AUD/USD AI Live Scan, 1-hour chart, Friday, 23 October 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the AUD/USD 1-hour chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
20:03 UTC
Uptrend, pressing week high · RSI 66 · price 0.70364
Higher lows since Thursday into a three-touch cap at 0.7036–0.7038.
The week impulse ran from Tuesday's 0.6970 low through 0.7000 in Tuesday's NY session, then capped at 0.7036 on Wednesday and again in Thursday's Asian session. Thursday's dip to the thursday low at 0.6994 followed the contracting Australian PMIs and held near the 61.8% retracement. Friday's NY session absorbed the US PMI beat and built a third, higher low at the friday low of 0.7004, lifting price back above ema20 to a marginal new week high at 0.7038 with RSI(14) firm in the mid-60s.
Support: 0.7026, 0.7004, 0.6994
Resistance: 0.7038, 0.7045, 0.7070
What it said to watch
H1 closes above 0.7045 would clear the triple cap and open the res band toward the band top at 0.7070
A slip back under ema20 near 0.7026 would return price to the 0.7004–0.7036 range
A break of the friday low at 0.7004 would breach the higher-low trendline; losing the thursday low at 0.6994 would also break the 61.8% of the week impulse
Weekend oil and Middle East headlines are gap risk for the Monday open
Wed Q3 CPI (f/c 4.2% y/y) and the FOMC decision are the scheduled catalysts for the 0.7045–0.7070 band
19:03 UTC
Uptrend since Tuesday, capped at week high · RSI 66 · price 0.70353
Higher lows pressing a flat 0.7036 ceiling.
AUD/USD has climbed from Tuesday's 0.6970 Asia-session low on hawkish RBA repricing. The 0.7035-0.7036 week high has capped Wednesday's London session, Thursday's Asia open and now Friday's NY session. Thursday's risk-off dip held at the 0.6994 thursday low, near the 61.8% retracement of the week's impulse. Friday's 0.7004 low then printed a higher low, and price is compressing against the ceiling. Price holds above the EMA(20) near 0.7025, and RSI(14) sits in the mid-60s, short of overbought on this fourth test of the high.
Support: 0.7025, 0.7004, 0.6994
Resistance: 0.7036, 0.7045
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.7036 week high breaks the range top and brings the 0.7045-0.7070 res band into view
Loss of the ema20 at 0.7025 returns price to the middle of the range
A break below the 0.7004 friday low erases the higher-low line, and a break below the 0.6994 thursday low exposes the 0.6970 week low
RBA Gov Bullock and AU CPI early Wednesday, then FOMC later that day, could materially shift this read
Higher lows inside a 0.6994–0.7036 range capped by the week high.
AUD/USD rallied from Tuesday's 0.6970 Asia low to a 0.7036 week high on Wednesday as Hauser's hawkish RBA comments lifted November hike pricing. Thursday's oil and US-Iran risk-off pullback found support at the thursday low of 0.6994, near the 61.8% retracement of that rally. Friday's NY-session rebound ran through the US PMI beat and has returned price to the week high above the ema20, but RSI(14) near 66 is well below Wednesday's ~76 at the same level, a bearish divergence at the range top.
Support: 0.7025, 0.70044, 0.69936
Resistance: 0.70361, 0.7045
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.7036 week high breaks the range top and opens the 0.7045 resist band
Loss of the ema20 near 0.7025 and the 0.7004 friday low would expose the thursday low at 0.6994 and the rising lows trendline
A further rejection at 0.7036 with RSI holding below Wednesday's peak confirms the bearish divergence
Bullock speech and AU CPI at 00:30 UTC Wed, then the FOMC decision later Wednesday, could materially shift this read
17:03 UTC
Uptrend stalled into a range below the week high · RSI 61 · price 0.70298
0.6994–0.7036 range after Tuesday's impulse, higher lows Thursday to Friday.
Tuesday's NY-session impulse from the 0.6970 low carried through Wednesday's London session into the 0.7036 week high. Since then the pair has ranged below that level, with the RBA hike repricing offset by Thursday's PMI contraction and risk-off. Thursday's dip to 0.6994, the thursday low, held near the 61.8% fib of the move and above 0.7000 psych, and Friday's low at 0.7004 printed a higher low. Price recovered through the ema20 during Friday's London-NY transition, absorbed the US PMI beat, and is now retesting the week high for a fourth time.
Support: 0.7022, 0.7004, 0.6994
Resistance: 0.7036, 0.7045
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.7036 week high breaks the range and brings the 0.7045 res band into view
Rejection at the week high with a close back below the ema20 at 0.7022 keeps the range read intact
Break of the higher lows line and the 0.7004 friday low, then 0.6994 thursday low, shifts structure to lower lows below 0.7000 psych
Bullock speech and AU CPI (Wed 00:15/00:30 UTC), then FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC, could materially shift this read
0.6994–0.7036 range after Tuesday impulse; higher lows pressing range top.
Tuesday's London-to-NY rally lifted AUDUSD from 0.6970 to the 0.7036 week high. Price has since ranged 0.6994–0.7036, and the thursday low held near the 61.8% retracement of that leg. Friday's NY session brought a third test of 0.7036 despite the US PMI beat, supported by higher lows and the ema20 near 0.7022, but RSI(14) is near 63, below Wednesday's reading at a similar high.
Support: 0.7022, 0.7004, 0.6994
Resistance: 0.7036, 0.7045
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.7036 week high breaks the range top and opens the 0.7045 res zone cited in the digest
Loss of the higher-lows line and the 0.7004 friday low turns focus back to the range floor
Break below the 0.6994 thursday low (61.8% retracement) undoes the Tuesday impulse structure
RBA Bullock speech and Q3 CPI (Wed 28 Oct, 00:15/00:30 UTC), then FOMC later Wednesday, could materially shift this read
15:03 UTC
Uptrend, paused in a range below week high · RSI 62 · price 0.70303
0.6994–0.7036 range after a Tue–Thu impulse; higher low Friday.
AUDUSD built the week's impulse from Tuesday's 0.6970 low to Thursday's 0.7036 week high on hawkish-RBA repricing and a softer USD. It then rotated into a 0.6994–0.7036 range, where Thursday's false break under 0.7000 held near the 61.8% fib. Friday's higher low at 0.7004 and a climb back above EMA(20) at 0.7021 into the London-NY transition have returned price to the range top, with firm US PMI and Michigan beats producing only a brief dip to 0.7022 in the first hour of NY. RSI(14) at 62 is lower than at the earlier highs, so this third test of 0.7036 comes with softer momentum.
Support: 0.7021, 0.70044, 0.69936
Resistance: 0.70361, 0.7045
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.7036 week high breaks the range ceiling and exposes the 0.7045-0.7070 resistance zone (res zone at 0.7045)
Rejection at 0.7036 and a close back below EMA(20) at 0.7021 breaks the higher-lows line and returns price to mid-range
Failure to hold the 0.7004 friday low, then the 0.6994 range low near the 61.8% fib, would unwind most of the week's impulse
Q3 CPI (Wed 00:30 UTC) and the FOMC decision (Wed 18:00 UTC) could materially shift this read; Durable Goods Tue is the last US input before the Fed
Tuesday's rally from the 0.6970 Asia low ran to a 0.7036 week high early Thursday, carried by hawkish RBA repricing and a softer USD. The Thursday London-session pullback held near the 61.8% level of that rally fib at the 0.6994 thu low. Higher lows since then at 0.6994 and the 0.7004 fri low have lifted price back above EMA(20) at 0.7019 into the NY session, and it is now retesting the week high with RSI(14) near 60 and the 0.7045 res zone overhead.
Support: 0.7019, 0.7004, 0.6994
Resistance: 0.7036, 0.7045
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.7036 week high opens the 0.7045 res zone, the start of the 0.7045-0.7070 resistance cap
A drop back below EMA(20) at 0.7019 returns price to the Thursday-Friday range
Failure to hold the 0.7004 fri low breaks the higher-lows line; below the 0.6994 thu low, the 61.8% rally fib gives way
UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC today, then Wednesday's AU Q3 CPI and FOMC, could materially shift this read
Pennant below 0.7036 week high with higher lows since Thursday.
The rally from Tuesday's Asia-session low at 0.6970 carried through Tuesday NY and Wednesday London to a week high at 0.7036, driven by Hauser's hawkish RBA remarks and a softer USD. Since Thursday's Asia session H1 has compressed into a pennant. The Thursday low held the 61.8% retrace near 0.6994, and Friday's post-PMI dip found demand higher, with the Friday low at 0.7004 sitting on the 50% level. London today lifted price back above EMA(20) and through the descending line off the week high to a London high at 0.7030, with RSI(14) near 58.
Support: 0.7018, 0.70044, 0.69936
Resistance: 0.70295, 0.70361
What it said to watch
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close above the 0.7036 week high extends the rally structure and opens the 0.7045-0.7070 zone
Rejection at the 0.7030 London high and a close back below EMA(20) near 0.7018 returns price inside the pennant
Failure to hold the 0.7004 Friday low and the rising line from Thursday exposes the 0.6994 Thursday low at the 61.8% retrace
Post-rally pennant: lower highs from 0.7036, higher lows from 0.6994.
AUDUSD rallied from Tuesday's 0.6970 low to a 0.7036 week high in Thursday's Asia session on hawkish RBA repricing and a softer USD. It then slipped during London hours to the Thursday low at 0.6994, near the 61.8% fib of the week's rally. Since then price has compressed between lower highs at 0.7024 and a higher swing low at 0.7004, oscillating around the EMA(20) at 0.7016 with RSI(14) flat near 53. Firmer US yields have capped rebounds, while the weak AU PMIs barely dented hike pricing.
Support: 0.7016, 0.7004, 0.6994
Resistance: 0.7024, 0.7036
What it said to watch
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC today could break the pennant in either direction
H1 close above the 0.7024 lower high reopens the 0.7036 week high
Failure to hold the 0.7004 swing low exposes the 0.6994 Thursday low and the 61.8% fib
A break below the higher lows trendline ends the compression read
Lower highs and higher lows inside 0.6994–0.7024 after the early-week impulse.
The rally ran from Tuesday's 0.6970 Asia-session low through Tuesday's NY open and Wednesday's London session. It printed the 0.7036 week high early Thursday, helped by hawkish RBA repricing and a softer USD. Oil-led risk-off and Thursday's flash PMI contraction stalled the advance. Since then price has compressed in a 0.6994–0.7024 range, with lower highs off the week high and the range top capping twice. Higher lows have formed at the 0.6994 thursday low, near the 61.8% of the rally fib, and the 0.7004 friday low near the 50%. Price is sitting on EMA(20), RSI(14) is flat near 54, and Bullock's 10:00 UTC remarks barely moved the bar.
Support: 0.70044, 0.7000, 0.69936
Resistance: 0.70241, 0.70361
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.7024 range top breaks the lower-highs line and puts the 0.7036 week high back in play
Failure to hold the 0.7004 friday low and 0.7000 psych breaks the higher-lows line and exposes the 0.6994 thursday low
A close below the thursday low clears the 61.8% of the rally fib and ends the pennant read
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could resolve the compression during NY hours
Lower highs vs higher lows below 0.7036 week high.
The week's impulse ran from the 0.6970 Tuesday low through 0.7000 in Tuesday's London and NY sessions. It printed a 0.7036 week high in Thursday's Asia session, driven by hawkish RBA repricing after Hauser's inflation warning. Since then H1 has compressed into lower highs and higher lows: the Thursday low at 0.6994 held the 61.8% retracement, and the Friday low at 0.7004 held near the 50% level even after the weak flash PMIs. Price is pinned to EMA(20), just under EMA(50), with RSI(14) flat near 48.
Support: 0.70044, 0.7000, 0.69936
Resistance: 0.70241, 0.70361, 0.7045
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.7024 lower high breaks the lower-highs trendline and reopens the 0.7036 week high and the 0.7045–0.7070 resistance band
Loss of the 0.7004 friday low and psych 0.7000 breaks the higher-lows sequence and exposes the 0.6994 thursday low near the 61.8% fib
RBA Gov. Bullock at 10:00 UTC, then US flash PMIs (13:45 UTC) and Michigan inflation expectations (14:00 UTC), could resolve the compression
Lower highs and higher lows since Thursday's week high.
AUDUSD ran from Tuesday's 0.6970 week low to a 0.7036 week high by Thursday's Asia open. The break of 0.7000 came in Tuesday's NY session after Hauser's inflation warning lifted RBA hike odds. Since then price has compressed into lower highs and higher lows: Thursday's London-session thu low at 0.6994 held near the 61.8% retracement of the week rally, Friday's Asia fri low at 0.7004 held near 50%, and the 0.7024 range top capped both the Thursday NY and Friday London rebounds despite the weak flash PMIs. Price now sits just under the ema20 at 0.7015 with RSI(14) near 45.
Support: 0.7004, 0.6994, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.7015, 0.7024, 0.7036
What it said to watch
Bullock at 10:00 UTC could materially shift this read through November hike odds
An H1 close above the 0.7024 range top breaks the lower highs line and exposes the 0.7036 week high
Failure to hold the 0.7004 fri low and 0.7000 breaks the higher lows sequence and puts the 0.6994 thu low in play
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM at 14:00 UTC are the NY-session risk to the compression
Contracting range 0.6994–0.7036 after the week high.
The rally from Tuesday's 0.6970 Asia-session low, driven by Hauser's inflation warning lifting RBA hike odds, peaked at the 0.7036 week high in Thursday's Asia session. Since then H1 has compressed into lower highs against a flat 0.7024 range top, with higher lows building off the thu low at 0.6994. Thursday's London dip under the 0.7000 psych level was a false break near the 61.8% retracement. Friday's asian low at 0.7004 held near the 50% level despite the weak flash PMIs. Price sits marginally above EMA(20) and EMA(50), with RSI(14) flat near 53.
Support: 0.70044, 0.7000, 0.69936
Resistance: 0.7024, 0.70361
What it said to watch
Bullock at 10:00 UTC: a shift in November hike odds away from ~57% could break the compression either way
An H1 close above the 0.7024 range top breaks the lower-highs line and exposes the 0.7036 week high
Loss of the 0.7004 asian low and 0.7000 psych breaks the higher-lows line and reopens the 0.6994 thu low
US flash PMIs (13:45 UTC) and UoM (14:00 UTC) during NY hours could move the USD side
Lower highs from 0.7036 against higher lows from 0.6994; tightening range.
The Tuesday–Wednesday impulse from 0.6970 to the 0.7036 week high was driven by hawkish RBA repricing and a softer USD. It reversed in Thursday's Asia session as the flash PMIs showed contraction and risk sentiment soured, and the pullback bottomed at the 0.6994 Thursday low, close to the 61.8% retracement of the impulse. Since then the range top at 0.7024 has capped three attempts while the Friday Asia low at 0.7004 printed a higher low. Price is pinned around a flat EMA(20) near 0.7016 with RSI(14) near 52.
Support: 0.70157, 0.70044, 0.69936
Resistance: 0.7024, 0.70361
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.7024 range top breaks the lower-high line and reopens the 0.7036 week high
Loss of the 0.7004 asia low breaks the higher-low line; below the 0.6994 thursday low the impulse retracement extends past 61.8%
RBA Gov. Bullock speaks at 10:00 UTC; a pushback on November hike odds could unwind the week's AUD repricing
US flash PMIs (13:45 UTC) and UoM inflation expectations (14:00 UTC) could break the compression during NY hours
Contracting range: lower highs vs higher lows above 0.7000.
AUDUSD cleared 0.7000 in Tuesday's NY session on RBA hike repricing and printed a 0.7036 week high into Thursday's Asia session, where a double top with Wednesday's London high capped the move. Risk-off flows and the weak flash PMIs then pulled price to a 0.6994 Thursday low during London, a brief false break of 0.7000 that was reclaimed within the hour. Since then H1 has compressed between the 0.7004 Asian low and the 0.7024 lower high, with price just under EMA(20) near 0.7014, on the 38.2% retracement of the week rally and RSI(14) in the mid-40s.
Support: 0.70044, 0.69936, 0.69704
Resistance: 0.70143, 0.7024, 0.70361
What it said to watch
H1 close below the 0.7004 Asian low and the 0.6994 Thursday low breaks the higher-lows sequence and opens the Tuesday low near 0.6970
H1 close back above EMA(20) and the 0.7024 lower high reopens the 0.7036 week high and the double top zone
RBA Gov. Bullock speaks at 10:00 UTC; hike-odds repricing could break the compression either way
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC and Michigan sentiment at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Double top at week high, ranging 0.6994-0.7024 below EMA20.
AUD/USD climbed from Monday's 0.6969 low to a 0.7036 week high, but the second test of that level in Thursday's Asia session reversed as the flash PMIs showed contraction, completing a small double top. Since then price has ranged 0.6994–0.7024 with lower highs and now sits below EMA(20) near 0.7014, with RSI(14) near 39. Thursday's London-session dip under the 0.7000 psych level was a false break that found demand at the thursday low, in line with the 61.8% retracement of the week rally fib.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69936, 0.69685
Resistance: 0.70141, 0.7024, 0.70361
What it said to watch
Hourly close below the 0.6994 thursday low and 0.7000 psych exposes the monday low at 0.6969
Close above the 0.7024 lower high and the lower highs trendline invalidates the double top read
Bullock speech at 10:00 UTC and US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
AUD/USD rallied from Monday's 0.6969 low to a 0.7036 week high on hawkish RBA repricing. NY hours Tuesday carried it through the 0.7000 round number, and Wednesday's Asia-London leg did most of the work. Twin tops at 0.7036 then gave way to Thursday's London dip to 0.6994, which held the 61.8% retrace and the higher-low trendline. Since then price has ranged 0.7007–0.7024 under a lower high, trading below EMA(20) at 0.7016 and flat on EMA(50), with RSI(14) near 44 and the fib 38.2 at 0.7010 underneath; the soft AUD flash PMIs failed to break the range.
Support: 0.7010, 0.7000, 0.69936
Resistance: 0.7016, 0.7024, 0.70361
What it said to watch
H1 close below the 0.7000 round number and the higher-low trendline would expose the 0.6994 thu low and reopen the lower half of the week's rally
Reclaiming EMA(20) and closing above the 0.7024 lower high breaks the lower-highs sequence and brings the 0.7036 week high back into view
RBA Gov. Bullock speaks at 10:00 UTC; a reaction to the PMI slump could materially shift this read
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC are the NY-session risk for the USD leg
Lower highs from 0.7036 against higher lows off 0.6994; tight 0.7007–0.7024 range.
The Monday-to-Wednesday advance from the 0.6969 week low, led by Tuesday's NY session and Wednesday's Asia and London hours on the RBA-hike repricing, met rejection three times at the 0.7036 week high. Thursday's London slide briefly broke 0.7000 to the 0.6994 thursday low, near the 61.8% fib of the week's rally, before NY reclaimed the handle. Since then lower highs and higher lows have squeezed price into a 0.7007 range low / 0.7024 range top box, with RSI(14) near 51, price pinned between EMA(20) and EMA(50), and the soft flash Services PMI leaving little mark.
Support: 0.7007, 0.6994, 0.6969
Resistance: 0.7024, 0.7036
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.7024 range top breaks the lower-highs line and reopens the 0.7036 week high
Failure to hold the 0.7007 range low exposes 0.7000 and the 0.6994 thursday low; a break there extends the retracement of the week's rally
Loss of the 0.6994 thursday low leaves the 0.6969 week low as the remaining weekly reference
RBA Gov. Bullock speech at 10:00 UTC could materially shift this read
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC are the USD-side risk for a range break
Range 0.6994–0.7036 after Mon–Wed impulse, lower highs since Thursday.
The week's impulse ran from Monday's 0.6969 low to the 0.7036 week high. The decisive leg came in Tuesday's NY session, as Hauser's hawkish RBA comments and a softer USD lifted the pair through the 0.7000 psych level. That high has since been rejected twice, Wednesday and Thursday's Asia session, and the bounces have formed a lower high near 0.7024. Thursday's London dip to the 0.6994 thu low held almost exactly at the 61.8% retracement. After the overnight Services PMI slump to 47.8, price is chopping around 0.7012, just under the EMA(20) near 0.7015 with RSI(14) flat near 49 and the 0.7007 swing low directly below.
Support: 0.7007, 0.7000, 0.6994
Resistance: 0.7015, 0.7024, 0.7036
What it said to watch
H1 close below the 0.6994 thu low breaks the range floor and turns the two rejections at the week high into a double top
Loss of the 0.7007 swing low puts the 0.7000 psych level back in play
H1 close above the 0.7024 lower high and the lower-highs line reopens the 0.7036 week high
Reclaiming the ema20 near 0.7015 would restore the pullback-and-hold pattern seen earlier in the week
RBA Gov. Bullock speaks at 10:00 UTC today; US PMIs follow at 13:45 UTC and UoM at 14:00 UTC, and either could materially shift this read