AUD/USD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Friday, 23 October 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the AUD/USD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
20:47 UTC
Uptrend, fading into the Friday close · RSI 55 · price 0.7034
Higher highs and higher lows above the Asian range; late pullback from the session high.
NY session cleared the 0.7024 Asian high and built a higher-low chain from the 0.7011 London low. Price printed a 0.7038 session high, with the 0.7028 swing low holding at the 38.2% retrace. Firm RBA hike pricing kept AUD bid through the US PMI beat, and price is now drifting to 0.7034 in thin late-Friday trade with RSI(14) at 55 and price sitting on EMA20.
Support: 0.7028, 0.7024, 0.7011
Resistance: 0.7038, 0.7045
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.7028 swing low (38.2% fib) breaks the higher-low chain
Acceptance back under the 0.7024 Asian high turns the breakout into a false break and points back toward the 0.7011 London low
Clearance of the 0.7038 session high exposes the 0.7045 resist band
Weekend gap risk on Middle East and oil headlines at the Monday open
20:31 UTC
Intraday uptrend, momentum cooling into the close · RSI 57 · price 0.70347
NY broke above the Asian range; higher-low chain intact below the session high.
London stayed inside the 0.7004–0.7024 Asian range. NY then broke above it and stepped up to a session high of 0.70379, as hawkish RBA pricing outweighed firm US PMIs. The 0.70277 swing low held as a higher low at the 38.2% fib of the London low–session high leg. Late NY is drifting just under the high into the Friday close, with RSI(14) cooled to about 57.
Support: 0.70277, 0.70241, 0.70113
Resistance: 0.70379, 0.7045
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.70277 swing low breaks the higher-low chain and exposes the asian high at 0.7024
Acceptance above the 0.70379 session high brings the 0.7045 monthly cap into view
Failure back below the asian high would turn the NY range break into a false break, with the 0.70113 london low the next swing
Weekend gap risk ahead of next week's AU Q3 CPI and the FOMC could reset this structure at the open
20:16 UTC
Uptrend, momentum flattening into the close · RSI 61 · price 0.70355
HH/HL chain from the Asian low, tight drift under session high.
Higher lows ran from the 0.7004 Asian low through 0.7011 in London, the 0.7022 NY low and the 0.70277 swing low. The NY break of the 0.7024 Asian high carried price to a 0.70379 session high, with hawkish RBA pricing offsetting the strong US PMIs. Late Friday price has stalled just under that high in a 2–3 pip ATR drift, RSI(14) cooling to 61, with the 0.7045–0.7070 resist band overhead.
Support: 0.70277, 0.70241, 0.70221
Resistance: 0.70379, 0.7045
What it said to watch
Close below the 0.70277 swing low breaks the higher-low chain and the higher-lows trendline
Loss of the 0.7024 asian high and 0.7022 ny low returns price to the Asian range
Close above the 0.70379 session high exposes the 0.7045–0.7070 resist band
Thin late-Friday liquidity, with weekend gap risk ahead of Wed RBA CPI and FOMC
20:02 UTC
Intraday uptrend, compressing late NY · RSI 61 · price 0.70365
Asian range break higher, HH/HL chain intact.
Price held inside the 0.7004–0.7024 Asian range through London, then broke above the asian high during the NY session. The dip after the US flash PMI beat retested that level and held, and the higher lows since then have carried price to a 0.7038 session high. Late-Friday bars are tight under that high with RSI(14) near 61; AUD is holding up on hawkish RBA pricing despite the firmer dollar.
Support: 0.70277, 0.70241, 0.70044
Resistance: 0.70379, 0.7045
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.7028 swing low breaks the higher-lows trendline and the HH/HL chain
Return below the 0.7024 asian high puts price back inside the Asian range and turns the breakout into a false break
Clearance of the 0.7038 session high exposes the 0.7045 monthly high, the base of the digest's 0.7045–0.7070 band
Weekend gap risk on Middle East/oil headlines into Monday's Asia open; RBA Bullock and Q3 CPI on Wed 00:30 UTC are the next scheduled AUD catalyst
The 0.7004 asian low near 0.7000 is the floor of the session range if the breakout fails
19:46 UTC
Uptrend, compressing near highs · RSI 65 · price 0.70369
HH/HL chain above Asian range since London-NY transition.
AUD cleared the 0.7024 Asian range high in the London-NY transition and kept a higher-low chain through NY, from the ny low at 0.70221 to the 0.70277 swing low at the 38.2% fib. Price is holding just above the 0.70357 prior high and under the 0.70379 session high despite the US PMI beat. RSI(14) sits near 65 and ATR(14) is about 2.6 pips as late-Friday ranges narrow.
Support: 0.70357, 0.70277, 0.70221
Resistance: 0.70379, 0.7045
What it said to watch
A close above the 0.70379 session high opens the 0.7045 band flagged as resistance in the digest
A slip back under the 0.70357 prior high returns price to the higher-low trendline
Failure to hold the 0.70277 swing low breaks the HH/HL chain and shifts focus to the 0.70221 ny low
Thin late-Friday liquidity and weekend headline risk (oil, US-Iran) could gap the open
Bullock speech and AU CPI early Wed are the next scheduled shift risk
19:32 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into late NY · RSI 61 · price 0.70375
Higher lows from London low; Asian range high cleared, day high being pressed.
AUD/USD has stepped up through a higher-low chain since the 0.7011 London low. The pair cleared the 0.7024 Asian range high in early NY, and the post-US PMI dip at the 0.7022 pmi low was absorbed. The 0.7028 swing low sits on the 38.2% fib of the 0.7011–0.7038 leg. Price is now pressing the 0.7038 day high late Friday, with the RBA-hike bid outweighing the US flash PMI beat. RSI(14) is near 61 and ATR is only ~2.7 pips as liquidity thins.
Support: 0.70357, 0.70277, 0.70221
Resistance: 0.70379, 0.7045
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.7036 prior high undoes the late-NY breakout above it
Loss of the 0.7028 swing low breaks the higher-low line and the intraday HL chain
0.7045 res band (UOB 0.7045–0.7070) is the next overhead reference above the day high
Weekend Middle East headlines could gap the Monday open
Bullock speech and AU CPI on Wed 00:15/00:30 UTC are the next scheduled risk
HH/HL chain from Asian low, fresh session high late NY.
Higher lows have stepped up from the 0.7004 Asian low to 0.7011 in London, then 0.7022 and the 0.7028 swing low in NY. Price is now edging past the 0.7036 prior high to a 0.7038 session high on hawkish-RBA repricing. The 13:45 UTC US PMI beat briefly knocked price back from 0.7032 toward the asian high area, but the dip was absorbed within the hour and price is now basing into a thin Friday close.
Support: 0.70357, 0.70277, 0.70241
Resistance: 0.70379, 0.7040
What it said to watch
Acceptance above the 0.7040 round number extends the late-NY breakout; failure there leaves a marginal break of the prior high
Close below the 0.7028 swing low breaks the higher-low chain and the rising trendline
Loss of the asian high at 0.7024 would bring the 50% retracement near 0.7021 into play
Thin late-NY liquidity and weekend gap risk ahead of Wed's Bullock speech, AU CPI and FOMC
Higher-low chain since Asian low, equal highs at 0.7036.
The 0.7004–0.7023 Asian range gave way during the London-NY transition, as AUD held its RBA-hike support despite the US PMI beat. NY set a 0.7036 session high, held a 0.7028 swing low on the higher-low trendline, and is now retesting that high late in the Friday NY session. RSI(14) is neutral near 58 and ATR(14) has compressed to about 2.7 pips as liquidity thins.
Support: 0.70277, 0.70231, 0.70044
Resistance: 0.70359, 0.7045
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7036 session high opens the 0.7045 resist band cited in the digest
Break below the 0.7028 swing low and higher-low trendline ends the chain; the Asian high at 0.7023 is next
Loss of the Asian high puts price back inside the Asian range, with the Asian low at 0.7004 in view
Weekend gap risk at the Monday open; Bullock speech and AU CPI on Wed (00:15/00:30 UTC) are the next scheduled catalysts
Asian range broken higher in London; late NY retesting session high.
London broke the Asian high at 0.7024. The US PMI beat knocked price to the 0.7022 pmi low, and buyers absorbed the dip on firm RBA hike pricing. Late in the NY session price is pressing the 0.7036 session high a second time, with the swing low at 0.7028 holding the higher-low chain.
Support: 0.70277, 0.70221, 0.70044
Resistance: 0.70358, 0.7045
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7036 session high extends the leg toward the 0.7045 res band
Rejection at 0.7036 with a break of the 0.7028 swing low and rising trendline turns this into a double test failure
Loss of the 0.7022 pmi low reopens the Asian range, with the asian low near 0.7004
Friday close into the weekend; Bullock and AU CPI early Wed, then FOMC, could materially shift this read
18:31 UTC
Uptrend, pressing session high · RSI 59 · price 0.70348
Asian range broken higher; higher-low chain intact into late NY.
The London-NY transition broke the Asian high at 0.70241 and ran to a session high of 0.70357. RBA-hike pricing kept AUD firm despite the US manufacturing PMI beat. A late-NY pullback held 0.70277 for a higher low, and price is back testing the session high with RSI(14) near 59, not stretched.
Support: 0.70277, 0.70241
Resistance: 0.70357, 0.7045
What it said to watch
A close above the 0.70357 session high extends the HH/HL chain toward the UOB band at 0.7045.
A break below the 0.70277 higher low breaks the higher-low line and exposes the Asian high at 0.70241.
Friday close is about 2.5h out, so liquidity is thinning. Weekend gap risk runs into Bullock and AU CPI on Wed Oct 28 at 00:15/00:30 UTC.
18:16 UTC
Intraday uptrend, stalling at session high · RSI 57 · price 0.70333
Higher lows above Asian range; double test of 0.7035 high.
AUDUSD cleared the Asian high at 0.7024 into the NY session and held the gain despite the US flash PMI beat. Rising lows at 0.7011, 0.7022 and 0.7028 keep the sequence intact. A late-NY retest of the 0.7035 session high stalled, with RSI(14) neutral near 57.
Support: 0.70277, 0.70241
Resistance: 0.70357, 0.7045
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7036 session high opens the 0.7045 resist band
Break of 0.7028 swing low ends the rising lows sequence and exposes the Asian high at 0.7024, near the 38.2% asian low fib
Friday close into the weekend; Bullock and AU CPI on Wed could reprice RBA hike odds and shift this read
18:02 UTC
Intraday uptrend, late NY consolidation near highs · RSI 58 · price 0.7034
Higher lows 0.7011 → 0.7022 → 0.7028 after the Asian range break.
Price broke above the 0.7004–0.7024 Asian high in early NY hours. The US flash manufacturing PMI beat knocked it from 0.7032 to 0.7022, and that dip held as a retest above the broken Asian high before NY printed a 0.7036 session high. The late-session pullback found buyers at the 0.7028 swing low on the rising trendline, keeping the higher-low chain intact into the Friday close with RSI(14) near 58.
Support: 0.70277, 0.70241, 0.70113
Resistance: 0.70357, 0.7045
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.7028 swing low and rising trendline breaks the higher-low chain
Loss of the 0.7024 Asian high retest would expose the 0.7011 London low
Close above the 0.7036 session high opens the 0.7045 UOB band
Thin Friday-close liquidity; Bullock and AU CPI on Wed are the next scheduled catalysts
HH/HL chain from the London low; lower highs since 0.70357 pulling back onto the rising trendline.
AUD broke above the Asian high at 0.70241 in early NY on hawkish-RBA repricing, shrugging off the US PMI beat, and printed a session high at 0.70357 before fading after London close. Lower highs since then have pulled price to 0.7029, sitting on the pullback low and the rising trendline off the London low. RSI(14) is neutral near 55 and ATR(14) is compressed at about 3 pips in late-Friday trade.
Support: 0.70277, 0.70241, 0.70113
Resistance: 0.70332, 0.70357
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.70277 pullback low and the rising trendline exposes the Asian high at 0.70241, near the 50% fib of the London-low rally
Close above the 0.70332 lower high reopens the 0.70357 session high
Loss of the 0.70113 London low unwinds the NY breakout
Thin late-Friday liquidity can exaggerate wicks into the weekly close
Higher lows above Asian range, shallow late-NY pullback.
London broke the 0.7004–0.7024 Asian range higher. NY extended to a session high at 0.70357 as RBA hike pricing kept AUD firm, and the dip to the 0.70221 pmi low after the US PMI and Michigan beats was absorbed. Late NY, price is pulling back on EMA20 and rising support, holding the 0.70277 pullback low with RSI(14) back to neutral 53.
Support: 0.70277, 0.70241, 0.70221
Resistance: 0.70332, 0.70357
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.70277 pullback low and rising support breaks the higher-low chain, exposing the 0.70241 asian high
Loss of the 0.70221 pmi low would retrace more than half of the London-NY leg (0.7011–0.7036)
Close above the 0.70332 lower high reopens the 0.70357 session high
Late-Friday liquidity thinning into the weekly close may leave the pullback unresolved
17:03 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pausing after London close · RSI 56 · price 0.70299
Higher lows from the London low; Asian range broken higher, now a shallow pullback.
Firm RBA hike pricing carried AUD out of the 0.7004–0.7024 Asian range. The US PMI beat at 13:45 UTC pulled price back to retest the asian high near 0.7023, and that retest held, extending the higher-low chain to a 0.7036 session high. Price is now easing back to 0.7030 after London close, sitting on the pullback low and EMA20, with RSI(14) near 56.
Support: 0.70291, 0.70232, 0.70113
Resistance: 0.70357, 0.7045
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.7029 pullback low breaks the higher-low chain
Loss of the rising tl and the 0.7023 asian high reopens the 0.7011 london low
Close above the 0.7036 session high opens the 0.7045 resist band
Fib 38.2% of the london-ny leg sits near 0.7026, just above the asian high
Thin Friday trade after London close; Bullock and AU CPI on Wed, then the FOMC, could materially shift this read
Higher lows since London; tight consolidation under 0.7036 after Asian range break.
AUD/USD cleared the 0.7024 asian high in the London-NY transition, whipsawed on the US PMI and UoM beats, then reversed off the 0.7022 ny low to a 0.70357 session high as hawkish-RBA pricing kept the Aussie firm. After London close it is holding a 0.7029–0.7036 box above the rising trendline, with RSI(14) near 61 and ATR(14) around 4 pips.
Support: 0.70291, 0.70241, 0.70221
Resistance: 0.70357, 0.7045
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.70357 session high opens the 0.7045 band
Loss of the 0.70291 swing low and the rising trendline exposes the asian high near 0.7024, the 50% fib of the London leg
Break below the 0.7022 ny low ends the higher-low chain since London
Friday late-NY liquidity is thin, and Wed AU CPI, Bullock and FOMC carry the next major event risk
Higher-low chain from the Asian low, Asian range broken to the upside.
NY session broke the 0.70044–0.70241 Asian range and printed a 0.70357 session high. The 13:45 UTC spike to 0.70324 faded on the US PMI beat, but the dip held at a 0.70221 swing low, keeping the higher-lows trendline intact. Price is now easing after London close, with RSI(14) cooled to ~55 and the close sitting on the ema20 near 0.7028.
Support: 0.70284, 0.70241, 0.70221
Resistance: 0.70357, 0.7045
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.70221 swing low breaks the higher-low chain and the higher-lows trendline
Holding the 0.70241 asian high keeps the range breakout intact; it sits near the 38.2% of the asia-ny leg
Close above the 0.70357 session high opens the 0.7045 res band flagged in the digest
Thin late-Friday NY liquidity; the next major catalyst is Wed's Bullock speech, AU CPI and the FOMC
16:02 UTC
Intraday uptrend, stalling at the high · RSI 63 · price 0.70337
HH/HL chain above broken Asian range.
AUD cleared the Asian high at 0.7024 in the first hour of NY and extended on the US flash PMI release despite the Manufacturing beat. A retest held at 0.70221 before a new session high at 0.70357, level with the ~0.7036 monthly high. Price is compressing just below that high after London close, RSI(14) near 63 and well short of extreme.
Support: 0.70241, 0.70221, 0.70151
Resistance: 0.70357, 0.7045
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.7022 retest low and asian high puts price back inside the Asian range and breaks the HH/HL chain
Loss of the rising trendline from the 0.70151 swing low signals the NY leg is fading
Acceptance above the 0.70357 session high / monthly high opens the 0.7045-0.7070 res zone
Friday close into the weekend: thin late-NY liquidity and US-Iran/oil headlines could materially shift this read
Asian range broken higher, HH/HL chain through NY.
The 0.7004–0.7024 Asian range held through London, with the London low at 0.7011. Price broke above the Asian high in the London-NY transition and kept building higher lows through NY, despite the US PMI and Michigan beats, as hawkish-RBA pricing carries AUD. It is now testing the 0.7036 session high near the monthly high, with RSI(14) near 64 and not stretched.
Support: 0.70324, 0.70241, 0.70113
Resistance: 0.70357, 0.7045
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.7032 prior high stalls the breakout leg
Loss of the rising trendline and the 0.7024 Asian high returns price to the overnight range, with the London low at 0.7011 below
Acceptance above the 0.7036 session high brings the 0.7045 cap into play
Late-Friday NY trade thins into the weekend; Wed's AU Q3 CPI and FOMC are the next material risk to this read
HH/HL chain from the 0.7011 London low; Asian range high broken, price pressing the monthly high.
Mid-NY session, AUDUSD has extended the rally off the 0.7011 london low through the 0.7024 asian high. It is now pressing the ~0.7036 monthly high, with a session high at 0.70355. The US PMI and Michigan beats triggered a dip to 0.7023, which held at the asian high before the advance resumed. RSI(14) near 64 is not stretched.
Support: 0.7029, 0.7024, 0.7011
Resistance: 0.7036, 0.7045
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7036 monthly high opens the 0.7045 res zone
Break of the 0.7029 micro HL and the HL trendline would mark the first lower low of the NY leg
Close back below 0.7024 asian high, near the 50% london rally fib, would read as a false break
Friday late-NY liquidity thins into the weekend; RBA CPI and FOMC on Wed are the next major risk
Asian range breakout in NY, higher highs with lows holding near 0.7022.
London held inside the Asian range (0.7004–0.7024), then the NY session broke above it. The pair is now printing session highs at 0.7034 despite the US PMI and Michigan beats, with RSI(14) at 64 and not stretched. The post-PMI dip found demand at the ny swing low of 0.7022, the 38.2% retrace of the Asian low to session high leg, keeping the rising support from late London intact. Price is now testing just under the 0.7036 monthly high.
Support: 0.70221, 0.70113, 0.70044
Resistance: 0.7036, 0.7045
What it said to watch
A close above the 0.7036 monthly high opens the 0.7045-0.7070 resist zone flagged in the digest
Rejection at the monthly high followed by a close below the 0.7022 ny swing low and the rising support breaks the NY higher-low chain
Loss of the 0.7011 london low would put price back inside the Asian range, toward the 0.7004 asian low
Friday NY close and US-Iran/oil headlines carry weekend gap risk for this read
15:02 UTC
Intraday uptrend, NY breakout stalling at session high · RSI 63 · price 0.70305
Broke Asian range high, higher lows into a 0.7022–0.7033 NY range.
NY session broke the Asian high at 0.7024 and topped at a 0.7033 session high, with AUD holding up after the US PMI beat on firm RBA hike pricing. The post-Michigan dip to the 0.7022 pullback low retested the breakout and sits on the 38.2% fib of the Asian low to session high move. Demand stepped in there, keeping the rising lows intact and price just under the session high and the 0.7036 monthly high, RSI(14) ~63.
Support: 0.70241, 0.70221, 0.70113
Resistance: 0.70326, 0.7036
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7033 session high and 0.7036 monthly high extends the NY breakout
Loss of the 0.7022 pullback low and the rising lows trendline puts price back inside the Asian range, with the asian high retest failed
Below the 0.7011 london low the breakout reads as a false break
Late NY into the Friday close, with thin liquidity and no scheduled data; next week's RBA CPI and FOMC sit outside this window
14:46 UTC
Intraday uptrend, higher lows into NY · RSI 64 · price 0.70304
Broke above Asian range high, breakout zone retested twice and held.
AUD broke the 0.7024 Asian range high in the London-NY transition despite the US PMI beat, carried by RBA hike pricing, and set a 0.7032 session high. Two NY dips held the 0.7022 retest zone, the 50% level of the leg from the 0.7011 London low. Price now sits just under the session high, a few pips below the 0.7036 monthly high.
Support: 0.70222, 0.70151, 0.70113
Resistance: 0.70324, 0.7036
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7036 monthly high extends the breakout leg
Close back below the 0.7022 retest zone puts price back inside the Asian range and turns the breakout into a false break
Break of rising support toward the 0.7015 swing low ends the higher-low chain; the 0.7011 london low is the next reference
US-Iran or oil headlines into the Friday close could shift the read for risk-sensitive AUD
Higher lows off the Asian low; false break above the Asian high.
The US flash manufacturing PMI beat (56 vs 55.6) at 13:45 UTC spiked AUDUSD to a 0.7032 session high, but the move faded inside two bars. That left a false break above the 0.7024 Asian high. Price now sits on the 38.2% retrace of the 0.7004–0.7032 leg, just under EMA20, with rising support from the Asian low intact near 0.7020.
Support: 0.70184, 0.70113, 0.70044
Resistance: 0.7024, 0.70324, 0.7036
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.7024 Asian high reopens the 0.7032 session high and the 0.7036 monthly high
Loss of rising support and the 50% fib at 0.7018 shifts focus to the 0.7011 London low
Break below the 0.7004 Asian low ends the higher-low sequence
Oil and US-Iran headlines into the Friday NY close could materially shift this read
14:16 UTC
Intraday uptrend, first fade off highs · RSI 65 · price 0.70281
Higher-low chain from the London low; Asian range high broken, NY open pullback.
The London leg built higher lows off the 0.7011 london low and broke the 0.7004–0.7024 Asian range at 12:15 UTC, with soft-USD flows behind the move. The 13:45 UTC US flash PMI bar spiked to a 0.7032 session high. The 14:00 bar then rejected it back toward 0.7026, and price is still holding above the rising trendline and the broken asian high.
Support: 0.7024, 0.70194, 0.70113
Resistance: 0.70324, 0.7036
What it said to watch
Close back below the 0.7024 asian high puts price back inside the Asian range and weakens the breakout
Close above the 0.7032 session high opens the 0.7036 monthly high
Break of the rising trendline and the 61.8% fib near 0.7019 exposes the 0.7011 london low
US data reaction during NY hours could extend the rejection off the session high
14:02 UTC
Intraday uptrend, higher lows since 05:15 UTC · RSI 67 · price 0.70309
Asian range high broken, HH/HL chain into NY.
AUD/USD cleared the 0.7024 asian high late in London. It then printed a 0.7032 session high on the 13:45 UTC bar, coinciding with the US flash PMIs, with soft USD and RBA hike pricing behind the bid. Rising lows from 0.7004 through the 0.7011 london low and the 0.7015 swing low remain intact. The 0.7036 monthly high sits just overhead.
Support: 0.7024, 0.70151, 0.70113
Resistance: 0.70324, 0.7036, 0.7045
What it said to watch
UoM sentiment and inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read early in the NY session
Rejection near the 0.7036 monthly high or the 0.7045 resist cap would leave the 0.7032 session high as a lower-timeframe top
M15 close back below the 0.7024 asian high turns the breakout into a false break
Break of the rising lows trendline and the 0.7015 swing low ends the HH/HL chain; the london low at 0.7011 is next
13:46 UTC
Intraday uptrend, higher lows since Asia · RSI 61 · price 0.70246
Range break above 0.7023 ceiling, retest holding.
The rally off the 0.7004 Asian low built a chain of higher lows through London. Early NY broke the 0.7023–0.7024 range top that had capped price since yesterday's NY session and tagged a 0.70295 session high. The pullback has so far held the range top on the retest, with the USD soft for a fourth day.
Support: 0.70228, 0.70151, 0.70044
Resistance: 0.70295, 0.7036
What it said to watch
US flash PMIs (13:45 UTC, current bar) and UoM at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close back below the 0.7023 range top turns the break into a false break
Loss of the 0.70151 swing low breaks the higher-lows trendline
Close above the 0.70295 session high opens the path to the 0.7036 monthly high
Higher lows from Asian low, break above Asian high now retesting.
Asia held a 0.7004–0.7024 range. London printed a higher low at 0.7011, then the NY morning broke the Asian high to a 0.70295 session high as USD stayed soft. Price is retesting 0.7024 from above, RSI(14) near 62, with the higher-lows trendline from the Asian low intact.
Support: 0.7024, 0.70113, 0.70044
Resistance: 0.70295, 0.7036
What it said to watch
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read within the next bar
M15 close back below the 0.7024 asian high turns the breakout into a false break and puts the 0.7011 london low back in focus
50–61.8% of the london leg fib (0.7020–0.7018) sits just under the breakout retest zone
A break above the 0.70295 session high opens the path to the 0.7036 monthly high
Loss of the higher-lows trendline and the 0.7004 asian low breaks the intraday HL chain
Higher lows since 0.7004; range top at 0.7023 broken, now being retested.
The NY session pushed AUDUSD through the 0.7023 range top that had capped the prior NY, Asia and London highs, tagging 0.70295 before the 13:00 bar gave the move back to retest the range top. The rally from 0.7004 still prints higher lows along the trend line, now near 0.7018. A soft USD is the backdrop heading into the US flash PMIs.
Support: 0.70225, 0.7018, 0.70113
Resistance: 0.70295, 0.7036
What it said to watch
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
An M15 close back below 0.7022 turns the range break into a false break
Loss of the trend line near 0.7018 and the 0.7011 london low would break the higher-low chain
A close above the 0.70295 ny high opens the path to the 0.7036 monthly high
13:03 UTC
Intraday uptrend, extended into NY open · RSI 71 · price 0.70271
Higher-low chain from London low, range top broken.
In the London-NY transition AUD/USD cleared the 0.7023–0.7025 range top that capped Thursday NY, the overnight session and London. It printed a session high at 0.70295 off rising lows from the 0.70113 London low, with a soft USD backdrop helping. RSI(14) is near 71, hot but not stretched, and the 0.70183 higher low anchors the chain.
Support: 0.70245, 0.70183, 0.70113
Resistance: 0.70295, 0.7036
What it said to watch
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close back below the 0.70245 range top would mark the break as a false break
Loss of the 0.70183 higher low breaks the rising-lows chain and reopens the 0.70113 London low
Acceptance above the 0.70295 session high puts the 0.7036 monthly high in play
12:46 UTC
Intraday uptrend, higher lows since London · RSI 68 · price 0.70245
Pressing above the 24h range top at 0.7024.
From the 0.7011 London low, price has printed a chain of higher lows into the London-NY transition. It is now pressing just above the 0.7024 prior high that capped Thursday NY and the Asian range, with RSI(14) at 68 and not stretched. The soft USD tone and falling yields frame the grind, and the 50% retrace of the 0.7004–0.7026 leg sits at the 0.7015 higher low.
Support: 0.7024, 0.70151, 0.70113
Resistance: 0.70256, 0.7030, 0.7036
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.7024 prior high turns the push into a false break inside the 24h range
Loss of the 0.7015 higher low breaks the London trendline and the higher-low chain
Clearance of the 0.7026 session high leaves the 0.7030 round number and 0.7036 monthly high as the next levels
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
12:31 UTC
Uptrend, pressing session high · RSI 66 · price 0.70232
Higher lows since Asia, testing 0.7024 cap.
A higher-low chain from the asian low at 0.70044, the london low at 0.70113 and a higher low at 0.70151 has lifted AUDUSD into the London-NY transition. Price is pressing the 0.7024 area, now the session high at 0.70246, which also capped yesterday and the 06:15 UTC push. AUD firmed after the 10:00 UTC Bullock speech despite weak flash PMIs, and RSI(14) is near 66, warm rather than stretched.
Support: 0.70151, 0.70113, 0.70044
Resistance: 0.70246, 0.7036
What it said to watch
A sustained M15 hold above the 0.70246 session high opens the path toward the 0.7036 monthly high
A rejection at the session high and a loss of the 0.70151 higher low would break the rising lows
A close below the 0.70113 london low voids the uptrend read and puts the 0.70044 asian low back in play
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read in the first hour of NY
12:16 UTC
Sideways, higher lows into range top · RSI 66 · price 0.70218
0.7004–0.7024 range, HL chain since London low.
AUD holding near 0.70 despite the weak AU PMIs. The pair is grinding higher lows off the 0.70113 london low into the 0.7023–0.7024 range top, where the asian high and prior-day high have capped price on repeated tests. The latest higher low sits at 0.70151, and RSI near 66 is firm but not stretched.
Support: 0.70151, 0.70113, 0.70044
Resistance: 0.70241, 0.7036
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.70241 asian high breaks the range top and puts the 0.7036 monthly high in view
Loss of the 0.70151 higher low returns focus to the london low at 0.70113, and a break below the 0.70044 asian low voids the range
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM sentiment and inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
12:02 UTC
Sideways, higher lows building · RSI 55 · price 0.70201
Contracting inside Asian range, higher lows under a flat cap.
AUDUSD remains inside the 0.7004–0.7024 Asian range. London capped at 0.7023 under the Asian high, dipped to the 0.7011 London low and recovered to 0.7020 into the London-NY transition. Lows have risen from the Asian low along a rising trendline under a flat cap, compressing the range ahead of the US flash PMIs.
Support: 0.70151, 0.70113, 0.70044
Resistance: 0.70241, 0.7036
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7024 Asian high breaks the range top and opens the path to the 0.7036 monthly high
Loss of the rising trendline near 0.7015 and the 0.7011 London low would expose the 0.7004 Asian low
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM sentiment at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower highs vs higher lows inside the 0.7011–0.7024 London range.
Price rallied from the 0.7004 Asian low to 0.7024 before London, matching yesterday's NY high, and that 24h high has capped price since. London is now coiling between a lower high near 0.7020 and a higher low at 0.7015, above the 0.7011 london low, which sits at the 61.8% retrace of the Asian rally. Bullock's 10:00 UTC remarks left no visible mark, and AUD is holding firm despite yesterday's PMI slump.
Support: 0.70151, 0.70113, 0.70044
Resistance: 0.70203, 0.70241
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7020 lower high breaks the lower-highs line and puts the 0.7024 24h high back in play
Loss of the 0.7015 higher low reopens the 0.7011 london low, then the 0.7004 asian low and the 0.7000 handle
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could break the compression in the first hour of NY
24h range 0.7004–0.7024, late-London compression mid-range.
AUDUSD has spent 24h boxed between the Asian low at 0.7004 and a 0.7024 range top, rejected in NY, late Asia and again at 08:15 UTC in London. Late London is compressing under a line of lower highs near 0.7020, with the London low at 0.7011 holding at the 61.8% retrace of the Asian rally. Bullock's 10:00 UTC speech left little mark, and RSI near 50 with ATR around 3 pips points to a quiet tape.
Support: 0.70113, 0.70044, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7020, 0.7024
What it said to watch
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could break the range during NY hours
M15 close above the 0.7024 range top ends the four-time rejection pattern
Loss of the 0.7011 London low exposes the 0.7004 Asian low and the 0.7000 psych handle
Break of the lower highs line near 0.7020 lifts the compression back into the range top
11:16 UTC
Sideways, compressing below range top · RSI 46 · price 0.70168
0.7004–0.7024 range; London lower highs vs higher low.
Late London, AUDUSD is compressing inside the 0.7004–0.7024 range. The 0.7024 range top has capped five times since yesterday's NY session, and London printed lower highs at 0.7023 and then 0.7020 against a higher low at 0.7011, the London low. AUD is shrugging off yesterday's PMI contraction while RBA hike pricing holds near 57%, so price is sitting flat around EMA20 ahead of the US data.
Support: 0.70113, 0.70044, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70203, 0.70241
What it said to watch
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could break the compression during the first hour of NY
M15 close above the 0.7020 lower high, then the 0.7024 range top, would invalidate the range read
A loss of the 0.7011 London low exposes the 0.7004 Asian low and the 0.7000 psych handle
A break of the higher-lows trendline would end the Asia-to-London recovery structure
The 0.7023–0.7024 range top has capped AUDUSD four times in 24h, most recently a rejection at 08:15 UTC in London that sent price to the 0.7011 London low. Bullock at 10:00 UTC only produced a stall at the 0.7020 Bullock high. Price sits mid-range, with higher lows building off the 0.7004 Asian low.
Support: 0.70113, 0.70044
Resistance: 0.70203, 0.70241
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7024 range top breaks the 24h range
Loss of the 0.7011 London low breaks the higher-lows sequence and exposes the 0.7004 Asian low
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
10:46 UTC
Sideways, rotating inside Asian range · RSI 51 · price 0.70189
Range 0.7004–0.7024, higher low at 0.7011.
London capped four times at the 0.7023–0.7024 range top, matching the Asian high, then slipped to the 0.7011 london low near the 61.8% of the Asian rally before rebuilding to 0.7019 into Bullock's remarks. AUD has absorbed the flash PMI contraction, holding above the asian low at 0.7004 and the 0.7000 psych level, with ATR(14) near 3.7 pips.
Support: 0.70113, 0.70044, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70241, 0.7035
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7024 range top opens the 0.7030–0.7035 monthly high zone
Loss of the 0.7011 london low breaks the higher-low sequence and exposes the 0.7004 asian low
Break below the asian low puts 0.7000 psych in play
Bullock's 10:00 UTC comments on November hike odds could push price out of the range
US flash PMIs 13:45 UTC and UoM inflation expectations 14:00 UTC land early in the NY session
0.7004–0.7024 range since NY yesterday; London capped below the prior high.
AUDUSD remains boxed between the 0.7004 Asian low and the 0.7024 prior high. The prior high has turned price away four times since yesterday's NY session, with London printing a slightly lower top at 0.70233 before dipping to the 0.7011 London low. Bullock's 10:00 UTC remarks drew only a muted reaction, a lower high at 0.7020, and price is back mid-range near 0.7017, with AUD holding above 0.7000 psych despite the overnight PMI contraction.
Support: 0.70113, 0.70044, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70203, 0.7024
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7024 prior high breaks the range and the lower-highs line
Loss of the 0.7011 London low exposes the 0.7004 Asian low and 0.7000 psych
US flash PMIs 13:45 UTC and UoM inflation expectations 14:00 UTC, around the NY open, could materially shift this read
10:16 UTC
Sideways, higher lows building · RSI 57 · price 0.70195
Compression under 0.7024 range top.
AUD/USD has held a 0.7004–0.7024 range through Asia and London. London saw rejection just under the Asian high at 0.7024, then printed a higher low at the 0.7011 London low and recovered to 0.7020 into Bullock's 10:00 UTC remarks, leaving price compressing beneath the range top.
Support: 0.70113, 0.70044, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70241
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7024 Asian high breaks the range top
Loss of the 0.7011 London low breaks the higher-low sequence and exposes the 0.7004 Asian low
A move through the Asian low brings the 0.7000 psych level into play
Bullock remarks are underway now; US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and Michigan sentiment at 14:00 UTC could break the range in NY hours
10:03 UTC
Sideways, flat EMAs · RSI 47 · price 0.70167
Range 0.7004–0.7024, London capped at top.
Mid-London, AUDUSD is still boxed between the 0.7004 Asian low and the 0.7024 range top. London was rejected at the range top four times, then dipped to the 0.7011 London low. That dip held near the 61.8% fib of the Asia rally, and price is now back on flat EMAs with RSI(14) neutral at 47. The weak Australian flash PMIs drew little reaction as RBA hike pricing keeps AUD supported.
Support: 0.70113, 0.70044, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70241, 0.7036
What it said to watch
RBA Gov. Bullock speaking now (10:00 UTC); a hawkish or dovish lean could break the 0.7004–0.7024 range
M15 close above the 0.7024 range top opens the 0.7036 monthly high
Loss of the 0.7011 London low exposes the 0.7004 Asian low and 0.7000 psych
US flash PMIs (13:45 UTC) and Michigan sentiment (14:00 UTC) in early NY session could shift the read
0.7004–0.7024 range since Asia; London rejected range top, lower high forming.
AUDUSD is ranging between the asian low at 0.7004 and the 0.7023–0.7024 range top, which has now capped price four times in 24h. London opened with another rejection there and slipped to 0.7011, the london low and near the 61.8% fib of the Asia rally, while RSI(14) sits at 44 with price flat around both EMAs. AUD has held above 0.7000 despite the soft flash PMIs, with RBA hike pricing still in place.
Support: 0.70113, 0.70044, 0.69936
Resistance: 0.70241
What it said to watch
Bullock speaks at 10:00 UTC; a shift in November hike pricing could break the range either way
An M15 close above the 0.7024 range top ends the 24h cap
Failure to hold the 0.7011 london low exposes the asian low at 0.7004 and the 0.7000 handle
A break below 0.7004 brings the 24h low at 0.6994 into play
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM sentiment at 14:00 UTC during NY hours
09:31 UTC
Sideways, mild downside drift in London · RSI 45 · price 0.70141
0.7004–0.7024 range, four failures at range top.
London rejected the 0.7023–0.7024 range top a fourth time and slid to a 0.7011 london low. Price now sits at 0.7014, the 50% retrace of the Asian rally off the 0.7004 asian low, below both EMAs, with AUD holding the 0.7000 psych level as RBA hike pricing offsets the weak PMIs.
Support: 0.70113, 0.70044, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70241, 0.7045
What it said to watch
Bullock speaks at 10:00 UTC; this could break either side of the range.
M15 close below the 0.7011 london low exposes the 0.7004 asian low and 0.7000 psych.
M15 close above the 0.7024 range top opens the path to the 0.7045 uob band.
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM at 14:00 UTC are the NY-session risk.
0.7004–0.7024 range; range top rejected again in London, lower highs forming.
London rejected the 0.7024 range top for a second time at 08:15 UTC and has since given back over half of the Asian low-to-high leg. Price is holding just above the 0.7011 session low and below the ema20 near 0.7016, with RSI(14) neutral around 48; the soft overnight AUD PMIs did not break the 0.7004–0.7024 range.
Support: 0.70113, 0.70044, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7016, 0.7024
What it said to watch
Bullock at 10:00 UTC is the next catalyst for a move out of the 0.7004–0.7024 range
M15 close below the 0.7011 session low exposes the asian low at 0.7004 and the 0.7000 psych level
Recovery above the ema20 near 0.7016 with a close above the 0.7024 range top invalidates the range read
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift USD tone during NY hours
09:02 UTC
Sideways, short-term pullback from range top · RSI 47 · price 0.70133
Range 0.7004–0.7024, repeated rejection at top.
Early London rejected the 0.7024 range top for a fourth time since Thursday's NY session, dropping price to 0.7013, near the 61.8% of the Asian 0.7004–0.7024 leg and back below EMA20/50. AUD has held above 0.7000 despite Thursday's flash PMI contraction as November RBA hike pricing (~57%) holds, with the 0.7010 swing low the first support under price.
Support: 0.7010, 0.70044, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7024, 0.7036
What it said to watch
Bullock at 10:00 UTC could move RBA hike odds and break the 0.7004–0.7024 range
M15 close below the 0.7010 swing low exposes the asian low at 0.7004 and the 0.7000 psych level
Close above the 0.7024 range top opens a retest of the 0.7036 monthly high
US flash PMIs 13:45 UTC and UoM 14:00 UTC during NY hours could shift the read
London range 0.7016–0.7024 capped at the Asian session high.
Asia dipped to the 0.7004 Asian low, then rebounded to a 0.7024 session high that matches Thursday's late top. London has stalled at 0.7022–0.7024 for over two hours. The latest rejection pulled price back to the 0.7016 London low, which sits on the 38.2% retrace of the Asian rebound. RSI(14) is neutral near 48 and price is pinned to EMA20 ahead of Bullock.
Support: 0.70157, 0.70044, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70241, 0.7030
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7024 session high breaks the London cap and exposes Thursday's monthly high near 0.7030
Failure to hold the 0.7016 London low opens the 50–61.8% Asian rebound fib (0.7014–0.7012) and then the 0.7004 Asian low
Loss of 0.7000 psych would flip the intraday structure to lower lows
RBA Gov. Bullock at 10:00 UTC could materially shift this read via November hike odds
US flash PMIs (13:45 UTC) and UoM sentiment (14:00 UTC) are the NY-session risk
08:31 UTC
Sideways, pressing range top · RSI 63 · price 0.70222
24h range 0.6994–0.7024, London coiling under the high.
Asia dipped to the 0.7004 asia low before a rebound into early London retested the 0.7024 24h high, now capped there for the third time since Thursday. London is coiling in a 0.7017–0.7023 band above the london low, with hike-odds support keeping AUD bid above 0.7000 despite the weak flash PMIs.
Support: 0.70166, 0.70101, 0.70044
Resistance: 0.70241, 0.7035
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7024 24h high breaks the range and exposes the 0.7035 monthly high
Loss of the 0.7017 london low puts the 0.7010 asia swing and rising trendline in play
Failure to hold the 0.7004 asia low returns price toward the 0.6994 range floor
RBA Gov. Bullock at 10:00 UTC and US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
08:17 UTC
Intraday grind higher into a flat ceiling · RSI 61 · price 0.70226
Rising lows from the Asian low compressing under the 0.7024 range top.
Early London has AUD/USD pressing the 0.7023–0.7024 range top, which has capped price five times since yesterday's NY session. Rising lows from the 0.7004 asian low through the 0.7010 higher low and the 0.7017 london low are squeezing price beneath it. The pair absorbed the weak flash PMIs on RBA hike pricing; RSI(14) sits at 61 and ATR(14) is about 4 pips.
Support: 0.70166, 0.70104, 0.70044
Resistance: 0.70241, 0.7033
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7024 range top opens the 0.7030–0.7036 monthly high zone
Loss of the 0.7017 london low breaks the rising-lows sequence and puts the 0.7010 higher low in view
Break below the 0.7004 asian low returns price toward the 0.7000 psych level
RBA Gov. Bullock at 10:00 UTC could materially shift this read
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM at 14:00 UTC during NY hours are the next event risk
08:02 UTC
Range-bound, recovering from the Asian low · RSI 64 · price 0.70178
London compressing below a twice-tested 0.7024 high, with higher lows from the 0.7004 Asian low.
AUD absorbed the weak flash PMIs without losing the 0.7000 psych level. It rebounded from the 0.7004 Asian low to 0.7024, matching the high from yesterday's NY session, and the asian high rejection has held London to a 0.7017–0.7023 band. The london low at 0.7017 sits on the 38.2% fib of the overnight leg, with RSI(14) near 64 and ATR(14) about 4 pips.
Support: 0.70166, 0.70044, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70241
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7024 asian high breaks the double cap and the London range
Loss of the 0.7017 london low and the rising line puts the 61.8% fib near 0.7012 in play
A move back to the 0.7004 asian low tests the 0.7000 psych level
RBA Gov. Bullock at 10:00 UTC could reprice November hike odds and shift this read
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM at 14:00 UTC during NY hours
07:46 UTC
Intraday recovery, stalling at range top · RSI 66 · price 0.70202
Higher low off the Asian low, capped twice near 0.7024.
Asian-session rebound from the 0.7004 asian low ran into the 0.7024 range top, which matches yesterday's NY high. It was rejected at 06:15 UTC and capped again through the London open, while the 0.7017 london low holds and RSI(14) sits near 66. The pair is seesawing just above 0.7000 as weak flash PMIs and a modest USD recovery offset hawkish RBA pricing.
Support: 0.70166, 0.70044, 0.69936
Resistance: 0.70241, 0.7036
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7024 range top opens the path to the 0.7036 monthly high
Failure to hold the 0.7017 london low puts the fib 50% (~0.7014) and the 0.7004 asian low back in play
Loss of the 0.7004 asian low exposes yesterday's 0.6994 prior low and the 0.7000 handle
RBA Gov. Bullock at 10:00 UTC and US S&P PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
07:32 UTC
Intraday range, recovering from Asian low · RSI 55 · price 0.70184
Higher lows since 04:45 UTC, capped at 0.7024.
A V-shaped rally from the 0.7004 asian low stalled at the London open against the 0.7024 asian high. That is the fourth rejection at the level since yesterday's NY session, with AUD supported by hawkish RBA pricing but capped by risk-off. Rising lows still hold, and the 38.2% fib of the Asian rally lines up with the 0.7017 london low.
Support: 0.70166, 0.70101, 0.70044
Resistance: 0.70241, 0.7036
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7024 asian high breaks the range top and opens the path to the 0.7036 monthly high
Break of the rising lows and the 0.7017 london low shifts focus to the 0.7010 swing low
Failure to hold the 0.7004 asian low exposes the 0.7000 handle
RBA Governor Bullock speaks at 10:00 UTC and could materially shift this read; US PMIs follow at 13:45 UTC
07:16 UTC
Recovering within range, pressing range top · RSI 64 · price 0.70214
Asian range 0.7004–0.7024; higher lows since 04:45 UTC, capped at equal highs.
London open finds price at the top of the 0.7004–0.7024 Asian range after a 20-pip lift off the 04:45 UTC asian low. The 0.7024 equal highs, from Thursday's NY high and the 06:15 UTC wick, drew one rejection, and the 0.7018 intraday hl has held since. The pair shrugged off the soft AUD flash PMIs, with RSI(14) near 64 and ATR(14) a quiet 3.8 pips.
Support: 0.70183, 0.70095, 0.70044
Resistance: 0.7024, 0.7036
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7024 equal highs breaks the Asian range and opens the 0.7036 monthly high
Loss of the 0.7018 intraday hl returns price to the 0.7010 swing low; below that the 0.7004 asian low and the 0.7000 handle come into play
RBA Gov. Bullock at 10:00 UTC: a hawkish or patient tone on a November hike could decide the range break
US S&P PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC are the next USD-side risk for this range
07:02 UTC
Intraday range, pressing the top · RSI 61 · price 0.70204
Higher lows off the 0.7004 Asian low into a flat 0.7024 range top.
London open finds AUDUSD back at the 0.7024 range top. That level marks both the Asian high and Thursday's NY session high, and price reached it on a higher-low chain from the 0.7004 Asian low. The 0.6994 swing low to 0.7024 range has held for 24h, with RSI(14) near 61 and nothing stretched. AUD is supported by RBA hike pricing, while a soft USD is limiting dips.
Support: 0.70166, 0.70044, 0.69936
Resistance: 0.70241, 0.7045
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7024 range top breaks the Asian high and opens the 0.7045 cap
Rejection at 0.7024 that loses the 38.2% fib at 0.7017 puts the 0.7004 Asian low back in play, then 0.7000 psych and the 0.6994 swing low
RBA Gov. Bullock at 10:00 UTC could materially shift this read
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM at 14:00 UTC carry NY-session risk
06:46 UTC
Range-bound, recovering off Asian low · RSI 57 · price 0.70192
0.7004–0.7024 Asian range; higher lows since 04:45 UTC, capped at 0.7024.
Late Asia session rebounded 20 pips off the 0.7004 Asian low to a session high at 0.7024. That bar's upper wick was rejected after a marginal poke through yesterday's 0.7024 high, the second cap there since 01:45 UTC. Price sits at 0.7019 into the London open with RSI(14) neutral near 57, and dips have stayed shallow above the 0.7010 swing low as RBA hike pricing offsets the weak PMIs.
Support: 0.7010, 0.70044, 0.69936
Resistance: 0.70241, 0.7045
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7024 session high breaks the Asian range top, with the 0.7045 uob cap next
Loss of the 0.7010 swing low, near the 61.8% of the Asia low-high fib, puts the 0.7004 asian low back in play
A break of 0.7000 psych exposes yesterday's 0.6994 prior low
RBA Gov. Bullock speaks at 10:00 UTC and US flash PMIs land at 13:45 UTC; either could materially shift this read
0.7004–0.7024 range; third rejection at range top.
Late in the Asia session, a 20-pip rebound from the asian low at 0.7004 stalled at 0.7024. That is the third rejection at the range top since yesterday's NY session, as the RBA-hike bid fades into resistance. Price sits mid-range ahead of London open, with RSI(14) near 58 and the fib 50% of the Asian upswing at 0.7014.
Support: 0.70143, 0.70044, 0.69936
Resistance: 0.7024, 0.7045
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7024 range top breaks the range and exposes the 0.7045 uob cap
Loss of the fib 50% at 0.7014 shifts focus back to the 0.7004 asian low
Break below the asian low puts yesterday's london low at 0.6994 and the 0.70 psych level in play
RBA Gov. Bullock at 10:00 UTC could materially shift this read
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM at 14:00 UTC are the next USD-side risk
06:17 UTC
Sideways, short-term rebound from Asian low · RSI 57 · price 0.70182
Asia lower highs broken by V-rebound; price inside 0.6994–0.7024 range.
Late in the Asia session, AUDUSD has rebounded about 14 pips off the 0.70044 Asian low. The bounce cleared the descending Asia trendline and retraced roughly 74% of the 0.7023–0.7004 fib leg, while the 0.70101 swing low held as a base. Price is still inside the 0.6994–0.7024 range. Risk-off and soft PMIs have capped upside at the 0.70209 lower high and the 0.70240 prior high, but the 0.7000 psych level has not been tested again.
Support: 0.70101, 0.70044, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70209, 0.7024
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.70240 prior high breaks the 24h range top
Rejection at the 0.70209 lower high and a loss of the 0.70101 swing low would put the rebound back into the Asian range
Failure to hold the 0.70044 asian low exposes the 0.7000 psych level
London open at 07:00 UTC is likely to test the Asian range extremes
RBA Gov. Bullock speech at 10:00 UTC could materially shift this read via November hike pricing
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC and Michigan sentiment at 14:00 UTC are later-session USD risk
06:03 UTC
Sideways, Asian lower highs · RSI 49 · price 0.70119
Asian lower-high sequence, bounce off session low inside 0.6994–0.7024 range.
Asian session faded from the 0.7023 asian high in lower highs to a 0.7004 session low. Buyers stepped in above the 0.7000 psych level, and price is now at the 38.2% retrace near 0.7012 and flat on EMA20, edging past the lower-high line ahead of the London open. The wider 24h range from the 0.6994 prior low to 0.7024 is intact, with RBA hike pricing offsetting risk-off pressure on AUD.
Support: 0.70044, 0.7000, 0.69936
Resistance: 0.70174, 0.70231
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7017 lower high breaks the Asian lower-high sequence and puts the 0.7023 asian high back in play
Failure to hold the 0.7004 session low exposes 0.7000 psych and the 0.6994 prior low
Slip back under the lower-high line keeps the 38.2% retrace as the cap
RBA Gov. Bullock speaks at 10:00 UTC; a shift in November hike odds could materially move this read
US PMIs at 13:45 UTC and Michigan sentiment at 14:00 UTC land during NY hours
05:46 UTC
Intraday lower highs, bouncing off Asian low · RSI 47 · price 0.70117
24h range 0.6994–0.7024; Asia printed lower highs into 0.7004.
Late Asia: after a rejection at the 0.7023 asian high, price stepped lower through successive lower highs to a 0.7004 asian low, with risk-off and the soft AU PMIs weighing. Price is now back at EMA20 and the 38.2% retrace of that decline near 0.7012, with RSI(14) neutral at 47. Yesterday's dip to the 0.6994 prior low was reclaimed above 0.7000 psych within the hour.
Support: 0.70044, 0.7000, 0.69936
Resistance: 0.70173, 0.70231
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7017 lower high breaks the Asian lower-high sequence and reopens the 0.7023 asian high
Failure to hold the 0.7004 asian low exposes 0.7000 psych and the 0.6994 prior low
London open shortly; RBA Bullock speaks at 10:00 UTC and could shift RBA hike pricing
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower highs off the 0.7023 Asian high, basing above 0.7000.
Asia session saw a rejection at the 0.7023 Asian high, then a chain of lower highs (0.7021, 0.7017) and a slide to a 0.7004 session low, below the early-Asia trough. Price is now holding just above 0.7000 psych ahead of London open, with RSI(14) near 42 and AUD capped by yesterday's PMI slump and the risk-off tone.
Support: 0.7004, 0.7000, 0.6994
Resistance: 0.7017, 0.7023
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 0.7000 psych exposes yesterday's 0.6994 prior low
Close above the 0.7017 lower high breaks the descending trendline and neutralises the Asia downtrend read
Reclaim of 0.7023 asian high would put the window high at 0.7024 back in play
RBA Gov. Bullock at 10:00 UTC could materially shift this read; US flash PMIs follow at 13:45 UTC
05:16 UTC
Intraday downtrend, lower highs through Asia · RSI 39 · price 0.70068
Lower-high chain from the 0.7023 Asia high; 0.7010 broken low now overhead.
Asia session rejected at the 0.7023 asia high, just under the prior-day 0.7024 top. Price then printed a lower high at 0.7017 and broke the 0.7010 low, with the session low at 0.7004 sitting just above the 0.70 psych level. RSI(14) near 39 and ATR around 4 pips heading into London open fit a slow grind lower against the soured risk tone, not a flush.
Support: 0.70044, 0.7000, 0.69936
Resistance: 0.70101, 0.70173, 0.70231
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.7010 broken low invalidates the range-break read
Hold above the 0.7017 lower high would break the lower-high chain off the asia high
Loss of the 0.7004 session low and 0.70 psych exposes yesterday's 0.6994 prior low
RBA Gov. Bullock speaks at 10:00 UTC and could materially shift this read via November hike odds
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC are the next USD-side catalyst
05:03 UTC
Intraday downtrend into late Asia · RSI 31 · price 0.70048
Lower highs and lower lows since the Asian high, trading below the Asian range.
Late in the Asia session, AUDUSD has carved a chain of lower highs from the 0.7023 Asian high. It has broken the 0.7010 Asian low and sits at 0.7005, RSI(14) near 31. Risk-off tone and the weak AU PMIs are weighing even as RBA hike pricing holds, leaving price pressing the 0.7000 psych level with yesterday's 0.6994 prior low beneath.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69936
Resistance: 0.70101, 0.70174, 0.70231
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.7010 Asian low turns the range break into a false break
Recovery through the 0.7017 lower high breaks the lower-high sequence
M15 close below 0.7000 psych exposes the 0.6994 prior low
RBA Gov. Bullock at 10:00 UTC and US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower highs from the 0.7023 Asian high, rollover low broken.
The Asia session has faded from the 0.7023 Asian high in a chain of lower highs, slipping through the 0.7008 rollover low to a fresh session low near 0.7005, with RSI(14) at 31. The 0.7002 swing low from NY hours and the 0.7000 psych sit just below, with the 0.6994 day low under that, as risk-off and soft AU PMIs weigh despite RBA hike pricing.
Support: 0.7002, 0.7000, 0.6994
Resistance: 0.7008, 0.7017, 0.7023
What it said to watch
An M15 close back above the 0.7008 rollover low would mark the break as a false break
Failure to hold the 0.7002 swing low and 0.7000 psych exposes the 0.6994 day low
A close above the 0.7017 lower high breaks the lower-highs sequence
RBA Gov. Bullock at 10:00 UTC and US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
04:31 UTC
Intraday down, lower highs through Asia · RSI 37 · price 0.70092
Double top at 0.7023-0.7024, 0.70073 neckline under test.
The Asia session high at 0.70231 stalled just under yesterday's 0.7024 NY peak, forming a double top. Lower highs along a descending trendline have since pushed price onto the 0.70073 rollover low, near the 50% fib of the 0.69936 London low to 0.7024 rally. Risk-off tone is capping AUD after its four-day run, with RSI(14) near 37 and ATR about 4 pips.
Support: 0.70073, 0.7000, 0.69936
Resistance: 0.70174, 0.70231
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.70073 rollover low completes the double top and exposes 0.7000 psych
Loss of 0.7000 psych brings the 0.69936 london low back into view
Close above the 0.70174 lower high breaks the descending trendline and negates the sequence
RBA Gov. Bullock speech at 10:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower highs since Asia session high, testing Asian low.
Late Asia session. Rejection at the 0.7023 session high has left a chain of lower highs (0.7021, then the 0.7017 lower high), and price is pressing the 0.7010 Asian low with RSI(14) near 40. Weak flash PMIs and risk-off keep the pair capped below the 0.7024 prior high. The 0.7000 psych handle and the 0.7007 rollover low are still intact beneath.
Support: 0.70101, 0.70073, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70174, 0.70231, 0.7024
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.7010 asian low breaks the Asian range and exposes the 0.7007 rollover low, then 0.7000 psych
Reclaiming the descending trendline and the 0.7017 lower high negates the lower-high sequence
Price is sitting between the 38.2% and 50% fib of the 0.6994–0.7024 move; a close below 0.7009 (50%) deepens the retracement
Bullock speech at 10:00 UTC could materially shift this read
US flash PMIs and UoM inflation expectations at 13:45–14:00 UTC are the next USD-side risk
Lower highs compressing onto a 0.7013 base; Asian range 0.7010–0.7023.
Late Asia session: a 01:45 UTC push to the 0.7023 Asian high was rejected inside one bar. Since then lower highs at 0.7021 and 0.7017 have pressed against a 0.7013 base, with price below EMA20/50 and RSI(14) near 45. Soft AU flash PMIs and the risk-off tone are capping rebounds, but the pair still sits well above yesterday's London low at 0.6994.
Support: 0.70101, 0.70073, 0.69936
Resistance: 0.70174, 0.70231
What it said to watch
Close below the 0.7010 asian low breaks the range base and puts the 0.7007 ny low in play
Close above the 0.7017 lower high trendline neutralises the compression and reopens the 0.7023 asian high
Loss of 0.7007 would bring the 0.7000 handle and the 0.6994 london low into view
RBA Gov. Bullock speaks at 10:00 UTC; tone on the PMI slump could materially shift this read
Asian range 0.7010–0.7023 capped under a double top at the NY high, lower highs since.
Asia session retested the 0.7024 NY high and was rejected, forming a double top. The 01:45 UTC selloff tagged the 0.7010 Asia low, and price has since chopped between 0.7013 and a 0.7021 lower high, with RSI(14) flat near 49 and price just under flat EMAs. Soft AUD flash PMIs (Services 47.8) drew little follow-through, and price recovered from the 0.7007 rollover low into the release.
Support: 0.7010, 0.70073, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70209, 0.7024
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7024 double top breaks the Asian range high and invalidates the range read
Failure to hold the 0.7010 Asia low (near the 38.2% fib) exposes the 0.7007 rollover low and 0.7000 psych
RBA Gov. Bullock at 10:00 UTC and US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
03:31 UTC
Sideways, mid-range · RSI 52 · price 0.70167
Asia range 0.7010–0.7023, lower high at 0.7021.
Mid-Asia session, the pair is chopping in a 0.7010–0.7023 range. The 01:45 UTC push to 0.7023 was rejected sharply, and the bounce stalled at a 0.7021 lower high. Dips are holding the 0.7013 swing low and the asian low at 0.7010, above the 38.2% retrace of yesterday's 0.6994 London low to 0.7024 NY high leg, while soft AU PMIs and risk-off keep AUD capped under the 0.7024 prior high.
Support: 0.70128, 0.70101, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70209, 0.7024
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.7010 asian low opens the 50% retrace near 0.7009 and the 0.7000 psych handle
M15 close above the 0.7024 prior high breaks the range top and the lower-high sequence
RBA Gov. Bullock speaks at 10:00 UTC; tone on the PMI slump could materially shift this read
Asia session range 0.7010–0.7023 with a lower high at 0.7021.
Asia session is ranging after a rejection at the 0.7023 range top, which sits just under yesterday's 0.7024 NY high. The 02:30 UTC rebound stalled at a lower high near 0.7021, and price is back toward the 0.7010 session low, below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) near 43. AUD remains capped near 0.70 after the weak Services PMI (47.8) and a risk-off tone, while a soft USD is cushioning dips.
Support: 0.7010, 0.7000, 0.69936
Resistance: 0.70209, 0.70231
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 0.7010 session low exposes the 0.7000 psych handle, then yesterday's London prior low at 0.6994
M15 close above the 0.7021 lower high and the 0.7023 range top invalidates the range read
RBA Gov. Bullock speaks at 10:00 UTC (London session) and could shift November hike pricing and this read
03:02 UTC
Flat, two-way chop around EMAs · RSI 50 · price 0.70163
Asian range 0.7010–0.7024, lower high at 0.7021 under the range top.
Asia session is boxed between the 0.7010 session low and the 0.7024 range top, which capped NY hours and was rejected again at 01:45 UTC, followed by a lower high at 0.7021. The Services PMI slump to 47.8 only pushed price to a 0.7007 pmi low that recovered quickly, and price now sits on flat EMAs midway through the recovery from 0.6994.
Support: 0.70101, 0.70073, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70209, 0.7024
What it said to watch
Close below the 0.7010 session low exposes the 0.7007 pmi low and the 0.7000 psych handle
Close above the 0.7024 range top breaks the double cap and the lower-high sequence
RBA's Bullock at 10:00 UTC could materially shift this read
02:46 UTC
Range-bound after recovery rally · RSI 55 · price 0.70195
Asian range 0.7010–0.7023 capped beneath prior high.
Asia session is trading a 0.7010–0.7023 range just under the 0.7024 prior high. A sharp rejection near 0.7023 around 01:15 UTC was fully retraced to 0.7020, and the asian low held near the 38.2% fib of yesterday's 0.6994 day low to 0.7024 rally. The soft AUD services PMI was absorbed, the 0.7000 psych handle is untested and RSI(14) sits neutral at 55.
Support: 0.7010, 0.7000, 0.6994
Resistance: 0.7024, 0.7036
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7024 prior high breaks the range top and opens the 0.7036 monthly high
Failure to hold the 0.7010 asian low exposes the 0.7000 psych level and the 0.6994 day low
RBA Gov. Bullock speaks at 10:00 UTC; hike-odds repricing could materially shift this read
0.7007–0.7024 range since NY; Asia rejected the top.
Asia session pushed back into the 0.7023–0.7024 range top, then one bar erased the move to the 0.7010 asian low. That puts price near the 61.8% of the rollover leg off the 0.7007 swing low. Price now sits mid-range under the ema20 with RSI(14) at 47, with weak AUD PMIs and risk-off sentiment capping rallies below 0.7024.
Support: 0.7010, 0.70073, 0.69936
Resistance: 0.7017, 0.7024
What it said to watch
Close below the 0.7010 asian low exposes the 0.7007 swing low and range floor
M15 close above the 0.7024 range top invalidates the rejection read
Loss of 0.7000 psych and the 0.6994 prior low would print a lower low
RBA Gov. Bullock speech at 10:00 UTC could materially shift this read
02:16 UTC
Intraday range, rolling over from range top · RSI 42 · price 0.70122
0.7007–0.7024 range since NY; Asia rejected range top.
Mid-Asia session, the push to 0.7023 failed against the NY high at 0.7024, leaving a double top. The 10-pip drop wiped out the Asia gains and set a new session low at 0.7010, with price back under both EMAs and RSI(14) near 42. Risk-off tone and the Services PMI slump to 47.8 are weighing on AUD, while the 0.7000 psych level stays underneath.
Support: 0.70101, 0.70073, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7019, 0.7024
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 0.7007 rollover low exposes 0.7000 psych and the London low at 0.6994
A reclaim of the 0.7019 asia shelf returns price to the middle of the range and puts the double top back in play
A close above 0.7024 invalidates the double top read
RBA Gov. Bullock speaks at 10:00 UTC; hawkish or dovish remarks on November hike odds could materially shift this read
02:03 UTC
Sideways, rolling over from range top · RSI 41 · price 0.70119
Range 0.7007–0.7024 since NY afternoon; Asia printed a lower high at 0.7023.
Asia ran to 0.7023, just shy of the 0.7024 range top, and a 10-pip rejection bar dropped price back onto the 0.7012 asian low. That puts price near the 50% of the NY rally fib, with RSI(14) at 41 and price below ema20. AUD absorbed the 47.8 Services PMI slump at 22:00 UTC without a lasting move, so the pair is still boxed between the 0.7007 swing low and the range top.
Support: 0.70117, 0.70073, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7017, 0.7024
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.7012 asian low exposes the 0.7007 swing low, then 0.7000 psych
Reclaim of ema20 near 0.7017, then a close above the 0.7024 range top, breaks the range
RBA Gov. Bullock speech at 10:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher-low chain from the 0.6994 London low, price pressing the NY high.
Higher lows run from the 0.6994 London low through the 0.7007 rollover low and the 0.7012 Asia low, holding rising support despite the contraction-territory AUD flash PMIs (Services 47.8). Early Asia session price is back at the 0.7024 NY high, RSI(14) near 63 and ATR around 3 pips, with the 0.7036 monthly high above.
Support: 0.70117, 0.70073, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7024, 0.7036
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7024 NY high opens the 0.7036 monthly high
Break of the 0.7012 Asia low and rising support exposes the 0.7007 rollover low, then 0.7000 psych
Bullock speech at 10:00 UTC and US PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
01:31 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pressing NY high · RSI 60 · price 0.70219
Asia higher lows from 0.7012; failed London break of 0.7000 fully reclaimed.
London's dip below psych 0.7000 to 0.6994 was a false break, and NY rallied to the 0.7024 NY high despite the risk-off tape. The Asia session has built higher lows off the 0.7012 Asia low, with price back at 0.7022 testing that NY high. The weak AUD PMI print barely dented the pair after a dip to the 0.7007 rollover low.
Support: 0.70117, 0.70073, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7024, 0.7036
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7024 NY high opens the 0.7036 monthly high
Break below the 0.7012 Asia low snaps the higher-lows chain; 0.7007 rollover low then psych 0.7000
Bullock speech at 10:00 UTC and US PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher-low chain off the 0.6994 London low, compressing under 0.7022–0.7026.
AUD recovered from the 0.6994 swing low set in London to a 0.7024 NY high. The rollover low at 0.7007 around the contraction PMI prints held near the 50–61.8% fib and on the rising trendline. The Asian session has printed a higher low at 0.7012 (asia hl) and is pressing its session high at 0.7023, still below the 0.7024 NY high and the 0.7026 prior high.
Support: 0.70117, 0.70073, 0.69936
Resistance: 0.70225, 0.7024, 0.70264
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7024 ny high and 0.7026 prior high breaks the cap on this range
Loss of the 0.7012 asia hl, then the 0.7007 rollover low, breaks the rising trendline and the higher-low chain
Bullock speaks at 10:00 UTC; a dovish read on the PMI slump could reopen 0.7000 and the 0.6994 swing low
01:03 UTC
Intraday recovery, pressing range top · RSI 59 · price 0.70198
Higher lows in Asia, capped at 0.7020–0.7024.
Thursday's London false break below psych 0.70 to 0.6994 was fully recovered, and NY capped at the 0.7024 ny high. In Asia, demand absorbed the weak AU Services PMI (47.8) off the 0.7007 rollover low. A higher low at 0.7012 now has price pressing the 0.7020 asian high, with RSI(14) near 59 and ATR around 4 pips.
Support: 0.70117, 0.70073, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70203, 0.7024, 0.70286
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7024 ny high breaks the range top and exposes the 0.7029 thu high
Loss of the 0.7012 higher low breaks the Asia trendline and returns focus to the 0.7007 rollover low
A break below 0.7007 puts psych 0.70 and the 61.8% retrace near 0.7005 back in play
RBA's Bullock at 10:00 UTC and US PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
00:46 UTC
Recovering from London low, flat in Asia · RSI 59 · price 0.70192
Tight Asian range below NY high, higher lows held.
London pushed below psych 0.7000 to 0.6994, but the break failed and NY rallied to the ny high at 0.7024. Asia is ranging 0.7007–0.7020 after a muted reaction to the contracting AU flash PMIs, with the 00:00 UTC dip holding the fib 38.2 at 0.7012.
Support: 0.70117, 0.70073, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7024, 0.70313
What it said to watch
M15 close above the ny high at 0.7024 breaks the Asian range and exposes the prior high at 0.7031
Loss of the asian low at 0.7007 reopens psych 0.7000 and the London false break low
RBA's Bullock speaks Fri 10:00 UTC and US PMIs land at 13:45 UTC; either could break the current range
Tight Asia range 0.7012–0.7020 inside a 0.7007–0.7024 range since NY.
The soft AU flash PMIs (Services 47.8) pulled price to the 0.7007 rollover low, but that dip was bought back. Asia is now compressing between the 0.7012 asian low and the 0.7020 asian high, with price pinned to flat EMAs and RSI(14) at 48. Rising lows from London's dip under the 0.7000 psych run into slightly lower highs below the 0.7024 NY high.
Support: 0.70117, 0.70073, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70197, 0.7024, 0.70313
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.7007 rollover low breaks the rising-lows line and exposes the 0.7000 psych
M15 close above the 0.7024 NY high breaks the lower highs and opens the 0.7031 prior high
RBA's Bullock at 10:00 UTC and US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
Overnight range 0.7007–0.7019, lower highs since NY high.
Early in Friday's Asia session, AUDUSD is chopping inside a 0.7007–0.7019 band after NY's rally from 0.7002 stalled at the 0.7024 NY high. The 47.8 Services PMI drew no lasting follow-through, and highs keep edging lower under the range top. Price sits on the 50% retracement of that NY rally with RSI(14) near 42, and ATR is about 4 pips.
Support: 0.7007, 0.7000, 0.6994
Resistance: 0.7019, 0.7024, 0.7034
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.7007 swing low breaks the overnight range and exposes the 0.7000 psych handle
Failure to hold 0.7000 brings London's 0.6994 day low back into view
Close above the 0.7019 range top reopens the 0.7024 NY high, with the 0.7034 prior high from Thursday's Asia open beyond
RBA Governor Bullock at 10:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher lows from the London low at 0.6994; early Asia compressing below the NY high at 0.7024.
The rollover dip to 0.7007 held near the 50–61.8% retrace of the London-NY leg and was bought back on the 22:00 UTC flash PMI bar, despite Services slumping to 47.8. That leaves early Asia in a tight 0.7015–0.7020 band, capped by the asia high and the ny high at 0.7024, with soft USD limiting downside. RSI is flat near 47 and ATR is under 4 pips.
Support: 0.70073, 0.70021, 0.69936
Resistance: 0.70197, 0.7024, 0.70361
What it said to watch
An M15 close above the 0.7024 ny high breaks the range and exposes the 0.7036 prior high
Losing the 0.7007 rollover low breaks the higher-lows trendline and puts the 0.7002 ny low and 0.6994 london low back in play
RBA Bullock speaks at 10:00 UTC (13:00 broker) and could reset this range