EUR/USD AI Live Scan, 4-hour chart, Tuesday, 21 July 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the EUR/USD 4-hour chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
21:02 UTC
Range, rolling over from highs · RSI 42 · price 1.14008
Lower highs pressing range mid.
Price rolled over from the 1.1482 swing high and is now pressing the 1.1400 four-day low, holding the middle of the three-week 1.1360-1.1482 range. Lower highs since the peak trace a descending resistance line, and ATR(14) has compressed near 15 pips into Thursday's ECB hold. Price trades below both EMA20 and EMA50, with the ZEW beats today failing to lift it off the pivot.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1445, 1.1482
What it said to watch
H4 close below 1.1400 confirms a lower-low and exposes 1.1360
Reclaim of the 1.1445 cap zone would neutralise the descending highs
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC is the week's main catalyst and could break this range
EURUSD has held a 1.1360-1.1482 band for roughly three weeks and is now rolling over off the mid-July peak, pressing the 1.1400 four-day low. Repeated rejection at the 1.1445 cap band has held rallies while price slips under both EMAs, and ATR stays subdued with no breakout yet. Range read intact with sellers stepping in near the top.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1445, 1.1482
What it said to watch
H4 close below 1.1400 exposes the 1.1360 range floor
Reclaim of the 1.1445 cap band re-opens the 1.1482 range top
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC + Lagarde presser is the week's main catalyst
EURUSD is stuck in a multi-day 1.1360-1.1465 range, capped by a lower-high sequence off the 1.1482 peak and now leaning on the 1.1402 floor. Price sits below both EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI mid-40s, and ATR(14) has compressed to ~15 pips as the pair coils into Thursday's ECB decision. Repeated rejection from the 1.1445 supply band keeps the structure defensive.
Support: 1.1402, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1445, 1.1482
What it said to watch
H4 close below 1.1402 confirms a lower low toward 1.1360
Reclaim of 1.1445 supply band reopens the 1.1482 range top
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC + Lagarde presser is the week's main catalyst and could break the range either side
EURUSD rolled over from the 1.1482 swing high and is grinding lower within the multi-day 1.1360-1.1465 range, printing lower highs into the 1.1445 supply band. Price sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with ATR compressed near 30 pips, and the 4-day low around 1.1400 is being probed. ZEW beats offered little lift; Thursday's ECB hold is the week's main swing factor.
Support: 1.1402, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1445, 1.1465, 1.1482
What it said to watch
H4 close below 1.1400 exposes the 1.1360 range low
Reclaim of 1.1445 supply band reopens the 1.1465 range top and 1.1482 swing high
H4 has been range-bound between the 1.1480 swing high and the 1.1360 floor since early month, with lower highs stacking after the rejection off 1.1482. Price has rolled back to the 61.8% retrace of the last impulse near 1.1417 and sits below both EMAs. ATR(14) compression into Thursday's ECB hold points to a coiled range with two-way risk around the event.
Support: 1.1402, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1445, 1.1480
What it said to watch
H4 close above 1.1445 prior high reopens the 1.1480 range top
Loss of 1.1402 recent low exposes the 1.1360 range floor
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC and Lagarde presser could break the range
13:02 UTC
Sideways, drifting off highs · RSI 44 · price 1.14192
Range-bound below 1.1482 swing high.
EURUSD has stalled in a tight consolidation just above 1.1400 after rejection at the 1.1482 swing high, with a series of lower highs capping the recovery. ATR(14) is compressing and price is retracing roughly 60% of the mid-month impulse off 1.1388, sitting fractionally below the EMA20/EMA50 cluster. The digest frames this as pre-ECB positioning — two-way risk around Thursday's hold keeps the pair pinned to the 1.1390–1.1465 range.
Support: 1.1390, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1445, 1.1482
What it said to watch
ECB decision Thu 23 Jul 12:15 UTC + Lagarde presser is the key vol event for this range
Close below 1.1390 support exposes the 1.1360 range floor
Reclaim of the 1.1445 lower-highs line opens the 1.1482 swing high
Price rolled off the 1.1482 range high and is now consolidating just above the 1.1400 psych pivot, with EMA20/50 flattening as the earlier uptrend stalls. ATR(14) has compressed over the last several bars, coiling the pair into Thursday's ECB decision, with the euro heavy but holding above 1.1400 as hawkish hold pricing is largely banked. The move down from 1.1482 stalled near the 50% retracement of the last impulse, keeping the range intact.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1377, 1.1380
Resistance: 1.1449, 1.1482
What it said to watch
H4 close below 1.1400 psych pivot opens the 1.1380 area
Reclaim of 1.1449 prior high needed to re-engage the 1.1482 range high
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC could materially shift this read
09:02 UTC
Rangebound, off the highs · RSI 44 · price 1.14233
Three-week range, price back to mid.
EURUSD has spent three weeks boxed between the 1.1377 swing low and the 1.1482 range high, with price now back to mid-range after a rejection at 1.1482 unwound to the 1.1400 pivot zone. The 1.1400 area from the digest continues to hold as demand steps in, while the 1.1449 prior high caps rebounds. ATR is moderate and the range remains intact ahead of Thursday's ECB decision.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1377
Resistance: 1.1449, 1.1482
What it said to watch
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC could materially shift this range read
H4 close below 1.1400 opens the path toward the 1.1377 swing low
H4 close above 1.1482 breaks the range high
05:02 UTC
Range, easing off highs · RSI 43 · price 1.14128
Lower highs off 1.1482, holding 1.1405 floor.
EURUSD has been range-bound near 1.14 for two weeks, with a rejection at the 1.1482 range high leaving a string of lower highs. Price is now retracing the 1.1377–1.1482 leg and sits back on the 1.1405 UOB support that has capped downside all week. ATR(14) compression and price below both EMAs reflect a market waiting on Thursday's ECB.
Support: 1.1405, 1.1380, 1.1325
Resistance: 1.1450, 1.1482
What it said to watch
H4 close below 1.1405 opens 1.1380 then the 1.1210 area
Reclaim of the 1.1450 pivot re-engages 1.1482 range high
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC could materially shift this read
EURUSD is range-bound near 1.14 into Thursday's ECB hold, with the rally off the early-month low near 1.1377 stalling at 1.1482 and easing back toward the 1.1405 support UOB flags. Price has slipped below both EMA20 and EMA50 as the pullback matures, printing lower highs since the 1.1482 peak. ATR(14) is steady rather than expanding, consistent with the pre-ECB consolidation.
Support: 1.1405, 1.1388, 1.1377
Resistance: 1.1450, 1.1482, 1.1520
What it said to watch
H4 close below 1.1405 opens 1.1388 then the 1.1210 zone ING cites
Reclaim of the 1.1450 pivot puts 1.1482 swing high and 1.1520 back in play
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC could materially shift this range read
01:02 UTC
Rangebound, pullback from range high · RSI 44 · price 1.14171
Multi-week range, mid-range retrace after tag of 1.1482.
EURUSD remains locked in a multi-week range, capped near 1.1482 and floored around the 1.1388 swing low, with EUR broadly two-way ahead of Thursday's ECB. The rally into 1.1482 was rejected and price has since retraced to the 61.8% fib of that impulse near 1.1417, now sitting just under both EMA20 and EMA50. ATR is moderate — no directional expansion, consistent with the pre-ECB consolidation.
Support: 1.1405, 1.1388, 1.1325
Resistance: 1.1482, 1.1520
What it said to watch
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC is the key vol event for this range
Close above 1.1482 reopens the path toward 1.1520
Break below 1.1405 pivot then 1.1388 swing low exposes 1.1325 range low
EURUSD has traded a broad range between the 1.1325 floor and a 1.1480 cap through the last three weeks, with a higher-low structure lifting price to a swing high at 1.1482 before rejection pulled it back to 1.1417. Price has since slipped below EMA20 and EMA50 as momentum flattened, consistent with the rangebound two-way read into Thursday's ECB with a September hike already priced. ATR sits mid-range, showing neither compression nor expansion.
Support: 1.1402, 1.1385, 1.1325
Resistance: 1.1440, 1.1480
What it said to watch
H4 close above 1.1480 swing high invalidates the range cap and opens the upside
Break of the 1.1385 pivot targets the 1.1325 range low
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC is the key vol event for this read