Every read JAFX AI made on the EUR/USD 4-hour chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
19:32 UTC
Downtrend, momentum stretched · RSI 37 · price 1.14709
Lower highs and lower lows, fresh 3-month low.
Clean downtrend on H4: price broke below the 1.1550-1.1620 multi-week range and accelerated to a 3-month low at 1.1418 as the hawkish Fed hold lifted DXY to a one-year high. The latest leg bounced to 1.1471 but sits well below EMA20/EMA50, with ATR(14) expanding — a trending, not compressing, regime. Lower highs remain intact below the 1.1500 round number.
Support: 1.1460, 1.1418, 1.1411
Resistance: 1.1500, 1.1573, 1.1620
What it said to watch
- H4 close back above 1.1500 would ease the downside momentum
- Failure to hold 1.1418 confirms a lower low and opens fresh downside
- Tue Eurozone flash PMIs could materially shift this read
19:32 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 40 · price 1.14709
Lower highs and lower lows, broke below range.
EUR/USD is in a clear downtrend, accelerating to three-month lows near 1.1418 after the Fed's hawkish hold drove DXY to a one-year high. Price broke below the 1.1530 prior support, and is now bouncing back above the 1.1460 pivot with RSI lifting off oversold. ATR(14) remains elevated, showing the down move is still extended rather than settling.
Support: 1.1460, 1.1418
Resistance: 1.1530
What it said to watch
- H4 close back above 1.1530 would neutralise the breakdown read
- Failure to hold the 1.1418 3-mo low confirms fresh downside
- Eurozone flash PMIs Tue could materially shift this read