EUR/USD AI Live Scan, 1-hour chart, Thursday, 30 July 2026

Every read JAFX AI made on the EUR/USD 1-hour chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.

23:01 UTC

Uptrend, momentum consolidating · RSI 65 · price 1.15275

Higher highs, holding near week top.

EUR/USD broke sharply higher into the NY session yesterday, clearing 1.1470 and extending to a week high at 1.15367 as a softer post-FOMC dollar met firm Eurozone Q2 GDP and hot German CPI. Price has since stalled just below that high, holding above EMA(20) with RSI(14) cooling from overbought into the mid-60s. The 1.15134 swing low has contained the pullback so far, keeping the breakout structure intact.

Support: 1.15134, 1.1471, 1.14339

Resistance: 1.15367

What it said to watch

  • Eurozone flash HICP Fri 09:00 UTC is the week's key EUR catalyst and could shift this read
  • Loss of 1.15134 opens a deeper retrace toward the 1.1470 breakout zone
  • H1 close back below 1.14710 invalidates the breakout

22:01 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 67 · price 1.15269

Impulse into consolidation below week high.

EUR/USD ripped higher through the NY session after the hawkish-hold FOMC and soft US GDP/PCE data, clearing the 1.1470 breakout and printing a week high at 1.15367. Price is now consolidating in the low 1.1520s just under that high with RSI(14) elevated but flattening as the surge digests. Structure sits well above EMA(20) and EMA(50), both trailing beneath the range.

Support: 1.1523, 1.1470, 1.14339

Resistance: 1.15367

What it said to watch

  • Hourly close back below 1.1470 unwinds the breakout read
  • Sustained close above 1.15367 opens the path higher
  • Eurozone flash HICP Fri 09:00 UTC is the week's key EUR catalyst

21:01 UTC

Uptrend, momentum extended · RSI 71 · price 1.15302

Higher highs, higher lows since Wednesday.

EUR/USD accelerated through the NY session after the FOMC hawkish hold and soft US GDP/core PCE, clearing the 1.1470 breakout level and pushing to a 1.15367 session high. Price is consolidating just below that high with RSI(14) stretched into overbought, holding well above rising EMA(20)/EMA(50). The dominant impulse this week ran from the 1.1376 base into today's highs.

Support: 1.15023, 1.1471, 1.14471

Resistance: 1.15367, 1.1550

What it said to watch

  • Eurozone flash HICP Fri 09:00 UTC could materially shift this read
  • H1 close above 1.15367 session high opens the path to 1.1550
  • Failure to hold 1.15023 pullback low breaks the rising structure

20:01 UTC

Strong uptrend, extended · RSI 72 · price 1.15337

Impulsive breakout, higher highs.

EUR/USD tore out of the 1.1370-1.1470 range into the NY session, first on the Fed's hawkish-hold and Q2 GDP miss softening the USD, then extended after the Eurozone GDP double-beat and hot German CPI. Price is stacked well above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) pushing into overbought near 71, and buyers keep defending the 1.15134 swing low on each dip. Session high at 1.15367 is the immediate cap.

Support: 1.15134, 1.14985, 1.1471

Resistance: 1.15367, 1.1550

What it said to watch

  • Hold above 1.15134 keeps the breakout structure intact; loss opens 1.14985
  • H1 close above 1.15367 extends toward the 1.15500 psych level
  • Eurozone flash HICP Fri 09:00 UTC is the week's key EUR catalyst and could reset this read

19:01 UTC

Uptrend, momentum extended · RSI 71 · price 1.15337

Series of higher highs and higher lows.

EUR/USD accelerated through the NY session as the dollar faded on soft US Q2 GDP and cooler core PCE, breaking above the 1.1470 pivot and clearing 1.1500. Price now presses the week high at 1.15367 with RSI(14) stretched into overbought after the impulse. Pullbacks have held above the 1.15028 area since the break.

Support: 1.15028, 1.14735, 1.14513

Resistance: 1.15367, 1.1530

What it said to watch

  • Eurozone flash HICP Fri 09:00 UTC could materially shift this read
  • H1 close above 1.15367 opens the path to continuation
  • Failure to hold 1.15028 confirms a lower-low after the extended run

19:01 UTC

Uptrend, extended after breakout · RSI 71 · price 1.15315

Higher highs/higher lows, impulsive.

EUR/USD ripped higher through the back half of the week as the post-FOMC dollar fade accelerated on soft US Q2 GDP and cooler core PCE, with EUR firmed by a beat-heavy GDP/CPI cluster. Price cleared the 1.1470 pivot and the NY session extended to a fresh week high at 1.15367 before stalling. RSI(14) is stretched into overbought as the move outruns EMA(20), leaving the advance vertical and unretraced.

Support: 1.15134, 1.15023, 1.1470

Resistance: 1.15367

What it said to watch

  • Eurozone flash HICP Fri 09:00 UTC (core f/c 2.4%) is the next test for this move
  • H1 close back below 1.15023 breaks the rising higher-low sequence
  • Failure to reclaim 1.15367 keeps the week high capping

18:01 UTC

Uptrend, momentum strong · RSI 75 · price 1.15287

Series of higher highs, extended.

EUR/USD accelerated through the NY session on the Eurozone Q2 GDP double-beat and a softer USD post-FOMC, gapping higher off 1.1394 and printing a week high at 1.15367 before easing back near 1.1528. Price sits well above EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) stretched into overbought territory, so the move is extended into the close. The 1.1500 day-low zone is the first shelf holding the advance.

Support: 1.15023, 1.14735, 1.1470

Resistance: 1.15367

What it said to watch

  • Failure to hold 1.15023 opens the path back toward the 1.1470 week pivot
  • H1 close above 1.15367 extends the week high
  • Eurozone flash HICP Fri 09:00 UTC is the week's key catalyst and could reshape this read

17:01 UTC

Uptrend, momentum extended · RSI 72 · price 1.15231

Series of higher highs, fresh week high.

EUR/USD accelerated through the NY session after the soft US PCE/GDP miss and post-FOMC dollar wobble, breaking cleanly above the 1.1470 pivot and printing a fresh week high at 1.15367. Price sits well above EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) stretched into overbought territory near 72, so the move is extended after a near 180-pip impulse off the 1.1376 base. Buyers stepped in repeatedly on shallow pullbacks, keeping the week's higher-low sequence intact.

Support: 1.15023, 1.1470, 1.14339

Resistance: 1.15367

What it said to watch

  • Eurozone flash HICP (Fri 09:00 UTC) — core is the key print and could reprice the ECB hike bet
  • Loss of the 1.15023 session low would mark the first lower-low since the breakout
  • H1 close back below the 1.1470 pivot would neutralise the breakout read

16:01 UTC

Uptrend, accelerating · RSI 74 · price 1.15021

Higher highs, breakout extension.

EUR/USD ran hard through the NY session, breaking the 1.1470 pivot and stretching to a 1.15367 session high after the Q2 GDP double-beat and hot German CPI kept September ECB hike bets alive. Price now consolidates just above the 1.1500 round number with RSI(14) pushed into overbought after the impulsive leg from Monday's 1.1435 base. The move held above EMA(20) throughout the advance, with prior 1.1470 area now flipped to support.

Support: 1.1500, 1.1470, 1.1435

Resistance: 1.15367

What it said to watch

  • Eurozone flash HICP Fri 09:00 UTC (core f/c 2.4%) could materially shift this read
  • Failure to hold the 1.1470 pivot would unwind the breakout
  • H1 close back below 1.1500 round number signals stalling momentum

15:01 UTC

Strong uptrend, extended · RSI 68 · price 1.15021

Series of higher highs, fresh weekly highs.

EUR/USD accelerated through the NY session, breaking above the 1.1470 pivot and tagging fresh weekly highs at 1.15367 as soft US GDP/PCE met the Eurozone Q2 GDP double-beat. Price sits just under 1.1500 after a sharp rejection off 1.15367, with RSI(14) elevated near 68 and price holding well above the H1 EMA(20). The advance since Thursday has been near-vertical, leaving little intraday structure between here and the weekly high.

Support: 1.1500, 1.1471, 1.1434

Resistance: 1.15367, 1.15195

What it said to watch

  • Eurozone flash HICP Fri 09:00 UTC (core f/c 2.4%) could materially shift this read
  • Hourly close above 1.15367 extends the breakout
  • Failure to hold 1.1500 opens a pullback toward the 1.14710 prior high

15:01 UTC

Uptrend, momentum accelerating · RSI 76 · price 1.15274

Higher highs, fresh breakout.

EUR/USD accelerated through the NY session, clearing the 1.1470 pivot and the 1.1500 round number to print fresh week highs at 1.15274. The leg is driven by a soft-USD backdrop post-FOMC and yesterday's US GDP miss, layered on EUR firmness after the Eurozone Q2 GDP double-beat and hot German CPI. RSI(14) is stretched into overbought territory as price sits well above EMA(20) and EMA(50).

Support: 1.1500, 1.1470, 1.1435

Resistance: 1.15274

What it said to watch

  • Eurozone flash HICP Fri 09:00 UTC (core f/c 2.4%) could materially shift this read
  • H1 close back below 1.1500 would neutralise the breakout
  • Failure to hold the 1.1470 pivot on a pullback confirms loss of upside momentum

14:01 UTC

Uptrend, extended after breakout · RSI 64 · price 1.14725

Higher highs, higher lows above 1.14.

EURUSD broke out of the 1.1435-1.1475 range yesterday, a single London-hour bar surging to 1.1452 as EUR stayed underpinned by the Q2 GDP beat and hot German CPI. Price has since carved higher lows into the NY session and printed a fresh week high at 1.1484, holding well above EMA(20) and EMA(50). RSI(14) is elevated near 64 but not yet at extremes as the move extends.

Support: 1.14428, 1.1435, 1.1385

Resistance: 1.14836, 1.14743

What it said to watch

  • H1 close below 1.14428 breaks the rising higher-low structure
  • Loss of 1.14350 daily low reopens the 1.1385 breakout base
  • Eurozone flash HICP Fri 09:00 UTC could materially shift this read; a break of 1.14836 week high extends the move

13:01 UTC

Uptrend, momentum extended · RSI 70 · price 1.14767

Higher highs, breakout above weekly range top.

EUR/USD accelerated through the 1.1475 Wednesday high in a single post-FOMC impulse, printing a fresh week high at 1.14836 as the dollar softened on the divided Fed hold. Price is holding well above EMA(20) with RSI(14) elevated near 70, confirming the breakout of the 1.14–1.15 band but leaving momentum stretched. The 1.14339 higher-low anchors the ascent since the reversal off 1.13743.

Support: 1.14468, 1.14339, 1.1400

Resistance: 1.14836, 1.14743

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 1.14836 extends the breakout toward the range top
  • Failure to hold 1.14468 would put the breakout retest in play
  • Eurozone flash HICP Fri 09:00 UTC could materially shift this read

12:01 UTC

Uptrend, extended after breakout · RSI 69 · price 1.14767

Range break, printing higher highs.

EURUSD broke sharply out of the 1.137–1.140 range it held since Monday, driven up during the NY session as EZ Q2 growth beats and hot German state CPIs pared ECB-cut pricing. Price is trading above EMA(20) and EMA(50) with a fresh week high at 1.14836; the pullback to 1.14339 was bought back and the pair pressed to new highs into this print. RSI(14) sits near 69, elevated but not yet at prior weekly extremes.

Support: 1.14428, 1.14339, 1.1400

Resistance: 1.14836

What it said to watch

  • US core PCE / Q2 GDP cluster at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
  • German flash HICP release skews near-term EUR risk higher into the print
  • Failure to hold 1.14428 opens the path back toward 1.14000
  • A close below 1.14339 confirms a lower-low and stalls the breakout

12:01 UTC

Uptrend, freshly extended · RSI 66 · price 1.14734

Breakout from week-long range, higher highs.

EUR broke out of the 1.1355–1.1415 range that held since Monday's open, surging from ~1.1374 to 1.1484 on the Eurozone GDP beat and hot German state CPIs. Price is holding the upper end of that impulse with RSI(14) elevated near 66 and well above both EMAs. The 1.14836 week high has capped the latest push, while the 1.1437 pullback low marks the nearest higher-low.

Support: 1.1437, 1.1400, 1.13743

Resistance: 1.14836, 1.1500

What it said to watch

  • German flash HICP at 12:00 GMT could materially shift this read
  • H1 close below 1.14370 breaks the recent higher-low structure
  • Sustained trade above 1.14836 opens the path toward 1.1500

11:01 UTC

Uptrend, extended after breakout · RSI 64 · price 1.14649

Higher highs, holding above broken range.

EUR broke out of a multi-day 1.1355-1.1400 range on Wednesday's NY session, the impulse candle running from ~1.1393 to 1.1452 on the block of strong Eurozone GDP beats. Price stalled at the 1.1474 week high, pulled back to 1.1434 and has since recovered toward 1.1465. Momentum stays constructive with RSI(14) cycling in the low 60s and price holding above EMA20 and EMA50.

Support: 1.14339, 1.14138, 1.1394

Resistance: 1.1471, 1.14743

What it said to watch

  • German flash HICP at 12:00 GMT (f/c 2.8% YoY) could extend or fade this breakout
  • US GDP / Core PCE cluster at 12:30 UTC is a two-way risk to the read
  • H1 close back below 1.14138 would confirm a failed retest of the breakout

10:01 UTC

Uptrend, momentum consolidating after spike · RSI 64 · price 1.14495

Range break, holding above breakout base.

EUR broke a multi-day 1.1355–1.1415 range with a sharp impulse into the London-NY window, driven by broad Eurozone Q2 GDP beats and hot German regional CPIs that trimmed ECB cut pricing. Price tagged 1.14743 then eased into a tight consolidation above the 1.14339 swing low, with RSI(14) cooling from overbought as the impulse digests. Both EMAs sit well below spot after the leg higher.

Support: 1.14339, 1.13925

Resistance: 1.14743

What it said to watch

  • German flash HICP at 12:00 GMT could materially shift this read
  • H1 close back below 1.14339 negates the breakout hold and reopens 1.13925
  • Reclaim of 1.14743 extends the breakout impulse

09:01 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling after breakout · RSI 57 · price 1.14495

Broke range, consolidating below week high.

The divided-FOMC reaction knocked the dollar back and spiked EURUSD out of the low-1.13s range on Wednesday, running to a 1.1474 week high. Since then price has consolidated between 1.1434 and 1.1471, holding well above EMA20 with RSI cooling off its post-spike highs. German flash HICP at 12:00 GMT is the near-term catalyst into this range.

Support: 1.1434, 1.1400, 1.1385

Resistance: 1.1474

What it said to watch

  • German HICP at 12:00 GMT could materially shift this read
  • H1 close above 1.1474 opens continuation higher
  • Failure to hold 1.1434 confirms a lower-low and range re-entry

09:01 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing post-spike · RSI 56 · price 1.14376

Breakout then consolidation below week high.

EUR/USD spent most of the week ranging in the 1.136-1.140 zone before a sharp impulse into the NY session lifted it to a 1.1471 week high after the divided Fed hold knocked the dollar. Price has since consolidated and is drifting off the highs, printing lower highs from 1.1474 while the breakout base near 1.1394 holds. RSI(14) has cooled from overbought toward the mid-50s as the day low at 1.14339 is now the immediate demand shelf.

Support: 1.14339, 1.1394, 1.13895

Resistance: 1.1471

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 1.1471 week high extends the breakout
  • Failure to hold 1.14339 day low opens the breakout base at 1.1394
  • German flash HICP (12:00 GMT) and US GDP/core PCE (12:30 GMT) could materially shift this read

08:01 UTC

Uptrend after impulse, momentum cooling · RSI 63 · price 1.14489

Breakout then consolidation below week high.

EUR/USD ripped through 1.1420 into the 1.14743 week high on the Fed's hawkish-hold-with-dissents, then stalled and has been consolidating in the mid-1.14s since. Price holds above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) elevated but flattening as the post-spike drift narrows. US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC is the next test of the residual September hike bet.

Support: 1.14428, 1.13941, 1.13561

Resistance: 1.14663, 1.14743

What it said to watch

  • US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
  • H1 close above 1.14743 extends the impulse toward 1.15
  • Failure to hold 1.14428 opens a fade back to the 1.13941 breakout base

07:01 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 65 · price 1.14497

Breakout from low-1.13s, consolidating below week high.

EUR/USD ripped out of the low-1.13s range yesterday, tagging 1.14743 as the USD sold off after the Fed's 9-3 hawkish hold was faded. Price has since consolidated in the mid-1.144s, holding well above EMA(20) with RSI(14) easing back from overbought. The week high at 1.14743 caps the move while the 1.14395 spike low marks the base of the breakout.

Support: 1.14472, 1.14395, 1.1400

Resistance: 1.14743, 1.14663

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 1.14743 opens continuation higher
  • Failure to hold 1.14395 signals the breakout fading
  • US Core PCE + GDP at 12:30 UTC (~6h) could materially shift this read

06:01 UTC

Uptrend, momentum consolidating · RSI 58 · price 1.14497

Post-breakout consolidation above 1.1450.

EUR/USD ripped above the mid-1.13s range into 1.1474 after the Fed's 9-3 hawkish hold sold the dollar, then settled into a tight consolidation just above 1.1450. Price is holding well above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI cooling off from the surge but staying above 50. The breakout base near 1.1440 and the session low at 1.1447 mark the floor of this week's dominant leg.

Support: 1.14472, 1.14395, 1.13945

Resistance: 1.14743, 1.14663

What it said to watch

  • US Core PCE/GDP cluster at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
  • Loss of 1.14472 session low opens the breakout base at 1.14395
  • H1 close above 1.14743 week high extends the recovery leg

06:01 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 63 · price 1.14501

Breakout above range, consolidating below week high.

EUR/USD ripped through its multi-day 1.1350–1.1400 range on the Fed's 9-3 hawkish hold, jumping ~60 pips in a single bar and extending to a 1.1474 week high before easing. Since that spike price has consolidated in the mid-1.14s, holding well above both EMAs with RSI(14) cooling from stretched levels. The breakout base near 1.1440 is the first structural marker; supply capped the advance at 1.1474.

Support: 1.1447, 1.1440, 1.1400

Resistance: 1.1474, 1.1480

What it said to watch

  • US Core PCE/GDP cluster at 12:30 GMT (~6h) is the first post-FOMC data test and could materially shift this read
  • EZ flash GDP and German HICP through the morning feed the near-term direction
  • H1 close back below 1.1440 breakout base would question the breakout
  • A clean push through 1.1480 opens the path to the next leg higher

05:01 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling after spike · RSI 64 · price 1.14501

Impulse leg then consolidation below week high.

EUR/USD tore above the 1.1400 pivot in yesterday's NY session on the hawkish Fed hold, spiking from the 1.138 base to a 1.14743 week high before settling. Price is now consolidating in a tight 1.1447–1.1470 band, holding well above EMA20 with RSI(14) cooling from overbought toward the low-60s. The 1.14472 range base has been defended into the Asia session.

Support: 1.14472, 1.1400, 1.13804

Resistance: 1.14743, 1.14663

What it said to watch

  • Eurozone flash GDP/HICP cluster today (05:30–09:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
  • H1 close above 1.14743 week high opens continuation toward the 1.1480 zone
  • Failure to hold the 1.14472 range base re-exposes the 1.1400 pivot
  • US Core PCE/GDP at 12:30 GMT is the key USD catalyst into the next bars

05:01 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing after breakout · RSI 63 · price 1.14497

Range break above 1.1400, consolidating below week high.

EUR/USD spent most of the week pinned in a 1.1355-1.1400 range before a sharp impulse into the NY session yesterday reclaimed 1.1400 and ran to a 1.14743 week high, the relief pop off the hawkish 9-3 Fed hold. Price has since stalled, drifting back to 1.1450 and holding above the former range top, with RSI(14) cooling from its post-breakout spike. Both EMA(20) and EMA(50) sit well below spot after the leg higher.

Support: 1.1440, 1.1400, 1.1353

Resistance: 1.14743, 1.1471

What it said to watch

  • Eurozone flash HICP/GDP cluster today (07:00-09:00 UTC) plus US Core PCE at 12:30 could materially shift this read
  • Acceptance above 1.14743 week high opens continuation; failure to hold 1.14400 range floor signals a retest of the 1.1400 pivot
  • H1 close back below 1.1400 re-exposes the 1.1353 week low

04:01 UTC

Uptrend after breakout, momentum easing · RSI 64 · price 1.14497

Broke above week-long 1.1400 cap, holding gains near highs.

EUR/USD ripped through the 1.1400 cap that had pinned it all week, spiking to 1.1474 on the FOMC-driven leg before settling in the upper 1.144s. Price sits well above EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) elevated but cooling as the pullback from 1.1474 develops. The prior range top at 1.1400 now sits below as a reference for any retest.

Support: 1.14472, 1.1400, 1.1418

Resistance: 1.14743, 1.14663

What it said to watch

  • H1 close back below 1.1400 negates the breakout and reopens the 1.136-1.140 range
  • EZ HICP (07:00 GMT) and GDP (08:00 GMT) could materially shift this read
  • Reclaim of 1.1474 needed to extend the impulse; failure keeps the pullback in play

04:01 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling after impulse · RSI 66 · price 1.14522

Breakout above 1.1400, consolidating near week high.

EUR/USD spent most of the week pinned below the 1.1400 cap, then broke sharply higher into the NY session after the Fed's hawkish hold and a softening USD, tagging a week high at 1.14743. Price has since flattened in the mid-1.145s, holding above the 1.14395 breakout low with RSI(14) elevated but cooling off its extreme. The 1.1400 pivot that capped repeated attempts earlier in the week now sits below as prior resistance.

Support: 1.14395, 1.1415, 1.1400

Resistance: 1.14743, 1.1471

What it said to watch

  • EZ HICP (07:00) and GDP (08:00) plus US Core PCE later could materially shift this read
  • H1 close back below 1.1400 would negate the breakout and put the prior cap back overhead
  • Failure to hold the 1.14395 breakout low signals the impulse is stalling

03:02 UTC

Breakout higher, momentum extended · RSI 64 · price 1.14522

Week-long range broken to the upside.

EUR/USD spent most of the week pinned in a 1.1355–1.1414 range before a sharp surge during NY hours lifted price to a 1.1474 session high — consistent with the softer-US-data / dovish-Fed repricing flagged toward 1.15. Price now consolidates just under that high, holding above the broken 1.1400–1.1414 range top. RSI(14) sits elevated near 64 after the impulse.

Support: 1.14395, 1.1414, 1.1400

Resistance: 1.14743, 1.1480

What it said to watch

  • US Core PCE at 12:30 GMT is high-impact and could materially shift this read
  • H1 close back below 1.1414 puts price back inside the prior range
  • Holding above 1.1440 keeps the breakout structure intact

03:01 UTC

Uptrend, post-breakout consolidation · RSI 69 · price 1.14522

Range break higher, holding near session highs.

EUR spent most of the week pinned in a 1.1355–1.1401 range before a vertical break during the NY session as the dollar repriced dovish post-FOMC, lifting price to a 1.14743 week high. Price is now consolidating just under that high, holding well above EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) stretched near 70. The 1.14000 prior range top has flipped to a floor, with the 1.14400 breakout zone the nearest reference below.

Support: 1.1440, 1.1400

Resistance: 1.14743, 1.1480

What it said to watch

  • US Core PCE at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
  • H1 close back below 1.14400 signals the breakout is filling back into the range
  • Acceptance above 1.14743 opens the path toward the 1.14800 area

02:01 UTC

Uptrend, fresh breakout · RSI 71 · price 1.14674

Range broken, higher highs.

EUR/USD ground sideways in a 1.1355–1.1420 range all week before ripping through the 1.1400 pivot in a single impulsive candle as the dollar eased post-FOMC. Price now trades above both EMAs at 1.1467 with RSI(14) stretched into overbought after the vertical move; the 1.14395 breakout low marks first support on any pullback. Session high at 1.14743 caps the advance, with 1.1480 the next resistance flagged into the upcoming US data.

Support: 1.14395, 1.1400, 1.1356

Resistance: 1.14743, 1.1480

What it said to watch

  • Core PCE / GDP batch at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
  • Loss of 1.14000 would negate the breakout and re-open the week range
  • H1 acceptance above 1.14743 opens the path toward 1.1480

02:01 UTC

Uptrend, fresh breakout · RSI 71 · price 1.14674

Range break, first higher highs.

EUR/USD spent most of the week pinned below the 1.1400 pivot near its summer lows, then ripped higher on the FOMC hold, clearing 1.1400 and running to a 1.1474 week high into the NY session. Price now sits well above the H1 EMA(20)/EMA(50) with RSI elevated around 71 after the impulse. The prior range cap at 1.1400 has flipped, with the post-break shelf at 1.1439 holding the first pullback.

Support: 1.14395, 1.1400, 1.13763

Resistance: 1.14743

What it said to watch

  • US Core PCE / GDP batch at 12:30 UTC (~10h) could materially shift this read
  • Failure to hold 1.1439 reopens the 1.1400 pivot as a retest
  • H1 close back below 1.1400 negates the range-break read

01:01 UTC

Uptrend, fresh breakout momentum · RSI 71 · price 1.14674

Range broken to upside post-FOMC.

EUR/USD spent most of the week pinned in a 1.1360–1.1400 range before ripping through the 1.1400 pivot on the Fed's hawkish hold, which removed the ~30% hike premium and triggered a dollar long-unwind. The impulse ran to a session high at 1.14743 with price now consolidating above EMA(20) and EMA(50). RSI(14) is elevated near 71 after the vertical move, and the first pullback found demand at 1.14395.

Support: 1.14395, 1.1400, 1.1380

Resistance: 1.14743, 1.14663

What it said to watch

  • H1 close back below 1.1400 would negate the range break and reopen the prior 1.1360–1.1400 zone
  • Failure to hold 1.14395 flags stalling breakout momentum
  • Core PCE + GDP Thu 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read

01:01 UTC

Uptrend, fresh breakout impulse · RSI 74 · price 1.14674

Range break above 1.1400 pivot, higher highs.

EUR/USD chopped sideways sub-1.1400 through most of the week before a vertical NY-session breakout after the Fed's hawkish-hold removed the priced hike premium, unwinding stretched dollar longs. Price cleared the 1.1400 pivot that had capped every attempt this week and ran to 1.14743, with RSI(14) now stretched into overbought near 73. Price sits well above EMA20 and EMA50 after the impulse.

Support: 1.14395, 1.1400, 1.1353

Resistance: 1.14743

What it said to watch

  • A pullback into 1.1400 would test the prior pivot as new support
  • Failure to hold 1.14395 signals the breakout is fading
  • US Core PCE/GDP Thu 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read

00:01 UTC

Uptrend, fresh breakout · RSI 75 · price 1.14716

Range break higher after week-long consolidation.

EUR/USD ground sideways just under 1.1400 for most of the week before the FOMC 'hawkish hold' stripped out the priced hike premium, triggering a USD long-unwind that drove a sharp breakout from 1.1394 up to 1.1472 in the NY session. Price now sits at the session high, extended above both EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) pushed into overbought territory. The 1.1400 pivot that capped repeated attempts all week has flipped to a reference level below.

Support: 1.1450, 1.1400, 1.13557

Resistance: 1.14718, 1.1500

What it said to watch

  • Failure to hold 1.1450 opens a retest of the 1.1400 pivot
  • Core PCE/GDP cluster Thu 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
  • H1 acceptance above 1.14718 extends the breakout toward 1.1500

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