BTC/USD AI Live Scan, 1-hour chart, Tuesday, 3 November 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the BTC/USD 1-hour chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:05 UTC
Recovering inside this week's range · RSI 63 · price 77,854.26
Higher lows off Tuesday's 76,316 low, testing the 61.8% retrace.
Monday's Asia-session spike to the 78,824 week high unwound through London and NY hours. The drop bottomed at the 76,316 swing low early Tuesday, then price built a steady run of higher lows through the London and NY sessions. It now sits at the 61.8% fib of that drop, just under the 78,003 day high near $78k, holding above EMA(20) with RSI(14) near 63 and not yet overbought. The rebound has come despite firm US data (JOLTS and Factory Orders both beat), and the digest frames it as short-covering-led ahead of the midterm results.
What it said to watch
An H1 close above the 78,003 day high and $78k opens the 78,824 week high and the 79,000 psych level
A break of the rising support line and the 77,445 higher low ends the higher-low sequence and brings 77,000 psych into focus, with the 76,316 swing low beneath
Midterm results overnight could materially shift this read
Wednesday's ADP (13:15 UTC) and ISM Services (15:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
Higher lows since Tuesday's 76,316 low; testing 61.8% of Monday's decline.
Monday's Asia-session push to the 78,824 week high faded. The NY-session slide then carried price to the 76,316 week low ahead of Tuesday's London open, as post-hack fragility and soft tech risk appetite weighed. Tuesday's rebound has stacked higher lows through London and NY hours and is largely short-covering per the digest; price is back above EMA(20) and EMA(50), now converged near 77,410, with RSI(14) at 62. Price is pressing the 61.8% retracement and weekly open around 77,862, with the 78,003 day high capping the latest push.
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 78,003 day high and the weekly open opens the path to the 78,824 week high and $79k
Break of the higher-low line at 77,445 puts EMA(20) near 77,420 and the 77,000 round number back in focus
Failure to hold 77,000 reopens the 76,316 week low
US midterm results overnight and Wednesday's ADP and ISM Services could materially shift this read
21:05 UTC
Recovering from Tuesday low, inside week range · RSI 66 · price 77,776.35
Higher lows since 76,316 week low; capped below 78,000 and the 78,824 week high.
BTC gave back the whole weekend climb to the 78,824 week high during Monday's London and NY sessions, bottoming at the 76,316 week low in Tuesday's Asia session. Tuesday has built a clean higher-low sequence through London and NY, putting price back above EMA(20), with the ema20 near 77,306, and above EMA(50), still under it. The recovery is stalling at a 77,888 session high, just past the 61.8% retracement of Monday's sell-off, even as JOLTS and Factory Orders beats firmed USD. The bounce is still below the 78,000 round number and inside the week's range, consistent with the digest's short-covering read rather than fresh demand.
What it said to watch
H1 close below the 77,445 higher low breaks Tuesday's higher-lows trendline and puts the ema20 near 77,306 in focus
Acceptance above the 77,888 session high and 78,000 round number opens the path toward the 78,824 week high
Loss of the 76,316 week low would confirm a lower-low and end the range read
US midterm results from about 23:00 UTC tonight could materially shift this read
Wed ADP (13:15 UTC) and ISM Services (15:00 UTC): beats would add USD and yield pressure on the recovery
Lower high at 78824, week low 76316, rebound capped under the 61.8% retrace.
Monday's Asia push to the 78824 week high failed. Selling ran through Monday's NY session into late Asia today, reaching the 76316 week low. Tuesday's rebound picked up at the London-NY transition, and the dip on the JOLTS beat held a higher low at 77069. Price has since stalled at the 77828 day high, rejected twice just below the 61.8% retrace of the 78824–76316 drop. Price sits back above EMA(20) near 77310 and EMA(50) near 77350, with EMA(20) converging on EMA(50) from below and RSI(14) at 56. That fits the digest's fragile, short-covering-led relief read.
Support: 77,069.00, 76,316.00
Resistance: 77,828.00, 78,319.00, 78,824.00
What it said to watch
An H1 close above the 77828 day high clears the 61.8% retrace and brings $78k and the 78319 weekly open into view.
A break of the rebound trendline and the ema20 near 77310 exposes the 77069 higher low; losing that reopens the 76316 week low.
US midterm results overnight could materially shift this read.
Wed ADP (13:15 UTC) and ISM Services (15:00 UTC): strong prints are flagged as a headwind keeping BTC capped.
Monday's Asia push to the 78,824 week high faded, and the NY session drove the break back through 78,000 and the 77,000 psych level, ending in a 76,316 week low early in Tuesday's London session. The rebound since has stacked Tuesday higher lows and moved price back above EMA(20) near 77,250, with RSI(14) back near 58. Two pushes stalled at the 77,828 day high, just under the 61.8% retracement and well below the $78k reclaim described in the older digest read; the second stall followed today's firm JOLTS beat.
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 77,828 day high and the 61.8% retracement reopens the 78,000 round number
Break of the Tuesday higher lows trendline and the 77,000 psych level exposes the 76,316 week low
Failure to hold EMA(20) near 77,250 would turn the rebound into a range under the day high
US midterm results overnight could materially shift this read toward 78,824 or back to the week low
Wed ADP 13:15 UTC and ISM Services 15:00 UTC: beats above forecast add USD/yield pressure
Lower highs from 78,824 week high; intraday higher lows off 76,316.
The early-Monday push to the 78,824 week high faded through the day. The NY session drove the break below the 78,000 round number and then 77k, which leaves the post-hack relief described in the news digest unconfirmed on this chart. From the 76,316 swing low in Tuesday's Asian hours, London and NY have printed a sequence of higher lows, and the beats in JOLTS and factory orders did not derail the climb. Price is now sitting on the 50% retracement of the decline fib near 77,570, above EMA(20), with the session high at 77,813 capping just below the 61.8% level and the lower-highs line from the week high.
What it said to watch
An H1 close above the 77,813 session high and the 61.8% decline fib (~77,866) breaks the lower-highs line and brings the 78,000 round number back into play
A loss of the 77,300 higher low and the ema20 near 77,150 breaks the higher-lows line and puts the rebound at risk
Failure to hold the 76,316 swing low would extend the lower-low sequence back toward the post-hack lows
US midterm results overnight could materially shift this read, given the crypto-regulation angle
ADP and ISM Services on Wednesday: strong prints would firm USD and yields, a headwind below 78,824
17:05 UTC
Rebounding from the week low, still below the week high · RSI 63 · price 77,690.44
Lower high at 78,824, higher lows since Tuesday's 76,316 low.
The push to the 78,824 week high in Monday's Asia session met rejection. The NY-session sell-off carried into Tuesday's Asian range and printed a 76,316 week low, just above Friday's 76,227 trough. Tuesday's London and NY sessions then rebuilt a run of higher lows along a rising trendline, lifting price back above EMA(20) and the 77,000 round number, with RSI(14) recovering into the low 60s. The bounce is now stalling between the 50% and 61.8% retracement of the week high-low move. The Tuesday high at 77,813 and the 78,000 round number sit just above, consistent with the digest's read of a short-covering relief rally that strong JOLTS data has not yet derailed.
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 77,813 tuesday high and the 78,000 round number clears the 61.8% retracement and exposes the 78,824 week high
Loss of the 77,303 higher low and the rising trendline puts the 77,000 round number and the 76,316 week low back in focus
US midterm results overnight (from ~23:00 UTC) and Wednesday's ADP and ISM Services could materially shift this read
Higher lows off 76,316, testing 50–61.8% of Monday's decline.
Monday's Asia-session squeeze to the 78,824 week high stalled short of $79k and fully unwound into Monday's NY session. Tuesday's 76,316 low held just above the 76,227 Friday low, the post-hack low area. The London rebound has broken Monday's lower-high line and reclaimed EMA(20) near 77,190, holding the rising lows through the JOLTS beat, with RSI(14) back near 57 and the 77,813 Tuesday high capping just under the 61.8% retrace of the decline.
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 77,813 Tuesday high and the 78,000 round number clears the 61.8% retrace of the decline and reopens the 78,824 week high
A break of the rising lows line near 77,250 and back under EMA(20) resets the read toward the 76,316 Tuesday low
Loss of the 76,227 Friday low turns the twin lows into a lower-low within the range
US midterm results from ~23:00 UTC tonight could materially shift this read; ADP (13:15 UTC) and ISM Services (15:00 UTC) follow Wednesday
Lower high at 77,813 below the 78,824 week high; higher lows since Tuesday's 76,316 swing low.
Monday's Asia-session push to the 78,824 week high reversed during NY hours. The slide ran to a 76,316 swing low early Tuesday, just above the 76,227 oct 30 low, so the $78k–79k stabilisation in the digest has not held on the chart. Tuesday's London recovery built higher lows back above the 77,000 round number and EMA(20), but the spike to the 77,813 session high into the NY open stalled near the 61.8% of the decline, leaving price near the 38.2% with RSI(14) in the mid-50s and EMA(50) flattening just underneath.
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 77,813 session high and the lower-high line would reopen 78,000 and the 78,824 week high
Loss of the 77,000 round number and the recovery line would put the 76,316 swing low back in play
A break below the 76,227 oct 30 low would end the range read and confirm a lower-low
JOLTS at 15:00 UTC today and midterm results from ~23:00 UTC could materially shift this read
ADP (Wed 13:15 UTC) and ISM Services (15:00 UTC) are the next scheduled USD risk
14:05 UTC
Corrective rebound inside a broader pullback from the week high · RSI 53 · price 77,326.84
Lower-high line broken, rebound capped near 61.8% of the Mon-Tue decline.
Monday's Asia-session push to the 78,824 week high faded into a NY-hours selloff that ran to a 76,316 swing low by Tuesday's London open, just above Friday's 76,227 post-hack low, as the squeeze-driven relief from the Binance hack flush lost steam amid ETF outflows. The London rebound broke the lower-high trendline and reclaimed EMA(20) near the 77,000 round number. Supply then capped price at 77,813, today's high, just under the 61.8% retrace, and price has slipped back toward the 38.2% level below EMA(50), with RSI(14) near 53.
What it said to watch
An H1 close above today's high at 77,813 and the 61.8% retrace opens the path to the 78,000 round number and the 78,824 week high
Loss of the 77,000 ema20/round area returns focus to the 76,316 swing low; a close below the 76,227 post-hack low confirms a lower-low
JOLTS at 15:00 UTC and midterm results from ~23:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Movement in the hacker wallets or fresh contagion headlines could quickly undo the rebound
Lower highs and lower lows since 78,824; floor at 76.2k–76.3k tested Friday and Tuesday.
BTC peaked at 78,824 in Monday's Asia session, short of the $79k cap flagged in the digest, then unwound through Monday's NY session. It printed a swing low at 76,316 early Tuesday, just above the Friday low at 76,227, and the chart has already given back most of the relief bounce the digest still describes. The rebound through London has reclaimed EMA(20) near 76,930 and the 38.2% level of the Monday high–Tuesday low fib at 77,275. Price is now pressing EMA(50) just under the session high at 77,464, with RSI(14) back in the mid-50s.
What it said to watch
H1 close above the session high at 77,464 and the 50% fib at 77,570 (Sunday's range low) breaks the lower-high sequence from 78,824
Weekly open at 78,320 is the next structural reference if the 50% fib gives way
Slip back below ema20 at 76,930 re-exposes the swing low at 76,316 and the friday low at 76,227
A close below the friday low at 76,227 confirms a fresh lower-low beneath the post-hack floor
JOLTS at 15:00 UTC and overnight midterm results could materially shift this read
Lower highs from 78824; basing 76300-77260 above Friday low.
The rebound from Friday's low at 76227 peaked at 78824 in Monday's Asia session. Price then lost the 78000 round number and slid hard through Monday's NY session, and Tuesday's Asia session printed a 76316 low, a retest just above the Friday low. Since then price has held a 76300-77260 range, with today's high at the 77260 tuesday high capping just under the 38.2% retracement, price pinned at the ema20 near 77000 and RSI(14) back near 48. The chart shows the short-covering bounce already faded, in line with the digest's read of ETF outflows and the stolen-coin overhang limiting follow-through.
Support: 76,316.00, 76,227.00
Resistance: 77,000.00, 77,260.00, 78,000.00
What it said to watch
Hourly close above the 77260 tuesday high and the 38.2% fib at 77274 opens 77570-77870 (50-61.8%)
Break of the 76316 tuesday low and close below the 76227 friday low confirms a lower low
Reclaim of the 78000 round number would break the lower-high sequence from 78824
US midterm results overnight and JOLTS at 15:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Any outbound transfers from the hacker wallets are a downside shock risk to the friday low
Lower highs and lower lows since Monday; bounce back through the descending line.
The short-covering rebound toward $79k stalled at the 78,824 week high in Monday's Asia session. NY hours then drove the reversal, with lower highs and lower lows down to a week low at 76,316 early Tuesday, despite the digest's read of a sustained test of 79k. London's rebound has lifted price back above EMA(20) near 77,020 and through the descending line off the week high, with RSI(14) back to ~48, but price remains below EMA(50) near 77,290 and under the Asia high at 77,259, which sits on the 38.2% fib of the drop.
What it said to watch
H1 close above the Asia high at 77,259 and EMA(50) would break the lower-high sequence and opens the 50% fib at 77,570
Failure to hold EMA(20) and a break of the 76,316 week low would extend the lower-low sequence toward the Friday low at 76,227
A return back under the descending line would mark the London break as a failed move
US midterm results overnight and JOLTS at 15:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Outbound transfers from the Binance hacker wallets are a downside shock risk to this structure
10:06 UTC
Downtrend from Monday's high, stabilising near $77k · RSI 51 · price 77,012.19
Lower highs from 78,824; Tuesday's low held above Friday's post-hack low; first push back over EMA(20).
A Sunday-night short-covering squeeze carried BTC to a week high of 78,824 in Monday's Asia session. The move met rejection short of the $79k resistance flagged in the digest, and NY hours Monday drove a roughly $2.5k slide back into the post-hack low area. Lower highs have followed since; Tuesday's Asia-session day low at 76,316 held above Friday's 76,227 post-hack low, and the first London hour lifted price back over EMA(20) near 76,990 and the lower-high line, with RSI(14) back near 51 and EMA(50) still overhead.
What it said to watch
Hourly close back below the 76,990 ema20 and the 77,000 round number returns the read to the lower-high sequence
Close above the 77,259 lower high, near the 38.2% fib, breaks the lower-high pattern; the 77,862 weekly open and 61.8% sit next
Loss of the 76,316 day low exposes Friday's 76,227 post-hack low
US midterm results overnight and JOLTS at 15:00 UTC could materially shift this read; any movement from the hacker wallets is a downside tail risk
Lower highs and lower lows since the 78,824 Monday peak; sitting just above Friday's low.
Monday's Asia-session spike to 78,824 met rejection short of the $79k resistance flagged in the digest. The short-covering bounce has unwound since, with the heaviest selling into the NY session yesterday. Price now trades below EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) near 40 on a run of lower highs, and bounces are stalling at the fib 23.6 retracement near 76,900 while the Tuesday low at 76,316 holds just above Friday's low at 76,227.
What it said to watch
Hourly close below the Friday low at 76,227 extends the lower-low sequence toward the 76,000 round number
Close above the 77,259 lower high breaks the descending trendline read and brings the weekly open at 78,319 back into focus
US midterm results overnight and JOLTS at 15:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Any outbound transfers from the hacker wallets holding 18,270 BTC could drive a downside spike through the Tuesday low
Lower highs and lower lows after a rejection under $79k; price pressing toward the Friday low.
The short-covering rebound flagged in the digest stalled at 78,824 early Monday, just shy of $79k. Since then a lower-high line has capped every bounce, with the heaviest leg in Monday's NY session and a fresh low at 76,316 (asia low) in late Asian trade today. Price sits below the ema20 near 77,020 with RSI(14) in the low 40s, and the friday low at 76,227, the post-hack trough, is now within about 100 points.
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 77,260 asia high and the ema20 would break the lower-high line from 78,824
Failure to hold the 76,227 friday low extends the lower-low sequence toward the 76,000 round number
A reclaim of the fib 50% at 77,570 would retrace half of Monday's drop and weaken the downtrend read
US midterm results overnight and JOLTS at 15:00 UTC today could materially shift this read; any hacker-wallet movement is a separate downside shock risk
Lower highs and lower lows from 78,824; retesting Friday low.
Monday's Asia-session push to the 78,824 week high was rejected well short of the $79k level flagged in the digest. The slide since ran through NY hours and extended into today's Asia session, carving a sequence of lower highs under a falling EMA(20) and printing today's low at 76,316. Price sits near 76,550, below both EMAs with RSI(14) around 38, and is retesting the Friday low at 76,227 set after the Binance hack. The short-covering bounce described in the digest has shown no follow-through on this chart.
What it said to watch
H1 close below the 76,227 Friday low confirms a lower-low and extends the downtrend
Reclaim of the 77,259 lower high, near the 38.2% fib of the week drop, breaks the lower-high trendline sequence
Recovery through the 78,000 round number would put the week high at 78,824 back in focus
US midterm results overnight and JOLTS at 15:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Any outbound transfers from the hacker wallets holding 18,270 BTC are a downside-shock risk to the 76,316 today's low area
Lower highs since 78,824; lows holding above Friday's 76,227.
Monday's Asia-session rebound stalled at the 78,824 week high, short of the $79k area the digest flags. Price then unwound through the London and NY sessions, with the drop accelerating from the 15:00 UTC ISM bar into a sequence of lower highs. That leaves the chart at odds with the short-covering rebound read and closer to the fading-bounce scenario. Overnight bounces have failed beneath EMA(20) near 77,075, and price is now pressing today's low around 76,500, still above the 76,227 Friday low set after the Binance hack. RSI(14) sits near 33, not yet oversold.
What it said to watch
Hourly close below the 76,500 today low exposes the 76,227 Friday low and the 76,000 round number
Reclaim of EMA(20) near 77,075 together with a break of the lower-highs trendline would interrupt the sequence; the fib 50% retracement of Monday's drop sits at 77,660
Week high at 78,824 remains the cap of the four-day range
Midterm results overnight and JOLTS at 15:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Any outbound transfers from the hacker wallets could revive the downside spike toward the Friday low
05:05 UTC
Downtrend since Monday's high, inside wider range · RSI 37 · price 76,858.36
Lower highs from 78824; holding above Friday's week low.
The short-covering rebound off Friday's post-hack week low at 76227 met rejection at 78824 in Monday's Asia session, short of the $79k level cited in the digest. Price has printed lower highs through Monday's London and NY sessions. BTC now trades below EMA(20) near 77150 with RSI(14) around 37 and has retraced only about 15% of Monday's drop, still under the fib 38.2 at 77386. It is holding above Tuesday's 76497 Asian low, in the lower third of the 76.2k–78.8k range.
Support: 76,497.00, 76,227.00
Resistance: 77,150.00, 77,386.00
What it said to watch
An hourly close above the lower-highs trendline and ema20 near 77150 would break the sequence lower in place since Monday's 78824 high
Failure to hold the 76497 Asian low exposes Friday's 76227 week low; a break there confirms a lower-low and ends the range read
A recovery into the fib 38.2 at 77386 or the 78k pivot is the area to watch for rejection or break
US Midterm results overnight, and JOLTS / Factory Orders at 15:00 UTC, could materially shift this read
Any outbound transfers from the hacker wallets holding 18,270 BTC could drive a sharp move toward the week low
Lower highs since Monday's week high, testing range floor.
Monday's Asia-session spike to the 78,824 week high faded through the NY session. A sequence of lower highs took price back under EMA(20) and down to 76,497, today's Asian low, near the 78.6% retracement of the Friday-to-Monday rally. The short-covering bounce after the Binance hack failed to hold the 78k pivot, but RSI(14) is making a higher low against the fresh price low, a sign that downside momentum is slowing above Friday's 76,227 swing low.
What it said to watch
H1 close above the ema20 (~77,180) and the lower-highs line near 77,260 breaks the sequence of lower highs
Failure to hold the 76,227 swing low takes out the range floor and extends the lower-low structure
Midterm election results from 05:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Any outbound moves from the hacker wallets could revive downside pressure
Reclaiming the 78k pivot reopens the week high at 78,824
03:04 UTC
Downtrend since Monday, oversold · RSI 29 · price 76,605.64
Lower highs off 78,824 week high, price at window lows.
The short-covering rebound off Friday's post-hack low met rejection at the 78,824 week high in Monday's Asia session, short of $79k. Selling through NY hours then carved a series of lower highs. Price is back near 76,600, below EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) around 29, after another failure at the 77,259 lower high in today's Asian range. The Friday low at 76,227 is the next structural reference, with the 76,000 round number beneath it.
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 77,259 lower high breaks the trendline of lower highs
Failure to hold the 76,227 Friday low extends the downtrend toward the 76,000 round number
Reclaiming the 78k pivot, near the 61.8% of the Monday decline, would neutralise the rejection from the week high
US midterm polls open 05:00 UTC with results overnight; this could materially shift this read
Any outbound transfers from the hacker wallets could accelerate the move toward the Friday low
76.2k–78.8k range; Monday rejection near 79k unwound to a higher base low.
Monday's Asia-session push to the 78824 week high stalled short of $79k. Supply then capped every bounce, and the move accelerated during NY hours after ISM. Price broke 78000 and the Sunday prior floor near 77570, reaching a 76606 base low around the Asia open, which matches the fragile, short-covering rebound and ETF outflows flagged in the digest. Price now sits below EMA(20) near 77290 and EMA(50), with RSI(14) near 37. The base low holds above Friday's 76227 week low, so the higher-low line and the broader range are still intact.
Support: 76,227.05
Resistance: 78,824.19
What it said to watch
Hourly close above the lower-high line and EMA(20) near 77300 opens the 38.2% retracement of the Monday drop near 77450 and the prior floor at 77570
Failure to hold the 76606 base low exposes Friday's 76227 week low and breaks the higher-low line
Recapture of the 78824 week high would break the range top and put the $79k area back in play
US midterm results overnight and JOLTS at 15:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Any outbound transfers from the Binance hacker wallets are a downside shock risk to the 76606 base low
01:04 UTC
Short-term downtrend inside a 76.2k–78.8k range · RSI 36 · price 77,021.18
Failed push above Friday's high, lower highs into a retest of the range floor.
Monday's Asia-session push to the 78,824 week high briefly cleared Friday's 78,723 peak but stalled short of the $79k resistance named in the digest, then printed lower highs. The NY-session slide coincided with the ISM release and gave back the short-covering rebound. Price has dropped below ema20 (~77,300) and the 78k pivot to a swing low at 76,606, about 400 above the Friday low at 76,227, with RSI(14) near 36.
What it said to watch
H1 close below the 76,227 friday low breaks the range floor and confirms a lower-low below the post-hack lows
Recovery above ema20 near 77,300 and the lower-highs trendline would ease the downside structure; the 78k pivot, which is also the 61.8% fib of Monday's sell-off, is the next test
Holding the 76,606 swing low again would mark a second defence of the 76.6k area
US midterm results overnight and JOLTS at 15:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Any outbound transfers from the hacker wallets holding 18,270 BTC are a headline risk for a sharp downside spike
00:04 UTC
Downtrend, rebound faded into lower high · RSI 30 · price 76,769.46
Lower highs from 79,192; price back at the base of the 76.2k–79.2k range.
Monday's Asia-session push to the monday high at 78,824 printed a lower high beneath Thursday's 79,192 peak. The rebound then unwound through London and accelerated in the first hour of NY around the ISM release, so the short-covering bounce described in the digest has not held on this chart. Price sits below the ema20 (~77,350) and EMA(50) near 76,770, just above the monday low at 76,618, with RSI(14) near 30 and the week low at 76,227 from Friday's post-hack flush as the next floor.
What it said to watch
H1 close below the monday low at 76,618 would expose the week low at 76,227 and the post-hack lows
Recovery back above the ema20 (~77,350) and the fib 50% at ~77,720 would neutralise the lower-highs read
A break of the lower-highs trendline and the monday high at 78,824 would reopen the 79,000 resistance area
US midterm results overnight, or any outbound transfers from the hacker wallets, could materially shift this read
JOLTS and Factory Orders at 15:00 UTC Tuesday add NY-session event risk