GBP/USD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Friday, 25 September 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the GBP/USD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
20:46 UTC
Intraday up-leg stalled, rotating below day high · RSI 49 · price 1.32451
NY range 1.3229–1.3263, lower highs off the top.
London broke above the 1.3209–1.3224 Asian range and ran to the 1.3263 day high as the USD paused on the oil slump. NY rejected that high twice and has rotated inside 1.3229–1.3263, with the ny low holding at the 61.8% of the Asia-to-high fib. The late-NY bounce stalled at the 1.3254 late high, extending lower highs, and price is drifting near 1.3245 into the weekly close with RSI(14) near 49.
Support: 1.3240, 1.3229
Resistance: 1.3254, 1.3263
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3240 swing low exposes the 1.3229 ny low
Break of the 1.3229 ny low (61.8% fib) turns the NY range into a lower-low sequence
Close above the 1.3254 late high breaks the lower-highs line and reopens the 1.3263 day high
Thin Friday close; Monday Asia open gap risk ahead of BoE Ramsden (Mon 10:00 UTC)
20:31 UTC
Intraday up-leg stalled, drifting into weekly close · RSI 51 · price 1.32461
London broke Asian range; NY range 1.3229–1.3263.
London broke the Asian range (1.3209–1.3229) and the London leg ran to a 1.3263 session high. NY rejected that area twice and held the 1.3229 NY low near the 61.8% retrace. The late-NY bounce, helped by the USD pause on the oil slump, faded from the 1.3254 evening high, and price is sitting on the EMAs into the weekly close.
Support: 1.3239, 1.3229
Resistance: 1.3254, 1.3263
What it said to watch
Break below the 1.3239 late NY low reopens the 1.3229 NY low and the 61.8% retrace of the London leg
Reclaim of the 1.3254 evening high puts the 1.3263 session high back in play; a close above it ends the double rejection
Weekly close is imminent. BoE's Ramsden (Mon 10:00 UTC) and Taylor (Tue) could reset the read at the open
London rally capped at day high; late-NY compression inside 1.3239–1.3254.
London lifted cable from the 1.3217 London low to a 1.3263 day high as the USD paused on the oil slump. NY rejected a retest of the day high at 1.3262, and price has since compressed between the 1.3239 range base and the 1.3254 range top into the Friday close. Price is holding above the 50% of the London rally fib, with RSI(14) flat near 53.
Support: 1.3239, 1.3229, 1.3217
Resistance: 1.3254, 1.3263
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3254 range top puts the 1.3263 day high back in play; a break there extends the London rally
Failure at the 1.3239 range base exposes the 1.3229 NY low, where the London rally fib is ~74% retraced
Loss of the 1.3217 London low would erase the London rally
Thin Friday-close liquidity; BoE's Ramsden (Mon 10:00 UTC) is the next GBP risk after the weekend
20:01 UTC
Intraday uptrend, stalling below day high · RSI 55 · price 1.32522
Late-NY higher lows compressing under 1.3254.
London broke the Asian range top near 1.3224 and ran to a 1.3263 day high as the USD rally paused. NY rejected that level twice, dipped to the 1.3229 NY low, then built late-NY higher lows off the 1.3239 NY swing low. Price is now compressing under the 1.3254 late NY high while holding the 1.3248 micro low.
Support: 1.3248, 1.3239, 1.3229
Resistance: 1.3254, 1.3263
What it said to watch
Close above the 1.3254 late NY high puts the 1.3263 day high back in focus; a break there clears the double rejection
Loss of the 1.3248 micro low and the late-NY higher lows trendline reopens the 1.3239 NY swing low
Failure at the 1.3239 NY swing low exposes the 1.3229 NY low and ends the higher-low sequence
Thin late-Friday liquidity; BoE's Ramsden speaks Mon 10:00 UTC and could reset the read at the open
London broke above the Asian range; NY rejected 1.3263 twice, then printed higher lows off 1.3229.
London cleared the Asian range (1.3209–1.3229) and ran to a 1.3263 session high, helped by a USD pause as oil slid. Supply capped that high twice in NY. The pullback retested the old Asian high at 1.3229, near the 61.8% fib, and held. Since then, rising lows have lifted price to a late NY high at 1.3254, and it is now sitting on the rising-lows line in thin post-London trade.
Support: 1.3239, 1.3229
Resistance: 1.3254, 1.3263
What it said to watch
M15 close below the rising-lows line (~1.3249) exposes the 1.3239 swing low
Failure at 1.3229 (asian high / 61.8% fib) puts price back inside the Asian range
M15 close above the 1.3263 session high breaks the double rejection
No scheduled GBP/USD events in the next 8h; thin late-Friday liquidity can distort late NY high tests
London lifted GBPUSD from the Asian low at 1.3209 to a 1.3263 session high as USD eased with oil lower. NY retraced to the ny low at 1.3229, which held the 61.8% of the London leg fib. A second push was rejected at 1.3262, and late-NY price is now grinding back toward the session high on rising lows off the ny floor at 1.3239 and the latest higher low at 1.3248.
Support: 1.3248, 1.3239, 1.3229
Resistance: 1.3263, 1.3300
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3263 session high breaks the NY range and brings the 1.3300 round number into view
Loss of the 1.3248 higher low breaks the rising lows sequence and puts the 1.3239 ny floor back in play
A break below the 1.3229 ny low and the 61.8% of the London leg fib turns the NY double rejection into a range break lower
Thin late-Friday liquidity; BoE Ramsden (Mon 10:00 UTC) is the next scheduled GBP risk
19:16 UTC
Intraday uptrend, NY chop, late recovery · RSI 58 · price 1.32515
NY range 1.3229–1.3263, rising lows off NY base.
London broke above the Asian high near 1.3224 and ran to a 1.3263 session high as the USD paused on softer oil. NY swept down to the 1.3229 ny low, then reclaimed it and printed rising lows off the 1.3241 ny base. Late-NY price is pressing the 1.3253 late ny high with RSI(14) near 58, and the 1.3263 session high is still capping.
Support: 1.3241, 1.3229, 1.3224
Resistance: 1.3253, 1.3263
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3263 session high breaks the NY range to the upside
Rejection at the 1.3253 late ny high keeps price boxed inside the NY range
Loss of the 1.3241 ny base and the ny rising lows line reopens the 1.3229 ny low
Break below the 1.3229 ny low puts the 1.3224 asian high retest in play
Late Friday NY into the weekend close: thin liquidity can distort session-high/low tests
19:01 UTC
Intraday up leg, stalling below session high · RSI 55 · price 1.32515
1.3229–1.3263 range since NY open, rising lows late NY.
London climbed from the 1.3217 london low to a 1.3263 session high as the USD paused on softer oil. NY then dropped to a 1.3229 ny low, recovered, and was rejected at 1.3262 just under that high. Late-NY rising lows off the 50% fib at 1.3240 have price back at 1.3252, pressing the 1.3254 late-ny high with RSI(14) ~55 neutral and ATR near 8 pips.
Support: 1.3240, 1.3229, 1.3217
Resistance: 1.32535, 1.32633
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3263 session high breaks the top of the post-London range
Loss of the 50% fib at 1.3240 and the late-NY rising lows re-exposes the 1.3229 ny low, then the 1.3217 london low
Thin Friday late-NY liquidity into the weekend; Monday gap risk ahead of BoE Ramsden (Sep 28, 10:00 UTC)
Double top at 1.3262/63, late-NY range 1.3239–1.3250 above asian high.
A USD pause drove a relief bounce that lifted cable out of the 1.3209–1.3229 Asian range in London and topped at 1.3263 at 13:00 UTC. The 15:45 dip held the asian high at 1.3229, but the retest at 1.3262 was rejected, leaving a double top. Late NY has compressed between the late-ny low at 1.3239 and the late-ny cap at 1.3250, with RSI(14) near 57 and ATR around 9 pips.
Support: 1.3239, 1.3229
Resistance: 1.3250, 1.3263
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3263 double top invalidates the rejection read
Break below the late-ny low at 1.3239 exposes the asian high at 1.3229, the double top neckline and 61.8% fib
Failure to hold 1.3229 would confirm the double top
Thin Friday close and weekend gap risk; BoE Ramsden (Mon 10:00 UTC) is the next GBP catalyst
18:31 UTC
Intraday up leg stalled, sideways into the close · RSI 49 · price 1.32449
Lower high at 1.3262 under the 1.3263 session high; compressing 1.3239–1.3247.
The London rally from 1.3217 cleared the Asian range and set a 1.3263 session high as the USD paused. During NY hours price dropped to the 1.3229 swing low, then a spike was rejected at 1.3262, just under that high. Late Friday, after London close, price is compressing in a 1.3239–1.3247 range around the 38.2% of the London rally, with RSI(14) flat near 49 and ATR near 9 pips.
Support: 1.3239, 1.3229, 1.3210
Resistance: 1.3247, 1.3263
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3239 range low reopens the 1.3229 swing low
Loss of the 1.3229 swing low would complete a double top off the session high and expose the Asian low at 1.3210
Close above the 1.3247 range high and then the 1.3263 session high invalidates the lower-high read
Thin late-Friday liquidity; BoE Ramsden (Mon 10:00 UTC) is the next scheduled GBP catalyst
Lower highs from 1.3263 day high, 1.3239–1.3247 compression.
London cleared the 1.3209–1.3224 Asian range and ran from the 1.3217 london low to a 1.3263 day high as the USD paused. NY rejected a retest at 1.3262 and has since printed lower highs, with price compressing between the 1.3239 late ny low and the 1.3247 lower high, near the 50% fib of the London leg. RSI(14) sits near 48 into the late-Friday NY session.
Support: 1.3239, 1.3229, 1.3217
Resistance: 1.3247, 1.3263
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3239 late ny low exposes the 1.3229 ny low and the 61.8% fib near 1.3235
Loss of the 1.3229 ny low turns the NY rejection into a lower-low sequence, with the 1.3217 london low next
Close above the 1.3247 lower high breaks the NY lower-highs line and reopens the 1.3263 day high
Thin Friday-close liquidity. Next scheduled GBP risk is BoE Ramsden on Mon 10:00 UTC
London break of Asian range, then NY chop below 1.3263 session high.
London broke above the 1.3209–1.3224 Asian range and ran to a 1.3263 session high on Friday's USD pause. NY has chopped between the 1.3229 NY swing low and 1.3263; the 16:00 UTC spike to 1.3262 was rejected below the session high. Late in NY, price is pinned near 1.3246, on EMA20 and the 38.2% of the London rally fib, with the 1.3239 late NY low below and 1.3250 psych overhead. RSI(14) is 53.
Support: 1.3239, 1.3229, 1.3224
Resistance: 1.3250, 1.3263
What it said to watch
Fed's Hammack at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read. Explicit hike talk would test the USD pullback.
An M15 close above the 1.3263 session high breaks the NY range top.
Failure to hold the 1.3239 late NY low exposes the 1.3229 NY swing low and the 1.3224 Asian high.
A close back above 1.3250 psych puts the session high back in focus.
NY range 1.3229–1.3263 below a lower-high rejection.
London broke above the Asian range (1.3209–1.3224) and pushed to a 1.3263 day high by the NY open as the USD paused. NY has since chopped between the 1.3229 NY low and a lower-high rejection at 1.3262. Price is holding just above the 1.3239 swing low near the 38.2% fib and sits marginally under EMA20/EMA50, with RSI(14) neutral at 46.
Support: 1.32385, 1.3229, 1.3224
Resistance: 1.32454, 1.32633
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 1.3239 swing low exposes the 1.3229 NY low (61.8% fib)
A break of 1.3229 puts the 1.3224 Asian high retest in play
M15 close above the 1.3245 minor high reopens the 1.3263 day high
Fed's Hammack at 18:00 UTC could shift the read into thin late-Friday trade
17:31 UTC
London uptrend stalled, NY range · RSI 44 · price 1.32409
HH/HL to 1.3263 session high, then NY range 1.3229–1.3262.
London broke the Asian range high at 1.3229 and ran to a 1.3263 session high as the USD paused. NY has chopped 1.3229–1.3262, with a late spike into the session high rejected. Price sits at 1.3241, near the micro low at 1.3239 and the 50% of the London leg, below EMA20 with RSI(14) near 44.
Support: 1.3239, 1.3229, 1.3209
Resistance: 1.3245, 1.3263
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.3229 asian high breaks the NY range and exposes the 1.3209 asian low
Reclaim of the 1.3245 pivot and EMA20 puts the 1.3263 session high back in play; a close above it resumes the London HH chain
Hold of the 1.3239 micro low keeps price mid-range near the 50% of the London leg
Fed's Hammack at 18:00 UTC could shift this read if hikes are endorsed, into thin late-Friday liquidity
NY range 1.3229–1.3263 under a twice-rejected session high.
London broke the Asian high at 1.3224 and carried the relief bounce to a 1.3263 session high as the USD paused. NY has chopped between the ny low at 1.3229 and the session high, where a second rejection at 16:00 UTC pulled price back to the 50% retrace of the London rally. Price is holding the 1.3239 swing low, below EMA20, with RSI(14) near 44 late in the NY session.
Support: 1.3239, 1.3229, 1.3224
Resistance: 1.3250, 1.3263
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3229 ny low turns the twin rejection at 1.3263 into a lower-high structure and exposes the asian high at 1.3224
Close back above the 1.3250 psych level puts the 1.3263 session high back in play
Fed's Hammack at 18:00 UTC could shift USD tone into the weekend close
17:01 UTC
Intraday uptrend stalled, ranging in NY · RSI 46 · price 1.32423
London broke above the Asian range; NY range 1.3229–1.3263 with a rejected retest of the top.
London broke the asian high at 1.3224 and ran to a 1.3263 session high by the NY open as USD paused on yields, oil and US-Iran deal headlines. NY has chopped between 1.3229 and 1.3263. The 15:45 sweep of the ny low held at the 61.8% of the london rally fib, but the 16:00 spike to 1.3262 was rejected, leaving price mid-range just under EMA20 after London close.
Support: 1.3229, 1.3224, 1.3209
Resistance: 1.3263
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3229 ny low breaks the range and the 61.8% retracement, exposing the 1.3224 asian high
A close above the 1.3263 session high invalidates the range read
Fed's Hammack at 18:00 UTC could shift this read in thin Friday trade
A return below the 1.3209 asian low would erase the whole London rally
16:46 UTC
Intraday uptrend, stalling below day high · RSI 50 · price 1.3252
London HH/HL chain, now a 1.3229–1.3263 range after London close.
London lifted GBPUSD out of the 1.3209–1.3229 Asian range to a 1.3263 day high as the USD paused. NY retested the Asian range top at the 1.3229 NY low, near the 78.6% of the London rally, and bounced sharply, but the move met rejection at 1.3262, just under the day high.
Support: 1.3240, 1.3229
Resistance: 1.3263, 1.3300
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3263 day high opens the 1.3300 round number
Loss of the 1.3240 ny pivot puts the 1.3229 ny low back in focus
Break below the 1.3229 ny low completes a double top under the day high and returns price to the Asian range
Fed's Hammack at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read via the USD leg
16:31 UTC
Intraday uptrend, recovering from NY pullback · RSI 53 · price 1.32569
Asian range broken higher; NY higher low at 1.3229, price back under session high.
London broke the Asian range (1.3209–1.3224) and ran from the 1.3217 london low to a 1.3263 session high. NY hours then saw a pullback to a 1.3229 ny low, a higher low and a near-retest of the Asian high, before the 16:00 UTC bar reversed nearly all of that NY drop as the USD paused on softer yields and oil. RSI(14) is neutral near 53 and price sits just under the session high.
Support: 1.3240, 1.3229, 1.3217
Resistance: 1.3263, 1.3300
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3263 session high extends the London higher-high sequence toward the 1.3300 round number
A second rejection at 1.3263 followed by loss of the 1.3240 ny swing low reopens the 1.3229 ny low; a break there cuts the higher-low chain from the london low
Fed's Hammack at 18:00 UTC could materially shift the USD leg into the weekend close
London HH/HL chain to 1.3263, NY lower highs into a 1.3229 higher low.
London broke the 1.3209–1.3224 Asian range and ran to a 1.3263 session high as USD eased on paused yields and oil plus US-Iran deal reports. NY hours pulled back through a sequence of lower highs into the 1.3229 ny low, which sits at the 61.8% fib of the Asia-to-London advance. That low was rejected with a long lower wick in the last hour, and price is back at 1.3250 testing the 1.3251 lower high, with RSI(14) near 51.
Support: 1.3239, 1.3229, 1.3224
Resistance: 1.3251, 1.3263
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3251 lower high resumes the London HH chain toward the 1.3263 session high
Failure back below the 1.3239 swing low reopens the 1.3229 ny low; a break there exposes the 1.3224 asian high as the breakout retest
Fed's Hammack at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
16:01 UTC
Intraday uptrend, recovering after deep NY pullback · RSI 51 · price 1.32501
London higher-low chain intact; NY pullback held at 1.3229, NY trendline broken.
London lifted GBPUSD off the 1.3209 asian low to a 1.3263 session high, a short-covering bounce from oversold levels after the four-day slide. NY retraced about 74% of that leg to a 1.3229 ny low, then printed a sharp rejection candle back through the ny trendline to 1.3250 just after London close, with RSI(14) neutral near 51.
Support: 1.3239, 1.3229, 1.3209
Resistance: 1.3263, 1.3300
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 1.3229 ny low breaks the London higher-low sequence and exposes the 1.3209 asian low
Failure to hold the 1.3239 swing low would undercut the ny trendline break
Reclaim of the 1.3263 session high opens a path toward the 1.3300 round number
Fed's Hammack at 18:00 UTC could move US yields and this read into the Friday close
15:46 UTC
Intraday pullback after London rally · RSI 44 · price 1.32406
Lower highs since NY open; 50% retrace of London leg.
London broke the Asian range (1.3209–1.3224) and ran from the 1.3217 London low to a 1.3263 session high around NY open. NY hours have printed a lower-high sequence (1.3263 / 1.3260 / 1.3251) and a dip to the 1.3233 NY low after firm US durables and Michigan prints. Price is now retesting the 1.3240 London breakout area at the 50% retrace, below EMA20 and just above EMA50, with RSI(14) at 44.
Support: 1.3233, 1.3224, 1.3217
Resistance: 1.3251, 1.3263
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3233 NY low confirms a lower-low and exposes the 1.3224 Asian high, then the 1.3217 London low
M15 close above the 1.3251 lower high breaks the descending sequence and brings the 1.3263 session high back into view
Fed's Hammack at 18:00 UTC could shift USD tone into the Friday close
15:31 UTC
Intraday pullback after London rally, lower highs in NY · RSI 39 · price 1.32357
London HH/HL leg to 1.3263 rejected; NY lower highs and lower lows back below 1.3240.
London broke out of the 1.3209–1.3224 Asian range and ran to a 1.3263 session high as the dollar paused. The session high was rejected early in NY hours after firm US durables and sentiment data, and lower highs at 1.3260 and 1.3251 have since pulled price back through the 1.3240 prior high. Price is now testing the 61.8% retracement near 1.3235, just above the 1.3231 swing low, with RSI(14) near 39.
Support: 1.3231, 1.3224
Resistance: 1.3240, 1.3251, 1.3263
What it said to watch
An M15 close below the 1.3231 swing low extends the lower-low chain toward the 1.3224 Asian high
A recovery above the 1.3240 prior high and the 1.3251 lower high breaks the NY lower-highs line
A reclaim of the 1.3263 session high would negate the rejection read
Fed's Hammack at 18:00 UTC could shift USD tone into the close
15:16 UTC
London uptrend stalled, NY pullback · RSI 45 · price 1.32455
Lower highs from 1.3263 session high, compressing 1.3239–1.3251.
London broke above the Asian range (1.3209–1.3224) at the open and ran to a 1.3263 session high at 13:00 UTC as the USD paused on stalled yields and oil. NY has since printed lower highs and a 1.3239 NY low near the 50% retrace of the London leg. Price is compressing 1.3239–1.3251 below EMA20 mid-NY, with RSI(14) neutral near 45.
Support: 1.3239, 1.3224
Resistance: 1.3251, 1.3263
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3239 NY low breaks the pullback floor and exposes the 1.3224 Asian high
M15 close above the 1.3251 lower high breaks the NY lower-highs line and reopens the 1.3263 session high
Fed's Hammack at 18:00 UTC could shift this read into thinner post-London-close liquidity
London HH/HL chain; NY broke last higher low, retesting 1.3240.
London cleared the Asian high and the prior high at 1.3240 as the USD paused on US-Iran de-escalation reports, printing a session high at 1.3263 in the London-NY transition. During NY hours the pullback broke the 1.3248 higher low and is retesting the prior high, which lines up with the 38.2% fib of the Asian low to session high move. RSI(14) has cooled to ~44.
Support: 1.3240, 1.3231, 1.3224
Resistance: 1.3248, 1.3263
What it said to watch
M15 close below the prior high at 1.3240 undercuts the breakout and exposes the 50% fib at 1.3236 and the swing low at 1.3231
Reclaim of the broken higher low (broken hl) at 1.3248 is needed to reopen a test of the 1.3263 session high
Loss of the 1.3231 swing low puts the Asian high at 1.3224 back in play
Fed's Hammack at 18:00 UTC could shift this read via US yields
14:46 UTC
Intraday pullback after London advance · RSI 40 · price 1.3241
London HH/HL chain broken by NY reversal; testing mid-leg support.
London built a HH/HL chain from the 1.3217 London low to a 1.3263 session high. NY reversed it through the 1.3248 broken low, and the drop extended in the 14:00 UTC UoM window to 1.3240, the 50% fib of the London leg and the prior breakout shelf. RSI(14) is near 40 with price under EMA20 as USD firmness persists.
Support: 1.3240, 1.3231, 1.3217
Resistance: 1.3248, 1.3263
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.3240 (50% fib) exposes the 1.3231 swing low, then the 1.3217 London low
Recovery back above the 1.3248 broken low reopens the 1.3263 session high
Fed's Hammack at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
London HH/HL chain intact; NY lower high at 1.3260, chop 1.3241–1.3263.
London lifted from the 1.3217 london low through yesterday's 1.3240 high to a 1.3263 session high as USD eased on US-Iran de-escalation headlines. NY has only managed a lower high at 1.3260. The 14:00 UTC spike to the 1.3241 ny low, around the UoM release, was bought back at the 50% fib retracement and the rising support line, leaving price at the 1.3248 swing low just under EMA20 with RSI(14) neutral near 54.
Support: 1.3248, 1.3241, 1.3217
Resistance: 1.3260, 1.3263
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.3241 ny low breaks rising support and the London higher-low chain
Close above the 1.3263 session high, clearing the 1.3260 lower high, resumes the higher-high sequence
Repeated closes below the 1.3248 swing low shift the read to a range inside 1.3241–1.3263
Fed's Hammack at 18:00 UTC could materially shift USD tone into the weekend
HH/HL chain from London open, now a tight 1.3248–1.3263 consolidation.
GBPUSD broke the Asian high at 1.3224 into London and built a steady HH/HL chain to a 1.3263 session high. The move came as USD eased on US-Iran de-escalation reports. Since midday UTC, price has chopped between the 1.3248 swing low and 1.3263, with a rejection at the high and the rising trendline from the London-open low still intact near 1.3250.
Support: 1.3248, 1.3242, 1.3224
Resistance: 1.3263, 1.3295
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3248 swing low and rising trendline breaks the HH/HL chain, exposing the 1.3242 prior high and the London leg 38.2% near 1.3246
Close above the 1.3263 session high resumes the leg; 1.3295 uob level is the next reference
UoM final inflation expectations (14:00 UTC) and Fed's Hammack at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Loss of 1.3224 asian high would unwind the London breakout
14:01 UTC
Uptrend, stalling at session high · RSI 62 · price 1.32564
HH/HL chain from the 1.3217 London low; compressing 1.3248–1.3263 into NY.
The London rally broke out of the Asian range (1.3210–1.3224) and through yesterday's 1.3240 prior high as USD paused on US-Iran de-escalation talk and a stalled bond sell-off, printing a 1.3263 session high. NY open brought a rejection there, but buyers stepped in twice near the 1.3248 swing low; RSI(14) is 62.
Support: 1.3248, 1.3240
Resistance: 1.3263, 1.3300
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3248 swing low breaks the higher-low chain and exposes the 1.3240 prior high, which sits at the 50% retracement of the London rally
Close above the 1.3263 session high extends the HH sequence toward the 1.3300 round number
UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Fed's Hammack at 18:00 UTC is the next USD risk after the NY session data
13:31 UTC
Uptrend, stalling under session high · RSI 64 · price 1.32561
HH/HL chain since Asian range break, testing rising trendline.
GBPUSD lifted out of the 1.3210–1.3224 Asian range around 06:00 UTC and cleared Thursday's 1.3240 prior high through London as DXY eased on US-Iran de-escalation headlines. Early NY has stalled under the 1.3263 session high, with price sitting on the rising trendline and RSI(14) near 64.
Support: 1.3248, 1.3240, 1.3224
Resistance: 1.32633, 1.3300
What it said to watch
M15 close below the rising trendline and the 1.3248 swing low ends the HH/HL chain; 38.2% fib sits near 1.3243
Close above the 1.3263 session high extends the London leg toward the 1.3300 round number
Slip back under the 1.3240 prior high reopens the 1.3224 Asian high
UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC (1-yr f/c 4.6%) could materially shift this read; Fed's Hammack at 18:00 UTC
13:16 UTC
Intraday uptrend, stalling under session high · RSI 66 · price 1.32562
Higher-low chain from 1.3217 since London open; Asian range and prior high broken.
London broke the Asian range top near 1.3224 and stacked higher lows up to a 1.3260 session high, clearing yesterday's 1.3240 prior high as USD consolidated on softer crude and US-Iran pause reports. Price is pressing just under the session high into the NY open, RSI(14) at 66.
Support: 1.32478, 1.3240, 1.32305
Resistance: 1.32595, 1.3300
What it said to watch
UoM sentiment and inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close below the 1.3248 swing low breaks the higher-low trendline
Prior high at 1.3240 lines up with the 38.2% fib of the Asia-to-high leg; a retest there is the first structural test
A 1.3230 higher low giving way unwinds the London leg
Close above the 1.3260 session high opens the path toward the 1.3300 round number
13:01 UTC
Intraday uptrend, stalling under session high · RSI 66 · price 1.3252
HH/HL chain through London; tight hold above the 1.3240 breakout.
London broke the Asian high at 1.3224, then cleared yesterday's NY prior high at 1.3240. The 1.3240 retest held and the move printed a session high at 1.3260, in step with USD consolidating as crude eased. Heading into NY, price sits on the rising London trendline near 1.3252 after a slightly lower high at 1.3257 and a higher low at 1.3248. The 12:30 UTC durable goods print barely registered, and RSI(14) is cooling to ~66.
Support: 1.3248, 1.3240, 1.3224
Resistance: 1.3260, 1.3300
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3248 higher low and the London trendline shifts the read to a pullback toward the 1.3240 prior high / 38.2% of the London leg
Close above the 1.3260 session high extends the HH chain, with the 1.3300 round number next
Loss of the 1.3224 Asian high puts price back inside the Asian range and negates the London breakout
US UoM sentiment and inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC, then Fed's Hammack at 18:00 UTC, could materially shift this read
HH/HL chain since London broke the Asian range; holding just under the 1.3260 session high.
London broke above the 1.3209–1.3224 Asian range at the open and has built a clean higher-low chain up to a 1.3260 session high. The lift from the 3-month low area came as the USD paused on cooler oil and yields. RSI(14) sits mid-60s and the latest higher low at 1.3248 held into the London-NY transition.
Support: 1.3248, 1.3241, 1.3223
Resistance: 1.3260, 1.3300
What it said to watch
US Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC lands in the current bar; UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close above the 1.3260 session high extends the chain toward the 1.3300 round number
Close below the 1.3248 higher low breaks the rising trendline and puts the 1.3241 prior high back in play
Loss of the 38.2% fib near 1.3243 and a slide back to the 1.3223 Asian high would unwind the London breakout
HH/HL chain since London open, pulling back onto rising trendline.
London broke above the Asian range and the prior high at 1.3240, left from yesterday's NY session, then stepped up in higher highs to a 1.3260 session high as USD paused on cooler oil and yields. Price is now easing to a 1.3248 pullback low that sits on the rising trendline from the London open low, with RSI(14) cooling to about 62.
Support: 1.32478, 1.32419, 1.3240
Resistance: 1.32595, 1.3300
What it said to watch
US Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC, on the NY open, could materially shift this read
M15 close below the 1.3242 swing low breaks the HH/HL chain and exposes the 38.2% fib
Break back below the 1.3240 prior high turns the breakout into a false break
Close above the 1.3260 session high puts the 1.3300 round number in view; UoM at 14:00 UTC is the next risk
HH/HL chain through London, first lower high off 1.3260.
London broke above the Asian range top near 1.3224 and cleared the prior high at 1.3240 from yesterday's NY spike. It printed a session high at 1.3260 as USD paused on cooling oil and yields. Price is easing to 1.3249 and testing the rising trendline, with RSI(14) near 62; the 38.2% of the London leg fib at 1.3243 overlaps the prior high.
Support: 1.32485, 1.3240, 1.32305
Resistance: 1.32595, 1.3300
What it said to watch
US Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC and UoM at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read early in the NY session
A break below the 1.3249 micro low and the rising trendline puts the 1.3240 prior high / London leg fib zone in play
An M15 close above the 1.3260 session high opens the path toward the 1.3300 round number
Loss of the 1.3231 swing low would break the London HH/HL chain
Higher-high/higher-low chain since London open, above Asian range and prior high.
London broke the 1.3210–1.3224 Asian range, with the asian high giving way, then cleared yesterday's 1.3240 prior high to print a 1.3260 session high as the dollar eased on softer yields and the oil dip on US-Iran talk reports. The higher-low chain is intact, and price at 1.3249 is sitting on the rising trendline into the London-NY transition. RSI(14) near 61 has cooled from the highs.
Support: 1.32419, 1.32305, 1.32237
Resistance: 1.32595, 1.3295
What it said to watch
US Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close below the 1.3242 higher low breaks the HL chain and exposes the 1.3240 prior high / 38.2% fib
Failure to hold the 1.3231 swing low returns focus to the asian high at 1.3224
M15 close above the 1.3260 session high opens the path toward 1.3295 resistance
11:46 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pausing at session high · RSI 65 · price 1.32523
HH/HL chain since London open, above Asian range.
London broke the Asian high at 1.3224 at the open and has stepped up in higher lows since. The move cleared yesterday's 1.3240 spike high as USD eased on softer yields and oil. The latest push stalled at the 1.3258 session high, with the 1.3243 swing low sitting on the 38.2% fib of the London leg.
Support: 1.32431, 1.32307, 1.32237
Resistance: 1.32577
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3243 swing low breaks the 38.2% fib and exposes the 1.3231 higher low
Loss of the 1.3231 higher low ends the HH/HL chain; the Asian high at 1.3224 is next
Close above the 1.3258 session high extends the London breakout into the NY open
US Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
11:31 UTC
Uptrend, extending into late London · RSI 70 · price 1.32543
Higher highs and higher lows since the London open; Asian range and prior-day high cleared.
London broke above the 1.3209–1.3224 Asian range and cleared the prior-day high near 1.3240, printing a session high at 1.3255 as USD eased on softer yields and oil. The HH/HL chain is intact, dips held at the 1.3242 swing low and the 1.3250 prior high is now just below price, with RSI(14) at 70, hot but not stretched.
Support: 1.3250, 1.3242, 1.3240
Resistance: 1.3255, 1.3300
What it said to watch
US Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read into the NY session
Failure to hold the 1.3242 swing low and the rising trendline breaks the London HH/HL chain
Loss of the prior-day hi at 1.3240 turns the breakout into a false break
Extension from the session high leaves the 1.3300 round number as the next level above
Pullback into the 50% fib of the London leg near 1.3236 would test the prior-day hi zone
London higher-high/higher-low chain; breakout above prior high 1.3240 now being retested.
London lifted GBPUSD out of the 1.3209–1.3224 Asian range and through yesterday's 1.3240 prior high, printing a session high at 1.3250 at 10:00 UTC as the USD consolidated on easing yields. The late-London pullback is holding just above 1.3240, with higher lows intact along the London trendline and RSI(14) cooling to ~66.
Support: 1.3240, 1.32307, 1.32237
Resistance: 1.32499
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 1.3240 prior high negates the breakout and returns price to yesterday's range
Loss of the 1.3231 swing low breaks the London higher-low chain; the asian high at 1.3224 sits below
Close above the 1.3250 session high extends the higher-high sequence
US Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC during NY hours could materially shift this read
HH/HL chain since London open, holding above the 1.3240 prior high.
London climbed from its 1.3217 london low in a higher-high, higher-low sequence. It cleared yesterday's 1.3240 prior high and printed a 1.3250 session high as USD consolidated on easing yields. RSI(14) sits near 69 and price holds above the rising trendline, with the 1.3250 round number capping the latest push.
Support: 1.3240, 1.3231, 1.3217
Resistance: 1.3250
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 1.3240 prior high turns the breakout into a false break
Loss of the 1.3231 swing low breaks the HL chain and exposes the 1.3217 london low
Acceptance above the 1.3250 session high extends the London uptrend
US Durable Goods 12:30 UTC and UoM inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
10:46 UTC
Intraday uptrend, first test of 1.3250 · RSI 68 · price 1.32452
Higher lows through London, above Asian range and prior high.
London cleared the Asian range and then the 1.3240 prior high from yesterday afternoon, printing a session high just shy of the 1.3250 round number as USD eased with softer yields. Higher lows from the 1.3217 london low to the 1.3231 swing low define the rising trendline, with RSI(14) near 68.
Support: 1.3240, 1.3231, 1.3217
Resistance: 1.3250
What it said to watch
Holding above the 1.3240 prior high keeps the breakout intact; a return below it reopens the 1.3231 swing low
An M15 close below the 1.3217 london low breaks the higher-low sequence and the rising trendline
Rejection at the 1.3250 round number vs a close above it defines the next leg
US Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
10:31 UTC
Uptrend, pressing session high · RSI 67 · price 1.32462
Higher highs and higher lows through London, above Asian range.
London broke the Asian range and climbed from the 1.3217 London low to 1.3250, clearing the 1.3240 prior high from yesterday's NY spike as USD consolidated on easing yields. The 1.3231 swing low anchors the higher-low chain, and RSI(14) at 67 is warm but not stretched.
Support: 1.3240, 1.3231, 1.3217
Resistance: 1.3250
What it said to watch
Rejection at the 1.3250 round number vs an M15 close above it extending the London leg
M15 close back below the 1.3240 prior high turns the breakout into a false break
Loss of the 1.3231 swing low and the rising trendline breaks the higher-low chain
US Durable Goods 12:30 UTC and UoM inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher lows through London, Asian range broken to the upside.
London cleared the 1.3209–1.3224 Asian range and built higher lows at 1.3217 and 1.3231, with the latest bar pushing just past Thursday's 1.3240 prior high to a 1.3242 session high as USD consolidates on easing yields. RSI(14) near 64 is firm but not stretched, and the London leg from 1.3217 has seen no meaningful retracement.
Support: 1.3240, 1.3231, 1.3224
Resistance: 1.3242, 1.3250
What it said to watch
Holding the 1.3240 prior high on a retest keeps the breakout read intact; slipping back under it marks a false break
M15 close below the 1.3231 higher low breaks the London HL chain and opens a return to the 1.3224 Asian high
1.3250 round number is the next area to monitor for rejection
US Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
London break of Asian range, now a tight box below the session high.
The London leg broke the 1.3224 Asian high and ran from the 1.3217 London low to a 1.3241 session high, level with Thursday's NY spike high, as the USD eased with yields and oil. Since then price has held a 10-pip box: the 1.3231 range floor sits near the 38.2% of the London leg, and the top was rejected three times. RSI(14) at 64 is not stretched.
Support: 1.3231, 1.3224, 1.3217
Resistance: 1.3241, 1.3250
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3241 session high clears Thursday's NY spike high and exposes the 1.3250 round number
Loss of the 1.3231 range floor opens a retest of the 1.3224 Asian high, near the 61.8% of the London leg
A break below the 1.3217 London low undoes the London breakout
US Durable Goods (12:30 UTC) and UoM inflation expectations (14:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
Asian range broken higher; London higher lows, capped at 1.3240.
London cleared the Asian high at 1.3224 from a 1.3217 London low as the USD bid eased with softer yields. The run stalled with a rejection at yesterday's prior high near 1.3240, and price is now holding the 1.3231 pullback low at the 38.2% fib of the London leg. RSI(14) has cooled to 58.
Support: 1.3231, 1.3224, 1.3217
Resistance: 1.3240, 1.3250
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3240 prior high opens the 1.3250 round number
Loss of the 1.3231 pullback low exposes the 1.3224 Asian high and the 50–61.8% fib zone
A break of the rising support from the Asian low, below the 1.3217 London low, invalidates the higher-low sequence
US Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC and the UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
09:31 UTC
Intraday uptrend, stalling at session high · RSI 66 · price 1.3236
Asian range broken higher; higher lows since London open, tight coil under 1.3241.
Price cleared the Asian high at 1.3224 in early European trade, then made a higher low at the 1.3217 London low and ran to a 1.3241 session high. That high matches Thursday's NY spike high at 1.3240, and price is now coiling just under it above a 1.3231 swing low as USD eases on softer yields and lower oil. RSI(14) is near 66, firm but not stretched.
Support: 1.3231, 1.3224, 1.3217
Resistance: 1.3241, 1.3250
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3241 session high opens the 1.3250 round number
Break of the 1.3231 swing low points to a retest of the 1.3224 asian high
Loss of the 1.3217 london low undoes the London trend line and the higher-low sequence
US Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC and UoM sentiment/inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
09:16 UTC
Intraday uptrend, stalling at prior high · RSI 66 · price 1.32339
Asian range broken higher; London higher lows into 1.3240 prior high.
Early London broke the 1.3209–1.3224 Asian range and ran to 1.3241, matching yesterday's NY spike at the 1.3240 prior high before stalling. Dips are holding the 1.3231 pullback low as the dollar eases on softer oil and yields after the US-Iran Hormuz reports. RSI(14) is near 66, firm but not stretched.
Support: 1.3231, 1.3224, 1.3217
Resistance: 1.3240, 1.3250
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3240 prior high opens 1.3250 psych; repeated stalls there leave a double-top read against yesterday's NY high
Loss of the 1.3231 pullback low exposes the 1.3224 asian high, which lines up with the 50% fib retrace of the overnight advance
A break of rising support and the 1.3217 london low undoes the London higher-low chain
Fed's Williams (09:15 UTC), US Durable Goods (12:30 UTC) and UoM inflation expectations (14:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
09:01 UTC
Intraday uptrend, stalling at prior high · RSI 69 · price 1.32361
Asian range break higher, higher-low chain in London.
London extended the pre-open break of the Asian range (1.3209–1.3224) to 1.3241, where it stalled at Thursday's prior high. Higher lows are stacking at 1.3217, 1.3228 and 1.3231 as easing oil and yields trim the dollar, with RSI(14) near 69 and not stretched.
Support: 1.3231, 1.3224, 1.3209
Resistance: 1.3241, 1.3250
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3241 prior high clears the triple cap and exposes the 1.3250 round number
Failure to hold the 1.3231 higher low breaks the higher-low line and turns focus back to the 1.3224 asian high
Loss of the 1.3224 asian high puts the 61.8% of the rally off the 1.3209 asian low (~1.3221) in play
Fed's Williams at 09:15 UTC and US durable goods at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
08:46 UTC
Intraday uptrend, stalling at prior high · RSI 68 · price 1.32344
Asian range broken higher, HH/HL chain in London.
London broke above the 1.3224 asian high and ran to a 1.3241 session high, which matches Thursday's NY spike high. The dollar eased on cooler yields and US-Iran/Hormuz talk, and the 08:15 UTC bar was rejected at that level. RSI(14) is near 68 and the HH/HL chain holds above the 1.3217 london low, with the 06:15 prior high at 1.3229 as first support.
Support: 1.3229, 1.3224, 1.3217
Resistance: 1.3241, 1.3250
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3241 session high clears Thursday's NY spike high and exposes the 1.3250 round number
Slip back below the 1.3229 prior high and the 1.3224 asian high would turn the London move into a false break
Break of the 1.3217 london low ends the HH/HL chain and sits below the 61.8% retrace of the asian low-high leg
Fed's Williams at 09:15 UTC and US Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
London broke above the Asian range; higher lows since 1.3210.
Cable held a tight 1.3209–1.3224 Asian range, then broke higher from the 1.3217 London low into the 1.3240 NY spike high as the dollar eased on US-Iran Hormuz talk. RSI(14) is near 77 with price pressing the NY spike high, still under the 1.3246 prior high at the window top.
Support: 1.3229, 1.3217, 1.3209
Resistance: 1.3240, 1.3246
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3246 prior high extends the London breakout
Rejection at the 1.3240 NY spike high sets up a retest of the 1.3229 pre-London high
Loss of the 1.3217 London low breaks the rising lows and reopens the 1.3209 Asian low
Fed's Williams at 09:15 UTC, US Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC and UoM at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
08:16 UTC
Intraday bounce, higher lows since Asia · RSI 68 · price 1.32302
Asian range broken higher, HH/HL chain from 1.3209.
Early London has pushed Cable out of the 1.3209–1.3224 Asian range, with a higher low at the 1.3217 london low and a new session high near 1.3231. The bounce fits the digest's read of a softer USD as yields cooled and oil fell on US-Iran talk. Price now sits just under yesterday's 1.3234 prior high and the 1.3240 ny spike that was sold hard into the 1.3204 low.
Support: 1.32237, 1.3217, 1.32089
Resistance: 1.32335, 1.32399
What it said to watch
Close back below the 1.3224 asian high turns the breakout into a false break
Loss of the 1.3217 london low (61.8% fib) breaks the higher-low chain and exposes the 1.3209 asian low
M15 close above 1.3234 prior high puts the 1.3240 ny spike in play
Fed's Williams at 09:15 UTC and US Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Asian range broken higher pre-London, London open dip held above it.
Pre-London bids broke cable out of the 1.3209–1.3224 Asian range to a 1.3229 session high, and the London open dip held at 1.3217 near the 61.8% retrace. Price is pressing the session high again with RSI(14) near 68, a relief bounce off yesterday's 1.3204 swing low against a firm, yield-led USD.
Support: 1.3224, 1.3217, 1.3204
Resistance: 1.3229, 1.3240, 1.3255
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3229 session high extends the rising lows toward the 1.3240 spike high, with the 1.3255 prior high above
A drop back below the 1.3224 asian high and the 1.3217 london low returns price to the Asian range and negates the breakout
Failure at the session high that runs through 1.3217 puts the 1.3204 swing low back in focus
Williams at 09:15 UTC, US durables at 12:30 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
07:16 UTC
Intraday bounce off lows, higher lows since Asia · RSI 72 · price 1.32256
Early London range break above Asian high, consolidating just above it.
The pre-London push broke the Asian high at 1.3222, and price is holding between it and the 1.3229 session high at the London open. RSI(14) is short-term hot near 72 after a quiet 1.3209–1.3222 Asian range, while the broader USD bid from hawkish Fed talk has kept rallies capped below yesterday's 1.3240 NY high.
Support: 1.3222, 1.3209, 1.3204
Resistance: 1.3229, 1.3240
What it said to watch
M15 close back inside the Asian range below 1.3222 would mark the break as a false break and reopen the 1.3209 Asian low
Clearance of the 1.3229 session high opens the 1.3240 NY high, the spike top from yesterday's NY session
Loss of the 1.3204 day low would extend the multi-day lower-low sequence
A retrace to the 38.2–50% of the London push fib (1.3222–1.3220) that holds keeps the higher-low structure intact
Fed's Williams at 09:15 UTC, then US Durables at 12:30 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC, could materially shift this read
Asian range broken to the upside, stalling at 61.8% of the NY drop.
Early European trade lifted GBPUSD out of the 1.3209–1.3224 Asian range to a 1.3229 session high. Price is now sitting on the 61.8% retrace of the NY drop, with RSI(14) near 68. The pullback held the Asian high on retest, but the wider tape stays heavy after hawkish Fed talk and multi-year-high US yields pushed the pair to its lowest since late June yesterday.
Support: 1.3224, 1.3209, 1.3204
Resistance: 1.3229, 1.3240
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 1.3224 asian high returns price to the Asian range and puts the 1.3209 asian low back in focus
Acceptance above the 1.3229 session high and the ny drop fib 61.8% opens the 1.3240 ny high
Loss of the 1.3204 ny low would confirm a fresh lower-low
Fed's Williams at 09:15 UTC, then Durable Goods (12:30) and UoM inflation expectations (14:00), could materially shift this read
06:46 UTC
Short-term bounce off day low, momentum hot · RSI 72 · price 1.32275
Higher lows since 1.3204 day low; Asian range broken to the upside into London open.
Pre-London trade pushed GBPUSD out of the 1.3209–1.3224 Asian range to a europe high at 1.3229, reclaiming the 61.8% fib of the drop from the 1.3240 ny spike hi. Higher lows since the 1.3204 day low sit on a rising trendline, RSI(14) near 72. The digest frames the move as a bounce inside a USD-led four-day slide.
Support: 1.32237, 1.32089, 1.32041
Resistance: 1.32292, 1.32335, 1.32399
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 1.3224 asian high turns the range break into a false break
M15 close above the 1.3234 prior swing and 1.3240 ny spike hi clears the fib and the NY session range
Loss of the higher lows trendline and the 1.3209 asian low reopens the 1.3204 day low
Fed's Williams at 09:15 UTC and US durable goods at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Asian range break higher, higher lows since 1.3209.
Ahead of London open, price has cleared the Asian high at 1.3224 after a chain of higher lows off the 1.3209 Asian low. It is now testing the 61.8% level of yesterday's NY spike fib near 1.3226, with RSI(14) at 73 against a USD-heavy backdrop that left the swing low at 1.3204.
Support: 1.3224, 1.3209, 1.3204
Resistance: 1.3233, 1.3240, 1.3256
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 1.3224 on a retest turns the move into a false break back inside the Asian range
M15 close above the 1.3233 prior high and 1.3240 spike high clears the NY spike fib retrace and exposes yesterday's 1.3256 london high
Loss of the 1.3209 Asian low reopens the 1.3204 swing low
Fed's Williams at 09:15 UTC and US durable goods at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Tight Asian range 1.3209–1.3224 above the NY low, no directional swing sequence.
Thursday's slide on higher US yields and hawkish Fed talk bottomed at the ny low of 1.3204 after the NY spike hi at 1.3240 fully faded. Asia has since held a 1.3209–1.3224 range. Price sits mid-range at 1.3217 into London open, near the 38.2% retrace of that NY spike fib, with ATR compressed near 3 pips.
Support: 1.3209, 1.3204
Resistance: 1.3224, 1.3240
What it said to watch
London open break of the asian high at 1.3224 opens a retest of the ny spike hi near 1.3240
A close below the asian low at 1.3209 exposes the ny low at 1.3204 and a lower-low
Fed's Williams at 09:15 UTC and US durable goods at 12:30 UTC could break the compression
UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC are the most Fed-relevant print today
06:02 UTC
Downtrend, compressing near lows · RSI 55 · price 1.32179
Lower highs from 1.3256; tight Asian range 1.3209–1.3224 above 1.3204 swing low.
Yield-driven USD strength has left GBPUSD holding just above the 1.3204 swing low. Lower highs run from the 1.3256 prior high through the 1.3240 spike high. Late Asia has nudged price above that descending line and back to the 38.2% spike retrace at 1.3218, still under the 1.3224 Asian high, with ATR near 3 pips ahead of London open.
Support: 1.3209, 1.32041
Resistance: 1.32237, 1.32399, 1.32557
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3224 Asian high extends the spike retrace toward the 1.3240 spike high
Failure to hold the 1.3209 Asian low exposes the 1.3204 swing low and the 1.3200 round number
Fed's Williams at 09:15 UTC, US Durables at 12:30 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Tight Asian range 1.3209–1.3224 below lower highs.
Late Asia session, with GBPUSD pressing the 1.3215 area inside a 1.3209–1.3224 Asian range. The NY spike high at 1.3240 faded to a 1.3204 NY low as US yields and hawkish Fed talk kept Sterling heavy. The Asian high sits on the 38.2% fib of the London-to-NY drop, under a line of lower highs, and ATR near 3 pips shows compressed conditions ahead of London open.
Support: 1.3209, 1.32041, 1.3200
Resistance: 1.32237, 1.32355, 1.32399
What it said to watch
Close above the 1.3224 Asian high and 38.2% fib opens the 1.3235 ny fade area and the 1.3240 ny spike hi
Break of the 1.3209 Asian low exposes the 1.3204 ny low and the 1.3200 round number
London open at 07:00 UTC typically resolves the Asian range
Fed's Williams at 09:15 UTC and US durables at 12:30 UTC could shift yields and this read
A push through the lower highs trendline would invalidate the stalled downtrend read
05:16 UTC
Downtrend, compressing near lows · RSI 42 · price 1.32121
Lower highs from 1.3256 into a tight 1.3209–1.3224 Asian range, lows flat above 1.3204.
Late Asia session, pre-London open: price is coiling in a 1.3210–1.3214 band in the lower half of the 1.3209–1.3224 Asian range, with ATR contracted to about 3 pips. The lower-highs sequence from the 1.3256 London high through the 1.3240 NY high to the Asian high remains intact. Hawkish-Fed USD strength keeps the pair pinned near the 1.3204 swing low and the 1.3200 round number.
Support: 1.3209, 1.3204, 1.3200
Resistance: 1.3224, 1.3240, 1.3256
What it said to watch
Break of the 1.3209 asian low exposes the 1.3204 swing low and the 1.3200 round number
M15 close above the 1.3224 asian high breaks the lower-highs trendline; the 1.3240 ny high is next overhead
Fed's Williams at 09:15 UTC, then US durables at 12:30 and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC, could shift this read
05:01 UTC
Downtrend, compressing in late Asia · RSI 42 · price 1.32128
Lower highs from London high; tight Asian range.
Lower highs since yesterday's london high at 1.3256. The NY spike to 1.3240 faded to a 1.3204 swing low, and the Asian range high at 1.3224 capped right on the lower-highs trendline. Late Asia is compressing just above the asian low at 1.3209, with the 1.3200 psych level beneath (lowest since late June per the Fed-driven USD bid), and ATR is shrinking toward 3 pips ahead of the London open.
Support: 1.3209, 1.3204, 1.3200
Resistance: 1.3224, 1.3240, 1.3256
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3204 swing low and 1.3200 psych extends the lower-low sequence
Close above the 1.3224 asian high clears the lower-highs trendline and puts the 1.3240 ny spike back in view
Fed's Williams at 09:15 UTC, US durables at 12:30 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could expand the range sharply
04:46 UTC
Downtrend, compressing late Asia · RSI 44 · price 1.32116
Lower highs on a descending trendline; tight coil above Asian low.
Lower highs at the 1.3256 London high, the 1.3240 NY high and the 1.3224 Asian high all sit on one descending trendline, and the Asian high stalled at the 38.2% fib of the London-NY drop. Late in the Asia session, price is coiling in a 3-pip band just above the 1.3209 Asian low and the 1.3204 NY low, with Fed-driven USD strength keeping GBP heavy near 1.3200.
Support: 1.32089, 1.32041, 1.3200
Resistance: 1.32237, 1.32399, 1.32557
What it said to watch
A break of the 1.3209 Asian low exposes the 1.3204 NY low and the 1.3200 round number
An M15 close above the descending trendline and the 1.3224 Asian high breaks the lower-high sequence, with the 1.3240 NY high next
London open (~07:00 UTC) and Fed's Williams at 09:15 UTC could expand the tight Asian range
04:31 UTC
Downtrend, compressing in late Asia · RSI 45 · price 1.32112
Lower highs from 1.3256; tight 1.3209–1.3224 Asian range above the 1.3204 swing low.
Late Asia session, with GBPUSD pinned near the 1.3209 asian low inside a 15-pip Asian range. That follows yesterday's slide on hawkish Fed talk and higher US yields, from the 1.3256 day high to a 1.3204 swing low. Lower highs at 1.3256, the 1.3240 ny spike rejection and the 1.3224 asian high (38.2% of the London-NY leg) keep the falling trendline intact, with RSI(14) flat near 45.
Support: 1.3209, 1.3204, 1.3200
Resistance: 1.3224, 1.3240, 1.3256
What it said to watch
London open: an M15 close below the 1.3209 asian low exposes the 1.3204 swing low and the 1.3200 psych level
An M15 close above the 1.3224 asian high and the lower-highs trendline breaks the sequence; the 1.3240 ny spike sits above
Fed's Williams at 09:15 UTC and US durables at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
04:16 UTC
Downtrend, momentum flat · RSI 45 · price 1.32103
Lower highs compressing onto 1.3204–1.3209 floor.
Late Asia, about 3h before London open. GBPUSD is pressed against the asian low at 1.3209 after a chain of lower highs from yesterday's 1.3256 London high through the 1.3240 ny high and 1.3219. The 1.3204 swing low and 1.3200 psych level sit just beneath as hawkish-Fed USD strength extends the four-day slide, and the Asian range of 1.3209–1.3224 is tightening with ATR near 4 pips.
Support: 1.32089, 1.32041, 1.3200
Resistance: 1.32189, 1.32237, 1.32399
What it said to watch
Break of 1.3204 swing low and 1.3200 psych would extend the lower-low sequence
Close above the 1.3224 asian high breaks the lower-high chain and descending trendline; 1.3240 ny high is next above
London open in ~3h is the first test of the compressed Asian range
Fed's Williams 09:15 UTC and US Durable Goods 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
04:01 UTC
Downtrend, compressing in late Asia · RSI 47 · price 1.3211
Lower highs, lows holding above 1.3204.
Late Asia session is holding a tight 1.3209–1.3224 Asian range after yesterday's slide from the 1.3256 London high on Fed-driven USD strength. The lower-highs trendline through 1.3240 and 1.3224, which sits at 38.2% of the decline, caps price, while the 1.3204 swing low has held so far.
Support: 1.3209, 1.3204, 1.3200
Resistance: 1.3224, 1.3240, 1.3256
What it said to watch
A break of the 1.3209 Asian low and the 1.3204 swing low exposes the 1.3200 psych level, the lowest since late June
An M15 close above the 1.3224 Asian high breaks the lower-highs trendline, with the 1.3240 lower high next
Fed's Williams at 09:15 UTC and US Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read during the London and NY sessions
03:46 UTC
Downtrend, flattening in Asia · RSI 45 · price 1.32103
Lower highs from London high; tight Asian range at session lows.
Hawkish-Fed USD strength drove lower highs from the 1.3256 London high through the 1.3240 NY high, with the 1.3204 swing low printed during NY hours. Late Asia has held a 1.3209–1.3224 range capped at the 38.2% retrace of that drop, and price is now pressing the Asian low just above the 1.3200 round number.
Support: 1.3209, 1.3204, 1.3200
Resistance: 1.3224, 1.3240, 1.3256
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3204 swing low confirms a fresh lower low and exposes the 1.3200 round number
Recovery above the 1.3224 asian high and the falling trendline from the 1.3240 ny high challenges the lower-high sequence
Fed's Williams at 09:15 UTC and US Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read in the London and NY sessions
03:31 UTC
Downtrend, compressing near lows · RSI 45 · price 1.32111
Lower highs from London high; Asian bounce capped, price back at Asian low.
Lower highs from the 1.3256 London high remain intact. The Asian bounce to the 1.3224 Asian high met rejection at the descending trendline, and price is back pressing the 1.3209 Asian low with the 1.3204 day low just beneath. Hawkish Fed repricing and firm US data drove the four-day slide, and ATR near 4 pips reflects thin Asia conditions.
Support: 1.32089, 1.32041, 1.3200
Resistance: 1.32237, 1.32399
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3204 day low extends the lower-low chain toward the 1.3200 round number
Close above the 1.3224 Asian high breaks the descending trendline and the lower-high sequence; 1.3240 NY high is the next reference
Fed's Williams at 09:15 UTC during London hours could shift USD tone and this read
03:16 UTC
Downtrend, stalled in a tight Asian range · RSI 47 · price 1.32126
Lower highs since London high 1.3256; Asia boxed 1.3209–1.3224.
GBPUSD slid from the London high at 1.3256 on hawkish-Fed USD strength. The late-NY spike to the NY high at 1.3240 was rejected into a swing low at 1.3204. Asia is compressing in the lower half of a 15-pip range between the Asian low at 1.3209 and the Asian high at 1.3224, under a lower-high trendline, with RSI(14) neutral near 47.
Support: 1.32089, 1.32041, 1.3200
Resistance: 1.32237, 1.32399, 1.32557
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3209 Asian low and 1.3204 swing low exposes the 1.3200 round number
Close above the 1.3224 Asian high breaks the lower-high trendline and puts the 1.3240 NY high back in view
A reclaim of the 1.3240 NY high would be needed before the 1.3256 London high comes into play
London open in ~4h is the likely range-break window; Fed's Williams at 09:15 UTC and US durables at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
03:01 UTC
Intraday downtrend, pausing in Asia · RSI 53 · price 1.32173
Lower highs from London high; tight Asian range above day low.
The NY session extended the slide from the London high at 1.3256 to a day low at 1.3204, driven by hawkish Fed talk and firm US data. Mid-Asia session, price is holding a 15-pip Asian range of 1.3209–1.3224. The 01:00 UTC push met rejection at the asian high, where the lower-highs trendline meets the 38.2% retrace of the London high–day low leg; RSI(14) ~53 and ATR ~4 pips point to compression.
Support: 1.3209, 1.3204, 1.3200
Resistance: 1.3224, 1.3240
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the asian low at 1.3209 and the day low at 1.3204 extends the lower-low sequence toward the 1.3200 psych level
M15 close above the asian high at 1.3224 breaks the lower-highs trendline and opens the 1.3240 spike high
Fed's Williams at 09:15 UTC and US durables at 12:30 UTC could break the Asian range during London/NY hours
02:46 UTC
Downtrend, compressing late Asia · RSI 52 · price 1.32174
Lower highs from 1.3256 London high, higher lows off 1.3204 NY low; 1.3209–1.3224 Asian range.
The USD-led slide from the 1.3256 London high bottomed at the 1.3204 NY low. Price has since compressed into lower highs and higher lows. It sits mid Asian range near the EMA50, with the 1.3224 Asian high capping at the 38.2% fib of the London-NY drop. RSI(14) is neutral near 52 and ATR is about 4 pips as late Asia stays quiet.
Support: 1.32127, 1.32089, 1.32041
Resistance: 1.32237, 1.32399, 1.32557
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3224 Asian high and 38.2% fib breaks the lower-high sequence and opens the 1.3240 NY high
Loss of the 1.3213 pullback low and the 1.3209 Asian low exposes the 1.3204 NY low; a break there resumes the lower-low chain
Fed's Williams at 09:15 UTC during the London session could materially shift this read
02:31 UTC
Downtrend paused, compressing in Asia · RSI 51 · price 1.32161
Lower highs since London high; Asian range 1.3209–1.3224.
Mid-Asia session, price is holding a 15-pip Asian range (1.3209–1.3224) after the London-NY slide from the 1.3256 london high to the 1.3204 day low, driven by hawkish Fed talk and strong US data. The 1.3224 asian high capped price at the lower-highs trendline and the 38.2% retrace of the day decline. RSI(14) is flat near 51 and ATR is compressed at about 4 pips.
Support: 1.32089, 1.32041, 1.3200
Resistance: 1.32237, 1.32399, 1.32557
What it said to watch
M15 close above the asian high at 1.3224 breaks the lower-highs trendline and exposes the 1.3240 swing high
Failure to hold the asian low at 1.3209 re-exposes the day low at 1.3204 and the 1.3200 round number
London open in ~5h is the first test of the Asian range
Fed's Williams (09:15 UTC), US durables (12:30 UTC) and UoM inflation expectations (14:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
02:16 UTC
Downtrend, compressing in Asia · RSI 48 · price 1.32151
Lower highs capped by falling trendline; tight Asian range above swing low.
Lower highs from the 1.3256 london high and the 1.3240 ny high keep the downtrend intact. The Asian high at 1.3224 met the falling trendline and was rejected, leaving a tight Asian range just above the 1.3204 swing low printed during NY hours as hawkish Fed talk kept USD bid.
Support: 1.3209, 1.3204, 1.3200
Resistance: 1.3224, 1.3240, 1.3256
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3209 asian low and 1.3204 swing low extends the lower-low sequence toward the 1.3200 round number
Close above the 1.3224 asian high and the falling trendline breaks the lower-high chain, bringing the 1.3240 ny high into view
1.3256 london high marks the top of the 24h structure; only a move back there negates the downtrend read
Fed's Williams at 09:15 UTC and US Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
02:01 UTC
Downtrend, compressing in Asia · RSI 47 · price 1.32144
Lower highs from 1.3256 and 1.3240; Asian range 1.3209–1.3224 sits above the NY low.
Cable is holding a tight Asian range of 1.3209–1.3224 above the NY low at 1.3204. That follows lower highs at the 1.3256 London high and the 1.3240 NY high as hawkish Fed talk kept USD bid. The early-Asia push stalled at the Asian high, right at the 38.2% fib of the 1.3256–1.3204 leg. RSI(14) is near 47 and ATR around 3.6 pips, so there is little momentum either way.
Support: 1.32089, 1.32041
Resistance: 1.32237, 1.32399, 1.32557
What it said to watch
Break of the asian low at 1.3209 exposes the ny low at 1.3204; losing that extends the lower-low sequence
M15 close above the asian high at 1.3224 (38.2% fib) opens the ny high at 1.3240
Only a move through the 1.3256 london high would negate the lower-high structure
Fed's Williams at 09:15 UTC, then Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC, could materially shift this read
01:46 UTC
Downtrend, compressing near lows · RSI 51 · price 1.32166
Lower highs from London high; tight Asian range above NY low.
Lower highs from the 1.3256 London high (1.3240 NY high, 1.3224 Asian high) keep the descending trendline intact, and the Asian high stalled right on it. Early Asia is compressing between the Asian low at 1.3209 and the NY low at 1.3204, with the 1.3200 psych just below, as USD holds its Fed-driven bid.
Support: 1.32089, 1.32041, 1.3200
Resistance: 1.32237, 1.32399
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3224 Asian high and descending trendline breaks the lower-high chain; 1.3240 NY high next
Failure to hold the 1.3204 NY low exposes the 1.3200 psych
Fed's Williams at 09:15 UTC during London session could shift this read
01:31 UTC
Downtrend, Asia bounce in progress · RSI 64 · price 1.32228
Lower highs since London top; Asia range 1.3209–1.3224 testing its high.
Lower highs have held since London's 1.3256 top. The NY session printed a day low at 1.3204 on the hawkish-Fed and firm-claims USD bid. Early Asia has lifted from the 1.3209 asian low into the 1.3224 asian high, near the 50% retrace of the 1.3240–1.3204 NY leg, with RSI(14) at 64.
Support: 1.3209, 1.3204, 1.3200
Resistance: 1.3224, 1.3230, 1.3240
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3230 ny pivot opens the 1.3240 ny spike high and the lower-highs trendline
Rejection at the 1.3224 asian high / 50% retrace keeps the NY sell-off structure intact
Loss of the 1.3209 asian low exposes the 1.3204 day low and 1.3200 psych, the 3-month low focus
Williams (09:15 UTC) and US durables (12:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
01:16 UTC
Downtrend, compressing in Asia · RSI 54 · price 1.32146
Lower highs since NY spike; tight Asian range above day low.
London sold off from the 1.3256 session high. The late-NY spike to the 1.3240 ny high was rejected, and a day low printed at 1.3204 as hawkish Fed talk kept USD bid. Early Asia is compressing in a ~10-pip band between the 1.3209 asian low and a lower-highs line capping near 1.3216–1.3222, with ATR shrinking to ~3 pips.
Support: 1.32089, 1.32041, 1.3200
Resistance: 1.32222, 1.32399
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3204 day low exposes the 1.3200 psych level, the 3-month-low area
M15 close above the 1.3222 swing high breaks the lower-highs sequence; the 1.3240 ny high sits above
Failure to hold the 1.3209 asian low confirms Asia rolling back toward the day low
Fed's Williams at 09:15 UTC could materially shift this read; Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC follows later in the day
01:01 UTC
Downtrend, compressing after NY low · RSI 46 · price 1.32114
Lower highs from London high; tight 1.3209–1.3222 band since NY low.
Lower highs ran from the 1.3256 London high to the 1.3240 spike high, which was rejected during NY hours. Hawkish Fed talk and firm US claims kept USD bid into a 1.3204 NY low. Since then price has compressed inside a 1.3209–1.3222 range top band, and the early Asia session is sitting on the Asia low at 1.3209 with RSI(14) neutral near 46 and ATR(14) near 3 pips.
Support: 1.32089, 1.32041, 1.3200
Resistance: 1.32222, 1.32399, 1.32557
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 1.3209 Asia low and 1.3204 NY low exposes 1.3200 psych and extends the lower-low sequence
M15 close above the 1.3222 range top ends the compression; 1.3240 spike high and the fib 50% zone sit above
Lower-highs trendline from the London high stays intact below 1.3240
Fed's Williams at 09:15 UTC could break the Asian range; US Durables at 12:30 UTC follows
00:46 UTC
Downtrend, compressing in Asia · RSI 45 · price 1.32113
Lower highs from London high; tight Asian range above swing low.
Price was sold from the 1.3256 London high to a 1.3204 swing low during NY hours, driven by hawkish Fed talk and firm US claims. The 1.3240 spike high failed and was fully retraced, keeping the lower-high chain intact. Asia is drifting in a thin 1.3209–1.3222 band, with the asia low just tested, RSI(14) neutral near 45 and ATR only about 3 pips.
Support: 1.32089, 1.32041, 1.3200
Resistance: 1.32222, 1.32399, 1.32557
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 1.3204 swing low exposes the 1.3200 psych level, the 3-month low zone
An M15 close above the 1.3222 range top breaks the lower-high chain, with the 1.3240 spike high next
Price holding under the lower-highs trendline from the London high keeps the downtrend read
Fed's Williams at 09:15 UTC, during London hours, could expand the compressed range
Lower highs and lower lows since London open; tight late-NY range pressed at its lower edge.
The London open spike to 1.3256 reversed into a chain of lower highs and lower lows, with the NY high at 1.3240 capped and the NY low printed at 1.3204. Hawkish Fed speakers and firm US claims kept USD bid. Since then price has compressed below a 1.3221 range top, and early Asia is testing the lower edge at 1.3209 with RSI(14) at 34, just above the 1.3200 round number.
Support: 1.32041, 1.3200
Resistance: 1.32207, 1.32399
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3204 ny low extends the lower-low sequence toward the 1.3200 round number
Close back above the 1.3221 range top breaks the late-session compression, with the 1.3240 ny high and the lower highs trendline above
Fed's Williams at 09:15 UTC and US durable goods at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower highs from London high, late-NY compression above day low.
Hawkish Fed-speak and US data beats drove lower highs from the 1.3256 London high. The NY bounce was capped at a 1.3240 lower high, and the day low printed at 1.3204. Since late NY, price has compressed in a 1.3210–1.3222 band into the Asia session, with the 1.3222 swing high capping, RSI(14) near 48 and ATR(14) about 4 pips.
Support: 1.3204, 1.3200
Resistance: 1.3222, 1.3240, 1.3256
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3222 swing high breaks the lower-high sequence; 1.3240 lower high next
Failure to hold the 1.3204 day low exposes the 1.3200 round number
Fed's Williams 09:15 UTC and Durable Goods 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read