GBP/USD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Tuesday, 6 October 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the GBP/USD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:46 UTC
Intraday uptrend stalled, lower highs since NY · RSI 40 · price 1.3266
London breakout above Asian range, now drifting below 1.3286 session high.
London broke the Asian range high at 1.3232 on the USD pullback and extended to a 1.3286 session high mid-NY. Lower highs have formed since, and price sits at 1.3266 on the 23.6% fib of the London leg with RSI(14) near 40. The 1.3261 swing low has held twice.
Support: 1.3261, 1.3255
Resistance: 1.3275, 1.3286
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3261 swing low exposes the 1.3255 breakout area and the 38.2% fib near 1.3253 on the London leg
Close above the 1.3275 rollover high breaks the lower highs line; 1.3286 session high is next above
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Post-NY range 1.3261–1.3280 below the 1.3286 session high.
London broke above the Asian range high at 1.3232 from the 1.3201 low, and the USD-driven rally peaked at the 1.3286 session high in NY. Since then price has held a 1.3261–1.3280 range into the Asia session; the swing low held twice and the post-rollover dip held there again. RSI(14) ~45 is neutral, price sits just under EMA20, and ATR has compressed to ~5 pips.
Support: 1.3261, 1.3248, 1.3232
Resistance: 1.3280, 1.3286, 1.3300
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3261 swing low breaks the range and puts the 1.3248 breakout lvl back in focus
Close above the 1.3280 range top re-tests the 1.3286 session high, with the 1.3300 round number above
Deeper pullback toward the 1.3232 Asian high would retrace about 60% of the London-NY rally
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC are the next USD catalyst that could materially shift this read
23:02 UTC
Intraday uptrend, stalled below day high · RSI 46 · price 1.32711
Post-breakout band 1.3266–1.3286, well above Asian range.
London broke the Asian range high at 1.3232, and the day's rally on a softer USD carried price from the 1.3201 Asian low to a 1.3286 NY day high. Since then price has coiled under the 1.3280 band top into the new Asia session. It is holding the 1.3266 swing low above the 23.6% fib, with RSI(14) flat near 46.
Support: 1.32664, 1.32609, 1.32532
Resistance: 1.32802, 1.32855, 1.3300
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3266 swing low and the 1.3261 NY low exposes the 38.2% fib at 1.3253
Close above the 1.3280 band top and the 1.3286 day high opens the path to the 1.3300 round number
Thin post-rollover Asia liquidity; dips like the spread-driven 21:15 print are unreliable
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Post-breakout consolidation 1.3261–1.3286 with lower highs.
London broke the Asian high near 1.3232 as the USD eased, carrying GBPUSD through the 1.3265 range top to a 1.3286 session high in NY. Since then price has consolidated between the 1.3261 NY low and the session high, with lower highs capping it. Price sits flat on EMA20 near 1.3273 after a thin rollover, RSI(14) is neutral at 47 and ATR is about 5 pips.
Support: 1.3265, 1.32609, 1.3232
Resistance: 1.32802, 1.32855, 1.3300
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3280 prior high breaks the lower-highs line and puts the 1.3286 session high and 1.3300 round number in play
Failure to hold the 1.3261 NY low puts price back below the 1.3265 range top, toward the 38.2% london leg fib near 1.3253
A return to the 1.3232 Asian high would unwind the London breakout
FOMC minutes on Wed at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
London impulse from 1.3201 to 1.3286, NY range 1.3261–1.3286 since.
London swept the Asian low at 1.3201, then broke the Asian range high and ran to the 1.3286 session high as the USD eased with yields. Through NY, rollover and into early Asia, the pair has held a 1.3261–1.3286 range. The ny lows sit at the 23.6% level of the 1.3201–1.3286 fib, RSI(14) is neutral near 48 and price is hugging EMA20.
Support: 1.3261, 1.3253
Resistance: 1.3286, 1.3300
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3261 ny lows breaks the range and exposes the fib 38.2 at 1.3253
Close above the 1.3286 session high opens the path to the 1.3300 round number
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
22:16 UTC
Uptrend paused, sideways since NY high · RSI 48 · price 1.32738
Post-breakout consolidation 1.3261–1.3280 above prior range top.
A USD pullback on easing Treasury yields drove the day's rally from the 1.3201 London-open low to a 1.3286 NY session high, clearing the 1.3265 prior range top. Since then price has held a tight 1.3261–1.3280 band below a lower high into the Asia session. The swing low at 1.3261 held twice, including a thin post-rollover dip, and RSI(14) sits neutral near 48.
Support: 1.3261
Resistance: 1.3280, 1.3286
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 1.3265 range top and the 1.3261 swing low would put the breakout in doubt
Close above the 1.3280 lower high reopens a test of the 1.3286 session high
Holding above the 38.2% retracement of the day's rally (~1.3253) keeps the advance shallow
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC are the next USD catalyst for this read
London-NY breakout above the Asian range, then a 1.3261–1.3286 range since the NY session high.
London broke the Asian range high at 1.3232, and the USD-led rally ran to a 1.3286 session high in NY as Treasury yields eased. Since then the pair has held a 1.3261–1.3286 consolidation, with the 1.3261 swing low tested twice near the 23.6% fib of the London-NY rally. Early Asia session finds price mid-range, RSI(14) flat at 49.
Support: 1.3261, 1.3248
Resistance: 1.32855, 1.3300
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3261 swing low exposes the 1.3248 breakout level and the 38.2% fib of the London-NY rally near 1.3253
M15 close above the 1.3286 session high resumes the London-NY rally toward the 1.3300 round number
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Post-NY consolidation: lower highs from 1.3286 over flat 1.3261 lows.
A USD-led London rally broke the Asian range and cleared the 1.3265 range top, peaking at the 1.3286 session high during NY before stalling. Since then the pair has printed lower highs at the 1.3280 pm high against a flat 1.3261 NY low, which held again on the thin rollover dip. Price sits on the fib 23.6 just under EMA20 as Asia opens.
Support: 1.3261, 1.3248
Resistance: 1.3280, 1.3286
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3261 NY low breaks the consolidation base and exposes the 1.3248 London base near the 38.2% fib
Close above the 1.3280 pm high reopens the 1.3286 session high
NY Fed inflation expectations and Fed's Logan on Wed, then FOMC minutes at 18:00 UTC, could materially shift this read
21:31 UTC
Uptrend stalling, drifting lower after NY · price 1.32676
London breakout above 1.3255, NY range 1.3268–1.3280, late dip to swing low.
A pre-London dip to 1.3201 reversed, and London broke the Asian range high at 1.3232. Softer USD and Mann's hawkish inflation remarks drove an ~85-pip leg to the 1.3286 session high. NY has since held a 1.3261–1.3286 range: the swing low at 1.3261 and the ny low at 1.3266 sit near the prior 1.3265 range top, while supply caps at the late NY high of 1.3280. Price is at 1.3267 into rollover, below EMA20, RSI(14) ~38 and ATR(14) ~5 pips.
Support: 1.32664, 1.32609, 1.3248
Resistance: 1.32802
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3261 swing low breaks the NY range and exposes the 1.3248 london shelf, near the 38.2% of the London rally fib
Holding the 1.3266 ny low keeps the range intact; a close above the 1.3280 late NY high puts the 1.3286 session high back in play
A break above the 1.3286 session high resumes the London rally leg
Thin Asia session after rollover; FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC are the next scheduled USD risk
Post-rally compression, rising lows vs lower highs.
London cleared the Asian range high near 1.3232 off the 1.3201 low. Mann's 'embedded inflation' warning and a softer USD then carried the rally to a 1.3286 day high in NY hours. Since then price has compressed into a pennant, with rising lows at 1.3261–1.3270 and lower highs near 1.3280, into the NY close; RSI flat near 51 and ATR under 5 pips.
Support: 1.3270, 1.3261, 1.3253
Resistance: 1.3280, 1.3286, 1.3300
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3261 ny low breaks the rising lows sequence and exposes the 38.2% fib at 1.3253
M15 close above the 1.3286 day high clears the lower highs and opens the 1.3300 round number
Asia session liquidity is thin; the range is likely to hold until London unless the 1.3270 rising lows give way
FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC are the next USD catalyst that could shift this read
20:46 UTC
Uptrend, momentum stalled into NY close · RSI 49 · price 1.3272
Higher lows and lower highs compressing below the 1.3286 day high.
London broke above the Asian range (1.3212–1.3232) after an early dip to 1.3201. The NY rally, on Mann's 'embedded inflation' remarks and a softer USD, set the 1.3286 day high from the 1.3255 break point. Price has since compressed into a pennant between the 1.3269 range low and 1.3280 range top late in NY, with RSI(14) neutral near 49.
Support: 1.3269, 1.3261, 1.3255
Resistance: 1.3280, 1.3286
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3280 range top and pennant resistance reopens the 1.3286 day high
Break of the 1.3269 range low and pennant support exposes the 1.3261 ny low, just under the 1.3265 former range top
Loss of the 1.3255 break point would retrace more than half of the 1.3201–1.3286 rally
Thin Asia session liquidity ahead; FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the next material USD risk
20:31 UTC
Uptrend, pausing in consolidation · RSI 54 · price 1.32759
Higher highs from the London low, now a tight 1.3266–1.3280 range late NY.
Early London swept the Asian range low to 1.3201, then ran ~85 pips as the USD softened and Mann's 'embedded inflation' remarks landed, topping at the 1.3286 session high in NY. Since the 16:00 UTC pullback, price has compressed between the 1.3266 range floor and the 1.3280 range top, holding above the 1.3265 breakout zone, with RSI(14) neutral near 54.
Support: 1.32664, 1.32609
Resistance: 1.32802
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3286 session high extends the higher-high chain from the London low
Loss of the 1.3266 range floor exposes the 1.3261 swing low, then the 38.2% of the London rally near 1.3253
Thin Asia session trade likely keeps price inside the range top/range floor band
FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the next USD catalyst that could shift this read
An early-London dip to 1.3201 reversed into an 85-pip rally through the 1.3212–1.3232 Asian range and the 1.3265 area, on Mann's 'embedded inflation' remarks and a softer USD, peaking at the 1.3286 session high in NY. Since then price has compressed between a 1.3273 range low and a 1.3280 range high, holding above EMA20 with RSI(14) near 55 and ATR around 4 pips.
Support: 1.3273, 1.3266, 1.3261
Resistance: 1.3280, 1.3286, 1.3300
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3280 range high and then the 1.3286 session high opens the 1.3300 round number
Failure to hold the 1.3266 swing low exposes the 1.3261 ny low and a retest of the 1.3265 breakout area
Thin Asia session ahead; FOMC Minutes later Wednesday (18:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
Higher lows from 1.3201; late-NY compression 1.3273–1.3280.
GBPUSD climbed about 85 pips from the 1.3201 early-London low on Mann's 'embedded inflation' remarks and a softer USD. It printed a 1.32855 session high before the late fade. Late NY has compressed into a 1.3273 range low to 1.3280 range top, above the 1.3266 swing low near the 23.6% fib of the london-ny leg, with RSI(14) neutral near 55.
Support: 1.32734, 1.32664, 1.32609
Resistance: 1.32802, 1.32855, 1.3300
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3280 range top reopens the 1.32855 session high and the 1.3300 round number
Failure to hold the 1.3266 swing low exposes the 1.3261 ny low; a break there ends the higher-low chain
FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
19:47 UTC
Intraday uptrend, stalled into late-NY range · RSI 55 · price 1.32746
London breakout above Asian range; rally trendline broken at 16:00 UTC, now ranging 1.3266–1.3280.
London took out the Asian range high near 1.3232 and ran about 85 pips from the 1.3201 pre-London low to a 1.3286 day high. Mann's hawkish remarks and a softer USD drove the move. The 16:00 UTC drop broke the rally trendline, but it held near the 23.6% retracement. Since then price has compressed between the 1.3266 range low and the 1.3280 range high into late NY, pinned to EMA20 with RSI(14) near 55.
Support: 1.32734, 1.32664, 1.32609
Resistance: 1.32802
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3280 range high reopens the 1.3286 day high
Loss of the 1.3273 late NY low puts the 1.3266 range low (near the 1.3265 old range top) back in play
Break below the 1.3261 swing low ends the higher-low chain and opens the 38.2% retracement near 1.3253
FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the next scheduled USD catalyst for this read
19:31 UTC
Uptrend, stalling in late NY range · RSI 58 · price 1.3277
London broke above Asian range; NY boxed 1.3261–1.3286 with a lower high.
London broke the Asian range (1.3201–1.3232) and ran to 1.3283, helped by Mann's embedded-inflation warning and a softer USD. Paused at the 1.3248 london shelf, then broke higher. NY has held a 1.3261–1.3286 box since: the 1.3286 day high was rejected, and late NY is drifting under a 1.3280 lower high, with the pullback low at 1.3266 sitting on the old 1.3265 range top and the 23.6% fib.
Support: 1.3266, 1.3261, 1.3248
Resistance: 1.3280, 1.3286
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3286 day high resumes the London breakout leg
Loss of the 1.3261 ny low breaks the NY range and exposes the 38.2% fib near 1.3253 and the 1.3248 london shelf
ATR near 4–5 pips into Asia session; no scheduled data until FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC
19:16 UTC
Intraday uptrend, now consolidating · RSI 52 · price 1.32768
Post-breakout range 1.3266–1.3280 below session high, higher lows intact.
London broke the 1.3212–1.3232 Asian range after an early dip to 1.3201. The late-London breakout from 1.3255 cleared the 1.3265 zone on softer USD and Mann's hawkish remarks, and price printed a 1.3286 session high at 15:45 UTC. Since that rejection, late NY has compressed into a 1.3266–1.3280 range on rising lows, with RSI(14) neutral near 52 and price holding the 23.6% retracement of the rally.
Support: 1.3266, 1.3261, 1.3255
Resistance: 1.3280, 1.32855, 1.3300
What it said to watch
An M15 close below the 1.3266 range floor and the 1.3261 swing low breaks the rising lows and exposes the 1.3255 breakout level
A close above the 1.3280 range top and the 1.3286 session high opens the 1.3300 round number
After the London close, Asia session ranges are typically thin; FOMC Minutes (Wed 18:00 UTC) are the next scheduled USD catalyst
Higher lows vs lower highs since 1.3286, compression in late NY.
After an early-London sweep to a 1.3201 swing low, GBP/USD staged a breakout above the Asian range and ran to a 1.3286 session high, helped by Mann's embedded-inflation warning and a softer USD. Late NY is compressing above the 1.3265 range top. Higher lows have formed from the 1.3261 NY low, while lower highs have printed at 1.3280.
Support: 1.3273, 1.3266, 1.3261
Resistance: 1.3280, 1.3286, 1.3300
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3286 session high breaks the compression, with the 1.3300 round number next
Clearance of the 1.3280 lower high is the first sign the compression is resolving higher
Failure to hold the 1.3273 swing low puts the 1.3265 range top and 1.3261 NY low back in play
FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
London open reversed from the 1.3201 Asian low and broke the Asian range high. The London leg cleared 1.3265 as the USD softened and Mann's embedded-inflation remarks firmed GBP. Since midday price has ranged between the 1.3261 NY low and the 1.3286 session high, with a 1.3280 lower high now sitting above a chain of higher lows off the 1.3266 swing low; RSI(14) is neutral near 46 and EMA20 is flat at price.
Support: 1.3266, 1.3261, 1.3253
Resistance: 1.3280, 1.3286
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3286 session high breaks the range top
Loss of the 1.3266 swing low and 1.3261 NY low breaks the higher lows and exposes the fib 38.2 of the London leg at 1.3253
No scheduled data before FOMC Minutes (Wed 18:00 UTC), the next USD catalyst for this read
Post-breakout consolidation, rising lows under 1.3280–1.3286 cap.
London swept the Asian low at 1.3201, then broke the 1.3248 consolidation to a 1.3286 session high as a softer USD and Mann's 'embedded inflation' remarks lifted GBP. Late in the NY session, price is compressing between rising lows (1.3261 swing low, 1.3268 higher low) and a 1.3280 lower high, with RSI(14) neutral near 50.
Support: 1.32685, 1.32609, 1.3248
Resistance: 1.32802, 1.32855, 1.3300
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3286 session high resumes the London rally toward the 1.3300 round number
Failure to hold the 1.3268 higher low breaks the rising lows line
Loss of the 1.3261 swing low exposes the 1.3248 breakout level and the 38.2% retrace of the London rally near 1.3253
FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the next scheduled USD risk to this structure
18:16 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 55 · price 1.32797
London breakout leg, then a 1.3261–1.3286 range with a higher low.
The London leg ran from the 1.3201 pre-open low through the Asian range high and the 1.3246 london high, helped by Mann's hawkish remarks and a softer USD. Since midday, price has held a 1.3261–1.3286 range. The 1.32664 higher low sits above the 1.32609 pullback low, and late NY is pressing back toward the 1.32855 session high.
Support: 1.32664, 1.32609, 1.3246
Resistance: 1.32855, 1.3300
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.32855 session high breaks the range and brings 1.3300 psych into view
Loss of the 1.32664 higher low and the 1.32609 pullback low puts the 1.3246 london high retest in play
Thin liquidity around the 21:00 UTC rollover can distort the range edges
FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
18:01 UTC
Intraday uptrend, NY consolidating near highs · RSI 61 · price 1.32789
Higher lows inside 1.3261–1.3286 NY range, well above Asian range.
Cable climbed from the 1.3201 pre-London low through the asian high at 1.3232, and an 11:00 UTC leg on Mann's 'embedded inflation' remarks and a softer USD lifted it to 1.3280. NY hours have held a 1.3261–1.3286 range with higher lows at the ny low and the 1.3266 swing low. Late NY, price is back near the session high on rising trendline support, with ATR(14) around 6 pips.
Support: 1.32664, 1.32609, 1.32315
Resistance: 1.32855, 1.3300
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3286 session high extends the higher-low sequence toward the 1.3300 round number
Break below the 1.3266 swing low and the rising trendline returns price to the ny low at 1.3261 and the 1.3265 range-top area
Loss of 1.3261 ny low exposes the 38.2% fib near 1.3253, with the asian high at 1.3232 below
FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift USD and this read
1.3261–1.3286 band since 11:30 UTC, higher lows inside.
A sweep below the Asian range low to 1.3201 at 06:00 UTC reversed into a London rally through the 1.3265 range top, driven by Mann's embedded-inflation remarks and a softer USD. Since late London, price has held a 1.3261–1.3286 band with a higher low at 1.3266 under the 1.3286 session high, and is sitting just above ema20 late in the NY session.
Support: 1.32664, 1.32609, 1.3248
Resistance: 1.32855, 1.3300
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3261 swing low breaks the higher-low sequence and exposes the 1.3248 london highs
Close above the 1.3286 session high opens the 1.3300 round number
Holding above the 38.2% retrace of the London rally fib (~1.3253) keeps the impulse intact
FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC (~24h) could materially shift the USD side of this read
17:31 UTC
Uptrend from 1.3201, now pausing in a range · RSI 53 · price 1.32714
Post-rally range 1.3261–1.3286; minor lower high forming under session high.
London broke above the Asian range from the 1.3201 early low, and a softer USD plus Mann's 'embedded inflation' remarks carried the pair through the morning london high at 1.3248 to a 1.3286 session high just after London close. Since then price has chopped in a 1.3261–1.3286 range just above the 1.3265 former range top, holding the 1.3266 swing low (23.6% fib) and pinned under the ema20 near 1.3273. RSI(14) is neutral at 53.
Support: 1.3266, 1.3261, 1.3248
Resistance: 1.3273, 1.3286, 1.3300
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3261 range low breaks the range and exposes the 1.3248 london high (38.2% fib zone)
Failure to hold the 1.3266 swing low ends the higher-low sequence since the 1.3201 low
Close above the 1.3286 session high puts the 1.3300 round number in play
Reclaim of the ema20 at 1.3273 needed to lift price off the range midpoint
FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC (~25h) is the next scheduled USD catalyst; late NY hours are quiet until then
17:16 UTC
Post-breakout uptrend, now ranging · RSI 52 · price 1.32706
Range 1.3261–1.3286 since London midday, failed push to new session high.
London swept below the Asian range to 1.3201, then rallied through the 1.3248 breakout level on Mann's embedded-inflation remarks and a softer USD. Since then price has held a 1.3261–1.3286 range. Late in the NY session, a push to a 1.32855 session high met rejection, and price is now drifting under the 1.3274 minor high, just above the 1.3266 pullback low.
Support: 1.32664, 1.32609, 1.3248
Resistance: 1.3274, 1.32855, 1.3300
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3261 swing low breaks the range floor and exposes the 1.3248 breakout level near the 38.2% fib
Reclaim of the 1.3274 minor high reopens the 1.3286 session high; acceptance above it opens the path to the 1.3300 round number
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the next scheduled USD catalyst for this range
17:01 UTC
Uptrend, pausing in late-NY range · RSI 51 · price 1.32708
Post-breakout range 1.3261–1.3286 above the Asian range.
London broke the Asian range top near 1.3232 after an early sweep to 1.3201. Mann's hawkish remarks and a softer USD then carried cable above the 1.3265 range top and the 1.3248 london high. NY has since held a 1.3261–1.3286 band, with the marginal new session high at 1.3286 rejected; price sits mid-range near 1.3271 with RSI around 51.
Support: 1.3265, 1.3261, 1.3248
Resistance: 1.3286, 1.3300
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3286 session high opens the 1.3300 round number
Loss of the 1.3261 swing low puts price back below the 1.3265 range top and rising support, exposing the 1.3248 london high and the 38.2% fib of the london-ny leg near 1.3253
FOMC Minutes (Wed 18:00 UTC) and BoE Greene/Lombardelli on Thu could reset this range
Post-breakout band 1.3261–1.3286, higher lows intact.
GBP/USD cleared the 1.3248 breakout lvl and the 1.3265 range top late in the London session on Mann's hawkish remarks and a softer USD. It has since held a 1.3261–1.3286 band through NY hours: the latest rejection at the 1.3286 session high was absorbed at the 1.3266 swing low, near the 23.6% fib of the 1.3201–1.3286 day leg. RSI(14) is neutral near 53 and price is pinned at EMA20.
Support: 1.3266, 1.3261, 1.3248
Resistance: 1.3286, 1.3300
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3261 range low breaks the higher-low sequence and exposes the 1.3248 breakout lvl
Clearance of the 1.3286 session high opens the path to the 1.3300 round number
No scheduled data in the next 8h; USD is tracking US 10y yields and oil, which can shift this read after NY close
16:31 UTC
Intraday uptrend, stalling below day high · RSI 50 · price 1.32725
Post range-break consolidation, higher low at 1.3266.
London broke the 1.3200–1.3265 range top late morning as the USD eased off annual highs, and NY has held a 1.3261–1.3286 band above it. The latest dip from the 1.3286 day high found buyers at 1.3266, a retest of the old range top near the 23.6% of the London leg. RSI(14) is neutral near 50 and ATR(14) is about 8 pips.
Support: 1.3266, 1.3261, 1.3248
Resistance: 1.3286, 1.3300
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3261 ny low puts price back inside the old range and exposes the 1.3248 pre-break hi
Close above the 1.3286 day high opens the 1.3300 round number
No scheduled data in the next 8h; FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC (~26h) is the main event risk for this read
16:16 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back from session high · RSI 51 · price 1.32686
Higher lows from London low, rejection at 1.3286 session high.
London swept below the Asian range to a 1.3201 london low, then a 1.3255 breakout carried GBPUSD through the 1.3265 range top as DXY slipped below 102.00. After London close, the 1.3286 session high was rejected and price is back at 1.3266, retesting the old range top above the 1.3261 ny low, with rising support from the London leg still intact.
Support: 1.3261, 1.3255, 1.3201
Resistance: 1.3286, 1.3300
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3261 ny low and rising support breaks the higher-low chain and exposes the 1.3255 breakout, near the 38.2% of the London leg
Reclaim of the 1.3286 session high opens the 1.3300 round number
Loss of 1.3255 returns price inside the old 1.3200–1.3265 range, putting the 1.3201 london low back in focus
FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC are the next scheduled USD risk; no calendar events in the next 8h
London breakout above 1.3250, NY ranging 1.3261–1.3286.
Cable rallied from the pre-London 1.3201 low, clearing the 1.3248 London high and the 1.3265 range top as the dollar eased off annual highs. Since then NY has held a 1.3261–1.3286 range: the latest bar was rejected at the 1.3286 session high, and RSI(14) has cooled to the low 50s while rising support from the early low stays intact.
Support: 1.3261, 1.3248
Resistance: 1.32855, 1.3300
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3286 session high opens the 1.3300 round number
Failure to hold the 1.3261 swing low breaks the rising support from the early low and puts the 1.3248 London high back in play
38.2% of the London rally fib sits near 1.3253, just above the London high
FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
London breakout above 1.3265 range top, NY pullback retested and held.
Cable cleared the 1.3265 range top during London as the dollar eased off its annual high, printing higher lows along rising support from the 1.3201 pre-London low. The NY pullback held the 1.3261 swing low as a retest, and price is now pressing the 1.3285 session high with RSI(14) near 62.
Support: 1.3261, 1.3248
Resistance: 1.3285, 1.3300
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3285 session high extends the higher-high chain toward the 1.3300 round number
Loss of rising support and the 1.3261 swing low would mark a false break back inside the old range, exposing the 1.3248 breakout base
No scheduled GBP or USD data in the next 8h; FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the next USD risk
London break of 1.3265 range top, higher low at 1.3261, flat tops near 1.3283.
From the 1.3201 day low, London cleared the asian high at 1.3231 and the prior 1.3200–1.3265 range top as the dollar eased off its highs. Price has held 1.3261–1.3284 since late London. The retest low near the 23.6% of the rally fib held into NY, while the session high has capped three times.
Support: 1.3261, 1.3248, 1.3231
Resistance: 1.3284, 1.3300
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3284 session high opens the 1.3300 round number
Loss of the 1.3261 retest low and the rally trendline exposes the 1.3248 london shelf near the 38.2% fib
Return below the 1.3231 asian high would mark the range-top breakout as a false break
FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
15:16 UTC
Uptrend, pressing session high · RSI 58 · price 1.32804
London breakout above Asian range and 1.3265 range top; NY higher low at 1.3261.
After a 06:00 UTC dip to 1.3201, London broke above the 1.3232 Asian high and then cleared the 1.3265 two-week range top as the USD paused on easing yields. The NY pullback held at the 1.3261 pullback low, a shallow retest of the old range top along the london leg trendline, and price is back pressing the 1.3283 session high with RSI(14) near 58.
Support: 1.3261, 1.3248, 1.3232
Resistance: 1.3283, 1.3300
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3283 session high opens the 1.3300 round number
Break back below the 1.3261 pullback low and the trendline puts price back inside the old 1.3200-1.3265 range
Loss of the 1.3248 london shelf would retrace the london leg past the 38.2% fib
FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
15:01 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pausing after London breakout · RSI 56 · price 1.32706
London breakout above 1.3248, NY pullback printing lower highs above 1.3261.
Cable rebounded from 1.3201 after London open as the USD paused on easing yields. It cleared the 1.3248 morning high and the 1.3265 range top, running to a 1.3283 session high. NY has since pulled back into a lower-high sequence, with the 1.3261 pullback low holding near the 23.6% fib of the London rally, RSI(14) cooling to ~56.
Support: 1.3261, 1.3248
Resistance: 1.3274, 1.3283, 1.3300
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3261 pullback low exposes the 1.3248 morning high and the 38.2% London rally fib near 1.3252
Close above the 1.3274 lower high reopens the 1.3283 session high and the 1.3300 round number
Bowman speech (14:45 UTC) is live and could shift the read; FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the bigger risk
14:31 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pulling back from session high · RSI 54 · price 1.3264
London break above Asian range and 1.3265 range top; lower highs since 12:30 UTC, retesting breakout zone.
Cable broke above the 1.3201–1.3232 Asian range in London and cleared the 1.3265 range top as yields eased and USD came off its highs, peaking at the 1.3283 session high. Two failed tests there formed a small double top, and the NY session has printed lower highs. Price now sits on the 23.6% fib, just above the ny low at 1.3261 and the 1.3255 breakout zone.
Support: 1.3261, 1.3255, 1.3246
Resistance: 1.3274, 1.3283
What it said to watch
Fed's Bowman at 14:45 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close below the 1.3255 breakout turns the move into a false break and exposes the london shelf at 1.3246 and the 38.2% fib near 1.3252
Reclaim of the 1.3274 lower high reopens the 1.3283 session high and breaks the lower-highs trendline
London breakout above Asian range; early-NY pullback retesting 1.3265 range top.
London cleared the 1.3201–1.3232 Asian range (asian high 1.3232), stalled near 1.3248 (london high), then broke out through the two-week 1.3265 range top to a 1.3283 session high as the USD paused. Supply capped 1.3283 three times. Early NY pulled back to a 1.3263 retest low and is holding just above EMA20, with RSI(14) cooled to ~60.
Support: 1.3263, 1.3248, 1.3232
Resistance: 1.3283, 1.3300
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3263 retest low puts the 1.3248 london high and the 38.2% fib near 1.3252 back in play
A close above the 1.3283 session high opens the path to the 1.3300 round number
A move back under the 1.3232 asian high would mark the breakout as a false break
Fed's Bowman at 14:45 UTC could materially shift this read
13:47 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pulling back from highs · RSI 59 · price 1.32647
London breakout above 1.3265 range top, double top at 1.3283, retesting the break.
London lifted cable from the 1.3201 pre-open low through the 1.3265 range top. The move came alongside a UK construction PMI beat and a softer dollar. Price twice stalled at the 1.3283 session high, then slipped under the 1.3271 neckline into NY open and is now retesting the old range top at the 1.3263 retest low, which sits on the 23.6% fib of the London rally.
Support: 1.3263, 1.3255, 1.3248
Resistance: 1.3271, 1.3283, 1.3300
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3263 retest low exposes the 1.3255 break bar and the rising london trendline near 1.3258
Failure back under the 1.3248 prior high returns price inside the 1.3200–1.3265 range and marks the breakout as a false break
Reclaim of the 1.3271 neckline negates the double top and puts the 1.3283 session high and 1.3300 round number back in focus
Fed's Bowman at 14:45 UTC during NY hours could materially shift this read
London breakout above 1.3265 range top, NY consolidating 1.3268–1.3283.
A pre-London dip to the 1.3201 day low reversed, and London stepped through the Asian range and the 1.3245 london shelf. Price then cleared the 1.3265 two-week range top as USD eased with yields. NY has flattened into a 1.3268–1.3283 box: the session high was tested three times, and the ny low sits on the rally trendline.
Support: 1.3268, 1.3245, 1.3201
Resistance: 1.3283, 1.3300
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3268 ny low and rally trendline puts price back inside the old 1.3265 range, with 1.3245 london shelf / 38.2–50% of the london rally fib next
Close above the 1.3283 session high extends the breakout toward the 1.3300 round number
Fed's Bowman at 14:45 UTC could shift this read; FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC are the larger risk
London breakout above Asian range and 1.3265 range top, tight hold above.
The London rally from the 1.3201 pre-London low cleared the Asian range high near 1.3232. It then broke the 1.3265 range top in late London as the USD eased off 18-month highs, peaking at the 1.3283 session high. Price is now holding a tight 1.3271–1.3283 band into the NY open, with the pause low intact and RSI(14) cooling near 74.
Support: 1.3271, 1.3265, 1.3248
Resistance: 1.32826, 1.3300
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3271 pause low opens a retest of the 1.3265 range top
A return below the 1.3248 prior high and the London trendline would mark the breakout as a false break
A close above the 1.3283 session high puts the 1.3300 round number in play
Fed's Williams (13:05 UTC) and Bowman (14:45 UTC) could shift USD during NY hours
12:46 UTC
Uptrend, first pullback after breakout · RSI 72 · price 1.32746
Higher highs/lows from 1.3201 London low, above 1.3265 range top.
Early London swept below the Asian range low to 1.3201, then reversed through the Asian high as the USD eased off its highs. The 11:00 UTC leg cleared the 1.3265 range top to a 1.3283 session high, and the first pullback held the 1.3271 pullback low into the NY open with RSI(14) near 72.
Support: 1.3271, 1.3265, 1.3248
Resistance: 1.32826, 1.3300
What it said to watch
Fed's Williams at 13:05 UTC and Bowman at 14:45 UTC could shift the USD leg early in the NY session
An M15 close back below the 1.3265 range top would turn the breakout into a false break
Loss of the 1.3271 pullback low exposes the 1.3248 london shelf, near the 38.2% london rally fib at 1.3251
A London trendline break near 1.3258 ends the higher-low chain from 1.3201
Acceptance above the 1.3283 session high opens the 1.3300 round number
12:31 UTC
Uptrend, first pullback off session high · RSI 72 · price 1.32717
HH/HL chain from Asian low; consolidation break above 1.3248.
London cleared the Asian high at 1.3232 off a 1.3201 low. Late London, price broke out of the 1.3235–1.3248 consolidation and through the 1.3265 range top cited in the GBP digest, printing a 1.3283 session high. The ADP-hour bar pulled back to 1.3271, with RSI(14) cooling to ~72 as the London-NY transition starts.
Support: 1.3265, 1.3248, 1.32315
Resistance: 1.32826, 1.3300
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 1.3265 range top would turn the breakout into a false break
Loss of the 1.3248 consol top breaks the higher-low chain and exposes the 50% fib and London trendline near 1.3242
Close above the 1.3283 session high opens the 1.3300 round number
Fed's Williams (13:05 UTC) and Bowman (14:45 UTC) could materially shift this read
12:01 UTC
Uptrend, extended into NY open · RSI 78 · price 1.32779
Higher-low chain from 1.3201, breakout above range top.
Cable bounced off 1.3201 at London open and built higher lows along trend support. It then cleared the 1.3248 breakout lvl and the 1.3256–1.3265 range top in the last hour as the USD pullback extended. RSI(14) near 78 is stretched, with the 1.32815 session high just overhead heading into NY.
Support: 1.3265, 1.3248
Resistance: 1.32815, 1.3300
What it said to watch
Pullbacks holding the 1.3265 range top keep the breakout intact; a close back below the 1.3248 breakout lvl points to a false break
An M15 close above the 1.32815 session high exposes the 1.3300 round number
A break of trend support from the 1.3201 low ends the higher-low chain; the 38.2% fib of the rally sits near 1.3251
ADP (12:15 UTC), Fed's Williams (13:05) and Bowman (14:45) could materially shift USD and this read
11:46 UTC
Uptrend, accelerating late London · RSI 80 · price 1.3277
Higher-low chain all London; breakout above 1.3265 range top.
The London leg from the 1.3201 early session low cleared the Asian high at 1.3232 after the UK construction PMI beat. It then broke through the 1.3265 range top in the last hour, printing a session high at 1.3280 on a softer USD, with RSI(14) near 80. Higher lows held throughout, and the prior high at 1.3248 is the nearest shelf below the breakout.
Support: 1.3265, 1.3248, 1.3232
Resistance: 1.3280, 1.3300
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 1.3265 range top would turn the breakout into a false break
1.3300 round number is the next reference above the 1.3280 session high
Break of the higher-lows trendline near 1.3250 would end the London leg structure
US ADP (12:15 UTC) and Fed's Williams (13:05) / Bowman (14:45) into NY open could materially shift this read
11:31 UTC
Uptrend, accelerating into late London · RSI 79 · price 1.3269
HH/HL chain off the 1.3201 Asian low; fresh break above range top.
London lifted cable from the 1.3201 Asian low through the 1.3248 prior high and out of the 1.3265 range top on a softer USD and a UK construction PMI beat. Price sits at the 1.3269 session high with RSI(14) near 79, and the rising trendline under London's higher lows is still intact.
Support: 1.3265, 1.3248, 1.3235
Resistance: 1.3269, 1.3300
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 1.3265 range top would mark a false break
Retest of the 1.3248 prior high holding keeps the HH/HL chain intact
Loss of the 1.3235 swing low (50% fib) breaks the rising trendline and the London structure
Acceptance above 1.3269 session high puts the 1.3300 round number in play
ADP (12:15 UTC) and Fed's Williams/Bowman during NY hours could materially shift this read
11:16 UTC
Uptrend, extended into late London · RSI 69 · price 1.3257
HH/HL chain from 1.3201 session low; Asian high cleared.
London lifted cable from the 1.3201 session low through the 1.3232 Asian high and has held a clean HH/HL chain along the London trendline. The latest push cleared the 1.3248 prior high on a modest USD pullback after the UK construction PMI beat, leaving price about 8 pips under the 1.3265 range top with RSI(14) near 69.
Support: 1.3248, 1.3235, 1.3232
Resistance: 1.3265, 1.3300
What it said to watch
Rejection at the 1.3265 range top keeps the multi-week range intact; an M15 close above opens the 1.3300 round number
A slip back below the 1.3248 prior high would mark a false break; losing the 1.3235 swing low (38.2% fib of the London leg) breaks the HL chain and exposes the 1.3232 Asian high
A break of the London trendline would end the session's HH/HL sequence
US ADP 12:15 UTC, Fed's Williams 13:05 and Bowman 14:45 UTC could shift USD into the NY session
London swept the Asian low, broke the Asian high, now printing higher lows.
London open swept below the Asian range to a 1.3201 london low, then reversed through the 1.3232 asian high on a modest USD pullback and a UK Construction PMI beat. Higher lows near 1.3235 hold the rising trend line. Price is stalling under the 1.3248 session high with RSI(14) cooling from the low 70s; the range top at 1.3265 sits overhead.
Support: 1.3235, 1.3232, 1.3201
Resistance: 1.3248, 1.3265
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 1.3232 asian high would undercut the breakout read
Loss of the 1.3235 higher low and the rising trend line points to a deeper fib retracement of the London move
Close above the 1.3248 session high opens the path to the 1.3265 range top
US ADP 4-wk avg 12:15 UTC and Fed's Williams 13:05 UTC into NY open could materially shift this read
HH/HL chain from 1.3201, Asian range broken higher.
Mid London session: a pre-open dip below the Asian range to the 1.3201 day low reversed, and London broke the 1.3232 Asian high on a modest USD pullback after the UK construction PMI beat. Higher lows at 1.3227 and the 1.3235 swing low now sit under a 1.3248 session high, with RSI(14) near 67 and the 1.3265 range top overhead.
Support: 1.3235, 1.3232, 1.3201
Resistance: 1.3248, 1.3265
What it said to watch
A close back below the 1.3235 swing low breaks the higher-lows chain and puts the 1.3232 Asian high in play
Clearance of the 1.3248 session high opens the path to the 1.3265 range top
Loss of the 1.3232 Asian high, the 50% fib zone of the 1.3201–1.3248 leg, reopens the 1.3201 day low
US ADP 4-wk avg (12:15 UTC) and Fed's Williams (13:05 UTC) around the NY open could materially shift this read
Higher highs and higher lows since 06:00 UTC low; Asian range broken higher.
A pre-London sweep below the Asian range to 1.3201 reversed into a steady London rally that cleared the Asian high at 1.3232 and has held a higher low at 1.3235 since 09:00 UTC, with the session high at 1.32479 under test and RSI(14) near 67. Each push is adding only a few pips as USD eases off its yield-driven highs, and the 1.3265 range top sits overhead.
Support: 1.3240, 1.3235, 1.3232
Resistance: 1.32479, 1.3265
What it said to watch
Close back below the 1.3240 swing low then the 1.3235 higher low breaks the London higher-low chain and the rising trendline
Return inside the Asian range below the 1.3232 Asian high would mark the breakout as failed
Acceptance above the 1.32479 session high opens the 1.3265 range top
US ADP 4-wk avg 12:15 UTC and Fed's Williams 13:05 UTC into the NY open could materially shift this read
Higher highs and higher lows from the 1.3201 asian low; tight 1.3235–1.3247 hold mid-London.
London broke above the Asian range (1.3201–1.3232) and printed a session high at 1.3247, in step with a modest USD pullback after Monday's yield-driven bid. Price is now compressing between 1.3235 and 1.3247, holding a higher low above the higher-low line, with RSI(14) near 67 and not stretched.
Support: 1.3235, 1.3232, 1.3201
Resistance: 1.32474, 1.3265
What it said to watch
An M15 close below the 1.3235 higher low breaks the higher-low line and brings a retest of the 1.3232 asian high into play
A close above the 1.3247 session high opens the path to the 1.3265 range top
Loss of 1.3232 puts the london leg fib 50% near 1.3224 in view, with the 1.3201 asian low behind it
US ADP at 12:15 UTC and Fed's Williams at 13:05 UTC could shift the USD tone in the first hour of NY
London broke above the Asian range, now compressing 1.3235–1.3246.
From the London open, cable pushed out of the 1.3201–1.3232 Asian range on a modest USD pullback after the UK construction PMI beat, tagging a 1.3246 session high. Price has since compressed between the 1.3235 higher low and the session high. RSI(14) has cooled to about 66 and the London leg's steep rising line has given way to sideways trade.
Support: 1.3235, 1.3231, 1.3201
Resistance: 1.32462, 1.3265
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3246 session high exposes the 1.3265 range top
Failure to hold the 1.3235 higher low opens a retest of the 1.3231 asian high, near the 38.2% of the London leg
A return below the 1.3201 asian low would void the London breakout
ADP 4-wk avg (12:15 UTC), Williams (13:05) and Bowman (14:45) could swing USD into the NY session
London swept the Asian low, then broke the Asian high; HH/HL chain intact, now in a tight 1.3235–1.3246 consolidation.
London opened with a sweep of the Asian range low to the 1.3201 session low, then ran 45 pips through the 1.3232 Asian high on a modest USD pullback and firm UK PMI tone. Mid-London, the 1.3246 session high has drawn two rejections and RSI(14) has cooled to ~60. The rising support from the session low sits under price, with the 1.3227 pullback low as the last higher low and the 1.3265 range top overhead.
Support: 1.3232, 1.3227, 1.3201
Resistance: 1.3246, 1.3265
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3227 pullback low breaks the London HH/HL chain and the rising support
Loss of the 1.3232 Asian high puts the fib 50% near 1.3224 in play
Close above the 1.3246 session high opens the path to the 1.3265 range top
ADP 4-wk avg 12:15 UTC, Fed's Williams 13:05 and Bowman 14:45 could shift the read into NY hours
HH/HL chain above the Asian range after a low-side sweep.
Into the London open price ran below the Asian range to a 1.3201 sweep low, then reversed through the 1.3231 Asian high. The UK construction PMI beat at 08:30 UTC added the leg to the 1.3246 session high. Price is now holding a higher low near 1.3235 with RSI(14) around 68, still below the 1.3265 range top cited in the macro digest.
Support: 1.3235, 1.3231, 1.3201
Resistance: 1.3246, 1.3265
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 1.3231 Asian high returns price inside the Asian range and weakens the breakout
Loss of the 1.3227 swing low breaks the higher-low trendline and the HH/HL chain
Clearance of the 1.3246 session high exposes the 1.3265 range top
A full retrace of the London rally to the 1.3201 sweep low would negate the reversal
ADP 12:15 UTC, Williams 13:05 and Bowman 14:45 during NY hours could shift the USD leg
Higher lows since 06:30 UTC; Asian range broken to the upside.
Cable bounced from an early low at 1.3201 just before London open and cleared the Asian high at 1.3231, printing a session high at 1.3246 as USD eased and UK Construction PMI beat. The 09:00 UTC bar rejected that high and closed back near 1.3235, so price is now retesting the Asian high, with RSI(14) cooled to the low 60s.
Support: 1.3231, 1.3227, 1.3201
Resistance: 1.3246, 1.3265
What it said to watch
Holding the 1.3231 asian high keeps the London breakout intact; an M15 close back below the 1.3227 swing low and the rising trendline turns it into a false break
M15 close above the 1.3246 session high opens the 1.3265 range top
US ADP 4-week avg (12:15 UTC) and Fed's Williams (13:05 UTC) into NY open could reprice USD and shift this read
A return to the 1.3201 early low would erase the whole London leg
09:01 UTC
Intraday uptrend, HH/HL chain since London open · RSI 68 · price 1.32431
Asian low swept, then Asian high and Monday highs broken.
London opened with a sweep of the Asian range low to the 1.3201 london low. Price then reversed through the 1.3232 asian high and Monday's highs to a 1.3245 session high around BoE Mann's 08:40 UTC remarks. The HH/HL chain holds above the 1.3227 swing low, near the 38.2% of the London rally fib, with RSI(14) near 68 and not stretched.
Support: 1.32315, 1.32268, 1.3201
Resistance: 1.32446, 1.3265
What it said to watch
An M15 close back below the 1.3232 asian high turns the breakout into a false break
Loss of the 1.3227 swing low and the London trendline breaks the HL chain, with the 1.3201 london low next
Clearance of the 1.3245 session high exposes the 1.3265 range top in place since Sep 24
ADP at 12:15 UTC, then Fed Williams at 13:05 UTC and Bowman at 14:45 UTC, could shift the USD side during NY hours
London breakout above Asian range, higher-low chain intact.
The London rally off the 1.3201 session low cleared the Asian range high at 1.3232 and Monday's 1.3239 prior high. It printed a 1.3245 session high around Mann's 08:40 UTC remarks, with the 1.3227 swing low holding as a higher low. RSI(14) near 67 is firm but not stretched, and the 1.3265 range top in place since Sep 24 sits overhead.
Support: 1.3239, 1.32268, 1.3201
Resistance: 1.32446, 1.3250, 1.3265
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 1.3239 prior high turns the breakout into a false break
Failure to hold the 1.3227 swing low and the higher-low trendline breaks the London rally structure; a 50% retrace of the move sits near 1.3223
Acceptance above the 1.3250 round number brings the 1.3265 range top into play
ADP 12:15 UTC, Fed's Williams 13:05 UTC and Bowman 14:45 UTC could shift this read via USD and yields
08:31 UTC
Intraday up from London open, stalling below prior high · RSI 61 · price 1.32321
London swept the Asian low, then broke the Asian high; now retesting it.
London open swept below the Asian low to the 1.3201 london low, then rallied about 39 pips through the Asian high and stalled at 1.3240, in line with Monday's London prior high. The pullback held above the 38.2% of the London rally and price is now retesting the 1.3231 asian high with RSI(14) near 61. BoE Mann at 08:40 UTC lands inside the next bar.
Support: 1.3231, 1.3212, 1.3201
Resistance: 1.3240, 1.3265
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 1.3231 asian high returns price to the Asian range and exposes the 1.3212 asian low
M15 close above the 1.3240 prior high opens the path to the 1.3265 range cap
Break of the 1.3201 london low would erase the London rally
BoE Mann at 08:40 UTC, then Fed Williams 13:05 and Bowman 14:45 UTC, could materially shift this read
London open broke the Asian high, then rejected at the prior high.
London open lifted price about 39 pips off the 1.3201 session low and through the 1.3232 asian high. The move stalled with a rejection at Monday's 1.3240 prior high, and price is back near 1.3229. The pullback is so far holding above the 38.2% fib and ema20 at 1.3225–1.3220, while the USD stays firm on record US yields.
Support: 1.3225, 1.3220, 1.3201
Resistance: 1.3232, 1.3240
What it said to watch
BoE Mann speech at 08:40 UTC could materially shift this read; GBP is exposed to a dovish tone given net-short positioning and priced hikes
M15 close back above the 1.3232 asian high and the 1.3240 prior high would turn the false break into a London breakout
Loss of the 38.2% fib / ema20 zone at 1.3225–1.3220, along with a break of the rally line, re-exposes the 1.3201 session low
Fed Williams (13:05 UTC) and Bowman (14:45 UTC) during NY hours are the next USD-side risk
08:01 UTC
Intraday uptrend, early London push · RSI 64 · price 1.32347
Higher low at 1.3201 above Monday's 1.3190 low; Asian range high broken, Monday high under test.
GBPUSD bounced off a 1.3201 session low just before London open and broke the 1.3232 Asian high. It is now pressing Monday's high near 1.3240, with RSI(14) around 64. The higher low above Monday's 1.3190 low keeps the intraday swing sequence pointed up, and BoE Mann at 08:40 UTC is the next catalyst.
Support: 1.3232, 1.3220, 1.3201
Resistance: 1.3240, 1.3265
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3240 Monday high opens the path toward 1.3265 UOB resistance
Slip back below the 1.3232 Asian high would mark the breakout as a false break, with the fib 50% of the London rally at 1.3220 next
Failure to hold the 1.3201 session low breaks the higher-low sequence
BoE Mann speech at 08:40 UTC could materially shift this read; a softer tone against net-short positioning is the downside tail
Asian low swept to 1.3201, Asian high broken in the first hour of London.
A pre-London dip through the Asian low at 1.3212 found demand at 1.3201. The rally off 1.3201 then broke the Asian high at 1.3232 and printed a 1.3235 session high, just under Monday's high at 1.3239. RSI(14) is near 65 with no retrace of the rally yet, while broader USD firmness on record-high US yields keeps the 1.3265 range cap in focus.
Support: 1.32315, 1.32117, 1.3201
Resistance: 1.32348, 1.32388, 1.3265
What it said to watch
BoE Mann at 08:40 UTC could materially shift this read; a hawkish surprise puts the 1.3265 range cap in play
M15 close above Monday's high at 1.3239 extends the breakout beyond the session high
Close back below the Asian high at 1.3232 turns the break into a false break, exposing the Asian low at 1.3212 and the sweep low at 1.3201
Fed's Williams at 13:05 UTC and ADP at 12:15 UTC are the NY-session risk for the USD leg
False break of Asian low, price back inside Asian range.
London open delivered a false break below the asian low at 1.3212, tagging 1.3201 (london low) above Monday's 1.3190 low before recovering back into the 1.3212–1.3232 Asian range. The rally stalled at the 1.3228 session high just under the asian high, RSI(14) neutral near 55, with GBP held near 1.3200 by a firm dollar on record-cycle US yields ahead of BoE Mann.
Support: 1.3212, 1.3201, 1.3190
Resistance: 1.3228, 1.3232, 1.3239
What it said to watch
M15 close above the asian high at 1.3232 opens the monday high at 1.3239, then the 1.3265 range cap
Rejection at the 1.3228 session high and loss of ~1.3218 (38.2% of the london rally fib) would point back to the asian low at 1.3212
Failure to hold the london low at 1.3201 puts the monday low at 1.3190 back in play
BoE Mann at 08:40 UTC could break the Asian range; Fed Williams 13:05 and Bowman 14:45 UTC follow in NY session
07:16 UTC
Sideways, early London bounce · RSI 57 · price 1.3225
Asian range reclaimed after a false break lower before London.
A pre-London dip to 1.3201 (pre-ldn low) broke the Asian low at 1.3212, then reversed. The London open has lifted price back to 1.3225, near the 0.786 fib of the Asian high-to-low move, with the Asian high at 1.3232 and prior high at 1.3239 overhead. The pair stays boxed between Monday's NY-session prior low at 1.3190 and that resistance, with record US yields offsetting BoE support.
Support: 1.3212, 1.3201, 1.3190
Resistance: 1.3232, 1.3239, 1.3265
What it said to watch
BoE Mann at 08:40 UTC, roughly 85 minutes out; a hawkish surprise could push a test of the asian high and prior high
M15 close above 1.3239 (prior high) opens the 1.3265 range cap
Slip back below the asian low at 1.3212 turns the London bounce into a failed reclaim, with the pre-ldn low and rising lows line near 1.3201 next
ADP 12:15 and Fed's Williams 13:05 UTC fall inside the coming NY session and could reset the range
Asian range 1.3232–1.3212, swept to 1.3201 pre-London and reclaimed.
London open finds cable mid-range. The pre-London break of the Asian low ran to a 1.3201 session low and was reclaimed within the hour, holding the 1.3200 floor while USD stays firm on record-high Treasury yields. Price sits near the 50% fib of the 1.3232–1.3201 Asian drop, capped below the 1.3224 swing high, with RSI(14) neutral at 45.
Support: 1.3201, 1.3190
Resistance: 1.3224, 1.3232, 1.3239
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 1.3201 session low turns the sweep into a range break and exposes Monday's 1.3190 prior low
Acceptance above the 1.3224 swing high reopens the 1.3232 Asian high, then the 1.3239 prior high
BoE's Mann at 08:40 UTC could move GBP within the session; softer tone on hikes would pressure the 1.3200 floor
US ADP 12:15 UTC and Fed's Williams 13:05 UTC could shift the read during NY hours
06:46 UTC
Drifting lower, below both EMAs · RSI 44 · price 1.3211
Asian range broken lower, retesting asian low from below.
Cable slipped out of the 1.3212–1.3232 Asian range ahead of London open. The drop set a session low at 1.3201, just above the 1.3200 psych, and price is now retesting the broken asian low from below. Asia printed lower highs off 1.3232 as record-high US yields kept a lid on the pair, with yesterday's NY prior low at 1.3190 beneath.
Support: 1.3201, 1.3190
Resistance: 1.3212, 1.3232, 1.3239
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.3212 asian low returns price to the range and negates the break
Loss of the 1.3201 session low and 1.3200 psych exposes the 1.3190 prior low
Break of the asian lower highs line and a push through the 1.3232 asian high would reopen the 1.3239 prior high
BoE's Mann at 08:40 UTC could shift GBP tone; US ADP at 12:15 UTC and Fed's Williams at 13:05 UTC follow
06:31 UTC
Intraday downtrend, lower highs through Asia · RSI 39 · price 1.32076
Asian range broken lower pre-London, holding above 1.3200.
Asia printed lower highs from the 1.3232 Asian high, then the 06:00 UTC bar broke the 1.3212 Asian low in a 13-pip candle to a 1.3201 session low, just above the 1.3200 floor. A 7-pip bounce stalled near 1.3208. RSI(14) sits near 39 with price under both EMAs, as record US yields keep USD firm.
Support: 1.3201, 1.3190
Resistance: 1.3212, 1.32315
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 1.3201 session low breaks the 1.3200 floor and exposes the 1.3190 monday low
Recovery back above the 1.3212 asian low would turn the pre-London break into a false break
Close above the asia lower-highs line toward the 1.3232 asian high negates the intraday downtrend
BoE Mann at 08:40 UTC could materially shift this read; ADP 12:15 UTC and Fed Williams 13:05 UTC follow
Lower highs through Asia; Asian range low broken pre-London.
The 06:00 UTC bar took cable through the Asian low at 1.3212, a 13-pip push, and it stalled just above the 1.3200 round number ahead of London open. That fits the firm-USD backdrop on record US yields. Asia printed lower highs from the 1.3232 Asian high, and RSI(14) near 36 is soft but not stretched.
Support: 1.3200, 1.31902
Resistance: 1.32117, 1.32315, 1.32388
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 1.3212 Asian low turns the break into a false break
Sustained trade below the 1.3200 round number opens Monday low at 1.3190
Close above the lower-highs line and 1.3232 Asian high neutralises the Asia down-drift; Monday high 1.3239 caps above
BoE Mann at 08:40 UTC, then ADP and Fed Williams/Bowman from 12:15 UTC, could shift this read
Asian lower highs into a flat 1.3212 base, inside Monday's range.
The Asian session printed lower highs from the 1.3232 asian high into a flat base near 1.3212, and price is now pressing the asian low ahead of the London open with ATR compressed to about 3.5 pips. Monday's NY-hours dip to the 1.3190 prior low came as the yield-driven USD firmed. Buyers stepped in there and lifted price back to 1.3229, but the session never reclaimed the 1.3239 prior high.
Support: 1.32117, 1.3200, 1.31902
Resistance: 1.32236, 1.32315, 1.32388
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3212 asian low exposes the 1.3200 psych floor, then the 1.3190 prior low
Break of the asian lower highs through the 1.3224 swing high reopens the 1.3232 asian high and the 1.3239 prior high
BoE Mann at 08:40 UTC in the London morning could materially shift this read
Fed's Williams (13:05 UTC) and Bowman (14:45 UTC) during NY hours could reprice USD via yields
05:46 UTC
Sideways, mild downside drift in Asia · RSI 45 · price 1.32145
Asian lower highs pressing a flat base at 1.3212, inside Monday's range.
Ahead of London open, price is retesting the 1.3212 Asian low for a second time, under a sequence of lower highs from the 1.3232 Asian high. The tape is still inside Monday's 1.3190–1.3239 range, with yield-driven USD strength capping bounces at the 1.3224 lower high. RSI(14) is near 45 and ATR is about 3.6 pips, so Asia was quiet.
Support: 1.32121, 1.3200, 1.31902
Resistance: 1.32236, 1.32315, 1.32388
What it said to watch
An M15 close below the 1.3212 Asian low exposes the 1.3200 round number, then the 1.3190 Monday low
A close above the 1.3224 lower high breaks the Asian lower-highs line, which puts the 1.3232 Asian high and 1.3239 Monday high back in play
BoE Mann at 08:40 UTC is the London-session catalyst for a break of the Asian range
Fed's Williams (13:05 UTC) and Bowman (14:45 UTC) in NY hours could shift USD tone against the range
05:32 UTC
Sideways, drifting lower through Asia · RSI 46 · price 1.32145
Asian lower highs pressing a flat 1.3212 Asian low, inside Monday's range.
Late Asia, ahead of London open: GBPUSD has printed lower highs from the 1.3232 Asian high and is now sitting on the 1.3212 Asian low, tested twice. Price is inside Monday's 1.3190–1.3239 range, between the prior-day low and prior high. RSI(14) near 46 and ATR around 3.6 pips show compressed conditions, with the yield-backed USD keeping rallies shallow.
Support: 1.32121, 1.3200, 1.31902
Resistance: 1.32236, 1.32315, 1.32388
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3212 Asian low exposes the 1.3200 round number, then Monday's 1.3190 prior-day low
Close above the 1.3224 lower high breaks the Asian lower-highs trendline. That puts the 1.3232 Asian high and 1.3239 prior high back in view
BoE Mann at 08:40 UTC could materially shift this read. Crowded GBP shorts add squeeze risk on a hawkish surprise
US ADP (12:15 UTC) and Fed Williams (13:05 UTC) are the NY-session catalysts for USD direction
Asian range 1.3212–1.3232 contracting; lower highs, flat lows.
Late Asia session: price is compressing in the lower half of the 1.3212–1.3232 Asian range after a rejection at the 1.3232 Asian high. A 1.3224 lower high has formed, the 1.3215 swing low is holding, and price sits below both EMAs with RSI(14) near 43. Monday's 1.3190 NY low and 1.3239 London high frame the day range, with the yield-backed USD keeping GBP rallies shallow.
Support: 1.32149, 1.32121, 1.31902
Resistance: 1.32236, 1.32315, 1.32388
What it said to watch
London open break of the 1.3212 Asian low exposes the 1.3200 round number and the 1.3190 NY low
M15 close above the 1.3224 lower high breaks the lower-highs trendline and brings the 1.3232 Asian high and 1.3239 London high back into view
BoE Mann at 08:40 UTC could break the range in either direction
ADP at 12:15 UTC and Fed's Williams at 13:05 UTC could shift the USD leg during NY hours
Asia has held a tight 1.3212–1.3232 band after NY recovered off the 1.3190 prev day low. Price is drifting in the lower third below both EMAs, with a lower high at 1.3224. A firm USD on multi-decade-high US yields has kept bounces shallow, and ATR is near 4 pips ahead of London open.
Support: 1.3212, 1.3204, 1.3190
Resistance: 1.3224, 1.3232, 1.3239
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3212 asian low exposes the 1.3204 ny swing low, then 1.3190 prev day low
Close above the 1.3224 lower high reopens the 1.3232 asian high; the london high at 1.3239 caps the 24h range
BoE Mann at 08:40 UTC and Fed's Williams at 13:05 UTC could materially shift this read
04:46 UTC
Sideways, mild drift lower in Asia · RSI 41 · price 1.32167
Lower high under Asian high, inside Monday's range.
Late Asia session: price sits at 1.3217, still inside Monday's 1.3190–1.3239 range. Monday's yield-driven USD dip to the 1.3190 prior low was recovered in NY. In Asia, a rejection at the 1.3232 asian high was followed by a lower high at 1.3224, and the 1.3212 asian low is the nearest floor. RSI(14) near 41 and ATR around 4 pips point to quiet pre-London conditions.
Support: 1.32121, 1.3200, 1.31902
Resistance: 1.32236, 1.32315, 1.32388
What it said to watch
Break of the 1.3212 asian low exposes the 1.3200 round number, then the 1.3190 prior low
M15 close above the 1.3224 lower high and its trendline reopens the 1.3232 asian high
BoE Mann at 08:40 UTC could materially shift this read; a push through the 1.3239 prior high would end the range
Fed's Williams (13:05 UTC) and Bowman (14:45 UTC) are the NY-session risk for USD
04:31 UTC
Sideways, mild downside drift in Asia · RSI 46 · price 1.32165
Inside Asian range, lower high under 1.3232.
Late Asia session, about 2.5h before London open: GBP/USD is holding a 1.3212–1.3232 Asian range inside Monday's 1.3190 prior low to 1.3239 prior high span. Price sits in the lower half of that range after a lower high at 1.3224. RSI(14) near 46 and ATR around 4 pips mark a quiet tape, with the yield-led USD bid keeping price pinned just above the 1.3200 round number.
Support: 1.32121, 1.3200, 1.31902
Resistance: 1.32236, 1.32315, 1.32388
What it said to watch
A break below the 1.3212 asian low exposes the 1.3200 round number and Monday's 1.3190 prior low
An M15 close above the 1.3224 lower high reopens the 1.3232 asian high and the 1.3239 prior high
BoE Mann speaks at 08:40 UTC, shortly after London open, and could materially shift this read; Fed's Williams follows at 13:05 UTC
04:16 UTC
Flat, no directional momentum · RSI 44 · price 1.32181
Tight Asian range 1.3212–1.3232 nested inside Monday's 1.3190–1.3239 range.
Late Asia session, with price rotating mid-range between the 1.3212 Asian low and the 1.3232 Asian high. That range sits fully inside Monday's 1.3190–1.3239 band, after yield-led USD strength drove the NY-hours dip to the Monday low and supply capped the London rally at the Monday high. RSI(14) near 44 and price sitting on both EMAs show no setup in play ahead of London open.
Support: 1.3212, 1.3200, 1.3190
Resistance: 1.3232, 1.3239
What it said to watch
BoE Mann at 08:40 UTC, shortly after London open, could materially shift this read
M15 close below the 1.3212 Asian low exposes psych 1.3200 and the 1.3190 Monday low
M15 close above the 1.3232 Asian high puts the 1.3239 Monday high back in focus
US ADP at 12:15 UTC is the next USD-side risk inside the window
04:01 UTC
Sideways, momentum flat · RSI 51 · price 1.32209
Asian range 1.3212–1.3232 nested inside Monday's 1.3190–1.3239 range.
Late Asia session, price sits mid-range at 1.3221 after a rejection at the 1.3232 asian high. The dip to the 1.3212 asian low held near the 50% of the NY-low rebound, so Monday's 1.3239 prior high to 1.3190 prior low range stays intact. RSI(14) is flat near 51 and ATR has compressed to about 4 pips ahead of London and BoE Mann.
Support: 1.32121, 1.3200, 1.31902
Resistance: 1.32315, 1.32388
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3232 asian high puts the 1.3239 prior high in play
Failure to hold the 1.3212 asian low and the 1.3200 round number exposes Monday's 1.3190 prior low
BoE Mann at 08:40 UTC could break the Asian range; Fed's Williams follows at 13:05 UTC in NY hours
03:46 UTC
Sideways, mid-range · RSI 56 · price 1.32232
Inside Monday's 1.3190–1.3239 range; Asian pullback being retraced.
Mid-Asia session, GBPUSD has retraced more than half of the 1.3232–1.3212 Asian pullback. It remains boxed inside Monday's range after the yield-led USD dip to the 1.3190 NY low was fully reclaimed. RSI(14) near 56 and ATR around 4.4 pips show the market compressed ahead of London open.
Support: 1.3212, 1.3200, 1.3190
Resistance: 1.3232, 1.3239
What it said to watch
Push through the 1.3232 asian high exposes the 1.3239 london high; a close above that ends the range read
Loss of the 1.3212 asian low puts 1.3200 psych and the 1.3190 ny low back in play
BoE Mann at 08:40 UTC could break the compression; a dovish turn would pressure the range floor
03:31 UTC
Sideways, Asia gains faded · RSI 48 · price 1.32168
Lower high inside Monday's 1.3190–1.3239 range.
Late Asia session: cable ran to an asian high of 1.3232, was rejected, and has since slipped back to the 1.3212 asian low. That pullback sits just under ema20 and near the 38.2% fib of the NY low-to-Asia high leg. Price stays inside Monday's 1.3190–1.3239 range, posting a lower high under the prior high on the descending trendline as record US yields keep USD firm.
Support: 1.3212, 1.3204, 1.3190
Resistance: 1.3220, 1.3232, 1.3239
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 1.3212 asian low and 50% fib exposes the 1.3204 swing low
BoE's Mann at 08:40 UTC, early London session, could materially shift this read; a dovish tone puts the 1.3190 prior low in focus
Recovery through ema20 at 1.3220 and the 1.3232 asian high breaks the lower-high trendline toward the 1.3239 prior high
03:16 UTC
Sideways, compressing · RSI 48 · price 1.32168
Lower highs and rising lows inside Monday's 1.3190–1.3239 span.
Late Asia session: the early push to the asian high at 1.32315 was rejected, and price slipped to the asian low at 1.32121 before steadying back under the ema20 near 1.3219. Lower highs from Monday's 1.32388 prior high and rising lows off the 1.31902 prior low have tightened the range. This mirrors the two-way GBP digest read, with a hawkish BoE offsetting a USD lifted by record US yields.
Support: 1.32121, 1.32042, 1.31902
Resistance: 1.3219, 1.32315, 1.32388
What it said to watch
BoE's Mann at 08:40 UTC is the main catalyst. A dovish slip from the committee's top hawk could break the rising lows.
M15 close below the 1.32121 asian low exposes the 1.32042 swing low and the 1.31902 prior low.
Reclaiming the ema20 and closing above the 1.32315 asian high breaks the lower-highs line toward the 1.32388 prior high.
ATR near 4 pips reflects thin Asian trade. London open typically expands the range.
03:01 UTC
Short-term downtrend inside a broader range · RSI 38 · price 1.32139
Lower highs and lower lows since the 1.3232 Asia high; still inside Monday's 1.3190–1.3239 band.
Late Asia session: the overnight push to the 1.3232 Asia high was rejected below Monday's 1.3239 London prior high. Price has since slid back under the ema20 to sit at the 1.3213 session low, with RSI(14) near 38. Cable is mid-range between the 38.2% and 50% levels of the rebound fib from Monday's 1.3190 NY prior low, with the 1.3204 swing low the next shelf, as firm US yields cap the pound.
Support: 1.32127, 1.32042, 1.31902
Resistance: 1.3220, 1.32315, 1.32388
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3213 session low extends the lower-low sequence toward the 1.3204 swing low
Recovery above the 1.3220 ema20 and the 1.3232 asia high neutralises the Asia rejection
Break of the 1.3190 prior low exposes the 1.3180 four-week range floor
BoE's Mann at 08:40 UTC could materially shift this read; US ADP 12:15 UTC and Fed's Williams 13:05 UTC follow
24h range 1.3190–1.3239; Asia high rejected, lower highs since London.
Tuesday's Asia session pushed to the asia high at 1.3232 but was rejected under Monday's london high at 1.3239, extending a lower-highs sequence. Price is now pressing the session low near 1.3213, below EMA20 and EMA50, with RSI(14) near 39. The USD-led NY drop to the day low at 1.3190, on higher yields and French fiscal stress, was bought back, so the 1.3190–1.3239 range still holds, with the ny pm low at 1.3204 next below.
Support: 1.3213, 1.3204, 1.3190
Resistance: 1.32315, 1.32388
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3213 session low exposes the 50% fib near 1.3211 and the ny pm low at 1.3204
Failure to hold the 1.3190 day low breaks the 24h range to the downside
Recovery above the 1.3232 asia high breaks the lower highs line and brings the 1.3239 london high back into play
BoE's Mann at 08:40 UTC could materially shift this read
02:31 UTC
Sideways, Asia momentum fading · RSI 43 · price 1.32158
Asia push to 1.3232 fully reversed; price mid prior-day range.
Asia session was rejected at the 1.3232 asian high and has given back the whole move. Price now sits on the 1.3215 asian low, near the 50% of the prior-day fib (1.3239 prior high to 1.3190 prior low), with RSI(14) at 43 and price under both EMAs. GBP stays boxed above 1.3200 while yields underpin USD.
Support: 1.32153, 1.32042, 1.31902
Resistance: 1.32315, 1.32388
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3215 asian low exposes Monday's 1.3204 ny low
Recovery through the 1.3232 asian high reopens the 1.3239 prior high
Failure at the 1.3190 prior low breaks the prior-day range to the downside
BoE's Mann at 08:40 UTC (London morning) could materially shift this read; ADP and Fed's Williams follow in NY hours
02:17 UTC
Sideways, pullback from Asia high · RSI 44 · price 1.32167
Inside Monday's 1.3190–1.3239 range; Asian range 1.3215–1.3232, price at its floor.
Mid-Asia session, price was rejected at the 1.3232 asia high and has slipped back to the 1.3215 asia low. That floor lines up with the 38.2% fib of the NY rally from the 1.3190 prior low. RSI(14) is near 44 and price sits under EMA20/50, still inside Monday's range with the 1.3239 london high capping as firm US yields keep USD bid.
Support: 1.32149, 1.32042, 1.3190
Resistance: 1.32315, 1.32388
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3215 asia low opens the 50% fib near 1.3211 and the 1.3204 ny swing low
Recovery through the 1.3232 asia high puts the 1.3239 london high back in play
Loss of the 1.3190 prior low would break Monday's range to the downside
BoE's Mann at 08:40 UTC, early London session, could break the Asian range
02:02 UTC
Sideways, rising lows since NY low · RSI 48 · price 1.32212
Asian push to 1.3232 rejected; price back on rising trendline inside Monday's range.
The early Asia session push to the asian high at 1.3232 was rejected, and price has given back most of the leg. It now sits on the rising trendline from the NY low, near the 61.8% level of the asian leg fib at 1.3222. The pair stays inside Monday's 1.3190–1.3239 range (monday low to monday high) with US yields at highs since 2002 keeping the dollar bid. RSI(14) is neutral at 48.
Support: 1.32158, 1.32042, 1.31902
Resistance: 1.32315, 1.32388
What it said to watch
A break of the asian low at 1.3216 also breaks the rising trendline and exposes the 1.3204 swing low
A close above the asian high at 1.3232 reopens the monday high at 1.3239
A loss of the monday low at 1.3190 marks a lower low and breaks the range floor
BoE Mann at 08:40 UTC could shift this read, as could Fed Williams/Bowman during NY hours
01:46 UTC
Intraday up-leg off Asia low, pausing · RSI 56 · price 1.32264
Asia break above overnight 1.3215–1.3225 band; HL at 1.3216, high 1.3232.
Mid-Asia session, price lifted from the 1.3216 Asia low out of the quiet overnight 1.3215–1.3225 band to a 1.3232 Asia high. It is now easing back toward the range top, with RSI(14) near 56 and the Asia leg's 61.8% fib at 1.3222. Monday's 1.3190–1.3239 range still frames the pair: a double bottom at the 1.3190 day low held twice, while the dollar bid on 10y yields near 2002 highs kept the prior high at 1.3239 capped.
Support: 1.3225, 1.3216, 1.3190
Resistance: 1.3232, 1.3239, 1.3265
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 1.3216 Asia low negates the range break and returns price to the overnight band
Hold of the range top at 1.3225 / 61.8% fib keeps the Asia HL sequence intact
M15 close above the 1.3232 Asia high exposes the 1.3239 prior high
BoE's Mann at 08:40 UTC (London morning) could test the 1.3265 band top or knock price back toward the 1.3190 day low
ADP 12:15 UTC and Fed's Williams 13:05 UTC, with US 10y yields, could materially shift this read in NY hours
01:31 UTC
Recovering, higher lows since NY low · RSI 64 · price 1.32296
Double bottom at 1.3190, higher-low chain, early Asia breakout.
Early Asia Tuesday: price has pushed through the 1.3225 Asian high toward 1.3230, after Monday's NY session left a double bottom at 1.3190 and a chain of higher lows despite the yield-driven dollar bid. Monday's day high at 1.3239 is the next cap. RSI(14) is near 64 and ATR is under 4 pips in thin trade, with the Asian low at 1.3216 as the floor of tonight's range.
Support: 1.3225, 1.3216, 1.3190
Resistance: 1.3239, 1.3265
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3239 day high opens the path to the 1.3265 uob res zone
Slip back below the 1.3225 asian high turns the breakout into a false break
Break of the 1.3216 asian low and the higher lows trendline undoes the recovery structure
BoE Mann at 08:40 UTC (London morning) could materially shift this read
01:17 UTC
Range-bound, micro higher lows in Asia · RSI 59 · price 1.32252
Monday 1.3190–1.3239 range intact; Tuesday Asia building higher lows into the Asian high.
Mid-Asia session, and price is pressing the Asian high near 1.3228 on a higher-low trendline from the 1.3204 NY low, which held at the 61.8% of Monday's NY rally fib. Monday's range is unchanged: a double bottom at 1.3190 sits below and the London prior high at 1.3239 above. US-yield-driven dollar strength has kept rallies contained.
Support: 1.3216, 1.3204, 1.3190
Resistance: 1.3228, 1.3239
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3228 asian high opens the path to the 1.3239 prior high
Break of the higher-low trendline and the 1.3216 asian low puts the 1.3204 ny low back in play
Loss of the 1.3190 double bottom breaks Monday's range to the downside
BoE Mann at 08:40 UTC during London, and ADP/Williams in NY hours, could materially shift this read
Higher lows off 1.3190 double bottom, testing NY high.
Monday's Asian and NY lows formed a double btm at 1.3190 despite a firm USD on 10y yields. The rebound has printed rising lows, and the Asian session is now pressing the 1.3229 ny high, above the 61.8% of the London-NY fib. The London high at 1.3239 caps the structure on 4-pip ATR.
Support: 1.3216, 1.3204, 1.3190
Resistance: 1.3229, 1.3239
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3239 london high completes the double bottom
Loss of 1.3216 asian low returns price to the 1.3204 swing low and the rising lows trendline
BoE Mann at 08:40 UTC could materially shift this read
00:46 UTC
Sideways, higher lows off Monday's 1.3190 base · RSI 53 · price 1.3220
Tight Asian range inside Monday's 1.3190–1.3239 band.
Early Asia session on Tuesday, GBPUSD is pinned in a 1.3216–1.3225 Asian range at 1.3220, near a flat EMA20, with ATR(14) compressed to about 4 pips. Monday printed a double bottom at 1.3190 in the Asia and NY sessions. Since the NY low, a rising support line has held higher lows, while supply capped price at the 1.3229 NY high and the 1.3239 London high as US 10y yields kept the dollar firm.
Support: 1.3216, 1.3204, 1.3190
Resistance: 1.3225, 1.3229, 1.3239
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3225 Asian high and then the 1.3229 NY high reopens the 1.3239 London high
Break below the 1.3216 Asian low and the rising support line exposes the 1.3204 NY swing low
Failure to hold 1.3204 shifts focus back to the 1.3190 double btm
BoE Mann speaks 08:40 UTC (11:40 broker) and could break the Asian range during the London session
00:31 UTC
Sideways, mild drift lower in Asia · RSI 44 · price 1.32169
Asian range 1.3215–1.3225 inside Monday's 1.3190–1.3239 range.
Early Asia is drifting in a tight 1.3215–1.3225 band, with price parked between the 50% and 61.8% of the London-NY fib and RSI(14) near 44. Buyers stepped in twice at 1.3190, the Asia and NY lows, leaving a double btm under a London high that capped at 1.3239, while US yields at 2002 highs keep GBP/USD pinned near 1.3220.
Support: 1.32149, 1.32042, 1.3190
Resistance: 1.32253, 1.32388
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3215 asian low exposes the 1.3204 swing low
Failure to hold the 1.3190 double btm marks a break of Monday's range
Clearance of the 1.3225 asian high reopens the 1.3239 london high
BoE's Mann at 08:40 UTC could materially shift this read
00:17 UTC
Sideways after NY rebound, momentum fading · RSI 43 · price 1.32174
Double bottom at 1.3190, tight Asian consolidation below 1.3229 neckline.
Monday's NY session matched the Asia day low at 1.3190 as 5.34% US 10y yields kept the dollar bid. The rebound stalled at the 1.3229 neckline. Early Asia is holding a 1.3216–1.3225 range on rising lows, with price sitting just under the averages and RSI(14) near 43.
Support: 1.3216, 1.3204, 1.3190
Resistance: 1.3225, 1.3229, 1.3239
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3229 neckline completes the double bottom and puts the 1.3239 prior high in play
Loss of the 1.3216 Asian low breaks the rising lows and exposes the 1.3204 swing low
Break below the 1.3190 day low negates the double bottom
BoE's Mann at 08:40 UTC could materially shift this read
00:01 UTC
Sideways, momentum flat · RSI 42 · price 1.32177
Range 1.3190–1.3239, NY higher lows off the day low.
Early Asia session is stalling under the 1.3225 session high after NY rebounded from a second test of the 1.3190 day low. Price is holding above the 38.2% of the NY rebound fib, with NY higher lows still intact and the 1.3239 London high capping the range as firm US yields keep the dollar bid.
Support: 1.3204, 1.3190
Resistance: 1.3225, 1.3239
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3225 session high reopens the 1.3239 London high
Loss of the 1.3204 NY pullback low breaks the NY higher lows line and exposes the 1.3190 day low
Third failure at the 1.3190 day low would end the range read
BoE Mann at 08:40 UTC and US 10y yield moves could shift the range read