EUR/USD slid from the session high near 1.1528 to a fresh two-month-low area at 1.1451 through NY hours as the Dollar held post-FOMC gains, then stalled into a tight low-volume base between 1.1455 and 1.1463 at the Asia open. RSI(14) sits mid-40s with momentum flattening; price hugs EMA20 but holds below EMA50.
Support: 1.1451, 1.1450
Resistance: 1.1463, 1.1471, 1.1481
What it said to watch
Close below 1.1451 swing low confirms continuation lower
Reclaim of 1.1463 range top opens a push toward 1.1471 swing high
German PPI Fri 06:00 UTC could break the consolidation
EURUSD bled from 1.1528 through the session to a 1.1451 low and is now coiling in a 1.1451–1.1463 band on thin Asian-session volume after the Dollar held its post-FOMC bid. Price sits below both EMAs with RSI(14) flat near 46 — no momentum either way at the moment.
Support: 1.1451, 1.1450
Resistance: 1.1463, 1.1473, 1.1478
What it said to watch
Close above 1.1463 breaks the consolidation top and reopens 1.1473
EUR/USD sold off through the London-NY session to a fresh low at 1.1451 as the Dollar held post-FOMC gains, printing a chain of lower highs. Price has since drifted into a tight 1.1458–1.1463 range on thin Asia volume; RSI(14) neutral near 49 with price pinned just below EMA20.
Support: 1.1451, 1.1450
Resistance: 1.1463, 1.1478
What it said to watch
Break below 1.1451 extends the down leg toward the 1.1450 round number
Reclaim of the 1.1478 range floor negates the lower-low read
German PPI at 06:00 UTC (~6h) could shift this read
23:32 UTC
Downtrend stalling, now flat · RSI 46 · price 1.14604
Intraday lows then tight range.
EUR/USD reversed from the 1.1527 area earlier in the window and slid to fresh two-month lows near 1.1451 as the Dollar held post-FOMC gains. Price is now coiling in a tight 1.1456-1.1463 band on thin Asian-session volume, RSI back to neutral after the slide.
Support: 1.14555, 1.14509
Resistance: 1.1463, 1.1471
What it said to watch
A close below 1.14509 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 1.14630 range top needed to ease the downside pressure
German PPI at 06:00 UTC could break the consolidation
23:17 UTC
Downtrend, now consolidating at lows · RSI 47 · price 1.14612
Lower highs into a session-low base.
EUR/USD slid from ~1.1528 to a session low at 1.1451 through the NY session as the Dollar held its post-FOMC gains, then settled into a tight 1.1456-1.1463 band into the close. RSI(14) sits neutral near 47 after the down leg; the 1.1478 area that marked the fresh two-month low now caps overhead.
Support: 1.14509, 1.1456
Resistance: 1.1463, 1.1472, 1.1478
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1451 confirms a lower low and reopens downside
Reclaim of 1.1478 negates the two-month-low break
German PPI at 06:00 UTC (~7h) could shift this read
23:16 UTC
Downtrend, now consolidating at lows · RSI 46 · price 1.14612
Basing above 1.1451 swing low after impulsive sell-off.
EUR/USD sold off through the London-NY session to a fresh low at 1.1451, extending the post-FOMC reversal toward ING's 1.14/1.15 range floor, then stalled. Asia hours are thin and range-bound between 1.1456 and 1.1463 with RSI(14) flat near 46.
Support: 1.14509, 1.1450
Resistance: 1.1463, 1.1471
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1450 confirms a lower-low and exposes deeper downside
Reclaim of 1.1471 prior swing would relieve the downtrend pressure
German PPI Fri 06:00 UTC (~7h out) could break the Asian range
23:02 UTC
Downtrend earlier, now flat · RSI 47 · price 1.14621
Consolidating near session lows.
London/NY hours drove EUR/USD down from 1.1528 to a fresh session low at 1.14509 as the Dollar held post-FOMC gains, leaving EUR pinned near two-month lows. Asia session is now ranging tight between 1.1456 and the 1.14630 range top on thinning volume, with price hugging EMA20 but capped under prior swings at 1.14693.
Support: 1.14509
Resistance: 1.1463, 1.14693, 1.14813
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14509 reopens downside toward the 1.14 floor
Reclaim of 1.14630 range top, then 1.14693, would ease the down-leg
German PPI Fri 06:00 UTC could shift this read in ~7h
EUR/USD sold through London-NY to a session low of 1.1451 as the Dollar held post-FOMC gains, then bounced to 1.1462. Now drifting sideways in thin Asian-session trade between 1.1451 and 1.1471, no fresh impulse in play.
Support: 1.1451, 1.1457
Resistance: 1.1471, 1.1478, 1.1487
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1471 would break the consolidation higher
Failure to hold 1.1451 reopens the slide toward ING's 1.14/1.15 floor
German PPI Fri 06:00 UTC could shift this read
22:47 UTC
Downtrend, basing near lows · RSI 45 · price 1.14599
Consolidation after impulsive decline.
EUR/USD slid from 1.1528 to a fresh session low at 1.1451 through London-NY, breaking ING's 1.1478 floor as the Dollar held post-FOMC gains. Asia hours now grinding in a tight 1.1451-1.1463 range on thin volume, RSI(14) recovering to the mid-40s.
Support: 1.14509, 1.1450
Resistance: 1.14625, 1.1478, 1.14872
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.1478 would invalidate the breakdown read
EUR/USD ground to fresh session lows near 1.1451 through NY hours as the Dollar held post-FOMC gains, then stalled into a tight 1.1452-1.1463 base in thin late-session trade. RSI(14) flat in the mid-40s with no momentum; price sits just under EMA20/50, capped by a chain of lower highs.
Support: 1.1451, 1.1450
Resistance: 1.1463, 1.1474
What it said to watch
Close below 1.1450 exposes downside through ING's 1.14/1.15 floor
Reclaim of 1.1474 breaks the lower-high sequence
German PPI Fri 06:00 UTC could shift this read
22:32 UTC
Downtrend stalling, now consolidating · RSI 47 · price 1.14597
Asia-session range above session low after London/NY selloff.
London/NY drove EUR/USD from 1.1527 to a 1.14509 session low as the Dollar held post-FOMC gains, leaving price pinned near ING's flagged 1.14/1.15 floor. Asia hours are quiet and thin, consolidating in a tight 1.1450–1.1463 band right around the EMA20, RSI(14) neutral near 47.
Support: 1.14509, 1.1450
Resistance: 1.14628, 1.1471, 1.14872
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.14509 session low confirms a fresh lower-low
M15 close above 1.14628 session high opens 1.14710
Consolidation above session low after NY sell-off.
EUR/USD sold off from 1.1528 to a session low at 1.14509 through the NY session as the Dollar held post-FOMC gains, leaving it pinned near two-month lows. Price is now consolidating in a tight 1.1451-1.1463 band on thin late-session volume, capped by the 1.14625 swing high.
Support: 1.14509, 1.1450
Resistance: 1.14625, 1.1471, 1.1478
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14509 extends the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 1.14625 breaks the consolidation toward the 1.14710 pivot
German PPI Fri 06:00 UTC could shift this read
22:17 UTC
Downtrend, stalling at lows · RSI 47 · price 1.14611
Consolidating above session low after the sell-off.
EUR/USD bled from 1.1527 to a fresh session low at 1.1451 through the NY session as the Dollar held post-FOMC gains, with ING's 1.14/1.15 floor in view. Price is now consolidating in a tight 1.1456–1.1462 band into Asia hours, RSI(14) recovering toward neutral off the lows.
Support: 1.14509, 1.1450
Resistance: 1.1465, 1.14717, 1.14872
What it said to watch
Close below 1.1451 reopens the path toward the 1.1478/1.1480 floor zone
Reclaim of 1.14717 breaks the chain of lower highs
German PPI Fri 06:00 UTC could shift the range read
22:16 UTC
Downtrend, now consolidating near lows · RSI 47 · price 1.14611
Selloff from 1.1528 to 1.1451, range-bound at the base.
EUR/USD slid from 1.1528 to a fresh session low at 1.1451 during NY hours, in line with EUR pinned near two-month lows after the hawkish Fed hold. Late-session, thin Asia trade has it consolidating 1.1451–1.1463 just above ING's flagged 1.14/1.15 floor, RSI(14) recovering off the lows toward 46.
Support: 1.14509, 1.14517
Resistance: 1.14629, 1.1471, 1.1478
What it said to watch
Close below 1.1451 session low extends the downtrend toward the range floor
Reclaim of 1.1463 range top opens the path back to 1.1471
EURUSD ground down from 1.1525 to fresh two-month-low territory sub-1.1480 on the hawkish-Fed dollar, and is now consolidating 1.1451–1.1463 in thin late-session trade. Price is pinned at the EMA20 with RSI mid-range; the 1.1451 swing low has held the most recent probe.
Support: 1.1451, 1.1450
Resistance: 1.1463, 1.1473, 1.1486
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1450 extends the lower-low sequence toward the March low
Reclaim of 1.1473 needed to break the lower-high structure
EUR/USD slid through the European-to-NY sessions to fresh two-month lows at 1.1451 as the post-FOMC dollar held firm, then stalled into thin Asia hours. Price is now coiling in a tight 1.1451–1.14625 range with RSI(14) flat near 46 and volume drained.
Support: 1.1451, 1.14509
Resistance: 1.14625, 1.1471
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1451 reopens the downside toward the 1.1475 March-low context
Close above 1.14625 breaks the Asian range top and targets 1.14710
German PPI (Fri 06:00 UTC) could break the current consolidation
EURUSD sold off through the London-NY session from 1.1528 to a 1.14509 session low, mirroring the firm post-FOMC dollar, and is now consolidating in thin late-session trade just above two-month lows. RSI(14) has lifted off the lows to mid-40s while price stalls under 1.14629; volume has dried up with no fresh directional push.
Support: 1.14509, 1.14478
Resistance: 1.14629, 1.1471, 1.14872
What it said to watch
Break below 1.14509 exposes the 1.14478 two-month low
Reclaim of 1.14710 needed to ease near-term downside pressure
NY session sold EUR/USD from 1.1527 to a 1.1451 session low on post-FOMC dollar strength, then steadied into a tight 1.1451–1.1462 range on thin late-session volume. RSI(14) has lifted off the lows toward 44 as the decline stalls.
Support: 1.1451, 1.1450
Resistance: 1.1462, 1.1487
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1451 extends the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 1.1462 challenges the descending highs
German PPI Fri 06:00 UTC could shift this read
21:31 UTC
Downtrend, slowing into Asian drift · RSI 43 · price 1.14579
Lower highs and lower lows, holding above session low.
EUR/USD broke the 1.1478 prior low during NY hours and extended to a 1.1451 session low as the post-FOMC dollar held firm. Late session is a thin Asian drift sub-1.1460 with RSI(14) mid-range; price now consolidating just under the 1.14625 swing high.
Support: 1.1451, 1.1440
Resistance: 1.14625, 1.1478
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.1478 would invalidate the breakdown read
Failure to hold 1.1451 confirms continuation lower
Lower highs, lower lows; consolidating near session low.
EUR/USD ground lower through the NY session to a fresh low at 1.14509, keeping the pair pinned near two-month lows sub-1.1480 amid the hawkish-Fed dollar. Price is now consolidating around 1.1457 in thin late-session liquidity, with the bounce capped under 1.14625.
Support: 1.14509, 1.14616
Resistance: 1.14625, 1.1471
What it said to watch
Break below 1.14509 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Close above 1.14625 needed to challenge the 1.14710 swing high
EUR/USD ground lower through London-NY, printing a fresh two-month low at 1.14509 below ING's 1.1478 floor as the hawkish Fed hold kept USD bid. Price is now coiling in a tight 1.14509–1.14625 band in the quiet late-session, RSI(14) recovering off its lows.
Support: 1.14509, 1.1445
Resistance: 1.14625, 1.1471
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14509 confirms a lower-low and opens the lower 1.14 handle
EURUSD trended lower through the session under broad USD strength after Wednesday's hawkish Fed hold, slipping beneath the 1.1478 two-month floor to a 1.14509 base. Late-session price is consolidating in a tight 1.14509–1.14625 band with RSI(14) near 44 and momentum flattening.
Support: 1.14509, 1.1450
Resistance: 1.14625, 1.1471, 1.1478
What it said to watch
Close below 1.14509 confirms a lower-low and opens the lower 1.14 handle
Reclaim of 1.14625 session high would challenge the descending highs
German PPI Fri 06:00 GMT and ECB speakers could shift the range-base read
EURUSD pressed to fresh two-month lows under the post-FOMC hawkish-Fed dollar bid, bottoming at 1.14509 in late NY hours. Price is now consolidating in a tight 1.1451-1.1463 band, RSI(14) recovering off the lows; lower highs from 1.1487 still cap.
Support: 1.14509, 1.1450
Resistance: 1.1463, 1.1471, 1.1487
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14509 confirms a lower low and extends the down leg
Reclaim of 1.1471 prior high challenges the descending sequence
EUR/USD ground to fresh two-month lows through the NY session, printing 1.14509 before stalling into the 1.1455-1.1462 zone as the hawkish-Fed-driven selloff lost pace. Price holds below EMA20/50 with RSI mid-40s; supply capped each bounce near 1.14710 while demand absorbed twice around 1.1450.
Support: 1.14509, 1.1445
Resistance: 1.14625, 1.1471
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14509 confirms a fresh lower-low toward 1.14450 floor
Reclaim of 1.14710 would break the lower-high chain
NY session drove EUR to a fresh session low at 1.14509 as hawkish-Fed USD strength pinned the pair near 2-month lows; price now consolidating in a tight 1.1451-1.1462 band. RSI(14) is mid-40s, off its lows but no recovery momentum.
Support: 1.14509, 1.1453
Resistance: 1.14625, 1.1471
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14625 range top opens 1.14710
Break of 1.14509 session low extends into the lower 1.14 handle
German PPI Fri 06:00 GMT could shift the read near the floor
EURUSD sold off through NY from 1.1528 to a session low at 1.14509 on the hawkish Fed hold and broad USD strength, then stalled into late NY. Price is now basing in a tight 1.1450–1.1463 range, with the prior 1.1478 two-month low flipped to overhead resistance.
Support: 1.14509, 1.14541
Resistance: 1.14629, 1.1478
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14509 opens the lower half of the 1.14 handle
Reclaim of the 1.1478 2-mo low would ease downside pressure
Lower highs into a base, consolidating near session low.
EUR slid through London-NY to fresh two-month lows near 1.1451 on hawkish-Fed dollar strength, then steadied; price is consolidating 1.1451-1.1471 in late NY hours with RSI(14) recovering off the lows. Demand stepped in twice at the 1.14509 session low; descending highs still cap.
Support: 1.14509, 1.1453
Resistance: 1.1471, 1.1476
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14710 breaks the descending highs and opens 1.14760
Failure to hold 1.14509 confirms a lower-low and extends the down-move
German PPI Fri 06:00 GMT and ECB speakers could shift this read
EUR slid from 1.15279 through the NY session under broad USD strength after the hawkish Fed hold, printing a fresh session low at 1.14509 before stalling around 1.14618. Price is consolidating just above the ING 1.14/1.15 floor with RSI(14) recovering off oversold; minor high at 1.14710 caps the bounce.
Support: 1.14509, 1.1450
Resistance: 1.1471, 1.14838, 1.1500
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14509 session low opens the lower 1.14 handle
Reclaim of 1.14710 minor high would ease the downside pressure
NY session extended the EUR selloff to a fresh low at 1.14509, slicing below ING's 1.1478 floor as the post-Fed dollar stayed firm. Buyers stepped in twice near 1.1450 and price is now consolidating around 1.1460 into the late session, RSI mid-range.
Support: 1.14509, 1.1450
Resistance: 1.14624, 1.14717, 1.1478
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.14780 would negate the lower-low structure
Loss of 1.14509 opens the lower half of the 1.14 handle
German PPI Fri 06:00 GMT could shift this read
20:17 UTC
Downtrend, basing at lows · RSI 43 · price 1.14619
Lower highs, lower lows; recent base at 1.1451.
NY session drove EUR to fresh session lows at 1.1451 on persistent USD strength after the hawkish Fed hold; buyers stepped in twice to form a small base, lifting price to 1.1462. Still a chain of lower highs below EMA20, with 1.1478 (the prior two-month low) now capping overhead.
Support: 1.14509, 1.1450
Resistance: 1.1471, 1.1478
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1471 breaks the lower-high chain
Failure to hold 1.1451 confirms a fresh lower-low
German PPI Fri 06:00 GMT could shift the read near the 1.14/1.15 floor
Lower-high / lower-low chain, basing near session low.
NY session ground EUR/USD to a fresh session low at 1.14509 as the dollar held its post-FOMC gains; a shallow bounce into the close stalled near 1.1462. Lower-high chain intact with supply capping each push toward 1.1481/1.1487.
Support: 1.14509, 1.1450
Resistance: 1.14625, 1.1481, 1.14872
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14872 breaks the lower-high chain
Failure to hold 1.14509 confirms continuation lower
Lower highs, lower lows; minor bounce off session low.
EURUSD ground lower through the NY session to a fresh session low at 1.14509 as the dollar held its hawkish-Fed gains. A shallow bounce to 1.14625 faded back to 1.14563; price stays below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 40, no oversold extreme.
Support: 1.14509, 1.1450
Resistance: 1.14625, 1.1471, 1.1478
What it said to watch
Close below 1.14509 opens the 1.1450 psych and 2-month low at 1.1478 zone
Reclaim of 1.1471 prior pivot would break the lower-high sequence
EURUSD ground lower through NY hours, breaking the 1.1478 pivot and printing a fresh session low at 1.14509 as the dollar held post-FOMC gains. A late bounce to 1.14581 leaves price below EMA20/50; the broken pivot now caps overhead.
Support: 1.14509, 1.1450
Resistance: 1.1471, 1.1478, 1.1486
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.14780 negates the breakdown and reopens 1.14860
Break and close below 1.14509 confirms a lower low toward 1.1450
German PPI Fri 06:00 UTC could shift this read
19:46 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 38 · price 1.14581
Lower highs and lower lows, below prior floor.
EURUSD ground lower through the NY session, breaking the 1.1478 floor and printing a fresh session low at 1.14509 with RSI(14) near 37 on dollar strength post-hawkish Fed. A late micro-bounce off 1.1452 lifted price to 1.14581; sequence of lower highs intact.
Support: 1.14509, 1.1445
Resistance: 1.1471
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.14710 recent pivot would break the lower-high chain
Loss of 1.14509 session low extends the down leg toward 1.1445
NY-session grind lower; EUR/USD chained lower highs off the 1.15279 peak and broke the 1.14587 minor support into fresh session lows at 1.14509, pinned near 2-month lows as the post-FOMC dollar holds firm. RSI(14) near 33, not yet extended, ATR sub-7 pips signalling a slow, controlled drift rather than an impulsive flush.
Support: 1.14509, 1.1450
Resistance: 1.14638, 1.1471, 1.14872
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.14638 minor high would stall the lower-low sequence
Acceptance below 1.14500 psych opens continuation toward the digest's 1.1478/1.14 floor zone (timeframe-down read)
ING-flagged 1.14/1.15 floor and ECB speaker slate could trigger a squeeze back toward 1.14710
EURUSD ground lower through the NY session, printing fresh session lows at 1.1451 with the dollar holding post-FOMC gains. Price sits below EMA20/50 in a clean lower-high, lower-low chain; RSI(14) near 36, soft but not yet oversold.
Support: 1.14509, 1.1450
Resistance: 1.1471
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14710 would break the lower-high chain
Failure to hold 1.14509 confirms continuation lower
German PPI Fri 06:00 UTC could shift EUR tone
19:16 UTC
Downtrend, pinned at lows · RSI 38 · price 1.14551
Lower highs off 1.1528, retesting 1.1453 base.
NY session faded EUR/USD off the 1.1528 session high down to retest the 1.1453 base, leaving a pair of equal lows near 1.1453 as the dollar held post-FOMC gains. Price is pinned at two-month lows around 1.1455 with RSI(14) mid-30s; lower highs cap rebounds at 1.1471 and 1.1487.
Support: 1.14527, 1.1450
Resistance: 1.1471, 1.14872, 1.15279
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1452 breaks the double bottom and confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.1471 needed to ease downside pressure
Lower highs and lower lows since 1.1527 rejection.
EUR/USD drifted to fresh session lows near 1.1453 in late NY hours, extending the slide that began after the 1.1527 rejection earlier in the window — consistent with a firm post-FOMC dollar. RSI(14) sub-40 confirms downside momentum without yet reaching exhaustion.
Support: 1.14527, 1.1450
Resistance: 1.1471, 1.1487
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14500 floor opens room toward the 1.14/1.15 range base
Reclaim of 1.14710 swing high needed to ease the lower-high chain
Lower highs into session low, late-session compression.
EURUSD sold off through 1.1500 into a 1.14530 session low, the move Fed-driven after the hawkish Warsh hold. NY faded the bounce to 1.14838 and price is drifting back toward the low in a tight late-session range, RSI(14) mid-40s with ATR compressed to ~6 pips.
Support: 1.1453, 1.1445
Resistance: 1.1471, 1.14838, 1.1500
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14530 extends the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 1.14710 swing high challenges the lower-high structure
EUR sliced through 1.1500 and printed two-month lows at 1.1453 during the NY session as the hawkish Fot continues to drive USD. A bounce to 1.1487 faded and price is now grinding back toward the session low, holding below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 41.
Support: 1.1453, 1.1450
Resistance: 1.14733, 1.14872, 1.1500
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14530 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 1.14733 needed to ease the downside pressure
German PPI Fri 06:00 UTC and ECB Lane/Cipollone speeches could shift this read
Lower highs into a tight late-NY range above 1.1454.
Fed-driven slide carried EURUSD from the 1.1530s to a 1.1454 swing low, then a bounce stalled at 1.14870 in the NY session. Spot is now coiling in a tight ~1.1460–1.1475 range with RSI in the mid-40s and ATR cooling to ~8 pips.
Support: 1.1460, 1.14541
Resistance: 1.14758, 1.1487, 1.1500
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14758 swing high reopens the 1.15000 pivot
Loss of 1.14600 range floor exposes the 1.14541 swing low
German PPI Fri 06:00 UTC and ECB Lane/Cipollone could shift this read
EURUSD slid through the NY session under hawkish-Fed pressure, printing a session low at 1.1453 before basing into a tight consolidation around 1.1464. Price holds below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-range; supply has capped each bounce near 1.1471.
Support: 1.1460, 1.1453
Resistance: 1.1471, 1.1487
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1471 reopens the 1.1487 swing high
Break below 1.1453 confirms a lower-low and extends the downtrend
EURUSD ground lower through the session off the 1.156 open, printing a 1.1454 swing low before a shallow bounce to 1.1487 faded — the move is Fed-driven after the hawkish Warsh hold. Late in the NY session price is drifting back toward the swing low inside the 1.14/1.15 floor, RSI(14) sitting mid-40s with ATR compressing to ~9 pips.
Support: 1.14541, 1.1453
Resistance: 1.1471, 1.14872, 1.1500
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1454 opens continuation toward the 1.14 floor
Reclaim of 1.1487 would ease the downside pressure
Price faded from the session high at 1.14872 back toward the session-low cluster near 1.14580, with the bounce off the day's 1.14530 low fully unwinding — consistent with the Fed-driven EUR pressure that broke the 1.1478 two-month floor. RSI(14) sits mid-40s, below EMA20/50, momentum still skewed lower but cooling.
Support: 1.1458, 1.1453
Resistance: 1.14733, 1.14872
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.14733 minor high would break the lower-high chain
Failure to hold 1.14580 session low reopens 1.14530 swing low
German PPI Fri 06:00 UTC and ECB Lane/Cipollone speeches could shift this read
18:16 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs · RSI 42 · price 1.14633
Lower-high chain, grinding toward session low.
EUR/USD is back under pressure into late NY hours, printing a lower-high chain off the 1.14872 session high after the hawkish Warsh Fed. Price has rolled over to 1.14633, below EMA20/50, with the 1.14541 session low the next reference; RSI(14) at ~41 leaves room before oversold.
Support: 1.14541, 1.1460
Resistance: 1.1471, 1.14872, 1.1500
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14710 breaks the lower-high chain
EURUSD sold off from 1.1566 toward the 1.1453 session low through the day on the hawkish-Fed repricing, then settled into a 1.1453–1.1487 range. Price is drifting back to the lower half into the late NY session, trading below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) mid-40s; 1.1500 psych caps above.
Support: 1.1453, 1.1460
Resistance: 1.1476, 1.14872, 1.1500
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14530 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 1.14872 session high reopens the 1.15000 psych level
NY session has drifted EURUSD back toward the 1.1453 session low after the hawkish-FOMC-driven leg down from 1.1556. Price stalled at a 1.1487 bounce and is now grinding lower again under EMA20/50, with RSI(14) mid-range and ATR around 7 pips signalling a compressing intraday range.
Support: 1.1453, 1.1450
Resistance: 1.1471, 1.1487, 1.1500
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1453 opens lower lows toward the range floor
Reclaim of 1.1487 needed to challenge the descending lower highs
German PPI and ECB speakers Fri could materially shift this read
18:01 UTC
Downtrend, basing near range floor · RSI 41 · price 1.14618
Lower highs into 1.1453 session low.
Late NY session: EUR/USD faded the 1.1487 rebound after hawkish-Fed repricing, drifting back toward the 1.1453 session low with RSI(14) near 41. Lower highs are stacking under EMA20; the 1.14/1.15 summer floor is back in focus.
Support: 1.1453, 1.1450
Resistance: 1.1473, 1.1487, 1.1500
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1453 confirms a fresh lower-low toward 1.1500-area floor
Close back above 1.14730 swing high negates the lower-high sequence
17:46 UTC
Downtrend, now consolidating near lows · RSI 43 · price 1.14649
Range-bound after leg down, basing ~1.1453-1.1487.
EUR/USD slid through the 1.15 handle during the session and based around the 1.1475 March-low region after the hawkish Warsh FOMC, now chopping between 1.1453 and 1.1487. Price holds below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-low, no clear setup as buyers defended 1.1453 and supply caps near 1.1487.
Support: 1.1453, 1.1450
Resistance: 1.14733, 1.14872
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1453 confirms a lower low toward the 1.1475-1.1480 March-low floor
Close above 1.1487 session high invalidates the consolidation read
German PPI and ECB speakers Fri could materially shift this read
EUR/USD sold off from 1.1591 toward the 1.1453 session low through London-NY, pinned near the 1.1475 March-low area after the hawkish Warsh Fed. Late NY is consolidating 1.1453–1.1487 with RSI(14) mid-range; price holding below EMA20/EMA50.
Support: 1.14593, 1.1453
Resistance: 1.1471, 1.1476, 1.14872
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14760 challenges the 1.14872 swing high
Failure to hold 1.14530 session low confirms a lower-low
German PPI and ECB speakers Fri could shift this read
17:32 UTC
Downtrend, now consolidating · RSI 44 · price 1.14704
Lower highs, basing at range floor.
EUR/USD slid through the London session to a 1.1454 swing low on the hawkish Warsh Fed, bounced to 1.1487, and is now chopping around 1.1470 just under the 1.1475 March-low floor. RSI(14) sits mid-40s with no momentum extreme; price is pinned below EMA20/EMA50 in a tight late-NY range.
Support: 1.14541, 1.1450
Resistance: 1.14872, 1.1500
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1454 confirms a fresh lower-low
Reclaim of the 1.1500 psych pivot needed to ease the downside read
ECB speakers and German PPI Fri could shift this read
EUR/USD slid from 1.1596 early to a 1.1454 session low on the hawkish Warsh FOMC repricing, then stabilised in a 1.1454–1.1481 range through the NY afternoon. Price sits just under EMA20 with RSI mid-40s; the 1.1481 swing high has capped each bounce.
Support: 1.1454, 1.1462
Resistance: 1.1481, 1.1500
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1481 opens the path back toward the 1.1500 pivot
Failure to hold 1.1454 confirms a fresh lower-low toward the 1.1475-1.1480 March floor
ECB speakers (Lane, Cipollone) Fri could shift this read
EUR/USD sold off from 1.1596 through the London session toward 1.1453 on the hawkish Fed repricing, then stabilised into late NY, chopping between 1.1453 and 1.1487. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 46 and price is pinned just under EMA20 — no clear intraday direction in play.
Support: 1.1453, 1.14616
Resistance: 1.14872, 1.1505
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1487 session high opens the path toward 1.1505
Loss of 1.1453 confirms a fresh lower-low
German PPI and ECB speakers Fri could shift this read
EURUSD ground lower through the window from 1.1593 toward the 1.1453 swing low on the hawkish-Fed USD bid, then stalled into a tight 1.1453-1.1487 range through the NY session. Price hovers just under EMA20 with RSI(14) mid-40s; no directional setup in play.
Support: 1.1453, 1.14593
Resistance: 1.1487, 1.1500
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14870 session high breaks the consolidation upper edge
Failure to hold 1.14530 swing low confirms a fresh lower-low
German PPI and ECB speakers Fri could shift this read
EUR/USD grinding lower through the NY session, a chain of lower highs and lows since the rejection at 1.14872, hawkish-Warsh Fed read keeping the dollar firm. Price at 1.14631, pinned just above the 1.14541 session low with RSI(14) in the low 40s and no momentum extreme.
Support: 1.14541, 1.1450
Resistance: 1.14709, 1.14872
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14541 confirms continuation to the 1.1450 psych level
Reclaim of 1.14709 needed to break the lower-high sequence
ECB speakers (Lane, Cipollone) Fri could shift this read
NY session has price rolling back off the 1.14872 bounce high, printing a chain of lower highs toward 1.14702 and now testing 1.1463. EUR remains heavy after the hawkish Warsh Fed; RSI(14) near 40, ATR ~8 pips, with the 1.14530 swing low the floor of the recent range.
Support: 1.1453, 1.14593
Resistance: 1.14702, 1.14872
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14530 swing low confirms a fresh lower-low
Reclaim of 1.14702 lower high would ease the downside pressure
16:46 UTC
Downtrend, near session lows · RSI 42 · price 1.14672
Lower highs, lower lows.
EUR/USD ground lower through the NY session, pressured by hawkish-Fed repricing, printing a 1.14530 low before a shallow bounce to the 1.14872 session high faded. Price now drifts at 1.14672 below EMA20/50 with a clean lower-high chain intact.
Support: 1.1453, 1.14616
Resistance: 1.14872
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14530 extends the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 1.14872 session high would break the lower-high chain
16:46 UTC
Downtrend, near session lows · RSI 42 · price 1.14672
Lower highs, lower lows.
EURUSD bled lower across the window from 1.1596 to test 1.1453, the hawkish-Fed leg dominating, then chopped before resuming lower into the NY afternoon. Price is pinned near session lows at 1.1467, holding below the descending sequence of lower highs.
Support: 1.1463, 1.1453
Resistance: 1.1471, 1.1487, 1.1500
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1453 session low confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 1.1487 swing high needed to ease downside pressure
German PPI and ECB speakers Fri could shift the read
EUR/USD bled lower through the NY session toward the 1.14530 session low on the hawkish Warsh Fed repricing, with a rebound capped at the 1.14870 swing high before fading back to ~1.1470. Price now consolidating sub-EMA20 just above the session low; RSI(14) mid-40s, no momentum extreme.
Support: 1.1453, 1.1450
Resistance: 1.1487, 1.1500
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14530 confirms a lower low and opens the 1.14500 round number
Reclaim of 1.14870 swing high puts the 1.15000 psych pivot back in play
ECB speakers and German PPI Fri could shift this read
16:31 UTC
Downtrend, stabilizing near floor · RSI 46 · price 1.14698
Lower highs off 1.1525, basing above session low.
EUR/USD slumped from ~1.159 on the hawkish Warsh FOMC and has since based between the 1.14530 session low and the 1.14872 swing high. Price sits mid-range at 1.14698 in the NY session, RSI(14) neutral near 46 and capped under EMA20/EMA50.
Support: 1.1453, 1.1462
Resistance: 1.14872, 1.1500
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14530 session low confirms a lower-low toward the 1.1475 March floor
Recovery above 1.14872 swing high needed to re-challenge the 1.15000 psych pivot
German PPI and ECB speakers Fri 06:00 UTC could shift this read
16:17 UTC
Downtrend, near session lows · RSI 44 · price 1.14663
Lower highs and lower lows since FOMC drop.
EUR/USD ground lower through the NY session, last at 1.14663 after rejection near the 1.1475 March-low band; price has bled from the 1.1525 area in the aftermath of the hawkish Warsh FOMC. RSI(14) sits mid-40s with no oversold signal, and the 1.14541 swing low is the nearest floor.
Support: 1.14541, 1.1450
Resistance: 1.1475, 1.1487, 1.1500
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14541 swing low confirms a lower-low extension
Reclaim of the 1.1500 psych level would neutralise the downside structure
German PPI and ECB speakers Fri could shift this read
EUR/USD sold off through the window after the hawkish Warsh Fed, sliding from 1.159 to retest the 1.1454 session low. NY-hours bounce to 1.1487 was rejected and price has drifted back near lows at 1.1466, RSI mid-40s with no momentum extreme.
Support: 1.14541, 1.14616
Resistance: 1.14872, 1.15225
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14541 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 1.14872 swing high needed to ease downside pressure
ECB speakers and German PPI Fri could shift this read
EUR/USD sold off through the 1.1525 range cap during European hours and has been basing between 1.1454 and 1.1487 into NY afternoon, with RSI(14) flat in the mid-40s. The 1.1454 double-bottom is holding so far; broader pressure stems from hawkish-Fed repricing keeping the dollar firm.
Support: 1.14541, 1.1450
Resistance: 1.1487, 1.1500, 1.1525
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1454 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 1.1487 session high opens the 1.1500 pivot
German PPI and ECB speakers Fri could shift this read
Consolidating above session lows after stepped decline.
EUR/USD stair-stepped lower through the session, the hawkish Warsh FOMC keeping the dollar firm and pressing price from 1.1525 down to a 1.1453 swing low. Last few hours have been choppy between 1.1460 and 1.1487, RSI(14) mid-40s with price pinned around EMA20; no clean intraday direction in play.
Support: 1.1460, 1.1453
Resistance: 1.1487, 1.1528
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1453 confirms a fresh lower-low
Close above 1.1487 session high opens the path back toward 1.1525
German PPI and ECB speakers Fri could shift this read
EUR/USD bled from 1.1593 toward the 1.1453 area through the NY session, a hawkish-Fed-driven slide, and is now consolidating between 1.1453 and 1.1487. RSI mid-range and ATR near 76 pips; price is hugging EMA20 but capped below EMA50.
Support: 1.1453, 1.1444
Resistance: 1.1487, 1.1500
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1453 extends the lower-low sequence toward the 1.1440 floor
Reclaim of 1.1487 session high needed to challenge the 1.1500 pivot
German PPI and ECB speakers (Fri) could shift this read
15:47 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising · RSI 44 · price 1.14745
Lower lows into a base, ranging 1.1454-1.1487.
EURUSD ground lower through the window to a 1.1454 swing low on the hawkish Warsh Fed repricing, then bounced into NY to a 1.1487 session high before easing back to 1.1474. It is now ranging between 1.1454 and 1.1487 with RSI(14) mid-range and price holding above EMA20 but capped under EMA50.
Support: 1.1454, 1.1464
Resistance: 1.1487, 1.1500
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1487 session high opens the 1.1500 psych pivot
Failure to hold 1.1454 swing low confirms a fresh lower low
ECB speakers and German PPI Fri could shift this read
15:32 UTC
Downtrend, now corrective range · RSI 51 · price 1.14769
Lower highs off FOMC slide, basing 1.1453–1.1487.
M15 in a corrective range 1.1453–1.1487 after the hawkish-Fed-driven slide off 1.1590. Demand stepped in repeatedly near 1.1463 through the NY session; price sits mid-range at 1.1477 with RSI(14) neutral around 50.
Support: 1.1453, 1.1463
Resistance: 1.1487, 1.1500
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1453 confirms a lower-low and reopens downside toward the late-March lows
Reclaim of 1.1487 then the 1.1500 psych level needed to extend the bounce
German PPI Fri 06:00 UTC and ECB speakers could shift this read
EUR was routed early in the window through 1.1550 on the hawkish Warsh FOMC, then carved a session low at 1.1453 during NY hours. Price has since put in a shallow corrective bounce to 1.1487 before fading to 1.1477; RSI(14) sits neutral near 48, ATR a tight ~10 pips.
Support: 1.1453
Resistance: 1.1487, 1.1500
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1453 confirms a lower low and opens the late-March 1.1475-1.1480 zone
Close above 1.1487 swing high extends the bounce toward the 1.1500 round number
EUR slid through the session on post-FOMC USD strength, marking a session low at 1.1454 before grinding back to a 1.1487 session high. Price is holding above EMA20 and chopping in a tight 1.1454-1.1487 band, RSI(14) recovered to mid-range with no momentum extreme; ATR near 10 pips reflects the cooled volatility.
Support: 1.1454, 1.1467
Resistance: 1.1487, 1.1500, 1.1521
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1454 session low opens fresh downside
Reclaim of 1.1500 psych needed to challenge the 1.1521 prior high
German PPI Fri 06:00 UTC could materially shift this read
EURUSD sold off through the session in the post-FOMC repricing, printing a fresh low at 1.14541 before basing in a 1.1453-1.1487 range. Price is hovering at 1.1480, capped below the 1.1500 psych level with the late-March low at 1.1475 acting as nearby support.
Support: 1.1475, 1.14541
Resistance: 1.1487, 1.1500, 1.15279
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.14541 session low confirms a fresh lower-low
Reclaim of 1.1500 psych needed to extend the corrective bounce
Close below 1.1475 march low opens fresh downside
German PPI Fri 06:00 UTC and ECB speakers could shift this read
EUR/USD sold off through the session as hawkish Warsh FOMC repricing keeps the dollar firm, bottoming at 1.1453 before a corrective bounce. Now consolidating ~1.1474 in NY hours, capped below the 1.1483 swing high; RSI(14) neutral near 49.
Support: 1.1453, 1.1430
Resistance: 1.1483, 1.1500
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1453 opens fresh downside toward the 1.1430 round number
Reclaim of the 1.1500 psych level would extend the corrective bounce
German PPI Fri 06:00 UTC and ECB speakers could shift this read
15:01 UTC
Downtrend, attempting to base · RSI 48 · price 1.14739
Consolidating above session low after FOMC sell-off.
Post-FOMC sell-off bottomed at 1.14541 in the London-NY transition; EUR has since clawed back into a 1.1454-1.1484 range as the US-Iran risk relief softened the dollar. Price sits mid-range at 1.14739 with RSI(14) neutral near 48 and momentum flat through the NY afternoon.
Support: 1.14541, 1.14625
Resistance: 1.14838, 1.1500
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14838 opens the path to 1.15000
Failure to hold 1.14541 confirms a fresh lower low
German PPI Fri 06:00 UTC could shift this read
14:46 UTC
Downtrend, slowing near lows · RSI 48 · price 1.14726
Lower highs, basing above session low.
EUR/USD sold off through the NY session after the hawkish FOMC dot-plot flip, slicing the 1.1480-1.1475 March-low zone to a session low at 1.14530. Price has since based between 1.1453 and 1.1484; the 1.1475 March low now caps as overhead resistance with RSI(14) recovering toward the midline.
Support: 1.1453
Resistance: 1.1476, 1.14838
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14840 negates the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.14530 confirms downtrend continuation toward fresh lows
German PPI 06:00 GMT and ECB speakers could reshape the EUR read
14:46 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising near lows · RSI 46 · price 1.14726
Lower-lows then consolidation off 1.14530 base.
EUR/USD remains under post-FOMC pressure but found a floor at 1.14530 during NY hours and has consolidated in a tight 1.1455–1.1481 band. RSI(14) near 46, neutral; the hawkish-Fed driven rout has paused without a clean reversal.
Support: 1.1453, 1.14475
Resistance: 1.14813
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14530 confirms a lower-low and opens the 1.14475 march low
Reclaim of 1.14813 session high needed to break the consolidation higher
German PPI 06:00 GMT could shift the near-term read
EURUSD ground lower through the NY session from 1.159 to a session low of 1.1453, the leg seeded by the hawkish FOMC repricing. Price bounced to 1.14838 and was rejected, now consolidating near 1.1470 with RSI(14) mid-range; the session high and 1.1500 psych cap above.
Support: 1.1453, 1.14593
Resistance: 1.14838, 1.1500, 1.15225
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14838 opens the path toward the 1.1500 psych level
Loss of 1.14530 session low confirms a fresh lower-low and extends the rout
14:31 UTC
Downtrend, stalling after retest · RSI 48 · price 1.14704
Lower highs into 1.1453 base, now consolidating.
NY afternoon: EUR/USD extended the post-FOMC slide to a 1.1453 base, where buyers stepped in twice before a bounce to 1.14838. Price now consolidating around 1.1470 between that base and the recovery high, RSI(14) neutral near 47.
Support: 1.1453, 1.14625
Resistance: 1.14838, 1.1501
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14530 confirms a fresh lower-low and extends the rout toward the 1.1475 March-low zone
EUR/USD slid through the window after Wednesday's hawkish FOMC, chaining lower highs and lower lows from 1.1592 to a 1.1453 swing low. Price has since stabilised, bouncing to a 1.14838 session high and holding near 1.1472, with RSI(14) recovering off the lows.
Support: 1.1453, 1.1460
Resistance: 1.14838, 1.1500
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14838 challenges the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.1453 extends the downtrend
Reclaim of 1.1500 pivot negates the post-FOMC slide
14:16 UTC
Downtrend, momentum easing late NY · RSI 45 · price 1.1472
Lower highs and lower lows, bouncing off session low.
EURUSD sold off through the London-NY session after Wednesday's hawkish Warsh FOMC, sliding from 1.1527 to a session low at 1.1454. NY hours saw a bounce to 1.1481 followed by rejection; price now consolidating near 1.1472, capped under a descending lower-high line.
Support: 1.1454, 1.1430
Resistance: 1.1481, 1.1500, 1.1527
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1481 breaks the lower-high sequence and opens 1.1500
Failure to hold 1.1454 confirms another lower-low
German PPI Fri 06:00 UTC could shift this read
14:01 UTC
Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 45 · price 1.14741
Lower highs / lower lows, basing near cycle low.
EUR/USD extended the FOMC-driven slide through 1.1500 to a cycle low at 1.1453 during the NY session, then recovered ~30 pips with a session high at 1.1484. Price is now coiling between 1.1462 and 1.1484 after the hawkish Warsh hold; the 1.1500 pivot caps the recent rebound.
Support: 1.1462, 1.1453
Resistance: 1.14838, 1.1500, 1.15279
What it said to watch
Close back below 1.1453 confirms a fresh lower-low
Reclaim of 1.1500 pivot would neutralise the intraday downtrend
EUR/USD bled lower through the window after the hawkish FOMC repricing, printing a session low at 1.1453 before a shallow bounce. Price now hovers near 1.1474 between that low and the 1.1484 session high, RSI(14) back near neutral as the slide stalls.
Support: 1.1453
Resistance: 1.14838
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1453 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 1.1484 session high needed to challenge the downtrend
EUR/USD ground out a fresh leg lower through the window to 1.1453 on the ongoing post-FOMC USD bid, then twin lows near 1.1453-1.1454 held and price recovered to 1.14733 into NY hours. RSI(14) has lifted off oversold to mid-40s as the slide loses pace; 1.14813 caps the bounce.
Support: 1.1453, 1.14541
Resistance: 1.14813, 1.1500
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1453 confirms a fresh lower-low and negates the double-bottom
Reclaim of 1.14813 would break the intraday lower-high sequence
1.1500 psych pivot is the next overhead zone to watch for rejection or break
EUR/USD ground lower through the NY session on the hawkish-Fed overhang, posting a swing low at 1.1453 before stabilising. Price has clawed back above EMA20 to 1.14733 with RSI(14) recovering off the mid-30s; descending highs from 1.15205 still cap the recovery.
Support: 1.1453, 1.14616
Resistance: 1.14813, 1.1500
What it said to watch
Close below 1.1453 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 1.1500 pivot needed to neutralise the down-leg
Lower highs and lower lows, consolidating near lows.
EUR/USD extended its FOMC-driven slide into the NY session, sweeping a low at 1.1453 before a bounce to 1.14813 faded. Price now consolidates around 1.1470, sitting below the breached late-March 1.1475 support, with RSI mid-range after the selloff and ATR near 9 pips.
Support: 1.1453
Resistance: 1.1475, 1.14813
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1453 confirms a lower-low and resumes the down-leg
Reclaim of 1.14813 session high needed to ease downside pressure
Lower highs / lower lows, basing near session low.
EUR/USD bled lower through the NY session in the post-FOMC downdraft, printing a session low at 1.1453 before buyers stepped in for a bounce to 1.1481. Price is now consolidating around 1.1470 with RSI(14) mid-range; the lower-high chain off 1.1527 is still intact.
Support: 1.1453, 1.14475
Resistance: 1.14813, 1.1500, 1.15269
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1481 opens the path back to the 1.1500 psych level
Failure to hold 1.1453 confirms a fresh lower-low toward the 1.1475 March low
German PPI Fri could shift this read on the next session
13:16 UTC
Downtrend, holding lows · RSI 41 · price 1.14688
Lower highs, lower lows into session low.
EUR/USD ground lower through the NY session, breaking the 1.1500 psych level after hawkish-Fed repricing and printing a session low at 1.1453. Price bounced to 1.14810 then faded back to 1.1469; RSI(14) near 41, price pinned below EMA20/EMA50.
Support: 1.1453, 1.14475
Resistance: 1.1481, 1.1500
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1453 confirms a fresh lower low toward 1.1475 march low
Reclaim of 1.1500 round number would neutralise the downside read
German PPI Fri 06:00 UTC could shift this read
13:16 UTC
Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 44 · price 1.14688
Lower highs, lower lows; basing near session low.
EURUSD ground lower through the NY session, printing a session low at 1.1453 before a modest bounce to retest 1.14813, where supply capped. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 44 — recovering but the lower-high, lower-low chain is intact.
Support: 1.1453, 1.1458
Resistance: 1.14813, 1.1492, 1.1500
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1453 extends the downtrend toward 1.1480 March-low zone
Reclaim of 1.15000 round number needed to neutralise the lower-high structure
US jobless claims / Philly Fed already released and German PPI Fri could shift this read
Lower highs, lower lows; recent low swept then bounced.
EURUSD sold off through the window after Wednesday's hawkish FOMC slammed price from sub-1.1600 toward the 1.1453 low. A spike to 1.14813 on the 12:30 UTC US data was sold back, leaving a rejection wick; price now grinds at 1.1466 between the swept low and that session high.
Support: 1.1453, 1.1448
Resistance: 1.14813, 1.1500
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1453 confirms a lower-low and opens downside continuation toward the late-March low
Reclaim of the 1.1500 round number would neutralise the downtrend read
US-Iran headline risk could swing the dollar bid and shift this read intraday
13:01 UTC
Downtrend, attempting to base · RSI 44 · price 1.14661
Lower highs / lower lows, consolidating near session low.
EUR/USD has bled lower through the NY session toward the late-March support shelf at 1.1453 after the hawkish Fed hold, with the 1.14813 bounce sold off. Price is now coiling around 1.1466 just below EMA20; RSI(14) near 43 reflects fading downside momentum without a turn.
Support: 1.1453, 1.1458
Resistance: 1.1473, 1.14813
What it said to watch
Close below 1.14530 confirms a fresh lower-low and opens 1.1480-1.1475 March-low zone
Reclaim of 1.14813 needed to break the lower-high chain
US jobless claims / Philly Fed reaction still rippling through; German PPI Fri is next driver
Stair-step lower highs and lower lows below the 1.1475 March low pivot.
EUR/USD spiked to 1.1481 on the 12:30 UTC US jobless-claims print then was rejected straight back to 1.14703, leaving the prior 1.1475 March-low pivot capping as resistance. Micro-structure stays a clean downtrend of lower highs and lower lows, with 1.1453 the session low to defend.
Support: 1.1453, 1.1450
Resistance: 1.1475, 1.1500
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1453 confirms a fresh lower low toward the 1.1450 psych level
A reclaim of 1.1475 and then 1.1500 pivot would stall the downtrend read
Philly Fed follow-through could extend the post-claims move
EUR/USD extended its post-FOMC slide through the NY session to a session low at 1.1454, then bounced — last bar spiked to 1.1481 and was rejected back to 1.1470. The move sits within the broader USD bid after Warsh's hawkish Fed; the late stabilisation lines up with US jobless claims/Philly Fed crossing the wires.
Support: 1.14541, 1.1478
Resistance: 1.14813, 1.1500, 1.15125
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1454 confirms a fresh lower low toward the 1.1478 march low zone
Reclaim of the 1.1500 psych level would ease the downside pressure
EUR/USD extended its downtrend through NY hours, slicing below the 1.1475-1.1480 March low after the hawkish Warsh FOMC kept the USD bid. Price printed a session low at 1.1453 and the last bar bounced toward 1.1470, with RSI(14) lifting off sub-35 but the broken March low now capping overhead.
Support: 1.1453
Resistance: 1.1480
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.1480 invalidates the breakdown read
Failure to hold 1.1453 confirms continuation lower
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
Persistent M15 downtrend after the hawkish FOMC repricing; price broke the 1.1500 pivot during NY and printed a session low at 1.1453 before a small bounce back to 1.1470. RSI(14) near 37 with ATR running hot (~84 pips) — moves are wide.
Support: 1.1453, 1.1475
Resistance: 1.1500, 1.1525
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.1500 pivot would stall the lower-low sequence
Loss of 1.1453 session low extends the decline toward the 1.1475 march low zone breaking
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could sharpen the next leg
12:16 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 33 · price 1.14557
Lower highs / lower lows.
EURUSD grinding lower through NY hours, printing fresh session lows at 1.14541 after the post-FOMC USD bid resumed. Chain of lower highs intact from 1.15279; RSI(14) near 33, not yet stretched, with price pinned below the descending highs.
Support: 1.14541, 1.1450, 1.14475
Resistance: 1.1466, 1.1483
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14500 opens the path to the 1.14475 March low
Reclaim of 1.14660 session high needed to break the lower-high chain
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
12:16 UTC
Downtrend, at session lows · RSI 39 · price 1.14557
Lower highs and lower lows since the post-Fed drop.
EUR/USD ground lower through the NY session in a descending channel, printing a fresh session low at 1.1454 with USD broadly bid on the hawkish Fed dot-plot flip. The recovery toward 1.1527 faded and price now sits on the lows; RSI(14) near 39, off but not at extreme.
Support: 1.1454, 1.1450
Resistance: 1.1476, 1.1500, 1.1527
What it said to watch
US Jobless Claims & Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift the USD-driven read
M15 close back above 1.1476 would break the lower-high chain
Failure to hold 1.1454 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
12:01 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 33 · price 1.1460
Lower highs, lower lows.
Steady downtrend through the session, EURUSD breaking the 1.1500 round level and grinding to fresh lows at 1.14541 on a broadly bid USD after the hawkish Fed dot-plot flip. RSI(14) near 33, soft but not yet at an extreme; price holds below EMA20 and EMA50 with no recovery attempt sticking.
Support: 1.14541, 1.1450, 1.14475
Resistance: 1.14665, 1.1500, 1.15205
What it said to watch
US Jobless Claims & Philly Fed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Loss of 1.14541 opens the path toward the 1.1475 late-March low
Reclaim of 1.14665 needed to break the lower-high chain
12:01 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 33 · price 1.1460
Lower highs / lower lows.
NY session extended the post-Fed USD bid, EURUSD grinding down a chain of lower highs and lows to a fresh session low at 1.14541, currently 1.1460. RSI(14) near 32 — soft but not yet sub-20 — with each bounce capped under 1.1483.
Support: 1.14541, 1.1450
Resistance: 1.1483
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.14830 breaks the lower-high chain
Loss of 1.14541 swing low opens the 1.14500 psych level
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift USD momentum
Downtrend resumed through the London session, EUR/USD breaking the 1.1500 handle and the 1.14830 swing to print a fresh low at 1.14541. RSI(14) holds in the low 30s with no divergence yet; the move tracks broad USD strength on hawkish Fed repricing. Price is pinned at the session low with ATR near 11 pips.
Support: 1.14541, 1.1450
Resistance: 1.1483, 1.1500
What it said to watch
Sustained break below 1.14541 confirms the next lower low
Reclaim of the 1.1500 handle needed to ease downside pressure
US jobless claims & Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
11:46 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 31 · price 1.14594
Lower highs, lower lows.
EUR/USD ground lower through the NY session, printing a fresh session low at 1.14541 with RSI(14) near 31 as the hawkish-Fed USD bid persists. Bounces have been shallow and capped under 1.14830, keeping the lower-high, lower-low chain intact.
Support: 1.14541, 1.1450
Resistance: 1.1483
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.14830 would break the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.14500 psych extends the lower-low chain
US Jobless Claims & Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC and ECB Lane/Cipollone speeches could shift this read
Steady London-session sell-off, EUR/USD grinding to a session low of 1.14580 and slipping below the 1.1475 late-March low — USD firm on the hawkish-Fed dot flip. RSI(14) near 31, hot but not yet sub-20; price holds below EMA20 and EMA50 with no reversal structure in play.
Support: 1.1458, 1.1450
Resistance: 1.1466, 1.1475
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.1475 would negate the downside break of the March low
US Jobless Claims & Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
ECB Lane/Cipollone 12:00-12:15 UTC may inject EUR volatility
Loss of 1.14580 opens the next leg toward 1.14500
11:31 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 32 · price 1.14607
Lower highs, lower lows.
EUR/USD broke down through the 1.1500 round number during NY hours and is grinding lower-low to a session low at 1.14580, RSI(14) near 32 but not yet sub-20 — momentum still bearish. The leg sits well below the 1.1480-1.1475 March low the digest flagged, with broad USD firmness post-hawkish FOMC driving the move.
Support: 1.1458, 1.1450
Resistance: 1.1476, 1.1500
What it said to watch
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could extend or stall this leg
ECB Lane/Cipollone at 12:00-12:15 UTC may shift the read
M15 close back above 1.14760 breaks the lower-high chain
EURUSD sold off through the London session, breaking 1.14920 and printing fresh lows at 1.14593 as USD held firm post-hawkish FOMC. RSI(14) near 28 — stretched but consistent with the trend; no sign of demand stepping in yet.
Support: 1.14593, 1.1448
Resistance: 1.1492
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.14920 needed to stall the lower-low sequence
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
ECB speakers (Cipollone 12:00, Lane 12:15 UTC) a near-term risk
11:16 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 29 · price 1.14612
Lower highs / lower lows, pressing toward March low.
EUR/USD sold off through the London-NY transition, breaking the 1.1500 round number and printing fresh session lows at 1.14593 as the dollar held firm post-hawkish Fed. RSI(14) near 29 — short-term stretched but not yet sub-20 — with price extending below EMA20/50 and grinding toward the 1.1480-1.1475 March low.
Support: 1.14593, 1.14475
Resistance: 1.1477, 1.1500
What it said to watch
Break of 1.14475 march low confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 1.14770 swing high needed to ease downside pressure
US Initial Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
EUR/USD broke the 1.1480 late-March low through London hours and extended to a 1.1462 session low, RSI(14) near 31 but not yet extreme. The decline follows broad USD firmness from the hawkish FOMC dot flip; the 1.1480 level now caps as prior support turned resistance.
Support: 1.1462, 1.1450
Resistance: 1.1480, 1.1505, 1.1525
What it said to watch
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
ECB Lane/Cipollone 12:00-12:15 UTC for any terminal-rate pushback
A reclaim of 1.1480 would negate the breakdown back into 1.1480-1.1505
Failure to hold 1.1450 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
11:00 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 30 · price 1.1464
Lower highs, lower lows.
EUR/USD sold through the 1.1475 late-March low into NY hours, printing a fresh session low at 1.14616 as USD stays firm post-hawkish Fed. The drop extends a clean chain of lower highs from the 1.1528 recovery high; RSI(14) near 30, hot on the downside but not yet sub-20.
Support: 1.14616, 1.1450
Resistance: 1.1481, 1.1500, 1.15279
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14616 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 1.1500 round number needed to ease the downside pressure
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed 12:30 UTC and ECB Lane/Cipollone 12:00-12:15 UTC could shift this read
EUR/USD ground lower through the London session, breaking the 1.1475 late-March low area and printing fresh lows at 1.14616 as the hawkish-Fed dollar bid resumed. RSI(14) is deeply oversold near 27 with price pinned at session lows; sellers controlling the structure with consecutive lower highs.
Support: 1.14616, 1.14475
Resistance: 1.1483
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.1481 swing high would stall the lower-low sequence
US Jobless Claims + Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could extend or fade the move
10:46 UTC
Downtrend, accelerating · RSI 31 · price 1.14714
Lower highs and lower lows, fresh session low.
EUR/USD ground lower through the London-NY window, breaking the 1.1480 prior low and printing a fresh session low at 1.14616 as the hawkish-Fed dollar bid reasserted. RSI(14) sits near 31, hot but not extreme; price is pinned below EMA20/50 with no recovery attempt yet.
Support: 1.14616, 1.1450
Resistance: 1.1481
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.14810 prior low would neutralise the breakout read
Loss of 1.14616 swing low extends the lower-low sequence toward 1.1450
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
10:31 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 31 · price 1.14699
Lower highs, lower lows.
NY session grinding lower in a clean lower-high/lower-low chain; price broke the 1.1480 shelf and printed a fresh session low at 1.14616, RSI(14) near 31. EUR stays heavy after the hawkish-Fed dot-plot flip kept rallies sold.
Support: 1.14616, 1.1450
Resistance: 1.1481
What it said to watch
Close back above 1.14810 breaks the lower-high sequence
Sustained move below 1.14616 extends the downleg toward 1.1450
US Jobless Claims + Philly Fed 12:30 UTC could shift this read
NY hours extended the EUR slide, breaking the 1.1480-1.1475 late-March support and printing a fresh session low at 1.14616 as the hawkish-Fed backdrop keeps the euro heavy. RSI(14) near 27 is oversold but momentum is one-directional; the prior 1.1480 support now caps as resistance.
Support: 1.14616, 1.1450
Resistance: 1.1483
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.14830 would stall the lower-high sequence
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could extend or fade this leg
Failure to hold 1.14616 opens 1.1450
10:16 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 34 · price 1.1476
Lower highs into a marginal break of the session low.
EUR/USD rolled over through London hours, printing a fresh low at 1.1474 — the late-March low that capped the post-Fed drop. The 1.1525 recovery pivot held as a lower high and USD stays firm on the hawkish dot-flip; RSI mid-30s with no bounce yet.
Support: 1.1474, 1.1450
Resistance: 1.1500, 1.1525
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1474 opens room toward the 1.1450 round level
Reclaim of the 1.1500 psych level needed to ease the lower-high structure
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed and ECB Lane near 12:30 UTC could shift this read
10:16 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 31 · price 1.1476
Lower highs, lower lows; breaking range floor.
EUR/USD is rolling to fresh session lows at 1.1476, retesting the post-Fed low around 1.1475-1.1480. The bounce to the 1.1525 recovery pivot was rejected and price broke back below 1.1500 through the London session as USD stays firm on the hawkish Fed dot-flip.
Support: 1.1475, 1.1450
Resistance: 1.1500, 1.1525, 1.1528
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1475 confirms a lower-low and opens the path toward 1.1450
Reclaim of 1.1500 needed to ease the downside pressure
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
10:01 UTC
Downtrend, accelerating · RSI 23 · price 1.14814
Lower highs and lower lows, fresh session low.
EUR/USD rolled over through the 1.1500 consolidation it built after the post-Fed drop, printing a fresh session low at 1.1474 as the USD repricing resumed. RSI(14) is deeply oversold near 23 after the slide off the 1.1527 swing high, with only a shallow bounce off the low so far.
Support: 1.14744, 1.1450
Resistance: 1.1500, 1.15279
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 1.1474 opens the path toward 1.1450
A reclaim of 1.1500 would ease the downside pressure
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 GMT could shift this read
10:00 UTC
Downtrend, accelerating · RSI 29 · price 1.14814
Lower highs, fresh lower low.
EUR/USD sold off through the London session, rejecting 1.15279 and breaking 1.1500 to retest the late-March-area low at 1.1475 with RSI(14) near 29. The move tracks the broader USD bid post-FOMC; bounces remain corrective with each rally capped by lower highs.
Support: 1.14744, 1.1448
Resistance: 1.1492, 1.1505, 1.15279
What it said to watch
Sustained break of 1.14744 opens the 1.1448 march low
Reclaim of 1.1492 swing high would ease the downside pressure
Jobless Claims/Philly Fed at 12:30 GMT could extend or stall this leg
09:46 UTC
Downtrend, fresh leg lower · RSI 29 · price 1.14755
Lower highs, retesting session low.
London selling has dragged EUR/USD back to the post-fed low at 1.1475 after the 1.1525 pivot zone capped the bounce and the 1.1500 round number gave way. The earlier recovery off 1.1477 has been fully retraced, RSI(14) pressing oversold near 29 as a firm USD reasserts.
Support: 1.1475, 1.1450
Resistance: 1.1500, 1.1525
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1475 confirms a new lower low
Reclaim of 1.1500 round number needed to ease downside pressure
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 GMT could move the read
09:46 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 31 · price 1.14755
Lower highs, lower lows; broke below 1.1500.
EURUSD sold off through the 1.1500 round number into the London session and is pressing the 1.1475-1.1480 late-March-area low at 1.14746, the same zone that capped the post-Fed drop. RSI(14) near 30 reflects a stretched, persistent down-leg; bounces into 1.15000 have been sold.
Support: 1.14746, 1.14775
Resistance: 1.1500, 1.15225
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14746 confirms a break of the 1.1475-1.1480 low
Reclaim of 1.15000 needed to ease the downside pressure
US jobless claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 GMT could shift this read
Downtrend extended through the London session, losing the 1.15000 round number and printing fresh lows at 1.14746 with RSI(14) oversold near 27. USD held firm post-Fed while a string of lower highs from 1.15279 capped every bounce.
Support: 1.14746, 1.1450
Resistance: 1.1500, 1.15205, 1.15279
What it said to watch
Break below 1.14746 session low extends the leg toward 1.14500 psych
M15 close back above 1.15000 round number would neutralise the breakdown
US jobless claims + Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
09:31 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 31 · price 1.14801
Lower highs / lower lows, range broken down.
NY session sliced through the 1.1500 round level, breaking the prior 1.1500-1.1528 range and driving fresh lows to 1.14746 as the dollar held firm post-hawkish Fed. Price now sits right on the late-March base near 1.1475-1.1480; RSI(14) around 31, hot but not yet washed out.
Support: 1.14746, 1.14775
Resistance: 1.1500, 1.1513, 1.15279
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.1500 negates the range-break read
Loss of 1.14746 confirms continuation toward the 1.1475 march base
US jobless claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could extend or stall this leg
09:16 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 32 · price 1.14801
Lower highs, lower lows; probing prior base.
EURUSD broke the 1.15000 round level and is grinding fresh lows at 1.14801, pressing the late-March base around 1.1475-1.1480 as USD held firm post-Fed. Lower highs are intact off the 1.15225 prior high; no sign of a base yet.
Support: 1.14775, 1.1480
Resistance: 1.1500, 1.15225
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14775 swing low extends the lower-low sequence into the 1.1480 late-mar base
Reclaim of the 1.15000 round level would ease the breakdown read
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
09:16 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 30 · price 1.14801
Lower highs and lower lows, breakdown below 1.1500.
EUR/USD slid to a fresh session low at 1.14794, slicing back below the 1.1500 round number as the post-Fed hawkish USD repricing reasserted. The 1.15279 swing high capped the earlier recovery and price is now pressing the late-March base around 1.1475-1.1480 with RSI(14) oversold near 30.
Support: 1.14775, 1.1480
Resistance: 1.1500, 1.15279
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14775 confirms a lower low and exposes 1.1450
Reclaim of 1.15000 needed to stall the breakdown
US jobless claims/Philly Fed 12:30 UTC and ECB speakers (Cipollone 12:00, Lane 12:15) could shift this read
EUR/USD faded from the 1.1527 session high and has just lost the 1.1500 round level, printing fresh session lows at 1.1492 with USD firm post-hawkish Fed. The 1.1480 area bounce that ran to 1.1527 has fully unwound; RSI(14) near 33, not yet oversold.
Support: 1.14775, 1.1470
Resistance: 1.1500, 1.15279
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.1500 on a close would invalidate the breakdown read
Break of 1.14775 opens the late-March base
US jobless claims / Philly Fed 12:30 UTC could shift the read
EUR/USD is rolling over through London hours after the bounce to 1.1525 stalled, printing fresh session lows at 1.14921 with RSI(14) near 31. The drop is USD-led; price has sliced back below 1.15050 and is grinding toward the 1.14775 swing low.
Support: 1.14775, 1.1480
Resistance: 1.1505, 1.15279
What it said to watch
Break of 1.14775 confirms continuation toward the 1.1475-1.1480 base
Reclaim of 1.15050 would neutralise the lower-high structure
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
08:46 UTC
Recovering off lows, rolling back over · RSI 39 · price 1.15023
Range under 1.1528 after FOMC flush.
EUR sliced ~50 pips to 1.1477 on yesterday's hawkish FOMC, then clawed back above 1.1500 and ranged 1.1500-1.1528 through Asia. Early London is drifting back to retest the 1.1500 psych level with a chain of lower highs capping at 1.1528.
Support: 1.1500, 1.14775
Resistance: 1.15279, 1.15205
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1500 opens the path to the 1.14775 swing low
Reclaim of 1.15279 session high needed to break the lower-high sequence
ECB speakers (Elderson 10:10, Cipollone 12:00) and US jobless claims 12:30 GMT could shift this read
Post-FOMC selloff swept to 1.14775 before buyers defended 1.1500, with price recovering to 1.15279 then carving a descending range of lower highs. London session is now grinding back toward 1.1500 support, RSI(14) cooling near 40.
Support: 1.1500, 1.14775
Resistance: 1.15205, 1.1528
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1500 confirms a lower low toward the 1.14775 post-fomc low
Reclaim of the 1.15205 lower high needed to ease the descending range
US jobless claims 12:30 GMT and ECB speakers (Lane, Cipollone, Elderson) could shift this read
08:31 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs into support · RSI 41 · price 1.15057
Rolling over within post-FOMC range, pressing 1.1500.
Post-FOMC selling sliced through 1.1550 to a 1.14775 low, then recovered into a 1.1500-1.1528 range. London hours are rolling over with a lower-high sequence, dragging price back to the 1.1500 psych support that has been defended twice this week.
Support: 1.1500, 1.14957, 1.14775
Resistance: 1.15225, 1.1528
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1500 opens the path toward the 1.14775 session low
Reclaim of 1.15280 range high needed to negate the lower-high sequence
US jobless claims 12:30 GMT and ECB speakers could shift this read
08:31 UTC
Downside drift after FOMC drop · RSI 42 · price 1.15057
Post-shock range, lower highs into 1.1500.
Hawkish FOMC dots drove the slice to 1.1477; EUR clawed back to 1.1527 and ranged, but is now grinding lower highs back toward the 1.1500 psych support. RSI(14) sub-45 with price below EMA20/50 — the rebound is fading.
Support: 1.1500, 1.1477
Resistance: 1.1527
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1500 opens a retest of the 1.1477 swing low
Reclaim of 1.1527 session high negates the lower-high slide
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 GMT could shift this read
EUR/USD knifed below 1.1550 on the hawkish FOMC hold, printing a 1.1477 flash low before clawing back above 1.1500. London hours have ranged 1.1506–1.1528; price is rolling off the session high into a chain of lower highs, probing the lower edge near 1.1511 with RSI(14) mid-40s.
Support: 1.1506, 1.1500, 1.14775
Resistance: 1.1528, 1.1540
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1500 april low reopens the 1.1477 flash low
Reclaim of 1.1528 session high needed to break the lower-highs chain
ECB speakers (Elderson, Cipollone, Lane) and US jobless claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
EUR/USD cratered through 1.1550 to a 1.14775 low on Warsh's hawkish FOMC yesterday, then clawed back into a 1.1500–1.1528 range as the US-Iran MoU lifted risk. Rejection at the 1.15279 session high has left lower highs, and price is now sliding back toward the 1.1500 April low, trading below EMA20/50.
Support: 1.15062, 1.1500, 1.14775
Resistance: 1.15279, 1.15205
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1500 confirms a lower low and re-tests the 1.14775 swing low
Reclaim of 1.15279 needed to negate the lower-high drift
US jobless claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC and ECB speakers (Elderson 10:10, Cipollone 12:00, Lane 12:15) could shift this read
FOMC sell-off mid-window swept down to 1.14775 before EUR clawed back above 1.1500 on US-Iran risk relief, then settled into a 1.1500–1.1528 range. Rejection at the 1.15279 session high has price sliding back toward the 1.15062 swing low, RSI(14) cooling into the mid-40s.
Support: 1.15062, 1.1500, 1.14775
Resistance: 1.15279, 1.1524
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15000 psych opens path toward the 1.14775 session low
Close above 1.15279 session high needed to reassert the recovery
US Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
EUR/USD cratered to 1.14775 on the hawkish FOMC dot repricing, defended 1.1500 and clawed back into 1.1525-1.1527 before fading to 1.1516. RSI(14) mid-range near 45 as the recovery stalls under the session high, with rejection capping at 1.15279.
Support: 1.1510, 1.1500, 1.14775
Resistance: 1.15279, 1.1555
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15279 extends the recovery toward 1.1555
Loss of 1.1500 reopens the 1.14775 swing low
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed 12:30 UTC could shift this read
Post-FOMC selloff, recovery rolling over near range low.
EUR was sliced ~120 pips on the hawkish Warsh FOMC during the NY session, bottoming at 1.14775 before a London-hours bounce to 1.15279. That recovery has now stalled and rolled over, price pressing back to the session low at 1.15075 with RSI(14) under 45.
Support: 1.15075, 1.1500, 1.14775
Resistance: 1.1523, 1.15279
What it said to watch
Close below 1.15000 April low opens path lower
Reclaim of 1.15279 session high negates the rollover
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
07:46 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating after drop · RSI 43 · price 1.15096
Post-FOMC selloff, ranging then slipping lower.
EUR/USD was sliced ~120 pips lower into the 1.14775 day low after Warsh's hawkish FOMC debut flipped 2026 dots to a hike. London hours saw a recovery into 1.150–1.153, but the bounce stalled at the 1.15279 session high and price is edging back toward the 1.15000 round number into the morning.
Support: 1.1500, 1.14775
Resistance: 1.15279, 1.1523
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15000 reopens the 1.14775 day low
Reclaim of 1.15279 session high negates the renewed slide
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
Range after sharp down-leg, holding 1.1510-1.1528.
The hawkish Warsh-Fed flip sliced EUR/USD sub-1.1550 and down to 1.1478 yesterday; price has since clawed back into a 1.1510-1.1528 range. Now pulling back from the 1.15280 session high with RSI(14) flat near 47 and price under EMA20.
Support: 1.1510, 1.14835, 1.14775
Resistance: 1.1528, 1.1550
What it said to watch
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close below 1.15100 reopens the fomc low at 1.14835
Close above 1.15280 extends the recovery toward 1.1550
07:31 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating after drop · RSI 44 · price 1.15132
Post-FOMC selloff, range building above lows.
EUR/USD was sliced ~120 pips lower on the hawkish FOMC flip, printing a 1.14775 low before stabilising. Price has since chopped between 1.1500 and the 1.1528 session high; currently 1.1513, back below EMA20/EMA50 with RSI(14) neutral near 44.
Support: 1.1500, 1.14775
Resistance: 1.15279, 1.1540
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1500 opens the path back to the 1.14775 swing low
Close above 1.1528 session high needed to extend the bounce
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed 12:30 UTC and ECB speakers (Cipollone, Lane) could shift this read
A hawkish Warsh-led FOMC ~13h ago sliced EUR/USD ~80 pips lower, breaking 1.1550 and bottoming at 1.14775. Price has since recovered into a 1.1510–1.1528 range through the London session, RSI(14) neutral near 51 and the bounce stalling at 1.15279.
Support: 1.1510, 1.14957, 1.14775
Resistance: 1.15279, 1.15387
What it said to watch
Break below 1.15100 reopens the 1.14775 fomc low
M15 close above 1.15279 extends the recovery toward 1.15387
US jobless claims + Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
Post-breakdown range, higher lows into resistance.
EUR/USD was sliced lower 13h ago on the hawkish Warsh-Fed hold, bottoming at 1.14775 before a grinding recovery into the London morning. Price now consolidates 1.15100–1.15280, with the last bars stalling under the session high; RSI(14) neutral near 53.
Support: 1.1510, 1.14775
Resistance: 1.1528
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15280 session high extends the recovery
Break below 1.15100 swing low reopens the 1.14775 fomc low
ECB speakers from 10:10 UTC and US jobless claims at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
Higher lows since the FOMC flush, grinding into session high.
EUR/USD cratered through 1.1550 to 1.14775 on the hawkish Warsh-led FOMC, then carved a rounded base and has ground higher into the European morning, retracing ~40% of the drop. Session high 1.1528 is capping the recovery, RSI(14) mid-range with ATR around 7 pips.
Support: 1.1510, 1.1500, 1.14775
Resistance: 1.1528, 1.1566
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1528 extends the recovery toward the 1.1566 bounce high
Failure to hold 1.1500 reopens the 1.14775 FOMC low
US Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC and heavy ECB speaker slate could shift this read
EURUSD washed out to 1.14775 on the hawkish-Warsh FOMC aftermath during NY hours, then ground back up through the 1.1500 psych level into the London morning. Price is consolidating around 1.1524, just under the 1.15279 session high, with RSI cooling and a chain of higher lows holding above 1.15100.
Support: 1.1510, 1.1500, 1.14775
Resistance: 1.15279, 1.1540
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15279 session high extends the recovery toward 1.15400
Failure to hold 1.15100 swing low reopens the 1.1500 psych level
Heavy ECB speaker slate today could shift this read
EUR/USD was slammed from 1.1591 to 1.1478 on the hawkish Warsh FOMC during NY hours, then built a rounded base above 1.1500 through the Asia session. London morning has reclaimed the recovery, with price pressing the 1.15269 session high, RSI(14) around 60.
Support: 1.1510, 1.1500, 1.14775
Resistance: 1.15269, 1.1560
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15269 extends the recovery toward the 1.1560 bounce high
Loss of 1.1510/1.1500 reopens the 1.14775 session low
US Jobless Claims & Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
06:46 UTC
Recovering off post-FOMC low · RSI 60 · price 1.15252
Higher lows since 1.14775, grinding back toward range.
EUR/USD cratered ~110 pips through 1.1500 to 1.14775 on Warsh's hawkish FOMC debut, then clawed back through London to 1.15269 where the latest push stalled. Higher lows are intact off the low, but 1.1500 psych and the April-low zone remain the structural pivot below.
Support: 1.1510, 1.1500, 1.14775
Resistance: 1.15269
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15269 extends the recovery toward 1.1560
Loss of 1.1500 psych re-opens the 1.14775 FOMC low
US Jobless Claims & Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could reignite USD bid
Heavy ECB speaker slate today (Lane 12:15) a EUR swing factor
EUR/USD was flushed from ~1.1596 to 1.1477 on yesterday's hawkish Warsh FOMC, then clawed back to the 38.2% retrace and has ranged 1.1500–1.1526 through the Asian session into the London open. Price sits at the top of that range near 1.1522 with RSI mid-band, no momentum extreme.
Support: 1.1510, 1.1500, 1.14775
Resistance: 1.1526
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1526 extends the FOMC retrace higher
Loss of 1.1500 reopens the 1.14775 swing low
US claims & Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC plus ECB speakers could break the range
06:31 UTC
Recovering off lows, grinding up · RSI 55 · price 1.15218
Consolidation above post-FOMC low.
EUR/USD cratered through 1.1500 to 1.14775 on yesterday's hawkish Warsh FOMC, then based and ground back up to 1.1522 along rising support. Price is stalling around the 38.2% retrace of the crash, capped by the 1.15259 session high; RSI mid-range with no extreme.
Support: 1.1510, 1.1500, 1.14775
Resistance: 1.15259, 1.1566
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15259 opens the path back toward 1.15660
Failure to hold 1.15100 reopens 1.15000 and the 1.14775 session low
US Jobless Claims & Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
06:16 UTC
Downtrend, now consolidating · RSI 42 · price 1.15134
Range-bound after FOMC selloff.
EUR/USD cratered from 1.1590 to 1.1477 on the hawkish FOMC repricing, then clawed back into a 1.1500–1.1526 consolidation. Price has been capped at the 1.1526 range top and is now drifting back toward the lower edge, RSI(14) sub-50 with ATR cooled to ~5.5 pips.
Support: 1.1500, 1.14775
Resistance: 1.1526
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1500 round number opens the April-low downside read
Reclaim of 1.1526 range top needed to negate the drift
US jobless claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could break the range
06:16 UTC
Recovery stalling, rolling over · RSI 43 · price 1.15134
Post-FOMC drop, then corrective bounce capped at 1.1525.
EUR/USD knifed lower from 1.1590 to 1.1477 on the hawkish FOMC repricing, then ground back to a session high at 1.1525 before fading. Last few bars are rolling over below EMA20 with RSI(14) cooling toward 42; 1.1500 round number is the near-term pivot.
Support: 1.1500, 1.14775
Resistance: 1.15259, 1.1519
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1500 reopens the 1.1477 session low
Reclaim of 1.1525 needed to extend the bounce
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed 12:30 UTC and ECB Lane 12:15 UTC could shift this read
Consolidating below session high after FOMC flush.
EUR/USD flushed to 1.14775 on the hawkish FOMC repricing yesterday, then ground higher overnight into 1.15259 where it was rejected. Price now consolidating in the 1.1513–1.1526 band, easing back toward the session low into early London hours.
Support: 1.15127, 1.1500, 1.14775
Resistance: 1.15259, 1.1530
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1513 session low opens the 1.1500 April low
Reclaim of 1.15259 session high needed to extend the recovery
US Jobless Claims/Philly Fed 12:30 UTC and ECB speakers could shift this read
06:01 UTC
Downtrend stabilising after FOMC drop · RSI 46 · price 1.1517
Consolidation above the post-FOMC low.
NY session post-FOMC sell-off (hawkish Warsh debut) drove EUR/USD from 1.1596 to a 1.14775 spike low before buyers recovered it into Asia/London to a 1.15259 session high. Price is now consolidating sub-1.1520 with RSI neutral; the 1.1500 april low remains the pivotal floor.
Support: 1.1500, 1.14775
Resistance: 1.15259, 1.15413
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1500 reopens the downside toward the 1.14775 spike low
Reclaim and hold above 1.15259 session high needed to extend the recovery
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed 12:30 UTC and ECB speakers (Lane 12:15) could shift this read
EUR/USD cratered sub-1.1600 yesterday on Warsh's hawkish FOMC, bottoming at the 1.14775 session low before recovering to the 1.15259 session high. Price now consolidating mid-range, rejected at 1.15259 and easing back toward the 1.15000 round number with RSI(14) neutral near 47.
Support: 1.1500, 1.14775
Resistance: 1.15259, 1.1566
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15000 round number reopens downside toward the April low
Reclaim of 1.15259 session high needed to extend the recovery toward the 1.1566 swing high
US Jobless Claims + Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift the USD read
Higher lows since FOMC crash, stalling below 1.15259.
EUR/USD ground higher through the Asian session off the post-FOMC crash low at 1.14775, but the recovery stalled at 1.15259 and price is now rolling back toward 1.15000 into the London open. RSI(14) cooling near 46 as the upswing loses steam.
Support: 1.1500, 1.14775
Resistance: 1.15259
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15000 reopens the 1.14775 swing low
Reclaim of 1.15259 needed to extend the recovery
US Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC and ECB speakers could shift this read
05:31 UTC
Recovery off the lows, momentum flattening · RSI 55 · price 1.15213
Consolidation near recovery highs after FOMC drop.
FOMC's hawkish hold drove EUR/USD ~80 pips lower into a 1.14775 low during NY hours yesterday. The overnight recovery retraced to 1.15259; price is now consolidating 1.1513–1.1526 in early London with RSI neutral.
Support: 1.1513, 1.1500, 1.14775
Resistance: 1.15259
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15259 extends the recovery toward 1.1560
Loss of 1.1500 reopens the 1.14775 ny low
US jobless claims 12:30 UTC and ECB Lane 12:15 UTC could shift this read
Higher lows since post-FOMC flush, capped near session high.
EUR/USD has clawed back from the post-FOMC flush to 1.14775 — driven by hawkish Warsh and a hot retail sales beat — recovering in a chain of higher lows into the London open and stalling just under the 1.15259 session high. RSI(14) near 60, price holding above EMA20/50; recovery intact while 1.1500 psych holds.
Support: 1.1500, 1.14775
Resistance: 1.15259, 1.1550
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15259 extends the recovery toward 1.1550
Loss of 1.1500 psych reopens the 1.14775 FOMC low
ECB Lane 12:15 UTC and US jobless claims 12:30 UTC could shift this read
05:16 UTC
Recovery uptrend after sharp drop · RSI 61 · price 1.15221
Higher lows off the 1.1478 base.
EURUSD sold off hard during the US session to 1.14775 as USD firmed on the hawkish FOMC tone, then ground steadily back to retest the 1.15259 session high. Micro structure is a chain of higher lows off the base near the 1.1500 psych level, with RSI holding the upper half but not extended.
Support: 1.1500, 1.14775
Resistance: 1.15259, 1.1560
What it said to watch
Close above 1.15259 session high opens room toward the 1.1560 drop high
Loss of the 1.1500 psych level reopens the 1.14775 swing low
US jobless claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could reset this read
Higher lows off the 1.1477 low, near session high.
EUR/USD cratered to 1.1477 on the hawkish-Warsh FOMC and hot US retail sales, then carved a rounded recovery back to 1.1522. Price is grinding up in a tight band just under the 1.1526 session high, RSI(14) mid-range with ATR around 4 pips.
Support: 1.1513, 1.1500, 1.14775
Resistance: 1.1526, 1.1530
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15300 extends the recovery leg
Failure to hold 1.15130 confirms a lower-low and stalls the climb
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could reset USD direction
EUR/USD cratered after the hawkish-Warsh FOMC and hot US retail sales, slicing through the prior 1.1590 range to a 1.14775 low. Price has since ground back up through Asia hours, now pressing the session high at 1.15259 with RSI(14) in the low 60s.
Support: 1.1513, 1.1505, 1.14775
Resistance: 1.15259, 1.1566
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15259 extends the recovery toward the 1.15660 rebound high
Loss of the 1.15130 recovery low reopens the 1.15050 base and 1.14775 swing low
US jobless claims at 12:30 UTC could reprice the USD leg and shift this read
Higher lows since 1.14775, grinding into session high.
EURUSD cratered through 1.1500 on the hawkish FOMC/Warsh repricing, bottoming at 1.14775, and has since recovered in a steady rising channel through the Asia session. Price is now pressing the session high at 1.15259 with RSI(14) mid-range; the rebound has reclaimed the 1.15008 base.
Support: 1.1513, 1.15008, 1.14775
Resistance: 1.15259, 1.1550
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15259 session high extends the recovery toward 1.1550
Loss of 1.15008 recovery base reopens the FOMC low at 1.14775
US jobless claims/Philly Fed 12:30 UTC could shift the read
ECB speakers (Nagel 07:00, Lane 12:15 UTC) on the slate
Hawkish FOMC hold in the NY session yesterday flushed EUR from 1.159 to 1.1477; since then a steady grind through Asia has reclaimed 1.152, RSI(14) near 59. Session high at 1.1526 caps for now, with the recovery holding above the 1.1500 round number on a rising chain of higher lows.
Support: 1.1513, 1.1500, 1.14775
Resistance: 1.15259, 1.1560
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1526 session high extends the recovery toward the 1.1560 bounce high
loss of the 1.1500 round number reopens the 1.14775 crash low
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
Hawkish-hold FOMC drove EURUSD off a cliff from ~1.1590 to 1.14775, breaking the prior range. Price has since ground back in a steady channel to 1.152 and is now pressing the session high at 1.15259, roughly a 38% retrace of the drop with RSI mid-band.
Support: 1.15127, 1.15013
Resistance: 1.15259, 1.15367
What it said to watch
Close above 1.15259 session high opens the 50% fib at 1.15367
Loss of 1.15013 range base reopens the post-FOMC low
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could reset this read
Higher lows since FOMC low, 38.2% retrace of drop.
EUR/USD cratered from 1.1593 to 1.14775 during NY hours as the hawkish FOMC hold and hot US retail sales repriced USD higher. Price has since clawed back to 1.15218 — the 38.2% retracement of that drop — and is grinding up in a tidy chain of higher lows into the Asia session, with the session high at 1.15260 capping for now.
Support: 1.1513, 1.1500, 1.14775
Resistance: 1.1526, 1.15354
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15260 session high extends the recovery toward the 50% fib at 1.15354
Loss of the 1.15000 round number reopens the 1.14775 session low
US jobless claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could reset the USD-driven read
04:31 UTC
Recovery uptrend after sharp drop · RSI 59 · price 1.15218
Higher lows grinding back up post-breakdown.
The hawkish FOMC hold knifed EURUSD from 1.1595 to a 1.14775 swing low, then price reclaimed the 1.15000 round number and has ground higher in a steady chain of higher lows to 1.15218. RSI(14) mid-range near 59 as the recovery stalls just under the 1.15259 session high.
Support: 1.1500, 1.14775
Resistance: 1.15259, 1.1556
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15259 session high opens path toward the 1.1556 bounce high
Loss of the 1.15000 round number reopens the 1.14775 swing low
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
FOMC drove a range break through 1.1590 down to the 1.14775 swing low on a hawkish Warsh hold and hot US retail sales. Since the NY close a steady Asia-session grind has retraced to roughly the 38.2% level near 1.1525, with higher lows intact and RSI mid-range.
Support: 1.1500, 1.14775
Resistance: 1.15247, 1.1566
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1500 round number negates the recovery and reopens the 1.14775 swing low
Reclaim of 1.1566 swing high would extend the retrace
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
04:16 UTC
Recovery off the lows, higher lows · RSI 64 · price 1.15246
Rounded base above 1.1500, grinding up.
Hawkish FOMC hold drove EUR/USD through 1.1500 to a 1.14775 day low yesterday evening, after which price based and ground back up through the Asian session to the 1.15247 session high. Chain of higher lows holds off the 1.15000 round number, RSI(14) firm near 63 with no extreme.
Support: 1.15127, 1.1500, 1.14775
Resistance: 1.15247, 1.1556
What it said to watch
loss of 1.15000 round number reopens the 1.14775 day low
reclaim of 1.15560 post-drop high needed to extend the recovery
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
04:01 UTC
Recovering off FOMC lows · RSI 59 · price 1.15223
Higher lows off 1.1477 base.
Hawkish FOMC hold yesterday slammed EUR from ~1.1590 to 1.14775; price has since based at the 1.1500 round number and ground back to 1.15223 on a chain of higher lows. Now testing the session high at 1.15240, sitting on the 38.2% retrace of the FOMC drop.
Support: 1.1500, 1.14775
Resistance: 1.1524, 1.1560
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15240 opens path toward 1.1560
Failure to hold 1.1500 reopens the 1.14775 session low
US Jobless Claims + Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could reset this read
04:01 UTC
Recovering after FOMC plunge · RSI 60 · price 1.15223
Higher lows off the 1.14775 low, ~40% retrace of the drop.
EUR/USD knifed through 1.1590 to a 1.14775 low on the hawkish FOMC hold during NY hours, then ground back up to 1.1522 in a steady chain of higher lows, retracing ~40% of the drop. Price holds above EMA20 but sits below EMA50 as the recovery stalls into the 1.15239 session high; RSI mid-60s, no extreme.
Support: 1.15127, 1.14957, 1.14775
Resistance: 1.15239, 1.1539
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.15127 recent low stalls the recovery and reopens 1.14957
M15 close above 1.15239 session high extends toward the 1.15390 swing high
ECB-speaker slate (Nagel, Lane) and US Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC could reset this read
03:46 UTC
Recovering off post-FOMC lows · RSI 59 · price 1.15224
Higher lows since the flush, grinding back.
EUR/USD cratered ~115 pips during NY hours on the hawkish FOMC/Warsh hold, bottoming at 1.14775. Asia has clawed back roughly half the move, posting a steady higher-low chain into 1.15224, with RSI(14) mid-range near 59 and the session high at 1.15230 capping for now.
Support: 1.1513, 1.14957, 1.14775
Resistance: 1.1523, 1.1566
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15230 extends the recovery toward the 1.15660 pre-drop high
Loss of 1.15130 recovery low reasserts the downside, exposing 1.14957
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could reset this read
03:46 UTC
Recovering after sharp drop · RSI 61 · price 1.15224
Rounded base above 1.1500, grinding higher.
A hawkish Fed hold plus a hot US retail sales beat drove a ~114-pip leg lower through 1.1500 to a 1.14775 session low. Price has since carved a rounded base above 1.1500 and is grinding up to retest the 1.15230 session high, RSI(14) near 61 and back above EMA20.
Support: 1.1500, 1.14835, 1.14775
Resistance: 1.1523, 1.1566
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.1500 reopens the 1.14775 session low
Reclaim of 1.15230 session high extends the recovery toward 1.1566
US jobless claims/Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift the read
03:31 UTC
Recovering after sharp drop · RSI 57 · price 1.15195
Higher lows off the 1.14775 low.
A hawkish-FOMC USD repricing drove a sharp ~120-pip slide to 1.14775 during NY hours, sweeping the prior range. Price has since clawed back through 1.1500 and is grinding higher into Asia, RSI(14) recovered to the mid-50s; the 1.14775 low held on the pullback and a chain of higher lows is intact.
Support: 1.1513, 1.1500, 1.14775
Resistance: 1.1522, 1.1560
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1522 session high opens the path back toward the 1.1560 pre-drop area
Loss of 1.1513 swing low threatens the higher-low chain
Break of 1.1500 psych reopens the 1.14775 session low
03:31 UTC
Recovering after FOMC drop, now consolidating · RSI 56 · price 1.15195
Range 1.1500-1.1522 after sweep below 1.1500.
The hawkish FOMC hold and hot US retail sales drove a sharp leg down that swept 1.1500 to a 1.14775 low before snapping back. Price has since recovered and is consolidating between 1.1500 and the 1.15221 session high, RSI(14) neutral near 56.
Support: 1.1500, 1.14775
Resistance: 1.15221
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1500 reopens the 1.14775 swing low
Close above 1.15221 extends the recovery toward 1.1560
ECB speakers (Nagel, Lane) and US jobless claims at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
03:16 UTC
Downside break, basing · RSI 53 · price 1.15177
Consolidating above 1.1500 after FOMC drop.
EURUSD dumped ~140 pips into the 1.1478 session low on the hawkish FOMC/Warsh hold and higher dots, then clawed back into a 1.1500–1.1522 range. The recovery has stalled at 1.15221, which aligns with the 38.2% retrace of the drop; RSI(14) has normalised near 53 off its post-FOMC lows.
Support: 1.1500, 1.14775
Resistance: 1.15221, 1.15625
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1522 opens room toward the 1.1560 bounce high
Loss of the 1.1500 round level reopens the 1.1478 session low
US jobless claims 12:30 UTC could shift this read
03:16 UTC
Recovering off FOMC lows · RSI 57 · price 1.15177
Higher lows after downside range break.
Hawkish FOMC hold ~9h ago slammed EUR/USD from 1.159 through to a 1.14775 session low. Asia hours have ground the recovery back to 1.152, posting a chain of higher lows; the 1.15221 recovery high is the immediate cap.
Support: 1.1505, 1.1500, 1.14775
Resistance: 1.15221, 1.1541
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15221 extends the recovery toward 1.15410
Loss of 1.15050 swing low reopens the 1.14775 session low
US Jobless Claims & Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift USD tone
EUR/USD cratered to a 1.14775 sweep low on the hawkish FOMC hold and hot US retail sales, then carved a rounded bottom through the Asia session and ground back to 1.152, recovering roughly a third of the drop. Higher lows are intact and RSI(14) sits mid-range near 59; the session high at 1.1522 is the immediate ceiling, the 1.1500 psych level the floor.
Support: 1.1513, 1.1500, 1.14775
Resistance: 1.1522, 1.1560
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1522 session high extends the recovery toward the 1.1560 bounce high
Loss of 1.1500 psych reopens the 1.14775 sweep low
US Jobless Claims + Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift the USD-driven read
EUR/USD sold off sharply through 1.1500 on the hawkish FOMC hold, bottoming at 1.1477 in late NY hours. Asia session has clawed the move back to 1.1520 in a steady rounded recovery, with 1.15221 now capping; RSI(14) near 59, no extreme.
Support: 1.1500, 1.14775
Resistance: 1.15221, 1.1545
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15221 extends the recovery toward 1.1545
Loss of 1.1500 reopens the 1.1477 session low
US jobless claims/Philly Fed 12:30 UTC and ECB speakers could shift this read
Hawkish FOMC hold (dots shifted up) drove EURUSD through the 1.159 shelf to 1.14775 during NY hours, then a knee-jerk rebound stalled near 1.1560. Price has since built higher lows off the 1.1500 April-low area to retake 1.1516; the session high at 1.1522 is the immediate cap.
Support: 1.1500, 1.14775
Resistance: 1.15221, 1.1560
What it said to watch
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could reset the USD read
Loss of 1.1500 reopens the 1.14775 FOMC low
M15 close above 1.1522 extends the recovery leg
02:46 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising after breakdown · RSI 55 · price 1.15159
Range break lower, now consolidating.
A hawkish FOMC hold yesterday drove EUR through 1.1600 and into a sharp M15 breakdown, sweeping the session low at 1.14775 before buyers stepped in. Price has since recovered into a tight 1.1500–1.15221 consolidation through the quiet Asia session; RSI mid-range and ATR cooled to ~5 pips after the impulse.
Support: 1.1500, 1.14775
Resistance: 1.15221, 1.1566
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15221 session high opens the path back toward 1.1566
Loss of 1.1500 psych level reopens the session low at 1.14775
US Jobless Claims / ECB speakers later today could shift this read
02:31 UTC
Recovered off lows, consolidating · RSI 56 · price 1.15133
Post-FOMC selloff, range forming above 1.1500.
EUR/USD was knocked from above 1.1590 down to a 1.1477 low on the hawkish FOMC/Warsh presser, then clawed back through the Asian session to reclaim 1.1500. Price is now consolidating between 1.1500 and the 1.1522 session high, RSI back to mid-range near 56.
Support: 1.1500, 1.14775
Resistance: 1.15221
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1500 reopens the 1.1477 low
Break above 1.1522 session high extends the recovery
US jobless claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
EUR/USD broke down hard during the NY session FOMC window, sliding from 1.1591 to a 1.14775 low on the hawkish hold and higher dot plot. Price has since based around 1.1480-1.1520 and ground back to a 1.15216 session high before easing to 1.15133; RSI(14) recovered to mid-range as the rounded base develops.
Support: 1.1505, 1.14835, 1.14775
Resistance: 1.15216, 1.1566
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15216 opens room toward the 1.15660 pre-drop area
Loss of the 1.15050 base reopens the 1.14775 fomc low
US Jobless Claims/Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
02:16 UTC
Recovering after FOMC plunge · RSI 53 · price 1.15167
Basing off 1.1477 low, higher lows into 1.1522.
EUR/USD cratered through 1.1500 during NY hours on the hawkish FOMC presser and higher dot-plot, bottoming at 1.14775 before basing through the Asia session. A steady grind of higher lows has lifted price back to the 1.15221 session high, where the recovery is stalling with RSI(14) mid-range.
Support: 1.15088, 1.1500, 1.14835
Resistance: 1.15221
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15221 session high extends the recovery
Loss of 1.1500 psych re-exposes the 1.14835 session low
US jobless claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could reset the read
02:16 UTC
Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 55 · price 1.15167
Post-FOMC flush then base-and-grind higher.
EURUSD broke down hard during the NY session on the hawkish FOMC presser, sweeping to a session low of 1.14775 before basing around the 1.1500 April low. Price has since ground back to a session high of 1.15216 and is consolidating near 1.1517 into the Asia session, RSI(14) back to mid-range after the washout.
Support: 1.1500, 1.14775
Resistance: 1.15216
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.15000 april low reopens the drift toward 1.12
Reclaim of 1.15216 session high extends the recovery
US jobless claims 12:30 UTC could move the USD leg
02:01 UTC
Recovery off FOMC lows, momentum up · RSI 62 · price 1.15209
V-shaped bounce, higher lows since 1.1477.
EUR/USD cratered to 1.1477 on Warsh's hawkish FOMC presser, then carved a steady recovery through the Asia session, now testing the 1.1522 session high. Price has reclaimed EMA20 with RSI(14) around 62, but sits below EMA50 with the fib retrace of the drop capping near 1.1550.
Support: 1.15041, 1.14994, 1.14775
Resistance: 1.15221, 1.1550
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1522 opens path back toward the 1.1550 retrace zone
Loss of the 1.1504 rising support reopens 1.1499/1.1477
US jobless claims (12:30 UTC) and ECB speakers could reset this read
02:01 UTC
Recovering after FOMC drop · RSI 61 · price 1.15209
Higher lows off session low, grinding up.
EUR/USD was knocked from 1.1595 to 1.14775 on the hawkish FOMC/Warsh repricing, then carved a steady recovery of higher lows back to the 1.1522 session high. RSI(14) near 61, no extreme; price holds above EMA20 but below EMA50 as it retraces roughly 38% of the drop.
Support: 1.1500, 1.14775
Resistance: 1.15221, 1.1540
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15221 extends the recovery toward 1.15400
Loss of 1.15000 reopens the path back to 1.14775
US Jobless Claims/Philly Fed 12:30 UTC could shift this read
01:46 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 63 · price 1.15215
Rounded base after sharp drop, grinding higher.
EUR was knocked from 1.1590 to a 1.14775 session low on the hawkish FOMC hold and US retail-sales beat, breaking the prior 1.1590 consolidation. A rounded base formed around 1.1500 and price has ground back to 1.1521 through the Asia session, RSI(14) recovering near 63. ATR is compressed at ~6 pips after the impulse.
Support: 1.1500, 1.14775
Resistance: 1.1544, 1.1566, 1.1590
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 1.1544 extends the recovery toward 1.1566
Loss of 1.1500 reopens the 1.14775 session low
US jobless claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could reset the USD tone
01:46 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 62 · price 1.15215
Post-FOMC drop, grinding higher.
Hawkish FOMC hold (dot plot lifted, retail sales beat) slammed EURUSD from 1.1596 to a 1.14775 session low. Price has since carved a rounded base above 1.1500 and is grinding back up to 1.1521, RSI(14) near 62. The 1.14775 low was swept and reclaimed; recovery still capped below the post-FOMC bounce high at 1.1566.
Support: 1.1500, 1.14775
Resistance: 1.15216, 1.1566
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.15660 extends the recovery toward 1.1600 pivot
Loss of 1.15000 round base reopens the 1.14775 session low
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
01:31 UTC
Recovering after sharp drop · RSI 61 · price 1.1519
Post-FOMC breakdown, basing and grinding higher.
The hawkish FOMC hold sank EUR from 1.1590 to a 1.1477 spike low, breaking the prior intraday range. Price has since based above 1.1500 and is grinding back up, now testing recovery highs near 1.1520 — roughly a 38% retrace of the drop, RSI back near 61.
Support: 1.1500, 1.14775
Resistance: 1.1520, 1.1560
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1520 extends the recovery toward 1.1560
Failure to hold 1.1500 reopens the 1.1477 spike low
US jobless claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
01:31 UTC
Recovering after sharp sell-off · RSI 59 · price 1.1519
Post-sweep base, higher lows building.
A sharp late-NY sell-off swept from 1.1596 down to 1.14775 before buyers stabilised price around 1.1500. Price has since ground back to the 1.15204 recent high, RSI cooling off its recovery push; the 1.1500 psych level and 1.15050 base held on the retest.
Support: 1.1505, 1.1500, 1.14775
Resistance: 1.15204, 1.15625
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15204 opens room back toward 1.15625 pre-drop level
Failure to hold 1.15000 reopens the 1.14775 session low
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
01:16 UTC
Recovering after sharp drop · RSI 61 · price 1.15163
Based above swing low, grinding higher.
A hawkish FOMC hold drove a sharp range break in the prior NY session, the low printing 1.14775. Price has since based and recovered to 1.15163 through Asia, RSI(14) near 61, with the 1.1520 session high capping the bounce and the 1.1500 round number holding as support.
Support: 1.1500, 1.14775
Resistance: 1.15204
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15204 session high extends the recovery
Failure to hold 1.15000 round number reopens the 1.14775 swing low
US jobless claims at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
01:16 UTC
Recovering after sharp sell-off · RSI 59 · price 1.15163
Consolidating above 1.1500 post-crash.
Post-FOMC hawkish hold and a strong US retail beat drove a sharp dollar bid: EUR/USD broke down from ~1.1590 to a 1.14775 session low. Price has since consolidated above 1.1500 and is grinding back toward the 1.15204 session high, RSI cooling near 59.
Support: 1.1500, 1.14775
Resistance: 1.15204, 1.1566
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15204 opens path back toward the 1.15660 bounce high
Failure to hold 1.1500 reopens the 1.14775 session low
US jobless claims and Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift the USD read
01:01 UTC
Recovering after sharp drop · RSI 57 · price 1.15098
Lower low printed, basing above 1.1500.
Post-FOMC USD strength drove a vertical break from 1.1593 down to 1.14775 during late NY hours. Asia session has carved a rounded base above the 1.1500 round number and ground back to 1.1510, RSI(14) recovered to mid-50s; the 1.15204 spike high caps the bounce so far.
Support: 1.1500, 1.14775
Resistance: 1.15204, 1.1544
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15204 spike high extends the recovery toward 1.1544
Loss of 1.1500 round number reopens the 1.14775 session low
US jobless claims 12:30 UTC could reset the post-FOMC USD read
01:01 UTC
Downtrend, basing after sharp drop · RSI 49 · price 1.15098
Range break lower, now consolidating.
EUR/USD broke its pre-FOMC 1.1590–1.1615 range and plunged to a 1.1478 session low on the hawkish Warsh hold and US retail-sales beat. Price has since consolidated around 1.1510, RSI(14) recovered to neutral; the 1.15204 session high caps the bounce.
Support: 1.1500, 1.14956, 1.14775
Resistance: 1.15204, 1.1544, 1.15625
What it said to watch
Close above 1.15204 session high opens path toward 1.15440 drop close
Failure to hold 1.14956 swing low reopens the 1.14775 session low
US jobless claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
Price knifed lower into the NY session on hawkish Warsh-FOMC fallout, breaking the 1.1590 range and bottoming at 1.14775. The Asia session has been quiet and constructive — a grind back above 1.1500 with the session high tagged at 1.15204, RSI recovering off the lows.
Support: 1.1500, 1.14775
Resistance: 1.15204, 1.1544
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15204 opens the path toward 1.15440
Loss of 1.15000 psych reopens the downside toward 1.14775
US jobless claims & Philly Fed 12:30 UTC could reignite USD volatility
EUR/USD collapsed from 1.1590 to 1.14775 on the hawkish Warsh FOMC debut, breaking the prior intraday range hard. Price has since rounded back up to consolidate near 1.1510, holding above the 1.1500 April low; RSI(14) back to neutral after the washout.
Support: 1.1500, 1.14775
Resistance: 1.15204
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1500 reopens the downside toward the 1.14775 swing low
Reclaim of 1.15204 session high needed to extend the recovery
US jobless claims & Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC, plus ECB Lane/Nagel speeches, could reignite volatility
EUR/USD broke below 1.1600 and dumped toward 1.1477 on the post-FOMC USD bid after Warsh's hawkish debut, then reclaimed the 1.1500 round number. Asia hours since have been a tight, low-volume base between 1.1500 and the 1.1520 session high; latest bar nudged up to 1.15204 before stalling.
Support: 1.1500, 1.14775
Resistance: 1.15204, 1.1566
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1500 reopens the 1.1477 session low and skews the range bearish
Reclaim of 1.1560 bounce high needed to fade the drop
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed 12:30 UTC and ECB Lane 12:15 UTC could shift this read
00:31 UTC
Downtrend, basing after sell-off · RSI 50 · price 1.1512
Range break lower, now consolidating near lows.
EUR/USD broke hard below the 1.159 range after the hawkish Warsh FOMC USD bid, slicing through 1.1500 to a 1.14775 session low. Price has since clawed back to consolidate in the 1.1500–1.1520 band, holding above the april low with the spike high at 1.15204 capping the bounce.
Support: 1.1500, 1.14775
Resistance: 1.15204, 1.1560
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 1.15204 spike high opens the 1.1560 prior pivot
Loss of 1.1500 april low re-exposes the 1.14775 session low
US jobless claims / Philly Fed (12:30 UTC) could break this range
00:16 UTC
Sharp downleg, now stabilizing · RSI 53 · price 1.15089
Post-FOMC selloff basing above 1.15000.
NY-session FOMC/Warsh hawkish fallout drove a vertical drop from 1.1591 to the 1.14775 session low, snapping the prior 1.1590–1.1596 range. Price has since based above the 1.15000 psych level and ground back to 1.15089, RSI(14) recovering off oversold to mid-range.
Support: 1.1500, 1.14775
Resistance: 1.1516, 1.1544
What it said to watch
Close above 1.15160 extends the recovery toward 1.15440
Loss of 1.15000 reopens the 1.14775 session low
USD remains FOMC-sensitive — fresh data could reignite the selloff
Range breakdown then tight consolidation above 1.1500.
Price collapsed through the 1.1590 range during NY hours on the hawkish FOMC dot-plot repricing, bottoming at 1.14775. It has since consolidated in a tight 1.1500–1.1508 band, RSI(14) recovering toward 60 off the washout; range floor at 1.1500 holding so far.
Support: 1.1500, 1.14775
Resistance: 1.1508, 1.1544
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1500 reopens the 1.14775 crash low
M15 close back above 1.15440 retraces more of the FOMC drop
US jobless claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could extend the move
00:01 UTC
Sharp drop, now stabilising · RSI 60 · price 1.15066
Broke range low, tight consolidation above 1.1500.
FOMC/Warsh hawkish fallout knocked EUR/USD off 1.1595 down to 1.14775 in a single impulsive leg. Price has since recovered into a tight 1.1500–1.1508 consolidation, RSI(14) rebuilt to ~60 from oversold; the round-number 1.1500 is holding as the consolidation floor.
Support: 1.1500, 1.14775
Resistance: 1.15082, 1.1556
What it said to watch
Close above 1.15082 range top extends the recovery toward the 1.1556 bounce high
Loss of 1.1500 reopens the 1.14775 session low
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed Thu 12:30 UTC could break this consolidation