EUR/USD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Sunday, 4 October 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the EUR/USD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:46 UTC
Range after post-NFP rally faded · RSI 46 · price 1.12514
Lower highs off 1.12851, compressing 1.1249–1.1261.
The Sunday open gapped about 9 pips above Friday's 1.1250 close, filled to the 1.12488 gap fill early in the Asia session, then stalled at a 1.12608 open high. Price is now drifting back toward that low and sits on the 50% fib of the NFP leg (1.12206–1.12851), with RSI(14) near 46 and ATR around 5 pips.
Support: 1.12488, 1.12422, 1.12206
Resistance: 1.12608, 1.12851
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.12488 gap fill exposes the 61.8% fib near 1.1245 and the 1.12422 nfp pullback low
Close above the 1.12608 open high reopens the path toward the 1.12851 friday high
Loss of 1.12422 shifts focus back to the 1.12206 nfp low
EZ PMIs from 07:55 UTC, with Lane and Schnabel speaking alongside, could materially shift this read
Weekend French fiscal headlines remain a gap risk into the London open
Tight 1.1249–1.1261 open range at 50% retrace of Friday's rally.
The thin Asia open gapped about 9 pips above Friday's 1.1250 close, filled to the 1.1249 gap fill and snapped back, leaving price flat near the EMA20 inside a 1.1249–1.1261 open range. That box sits at the 50% retracement of the post-NFP rally from the 1.1221 nfp low to the 1.1285 friday high, which followed the soft 29K payrolls print.
Support: 1.1249, 1.1245, 1.1221
Resistance: 1.1261, 1.1269, 1.1285
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.1249 gap fill exposes the 61.8% fib at 1.1245, with the 1.1221 nfp low below
M15 close above the 1.1261 open high reopens the 1.1269 london high and the 1.1285 friday high
EZ PMIs from 07:55 UTC alongside Lane and Schnabel could materially shift this read; ISM Services follows at 14:00 UTC
Fresh French fiscal headlines remain an intraday downside risk for EUR
23:17 UTC
Flat, NFP spike faded into Friday close · RSI 45 · price 1.12535
Sunday open gap filled; tight 1.1249-1.1261 Asian range.
Sunday's open gapped about 9 pips higher, then filled back to 1.1249, Friday's close and the gap fill. Price has since recovered and now coils between that level and the open high at 1.1261, around the 50% retrace of Friday's NFP rally from 1.1221 to 1.1285. The soft 29K payrolls print drove that spike, but it faded through late NY, leaving the London high at 1.1266 as the nearer cap.
Support: 1.1249, 1.1245, 1.1221
Resistance: 1.1261, 1.1266, 1.1285
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.1249 gap fill exposes the 61.8% fib of the NFP rally near 1.1245, then the 1.1221 nfp low
Close above the 1.1261 open high and 1.1266 london high reopens the 1.1285 nfp high
ECB's Nagel and Lane plus EZ PMIs from 07:45 UTC Monday, around London open, could break the Asian range
French fiscal headlines during Asia session remain a downside risk to the gap-fill read
Post-NFP range 1.1248–1.1260, lower highs since 1.1285.
Sunday reopen gapped about 9 pips above Friday's 1.1250 close, filled the gap with a dip to 1.1249 near the range low, then recovered to 1.1258. Price sits inside the post-NFP range, between the 38.2% and 50% levels of the nfp rally fib (1.1221–1.1285). Early Asia trade is thin, with ATR(14) compressed near 6 pips.
Support: 1.1248, 1.12452, 1.12206
Resistance: 1.1260, 1.12691, 1.12851
What it said to watch
Close above 1.1260 range top breaks the post-NFP range and opens the 1.1269 london high, then the 1.1285 nfp high
Failure to hold the 1.1248 range low exposes the 1.1245 fib 61.8, with 1.1221 nfp low below
Weekend French fiscal headlines remain gap risk through Asia session
EZ PMIs and ECB Nagel/Lane/Schnabel around London open, then US ISM Services at 14:00 UTC, could materially shift this read
22:31 UTC
Sideways after post-NFP pullback · RSI 54 · price 1.12575
Range 1.1248–1.1260 holding 38.2–50% of NFP rally.
Sunday's open gapped about 9 pips above Friday's 1.1250 close. The gap filled within 45 minutes at 1.1249, just above the range low, and price recovered back to 1.1258. Price is still inside the post-NFP range of 1.1248–1.1260, which sits between the 38.2% and 50% retracement of the soft-payrolls rally from 1.1221 to 1.1285.
Support: 1.1248, 1.1245
Resistance: 1.1260, 1.1269, 1.1285
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.1248 range low exposes the 61.8% fib at 1.1245 and the bottom of the NFP rally
Close above the 1.1260 range top reopens Friday's london high at 1.1269, then the nfp high at 1.1285
Weekend French fiscal headlines carry gap risk; EZ PMIs at 07:55 UTC plus Lane and Schnabel around London open could break the Asian range
Range 1.1249–1.1260 inside Friday's 1.1221–1.1285 NFP range.
Sunday's thin open gapped about 9 pips above Friday's 1.1250 close. Price filled the gap with a false break to a 1.1249 sunday low, then snapped back to the 1.1260 range top. Friday's soft 29K payrolls spike to the 1.1285 nfp high has faded to the 38.2% retracement of the 1.1221–1.1285 NFP leg.
Support: 1.1249, 1.1221
Resistance: 1.1260, 1.1269, 1.1285
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.1260 range top opens the 1.1269 london high, then the 1.1285 nfp high
Failure to hold the 1.1249 sunday low reopens the path toward the 1.1221 nfp low
EZ PMIs from 07:55 UTC and Lane/Schnabel remarks Monday could materially shift this read
French fiscal headlines remain a gap risk into the Asian range
1.1248–1.1260 range below the 1.1285 Friday high; open gap above the Friday close.
Friday's soft 29K NFP lifted EUR from the 1.1221 nfp low to a 1.1285 fri high. The move then faded into a 1.1248–1.1260 range through late NY, between the 38.2% and 61.8% of the post-NFP fib. Thin Sunday-open trade gapped about 9 pips above the 1.1250 fri close and is pressing the 1.1260 range top.
Support: 1.12501, 1.12478, 1.12206
Resistance: 1.12605, 1.12691, 1.12851
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.1260 range top / 38.2% puts the 1.1269 london high and the 1.1285 fri high back in play
Gap fill back to the 1.1250 fri close, then a break of the 1.1248 swing low, exposes the 61.8% near 1.1245 and the 1.1221 nfp low
Weekend French fiscal headlines are a gap risk; EZ PMIs plus Lane and Schnabel from 07:55 UTC, and US ISM Services at 14:00 UTC, could reset the range
21:31 UTC
Sideways after NFP spike faded, gap-up open · RSI 61 · price 1.1259
Post-NFP lower highs; Sunday gap pressing 1.1260 cap.
The Sunday open gapped ~9 pips above Friday's 1.1250 close. Thin early-Asia trade is pressing the 1.1260 lower highs that capped the late-Friday fade. On Friday, the London slide to the 1.1221 NFP low reversed on the 29K payrolls miss. The spike to the 1.1285 NFP high then retraced into the 50–61.8% zone of the NFP leg fib, with the 61.8% fib near 1.1245 holding into the close.
Support: 1.1250, 1.1245, 1.1221
Resistance: 1.1261, 1.1269, 1.1285
What it said to watch
An M15 close above the 1.1261 lower highs breaks the post-NFP trendline and exposes the 1.1269 London high, then the 1.1285 NFP high.
A gap fill back through 1.1250 puts price back inside Friday's late 1.1248–1.1260 range.
Failure at the 1.1245 61.8% fib of the NFP leg reopens the 1.1221 NFP low.
Weekend French fiscal headlines, then Monday's EZ PMIs and ECB Lane/Schnabel (07:45–09:00 UTC), could materially shift this read.
Friday late range 1.1248–1.1261 inside 50–61.8% fib of NFP leg; small gap up at weekly open.
Weekly open gapped ~8 pips above Friday's 1.1250 close, leaving price just under the 1.1261 range top in thin early Asia trade. Friday's soft-NFP rally from the 1.1221 nfp low to the 1.1285 nfp high retraced into the 50–61.8% post-NFP fib zone, with the fib 61.8 near 1.1245 unbroken and the 1.1248–1.1261 range holding into the close.
Support: 1.1250, 1.12452, 1.12206
Resistance: 1.12607, 1.12691, 1.12851
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.1261 range top opens the 1.1269 london high, then the 1.1285 nfp high
A gap fill back through 1.1250 would put the range low and fib 61.8 at 1.1245 under test; a break there exposes the 1.1221 nfp low
Weekend French fiscal headlines are a gap risk and could drive the gap fill or extend the opening gap
Monday's EZ PMIs and ECB's Nagel, Lane and Schnabel (07:45–09:00 UTC), then US ISM Services (14:00 UTC), could materially shift this read
21:01 UTC
Post-NFP spike fading, flat into Friday close · RSI 45 · price 1.12501
Lower highs off 1.1285 NY high, late-NY range 1.1248–1.1260.
The soft 29K NFP flipped a pre-data slide at the 1.1221 nfp low into a spike to 1.1285. That nfp high was rejected through the NY session, and price has since retraced past the 50% fib into a late-NY 1.1248–1.1260 range. Friday closed at 1.1250 with RSI(14) neutral near 45, below EMA20/50, and ATR compressed to about 5 pips.
Support: 1.1248, 1.1245, 1.1221
Resistance: 1.1260, 1.1269, 1.1285
What it said to watch
Weekend French fiscal headlines are gap risk into the Monday Asia session open
Break of the 1.1248 range floor exposes the 61.8% fib at 1.1245, then the 1.1221 nfp low
Close above the 1.1260 range top reopens the 1.1269 london high and the 1.1285 nfp high
Monday EZ PMIs and ECB speakers (07:45–09:00 UTC) and US ISM Services (14:00 UTC) could materially shift this read