AUD/USD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Thursday, 22 October 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the AUD/USD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:46 UTC
Sideways after rebound from London low · RSI 49 · price 0.70171
Compressing 0.7015–0.7019 inside a 0.7007–0.7024 range, early Asia.
London briefly lost 0.7000 to a 0.6994 low before NY recovered to a 0.7024 high. The thin rollover dip to 0.7007 around the AUD flash services PMI slump (47.8) was bought back above the 0.7013 swing low. Early Asia is compressing at 0.7016–0.7017, right on the 23.6% fib of the London–NY leg, with RSI flat near 49 and ATR only ~3 pips.
Support: 0.70131, 0.70073, 0.69936
Resistance: 0.7024, 0.70361
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.7013 swing low exposes the rollover low at 0.7007, near the 50–61.8% fib zone
Close above the 0.7024 ny high opens the 0.7036 asia high
Loss of 0.7000 psych and the 0.6994 london low would turn the rebound into a lower-low sequence
Bullock speaks Fri 10:00 UTC, first RBA reaction to the PMI slump; could materially shift this read
Higher low off 0.6994 day low; tight early-Asia range under 0.7019.
London's break below 0.7000 to the 0.6994 day low failed and was reclaimed, with NY lifting price to a 0.7024 NY high before fading to the 0.7013 NY low. Early Asia is absorbing the flash services PMI slump (47.8). The thin-liquidity rollover low at 0.7007 held near the 50–61.8% fib, and price is now pinned in a 4-pip band under the 0.7019 range top with RSI flat at 50.
Support: 0.70131, 0.70073, 0.69936
Resistance: 0.70191, 0.7024, 0.70361
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.7013 ny low and the 0.7007 rollover low exposes 0.7000 and the 0.6994 day low
Close above the 0.7019 range top reopens the 0.7024 ny high, with the 0.7036 asia high (monthly high) beyond
Bullock speaks Fri 10:00 UTC, the first RBA reaction to the PMI slump, and could reset the 0.7000 read
Hold of the 50–61.8% fib zone keeps the higher-low read off the London low intact
23:17 UTC
Range, recovering from London dip · RSI 46 · price 0.7016
Higher low at 0.7002, capped at 0.7024; tight early-Asia range.
London's false break below 0.7000 bottomed at 0.6994 (london low). NY then built a higher low at 0.7002 and stalled at the 0.7024 ny high, and the rollover low at 0.7007 held between the 50% and 61.8% levels of the london low–ny high fib. Early Asia is ranging 0.7007–0.7019 below the asia high with RSI(14) near 46, and the flash services PMI slump to 47.8 has drawn little follow-through so far.
Support: 0.7007, 0.7002, 0.6994
Resistance: 0.7019, 0.7024, 0.7036
What it said to watch
Break of the 0.7007 rollover low exposes the 0.7002 higher low and the 0.7000 handle
M15 close above the 0.7019 asia high and 0.7024 ny high reopens the 0.7036 monthly high
Bullock speaks Fri 10:00 UTC, the first RBA read on the PMI slump, and could reset the range
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC Fri (Services f/c 57.9) are a second range-break risk
23:02 UTC
Sideways after recovery from sub-0.7000 dip · RSI 50 · price 0.70173
Range 0.7007–0.7024 since NY, mid-range in early Asia.
Early Asia: the post-rollover dip on the weak AUD flash PMIs (composite 47.7) held the 0.7007 range low, and price recovered to 0.7017 above the 0.7013 swing low. Price is mid-range below the 0.7024 NY high after yesterday's false break under 0.7000 to the 0.6994 day low. The PMI dip stalled between the 50% and 61.8% retracements of the day low–NY high rally. RSI(14) is flat at 50.
Support: 0.7013, 0.7007, 0.69936
Resistance: 0.7024, 0.70361
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7024 NY high breaks the range and opens the 0.7036 monthly high
Failure to hold the 0.7007 range low (61.8% fib zone) reopens 0.7000 and the 0.6994 day low
Bullock speaks Oct 23 10:00 UTC; a dovish read on the PMI slump could materially shift this read
Tight early-Asia range 0.7013–0.7020 above a rising higher-low chain.
Early Asia: the pre-PMI low at 0.7007 was absorbed and price snapped back to 0.7018 despite the weak AUD flash PMIs, but the 0.7020 range top rejected again. Higher lows from the 0.6994 London low along the rising trendline remain intact, with the 0.7007 dip holding the 50–61.8% zone of the rally fib. RSI(14) is 47 and price is pinned to a flat EMA20.
Support: 0.7013, 0.70073, 0.69936
Resistance: 0.7020, 0.7024, 0.70361
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7020 range top exposes the 0.7024 ny high, then the 0.7036 monthly high
Loss of the 0.7013 ny low and the 0.7007 pre-pmi low breaks the rising trendline and opens 0.7000 psych and the 0.6994 london low
RBA's Bullock at 10:00 UTC could materially shift this read; a dovish read-through from the PMI slump is the main risk to 0.7000
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM at 14:00 UTC are the next USD-side catalyst
22:31 UTC
Sideways after a failed downside break · RSI 51 · price 0.70174
Range 0.7013–0.7024 above a 0.6994 day low.
Asian rejection at the 0.7036 monthly high led to a London false break below 0.7000 to a 0.6994 day low. NY rebuilt to a 0.7024 high, faded to a 0.7013 swing low, and the thin rollover low at 0.7007 was fully recovered around the weak AUD flash PMIs. RSI(14) is neutral near 51 and ATR is under 4 pips early in the Asia session.
Support: 0.70131, 0.70073, 0.69936
Resistance: 0.7024, 0.70361
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7024 NY high reopens the 0.7036 monthly high
Failure to hold the 0.7007 rollover low exposes 0.7000 and the 0.6994 day low
Loss of the 0.7013 swing low turns the range into a lower-high sequence below 0.7024
Bullock speaks 10:00 UTC; a dovish read on the PMI slump could materially shift this read
22:16 UTC
Range-bound, higher lows since London low · RSI 55 · price 0.70186
Higher lows off 0.6994, capped below 0.7024 NY high.
The London break through 0.7000 to the 0.6994 London low reversed. NY then rallied to 0.7024, where supply capped it below the Asia high at 0.7036 as Middle East and oil risk weighed. Thin rollover trade printed a 0.7007 rollover low between the 50% and 61.8% fib retrace, and the 22:00 UTC bar, timed with the AU flash PMIs, lifted price back to 0.7019 on the rising support line; RSI(14) is neutral near 55.
Support: 0.70073, 0.69936
Resistance: 0.7024, 0.70361
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7024 NY high reopens the 0.7036 Asia high
Loss of the 0.7007 rollover low breaks the rising support line and exposes the 0.6994 London low
RBA Gov. Bullock speech Fri 10:00 UTC could materially shift this read
22:02 UTC
Sideways, range after NY rebound · RSI 51 · price 0.70165
Rollover higher low at 0.7008 above the 0.7002 NY low; capped below the 0.7024 NY high.
Middle East risk-off pulled AUD back from the 0.7036 Asia high. London's push through the 0.7000 handle to the 0.6994 day low was a false break, and the NY session rebounded to the 0.7024 NY high before settling into a 0.7015–0.7020 range. The post-rollover dip to the 0.7008 rollover low held above the 0.7002 NY low, about 75% back into the NY leg. Price is back near 0.7016 with RSI(14) neutral at 51 as AU flash PMIs land.
Support: 0.70077, 0.70021, 0.69936
Resistance: 0.7024, 0.70361
What it said to watch
AU flash PMIs (22:00 UTC, no forecast) are landing in the current bar and could set the early Asia session direction
A close above the 0.7024 NY high reopens the 0.7036 Asia high
Failure to hold the 0.7002 NY low exposes the 0.6994 day low below the 0.7000 handle
Middle East and oil headlines remain the main risk-off override to this read
21:46 UTC
Intraday pullback inside a 0.6994–0.7036 day range · RSI 33 · price 0.70075
London false break below 0.7000 reversed; NY rebound capped at 0.7024 and now retracing.
Asia tagged the 0.7036 monthly high before fading on Middle East and oil risk-off. London swept through 0.7000 to a 0.6994 london low and snapped back, and NY then stalled at the 0.7024 ny high. The thin post-NY slide has given back half of that rebound: price sits at 0.7008 between the 50% and 61.8% fib, below the ema20, with RSI(14) near 33.
Support: 0.70052, 0.70021, 0.69936
Resistance: 0.7016, 0.7024, 0.70361
What it said to watch
AU flash PMIs at 22:00 UTC, minutes away, could jolt this thin rollover tape
Hold of the 61.8% fib and the 0.7002 ny low keeps the London false-break structure intact
M15 close below the 0.6994 london low negates the false break and exposes 0.6985
Reclaim of the ema20 and a close above the 0.7024 ny high reopens the monthly high at 0.7036
Recovery from London sweep below 0.7000 capped at a lower high (0.7024); early Asia gapped back to the late-NY low.
Early Asia opened with a rollover gap down from 0.7019, putting price back on the 0.7013 late-NY low. Earlier, London swept below 0.7000 to the 0.6994 day low. NY's recovery stalled at the 0.7024 NY high, a lower high under the 0.7036 monthly high, and price has given back ~38% of that leg on the NY recovery fib, with RSI(14) near 39 and price below both EMAs.
Support: 0.7013, 0.7002, 0.69936
Resistance: 0.70187, 0.7024, 0.70361
What it said to watch
AU flash PMIs at 22:00 UTC, about 30 minutes out with no forecast, could materially shift this read.
Failure to hold the 0.7013 late-NY low exposes the 0.7002 NY low and the 0.7000 handle; a break of the 0.6994 day low would unwind the sweep-and-recovery structure.
An M15 close back above the 0.7019 rollover gap and the 0.7024 NY high breaks the lower-highs line and reopens the 0.7036 monthly high.
Middle East and oil headlines remain the main risk-off override for AUD during the thin Asia session.
Higher lows off the London low, compressing below the NY high.
Middle East and oil risk-off took London through 0.7000 to a 0.6994 london low, but the dip became a false break. NY then printed a 0.7002 higher low and a 0.7024 ny high, still short of the 0.7036 monthly high tagged in Asia. Post-NY trade is compressing near 0.7017, just above the 0.7013 pullback low, which sits on the 38.2% fib and the rising NY higher-lows trendline.
Support: 0.70131, 0.70021, 0.69936
Resistance: 0.7024, 0.70361
What it said to watch
AU flash PMIs at 22:00 UTC, under an hour away, could materially shift this read in thin early-Asia trade
M15 close below the 0.7013 pullback low breaks the NY higher-lows trendline and exposes the 0.7002 higher low
Loss of the 0.7002 higher low puts the 0.6994 london low back in play
M15 close above the 0.7024 ny high reopens the 0.7036 monthly high
RBA Gov. Bullock speaks Fri 10:00 UTC, the next event risk for the London session
21:05 UTC
Intraday recovery from London low, stalling · RSI 48 · price 0.70187
Higher lows off 0.6994, tight late-NY consolidation below 0.7024.
Oil and Middle East risk-off pushed London through the Asian range low and under the 0.7000 psych to a 0.6994 london low. That break was reclaimed as the USD faded, and NY built higher lows into a 0.7024 ny high. Price now sits in a 0.7013–0.7020 band below a lower high, with the swing low holding at the 38.2% retracement and RSI(14) neutral near 48.
Support: 0.70131, 0.7000, 0.69936
Resistance: 0.70199, 0.7024, 0.70361
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.7013 swing low and the rising lows line exposes the 0.7000 psych and the 0.6994 london low
M15 close above the 0.7020 lower high and the 0.7024 ny high reopens the 0.7036 asia high
AU flash PMIs at 22:00 UTC (~1h, no forecast) could break the late-NY consolidation at the Asia open
Higher-low chain off the 0.6994 day low, capped below the 0.7024 ny high.
Asia faded from the 0.7036 asia high. Oil-driven risk-off then pushed London through the 0.7000 round number to a 0.6994 day low around 11:00 UTC, but price reclaimed the level within one bar. NY built higher lows up to the 0.7024 ny high, and the late-NY pullback held the 0.7013 swing low near the 38.2% retrace. Price is now drifting around 0.7019 with RSI(14) near 48, sitting just above the higher-low trendline.
Support: 0.70131, 0.7000, 0.69936
Resistance: 0.7024, 0.70361
What it said to watch
AU flash PMIs at 22:00 UTC (no forecast) could materially shift this read
M15 close below the 0.7013 swing low breaks the higher-low trendline from the day low
M15 close above the 0.7024 ny high reopens the 0.7036 asia high
Loss of the 0.7000 round number puts the 0.6994 day low back in play
Higher lows off 0.6994 sweep; late-NY range 0.7013–0.7024.
London's dip through 0.7000 to a 0.6994 day low reversed quickly. That turn opened a chain of higher lows at 0.7002 and 0.7013, and the NY pullback from the 0.7024 NY high held the 0.7013 NY low near the 38.2% fib. Late NY is now compressing mid-range with RSI near 48, while oil-driven risk-off keeps the 0.7036 Asia high out of reach.
Support: 0.70131, 0.70021, 0.69936
Resistance: 0.7024, 0.70361
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.7013 ny low breaks the rising lows line and exposes the 0.7002 higher low
Close above the 0.7024 ny high reopens the 0.7036 asia high
Loss of the 0.6994 day low would turn the intraday structure to lower lows
AU flash PMIs at 22:00 UTC (~1.5h) could materially shift this read
20:16 UTC
Intraday recovery, pausing below NY high · RSI 45 · price 0.70164
London false break below 0.7000, then higher low and a tight late-NY range.
London broke through 0.7000 to a 0.6994 london low as oil-driven risk-off hit AUD, but the break failed. NY printed a higher low at the 0.7002 ny low and ran to the 0.7024 ny high. The late-NY pullback held the 0.7013 swing low near the 38.2% fib, with RSI(14) in the mid-40s and price sitting between EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 0.70131, 0.70021, 0.69936
Resistance: 0.7024, 0.70361
What it said to watch
AU flash PMIs at 22:00 UTC could break the 0.7013–0.7024 range
M15 close above the 0.7024 ny high reopens the 0.7036 asian high
Loss of the 0.7013 swing low exposes the 0.7002 ny low, then the 0.6994 london low
Higher lows since London's sub-0.7000 false break; lower high under the NY high.
Asia faded from the 0.7036 monthly high and London briefly broke 0.7000 to a 0.6994 London low before reclaiming it. That false break has since built higher lows at the 0.7002 NY low and the 0.7013 swing low along a rising lows line. Late NY is consolidating under the 0.7024 NY high at the 23.6% retrace of the london-ny leg, with RSI(14) ~51 and price hugging EMA20 as oil-driven risk-off is offset by a soft USD.
Support: 0.70131, 0.70021, 0.69936
Resistance: 0.7024, 0.70361
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.7013 swing low breaks the rising lows line and exposes the 0.7002 NY low (38.2–50% of the london-ny leg)
Close above the 0.7024 NY high reopens the 0.7036 monthly high
Loss of the 0.6994 London low would negate the false break below 0.7000
AU flash PMIs at 22:00 UTC (no forecast) could materially shift this read into the Asia session
19:32 UTC
Intraday recovery, stalling below NY high · RSI 52 · price 0.7019
Higher lows since London false break; tight 0.7013–0.7024 box late NY.
London broke the Asian low and the 0.7000 handle to a 0.6994 session low on Middle East and oil risk-off, then reclaimed it. NY has since built higher lows at the 0.7002 NY low and the 0.7013 swing low (near the fib 38.2%) along rising support. Price is boxed under the 0.7024 NY high late in the NY session, with RSI(14) neutral near 52.
Support: 0.70131, 0.70021, 0.69936
Resistance: 0.7024, 0.70361
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7024 ny high opens the 0.7036 asian high (monthly high)
Break of the 0.7013 swing low and rising support shifts focus to the 0.7002 ny low
Loss of the 0.6994 session low turns the London move from false break into a lower-low
AU flash PMIs at 22:00 UTC and Middle East/oil headlines could materially shift this read
19:16 UTC
Intraday recovery, stalling late NY · RSI 44 · price 0.70159
Higher low at 0.7002 after London false break; pullback from 0.7024 NY high.
London broke below the Asian range and 0.7000 to a 0.6994 london low as Middle East risk-off hit AUD, but the move failed fast. NY printed a higher ny low at 0.7002 and lifted to a 0.7024 ny high, well short of the 0.7036 asian high and monthly peak. Late NY is fading toward the 0.7013 pullback low, RSI(14) ~44, with price slipping under EMA20.
Support: 0.70131, 0.70021, 0.69936
Resistance: 0.7024, 0.70361
What it said to watch
Break of the 0.7013 pullback low puts the 0.7002 ny low and the rising support line in play
Loss of the 0.6994 london low turns the false break into a lower-low sequence
M15 close above the 0.7024 ny high reopens the 0.7036 asian high
AU flash PMIs at 22:00 UTC could materially shift this read
18:46 UTC
Intraday recovery, fading off the NY high · RSI 52 · price 0.7016
Higher lows from the London low, capped below the Asian high.
London broke the Asian range low and the 0.7000 psych to a 0.6994 london low, then quickly reclaimed it, while oil-driven risk-off was cushioned by the soft USD. NY set a higher low at 0.7002 and ran to a 0.7024 ny high, and price is now easing late in the NY session toward the 50% retrace of that leg near 0.7013, with the higher-low line from the London low still intact.
Support: 0.7013, 0.7002, 0.6994
Resistance: 0.7024, 0.7036
What it said to watch
Close back below the 0.7002 ny low breaks the higher-low line and reopens the 0.6994 london low
Reclaim of the 0.7024 ny high puts the 0.7036 asian high (monthly high) back in view
AU flash PMIs at 22:00 UTC, no forecast, could reset the Asian range
Higher lows since the London low, late-NY pullback off the session high.
AUD/USD faded from the 0.7036 Asian high and swept below 0.7000 to a 0.6994 London low as oil-led risk-off hit, then NY built higher lows up to a 0.7024 NY high on the soft USD. The late-NY pullback is holding the 0.7017 pullback low, near the 23.6% fib of the London low–NY high leg, with RSI(14) ~56.
Support: 0.70174, 0.70021, 0.69936
Resistance: 0.7024, 0.70361
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.7017 pullback low and the rising trendline puts the 0.7002 higher low in play
Failure to hold 0.7002 and a return under 0.7000 re-exposes the 0.6994 London low
Close above the 0.7024 NY high reopens the 0.7036 Asian high
AU flash PMIs at 22:00 UTC (no forecast) could reset the Asian range
18:16 UTC
Intraday recovery, stalling below NY high · RSI 61 · price 0.70188
Higher lows off London false break, tight range 0.70163–0.7024.
London broke below 0.7000 to a 0.69936 london low as oil and Middle East risk-off hit AUD, but the break failed and NY printed a higher low at 0.70021 before recovering to a 0.7024 ny high, with the soft USD cushioning the bounce. Late NY is now consolidating just above the 0.70163 swing low, holding the recovery fib's 23.6% near 0.7017 and well short of the 0.70361 asia high.
Support: 0.70163, 0.70021, 0.69936
Resistance: 0.7024, 0.70361
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.70163 swing low breaks the higher-low chain and exposes the trendline near 0.7012 and the 0.70021 higher low
M15 close above the 0.7024 ny high opens the path to the 0.70361 asia high
Return below 0.7000 toward the 0.69936 london low would void the false break read
AU flash PMIs at 22:00 UTC, about 4h out, could materially shift this read
18:03 UTC
Intraday recovery, grinding higher off day low · RSI 62 · price 0.70223
False break below 0.7000, higher low at 0.7002, now testing the NY high.
London broke the 0.7007 Asian-session low at 11:00 UTC as oil-driven risk-off lifted USD. Price swept 0.7000 to a 0.6994 day low before NY reclaimed the handle. A 0.7002 higher low has since carried price back to the 0.7024 NY high, with RSI(14) near 62 and the 0.7036 Asian high, the monthly peak, the next cap above.
Support: 0.70021, 0.69936
Resistance: 0.7024, 0.70361
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7024 NY high puts the 0.7036 Asian high back in play
Failure to hold the 0.7002 higher low reopens the 0.6994 day low and the 0.7000 handle
AU flash PMIs at 22:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Oil and Middle East headlines remain the main risk-off override for the recovery leg
Oil-driven risk-off pushed AUDUSD through 0.7000 to a 0.6994 day low around 11:15 UTC. The pair reclaimed the handle within one bar, then printed a higher low at 0.7002 during NY hours. Late NY is now pressing the 0.7024 session high, just above the London highs, with the 0.7016 pullback low holding underneath.
Support: 0.70165, 0.70021, 0.69936
Resistance: 0.7024, 0.70361
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7024 session high opens the 0.7036 asia high / monthly high
Loss of the 0.7016 pullback low puts the 0.7002 higher low and the rising trendline in play
Break back under the 0.6994 day low negates the false-break read
AU flash PMIs at 22:00 UTC could reset the Asian range
17:32 UTC
Intraday uptrend off the day low, momentum flattening · RSI 62 · price 0.70203
HH/HL chain since the NY low; false break below 0.7000 reclaimed.
Oil-led risk-off pushed London through 0.7000 to a day low at 0.69936, but the break was reclaimed within a bar. NY then set a higher low at 0.70021 and rallied into a 0.70236 session high after London close. Price is stalling just under that high, still inside the range between the 0.70361 Asia high and the day low.
Support: 0.70163, 0.70021, 0.69936
Resistance: 0.70236, 0.70361
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.70236 session high opens the 0.7028–0.70361 asia high zone
Break of the 0.70163 pullback low ends the HH/HL chain; rising support and the 0.70021 ny low sit below
Loss of the 0.69936 day low would invalidate the false break read
AU flash PMIs at 22:00 UTC (no forecast) could materially shift this read
17:17 UTC
Intraday recovery, higher lows since London low · RSI 61 · price 0.70204
False break below 0.7000 reversed; HL at 0.70021, stalling at 61.8% retrace.
London's oil-led risk-off dip broke 0.7000 to a 0.69936 london low. The false break reversed, and NY built a higher low at 0.70021 before lifting to a 0.70229 ny high. After London close, price is stalling near the 61.8% fib of the asian high–london low drop around 0.7020, with RSI(14) near 61 and the rising trendline intact.
Support: 0.70163, 0.70021, 0.69936
Resistance: 0.70229, 0.70361
What it said to watch
Holding the 0.70163 pullback low keeps the higher-low sequence and rising trendline intact
An M15 close above the 0.70229 ny high exposes the 0.70361 asian high, the monthly high area
Loss of the 0.70021 higher low reopens the 0.69936 london low and the 0.7000 handle
AU flash PMIs at 22:00 UTC could materially shift this read
17:04 UTC
Intraday uptrend off the sub-0.7000 low · RSI 63 · price 0.7022
Higher lows from 0.6994; pressing the 0.7023 session high.
Late-London risk-off on oil and Middle East headlines broke below 0.7000 to a day low at 0.6994. The break failed, and NY has since built higher lows at 0.7002 and 0.7016 along a rising trendline. Price is back at the 0.7023 session high, with RSI(14) near 63 and the Asia-open day high at 0.7036 overhead.
Support: 0.7016, 0.7002, 0.6994
Resistance: 0.7023, 0.7036
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7023 session high opens the 0.7036 day high
Loss of the 0.7016 higher low and the rising trendline breaks the recovery chain
Break back under the 0.7002 swing low and 0.7000 brings the 0.6994 day low back into play
AU flash PMIs at 22:00 UTC (no forecast) could reset the intraday range
Oil and Middle East headlines remain the main risk-off override
Higher low at 0.7002 after London false break under 0.7000; range 0.7002–0.7023.
London broke the Asian range low and swept to the london low at 0.6994 on oil-driven risk-off before reclaiming 0.7000. NY then carved a higher low at 0.7002 and rallied into the 0.7023 session high, where it met rejection after London close. Price is holding near 0.7017, above the 38.2% retrace of the NY rally fib at 0.7015, with RSI(14) neutral at 55.
Support: 0.70021, 0.69936
Resistance: 0.70229, 0.70361
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7023 session high opens a retest of the 0.7036 asian high
Failure to hold the 0.7002 higher low breaks the higher-low line and re-exposes the 0.6994 london low
AU flash PMIs at 22:00 UTC tonight could materially shift this read
London broke below the Asian low and the 0.7000 handle to a 0.6994 session low on oil-driven risk-off, but the break failed. NY has built higher lows at 0.7002 and the 0.7014 prior swing, and is now pressing the 0.7023 london high, which sits at the 61.8% retrace of the asian high to session low drop.
Support: 0.7014, 0.70021, 0.69936
Resistance: 0.70229, 0.70361
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7023 london high opens the path back toward the 0.7036 asian high
Loss of the 0.7014 prior swing and then the 0.7002 higher low breaks the recovery trendline and the HH/HL chain
A move back under the 0.6994 session low turns the false break into a lower low
AU flash PMIs at 22:00 UTC and Middle East or oil headlines could materially shift this read
16:17 UTC
Intraday recovery, higher lows off the day low · RSI 66 · price 0.70213
HH/HL chain since 11:15 UTC, testing London high.
Oil and Middle East risk-off drove a late-London false break below 0.7000 to a day low at 0.6994. NY hours have since printed a higher low at 0.7002 and cleared the 0.7019 prior high. Price is now pressing the 0.7022 London high, which also sits at the 61.8% retrace of the Asian high to day low drop.
Support: 0.70185, 0.70021, 0.69936
Resistance: 0.70223, 0.70361
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7022 London high opens the 0.7036 Asian high and monthly high
Slip back below the 0.7019 prior high turns the London high into a rejection
Loss of the 0.7002 higher low breaks the NY recovery structure and reopens the 0.6994 day low
AU flash PMIs at 22:00 UTC, no forecast, could materially shift this read
16:04 UTC
Intraday recovery, higher lows off London low · RSI 61 · price 0.70193
HL chain from 0.69936; testing 61.8% retrace below London high.
London swept under 0.7000 to the 0.69936 London low as oil and Middle East risk-off hit AUD, then reclaimed the handle. NY printed a higher low at the 0.70021 NY swing low and is pressing 0.7020, the 61.8% of the Asia-London drop, just under the 0.70223 London high, with RSI(14) near 61 and not stretched.
Support: 0.70021, 0.69936
Resistance: 0.70223, 0.70361
What it said to watch
Close above the 0.70223 London high opens the path to the 0.70361 Asia high
Break of the rising lows at the 0.70021 NY swing low undoes the recovery read
AU flash PMIs at 22:00 UTC and oil/Middle East headlines could shift this read
HL/HH chain since London low, back inside the 0.7007–0.7022 range.
Mid-London risk-off on Middle East headlines broke 0.7000 down to the london low at 0.6994, but the break failed. NY held a higher low at 0.7002 after the claims beat and has rallied back to the ny high at 0.7018 late in the London-NY overlap. Price sits mid-range below the 0.7022 range top, RSI(14) neutral near 56.
Support: 0.70021, 0.69936
Resistance: 0.70185, 0.70223, 0.70361
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7019 ny high and 0.7022 range top reopens the 0.7036 asian high
Loss of the 0.7002 ny low breaks the higher-low trendline and exposes the 0.6994 london low
Australian flash PMIs at 22:00 UTC could materially shift this read
15:32 UTC
Intraday recovery, higher lows off the London low · RSI 53 · price 0.70131
HH/HL chain from 0.6994; capped below 0.7019–0.7022.
Asia faded from the 0.7036 asian high, and London broke below 0.7000 psych to a 0.6994 london low on Middle East risk-off before price reclaimed the figure. NY has since printed a higher low at the 0.7002 ny low, then a rejection wick at the 0.70185 ny high near the 61.8% fib. RSI(14) is neutral at 53 and price is sitting on EMA50 into London close.
Support: 0.70021, 0.7000, 0.69936
Resistance: 0.70185, 0.70223, 0.70361
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.70223 london high clears the ny high rejection and opens the 0.70361 asian high
Failure to hold the 0.70021 ny low breaks the rising trendline and exposes 0.7000 psych and the 0.69936 london low
AUD flash PMIs at 22:00 UTC (no consensus) could shift this read during Asia
15:17 UTC
Recovering intraday, testing range cap · RSI 57 · price 0.70136
Higher low off the sub-0.7000 false break, capped near 0.7015.
London broke the Asian range low and pushed through 0.7000 to a 0.6994 session low as oil-driven risk-off hit AUD. The move was reclaimed, and NY printed a higher low at 0.7002. Price is now pressing the NY high near 0.7015, close to the 50% retrace of the Asian high-to-session-low drop, with RSI(14) at 57.
Support: 0.70021, 0.69936
Resistance: 0.70154, 0.70223, 0.70361
What it said to watch
M15 close above the NY high at 0.7015 (50% retrace) exposes the London high at 0.7022, then the Asian high at 0.7036
Loss of the 0.7002 higher low breaks the rising trendline and puts the 0.6994 session low back in play
Australian flash PMIs at 22:00 UTC could shift this read
15:04 UTC
Intraday downtrend from Asia high, stabilising in NY · RSI 56 · price 0.70117
False break below 0.7000 reclaimed; higher lows under a 0.7015 cap.
London faded the 0.7036 Asia high, the monthly high, as Middle East risk-off and oil weighed. It briefly broke 0.7000 to the 0.6994 london low before NY reclaimed the figure. Since then price has held a 0.7002–0.7015 range of higher lows. The ny high at 0.7015, which coincides with the 50% fib, capped the 12:30 UTC bounce after the US claims beat.
Support: 0.70021, 0.69936
Resistance: 0.70145, 0.70223, 0.70361
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7015 (ny high / 50% fib) opens the london high at 0.7022
Loss of the 0.7002 ny low breaks the higher-lows line and puts the london low at 0.6994 back in play
Australian flash PMIs at 22:00 UTC could shift this read into the Asia session
14:47 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs since Asia · RSI 46 · price 0.70068
Lower highs below a descending trendline; London sweep of 0.7000 recovered, NY retesting the lows.
Asia faded from the 0.7036 monthly high into a lower-high sequence. London then swept below the 0.7000 psych level to a 0.6994 london low and recovered, but the bounce stalled at the 50% fib and the trendline near the 0.7015 lower high. Early NY pressed back to a 0.7002 ny low as USD steadied after the 194K claims beat and oil-driven risk jitters weighed on AUD.
Support: 0.70021, 0.7000, 0.69936
Resistance: 0.70145, 0.70223, 0.70361
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7015 lower high and trendline breaks the lower-high chain, with the 0.7022 london high next
Failure to hold the 0.7000 psych level and the ny low exposes the 0.6994 london low
A second break below 0.7000 that holds would turn the London sweep into a range break
Australian flash PMIs at 22:00 UTC could shift this read
14:32 UTC
Intraday down, lower highs since London · RSI 48 · price 0.70049
Post-sweep range 0.7004–0.7014, lower highs pressing range floor.
London took out the Asian low and 0.7000, printing the london low at 0.6994 before a sharp sweep bounce. Since the 12:30 UTC claims beat firmed USD, rebounds have been rejected under the ny high at 0.7014. Price is back at the 0.7004 ny low, near the 50% retrace of that bounce, with RSI(14) neutral near 48.
Support: 0.70044, 0.7000, 0.69936
Resistance: 0.70145, 0.70223
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.7000 round number re-exposes the london low at 0.6994
Hold of the 0.7004 ny low, the 50% of the sweep bounce, keeps the 0.7004–0.7014 range intact
M15 close above the 0.7014 ny high shifts focus to the 0.7022 london high
Australian flash PMIs at 22:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Post-sweep range 0.7006–0.7015 below a descending trendline.
London's break below 0.7000 psych to a 0.6994 day low was reversed within the hour, a false break, after the hawkish RBA repricing drew demand. Since then a 0.7006–0.7015 NY range has held, with the claims beat and oil-driven USD firmness capping it. Price is now pressing the NY low at 0.7006, below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) at 46. The lower-high trendline from the Asia high (0.7036) through the London high (0.7022) still caps the session.
Support: 0.70059, 0.7000, 0.69936
Resistance: 0.70145, 0.70223, 0.70361
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.7006 ny low reopens 0.7000 psych and the 0.6994 day low
Acceptance below the 0.6994 day low would turn the false break into a lower-low
M15 close above the 0.7015 ny high and the lower-high trendline targets the 0.7022 london high; the 0.7036 asia high is the session cap
Australian flash PMIs at 22:00 UTC and Middle East/oil headlines could materially shift this read
Lower highs since Asia; 0.7000 sweep reversed, higher low at 0.7006.
Lower highs from the 0.7036 monthly high into the 0.7022 London high. The pair then swept the 0.7000 psych level to a 0.6994 session low as Middle East risk-off weighed. NY has rebounded to a 0.70145 NY high at the 50% fib, with a higher low at 0.7006, and price is pressing the descending trendline near 0.7012. RSI(14) is neutral at 50.
Support: 0.70059, 0.7000, 0.69936
Resistance: 0.70145, 0.70223, 0.70361
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.70145 NY high and descending trendline breaks the lower-high sequence, opening the 0.7022 London high
Failure to hold the 0.7006 higher low reopens 0.7000 psych and the 0.6994 session low
Australian flash PMIs at 22:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Middle East/oil headlines remain the main source of risk-off swings in AUD
Lower highs from Asia high; post-sweep range 0.7006–0.7015.
Lower highs off the 0.7036 Asia high led to a London break below the 0.7000 round number to a 0.6994 sweep low, as Gulf and oil headlines lifted USD. The break failed and price snapped back. Early NY is compressing between a 0.7006 higher low and the 0.7015 NY high, which sits on the 50% fib and the lower-highs trendline. The 0.7022 London high caps above that.
Support: 0.70059, 0.7000, 0.69936
Resistance: 0.70145, 0.70223, 0.70361
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7015 NY high and lower-highs trendline exposes the 0.7022 London high
Loss of the 0.7006 higher low puts the 0.7000 round number and 0.6994 sweep low back in play
Australian Flash PMIs at 22:00 UTC could materially shift this read
13:32 UTC
Intraday downtrend, rebounding off the low · RSI 54 · price 0.70132
Lower highs from 0.7036; higher low at 0.7006 after a sweep below 0.7000.
London broke the Asian low near 0.7007 and swept below the 0.7000 round number to a 0.6994 London low, then reclaimed it sharply. The early-NY rebound is now pressing the descending trendline off the 0.7036 Asian high, with the 0.7015 NY open high and EMA50 overhead and RSI(14) neutral at 54. Middle East risk-off has capped AUD since the monthly high, while the soft USD is limiting downside.
Support: 0.70059, 0.7000, 0.69936
Resistance: 0.70145, 0.70223, 0.70361
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7015 NY open high and the descending trendline opens a path to the 0.7022 London high
A break of the 0.7006 higher low would expose the round number at 0.7000 and the 0.6994 London low
The Asian high at 0.7036 (fresh monthly high) marks the top of the 24h range
Middle East/Hormuz headlines and Australian Flash PMIs at 22:00 UTC could materially shift this read
13:17 UTC
Intraday downtrend, lower highs since Asia · RSI 44 · price 0.70087
Lower highs below a descending trendline; late-London false break of 0.7000 reclaimed, NY consolidating.
Lower highs since the 0.7036 asia high, set as Middle East risk-off clipped AUD. A late-London false break of 0.7000 psych to the 0.6994 sweep low was reclaimed on soft USD. The post-claims push in the first hour of NY stalled at the 0.7015 claims high, under the descending trendline and near the 38.2–50% fib. Price is pinned around 0.7009 with RSI(14) neutral at 44.
Support: 0.70059, 0.7000, 0.69936
Resistance: 0.70145, 0.70223, 0.70361
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7015 claims high and trendline breaks the lower-high chain; london high 0.7022 is the next cap
Loss of the 0.7006 ny low reopens 0.7000 psych and the 0.6994 sweep low; a close below that sweep low confirms a lower-low
Middle East/Iran headlines during NY hours could shift this read; AU flash PMIs at 22:00 UTC are the next scheduled AUD risk
13:03 UTC
Downtrend from the 0.7036 high, lower highs intact · RSI 43 · price 0.70066
False break below 0.7000, rebound capped at the 50% retrace.
Middle East risk-off pulled AUDUSD from the 0.70361 window high through the Asian session. During London it slipped through the 0.7007 Asian low and the 0.7000 round number to a 0.69936 session low, then recovered above 0.7000 in a false break. Early in the NY session the rebound stalled at the 0.70145 ny high, near the 50% retrace of the asia-london drop, as the initial jobless claims beat lifted USD; price is back under the Asian low with lower highs intact.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69936
Resistance: 0.70145, 0.70223, 0.70361
What it said to watch
An M15 close above the 0.70145 ny high would break the lower-highs sequence and expose the 0.70223 london high
Failure to hold the 0.7000 round number and the 0.69936 session low would confirm a lower low
A recovery toward the 0.70361 window high would invalidate the downtrend read
Australian Flash PMIs at 22:00 UTC (no forecast) could materially shift this read
Middle East/Iran headlines remain the main risk-off driver for AUD
Lower highs from 0.7036; London false break below 0.7000 recovered.
AUD/USD has printed lower highs since the 0.7036 Asia high. London broke the 0.7007 Asian low and briefly pushed through the 0.7000 psych level to a 0.6994 session low as Middle East risk-off weighed, before a soft USD fuelled a rebound to the 38.2% retrace near 0.7010. Price sits in the first hour of NY, with the descending trendline and the 0.7022 London high overhead.
Support: 0.7007, 0.7000, 0.69936
Resistance: 0.70223, 0.70361
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7022 London high breaks the descending trendline and the lower-high sequence
A return below the 0.7007 Asian low puts the 0.7000 psych level and the 0.6994 session low back in play
Rejection at the 50% fib near 0.7015 keeps the rebound corrective
Australian Flash PMIs at 22:00 UTC could reset the read on RBA hike pricing
False break below 0.7000 reclaimed; back inside lower Asian range.
Late in London, Middle East risk-off broke the pair below the 0.7007 asian low and the 0.7000 psych handle to a 0.6994 sweep low. The soft USD capped the downside, and price reclaimed the handle into the NY open. The rebound retraced about 61.8% of the London drop before stalling at the 0.7013 rebound high, with price now pinned at EMA20 and RSI(14) near 46.
Support: 0.7007, 0.7000, 0.69936
Resistance: 0.70129, 0.70223, 0.70361
What it said to watch
US jobless claims (12:30 UTC, f/c 200K) land on the current bar and could materially shift this read
M15 close above the 0.7013 rebound high reopens the 0.7022 london high, then the 0.7036 asian high
Failure to hold the 0.7007 asian low exposes the 0.7000 psych level and the 0.6994 sweep low
Lower highs from 0.7036 Asia high; false break below 0.7000 reclaimed into NY open.
Late London pushed AUD through the 0.7000 psych level to a 0.6994 day low on Gulf risk-off, then snapped back above it into the London-NY transition. Price is stalling at the 61.8% fib near 0.7011 and the 0.7013 bounce high. The lower-highs line from the 0.7036 Asia high and the 0.7022 London high still cap the bounce.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69936
Resistance: 0.70129, 0.70223, 0.70361
What it said to watch
US jobless claims at 12:30 UTC (f/c 200K) land within the next bar and could materially shift this read
M15 close above the 0.7022 london high breaks the lower-highs chain from the 0.7036 asia high
Hold above the 0.7013 bounce high keeps the false break below 0.7000 psych in play
Close back below 0.7000 psych exposes the 0.6994 day low again
Australian flash PMIs at 22:00 UTC are the next AUD-side risk
Lower highs since Asia; false break below 0.7000 reclaimed.
Lower highs from the 0.7036 asia high ran through London. That slide swept below the asian low and 0.7000 psych into a 0.6994 swing low on Middle East risk-off. The break failed within two bars, and price is back at the asian low near 0.7008, the 50% of the london leg fib, with RSI(14) recovering to 42.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69936
Resistance: 0.70075, 0.70223, 0.70361
What it said to watch
US Initial Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC (f/c 200K) lands just before NY open and could materially shift this read
M15 close back below 0.7000 psych negates the false break and puts the 0.6994 swing low back in play
Hold above the asian low and 0.7011 (61.8% of london leg fib) opens a test of the 0.7022 london high
M15 close above the descending highs trendline and 0.7022 london high breaks the lower-high sequence from the asia high
Lower highs from the Asia top; London broke the Asian low and 0.7000.
Late London broke the 0.7007 asian low and the 0.7000 psych handle, printing a session low at 0.6994 as Middle East risk-off weighed on AUD. Lower highs since the 0.7036 Asia top remain intact. The first bounce is pressing back into 0.7000 with RSI(14) recovering to ~33 from sub-30.
Support: 0.69936, 0.6985
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7007, 0.70223
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.7000 psych and the 0.7007 asian low would turn the break into a false break
M15 close below the 0.6994 session low exposes UOB's 0.6985 strong support
Close above the 0.7022 london high and the lower-highs trendline invalidates the downtrend read
US Initial Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC, ahead of the NY open, could materially shift this read
Lower highs from the 0.7036 Asia high; late-London range break below the Asian low and 0.7000.
Late London broke the 0.7007–0.7022 range lower, cutting through the Asian low and the 0.7000 round number to a 0.6980 session low as Middle East risk-off weighs on AUD. Lower highs since the 0.7036 Asia high are capped by the descending trendline. RSI(14) is near 29, short-term stretched but not extreme.
Support: 0.6980
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7007, 0.7022
What it said to watch
Recovery back above the 0.7007 Asian low would turn the break into a false break
Failure to hold the 0.6980 session low extends the lower-low sequence toward the 0.6985 strong support zone flagged in the macro digest, already tested intrabar
US Initial Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC, ahead of NY open, could materially shift this read
A close above the 0.7022 London high breaks the descending trendline
11:03 UTC
Downtrend from Asian high, now flat-to-lower · RSI 38 · price 0.70082
Lower highs off 0.7036; 0.7007–0.7022 range, pressing the floor.
AUD's monthly high at the 0.7036 asian high gave way early in the Asia session as Middle East risk-off clipped the four-day rally. London has stayed inside 0.7007–0.7022, and the London high at 0.7022 stalled near the 50% retracement. Mid-London, price is back on the asian low at 0.7007 for a third test, with RSI(14) near 38 and ATR around 4 pips.
Support: 0.7007, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70223, 0.70361
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.7007 asian low extends the lower-low sequence toward the 0.7000 psych handle
Recovery through the 0.7022 london high and the descending lower-highs line breaks the intraday downtrend read
US Initial Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC (f/c 200K), early in NY hours, could break the range either way
Australian Flash PMIs at 22:00 UTC are the next AUD-specific risk to the 0.7000 handle
10:32 UTC
Down from Asian high, now flat · RSI 49 · price 0.70137
London range inside the Asian range, lower highs into a 0.7013 floor.
AUDUSD was rejected at the 0.7036 Asian high as Middle East risk-off clipped the four-day rally, then slid to a 0.7007 Asian low before USD softness slowed the drop. London has stayed inside the Asian range, stalling at the 0.7022 London high near the 50% retrace and printing lower highs into a 0.7013 London floor.
Support: 0.7013, 0.7007, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70223, 0.70361
What it said to watch
Break of the 0.7013 london floor exposes the 0.7007 asian low and the 0.7000 psych handle
Close above the 0.7022 london high breaks the lower-highs sequence and reopens the 0.7036 asian high
US Initial Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC, early in the NY session, could break the London range
Australian Flash PMIs at 22:00 UTC could materially shift this read after the NY close
Lower highs off 0.7036, flat base at 0.7007–0.7008.
The Asia session reversed from the 0.7036 monthly high to 0.7007 as Middle East risk-off dented AUD. London has since ranged between the asian low and 0.7022, with the london high capping near the 50% retrace of the Asia drop. Price is pinned at EMA20 with RSI(14) at 47, and no setup is in play mid-London.
Support: 0.70075, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70223, 0.70361
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 0.7008 asian low exposes the 0.7000 round number
An M15 close above the 0.7022 london high reopens the 0.7036 monthly high
US Initial Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC, early in the NY session, could break the London range
London range 0.7008–0.7022 with higher lows above Asian double bottom.
Middle East risk-off clipped AUD in the Asia session, dropping it from the 0.7036 monthly high to a double bottom at the 0.7007 Asian low. London has built higher lows since, but the 0.7022 London high saw rejection at the 50% retrace of that drop. Price is now pivoting at the ema50 near 0.7018 with RSI(14) neutral at 52 and ATR(14) about 5 pips.
Support: 0.7013, 0.7007, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7018, 0.7022, 0.7036
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7022 London high clears the 50% retrace and reopens the 0.7036 monthly high
Break of the London higher-low line near 0.7013 returns focus to the 0.7007 Asian low; failure there exposes the 0.7000 round number
US Initial Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC (f/c 200K) could materially shift this read
09:17 UTC
Range after Asia sell-off, higher lows forming · RSI 54 · price 0.70184
0.7007–0.7022 London range, higher lows off session low.
Asia sold off from the 0.7036 asia high to a 0.7007 session low as risk-off flows lifted USD. London has held that low three times and printed higher lows at 0.7011 and 0.7013 along a rising trendline, with the 08:15 UTC push rejected at the 0.7022 london high. Price is sitting on the 38.2% fib of the Asia drop and pinned at EMA50, RSI(14) neutral near 54.
Support: 0.70128, 0.7007, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70223, 0.7030, 0.70361
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7022 london high breaks the range top and brings 0.7030 psych and the 0.7036 asia high into view
Loss of the 0.7013 higher low and rising trendline returns focus to the 0.7007 session low, with 0.7000 psych below
US Initial Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC and AU flash PMIs at 22:00 UTC could materially shift this read
09:03 UTC
Pulled back from the Asia high, now basing sideways · RSI 46 · price 0.70134
0.7007–0.7022 range in the lower half of the Asian range.
Asia sold off from the 0.7036 asian high to a 0.7007 asian low as Iran-linked risk-off lifted the USD, and repeated tests of 0.7007–0.7009 since have held. London's push to the 0.7022 london high stalled at the 50% retrace of the Asia drop, and price has slipped back to mid-range with RSI(14) neutral near 46.
Support: 0.7007, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70223, 0.70361
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.7007 asian low breaks the base and exposes the 0.7000 psych handle
M15 close above the 0.7022 london high clears the 50% retrace and puts the 0.7036 asian high back in view
US Initial Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC could break the range during NY hours
AU flash PMIs at 22:00 UTC are the next AUD-side risk to the range read
08:32 UTC
Asia downtrend stalling, London bounce · RSI 56 · price 0.70192
Triple-tested Asia low; London break of range top.
Asia session sold off from the 0.7036 24h high to the 0.7007 asia low on risk-off USD demand, and that low held on three tests into London open. London has pushed through the 0.7019 range top to a 0.7022 london high at the 50% of the Asia drop fib, with price sitting on EMA50 near 0.7019 and ema20 below at 0.7016.
Support: 0.70187, 0.70156, 0.7007
Resistance: 0.70223, 0.70361
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.7019 range top puts price back inside the Asian range and negates the break
Acceptance above the 0.7022 london high exposes the Asia drop fib 61.8% near 0.7025, then the 0.7036 24h high
Failure to hold the 0.7007 asia low breaks the triple bottom and brings the 0.7000 handle into play
US Initial Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC (f/c 200K) could materially shift this read via the USD
08:17 UTC
Downtrend from Asia high, flattening into base · RSI 45 · price 0.70137
Lower highs above a flat 0.7007-0.7008 base; London inside Asian range.
Asia sold off from the 0.7036 asian high on risk-off, safe-haven USD flows, printing lower highs into a flat base at the 0.7007 asian low. London has held a tight 0.7008-0.7019 band with the london high capped at the 38.2% retrace. Price is pinned at EMA20 with RSI(14) neutral at 45, and no break is in play.
Support: 0.7007, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70187, 0.70208, 0.70361
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7019 london high and 0.7021 lower high breaks the lower-highs trendline
Failure to hold the 0.7007 asian low exposes the 0.7000 round number
US Initial Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC (f/c 200K) could materially shift this read in early NY
07:32 UTC
Downtrend from Asia high, now basing · RSI 48 · price 0.70154
Lower highs into 0.7007–0.7019 range, early London.
Asia session rejected the 0.7036 double top and slid about 29 pips to 0.7007 as Iran risk-off revived safe-haven USD flows, taking out yesterday's 0.7018 prior-day low. Early London is holding a 0.7007–0.7019 range. The range top sits at the 38.2% retrace of the Asia selloff, while RSI(14) is flat near 48 and price is pinned on EMA20.
Support: 0.7007, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7019, 0.7036
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7019 range top would reclaim the prior-day low and the 38.2% fib, opening the 50% retrace near 0.7022
Failure to hold the 0.7007 range low exposes the 0.7000 round number
US Initial Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC and Iran/Hormuz headlines could break the range
Lower highs after Asia break of prior range floor, basing at 0.7007.
Middle East risk-off and a haven USD bid pushed AUD through the prior low at 0.7018 during the Asia session, down to an Asia low of 0.7007. The first London-open retest of 0.7018 was rejected at the 38.2% level of the Asia drop fib, and price now sits near 0.7011, below EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 0.7007, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7018, 0.7021, 0.7036
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.7021 lower high breaks the lower-high sequence and reopens the 0.7036 Asia high
Failure to hold the 0.7007 Asia low exposes the 0.7000 round number
US Initial Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC could shift this read during NY hours
Escalation in US–Iran headlines adds haven USD pressure
07:03 UTC
Downtrend, basing at the lows · RSI 56 · price 0.70168
Asian lower-high chain; double bottom at 0.7007 testing its 0.7018 neckline.
Asia faded from the 0.7036 asian high to a 0.7007 asian low as Iran-driven risk-off bid the USD, cutting through yesterday's 0.7018 lows. A second hold at 0.70075 into London open has price pressing the 0.7018 neckline, which lines up with the fib 38.2% of the Asian drop.
Support: 0.7007, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70186, 0.7025, 0.70361
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7018 neckline completes the double bottom and opens the fib 50% at 0.7022, then fib 61.8% at 0.7025
Failure to hold the 0.7007 asian low resumes the downtrend toward the 0.7000 round number
Close back above the 0.7036 asian high would negate the Asian lower-high sequence
US Initial Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC and US–Iran headlines could materially shift this read
06:32 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating near lows · RSI 42 · price 0.70108
Range break lower, lower highs since 00:45 UTC.
Early Asia pushed briefly above yesterday's 0.7018–0.7035 range to the 0.70361 Asia high, then reversed as Iran-related risk-off and safe-haven USD demand returned. The move broke the range floor at 0.7018 and printed an Asia low at 0.7007. Since then price has drifted in a tight 0.7007–0.7018 band with lower highs ahead of the London open.
Support: 0.7007, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7018, 0.70361
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.7018 range floor (also the 38.2% fib) would negate the range-break read
Failure to hold the 0.7007 Asia low exposes the 0.7000 psych handle
Lower-highs trendline near 0.7016: a break above it ends the Asia sequence of lower highs
US Initial Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC could shift USD and test this structure
Asia lower highs from 0.7036; tight 0.7007–0.7018 coil with a higher low at 0.7010.
Asia session reversed from the 0.7036 asian high at 00:15 UTC and slid to a 0.7007 asian low as Iran-related risk-off and safe-haven USD flows returned, with bounces capped near the 38.2–50% retracement at the 0.7021 swing high. Price is now coiling between a 0.7010 higher low and the 0.7018 lower highs line, below both EMAs, roughly 45 minutes before London open.
Support: 0.70095, 0.7007, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7018, 0.70208, 0.70361
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7018 lower highs line and 0.7021 swing high breaks the Asia sequence of lower highs
Failure to hold the 0.7010 higher low and 0.7007 asian low exposes the 0.7000 psych handle
US Initial Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC could shift USD direction during NY hours
Iran/US headlines remain the swing factor for risk tone and AUD
AU flash PMIs at 22:00 UTC fall just after this read's horizon
Lower highs since Asia open; higher low at 0.7010 forming a tight squeeze.
Asia session spiked to a 0.7036 session high at the open, a false break of yesterday's twin 0.7036 tops, then reversed to a 0.7007 session low as Iran-related risk-off brought back safe-haven USD demand. Price is now squeezing between lower highs capped at 0.7016–0.7021 and a higher low at 0.7010 an hour before London open, with RSI(14) at 44 and ATR near 4.5 pips.
Support: 0.70095, 0.7007, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70208, 0.70361
What it said to watch
Close above the 0.7021 lower high, which sits on the 38.2% fib of the 0.7036–0.7007 drop, breaks the lower-highs sequence
Failure to hold the 0.7010 higher low and 0.7007 session low exposes the 0.7000 psych handle
Break of either the lower-highs or higher-lows trendline at London open likely sets the session direction
US Initial Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC could reset the USD leg of this read
A third rejection at the 0.7035/36 triple top early in the Asia session started an Asia sell-off. It broke the 0.7018 range floor that had held through London and NY, printing an Asia low at 0.7007 as risk-off and safe-haven USD flows returned. Late in the Asian session, price is chopping at 0.7015, below the range floor and capped by a lower-highs line.
Support: 0.7007, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7018, 0.7036
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.7018 range floor would turn the Asia break into a false break
Failure to hold the 0.7007 Asia low opens the 0.7000 psych handle
A break of the lower-highs line from 0.7036 neutralises the Asia sell-off sequence
London open is about 1.5h away; Asian range extremes at 0.7007 and 0.7036 are in focus
US Initial Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC could shift USD tone during NY hours
Lower highs since Asian high; higher low off 0.7007.
Asia made a false break above Wednesday's 0.7036 high to set the asian high, then Iran-related risk-off and safe-haven USD flows drove a 29-pip slide to the 0.7007 asian low, just above the 0.7000 round number. The late-Asia rebound has made lower highs into 0.7018, the 38.2% of the Asian decline, with a higher low at 0.7013, RSI(14) neutral near 47 and price below EMA20.
Support: 0.70131, 0.7007, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7018, 0.70208, 0.70361
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7018 lower highs and the 0.7021 swing high would break the lower-high chain into London open
Loss of the 0.7013 higher low reopens the 0.7007 asian low and the 0.7000 round number
Recovery toward the 0.7036 asian high would revisit the false-break area
US Initial Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC could reset the NY session range
Failed push above 0.7036 in Asia, lower highs and lows since; broken range floor at 0.7018 being retested from below.
The Asia session opened with a false break to a 24h high at 0.7036, just above Wednesday's twin 0.7035 tops, then reversed as Iran headlines revived safe-haven USD demand. The pair broke Wednesday's 0.7018 range floor and printed a 0.7007 Asia low. Late in Asia it is bouncing off a 0.7013 micro base into 0.7018, which lines up with the 38.2% retracement of the Asia decline. Price is under both EMAs, RSI(14) is near 44, and ATR is about 4.4 pips.
Support: 0.7013, 0.7007, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7018, 0.7021, 0.7036
What it said to watch
A close back above the 0.7018 range floor and the 0.7021 lower high puts price back inside Wednesday's 0.7018–0.7036 range.
Rejection at 0.7018 and a break of the 0.7013 micro base exposes the 0.7007 Asia low and 0.7000 psych.
The London open in about 2h is likely to set direction relative to the Asian range of 0.7007–0.7036.
US Initial Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC and fresh Iran headlines could shift the USD safe-haven bid.
Lower highs and lower lows since the Asia session high; price below both EMAs.
Early Asia pushed briefly above yesterday's 0.7035-0.7036 highs to a 0.7036 session high, a false break that met rejection. The Asian sell-off then ran about 29 pips to a 0.7007 Asian low as Iran headlines revived safe-haven USD demand. The bounce to 0.7014 sits below the 0.7018 prior low (yesterday's NY low) and the 0.7021 lower high, with RSI(14) near 37.
Support: 0.7007, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70185, 0.70208, 0.70361
What it said to watch
An M15 close above the 0.7018 prior low and 0.7021 lower high breaks the lower-high chain and the trendline
Failure to hold the 0.7007 Asian low exposes the 0.7000 psych handle
Reclaiming the 0.7036 session high would negate the false-break read
London open in about 2.5h, then US Initial Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC, could shift this read; Iran headlines remain a swing factor
04:17 UTC
Short-term downtrend after failed high · RSI 36 · price 0.70143
Lower highs and lower lows since the 0.7036 false break.
Asia session pushed through the 0.7035 London/NY highs to a 0.7036 session high, then reversed, breaking the 0.7018–0.7020 broken floor that held through NY. The slide tagged a 0.7007 session low as Iran risk-off revived USD demand. Price is now bouncing from that low below both EMAs, with lower highs at 0.7036 and 0.7021 and RSI(14) near 36.
Support: 0.7007, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7020, 0.7036
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.7020 broken floor, also the 50% fib of the Asia drop, negates the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold the 0.7007 session low exposes the 0.7000 psych handle
Break of the lower-high trendline from 0.7036 would undercut the downtrend read
London open in about 3h often resets the Asian range, and US Initial Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC could shift USD tone
Iran/Middle East headlines driving safe-haven USD demand remain the swing factor
04:02 UTC
Intraday downtrend, lower highs since Asia open · RSI 34 · price 0.70119
LH/LL chain after rejection at range top; prior-day range broken lower.
Asia session pushed to 0.7036, the range top capped repeatedly yesterday, and was rejected. The pair broke through yesterday's 0.7018–0.7036 range to a 0.7007 Asia low as Iran tensions revived safe-haven USD demand. Lower highs at 0.7031 and 0.7021 keep the chain intact, with RSI(14) near 34 and the 0.7000 psych handle just below.
Support: 0.7007, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7021, 0.7036
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7021 lower high, which is also the 50% fib of the Asia selloff, breaks the lower-high chain
Failure to hold the 0.7007 Asia low exposes the 0.7000 psych handle
London open in ~3h, a test of whether the Asian range extends or holds
US jobless claims at 12:30 UTC and Iran headlines could materially shift this read
Failed break of 0.7035 swing high, sell-off to new session low.
Asia session spiked to 0.7036, a marginal false break of yesterday's 0.7035 swing high, then reversed about 29 pips as Iran tensions revived the safe-haven USD bid. The move cut through yesterday's 0.7018 NY lows to a 0.7007 session low, a lower high at 0.7021 capped the bounce, and price now sits just above the 0.7000 psych handle with RSI(14) near 31.
Support: 0.7007, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7021, 0.7036
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.7021 lower high breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold the 0.7007 session low exposes the 0.7000 psych handle
Iran/Middle East headlines could extend or reverse the USD bid quickly
US initial jobless claims at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
03:32 UTC
Intraday downtrend after failed push to session high · RSI 40 · price 0.70167
Range break lower, lower highs since 0.7036; bounce retesting the broken range floor from below.
Early Asia briefly cleared yesterday's 0.7034-0.7035 range top to a 0.7036 session high, then reversed. Price broke the 0.7018-0.7020 range floor that held twice during NY hours as Iran tensions revived safe-haven USD demand, printing a 0.7012 session low. The bounce stalled at 0.7021, near the 38.2% fib of the drop, with price below both EMAs and RSI(14) near 40.
Support: 0.70123, 0.7009, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7019, 0.70361
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.7019 range floor and the 0.7021 bounce high invalidates the range-break read
Failure to hold the 0.7012 session low confirms a lower-low and exposes the 0.7009 prior low, then the 0.7000 psych handle
Lower highs from the 0.7036 session high stay intact while price holds below the descending line
US initial jobless claims at 12:30 UTC and Iran headlines could materially shift this read
03:03 UTC
Intraday pullback inside a 0.7009–0.7036 range · RSI 41 · price 0.70188
False break of range top in Asia, lower highs since, base forming at 0.7012.
The RBA-repricing rally stalled at three-week highs: Asia briefly cleared the 0.7034–0.7036 range top to an asia high of 0.70361, then reversed 24 pips to the 0.70123 asian low, holding above the 0.7009 prior low. The bounce to 0.7019 is capped below the ema20 near 0.7022, close to the 38.2% retrace of the Asia drop. RSI(14) sits near 41 and ATR is about 4 pips with London open roughly four hours out.
Support: 0.70123, 0.7009, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7022, 0.70313, 0.70361
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.7022 (ema20 / 38.2% retrace) reopens the 0.7031 lower high
Break of the 0.7012 asian low exposes the 0.7009 prior low and the 0.7000 round number
London open is the first test of whether the asia high rejection holds
US Initial Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC (f/c 200K) could shift this read during NY hours
02:47 UTC
Intraday pullback, below both EMAs · RSI 41 · price 0.7017
False break of 0.7036 high, lower low through 0.7018.
Asia briefly cleared yesterday's 0.7036 London high, then reversed 24 pips. The drop cut through the 0.7018–0.7019 NY and Asia-open lows to a 0.7012 session low, and the bounce is stalling just under that broken low. The four-day AUD rally on the RBA hike repricing is pausing, with RSI(14) near 41 and price below EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 0.7012, 0.7009, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7019, 0.7024, 0.7036
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.7024 fib 50% of the 0.7036–0.7012 drop negates the false-break read
Repeated rejection at the 0.7019 broken low keeps the lower-low sequence intact
Failure to hold the 0.7012 session low exposes the 0.7009 prior low and the 0.7000 round number
Recovery through 0.7036 session high reopens the three-week-high extension
US Initial Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC could shift USD pricing and this read
False break above 0.7036, impulsive drop to 0.7012.
Mid-Asia session: the push to 0.7036 matched yesterday's London double high, then rejected and fell 24 pips to the 0.7012 Asia low, just above the prior low at 0.7009. Hawkish RBA repricing kept AUD near three-week highs, but the move above 0.7036 did not hold. Price is basing at 0.7018 below both EMAs.
Support: 0.7012, 0.7009
Resistance: 0.7024, 0.7036
What it said to watch
Close below the 0.7012 Asia low and 0.7009 prior low confirms a lower low under yesterday's range
Reclaim of 0.7024 (50% fib of the Asia drop) reopens the double high at 0.7036
Close above the 0.7036 double high negates the false break read
US Initial Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read during NY hours
02:17 UTC
Intraday downtrend after failed high · RSI 34 · price 0.70131
Lower highs from 0.7036, broken below NY-session lows.
Early Asia session pushed AUD to 0.7036 on the hawkish RBA repricing. Price edged just past yesterday's 0.7036 high and then reversed, a false break that has since cut through the 0.7018 broken lows from NY hours to a session low at 0.7012. RSI(14) is near 34, soft but not stretched, with 0.7009 prior low and the 0.7000 round number below.
Support: 0.70123, 0.7009, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7018, 0.70242, 0.70361
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 0.7009 prior low exposes the 0.7000 round number
Reclaim of the 0.7018 broken lows, then the fib 50% at 0.7024, would neutralise the false-break read
Break of the lower-highs line from 0.7036 would end the intraday downtrend
US Initial Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC could shift USD tone and this read
False break of 0.7036 high, then range break below 0.7018 floor.
The Asia session briefly took out the prior range top to a 0.7036 session high, then reversed in a 22-pip sell-off. That move broke the 0.7018 range floor, which had held twice during NY hours, and RSI(14) has slid to about 38. The drop trims part of the extended hawkish-RBA rally, leaving the prior low at 0.7009 and the 0.7000 round number below.
Support: 0.7009, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7018, 0.70361
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.7018 range floor would turn the break into a false break
Failure to hold the 0.7009 prior low exposes the 0.7000 round number
Lower highs capped under the asia lower highs trendline keep the sell-off structure intact
US Initial Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read in NY hours
0.7018–0.7036 range, Asia high rejected, testing range low.
AUDUSD has held a 0.7018–0.7036 range since London, with demand stepping in at the 0.7018 range low twice during NY hours as hawkish RBA repricing kept AUD near three-week highs. Asia session poked a marginal new high at 0.70361 above the range high. It was rejected and the full Asia leg has unwound back to the range low, RSI(14) near 43.
Support: 0.7018, 0.7009, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7027, 0.7036
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.7018 range low breaks the range and opens the 0.7009 swing low, then 0.7000 psych
Reclaim of 0.7027 range mid, the 50% of the Asia high fib, restores the mid-range read
Another push through 0.7036 range high after the false break would shift the structure higher
US jobless claims at 12:30 UTC could reset the range
01:32 UTC
Range-bound, fading from the highs · RSI 47 · price 0.70243
0.7018–0.7036 range; Asia false break above the range top, then a lower high.
Early Asia briefly pushed above yesterday's London high at 0.7036 on the hawkish RBA repricing, but the move failed. Price dropped back inside the 0.7018–0.7036 range, set a lower high at 0.7031 and is now trading at 0.7024, below the 61.8% retrace of the Asian leg. RSI(14) is neutral near 47 and ATR is about 3.5 pips.
Support: 0.70195, 0.70181
Resistance: 0.70313, 0.70361
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.7020 asian low exposes the 0.7018 ny low and breaks the range floor
Reclaim of the 0.7031 lower high reopens a test of the 0.7036 session high
US Initial Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC could shift this read during NY hours
01:17 UTC
Sideways after London breakout, momentum neutral · RSI 53 · price 0.70281
0.7018–0.7036 range since London; false break of range top in Asia.
London cleared yesterday's 0.7009–0.7029 Asian range on the hawkish RBA repricing, and price has held a 0.7018–0.7036 range since, with buyers stepping in at the range low three times. Today's Asia push to a marginal range top at 0.70361 was rejected back to the 0.7028 micro low, and the bounce stalled at a 0.70313 lower high. RSI(14) sits near 53 and price is flat on EMA20.
Support: 0.70277, 0.70185, 0.7009
Resistance: 0.70313, 0.70361
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.7028 micro low reopens the 0.7018–0.7020 range low
Close back above the 0.7031 lower high and then the 0.7036 range top would negate the false break read
Loss of the range low exposes yesterday's 0.7009 Asian low
US Initial Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC (f/c 200K) during NY hours could force a range break
0.7018–0.7036 range since London, rising lows at floor.
AUDUSD has held a 0.7018–0.7036 range since London, with supply capping the range top for a fourth time when the early Asia push to 0.70361 was rejected. The pullback low at 0.7028 sits on the 50% of the Asia leg, while rising lows at the range floor keep the range compact. The hawkish RBA repricing has kept dips shallow, and RSI(14) is near 61.
Support: 0.7028, 0.7018, 0.7009
Resistance: 0.7036
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7036 range top breaks the cap tested four times since London
Loss of the 0.7028 pullback low and the Asia leg 50% exposes the 0.7018 range floor and the rising lows line
Break below the range floor puts yesterday's asian low at 0.7009 back in play
US jobless claims at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read; AU Flash PMIs and Bullock remain the test of the RBA hike pricing
00:47 UTC
Sideways, upper half of 24h range · RSI 52 · price 0.70283
0.7018–0.7036 range since London; fresh high at Asia open rejected.
Early Asia pushed through the twin 0.70356 highs and above the NY high to a window high of 0.70361, then reversed sharply back to 0.7028. That is the 50% retracement of the overnight 0.70195–0.70361 leg, with price sitting on the ema20. The 0.7018–0.7036 range has held since London, and RBA hike repricing keeps AUD pinned near three-week highs.
Support: 0.7027, 0.70205, 0.70183
Resistance: 0.70343, 0.70361
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.70361 window high negates the false-break read
Failure to hold the 0.70205 swing low exposes the 0.7018 range floor, defended twice during NY
RBA's Bullock (Oct 23 10:00 UTC) and US jobless claims (12:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
00:32 UTC
Range-bound, Asia leg testing the top · RSI 57 · price 0.7032
0.7018–0.7036 range since London; Asia higher lows off the floor.
The Asia session climbed from the 0.7020 range floor in a steady asia uptrend to 0.7036. That is a marginal poke through the range top, which capped London and NY three times. The last bar has eased back to 0.7032, above the ema20, as hawkish RBA repricing keeps AUD pinned near three-week highs.
Support: 0.7028, 0.7020
Resistance: 0.7036
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7036 range top ends the range read; a slip back inside marks a false break
Loss of the 0.7028 ema20 and the asia uptrend line (the 50% of the asia leg fib) puts the 0.7020 range floor back in focus
US Initial Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC and Bullock on Oct 23 could materially shift this read
00:17 UTC
Range-bound, testing range top · RSI 63 · price 0.70344
0.7018–0.7036 range since London; higher lows off late-NY low.
Early Asia lifted AUDUSD off the 0.7020 late-NY low through the 0.7028 breakout pt, and price is now pressing the 0.7036 range top. That ceiling has capped London and NY five times on the hawkish-RBA bid. The range floor at 0.7018 held twice during NY, and RSI(14) near 63 shows no stretch.
Support: 0.70283, 0.70195, 0.70181
Resistance: 0.70356
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7036 range top breaks the range, with the 0.7035 area flagged as the RBA-repricing extension zone
Failure back below the 0.7028 breakout pt returns price to mid-range and puts the late-ny low at 0.7020 back in play
Loss of the 0.7018 range floor would mark a lower low and break the range to the downside
US Initial Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC and AU flash PMIs at 22:00 UTC are the next scheduled catalysts for this range
0.7018–0.7036 range; higher lows off 0.70195 in Asia.
Wednesday held a 0.7018–0.7036 range. London was rejected twice at the 0.70356 range top and NY printed lower highs near 0.7034, while the 0.7018–0.7020 range floor held three times. Early Asia is building higher lows from 0.70195 and price has lifted above the ema20 to 0.7029, with hawkish RBA repricing keeping AUD near its monthly high.
Support: 0.70265, 0.70212, 0.70185
Resistance: 0.7032, 0.70356
What it said to watch
A close above the 0.7032 swing high puts the 0.70356 range top back in play; acceptance above it breaks the day's range
A break below the 0.70212 higher low and the rising Asia trendline returns focus to the 0.70185 range floor
US jobless claims (12:30 UTC) and AU flash PMIs (22:00 UTC) could materially shift this read