NZD/USD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Tuesday, 14 July 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the NZD/USD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:47 UTC
Uptrend paused, ranging · RSI 52 · price 0.58111
Tight range after news spike.
NZD/USD spiked to 0.58412 on hawkish RBNZ repricing then faded, and has since consolidated in a tight 0.5805-0.5820 band through the low-volume late session. Price sits mid-range at 0.5811 near the 61.8% retracement of the spike, RSI(14) flat around 52; no directional structure in play.
Support: 0.5805, 0.5798
Resistance: 0.5820, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5820 reopens the 0.58412 spike high
Failure to hold 0.5805 exposes the 0.5798 swing low
US PPI Wed 12:30 GMT could shift USD tone and break the range
NZD spiked to 0.58412 during NY hours on hawkish RBNZ repricing before rejecting back and settling into a tight 0.5805-0.5812 range through thin Asia trade. Price is holding just above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) flat near 53 — no momentum, stalling into the 0.5820 confluence.
Support: 0.5805, 0.5770
Resistance: 0.5820, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5820 confluence opens a retest of 0.58412 session high
Loss of 0.5805 range floor exposes 0.5770 swing pivot
NZ CPI (Jul 20) is the decisive test of the RBNZ tightening story
23:32 UTC
Range after failed breakout · RSI 49 · price 0.58094
Tight range under 0.5813 following rejected spike.
The CPI-driven spike to 0.58412 was rejected sharply within one bar and price has since coiled into a tight 0.5806-0.5813 range through thin late-Asia hours. RSI(14) sits near 50 and ATR has compressed to ~5 pips, no directional structure in play.
Support: 0.58043, 0.57966, 0.5777
Resistance: 0.58128, 0.5820, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5813 opens the 0.5820 confluence then 0.58412 spike high
Loss of 0.5806 range low exposes 0.57966 swing low
Liquidity thin in late-Asia; US PPI (Wed 12:30 GMT) is the next USD driver
23:32 UTC
Range after impulse spike · RSI 51 · price 0.58094
Consolidation inside post-spike range.
NZDUSD spiked to 0.58412 on the hawkish-RBNZ / soft US CPI combo, then faded and has chopped in a tight 0.5806-0.5825 band through the low-volume Asia session. RSI(14) neutral near 50 and ATR compressed to ~4 pips — no momentum in play, price pinned around the 0.5806 range floor.
Support: 0.5806, 0.5800, 0.5797
Resistance: 0.5825, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5825 range high reopens the 0.58412 spike high
Break below 0.5806 range low exposes 0.5797 swing low then 0.5770
Liquidity thin in Asia hours — ranges likely widen into London open
23:17 UTC
Uptrend stalled, now flat · RSI 49 · price 0.58086
Tight consolidation post-spike.
Kiwi spiked to the 0.58412 spike high on hawkish RBNZ repricing plus the soft US CPI miss, then faded and rejected the 0.58200 prior high. Price has coiled into a tight consolidation around 0.5810 through the Asia session, now flat near 0.58086 on thin volume, holding above the 0.58022 swing low.
Support: 0.58022, 0.5800
Resistance: 0.5813, 0.5820, 0.58412
What it said to watch
Break and hold above 0.58130 session high reopens the 0.58200 prior high
Loss of the 0.58022 swing low exposes the 0.58000 round number
23:17 UTC
Range after impulsive spike, momentum flat · RSI 52 · price 0.58086
Consolidation below session high, tight Asian range.
NZDUSD spiked to 0.5841 on the soft US CPI unwind, then faded and has coiled into a tight 0.5806-0.5813 range through low-volume Asia hours. RSI(14) sits flat near 52 with price hugging EMA20/EMA50 — no directional setup in play.
Support: 0.5806, 0.5797
Resistance: 0.5813, 0.5820, 0.5841
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5813 opens the 0.5820 confluence and 0.5841 session high
Loss of 0.5806 exposes 0.5797 swing low
US PPI (Wed 12:30 GMT) could break the range via USD leg
23:03 UTC
Uptrend stalling, now flat · RSI 52 · price 0.58092
Consolidation under 0.5812 after spike rejection.
Kiwi spiked to 0.58412 on the RBNZ hawkish story then was rejected, settling into a tight 0.5806-0.5812 consolidation through the thin Asian session. Price is holding the 38.2% fib of the session up-move with RSI(14) neutral near 52 — no directional impulse in play.
Support: 0.5806, 0.5798, 0.5788
Resistance: 0.5812, 0.5820, 0.5841
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5812 range top opens the 0.5820 confluence
Loss of 0.5806 range floor exposes the 0.5798 swing low
Volume near zero into late Asia — early London may set the next range
23:03 UTC
Uptrend stalling, now flat · RSI 53 · price 0.58092
Consolidation below spike high.
NZD spiked to 0.58412 on hawkish RBNZ repricing then rejected, pulling back to consolidate in a tight 0.5807-0.5813 band through the Asia session. RSI(14) neutral near 53 with ATR compressed to ~11 pips; no fresh setup, range top holding.
Support: 0.58043, 0.5797
Resistance: 0.5813, 0.5820, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5820 confluence opens the path to 0.5825
Failure to hold 0.58043 session low exposes 0.5797 swing low
NZ CPI (Jul 20) is the decisive test of the RBNZ tightening story
NZD spiked to 0.58412 on the soft US June CPI print then was rejected, unwinding into the 0.5810-0.5820 confluence. Price has since gone flat in thin Asian-hours trade, holding the 0.58 base with RSI(14) neutral near 54.
Support: 0.58022, 0.5797
Resistance: 0.5822, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5822 reopens the 0.58412 session high
A soft US June CPI print spiked NZD/USD to 0.5841 before it faded and settled into a tight 0.5805-0.5813 range through the low-volume Asia session. RSI(14) is neutral near 54 and ATR has collapsed to ~4 pips — no intraday momentum in play at the top of the 0.5810-0.5820 confluence.
Support: 0.5805, 0.5797
Resistance: 0.5813, 0.5825, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.58130 range top reopens 0.58250 and the 0.58412 spike high
Loss of 0.58050 range floor exposes 0.57970 swing low
Thin Asia-session liquidity can exaggerate moves on any headline
Soft US CPI at 12:30 GMT spiked NZD/USD to 0.58412 before it faded back; price has since consolidated around 0.5810 on thin late-session volume. Range base at 0.5807 holding while the 0.5810-0.5820 confluence caps upside, RSI(14) neutral near 53.
Support: 0.5807, 0.5800, 0.57966
Resistance: 0.5820, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5820 confluence opens the 0.58412 spike high
Failure to hold 0.5807 range base exposes 0.5800 round then 0.57966 swing low
US PPI Wed 12:30 GMT could shift the USD read and this range
22:32 UTC
Uptrend stalled, now flat · RSI 54 · price 0.58115
Consolidation after spike rejection.
NZD spiked to 0.58412 during the London-NY window on hawkish RBNZ repricing, but the move was immediately rejected back to 0.5820 and price has since flattened inside the 0.5810-0.5820 confluence. Late Asia hours are thin — coiled between 0.58043 and 0.5825 with RSI(14) neutral near 54.
Support: 0.58043, 0.57972
Resistance: 0.5825, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.58250 reopens the 0.58412 spike high
Failure to hold 0.58043 exposes the 0.57972 swing low
US PPI Wed 12:30 GMT could reprice USD and shift this range
22:17 UTC
Uptrend faded, now flat · RSI 52 · price 0.58094
Consolidation below spike high.
NZD spiked to 0.58412 on the soft US CPI print before fading back into a tight 0.5800–0.5813 range. Late Asia liquidity is thin and price is idling around 0.5809, holding the 0.5800 round level with the 0.5820 confluence capping.
Support: 0.5800, 0.5797, 0.5770
Resistance: 0.58128, 0.5820, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5820 confluence opens the path to 0.5825
Failure to hold 0.5800 exposes the 0.5797 swing low then 0.5770
NZ CPI Jul 20 is the decisive risk for the RBNZ story
22:17 UTC
Up move spent, now ranging · RSI 49 · price 0.58094
Consolidation under spike high after CPI-driven pop.
NZD spiked to 0.58412 around the soft US CPI print, then faded through the NY session and settled into a tight 0.5806-0.5813 range. Asian session is quiet and mid-range, RSI(14) flat near 49 with no setup in play.
Support: 0.58063, 0.5797
Resistance: 0.58133, 0.58248, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.58133 range top reopens the 0.58248 prior high
Loss of 0.58063 range low exposes 0.57970 swing low
NZ CPI (Jul 20) is the decisive test of the RBNZ story
22:03 UTC
Rally stalled, ranging · RSI 51 · price 0.58096
Consolidation under spike high after intraday advance.
NZDUSD spiked to 0.58412 during the NY session on hawkish RBNZ repricing, then was rejected and has settled into a tight 0.5805-0.5813 range through the low-volume Asia session, sitting right in the 0.5810-0.5820 confluence. RSI(14) flat near 50, ATR(14) compressed to ~9 pips — no momentum in play here.
Support: 0.5805, 0.57966, 0.5777
Resistance: 0.5813, 0.5824, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5813 range top opens the 0.5824 post-spike high
Failure to hold 0.58050 range floor exposes 0.57966 swing low
Break of the 0.5810-0.5820 confluence would resolve the consolidation
NZDUSD spiked to 0.58412 during the London-NY window on soft US CPI plus hawkish RBNZ repricing, then got rejected and faded. Price has since coiled into a tight 0.5805-0.5811 range through quiet Asia hours, RSI neutral near 49; the 0.5820 confluence overhead remains untested.
Support: 0.5805, 0.5770
Resistance: 0.5820, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5820 confluence reopens the 0.58412 spike high
Loss of 0.5805 range low exposes 0.5770 swing support
NZ CPI (Jul 20) is the decisive test for the kiwi tightening story
21:47 UTC
Range after spike, drifting lower · RSI 45 · price 0.58069
Consolidation below session high.
Kiwi spiked to 0.58412 on the soft US CPI miss then faded, and has spent the Asia session grinding in a tight 0.58043–0.58133 band on thinning volume. Price sits at 0.58069, back near the 61.8% retrace of the spike leg with RSI mid-range.
Support: 0.58043, 0.5800
Resistance: 0.58133, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.58133 reopens the 0.58412 spike high
Loss of 0.58000 round number exposes downside continuation
Volume dead into Asia — first liquid session move will set direction
21:47 UTC
Uptrend faded, now consolidating · RSI 46 · price 0.58069
Range after spike rejection off 0.5841.
Kiwi spiked to 0.58412 around 12:30 UTC then rejected, fading into a 0.5802-0.5825 range as the soft US CPI USD story kept a bid under NZD. Price now drifts the lower half near 0.5807 on thin late-NY/Asia volume, RSI(14) cooled to mid-40s.
Support: 0.5802, 0.5798, 0.5777
Resistance: 0.5825, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.58020 range low opens a slide toward 0.5798
Reclaim of 0.58250 range top would re-expose the 0.58412 spike high
Thin Asia-hours volume can exaggerate moves off these levels
NZD spiked to a four-week high at 0.58412 on hawkish RBNZ repricing, then was rejected and rolled back into a 0.5804-0.5813 band. Late-session trade is thin and directionless, price pinned near the range floor with RSI(14) flat around 49.
Support: 0.58043, 0.5797
Resistance: 0.58245, 0.58412
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 0.58245 congestion reopens the 0.58412 spike high
Loss of the 0.58043 range floor exposes the 0.5797 swing low
Range is likely to hold until Asia/London liquidity returns
NZD spiked to 0.58412 during NY on the soft US CPI miss, then faded and has consolidated in a tight 0.5804-0.5813 band through the Asia session. RSI(14) is neutral near 50 and late-session volume is thin; the spike high was rejected and range top at 0.58125 caps for now.
Support: 0.58043, 0.5797
Resistance: 0.58125, 0.5825, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.58125 range top reopens the 0.5825 confluence
Loss of 0.58043 session low exposes 0.5797 swing low
Move is contained; NZ CPI Jul 20 is the next scheduled catalyst, not in this window
Range-bound below session high, coiling near lows.
NY session spiked NZDUSD to a four-week high at 0.58412 on hawkish RBNZ repricing before fading back into a 0.5804–0.5825 range. Asia has opened quiet and thin, price coiling near range lows at 0.58063 with RSI mid-40s and volume drained.
Support: 0.58043, 0.57966, 0.5777
Resistance: 0.58253, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.58253 reopens the 0.58412 spike high
Loss of 0.58043 exposes 0.57966 swing low
NZ Q2 CPI (Jul 20) is the crowded-long risk event once it approaches
21:17 UTC
Uptrend stalled, now ranging · RSI 44 · price 0.58063
Consolidation near highs after spike rejection.
Kiwi spiked to 0.58412 on the hawkish RBNZ repricing before being rejected back into a 0.5805-0.5825 range. Price now sits at 0.5806 in thin late-session trade, RSI mid-40s, holding just above the session floor.
Support: 0.58043, 0.57966, 0.5777
Resistance: 0.58253, 0.58412
What it said to watch
Close back above 0.58253 reopens the 0.58412 spike high
Loss of 0.58043 exposes the 0.57966 swing low
US PPI and Warsh testimony Wed could reset this range
Kiwi spiked to 0.58412 during NY hours on hawkish-RBNZ repricing then was rejected hard, fading back into a tight 0.58040-0.58130 range through the Asia session. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 49 and price is coiled just above 0.5810 with no directional momentum.
Support: 0.58043, 0.5797
Resistance: 0.58133, 0.58244, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.58133 range high reopens the 0.58244 swing high
Loss of 0.58043 session low would confirm a lower-low back toward 0.5797
NZ Q2 CPI (Jul 20) is the crowded-long risk event that could reset this read
Kiwi spiked to 0.5841 on the soft US CPI print and hawkish RBNZ repricing, but the move was rejected and price has since coiled into a 5-pip band around 0.5810. Late-session, thinning volume; consolidating with no fresh direction after the spike high faded.
Support: 0.5805, 0.5770
Resistance: 0.5825, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5825 conf resist reopens the path to the 0.58412 spike high
Loss of 0.5805 range low exposes 0.5770 prior supp
Low liquidity into Asia open can distort the tight range
20:47 UTC
Uptrend, momentum stalled · RSI 48 · price 0.5808
Consolidation below session high after spike faded.
NZD spiked to 0.5841 on the hawkish RBNZ repricing then faded straight back, with the 0.5825 confluence rejecting price. Now flat around 0.5808 on very thin late-session volume, sitting on the 0.5806 low with RSI(14) neutral near 48.
Support: 0.5806, 0.5770
Resistance: 0.5825, 0.5841
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 0.5825 reopens the 0.5841 spike high
Loss of 0.5806 exposes 0.5770 support
NZ Q2 CPI (Jul 20) is the key event risk for this move
20:47 UTC
Up-move faded, now flat · RSI 46 · price 0.5808
Tight consolidation under session high.
NZD spiked to a 0.5841 session high on hawkish RBNZ repricing and the soft US CPI, then got rejected and faded back into a tight range around 0.5808. RSI(14) sits neutral near 46 with ATR compressing into the late session — no setup in play.
Support: 0.5806, 0.5770
Resistance: 0.5813, 0.5841
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.5806 range floor opens the 0.5770 support zone
Break above 0.5841 session high signals continuation of the up-move
20:32 UTC
Uptrend faded, now flat · RSI 48 · price 0.58081
Consolidating below spike high.
NZD spiked to 0.58412 around the NY open on the hawkish-RBNZ bid, then got rejected straight back and has since drifted into a tight 0.5805–0.5813 range through late NY. RSI(14) sits neutral near 48 with ATR compressed to ~4-5 pips; no setup in play as liquidity thins into the Asia handover.
Support: 0.58043, 0.5797
Resistance: 0.58133, 0.58253, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.58133 range top reopens 0.5825 then the 0.58412 spike high
Loss of 0.58043 session low exposes 0.5797
NZ Q2 CPI (Jul 20) is the crowded-long risk further out — not this bar window
20:32 UTC
Uptrend stalled, now flat · RSI 51 · price 0.58081
Spike high faded, consolidating.
Kiwi spiked to a 0.58412 session high on hawkish RBNZ repricing then was rejected, unwinding back to 0.5820 and now coiling around 0.5808 in dead late-NY/Asia trade. ATR is minimal and price is pinned to its EMAs — no directional structure, ranging 0.5804–0.5813.
Support: 0.58043, 0.5800, 0.5797
Resistance: 0.58135, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.58135 reopens the 0.5810-0.5825 confluence and the 0.5841 session high
Loss of 0.5800 round number exposes the 0.5797 swing low
NZ Q2 CPI (Jul 20) is the pending catalyst for crowded NZD longs
Consolidating below 0.5825 after upside spike faded.
Kiwi spiked to 0.58412 around the London-NY window on the hawkish RBNZ repricing then got rejected, unwinding to a tight low-volume Asia consolidation between 0.58043 and 0.58133. Price now pins the lower end of that range near 0.5808, RSI(14) mid-40s, momentum flat into thin late-session liquidity.
Support: 0.58043, 0.57966
Resistance: 0.58133, 0.5825, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.58043 confirms a lower low, exposing 0.57966
Reclaim of 0.58133 puts the 0.5825 confluence back in play
US PPI / Warsh testimony Wed 12:30-14:00 UTC could reset this read
Kiwi spiked to a session high of 0.58412 during NY hours on softer US CPI and hawkish RBNZ repricing, then rejected sharply and settled into a tight 0.5805-0.5813 range through the NY afternoon. RSI(14) is flat near 49 and ATR has compressed to under 4 pips — no momentum in play, price hovering around the 38.2% retrace of the rally.
Support: 0.58043, 0.5797, 0.5777
Resistance: 0.5813, 0.58253, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5813 reopens the path toward the 0.58253 spike base
Loss of 0.58043 range low exposes 0.5797
Volatility compressed — a range break either side sets the next intraday leg
NZDUSD spiked to 0.58412 on the soft US June CPI print (12:30 UTC), then faded back through the NY session to consolidate in a tight 0.58043–0.58133 range. Late-NY drift keeps price pinned near 0.5807 with RSI(14) mid-range and no directional impulse.
Support: 0.58043, 0.57966
Resistance: 0.58133, 0.58253
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.58133 range high reopens 0.58253
Failure to hold 0.58043 range low exposes 0.57966 session low
20:03 UTC
Uptrend stalled, now consolidating · RSI 45 · price 0.58073
Range after spike rejection.
Kiwi spiked to 0.58412 on the soft US CPI miss then was rejected hard, fading back into a tight 0.58022-0.58133 range. Price now sits mid-range near 0.5807, RSI flat around 44 with no momentum; no setup in play into the late session.
Support: 0.58022, 0.57966
Resistance: 0.58133, 0.58246, 0.58412
What it said to watch
Close above 0.58133 range top reopens the 0.58246 swing high
Loss of 0.58022 session low exposes the 0.57966 swing low
NZ Q2 CPI (Jul 20) is the crowded-longs risk event
Consolidation under session high following impulsive rally.
NZD spiked to 0.58412 on volume at the London-NY overlap after the soft US CPI print, then faded and has coiled in a 0.5804-0.5825 range through the NY session. RSI(14) has cooled back to neutral near 49 and late-session bars are tight, ATR compressed to ~6 pips with no fresh direction.
Support: 0.5804, 0.5797, 0.5770
Resistance: 0.5825, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5825 range top reopens the 0.58412 session high
Loss of 0.5804 range floor exposes 0.5797 swing low then 0.5770
NZ Q2 CPI (Jul 20) is the crowded-longs catalyst; not in this window
Kiwi spiked to 0.58412 on the soft US June CPI print (12:30 UTC) then faded through NY hours, rejecting the highs and settling into a tight 0.5804–0.5813 range. Price now sits at 0.5810 with RSI(14) neutral near 49; the CPI leg is roughly half retraced and momentum has flattened into the late NY session.
Support: 0.5804, 0.5795
Resistance: 0.5813, 0.5825, 0.58412
What it said to watch
A close above 0.5813 reopens the 0.5825 confluence resistance
Loss of 0.5804 range low exposes the 0.5795 swing low
NZ Q2 CPI (Jul 20) is the crowded-longs test overhanging this move
19:32 UTC
Uptrend faded, now flat · RSI 45 · price 0.58095
Tight consolidation post-spike.
The 12:30 UTC US CPI miss spiked NZDUSD to 0.58412 before sellers faded it straight back into the post-cpi range. Price has since coiled into a tight 0.5804–0.5813 consolidation through late NY hours, RSI(14) neutral near 45 and ATR compressed to ~5 pips.
Support: 0.58043, 0.5800
Resistance: 0.58133, 0.58253, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.58133 range top reopens the 0.58253 post-cpi high
Loss of 0.58043 session low exposes the 0.5800 psych level
19:32 UTC
Uptrend stalled, now consolidating · RSI 49 · price 0.58095
Post-spike range below the CPI high.
NZDUSD spiked to 0.58412 on the soft US CPI miss at the NY open, then rejected the high and faded into a tight consolidation around 0.5810. RSI(14) is neutral near 49 and late-NY volume has thinned; price is compressing between the 0.58043 range floor and the 0.58133 range top, with the 0.58279 post-cpi high capping above.
Support: 0.58043, 0.5798
Resistance: 0.58133, 0.58279, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.58133 range top reopens the 0.58279 post-cpi hi and 0.58412 cpi high
Close below 0.58043 range floor exposes the 0.57980 swing low
19:17 UTC
Range after CPI spike faded · RSI 47 · price 0.58104
Consolidation below rejected high.
The soft US CPI print spiked NZDUSD to 0.58412 before the move was fully rejected back under 0.5825. Price has since coiled into a tight 0.5806-0.5813 range through the NY afternoon, RSI(14) neutral near 47.
Support: 0.5806, 0.58022, 0.5797
Resistance: 0.5813, 0.5825, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5813 range top exposes the 0.5820-0.5825 confluence
Soft US CPI at 12:30 UTC spiked NZDUSD to 0.58412 before the move was rejected and faded through the NY session. Price now consolidating around 0.5810, holding the 0.58043 swing low with RSI(14) neutral near 49.
Support: 0.58043, 0.5770
Resistance: 0.58253, 0.58412
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.58253 puts the 0.58412 spike high back in play
Loss of 0.58043 opens a deeper unwind toward 0.5770
NZ CPI (Jul 20) is the catalyst that confirms or unwinds the RBNZ-driven kiwi bid
NZD spiked to 0.58412 on the soft US CPI miss (core MoM flat vs +0.2% f/c) then faded into a 0.5802-0.5825 consolidation, now pinned near 0.5810 with RSI neutral. Range top at 0.58253 has capped the last several bounces during NY hours.
Support: 0.5802, 0.5777
Resistance: 0.58253, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.5802 opens the path toward 0.5777
M15 close above 0.58253 re-exposes the 0.58412 spike high
NZ CPI (Jul 20) is the primary catalyst for the hawkish RBNZ read
19:03 UTC
Up move stalled, ranging · RSI 51 · price 0.58101
Consolidation under spike high after rejection.
The soft US CPI print spiked NZD to 0.58412 before a sharp rejection back to 0.582. Price has since drifted into a tight 0.5805-0.5813 range through the NY session, RSI(14) neutral near 51 with the spike momentum fully bled off.
Support: 0.58044, 0.57966
Resistance: 0.58135, 0.5825, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.58135 re-opens the path to the 0.58250 range top
Loss of 0.58044 swing low exposes 0.57966
NZ CPI (Jul 20) is the wider catalyst but sits outside this window
Soft US CPI drove a spike to 0.58412 during NY hours, after which price retraced and has been consolidating tightly around 0.5808 between 0.5804 and 0.5813. RSI(14) neutral and momentum flat into late NY — no setup in play.
Support: 0.5804, 0.5800, 0.5797
Resistance: 0.5813, 0.5824, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5813 reopens the spike high at 0.58412
Break below 0.5804 exposes 0.5800 psych then 0.5797 swing low
NZ CPI Jul 20 is the key catalyst but sits well outside this window
Soft US June CPI spiked NZD to 0.5841 during NY hours before the move was rejected and faded back to 0.5807. Price is now consolidating in a tight 0.5804-0.5813 band, RSI(14) cooled to mid-40s, price back below EMA20.
Support: 0.5804, 0.5797, 0.5770
Resistance: 0.5813, 0.5825, 0.5841
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5813 range top reopens 0.5825 sma cap
Break below 0.5804 range low exposes 0.5797 swing low
Wed PPI / Warsh testimony could drive the next USD-led break
NY session spiked to 0.58412 on the soft US CPI print, then the high was immediately rejected back toward 0.5820. Price has since consolidated in a 0.5805-0.5813 range with RSI(14) cooling to the mid-50s; the confluence cap at 0.5825 remains untested since the spike.
Support: 0.5805, 0.5800, 0.57987
Resistance: 0.5813, 0.5825, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.58130 range top puts 0.58250 confluence back in play
Loss of the 0.58050 range floor and 0.5800 round number exposes the 0.57987 swing low
NZ CPI (Jul 20) is the primary catalyst for the next directional leg
NZD spiked to 0.58412 during NY hours (~12:30 UTC) as soft US CPI pressured the dollar, then rejected and has consolidated 0.5805–0.5825 for the last few hours. RSI(14) has cooled back to neutral near 50 with price hugging the 0.5810 area just below EMA20.
Support: 0.58022, 0.57966
Resistance: 0.58253, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.58253 reopens the spike high at 0.58412
Failure to hold 0.58022 exposes 0.5796
18:17 UTC
Spike faded, now consolidating · RSI 45 · price 0.58114
Range below faded spike high.
NZDUSD spiked to 0.5841 on the 12:30 UTC US CPI miss then rejected, unwinding most of the move back below 0.5820. Price is now consolidating the 0.5806-0.5813 range into the NY afternoon, RSI(14) neutral near 45 with price hugging EMA20 after the fade.
Support: 0.58022, 0.5800, 0.57945
Resistance: 0.58133, 0.58244, 0.58412
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.58133 reopens the 0.5824 prior shelf
Loss of 0.58022 swing low exposes 0.5797/0.5794
NZ CPI (Jul 20) is the week's key catalyst for this pair
18:17 UTC
Spike then consolidation · RSI 49 · price 0.58114
Range after breakout, drifting lower highs.
NZDUSD spiked to 0.58412 on the soft US CPI print, then faded into a 0.5806-0.5825 range through the NY session. RSI has cooled back to neutral near 49 and price is coiling just above the 0.5806 range low into late NY.
Support: 0.5806, 0.57987, 0.5790
Resistance: 0.58133, 0.5825, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5825 confluence would open the path back to the 0.58412 spike high
Failure to hold the 0.5806 range low exposes 0.57987 swing low
18:03 UTC
Uptrend cooling, now consolidating · RSI 50 · price 0.58096
Consolidation below 0.5825 after CPI-driven spike.
NY session spiked to 0.58412 on the soft US CPI print, USD weakness lifting the Kiwi off 0.5805. Price has since faded back into a 0.5805–0.5825 range, RSI(14) cooling to mid-territory as supply caps near 0.5825.
Support: 0.58022, 0.5797, 0.5775
Resistance: 0.5825, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5825 range cap reopens the 0.58412 session high
Failure to hold 0.58022 range low exposes 0.5797 swing low then 0.5775
Warsh Fed testimony (Jul 15) could reprice USD and shift this read
18:03 UTC
Up then stalling, pullback in play · RSI 47 · price 0.58096
Consolidating below spike high.
NY session spiked to 0.58412 on the soft US CPI miss, then faded into a 0.5820-0.5825 range cap and slipped back. Price now consolidates 0.5802-0.5813 with RSI(14) neutral near 47, buyers stepping in around the 0.5802 session low.
Support: 0.5802, 0.5798, 0.5750
Resistance: 0.5825, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.58250 reopens the path to the 0.58412 spike high
Loss of 0.58020 session low exposes 0.57980
Warsh testimony (Jul 15 14:00 UTC) could shift USD tone and this read
17:47 UTC
Uptrend, pulled back into consolidation · RSI 49 · price 0.58106
Spike high then fade, ranging under 0.5813.
NZDUSD spiked to 0.58412 during NY hours on the soft US CPI print, then was rejected and faded back to consolidate between 0.5805 and 0.5813. Price is sitting near the 50% retracement of the rally with RSI(14) flat around 49; range top at 0.5813 caps for now.
Support: 0.58044, 0.5805, 0.5797
Resistance: 0.58133, 0.5824, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5813 reopens the 0.5824 pullback high and 0.58412 spike high
Loss of 0.5805/0.58044 session low confirms a deeper fade toward 0.5797
Warsh Fed testimony (Jul 15) could shift the USD side of this read
Range after impulsive rally, drifting to lower edge.
NZD/USD spiked to 0.58412 during NY hours on the soft US CPI print, then unwound into a 0.58044–0.58244 range. Price is now sitting at the lower edge near 0.5811 with RSI(14) mid-range, EMA20 capping above.
Support: 0.58044, 0.57966
Resistance: 0.58133, 0.58244, 0.58412
What it said to watch
Close above 0.58244 range top reopens the 0.58412 spike high
Loss of 0.58044 session low exposes 0.57966
Warsh Fed testimony Jul 15 14:00 UTC could shift USD tone
17:32 UTC
Uptrend cooling, now consolidating · RSI 46 · price 0.58093
Post-spike consolidation, drifting off highs.
Soft US CPI drove a sharp NZD spike into the NY session, tagging a 0.58412 session high before fading. Price has since consolidated and is drifting back toward the 0.5805 recent low, with RSI(14) cooled to the mid-40s. The 0.5825 consolidation top capped the retest.
Support: 0.5805, 0.5800, 0.5797
Resistance: 0.5813, 0.5825, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5825 reopens the 0.58412 session high
Failure to hold 0.5805 exposes 0.5800 psych then 0.5797
Warsh testimony (Jul 15) could reset the USD leg of this read
17:32 UTC
Spike faded, now consolidating · RSI 50 · price 0.58093
Pullback after spike, ranging near lows.
NZDUSD spiked to 0.58412 on the soft US CPI print during NY hours, then faded straight back into a 0.5802-0.5825 range. Price now hovers at 0.58093 below EMA20, RSI(14) neutral near 49 after cooling from the spike.
Support: 0.58022, 0.57987
Resistance: 0.58128, 0.5825, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.58022 confirms a lower-low toward 0.57987
Reclaim of 0.58250 reopens the 0.58412 spike high
NZ CPI (Jul 20) is the week's key catalyst for direction
The soft US CPI at 12:30 UTC spiked NZDUSD to a session high of 0.58412 as USD sold off, then price faded and has since consolidated in the 0.5805–0.5825 band through NY hours. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s as the impulsive leg unwinds and 0.5802 is being retested.
Support: 0.5802, 0.5798
Resistance: 0.5825, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.5798 confirms the breakout leg fading toward 0.5770
0.5825 confluence is the repeated cap — area to watch for rejection or break
Warsh testimony Jul 15 14:00 UTC could reprice USD and shift this read
17:17 UTC
Pullback after CPI spike · RSI 43 · price 0.5805
Fading off session high, lower highs.
NZDUSD spiked to 0.5841 on the soft US CPI miss during NY hours, then faded steadily to print lower highs into 0.5805. Price now sits below both EMAs, capped under the 0.5820-0.5825 confluence with RSI(14) cooled to the low-40s.
Support: 0.5797, 0.5770
Resistance: 0.5822, 0.5841
What it said to watch
Close above 0.5822-0.5825 confluence reopens the 0.5841 spike high
Failure to hold 0.5797 exposes 0.5770 swing low
Break below 0.5797 confirms the CPI-spike fade extending
17:04 UTC
Uptrend stalling after spike · RSI 49 · price 0.58125
Range after breakout spike, rising lows.
NY session spiked to 0.58412 on the soft US CPI miss then rejected, with NZD giving back most of the pop to consolidate in the 0.5802–0.5825 band. Price is grinding rising lows back toward 0.5813, RSI(14) neutral near 48 after cooling from the spike; the 0.5825 confluence caps and session low 0.5802 holds.
Support: 0.5802, 0.5800
Resistance: 0.5825, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.58250 reopens the path to the 0.58412 spike high
Follow-through USD reaction to today's CPI miss could reprice this range
17:03 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 48 · price 0.58125
Post-spike consolidation below 0.5820.
NY session spiked to 0.58412 on the soft US CPI miss, then faded back into a 0.5805–0.5825 consolidation. Price is holding above the 0.5800 round number and sits just under EMA20, RSI(14) neutral near 48 after the pullback.
Support: 0.58022, 0.5800, 0.57966
Resistance: 0.5825, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5825 confluence would re-open the 0.58412 spike high
Loss of 0.58000 round number exposes the 0.57966 swing low
Fed's Warsh testimony / USD headlines could reprice the dollar leg
16:47 UTC
Uptrend, pullback in play · RSI 48 · price 0.58112
Faded off session high, holding above 0.5802.
NZD spiked to a session high of 0.5841 on the soft US CPI miss at the NY open, then bled back through NY hours to 0.5811 with RSI cooling to the mid-40s. Lower highs since 0.5825 mark the session cap while the 0.5802 swing low has so far held.
Support: 0.58022, 0.5797
Resistance: 0.5825, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.5802 confirms a lower low and exposes 0.5797
Reclaim of the 0.5825 session cap reopens the 0.5841 high
16:47 UTC
Uptrend fading, pullback in play · RSI 47 · price 0.58112
Spike high rejected, consolidating above 0.5805.
NZD/USD spiked to a session high of 0.58412 on the soft US CPI print, then faded back to 0.5811 with a long upper wick marking rejection. Price is now consolidating above the 0.5805 swing low; RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s after the impulse.
Support: 0.5805, 0.5800
Resistance: 0.5825, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5825 reopens the 0.58412 session high
Failure to hold 0.5805 exposes the 0.5800 psych level
US PPI tomorrow 12:30 GMT could revive the USD bid and pressure this pullback
16:32 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back after spike · RSI 43 · price 0.58097
Retracing below 0.582 shelf post-CPI spike.
Soft US June CPI knocked the dollar and spiked NZDUSD to a 0.58412 session high before the move faded. Price has since lost the 0.582 shelf and is consolidating near 0.581, RSI(14) cooling to the low-40s. The prior range floor at 0.5824 now caps as resistance.
Support: 0.58022, 0.5800
Resistance: 0.5824, 0.58412
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.58240 reopens the path to the 0.58412 spike high
Loss of 0.58022 exposes the 0.5800 round number
Fed speakers / Warsh testimony today could shift the USD leg
16:32 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 42 · price 0.58097
Post-spike consolidation, slipping off highs.
Soft US CPI spiked NZD/USD to a session high 0.58412 during NY hours, but the move was rejected and price settled into a 0.5817-0.5825 range cap. Price has since slipped to 0.5810, back below EMA20 with RSI cooling to the low 40s; the swing low at 0.5802 is the near-term floor.
Support: 0.58022, 0.5800, 0.5795
Resistance: 0.5825, 0.58412
What it said to watch
Close below 0.5802 swing low exposes the 0.5800 psych level
Reclaim of 0.5825 range cap needed to retest 0.58412 session high
NZ CPI (Jul 20) is the key catalyst for the hawkish RBNZ read
NY session spiked to 0.58412 on the soft US CPI miss at 12:30 GMT, then rejected and retraced almost the entire move back to 0.5806. Consolidation cap at 0.5825 held and price is now pressing the session low near 0.5802, RSI(14) cooled to the mid-40s.
Support: 0.5802, 0.57966, 0.5770
Resistance: 0.5825, 0.58412
What it said to watch
Close below 0.58020 session low confirms a lower low toward 0.57966 swing low
Reclaim of 0.58250 cons. cap reopens the 0.58412 spike high
US PPI Jul 15 12:30 UTC could reshape this read
16:17 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 44 · price 0.58065
Post-spike consolidation slipping lower.
NY session spiked to 0.58412 as the dollar buckled on the soft US June CPI miss, then faded into a 0.5817-0.5825 band that repeatedly capped. Price is now slipping back to 0.5806 with RSI(14) cooling toward mid-range; the 0.5825 cap held on the last attempt.
Support: 0.58022, 0.5797, 0.5770
Resistance: 0.5825, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.5825 reopens the 0.58412 spike high
Failure to hold 0.58022 session low exposes 0.5797
NZ CPI (Jul 20) is the week's catalyst but sits outside this window
16:03 UTC
Uptrend, momentum fading · RSI 49 · price 0.58062
Post-spike pullback into range.
NY session printed a CPI-driven spike to 0.58412 on the soft US inflation miss, then rejection dragged price back to 0.5806, retracing most of the move. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s and price has slipped below the EMA20 as the impulse fades.
Support: 0.5805, 0.57982
Resistance: 0.58255, 0.58412
What it said to watch
Close below 0.5805 recent low exposes the 0.57982 swing low
Reclaim of 0.58255 prior high needed to retest the 0.58412 spike high
NY session spiked to the 0.58412 spike high on the soft US CPI miss, then faded and printed lower highs into the pullback. Price has rolled below the 0.58150 range floor with RSI(14) cooling toward 42, now testing the 0.58052 swing low as the session high at 0.58290 caps.
Support: 0.58052, 0.5800
Resistance: 0.5815, 0.5829, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.5800 psych opens further downside
Reclaim of 0.58150 range floor re-enters the consolidation
NZD/USD spiked to a session high of 0.58412 at the 12:30 UTC US CPI miss, then faded and has consolidated in the 0.5807-0.5825 band through the NY session. Price now sits below EMA20 with RSI back at neutral, holding the 61.8% retrace of the CPI leg near 0.5814.
Support: 0.58071, 0.5800, 0.57981
Resistance: 0.58253, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.5807 opens 0.5800 and the 0.57981 swing low
Reclaim of 0.58253 needed to retest the 0.58412 session high
US PPI on Jul 15 12:30 UTC could reset this intraday read
NZD/USD spiked to a session high of 0.58412 as the soft US CPI print undercut the dollar, then was rejected straight back to 0.582 and has since drifted to 0.581. RSI(14) has cooled to the low 50s and price is back below EMA20 while holding above EMA50 — consolidation after the impulse, range top at 0.58250 capping.
Support: 0.5807, 0.5798
Resistance: 0.5825, 0.58412
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.58070 swing low turns the read toward the 0.57980 prior base
Reclaim of 0.58250 range top reopens the 0.58412 session high
US Fed speakers today could shift near-term USD tone
NZDUSD spiked to 0.58412 on hawkish RBNZ repricing and the soft US June CPI print, then settled into a 0.5815–0.5828 range through the NY session. RSI(14) has cooled to the low 50s and price is hugging EMA20 as the impulse digests.
Support: 0.5815, 0.58048
Resistance: 0.5828, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5828 reopens the 0.58412 spike high
Failure to hold 0.5815 exposes the 0.58048 pre-spike base
Fed speakers this afternoon could shift USD and this read
NZD/USD spiked to 0.58412 on the 12:30 UTC US CPI miss, kiwi leading as the hawkish-Fed narrative unwound. Price has since consolidated 0.58153–0.58290 through the NY session with RSI(14) cooling off its highs; range top and the 0.58412 spike high cap for now.
Support: 0.58153, 0.5800
Resistance: 0.5829, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.58290 range top re-opens the 0.58412 spike high
Failure to hold 0.58153 session low exposes the 0.5800 round number
Fed speakers this afternoon (Barr/Goolsbee/Cook) could shift the USD read
NZDUSD spiked to 0.58412 on the soft US CPI miss, then settled into a tight 0.5816-0.5829 range through the NY session. Price holds above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) cooling off the spike into the low 60s; session low at 0.58165 has been retested and held twice.
Support: 0.58165, 0.5800, 0.57949
Resistance: 0.5829, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.58165 opens a deeper retrace toward 0.5800
Break and hold above 0.5829 exposes the 0.58412 spike high
Fed speakers this afternoon (Barr, Goolsbee, Cook, Bowman) could re-price USD and shift this read
NZD/USD spiked to 0.58412 during the NY session as the soft US June CPI print undercut the USD, then faded and has since coiled between 0.5815 and 0.5833. The spike high was rejected on the follow-through bar and price is holding mid-range, RSI cooling from the impulse.
Support: 0.58153, 0.5800
Resistance: 0.58333, 0.58412
What it said to watch
Close above 0.58333 reopens the 0.58412 spike high
Failure to hold the 0.58153 session low exposes 0.5800
US Fed speakers this afternoon could shift this read
NZD/USD gapped higher to 0.58412 on the 12:30 UTC US CPI miss (soft core), then unwound the wick to consolidate 0.5816-0.5828 through the NY session. Price is holding above the pre-spike shelf at 0.58048, sitting on the 61.8% retrace of the CPI impulse.
Support: 0.58048, 0.57981, 0.5770
Resistance: 0.5828, 0.58412
What it said to watch
Close above 0.5828 opens a retest of the 0.58412 cpi high
Failure to hold 0.58048 unwinds the CPI spike toward 0.5798
Fed Warsh testimony / Fed speakers this afternoon could shift the USD leg
15:03 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating after spike · RSI 55 · price 0.58162
Higher highs into CPI spike, now ranging below the high.
NZD/USD spiked to 0.58412 on the soft US CPI print during NY hours, clearing the 0.5810-0.5820 confluence, then faded to consolidate in a 0.5816-0.5829 band. RSI(14) cooled back to the mid-50s as the pair holds above prior breakout levels.
Support: 0.5816, 0.5800
Resistance: 0.5829, 0.58412
What it said to watch
Sustained close above 0.5829 reopens the path to the 0.58412 spike high
Failure to hold 0.5800 negates the CPI breakout
Fed speakers/Warsh testimony this afternoon could shift the USD leg
NZD/USD spiked to 0.58412 during NY hours on the soft US June CPI miss, then faded into a tight 0.5816-0.5828 consolidation. RSI(14) has cooled off the spike into the mid-50s; the pair is holding well above EMA20/50 but capped short of the 0.5830 confluence flagged as overhead resistance.
Support: 0.58159, 0.58048
Resistance: 0.58333, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.58333 opens the path back to the 0.58412 spike high
Failure to hold 0.58159 exposes the 0.58048 spike base
Ongoing Warsh testimony / Fed speakers could shift the USD leg this session
NZD/USD spiked to a session high 0.58412 on the soft US June CPI miss, clearing the 0.5810-0.5820 confluence, then faded to consolidate in a 0.5816-0.5833 band. RSI(14) cooling from the spike toward mid-60s; price holding above EMA20/50.
Support: 0.5816, 0.58048, 0.5800
Resistance: 0.5833, 0.58412
What it said to watch
Close above 0.58412 opens continuation to fresh multi-week highs
Loss of 0.5816 range low points back toward 0.58048
Warsh testimony / Fed speakers this session could reprice the USD leg
NZD/USD spiked to 0.58412 on the soft US June CPI miss during the NY session, then rejected and settled into a 0.5815-0.5827 range. RSI(14) has cooled back to mid-50s; price holds above the reclaimed 0.5810-0.5820 confluence with the spike high untested since.
Support: 0.5815, 0.5800, 0.5770
Resistance: 0.5827, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.58412 reopens post-CPI continuation
Loss of 0.5800 unwinds the CPI-driven leg toward 0.5770
Fed Warsh testimony / Fed speakers this afternoon could shift the USD leg
Post-CPI breakout, now consolidating below spike high.
NZDUSD ripped from 0.5805 to 0.58412 on the soft US CPI print at 12:30 UTC, then faded to consolidate in a 0.58159–0.58279 band through the NY morning. RSI(14) has cooled off its post-spike high; 0.58279 consol top capping while buyers hold the session low at 0.58159.
Support: 0.58159, 0.58048
Resistance: 0.58279, 0.58412
What it said to watch
Close above 0.58279 consol top reopens the 0.58412 spike high
Loss of 0.58159 session low exposes the 0.58048 breakout base
Ongoing Warsh testimony / Fed speakers could reprice USD and shift this read
NZDUSD spiked to 0.58412 on the soft US CPI miss, then faded to consolidate 0.5820-0.5825 through NY hours, now easing to 0.5818. RSI(14) cooling from the spike but holding above 60, price still parked above the 0.5805 breakout zone.
Support: 0.5800, 0.5798, 0.5777
Resistance: 0.5825, 0.58412
What it said to watch
Fed Warsh testimony (14:00 UTC) is the immediate USD swing factor for this pair
M15 close back below 0.5800 round would unwind the CPI breakout
Clean break above 0.58250 session high reopens the 0.58412 spike high
NY session spiked to 0.58412 on the soft US CPI print, clearing the 0.5810-0.5820 confluence, then unwound into a 0.5818-0.5825 range. Price holds above the 0.58048 pre-spike shelf with RSI(14) cooling off the extreme; buyers defended above the psych 0.5800 through the pullback.
Support: 0.58048, 0.5800, 0.57966
Resistance: 0.58333, 0.58412
What it said to watch
Close back below 0.58048 opens a pullback toward 0.5800
Reclaim of 0.58333 puts the 0.58412 session high back in play
Warsh testimony and Fed speaker slate could reprice the USD leg intraday
The US CPI miss at 12:30 UTC spiked NZD/USD to a session high of 0.58412 before it settled into a 0.5820-0.5825 consolidation. RSI(14) has cooled off its extreme, with price still holding well above the 0.58054 pre-spike breakout level.
Support: 0.58054, 0.57966, 0.5780
Resistance: 0.58333, 0.58412
What it said to watch
Fed Warsh testimony (14:00 UTC) is the immediate USD driver and could shift this read
M15 close above 0.58412 opens continuation toward fresh multi-week highs
Loss of 0.58054 negates the breakout and exposes 0.57966
Breakout above range, now consolidating below session high.
NY session spiked to 0.58412 on the soft US CPI print, clearing the 0.5810-0.5820 cap that had held all session. Price is now consolidating around 0.5822 into the spike, RSI(14) cooling from hot; the breakout level at 0.5805 has yet to be retested.
Support: 0.58178, 0.5805, 0.5794
Resistance: 0.58333, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.5805 negates the breakout and reopens 0.5794
Fed Warsh testimony is the immediate USD-side driver and could shift this read
Hold above 0.58178 keeps the higher-low chain intact
NZD/USD spiked to 0.58412 on the soft US CPI miss, clearing the 0.5810-0.5820 confluence, then pulled back to consolidate around 0.5824. RSI(14) cooling from the spike but holding above 60; price stays above the 0.58048 breakout base.
Support: 0.5820, 0.58048, 0.5800
Resistance: 0.58333, 0.58412
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.5820 confluence puts the 0.58048 breakout base back in play
Fed Warsh testimony is the immediate USD driver and could shift this read
A close back above 0.58333 reopens the 0.58412 session high
13:47 UTC
Uptrend, cooling after spike · RSI 63 · price 0.58242
Impulse break above range, now consolidating below spike high.
The soft US CPI print at the NY open drove a sharp spike to 0.58412, clearing the 0.5810-0.5820 confluence that had capped the pair. Price has since pulled back to consolidate around 0.5824, holding above the 0.5818 spike low with RSI cooling from post-spike highs.
Support: 0.5818, 0.58048, 0.5794
Resistance: 0.58333, 0.58412
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.5818 opens a fade of the spike back toward 0.58048
Close above 0.58333 reopens the 0.58412 spike high
Fed Warsh testimony could materially shift the USD leg near-term
13:32 UTC
Uptrend, extended after spike · RSI 67 · price 0.58263
Breakout, consolidating below spike high.
NZD/USD ripped through the 0.5810-0.5820 confluence on the soft US CPI print, spiking to 0.58412 before fading to consolidate around 0.5826. RSI(14) is cooling from overbought as the pair digests the move; buyers defended 0.58178 on the pullback.
Support: 0.58178, 0.5800, 0.5777
Resistance: 0.58412, 0.58333
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 0.58412 reopens the path to fresh multi-week highs
Failure to hold 0.5800 opens a pullback toward 0.5777
Fed Warsh testimony (14:00 GMT) is the immediate USD-side risk to this read
NZD/USD spiked to 0.58412 on the soft US CPI print (12:30 UTC bar), clearing the 0.5810-0.5820 confluence, then settled back to 0.5826. Price holds above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) cooling from the spike; Warsh testimony (14:00 GMT) is the near-term USD swing factor.
Support: 0.58048, 0.5800, 0.5795
Resistance: 0.58412, 0.5833
What it said to watch
Warsh testimony (14:00 GMT) could materially shift the USD leg
Close back below 0.58048 invalidates the breakout read
Breakout above 0.5810-0.5820, faded from spike high.
Kiwi ripped through the 0.5810-0.5820 confluence to 0.58412 on the soft US CPI print (USD offered), then faded back to 0.5823 as the spike swept highs and rejected. RSI(14) cooling from ~71; price is holding above the 0.5805 breakout base.
Support: 0.5805, 0.5800
Resistance: 0.5825, 0.58412
What it said to watch
Fed Warsh testimony (14:00 GMT) could reverse the USD leg and this read
M15 close back below 0.5810 negates the breakout and re-enters the confluence
Breakout above 0.5810-0.5820, pullback in progress.
NZD ripped to a session high 0.58412 during NY hours as soft US June CPI (core YoY 2.6% vs 2.8%) knocked the dollar, clearing the 0.5810-0.5820 confluence in one bar. Price has since pulled back to 0.58234 and RSI(14) is cooling from overbought; the 0.58048 breakout shelf is the pivot holding the move.
Support: 0.58048, 0.5800, 0.57985
Resistance: 0.58412, 0.58328
What it said to watch
Fed's Warsh testimony (14:00 GMT) could reverse the USD-side driver behind this leg
Close back below 0.58048 negates the breakout and reopens 0.5800
Reclaim of 0.58412 session high extends the move to fresh multi-week highs
US CPI at 12:30 UTC drove a sharp spike to 0.58412, breaking the 0.5810-0.5820 confluence to a fresh multi-week high before fading to 0.58226. Breakout level now acting as retest; RSI(14) hot near 71 after the impulse.
Support: 0.5820, 0.58054, 0.5797
Resistance: 0.58412, 0.58333
What it said to watch
Hold above 0.5820 keeps the breakout retest intact
Close back below 0.5820 flags a false break toward 0.5805
Warsh testimony at 14:00 UTC could reshape the USD leg within the hour
13:03 UTC
Uptrend, fresh breakout leg · RSI 71 · price 0.58226
Higher highs, broke 0.5820 confluence.
NZDUSD spiked through the 0.5810-0.5820 confluence to 0.58412 on the soft US CPI print, then pulled back to 0.58226 still holding above the 0.5805 breakout. RSI(14) near 71 after the leg up; the prior grind higher through NY has now cleared session resistance.
Support: 0.5805, 0.5800, 0.5797
Resistance: 0.58333, 0.58412
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.5805 breakout puts price back inside the pre-CPI range
Close above 0.58333 session high reopens the 0.58412 spike high
Warsh testimony at 14:00 UTC could shift the USD leg materially
12:47 UTC
Uptrend, sharp impulse leg · RSI 76 · price 0.58323
Breakout above session range, fresh highs.
NZDUSD spiked through the 0.5810-0.5820 confluence on a high-volume bar as the US CPI print at 12:30 UTC left the USD offered, tagging a session high at 0.5841 before settling at 0.5832. RSI(14) is stretched above 75 after the impulse, with the prior range top around 0.5805-0.5820 now acting as the reference for a retest.
Support: 0.5820, 0.5805, 0.5800
Resistance: 0.58412, 0.5850
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 0.5820 breakout zone reopens 0.5805 then 0.5800
RSI(14) above 75 leaves the move short-term stretched
Fed's Warsh testimony at 14:00 UTC could reshape the USD leg
NZDUSD spiked through the 0.5810-0.5820 confluence to a ~4-week high at 0.58412 on the 12:30 UTC US CPI print, RSI(14) running hot near 78. Price is holding the upper end of the move around 0.58323 after grinding higher through the London-NY session; the broken confluence at 0.5820 now flips to first support.
Support: 0.5820, 0.5805, 0.5777
Resistance: 0.58412, 0.5825
What it said to watch
Hold above the 0.5820 breakout keeps the higher-high structure intact
A slip back below 0.58050 would negate the breakout as a false break
Warsh testimony at 14:00 UTC could reshape the USD leg this session
Breakout above 0.5820 confluence into fresh highs.
NZDUSD ripped off the 0.5805 prior range to a session high of 0.5841 on the 12:30 UTC US CPI print, clearing the 0.5810-0.5820 confluence flagged all week. RSI(14) is now stretched above 80 on M15 as price trades near 0.5836; the broken 0.5820 confluence flips to first support.
Support: 0.5820, 0.5805, 0.5770
Resistance: 0.5841, 0.5825
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 0.5820 confluence signals a false break back into the 0.5805 range
Fed's Warsh testimony at 14:00 UTC could reset the USD leg and this read
NZD/USD ripped through the 0.5810-0.5820 confluence on the 12:30 UTC US CPI print, printing a 36-pip breakout candle to 0.5841 before closing 0.58357. RSI(14) near 78 flags a short-term stretch, but structure is a clean range break holding above the broken level.
Support: 0.5820, 0.58054, 0.57966
Resistance: 0.5841
What it said to watch
Fed's Warsh testimony at 14:00 UTC could materially shift the USD leg and this read
A close back below 0.5820 would fail the breakout and re-enter the prior range
NZDUSD ran from the 0.5740 mid-window low to a session high at 0.5807 through the London session, stalling just under the 0.5810-0.5820 confluence. Price has since drifted back to 0.5799 and is coiling above the recent 0.5797 low; RSI(14) has cooled to neutral as the push loses pace. US June CPI at 12:30 UTC lands imminently and dominates the next bars.
Support: 0.5797, 0.5794, 0.5770
Resistance: 0.5807, 0.5810
What it said to watch
US CPI (12:30 UTC) and Warsh testimony (14:00 UTC) can materially reshape this read within the next hour
M15 close above 0.5810 opens the 0.5820 confluence and fresh multi-week highs
Loss of 0.5797 exposes 0.5770 support and breaks the intraday higher-low chain
12:17 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 56 · price 0.57993
Higher highs into 0.5807, ranging under session high.
NZD/USD ground higher through the London-NY window off the 0.5740 low, tagging a session high at 0.5807 before stalling; RBNZ hawkishness underpins the bid. Price now consolidating around 0.5800 with RSI(14) neutral near 56. US June CPI at 12:30 UTC lands within minutes and will drive the next leg.
Support: 0.57966, 0.5779, 0.5770
Resistance: 0.58075, 0.5815
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC could immediately shift this read
Close above 0.58075 opens the 0.5810-0.5820 confluence
NZDUSD ground higher through the London-NY transition to a near four-week high at 0.58075, backed by hawkish RBNZ tone, and is now consolidating just under the 0.5810-0.5820 confluence. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-50s as price stalls into the US CPI print; buyers defended 0.57966 on the last dip.
Support: 0.57966, 0.5777
Resistance: 0.58075, 0.5810
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read within the next bar
M15 close above 0.5810 opens the confluence toward 0.5820
NZD rallied from the 0.5740 session low through the London-NY session, tagging a near four-week high at 0.5807 on hawkish RBNZ tone. Price is now consolidating just below the 0.5810-0.5820 confluence with RSI cooling off the highs.
Support: 0.5797, 0.5770
Resistance: 0.5807, 0.5810
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read within the next bar
A close above 0.5810 confluence opens the path toward 0.5820
NZD ground higher through the London-NY window to a session high at 0.58075 on hawkish RBNZ tone, then stalled into the 0.5810-0.5820 confluence with RSI(14) cooling from the rally. Price now consolidating around 0.5803, holding above the 0.5797 swing low.
Support: 0.57966, 0.5777
Resistance: 0.58075, 0.5810
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher highs into session top, consolidating below 0.5808.
NZD ground higher through the window to a near four-week high at 0.5808, RBNZ-hawkish flow the driver, and is now consolidating just below that session top with RSI(14) cooling to the mid-50s. Price holds above EMA20/50 but the 0.5808 high has capped the last three pushes.
Support: 0.57966, 0.5777, 0.57565
Resistance: 0.58075, 0.5810
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close above 0.5808 opens the 0.5810 confluence
Loss of 0.57966 swing low would break the rising structure
NZDUSD grinding to a near four-week high after hawkish RBNZ tone, now consolidating just below the 0.5810-0.5820 confluence with the 0.58075 session high capping. Pullback held at 0.57966 and buyers stepped back in; RSI(14) mid-range, momentum easing rather than reversing.
Support: 0.57966, 0.5783, 0.5770
Resistance: 0.58075, 0.5820
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5820 confluence opens fresh multi-week highs
US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~1h) is the immediate USD-side driver for this read
Loss of 0.57966 breaks the intraday higher-low chain, exposing 0.5770
NZDUSD ground higher through the London session on the hawkish RBNZ read, tagging a session high at 0.58075 before stalling below the 0.5810-0.5820 confluence. Price is consolidating around 0.5801 with RSI cooling from the upper band; demand held at 0.5797 on the last dip.
Support: 0.5797, 0.5777
Resistance: 0.58075, 0.5820
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~1h) is the immediate USD driver and could break this consolidation either way
A close above the 0.5810-0.5820 confluence opens the path toward 0.5825
Failure to hold 0.5797 exposes 0.5777 and breaks the HL chain
NZDUSD ground higher through the London session to a session high at 0.58075 before easing back to 0.5798, RSI cooling to neutral. Price is consolidating just below the 0.5810-0.5820 confluence flagged as the breakout trigger, with the RBNZ-hawkish bid capped by USD strength.
Support: 0.5797, 0.5790, 0.5770
Resistance: 0.58075, 0.5810
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~75m) is the dominant near-term driver and can reset this read
M15 close above 0.58075 opens the 0.5810-0.5820 confluence
Loss of 0.5797 exposes the 0.5790 intraday low, then 0.5770 support
London session drove NZDUSD to a near four-week high at 0.58075 on the hawkish-RBNZ theme before easing to 0.5798, RSI cooling from the push. Uptrend holds above EMA20/50; price is coiling just under the session high into the US CPI print.
Support: 0.57966, 0.5783, 0.5770
Resistance: 0.58075, 0.5810
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC is the immediate driver and could reshape this read
Break of the 0.5810 confluence opens fresh multi-week highs toward 0.5820
Loss of 0.57966 session low exposes the 0.5783 swing low
NZDUSD ground up to a near four-week high at 0.58075 on hawkish RBNZ tone, then stalled and pulled back to 0.57963 into the US CPI window. Momentum is cooling — RSI(14) back near neutral after the push, and price is consolidating just under the 0.5808 session high.
Support: 0.5793, 0.5784, 0.5770
Resistance: 0.58075, 0.5815
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 GMT and Warsh testimony dominate the next bars — likely to define direction
M15 close above 0.58075 opens the 0.5810-0.5820 confluence
Loss of 0.57840 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
NY session drove NZDUSD to a session high 0.58075 on the firm RBNZ-yield theme, now easing to 0.57963 as price stalls below the 0.5810-0.5820 confluence. Pullback holding above the 0.57917 swing low; RSI(14) cooling to mid-range as the leg loses pace.
Support: 0.57917, 0.57862, 0.5770
Resistance: 0.58042, 0.58075, 0.5820
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 GMT and Warsh testimony are the immediate USD driver and could reset this read
M15 close above 0.58075 opens the 0.5810-0.5820 confluence
Failure to hold 0.57862 signals a deeper fade toward 0.5770
NZDUSD ground higher through the London session to a fresh session high at 0.58075 before rejecting and easing to 0.5798, RSI(14) cooling off its highs. NZD firm on the hawkish RBNZ tone, but the 0.5810-0.5820 confluence is capping and price is stalling just under the session high.
Support: 0.5792, 0.5777
Resistance: 0.58075, 0.5810
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 GMT is the immediate USD driver and could materially shift this read
M15 close above 0.58075 opens the 0.5810-0.5820 confluence
Loss of 0.57920 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
10:47 UTC
Uptrend, momentum slowing near range top · RSI 56 · price 0.57978
Chain of higher highs / higher lows into 0.5810 confluence.
NZDUSD ground higher through the London session to a near four-week high at 0.58075, backed by hawkish RBNZ tone before stalling under the 0.5810-0.5820 confluence. Last few bars are pinned 0.5797-0.5807 as buyers pause; RSI(14) cooling off the highs.
Support: 0.57966, 0.5777, 0.5742
Resistance: 0.58075, 0.5820
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 GMT and Warsh testimony at 14:00 GMT are the immediate USD drivers for this range
Close above 0.58075 opens the 0.5810-0.5820 confluence and fresh multi-week highs
Loss of 0.5797 swing low would break the higher-low chain, exposing 0.5777
NZDUSD ground higher through the NY session to a near four-week high at 0.5808, holding just under the 0.5810-0.5820 confluence, supported by hawkish RBNZ tone. Momentum is easing on the approach, RSI(14) around 61 with the last bar stalling at 0.5802.
Support: 0.5797, 0.5783, 0.5770
Resistance: 0.5808, 0.5820
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
Close above 0.5808 opens the 0.5820 confluence
Failure to hold 0.5797 breaks the rising support and exposes 0.5770
NZDUSD ground higher through London in a clean HH/HL sequence off the 0.5740 session low, tagging 0.58075 before stalling just under the 0.5810 confluence; NZD firm on the hawkish RBNZ read. RSI(14) cooling near 62 as the current bar sits flat at 0.5802.
Support: 0.5797, 0.5770
Resistance: 0.5810, 0.58075, 0.5825
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5810 confluence opens the path to 0.5825
US CPI at 12:30 GMT (~2h) could materially shift this read
Failure to hold 0.5797 breaks the higher-low chain
10:17 UTC
Uptrend, momentum steady · RSI 63 · price 0.58024
Chain of higher highs and higher lows into session high.
NZDUSD grinding higher through NY hours on hawkish-RBNZ tone, printing a near four-week session high at 0.58075 before easing to 0.58024. Price cleared 0.5800 and is holding above it on the retest; RSI(14) mid-60s, no exhaustion signal, ATR ~5 pips keeping ranges tight.
Support: 0.5800, 0.5791, 0.5770
Resistance: 0.58075, 0.5810
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 GMT (~2h out) is the dominant near-term driver — a USD bid risks rejection at the 0.5810 confluence
Loss of 0.5800 on a close breaks the higher-low chain and exposes 0.5791
Series of higher highs and higher lows into session highs.
NZDUSD ground higher through the London session, printing higher lows and stalling into the 0.58075 session high, RSI(14) around 61 with no divergence. Price now sits just below the 0.5810-0.5820 confluence the Kiwi has been eyeing on its hawkish-RBNZ bid.
Support: 0.5797, 0.57843, 0.5777
Resistance: 0.58075, 0.5820
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 GMT is the immediate USD-side catalyst and could break or reject this into the next bars
M15 close above 0.5820 opens fresh multi-week highs; loss of 0.5797 breaks the rising-low chain
NY session drove NZDUSD to a near four-week high at 0.58075, extending the RBNZ-hawkish rally, with RSI(14) around 67 — firm but not stretched. Price is pressing the 0.5810-0.5820 confluence that has capped upside all session.
Support: 0.5797, 0.57837, 0.5770
Resistance: 0.58075, 0.5820
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 GMT (~2.5h out) is the immediate USD driver and can shift this read
A close above 0.58200 opens fresh multi-week highs
Loss of 0.57837 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
NZDUSD ground higher through the London-NY window in a clean channel, printing a session high at 0.58075 with RSI(14) near 67, hot but not stretched. Price is now stalling just under the 0.5810-0.5820 confluence flagged as the breakout trigger; buyers defended the 0.5786 higher low on the way up.
Support: 0.5797, 0.5786, 0.5770
Resistance: 0.58075, 0.5810, 0.5820
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 GMT (~2.5h) and Warsh testimony are the dominant USD-side drivers that could redefine this read
A close above the 0.5810 confluence opens the path toward 0.5820
Loss of 0.5797 breaks the higher-low chain and exposes 0.5786
09:47 UTC
Uptrend, extended into resistance · RSI 64 · price 0.58024
Higher highs, pressing session top.
NZD ground to near four-week highs at 0.5804 on hawkish RBNZ tone, now stalling just under the 0.5810-0.5820 confluence cap during London hours. Uptrend intact with a clean chain of higher lows off 0.5744, RSI(14) firm but not extreme.
Support: 0.5797, 0.5770, 0.5744
Resistance: 0.5810, 0.5804
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5810 confluence cap opens a run at 0.5825
US CPI at 12:30 GMT (~3h) is the near-term USD driver for the pair
Failure to hold 0.5797 swing low points back toward 0.5770 initial support
09:47 UTC
Uptrend, stalling near highs · RSI 66 · price 0.58024
Higher highs into confluence cap.
NZDUSD ground higher through the Asian session to a near four-week top at 0.5804 after hawkish RBNZ commentary, now stalling just below the 0.5810-0.5820 confluence. RSI(14) elevated near 66 but not extended; price holding above EMA20/50 with the last few bars coiling under the session high.
Support: 0.5797, 0.5784, 0.5770
Resistance: 0.58042, 0.5810, 0.5820
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5810 confluence opens a run at 0.5820/0.5825
US CPI at 12:30 GMT (~3h) is the near-term USD driver and could reset this read
Failure to hold 0.5797 signals a deeper pullback toward 0.5784
09:32 UTC
Uptrend, near session highs · RSI 66 · price 0.58019
Higher highs, higher lows.
Kiwi ground higher through the London session to a fresh session high at 0.58042, extending the hawkish-RBNZ bid but stalling just below the 0.5810 confluence. RSI(14) around 66 — hot but not extreme — with price holding above EMA20/50. US CPI in ~3h is the near-term driver.
Support: 0.5797, 0.5792, 0.5770
Resistance: 0.58042, 0.5810
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5810 confluence opens the path to 0.5825
Failure to hold 0.5797 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
NZDUSD ground up through the London-NY hours to a fresh session high at 0.58042, extending the Asian-session bid off hawkish RBNZ remarks. Price now stalls just below the 0.5810-0.5820 confluence with RSI(14) around 66; rising higher lows keep the intraday channel intact.
Support: 0.5797, 0.5783, 0.5770
Resistance: 0.58042, 0.5815
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.58150 clears the 0.5810-0.5820 confluence and extends the run
Loss of 0.57970 breaks the higher-low chain
US CPI at 12:30 GMT (~3h) is the near-term USD driver and could reset this read
09:17 UTC
Uptrend, testing session cap · RSI 66 · price 0.58032
Higher highs and higher lows off the 0.5740 base.
Kiwi ground higher through the window to a 0.5804 session high on hawkish RBNZ commentary, printing a clean chain of higher lows and now pressing the 0.5810-0.5820 confluence cap. RSI(14) near 66 — firm but not stretched. US CPI in ~3h is the immediate USD driver.
Support: 0.5793, 0.5770
Resistance: 0.58042, 0.5810, 0.5820
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5810 opens a run at the 0.5820 confluence
US CPI at 12:30 GMT (~3h) could materially shift this read
Failure to hold 0.5793 breaks the higher-low chain toward 0.5770
09:17 UTC
Uptrend, stalling into resistance · RSI 66 · price 0.58032
Higher highs, capped below confluence.
NZDUSD ground higher through the session to a near four-week top at 0.58042, riding hawkish-RBNZ demand, and is now stalling just under the 0.5810-0.5820 confluence. RSI(14) around 66 leaves room but momentum is easing as price probes the cap.
Support: 0.5792, 0.5777, 0.5770
Resistance: 0.58042, 0.5810, 0.5820
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5810 confluence would extend the run toward 0.5820
Failure to hold 0.5792 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
US CPI at 12:30 GMT (~3h) could materially shift this read
09:03 UTC
Uptrend, testing 0.5800 cap · RSI 62 · price 0.57977
Higher highs / higher lows into psych resistance.
London session grinding a HH/HL chain up to tag 0.58000 psych; the 0.58012 print was sold back to 0.57977, keeping the monthly peak/200-day cap intact. RSI(14) mid-60s, no extreme.
Support: 0.5793, 0.57843, 0.5783
Resistance: 0.5800, 0.58012
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5800 opens the path to 0.5825
Failure to hold 0.57930 breaks the intraday HL chain
Kiwi ground higher through the London session, tagging 0.58012 before fading to 0.5798 — the 0.5800 round number is capping. Chain of higher lows off 0.5740 intact, RSI(14) mid-60s with no divergence, ATR a thin ~5 pips ahead of the event.
Support: 0.5792, 0.5786, 0.5770
Resistance: 0.58012, 0.5800
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5800 opens the path toward 0.5825
Failure to hold 0.5792 breaks the higher-low chain
US CPI 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
08:47 UTC
Uptrend into 0.5800 cap · RSI 63 · price 0.57994
Higher highs, testing range top.
NZD ground higher through the London session, tagging the 0.5800 monthly peak / 200-day cap before stalling at 0.58012. RSI(14) mid-60s with price riding above EMA20/50, but the round-number cap is capping the advance so far.
Support: 0.5783, 0.5770
Resistance: 0.58012, 0.5800
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5800 clears the monthly peak and opens 0.5825
Loss of the ascending trendline near 0.5783 breaks the higher-low chain
US CPI 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
08:47 UTC
Uptrend, testing 0.5800 cap · RSI 64 · price 0.57994
Higher highs into monthly peak, stalling at psych level.
NZDUSD ground higher through London off the 0.5740 base, tagging 0.58012 before the psych 0.5800 monthly peak capped it and the last bar closed back at 0.57994. RSI(14) mid-60s, momentum intact but the 0.5800 handle is doing its job as overhead resistance.
Support: 0.5792, 0.5783, 0.5777
Resistance: 0.5800, 0.58012
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5800 opens the path toward 0.5825
US CPI 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Failure to hold 0.57920 signals a stall in the intraday uptrend
08:32 UTC
Intraday uptrend, momentum slowing near cap · RSI 58 · price 0.57939
V-recovery off session low, stalling below 0.5800.
London session bought the dip from the 0.5740 low back to 0.5798, but the move is stalling just under the 0.5800 cap flagged by the RBNZ hawkish read. RSI(14) cooling from the rally, price now consolidating around 0.5794 into the US CPI window.
Support: 0.57843, 0.5770
Resistance: 0.57984, 0.5800
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close above 0.5800 opens the path toward 0.5825
Failure to hold 0.57843 confirms loss of the recovery momentum
08:32 UTC
Uptrend, momentum slowing near cap · RSI 57 · price 0.57939
Higher lows off 0.5740, stalling below session high.
NZD rallied off the 0.5740 Asian low through the London session to 0.5798, stalling just under the 0.5800 monthly peak. RSI is cooling as price consolidates below the session high; buyers held the rising support around 0.5784. US CPI at 12:30 UTC is the near-term binary for this move.
Support: 0.5784, 0.5770
Resistance: 0.5798, 0.5800
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5800 opens a run at the monthly peak / 200-day cap
Failure to hold 0.5784 breaks the rising support and the higher-low chain
US CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher lows into session high, consolidating below 0.5800.
London session extended the recovery from the thin midday low near 0.5740 up to a session high of 0.5798, in line with the RBNZ-driven dip-buying tone. Price is now consolidating in the 0.5788-0.5796 band, capped just under the 0.5800 monthly peak with RSI(14) easing to the mid-50s.
Support: 0.5787, 0.5783, 0.5770
Resistance: 0.5798, 0.5800
What it said to watch
A close above 0.5800 monthly peak opens the path toward 0.5825
Failure to hold 0.5783 recent low breaks the higher-low chain
US CPI at 12:30 UTC is the near-term binary that could reset this read
London session grinding higher off the 0.5742 low, printing a session high at 0.57984 before stalling just under the 0.5800 monthly peak. RSI(14) mid-range near 59 as price consolidates below the cap; ATR ~5 pips.
Support: 0.5783, 0.5770, 0.5742
Resistance: 0.57984, 0.5800
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.58000 clears the monthly peak and opens 0.5825
Loss of 0.5783 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
US CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher lows off session low, coiling below 0.5800.
NZDUSD ground back from a session low near 0.5740 through NY into the London session, printing higher lows and stalling just under the 0.5798 session high and the 0.5800 psych cap. RSI(14) around 62, still short of overbought, with price holding above both EMAs.
Support: 0.5770, 0.5740
Resistance: 0.5798, 0.5800
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 0.5800 opens the path toward 0.5825
Loss of 0.5770 breaks the higher-low chain toward 0.5740
US CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Kiwi recovered from the 0.5740 session low through Asia into London and is grinding just under the 0.5800 monthly peak, with a rejection at 0.57984. RSI(14) around 61 and flattening as price consolidates below the cap; US CPI at 12:30 UTC is the binary risk into the next hours.
Support: 0.5784, 0.5770, 0.5740
Resistance: 0.5798, 0.5800
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5800 opens the path toward 0.5825
Failure to hold 0.5784 targets 0.5770 near support
US CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
07:47 UTC
Uptrend, momentum slowing near cap · RSI 55 · price 0.57925
HH/HL chain off 0.5740 base, stalling under 0.5800.
Kiwi ground higher through Asia and into London, printing a HH/HL chain from the 0.5740 base to a 0.57984 session high before slipping back toward 0.5792 with RSI cooling from stretched levels. Price is capped just below the 0.5800 psych level, consistent with the digest's overhead-SMA cap. US June CPI at 12:30 UTC is the immediate risk to this read.
Support: 0.5784, 0.5774, 0.57399
Resistance: 0.57984, 0.5800
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5800 opens the 0.5825 resistance cluster
Loss of 0.57840 breaks the rising sequence, exposing 0.57740
US CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
07:47 UTC
Intraday uptrend, momentum slowing near cap · RSI 58 · price 0.57925
Higher lows off 0.5740, capped below 0.5800.
Kiwi recovered through the Asian range from the 0.5740 low and posted a session high at 0.5798, RSI(14) mid-range near 58. Price stalled just under the 0.5800 monthly peak, with a rejection wick capping the last push; higher lows still intact off 0.5784.
Support: 0.5784, 0.5774, 0.5754
Resistance: 0.5798, 0.5800, 0.5825
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close above 0.5800 opens the 0.5825 resistance zone
Failure to hold 0.5784 breaks the higher-low chain
07:32 UTC
Uptrend, testing 0.5800 cap · RSI 59 · price 0.57934
Higher lows off 0.5740, pressing session high.
London recovered the Kiwi from the 0.5740 session low back toward the 0.5800 cap, printing a chain of higher lows; RSI(14) near 59, room before hot. Buyers stepped in twice around 0.5783 into the current push, with the 0.5798 session high the near-term ceiling ahead of the 0.5800 monthly peak.
Support: 0.5783, 0.5774, 0.57399
Resistance: 0.57984, 0.5800
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close above 0.5800 opens the path toward 0.5825
Failure to hold 0.5783 reopens 0.5740 support
07:32 UTC
Recovery, pressing session high · RSI 57 · price 0.57934
Higher lows off 0.5740, capped near 0.5800.
Kiwi climbed through London hours from the 0.5740 session low, tagging the session high at 0.5798 before easing to 0.5793. RSI cooling from the highs and the 0.5800 psych cap is holding for now.
Support: 0.57843, 0.57536, 0.57399
Resistance: 0.57984, 0.5800, 0.5825
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5800 opens the path to the 0.5825 sma cluster
Loss of 0.57843 swing low signals the recovery stalling
US CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
07:17 UTC
Uptrend, momentum easing · RSI 57 · price 0.57911
Higher highs, consolidating below session high.
London session extended the grind higher off the 0.5740 base, Kiwi firm on hawkish RBNZ, but the move stalled at the 0.57956 session high and price is consolidating in the 0.5784–0.5796 band capped below the 0.5800 monthly peak. RSI has cooled from the highs as the advance flattens.
Support: 0.57843, 0.5772
Resistance: 0.57956, 0.5800
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5800 opens the path to the 0.5825 cluster
US CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
failure to hold 0.57843 signals loss of intraday uptrend
07:17 UTC
Uptrend, momentum cooling near cap · RSI 58 · price 0.57911
Higher highs into 0.5800, capped.
Kiwi ground higher through Asia into London, printing 0.57984 before stalling just under the 0.5800 monthly peak — RBNZ hawkish tilt underpinning demand. Rejection at the psych cap has price consolidating around 0.5790, RSI mid-range and no fresh high yet.
Support: 0.57843, 0.57742, 0.57575
Resistance: 0.57984, 0.5800
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5800 opens the 0.5825 cluster
Loss of 0.57843 threatens the higher-low chain toward 0.57742
US CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
NZD climbed from the ~0.5740 Asian low to a session high at 0.5796 through London, then slipped back under EMA20 near 0.5789 with RSI cooling to ~51. Pullback holding above 0.5783; broader tone capped sub-0.5800 ahead of next week's NZ CPI.
Support: 0.5783, 0.5763
Resistance: 0.5796, 0.5825
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.5796 reopens the session-high test
Loss of 0.5783 exposes the 0.5763 base
US CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
NZDUSD ground higher from the overnight 0.57399 low into the London open, tagging a session high at 0.57984 before easing back to 0.57848. Momentum is cooling with RSI(14) back near neutral and price slipping under EMA20; the pair holds well above EMA50 but remains capped sub-0.5800.
Support: 0.5783, 0.57748, 0.5770
Resistance: 0.57984, 0.5800
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.57984 opens the 0.5800 round number
Failure to hold 0.5777 swing low confirms a lower-low
US CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Recovered off session low, consolidating below 0.5798.
NZDUSD clawed back from the 0.5740 Asian low to a 0.5798 session high before stalling, RSI(14) easing back to mid-range as the push faded. Price now hugs 0.5786 just under EMA20, holding above the recovered lows with the 0.5798 top unbroken.
Support: 0.57857, 0.5770, 0.57399
Resistance: 0.57984, 0.5800, 0.5825
What it said to watch
Close above 0.57984 opens the path toward the 0.5825 range top
Loss of 0.57857 exposes 0.5770 and reopens the 0.5740 low
NZ CPI (20 Jul) and US CPI at 12:30 UTC are dominant near-term catalysts
Kiwi ground higher through the NY session into early London, tagging a session high at 0.57984 before easing to 0.5786 as the USD held firm. RSI(14) has cooled from the highs and price is now hovering at EMA20; consolidating just under the session high with no fresh push.
Support: 0.5785, 0.5777
Resistance: 0.57984
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.57984 extends the higher-high sequence
Loss of 0.5777 breaks the rising intraday structure
USD safe-haven flows tied to Hormuz/Fed remain the near-term driver
Kiwi recovered off the 0.574 session low through the London session, printing higher lows and stalling into the 0.57984 session high. RSI(14) has cooled from the highs and price is holding above the 0.57853 swing low; US CPI at 12:30 GMT is the main near-term catalyst.
Support: 0.57853, 0.5774, 0.5740
Resistance: 0.57984, 0.5800
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.57984 opens the path to the 0.58000 round number
Failure to hold the 0.57853 swing low confirms a lower-low and unwinds the recovery
US CPI at 12:30 GMT (~6h) could materially shift this read
Kiwi ground higher through the Asia-London handover, printing a session high at 0.5798 before easing to 0.5788, RSI(14) cooling from the low-60s. The recovery leg off the 0.5740 low holds a clean higher-low chain with price above both EMAs.
Support: 0.57865, 0.5774, 0.57565
Resistance: 0.57984, 0.5800
What it said to watch
Close above 0.5800 opens the path to the 0.5825 cap
Loss of 0.57865 breaks the higher-low chain
US CPI at 12:30 GMT (~6h) could materially shift this read
06:17 UTC
Uptrend, momentum easing · RSI 62 · price 0.57902
Higher highs off the overnight low, session high just capped.
Kiwi carved a rounded recovery off the thin overnight low at 0.5740 and pushed into the London session, tagging a session high at 0.5798 before stalling near 0.5790. RSI(14) around 62 and cooling; the rising sequence of higher lows is intact but grinding rather than impulsive.
Support: 0.57853, 0.5774, 0.57399
Resistance: 0.57984, 0.5800
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 GMT (~6h out) is the primary near-term driver and could reset this read
Close above 0.5800 opens the path toward the 0.5825 cluster
Failure to hold 0.5774 breaks the rising-low sequence
NZDUSD ground higher through the prior session off the 0.5740 swing low, printing a session high at 0.5798 before easing to 0.5790, RSI(14) cooling from the mid-60s. Kiwi is firm on the hawkish RBNZ read but staying capped as the USD holds a bid into US CPI; price is now consolidating just under the highs in early London.
Support: 0.5787, 0.5774, 0.5740
Resistance: 0.57984, 0.5800
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 GMT is the primary near-term driver and could reshape this read
Close above 0.5798 opens the path to the 0.5800 round number
Loss of 0.5787 breaks the higher-low chain, exposing the 0.5774 pivot
06:03 UTC
Uptrend, near session high · RSI 64 · price 0.57944
Higher highs and higher lows since Asian low.
Kiwi ground higher through the Asian session, reclaiming 0.5790 and printing a session high at 0.5798 before easing to 0.5794; RSI(14) elevated near 64 but not extreme. The higher-high/higher-low chain holds with the last pullback low at 0.5787 respected, though the pair remains capped under the 0.5800 psych zone.
Support: 0.57865, 0.5774, 0.5740
Resistance: 0.57984, 0.5800
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 GMT today is the primary USD driver and could materially shift this read
Failure to hold 0.5787 breaks the higher-low chain
A close above 0.5798 opens the path to the 0.5800 psych level
06:03 UTC
Uptrend, steady grind · RSI 64 · price 0.57944
Higher highs and higher lows since the 0.5742 low.
NZDUSD ground steadily higher off the 0.5742 Asia low, reclaiming 0.5794 and tagging a session high at 0.5798 while holding above EMA20/50. RSI(14) sits mid-60s — hot but not extreme — with the pair edging toward the 0.5800 psych level.
Support: 0.57853, 0.57748, 0.57447
Resistance: 0.57984, 0.5800
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.5785 breaks the rising support and negates the higher-low chain
Rejection or break at 0.5798/0.5800 defines the next intraday leg
US CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift the USD leg and this read
05:47 UTC
Uptrend, pressing session high · RSI 69 · price 0.57958
Higher highs and higher lows off the 0.5740 base.
NZD reclaimed the 0.5740 range low and ground higher through the Asian session, now pressing the session high near 0.5798 with RSI(14) around 69. Higher lows intact from 0.5787; the 0.5800 round number is the immediate cap ahead of US CPI.
Support: 0.57868, 0.57748, 0.57399
Resistance: 0.57984, 0.5800, 0.5825
What it said to watch
Close above 0.5800 round number opens the 0.5825 resist cluster
Failure to hold 0.5787 higher low breaks the intraday HH/HL chain
US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~7h) is the main USD driver and could reshape this read
05:47 UTC
Uptrend, near session high · RSI 67 · price 0.57958
Higher highs, higher lows off overnight low.
Steady grind higher off the 0.5742 overnight low, price back to the 0.5798 session high with RSI(14) around 67. Move has held a rising support line through the Asia-London transition; USD stayed broadly bid on Iran headlines but Kiwi has clawed back the earlier dip.
Support: 0.5787, 0.57575, 0.5742
Resistance: 0.5798, 0.5800
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5800 opens the path to the 0.5825 cluster
Failure to hold 0.5787 rising support breaks the higher-low chain
US CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
05:32 UTC
Uptrend, testing session high · RSI 64 · price 0.57939
Higher highs/higher lows off 0.5740 low.
NZDUSD ground higher through the Asia session off the 0.5740 low, now pressing the session high at 0.57956 and capped just under the 0.5800 round number. Kiwi is firm on the hawkish RBNZ read but gains stay yield/USD-constrained; RSI(14) near 64, no exhaustion yet.
Support: 0.57869, 0.5774, 0.5740
Resistance: 0.57956, 0.5800, 0.5825
What it said to watch
Close above 0.5800 opens the path toward 0.5825 range cap
Failure to hold 0.57869 breaks the rising higher-low sequence
US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~7h) is the main near-term USD driver and could reshape this read
05:32 UTC
Uptrend, pressing session high · RSI 63 · price 0.57939
Higher highs/lows off Asian low, retesting 0.5796.
NZD/USD based near 0.5742 in thin Asia then ground higher through London to a session high at 0.5796, now retesting that high with RSI(14) in the mid-60s. Price holds above EMA20/50 and the pullback into 0.5785 was bought; 0.5796 is the level to watch for rejection or break.
Support: 0.5785, 0.5757, 0.5742
Resistance: 0.5796, 0.5825
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Close above 0.5796 opens the path to the 0.5825 cap
Loss of 0.5785 breaks the rising support off the Asian low
05:17 UTC
Uptrend, near session high · RSI 66 · price 0.57925
Higher highs and higher lows off the 0.5740 base.
NZDUSD ground higher through the Asia session from the 0.5740 rollover low, printing a clean HH/HL chain into 0.5796. Price now stalls just under that session high with RSI(14) around 66 — hot but not extreme; the 0.5787 minor low is the first support on any pullback.
Support: 0.5787, 0.5765, 0.5740
Resistance: 0.5796, 0.5825
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5796 extends the intraday uptrend toward the 0.5825 200-day cap
Failure to hold 0.5787 breaks the higher-low chain
US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~7h) is the main USD driver and could override this read
Kiwi recovered through the Asian session off the 0.574 low and is now consolidating just under the 0.57956 session high, RSI(14) around 61. Buyers held 0.5785 on the last pullback; range top still the pivot into US CPI.
Support: 0.57853, 0.5774, 0.5740
Resistance: 0.57956, 0.5800, 0.5825
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.57956 opens the path to 0.5800
Loss of 0.5785 breaks the higher-low chain
US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~7h) is the main near-term USD driver
NZDUSD climbed off the 0.5740 session low to tag 0.57956, then stalled and is consolidating near 0.5789 with RSI(14) cooling from the low-60s. Recovery leg holding above the 0.5785 swing low; USD stayed firm on hawkish Fed rhetoric but war-escalation fears eased overnight.
Support: 0.5785, 0.5774, 0.5740
Resistance: 0.57956
What it said to watch
Close above 0.57956 extends the recovery leg
Loss of 0.5785 opens 0.5774 then the 0.5740 session low
US CPI 12:30 UTC (~7.5h out) could materially shift this read
Higher highs off session low, consolidating under session high.
London session lifted NZDUSD off the 0.5742 low to a session high of 0.5796, now consolidating just beneath it around 0.5789 with RSI cooling from the mid-60s. Kiwi holding firm despite USD safe-haven bid; US June CPI at 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term risk.
Support: 0.57865, 0.5765, 0.57422
Resistance: 0.57956, 0.5825
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.57956 opens the path to 0.5825
Failure to hold 0.5765 negates the London rally
US CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher highs off session low, stalling near session high.
Kiwi recovered off the 0.5740 double-bottom low through the session, printing higher highs into 0.5796 before flattening near 0.5787, RSI(14) cooling from the 70 area. USD stayed firm into today's US CPI, capping the advance below the 0.5794/0.5825 zone.
Support: 0.5776, 0.5745
Resistance: 0.5796, 0.5825
What it said to watch
Close above 0.5796 opens the path toward the 0.5825 three-week high
Loss of 0.5776 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
US CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher lows into 0.5795, now consolidating below the high.
NZDUSD rallied off the 0.5740 session low through the NY-Asia transition to tag 0.57956, then stalled and is consolidating near 0.5787 with RSI(14) cooling to the high-50s. USD firm ahead of US CPI has kept the Kiwi capped below the session high.
Support: 0.57853, 0.5780, 0.5740
Resistance: 0.57956, 0.5794
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.57956 opens the path toward 0.5794/0.5825 resistance
Loss of 0.57853 exposes the 0.5780 mid range and 0.5740 session low
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher highs off overnight low, consolidating below session high.
NZD recovered from a thin overnight low at 0.5740 to a session high of 0.5796 through Asia hours, and is now consolidating just below it with RSI(14) easing off from around 65. The bounce comes despite a firm USD on hawkish Fed and Iran-driven safe-haven flows; buyers held the 0.5776 pullback zone on the way up.
Support: 0.5776, 0.5740
Resistance: 0.5796, 0.5825
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5796 opens the path toward the 0.5825 3wk high
Failure to hold 0.5776 signals loss of the recovery leg toward 0.5740
NZ Q2 CPI on 20 Jul is the decisive risk event for the Kiwi
Kiwi recovered off the 0.5740 session low and pushed to a 0.57956 session high through the NY session, now consolidating near 0.5787 with RSI(14) cooling from the highs. Price holds above EMA20/50 but the latest bars have stalled just under the session high.
Support: 0.57748, 0.5740, 0.5700
Resistance: 0.57956, 0.5825
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.57748 opens a retest of the 0.5740 session low
M15 close above 0.57956 extends the intraday uptrend toward 0.5825
NZ Q2 CPI on 20 Jul is the decisive catalyst for the broader read
Asia session ground steadily higher off the overnight low near 0.5740, printing a session high at 0.57956 before the last bar stalled. Kiwi is holding its gains despite a firm USD safe-haven bid; RSI(14) near 63 leaves room but momentum on the final bars has flattened.
Support: 0.57858, 0.57748
Resistance: 0.57956
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.57956 extends the session high
Loss of 0.57858 breaks the higher-low chain and opens 0.57748
US CPI 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Kiwi ground higher through the Asian session from the 0.5740 session low to a 0.57956 high, RSI cooling from the push. Price now stalling ~0.5789 just below the session high, holding above the 0.5777 base.
Support: 0.5777, 0.5762, 0.5740
Resistance: 0.57956, 0.5825
What it said to watch
Break above 0.57956 session high opens the 0.5825 sma cluster
Loss of 0.5777 recent base points back toward 0.5762 swing low
NZ Q2 CPI (20 Jul) is the decisive event overhanging the pair
04:03 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 67 · price 0.57904
HH/HL chain into session highs.
NZDUSD ground higher through late US hours into Asia, printing a session high at 0.57956 just shy of the 0.5800 psych level, with RSI(14) around 67 — hot but not extreme. Kiwi stays buoyant near three-week highs on hawkish RBNZ pricing; the 0.5800 handle and 0.5825 sma cluster remain the overhead caps.
Support: 0.5787, 0.5770, 0.5745
Resistance: 0.57956, 0.5800, 0.5825
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5800 psych opens the 0.5825 sma cluster
Failure to hold 0.5770 prior support breaks the higher-low chain
Chain of higher highs and higher lows off the 0.5740 base.
NZDUSD ground higher through Asia hours, breaking the prior 0.5788 highs and stalling just under the 0.5796 session high with the 0.5800 round number overhead. RSI(14) near 68 — hot but not stretched — as the Kiwi holds near three-week highs on RBNZ tightening bets.
Support: 0.5777, 0.5760, 0.5740
Resistance: 0.5796, 0.5800, 0.5825
What it said to watch
Clean M15 close above 0.5800 opens the path to the 0.5825 sma cluster
Loss of the 0.5777 recent pivot breaks the higher-low sequence
US CPI 12:30 UTC is the near-term USD driver and could shift this read
03:47 UTC
Uptrend, extended · RSI 72 · price 0.57925
Higher highs, grinding into 0.5800.
Asian session extended a steady climb toward the 0.5800 psych level, a fourth straight leg of gains on hawkish RBNZ pricing; RSI(14) near 72 is hot but consistent with the trend. Buyers held every higher low from 0.5740, and the current bar prints session highs at 0.5796.
Support: 0.5777, 0.5770
Resistance: 0.5800, 0.5825
What it said to watch
Close above 0.5800 opens the path to the 0.5825 ma cluster
Loss of 0.5777 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
US CPI at 12:30 UTC is the near-term USD driver and could reshape this read
03:47 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into session high · RSI 69 · price 0.57925
Higher highs, testing 0.5800 cap.
NZDUSD ground higher through the Asia session to a three-week high near 0.5795, extending the hawkish-RBNZ bid off the 0.5740 base. RSI(14) sits elevated near 69 but not yet stretched; 0.5800 psychological cap remains untested overhead.
Support: 0.5770, 0.5745, 0.5740
Resistance: 0.5800, 0.5825
What it said to watch
Rejection at 0.5800 would cap the rally and expose 0.5770 swing low
US CPI Tuesday is the near-term USD driver and could shift this read
03:32 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 70 · price 0.57926
Chain of higher highs and higher lows into Asia.
NZDUSD ground steadily higher through the Asian session, printing a fresh session high at 0.5793 with RSI(14) hot near 70 on the hawkish-RBNZ backdrop. Buyers held each dip along a rising support line off the 0.574 low; the 0.5800 psych cap is now in view.
Support: 0.5775, 0.5748, 0.5740
Resistance: 0.5800, 0.5793, 0.5825
What it said to watch
Sustained close above 0.5800 opens the path to the 0.5825 SMA cluster
Failure to hold 0.5775 breaks the rising support and confirms a lower low
US CPI (Tue 12:30 UTC) is the near-term USD driver and could shift this read
03:32 UTC
Uptrend, extended into session high · RSI 75 · price 0.57926
Higher highs, higher lows.
Kiwi ground higher through the Asian session, printing a clean HH/HL chain off the 0.5740 session low toward the 0.5800 psych level, supported by the RBNZ's hawkish tone. RSI(14) elevated near 74 as price stalls just under the 0.5793 session high.
Support: 0.57775, 0.57543, 0.57399
Resistance: 0.5793, 0.5800, 0.5825
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5800 psych opens the path to the 0.5825 100d sma cluster
Failure to hold 0.57775 swing low breaks the intraday HL chain
US CPI at 12:30 UTC is the near-term USD driver and could shift this read
03:17 UTC
Uptrend, pressing session high · RSI 70 · price 0.57888
Higher highs, higher lows since Asian low.
Kiwi swept the Asian low at 0.5740 in thin hours then stair-stepped higher through late Asia to 0.5789, now testing the 0.5794 three-week high with RSI(14) hot near 70. Pullbacks held above the 0.5776 swing low, keeping the higher-high chain intact.
Support: 0.5776, 0.5758, 0.5740
Resistance: 0.5794, 0.5825
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5794 opens the path to the 0.5825 SMA cluster
Failure to hold 0.5776 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
US CPI (12:30 UTC) and Warsh testimony are the near-term USD driver
03:17 UTC
Uptrend, near session high · RSI 70 · price 0.57888
Higher highs / higher lows off Asian low.
NZDUSD ground higher through the Asian session, recovering the thin overnight low near 0.5740 and pressing the 0.5790 session high, RSI(14) hot near 70. Kiwi firm on RBNZ tightening bets and a soft-USD lean pre-CPI; price is stacking higher lows with 0.5776 the last defended pivot.
Support: 0.5776, 0.57575, 0.5740
Resistance: 0.5790, 0.5825
What it said to watch
A clean close above 0.5790 opens the path to the 0.5825 sma cluster
Failure to hold 0.5776 breaks the higher-low chain
US CPI (12:30 UTC) and Warsh testimony could materially shift this read
03:03 UTC
Uptrend into session highs · RSI 68 · price 0.57882
Higher highs, higher lows.
NZDUSD ground higher off the thin Asian low near 0.5740 to press session highs at 0.57899, with RBNZ hawkish tone and pre-US CPI USD caution underpinning the bid. RSI(14) around 68, price holding above EMA20/50; the 0.5790 handle is the immediate ceiling being tested.
Support: 0.57775, 0.5774, 0.5740
Resistance: 0.57899, 0.5825
What it said to watch
Close above 0.57899 opens the path to the 0.5825 sma cluster
Failure to hold 0.57775 signals loss of the uptrend structure
US CPI at 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony could materially shift this read
NZDUSD ground higher through the US-Asia handover, recovering from the thin 0.574 session low and pushing back to the 0.5790 session high on a softer pre-CPI USD and RBNZ tightening bets. RSI(14) near 67 — firm but not stretched; buyers defended each dip on the way up.
Support: 0.57759, 0.5757, 0.5740
Resistance: 0.5790, 0.5825
What it said to watch
A close above 0.5790 opens the path to the 0.5825 100-day SMA cluster
Failure to hold 0.57759 breaks the higher-low chain
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC plus Warsh testimony could reset this read
02:47 UTC
Uptrend, momentum firm · RSI 69 · price 0.57883
Higher highs, higher lows since 0.5740.
Asia session extended the intraday leg off 0.5740 toward the 0.5790 session high, price holding above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 69 — hot but not extreme. A firm NZD (RBNZ hawkish bets) against a soft pre-CPI USD is behind the grind higher; buyers stepped in repeatedly around 0.5776 on pullbacks.
Support: 0.5776, 0.5748, 0.5770
Resistance: 0.5790, 0.5825
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5790 opens the path to the 0.5825 sma cluster
Loss of 0.5776 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
US CPI later today is the near-term USD driver and could shift this read
02:47 UTC
Uptrend, near session highs · RSI 69 · price 0.57883
Higher highs, higher lows off 0.5740 base.
Kiwi ground higher through the Asian session, printing a fresh session high at 0.57900 as a soft-USD, RBNZ-hawkish backdrop kept a firm floor. Clean higher-highs, higher-lows off the 0.5740 base; RSI(14) near 69, hot but not extreme.
Support: 0.5778, 0.5770, 0.5754
Resistance: 0.5790, 0.5825
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 0.57900 opens the path to the 0.5825 100-day SMA cluster
Failure to hold 0.57780 breaks the ascending structure toward 0.5770
US CPI and Warsh testimony are the near-term USD drivers that could shift this read
02:32 UTC
Uptrend, momentum firm · RSI 71 · price 0.5787
Higher highs off 0.5740, testing session high.
Asia session grinding NZDUSD up to the 0.5788 session high, extending the recovery off the 0.5740 swing low, with RSI(14) near 71 and price above both EMAs. Kiwi firm near three-week highs on RBNZ hawkishness; the move stalls right at prior supply around 0.5788.
Support: 0.5770, 0.5740
Resistance: 0.5788
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5788 opens the path toward the 0.5825 SMA cluster
Failure to hold 0.5770 reopens 0.5740 swing low
US CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this USD-driven read
02:32 UTC
Uptrend, momentum firm · RSI 70 · price 0.5787
Higher highs into session high after Asian-low recovery.
NZDUSD ground back from the Asian low at 0.5742 and pushed to a fresh session high near 0.5788, RSI(14) around 70. Kiwi firm near three-week highs as pre-CPI USD caution and RBNZ tightening bets support; last bar prints the high into the London approach.
Support: 0.5775, 0.5742
Resistance: 0.5788, 0.5825
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5788 opens the path to 0.5825 overhead sma cluster
Failure to hold 0.5775 pullback low reopens 0.5742 asian low
US CPI at 12:30 UTC + Warsh testimony could materially shift this read
Higher lows off Asian low, retesting session highs.
Kiwi recovered from the thin-volume Asian low near 0.5740 and pushed back toward 0.5785, extending a chain of higher lows through the Asia session and reclaiming the 0.5777 area. RSI(14) around 66, firm but not extended; price stalling just under the 0.57857-0.57885 swing/session-high band.
Support: 0.5777, 0.5740
Resistance: 0.57857, 0.57885
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.57885 opens a retest of prior session extremes
Loss of 0.5777 breaks the higher-low chain
US CPI (12:30 UTC) and Warsh testimony later today are the near-term USD driver
02:17 UTC
Short-term uptrend off Asian low · RSI 64 · price 0.57837
Higher lows, testing prior session high.
Kiwi based at 0.5740 in the Asian session and has ground back up toward the prior session high at 0.5788, RSI firm around 63. Recovery on a soft-USD, pre-CPI tone; buyers holding a higher-low chain above 0.5775.
Support: 0.57748, 0.5740
Resistance: 0.57885
What it said to watch
Close above 0.57885 opens continuation toward 0.5825
Failure to hold 0.57748 breaks the higher-low chain
US CPI (12:30 UTC) and Warsh testimony are the near-term USD drivers
Higher lows off Asia low, consolidating under session high.
Kiwi bounced off the 0.5740 thin-liquidity Asia low back to 0.5780, rebuilding higher lows on RBNZ tightening support and a soft-USD backdrop. Price is now consolidating 0.5775–0.5782 just under the session high, RSI cooling near 58.
Support: 0.5775, 0.5770, 0.5740
Resistance: 0.5782, 0.57885
What it said to watch
Close below 0.5770 breaks the higher-low chain and reopens the 0.5740 asia low
Break above 0.5782 session high exposes the 0.57885 prior high
US CPI at 12:30 UTC is the near-term USD driver and could reset this read
NZD/USD recovered off the 0.5740 session low into the Asia open, grinding back to 0.5779 near three-week highs on RBNZ tightening bets and a softer USD. Micro uptrend intact with higher lows; the 0.5782 swing high is the immediate cap.
Support: 0.5770, 0.57748, 0.5740
Resistance: 0.57819, 0.57885, 0.5800
What it said to watch
Close above 0.57819 swing high opens the 0.5800 psych level
Loss of 0.5770 swing low undermines the recovery, exposes 0.5740
Asia session staged a sharp recovery off the 0.5740 session low, rallying to 0.5782 with price now holding above EMA20/50. Move stalling just under the session high; RSI(14) around 61, firm but not stretched.
Support: 0.5775, 0.5745, 0.5740
Resistance: 0.5782, 0.5789, 0.5800
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5782 opens the path to 0.5789 then 0.5800
Failure to hold 0.5775 re-exposes the 0.5745 swing low
US CPI later today is the near-term USD driver and could reshape this read
01:47 UTC
Recovery, momentum building · RSI 61 · price 0.5778
Rebound from swing low, testing recent high.
NZDUSD rallied off the 0.5740 late-NY swing low back to 0.5780 through the Asian open, with the recovery underpinned by RBNZ tightening bets and pre-CPI USD caution. RSI(14) near 61 with the 0.5782 session high still capping; price holding above EMA20/50.
Support: 0.5758, 0.5740
Resistance: 0.5782, 0.5800
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5782 opens the path to the 0.5800 psych level
Failure to hold 0.5758 puts the 0.5740 swing low back in play
US CPI Tuesday and Warsh testimony are the near-term USD drivers
01:32 UTC
Recovering, up off overnight low · RSI 63 · price 0.57757
Higher lows into session high, consolidating below it.
Asia session clawed back from the thin overnight low at 0.5740 to a session high of 0.5819, now stalling near 0.5776 just under it. RSI mid-60s and price is holding above both EMAs after the recovery leg. Prior-day high at 0.5789 sits overhead as the next resistance zone to watch.
Support: 0.5770, 0.57543
Resistance: 0.57819, 0.57885
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.57819 session high opens the path to the 0.57885 prior high
Failure to hold the 0.5770 pivot exposes the 0.57543 swing low
US CPI Tuesday is the near-term USD driver and could shift this read
01:32 UTC
Recovery, momentum building · RSI 66 · price 0.57757
Higher lows off overnight base, pressing session high.
NZDUSD based at 0.5740 in thin overnight trade then rallied through the Asia open, tagging 0.5782 with RSI(14) around 66. Higher lows intact off the base; the session high at 0.57819 is the immediate cap.
Support: 0.5770, 0.5750, 0.5740
Resistance: 0.57819, 0.57885
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.57819 opens the path to 0.57885
Failure to hold 0.5770 negates the recovery and reopens 0.5750
US CPI later today is the near-term USD driver and could shift this read
01:17 UTC
Recovering, near-term up · RSI 63 · price 0.5779
Bounce off session low, back toward range top.
Kiwi rallied off the overnight low near 0.5740 back toward the 0.5788 range top, the last two hours posting a clean higher-low chain on rising volume amid a softer pre-CPI USD. Price holds in the upper half of the 0.5740–0.5788 range with RSI(14) firm but not extreme.
Support: 0.5757, 0.5740, 0.5720
Resistance: 0.5788, 0.5802
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5788 opens the path back to 0.5802
Failure to hold 0.5757 reopens the 0.5740 session low
US CPI (12:30 UTC) is the near-term USD driver and could shift this read
Kiwi carved a rounded bottom around 0.5740 during Asian hours and rallied ~40 pips into 0.5779, firm near three-week highs on RBNZ tightening bets and a soft pre-CPI USD. RSI(14) near 69 — hot but not extreme; the 0.5770 prior support now flips to a floor with 0.5789 session high the immediate cap.
Support: 0.5770, 0.5740, 0.5752
Resistance: 0.5789, 0.5800
What it said to watch
close above 0.5789 opens the path to the 0.5800 round number
failure to hold 0.5770 negates the recovery leg back toward 0.5740
US CPI later today is the near-term USD driver and could shift this read
01:04 UTC
Recovering, momentum building · RSI 63 · price 0.57776
Higher lows off overnight base.
Early Asia session recovering from overnight lows near 0.5740; price has retraced most of the prior drop and is climbing back toward the 0.5788 session high, breaking out of the 0.5757 consolidation. RSI(14) mid-60s with momentum building as NZD stays firm on the hawkish RBNZ read ahead of US CPI later today.
Support: 0.57484, 0.57399
Resistance: 0.57802, 0.57885, 0.5800
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5788 session high exposes the 0.5800 psych level
Loss of 0.5748 recent low reopens the 0.5740 overnight low
US CPI 12:30 UTC drives the USD leg and could shift this read
Kiwi based at the 0.5742 session low mid-window and ground higher through the Asian session, reclaiming 0.5770 prior sup and pushing toward the 0.578 round level on hawkish-RBNZ tone. RSI(14) near 66 — hot but not extreme — with the 0.57885 session high and the 0.58 three-week high the overhead references.
Support: 0.5770, 0.57635, 0.5742
Resistance: 0.5780, 0.57885, 0.5800
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5800 opens the path toward the 0.5825 SMA cluster
Failure to hold 0.5770 prior sup reopens the 0.57635 swing low
US CPI Tuesday is the near-term USD driver that could shift this read
00:47 UTC
Recovering off lows, momentum up · RSI 63 · price 0.57737
Double bottom then impulse back into range.
Asia session recovery: NZDUSD double-bottomed at 0.5740 in thin overnight hours and snapped back to 0.5774 on a strong impulse bar, RSI(14) climbing into the low 60s. Price is back inside the prior 0.5755–0.5788 range with the session high the next test.
Support: 0.5755, 0.5740
Resistance: 0.5788, 0.5800
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5788 opens the path to the 0.5800 psych 3wk high
Failure to hold 0.5755 range base reopens the 0.5740 swing low
US CPI Tuesday is the near-term USD driver and could reshape this read
Kiwi carved a rounded base at 0.574 through the thin Asian session and pushed back up, last bars breaking clear to 0.5775 with RSI(14) near 63. Price now sits above both EMAs, having reclaimed the 0.5763 breakout base; the three-week 0.5800 area remains the overhead cap.
Support: 0.57635, 0.5740
Resistance: 0.57885, 0.5800
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.57885 opens the path to the 0.5800 psych level
Loss of 0.57635 breakout base reopens the 0.574 session low
US CPI Tuesday is the near-term USD driver via the cross
00:32 UTC
Recovering after intraday pullback · RSI 55 · price 0.57642
Range, thin Asia dip reclaimed.
NZDUSD dipped to 0.574 on thin, low-volume Asia trade then reclaimed the level, stalling at the 50% fib of the 0.5788-0.574 leg near 0.5764. RSI(14) mid-range, no extreme; pair consolidating below 0.5772 swing resistance in early Asia hours.
Support: 0.57575, 0.5740
Resistance: 0.5772, 0.57885
What it said to watch
Hold of 0.57575 keeps the recovery intact; loss reopens 0.574 asia low
Close above 0.5772 targets the 0.57885 session high
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the near-term USD driver and can override this read
00:32 UTC
Pullback then recovery, ranging · RSI 57 · price 0.57642
Faded from session high, holding mid-range.
NZD topped at 0.57885 during the NY session then bled back to 0.5740 through thin late-NY/Asia handover; it has since recovered to 0.5764, sitting on the 50% retrace of that drop. Lower highs cap the bounce below 0.5770.
Support: 0.5757, 0.5744, 0.5740
Resistance: 0.5770, 0.57885
What it said to watch
US CPI Tuesday (12:30 UTC) is the near-term USD driver and can break this range
Reclaim of 0.5770 would re-open the 0.57885 session high
Loss of 0.5757 puts the 0.5744 recent low back in play
Late NY hours bled from the 0.5789 session high down to 0.5740 on thin volume, then the fresh Asia session lifted price ~20 pips back to 0.5762. RSI(14) has cooled off the lows to the mid-50s; buyers stepped in at 0.5740 with the recovery now testing the 0.5765 prior high.
Support: 0.5740
Resistance: 0.5765
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5765 extends the recovery toward 0.5789 session high
Failure to hold 0.5740 confirms a fresh lower-low
US CPI (Tue 12:30 UTC) is the near-term USD swing factor for this cross
00:17 UTC
Recovering off lows, no clear direction · RSI 53 · price 0.57612
Range, mid-window high faded then reclaimed.
NZDUSD faded from the 0.5788 session high and bled to 0.5742 through the thin NY-rollover bars, then recovered to 0.5761 as Asia turned over. RSI(14) back near 53, price holding above EMA20 but capped under the 0.5765 recent high; still boxed inside the 0.5742-0.5788 range with RBNZ tightening keeping a firm bid.
Support: 0.5753, 0.5742
Resistance: 0.5765, 0.5779
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5765 reopens the 0.5779-0.5788 session high
Failure to hold 0.5753 exposes the 0.5742 session low
US CPI at 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term USD driver for this read
00:03 UTC
Pullback recovering off lows · RSI 56 · price 0.57636
Rejection at session high, bounce off thin low.
NZDUSD was rejected at the 0.5788 session high and sold into a thin rollover low near 0.5744, then recovered to 0.5764 as Asia opened. RSI(14) has cooled back to mid-range near 56 and price is holding above EMA20; the 0.5770 prior-support shelf now caps overhead.
Support: 0.5749, 0.5744
Resistance: 0.5770, 0.57885
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.5770 needed to re-approach the 0.5885... 0.57885 session high
Failure to hold 0.5748 support reopens the 0.5744 session low
US CPI Tuesday is the dominant near-term USD driver for this cross
00:03 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 58 · price 0.57636
Rounded recovery from 0.5740, mid-range.
Kiwi carved out a rounded bottom off the thin Asian-session low at 0.5740 and has clawed back to 0.5764, right at the 50% retracement of the 0.5788-0.5740 slide, with the USD staying soft ahead of US CPI. RSI(14) has recovered to the high-50s and price sits above EMA20 but has yet to reclaim EMA50.
Support: 0.57545, 0.5740
Resistance: 0.5771, 0.57885
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.5771 swing high needed to extend the recovery
Failure to hold 0.57545 reopens the 0.5740 session low
US CPI Tuesday and Warsh testimony are the near-term USD swing factor