EUR/USD AI Live Scan, 1-hour chart, Wednesday, 29 July 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the EUR/USD 1-hour chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:01 UTC
Uptrend, sharp FOMC-driven leg · RSI 74 · price 1.14644
Range break above 1.1400, new week high.
EUR/USD spent most of the week pinned in a 1.1353–1.1400 range before the FOMC hold softened the USD, driving a vertical NY-session leg that broke 1.1400 and ran to a 1.14705 session high. Price now sits above both EMAs with RSI(14) stretched into overbought after the impulse. The 1.1400 handle, capped repeatedly earlier in the week, now sits below as the pivot to watch for acceptance.
Support: 1.14395, 1.1400, 1.1353
Resistance: 1.14705
What it said to watch
Hold above 1.1400 confirms acceptance and range break; loss of it reopens the prior 1.1353–1.1400 range
US Core PCE / advance GDP Thu 12:30 UTC is the key post-FOMC test of USD
Eurozone Q2 GDP and German HICP Thu could add a second driver to the EUR leg
EUR/USD spent most of the week capped below the 1.1400 figure, cycling 1.1353–1.1400 without acceptance, before ripping higher into the NY session on the Fed's dovish-read hold and softer USD. The breakout tagged a week high at 1.14705, with RSI(14) pushing overbought after a near 65-pip impulse bar. Price now holds well above EMA20 and EMA50, with the prior 1.1400 cap flipping to first reference below.
Support: 1.14395, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14705
What it said to watch
Hold above the 1.1400 breakout keeps the move intact; an H1 close back below re-opens the prior range
Failure to clear the 1.14705 week high leaves the impulse extended into overbought
Thu EZ Q2 GDP (08:00 GMT) and US Core PCE/GDP (12:30 GMT) could materially reset this post-FOMC read
EUR/USD spent most of the week pinned in a 1.1353–1.1400 range before the FOMC-aftermath USD softening drove a sharp NY-session break above the 1.1400 cap, tagging 1.14705. RSI(14) is stretched into overbought territory and price is trading far above a lagging EMA(20) near 1.1388. The 1.1400 handle, capped repeatedly this week, now sits as the pivot beneath the breakout.
Support: 1.14395, 1.1400, 1.1353
Resistance: 1.14705
What it said to watch
H1 close back below 1.1400 negates the breakout and reopens the week's range
Thu EZ Q2 GDP / German HICP and US Core PCE could materially reshape this read
Overbought RSI leaves room for a pullback toward EMA(20)
Price coiled in a 1.1350–1.1400 range for most of the week before breaking sharply higher into the NY session after the FOMC hold, as the USD softened and EUR reclaimed the 1.1400 figure to run toward 1.1470. The impulse is steep and RSI(14) is stretched into overbought after the vertical move. The 1.1400 cap that held all week is now the first reference on any pullback.
Support: 1.1440, 1.1400, 1.13561
Resistance: 1.14705
What it said to watch
H1 close back below 1.1400 would negate the range break and put the figure back as a ceiling
Eurozone Q2 GDP and German HICP Thu 07:00–08:00 GMT plus US Core PCE 12:30 UTC could reshape this leg
Failure to hold 1.1440 spike low signals the breakout is fading
EURUSD spent most of the week pinned in a 1.1353–1.1400 range, with the 1.1400 handle capping every attempt. Tonight's FOMC hold triggered a sharp ~120-pip surge, driving price through 1.1400 to a session high of 1.14663 as the USD leg softened. RSI(14) has pushed into overbought after the break, with price now sitting well above EMA(20) and EMA(50).
Support: 1.1400, 1.1380, 1.1353
Resistance: 1.14663
What it said to watch
Hold above 1.1400 confirms the range break; a close back below negates it
Eurozone Q2 GDP and German HICP Thu 07:00–08:00 GMT could reprice the EUR leg
Post-FOMC USD reaction still unfolding — could extend or fade the breakout
20:02 UTC
Range break to the upside, fresh impulse · RSI 75 · price 1.14492
Week-long range broken above 1.1400 on FOMC spike.
EURUSD spent the week pinned in a 1.1353–1.1400 range before a sharp NY-session impulse cleared the 1.1400 round number and printed a session high at 1.14663 as the USD softened on the FOMC hold. Price now sits well above EMA20 near 1.1390, with RSI(14) stretched into overbought after the vertical move. The prior ceiling at 1.1400 flips to first support as the breakout is tested.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1390, 1.1353
Resistance: 1.14663
What it said to watch
H1 acceptance back below 1.1400 would negate the breakout and pull price into the prior range
Eurozone Q2 GDP and German HICP Thu 07:00–08:00 GMT could extend or unwind this move
US Core PCE / GDP Thu 12:30 GMT is the next USD-leg risk into the FOMC presser aftermath
20:01 UTC
Range broken to upside, momentum spiking · RSI 78 · price 1.14509
Range break above 1.1400 after multi-day capping.
The week traded a 1.1350–1.1400 range capped below the figure; the FOMC hold this evening triggered a sharp break above 1.1400, spiking to a session high 1.14536 as stretched USD longs unwound. Price now holds ~1.1451, well above EMA20/50, with RSI stretched into overbought after a single-bar impulse. The move retraced the whole of the week's range and lifted price a cent off the weekly low at 1.13557.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13557
Resistance: 1.14536, 1.1450
What it said to watch
Failure to hold above 1.1400 prior ceiling returns price into the weekly range
EZ Q2 GDP and German HICP Thu 07:00–08:00 GMT could extend or fade the EUR bid
US Core PCE / GDP cluster Thu 12:30 GMT dominates the USD leg into next session
19:01 UTC
Range broken to the upside, momentum spiking · RSI 74 · price 1.14509
Range break above 1.1400 after multi-day consolidation.
EUR/USD spent most of the week pinned in a 1.1350–1.1400 range, unable to accept above the figure. The dovish FOMC reaction into the Warsh press conference squeezed the stretched USD longs, driving a vertical H1 break through 1.1400 into 1.14513 — the standout move of the window. RSI(14) is now stretched into overbought territory after the impulse, with price extended well above EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1353, 1.1369
Resistance: 1.14536
What it said to watch
Hold above 1.1400 (breakout) confirms range acceptance; a close back below reopens the range
Eurozone Q2 GDP and German HICP Thu 08:00 GMT, plus US Q2 GDP/Core PCE 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
Failure to build above 1.14536 session high would flag an exhausted spike
19:01 UTC
Range breaking higher post-FOMC · RSI 72 · price 1.14252
Range break above 1.1400 pivot.
EUR/USD spent most of the week boxed in a 1.1350–1.1400 range with no acceptance above the figure. The final bar spiked to 1.14283 in the FOMC aftermath as a dovish-leaning hold triggered stretched USD longs to unwind, clearing the 1.1400 cap. Price now sits at 1.14252, above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI pushing into the low 70s.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1350, 1.1324
Resistance: 1.14283, 1.1418
What it said to watch
Hourly acceptance above 1.1400 confirms the range break; failure back below keeps the 1.1324 ytd low in play
Eurozone Q2 GDP and German HICP Thursday 07:00–08:00 GMT could reshape this read
US Q2 GDP and Core PCE Thursday 12:30 UTC drive the USD leg
EUR/USD is consolidating just under the 1.1400 psych level into tonight's FOMC, having bounced off the 1.1353 week low earlier in the session. Price is pinned around EMA20 with RSI(14) neutral near 47, sitting above EMA50 as a sequence of higher lows builds off 1.1353. The 1.1400 handle has capped every recovery attempt this week, keeping the pair boxed in the mid-1.13s.
Support: 1.13743, 1.1353, 1.1324
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14177
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 GMT is a binary risk that can break this range in either direction
H1 close above 1.1400 opens the path back toward the 1.14177 week high
Loss of the 1.1353 week low re-exposes the 1.1324 ytd low
17:01 UTC
Sideways, range-bound · RSI 48 · price 1.1382
Range 1.1353-1.1400, mid-range chop.
EUR/USD has held a compressed 1.1353-1.1400 band all week, with the 1.1400 round number capping every push and demand stepping in around the 1.1353 week low. Price is mid-range near 1.1382, hugging the EMA20/EMA50 cluster with RSI(14) flat around neutral. Eurozone PMI beats and firmer IFO have done little; the tape is USD-led and coiled into tonight's FOMC.
Support: 1.1376, 1.1353, 1.1324
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1405, 1.1418
What it said to watch
FOMC 18:00 GMT is the near-term driver and can break this range in either direction
H1 close above 1.1400 opens the path back toward the 1.1418 week high
Failure to hold the 1.1353 week low exposes the 1.1324 ytd low
EUR/USD has spent the week grinding in a 1.1355–1.1414 range, with the 1.1400 pivot capping two pushes and the weekly low near 1.1355 holding on the dips. Price firmed back toward 1.1390 through yesterday's NY session as the USD softened into the Fed, but has drifted back to 1.1382 and sits just under EMA(20) with RSI(14) stalled around mid-range. The whole structure is coiling as a 'hawkish hold' sits largely priced.
Support: 1.1355, 1.1324
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1414
What it said to watch
FOMC decision ~18:00 GMT today can force the range break in either direction
H1 close above the 1.1400 pivot opens the path back to the 1.1414 week high
Loss of the 1.1355 week low exposes the 1.1324 ytd low
16:01 UTC
Range-bound, coiling into FOMC · RSI 45 · price 1.13794
Range between 1.1353 and 1.1400 pivot.
EUR/USD has spent the week caged between the 1.1353 week low and the 1.1400 pivot, drifting lower toward the middle of that range after rejection near the 1.1414 week high on Tuesday. Price now sits back under EMA20 with RSI(14) mid-40s, the pair pinned as USD softened into the Fed on a weaker US Consumer Confidence print. Structure is two-way and compressed ahead of the decision.
Support: 1.1353, 1.1324
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1414
What it said to watch
FOMC at 18:00 GMT (~2h) can override this range read entirely
H1 close above the 1.1400 pivot opens a retest of the 1.1414 week high
Loss of 1.1353 week low exposes the 1.1324 ytd low
15:01 UTC
Sideways, range-bound · RSI 51 · price 1.13915
1.1353–1.1418 range, coiling mid-range.
EUR/USD has spent the week trapped in a 1.1300–1.1400 band near one-month lows, with the 1.1414 area capping and 1.1353 holding the downside. Price has ticked back to 1.1390 into the NY session as the USD softened ahead of tonight's FOMC, sitting right on the EMA(20) with RSI(14) flat around the midline. The move is USD-led positioning rather than a genuine euro bid.
Support: 1.1353, 1.1324
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1414
What it said to watch
FOMC 18:00 GMT today can materially shift this read
H1 close below 1.1353 week low opens the path to the 1.1324 ytd low
H1 close above 1.1400 range cap negates the range-bound read
14:01 UTC
Range, rolling over from top · RSI 42 · price 1.13784
Capped near 1.1405, pulling back under EMAs.
EUR/USD recovered off Monday's 1.1353 low to retest the 1.1405 area twice yesterday but rejection there capped the move, and price has since slid back under EMA20 into the NY session. RSI(14) has cooled to the low 40s as the pair trades a 1.1353-1.1418 weekly band, now testing the day low at 1.1374. Positioning is compressing ahead of the 18:00 GMT Fed decision.
Support: 1.13743, 1.1353, 1.13324
Resistance: 1.14048, 1.1391, 1.14177
What it said to watch
FOMC at 18:00 GMT will drive the next leg; a hawkish hold pressures toward the weekly low at 1.1353
Loss of 1.1374 day low opens the 1.1353 weekly low
H1 close back above 1.1391 EMA20 negates the pullback read
13:01 UTC
Range, rolling over off the top · RSI 44 · price 1.13784
Range-bound 1.1356-1.1418, price mid-lower.
EURUSD has spent the week pinned in a 1.1356-1.1418 range near monthly lows, with the dollar the dominant driver into tonight's Fed. Yesterday's NY push to 1.14048 was rejected and price has slipped back under both EMAs, drifting to 1.13784 with RSI(14) cycling in the low 40s. The 1.1400 handle continues to cap recovery attempts while 1.1356 marks the range floor.
Support: 1.1370, 1.13557, 1.1353
Resistance: 1.1392, 1.1400, 1.14048
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 GMT is the dominant driver — capable of resolving the range in either direction
H1 close below 1.13557 confirms a lower low and opens the 1.1353 monthly low
Reclaim of 1.1400 negates the roll-over and reopens the range top
EURUSD is pinned inside a 1.1353-1.1417 range this week, with the 1.1400 handle rejecting the latest recovery from the 1.1353 monthly low and price now easing back to the 50% fib near 1.1380. RSI(14) has cooled toward the mid-40s as the bounce lost steam, and price has slipped back below EMA(20) into the NY session. The tape is USD-led and consolidative ahead of tonight's Fed decision rather than a genuine EUR revival.
Support: 1.13803, 1.13557, 1.1324
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14177
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 GMT is the dominant driver and can break this range either way
H1 close below 1.1353 monthly low opens the path to the 1.1324 ytd low
Reclaim of the 1.1400 cap would negate the rejection and reopen the week high at 1.1417
EUR/USD has coiled between 1.1353 and 1.1414 all week, clawing off the 1.1353 week low into the NY session as the dollar eased pre-FOMC. Price is pinned around EMA20/EMA50 with RSI(14) hovering near 48, and the last bar rejected the 1.1400 round number. The 1.1400 handle has capped repeated attempts, keeping the range top respected.
Support: 1.1353, 1.1373, 1.1324
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1414
What it said to watch
FOMC at 18:00 GMT is the dominant catalyst — a dovish tilt could break 1.1400 toward 1.1414
H1 close above 1.1400 opens the path back to the 1.1414 week high
Failure to hold 1.1353 confirms a lower low toward the 1.1324 ytd low
11:01 UTC
Range-bound, no clear trend · RSI 50 · price 1.13902
Recovery off Tuesday low, ranging mid-range.
EUR/USD is boxed in a 1.1353-1.1414 range this week, drifting to Tuesday's low near 1.1353 on USD strength before recovering to 1.1402 and settling back around 1.1390. Price sits right on the H1 EMA20 with RSI(14) hovering near 50, reflecting the pre-FOMC stall the digest flags as traders sit on hands. Recent high at 1.14020 capped the recovery, keeping the pair mid-range.
Support: 1.1365, 1.1353, 1.13324
Resistance: 1.1402, 1.1414
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 GMT is the key USD driver and could break this range read
H1 close above 1.14020 opens the path to the week high at 1.14140
Failure to hold 1.13650 reopens Tuesday's week low at 1.13530
EUR/USD is pinned around the EMA(20) near 1.1390 after a two-day recovery off the 1.1353 week low, aided by a softer dollar into FOMC. The week's range is boxed between 1.14177 above and 1.1353 below, with 1.1405 capping the last two upside attempts. Price is coiling mid-range as traders sit on their hands ahead of tonight's Fed decision.
Support: 1.13655, 1.1353, 1.13324
Resistance: 1.1405, 1.1400, 1.14177
What it said to watch
FOMC tonight (18:00 GMT) is the dominant catalyst and can break this range either way
Sustained H1 close above 1.1405 opens the path back to the 1.14177 week high
Loss of 1.13655 swing low reopens the 1.1353 week low
EUR/USD bounced from the 1.1356 week low into a series of higher lows, dragging RSI(14) back to mid-range as the dollar softened pre-FOMC. Price is consolidating just under the 1.1400 recovery ceiling, holding above EMA(20) but capped by supply into the round number. The 1.1300–1.1400 range remains intact heading into tonight's Fed decision.
Support: 1.1385, 1.1356, 1.1353
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1418
What it said to watch
FOMC tonight (18:00 GMT) is the dominant catalyst and could reprice the whole range
H1 close above 1.1400 opens the path to the 1.1418 week high
Failure to hold 1.1356 confirms a lower low toward the 1.1353 monthly low
EUR/USD recovered from the week low near 1.1353 into the NY session and has since coiled in a tight consolidation between the range floor around 1.1385 and the 1.1400 psych level, with the USD easing pre-Fed. Price sits just above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) mid-range near 53, momentum flat into the decision. Two probes toward 1.1400 have stalled; the 1.1417 week high marks the next cap.
Support: 1.1385, 1.1356, 1.1353
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1417
What it said to watch
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC and Powell presser 18:30 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close above 1.1400 psych opens the path to the 1.1417 week high
Failure to hold the 1.1385 range floor exposes the 1.1356 swing low and 1.1353 week low
09:01 UTC
Recovering off weekly lows, momentum flattening near 1.1400 · RSI 57 · price 1.13978
Higher lows since Monday, capped at 1.1404 pivot.
EUR/USD has clawed back from Monday's 1.1353 low, grinding higher through the NY session and holding above EMA(20) with RSI(14) cycling in the mid-50s. The 1.1400 pivot has capped the last two pushes while dips have found demand near 1.1386; a weekend gap up remains the earliest reference in the window. USD softened pre-Fed after weak US Consumer Confidence, letting the pair press back toward 1.1400.
Support: 1.1386, 1.1365, 1.1353
Resistance: 1.1404, 1.1414
What it said to watch
FOMC decision today 18:00 UTC — a knife-edge hold with ~30% hike priced can materially shift this read
H1 close above 1.1414 opens the week high
Loss of 1.1386 and a slip under 1.1365 threatens the higher-low sequence
EUR/USD carved a fresh one-month low near 1.1353 mid-week before grinding back through the NY session, reclaiming EMA20 and EMA50 and pushing to 1.1400 into today. The 1.1400 psych level and the 1.1414 week high have capped two attempts, keeping price inside the ~1.1350–1.1414 range flagged across desks. Buyers stepped in repeatedly around the 1.1385 area, but momentum is muted with traders sidelined ahead of the Fed.
Support: 1.1385, 1.13557
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1414
What it said to watch
Today's FOMC (18:00 UTC) is the dominant catalyst and could materially shift this read
H1 close above 1.14140 opens the path back toward the range top
Failure to hold 1.13850 reopens the 1.13557 week low
08:01 UTC
Recovery within a range · RSI 53 · price 1.13916
Range-bound, bouncing off weekly low toward the 1.1400 ceiling.
EURUSD carved a double bottom near the weekly low around 1.1353 and has recovered toward the 1.1400 ceiling flagged across desks, now consolidating near the weekly open around 1.1392. Price sits just above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI mid-range, consistent with the ~1.1350-1.1400 range that has framed this week. The move firmed as softer US Consumer Confidence trimmed the dollar into the FOMC.
Support: 1.1362, 1.1353
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1414
What it said to watch
Today's FOMC decision (18:00 UTC) is the dominant catalyst and could materially shift this read
H1 close above 1.1400 opens the path toward the 1.1414 week high
Failure to hold 1.1362 puts the 1.1353 weekly low back in play
EUR/USD has clawed back from Tuesday's 1.1353 week low, printing higher lows since and now trading above both EMA(20) and EMA(50) into the NY session, with RSI(14) cycling around 58. The 1.1400 round number remains the recovery cap the digest flagged, while the broader 1.1353-1.1427 weekly range still holds. USD softness after weak Consumer Confidence and Richmond Fed prints supported the bounce.
Support: 1.1385, 1.13561, 1.1368
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1414, 1.14272
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC (~11h away) could materially shift this read
Hourly close above 1.14000 opens the path to the 1.14140 week high
Failure to hold the rising trendline near 1.13850 exposes the 1.13561 week low
06:01 UTC
Recovery toward range top · RSI 62 · price 1.13999
Higher lows off Tuesday's low, retesting 1.1400 pivot.
EUR/USD has clawed back toward the 1.1400 pivot after basing twice near 1.1353 on Tuesday, with a soft US Consumer Confidence print and easing DXY supporting the bounce into the NY-Asia transition. Price holds above EMA20 and EMA50 as RSI(14) cycles in the 55-62 band, but 1.1400 has capped repeated attempts this week and remains the line to clear. Structure is a recovery of higher lows within a broader range that still respects 1.1400 overhead.
Support: 1.1385, 1.1353, 1.1324
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1414
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1400 pivot shifts the range read higher toward 1.1414
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC could materially reprice this read
Failure to hold 1.1353 swing low reopens the 1.1324 YTD low
06:01 UTC
Downtrend, bounce into pivot · RSI 59 · price 1.13999
Recovery off week low, testing 1.1400.
EUR/USD spent the week grinding lower from Monday's 1.1427 open to a 1.1353 base, then clawed back toward the 1.1400 pivot as soft US Consumer Confidence and slipping DXY pared the dollar rally. The recovery holds above EMA(20) with RSI(14) climbing back to the high-50s, and price now sits right on the 61.8% retrace of the week's decline near 1.1400 — the level that has capped repeated attempts this week.
Support: 1.1385, 1.1353, 1.1324
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14272
What it said to watch
FOMC decision today 18:00 UTC is a live-risk event that could materially shift this read
H1 close above 1.1400 pivot shifts the range bias higher toward the 1.14272 week open
Failure to hold 1.13530 week low opens the path to the 1.1324 ytd low
05:02 UTC
Recovery off week low, nearing cap · RSI 62 · price 1.14006
Range 1.1353–1.1414, higher lows since week low.
EUR/USD has climbed off the 1.1353 week low along a series of higher lows, retaking EMA20 and pressing the 1.1400 round number as US Consumer Confidence softened and DXY eased. The 1.14138 week high has capped the top of the range so far. Price now sits at the upper edge of the 1.1353–1.1414 band into the FOMC decision.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1388, 1.1353
Resistance: 1.14138, 1.14177
What it said to watch
FOMC decision today 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst for the USD leg
H1 close above 1.14138 week high opens the path higher out of the range
Failure to hold 1.1388 ema20 shifts focus back toward the 1.1353 week low
05:02 UTC
Recovery off monthly lows, testing cap · RSI 63 · price 1.14006
Higher lows since Tuesday, pressing 1.1400.
EUR/USD probed a fresh monthly low near 1.1353/1.1360 mid-week before buyers stepped in, carving a double base and lifting price back to the 1.1400 cap as US Consumer Confidence softened and DXY eased. Price now sits above EMA20 with RSI(14) cycling up toward 63, holding a run of higher lows since Tuesday. The 1.1400 area — which has repeatedly capped this week — is the immediate test.
Support: 1.1389, 1.1360, 1.1324
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1414
What it said to watch
FOMC 18:00 UTC + Powell/Warsh presser is the dominant near-term catalyst for this read
H1 close above the 1.1400 cap sustains the recovery toward the 1.1414 wk high
Failure to hold 1.1360 monthly low reopens the 1.1324 ytd low
04:01 UTC
Recovery off weekly lows, momentum building · RSI 58 · price 1.13963
Based near 1.1353, grinding higher into FOMC.
EUR/USD based near the 1.1353 weekly low on Tuesday and has ground higher through the Asia session, now pressing toward the 1.1400 handle that capped moves earlier in the week. Price sits above EMA20 with RSI(14) recovering into the high-50s, confirming the corrective bounce inside the broader 1.1300-1.1400 weekly range. The 1.1400 round number remains the pivot separating range-bound drift from a fuller retracement of Monday's decline.
Support: 1.1385, 1.1353, 1.1324
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14138, 1.14347
What it said to watch
FOMC today 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can override this structural read
H1 close above 1.1400 opens the path toward 1.14138
Failure to hold 1.1385 EMA20 risks a retest of the 1.1353 weekly low
EUR/USD carved a double bottom near the 1.1353 weekly low and has recovered through the Asia and London sessions, now holding above EMA20 with RSI(14) back near 56. The move stalled at the 1.1400 handle earlier this week; that zone plus the 1.1414 week high still cap the bounce as the dollar stays firm into the Fed.
Support: 1.1385, 1.1353, 1.1324
Resistance: 1.1402, 1.1414
What it said to watch
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC is the dominant driver — could reset this read
H1 close above 1.1402 opens a retest of the 1.1414 week high
Loss of 1.1385 EMA20 and 1.1353 exposes the 1.1324 ytd low
EUR/USD slid from Monday's open near 1.1435 to this week's low at 1.1355 before a corrective bounce back above EMA20 through the NY session. Price is now probing the 1.1400 range top that has capped every attempt this week, with RSI(14) recovering toward 60. The tone stays soft into FOMC, with the euro pinned near monthly lows by dollar strength.
Support: 1.1385, 1.1355, 1.1324
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1414
What it said to watch
FOMC decision today 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
H1 close above 1.1400 range top opens the path back toward 1.1414
Failure to hold the week low at 1.1355 exposes the 1.1324 ytd low
EUR/USD slid from Monday's 1.1435 open to fresh monthly lows near 1.1353 before demand stepped in through the NY session and lifted price back to 1.1395. The recovery has reclaimed both H1 EMAs with RSI(14) cycling back above 55, but the 1.1400 handle remains the immediate cap. The whole week sits inside a 1.1350–1.1418 range as the market holds directional bets ahead of the FOMC.
Support: 1.1353, 1.1324
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14177
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1400 opens the path to the 1.14177 week high
Failure to hold 1.1353 confirms a lower low toward the 1.1324 ytd low
FOMC decision today (18:00 UTC) is the dominant driver and can override this range read
Range after early-week decline, holding above EMA20.
EUR/USD slid from 1.1435 into Monday's session to base twice near 1.1353, then recovered into a 1.1355-1.1414 range through the week as USD dominance capped upside ahead of the Fed. Price is now mid-range around 1.1391, holding above EMA20 with RSI(14) cycling in the low-50s. The 1.1400 area and week high at 1.1414 have capped every rally attempt.
Support: 1.1378, 1.1353
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1414
What it said to watch
FOMC decision today 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this range
Loss of 1.1353 week low confirms a lower-low toward the low-1.13s
Close above 1.1414 week high invalidates the range read
02:01 UTC
Downtrend on the week, near-term recovery · RSI 55 · price 1.13907
Bounce off week low, consolidating below 1.1400.
EUR/USD faded a push toward 1.1418 earlier in the week and slid into the low-1.13s as the dollar stayed firm into FOMC. Price then bounced off the 1.1356 week low back to 1.1400 during the NY session before settling into a tight 1.1385–1.1391 range, holding just above EMA(20). RSI(14) has recovered to the mid-50s but momentum is flat inside the consolidation.
Support: 1.1385, 1.13557
Resistance: 1.1402, 1.1418
What it said to watch
FOMC decision Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst and can reset this read
H1 close above 1.14020 ny high reopens the 1.14180 week high
Loss of 1.13850 range floor exposes the 1.13557 week low
EUR/USD slid to a fresh week low near 1.1353 mid-week as USD firmed into FOMC, then twin lows around 1.1353/1.1356 marked a base and price recovered above EMA20 to trade near 1.1391. Rallies remain capped below the 1.1400 area that turned back two attempts this week; RSI(14) has cycled back to the mid-50s off oversold. Price is pinned mid-range ahead of the Fed.
Support: 1.1362, 1.1353
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1418
What it said to watch
FOMC decision today 18:00 UTC is the dominant driver and can break this range either way
H1 close above 1.1400 opens the path back toward 1.1418
Failure to hold 1.1362 exposes the 1.1353 week low
EURUSD has ranged between the 1.1353 week low and the 1.1418 cap since Monday, with the pair rolling over from 1.1414 into the 1.1353 low before a NY-session bounce reclaimed 1.1400. Price now sits mid-range near 1.1391, holding just above EMA20 as RSI cycles around 50. The soft-USD-vs-firm-USD tension is on hold ahead of the FOMC decision, keeping intraday moves contained.
Support: 1.1353, 1.1377
Resistance: 1.1402, 1.1418
What it said to watch
FOMC decision today 18:00 UTC is the dominant driver and could break this range
H1 close below 1.1353 confirms a lower low toward the 1.1362 monthly low and 1.1324
EUR/USD ground to fresh weekly lows near 1.1353 through the week as the dollar firmed into FOMC, then found a bounce back toward 1.1400 before stalling. Price is now consolidating around EMA20 with RSI back near 49; the 1.1400 round number has capped the recovery and lower highs remain intact. Demand stepped in around 1.1353 but the broader tone stays heavy below the 1.1400/1.1418 zone.
Support: 1.1353, 1.1324
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1418
What it said to watch
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could materially shift this read
H1 close above 1.1400 opens the path back to the 1.1418 prior high
Loss of 1.1353 confirms a lower-low toward the 1.1324 ytd low
00:01 UTC
Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 52 · price 1.13833
Lower highs into monthly lows, corrective bounce capped.
EUR/USD ground to fresh monthly lows near 1.1353 through Monday's session as pre-FOMC USD firmness dominated, then found demand for a bounce back toward 1.1400 during the NY session. That bounce was rejected at the 1.1400 area and price has since drifted back to sit on the EMA20 around 1.1383, with RSI recovering to the low-50s. The 1.1400/1.1418 zone caps the recovery while the 1.1362 monthly low and 1.1353 week low mark the downside pivots.
Support: 1.1362, 1.1353
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1418
What it said to watch
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could materially shift this read
H1 close above 1.1400 challenges the downtrend and opens the path to 1.1418
Break below 1.1353 confirms a lower low toward the 1.1324 YTD low