21:08 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating below 87k · RSI 50 · price 83,256.31
Higher-low chain intact; 82.5k–87.3k range with failed break lower.
The Aug 19 breakout from the 62k–67k base started a higher-high/higher-low sequence, and price has held above a rising EMA(50), now near 80.2k, since then. Four daily tests of the 87k range top since the Sep 21 spike have capped. The Oct 8 drop through the 82570 range low reversed off the 80260 swing low, inside the 50–61.8% retracement of the Sep leg, and closes have since returned to the range. With no fresh crypto-specific driver, a firm USD and Fed-hike talk are keeping price pinned near EMA(20) into Wednesday's CPI.
Support: 82,570.00, 80,260.00, 74,900.00
Resistance: 84,260.00, 87,270.00, 90,000.00
What it said to watch
- A daily close back below the 82570 range low turns the Oct 8 reclaim into a failed recovery and reopens the 80260 swing low and EMA(50)
- A close below the 80260 swing low breaks the rising lows line and the higher-low chain; losing the 61.8% fib near 79630 exposes the 74900 sep low
- A daily close above the 84260 lower high puts the 87270 range top back in play; acceptance above it opens the path to the 90000 round number
- US CPI Wed 14 Oct 12:30 UTC: core m/m versus the 0.2% forecast could materially shift this read through the USD