Lower highs off 0.71259, tight coil above 0.71069.
The London push to the 0.71259 day high was rejected and price has spent the NY session and the hours after London close coiling between the 0.71069 session low and the 0.71142 range top, part of the USD-led corrective bounce off 0.7075. RSI(14) near 46, price under EMA20 and EMA50, ATR(14) only ~2.6 pips — no structural break in play into the Asia handover.
Support: 0.71069, 0.71052, 0.7100
Resistance: 0.71142, 0.71259
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.71142 range top ends the coil and re-opens 0.71259 day high
Loss of the 0.71069 session low and then the 0.71052 swing low exposes the 0.7100 psych pivot
RBA Governor Bullock remarks at 23:30 GMT can reprice this range within the next bars
Tight consolidation under lower highs after failed push at session high.
The NY-session pop to the 0.71259 session high was rejected inside two bars and price has since coiled in a 0.71069–0.71143 band, with the post-close bars printing sub-2-pip ATR. Lower highs at 0.71206 then the 0.71143 range top cap the corrective bounce off this week's Fed-driven slide; last close sits marginally below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) mid-40s.
Support: 0.71069, 0.7100
Resistance: 0.71143, 0.71206, 0.71259
What it said to watch
RBA Gov Bullock at 23:30 GMT lands inside the next bar period and can break this dead-session compression
M15 close above the 0.71143 range top would re-open 0.71206 swing high and the 0.71259 session high
Loss of the 0.71069 session low turns the consolidation into a lower-low sequence, with the 0.7100 psych handle the next reference
ATR near 1.9 pips means any expansion bar will look outsized relative to the last six hours
The NY push to 0.71259 was rejected and price has since bled back through the 0.71142 lower high into a 0.71069–0.71112 coil, now pinned either side of EMA20 with ATR down to ~2 pips in thin post-NY-close conditions. RSI(14) at 46 is neutral; the move up from 0.71052 has been almost fully retraced, consistent with the corrective bounce off the one-month low described in the AUD read.
Support: 0.71069, 0.71052, 0.7100
Resistance: 0.71142, 0.71206, 0.71259
What it said to watch
RBA Governor Bullock speaks 23:30 GMT — the highest-impact near-term AUD event and capable of breaking this range immediately
M15 close back above the 0.71142 lower high would end the lower-high chain
Loss of the 0.71069 session low exposes the 0.71052 swing low and the 0.7100 psych pivot
Asia open liquidity return can widen the range from current sub-2-pip ATR
22:31 UTC
Sideways after NY fade, drifting lower · RSI 43 · price 0.71088
Post-impulse consolidation, lower highs into the close.
The NY impulse to 0.71259 was rejected immediately and price has spent the last ten hours coiling in a 0.71069–0.71206 range, with the 0.71143 micro cap holding on every attempt. Into thin Asia-open hours ATR has collapsed to ~2 pips and price sits at the range lows just under EMA20/EMA50, RSI(14) mid-40s, consistent with the corrective bounce off the 0.7075 one-month low stalling.
Support: 0.71069, 0.71052, 0.7100
Resistance: 0.71143, 0.71206, 0.71259
What it said to watch
RBA Governor Bullock speaks in roughly an hour — headline risk that can break this low-ATR range in either direction
Loss of the 0.71069 session low would confirm a lower low and put the 0.71052 swing low then the 0.7100 psych pivot in play
A 15-minute close back above the 0.71143 micro cap re-opens 0.71206 and the 0.71259 day high
8-hour range after rejection from the day high, lower highs into thin post-NY liquidity.
AUDUSD spiked to the day high at 0.71259 during NY hours then bled back, and has spent the last eight hours boxed between the session low at 0.71069 and the 0.71145 range top with volume thinning to almost nothing after the NY close. Price is now sitting a fraction under EMA20 with RSI(14) near 45 and ATR(14) under 2 pips — no structural development in play, the post-FOMC dollar firmness noted in the digest keeping the bounce corrective.
Support: 0.71069, 0.71052, 0.7100
Resistance: 0.71145, 0.71206, 0.71259
What it said to watch
RBA Governor Bullock speech at 23:30 GMT lands within the next bars and can break this compressed range
Acceptance below 0.71069 exposes the 0.71052 prior low and the 0.71000 psych pivot
Reclaim of the 0.71145 range top re-opens the 0.71206 swing high and the 0.71259 day high
Continued sub-2-pip ATR keeps range conditions intact until liquidity returns
22:02 UTC
Corrective drift lower after London-hour high · RSI 46 · price 0.71094
Lower highs since 0.71259, price back inside prior consolidation.
London pushed to 0.71259 and was rejected; NY hours unwound the move back to the 38.2% retracement of the Asia-London leg around 0.7110, with price now marginally under EMA20 and EMA50. Late-NY liquidity is thin — ATR(14) is under 2 pips and the last five hours have been a 0.71069-0.71142 range, RSI(14) neutral near 46.
Support: 0.71069, 0.71052, 0.7100
Resistance: 0.71142, 0.71206, 0.71259
What it said to watch
RBA Bullock speech at 23:30 GMT lands in the next bar or two — the main near-term AUD trigger for this range
Loss of 0.71052 prior low puts the 0.7100 psych pivot in play
Reclaim of 0.71142 range top would re-open 0.71206 swing high and negate the lower-high sequence
21:31 UTC
Drift lower after NY spike faded · RSI 43 · price 0.7109
Tight consolidation under descending highs.
The London-NY transition pushed AUDUSD to a day high of 0.71259 before the move was rejected, and price has since ground back into a 0.71084-0.71146 range with ATR down to ~2.3 pips in thin post-NY-close trade. Price sits marginally below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) near 43 — corrective, not impulsive, consistent with a shallow bounce off the one-month low near 0.7075 while USD holds post-FOMC gains.
Support: 0.71084, 0.71052, 0.7100
Resistance: 0.71146, 0.71199, 0.71259
What it said to watch
RBA Governor Bullock at 23:30 GMT lands within the next two bars and can materially shift this read
Loss of the 0.71084 session low would extend the fade toward the 0.71052 ny low and the 0.71000 psych pivot
A close above the 0.71146 range top would break the descending highs and put the 0.71199 swing high back in play
21:16 UTC
Sideways, momentum flat · RSI 47 · price 0.71112
Lower highs into a tight late-session coil.
AUD rejected the 0.71259 day high during NY hours and drifted back, with the 0.71206 session high capping the retest before price coiled into a 3-pip band above the 0.71084 session low. ATR(14) at ~2 pips and RSI(14) near 47 — the post-FOMC USD firmness has left this a corrective, directionless tape into the Asia handover.
Support: 0.71084, 0.71052, 0.7100
Resistance: 0.71206, 0.71259
What it said to watch
RBA Governor Bullock at 23:30 GMT is the next AUD trigger and can break this coil in either direction
Loss of 0.71084 session low then 0.71052 swing low would resume the lower-high sequence toward the 0.71000 psych pivot
Reclaiming 0.71206 session high is required to put the 0.71259 day high back in play
Lower highs since the 0.71259 session high, price coiling in a 6-pip band.
Early-NY pop to the 0.71259 session high on post-FOMC dollar profit-taking was rejected immediately, and the pair has spent the last eight hours grinding out lower highs into a 0.71085–0.71145 coil. Price sits at the lower half of that band, just under EMA20 and EMA50, with RSI(14) mid-40s and ATR(14) down to ~1.9 pips — dead late-NY conditions.
Support: 0.71085, 0.71052
Resistance: 0.71145, 0.71206, 0.71259
What it said to watch
RBA Gov. Bullock speaks 23:30 GMT — first RBA read post-Fed hike and the clearest catalyst to break the coil
Sustained M15 closes below the 0.71085 coil floor would put the 0.71052 swing low back in play
Reclaiming the 0.71145 coil top would end the lower-high sequence and re-expose 0.71206
Tight range under a lower-highs sequence from the NY high.
The London-NY overlap pushed AUDUSD to a session high of 0.71259 on the post-FOMC dollar profit-taking, but that level was rejected and the pair has spent the late NY session compressing into a 0.71084–0.71145 range with ATR(14) near 2 pips. Price is pinned just under EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) in the low 40s — no directional structure in play, only lower highs from 0.71259 into 0.71206.
Support: 0.71084, 0.71052, 0.7100
Resistance: 0.71145, 0.71206, 0.71259
What it said to watch
RBA Gov. Bullock at 23:30 GMT is the next catalyst and can break this range in either direction
M15 close above the 0.71145 range top would end the lower-highs sequence and put 0.71206 back in reach
Loss of the 0.71084 range low exposes the 0.71052 swing low and the 0.71000 psych handle
Asia/London ground higher from 0.7083 into a 0.71259 session high at the London-NY transition, where the move was rejected and gave back most of the leg as the post-FOMC firm USD reasserted. Price has compressed into a 0.7108–0.7114 band through late NY with ATR down to ~2.6 pips, sitting just under EMA20 and EMA50, and holding the 0.7100 psych level.
Support: 0.71084, 0.71052, 0.7100
Resistance: 0.71206, 0.71259
What it said to watch
RBA Gov. Bullock speaks 23:30 GMT — within the next bar period and the main risk to this compression
M15 close below 0.71052 swing low confirms a lower low and puts the 0.7100 psych level in play
Reclaiming 0.71206 prior high breaks the lower-high chain off the session high
Tight consolidation under the NY high after a failed break of the asian high.
The NY open push cleared the asian high but was rejected at 0.71259 and price has spent the afternoon compressing into a 0.71084–0.71146 range, now pinning the 0.71101 area with ATR down to ~3 pips. Move was USD-led — dollar profit-taking after the hawkish Fed lifted AUD back over 0.7100 — and price is sitting just under EMA20/EMA50 with RSI near 44, so no directional structure into the late-NY hours.
Support: 0.71084, 0.71052, 0.7100
Resistance: 0.71146, 0.71206, 0.71259
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.71146 range top re-opens the asian high at 0.71206
Loss of the 0.71084 range low exposes the 0.71052 session low and the 0.71000 psych level
RBA Gov. Bullock at 23:30 GMT falls inside the next few bars and can break this consolidation either way
19:46 UTC
Sideways, momentum flat · RSI 38 · price 0.71102
Tight consolidation under faded NY high.
NY session spiked to a 0.71259 session high then gave it all back; the last five hours have coiled in a 6-pip band between the 0.71084 range low and 0.71143 range top with ATR(14) down to ~2 pips. The bounce off the 0.7075 area is USD profit-taking after the hawkish Fed, not fresh AUD demand — RSI(14) flat near 38 and price sitting just under EMA20.
Support: 0.71084, 0.71052, 0.7100
Resistance: 0.71143, 0.71259
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.71143 range top would end the compression and re-open 0.71259
Loss of the 0.71084 range low puts the 0.7100 psych level and 0.71052 swing low in play
RBA Bullock at 23:30 GMT lands inside the next few bars and could break this range outright
Compression under session high after failed push at 0.71259.
Asia-through-London grind higher off 0.70825 topped out at the 0.71259 day high into the London-NY overlap, where the move was rejected and price has since spent six hours compressing in a 0.71084–0.71142 band. Late NY is thin — ATR(14) down to 2.6 pips, RSI(14) flat near 46, price pinned just under EMA20 and EMA50 as the post-FOMC dollar holds its gains.
Support: 0.71084, 0.71052, 0.7100
Resistance: 0.71142, 0.71206, 0.71259
What it said to watch
RBA Gov. Bullock at 23:30 GMT is the first AUD event risk post-Fed and can break the current compression
Loss of the 0.71084 session low, then 0.71052 swing low, would confirm a lower-low chain; sustained trade below 0.7100 psych negates the intraday uptrend read
Reclaim of the 0.71206 session high is required to put the 0.71259 day high back in play
Tight consolidation under 0.7120 after NY high rejected.
Grind up from 0.70777 through Asia and London peaked at 0.71259 into the NY open on USD profit-taking after firm claims and Philly Fed, then rejected and faded back to the 0.7109–0.7119 pocket. Last four hours are a 5-pip coil at 0.7110 with ATR(14) at 2.7 pips and RSI(14) mid-40s — no structure in play, price pinned on EMA20 into the late NY session.
Support: 0.71084, 0.71052, 0.7100
Resistance: 0.71206, 0.71259, 0.7140
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.71084 recent low opens 0.71052 swing low and the 0.71000 psych level
Reclaim of the 0.71206 lower high would put the 0.71259 session high back in range
RBA Gov. Bullock 23:30 GMT is the next event risk and can break this coil in either direction
London grind higher extended into a NY spike to the 0.71259 session high on firm US claims/Philly Fed, then faded straight back and has been capped by a lower-highs sequence at 0.71206 and 0.71142. Last two hours are dead flat between 0.71084 and 0.71142 with ATR at just 2.6 pips, price pinned marginally under EMA20 and EMA50 and RSI(14) near 39.
Support: 0.71084, 0.71052, 0.7100
Resistance: 0.71142, 0.71206, 0.71259
What it said to watch
Loss of the 0.71084 recent low re-opens the 0.71052 session low and the 0.7100 psych handle
A close back above 0.71142 minor high would break the lower-highs chain
RBA Gov. Bullock at 23:30 GMT is the next event risk capable of breaking this compression
18:46 UTC
Sideways after NY fade, momentum flat · RSI 43 · price 0.71101
Lower highs off 0.71259, tight late-NY compression.
AUDUSD ground higher through London off the Asian low at 0.70744 and printed the NY high at 0.71259 early in the US session on USD profit-taking after the hawkish Fed hike, then rejected and stair-stepped back to 0.7110. Last three hours are a 4-pip compression under EMA20 with RSI(14) near 43 and ATR(14) at just over 3 pips — no structural setup in play into late NY.
Support: 0.71088, 0.71052, 0.7100
Resistance: 0.71192, 0.71259
What it said to watch
Loss of the 0.71088 micro low exposes the 0.71052 prior low and the 0.71000 psych handle
Reclaim of the 0.71192 lower high is needed before the 0.71259 ny high is back in range
RBA Governor Bullock speaks 23:30 GMT — first RBA read post-Fed, can break this compression
18:31 UTC
Flat, momentum drained · RSI 44 · price 0.71101
Range after rejection of session high.
Price spiked to a 0.71259 session high into the NY open on post-Fed USD profit-taking, was rejected, and has since compressed into a 0.71090–0.71190 range with ATR down to ~3 pips. Late NY hours have flatlined just under EMA20 at 0.7112, RSI(14) mid-40s — no directional structure in play.
Support: 0.7109, 0.71052, 0.7100
Resistance: 0.7119, 0.71259
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.71090 range floor exposes the 0.71052 swing low and the 0.71000 psych level
Reclaim of the 0.71190 range top is needed before the 0.71259 session high is back in scope
RBA Gov. Bullock at 23:30 GMT falls in the next bar block and can break this range in either direction
Higher lows off 0.7074, capped under session high.
AUDUSD based at 0.70932 in the Asian range, then ground up through London into a session high of 0.71259 before being rejected — a USD profit-taking bounce after the hawkish Fed hike rather than fresh AUD demand. Late NY has compressed into a 4-pip coil around 0.7112 with RSI(14) flat near 48 and ATR(14) down to roughly 4 pips; nothing structural in play at the moment.
Support: 0.71052, 0.7100, 0.70932
Resistance: 0.71191, 0.71259, 0.7140
What it said to watch
A close back above the 0.71191 prior high would reopen the 0.71259 session high
Loss of the 0.71052 swing low turns the higher-low chain over and puts the 0.71000 psych level in focus
RBA Gov. Bullock speaks 23:30 GMT, inside the next few bars — capable of breaking this consolidation in either direction
18:03 UTC
Sideways, momentum flat after NY rejection · RSI 46 · price 0.71121
Compression between session low and range top following rejection of the session high.
NY open pushed AUDUSD to a session high at 0.71259 on post-Fed USD profit-taking, and that level was rejected inside two bars. Price has since coiled between the 0.71105 session low and the 0.71200 range top, with the last eight bars inside a 5-pip band under a flat EMA20, ATR(14) near 4 pips and RSI(14) in the mid-40s — no directional structure in play late in the NY session.
Support: 0.71105, 0.71052, 0.7100
Resistance: 0.7120, 0.71259
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.71105 session low would confirm a lower-low and expose the 0.71052 swing low and the 0.71000 psych level
Reclaiming the 0.71200 range top is required to re-open the 0.71259 session high
RBA Bullock at 23:30 GMT is the next scheduled catalyst and could break this compression
Lower highs compressing into a tight late-NY range above 0.71096.
The NY-session push tagged 0.71259 as the session high before fading, and the last three hours have coiled in a sub-10-pip band above the 0.71096 range floor with ATR(14) down to ~4 pips. USD profit-taking after firm claims and Philly Fed prints left AUD holding just above the 0.7100 psych level, but the 0.71196 lower high has capped every attempt since, keeping price pinned to EMA20.
Support: 0.71096, 0.71052, 0.7100
Resistance: 0.71196, 0.71259, 0.71384
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.71196 lower high breaks the lower-high sequence and re-opens 0.71259
Loss of the 0.71096 range floor puts the 0.7100 psych level and the 0.71052 swing low back in play
RBA Gov. Bullock at 23:30 GMT is the next event risk and could invalidate this compression read
0.71384 pd high remains the ceiling of the 24h window
17:31 UTC
Sideways after fading the NY high · RSI 51 · price 0.71122
Tight range inside the upper half of the intraday recovery leg.
AUDUSD rejected the 0.71259 session high during the London-NY overlap and has since coiled between the 0.71096 range floor and the 0.71206 range top, with RSI(14) flat near 50 and ATR(14) down to roughly 4 pips. Price sits marginally under EMA20/EMA50 in the last hours of NY, the bounce off yesterday's 0.7074 low still intact but stalling; USD remains firm post-Fed.
Support: 0.71096, 0.71052, 0.7100
Resistance: 0.71206, 0.71259
What it said to watch
Close above the 0.71206 range top would reopen the 0.71259 session high
Loss of the 0.71096 range floor exposes the 0.71052 swing low and the 0.71000 psych level
RBA Gov. Bullock at 23:30 GMT falls just beyond this window and could break the range read
17:17 UTC
Recovery off session low, now flat · RSI 45 · price 0.71122
Tight late-NY range after failed push at ny high.
Asia dumped AUDUSD to a 0.70744 session low on post-Fed USD strength, then a steady London-NY leg reclaimed 0.7100 as US yields eased and the dollar saw profit-taking. NY hours rejected 0.71259 (ny high) and price has since coiled in a 0.71096–0.71206 band, sitting just under EMA20 with RSI(14) mid-range and ATR at ~4 pips — no directional structure in play.
Support: 0.71096, 0.71052, 0.70744
Resistance: 0.71206, 0.71259, 0.71384
What it said to watch
A 15m close below the 0.71096 range floor puts the 0.71052 swing low back in focus and re-opens the 0.7100 handle
Acceptance above the 0.71206 range top would extend the recovery toward the 0.71259 ny high, then 0.71384 prior high
RBA Gov. Bullock speaks 23:30 GMT — a repricing of hike odds can void this compressed-range read within a few bars
Tight 0.7110-0.7120 range under a lower-high sequence from 0.71259.
AUDUSD spiked to a NY high of 0.71259 on post-Fed USD profit-taking, was rejected, and has since compressed into a 0.7110-0.7120 range with ATR down to ~4.6 pips. RSI(14) is flat near 50 and price is pinned on EMA20; lower highs from 0.71259 cap the upside while the range floor at 0.71096 has held four times.
Support: 0.71096, 0.71052, 0.70932
Resistance: 0.71206, 0.71259, 0.71384
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.71206 range top, then 0.71259 ny high, would end the lower-high sequence
Loss of the 0.71096 range floor exposes the 0.71052 swing low and confirms a lower low
RBA Gov. Bullock at 23:30 GMT is the next event risk capable of breaking this range
16:47 UTC
Recovering off the low, momentum flat · RSI 49 · price 0.71141
Tight consolidation under the NY high after a higher-low sequence.
After the late-NY flush to 0.70744 on the hawkish Fed hike, AUDUSD ground higher through Asia and London and topped at 0.71259 at the NY open before rejection dropped it back into a 0.71107–0.71200 range. Last two hours are near-dead — 4.4-pip ATR, RSI(14) mid-40s, price pinned on EMA20 with the 0.7110 session low intact.
Support: 0.71107, 0.71052, 0.7100
Resistance: 0.7120, 0.71259
What it said to watch
Close below the 0.71107 session low would break the higher-low chain and expose 0.71052 swing low, then psych 0.7100
Reclaim of the 0.71200 range top and a push through the 0.71259 ny high would re-open the recovery leg
RBA Gov. Bullock at 23:30 GMT is the next event risk for this range
16:32 UTC
Recovery off the post-FOMC low, now flat · RSI 45 · price 0.71126
Compressing range under the NY session high, higher lows intact.
AUDUSD dumped ~60 pips into 0.70744 on the Fed hike and hawkish dots late yesterday, then ground back up through Asia and London to a 0.71259 session high on the US data spike before fading. Last three hours are pure compression between 0.71096 and 0.71206 with ATR down to ~4.6 pips and RSI(14) mid-range — no structure in play into the late NY session.
Support: 0.71096, 0.71052, 0.7100
Resistance: 0.71206, 0.71259
What it said to watch
Close above 0.71259 session high would extend the recovery leg
Loss of the 0.71096 range low and the 0.71052 swing low puts the 0.71000 psych level in focus
RBA Gov. Bullock speaks 23:30 GMT — first RBA read post-Fed, can break this range quickly
Repeated rejection under 0.71206 prior high keeps the range read valid
Tight consolidation under session high after post-drop rebound.
Early-window Fed-driven flush to 0.70744 was fully retraced through London into the NY open, where 0.71259 capped the move and price has since compressed into a 0.71107–0.71206 range. Last six bars sit in a 4-pip band right under the EMA20 at 0.71135, ATR(14) down to ~5 pips — no structure in play in late NY hours.
Support: 0.71107, 0.71052, 0.7100
Resistance: 0.71135, 0.71206, 0.71259
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.71052 swing low ends the higher-low chain off 0.70744
Acceptance above 0.71206 prior high re-opens the 0.71259 session high
Sustained trade under the 0.7100 round number invalidates the recovery read
RBA Gov. Bullock 23:30 GMT is the next event risk for this range
Higher lows off the post-Fed low, capped below the session high.
The 18:00 GMT Fed hike bar dumped AUDUSD from 0.71384 to a 0.70744 fed low, and Asia/London then ground back up in a chain of higher lows to a 0.71259 session high just before the NY open. Mixed US data at the NY open faded that push and the pair has coiled in a 0.7110–0.7120 band since, pinned at the 0.71140 ema20 with RSI(14) mid-range near 46 and ATR compressed to ~5 pips.
Support: 0.71052, 0.7100, 0.70744
Resistance: 0.7114, 0.71259
What it said to watch
Close below the 0.71052 swing low breaks the higher-low chain and puts the 0.7100 psych level in play
Reclaim of 0.71206 and then the 0.71259 session high needed to extend the recovery leg
RBA Gov. Bullock at 23:30 GMT is the next event risk and can reprice this range
The post-Fed slide from the 0.71384 pre-fed high into 0.7074 has been retraced through Asia and London in a grinding recovery leg along rising support, with the NY session printing a session high at 0.71259 before rejection. Price now coils in a 0.7110–0.7120 band just under EMA20, RSI(14) near 42 and ATR(14) around 5.8 pips — ranges are compressed with the pair pinned to the 0.7110 round number.
Support: 0.7110, 0.71052, 0.70888
Resistance: 0.71206, 0.71259, 0.71384
What it said to watch
Reclaiming the 0.71206 minor high is the first condition for another test of the session high
Sustained M15 trade below the 0.7110 round number puts the 0.71052 swing low and rising support back in play
A break of the 0.71052 swing low ends the chain of higher lows off the asia low
RBA Governor Bullock at 23:30 GMT is the next scheduled AUD risk and could reset this range
Tight range under a series of lower highs from 0.71259.
The Fed hike drop to 0.70744 was fully retraced through Asia and London, and the NY session pushed to 0.71259 on firm US claims and Philly Fed prints before rejection set in. Price has since compressed into a ~10 pip band between the 0.71110 range floor and 0.71200, a stack of lower highs capping, with RSI(14) flat near 50 and ATR(14) at just 6.3 pips — no structural setup in play late in the NY session.
Support: 0.7111, 0.71052, 0.70744
Resistance: 0.7120, 0.71259
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.71200 would break the lower highs sequence and re-expose the 0.71259 ny high
Loss of the 0.71110 range floor confirms a lower low and puts the 0.71052 swing low back in focus
RBA Gov. Bullock at 23:30 GMT is the next event risk capable of breaking this range
AUDUSD is compressing between 0.71107 and the 0.71206 range top through NY hours after the early-NY push into 0.71259 was rejected; price is pinned either side of the ema20 with RSI(14) flat near 51. The whole window is a grind back off the 0.70744 day low struck on the hawkish Fed hike, and ATR has faded to ~6.5 pips — no setup in play.
Support: 0.71107, 0.71052, 0.70744
Resistance: 0.71145, 0.71206, 0.71259
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.71206 range top re-opens the 0.71259 session high
Loss of the 0.71107 session low exposes the 0.71052 swing low and voids the higher-low chain
RBA Gov. Bullock at 23:30 GMT is the next scheduled risk to this intraday range
Intraday range 0.71052-0.71259 above a chain of rising lows.
AUDUSD has fully retraced the FOMC-driven slide to the 0.70744 fomc low, grinding higher through Asia and London before the NY open push to the 0.71259 ny high was rejected as firm US claims and Philly Fed data landed. Price is back mid-range just under EMA20 with RSI(14) near 52 and ATR ~6 pips — no directional structure in play between 0.71052 and 0.71259.
Support: 0.71052, 0.7100, 0.70744
Resistance: 0.71206, 0.71259
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.71052 session low would break the rising support line and put the 0.7100 round number back in play
Reclaim of the 0.71206 london high is needed before the 0.71259 ny high is retested
RBA's Bullock at 23:30 GMT is the next scheduled event risk for this range
AUDUSD spiked to 0.71259 into the NY open on the firm claims/Philly Fed prints, then faded straight back — that NY high has capped every attempt since. Price has since based at the 0.71107 pullback low and is pressing the 0.71206 asia high again, holding above EMA20 with RSI(14) near 58 and ATR(14) only ~6 pips.
Support: 0.71107, 0.71052
Resistance: 0.71206, 0.71259
What it said to watch
Close above the 0.71259 ny high would extend the recovery leg off 0.70744
Loss of the 0.71052 london low breaks the rising support and the higher-low chain
RBA Bullock at 23:30 GMT is the next event risk that could reshape this intraday read
Higher lows off 0.70744, now consolidating under session high.
Price has clawed back from the post-FOMC flush to 0.70744 in a chain of higher lows, but the London-NY transition push to 0.71259 was rejected and the last ten bars are coiled in a 0.71110–0.71200 band. RSI(14) near 58 and ATR(14) at ~6 pips — mid-NY conditions are compressed, no fresh break in play.
Support: 0.7111, 0.71052, 0.70744
Resistance: 0.71259, 0.7134
What it said to watch
Loss of the 0.71110 range floor exposes the 0.71052 swing low and ends the higher-low sequence
A close above the 0.71259 session high opens the path back toward the pre-fomc 0.71340 shelf
RBA Governor Bullock at 23:30 GMT is the next scheduled catalyst and could void this compressed range read
Higher lows off 0.70744, capped under session high.
AUDUSD sold off through late NY yesterday to 0.70744 on the hawkish Fed follow-through, then ground out a chain of higher lows across Asia and London off the 0.71052 london low. The NY push to 0.71259 was rejected within two bars and price is now consolidating 0.71107–0.71200 with RSI(14) near 59 and ATR(14) at roughly 5.6 pips.
Support: 0.71107, 0.71052, 0.70744
Resistance: 0.71259, 0.71361
What it said to watch
Close above the 0.71259 session high would extend the higher-low sequence toward the 0.71361 prior high
Loss of the 0.71107 swing low, then 0.71052 london low, breaks the intraday uptrend and re-exposes the 0.70744 prior day low
RBA Governor Bullock speech at 23:30 GMT is the next scheduled risk to this intraday read
14:31 UTC
Recovery uptrend off the post-FOMC low, momentum flattening · RSI 57 · price 0.71186
Higher lows since the FOMC flush, capped by the session high.
The FOMC hike at 18:00 UTC yesterday dumped the pair 60 pips to 0.70744, and price has ground back up in a chain of higher lows through Asia and London. The NY open pushed to a session high of 0.71259 and was rejected, with the retest holding at the 0.71107 swing low; RSI(14) near 57 and ATR at ~6 pips leave this as a slow grind inside 0.7105–0.7126.
Support: 0.71107, 0.71052, 0.7100
Resistance: 0.71259, 0.7134
What it said to watch
Loss of the 0.71107 swing low breaks the higher-low chain and puts the 0.71052 pre-ny low back in play
A close above the 0.71259 session high reopens the 0.71340 pre-fomc shelf
RBA Governor Bullock at 23:30 GMT is the next event risk and can reset this intraday range
Failure to hold the round number at 0.71000 would invalidate the recovery structure
Post-FOMC flush to the 0.70744 24h low was followed by a slow higher-low grind through Asia and London, and NY opened with a push to 0.71259 that was rejected inside the first hour. Price has since compressed into a 0.71107–0.71259 range, with the range low holding twice and ATR(14) down to ~6 pips.
Support: 0.71107, 0.71052, 0.70744
Resistance: 0.71259, 0.7136
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.71259 session high would extend the recovery leg toward the 0.71360 pre-fomc hi
Loss of the 0.71107 range low re-opens the 0.71052 swing low and breaks the higher-low chain
RBA Bullock at 23:30 GMT is the next scheduled risk that could reset this intraday range
The post-FOMC slide to the 0.70744 prior day low was retraced through Asia and London, and NY hours produced a 0.71259 session high that was immediately rejected, price settling back to 0.71194 just above the 61.8% retracement. Structure is a shallow chain of higher lows with the 0.71100 round number and the 0.71052 swing low as the pivots underneath; ATR(14) at ~5.6 pips shows compressed intraday ranges and RSI(14) near 54 is neutral.
Support: 0.7110, 0.71052, 0.70744
Resistance: 0.71259, 0.71384
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.71259 session high would extend the recovery sequence toward the 0.71384 pre-fomc high
M15 close below 0.71052 swing low breaks the higher-low chain and reopens 0.70744
Loss of the 0.71100 round number would flip the consolidation lower
RBA Governor Bullock at 23:30 GMT is the next scheduled event risk for AUD
Higher lows off 0.70744, capped under session high.
Late NY hours yesterday saw a 60-pip flush from 0.7138 into 0.70744 on the post-FOMC dollar bid, and price has ground back up in a chain of higher lows through Asia and London. The London-NY transition tagged 0.71259 and was rejected; the last two hours are consolidating either side of the 0.71100 round number, with the 0.71340 breakdown point untested.
Support: 0.7110, 0.71052
Resistance: 0.71259, 0.7134
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.71100 puts the 0.71052 london low back in play and breaks the higher-low chain
Reclaim of the 0.71259 session high is needed for the recovery leg to extend
RBA's Bullock at 23:30 GMT is the next event risk capable of reshaping this intraday read
Higher lows since the post-FOMC low, but lower highs since 0.71259.
The FOMC hike knocked AUDUSD from 0.71384 to the 0.70744 fomc low, and Asia/London have since retraced the entire move in a shallow rising channel. The 12:00 GMT pop through the prior high at 0.71206 to 0.71259 was rejected inside two bars and price is back mid-range at 0.71153, RSI(14) near 57 with ATR(14) around 5 pips.
Support: 0.71052, 0.7100, 0.70744
Resistance: 0.71206, 0.71259, 0.71384
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.71206 on a close is needed before the 0.71259 session high is back in play
Loss of the 0.71052 swing low breaks the higher-low chain and puts the 0.71000 psych level in focus
RBA Governor Bullock at 23:30 GMT is the next scheduled event risk for AUD
The FOMC hike late in yesterday's NY session knocked the pair from 0.71384 down to 0.70744, and price has since ground back in a chain of higher lows through Asia and London, with the 0.71052 London low holding. First hour of NY spiked to a session high at 0.71259 on the firm claims/Philly Fed prints, then the move was rejected and price is back at the EMA20 near 0.7113 with RSI(14) at 52 and ATR(14) around 5.5 pips.
Support: 0.71052, 0.7100, 0.70744
Resistance: 0.71259, 0.71384
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 acceptance above the 0.71259 session high would extend the recovery leg toward the 0.71384 prior high
Loss of the 0.71052 London low breaks the higher-low chain and puts the 0.7100 round number back in focus
RBA Governor Bullock speaks 23:30 GMT — event risk that can reset this intraday range
Higher lows off the fomc low, capped under the session high.
The post-FOMC flush to the 0.70744 fomc low was fully retraced through Asia and London in a chain of higher lows, and the NY open pushed to a session high at 0.71259 before rejecting back under the 0.71206 prior high. Price is now sitting on EMA20 near 0.71128 with RSI(14) around 53 and ATR(14) at roughly 5.4 pips — the advance has flattened rather than reversed.
Support: 0.71052, 0.7100, 0.70744
Resistance: 0.71206, 0.71259
What it said to watch
Loss of the 0.71052 swing low breaks the intraday higher-low chain and re-exposes the 0.71000 round number
A close back above the 0.71206 prior high would put the 0.71259 session high back in play
RBA Governor Bullock speaks 23:30 GMT — a materially different tone could reset this intraday structure
US Pending Home Sales at 14:00 GMT lands in the next bar period
Higher lows since the post-FOMC low, capped under the session high.
The grind up from the 0.70744 post-FOMC low pushed to a 0.71259 session high just before the NY open, then stalled as firm US data (claims 196K vs 208K, Philly Fed 37.8) capped the move; price has eased to 0.71148 with RSI(14) back near 54 and both EMA20/EMA50 just below spot. Rising lows off the 0.71052 session low remain intact, ATR(14) ~6 pips, so ranging between 0.71050 and 0.71260 is the read until one edge gives.
Support: 0.71052, 0.7100
Resistance: 0.71259, 0.71384
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.71052 session low breaks the rising lows chain and exposes the 0.71000 psych level
Reclaim of the 0.71259 session high reopens the path toward the 0.71384 pre-fomc hi
RBA Bullock speech at 23:30 GMT and US Pending Home Sales at 14:00 GMT can reset this intraday range
Grinding higher-low chain off the 24h low at 0.70744 carried into NY, but the pop to 0.71243 was rejected inside the hour as the firm US claims and Philly Fed prints re-supported the dollar. Price is now consolidating in a tight 0.71140-0.71200 band just above EMA20, RSI(14) mid-50s with ATR near 5 pips.
Support: 0.71062, 0.7100, 0.70744
Resistance: 0.71243, 0.7134
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.71062 swing low breaks the rising support chain
Reclaim of the 0.71243 session high needed to extend the recovery leg
Loss of the 0.71000 psych level puts the 0.70744 24h low back in play
RBA Bullock at 23:30 GMT is the next scheduled event risk for this pair
Higher lows since 0.70744, capped by NY session high.
The 18:00 GMT FOMC hike drove a fast 64-pip slide to the 0.70744 swing low; Asia and London have retraced about two-thirds of it in a chain of higher lows. First hour of NY tagged the session high at 0.71259 on softer dollar tone, then rejected straight back under 0.7120 — RSI(14) near 56, ATR(14) around 5 pips, so ranges are compressing again into the London-NY transition.
Support: 0.71052, 0.7100, 0.70744
Resistance: 0.71259, 0.71384
What it said to watch
Loss of the 0.71052 session low breaks the higher-low chain and puts the 0.71000 psych handle back in play
A close above the 0.71259 session high extends the retracement toward the 0.71384 prior high
RBA Governor Bullock speaks 23:30 GMT — an outsized repricing risk for this intraday structure
Higher highs / higher lows off the post-FOMC low, stalling under the session high.
AUDUSD has ground higher in a shallow HH/HL chain since the post-FOMC flush to 0.70744, with the NY-session pop on the firm claims/Philly Fed prints topping out at 0.71259 before fading back to 0.7117. RSI(14) near 58 and ATR(14) around 5 pips — corrective grind, price holding above the ema20 at 0.71135.
Support: 0.71135, 0.71052, 0.70744
Resistance: 0.71259, 0.71384
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 0.71259 session high would extend the recovery leg toward the pre-fomc high at 0.71384
A close below the 0.71052 swing low breaks the higher-low chain and the rising support line
RBA Governor Bullock at 23:30 GMT is the next scheduled AUD risk event and could reset this intraday read
Higher lows since the FOMC flush, capped under 0.7126.
Price has ground back up in a chain of higher lows from the 0.70744 session low left by yesterday's hawkish Fed hike, reclaiming the 0.7100 round number and both EMAs. The first hour of NY pushed to a 0.71259 session high and was rejected into the 12:30 GMT claims/Philly Fed prints, with RSI(14) near 59 and ATR(14) at just under 5 pips.
Support: 0.71052, 0.7100, 0.70744
Resistance: 0.71259, 0.71384
What it said to watch
Acceptance above the 0.71259 session high would extend the higher-low chain toward the 0.71384 prior high
A close back below the 0.71052 swing low breaks the recovery structure and puts the 0.7100 round number back in play
RBA Governor Bullock at 23:30 GMT is the next AUD-specific catalyst and could reset this intraday read
The hawkish Fed hike sliced ~64 pips off AUDUSD into the 0.70744 window low, but the pair has ground back through Asia and London in a chain of higher lows and reclaimed the 0.7100 psych level. The NY-open push broke the 0.7117 shelf and stalled at the 0.71259 session high, roughly a 72% retracement of the FOMC leg, with price now flat just above EMA20 and RSI(14) near 58.
Support: 0.71052, 0.7100, 0.70744
Resistance: 0.71259, 0.71384
What it said to watch
Acceptance above the 0.71259 session high exposes the 0.71384 pre-fomc hi
A close back below 0.71052 session low breaks the higher-low chain and puts the 0.7100 psych level back in play
RBA Governor Bullock at 23:30 GMT is the next AUD catalyst and could reset this intraday read
Higher highs / higher lows off the post-FOMC low, first rejection at session high.
The hawkish Fed hike dumped AUDUSD from 0.71384 to the 0.70744 fomc low late in yesterday's NY session; Asia and London have since ground back up in a chain of higher lows, breaking the 0.71206 prior high into a 0.71259 session high. That push was rejected immediately, with price back at 0.71162 as the 12:30 GMT US claims/Philly Fed prints hit — ATR(14) at ~5 pips, RSI(14) mid-50s, no extreme.
Support: 0.71052, 0.7100, 0.70744
Resistance: 0.71259, 0.7134
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.71259 session high extends the higher-high chain toward 0.71340 pre-fomc supply
Loss of the 0.71052 swing low breaks the rising-lows sequence and puts the 0.71000 round number back in play
RBA Governor Bullock at 23:30 GMT is the next scheduled AUD catalyst and can reset this intraday range
12:47 UTC
Recovery uptrend, stalling at session high · RSI 55 · price 0.71162
Higher lows since the FOMC flush, capped 0.71259.
AUDUSD has ground back in a chain of higher lows since the hawkish FOMC hike smashed it from 0.71384 to 0.70744 late in yesterday's NY session, with London holding the 0.71000 psych pivot. The 12:00 GMT push into 0.71259 was rejected inside two bars and price is back at 0.71162, RSI(14) mid-range at 55 and ATR(14) around 5 pips.
Support: 0.71052, 0.7100, 0.70744
Resistance: 0.71206, 0.71259, 0.71384
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.71259 would extend the higher-low chain past the session high
Loss of 0.71052 session low, then the 0.71000 psych pivot, ends the recovery structure
US jobless claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 GMT is landing on the current bar and can drive the next leg
RBA's Bullock at 23:30 GMT is the next AUD-specific catalyst and could reset this range
Higher-high / higher-low chain off the post-FOMC low, prior session high 0.71206 cleared.
AUDUSD has ground back a little over 75% of yesterday's 18:00 UTC FOMC slide (0.71384 to 0.70744), and the NY open pushed through the London high at 0.71206 to a session high of 0.71259 with RSI(14) near 63 — hot but not extended. Structure is a clean rising chain of higher lows from the asian low at 0.70825 through 0.71052; next supply sits at the pre-FOMC congestion around 0.71340.
Support: 0.71052, 0.7100, 0.70825
Resistance: 0.71259, 0.7134
What it said to watch
US claims / Philly Fed cluster at 12:30 UTC lands on the current bar and can immediately invalidate the breakout
A close back under the 0.71052 swing low breaks the rising support chain
Loss of the 0.71000 psych pivot puts the 0.70825 asian low back in frame
Failure to hold above the 0.71206 London high would mark the NY push as a false break
RBA Governor Bullock at 23:30 GMT is the next AUD-specific catalyst
Higher lows since the FOMC flush, breaking to a new session high.
Late London hours pushed AUDUSD through the 0.71206 micro-pivot to a session high of 0.71259, retracing roughly three-quarters of yesterday's hawkish-Fed drop from 0.71384 to 0.70744. Chain of higher lows intact since 0.71052, RSI(14) near 63 with ATR at ~4.7 pips.
Support: 0.71052, 0.7100, 0.70744
Resistance: 0.71259, 0.71384
What it said to watch
US jobless claims and Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC land in the next bar and can reset this intraday read
Sustained trade above the 0.71259 session high opens the 0.71384 pre-fomc hi
Loss of the 0.71052 swing low breaks the higher-low sequence and puts the 0.71000 psych level back in focus
12:17 UTC
Grinding recovery off the post-FOMC low · RSI 57 · price 0.71175
Higher lows since 0.70744, capped under 0.71206 session high.
The hawkish Fed hike sliced AUDUSD from 0.71384 to 0.70744 in five bars, and Asia/London has since ground back two-thirds of that leg in a shallow channel of higher lows. Price stalled at the 0.71206 session high, pulled back to 0.71052, and the last bar snapped 9 pips higher into 0.71175 with RSI(14) near 57 — mid-range, no extreme.
Support: 0.71052, 0.7100, 0.70744
Resistance: 0.71206, 0.71384
What it said to watch
US claims / Philly Fed cluster lands minutes after this bar and can reprice the whole intraday range
M15 close below 0.71052 swing low breaks the higher-low chain and re-exposes the 0.7100 round number
Acceptance above the 0.71206 session high opens the path back to the 0.71384 pre-fomc hi
Loss of 0.7100 on a closing basis puts the 0.70744 post-fomc lo back in play
Higher lows off the post-fomc low, capped under session high.
AUDUSD has clawed back roughly two-thirds of the 0.71384–0.70744 post-FOMC drop, London hours stacking higher lows above 0.7100 and the latest bar popping to 0.71187, right back under the 0.71206 session high. RSI(14) near 58 and ATR(14) about 4.5 pips — ranges are thin as the London-NY transition begins, with 0.71052 the last defended swing low.
Support: 0.71052, 0.7100, 0.70744
Resistance: 0.71206, 0.71384
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.71206 session high would extend the higher-low chain
Loss of the 0.71052 swing low breaks the rising support line
Close below the 0.7100 psych pivot re-exposes the 0.70744 post-fomc low
US jobless claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC can reprice this range within a bar or two
RBA's Bullock at 23:30 GMT is the next AUD-specific catalyst
Compressing range 0.71052-0.71206 inside yesterday's FOMC impulse.
Yesterday's FOMC hike drove AUDUSD from 0.71384 down to a 0.70744 post-fomc low; the Asian and London hours have ground it back into a 0.71052-0.71206 band, with lower highs building since the 0.71206 session high and a rejection at the 0.71171 prior high. RSI(14) 46, price slipped back under EMA20 while holding above EMA50, and ATR(14) has compressed to ~3.6 pips ahead of the US data cluster.
Support: 0.71052, 0.7100, 0.70744
Resistance: 0.71171, 0.71206
What it said to watch
US jobless claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 GMT lands in the next bar and would break the current ATR compression
A 15m close below the 0.71000 psych level re-opens the 0.70744 post-fomc low
Reclaiming the 0.71171 prior high and then the 0.71206 session high invalidates the lower-highs sequence
Range between 0.71052 and 0.71206 after post-FOMC flush.
The hawkish Fed hike at 18:00 UTC dumped price 64 pips to 0.70744, and the grind back stalled at the 0.71206 session high, which was rejected before a chain of lower highs into London. Price is now pinned around 0.7109 between the 0.71052 session low and the 0.71171 swing high, RSI(14) mid-40s and ATR(14) compressed to ~4 pips.
Support: 0.71052, 0.7100, 0.70744
Resistance: 0.71171, 0.71206
What it said to watch
US claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC lands inside the next bar and can break this range immediately
M15 close below the 0.71052 session low exposes the 0.7100 psych pivot and the 0.70744 fomc low
Reclaim of 0.71171 swing high and then 0.71206 session high invalidates the lower-highs sequence
A 64-pip slide during late NY hours on the broad USD safe-haven bid bottomed at 0.70744, and the Asian session ground back to 0.71206 before stalling. London has held a tight 0.7106-0.7121 range with a chain of lower highs; last close 0.7107 sits at the range low, under EMA20, RSI(14) near 43 and ATR only ~4 pips.
Support: 0.71062, 0.7100, 0.70877
Resistance: 0.71171, 0.71206, 0.7134
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.71062 range low confirms a lower low and exposes the 0.7100 round number
Reclaim of 0.71171 range high is needed to put the 0.71206 asian high back in play
Deeper unwind would put the 0.70877 prior base back in focus
USD headline flow (Hormuz/US-Iran) remains the dominant intraday driver and can reset this range quickly
5-hour range 0.7106-0.7120 after sharp late-NY drop and Asian/London rebound; lower highs into NY open.
Late-NY hours yesterday saw a 64-pip flush from 0.7138 to 0.7074 on the broad USD bid, with Asia and early London grinding the pair back to 0.7121 before supply capped it. Since then price has ranged 0.7106-0.7120, printing lower highs into the NY open with RSI(14) at 43 and ATR(14) only 3.4 pips — no structural break yet.
Support: 0.7106, 0.7100, 0.7074
Resistance: 0.7117, 0.7121
What it said to watch
15m close below the 0.7106 range low confirms a lower low and puts the 0.7100 round number in play
Reclaim of 0.7117 and a push through the 0.7121 session high invalidates the lower-highs read
NY open liquidity is the usual trigger for this range to resolve; no AUD or US releases in the window