Sunday's open pop stalled at the 1.3250 asian high, a lower high beneath Friday's 1.3256 nfp high set after the payrolls miss. Price is drifting back into the 1.3234–1.3250 Asian range, with RSI(14) near 45 and price just under EMA20.
Support: 1.32339, 1.32235
Resistance: 1.32499, 1.32557
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3234 asian low breaks the range and exposes the 1.3224 fri pullback near the 50% nfp leg fib
Close above 1.3250 breaks the lower highs line and puts the 1.3256 nfp high back in play
London open in ~7h is the first real liquidity test of the thin Asian range
US ISM Services at 14:00 UTC Monday could materially shift this read
Higher lows since NFP; early Asia capped below the NFP high.
Early Asia dipped to the 1.3234 asian low, then one bar lifted price to a 1.3250 asian high that matches Friday's late peak. Price is idling in the mid-1.324s, still below the 1.3256 NFP high, with the higher lows line from the 1.3224 swing low intact and RSI(14) neutral near 52.
Support: 1.32339, 1.32235
Resistance: 1.32499, 1.32557
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3250 asian high puts the 1.3256 NFP high back in play
Break of the 1.3234 asian low breaches the higher lows line and exposes the 1.3224 swing low, near the 50–61.8% zone of the nfp rally fib
US ISM Services PMI Mon 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher low at 1.3224 holding; tight range capped at 1.3250 in early Asia.
The NFP miss lifted cable from 1.3196 to the nfp high at 1.3256. The pullback held a swing low at 1.3224, near the 50% fib, and the rising lows from there remain intact. The early Asia push off the 1.3234 open low met rejection again at the 1.3250 prior high, and RSI(14) has flattened near 50.
Support: 1.3234, 1.32235
Resistance: 1.3250, 1.32557
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3250 prior high reopens the 1.3256 nfp high
Failure to hold the 1.3234 open low breaks the rising lows line toward the 1.3224 swing low
US ISM Services Mon 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
The weekly open lifted price from the 1.3234 sunday low back to Friday's 1.3250 late-NY high. That high sits within the NFP leg off 1.3196, which ran on the payrolls miss. Higher lows from the 1.3224 pullback low remain intact beneath the 1.3256 nfp high, with RSI(14) mid-50s on thin early-Asia liquidity.
Support: 1.32339, 1.32235
Resistance: 1.32497, 1.32557
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3256 nfp high extends the post-NFP uptrend
Rejection at the 1.3250 late-ny high plus a break of the 1.3234 sunday low exposes the 1.3224 pullback low near the 50–61.8% nfp leg fib
Break of the higher lows trendline undercuts the uptrend read
US ISM Services Mon 14:00 UTC (f/c 55.7) could materially shift this read
22:31 UTC
Uptrend, pressing Friday late high · RSI 62 · price 1.32487
Higher lows since the post-NFP pullback; capped at 1.3249 in thin early-Asia trade.
Early Asia session on the weekly open lifted price from the 1.3234 open low back to the Friday high at 1.3249 on thin liquidity, extending the rebound after Friday's 29K payrolls miss. Supply has capped 1.3249 three times since Friday's late NY session. The NFP high at 1.3256 sits just above, and rising support holds from the 1.3224 swing low.
Support: 1.3234, 1.32235, 1.3200
Resistance: 1.32489, 1.32557
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3256 nfp high extends the post-NFP higher-high chain
Failure to hold the 1.3234 open low exposes the 1.3224 swing low and rising support
Loss of the 1.3224 swing low opens the NFP leg fib 61.8% near 1.3219 and the 1.3200 round number
US ISM Services Mon 14:00 UTC (f/c 55.7) could materially shift this read
Higher lows since post-NFP 1.3224 swing low; capped at 1.3249.
The NFP miss drove a 1.3196–1.3256 leg. The pullback held the 1.3224 swing low near the 50% fib, and price has printed higher lows since. The Sunday open dipped to 1.3234 (sunday low), then a 14-pip push in thin early-Asia trade has price testing the 1.3249 ny high for a third time; RSI(14) is ~61.
Support: 1.32339, 1.32235
Resistance: 1.32489, 1.32557
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3249 ny high opens the 1.3256 nfp high
Failure to hold the 1.3234 sunday low breaks the higher lows trendline and exposes the 1.3224 swing low
ISM Services Mon 14:00 UTC (HIGH) could materially shift this read
22:01 UTC
Post-NFP uptrend, now consolidating · RSI 54 · price 1.32408
Range 1.3224–1.3256 after NFP impulse; lower high Friday, higher low at reopen.
The soft US payrolls print lifted GBPUSD from the 1.3196 pre-nfp low to a 1.3256 nfp high. The NY nfp pullback held 1.3224, near the 50% fib. Friday's late lower high at 1.3249 faded into the close, and the thin Asia session reopen has held the 1.3234 open low with price back at 1.3241.
Support: 1.32339, 1.32235, 1.3196
Resistance: 1.32489, 1.32557
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3249 lower high puts the 1.3256 nfp high back in play
Failure to hold the 1.3234 open low exposes the 1.3224 nfp pullback low and the 50% fib
A break of the 1.3224 nfp pullback low would undo the post-NFP higher-low sequence
ISM Services Mon 14:00 UTC (f/c 55.7) is the next high-impact USD risk; a beat could rebuild Fed hike odds
21:46 UTC
Post-NFP upleg, now flattening · RSI 50 · price 1.32377
Lower high under the NFP peak, holding above the swing low.
The NFP miss lifted cable from the 1.3196 pre-NFP low to a 1.3256 NFP high. The pullback held at the 1.3224 swing low near the 50% retrace, and the late-Friday push stalled at a 1.3249 lower high. The thin Asia session has opened flat with a 1.3234 open low, RSI(14) neutral near 50 and price hugging EMA20.
Support: 1.32339, 1.32235, 1.3196
Resistance: 1.32489, 1.32557
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3249 lower high, and then the 1.3256 NFP high, breaks the consolidation to the upside
Loss of the 1.3234 open low exposes the 1.3224 swing low; failure there shifts focus to the 1.3196 pre-NFP low
US ISM Services Mon 14:00 UTC (f/c 55.7) could materially shift this read
Lower high under the NFP high; post-NFP higher low intact.
The NFP miss lifted cable from the 1.3196 pre-NFP low to the 1.3256 NFP high. Supply then capped a late-Friday retry at a lower high of 1.3249. Thin Sunday-open trade now sits at 1.3235, on the 38.2% fib of that leg and above the 1.3224 post-NFP low, with RSI(14) neutral near 48.
Support: 1.3233, 1.3224, 1.3196
Resistance: 1.3249, 1.3256
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3249 lower high and the 1.3256 NFP high resumes the post-payrolls HH/HL chain
Failure to hold the 1.3224 post-NFP low breaks the higher-low sequence and exposes the 1.3196 pre-NFP low
Asia session liquidity is thin after the Sunday open, so ranges before London open may be unrepresentative
US ISM Services (Mon 14:00 UTC, HIGH) could materially shift this read
21:16 UTC
Post-NFP rally stalled, drifting lower at Sunday open · RSI 45 · price 1.32342
Range 1.3224–1.3256 after NFP spike, lower high at 1.3249.
The US payrolls miss lifted GBPUSD from the 1.3196 pre-nfp low to a 1.3256 nfp high. The 1.3224 swing low then held into a 1.3249 lower high late in the NY session. Thin Asia-session trade after the Sunday open has eased price back to 1.3234, below EMA20 with RSI(14) near 45, roughly 36% into the fib of the NFP leg and still inside the post-NFP range.
Support: 1.3224, 1.3196
Resistance: 1.3249, 1.3256
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3224 swing low breaks the post-NFP range and exposes the 1.3196 pre-nfp low
Close above the 1.3249 lower high reopens the 1.3256 nfp high and breaks the lower-high trendline
US ISM Services Mon 14:00 UTC (f/c 55.7) could materially shift this read
21:01 UTC
Post-NFP uptrend, momentum fading into the Friday close · RSI 46 · price 1.32369
Post-NFP range 1.3224–1.3256, late-NY lower high at 1.3249.
The 29K NFP miss broke GBPUSD out of the 1.3196–1.3221 pre-data range to an NY high at 1.3256. The 1.3224 swing low held near the 50% fib. A late-NY lower high at 1.3249 and a fade into the Friday close leave price at 1.3237, back under EMA20 with RSI(14) near 46.
Support: 1.3224, 1.3200
Resistance: 1.3249, 1.3256
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3224 swing low breaks the post-NFP higher-low and exposes 1.3200 psych and the 61.8% fib near 1.3219
Reclaim of the 1.3249 lower high, then the 1.3256 NY high, would resume the breakout leg
Weekly open gap risk, then US ISM Services Mon 14:00 UTC (f/c 55.7), could materially shift this read