AUD/USD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Wednesday, 21 October 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the AUD/USD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:47 UTC
Sideways after London breakout, early Asia rotating mid-range · RSI 50 · price 0.70268
0.7019–0.7035 range since London; flat highs capping, NY lows held twice.
London broke above the prior Asian range and has held AUDUSD in a 0.7019–0.7035 range since. The range high near the monthly top has been rejected repeatedly, and two NY flushes to the range low, at the 61.8% fib of the rally, were bought back. Early Asia is lifting off 0.7020 toward the 0.7028 session high, with RSI(14) near 50 and price hugging EMA20/50; hawkish RBA repricing keeps AUD underpinned but has not cleared the cap.
Support: 0.7019, 0.7009
Resistance: 0.7028, 0.7035
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7035 range high clears the monthly-high cap and ends the range read
Failure to hold 0.7019 range low breaks the 61.8% fib floor and exposes the asian low at 0.7009
Session high at 0.7028 is the first test for the Asia recovery
US jobless claims Thu 12:30 UTC and AU flash PMIs Thu 22:00 UTC are the next scheduled risks to the range
23:32 UTC
Sideways, mid-range after London rally · RSI 43 · price 0.7025
0.7019–0.7035 range since London; range top rejected three times.
The London rally off the 0.7009 asian low stalled at the 0.7035 range top, which rejected price three times through NY. Two NY dips held the 0.7019 range low near the 61.8% fib, with RBA hike repricing keeping AUD underpinned. Early Asia is drifting mid-range at 0.7025, capped by the 0.7028 early high, with EMAs flat overhead.
Support: 0.7019, 0.7009
Resistance: 0.7028, 0.7035
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7035 range top breaks the three-touch cap and the 0.7030 monthly high
Close above the 0.7028 early high puts the range top back in play
Failure to hold the 0.7019 range low and 61.8% fib exposes the 0.7009 asian low and the 0.70 handle
Iran or AI-risk headlines during Asia hours could hit high-beta AUD
23:17 UTC
Range after rally, momentum fading · RSI 41 · price 0.70225
London took AUD through the 0.7030 monthly high to a 0.7036 day high on the hawkish RBA repricing. Repeated rejection there through NY has left lower highs inside a 0.7018–0.7036 range. Early Asia is pinned between the 0.7028 Asia high and the 0.7020 Asia low, just above the 0.7018 NY low. Price sits at the 50% fib of the 0.7009–0.7036 leg, with RSI(14) near 41 and price below both EMAs.
Support: 0.70195, 0.70181, 0.7009
Resistance: 0.70283, 0.70356
What it said to watch
A close below the 0.7018 NY low and the 0.7020 Asia low confirms a range break, opening the 0.7009 prior low
Recovery above the 0.7028 Asia high reopens the 0.7036 day high and challenges the lower-high sequence
No AU/US data in the next 8h; US jobless claims Thu 12:30 UTC is the next scheduled USD input
23:03 UTC
Range after London rally, early Asia drifting lower · RSI 37 · price 0.70225
0.7018–0.7036 range; lower highs since the 18:30 UTC rejection.
The London rally from the 0.7009 Asian low ran into the 0.7035 range top, near the monthly high, where it was rejected again in NY and late in the day. The RBA-hike bid stalled there, while dips to the 0.7018 range low held twice. Price has set lower highs into the new Asia session and sits at 0.7022, the 50% of the London leg, below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) at 37.
Support: 0.70185, 0.7009
Resistance: 0.7029, 0.70356
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.7018 range low, which coincides with the 61.8% fib, confirms a breakdown toward the 0.7009 Asian low
Close above the 0.7029 lower high breaks the trendline and reopens the 0.7035 range top
US Initial Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC, then AU flash PMIs at 22:00 UTC, could shift the range read
22:47 UTC
Sideways after London push, early Asia drifting lower · RSI 38 · price 0.7022
Range 0.7018–0.7035 since London, lower highs in early Asia.
London cleared the asian high at 0.7029 on RBA hike repricing and tagged 0.7035, but the range top has capped five tests since. NY dips and the post-rollover dip held the 0.7018 range low. Early Asia is printing lower highs from 0.7034, with price sitting at the 50% retrace of the Asia-London leg and RSI(14) near 38.
Support: 0.7018, 0.7005
Resistance: 0.7029, 0.7035
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.7018 range low, the 61.8% of the Asia-London leg, breaks the range and exposes the 0.7005 asian low
Break of the lower-highs line and a close back above the 0.7029 asian high puts the 0.7035 range top back in play
Acceptance above the 0.7035 range top would mark a fresh monthly high
US jobless claims (Thu 12:30 UTC) and AU flash PMIs (Thu 22:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
22:32 UTC
Range, drifting lower within it · RSI 44 · price 0.70224
0.7018–0.7036 range since London; lower highs after rollover.
Hawkish RBA repricing carried London through the 0.7029 Asian high to a 0.7036 day high. NY was capped twice near 0.7034, and price has printed lower highs since rollover, with a 0.7028 minor high. Price sits at 0.7022, just above a 0.7018 range floor that has held three times since NY open, with RSI(14) near 44 and ATR around 3.6 pips.
Support: 0.7018, 0.7005
Resistance: 0.7028, 0.7036
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.7018 range floor exposes the 0.7005 asian low
Close above the 0.7028 minor high breaks the lower-highs line and reopens the 0.7036 day high
Asia session liquidity and any US-Iran headlines could shift this read; AU flash PMIs (Oct 22 22:00 UTC) are the next scheduled AUD risk
22:17 UTC
Sideways after London rally, momentum flat · RSI 48 · price 0.70242
0.7018–0.7036 range since London; repeated rejection at range top.
London broke the 0.7029 Asian high on hawkish RBA repricing, but the 0.7035 range top (UOB's flagged target) rejected four tests through NY hours, while the range low at 0.7018–0.7020 absorbed three dips, holding near the 50–61.8% retrace of the London leg. Early Asia trades mid-range at 0.7024 below both EMAs, RSI(14) ~48, ATR ~4 pips.
Support: 0.7019, 0.70053
Resistance: 0.7029, 0.70356
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.7018 range low opens a move back toward the 0.7005 Asian low and 0.7000
M15 close above the 0.7036 range top breaks the cap and extends the London leg
Reclaim of the 0.7029 Asian high would put the range top back in play
AU flash PMIs (Oct 22, 22:00 UTC) are the next scheduled AUD catalyst for this range
22:03 UTC
Sideways after London rally, momentum flat · RSI 45 · price 0.70267
Range 0.7019–0.7035, early Asia session mid-range.
London extended the hawkish-RBA rally to the 0.7035 range high, which coincides with the digest's UOB target. That level has rejected price four times since. Dips to the 0.7019 range low, which aligns with the 61.8% of the London leg fib, held through NY and again into the Asia open, leaving price mid-range at 0.7027 under a flat EMA20/50.
Support: 0.7019, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7031, 0.7035
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7035 range high breaks the four-touch rejection and the day's cap.
Minor high at 0.7031 capped the late-NY rebound. A close through it puts the range high back in play.
Loss of the 0.7019 range low (61.8% London leg fib) opens the 0.7000 psych handle.
AU flash PMIs (Oct 22, 22:00 UTC) are the next AUD catalyst for this range.
21:47 UTC
Intraday range, drifting lower since NY close · RSI 36 · price 0.70213
0.7018–0.7036 range since London; price back near the range base.
London set the day high at 0.7036, and NY was capped twice near 0.7034 while dips held the 0.7018 NY low. Price has slipped after the rollover to sit on the 50% of the London leg fib (0.7022), back below the 0.7029 Asia high, even as RBA hike repricing keeps AUD above 0.70.
Support: 0.7018, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7029, 0.7036
What it said to watch
Close below the 0.7018 NY low breaks the range base and the 61.8% of the London leg fib, exposing the 0.7000 round number
Reclaim of the 0.7029 Asia high returns price to mid-range; the 0.7036 day high remains the cap
AU flash PMIs (Oct 22, 22:00 UTC) are the next scheduled AUD risk, beyond the coming Asia session
21:32 UTC
Sideways after London push to one-month high · RSI 43 · price 0.70262
0.7018–0.7036 range since London; flat top, double low.
The Asia-to-London leg off 0.7000 on hawkish RBA repricing topped at the 0.7035 range high, and that level has rejected four times since, including the 18:30 UTC probe. NY twice set a range low near 0.7018 and recovered quickly both times. Price is drifting at 0.7026 after the rollover gap, just under EMA20 and EMA50, in a thin early Asia session.
Support: 0.70183, 0.70092, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70356
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7035 range high breaks the London-NY cap.
Failure to hold the 0.7018 range low opens the asian low at 0.7009 and the 0.7000 psych handle.
US Initial Jobless Claims (Thu 12:30 UTC) could shift the read if the range is still intact into the NY session.
21:17 UTC
Flat range after London leg higher · RSI 44 · price 0.70283
0.7018–0.7036 range since London, repeated caps at the top.
London extended the Asian rally from the 0.7009 swing low to 0.7036 on the hawkish RBA repricing, but every push since has met rejection at the 0.7034–0.7036 range top while two NY flushes found buyers at the 0.7018 ny low. Price is mid-range at 0.7028 into the daily rollover, with ATR compressed near 4 pips and RSI(14) neutral at 44.
Support: 0.7018, 0.7009
Resistance: 0.7035
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7035 range top breaks the four-touch cap and invalidates the range read
Failure to hold the 0.7018 ny low (near the 61.8% fib) exposes the 0.7009 swing low
Thin rollover and Asia session liquidity until AU flash PMIs on Oct 22 22:00 UTC
Range 0.7018–0.7036 above the broken Asian range, lower highs at the top.
London broke the 0.6997–0.7029 Asian range higher on hawkish RBA repricing and printed a session high at 0.7036. Price has since been confined between 0.7018 and the 0.7035 range top. Demand held the 0.7018 range low twice, including the late-NY flush, and highs have stalled at 0.7034. Price is mid-range at the old Asian high, the leg is holding above the 38.2% of the Asia-London leg fib, RSI(14) is neutral at 48 and EMAs are flat.
Support: 0.7018, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7029, 0.7035
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7035 range top ends the range read and extends the London breakout
Failure to hold the 0.7018 range low exposes the 0.7000 round number and the Asian range
Thin Asia session ahead; Meta earnings tonight (AI sentiment) and US jobless claims Thu 12:30 UTC could shift the USD leg
20:48 UTC
Sideways after London breakout, momentum flat · RSI 48 · price 0.70293
Range 0.7018–0.7035 since London; Asian high 0.7029 now the pivot.
London cleared the 0.7029 Asian high on the hawkish-RBA / soft-USD tone, but the 0.7035 range high has capped five tests since. The range low at 0.7018 held twice, at 14:00 and 19:00 UTC, near the 61.8% of the Asia-London leg fib. Late NY trades flat on EMA20 at the Asian high, with RSI(14) neutral near 48.
Support: 0.70275, 0.70182, 0.7009
Resistance: 0.70323, 0.70356
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7035 range high breaks the London–NY range
Holding the 0.7032 rebound high as a cap keeps price boxed under the range high
Loss of the 0.70275 micro low puts the 0.7018 range low back in play
Failure at 0.7018 opens the 0.7009 Asian low, the base of the Asia-London leg fib
Meta Q3 earnings after the US close could move USD via AI sentiment into the Asia session
20:31 UTC
Sideways after London push, momentum neutral · RSI 46 · price 0.70279
0.7018–0.7036 range since London; equal lows at 0.7018, capped at 0.7035.
London cleared the Asian high at 0.7029 and ran to the 0.7036 london high, near UOB's 0.7035 target, where the hawkish-RBA leg met repeated rejection. NY twice dipped to the 0.7018 ny low and recovered both times. Late NY, price sits at 0.7028 mid-range, near the 38.2% of the ny swing fib, with RSI(14) 46 and flat EMAs.
Support: 0.70223, 0.70181
Resistance: 0.70323, 0.70356
What it said to watch
Close above the 0.7036 london high breaks the session range to the upside
Failure to hold the 0.7022 swing low exposes the 0.7018 ny low; a break there opens 0.7000
Rebound stalling below the 0.7032 swing high keeps the range intact into Asia
Meta Q3 earnings tonight could shift USD via AI sentiment
20:17 UTC
Sideways after London breakout, momentum neutral · RSI 50 · price 0.70299
Range 0.7018–0.7036 since London; lower highs at the top, twin lows at the base.
London broke the Asian range high near 0.7029 and was rejected twice at the 0.7036 session high, which lines up with the 0.7035 UOB target in focus after the hawkish RBA repricing. NY has since ranged 0.7018–0.7036. The 0.7018 NY low held twice near the 61.8% fib of the Asia-London leg. Late NY trades mid-range with RSI(14) flat near 50.
Support: 0.7018, 0.7009, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7036
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7036 session high breaks the range and clears the 0.7035 target zone
Failure to hold the 0.7018 ny low exposes the 0.7009 asian low and the 0.7000 psych level
Third test of the session high failing again would extend the lower-high sequence at the range top
AU flash PMIs (Oct 22, 22:00 UTC) are the next scheduled AUD catalyst; quiet calendar until then
20:02 UTC
Intraday uptrend stalled into a range · RSI 49 · price 0.70312
0.7018–0.7035 range since London; slightly lower highs, twin lows at floor.
London broke above the Asian high at 0.7029, extending the hawkish-RBA rally. Since then AUD/USD has ranged 0.7018–0.7035: the range top capped three tests, and buyers stepped in twice at the range floor in NY, near the 61.8% retracement of the Asia-London leg. The late-NY drop to 0.70185 was fully reclaimed, and price is back above the Asian high. RSI(14) is neutral near 49.
Support: 0.7029, 0.7018, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70356
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7035 range top, which is also UOB's 0.7035 target in the digest, ends the range read
Loss of the 0.7029 Asian high puts the 0.7018 range floor back in play
Failure at the 0.7018 range floor exposes the 0.7000 psych level, the line the digest ties to the breakout
Asia session open is thin; AU flash PMIs Thu 22:00 UTC and Bullock Fri 10:00 UTC are the next catalysts
19:47 UTC
Sideways after London breakout, momentum neutral · RSI 54 · price 0.70311
0.7018–0.7035 range since London morning; equal highs at range top, lows defended twice.
London broke the Asian high at 0.7029 on hawkish RBA repricing, and price has held a 0.7018–0.7035 range through NY since then, with the range top rejecting four times. The late-NY drop to 0.7018, near the 61.8% of the London leg, reversed within two bars, and price is back above the Asian high with RSI(14) mid-50s.
Support: 0.7029, 0.7018, 0.7005
Resistance: 0.7035
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7035 range top, which is also the UOB target, breaks the range to the upside
Loss of the 0.7018 range low exposes the Asian low near 0.7005 and the 0.70 handle
Slipping back under the Asian high at 0.7029 returns price to the lower half of the range
No scheduled data in the next 8h; AU flash PMIs on Oct 22 at 22:00 UTC are the next catalyst
19:16 UTC
Range after London breakout, late-NY pullback · RSI 46 · price 0.7023
0.7018–0.7036 range since London; repeated tops at 0.7035, second hold at the range low.
A 10-pip drop at 18:45 UTC knocked AUDUSD off the 0.7030–0.7034 late shelf to the 0.7018 range low, which held for a second time today. Price now sits near the 50% retracement of the 0.7009–0.7036 rally fib. Supply has capped the 0.7035 range top, UOB's flagged target, repeatedly since London despite the hawkish RBA repricing.
Support: 0.7018, 0.7009, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7030, 0.7036
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.7018 range low confirms a lower-low and exposes the 0.7009 swing low and the 0.7000 round number
Reclaiming the 0.7030 late shelf puts the 0.7036 range top back in play; a close above it breaks the range
Meta Q3 earnings after the US close could move USD via AI-risk sentiment and shift this read
19:02 UTC
Intraday uptrend stalled, rolling into a range · RSI 45 · price 0.70232
Range 0.7018–0.7035 after London broke the Asian high; repeated session-high rejection.
Hawkish RBA repricing carried London through the 0.7029 Asian high to a 0.7035 session high. That level has capped four tests through NY. A 10-pip flush late in NY hours put price back on the 50% fib of the London leg at 0.7022, below both EMAs, with the 0.7018 NY low just underneath.
Support: 0.70224, 0.70181, 0.70092
Resistance: 0.7029, 0.70356
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.7018 NY low breaks the range floor and exposes the 0.7009 swing low
Reclaim of the 0.7029 Asian high puts the 0.7035 session high back in play; a close above it ends the rejection read
Meta earnings after the US close could shift USD risk tone overnight
18:46 UTC
Uptrend, pressing session high · RSI 58 · price 0.70332
Higher lows into flat 0.7035 cap.
London broke the asian high at 0.7029 and set a session high at 0.70356, at UOB's 0.7035 target, as hawkish RBA repricing kept AUD bid. The early-NY drop to the 0.7018 ny low held between the 50% and 61.8% fib of the Asian-London leg. Higher lows since then have pushed price back into the 0.7034-0.7036 cap, which has now been tested four times late in the NY session.
Support: 0.7029, 0.70181, 0.70053
Resistance: 0.70356
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.70356 session high breaks the flat cap
Loss of the 0.7029 asian high breaks the NY higher-low sequence and reopens the 0.7018 ny low
Break of the 0.7018 ny low through the 61.8% fib exposes the 0.7005 asian low
No scheduled AUD/USD data in the next 8h; AU flash PMIs on Oct 22 at 22:00 UTC are the next event risk
18:16 UTC
Intraday uptrend, stalling below the session high · RSI 54 · price 0.70305
Asian range broken higher; late-NY consolidation under a double cap.
London broke the 0.6997–0.7029 Asian range on the hawkish RBA repricing but was rejected twice at the 0.7036 London high. The NY open dip found demand at the 0.7018 NY low, near the 50% fib of the day's upleg, and a 0.7023 higher low has since lifted price back into a tight late-NY range between the 0.7029 Asian high and the 0.7034 NY high.
Support: 0.7029, 0.70231, 0.70181
Resistance: 0.70343, 0.70356
What it said to watch
A close above the 0.7036 London high clears the double cap and the 0.7035 area flagged in the AUD digest
A close back below the 0.7029 Asian high returns price to the middle of the NY range
Loss of the 0.7023 higher low reopens the 0.7018 NY low and the 50% fib
AU flash PMIs (Oct 22, 22:00 UTC) are the next scheduled AUD catalyst for this structure
18:02 UTC
Intraday uptrend, holding near session high · RSI 61 · price 0.70327
0.7018–0.7036 range since London, higher lows in NY.
London broke the asian high at 0.7029 and stalled twice at the 0.7036 session high, near UOB's 0.7035 target, as hawkish RBA repricing kept AUD firm. The NY dip to the 0.7018 ny low held between the 50% and 61.8% fib of the Asia-London leg. A run of higher lows since then has lifted price back to 0.7033 in late NY, with RSI(14) at 61.
Support: 0.7029, 0.70235, 0.70181
Resistance: 0.70356
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7036 session high breaks the London-NY cap
Loss of the 0.7029 asian high puts the 0.7024 higher low and rising higher-lows line in focus
Break below the 0.7018 ny low ends the higher-low sequence
US jobless claims Oct 22 12:30 UTC is the next scheduled risk to this read
17:46 UTC
Uptrend, capped at session high · RSI 61 · price 0.70326
Higher lows compressing under 0.7035 cap.
AUD/USD broke the Asian range high at 0.7029 in early London on the hawkish RBA repricing, but the 0.7035 session high capped three tests through London and the NY open. The NY-open drop to the 0.7018 NY low was bought back. A 0.7023 pullback low and a 0.7028 higher low now compress price under the cap late in NY hours, with RSI(14) near 61.
Support: 0.7028, 0.7023, 0.7018
Resistance: 0.7035
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7035 session high breaks the cap that has held since London
Break of the rising trendline and the 0.7028 higher low shifts price back into the afternoon range
Failure to hold the 0.7023 pullback low reopens the 0.7018 NY low
AU flash PMIs Oct 22 22:00 UTC are the next scheduled AUD catalyst
Higher lows off the NY low, capped at the 0.7036 session high.
London broke above the 0.7005–0.7029 Asian range and set a 0.7036 session high, which capped price twice into the NY open before a pullback to the 0.7018 NY low. After London close, NY higher lows at 0.7018 and 0.7023 have lifted price back to 0.7031, with hawkish RBA repricing still underpinning AUD. RSI(14) sits near 58 and ATR(14) is about 4 pips.
Support: 0.7023, 0.70181, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70356
What it said to watch
An M15 close above the 0.7036 session high clears the double cap and the 0.7035 area flagged in the AUD digest
A break of the 0.7023 higher low snaps the NY higher-lows line; a move under the 0.7018 NY low turns it into a lower low
The 0.7000 psych level is the floor of the breakout read; losing it reopens the old range
Meta earnings tonight could shift the USD and risk tone into the Asia session
London broke the asian high at 0.7029 on the hawkish RBA repricing and soft USD, then stalled twice at the 0.7036 session high. Demand stepped in at the 0.7018 NY low after the NY-open dip, and higher lows since then have lifted price back to 0.7030, with a lower high at 0.7034 at 16:30 UTC.
Support: 0.7029, 0.70235, 0.70181
Resistance: 0.70356
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7036 session high breaks the range top
Loss of the 0.7023 higher lows and the NY trendline returns focus to the 0.7018 NY low
Failure to hold the 0.7029 asian high on this retest weakens the London breakout
Meta earnings tonight could shift USD and risk tone after the NY close
London break of Asian high, NY higher low at 0.7023, retesting 0.7036.
London broke the Asian range high at 0.7029 on hawkish RBA repricing and capped at the 0.7036 session high. NY dipped to the 0.7018 NY low, near the 61.8% of the London leg, then printed a higher low at 0.7023. Late in the NY session price is testing the session high, also UOB's 0.7035 target, for a third time with RSI(14) neutral at 56.
Support: 0.7023, 0.7018, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70356
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7036 session high breaks the post-London range
Loss of the 0.7023 higher low and rising trendline puts the 0.7018 NY low back in play
A move below 0.7018 exposes the 0.7000 psych level
Meta earnings tonight could jolt USD via AI sentiment
Triple top at 0.7035, neckline lost, lower highs forming.
The AUD rally on hawkish RBA repricing stalled at the 0.7035 session high, tapped three times through London. The NY open then broke the 0.7030 neckline and fell to the 0.7018 NY low, near the 61.8% fib of the asia low-to-high leg. The late-NY bounce was rejected at the neckline and lower highs are forming. RSI(14) is near 44, with price under EMA20 and just above EMA50.
Support: 0.7018, 0.7009, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7030, 0.7035
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.7030 neckline voids the triple top read and puts the 0.7035 session high back in play
Loss of the 0.7018 NY low extends the lower-high sequence toward the 0.7009 asia low and the 0.7000 psych level
Meta earnings tonight could shift USD and risk tone after London close
Double top at 0.7036, lower highs in NY, 0.7018–0.7030 range.
London extended the RBA-repricing rally through the 0.7030 monthly high to a 0.7036 london high. Two tests there failed, and the first hour of NY dropped price to a 0.7018 ny low, close to the fib 61.8% retrace of the 0.7009–0.7036 leg. The NY rebound stalled at a lower high near 0.7030, so price now sits at 0.7025, just under ema20 and on ema50, with RSI(14) near 44.
Support: 0.7018, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7030, 0.7036
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7030 lower high breaks the lower-highs trendline and reopens the 0.7036 london high
Failure to hold the 0.7018 ny low and the fib 61.8% zone exposes the 0.7000 round number
Meta Q3 earnings after the US close could swing USD via AI-sentiment spillover
Rejection from 0.7035 session high, lower high near 0.7030.
Hawkish RBA repricing and a soft USD carried the Asia-London leg from the 0.7009 swing low through the 0.7029 Asian high. London then tagged the 0.7035 session high three times near the monthly high before the NY open rejection to the 0.7018 NY low, just beyond the 61.8% fib. The bounce stalled at a lower high near 0.7030 mid-NY session, and price now sits on the 38.2% with RSI(14) neutral at 49.
Support: 0.7018, 0.7009
Resistance: 0.7030, 0.7035
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7030 lower high and 0.7035 session high invalidates the rejection read
Failure to hold the 0.7018 NY low exposes the 0.7009 swing low
Meta earnings after the US close could hit the USD and shift this read late in the NY session
Double top at 0.7035 broke its 0.7030 neckline, lower high at 0.7028.
London extended the Asian advance to 0.7035, the monthly-high area. A double top there gave way in the first hour of NY, and price dropped to the 0.7018 NY low, just under the 61.8% retrace of the Asia-low leg. The bounce stalled at the 0.7028 bounce high, leaving price mid-NY session below EMA20 with RSI(14) near 42 despite the soft-USD backdrop in the digest.
Support: 0.7018, 0.7009, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7028, 0.7035
What it said to watch
A break below the 0.7018 NY low exposes the 0.7009 asian low and the 0.7000 psych level
An M15 close back above the 0.7028 bounce high puts the 0.7035 double top back in play
A close above 0.7035 invalidates the double top read
Meta Q3 earnings after the US close could shift USD via AI sentiment
15:03 UTC
Intraday uptrend, NY pullback · RSI 52 · price 0.70267
Double top at 0.7036; bounce retesting Asian high from below.
London cleared the 0.7029 asian high and stalled twice at the 0.7036 session high, a double top that the NY open unwound to the 0.7018 NY low. That low sits near the 61.8% fib of the London leg. The bounce, helped by a soft USD that keeps AUD near its monthly high, is now retesting 0.7029 from below, with RSI(14) neutral at 52 and price pinned at EMA20.
Support: 0.70181, 0.7009, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7029, 0.70356
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.7029 asian high brings the 0.7036 session high back into play
Rejection at 0.7029 followed by a break of the 0.7018 NY low leaves a lower-low after the double top
Failure to hold the 0.7009 swing low exposes the 0.7000 round number
Meta Q3 earnings after the NY session could shift USD sentiment
Double top at 0.70356, neckline broken, price back inside Asian range.
London lifted AUD/USD through the 0.7029 Asian high to a double top at 0.70356 as hawkish RBA repricing and a soft USD after weak US housing data pushed the pair to monthly highs. The 0.7030 neckline gave way into the NY open and price slid to a 0.70181 ny low, just under the 61.8% of the 0.7009–0.7036 London leg fib. Price is now back near 0.7024, inside the Asian range and sitting on the EMA50 with RSI(14) near 38.
Support: 0.70181, 0.70092, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70302, 0.70356
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.7030 neckline would neutralise the double top read
Failure to hold the 0.70181 ny low exposes the 0.7009 asian low and the 0.7000 psych level
No AUD/USD data in the next 8h. AU flash PMIs (Oct 22, 22:00 UTC) and US jobless claims (Thu 12:30 UTC) are the next scheduled risk
14:32 UTC
Intraday uptrend reversed, lower high in NY · RSI 37 · price 0.70235
Double top at 0.7035, neckline 0.7030 broken, bounce off NY low.
London extended the Asia climb from the 0.7009 Asia low to a monthly high at 0.7035 on hawkish RBA repricing. A double top there broke the 0.7030 neckline in the first hour of NY. The drop found the NY low at 0.7018, just under the 61.8% fib, and price is now holding the 50% retracement near 0.7023 below the 0.7029 Asian high.
Support: 0.7018, 0.7009
Resistance: 0.7029, 0.7035
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.7029 Asian high would neutralise the double top break
Failure to hold the 0.7018 NY low exposes the 0.7009 Asia low and full retracement of the London leg
Rejection again at the 0.7035 double top keeps the monthly high capped
AU flash PMIs (Oct 22, 22:00 UTC) are the next scheduled AUD input
14:17 UTC
Intraday uptrend stalled, lower highs since NY open · RSI 31 · price 0.70209
Double top at 0.7036, price back below the asian high.
London cleared the 0.7029 asian high on RBA hike repricing and set a monthly high. A double top at 0.7036 then gave way into the NY open, and price slid back below the asian high. The 0.7018 ny low sits near the 61.8% fib of the 0.7009 swing low to high leg, with RSI(14) near 31.
Support: 0.70181, 0.70092, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7029, 0.70356
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.7029 asian high negates the double top rejection
Failure to hold the 0.7018 ny low and 61.8% fib exposes the 0.7009 swing low, then the 0.7000 round number
Calendar is clear for the next 8h; a USD headline from the Meta earnings / AI-sentiment track or oil could still move the pair
14:02 UTC
Intraday uptrend stalling, pullback under way · RSI 38 · price 0.70212
Triple top at 0.7035, London breakout back below Asian high.
Hawkish RBA repricing carried London through the 0.7029 Asian high to a triple top at 0.7035, the monthly high. A rejection into the NY open has since pulled price back below the 0.7023 London base to the 50% retrace near 0.7022, which leaves the Asian-high break looking like a false break. RSI(14) sits near 38 and ATR is about 3.6 pips. The London low at 0.7017 is the next support below.
Support: 0.7017, 0.7009, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7023, 0.7029, 0.7035
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.7029 Asian high negates the false-break read and reopens the 0.7035 triple top
Failure to hold the 0.7017 London low exposes the 0.7009 Asian low and the 0.7000 psych level
A rally that stalls at the 0.7023 London base confirms it has flipped to resistance
Meta Q3 earnings later today could shift the USD and risk tone during the late NY session
Double top at 0.7036, range floor 0.7030 broken at NY open.
London pushed the rally to a fresh monthly high at 0.7036 on hawkish RBA repricing, but a second test of that level formed a double top. The NY open then broke the 0.7030 range floor, and price is now at the 0.7022 NY low. That level is the 50% retrace of the 0.7009 swing low to 0.7036 leg, with price under EMA20 and just below EMA50.
Support: 0.70219, 0.7017, 0.70092
Resistance: 0.70303, 0.70356
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.7030 range floor negates the double top read
Failure to hold the 0.7022 NY low opens the 61.8% retrace near 0.7019 and the 0.7017 london open level
A break below the 0.7009 swing low would unwind the full Asian-London leg
Meta Q3 earnings later today could shift USD and risk tone
13:31 UTC
Intraday uptrend stalling at the session high · RSI 48 · price 0.70271
HH/HL chain from 0.7009; small double top at 0.7035, neckline 0.7030 lost at NY open.
London took out the 0.7029 Asian high and printed a 0.7035 session high, tested twice, as hawkish RBA repricing kept AUD firm. The NY open pushed price back below the 0.7030 neckline, which also marks the Asian high, leaving a small double top. Next support is 0.7023, the fib 50% of the London leg.
Support: 0.70223, 0.7017, 0.7009
Resistance: 0.7030, 0.70356
What it said to watch
Holding below the 0.7030 asian high keeps the double top live; a break of the 0.7023 fib 50% exposes the 0.7017 london open base
Loss of the 0.7009 swing low would erase the full London leg and break the HL chain
M15 close back above the 0.7035 session high invalidates the double top read
Meta Q3 earnings tonight are an AI-sentiment risk for USD and could shift this read
13:16 UTC
Intraday uptrend, stalling at session high · RSI 56 · price 0.70284
Asian high break, now retesting 0.7029.
London broke the Asian high at 0.7029 and set a session high at 0.70356, carried by AUD strength after Hauser's hawkish inflation comments. Three tests of 0.7035 have failed to extend, and the first hour of NY dropped price back to the 0.7029 breakout area. Price is now just under EMA20, RSI(14) neutral at 56.
Support: 0.7029, 0.70228, 0.70192
Resistance: 0.70356, 0.7050
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.70356 session high voids the double-top read and opens the 0.7050 round number
Acceptance below 0.7029 turns the breakout into a false break; the 0.70228 swing low and fib 61.8 at 0.7019 are next
Meta Q3 earnings tonight could jolt USD via AI-risk sentiment
13:02 UTC
Uptrend, pausing under session high · RSI 62 · price 0.70343
Higher lows from Asia dip, tight range 0.7030–0.7036 after London breakout.
London cleared the 0.7029 Asian high and set a session high at 0.70356, retested and capped into the NY open, leaving price compressed between the 0.7030 range low and 0.7036. The higher-lows chain from the 0.7009 asia dip through the 0.70228 swing low is intact, backed by hawkish RBA repricing and a soft USD; RSI(14) sits neutral near 62.
Support: 0.70302, 0.70228, 0.7009
Resistance: 0.70356
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.70356 session high extends the breakout into the 0.7035 resistance zone flagged in the macro read
Acceptance below the 0.7030 range low puts price back inside the Asian range
Loss of the 0.70228 swing low breaks the higher-lows trendline from the asia dip
Meta Q3 earnings after NY close could shift USD via AI-risk sentiment
12:46 UTC
Intraday uptrend, stalling at session high · RSI 60 · price 0.70331
HH/HL chain since Asia; tight range 0.7030–0.7036 after London break.
London cleared the Asian range high at 0.7029 and printed a 0.70356 session high, extending the rebound on hawkish RBA repricing and a softer USD. Since then price has held a tight 0.7030–0.7036 range into the London-NY transition, with the session high tested twice. RSI(14) is near 60 and the rising support line from the 0.7009 swing low is intact.
Support: 0.70302, 0.70228, 0.7009
Resistance: 0.70356, 0.7040
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.70356 session high extends the higher-high chain; 0.7040 round number is next overhead
Loss of the 0.7030 range low and the rising support line exposes the 0.70228 pullback low
Break below the 0.7009 swing low ends the intraday HH/HL structure
Broad USD tone into the NY open and Meta earnings after the close could shift risk sentiment; no scheduled AUD/USD data in the next 8h
Higher lows since 05:00 UTC; Asian high broken, tight 0.7030–0.7036 band.
London cleared the 0.7029 asian high and set a 0.70356 session high, matched again at 12:15 UTC, as hawkish RBA repricing carries AUD to monthly highs. Price is now holding a tight band above the 0.7030 london low into the London-NY transition. A rising support line from the 05:00 low runs near 0.7029, and RSI(14) sits around 58.
Support: 0.70302, 0.7029, 0.70228
Resistance: 0.70356, 0.7040
What it said to watch
An M15 close below the 0.7030 london low and the 0.7029 asian high would turn the breakout into a false break
Loss of the 0.7023 pullback low breaks the rising support line and the higher-low chain
A close above the 0.70356 session high, now a double print, opens the 0.7040 round number
Meta Q3 earnings after the NY close could shift risk tone and USD; no scheduled data in the next 8h
12:16 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating under session high · RSI 64 · price 0.7034
HH/HL chain; London broke above the Asian range, holding above it.
London cleared the Asian range high at 0.7029 and printed a 0.70356 session high. That extends the higher-low chain, backed by hawkish RBA repricing and a softer USD. Price is coiling just under the session high into the London-NY transition, with the 0.7030 swing low holding and RSI(14) near 64.
Support: 0.7030, 0.70228, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70356
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.7030 swing low and back inside the Asian range turns the breakout into a false break
Loss of the 0.70228 pullback low and the rising trendline breaks the higher-low chain; round number 0.7000 is the deeper reference
Acceptance above the 0.70356 session high extends the run into fresh monthly highs
NY open within the hour and Meta Q3 earnings tonight could shift USD tone and this read
HH/HL chain since Asian low; retest of Asian high.
London broke above the 0.7029 Asian high and set a session high at 0.70356, the top of the 0.7015–0.7035 resistance band. Price has since faded back to retest the Asian high into the London-NY transition, with RSI(14) cooling to ~58. The HH/HL chain from the 0.7009 Asian low is intact, driven by hawkish RBA talk and a soft USD.
Support: 0.7029, 0.70228, 0.7009
Resistance: 0.70356
What it said to watch
M15 closes back below the 0.7029 Asian high turn the London breakout into a false break
Loss of the 0.70228 London low, near the 50% fib of the London leg, breaks the HH/HL chain and the rising trendline
Acceptance above the 0.70356 session high clears the 0.7035 resistance band
No US or AU data scheduled in the next 8h; US–Iran and oil headlines are the main intraday swing factor for USD
11:46 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pausing at session high · RSI 56 · price 0.70304
Higher lows from 0.7009, Asian high broken and being retested.
London cleared the Asian high at 0.7029 and printed a session high at 0.70356, in the 0.7035 resistance band, before stalling. Price is now back at the broken Asian high with RSI(14) cooling to 56. The higher-low chain from the 0.7009 swing low and the rising trendline are intact, with the move carried by hawkish RBA talk and a softer USD.
Support: 0.7029, 0.70228, 0.7009
Resistance: 0.70356
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.7029 asian high turns the breakout into a false break
Loss of the 0.70228 london low and the rising trendline breaks the higher-low chain toward 0.7009
Close above the 0.70356 session high clears the 0.7035 resistance band
NY open within the hour, with US–Iran and oil headlines as the main USD swing factor and no scheduled data in the next 8h
London broke the Asian high and is holding just under the 0.7036 session high.
London extended the higher-low chain from the 0.7009 Asia low and cleared the 0.7029 Asian high. It printed a 0.7036 session high at the top of the 0.7015–0.7035 resistance band, which came into play after Hauser's hawkish RBA remarks. A shallow retest held above the asian high, and price is pinned near 0.7033 ahead of NY open with RSI(14) ~66, firm but not stretched.
Support: 0.7029, 0.70228, 0.7009
Resistance: 0.70356
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.7029 asian high would turn the breakout into a false break
Loss of the 0.7023 london low and rising support ends the higher-low chain
Acceptance above the 0.7036 session high clears the 0.7015–0.7035 resistance band
US–Iran or oil headlines into NY open could shift the USD side of the move
London broke the Asian range high; first pullback is retesting it.
AUD pushed to a fresh monthly high on Hauser's hawkish RBA remarks and a softer USD. London cleared the Asian high at 0.7029 and set a 0.7036 session high at 10:45 UTC, and price has eased back toward the breakout level late in London. Higher lows hold along the rising trendline from the 0.7010 low, RSI(14) cooling near 62.
Support: 0.7029, 0.70228, 0.7009
Resistance: 0.70356
What it said to watch
Hold of the asian high at 0.7029 keeps the breakout and retest read intact; the 38.2–50% of the Asia-London leg sits at 0.7025–0.7022
Break below the 0.7023 swing low and the rising trendline ends the higher-low chain and reopens the Asian range toward the asian low at 0.7009
M15 close above the 0.7036 session high clears the top of the 0.7015–0.7035 resistance band
NY open could test the breakout; no tier-one AUD or USD data in the next 8h
London breakout above Asian high, HH/HL chain from 0.7009.
London cleared the Asian high at 0.7029 late morning and printed a session high at 0.7036. That leg extends a higher-low chain from the 0.7009 swing low and the 0.7023 higher low, with RSI(14) near 70. Price is pressing the top of the 0.7015–0.7035 band after Hauser's hawkish RBA remarks and a softer USD.
Support: 0.7029, 0.7023, 0.7009
Resistance: 0.70356, 0.7050
What it said to watch
A close back below the 0.7029 asian high would turn the breakout into a false break
Loss of the 0.7023 higher low breaks the intraday HH/HL chain and exposes the 0.7009 swing low
Acceptance above the 0.7036 session high opens the 0.7050 round number
US–Iran and oil headlines during NY hours could swing the USD side of this read
10:46 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 67 · price 0.7030
Higher lows from 0.7010, pressing session high.
AUDUSD is printing a marginal new session high at 0.7030 late in the London session. It held a tight 0.7023–0.7028 shelf above the Asian high since the open, and rising support from the 0.7010 area is intact. The leg tracks hawkish RBA commentary and a softer USD, and price now sits inside the 0.7015–0.7035 resistance band with RSI(14) at 67, short of extreme.
Support: 0.70228, 0.70092, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70303, 0.7035
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7035 band top clears the resistance zone flagged in the macro read
Break of the 0.7023 london low and rising support ends the higher-low sequence and exposes the 0.7009 asia low
Loss of the 0.7000 round number would unwind the Asian-session advance
Failure to hold above the 0.7030 session high would turn this into a false break of the London range
NY open is 1-2h out with no scheduled AU/US data in the next 8h; US–Iran and oil headlines are the main swing risk
Higher low at 0.7009, tight London range under Asian high.
Mid-London, price is holding a tight 0.7023–0.7028 range just under the Asian high at 0.7029, the monthly-high area. That follows a higher low at 0.7009 during Asia and rising support from that pivot. Hawkish RBA talk and a softer USD underpin the four-day rally, while RSI(14) near 64 and ATR around 3 pips point to compression rather than exhaustion.
Support: 0.70228, 0.70177, 0.7009
Resistance: 0.7029, 0.7035
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7029 asian high opens the 0.7035 band top of the digest's resistance zone
Break of the 0.7023 london low and the rising support exposes the 0.7018 swing low near the 50% fib of the 0.7009–0.7028 leg
Loss of the 0.7009 higher low breaks the intraday HL sequence
NY open and US–Iran or oil headlines could shift USD; no scheduled data in the next 8h
Lower high under the Asian high; London rising trendline broken.
Asia lifted AUDUSD through yesterday's 0.7017 prior high to an Asian high at 0.7029 on hawkish RBA commentary and a softer USD. London rallied from the 0.7009 swing low but stalled at 0.7028. Price has since slipped below the London trendline and is pressing the 0.7023 session low, sitting on EMA20 with RSI(14) near 57 and ATR at only 3 pips.
Support: 0.70232, 0.70169, 0.7009
Resistance: 0.7029, 0.7035
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.7023 session low exposes the 0.7017 prior high, the 50% retrace of the 0.7009-0.7028 leg
A close above the 0.7029 Asian high reopens the 0.7035 band top cited in the digest
A break of the 0.7009 swing low would end the intraday higher-low sequence
NY open with no scheduled data; US-Iran/oil headlines remain the live USD swing factor
10:02 UTC
Intraday uptrend, stalling under Asian high · RSI 62 · price 0.70257
Higher low at 0.7009, tight 0.7023–0.7028 range below 0.7029.
Hawkish RBA commentary and a softer USD carried AUD through 0.70 in Asia, and London lifted price off the 0.7009 swing low to 0.7028. Price is now compressed in a 5-pip range just under the 0.7029 Asian high, inside the 0.7015–0.7035 resistance band, with RSI(14) near 61 and ATR(14) about 3 pips.
Support: 0.70232, 0.7009, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7029, 0.7035
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7029 Asian high opens the 0.7035 band top
Break of the 0.7023 range low, together with a loss of the rising trendline, exposes the 0.7009 swing low
A pullback deeper than 50% of the 0.7009–0.7028 leg (about 0.7019) would weaken the higher-low sequence
A close back below the 0.7000 round number would negate the Asia breakout
Higher lows since 04:00 UTC, compressing under Asian high.
Hawkish RBA talk and a softer USD carried the climb off the 0.7010 swing low along a rising trendline. Mid-London, price stalled at 0.7028 just under the 0.7029 Asian high and is coiling in 0.7023–0.7028. RSI(14) has eased to ~61 beneath the 0.7030–0.7035 resist band.
Support: 0.7023, 0.7017, 0.7010
Resistance: 0.7029, 0.7035
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7029 asian high opens the 0.7035 resist band
Break of the rising trendline and the 0.7023 london low exposes yesterday's 0.7017 prior high
Loss of the 0.7010 swing low breaks the higher-low sequence
No scheduled AUD/USD data in the next 8h; US–Iran and oil headlines can still jolt USD
09:31 UTC
Uptrend, stalling at Asian high · RSI 72 · price 0.70275
Higher lows since NY close; tight 0.7023–0.7028 box mid-London under the 0.7029 Asian high.
The prior high at 0.7017 gave way in Asia on the hawkish RBA and soft-USD backdrop, and the climb from the 0.7009 swing low has carried London back to the 0.7029 Asian high, where price has stalled. Price is boxed above the 0.7023 London low with RSI(14) near 72, and the rising lows trendline from 0.7005 still holds.
Support: 0.70232, 0.70169, 0.7009
Resistance: 0.7029
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7029 asian high extends the London leg into fresh session highs
Break of the 0.7023 london low exposes the 0.7017 prior high, now first support
Loss of the 0.7009 swing low breaks the rising lows chain
US-Iran and oil headlines remain the main intraday USD swing factor, with no scheduled data in the next 8h
Mid-London, price has recovered the full Asian pullback from the 0.7009 swing low and is pressing the 0.7029 Asian high, with the London low at 0.7023 holding twice. The old 0.7017 cap from the NY spike, now the prior high, sits below as support, and AUD is underpinned by hawkish RBA commentary and a softer USD on US-Iran deal hopes. RSI(14) is near 64, not stretched.
Support: 0.70232, 0.70169, 0.7009
Resistance: 0.7029
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7029 Asian high extends the HH/HL chain
Loss of the 0.7023 London low exposes the 0.7017 prior high
Break of the rising trendline and the 0.7009 swing low ends the higher-low sequence
US-Iran and oil headlines remain the main USD swing factor, with no scheduled data in the next 8h
09:03 UTC
Uptrend, stalling at Asian high · RSI 69 · price 0.70262
Higher lows since late Asia, London pressing Asian high.
London extended the late-Asia recovery from the 0.7009 swing low into a retest of the Asian high at 0.7029, stalling at 0.7028 with RSI(14) near 69. Price is holding above yesterday's NY prior high at 0.7017, the 0.7015–0.7017 cap the digest flags, on hawkish RBA repricing and a soft USD.
Support: 0.7017, 0.7009, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7029
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7029 Asian high extends the higher-high chain
Slip back below the 0.7017 prior high turns the cap break into a false break, with the 0.7021 fib 38.2% giving way first
Loss of the 0.7009 swing low unwinds London's leg and puts the 0.7000 psych level in play
No tier-1 AUD or USD data in the next 8h; AU flash PMIs Oct 22 22:00 UTC are the next scheduled risk
08:46 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pressing the Asia high · RSI 67 · price 0.70262
Higher-low chain from the 0.7009 swing low, capped at the 0.7029 Asia high.
Early London extended the higher-low chain off the 0.7009 swing low to 0.7028, stalling just under the 0.7029 Asia high along a rising trendline. Yesterday's 0.7017 prior high, the cap the digest flagged, now sits below as support after the Asia breakout on hawkish RBA talk and a softer USD. RSI(14) is near 67, firm but not stretched.
Support: 0.7023, 0.7017, 0.7009
Resistance: 0.7029
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7029 asia high breaks the top of the Asian range
A close below the rising trendline back under the 0.7017 prior high would undo the Asia breakout
Loss of the 0.7009 swing low ends the higher-low chain on the 0.7009–0.7028 leg
No AUD or USD data in the next 8h. US-Iran and oil headlines are the main USD swing factor
08:31 UTC
Intraday uptrend, London pressing Asian high · RSI 71 · price 0.70268
Higher lows from 0.7009, price testing the Asian range top.
Asia cleared yesterday's NY prior high at 0.7017, the cap the digest ties to the hawkish RBA, the China GDP beat and a soft USD. London has rebuilt the leg from the 0.7009 swing low and is pressing the 0.7029 Asian high with RSI(14) near 71. The London leg fib puts 38.2% at 0.7021, just above the prior high.
Support: 0.70169, 0.7009
Resistance: 0.7029, 0.7050
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7029 asian high breaks the Asian range and leaves the 0.7050 round number as the next reference
Slip back below the 0.7017 prior high turns the Asia breakout into a false break
Loss of the 0.7009 swing low breaks the London leg's higher-low chain
No scheduled AUD/USD data in the next 8h. US-Iran headlines and oil are the main USD swing factor.
08:16 UTC
Uptrend, pressing Asian high · RSI 68 · price 0.70243
Higher-low chain off 0.7009, London extending toward the 0.7029 Asian high.
Asia cleared yesterday's 0.7015–0.7017 cap, and the 0.7017 prior high now acts as support. The pullback to the 0.7009 swing low held, and London extended the higher-low chain to a 0.7027 session high, just shy of the 0.7029 Asian high. Hawkish RBA rhetoric and a softer USD underpin the move. RSI(14) sits near 68, firm but not stretched.
Support: 0.7017, 0.7009, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70268, 0.7029
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7029 Asian high breaks the Asian range to the upside
Loss of the 0.7017 prior high puts the rising trendline and 0.7009 swing low back in play
Break below 0.7009 swing low opens a test of the 0.7000 round number and ends the higher-low chain
No scheduled AUD/USD data in the next 8h; US-Iran headlines are the main USD swing risk
08:02 UTC
Uptrend, pressing session high · RSI 66 · price 0.70249
Higher-low chain off 0.7009 into London open.
London open is extending the recovery from the 0.7009 swing low toward the 0.7029 Asia high. Higher lows are stepping up along a rising trendline, and price holds above the 0.7017 prior high that capped yesterday's NY session, on hawkish RBA talk and a soft USD. RSI(14) is near 66, firm but not stretched.
Support: 0.7017, 0.7009, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7029
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7029 Asia high extends the higher-high sequence
Slip back below the 0.7017 prior high would mark the break as a false break
Loss of the 0.7009 swing low breaks the higher-low chain and the rising trendline, exposing 0.7000 psych
No scheduled AU/US data in the next 8h; oil and US-Iran headlines are the main USD swing factor
Asia climbed from the 0.7000 psych area to a 0.7029 Asian high. The pullback held the 0.7009 swing low, and early London is now pressing back toward that high from above yesterday's 0.7017 NY high. The leg tracks the hawkish RBA commentary and soft USD flagged in the digest, with RSI(14) near 66 and not stretched.
Support: 0.7017, 0.7009, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7029, 0.7050
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7029 Asian high extends the higher-high chain, with the 0.7050 round number next above
Rejection at 0.7029 would leave a double top on the session high
Break back below the 0.7017 NY high, then the 0.7009 swing low, ends the higher-low sequence and exposes 0.7000 psych
No scheduled data in the next 8h; oil and US-Iran headlines driving USD could shift this read
London open extended a higher-low chain off the 0.7009 asia low, with price stalling at the 0.7021 london high, which sits on the 61.8% retrace of the drop from the 0.7029 asia high. Yesterday's 0.7017 prior high, the cap flagged after Hauser's hawkish inflation remarks and broad USD softness, is now holding underneath as support.
Support: 0.7017, 0.7009, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70212, 0.7029
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7021 london high and 61.8% opens a retest of the 0.7029 asia high
Break of the rising trendline and 0.7017 prior high returns price toward the 0.7009 asia low
Loss of 0.7009 confirms a lower-low, with the 0.7000 round number next
No scheduled data in the next 8h; oil and US-Iran headlines remain the main USD driver
Higher lows intact from 0.6997; below 0.7029 Asian high.
The Asian session leg topped at the 0.7029 asian high. The pullback held the 0.7009 swing low near the 61.8% fib, preserving the higher-lows line from 0.6997. London open has lifted price to a 0.7020 session high on lingering USD softness after Tuesday's housing misses and Hauser's hawkish inflation remarks, with RSI(14) neutral near 56.
Support: 0.7009, 0.70053, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70198, 0.7029
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7029 asian high resumes the higher-high sequence
Loss of the 0.7009 swing low breaks the higher-lows line and exposes the 0.7005 prior low, then the 0.7000 round number
Rejection at the 0.7020 session high would leave London capped inside the Asian range
No scheduled AUD or USD data in the next 8h; US-Iran and oil headlines remain the main swing factor for USD
07:02 UTC
Uptrend, pullback being bid · RSI 54 · price 0.70172
Higher lows off 0.7009 below 0.7029 Asia high.
Asia session ran from 0.6997 to a 0.7029 Asia high on hawkish RBA commentary and a soft USD, then retraced about 62% to a 0.7009 pullback low. Higher lows since have carried price into London open just under the 0.7018 local high, with RSI(14) neutral and ATR near 3.4 pips.
Support: 0.7009, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70183, 0.7029
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7018 local high opens a retest of the 0.7029 Asia high
Break of the 0.7009 pullback low and the rising trendline negates the higher-low chain and exposes 0.7000 psych
No scheduled AUD/USD data in the next 8h; oil and US-Iran headlines remain the main USD swing risk
Asian high at 0.7029, then higher low near 0.7010 on the pullback.
The NY session reversed from 0.6983 and Asia extended the move to 0.7029, as hawkish RBA talk and a softer USD carried AUD clear of 0.7000. The pullback held just under the 38.2% fib, leaving a higher low around 0.7010. Price is back at 0.7017 into London open, with RSI(14) neutral near 52.
Support: 0.7010, 0.70053, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7020, 0.7029
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7020 pullback hi puts the 0.7029 Asian high back in play
Break below the 0.7010 higher low and the rising support line negates the higher-low chain, exposing the 0.7005 Asian low
Loss of the 0.7000 psych level reopens the prior NY range
London open in ~15 min may test the Asian range in either direction
Oil and US-Iran headlines are moving USD and could shift this read
Higher lows since rollover; lower high after 0.7029 Asia high, now retesting 0.7017.
Asia ran to the 0.7029 Asia high, then faded to a 0.7009 swing low near the 78.6% of the asia leg fib. Into the London open, price is back at the 0.7017 prior high with RSI(14) neutral near 52. Higher lows from the 0.6997 rollover low still hold along the rising tl, in line with hawkish RBA talk and a softer USD.
Support: 0.7009, 0.70053, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7017, 0.7029
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7017 prior high reopens the 0.7029 Asia high
Break of the 0.7009 swing low and rising tl turns micro-structure lower toward the 0.7005 Asia low
Loss of 0.7000 psych breaks the higher-low chain from yesterday's 0.6983 low
No scheduled AUD/USD data in the next 8h; oil and US-Iran headlines remain the main USD swing factor
Pullback held 61.8% of Asia leg; coiling 0.7009–0.7017 pre-London.
Asia session cleared yesterday's NY prior high at 0.7017 and printed a 0.7029 session high on hawkish RBA inflation talk and a softer USD. The pullback found demand twice at the 0.7009 swing low, the 61.8% of the Asia leg fib, and price is now coiling just under 0.7017 into the London open with RSI(14) neutral near 47.
Support: 0.7009, 0.70053, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7017, 0.7029
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.7017 prior high reopens the 0.7029 session high
Failure to hold the 0.7009 swing low exposes the 0.7005 Asia low
A loss of the 0.7000 round number would erase the Asia session gains
London open is the first test of the 0.7009–0.7017 range
06:03 UTC
Intraday up, pulling back from Asia high · RSI 45 · price 0.70138
Lower highs off 0.7029, base holding at 0.7009.
Asia pushed through yesterday's prior high at 0.7017 to an asia high of 0.7029 on the hawkish RBA and China GDP backdrop, but the move was rejected and price slid back under 0.7017. The pullback found a swing low at 0.7009, near the 61.8% of the Asia leg fib. Into London open price is compressed at 0.7010–0.7017 under a line of lower highs.
Support: 0.7009, 0.70053, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7017, 0.7029
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.7017 prior high and the lower-highs line negates the false-break read
Failure to hold the 0.7009 swing low exposes the 0.7005 asian low and the 0.7000 round number
No tier-1 data before Thu US claims; Bullock Fri 10:00 UTC is the next AUD-specific risk
05:47 UTC
Intraday uptrend, Asia pullback in progress · RSI 53 · price 0.70136
Asia HH at 0.7029, then lower highs; higher low held at 0.7009.
The Asia session broke above yesterday's NY prior high at 0.7017 and ran to 0.7029 on the hawkish RBA backdrop, then gave back most of the leg as USD firmed with oil. The 0.7009 swing low held above the 0.7005 Asia low. The bounce stalled at 0.7017, keeping a lower-highs line in place into the London open, with RSI(14) neutral near 53.
Support: 0.70092, 0.70053, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7017, 0.7029
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.7017 prior high breaks the lower-highs line and reopens the 0.7029 asia high
Failure to hold the 0.7009 swing low exposes the 0.7005 asia low and the 0.7000 round number
London open in about 75 min, likely to set direction out of the Asian range
US-Iran / oil headlines remain the main USD driver with no scheduled data in the next 8h
05:32 UTC
Uptrend, Asia pullback recovering · RSI 58 · price 0.70162
Higher low at 0.7009 after a 0.7029 session high; price back at the prior high.
Asia broke above the 0.7017 prior high to a 0.7029 session high, extending the AUD bid on hawkish RBA inflation talk, then retraced to a 0.7009 swing low at the 61.8% fib. Price is back testing 0.7017 ahead of the London open, with the higher low at 0.7005 intact. RSI(14) is neutral at 58 and ATR(14) is about 3.4 pips.
Support: 0.7009, 0.70053, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70169, 0.7029
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7017 prior high reopens the 0.7029 session high
Failure at 0.7017 followed by a break of the 0.7009 swing low would breach the rising support and put the 0.7005 higher low in play
Loss of 0.7000 psych would unwind the entire Asian advance
No scheduled data in the next 8h; US-Iran and oil headlines remain the main USD swing factor
05:16 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pulling back after failed extension · RSI 45 · price 0.70135
Asia session spike above prior high reversed; higher low at 0.7009 holding so far.
Asia session cleared yesterday's 0.7017 NY prior high and tagged a 0.7029 session high on the hawkish RBA tone, then failed to hold. Price retraced most of the 0.7005–0.7029 leg to a 0.7009 swing low and now sits back below the prior high and EMA20, with RSI(14) near 45, ahead of the London open.
Support: 0.70092, 0.70053, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70169, 0.7029
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.7017 prior high negates the false-break read and puts the 0.7029 session high back in focus
Failure to hold the 0.7009 swing low exposes the 0.7005 asian low and the 0.7000 round number
Price is near the 61.8% fib of the Asia leg; a move below the 78.6% retracement leaves little of the advance intact
No scheduled data in the next 8h; US-Iran headlines and oil remain the main USD swing factor
05:03 UTC
Intraday uptrend stalled, fading from session high · RSI 39 · price 0.70095
False break above prior high; lower highs since 02:00 UTC.
On the hawkish-RBA bid, the Asia session pushed through yesterday's prior high at 0.7017 and reached a session high of 0.7029. The break did not hold, and price has slipped back to 0.7009. That move takes it through the 78.6% of the Asian leg fib, with lower highs printing and RSI(14) near 39. The Asian low at 0.7005 and 0.7000 psych sit just below, late in the Asia session.
Support: 0.70053, 0.7000, 0.69947
Resistance: 0.7017, 0.7029
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.7017 prior high (in line with UOB's 0.7015 cap) negates the false break
Failure to hold the 0.7005 asian low exposes 0.7000 psych and the 0.6995 ny low that held through NY hours yesterday
London open in ~2h could reset the session range; US-Iran headlines remain a continuous USD swing factor
Asia breakout above 0.7017 faded, higher low at 0.7005 intact.
Asia session cleared yesterday's NY prior high at 0.7017 and printed a 0.7029 session high, extending the AUD bid on hawkish RBA inflation talk and a softer USD. The rejection there has unwound about 78.6% of the move from the 0.7005 swing low, with price back under 0.7017 and sitting on the 0.7010 pullback low into late Asia. RSI(14) is near 43 and ATR(14) about 3.7 pips.
Support: 0.7010, 0.70053, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7017, 0.7029
What it said to watch
London open: a close back above the 0.7017 prior high and the pullback line revives the breakout read
Failure to hold the 0.7005 swing low breaks the Asia higher-low sequence and exposes the 0.7000 round number
Loss of 0.7010 pullback low confirms the false break above 0.7017
US-Iran headlines remain a live USD wildcard into London
04:32 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pulling back after failed high · RSI 49 · price 0.70112
Higher lows from 0.6997 and 0.7005 intact; break above 0.7017 prior high reversed.
The Asia session ran through Tuesday's 0.7017 prior high to a 0.7029 session high, then gave it back. Price has slipped under the prior high and the pullback line, sitting at the 0.7010 pullback low near the 61.8% of the Asia rally fib. AUD support from hawkish RBA talk is running into the 0.7015 cap flagged in the market digest, while the higher-low chain from 0.6997 and the 0.7005 swing low is still intact.
Support: 0.7010, 0.70053, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70169, 0.7029
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.7005 swing low breaks the higher-low chain and exposes 0.7000 psych
Reclaim of the 0.7017 prior high and the pullback line would undo the false-break read and put the 0.7029 session high back in view
London open in about 2.5h and US-Iran headlines could extend the range beyond the 4-pip ATR
04:16 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back from session high · RSI 50 · price 0.70143
Lower highs off 0.7029, sitting on 61.8% fib.
The Asia session pushed through the 0.7017 prior high, set by yesterday's NY spike, to a 0.7029 session high, but could not hold it. Price has since stair-stepped lower to the 61.8% fib of the 0.7005–0.7029 leg near 0.7014, with RSI(14) back at 50 and price flat to EMA20. Hawkish RBA rhetoric and a softer USD on Iran-deal hopes keep the pair above 0.7000, with the swing low at 0.7011 and the Asian low at 0.7005 framing the downside.
Support: 0.7011, 0.7005, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7017, 0.7029
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.7017 prior high would negate the failed-break read and put the 0.7029 session high back in focus
Failure to hold the 0.7011 swing low exposes the 0.7005 Asian low and the 0.7000 round number
London open in ~3h; no scheduled AUD or USD data in the next 8h, but US-Iran headlines could move USD and shift this read
04:02 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back from session high · RSI 51 · price 0.70146
Asia break above NY high, now retesting it.
The Asia session cleared yesterday's NY spike high at 0.7017 and ran to a session high of 0.7029, helped by hawkish RBA tone and a softer USD. It has since faded back to 0.7015, retesting the prior high between the 38.2% and 50% retracement of the overnight leg, with a pullback low at 0.7013. RSI(14) is neutral near 51 and ATR is about 4 pips ahead of the London open.
Support: 0.70127, 0.70053, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7017, 0.7029
What it said to watch
A close back above the 0.7017 prior high would restore the breakout; a move through the 0.7029 session high would extend the leg
Failure below the 0.7013 pullback low exposes the 0.7005 swing low and the 0.7000 round number
Losing the 0.7000 round number unwinds the overnight move back into the prior range
US-Iran headlines via oil and yields could shift this read during London hours
03:47 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back after spike · RSI 56 · price 0.70162
Asia break above prior high, spike rejected at 0.7029, now retesting 0.7015.
Late Asia session. Price broke yesterday's NY high and pushed to a 0.7029 session high, in line with the hawkish-RBA, softer-USD tone. The spike was rejected and price is back on the 0.7015 prior high, holding near the 61.8% of the 0.7005–0.7029 Asia leg, with RSI(14) at 56 and ATR at about 3.6 pips heading into London open.
Support: 0.7015, 0.70053, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7029
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.7015 prior high turns the Asia breakout into a false break and exposes the asia low at 0.7005
Reclaim of 0.7020 (38.2% of the Asia leg) reopens the 0.7029 session high
Loss of the 0.7000 round number puts price back inside yesterday's NY range
US-Iran headlines are the main USD-side swing factor into London, with no scheduled data in the next 8h
Higher lows since rollover; spike rejected, retesting prior high.
Asia session cleared yesterday's NY prior high at 0.7016 and spiked to a 0.7029 session high, extending the AUD bid on hawkish RBA talk and a softer USD, before a sharp rejection. Price is now flat on the 0.7016 retest, near the 50% fib of the 0.7005–0.7029 Asia leg, with ATR(14) compressed to about 4 pips.
Support: 0.7016, 0.7005, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7020, 0.7029
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.7016 prior high turns the breakout into a failed retest
Loss of the 0.7005 swing low and the rising-lows trendline breaks the higher-low chain, exposing the 0.7000 round number
Reclaim of the 0.7020 swing high reopens the 0.7029 session high
No scheduled data in the next 8h; the London open is the next volatility window, and US-Iran headlines could shift the read
03:16 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back to retest · RSI 58 · price 0.70171
Higher lows since rollover; Asia breakout above prior NY high now retesting it.
Asia session cleared yesterday's NY prior high at 0.7017, the 0.7015 cap flagged in the AUD digest, as hawkish RBA talk carried over. It printed a 0.7029 session high, then slipped back to retest the prior high near 0.7016, which coincides with the 50% fib of the 0.7005–0.7029 leg. The higher low at 0.7011, the 0.7005 swing low and the rising trend from the rollover low remain intact.
Support: 0.70165, 0.70109, 0.70053
Resistance: 0.70199, 0.7029
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.7016 prior high turns the Asia breakout into a false break
Loss of the 0.7011 higher low and the rising trend breaks the intraday HL chain, exposing the 0.7005 swing low
Reclaim of the 38.2% fib at 0.7020 and then the 0.7029 session high resumes the Asia leg
No scheduled AUD/USD data in the next 8h; US-Iran headlines remain the main USD swing factor into London open
03:02 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pulling back from session high · RSI 60 · price 0.70167
HH/HL chain through Asia, rejection at 0.7029, retesting prior high.
Asia session carried the soft-USD, hawkish-RBA bid through yesterday's NY prior high at 0.7017 and the 0.7015 cap flagged in commentary, to a 0.7029 session high, before a sharp rejection. Price is now retesting the prior high near the 50% retrace of the 0.7005–0.7029 Asian leg. RSI(14) has cooled to ~60 and ATR(14) is ~4 pips.
Support: 0.7017, 0.7011, 0.7005
Resistance: 0.7020, 0.7029
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.7017 prior high turns the Asia breakout into a false break and exposes the 0.7011 swing low
Recovery through 0.7020 (38.2% fib) keeps the HH/HL chain intact and brings the 0.7029 session high back into play
Loss of the 0.7005 asian low unwinds the entire Asian leg
US-Iran headlines remain the main USD swing factor into London open
02:47 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back from session high · RSI 61 · price 0.70184
Asia HH/HL chain broke yesterday's NY high; now retesting it.
The Asia session extended the USD pullback on US-Iran deal hopes, clearing yesterday's NY prior high at 0.7017 and reaching 0.7029. The 0.7029 asia high met a sharp 7-pip rejection, and price is back retesting 0.7017 near the 50% retracement of the Asia leg off the 0.7005 swing low. RSI(14) has cooled to about 60, and the Asia rising lows remain intact.
Support: 0.7017, 0.70053, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7020, 0.7029
What it said to watch
An M15 close back below the 0.7017 prior high would turn the breakout into a false break and expose the 0.7005 swing low.
A break of the 0.7005 swing low, which also cuts the Asia rising lows, ends the HH/HL chain and puts the 0.7000 round number in play.
A reclaim of the 0.7020 fib 38.2 and a close through the 0.7029 asia high resume the advance into London open.
Unscheduled US-Iran headlines remain the main near-term USD risk; no scheduled data falls in the next 8h.
Higher lows since 0.6995; prior high 0.7017 broken.
Asia session cleared yesterday's NY prior high at 0.7017, the cap flagged in the market digest, and printed a 0.7029 session high, with hawkish RBA talk and a softer USD behind the bid. The higher-low chain from 0.6995 is intact, with a higher low at 0.7011 and a swing low at 0.7005. RSI(14) is cooling from the low 70s as price drifts back toward the breakout.
Support: 0.7017, 0.7011, 0.7005
Resistance: 0.7029
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.7017 prior high would mark the breakout as a false break
Failure to hold the 0.7011 higher low, then the 0.7005 swing low, breaks the higher-low chain
Rising trendline near 0.7012 from the post-rollover lows; a break below it shifts the read to range
London open reaction around the 0.7029 session high, rejection or extension, sets the next structural leg
02:16 UTC
Uptrend, extended after the Asia push · RSI 74 · price 0.70256
HH/HL chain since rollover; prior NY high cleared.
Mid-Asia session, AUDUSD has built higher lows at 0.69974, 0.70053 and 0.70109 since rollover and cleared the 0.7017 NY high (the digest's 0.7015 cap), printing a session high at 0.7029 as USD softness on US-Iran headlines and Hauser's hawkish RBA remarks carried over. RSI(14) near 74 is hot but not stretched; the ny high at 0.70169 also sits at the 38.2% fib of the rollover-to-high leg.
Support: 0.70169, 0.70109, 0.70053
Resistance: 0.7029
What it said to watch
Holding the ny high at 0.70169 on any pullback keeps the breakout intact; a close back below it marks a false break
M15 close below the 0.70109 higher low breaks the HH/HL chain and the trendline from rollover
Loss of the 0.70053 swing low unwinds the Asia session leg toward 0.7000
Rejection at the 0.7029 session high vs a clean extension toward the 0.7050 round number
Unscheduled US-Iran headlines can reverse the USD pullback quickly
Higher highs and higher lows off the 0.6997 rollover low; pushing above prior-day high.
Asia session has stepped up from the 0.6997 rollover low in a higher-high/higher-low chain and is now trading above yesterday's NY spike high at 0.7017 (prior high), the range cap noted in the digest, helped by Hauser's inflation warning and a soft USD. RSI(14) near 63 is not stretched. The 0.7011 higher low and the 0.7005 swing low are the structural pivots under the 0.7020 session high.
Support: 0.70169, 0.70109, 0.70053
Resistance: 0.70202
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.7017 prior high would read as a false break, echoing yesterday's NY spike that fully reversed
Loss of the 0.7011 higher low breaks the Asia HH/HL chain; 0.7005 swing low is the deeper pivot
Clean push through the 0.7020 session high extends the breakout above the 0.7015/0.7017 range cap
No scheduled AUD or USD data in the next 8h; US-Iran headlines remain the USD swing factor
01:46 UTC
Uptrend, pressing session high · RSI 67 · price 0.70171
Higher-low chain through Asia session, retesting prior NY high.
Mid-Asia session, price has stepped higher from the 0.6997 post-rollover low through higher lows at the 0.7005 hl pivot and the 0.7011 swing low. It is now retesting the 0.7017 NY high set after Hauser's inflation warning, the same 0.7015/0.7017 cap flagged in the digest. RSI(14) at 67 is firm but not stretched.
Support: 0.70109, 0.70053, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7017, 0.7020
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7017 NY high clears the range cap and opens the 0.7020 psych level
Rejection at the NY high followed by a break of the 0.7011 swing low snaps the higher-low chain
Loss of the 0.7005 hl pivot and the Asia trendline puts the 0.7000 round number back in play
US-Iran headlines remain the swing factor for USD and could shift this read without warning
01:31 UTC
Uptrend, pressing session high · RSI 64 · price 0.7016
Asia higher-low chain, retesting NY high.
Asia session has lifted AUDUSD from the 0.6997 open dip to a retest of yesterday's NY high at 0.7017, the 14:30 UTC spike that was rejected back to 0.6997. Higher lows at 0.7005 and the 0.7011 swing low mark the trendline, with Hauser's inflation warning and a softer USD behind the bid. RSI(14) near 64 is not stretched.
Support: 0.7011, 0.7005, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7017
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7017 NY high clears yesterday's rejection point and leaves no overhead structure in this window
Break of the 0.7011 swing low and the Asia trendline shifts the read back to a range under the NY high
Failure to hold the 0.7005 higher low ends the Asia HL chain and puts the 0.7000 round number in focus
US-Iran deal headlines remain the swing factor for USD during Asia and London hours
01:16 UTC
Uptrend, higher lows through Asia · RSI 65 · price 0.70126
Higher-low chain from 0.6997 pressing session high under 0.7017 prior high.
The NY spike to the 0.7017 prior high on Hauser's inflation warning and a soft USD faded back to 0.6995, then held above the 0.7000 round number into the rollover. Early Asia has built higher lows from 0.6997 and a 0.7014 session high, now pressing just under the prior high with RSI(14) at 65, not stretched.
Support: 0.70053, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70143, 0.70169
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7017 prior high clears the NY spike top and the 0.7015 range cap
Break of the 0.7005 swing low, near the 50% of the Asia leg, ends the higher-lows chain
Return below the 0.7000 round number puts price back inside the NY range
US-Iran headlines remain the swing factor for USD intraday
Higher lows pressing the session high just under the prior high.
Asia session is building higher lows off the 0.6997 rollover dip. Price is pressing the 0.7014 session high, just under the 0.7017 prior high set in yesterday's NY spike on Hauser's inflation warning and soft USD. The latest Asia leg dipped to a 0.7005 swing low before resuming, with RSI(14) near 66 and ATR around 3 pips, so the cap has not been broken yet.
Support: 0.70053, 0.7000, 0.69947
Resistance: 0.70143, 0.70169
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7017 prior high clears yesterday's two-week high and the range cap
Failure to hold the 0.7005 swing low breaks the Asian higher-lows chain and puts the 0.7000 round number back in play
Loss of 0.7000 exposes the 0.6995 NY low, the base of yesterday's post-spike range
US-Iran deal headlines are the swing factor for USD and could materially shift this read
HH/HL chain in early Asia, pressing toward the prior high.
Early Asia session is extending a higher-low chain off the 0.6997 rollover dip. Price sits at the 0.7014 asia high, 3-4 pips below the 0.7017 prior high, where the NY-hours spike on Hauser's hawkish inflation comments and soft USD was rejected. The 0.7005 swing low and the 0.7000 round number sit below; RSI(14) at about 66 is firm but not stretched.
Support: 0.70054, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70143, 0.70169
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7017 prior high clears the NY-hours rejection level and the 0.7015 cap flagged in the news digest
Break below the 0.7005 swing low ends the higher-low trendline and exposes the 0.7000 round number
No scheduled AUD or USD data in the next 8h. US-Iran headlines are the swing factor for USD.
00:32 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pressing Asian high · RSI 67 · price 0.70125
Higher lows in Asia session after NY rejection at 0.7017.
AUD/USD spiked to the 0.7017 NY high on hawkish RBA inflation talk and a soft USD, then saw a rejection back to the 0.6995 NY low before settling above the 0.7000 round number. Early Asia has built higher lows off 0.6997, with demand stepping in at the 0.7005 swing low and price now retesting the 0.7013 Asia high. RSI(14) is near 67 and ATR is about 4 pips.
Support: 0.70053, 0.7000, 0.69947
Resistance: 0.70131, 0.70169
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7017 NY high clears the session cap and the two-week high
Failure to hold the 0.7005 swing low breaks the Asia higher-low chain
Loss of the 0.7000 round number reopens the 0.6995 NY low
Repeated rejection at the 0.7013 Asia high would turn it into a session range top
Asia broke the late-NY range top, now pulling back below lower highs.
Early Asia lifted AUDUSD out of the 0.6998–0.7003 late-NY range to a 0.7013 session high, extending the hawkish-RBA, soft-USD bid. The push stalled below Tuesday's 0.7017 NY spike prior high, leaving lower highs. Price is retracing to the fib 50% of the Asia rally near 0.7005, with RSI(14) neutral near 56 and ATR(14) about 3.5 pips.
Support: 0.70053, 0.7000, 0.69947
Resistance: 0.70131, 0.70169
What it said to watch
M15 close below the fib 50% at 0.7005 puts the 0.7000 round number back in play, with the 0.6995 ny low beneath
Close above the 0.7013 session high breaks the lower highs line and exposes the 0.7017 prior high, the 0.7015 cap flagged in the news flow
No scheduled AUD or USD releases in the next 8h; US-Iran headlines remain the swing factor for USD
00:03 UTC
Intraday uptrend, stalling under session high · RSI 52 · price 0.70057
Higher lows into lower highs below 0.7017, compressing.
The NY rally to the 0.7017 NY high on a softer USD faded into the 0.6995 NY low, near the 61.8% fib of the 0.6983–0.7017 leg. Early Asia printed a 0.7013 lower high and is easing to 0.7006 with price flat on EMA20 and RSI(14) at 52. Higher lows at 0.6995 and the 0.6997 rollover low keep price compressing under the session high.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69974, 0.69947
Resistance: 0.70131, 0.70169
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7017 NY high breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold the 0.7000 round number and 0.6997 rollover low exposes the 0.6995 NY low and 61.8% fib
Asia high at 0.7013: area to watch for a second rejection or a break
US–Iran deal headlines are driving USD and could materially shift this read