higher swing low.
The Asia-session push through 0.7128 into 0.71358 came as the dollar eased around the BoJ decision, but that high was rejected and price has since drifted into a tight 0.71209-0.71283 band with RSI(14) back at the midline. ATR(14) is only ~4 pips, so the last three hours are pure consolidation under the session high as London opens, with the range top at 0.71280 still capping.
Support: 0.71209, 0.71165
Resistance: 0.7128, 0.71358, 0.7140
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.71280 range top re-opens the 0.71358 session high
Loss of the 0.71209 swing low exposes the 0.71165 pre-break shelf
Fed's Bowman (07:30 GMT) and US Industrial Production (13:15 GMT) can break this low-ATR range
0.71400 psych level is the cap flagged above current price
Post-Asia-pop pullback, lower highs into London open.
AUD/USD ran from the 0.71069 24h low up to 0.71358 during Asia hours around the BoJ decision, then faded through a chain of lower highs and based at the 0.71209 session low. Price is grinding back to 0.71267 into the London open with RSI(14) near 44 and ATR(14) compressed to ~3.6 pips — no clean intraday direction in play.
Support: 0.71209, 0.7110, 0.71069
Resistance: 0.71283, 0.71358, 0.7140
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 0.71283 recent high, then 0.71358 asia high, would restart the Asia leg
Loss of the 0.71209 session low re-opens 0.71100 psych and the 0.71069 24h low
Fed's Bowman speech at 07:30 GMT and US Industrial Production later could materially shift this read
Higher lows off the asia low, pullback holding above the breakout base.
Asia session lifted AUDUSD roughly 29 pips off the 0.71069 asia low to a 0.71358 session high before rejection there, with the digest's softer-USD read (lower yields, weaker oil) behind the leg. Pullback stalled at 0.71209 and price is back above EMA20 at 0.71241 into the early London hours; RSI(14) near 52, ATR(14) only ~3.6 pips.
Support: 0.71209, 0.71194, 0.71069
Resistance: 0.7132, 0.71358, 0.7140
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 0.71320 minor high re-opens the 0.71358 session high and the 0.71400 psych level
M15 close below the 0.71209 swing low breaks the higher-low chain and puts the 0.71194 breakout base in play
Fed's Bowman at 07:30 GMT and the BoJ outcome are near-term events that could reshape this read within the next few bars
Asia broke above prior-day high, now retracing the leg.
Asia session cleared the prior day hi at 0.71259 and extended to a session high of 0.71358 into the BoJ decision, then retraced roughly half the leg back to 0.71222 with RSI(14) near 43 and ATR ~3 pips. Price is back under EMA20 but still above EMA50 and holding the 0.71209 session low, with rising support off the 0.71079 low intact into the London open.
Support: 0.71209, 0.71187, 0.71109
Resistance: 0.71259, 0.71358, 0.7140
What it said to watch
Close below the 0.71209 session low turns the breakout into a false break and re-exposes 0.71187 pre-breakout, then the 0.71109 swing low
Reclaim of 0.71259 prior day hi puts the 0.71358 session high back in play, with 0.71400 psych above
BoJ headlines and the London open can reset this intraday range within the next few bars
Higher lows off 0.71052, pullback from session high.
Asia session extended the bounce off the 0.71052 range low to a 0.71358 session high around 06:45 broker time — consistent with the softer dollar as US yields retreated — then bled roughly 12 pips back into the pre-London hours. Price is now pinned to a flattening EMA20 near 0.71236 with RSI(14) at 54; the 0.71209 swing low has held on the last three tests.
Support: 0.71209, 0.71052
Resistance: 0.71236, 0.71317, 0.71358
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.71209 breaks the higher-low chain from 0.71052
Reclaim of the 0.71317 prior high puts the 0.71358 session high back in play
BoJ decision ahead of the London open is the near-term driver via AUD/JPY carry; ATR(14) of 3.6 pips understates the likely post-event range
Higher highs into 0.71358, now three lower highs in a shallow pullback holding above 0.71209.
Asia session broke out of the 0.7109-0.7119 overnight compression and ran to a session high at 0.71358 before fading, with the move tracking the softer USD as 10y yields retreated post-FOMC. Price is now consolidating in the upper half of that leg, holding above the 0.71209 swing low, RSI(14) back to ~57 and ATR(14) only ~3.5 pips into the pre-London hours.
Support: 0.71209, 0.7113, 0.71052
Resistance: 0.71358, 0.7140
What it said to watch
Loss of the 0.71209 swing low breaks the Asia higher-low chain and re-exposes the 0.71130 prior range, then the 0.71052 pday low
Reclaim of the 0.71358 session high would resume the up leg toward the 0.71400 psych level
BoJ decision ahead of the London open can reprice AUD via AUD/JPY carry and invalidate this intraday read
Asia break above prior day high, now pulling back inside the breakout leg.
Asia session drove AUDUSD through yesterday's 0.71259 prior day high to a 0.71358 session high on retreating US yields and post-Fed dollar profit-taking, but the last seven bars have bled back under 0.71259 and below EMA20 at 0.71236. RSI(14) has cooled from the high-60s to ~56 with the pullback holding 0.71213 so far; ATR(14) is a thin 3.4 pips into the pre-London lull.
Support: 0.71213, 0.7118, 0.71069
Resistance: 0.71259, 0.71358
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.71259 on a M15 close would re-validate the breakout toward the 0.71358 session high
Loss of the 0.71213 swing low turns the move into a false break and exposes the 0.7118 breakout base
BoJ decision ahead of the London open can shift AUD via AUD/JPY carry flows and reprice this whole intraday range
Higher highs into 0.71358, now retracing into the breakout base.
Asia session cleared the prior NY high near 0.7128 and extended to a session high of 0.71358, with USD softness from retreating Treasury yields behind the leg. The last four bars have bled back to 0.7124 — sitting on the EMA20 and just above the 0.71195 breakout base — with RSI(14) near 58 after cooling; ATR(14) only ~4 pips, so ranges are thin ahead of the London open.
Support: 0.71195, 0.7113, 0.71052
Resistance: 0.71358, 0.7140
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.71195 breakout base turns the move into a false break of the prior NY high
Reclaim of 0.71358 session high keeps the higher-high chain intact and puts the 0.7140 psych level in play
A slide through the 0.71130 asia base re-exposes the 0.71052 prior-day low
BoJ decision due around the London open — AUD/JPY carry positioning could reprice AUDUSD inside the next few bars
Higher highs and higher lows off 0.71079, now consolidating under the session high.
The Asia leg lifted AUDUSD off 0.71079 straight through the prior London high, peaking at the session high 0.71358 before drifting back to 0.7127 — consistent with the retreat in US yields capping the post-FOMC dollar. Price is now consolidating in a 9-pip band above the 0.71252 swing low with RSI(14) around 64 and ATR(14) near 3.6 pips.
Support: 0.71252, 0.71194, 0.7113
Resistance: 0.71318, 0.71358
What it said to watch
Loss of the 0.71252 swing low breaks the higher-low chain built through the Asia session
Acceptance back under the 0.71194 break base would negate the Asia breakout
A push through 0.71318 prior high re-exposes the 0.71358 session high
BoJ decision due pre-London can reprice AUD via AUD/JPY carry positioning
Higher highs and higher lows since the Asia low, breakout consolidating under the session high.
Late Asia session pushed through the prior 24h high at 0.71279 and tagged a fresh session high of 0.71358 before easing back to 0.71281 — the AUD bounce running with retreating US yields trimming post-FOMC dollar strength. RSI(14) near 68 after the impulse, ATR(14) only ~4.3 pips, and the 0.71262 breakout base is the first level being retested; 0.71194 is the last swing low above the 0.71130 asian range.
Support: 0.71262, 0.71194, 0.7113
Resistance: 0.71358, 0.7140
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.71262 breakout base negates the breakout and re-exposes the 0.71194 swing low
Acceptance above the 0.71358 session high opens the 0.71400 round number
BoJ decision due pre-London — AUD/JPY carry flows could materially shift this intraday read
04:46 UTC
Uptrend, momentum flattening at the highs · RSI 72 · price 0.71293
Higher highs / higher lows since the 0.71109 asia low; three-bar stall under the session high.
Asia session cleared yesterday's London high at 0.71259 and extended to a session high of 0.71358, helped by the softer dollar as US yields retreated post-FOMC. Momentum has flattened over the last three bars — RSI(14) around 72 and price drifting back to 0.71293, with the 0.71262 breakout area the first shelf beneath.
Support: 0.71262, 0.71194, 0.71109
Resistance: 0.71358, 0.7140
What it said to watch
BoJ decision due pre-London — a JPY-driven dollar move would override this intraday structure
Acceptance above the 0.71358 session high puts the 0.7140 psych level in play
Loss of the 0.71262 breakout level on a close would put the 0.71194 swing low back in focus
A slip back under 0.71109 asia low would invalidate the higher-low chain
Higher highs and higher lows, fresh 24h high then stall.
Asia hours broke the 24h range top at 0.71259 (the prior high) and extended to a session high of 0.71358, with the last three bars flattening just under it — RSI(14) near 68, hot but not extreme. The push fits the softer-USD tone as Treasury yields retreated post-Fed; ATR(14) is a thin 3.8 pips, so the move has come on small candles.
Support: 0.71259, 0.7119, 0.71069
Resistance: 0.71358, 0.7140
What it said to watch
BoJ decision due before the London open — AUD/JPY carry positioning can reprice AUDUSD quickly
Acceptance above 0.71358 session high opens the 0.71400 round number
Loss of 0.71259 prior high would negate the breakout and put the read back inside the prior range
Break of the ascending support line off the 0.71069 asian low ends the higher-low chain
Asian range broken to the upside, HH/HL chain intact.
Late Asia hours broke the 0.7108–0.7119 Asian range and cleared the prior session high at 0.71279, pushing to a session high of 0.71358 with price extended above EMA20 and EMA50 and RSI(14) near 74. The leg fits the USD profit-taking on retreating US yields after the hawkish Fed hike; ATR(14) is only ~3.8 pips, so the impulse is large relative to recent bar size and the last bar stalled dead flat.
Support: 0.71272, 0.7119, 0.71069
Resistance: 0.71358, 0.7140
What it said to watch
BoJ decision due pre-London open — AUD/JPY carry flows could materially shift this read
Acceptance above 0.71358 session high opens the 0.71400 psych area
Loss of the 0.71272 breakout base would mark the move as a false break back into the Asian range
A break of the 0.71190 swing low ends the HH/HL chain
Higher highs / higher lows out of an Asian range break.
Asia session ground sideways under 0.71190 for most of the window before a clean range break in the last five bars, printing a session high at 0.71349 with RSI(14) near 76 — hot but consistent with the impulse. The lift lines up with the retreat in US yields and USD profit-taking after the hawkish Fed hike; ATR(14) at ~4 pips means the last leg was roughly six normal bar ranges.
Support: 0.7126, 0.7119, 0.7108
Resistance: 0.71349, 0.7140
What it said to watch
0.71400 round number is the next reference above the session high — area to monitor for rejection or break
An M15 close back below 0.71260 breakout base would put price back inside the prior range
Loss of 0.71190 range top would negate the higher-high chain
BoJ decision due pre-London open could materially shift this read via AUD/JPY carry flows
Higher highs and higher lows; Asia broke prior session range top.
Late Asia session pushed through the 0.71279 prior-session cap and printed a fresh session high at 0.71327, extending a chain of higher lows off 0.71069 with RSI(14) near 78. The impulse is USD-led rather than AUD-specific after yesterday's yield pullback, and ATR(14) at ~3.7 pips means the last two bars are already outsized relative to the window.
Support: 0.71194, 0.7112, 0.71069
Resistance: 0.71327, 0.7140
What it said to watch
A close back under the 0.71194 breakout base would negate the break and put the asia pivot at 0.71120 back in play
0.7140 psych level is the next structural cap — area to monitor for rejection or acceptance above
Loss of 0.71069 asia low would end the higher-low sequence
RSI(14) near 78 at the session high; a stall here with equal highs would set up bearish divergence
Asia session has ground higher and just cleared the earlier 0.71259 swing, printing a session high at 0.71279 with RSI(14) near 74 and ATR only ~4 pips. The advance is the continuation of the USD-led bounce off 0.7075 rather than anything AUD-specific; the old range top at 0.71190 is the first reference below.
Support: 0.7119, 0.71069, 0.7100
Resistance: 0.71279, 0.7140
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.71190 range top negates the breakout and returns price into the 0.7108-0.7119 range
0.7140 pivot is the next upside reference — area to monitor for rejection or acceptance above
Failure to hold the asia low at 0.71069 would break the higher-low chain and put the 0.71000 psych level back in focus
Thin pre-London liquidity means the session high extension can reverse quickly
Higher lows since 0.71069, session high taken out.
Asia session pushed through the London high at 0.71259 on the last two bars, printing a new 24h high at 0.71272 after a full retrace of the earlier decline into 0.71069. RSI(14) near 68 and ATR(14) only ~4 pips — the move is a slow grind, USD-led rather than AUD-specific after the post-FOMC yield fade.
Support: 0.7119, 0.7112, 0.71069
Resistance: 0.71272, 0.7130, 0.7140
What it said to watch
Sustained trade above 0.71272 session high keeps the breakout intact; failure back below 0.71190 breakout base puts price back inside the prior range
Loss of 0.71120 range mid would break the chain of higher lows off 0.71069 session low
0.71400 prior cap is the next structural resistance area to monitor for rejection or break
Thin Asia liquidity — extension bars here often retrace into the London open
03:03 UTC
Mild uptrend within the day range · RSI 63 · price 0.71197
Higher-high / higher-low chain off the day low, capped inside the 24h range.
Asia session has ground higher off the 0.71069 day low, printing a clean higher-high chain into 0.71197 with price holding above the ema20 at 0.71155; the leg up is a continuation of the USD-led bounce from the 0.7075 area. RSI(14) near 63 and ATR(14) only 3.8 pips — thin, low-range conditions, and price is still inside the 0.71069–0.71259 day range with the 0.71206 prior high the first cap.
Support: 0.71155, 0.71109, 0.71069
Resistance: 0.71206, 0.71259
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.71206 prior high would expose the 0.71259 day high
Loss of the 0.71109 asia low breaks the higher-low chain and re-opens the day low at 0.71069
Slip back below the ema20 at 0.71155 would neutralise the Asia grind higher
AUD rate-repricing headlines and the 0.7100 psych level remain the near-term driver
02:46 UTC
Mild uptrend off asia low, momentum flat · RSI 61 · price 0.71173
Higher lows inside a tight 0.7107-0.7119 band.
Asia has ground back up from 0.71069 in a chain of higher lows, with the session high at 0.71193 capping four attempts and price holding above the EMA20 at 0.7114. Compression is extreme — ATR(14) near 3.8 pips — and the whole move is still a partial retrace of the NY drop from 0.71259, with the post-FOMC dollar bid stalling rather than reversing.
Support: 0.7114, 0.71069, 0.7100
Resistance: 0.71193, 0.71259
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.71193 session high would extend the retrace toward the 0.71259 prior high
Loss of the 0.7114 ema20 and then 0.71069 asia low would restore the lower-low sequence toward 0.7100 psych
No high-impact AUD or USD events in the next 8h; London open is the next liquidity shift and can break this compression
02:31 UTC
Sideways with a mild upward drift · RSI 63 · price 0.71174
Range-bound; higher lows since the 0.7107 base, capped by 0.7118-0.7126 supply.
Price has spent the last 24 hours pinned in a 0.7105-0.7126 band, with the Asia session grinding back to the 0.7117-0.7119 session high after basing at 0.7107 during the thin post-NY hours. RSI(14) at 63 and ATR(14) near 3 pips confirm a low-volatility drift rather than a directional move; the rebound is USD-driven profit-taking after the hawkish Fed hike, not AUD-led.
Support: 0.71128, 0.71069, 0.71052
Resistance: 0.71193, 0.71259, 0.7140
What it said to watch
A 15-minute close above 0.71193 session high would extend the drift toward the 0.71259 prior day high
Loss of the 0.71128 asia low returns focus to the 0.71069 session low and invalidates the higher-low sequence
ATR near 3 pips means the range read holds until London liquidity arrives; RBA Bullock and US Industrial Production later in the day are the events that could reset it
02:16 UTC
Mild grind higher inside a tight range · RSI 63 · price 0.71176
Higher lows since the Asia low, capped under 0.71185.
Asia hours have been a slow grind off the 0.71069 session low, price now pressing the 0.71185 session high with RSI(14) near 63 and ATR at just 3.5 pips. Post-FOMC USD profit-taking is doing the work rather than any AUD-specific driver; the 0.71259 prior day high from the NY spike is still unchallenged and the pair holds above ema20.
Support: 0.7113, 0.71069, 0.7100
Resistance: 0.71185, 0.71259
What it said to watch
A 15-minute close above 0.71185 session high opens the path to 0.71259 prior day high
Loss of 0.71069 session low breaks the chain of higher lows and puts 0.71000 psych back in play
Slip back under ema20 near 0.71130 would flatten the Asia grind into pure range
BoJ decision ahead of the London open is the imminent USD-side risk to this read
AUDUSD is grinding along the top of a tight Asia range, pressing the 0.71182 asia high after basing at the 0.71069 session low late in NY hours — the bounce is USD profit-taking after the hawkish Fed rather than an AUD-led move. ATR(14) is just 3 pips, so ranges are thin and RSI(14) near 63 is firm but not stretched.
Support: 0.7112, 0.71069, 0.71052
Resistance: 0.71182, 0.71259
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.71182 asia high would extend the range toward the 0.71259 prior high
Loss of the 0.71069 session low breaks the higher-low chain and re-exposes the 0.71052 swing low
Sustained trade back under the 0.71120 range mid neutralises the current upward drift
London open liquidity can void the thin 3-pip Asia range read quickly
01:46 UTC
Sideways, mild upward drift within range · RSI 58 · price 0.71141
24h range 0.71052-0.71259; Asia session building higher lows inside it.
Asia session lifted off the 0.71079 asia low into 0.71182 and is holding just above EMA20/EMA50, but the NY high at 0.71259 was rejected earlier and each push since has topped lower. Price is mid-range with ATR only ~3.6 pips — the rebound off the 0.7075 area remains USD profit-taking after the hawkish Fed hike rather than an AUD-led move.
Support: 0.71079, 0.71052, 0.7100
Resistance: 0.71182, 0.71259
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.71182 asia high would put the 0.71259 ny high back in play
Loss of the 0.71079 asia low re-exposes the 0.71052 swing low and the 0.71000 round number
Compressed ATR and thin Asia-hours flow mean the range read holds until one edge closes through
01:31 UTC
Sideways after NY fade, mild Asia bid · RSI 56 · price 0.71136
Intraday range 0.7107-0.7118 under lower highs.
AUDUSD has chopped in a 0.7107-0.7118 band since the NY fade from the 0.71259 day high, with the rebound off 0.7075 earlier in the week USD-driven rather than AUD-led. Early Asia probed 0.71182 asia high and was rejected back to 0.71136; RSI(14) mid-50s and ATR(14) near 3.4 pips, so the descending supply line off the day high is still capping a very tight range.
Support: 0.71069, 0.7100
Resistance: 0.71182, 0.71259
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.71182 asia high would break the supply line and put 0.71259 day high back in play
Loss of 0.71069 ny low confirms a lower low and exposes the 0.71000 psych area
Thin early-Asia liquidity keeps ranges compressed until London; AU PMIs and Bullock later in the week are the next scheduled risks
01:17 UTC
Sideways drift, mild upward tilt into Asia · RSI 59 · price 0.71132
24h range 0.7089-0.7126, price mid-range with higher lows since the Asia low.
AUDUSD has ground sideways for twelve hours after the NY-hours push to 0.71259, with the early Asia session lifting off the 0.71069 asia low and then meeting rejection at the 0.71182 session high. Post-Fed USD profit-taking is doing the work here, not AUD; RSI(14) near 59 and ATR(14) at ~3.6 pips confirm a compressed, low-range tape.
Support: 0.71069, 0.71052, 0.7100
Resistance: 0.71182, 0.71259
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.71182 session high would extend the micro higher-low chain toward the 0.71259 prior high
Loss of 0.71069 and then the 0.71052 swing low breaks the higher-low sequence and puts the 0.71000 round number in focus
BoJ decision ahead of the London open is the near-term volatility source for the USD leg
01:03 UTC
Sideways, drifting higher off the overnight low · RSI 63 · price 0.71165
24h range 0.7107-0.7126, higher lows building in early Asia.
Rejection at 0.71259 in the London afternoon leg bled the pair back to 0.71069 by late NY; early Asia has retraced roughly half of that move and price now sits at 0.71165, pressing the asia high at 0.71173. Contained USD profit-taking after the hawkish Fed hike is doing the work — ATR(14) is just 3.2 pips, so this is a grind, not a break.
Support: 0.71069, 0.7100
Resistance: 0.71173, 0.71206, 0.71259
What it said to watch
Close above 0.71206 (prior high) opens the path back to the 0.71259 prior day hi
Loss of the 0.71069 asia low confirms a lower low and re-exposes the 0.71000 psych level
BoJ decision ahead of the London open is the main vol source in the next few hours and could reset this range
Price has spent the last 12 hours compressing in a 0.7105–0.7117 band after the NY high at 0.71259 was fully retraced — the USD profit-taking bounce off 0.7075 has stalled rather than reversed. The Asia open produced a small push off 0.71079 to a session high of 0.71172 before fading back to the EMA20 near 0.71105; ATR(14) at just over 2 pips shows how thin the range is.
Support: 0.71105, 0.71069, 0.71052
Resistance: 0.71172, 0.71206, 0.71259
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.71172 session high, then the 0.71206 prior high, would extend the Asia push toward the 0.71259 ny high
Loss of the 0.71069 asia low re-opens the 0.71052 swing low and the 0.7100 area flagged as the wider downside trigger
BoJ decision ahead of the London open is the main external risk to this range read
00:31 UTC
Sideways, mild upward drift off the session low · RSI 54 · price 0.71127
Tight Asia range inside yesterday's NY range, higher lows since 0.71069.
Asia session has AUD/USD pinned in a 0.71069–0.71172 range with ATR(14) down to ~2 pips, price sitting on a flat EMA20/EMA50 cluster near 0.7110. The small bid off the asian low extends the USD profit-taking bounce noted after the hawkish Fed hike, but RSI(14) at 54 shows no momentum and the 0.71259 prior high from the NY session is untested.
Support: 0.71069, 0.7100
Resistance: 0.71172, 0.71259
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.71172 session high would open the 0.71259 prior high
Loss of the 0.71069 asian low puts the 0.7100 psych level back in play
2-pip ATR compression means the London open is the likely range-resolver
AUDUSD has been boxed between 0.71052 and the 0.71259 NY high for roughly twelve hours, with the last stretch of Asia coiling in a 5-pip band and ATR(14) down to about 2.5 pips. The 23:30 GMT Bullock speech produced a pop to the 0.71172 bullock high that was rejected inside two bars, leaving price back at 0.71124 in mid-range.
Support: 0.71069, 0.71052, 0.7100
Resistance: 0.71172, 0.71259
What it said to watch
Reclaim and hold above the 0.71172 bullock high would put the 0.71259 ny high back in play
M15 close below the 0.71069 asia low re-exposes the 0.71052 swing low and the 0.71000 psych level
Sub-3 pip ATR means the first Tokyo hour can expand the range quickly in either direction
Further Bullock remarks and Australian PMIs later this week are the near-term event risk for this range
00:02 UTC
Range-bound with a late upward drift · RSI 60 · price 0.71143
24h range 0.71052–0.71259; late-session compression breaking marginally higher.
AUDUSD spent the NY afternoon compressing in a 0.71069–0.71113 box before the 23:30 GMT Bullock headlines lifted it to 0.71144, a marginal range break into the Asia open. ATR(14) has collapsed to under 3 pips and RSI(14) at ~60 is unremarkable; the descending lower-highs line off the 0.71259 NY high still caps just above at 0.71160.
Support: 0.71069, 0.7100
Resistance: 0.7116, 0.71206, 0.71259
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 closes above 0.71160 would break the lower highs line and put 0.71206 back in play
Loss of the 0.71069 session low re-opens the 0.71000 round number
Further Bullock commentary through the Asia session is the live driver for this range