EUR/USD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Tuesday, 21 July 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the EUR/USD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:47 UTC
Downtrend, momentum flat · RSI 44 · price 1.14004
Consolidation above 1.1400 after intraday sell-off.
London/NY sold EURUSD from the 1.1428 session high down to 1.1396, and Asia hours have gone flat, coiling either side of the 1.1400 round number on thin volume. RSI(14) is neutral near 44 with no divergence; price sits below EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 1.13962, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1409, 1.14282
What it said to watch
Break below 1.1396 exposes the 1.1390 range floor
Reclaim of 1.1409 would neutralise the intraday lower-high sequence
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC is the dominant risk into the range
23:47 UTC
Downtrend, now flat near lows · RSI 46 · price 1.14004
Tight consolidation above session low.
NY session bled from the 1.1428 high down to a 1.1396 low before flattening. Asia hours are thin (volume drying up) with price coiling tight around 1.1400; RSI(14) has recovered off oversold into the mid-40s.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13962, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.14026, 1.1408, 1.14192
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14026 breaks the consolidation and reopens 1.1408
Loss of 1.13962 extends the leg toward 1.1390 range floor
Sold off from 1.1428, now consolidating near session low.
EUR/USD leaked lower through the NY session from 1.1428 to a low of 1.1396, then flattened into thin Asian hours just under a recent cap at 1.1402. Price is idling around 1.1399 on collapsing volume, holding above the 1.1390 range floor ahead of Thursday's ECB.
Support: 1.1396, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1402, 1.1415, 1.1430
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1390 exposes the 1.1360 range floor
Reclaim of 1.1402 recent cap would ease the downside pressure
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC could break this consolidation
23:31 UTC
Downtrend, now flat · RSI 43 · price 1.1399
Grinding lower, flat at lows.
Price ground down from the 1.1428 session high to 1.1396 through the NY-Asia transition, then flattened at 1.1399 on thin late-session volume, just below the 1.1400 psych level. Holding above 1.1390 support with RSI(14) mid-range; no directional setup while EUR consolidates ahead of Thursday's ECB.
Support: 1.1396, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1420, 1.1428
What it said to watch
Close below 1.1390 opens the path to the 1.1360 range floor
Reclaim of 1.1420 needed to negate the lower-high sequence
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC could break this consolidation
23:16 UTC
Downtrend, now flat near lows · RSI 44 · price 1.13989
Tight consolidation above session low.
EURUSD drifted lower through NY into a tight consolidation around 1.1399 in thin late-Asian liquidity, holding just above the 1.1396 session low with RSI(14) cooling into the low 40s. Price sits below both EMAs after the slide from 1.1428; the 1.1403 range top has capped every bounce.
Support: 1.1396, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1403, 1.1420
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1396 exposes the 1.1390 range floor
Reclaim of 1.1403 needed to relieve downside pressure
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC likely to override this intraday read
23:16 UTC
Downtrend, momentum flat · RSI 43 · price 1.13989
Lower highs off 1.1428, flat base at session low.
EURUSD drifted lower through the session from the 1.1428 high, printing a chain of lower highs before basing at the 1.1396 session low. Now dead-flat around 1.1399 on thin late-Asia volume, RSI mid-range with no momentum; consolidation ahead of Thursday's ECB.
Support: 1.1396, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1403, 1.1408, 1.1428
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1408 breaks the lower-high chain
Lower highs into session low, consolidating sub-1.1400.
EUR/USD ground lower through the NY-Asia transition, printing a session low at 1.1396 before stalling just under the 1.1400 round number on very thin late-session volume. Price sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) near 40; no fresh momentum, just a slow drift into the ECB-week range.
Support: 1.1396, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1409, 1.1428
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1396 opens the 1.1390 range floor
Reclaim of 1.1400 needed to challenge the 1.1409 swing high
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC could break this consolidation
NY session sold EUR/USD off the 1.1428 high down to 1.1396, RSI cooling and price now pinned below EMA20/50. Asia hours are thin and flat around 1.1399, holding just above the session low; the ZEW beat earlier drew no meaningful reaction into the ECB.
Support: 1.13962, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1405, 1.1419
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1396 exposes 1.1390 then the 1.1360 range floor
Reclaim of 1.1419 would negate the intraday lower-high structure
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC could materially shift this read
NY-into-Asia leg sold from the 1.14282 high down to a session low of 1.13962, and price is now pinned flat around the 1.14000 round number on thin late-Asia volume. RSI(14) sits mid-40s with no divergence; consolidation at the lows ahead of Thursday's ECB.
Support: 1.13962, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.14026, 1.14085
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.14085 swing high negates the intraday downtrend
Break below 1.13962 session low exposes the 1.13900 range floor
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC will override this intraday read
EUR slid from the 1.14282 NY peak through the session, printing lower highs and basing at 1.13960. Price now flat around 1.14000 on very thin late-session volume, RSI cooled to the mid-40s with no directional push.
Support: 1.1396, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1405, 1.1410
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13960 confirms a lower low, exposing the 1.13900 range floor
Reclaim of 1.14100 negates the intraday downtrend
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC could override this range read
EURUSD ground lower through the NY session from 1.1428, and is now consolidating in a 1.1396-1.1400 pocket on thin late/Asia-open volume. RSI(14) sits mid-40s and flat with price pinned just above the session low; the ECB hold Thursday keeps this rangebound sub-1.1450.
Support: 1.1396, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1409, 1.14232
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1396 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence toward 1.1390
Reclaim of 1.1409 would neutralise the intraday downdrift
Thin late-session liquidity can exaggerate moves on any headline
22:31 UTC
Downtrend, momentum fading into thin Asia · RSI 43 · price 1.13998
Lower highs, lower lows; stalling at lows.
EUR/USD slid off the 1.1428 NY high in a chain of lower highs and now sits pinned just under the 1.1400 psych level in thin, low-volume Asian trade. RSI mid-range, no oversold stretch; price is basing on the 1.13962 session low.
Support: 1.13962, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14085, 1.1419
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.14000 opens the path back to the 1.14085 swing high
Failure to hold 1.13962 session low exposes 1.1390 range support
NY session faded from 1.14282 to a session low at 1.1396, price now drifting sideways just below 1.14000 in thin post-close, early-Asia trade. RSI(14) mid-40s and price sits under EMA20/50, but downside momentum has stalled into the low.
Support: 1.1396, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14028, 1.14113, 1.14282
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1396 session low confirms continuation lower
Reclaim of 1.14028 minor high needed to challenge the 1.14113 lower high
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC could materially shift this read
22:16 UTC
Downtrend, momentum fading late · RSI 41 · price 1.13987
Lower highs, flattening near session lows.
EUR/USD ground lower through the NY session and into Asia, stalling flat around 1.1400 on very thin late volume with RSI(14) recovering off the lows. Price holds just above the 1.13962 session low; the 1.141 prior consolidation zone caps the last bounce attempts.
Support: 1.13962, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1410, 1.14282
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.13962 confirms a fresh lower low toward the 1.139 range floor
Reclaim of 1.141 negates the intraday downtrend read
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC could materially shift this read
22:01 UTC
Downtrend, drift into lows · RSI 41 · price 1.13998
Lower highs, lower lows.
Thin late-session drift ground EUR/USD down from the 1.1428 swing high to a fresh session low at 1.13963, now hovering on the 1.1400 psych level with volume near zero. RSI(14) sits mid-40s after basing; a shallow bounce off 1.13963 but no reclaim of the 1.1410 consolidation top yet.
Support: 1.13963, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1410, 1.1420
What it said to watch
Break below 1.1390 range floor opens the 1.1360 area
Reclaim of 1.1410 consol top needed to ease the downside pressure
ECB decision Thu 12:15 GMT is the dominant risk into the week
Stair-step lower highs, now compressing at 1.1400.
EURUSD drifted off the 1.14282 swing high through the NY session and has flatlined at the 1.1400 psych level on very thin early-Asia volume. Price is pinned below EMA20/50, RSI(14) near 41, no active setup with rallies capped in the 1.1408 supply.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13962, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1408, 1.1418, 1.14282
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13962 confirms a lower low toward the 1.1390 range floor
Reclaim of 1.14080 challenges the descending resistance and the drift read
ECB decision Thu 12:15 GMT is the dominant scheduled risk into the week
EUR/USD ground lower through the NY session from 1.1428, printing a 1.1396 session low as the USD held firm on Iran-driven safe-haven demand. Price is now flat-lining just above 1.1396 into thin late-session liquidity, RSI(14) around 43 with no divergence.
Support: 1.13962, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1403, 1.1410, 1.14282
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1390 confirms range extension lower toward 1.1360
Reclaim of 1.1403 EMA20 needed to challenge the 1.1410 prior range
ECB decision Thu 12:15 GMT could materially shift this read
EUR/USD ground lower through the NY-to-Asia handover, printing a session low at 1.1396 before a shallow bounce to 1.1399 on thin late-Asia volume. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-40s; the 1.1390 context pivot is the floor holding rallies subdued ahead of Thursday's ECB.
Support: 1.13962, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.14085, 1.14282
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13962 extends the leg toward the 1.1390 pivot
Reclaim of 1.14085 prior swing needed to challenge the downtrend read
ECB decision Thu 12:15 GMT could materially shift this read
21:31 UTC
Downtrend, thin late session · RSI 33 · price 1.13963
Lower highs, lower lows, below 1.1400.
EUR/USD ground down through the NY-to-Asia handover, breaking the 1.1400 round number and printing a session low at 1.1396 on thin late-session volume. Sequence of lower highs and lower lows intact, RSI(14) near 33 but not yet extended, with price parked at four-day lows ahead of Thursday's ECB.
Support: 1.1395, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1408, 1.1420
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.1400 pivot would neutralise the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.1390 confirms range floor break toward 1.1360
ECB decision Thu 12:15 GMT could materially shift this read
EURUSD drifted lower through late NY, breaking the 1.1400 pivot on thinning volume to print a session low at 1.1396. RSI(14) is soft near 34 but not extreme; move looks like grind-down into the close rather than a fresh impulse ahead of Thursday's ECB.
Support: 1.1396, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1413, 1.1428
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.1400 would neutralise the break and put 1.1413 back in play
Failure to hold 1.1396/1.1390 confirms the lower-low toward the range floor
ECB decision Thu 12:15 GMT is the dominant near-term risk to this read
EUR/USD ground lower through the NY-Asia handover, breaking the 1.1400 pivot to a four-day low at 1.13968 on thin late-session volume. RSI(14) soft near 36 but not extreme, and ATR has collapsed to ~4 pips as flows dry up ahead of Thursday's ECB.
Support: 1.13968, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1409, 1.1420
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.1400 negates the breakdown
Failure to hold 1.1390 opens the deeper range floor toward 1.1360
ECB decision Thu 12:15 GMT can materially shift this read
EUR/USD ground lower through the NY session, losing the 1.1408 shelf and printing a fresh session low at 1.1397 into thin late-US liquidity. RSI(14) near 38 with no divergence; price holds below EMA20 and EMA50. The 1.1390 pivot is the next reference below.
Support: 1.13968, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1408, 1.1420
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.1408 shelf would break the lower-high chain
Break of 1.1390 pivot opens the 1.1360 range floor
EUR drifted lower through the 1.1400 psych pivot into the Asian open, printing a fresh session low at 1.1397 on thin late-NY volume. Chain of lower highs intact since the 1.1428 swing high; RSI(14) mid-30s, no divergence, traders sidelined ahead of Thursday's ECB.
Support: 1.1397, 1.1390, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1428
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.1400 would neutralise the lower-low read
Loss of 1.1390 exposes the 1.1360 range base
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC is the week's main catalyst
NY session drifted lower off the 1.1428 high, EUR pinned near the 1.1400 psych level ahead of Thursday's ECB. The final bar cracked 1.1400 to print a session low at 1.13969 on thinning late-session volume; RSI(14) near 37, no oversold signal yet.
Support: 1.13969, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14105, 1.14282
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 1.1400 negates the breakdown and re-opens 1.14105
Sustained trade below 1.13969 exposes 1.1360 range low
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC is the week's catalyst and could reset this read
Lower highs into a tight consolidation above 1.1400.
EUR/USD slid off the 1.14282 session high through the NY session toward the 1.1400 four-day low as the USD firmed on Iran risk-off. Price is now pinned in a tight consolidation just above the 1.13983 session low on thin end-of-day volume, RSI(14) mid-range near 42.
Support: 1.13983, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14105, 1.14282
What it said to watch
Decisive M15 close below 1.13983 session low exposes 1.1390 then 1.1360
Reclaim of the 1.14105 swing high would relieve the downside pressure
ECB decision Thursday is the week's catalyst — well outside the next bar period
EUR ground lower through NY off the 1.1428 session high on a risk-off USD bid, printing a four-day low at 1.13983 before stalling flat just above the 1.1400 pivot. ATR is cooling hard and RSI sits mid-40s — price is compressing into 1.1400 with no directional push into the Asia handover.
Support: 1.13983, 1.1390, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.14105, 1.14282, 1.1445
What it said to watch
Decisive M15 close below 1.1400 exposes 1.1390 then 1.1360
Reclaim of 1.14105 lower high would ease the downside pressure
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC is the week's main catalyst
NY session sold EUR from the 1.14282 session high down to a 1.13983 low, pinning price at the 1.1400 four-day pivot flagged into Thursday's ECB. Price is now flat in a tight 1.14005–1.14037 band, RSI(14) recovering off the lows near 42.
Support: 1.13983, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.14037, 1.1410, 1.14282
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13983 exposes 1.1390 then the deeper 1.1360 zone
Reclaim of 1.14100 would negate the lower-high sequence
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC is the week's main catalyst and can override this range read
20:31 UTC
Downtrend, momentum flat · RSI 43 · price 1.14005
Consolidating above 1.1400 after session decline.
EURUSD drifted off the session high at 1.14282 through NY hours to a four-day low at 1.13983, and is now coiling in a tight 1.1398-1.1403 band into the late NY session. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-range; the 1.1400 psych level is holding as buyers absorb near the four-day low ahead of Thursday's ECB.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13983, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1409, 1.1420, 1.14282
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13983 opens 1.1360
Reclaim of 1.14090 relieves near-term pressure
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC is the week's main catalyst for this pair
EUR bled from the 1.14282 session high down through the London-NY session to pin the 1.1400 four-day-low pivot, with price below EMA20/50 and RSI in the low 40s. Last two hours have coiled tight in a 1.1398-1.1404 band into the Asia open, no fresh directional push.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13983
Resistance: 1.1410, 1.14192, 1.14282
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1400 exposes 1.1390 then 1.1360
Reclaim of 1.14100 would ease the intraday downside pressure
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC is the week's main catalyst
NY session drifted lower off the 1.1428 session high, printing a four-day low at 1.1400 before flattening into the last two hours. Price is pinned just above the 1.1400 pivot with RSI(14) near 39 and stalling; both EMAs cap above.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13983, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.14085, 1.14192, 1.14282
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1400 opens 1.1390 then 1.1360
Reclaim of 1.14085 consol top eases the downside pressure
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC is the week's main catalyst
EUR/USD ground lower through NY hours off the 1.1428 swing high, printing a fresh session low at 1.13983 before stalling. Price now pinned in a tight 1.1400–1.1403 coil into late trade, RSI(14) mid-40s — EUR sidelined near the four-day low ahead of Thursday's ECB.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13983
Resistance: 1.1410, 1.14192, 1.14282
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14000 exposes 1.13983 then 1.1390
Reclaim of 1.14100 pivot would ease the lower-high sequence
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC is the week's main catalyst
NY session sold EURUSD off the 1.1428 session high down to the 1.1400 pivot, printing a four-day low at 1.13983 as the USD held its haven premium. Price is now basing in a tight 1.1400-1.1403 band with RSI(14) recovering off oversold; supply capped every bounce below 1.14105.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13983
Resistance: 1.14105, 1.14192, 1.14282
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13983 opens 1.1390 then 1.1360
Reclaim of 1.14105 negates the breakdown read
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC is the dominant catalyst for this pair
EUR drifted to a four-day low near 1.1400 through the NY session on a firmer USD haven bid, printing lower highs off the 1.14282 session peak. Price is now coiling in a tight 1.1398-1.1404 base with RSI(14) around 40; the 1.1400 psych pivot is being tested but not decisively broken.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13983, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1410, 1.14192, 1.14282
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13983 confirms a lower low, opens 1.1390 then 1.1360
Reclaim of 1.1410 range top negates the near-term downside pressure
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC is the week's main catalyst and could reset this read
19:46 UTC
Downtrend, near session lows · RSI 38 · price 1.14011
Lower highs into 1.1400 pivot.
EURUSD ground lower through the NY session to a four-day low at 1.1398, price pinned around the 1.1400 psych pivot as traders sideline ahead of Thursday's ECB. RSI(14) in the mid-30s; ZEW beats drew no FX reaction.
Support: 1.13983, 1.1400, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1410, 1.14192
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1398 opens 1.1390 then 1.1360
Reclaim of 1.14100 swing high would ease the downside pressure
ECB decision Thursday is the week's main catalyst for this pair
EURUSD drifted lower through the NY session toward the 1.1400 pivot and a four-day low, printing lower highs; RSI(14) mid-40s. Buyers held 1.1398 into the late session and price is now ticking sideways just above 1.1400, sitting below both EMAs as traders sideline ahead of Thursday's ECB.
Support: 1.1398, 1.1400, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1409, 1.1424
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1398 opens 1.1390 then 1.1360
Reclaim of 1.1409 needed to challenge the lower-high sequence
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC is the week's main catalyst
NY session drifted lower from the 1.14282 range high to a four-day low at 1.1400, RSI(14) cooling but off its low as price stabilised near 1.1402 in the last two hours. EUR is pinned toward 1.1400 into Thursday's ECB, with rallies capped below the 1.14113 lower high.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13983
Resistance: 1.14113, 1.14192, 1.14282
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13983 opens 1.1390 then 1.1360
Reclaim of 1.14113 needed to break the lower-high chain
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC could materially shift this read
19:16 UTC
Downtrend, grinding into 1.1400 · RSI 39 · price 1.14019
Lower highs, testing session low.
Price ground lower through NY hours into the 1.1400 psych level and set a session low at 1.13983, a four-day low, as a rebuilt USD haven bid on Iran headlines capped EUR. RSI(14) near 38, below both EMAs; drift is one-directional with traders sidelined ahead of Thursday's ECB.
Support: 1.13983, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14105, 1.14232, 1.14282
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13983 opens 1.1390 then 1.1360
Reclaim of 1.14105 needed to ease downside pressure
ECB decision Thu could materially shift this read
19:16 UTC
Downtrend, drifting into lows · RSI 40 · price 1.14019
Lower highs, lower lows through NY.
NY session leaked lower off the 1.14282 high, breaking the 1.1400 pivot flagged into Thursday's ECB and printing a session low at 1.13983 before a shallow bounce to 1.1402. Price sits below both EMAs with RSI(14) near 40; no reaction to the strong German/EZ ZEW beats as traders stay sidelined.
Support: 1.13983, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14075, 1.1410, 1.14282
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 1.14075 would ease the lower-high chain
Sustained break under 1.13983 exposes 1.1360
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC is the week's main catalyst
19:02 UTC
Downtrend, pressing lows · RSI 35 · price 1.1403
Lower highs into 1.1400 pivot.
EURUSD ground lower through the NY session, rolling off the 1.14282 session high and breaking the 1.1410 session mid to print a four-day low at 1.13983. Price is pinned on the 1.1400 round number with EUR sidelined ahead of Thursday's ECB; RSI(14) near 35, not yet stretched.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13983, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1410, 1.14282
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13983 opens 1.1390 then 1.1360
Recovery back above 1.1410 negates the lower-high sequence
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC is the week's main catalyst
19:01 UTC
Downtrend, drifting into 1.1400 · RSI 37 · price 1.1403
Lower highs, testing four-day low.
EURUSD leaked lower through the late NY session, printing a fresh four-day low at 1.1398 before recovering to the 1.1400 pivot. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 37; the pair is pinned near 1.1400 as traders sideline into Thursday's ECB.
Support: 1.1398, 1.1400, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1410, 1.1428
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1398 exposes 1.1390 then 1.1360
Reclaim of 1.1410 negates the lower-high sequence
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC could materially shift this read
Late NY session ground lower into the 1.1400 pivot / four-day low, printing a session low at 1.13983 with RSI(14) around 34. Price is below EMA20 and EMA50 in a clean chain of lower highs; EUR stays pinned ahead of Thursday's ECB decision.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13983, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1410, 1.1424
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1400 opens 1.1390 then 1.1360
Reclaim of 1.1410 recent high would stall the lower-high sequence
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC is the week's main catalyst
EURUSD ground lower through the NY session, slipping below the 1.1400 pivot to a session low at 1.13983 as the risk-off USD bid held into Thursday's ECB. Price is pinned under EMA20/50 with RSI near 33; the 1.1410 shelf that was support now caps.
Support: 1.13983, 1.1390, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1410, 1.1420, 1.14282
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.14100 negates the breakdown and reopens 1.14200
Failure to hold 1.13983 exposes 1.1390 then 1.1360
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC is the week's main catalyst and could reset this read
Late NY session slid off the 1.14282 high through a chain of lower highs, sweeping the 1.1400 pivot to 1.13983 before recovering to close at 1.14022 — EUR pinned near the four-day low into Thursday's ECB. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) around 39, no extreme.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13983
Resistance: 1.1410, 1.1416, 1.14282
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13983 confirms a lower low toward 1.1360
Reclaim of 1.14100 negates the downside pressure
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC is the week's main catalyst
18:31 UTC
Downtrend, fresh leg lower into NY close · RSI 35 · price 1.14022
Lower highs, breaking to session lows.
EURUSD pushed to a fresh session low at 1.13983 through the late NY session, sitting on the 1.1400 four-day pivot as the USD held a safe-haven bid on Iran headlines. Sequence of lower highs from 1.14282 intact; RSI(14) at 34 with no oversold extreme yet.
Support: 1.13983, 1.1400, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1410, 1.14192, 1.14282
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13983 opens 1.1390 then 1.1360
Reclaim of 1.14100 would neutralise the lower-high sequence
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC is the week's main catalyst
EUR ground lower through the NY session, slipping to the 1.1400 four-day low as the down leg from 1.1428 extended. RSI(14) near 35, no oversold signal yet; 1.14100 prior support now caps upticks with traders sidelined ahead of ECB.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1410, 1.14192, 1.14282
What it said to watch
Decisive M15 close below 1.14000 exposes 1.13900
Reclaim of 1.14100 negates the range-low break
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC is the dominant catalyst
EUR/USD ground down through late NY to a four-day low at 1.1400 as the US-Iran risk-off USD bid dominated; RSI(14) near 34, not yet stretched. The 1.14282 session high has held all day and price now sits on the 1.1400 round number.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1410, 1.1420, 1.14282
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1400 opens 1.1390 then 1.1360
Reclaim of 1.14200 negates the lower-high sequence
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC is the week's main catalyst and could reset this read
18:02 UTC
Downtrend into consolidation · RSI 43 · price 1.14059
Lower high, lower low, basing near session low.
EUR/USD was rejected from the 1.1428 session high during NY hours and sold to a session low at 1.1402, holding the 1.1400 pivot flagged into Thursday's ECB. Price is now basing in a tight 1.1406-1.1410 band, RSI(14) mid-range with no momentum extreme.
Support: 1.14023, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1410, 1.14192, 1.14282
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1400 pivot exposes 1.1390 then 1.1360
Reclaim of 1.1410 consol top reopens the 1.1419 recovery high
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC is the week's main catalyst
Lower highs, lower lows after topping near 1.1428.
EUR drifted off the 1.1428 session high and swept the four-day low at 1.14023 during NY hours, tracking the risk-off USD bid. Price now consolidates 1.1406-1.1410 with RSI(14) mid-40s; below both EMAs, micro structure stays offered.
Support: 1.14023, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14113, 1.14188, 1.14282
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14023 exposes the 1.14000 psych level
Reclaim of 1.14113 minor high needed to break the lower-high sequence
ECB decision Thursday is the week's main catalyst and would reset this read
17:46 UTC
Downtrend stalling, base building · RSI 45 · price 1.14068
Leg down from 1.1428, now consolidating above 1.1402.
NY session sold EURUSD from 1.1428 down to 1.1402 as the pair stays pinned near 1.1400 into Thursday's ECB. Demand stepped in three times around 1.1402, and price is now consolidating in a tight 1.1405-1.1410 band, RSI(14) mid-40s off the lows.
Support: 1.14023, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1411, 1.14192
What it said to watch
Close below 1.14023 session low opens 1.1400 psych then 1.1390
Reclaim of 1.14110 bounce high targets the 1.14192 swing high
ECB decision Thursday is the week's main catalyst, not imminent this window
EUR sold off from the 1.1428 session high to a 1.1402 low during NY hours, holding just above the 1.1400 pivot into the ECB. Price now coils tight around 1.1407 below EMA20, RSI(14) mid-40s with no momentum in either direction.
Support: 1.1402, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1418, 1.1428
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1400 exposes 1.1390 then 1.1360
Reclaim of 1.1418 negates the intraday lower-high sequence
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC is the dominant catalyst for this range
17:32 UTC
Downtrend stalling, now flat · RSI 45 · price 1.14102
Sold off from session high, consolidating near lows.
EURUSD rejected the 1.14282 session high during NY hours and dropped to 1.14023 as a risk-off USD bid built into Thursday's ECB. Price is now pinned in a tight 1.14054–1.14113 range with EUR anchored around 1.1400, RSI(14) flat near 45.
Support: 1.14054, 1.14023
Resistance: 1.14113, 1.14192, 1.14282
What it said to watch
Break below 1.14023 exposes 1.1390 then 1.1360
M15 close above 1.14113 reopens the 1.14192 bounce high
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC is the dominant catalyst that reshapes this read
17:31 UTC
Downtrend easing into consolidation · RSI 47 · price 1.14102
Lower highs off 1.1428, base building near 1.1408.
NY session sold EUR off the 1.1428 session high down to a 1.1402 low, just above the 1.1400 pivot flagged into Thursday's ECB. Price is now consolidating tightly around 1.1408 in late NY hours, RSI back to mid-range after the drop.
Support: 1.1402, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14192, 1.14282
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1400 confirms lower low, exposes 1.1390 then 1.1360
Reclaim of 1.14192 needed to negate the intraday downside
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC is the dominant catalyst for this pair
17:17 UTC
Short-term down, now consolidating · RSI 45 · price 1.14082
Leg lower into tight range near 1.1408.
NY session sold EUR from the 1.14282 session high down to a 1.14023 low, then price coiled into a tight range around 1.1408 with ATR compressing to a few pips. RSI(14) sits mid-range, no momentum extreme; traders sidelined ahead of Thursday's ECB.
Support: 1.14023, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14162, 1.14282
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14000 opens 1.1390
Reclaim of 1.14162 needed to negate the down leg
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC is the week's main catalyst
17:16 UTC
Downtrend, basing near lows · RSI 44 · price 1.14082
Sold off from session high, now consolidating above 1.1400.
NY session sold EUR from the 1.1428 high down to a 1.14023 four-day low on the risk-off USD bid, then stalled. Price is now consolidating in a tight 1.1407-1.1410 band just above the 1.1400 pivot, RSI(14) recovering off oversold to mid-40s.
Support: 1.1402, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1419, 1.1428
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1400 exposes 1.1390 then 1.1360
Reclaim of 1.1419 bounce high would negate the downside pressure
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC is the dominant catalyst for this range
17:02 UTC
Pullback after rejection, consolidating · RSI 46 · price 1.14084
Sold off from session high, basing above 1.1400.
EUR was rejected at the 1.1428 session high and slid to a 1.14023 four-day low during NY hours on the risk-off USD bid. Price swept below 1.1400 then reclaimed it, now consolidating in a tight 1.1405-1.1410 band with RSI(14) recovering off lows near 46.
Support: 1.1402, 1.1400, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1418, 1.1428
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1402 opens 1.1390 then 1.1360
Reclaim of 1.1418 needed to negate the pullback
ECB decision Thursday is the week's main catalyst for this pair
17:01 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising at lows · RSI 43 · price 1.14084
Lower highs into a swept session low.
NY session sold off from the 1.14282 session high to sweep 1.14023 before basing around 1.1408, with EUR pinned near the 1.1400 pivot ahead of Thursday's ECB. Lower-high chain intact from 1.14282; RSI near 43, no momentum extreme.
Support: 1.14023, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14192, 1.14282
What it said to watch
Close below 1.14000 exposes 1.1390 then 1.1360
Reclaim of 1.14192 needed to break the lower-high chain
ECB decision Thu could materially shift this read
16:46 UTC
Downtrend into consolidation · RSI 45 · price 1.14096
NY-session breakdown, now basing near lows.
NY session drove a clean break lower from the 1.1428 swing high to a session low of 1.14023, and price is now basing in a tight 1.1405–1.1410 band. RSI(14) sits mid-40s with ATR compressed to ~5.6 pips as the move stalls just above the 1.1400 pivot.
Support: 1.14023, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14192, 1.14282
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14192 negates the downside break
Failure to hold 1.14000 exposes 1.1390
16:46 UTC
Downtrend, basing after selloff · RSI 45 · price 1.14096
NY selloff, consolidating above session low.
NY session sold EUR/USD from the 1.14282 session high down to 1.14023 on the risk-off USD bid, then based between 1.14050 and 1.14110. RSI(14) recovering off the selloff lows around 44; the 1.14190 bounce high capped the last attempt higher.
Support: 1.14023, 1.1405
Resistance: 1.1419, 1.14282
What it said to watch
Close below 1.14023 confirms a lower low and reopens 1.1390
Reclaim of 1.14190 negates the intraday downtrend
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC is the week's main catalyst
Lower low at 1.14023, now consolidating near lows.
EUR slid to a session low of 1.14023 through the NY session as Iran risk-off kept the USD firm, then stabilised. Price now consolidating 1.14050-1.14090 below EMA20/50, RSI(14) recovering off the lows near 41.
Support: 1.14023, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14113, 1.14187
What it said to watch
Close below 1.14000 psych opens 1.13900
Reclaim of 1.14113 bounce high eases the downside pressure
NY session sold EUR from the 1.1428 session high down to a four-day low at 1.1402 on the renewed US-Iran risk-off USD bid; price is now basing at 1.1405-1.1408 just above the 1.1400 pivot. RSI(14) recovered off oversold as the decline stalled, but each rally has printed a lower high.
Support: 1.14023, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14192, 1.14282
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1400 exposes 1.1390 then 1.1360
Close back above 1.14192 bounce high negates the lower-high sequence
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC could materially shift this read
16:17 UTC
Downtrend, basing near 1.1400 · RSI 40 · price 1.14075
Lower highs, testing round number after range break.
NY session slid from 1.14282 toward the 1.1400 round number, EUR pinned into Thursday's ECB with a mild downside lean. Price based just above the 1.14023 session low, RSI(14) at 40 after the sell-off; the swing high at 1.14192 now caps the bounce.
Support: 1.14023, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14192, 1.14282
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14000 opens 1.1390 then 1.1360
Reclaim of 1.14192 negates the lower-high sequence
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC is the week's main catalyst
16:16 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising · RSI 43 · price 1.14075
Lower highs into 1.1400, session low held.
NY session sold EUR/USD off the 1.1428 session high down to 1.1402, sweeping the four-day-low/1.1400 pivot flagged into Thursday's ECB before buyers stepped in. Price now grinding at 1.1407 below EMA20/50, RSI(14) mid-40s after the drop; 1.1400 psych holding for now.
Support: 1.1402, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1419, 1.1428
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1400 exposes 1.1390 then 1.1360
Reclaim of 1.1419 bounce high negates the lower-high sequence
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC is the week's main catalyst
16:01 UTC
Intraday pullback, momentum down · RSI 40 · price 1.1407
Double top then breakdown to session low.
NY session rolled over from a double top at 1.1428 and sold off to a 1.1402 session low, right on the 1.1400 pivot / four-day low. RSI(14) sits near 40 after the leg down; price now grinding sideways just above 1.1400 with EUR pinned into Thursday's ECB.
Support: 1.1402, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1418, 1.1428
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1400 opens 1.1390 then 1.1360
Reclaim of 1.1418 negates the breakdown
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC is the dominant catalyst
16:01 UTC
Downtrend into range low · RSI 41 · price 1.1407
Lower highs, pressing 1.1400 pivot.
NY session sold EUR off the 1.14282 session high down to a 1.14023 low, then it stalled at the 1.1400 four-day pivot with RSI(14) around 41. Move fits the digest read of a firm safe-haven USD bid keeping EUR pinned; price now sits below EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 1.14023, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14192, 1.14282, 1.1430
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1400 opens 1.1390 then 1.1360
Reclaim of 1.14192 would neutralise the lower-high sequence
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC is the week's main catalyst
15:46 UTC
Downtrend, momentum slowing near base · RSI 37 · price 1.14054
Lower highs into 1.1400, consolidating at session low.
NY session drove a leg down from the 1.1428 session high to a low of 1.14023, tagging the four-day low just above the 1.1400 pivot as the USD held a firmer safe-haven bid. Price is now consolidating in the 1.1405 area with RSI(14) cooling into the mid-30s; the descending sequence of lower highs remains intact.
Support: 1.14023, 1.1400, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.14113, 1.14192, 1.14282
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1400 confirms lower-low, exposing 1.1390
Reclaim of 1.14113 bounce high eases the downside pressure
ECB decision Thu 12:15 GMT / Lagarde 12:45 GMT could reset this read
15:46 UTC
Downtrend, near session low · RSI 42 · price 1.14054
Lower highs off 1.1428, testing 1.1400 pivot.
NY session sold EURUSD off the 1.14282 high down to 1.14023, a four-day low, on the firmer USD safe-haven bid. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) around 41; the 1.1400 pivot is holding for now after a shallow bounce to 1.14113.
Support: 1.1402, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14113, 1.14282
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1400 exposes the 1.1390 area
Reclaim of 1.14113 would ease the lower-high sequence
ECB decision Thu 12:15 GMT could materially shift this read
15:31 UTC
Downtrend, small bounce off lows · RSI 45 · price 1.14085
Lower highs into 1.1402, holding above 1.1400.
NY session sold EUR off a double top at 1.1428 down to the 1.14023 session low, RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s. Price has since clawed back to 1.14085, holding just above the 1.1400 psych level; the 1.14190 bounce high caps the recovery for now.
Support: 1.14023, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1419, 1.14282
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1400 exposes the 1.1390 area next
Reclaim of 1.14190 needed to re-test the 1.14282 session high
ECB decision Thu 12:15 GMT could materially shift this read
NY session rejected the 1.14282 session high and dumped to 1.14023 (four-day low, just above the 1.1400 psych), RSI cooling into the low 40s. Price has since clawed back to 1.14085 but sits below EMA20/50 with the range floor still the pivot.
Support: 1.14023, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14192, 1.14282
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1400 exposes 1.1390 then the 1.1360 range floor
Reclaim of 1.14192 needed to reopen the 1.14282 session high
ECB decision Thu 12:15 GMT / Lagarde 12:45 GMT could reset this read
15:17 UTC
Downtrend, momentum led lower · RSI 34 · price 1.14057
Lower highs, session low breached.
NY session rolled over from the 1.14282 session high, and price is now pressing the four-day-low 1.1400 pivot after tagging 1.14023. Spike to 1.14187 was rejected on the way down; RSI(14) near 34 as the sell-off matures.
Support: 1.14023, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.14187, 1.14282
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1400 exposes 1.1390 then the range floor
Reclaim above 1.14187 swing high negates the downside pressure
ECB decision Thursday could materially shift this read
15:16 UTC
Downtrend, pressing lows · RSI 38 · price 1.14057
Lower highs, sliding to four-day low.
NY afternoon leg lower dragged EUR/USD off the 1.1428 session high toward the 1.1400 four-day low, with a brief spike to 1.14192 faded immediately. USD stays firm on safe-haven flows while EUR drifts into the ECB, RSI(14) cooling near 38 without hitting oversold.
Support: 1.14023, 1.1400, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.14192, 1.14282
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1400 exposes 1.1390 then the 1.1360 range floor
Reclaim above 1.14192 negates the lower-high sequence
ECB decision Thu 12:15 GMT and Lagarde presser will override this intraday read
EUR/USD sold off through the NY afternoon, breaking the 1.14162 shelf and printing a four-day low at 1.14023 as safe-haven USD demand held. RSI(14) near 31, short-term stretched but not yet sub-20; price now hovering just above the 1.1400 psych level.
Support: 1.14023, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1411, 1.14187, 1.14282
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.14162 negates the breakdown
Failure to hold 1.14023 opens the 1.1400 psych level
EURUSD sold off through the NY session from the 1.14282 session high to 1.14023, breaking the intraday consolidation with price now below EMA20/EMA50 and RSI(14) near 33. Move fits a firmer USD on safe-haven flows while EUR stays sidelined ahead of Thursday's ECB.
Support: 1.14023, 1.1400, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.14192, 1.14282
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.14192 would neutralise the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.14000 opens the 1.1390 range floor
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC could materially shift this read
NY session sold the session high at 1.14282 sharply down to 1.14034, RSI(14) cooling into the low-40s. Price bounced to 1.14073 and is consolidating below the 1.14192 bounce high; the intraday structure has flipped to lower highs.
Support: 1.14034, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14192, 1.14282
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14000 confirms the lower-low and opens the 1.1390 area
Reclaim of 1.14192 negates the intraday lower-high sequence
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC could override this intraday read
14:46 UTC
Intraday rollover, downtrend into NY afternoon · RSI 44 · price 1.14073
Lower highs after topping 1.14282, session low printed.
EUR/USD rolled over from the 1.14282 session high and swept the session low at 1.14034 as a firm USD held on safe-haven flows, before a shallow bounce to 1.14073. The 1.14192 bounce was rejected, leaving a lower-high sequence with price below EMA20 and EMA50; ECB pricing is keeping ranges tight.
Support: 1.14034, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1419, 1.14282
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.14190 negates the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.14034 opens 1.14000 psych level
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC could materially shift this read
14:31 UTC
Intraday uptrend unwinding, back at range lows · RSI 42 · price 1.14105
Pullback from session high, retesting 1.1405 floor.
EURUSD swept the 1.14051 session low and bounced to 1.14192 before fading back to 1.1410, price now under EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-40s. Session high 1.14282 rejected earlier; pair holding tight consolidation around 1.14 as traders sit on hands into ECB week.
Support: 1.14051, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1419, 1.14282
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14000 confirms a lower-low toward the range floor
reclaim of 1.14190 puts the 1.14282 session high back in play
ECB decision Thu is the week's key vol event but sits outside the next bar period
14:31 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pullback in play · RSI 47 · price 1.14105
London highs rejected, NY pulling back into range.
London rallied to 1.14282 then faded; NY hours swept the 1.14051 low before a snap back to 1.14192 was rejected, leaving price back near 1.1410. RSI(14) mid-range around 46 with price below EMA20/50 — pullback from the session top, no clean setup.
Support: 1.14051, 1.1409
Resistance: 1.14192, 1.14282
What it said to watch
Reclaim and hold above 1.14192 reopens 1.14282 session high
M15 close below 1.14051 confirms a lower low
ECB decision Thu could override this intraday read
14:17 UTC
Range-bound, choppy · RSI 46 · price 1.14168
Sweep of session low then sharp recovery.
NY session flushed down to 1.14051, sweeping the session low, then recovered sharply to 1.14192 into the close. Price has held a 1.1406-1.1428 range through the day with RSI(14) mid-range near 46; no clean directional structure into Thursday's ECB.
Support: 1.14051, 1.1409
Resistance: 1.14192, 1.14282
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14051 confirms a lower low
Reclaim above 1.14192 puts price back in the range mid
ECB decision Thu 12:15 GMT is the key vol event for this range
EURUSD pushed to a session high of 1.14282 in NY hours before a sharp flush to 1.14051 that was immediately bought back to 1.14192, closing at 1.14168 — a swept low and recovery within the day's range. RSI(14) back near midline; price sits just under the EMAs after the round trip, still boxed inside the 1.1405–1.1428 range as traders hold into Thursday's ECB.
Support: 1.14051, 1.1409
Resistance: 1.1419, 1.14282
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14051 reopens the downside after the failed sweep
Reclaim of 1.1419 puts the 1.14282 session high back in play
ECB decision Thu 12:15 GMT could materially shift this read
14:01 UTC
Range, recent pullback · RSI 43 · price 1.14118
Session high rejected, probing range low.
NY session sold off from the 1.14282 session high, tagging 1.14050 before a shallow bounce to 1.14118. RSI(14) mid-40s, price back below EMA20/50; pair remains inside the 1.1405–1.1428 intraday range with tight ~5-pip ATR.
Support: 1.1405, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1420, 1.1428
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1405 opens 1.1400 psych level
Reclaim of 1.1420 puts the session high 1.1428 back in play
ECB decision Thu 23 Jul is the dominant vol event ahead
14:01 UTC
Pullback off session highs · RSI 41 · price 1.14118
Rejection at 1.1428, lower low into 1.1405.
NY afternoon saw EURUSD rejected at the 1.1428 session high and sell off to 1.1405, with a modest bounce to 1.14118 into the close. Price sits below EMA20/50 and the pair stays trapped in its ~1.1405-1.1428 range as traders sit on hands ahead of Thursday's ECB.
Support: 1.14051, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1417, 1.14282
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.14051 opens 1.1400 and the wider range floor
Reclaim of 1.14170 puts the 1.1428 session high back in play
ECB decision Thu 12:15 GMT could materially shift this read
NY session pushed to a session high of 1.1428 twice and was rejected, forming a double top before a sharp late-session flush back to 1.1406. RSI(14) cooled to the low-30s as price broke below the up-leg and now sits at the session low, USD firm on the Iran risk-off bid.
Support: 1.14051, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14162, 1.14282
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 1.14162 negates the breakdown and re-opens 1.1428
Failure to hold 1.14051 confirms lower-low toward 1.1400
ECB decision Thu 12:15 GMT is the key vol event ahead
13:47 UTC
Pullback from session high · RSI 38 · price 1.14061
Rolled over off 1.1428, lower low forming.
EUR twice rejected 1.1428 in the NY session before selling back to 1.14061, dropping through EMA20/50 with RSI(14) cooling near 38. Pair remains inside the multi-day 1.14 consolidation as traders sit on hands into Thursday's ECB.
Support: 1.14023, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14282, 1.1418
What it said to watch
Close below 1.1402 confirms a lower-low and opens the 1.1400 psych floor
Reclaim of 1.14180 (EMA20) negates the pullback read
ECB decision Thu could materially shift this range
13:31 UTC
Pullback from session high · RSI 40 · price 1.14112
Double-tap at 1.1428 rejected, retracing lower.
NY session tagged 1.14282 twice and got rejected, then rolled over into a sharp drop to 1.14092 with RSI(14) cooling near 40. Price now sits at the session low, back below EMA20/50 after retracing most of the intraday rally.
Support: 1.14092, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1417, 1.14282
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1409 session low opens the 1.1400 round number
Reclaim of 1.1417 prior high needed to re-engage the 1.1428 session high
ECB decision Thu 23 Jul could override this intraday read
13:31 UTC
Pullback off session high · RSI 40 · price 1.14112
Lower highs into range floor.
EUR faded from the NY session high at 1.14282 back to 1.14112, RSI(14) cooling toward 40 as the pair slips under both EMAs. Sellers stepped in twice below 1.14270 and price is now probing the 1.1409 session floor into the ECB event risk.
Support: 1.1409, 1.1406
Resistance: 1.1421, 1.14282
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1409 confirms a lower-low and opens 1.1406
Reclaim of 1.14210 reasserts the intraday range
ECB decision Thu 12:15 GMT could override this read
13:16 UTC
Intraday uptrend fading · RSI 43 · price 1.14152
Pullback from day high after rounded advance.
EUR/USD ground higher through the London-NY window to a day high at 1.14282, then faded back to 1.14152 as the NY afternoon rejection held. RSI(14) cooling near 43 with price now under EMA20/50; two-way tone into Thursday's ECB.
Support: 1.1413, 1.14023
Resistance: 1.14282, 1.1419
What it said to watch
Close below 1.1413 confirms a lower-low and opens 1.14023
Reclaim of 1.14282 revives the intraday advance
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC could materially shift this read
13:16 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pulling back · RSI 43 · price 1.14152
HH-HL chain rolled over from session high.
EURUSD ran up to a session high at 1.14282 before fading to 1.14152, now sitting on the 61.8% retrace of that leg. RSI(14) has cooled to the low-40s and price slipped back below EMA20/50; pullback holding above the 1.14130 swing low so far.
Support: 1.1413, 1.14085
Resistance: 1.14232, 1.14282
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14130 confirms a lower-low and exposes 1.14085
Reclaim of 1.14232 puts the 1.14282 session high back in play
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC + Lagarde presser is the dominant vol event ahead
13:02 UTC
Up-leg fading, pullback in play · RSI 41 · price 1.14157
Rallied to session high then rejected, retracing.
EUR/USD pushed to a session high at 1.1428 through London before fading into NY, now resting on the 61.8% fib of that leg near 1.1416. RSI(14) mid-range as the pullback holds above 1.1414; ECB range-bound tone keeps this two-way.
Support: 1.14145, 1.14084
Resistance: 1.14282, 1.14243
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14145 opens the 1.14084 swing low
Reclaim of 1.14282 session high needed to resume the up-leg
NY session faded from the session high at 1.14282, RSI(14) cooling to the low 40s as price drifts back to mid-range near 1.1416. Series of lower highs since the peak; support at 1.14131 still holding for now.
Support: 1.14131, 1.14085
Resistance: 1.14232, 1.14282
What it said to watch
Close below 1.14131 opens the 1.14085 swing low
Reclaim of 1.14232 needed to retest the 1.14282 session high
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC and Lagarde presser could reset this range
12:46 UTC
Range, mild pullback · RSI 44 · price 1.1416
Range-bound just above 1.1400.
EURUSD grinding in a 1.1408–1.1428 range; NY session tagged 1.1428 then faded back to 1.1416 with RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s. Two-way chop just above 1.1400 into Thursday's ECB hold.
Support: 1.1408, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1428, 1.1440
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1428 opens the 1.1440 resist zone
Loss of 1.1408 exposes the 1.1400 psych floor
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC could materially shift this read
12:46 UTC
Rangebound, mild pullback · RSI 43 · price 1.1416
Consolidation just above 1.1400, capped at 1.1428.
NY session tagged 1.1428 then rejected, pulling EURUSD back to 1.1416 and under both EMAs. Tight consolidation above the 1.1408 swing low with EUR range-bound into Thursday's ECB hold; ATR near 4 pips signals a quiet tape.
Support: 1.1408, 1.1406
Resistance: 1.1428, 1.1443
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1428 reopens the 1.1443 range top
Loss of 1.1408 confirms a lower low toward the range floor
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC could materially shift this read
12:31 UTC
Range, pulling back from session high · RSI 45 · price 1.14166
NY push to 1.14282 rejected, retracing lower.
NY session pushed to 1.14282 then stalled, price retracing to 1.14166 with RSI(14) cooling toward mid-range. Pair remains boxed in the 1.14100–1.14282 range as traders sit sidelined ahead of Thursday's ECB.
Support: 1.1410, 1.1406, 1.14023
Resistance: 1.1424, 1.14282
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.14100 exposes 1.14060 then the 1.14023 range floor
M15 close above 1.14282 reopens the session high
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR faded from the 1.1428 session high back to 1.14166, RSI(14) cooling to ~41 as price slips under EMA20/50. Pair remains range-bound 1.1406–1.1428 with EUR sidelined ahead of Thursday's ECB.
Support: 1.14145, 1.1406, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1420, 1.14282
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14282 reopens the range top
Loss of 1.1406 exposes the 1.1400 pivot then range floor
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC will override this intraday read
EURUSD rallied through the NY session to a high of 1.14282 before stalling, now pulling back to 1.14158 near the 50% retracement of that leg. Move is corrective within the sub-1.1445 consolidation flagged into Thursday's ECB; RSI(14) has cooled to the low 40s.
Support: 1.14156, 1.14085
Resistance: 1.14282, 1.14243
What it said to watch
Close below 1.14085 confirms a lower low and breaks the rally structure
Close above 1.14282 resumes the intraday advance
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC and Fri PMIs can override this intraday read
12:16 UTC
Sideways, pullback off session high · RSI 45 · price 1.14158
Range-bound after failed push above 1.1428.
NY session pushed to a session high at 1.1428 then rejected, fading back to 1.1416 with RSI(14) cooling toward mid-range. Price is consolidating between 1.14085 and 1.1428 ahead of Thursday's ECB, no fresh direction in play.
Higher lows off Asia base, pullback from session high.
London-NY pushed EUR off the Asia base at 1.14085 up to a session high of 1.14282, but the move has stalled and price has faded back to 1.14196, slipping under EMA20 with RSI cooling near 47. Range-bound tone dominates with traders sidelined into Thursday's ECB hold.
Support: 1.1416, 1.14085
Resistance: 1.14282, 1.1424
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14282 extends the intraday uptrend toward the 1.1465 range top
Failure to hold 1.14160 breaks the higher-low chain back toward 1.14085
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC + Lagarde presser could materially shift this read
EUR pushed to a session high at 1.1428 during NY hours then faded back to 1.1420, RSI(14) cooling off around 49. Price is ranging above the rising intraday support off the 1.1406 base, with the 1.1428 top capping into a quiet, pre-ECB tape.
Support: 1.14162, 1.14062, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14282, 1.1445
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14282 opens the path toward 1.1445 range top
Loss of 1.14162 exposes the 1.1406 session low
ECB decision Thu 23 Jul could reset this range read
NY session drove EURUSD up to a session high at 1.14282 before a rejection pulled price back to 1.14162, where buyers stepped in. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-50s and price is pinned around EMA20 as the broader 1.1360-1.1465 range holds into Thursday's ECB.
Support: 1.14162, 1.14084
Resistance: 1.14282, 1.1430
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14162 opens the path to 1.14084
Reclaim of 1.14282 resumes the intraday uptrend
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC is the dominant near-term risk for this range
11:46 UTC
Range, mild upward grind · RSI 53 · price 1.14219
Range-bound, higher lows late NY.
EUR/USD ground higher off 1.1406 through the NY session, tagging 1.14282 before rejection pulled it back to 1.14219. Range-bound sub-1.1430 with traders sidelined ahead of Thursday's ECB; RSI(14) neutral near 53.
Support: 1.1416, 1.1406, 1.14023
Resistance: 1.14282, 1.1445
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14282 opens the path toward the 1.1445 range top
Failure to hold 1.1406 confirms a lower-low and reopens 1.14023
ECB decision Thursday is the dominant risk to this range
11:32 UTC
Range with mild intraday uptrend · RSI 51 · price 1.14216
Rising lows off London low, capped near session high.
London ground higher off the 1.1408 low along a chain of rising lows, tagged 1.1428 and got rejected, now easing back to 1.1422 with RSI(14) neutral near 51. Price is pinned inside the broader 1.1402-1.1435 range ahead of Thursday's ECB, with the session high capping.
Support: 1.14162, 1.14084, 1.14023
Resistance: 1.14282, 1.14348
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1428 opens the path back to 1.1435 prior high
Failure to hold the 1.1416 swing low breaks the rising-low structure toward 1.1408
NY open could expand range from the current ~4.5 pip ATR
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC is the dominant risk to this range read
EUR ground higher through the London-NY session, printing a session high at 1.1428 before rejecting back toward 1.14216 and dipping under EMA20. Higher lows off the 1.1402 base still hold, but the up leg has stalled with RSI(14) flat around 51.
Support: 1.1416, 1.1409, 1.1402
Resistance: 1.1428, 1.1430
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1416 swing low breaks the higher-low chain and reopens 1.1402
M15 close above 1.1428 session high extends the up leg toward 1.1430
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC + Lagarde presser could override this intraday read
11:16 UTC
Ranging, mild pullback from session high · RSI 46 · price 1.14192
Consolidation, rejected at 1.1428.
EURUSD ground higher through London to a session high at 1.1428 before rejecting, now easing back to 1.1419 as traders sit on hands ahead of Thursday's ECB. Contained in a tight 1.1408–1.1428 range; RSI(14) near neutral, no momentum extreme.
Support: 1.14085, 1.14023
Resistance: 1.14282, 1.14445
What it said to watch
Close below 1.14085 opens the 1.1402 session low
Reclaim of 1.1428 puts the 1.1430–1.1445 resistance band in play
ECB Nagel speaking today could inject intraday volatility
NY hours ground higher off the London low near 1.1400 to a session high at 1.14282, then rejected and pulled back to 1.14192 with RSI cooling toward neutral. Price sits back below EMA20 but holds above the rising sequence of higher lows; EUR remains pinned near 1.1400 as traders sit on their hands ahead of Thursday's ECB.
Support: 1.14162, 1.1410, 1.14023
Resistance: 1.14282, 1.1445
What it said to watch
Close back above 1.14282 reopens the 1.1430–1.1445 range top
Loss of 1.14162 breaks the higher-low chain toward 1.14100
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher lows since session low, capped below 1.1428.
EUR/USD ground higher through NY hours from the 1.1402 session low, printing higher lows and tagging 1.1428 before easing to 1.1420. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 54, price holding above EMA20/50; pair remains pinned inside its broader 1.1360-1.1465 range ahead of Thursday's ECB.
Support: 1.14107, 1.14023
Resistance: 1.14282, 1.1433
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14282 session high opens the path toward the 1.1445 range top
Failure to hold 1.14107 swing low reopens the 1.14023 session low
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC / Lagarde 12:45 UTC could materially shift this read
Recovery from the 1.1402 session low ground higher through the NY session to 1.1428, where price was rejected and eased back to 1.1421. Structure is a chain of higher lows but momentum is flattening with EURUSD pinned near 1.1400 ahead of Thursday's ECB.
Support: 1.14085, 1.14023
Resistance: 1.14282, 1.1430
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14282 opens the 1.1445 resistance band
Failure to hold 1.14085 exposes the 1.1402 session low
ECB decision Thu shifts this range read materially
London session ground higher off the 1.1402 overnight session low, printing a chain of higher lows into 1.1428 resistance where price is now stalling. RSI(14) mid-range; the pair remains pinned in its 1.1360-1.1465 range as traders sit tight ahead of Thursday's ECB.
Support: 1.1418, 1.1405, 1.1402
Resistance: 1.1428, 1.1445
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1428 opens the path to 1.1445 range top
Failure to hold 1.1418 breaks the higher-low sequence
ECB decision Thursday can materially shift this read
10:46 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 57 · price 1.14228
Higher lows off session low, testing session high.
EUR ground back up from the 1.1402 London-session low through NY and into the London morning, printing higher lows and stalling at the 1.14282 session high. RSI(14) mid-range at ~57, no extreme; pair remains pinned near 1.1400 as traders sit tight ahead of Thursday's ECB.
Support: 1.1420, 1.1409, 1.1402
Resistance: 1.14282, 1.1433
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14282 opens the path to the 1.1433 prior high
Loss of the 1.14200 pivot exposes the 1.14090 range low
ECB Nagel speaking 11:30 UTC could inject intraday volatility
10:31 UTC
Uptrend, steady grind · RSI 64 · price 1.14268
Higher lows, higher highs.
London session has ground higher off the 1.14023 low, printing a clean chain of higher lows into the 1.14282 session high. RSI(14) mid-60s, elevated but not extreme; price sits just below the 1.14300 psych level with the broader 1.1430–1.1445 range top overhead into Thursday's ECB.
Support: 1.1420, 1.1410, 1.14023
Resistance: 1.14282, 1.1430, 1.1445
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14300 opens the 1.14450 range top
Failure to hold 1.14200 breaks the rising-low sequence
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC could reset this range read
EURUSD ground steadily higher off the 1.14023 session low toward 1.14268 through the London morning, printing a chain of higher lows, RSI(14) mid-60s and not yet stretched. Session high at 1.14282 is the near-term cap; the pair remains inside this week's 1.1360–1.1465 range as traders sit ahead of Thursday's ECB.
Support: 1.1420, 1.14084, 1.14023
Resistance: 1.14282, 1.1445
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14282 opens a test of the 1.1445 range top
Loss of 1.14200 breaks the rising-low sequence and reopens 1.14084
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC and Lagarde presser could materially shift this read
Higher lows off session low, grinding toward session high.
EURUSD has recovered from the session low at 1.1402, building a chain of higher lows through the London session and now pressing the session high at 1.1428, RSI near 58. Pair remains pinned in its broader range as traders sit on hands ahead of Thursday's ECB.
Support: 1.1418, 1.1409, 1.1402
Resistance: 1.1428, 1.1434, 1.1445
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1428 opens the path to 1.1434 prior high
Failure to hold 1.1418 breaks the higher-low chain
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC could materially shift this read
EURUSD bottomed at 1.1402 early in the window then built a steady chain of higher lows back to the 1.1428 session high, price holding above EMA20/50. RSI near 57 — room before it runs hot; buyers stepping in on each dip along rising support.
Support: 1.1418, 1.1409, 1.14023
Resistance: 1.14282, 1.1436
What it said to watch
Break above 1.14282 session high opens the 1.14360 prior high
Loss of 1.14180 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
ECB Nagel speaking 11:30 UTC could inject intraday volatility
EURUSD pinned near the 1.1400 pivot, having recovered off the 1.1402 session low and ground up to a 1.1428 day high through the London session, RSI(14) neutral near 57. Structure is a shallow uptrend of higher lows inside a 1.1402–1.1428 range, but the pair stays capped ahead of Thursday's ECB.
Support: 1.1409, 1.1402, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1428, 1.1440
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1428 extends the recovery toward 1.1440
Loss of 1.1409 reopens the 1.1400 pivot and session low
ECB decision/press conference Thu could materially shift this read
EURUSD sold to a session low of 1.1402 through the London morning, then carved a chain of higher lows back up to 1.1428 as it hugs the 1.1400 pivot into Thursday's ECB. Momentum is steady but unremarkable, RSI mid-range, and the session high at 1.1428 has capped the last two pushes.
Support: 1.1408, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1428, 1.1440
What it said to watch
Break above 1.1428 session high opens room toward the 1.1440 prior high
Loss of the 1.1408 swing low re-exposes the 1.1400 psych pivot
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher lows since session low, testing session high.
EURUSD recovered from the 1.14023 session low through the London session on a chain of higher lows, now probing the 1.14282 session high with RSI(14) mid-range near 56. Move is steady but shallow — ATR only ~5 pips — with price pinned near 1.1400 into Thursday's ECB per the wider tone.
Support: 1.1418, 1.1409, 1.14023
Resistance: 1.14282, 1.1433
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14282 opens the path to the 1.14330 prior high
Failure to hold 1.14180 exposes the 1.14090 swing low
London session grinding higher off the 1.1402 low in a chain of higher lows, EUR clawing back toward the 1.1428 range top after the four-day low near 1.1400. RSI(14) mid-range; the pair stays pinned in range ahead of Thursday's ECB.
Support: 1.1418, 1.1409, 1.1402
Resistance: 1.1428, 1.1445
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1428 opens the path toward 1.1445
Loss of 1.1418 breaks the higher-low chain
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC will override this intraday read
Higher lows since 1.1402 base, capped below 1.1427.
EURUSD drifted to a session low of 1.1402 during the Asia-London window on the risk-off USD bid, then buyers stepped in twice around 1.1408 and lifted price back to 1.1421, tagging a session high at 1.1427. Chain of higher lows intact but momentum is modest with RSI mid-range; the pair remains pinned to the 1.1400 pivot ahead of Thursday's ECB.
Support: 1.1414, 1.14084, 1.14023
Resistance: 1.14273, 1.1433
What it said to watch
Close above 1.1427 opens the path toward 1.1433
Loss of 1.1408 higher low reopens the 1.1402 session low
Higher lows since 1.1402 base, capped near 1.1424.
EUR/USD is grinding higher off the 1.1402 four-day low, printing higher lows through the NY session and into European hours while holding above EMA20/50; RSI(14) mid-range near 55. Buyers stepped in twice near 1.1408, with 1.1424 capping the rebound so far.
Support: 1.1402, 1.1408, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1424, 1.14273
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1402 confirms a fresh lower low and reopens the 1.1400 pivot
M15 close above 1.14273 extends the recovery past the session high
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC could materially shift this read
EURUSD sold off to 1.1402 during the prior NY session on the risk-off USD bid, then ground back to 1.1422 through Asia and into London on a chain of higher lows. Price sits mid-range below the 1.14273 session high with RSI(14) neutral around 56.
Support: 1.1418, 1.1409, 1.14023
Resistance: 1.14273, 1.1434
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14273 opens the path to 1.14340
Failure to hold 1.14180 threatens a retest of the 1.14023 session low
Higher lows since 1.14023, now consolidating below 1.14273.
EUR/USD clawed back from a 1.14023 session low to grind out higher lows through the London-NY hours, now stalling just under the 1.14273 session high. RSI(14) neutral near 55 and price holding above EMA20/50 as the pair drifts sideways above 1.1418 into the ECB week.
Support: 1.14181, 1.14023
Resistance: 1.14273, 1.1433
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14273 extends the recovery toward 1.14330
Loss of 1.14181 rising support reopens the 1.14023 session low
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC could materially shift this read
EURUSD recovered off the 1.14023 overnight low through the Asia-London transition, London pushing to a session high of 1.14273 before easing back to 1.1421 with RSI(14) near 54. The move faded at 1.1427; 1.1400 remains the pivot flagged into Thursday's ECB.
Higher lows since London low, holding above 1.1417.
EUR/USD recovered from the London low at 1.14023 to a session high of 1.14273, now consolidating around 1.1420 with EUR heavy but rangebound just above 1.1400 into Thursday's ECB. RSI(14) is neutral near 56 and the higher-low chain off the lows remains intact.
Support: 1.1417, 1.1409, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14273, 1.1435
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14273 opens the path toward the 1.1435 prior high
Loss of 1.1417 breaks the higher-low structure and reopens 1.1409
US ADP data at 12:15 GMT could shift USD and this read
EUR/USD ground back to 1.1422 through the London session after basing at 1.14023 overnight amid a USD safe-haven bid, RSI mid-range. Higher lows are stacked off that base but the 1.14273 session high has capped the last two pushes.
Support: 1.1418, 1.14084, 1.14023
Resistance: 1.14273, 1.1434, 1.14399
What it said to watch
ZEW survey at 09:00 UTC could shift this read
Close above 1.14273 opens the path to the 1.14340 prior high
Loss of 1.14180 pivot puts the 1.14084 higher low back in play
Higher lows since session low, grinding into resistance.
EURUSD recovered off the 1.14023 London low in a steady chain of higher lows, tagging a session high at 1.14273 before stalling near 1.1422 as EUR consolidates into Thursday's ECB hold. Momentum is flattening with RSI mid-range; price is pinned just under the session high.
Support: 1.1418, 1.14084, 1.14023
Resistance: 1.14273, 1.14399
What it said to watch
ZEW survey at 09:00 UTC could inject volatility within the next bar
M15 close above 1.14273 extends the intraday sequence toward 1.1440
EURUSD ground higher through the London session off the 1.1402 session low, breaking out of the 1.1410-1.1420 consolidation and tagging 1.14273 before easing back to 1.1422. Move fits the ~1.14 hawkish-ECB support noted in the digest; RSI(14) mid-range with no extreme in play.
Support: 1.1417, 1.14085, 1.14023
Resistance: 1.14273, 1.14412
What it said to watch
ZEW at 09:00 UTC could shift the EUR read within the next bars
Close above 1.14273 opens the path toward 1.1440
Loss of 1.14085 reopens the 1.1402 session low
08:31 UTC
Recovering, higher lows · RSI 61 · price 1.14217
Grinding up off session low, HL chain intact.
London session clawed back from the 1.1402 session low, printing higher lows into 1.14217 with RSI(14) mid-range around 60. The 1.1427 session high capped the last push; price holding above EMA20/50 after the earlier drop to 1.1402 driven by risk-off USD demand.
EUR/USD ground back up through the London session from the 1.1402 session low, stalling at 1.1427 — the 61.8% fib of the earlier drop from 1.1443. RSI(14) near 61, momentum cooling as price retests the fib cap with a chain of higher lows underneath.
Support: 1.1410, 1.14084, 1.14023
Resistance: 1.14273, 1.14433
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14273 opens the path back toward 1.1443
Loss of 1.1410 rising support cracks the recovery structure
EUR/USD ground higher through the London morning, climbing off a 1.1402 session low to tag 1.1427 before easing to 1.1423, with EMA20/50 now beneath price. A chain of higher lows since the overnight base keeps the intraday bid intact; RSI(14) mid-range, no extreme.
Support: 1.14107, 1.14023, 1.1405
Resistance: 1.14273, 1.14433
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14273 opens path toward the 1.1440 prior high
Loss of 1.1410 breaks the higher-low sequence and re-exposes 1.1402
ZEW survey at 09:00 UTC could shift this read within the next bar
EURUSD recovered off the 1.14023 session low set during yesterday's NY hours, grinding higher through Asia into the London open; last push tagged the 1.14273 session high before easing to 1.1422. RSI(14) mid-range near 61, both EMAs beneath price — recovery intact but capped sub-1.1430.
Support: 1.1417, 1.14085, 1.14023
Resistance: 1.14273, 1.1433
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14273 session high opens the path to 1.14330
Failure to hold 1.14170 risks a retest of the 1.14085 range low
ECB Bank Lending Survey and EZ ZEW today could shift the read
Higher lows off session base, testing session high.
London session ground higher off 1.14085, printing a fresh session high at 1.14273 before stalling at 1.14229. Chain of higher lows intact, RSI(14) mid-60s with room; EUR still capped sub-1.1450 on the firmer USD safe-haven bid.
Support: 1.14085, 1.14023
Resistance: 1.14273, 1.1445
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14273 opens the path to the 1.1445 cap
Failure to hold 1.14085 negates the recovery and reopens 1.14023
ECB Bank Lending Survey and EZ ZEW later today could shift this read
EURUSD recovered from yesterday's NY low at 1.14023 and has ground higher through Asia into the London open, printing a session high at 1.14273. RSI(14) mid-60s with price holding above EMA20/50; chain of higher lows intact but momentum stalling just under the session high.
Support: 1.1409, 1.14023, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14273, 1.1434, 1.1442
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14273 opens the path to 1.1434
Failure to hold 1.1409 breaks the higher-low chain
EZ ZEW at 09:00 GMT could shift this read intraday
07:46 UTC
Recovering off session low, grinding up · RSI 60 · price 1.14222
Rounded base, higher lows into London.
EUR slipped to a 1.1402 session low earlier as a USD safe-haven bid on Middle East risk-off pressed the pair, then built a rounded base around 1.1410 and grinds higher through London on a rising base into 1.1427. RSI(14) near 60 with room; move still capped below the 1.1449 prior high.
Support: 1.1410, 1.14023
Resistance: 1.1427, 1.1449
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1427 opens the path back to 1.1449
Failure to hold 1.1410 re-exposes the 1.1402 session low
EZ ZEW today and ECB decision Thursday could shift this read
07:31 UTC
Grinding higher within range · RSI 64 · price 1.14237
Higher lows off overnight base, still range-bound.
EURUSD based at 1.1402 overnight and has ground higher through the Asia-London transition, printing higher lows and pressing the session high at 1.1427. Price holds above both EMAs with RSI(14) near 63 — firm but not stretched — while the broader 1.1406–1.1450 range stays intact.
Support: 1.14085, 1.14023
Resistance: 1.14273, 1.1450
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1427 session high opens the path to the 1.1450 range cap
Failure to hold 1.14085 swing low reopens the overnight session low at 1.1402
Higher lows off session low, inside broader range.
EURUSD carved a session low at 1.14023 in early trade then ground back up through London, printing higher lows into 1.14273. Price sits mid-range around 1.14237, RSI(14) near 61 and holding above both EMAs; still boxed inside the broader 1.1405–1.1450 range flagged into Thursday's ECB.
Support: 1.14084, 1.14023
Resistance: 1.14273, 1.1445
What it said to watch
Break above 1.14273 session high opens the path back to the 1.14450 range cap
Loss of the 1.14084 higher low re-exposes 1.14023 session low
ECB Bank Lending Survey (08:00 UTC) and ZEW could inject range volatility
EURUSD ground off the 1.14023 overnight low to 1.14224 into the London open, printing a chain of higher lows with RSI(14) mid-60s. Still mid-range beneath the 1.1445 cap that has held all week ahead of Thursday's ECB.
Support: 1.1409, 1.14023
Resistance: 1.14263, 1.1445
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14263 opens the path to the 1.1445 range cap
Failure to hold 1.1409 reopens the 1.14023 day low
ECB Bank Lending Survey (08:00 UTC) and German ZEW (09:00 UTC) could shift this read
Higher lows off session base, testing session high.
EURUSD ground back up through the London morning after basing around 1.14090, printing higher lows and stalling into the 1.14263 session high. Move stays inside this week's 1.1405–1.1450 range with RSI(14) mid-60s, no extreme.
Support: 1.1409, 1.14023
Resistance: 1.14263, 1.14491
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14263 opens the path toward 1.14491
Loss of 1.14090 base re-exposes the 1.14023 swing low
ECB Bank Lending Survey 08:00 UTC and ZEW 09:00 UTC could shift this read
Higher lows since the 1.1402 low, inside broader range.
EUR/USD clawed back from the 1.1402 session low through Asia and into the London open, now pressing 1.14233 with RSI(14) mid-60s. Chain of higher lows holds, but price still sits inside the broader 1.1405–1.1450 range with 1.14275 the immediate cap.
Support: 1.14166, 1.14084, 1.14023
Resistance: 1.14275, 1.1433
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14275 extends the recovery toward 1.14330
Failure to hold 1.14084 reopens the 1.14023 session low
German ZEW (09:00 UTC) and ECB Bank Lending Survey (08:00 UTC) due within the hour
London morning has ground higher off the 1.14084 swing low, price at 1.14233 with RSI(14) near 61, still inside the 1.1408–1.1449 range the digest flags into Thursday's ECB hold. Chain of higher-lows intact but the 1.14275 swing high caps the move for now.
Support: 1.14107, 1.14023
Resistance: 1.14275, 1.14491
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14275 opens the path to the 1.1435 area
Failure to hold 1.14084 reopens 1.14023 range low
ECB Bank Lending Survey (08:00 UTC) and ZEW could shift the range read
EUR/USD slid from the 1.1449 session high to 1.1402 through prior NY hours as a safe-haven USD bid firmed, then based in the low-1.14s during the quiet Asian session. London open has lifted price back through 1.1421 with a chain of higher lows; RSI(14) mid-60s, room before overbought.
Support: 1.1408, 1.1402
Resistance: 1.1421, 1.1449
What it said to watch
Hold above 1.1408 keeps the recovery structure intact; loss of 1.1402 confirms a lower-low
German ZEW at 09:00 UTC (~2h out) could inject volatility into this read
Rejection back below 1.1421 would neutralise the breakout
EURUSD recovered from the 1.1402 session low through the Asian range and is grinding higher into the London session, now pressing 1.1421. RSI(14) around 61, price back above EMA20/50 but capped well below the 1.1449 session high; low ATR reflects thin pre-ECB conditions.
Support: 1.1408, 1.1402
Resistance: 1.1421, 1.1449
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1425 opens the path back toward the 1.1449 session high
Failure to hold 1.1408 exposes the 1.1402 session low
German ZEW (09:00 UTC) could inject volatility into this range
EUR/USD sold from the 1.1449 early-session high to a 1.1402 low, then based and ground back up into the London morning, printing higher lows and now testing the 1.1421 recovery high. RSI(14) mid-range near 59 with ATR compressed to ~4 pips — quiet, range-bound tape into Thursday's ECB.
Support: 1.14085, 1.14023
Resistance: 1.14214, 1.14449
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14214 opens the path back toward the 1.1449 prior high
Failure to hold 1.14085 reopens the 1.1402 session low
ECB decision Thursday could materially shift this read
06:31 UTC
Recovering off session low, still range-bound · RSI 58 · price 1.14192
Consolidation after down-leg, higher lows building.
EUR sold off from the 1.1449 prior high to a session low at 1.1402 as a USD safe-haven bid firmed, then chopped in a 1.1408-1.1417 band through the Asian hours. London open has nudged price back to the 1.1421 session high with RSI(14) recovering to the high-50s; still inside the broader low-1.14s range ahead of Thursday's ECB.
Support: 1.1408, 1.1402
Resistance: 1.1421, 1.1449
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 1.1421 opens the path back toward 1.1449
Loss of 1.1408 re-exposes the 1.1402 session low
German ZEW at 09:00 UTC could shift this read
06:17 UTC
Recovering within low-1.14s range · RSI 59 · price 1.14187
Range floor held, higher lows building.
EUR/USD reversed off the 1.1449 high early in the window and bottomed at 1.14023 before grinding back up on a chain of higher lows into the European morning. Price now sits at 1.14187, roughly the 38.2% retrace of the drop, with the 1.14214 session high the immediate cap.
Support: 1.14085, 1.14023
Resistance: 1.14214, 1.14449
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14214 opens room back toward 1.1449
Loss of 1.14085 exposes the 1.14023 session low
German ZEW (09:00 UTC) and ECB Bank Lending Survey (08:00 UTC) due within hours
06:16 UTC
Recovering off lows, consolidating · RSI 61 · price 1.14187
Range with rising intraday lows.
EUR/USD sold off from 1.1449 to 1.1402 during NY hours as a safe-haven USD bid firmed on US-Iran risk, then based and ground back up through the Asian session. London open pushed to a session high at 1.14214; RSI(14) near 60, ATR(14) a thin ~5 pips.
Support: 1.1410, 1.1402
Resistance: 1.14214, 1.1449
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14214 opens the path toward 1.1449
EURUSD chopped down from 1.1449 to a 1.1402 session low, then based and ground higher through Asia, tagging 1.14214 before easing to 1.14183. RSI(14) mid-50s, price back above EMA20/50; sequence of higher lows is holding near the UOB 1.1405 pivot.
Support: 1.1409, 1.14023, 1.1405
Resistance: 1.14214, 1.14363, 1.14491
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14214 opens the path to 1.14363
Failure to hold 1.1409 re-exposes the 1.14023 session low
ECB Bank Lending Survey 08:00 UTC could shift this read
Quiet Asian session ground back up off the 1.14023 range low, buyers stepping in around 1.14084 to print a rounded recovery to 1.14213 before easing to 1.1418. ATR barely 3 pips — range-bound near 1.14 into Thursday's ECB, no setup in play.
Support: 1.14084, 1.14023
Resistance: 1.14213, 1.1429
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14213 recent high extends the recovery toward 1.14290
Loss of 1.14084 swing low reopens the 1.14023 range low
ECB Bank Lending Survey (08:00 UTC) and German ZEW (09:00 UTC) could inject volatility as London comes in
Consolidation above 1.1408 after a drop to 1.1402.
EUR/USD sold from 1.1449 to a 1.1402 session low during the London-NY window, then consolidated between 1.1408 and 1.1417 into the Asian session. The latest bar pushed through the range top to a 1.14214 session high on a ~38% retrace of the down-leg; RSI(14) firm near 60 but ATR is thin at ~4.5 pips.
Support: 1.14085, 1.14023
Resistance: 1.14214, 1.1433
What it said to watch
A close above 1.14214 session high opens the path toward the 1.1433 prior swing
Failure to hold 1.14085 swing low reopens the 1.14023 session low
ECB Bank Lending Survey (08:00 UTC) and German ZEW (09:00 UTC) land within the next few bars and could shift this read
05:47 UTC
Recovering off intraday lows · RSI 58 · price 1.14197
Consolidation, edging up in early London.
Yesterday's London/NY slide from 1.1449 to 1.1402 gave way to overnight consolidation around 1.1410; early London is edging up, tagging the session high at 1.14214 with RSI(14) firming near 58. Price is now retesting the 38.2% fib of the prior drop.
Support: 1.1410, 1.1402, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1421, 1.1445
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1421 opens the path toward 1.1445
Failure to hold 1.1410 re-exposes the 1.1402 swing low
ECB Bank Lending Survey 08:00 UTC and German ZEW 09:00 UTC could shift this read
05:31 UTC
Recovery off day low, momentum flat · RSI 57 · price 1.14173
Consolidation above 1.1410 after selloff.
EUR sold off from 1.1449 through the NY session to a day low at 1.14023, then based and ground back to 1.1417 in a tight overnight consolidation. RSI(14) neutral near 57; price is holding above the rising 1.14085 swing-low support as Asian-session ranges compress.
Support: 1.14085, 1.14023
Resistance: 1.14188, 1.14275
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14188 session high opens the path back to 1.14275
Loss of 1.14085 swing low reopens the 1.14023 day low
ECB Bank Lending Survey 08:00 UTC could shift this read
EURUSD based twice near 1.1402 during the NY session and has since ground back to the 1.1418 session high, now chopping in a tight 1.1409-1.1418 band into the Asian-London handover. RSI(14) mid-range near 57, price holding above EMA20/50 with no momentum extreme in play.
Support: 1.1409, 1.1405, 1.14023
Resistance: 1.1418, 1.1442, 1.14491
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1418 opens the path back toward 1.1442
Loss of 1.1409 re-exposes the 1.1402 swing low and 1.1405 support
ECB Bank Lending Survey (08:00 UTC) could shift this read
05:17 UTC
Sideways after intraday drop · RSI 55 · price 1.14161
Tight range, low volatility.
EUR/USD dropped from 1.1449 to a 1.1402 session low, then coiled into a very tight 1.1408–1.1419 band through the Asian session with ATR compressed near 3 pips. Price sits at 1.1416, holding above the 20/50 EMAs but with no directional impulse.
Support: 1.14084, 1.14023, 1.1405
Resistance: 1.14188, 1.14257, 1.14491
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14188 opens the 50% fib at 1.14257
Loss of 1.14084 exposes the 1.14023 session low and UOB's 1.1405 support
ECB Bank Lending Survey (08:00 UTC) and German ZEW (09:00 UTC) could break the range
EURUSD carved a session low at 1.1402 during NY hours, then ground back into a tight 1.1409-1.1418 range through the Asian session, with EUR pinned near 1.14 into Thursday's ECB hold. Into early London the pair is edging the top of that range, RSI(14) neutral around 56 and ATR compressed near 5 pips.
Support: 1.14085, 1.14023
Resistance: 1.14188, 1.14449
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1418 opens the path back toward 1.1449
Loss of 1.14085 reopens the 1.1402 session low
ECB Bank Lending Survey (08:00 UTC) and ZEW (09:00 UTC) could break the range
05:01 UTC
Sideways after NY selloff · RSI 56 · price 1.14174
Tight range holding above session low.
EUR/USD sold off to 1.1402 during NY hours as a firmer USD on Middle East headlines pressured the pair, then consolidated through the Asian session. London open is nudging price back to 1.1417, holding a tight range above the session low with RSI mid.
Support: 1.14023, 1.1409
Resistance: 1.1420, 1.14491
What it said to watch
Break below 1.1402 confirms a lower low
M15 close above 1.1420 range top reopens 1.1449
ECB Bank Lending Survey 08:00 UTC and ZEW 09:00 UTC could move EUR this session
05:01 UTC
Recovering off session low, grind up · RSI 57 · price 1.14174
Consolidation above session low after early drop.
EURUSD sold off through London-NY hours to a session low at 1.14023 before basing and grinding back to 1.14174 through the Asia session on thin volume. Now consolidating with higher lows above 1.14085; RSI(14) mid-range near 57, no extreme.
Support: 1.14085, 1.14023
Resistance: 1.1418, 1.14275
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.1418 session high opens 1.14275
Loss of 1.14085 swing low exposes 1.14023 session low again
ECB Bank Lending Survey 08:00 UTC could shift the intraday read
04:47 UTC
Downtrend faded, now basing · RSI 55 · price 1.1416
Tight Asia range above session low.
NY sold EUR from 1.1444 down to a 1.1402 session low on the USD safe-haven bid, then the Asia session has ground sideways in a tight 1.1408–1.1416 band. RSI mid-range and ATR compressed to ~3 pips — no impulse in play into early hours.
Support: 1.1408, 1.1402
Resistance: 1.1420, 1.1444
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1420 (38.2 fib) opens a retest of the 1.1444 prior high
Break of the 1.1402 session low resumes the downtrend
ECB Bank Lending Survey at 08:00 UTC could shift this read
04:46 UTC
Sideways, momentum flat · RSI 53 · price 1.1416
Tight range after decline to 1.1402.
EURUSD is grinding in a tight 1.1409–1.1418 range through thin Asia hours after fading from 1.1449 to a 1.1402 swing low. Volume has drained (last bar just 17), RSI mid-range near 53 with no directional impulse; sits just above EMA20/50 near the retrace midpoint of that decline.
Support: 1.1409, 1.1402, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1418, 1.1449
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1418 opens the path back toward 1.1449
Break below 1.1409 exposes 1.1402 then the 1.1400 round number
ECB Bank Lending Survey (08:00 UTC) and German ZEW (09:00 UTC) could break this range
04:31 UTC
Downtrend faded, now ranging · RSI 50 · price 1.14145
Basing after London/NY selloff, tight Asian range.
EUR faded from 1.1449 through the London/NY sessions to a session low at 1.1402, then based and settled into a 1.1408–1.1418 range during thin Asian hours. RSI(14) neutral near 49 and volume drying up; no setup in play.
Support: 1.1408, 1.1402
Resistance: 1.1418, 1.1449
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1402 confirms a lower-low and reopens downside
Close above 1.1418 breaks the Asian range higher toward 1.1449
ECB decision Thu 12:15 GMT is the dominant catalyst this week
04:31 UTC
Sideways after earlier slide · RSI 51 · price 1.14145
Consolidation above 1.1408 following London-session drop.
EURUSD is coiling in a tight 1.1408–1.1418 band into the Asia session after the earlier London slide from 1.1449 bottomed at 1.1402. RSI(14) sits near 50 with ATR compressed to ~21 pips; no directional setup in play, price pinned near 1.14 as flagged in the EUR two-way read.
Support: 1.14085, 1.14023
Resistance: 1.1418, 1.14275
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14180 reopens the 1.14275 swing
Break below 1.14085 exposes the 1.14023 swing low
ECB Bank Lending Survey / German ZEW later today could break the range
04:16 UTC
Sideways after intraday selloff · RSI 49 · price 1.14145
Range post-decline, holding above session low.
EUR faded from 1.1449 through the London-NY session to a 1.1402 session low, then recovered into a tight Asia-session range between 1.1408 and 1.1418. RSI(14) sits neutral near 49 with ATR compressed — no directional impulse into the European open.
Support: 1.14084, 1.14023
Resistance: 1.1418, 1.14491
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1418 reopens the path toward the 1.1445 prior high
Failure to hold 1.1408 exposes the 1.1402 session low
German ZEW (09:00 GMT) could break the range
04:16 UTC
Sideways after NY selloff · RSI 51 · price 1.14145
Tight Asian range above swing low.
EUR/USD faded from the 1.1449 session high through NY hours to a 1.14023 swing low, then based and is now grinding a tight Asian range between the 1.1409 floor and 1.1416 cap. RSI(14) is flat near 51, no directional impulse; price sits on its EMA20/50.
Support: 1.1409, 1.14023
Resistance: 1.1416, 1.1449
What it said to watch
Break below 1.1409 range floor exposes the 1.14023 swing low
M15 close above 1.1416 range cap reopens the path to the 1.1449 session high
German ZEW (09:00 GMT) and ECB Bank Lending Survey could inject volatility into this range
04:02 UTC
Sideways, momentum flat · RSI 47 · price 1.14125
Tight range after London fade.
EURUSD faded from the London spike near 1.1449 back to 1.1408 and is now coiling in a tight 1.1408–1.1418 band through the quiet Asian session, RSI(14) flat around 47. Sellers capped the 1.1418 recent high while buyers held 1.1408; no setup in play into the London open.
Support: 1.1408, 1.1402
Resistance: 1.1418, 1.1445
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1418 opens a retest of the 1.1445 london high
Break below 1.1408 exposes the 1.1402 swing low
German ZEW (09:00 GMT) could break the Asian range
04:01 UTC
Downtrend faded to flat range · RSI 44 · price 1.14125
Ranging after leg lower, sub-1.1416.
EURUSD slid from 1.1449 through the prior session and has since gone flat, chopping 1.1409–1.1416 through thin Asian hours with RSI(14) mid-40s. Price sits at the lower edge of the range near 1.1412 as early London approaches; euro remains pinned around 1.14 into Thursday's ECB hold.
Support: 1.1409, 1.14023
Resistance: 1.14165, 1.1418
What it said to watch
Break below 1.1409 reopens the 1.1402 swing low
M15 close above 1.1418 breaks the range top toward 1.1449
ECB Bank Lending Survey (08:00 GMT) & German ZEW (09:00) could shift this read
03:46 UTC
Downtrend stalling, now flat · RSI 46 · price 1.14129
Consolidation above 1.1408 after decline.
EURUSD sold off from 1.1449 to 1.1402 through the London-NY session, then based into thin Asia hours and is now ranging 1.1408–1.1418 either side of EMA20. RSI(14) mid-40s and shrinking ATR reflect the low-volume drift; price faded toward 1.1408 as the USD held a Mideast safe-haven bid.
Support: 1.14085, 1.14023
Resistance: 1.1418, 1.14275
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14085 range floor opens the 1.14023 swing low
Reclaim of 1.14180 session high needed to end the consolidation
ECB Bank Lending Survey (08:00 GMT) and German ZEW (09:00) could break the Asian range
03:46 UTC
Downtrend stalling, now flat · RSI 46 · price 1.14129
Consolidation after sell-off.
EURUSD sold off from 1.1449 to 1.1402 through London-NY, then went flat, chopping in a tight 1.1409–1.1418 band through the thin Asia session. Price is pinned at the 23.6% retrace of that drop with RSI(14) neutral near 46 — no directional intent in play.
Support: 1.14085, 1.14023
Resistance: 1.1418, 1.1426
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14180 opens the path to 1.14260
Break below 1.14085 puts session low 1.14023 back in play
ECB decision Thu 12:15 GMT could reset this range read
03:32 UTC
Downtrend faded to consolidation · RSI 43 · price 1.14113
Based near 1.1402, ranging 1.1409-1.1418.
EUR faded from the 1.1449 day high through the session down to a 1.1402 low, then based and consolidated 1.1409-1.1418 in thin Asian trade with the USD bid on Mideast/oil headlines. Price is slipping back toward the lower edge, RSI(14) around 43, ATR compressed to ~4 pips.
Support: 1.1406, 1.1402
Resistance: 1.1418, 1.1445
What it said to watch
Close below 1.1402 session low confirms a fresh lower-low
Reclaim of 1.1418 swing high reopens the 1.1445 day high
ECB decision Thu 12:15 GMT is the dominant EUR risk
03:31 UTC
Downtrend stalling into range · RSI 44 · price 1.14113
Consolidation above session low.
EUR faded from 1.1449 through NY toward the 1.1402 session low as renewed Mideast/oil headlines revived a USD bid, then based into a tight 1.1408–1.1418 range through Asia. Price sits mid-range at 1.1411, RSI(14) neutral near 44 with no momentum extreme in play.
Support: 1.14084, 1.14023, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1418, 1.14449
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14084 exposes the 1.1402 session low then 1.1390 pivot
Close above 1.14180 reopens the path toward 1.1445 prior high
ECB decision Thu 12:15 GMT is the dominant EUR-side catalyst ahead
Consolidation near session low after intraday fade.
EURUSD faded from the 1.1449 session high through London-NY to bottom at 1.14023, then chopped sideways between 1.1410 and 1.1418. Price is edging back toward the session low into thin late-Asia hours, RSI(14) mid-40s and price under EMA20/50; USD firmed on renewed Gulf headlines and higher oil.
Support: 1.14023, 1.1405
Resistance: 1.1418, 1.14491
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14023 exposes the 1.1405/1.1390 pivot zone
Reclaim of 1.14180 needed to negate the lower-high sequence
ECB decision Thu is the dominant risk for the wider range
03:16 UTC
Downtrend earlier, now flat near lows · RSI 41 · price 1.14093
Consolidation above session low after NY decline.
EURUSD faded through the London-NY session from 1.1449 down to a 1.14023 swing low, then based and drifted sideways. Thin early-Asia trade has the pair pinned near the 1.1409 session low, back below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) around 41.
Support: 1.1409, 1.14023
Resistance: 1.1418, 1.1429
What it said to watch
Break below 1.14023 confirms a lower-low and opens the 1.1390 area
M15 close back above 1.1418 negates the drift lower
German ZEW (09:00 GMT) could inject two-way volatility
03:01 UTC
Downtrend paused, now flat · RSI 45 · price 1.14115
Consolidation above session low.
EURUSD slid through NY hours yesterday to a 1.1402 swing low as renewed Gulf headlines and firmer oil revived the USD. Overnight Asia has consolidated tightly between 1.1409 and 1.1418, RSI(14) flat near 45 — no directional setup in play.
Support: 1.1402, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1418, 1.1449
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1402 confirms a lower-low, opens 1.1390
Reclaim of 1.1418 puts the 1.1449 prior high back in range
ECB decision Thu 12:15 GMT is the dominant EUR-side risk for this range
03:01 UTC
Downtrend faded, now flat · RSI 46 · price 1.14115
Tight range after NY selloff.
EURUSD sold from the 1.1449 session high down to 1.1402 through the NY session as renewed Mideast/oil headlines revived the USD, then based and drifted into a tight 1.1410–1.1418 Asian range. Price now hugs 1.1411 just under EMA20/50 with RSI neutral near 46 — no directional setup in play.
Support: 1.1406, 1.14023
Resistance: 1.1418, 1.14449
What it said to watch
Close below 1.14023 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 1.14180 reopens the path to the 1.1445 session high
ECB decision Thu 12:15 GMT is the dominant EUR risk this week
02:47 UTC
Downtrend faded, now flat · RSI 46 · price 1.14124
Tight range after recovery off session low.
Price sold off through London-NY hours to a session low at 1.14023, then recovered and has coiled into a tight 1.1409-1.1418 range through the quiet Asia session, volume thinning to single digits on the last bar. RSI(14) sits near neutral at 46 with price pinned just below EMA20/50 — no directional momentum in play.
Support: 1.1409, 1.14023, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1418, 1.1426, 1.14491
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14023 reopens the downside toward the 1.1390 pivot
Close above 1.14180 range high shifts focus back to 1.1426
ECB decision Thu 12:15 GMT is the dominant EUR risk beyond this session
02:47 UTC
Range-bound, drifting off lows · RSI 45 · price 1.14124
Tight range after prior sell-off.
Asia session is grinding sideways between 1.1409 and 1.1418 after the prior sell-off bottomed at 1.14023; USD firmed on renewed oil/Gulf risk, capping EUR near 1.1408. RSI(14) mid-40s and ATR compressed to ~4 pips — no setup in play, price coiled just under EMA20/50.
Support: 1.14085, 1.14023
Resistance: 1.1418, 1.14275
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14180 opens the path to 1.14275
Failure to hold 1.14085 exposes the 1.14023 session low
ECB decision Thu 12:15 GMT is the week's dominant EUR catalyst
02:32 UTC
Downtrend paused, now ranging · RSI 49 · price 1.14138
Tight Asia-session range after prior drop.
London/NY sold EURUSD from 1.1449 down to 1.1402, and price has since coiled into a tight 1.1409–1.1418 band through the thin Asia session, now sitting mid-range at 1.14138. RSI(14) is neutral near 49 and ATR is compressed to ~4 pips — no session-level break in play.
Support: 1.1409, 1.1402
Resistance: 1.1418, 1.1445
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1418 breaks the range top toward 1.1445
Failure to hold 1.1402 confirms a lower-low
Oil/Gulf headlines could revive USD bid and shift this read
02:32 UTC
Downtrend stalled, now flat · RSI 50 · price 1.14138
Asian range after NY sell-off.
EURUSD is pinned around 1.1413 through the Asian session after the late-NY leg lower bottomed at 1.14023. Recovery has stalled beneath the 1.14180 range top, with RSI(14) flat near 50 and ATR compressing on thin volume.
Support: 1.14085, 1.14023
Resistance: 1.1418, 1.14275, 1.14449
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14180 opens the path to 1.14275
Failure to hold 1.14085 reopens the 1.14023 swing low
London open and German ZEW (09:00 GMT) could break the Asian range
ECB Thu and Fri US PMIs are the week's main catalysts
02:16 UTC
Down leg stalled, ranging · RSI 49 · price 1.14145
Tight Asian range after London/NY decline.
EURUSD ground lower through the London-NY session to 1.14023, then recovered into a tight Asian range between 1.14085 and 1.14180. USD stayed firm on Gulf/oil headlines; RSI(14) sits mid-range with ATR compressed in thin Asian hours — no setup in play.
Support: 1.14085, 1.14023
Resistance: 1.1418, 1.14275
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14180 opens a retest of the 1.14275 swing high
Break below 1.14085 / 1.14023 resumes the prior downleg
ECB decision Thu 12:15 GMT is the dominant EUR risk into week-end
02:16 UTC
Downtrend stalled, now flat · RSI 49 · price 1.14145
Tight consolidation after selloff.
Quiet Asia session: EUR/USD is pinned in a 1.1409–1.1418 range after the London-NY leg down to 1.1402, with volume drying up and ATR barely 3 pips. Price sits mid-range near 1.1414, RSI flat around 48 — no impulse either way as the market waits on Thursday's ECB.
Support: 1.1409, 1.1402
Resistance: 1.1418, 1.1445
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1418 reopens the 1.1445 prior high
Break below 1.1409 puts the 1.1402 session low back in play
ECB decision Thu 12:15 GMT is the dominant risk into this range
02:02 UTC
Down then flat, momentum stalled · RSI 50 · price 1.14149
Consolidation near session lows.
EUR/USD sold off from 1.1449 to 1.14023 through the London-NY session before basing. Now ranging 1.1409-1.1418 in thin Asian trade, RSI(14) neutral near 50 with ATR compressed.
Support: 1.14085, 1.14023
Resistance: 1.1418, 1.14449
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1418 reopens the 1.1436 zone
Loss of 1.14023 confirms a fresh lower-low
ECB decision Jul 23 is the dominant driver later this week
02:01 UTC
Ranging after NY leg down · RSI 51 · price 1.14149
Tight Asian range above NY low.
NY session drove EURUSD down to 1.14023 on renewed USD strength from Gulf/oil headlines, then price recovered and stalled. Asian session is grinding a tight 1.1408–1.1416 range with RSI(14) flat near 51 and ATR compressed to ~19 pips — no momentum in play.
Support: 1.14085, 1.14023
Resistance: 1.1418, 1.1449
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14180 opens the path back toward 1.14490
Break below 1.14085 puts the NY low at 1.14023 back in focus
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC is the dominant near-term EUR driver
NY session dropped EUR/USD from 1.1449 to a session low of 1.14023 as the dollar held firm near DXY 100.75; price has since recovered and is ranging 1.14085–1.14180 through the Asia session, RSI(14) flat near 51. ATR is thin at ~3 pips with drivers light ahead of Thursday's ECB.
Support: 1.14085, 1.14023
Resistance: 1.1418, 1.14275
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14180 opens the path back to the 1.14275 bounce high
Failure to hold 1.14085 reopens the 1.14023 session low
01:47 UTC
Downtrend easing into range · RSI 50 · price 1.14152
Consolidating near session lows after intraday drop.
EUR/USD leaked from 1.1449 through the London-NY hours to a session low at 1.1402, then based and drifted back into a tight 1.1410-1.1418 range through quiet Asia hours. RSI(14) is flat near 50 and ATR has compressed to ~4 pips; no setup in play while the range holds.
Support: 1.1410, 1.1402
Resistance: 1.1418, 1.1445
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1418 range top opens the path to 1.1445 prior high
Break below 1.1410 range floor / 1.1402 session low confirms a lower low
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC is the dominant near-term risk to this read
01:32 UTC
Downtrend stalling, now flat · RSI 47 · price 1.14134
Tight Asian range after NY sell-off.
EURUSD sold off through the London-NY session from 1.1449 to 1.1402 as a soft German PPI print and firm DXY weighed, then stabilised. Asia is ranging tightly 1.1411-1.1418, RSI(14) neutral near 47 on thin volume; no directional setup in play.
Support: 1.14085, 1.14023
Resistance: 1.1418, 1.14275
What it said to watch
Break below 1.14085 reopens the 1.14023 swing low
M15 close above 1.14180 invalidates the range read
ECB Bank Lending Survey (08:00 UTC) and ZEW could inject volatility
01:31 UTC
Downtrend stalled, now ranging · RSI 46 · price 1.14134
Tight consolidation above session low.
NY session sold EUR down to 1.1402 before buyers recovered it to 1.1416; price has since gone flat, ranging 1.1410-1.1417 through a thin Asian session with RSI(14) neutral near 46. No setup in play — session low at 1.1402 intact, range top at 1.1418 capping.
Support: 1.1406, 1.14023, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1418, 1.1434
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1418 opens the path back to 1.1434
Loss of 1.1402 session low confirms a fresh lower low toward 1.1400
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC is the week's vol event — not near-term but frames the range
01:16 UTC
Sideways after intraday selloff · RSI 48 · price 1.14132
Tight Asia range above session low.
London-NY sold EURUSD from 1.1449 to a 1.1402 session low as DXY firmed and soft German PPI weighed. Asia has since coiled in a tight 1.1410-1.1418 band, RSI flat near 48 — no setup in play.
Support: 1.1406, 1.1402
Resistance: 1.1418, 1.1426
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1418 opens 1.1426
Loss of 1.1406 reopens the 1.1402 session low
ZEW Sentiment (09:00 UTC) could break the Asia range
01:16 UTC
Downtrend stalling into consolidation · RSI 48 · price 1.14132
Tight range near session lows.
London-NY sold EUR from 1.1449 down to 1.1402, and Asia hours have since gone flat, grinding a tight 1.1409-1.1418 band on thin volume. RSI(14) neutral near 48 and ATR compressed — no setup in play while price hugs EMA20.
Support: 1.14085, 1.14023
Resistance: 1.1418, 1.1429
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14180 opens the path back to 1.14290
Loss of 1.14085 reopens the 1.14023 swing low
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC is the week's key vol event and could reset this range
01:01 UTC
Range after intraday selloff · RSI 47 · price 1.14127
Consolidating near lows post-drop.
EUR sold off through the London-NY session from 1.1449 to 1.1402 as DXY firmed and soft German PPI weighed, then stalled. Now ranging tightly 1.1409-1.1418 into the Asian session on thin volume, RSI(14) neutral near 47.
Support: 1.14085, 1.14023
Resistance: 1.1418, 1.14275
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14023 confirms a lower-low
Reclaim above 1.1418 range top opens 1.14275
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC could materially shift this read
01:01 UTC
Downtrend from window highs, now flat · RSI 46 · price 1.14127
Consolidation after leg lower.
Window shows a slide from 1.1449 through the London-NY session into a 1.1402 low as soft German PPI and a firm DXY weighed on EUR. Price has since stabilised into a tight Asian-session range around 1.1413, RSI(14) neutral near 46 and sub-100 volume flagging thin conditions.
Support: 1.1406, 1.1402
Resistance: 1.1418, 1.1445
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1406 reopens the 1.1402 session low
Close above 1.1418 range top would resume the earlier recovery
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC is the dominant vol event ahead
00:47 UTC
Downtrend faded, now flat · RSI 48 · price 1.14137
Consolidation near session lows after NY sell-off.
EUR sold off through the NY session from ~1.1449 to 1.1402 as DXY firmed and soft German PPI weighed. The Asia session has since consolidated in a tight 1.1409-1.1418 band on thin volume, RSI neutral near 48; no setup in play.
Support: 1.14062, 1.14023
Resistance: 1.1418, 1.14449
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1418 swing high opens a push toward 1.1445
Failure to hold 1.1406 exposes the 1.1402 day low
ECB decision Thursday could materially shift this read
00:46 UTC
Downtrend easing into consolidation · RSI 46 · price 1.14137
Tight range after NY sell-off.
NY session sold EURUSD from 1.1449 to a 1.1402 session low as DXY firmed near 100.75 and soft German PPI weighed. Price has since stalled into a tight Asian-session range between 1.1409 and 1.1418 on thin volume, RSI(14) flat near 46.
Support: 1.14085, 1.14023
Resistance: 1.14186, 1.14491
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14186 range high reopens 1.1445
Failure to hold 1.14023 session low confirms a lower low
ECB decision Thursday 12:15 UTC is the dominant risk to this range
00:31 UTC
Downtrend earlier, now flat · RSI 46 · price 1.14121
Consolidating above session low.
EUR slid from 1.1449 to a 1.1402 session low during London-NY as soft German PPI and a firmer DXY weighed, then based out and chopped sideways into Asia. Now pinned near 1.1412 in a tight low-volatility range, holding above the session low but capped below the 1.1418 swing high.
Support: 1.14023, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1418, 1.14491
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1418 reclaims the intraday swing high and negates the low-range read
Failure to hold 1.1402 session low exposes the 1.1400 psych level and a fresh lower-low
ECB decision Thu could materially shift this read
00:31 UTC
Downtrend from NY, now flat · RSI 44 · price 1.14121
Consolidation near session lows.
NY session drove EUR/USD from 1.1449 to 1.1402 as DXY firmed and soft German PPI weighed. Asian session has since coiled in a tight 1.1409-1.1418 band with RSI(14) hovering mid-range; range low near 1.1408 holding for now.
Support: 1.14085, 1.14023
Resistance: 1.1418, 1.14233
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14180 opens the path back to 1.14233
Failure to hold 1.14023 confirms a lower low
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC is the dominant risk into the week
00:17 UTC
Downtrend, now consolidating at lows · RSI 51 · price 1.14154
Range at session lows after NY selloff.
EURUSD sold off through the NY session from 1.1449 to 1.1402 as the dollar firmed and softer German PPI weighed. The Asian session is now consolidating in a tight 1.1409–1.1418 band, RSI(14) neutral near 51; range top 1.14180 capping, session low 1.14023 unbroken.
Support: 1.1406, 1.14023
Resistance: 1.1418, 1.1429
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14180 opens the path back toward 1.1449
Failure to hold 1.14023 confirms a fresh lower low
Liquidity thin in Asian hours — expect a wider range on the London open
00:16 UTC
Downtrend cooling into range · RSI 52 · price 1.14154
Range after London selloff.
London sold EURUSD from 1.1449 to a 1.14023 swing low as the dollar held firm below its cap. Since then it has ranged 1.1406–1.1418 through a thin Asian session; price sits mid-range at 1.14154 with RSI(14) neutral.
Support: 1.1406, 1.14023
Resistance: 1.1418, 1.1435
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1418 range top opens the path to the 1.1435 prior pivot
Failure to hold 1.1406 range low reopens the 1.14023 swing low
Thin Asian-session liquidity exaggerating small moves
00:02 UTC
Range after NY selloff · RSI 54 · price 1.14167
Consolidating above session low.
EUR was sold through NY hours to 1.1402, then based and drifted back to 1.1417 in quiet Asia trade. RSI recovered off the lows and ATR is barely 3 pips — no momentum in this session, price ranging 1.1409–1.1418 with the swing high at 1.14186 capping.
Support: 1.14085, 1.14023
Resistance: 1.14186, 1.1442
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14186 opens the NY supply near 1.1442
Loss of 1.14085 reopens the 1.1402 session low
ECB Thu is the week's catalyst but two days out
00:02 UTC
Intraday downtrend, now basing · RSI 55 · price 1.14167
Session decline into tight Asian range.
EUR was sold from the 1.1449 session high through the London-NY hours down to a 1.1402 low as the dollar clawed back and soft German PPI weighed. Price is now consolidating in a thin Asian range between 1.1409 and 1.1417 on light volume, RSI back near mid-range.
Support: 1.14085, 1.14023
Resistance: 1.1435, 1.14491
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1435 would break the session downtrend structure
Loss of 1.1402 session low confirms continuation lower
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC is the dominant catalyst for this pair