USD/CAD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Friday, 6 November 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the USD/CAD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
20:46 UTC
Uptrend, momentum flattening into late NY · RSI 67 · price 1.41326
Post-NFP higher lows, new session high at 1.4137.
The US 165K vs Canada -4.7K jobs split drove a ~70-pip spike through the London high at 1.4081. Price was rejected at 1.4126, held the post-NFP low at 1.4090 and has since ground to a new session high at 1.4137 in late NY. The old spike high at 1.4125 has been retested as a floor, and bar ranges have compressed to 4-5 pips.
Support: 1.41255, 1.41046, 1.4090
Resistance: 1.41371, 1.4150
What it said to watch
A close back below the 1.4125 spike high turns the retest into a false break and exposes the fib 38.2 at 1.4105
Failure to hold the post-NFP low at 1.4090 negates the post-data higher-low sequence
An M15 close above the 1.4137 session high puts the 1.4150 round number in play
Friday's NY close is near; weekend oil and US-Iran headlines, plus Monday's Fed speakers, could gap or reset this read
20:31 UTC
Uptrend, grinding to new session highs · RSI 75 · price 1.41355
Post-NFP HH/HL chain, breakout above nfp high.
USD/CAD extended the 13:30 UTC jobs spike (US NFP 165K vs Canada -4.7K) and has pushed to a fresh session high at 1.4137 late in NY, clearing the 1.4126 nfp high after holding a higher low at 1.4093 above the 1.4090 nfp pb low. RSI(14) is near 75, hot but not stretched, and ATR is about 8 pips going into the thin Friday close.
Support: 1.41256, 1.40931, 1.4090
Resistance: 1.41365, 1.4150
What it said to watch
An M15 close back below 1.4125 (nfp high) puts price back inside the 1.4125–1.4134 consolidation and stalls the breakout
Loss of the 1.4093 higher low, near the 50% fib of the jobs leg, breaks the post-NFP HH/HL chain and exposes the 1.4090 nfp pb low
Acceptance above the 1.4137 session high puts the 1.4150 round number next in view
Thin Friday-close liquidity and weekend oil / US-Iran headlines could gap the open and shift this read
20:16 UTC
Uptrend, compressing near highs · RSI 74 · price 1.41319
Higher lows from 1.40900, spike high broken.
USDCAD jumped from 1.4059 to 1.4126 on the 13:30 UTC jobs data (US 165K vs Canada -4.7K). After the post-data pullback held the 1.40900 swing low, it ground through the 1.41256 spike high to a 1.41339 session high late in NY. Price is now compressing in a tight band just under the high, with RSI(14) near 74 and ATR around 8 pips.
Support: 1.41256, 1.41171, 1.4090
Resistance: 1.41339, 1.4150
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 1.41256 spike high exposes the fib 38.2 at 1.41171
Clean break of the 1.41339 session high opens the 1.4150 psych level
Loss of the 1.40900 swing low would break the post-data higher-low chain
Thin liquidity into the Friday close can produce erratic prints near the session high
BoC Summary of Deliberations Tue 18:30 UTC and US CPI Tue 13:30 UTC are the next scheduled risks
20:03 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher into late NY · RSI 71 · price 1.41324
Higher lows since the post-NFP dip; NFP spike high reclaimed and held.
London broke the Asian range top near 1.4054. The 165K NFP beat alongside Canada's -4.7K jobs miss then drove the pair through the London high at 1.4081 to 1.4126. After a dip held the post-NFP low near 1.4090, price reclaimed the NFP high and set a session high at 1.4134, with the 1.4125 area retested and holding through late NY. RSI(14) is near 71 and ATR has compressed to about 7.5 pips into the Friday close.
Support: 1.41255, 1.4090, 1.40812
Resistance: 1.41339, 1.4150
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the nfp high at 1.4125 would turn the breakout into a false break
Break of the rising trendline from the 1.4093 pivot exposes the post-nfp low at 1.4090
Clearance of the 1.4134 session high puts the 1.4150 round number in play
Weekend oil and US-Iran headlines carry gap risk into Monday's open
Higher lows at 1.4090 and 1.4093, post-NFP high broken and retested.
USDCAD spiked about 37 pips on the 13:30 UTC jobs release, with US NFP at 165K and Canada at -4.7K. It then held a NY swing low at 1.4090 and pushed through the 1.4126 post-NFP high. Price is now coiling just under the 1.4132 session high late in the NY session, the old post-NFP high was retested as support near 1.4125, and RSI(14) is at 73 without reaching an extreme.
Support: 1.41255, 1.4090, 1.4052
Resistance: 1.41319, 1.4150
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.4125 (post-NFP high) puts price back inside the post-data range
Failure to hold the 1.4090 NY swing low breaks the higher-low chain toward the 1.4052 pre-NFP low
Acceptance above the 1.4132 session high exposes the 1.4150 round number
Thin late-Friday liquidity into the weekend close, with oil and US-Iran headlines the main event risk
19:31 UTC
Uptrend, extending into late NY · RSI 73 · price 1.41292
Higher lows since 12:15 UTC, spike high broken and retested.
The strong US payrolls beat and weak Canadian jobs data drove the 13:30 UTC spike from 1.4059 to 1.4126. The pullback held the post-NFP low at 1.4090, near the 50% retracement of the NFP leg and above rising support. Late NY has since pushed through the spike high to a session high at 1.4132, and dips to 1.4125 were absorbed twice since 18:30 UTC. RSI(14) is near 73.
Support: 1.4125, 1.4090, 1.4081
Resistance: 1.4132, 1.4150
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 1.4125 spike high turns the breakout into a false break
Loss of rising support and the 1.4090 post-NFP low breaks the higher-low chain, exposing the london high at 1.4081
Acceptance above the 1.4150 round number extends the session high into the Friday close
Thin Friday liquidity plus weekend oil and US-Iran headlines could gap the open
Post-NFP higher lows at 1.4090, breakout above NFP spike high being retested.
The US NFP beat and Canada's -4.7K jobs miss lifted USDCAD about 40 pips off the 1.4052 pre-NFP low into the NY open. A pullback held 1.4090 twice, near the 50% fib of that leg, before late NY extended to a session high at 1.4132. The 1.4126 nfp high has been retested and held, and RSI(14) near 68 is firm but not stretched.
Support: 1.41256, 1.4090, 1.40519
Resistance: 1.41319, 1.4150
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 1.4126 nfp high turns the breakout into a false break
Failure to hold the 1.4090 post-nfp low breaks the higher-low sequence and exposes the 1.4052 pre-nfp low
Acceptance above the 1.4132 session high opens the 1.4150 round number
Thinning late-Friday liquidity; weekend oil and US-Iran headlines could gap the open
19:02 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating at highs · RSI 68 · price 1.41291
Post-NFP higher low at 1.4093, NY breakout above spike high to 1.4131.
USDCAD climbed steadily through the Asian session from 1.4010, then cleared the 1.4081 london high on the US 165K NFP beat versus Canada's -4.7K jobs miss. The pullback held the 1.4090 nfp low twice, near the 50% fib of the NFP leg, and NY hours extended to a 1.4131 session high. Price is now holding just above the 1.4126 spike high with RSI(14) near 68 and ATR around 7.6 pips.
Support: 1.41256, 1.4090, 1.40812
Resistance: 1.41313, 1.4150
What it said to watch
A close back below the 1.4126 spike high turns the breakout into a false break
Failure to hold the 1.4090 nfp low (50% fib zone) breaks the post-data higher-low chain
A close above the 1.4131 session high opens the path to the 1.4150 round number
Liquidity thins into the Friday close, and weekend oil or US-Iran headlines could gap the open
18:46 UTC
Uptrend, momentum flattening late NY · RSI 68 · price 1.41255
Post-NFP higher low at 1.4090, new session high 1.4131.
The US NFP beat (165K) and Canada's -4.7K jobs miss drove a 40-pip spike out of the London range. The pullback held the 1.4090 post-nfp low, near the 50% fib of the nfp leg, and late NY hours ground to a new session high at 1.4131. Price is now sitting on the 1.4125 nfp high, with RSI(14) near 68 and not stretched.
Support: 1.41256, 1.4090, 1.40812
Resistance: 1.41313, 1.4150
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the nfp high at 1.4125 leaves the 1.4131 session high as a near-term cap
Failure to hold the 1.4090 post-nfp low breaks the higher-low chain and exposes the 1.4081 london high
Acceptance above the session high brings the 1.4150 round number into view; late-Friday NY liquidity is thin
Weekend oil and US-Iran headlines could gap the Monday open and shift this read
18:31 UTC
Uptrend, late-NY extension to new session high · RSI 76 · price 1.41303
Higher lows since the 1.4052 pre-NFP low; post-NFP spike high now reclaimed.
The jobs double hit (US NFP 165K vs Canada -4.7K) lifted USD/CAD from the 1.4052 pre-NFP low. After holding the 1.4090 pullback low, price ground through the 1.4126 spike high late in NY hours to a 1.4131 session high. RSI(14) near 76 is stretched but not extreme into a thin Friday close.
Support: 1.41256, 1.4090, 1.40519
Resistance: 1.41312, 1.4150
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 1.4126 spike high would turn the breakout into a false break
Failure to hold the 1.4090 pullback low breaks the post-NFP higher-low sequence and exposes the 1.4052 pre-NFP low
1.4150 round number is the next overhead reference above the 1.4131 session high
38.2% fib of the NFP leg sits near 1.4101, just above the pullback low
Weekend oil and US-Iran headlines could gap the Monday open
18:17 UTC
Uptrend, fresh session high late in NY · RSI 73 · price 1.41274
Higher low at post-NFP low, NFP spike high broken.
The NFP beat plus Canada's -4.7K print drove the NFP leg from the 1.4052 pre-NFP low to the 1.4126 NFP spike high. The pullback held 1.4090, the post-NFP low near the 50% retrace, and price has since cleared the spike to a session high at 1.4129 late in NY hours. RSI(14) ~73 is hot but not extreme, and ATR(14) is ~9 pips.
Support: 1.41256, 1.4090, 1.40519
Resistance: 1.41288, 1.4150
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 1.4126 NFP spike high would mark the breakout as a false break
Failure to hold the 1.4090 post-NFP low breaks the higher-low chain and exposes the 1.4052 pre-NFP low
1.4150 round number is the next reference above the 1.4129 session high; liquidity thins into the Friday close
Weekend oil and US-Iran headlines could gap price at the Monday open
18:03 UTC
Uptrend, pressing session high · RSI 70 · price 1.41245
Post-jobs spike, double low at 1.4090, retesting 1.4126 high.
The 13:30 UTC jobs split, US NFP 165K against a -4.7K Canada print, broke the pair out of its London pullback range and took it to 1.4126. The pullback formed a double low at 1.4090, which sits on the 50% fib of the move, and the 1.4109 neckline has since cleared. Price is now testing the session high at 1.4128 in late NY with RSI(14) near 70.
Support: 1.4109, 1.4090, 1.4081
Resistance: 1.4128, 1.4150
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4128 session high clears the post-NFP high, with the 1.4150 round number next
Slip back below the 1.4109 neckline negates the double bottom read
Loss of the 1.4090 double low (50% fib) exposes the 1.4081 London high / 61.8% area
Fed's Daly at 18:00 UTC is a near-term headline risk; thin Friday-close liquidity follows
17:46 UTC
Uptrend, retesting post-NFP high · RSI 68 · price 1.4121
Higher low at 1.4090 after NFP spike, price back at the 1.4126 high.
The 13:30 UTC jobs split (US 165K beat vs Canada -4.7K miss) drove a 74-pip spike from the 1.4052 pre-nfp low to the 1.4126 nfp high. The pullback held 1.4090 near the fib 50%, and price is back at the high late in the NY session with RSI(14) near 68. The 1.4081 london high sits below as prior resistance.
Support: 1.4090, 1.4081, 1.4052
Resistance: 1.4126, 1.4150
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4126 nfp high extends the higher-high chain toward 1.4150 psych
Rejection at 1.4126 plus a break of the 1.4090 pullback low would put a double top read in play
Loss of the 1.4081 london high brings the 1.4052 pre-nfp low back into view
Fed's Daly at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher lows off 1.4090 retest, below 1.4126 session high.
The US NFP beat against Canada's -4.7K jobs print drove a breakout through the 1.4081 london high to a 1.4126 session high. The pullback held the 1.4090/93 swing low near the 50% fib, and rising lows since then have price back at 1.4115 after London close, with RSI(14) near 58 and ATR around 10 pips.
Support: 1.4093, 1.4081, 1.4052
Resistance: 1.4126, 1.4150
What it said to watch
A close above the 1.4126 session high resumes the post-NFP leg and opens 1.4150 psych
A break of the 1.4093 swing low and the rising lows line exposes the 1.4081 london high, then the 1.4052 pre-nfp low
Fed's Daly at 18:00 UTC could shift USD into the late NY session
17:16 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating after the jobs spike · RSI 57 · price 1.41099
HH/HL chain since Asia; 1.4090–1.4126 post-NFP range.
The 13:30 UTC jobs split (US 165K beat vs Canada -4.7K miss) broke the 1.4081 London high and ran to the 1.4126 NFP high. The pullback held the 1.4090 post-NFP low twice, near the 50% fib of the 1.4052 pre-NFP low to 1.4126 leg. After London close, price is pressing the 1.4112 recent high inside the post-NFP range.
Support: 1.4090, 1.4081, 1.4052
Resistance: 1.4112, 1.4126
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.4126 NFP high extends the breakout leg beyond the post-NFP range
Loss of the 1.4090 post-NFP low exposes the 1.4081 London high and the 61.8% fib near 1.4080
A break below the 1.4052 pre-NFP low would unwind the jobs-driven leg
Fed's Bowman (17:15 UTC) and Daly (18:00 UTC) on a December hike could shift this read into a thin Friday close
17:02 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating after jobs spike · RSI 58 · price 1.41068
HH/HL chain all day; post-NFP range 1.4090–1.4110.
London cleared the Asian range high near 1.4049, then the 13:30 UTC jobs split (US NFP 165K vs Canada -4.7K) spiked price to the 1.4126 session high. Since then USDCAD has held a 1.4090–1.4110 range into late NY, with the post-NFP low sitting near the 50% fib of the 1.4052–1.4126 leg and RSI(14) back near 58.
Support: 1.4090, 1.4081, 1.4052
Resistance: 1.4110, 1.4126
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.4110 range top reopens the 1.4126 session high
Break of the 1.4090 post-NFP low exposes the 1.4081 London high, then the 1.4052 pre-NFP low
Rising trendline from the Asian low, near 1.4070, is the intraday HL structure line
Fed's Bowman (17:15 UTC) and Daly (18:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
Jobs-data breakout, now a tight range below the spike high.
The 13:30 UTC jobs releases (US NFP 165K vs 65K, Canada -4.7K) broke USDCAD above the 1.4081 london high and ran it to a 1.4126 nfp high from the 1.4052 pre-nfp low. Since then, after London close, price has compressed between a 1.4090 range floor and a 1.4110 range top. That keeps it inside the 38.2–50% zone of the nfp leg fib, with RSI(14) cooled to ~57.
Support: 1.4090, 1.4081, 1.4052
Resistance: 1.4110, 1.4126
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.4090 range floor exposes the 1.4081 london high and the 50% of the nfp leg fib
M15 close above the 1.4110 range top puts the 1.4126 nfp high back in play
Loss of 1.4081 would leave the 1.4052 pre-nfp low as the next swing reference
Fed's Bowman (17:15 UTC) and Daly (18:00 UTC) could materially shift this read on December hike tone
Friday close into weekend oil and US-Iran headlines adds gap risk to the post-data range
16:32 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating after jobs spike · RSI 55 · price 1.40983
Post-NFP pullback holding 1.4090, lower high 1.4110.
USD/CAD spiked about 67 pips on the 13:30 UTC jobs double (US NFP 165K vs Canada -4.7K) to the 1.4126 nfp high, extending the Asia-London climb along rising support from 1.4010. After London close and into mid-NY, price is consolidating between the 1.4090 post-nfp low, near the 50% of the nfp spike fib, and a 1.4110 lower high, with RSI(14) cooled to ~55. The london high at 1.4081 and the 1.4052 pre-data low sit beneath.
Support: 1.4090, 1.4081, 1.4052
Resistance: 1.4110, 1.4126
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.4090 post-nfp low exposes the 1.4081 london high and 61.8% of the nfp spike fib near 1.4084
Close above the 1.4110 lower high puts the 1.4126 nfp high back in play
Failure to hold the 1.4052 pre-data low would unwind the NFP spike and test the rising support
Fed's Bowman (17:15 UTC) and Daly (18:00 UTC) on a December hike could materially shift this read
NFP breakout spike, lower high inside 1.4090–1.4110 range.
The 13:30 UTC jobs data (US NFP 165K vs 65K expected, Canada -4.7K vs +13.6K expected) drove a spike from 1.4059 through the London high at 1.4081 to the NFP high at 1.4126. Since London close, NY has faded to the 38.2% fib near 1.4098 and ranged between the post-NFP low at 1.4090 and a lower high at 1.4110. RSI(14) has cooled to about 60.
Support: 1.4090, 1.4081, 1.4052
Resistance: 1.4110, 1.4126
What it said to watch
M15 close above the lower high at 1.4110 reopens the 1.4126 NFP high
Failure to hold the post-NFP low at 1.4090 exposes a retest of the london high at 1.4081
Loss of 1.4081 brings the pre-NFP low at 1.4052 back into view
Fed's Bowman (17:15 UTC) and Daly (18:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
HH/HL chain intact; post-data range 1.4090–1.4126 with a lower high.
USD/CAD stair-stepped from 1.3980 through the Asia and London sessions. The US NFP beat (165K vs 65K), landing at the same time as a -4.7K Canadian jobs miss, then drove a breakout above the 1.4081 London high to the 1.4126 NFP high. Since then, price has held the 1.4090 post-NFP low near the 50% retrace of the 1.4052 pre-NFP low to high leg, while a 1.4110 lower high caps the bounce as RSI(14) cools to ~63.
Support: 1.4090, 1.4081, 1.4052
Resistance: 1.4110, 1.4126
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.4090 post-NFP low exposes the 1.4081 London high as the breakout retest
Break of the 1.4110 lower high reopens the 1.4126 NFP high
Loss of the 1.4052 pre-NFP low unwinds the NFP leg and the HH/HL read
Fed's Bowman (17:15 UTC) and Daly (18:00 UTC) during NY hours could shift this read as Friday liquidity thins after London close
Post-data spike retracing to 38.2–50% fib, higher low at 1.4090.
The jobs data hit both sides of the pair: US NFP printed 165K vs 65K forecast and Canada lost 4.7K jobs. That drove a 74-pip spike from the 1.4052 pre-NFP low to the 1.4126 NFP high, extending the London break above the Asian range and the 1.4081 London high. NY has since retraced to the 38.2–50% fib of the spike, with the 1.4090 post-NFP low holding, a 1.4107 lower high forming and price pinned at the 1.4100 round number; RSI(14) has cooled to ~62.
Support: 1.4090, 1.4081, 1.4052
Resistance: 1.4100, 1.4107, 1.4126
What it said to watch
Break below the 1.4090 post-NFP low exposes the 61.8% fib at the 1.4081 London high
Close above the 1.4100 round number and 1.4107 lower high reopens the 1.4126 NFP high
Loss of the 1.4052 pre-NFP low would unwind the data spike and break the rising trendline from the Asian low
Fed's Bowman (17:15 UTC) and Daly (18:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
Higher highs and lows since yesterday's NY session; spike high at 1.4126 now retracing toward the broken London high.
The 13:30 UTC jobs data (NFP 165K beat, Canada -4.7K miss) pushed USDCAD through the 1.4081 London high to a 1.4126 NFP high. Early NY trade has since given back about 35 pips into the 50% fib near 1.4089, and RSI(14) has cooled to 57. The London high, which lines up with the 61.8% retracement, is the first structural floor below.
Support: 1.40888, 1.40812, 1.40519
Resistance: 1.4100, 1.41256
What it said to watch
An M15 close below the 1.4081 London high would turn the breakout into a false break and expose the 1.4052 pre-data low
A reclaim of the 1.4100 round number would put the 1.4126 NFP high back in play
Ivey PMI and UoM sentiment (15:00 UTC) are not yet in the feed; the outcomes could extend the 15:00 bar's volatility
Fed's Bowman at 17:15 UTC and Daly at 18:00 UTC could shift the USD leg of the move
15:02 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back from post-NFP high · RSI 63 · price 1.4101
Impulsive breakout above London high, now a shallow retracement holding the 38.2% level.
The 13:30 UTC jobs double-hit drove a 70-pip breakout through the London high at 1.4081. US payrolls beat at 165K while Canada lost 4.7K jobs. Price was rejected at the 1.4126 NFP high and is now holding the post-NFP low near 1.4093, around the 38.2% retrace of the move, with RSI(14) cooled to ~63.
Support: 1.4093, 1.4081, 1.4052
Resistance: 1.4126
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.4093 post-NFP low exposes the 50% retrace and a retest of the 1.4081 London high
Failure to hold the 1.4081 London high puts price back inside the pre-data range, toward the 1.4052 pre-NFP low
Reclaim of the 1.4126 NFP high resumes the breakout leg
UoM sentiment/inflation expectations and Ivey PMI (15:00 UTC), then Fed's Bowman (17:15 UTC), could materially shift this read
The 13:30 UTC data drop broke USD/CAD above the London high at 1.4081 and the 1.4100 round number, a ~74-pip impulse from the 1.4052 pre-data low to a session high at 1.4126. The NFP beat (165K vs 65K) landed alongside a Canadian jobs loss (-4.7K, UR 6.7%). RSI(14) near 81 is stretched, ATR has roughly doubled to ~10 pips, and the 61.8% retrace of the impulse sits right on the London high.
Support: 1.4100, 1.4081, 1.4052
Resistance: 1.41256
What it said to watch
UoM sentiment/inflation expectations and Ivey PMI at 15:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Failure to hold the 1.4100 round number puts the London high / 61.8% retrace at 1.4081 back in play
M15 close back below 1.4081 london high would mark the breakout as a false break
Close above the 1.4126 session high extends the impulse; Bowman 17:15 and Daly 18:00 UTC add NY-session headline risk
14:16 UTC
Uptrend, accelerating after data · RSI 78 · price 1.41173
Post-data breakout above London high, HH/HL chain intact.
The 13:30 UTC jobs releases, a hawkish NFP beat (165K vs 65K) against a Canada miss (-4.7K), printed a 42-pip bar through the 1.4081 london high. Price extended the Asia-to-London uptrend to the 1.4117 post-data high, with RSI(14) near 78 after the burst. The 1.4052 pullback low held through the European session ahead of the release.
Support: 1.4100, 1.4081, 1.4052
Resistance: 1.4117, 1.4150
What it said to watch
Holding above the 1.4100 round number keeps the post-data leg intact.
A return below the 1.4081 london high would mark the breakout as a false break.
A close above the 1.4117 post-data high exposes the 1.4150 psych level.
A break of the rising trendline and the 1.4052 pullback low would undo the session HH/HL chain.
UoM sentiment/inflation expectations and Ivey PMI at 15:00 UTC, then Bowman 17:15 and Daly 18:00 UTC, could materially shift this read.
14:03 UTC
Uptrend, impulsive leg post-data · RSI 73 · price 1.41085
Breakout above London high and 1.4100 after jobs release.
Safe-haven USD demand lifted the pair from 1.4010 through Asia, and London extended it to a 1.4081 high before fading to a 1.4052 pre-data low. The 13:30 GMT US/Canada jobs release then drove a ~42-pip impulse through the London high and the 1.4100 round number, with price printing a fresh session high at 1.4109 early in the NY session. Rising lows from 1.4011 remain intact; RSI(14) near 73 is hot but not extreme, and ATR(14) has expanded to ~8.5 pips.
Support: 1.4100, 1.40812, 1.40519
Resistance: 1.41089
What it said to watch
Hold above the 1.4100 round number keeps the breakout intact; an M15 close back below the 1.4081 london high marks a false break
Loss of the 1.4052 pre-data low breaks the rising lows sequence
Session high at 1.4109 is the area to watch for rejection or extension
Actual NFP/LFS prints not yet in feed; 15:00 GMT UoM sentiment and Ivey PMI could materially shift this read
13:46 UTC
Uptrend, fresh impulse on the data bar · RSI 66 · price 1.40977
Higher lows from the Asian low; jobs-data spike broke the London high.
USD/CAD gained about 37 pips on the 13:30 GMT US/Canada jobs-data bar. It cleared the London high at 1.4081 and printed a data high at 1.4101, extending the risk-off USD climb along a rising-lows line from the 1.4010 Asian low. Before the release, London had pulled back to the london low at 1.4052, and RSI(14) near 66 is firm but not stretched.
Support: 1.4081, 1.4059, 1.4052
Resistance: 1.4101
What it said to watch
Holding above the 1.4081 london high keeps the breakout intact
A move back below the 1.4059 pre-data level would mark the spike as a false break
An M15 close above the 1.4101 data high extends the impulse into territory not tested in this window
A break of the rising-lows line near 1.4052 london low would end the higher-low chain
UoM sentiment and Ivey PMI at 15:00 GMT could materially shift this read
13:31 UTC
Uptrend, data spike extending the move · RSI 61 · price 1.40927
HH/HL chain from Asia; 13:30 GMT bar broke the London high.
A steady HH/HL grind took the pair from 1.4010 in the Asia session to a 1.4081 London high, then back to a 1.4052 swing low at 12:00 GMT before the 13:30 GMT US/Canada jobs release spiked it through the London high to 1.4101, just at the 1.4100 round number. The data spike bar is still forming. The rising Asia trendline is intact, RSI(14) is around 61, and ATR is expanding toward 8 pips after a 42-pip range on the release bar.
Support: 1.40812, 1.40519
Resistance: 1.41007
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 1.4081 london high would turn the data spike into a false break
Acceptance above the 1.4100 round number extends the HH chain; a wick rejection there caps the session high
Loss of the 1.4052 swing low breaks the intraday higher-low sequence and the asia trendline
Data spike fib 50% near 1.4076, close to the London high, is the first retracement zone
UoM sentiment and Ivey PMI at 15:00 GMT could add a second volatility burst
13:17 UTC
Uptrend, corrective pullback into data · RSI 58 · price 1.40642
HH/HL chain from Asian low; pullback held near 38.2% fib, rebound capped at a lower high.
Haven USD demand lifted USD/CAD from the 1.4011 Asian low through the Asia session to a London session high at 1.4081. The pullback found demand at 1.4052, just past the 38.2% fib, and price is back at 1.4064 just under the 1.4068 lower high, minutes before the joint US NFP / Canada LFS release.
Support: 1.4052, 1.4046, 1.4011
Resistance: 1.4068, 1.4081, 1.4100
What it said to watch
US NFP and Canada LFS land together at 13:30 GMT; either print can blow through the 5–6 pip ATR and materially shift this read
M15 close above the 1.4081 session high resumes the HH chain toward the 1.4100 round number
Failure to hold the 1.4052 pullback low exposes the 50% fib at 1.4046, then the 1.4011 Asian low
13:02 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back · RSI 44 · price 1.40623
HH/HL chain to 1.4081, pullback holding near Asian high.
Safe-haven USD demand carried the Asia rally from 1.4011 through London to a 1.4081 session high. Price then retraced about 38.2% to a 1.4052 pullback low, retesting the Asian high. It now sits at 1.4062, just under the 1.4065 lower high and the EMA20, ahead of the 13:30 GMT jobs releases.
Support: 1.4052, 1.4011, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4065, 1.4081, 1.4100
What it said to watch
US NFP and Canada LFS land together at 13:30 GMT (~30 min); the joint release can overrun the 5-pip ATR structure
A close back above the 1.4065 lower high and the 1.4081 session high resumes the HH/HL chain toward the 1.4100 round number
Failure to hold the 1.4052 pullback low exposes the 1.4011 Asian low and the 1.4000 round number
12:16 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pulling back from session high · RSI 37 · price 1.40582
Lower highs off 1.4081, retesting Asian range high.
London extended the Asian range breakout to a 1.4081 session high on safe-haven USD demand. A two-hour run of lower highs has since taken price back to the Asian high at 1.4054, the 38.2% retrace of the 1.4010–1.4081 leg, with RSI(14) at 37 heading into the 13:30 GMT jobs releases.
Support: 1.4054, 1.4046
Resistance: 1.4065, 1.4081
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.4054 asian high opens the 50% fib at 1.4046
Close above the 1.4065 lower high breaks the pullback line and puts the 1.4081 session high back in focus
US NFP and Canada LFS both print at 13:30 GMT (~75 min); the relative surprise could swamp the ~5-pip ATR read
12:02 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back from session high · RSI 45 · price 1.40641
Higher-low pullback after Asian range breakout.
USD/CAD broke above the Asian high at 1.4024 early in the session. Safe-haven USD demand from the AI-stock rout carried the climb through London to a 1.4081 session high. Price has since eased to a 1.4058 higher low, just above the London low and the 38.2% fib at 1.4054, and sits back under EMA20 with RSI(14) near 45.
Support: 1.40576, 1.40532, 1.40239
Resistance: 1.40812, 1.4100
What it said to watch
US NFP and Canada jobs at 13:30 GMT land together; the relative surprise could materially shift this read
A close below the 1.4053 london low breaks the higher-low sequence and the trendline
A close above the 1.4081 session high resumes the uptrend toward the 1.4100 round number
A slide back under the 1.4024 asian high negates the breakout
11:46 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back in late London · RSI 42 · price 1.40605
HH/HL from Asia into a 1.4081 London high; lower highs since 10:00 GMT.
Safe-haven USD demand carried the pair from 1.4010 in Asia to the 1.4054 asian high, and London extended the leg to a 1.4081 london high. Since then a pullback line of lower highs has dragged price under the ema20 to a 1.4058 pullback low, with RSI(14) cooling to about 42. The 1.4054 asian high sits on the 38.2% retracement of the Asia–London leg and is the next shelf ahead of the joint 13:30 GMT jobs releases.
Support: 1.4058, 1.4054, 1.4046
Resistance: 1.4067, 1.4081, 1.4100
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4054 asian high / 38.2% fib breaks the London HH/HL sequence, exposing the fib 50% at 1.4046
Failure to hold the 1.4058 pullback low puts the asian high retest in play before the data
Break of the pullback line plus a close back above the 1.4067 ema20 reopens the 1.4081 london high; the 1.4100 round number sits beyond
US NFP and Canada LFS both land at 13:30 GMT; the relative surprise can override this intraday structure
11:31 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back from session high · RSI 44 · price 1.40602
HH/HL chain from Asia into London; lower highs in last 7 bars.
Risk-off USD demand carried the Asia-London leg from 1.4010 to a session high at 1.4081 at 09:45 GMT, where price met rejection. It has since slipped under EMA20 to 1.4060 with lower highs along a pullback line, and RSI(14) has cooled to 44. The 38.2% fib at 1.4054 sits on the London open lows, and the 50% fib at 1.4045 is next below.
Support: 1.4054, 1.4045
Resistance: 1.4070, 1.4081
What it said to watch
M15 close above the pullback line and the 1.4070 prior pivot puts the 1.4081 session high back in play
Failure to hold the 38.2% fib at 1.4054 exposes the 50% fib at 1.4045 and breaks the HH/HL chain
US NFP and Canada LFS both land at 13:30 GMT (~2h) and could materially shift this read
11:16 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back from session high · RSI 56 · price 1.40651
HH/HL chain from the 1.4010 Asian low; first corrective pullback off the 1.4081 London high.
USD/CAD climbed from the 1.4010 Asian low to a 1.4081 London session high on safe-haven USD demand, then faded to 1.4065. Price has slipped under EMA20 and sits on the 23.6% fib, with RSI(14) cooled to ~56. The 1.4060 swing low is the first test, and 1.4072 is now a minor pivot overhead.
Support: 1.40604, 1.40532
Resistance: 1.4072, 1.40812
What it said to watch
US NFP and Canada LFS at 13:30 GMT (~2h) could materially shift this read
M15 close below the 1.4053 London open low (38.2% fib) breaks the intraday HL chain
Reclaim of the 1.4072 minor pivot and the 1.4081 session high resumes the HH sequence
11:02 UTC
Uptrend, pausing in a mid-London pullback · RSI 57 · price 1.40672
HH/HL chain from the Asia low; lower highs since the 1.4081 session high.
A risk-off USD bid from the AI-equity sell-off carried the pair from the 1.4011 Asia low through the Asian range top. London extended the move to a 1.4081 session high, then pulled back on lower highs toward the 1.4062 swing low, near the 23.6% of the Asia-London leg. RSI(14) has cooled to ~57 and price is sitting just above EMA20 near 1.4065.
Support: 1.40621, 1.40539
Resistance: 1.40812, 1.4100
What it said to watch
A break below the 1.4062 swing low exposes the asia high at 1.4054, close to the 38.2% of the Asia-London leg
A close back above the pullback line and the 1.4081 session high resumes the higher-high sequence toward the 1.4100 round number
US NFP and Canada LFS both print at 13:30 GMT (~2.5h); the relative surprise could materially shift this read
HH/HL chain from 1.4010; pullback testing rising trendline.
Risk-off USD demand from the AI equity sell-off carried USD/CAD from the 1.4010 Asian low, through the 1.4054 asian high and on to a 1.4081 session high in London. The pullback from there is now sitting on the rising trendline near 1.4069, and RSI(14) has cooled to ~58.
Support: 1.4069, 1.4054, 1.4024
Resistance: 1.4081, 1.4100
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.4069 trendline breaks the HL chain and exposes the 1.4054 asian high, then the 1.4024 prior high
Close above the 1.4081 session high resumes the HH sequence toward the 1.4100 round number
US NFP and Canada LFS both land at 13:30 GMT; the relative surprise could materially shift this read
HH/HL chain since Asia; London broke above the Asian range.
Risk-off USD demand lifted USDCAD from the 1.4010 Asia low through the 1.4054 asian high at London open, printing a session high of 1.4081 at 09:45 GMT. The 10:00 bar pulled back to the 1.4070 swing low, which is holding so far. RSI(14) has cooled to about 61 and price sits above the rising Asia trendline.
Support: 1.4070, 1.4054
Resistance: 1.40812, 1.4100
What it said to watch
A close below the 1.4070 swing low breaks the London HL chain and exposes the 1.4054 asian high, which sits at the 38.2% fib.
A close above the 1.4081 session high reopens the 1.4100 round number.
US NFP and Canada LFS land together at 13:30 GMT. The net surprise between the two prints could materially shift this read.
A break of the Asia trendline near 1.4058 would end the intraday uptrend structure.
10:16 UTC
Uptrend, first pullback off the high · RSI 64 · price 1.4071
Higher-high/higher-low chain from the Asian low, now testing the rising trendline.
Risk-off USD demand carried USDCAD from the 1.4010 Asian low to a 1.4081 London session high in a steady higher-low chain. The 10:00 GMT bar was rejected at the high and dropped back to 1.4070, testing the rising trendline. RSI(14) has cooled to ~64.
Support: 1.4068, 1.4062, 1.4054
Resistance: 1.4081, 1.4100
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.4068 trendline breaks the higher-low chain and exposes the 1.4062 prior pivot
Below 1.4062, the 1.4054 asian high lines up with the 38.2% fib of the Asia-London leg
A close above the 1.4081 session high reopens the path to the 1.4100 round number
US NFP and Canada LFS both release at 13:30 GMT, and the net surprise between them could reset this structure
10:03 UTC
Uptrend, stretched into London · RSI 79 · price 1.40769
HH/HL chain from the 1.4010 Asian low, Asian range broken higher.
USD/CAD has built higher highs and higher lows from the 1.4010 Asian low. The London open broke the Asian high at 1.4054 and pushed on to a 1.4081 session high, carried by the risk-off USD bid. RSI(14) near 79 is stretched, with the 1.4068 swing low the first pivot below and the rising trendline near 1.4065.
Support: 1.40679, 1.40539, 1.40435
Resistance: 1.40812, 1.4100
What it said to watch
An M15 close below the 1.4068 swing low breaks the HL chain and brings the 1.4054 Asian high and 38.2% fib into play
Loss of the rising trendline (anchored at 1.4044) shifts the read from trend to range
A close above the 1.4081 session high opens the 1.4100 round number
US NFP and Canada jobs land together at 13:30 UTC (15:30 broker) and could materially shift this read
HH/HL chain since Asian range break; London extending to new session high.
USDCAD broke the Asian high at 1.4024 around 03:45 UTC, and London has extended to a 1.40805 session high on the haven USD bid from the AI-equity sell-off. Higher lows are holding along the rising trendline and RSI(14) sits near 79, stretched but without a lower-high. Pullbacks have held at the 1.4068 swing low and the 1.4053 London low.
Support: 1.40679, 1.40532, 1.40239
Resistance: 1.40805, 1.4100
What it said to watch
US NFP and Canada jobs at 13:30 UTC land together and could materially shift this read; the relative surprise matters
An M15 close below the 1.4068 swing low breaks the higher-low chain; the 1.4053 London low is next
A close above the 1.40805 session high opens the 1.4100 round number
Loss of the rising trendline from the Asian low exposes a retest of the 1.4024 Asian high
09:31 UTC
Uptrend, stretched · RSI 79 · price 1.40771
HH/HL chain above the broken Asian range high.
USDCAD has climbed in steady higher lows from the 1.4010 Asian low. It broke the asian high at 1.4049 into the London session and printed a session high at 1.4081, with haven USD demand from the US equity sell-off doing the work. RSI(14) near 79 is stretched, and the swing low at 1.4069 and london low at 1.4054 mark the pullback structure along rising support.
Support: 1.4069, 1.4054, 1.4049
Resistance: 1.4081, 1.4100
What it said to watch
Fed Williams at 09:30 GMT, then the US and Canada jobs reports at 13:30 GMT, could materially shift this read
M15 close below the 1.4069 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
Loss of the london low at 1.4054 (38.2% of the asian-london leg) brings the asian high at 1.4049 and rising support into play
Close above the 1.4081 session high keeps the 1.4100 round number in view
HH/HL chain; London broke above the Asian range high.
London extended the Asia-session grind higher, breaking the Asian high at 1.4054 and printing a session high at 1.4074 as haven USD demand from the equity sell-off persisted. Higher lows hold along the rising trendline from 1.4038. RSI(14) near 78 is stretched but not extreme.
Support: 1.40621, 1.40539, 1.40107
Resistance: 1.40735, 1.4100
What it said to watch
Close below the 1.4062 swing low breaks the higher-low chain and puts the rising trendline in play
Pullback into the 1.4054 asian high, near the 38.2% fib of the asian low to session high leg, tests the breakout as a retest
Acceptance above the 1.4074 session high opens the 1.4100 round number
Fed Williams at 09:30 GMT and the US and Canada jobs reports at 13:30 UTC could materially shift this read
09:02 UTC
Uptrend, stretched into London · RSI 83 · price 1.40733
Unbroken HH/HL chain since rollover; Asian high broken at London open.
Steady HH/HL climb from the 1.4010 rollover low through Asia. London open broke the Asian high at 1.4049 and pushed to a session high at 1.4073, about two hours into London, on haven USD demand as US equities slid. RSI(14) near 83 is stretched, with the rising trendline and the 1.4062 pullback low just beneath and the 1.4100 round number overhead.
Support: 1.4062, 1.4049, 1.4038
Resistance: 1.4073, 1.4100
What it said to watch
M15 close below the rising trendline and the 1.4062 pullback low breaks the HL chain
Failure to hold the 1.4049 Asian high on a pullback turns the breakout into a false break, exposing the 1.4038 swing low
Rejection at the 1.4073 session high versus acceptance above it toward the 1.4100 round number
Fed Williams at 09:30 UTC, then US NFP and Canada LFS together at 13:30 UTC, could materially shift this read
08:46 UTC
Uptrend, extended into early London · RSI 78 · price 1.40703
HH/HL chain; Asian range high broken at London open.
USD/CAD ground higher through Asia from 1.4010 and broke the Asian high at 1.4054 at London open, printing a session high at 1.4072 as risk-off USD demand into NFP outweighed hawkish BoC commentary. RSI(14) near 78 is stretched but not extreme, and the 08:30 dip held at the 1.4062 swing low.
Support: 1.4062, 1.4054, 1.4024
Resistance: 1.4072, 1.4100
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 1.4054 asian high returns price to the Asian range and stalls the breakout
Break of rising support (~1.4058) ends the overnight HL chain; the 1.4041 midpoint of the overnight leg and Thursday's 1.4024 prior high sit below
Acceptance above the 1.4072 session high opens the 1.4100 round number
Fed's Williams at 09:30 GMT, then US NFP and Canada LFS at 13:30 GMT, could materially shift this read
08:31 UTC
Uptrend, extended into London · RSI 77 · price 1.40661
HH/HL chain from the Asia low, fresh session high at London open.
Asia carried the late-NY break of 1.4000 into a steady HH/HL climb from 1.4011. London open pushed it to a session high at 1.4072 as haven USD demand from the equity sell-off kept pressure on CAD. RSI(14) is near 77 and ATR runs about 5.5 pips, with the london low at 1.4053 and the asia trend line just below price.
Support: 1.40535, 1.40426, 1.40237
Resistance: 1.40719, 1.4100
What it said to watch
A break of the london low at 1.4053 and the asia trend line would end the HH/HL chain
Losing the 1.4043 swing low (near the fib 50% of the Asia-London leg) exposes the ny high at 1.4024
An M15 close above the 1.4072 session high opens the path to the 1.4100 round number
Fed Williams at 09:30 GMT, then US NFP and the Canada LFS together at 13:30 GMT, could materially shift this read
08:16 UTC
Uptrend, stalling at session high · RSI 76 · price 1.4061
HH/HL chain since 1.4010 rollover low, tight range under 1.4063.
Steady higher-low climb from the 1.4010 rollover low cleared the 1.4024 prior high early in Asia, and London opened with an extension to a 1.4063 session high as haven USD demand from the equity sell-off held. RSI(14) is near 76 and price is compressing between the 1.4053 london low and the session high, with the rising trendline just beneath at ~1.4054.
Support: 1.4053, 1.4044, 1.4024
Resistance: 1.4063, 1.4100
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.4053 london low and rising trendline breaks the HL chain, exposing the 1.4044 swing low
Acceptance above the 1.4063 session high opens the 1.4100 round number
Loss of the 1.4024 prior high, near the 61.8% of the overnight leg fib, would unwind the overnight leg
Fed's Williams at 09:30 GMT and the US/Canada jobs reports at 13:30 GMT could materially shift this read
08:02 UTC
Uptrend, RSI hot but not extreme · RSI 77 · price 1.40622
Higher highs and higher lows since the Asia low near 1.4010; new session high at London open.
The Asia session cleared the ny high at 1.4024 and built higher lows along a rising trendline from 1.4011. London open pushed to a 1.4063 session high on persistent safe-haven USD demand, with the 07:00 UTC dip to the 1.4053 london low holding on that line. RSI(14) near 77 is stretched but normal for a trend this steady.
Support: 1.40535, 1.40426, 1.40237
Resistance: 1.40629, 1.4100
What it said to watch
An M15 close below the 1.4053 london low and the Asia trendline breaks the higher-low chain
Failure to hold the 1.4043 swing low exposes the ny high at 1.4024 as the next shelf
Acceptance above the 1.4063 session high leaves the 1.4100 round number as the next marker
Fed's Williams at 09:30 GMT could jolt USD pricing within this session
US NFP and the Canada jobs report land together at 13:30 UTC and can override the intraday structure
07:46 UTC
Intraday uptrend, extending at London open · RSI 74 · price 1.40609
HH/HL chain from the 1.4010 Asia low; Asian high broken at London open.
Asia ground higher in a steady HH/HL chain from 1.4010. London open broke the 1.4049 Asian high to a 1.4063 London high, as safe-haven USD demand after the US equity sell-off outweighed hawkish BoC talk. RSI(14) near 74 is hot, not extreme, and rising support from the Asia swing lows tracks near 1.4047, just under the old Asian high.
Support: 1.4049, 1.40384, 1.40237
Resistance: 1.40627, 1.4100
What it said to watch
A close back below the 1.4049 Asian high and the rising support line would mark the London breakout as a false break
Failure to hold the 1.4038 swing low breaks the HH/HL chain and opens the 1.4024 prior high
Clearing the 1.4063 London high leaves the 1.4100 round number as the next reference
Fed's Williams at 09:30 GMT, then US NFP and the Canada LFS together at 13:30 GMT, could materially shift this read
Asia session extended Thursday's USD-led rally, clearing the 1.4024 prior high and stepping up in higher lows to a 1.4063 session high at 07:00 UTC. The 07:00 breakout bar's 1.4053 low is the nearest shelf. RSI(14) sits near 74, hot but not stretched, and price is holding above the higher-low trendline.
Support: 1.40532, 1.40435, 1.40237
Resistance: 1.40625, 1.4100
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 1.4043 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
M15 close above the 1.4063 session high opens the 1.4100 round number
A slip back below the 1.4024 prior high would mark the Asia breakout as a false break
Fed's Williams at 09:30 UTC sets the pre-jobs USD tone
Simultaneous US and Canada jobs reports at 13:30 UTC could materially shift this read
07:16 UTC
Uptrend, extended into London open · RSI 74 · price 1.40585
HH/HL chain since 02:45 UTC break of the overnight 1.4010–1.4024 box.
Thursday's NY climb through 1.4000 carried into Asia, and the pair broke the overnight box above the 1.4024 Asian high at 02:45 UTC. A steady higher-low sequence since then has set a 1.4062 session high just before London, with RSI(14) running hot near 74 as USD rebuilds on Fed-hike bets ahead of the twin jobs reports.
Support: 1.40435, 1.40384, 1.40239
Resistance: 1.40625, 1.4100
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 1.4044 micro low breaks the rising trendline and the HL chain
Loss of the 1.4038 swing low (near the 38.2% fib) shifts focus to the 1.4024 Asian high breakout level
Rejection at the 1.4062 session high vs extension toward the 1.4100 round number
Fed's Williams at 09:30 UTC and US/Canada jobs at 13:30 UTC could materially shift this read
07:02 UTC
Uptrend, steady HH/HL through Asia · RSI 75 · price 1.40563
Asia broke above Thursday's NY high; higher-low chain intact into pre-London.
Asia session extended Thursday's push through 1.4000, clearing the prior high at 1.4024 and stepping up from the 1.4010 Asian low to a session high at 1.4056 ahead of London open, as USD rebuilds off post-midterm lows. RSI(14) near 75 is hot but not extreme. Rising trendline support sits near 1.4047, just above the 1.4044 swing low.
Support: 1.40435, 1.40237, 1.40098
Resistance: 1.40563, 1.4100
What it said to watch
Close below the 1.4044 swing low and the rising trendline breaks the Asia higher-low chain
Failure to hold the 1.4024 prior high turns the breakout into a false break
1.4100 round number is the next reference above the session high
Fed's Williams at 09:30 UTC and simultaneous US/Canada jobs at 13:30 UTC could materially shift this read
06:46 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher in late Asia · RSI 71 · price 1.40482
Higher-low chain since the 1.4010 Asian low, pressing the 1.4049 session high.
Asia session cleared yesterday's NY prior high at 1.4024 and has stepped up in higher lows from the 1.4010 Asian low, now pressing the 1.4049 session high at the 1.4050 round number with RSI(14) near 71. The move tracks a firmer USD on rebounding yields ahead of payrolls; rising support from the 01:45 UTC base and the 1.4038 swing low are intact.
Support: 1.40384, 1.40237, 1.40098
Resistance: 1.40491
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.4038 swing low breaks rising support and the higher-low chain
Return below the 1.4024 prior high reverses the Asia breakout; 1.4010 Asian low is the next reference
Fed's Williams at 09:30 UTC, then simultaneous US NFP and Canada jobs at 13:30 UTC, could materially shift this read
Asia HH/HL chain above the broken prior high, stalling under 1.4050.
The Asia session extended Thursday's late-NY rally, clearing the 1.4024 prior high from the asian low at 1.4010. It has printed higher highs to a 1.4049 asian high, with the dollar firmer on rebounding yields and Fed-hike bets. Into the London open, progress has stalled just under 1.4050 with RSI(14) near 70, and the 1.4038 swing low is the most recent higher low.
Support: 1.40384, 1.40237, 1.40098
Resistance: 1.4049, 1.4100
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.4038 swing low breaks the Asia higher-low chain
Loss of the 1.4024 prior high (near the 61.8% of the asian leg) returns price to the pre-breakout range
Acceptance above the 1.4049 asian high opens the path toward the 1.4100 round number
Simultaneous Canada and US jobs reports at 13:30 UTC could materially shift this read; Fed's Williams speaks at 09:30 UTC
Higher highs and higher lows after the Asian breakout above the prior NY high.
Late in the Asia session, price cleared Thursday's NY prior high at 1.4024 and has stepped up in a higher-low chain to a session high at 1.4048. The USD is rebuilding on firmer yields. RSI(14) near 74 is hot but not extreme, and ATR is a tight ~4 pips ahead of London open.
Support: 1.40384, 1.40237, 1.40098
Resistance: 1.40476, 1.4050
What it said to watch
Session high 1.4048 and the 1.4050 round number: area to watch for rejection or extension into London
M15 close below the 1.4038 swing low breaks the higher-low chain and the rising trendline
Loss of the 1.4024 prior high turns the breakout into a false break and puts the 1.4010 asian low back in play
Fed's Williams at 09:30 UTC, then simultaneous US and Canada jobs at 13:30 UTC, could materially shift this read
06:03 UTC
Uptrend, extended into late Asia · RSI 76 · price 1.40446
HH/HL chain after break of Asian range top.
Late Asia broke the 1.4010–1.4024 Asian range at 02:45 UTC, extending the NY-session rally off 1.3942 to a 1.4047 session high as the USD rebound holds. RSI(14) near 76 heading into London open, ATR down to ~4 pips; the pullback low at 1.4038 is the nearest higher low on the rising trendline.
Support: 1.40384, 1.40239, 1.40098
Resistance: 1.40473, 1.4050
What it said to watch
Close above the 1.4047 session high and 1.4050 round number extends the HH chain
Failure to hold the 1.4038 pullback low breaks the micro HL sequence; back below the 1.4024 Asian high returns price to the Asian range
Loss of the 1.4010 Asian low invalidates the breakout read
Fed's Williams at 09:30 UTC, then simultaneous US NFP and Canada jobs at 13:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Asia session broke above the early Asian range at 02:45 UTC, clearing the asian high at 1.4024 (also Thursday's high) and extending a HH/HL chain to a session high of 1.4047 as the USD rebound on firmer yields held. RSI(14) near 75 is hot but not extreme; the 1.4038 swing low is the latest higher low, and the move is now pressing toward the 1.4050 psych level.
Support: 1.40384, 1.40239
Resistance: 1.40473, 1.4050
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.4038 swing low breaks the higher-low line and the HH/HL chain
Failure to hold the asian high at 1.4024 (61.8% of the Asia leg fib) would mark the breakout as a false break
Rejection at the session high / 1.4050 psych would set up a range under the round number
Fed's Williams at 09:30 UTC, then US NFP and Canada jobs together at 13:30 UTC, could materially shift this read
05:31 UTC
Uptrend, extended late in Asia · RSI 78 · price 1.40471
HH/HL chain since 01:45 UTC, Asian range broken higher.
USD/CAD carried Thursday's NY rally through Asia. A 03:15 UTC break of the 1.4024 prior high, the Asian range top, extended the higher-low chain to a 1.4047 session high, with the USD bid on the Asia yield bounce and oil-inflation worries. RSI(14) near 78 is stretched ahead of London open. The 38.2% of the NY-Asia leg sits near 1.4022, close to that prior high.
Support: 1.40384, 1.40238, 1.40098
Resistance: 1.40473, 1.4050
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.4038 swing low breaks the higher-low trendline and the micro HH/HL chain
Return below the 1.4024 prior high would turn the Asian breakout into a false break and put the 1.4010 asia low back in play
Session high at 1.4047 and the 1.4050 round number are the levels to watch for rejection or extension into London open
Fed's Williams at 09:30 UTC and simultaneous Canada/US jobs reports at 13:30 UTC could materially shift this read
05:16 UTC
Uptrend, extended into late Asia · RSI 77 · price 1.40435
HH/HL chain from Thursday's 1.3942 low; Asian range broken higher.
USD/CAD cleared the late-NY prior high at 1.4024 around 02:45 UTC and pressed to a 1.4044 session high. That extends the climb from the mid-1.3900s on Fed-hike bets and swinging oil. RSI(14) near 77 is hot but not extreme. Price is holding just under the session high, with the 1.4050 round number overhead.
Support: 1.4024, 1.4010
Resistance: 1.4044, 1.4050
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 1.4024 prior high would turn the Asia breakout into a false break
Failure to hold the 1.4010 asian low breaks the higher-low chain and the rising support line
Rejection at the 1.4044 session high into London open keeps the 1.4050 round number untested
Fed's Williams at 09:30 UTC, then US and Canada jobs at 13:30 UTC, could materially shift this read
HH/HL chain off Asian low; Asian range broken higher.
Asia cleared its 1.4010–1.4024 Asian range at 02:45 UTC and ran to a 1.4044 session high above Thursday's NY peak, helped by a modest yield bounce and oil-inflation worries. Price is now holding a 1.4038 minor low just under the high, with RSI(14) near 75: hot but not stretched, and a rising support line still intact from Thursday's NY pullback low.
Support: 1.40384, 1.40237, 1.40098
Resistance: 1.40442, 1.4050
What it said to watch
Close back below the 1.4038 minor low starts eroding the HH/HL chain
Return below the 1.4024 Asian high would flag a false break of the Asian range
Close above the 1.4050 round number extends the session high run
Loss of the rising support line near the 1.4010 Asian low reopens the fib 50% retracement zone around 1.4012
Fed's Williams at 09:30 UTC and simultaneous US/Canada jobs at 13:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Late Asia session broke above the 1.4010–1.4024 Asian range at 02:30 UTC, extending Thursday's climb from the 1.3980 NY lows to a 1.4044 session high, with RSI(14) near 70 and the last two bars stalling under that high. The move tracks the USD rebound on 189K claims and hawkish Fed talk, holding price above the 1.4000 round number ahead of Friday's US and Canada jobs data.
Support: 1.4024, 1.4010, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40442, 1.4050
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 1.4024 Asian high, the 61.8% fib of the Asian move, returns price to the range and weakens the breakout read
Close above the 1.4044 session high opens the 1.4050 round number
Break of the rising trend support toward the 1.4010 Asian low would end the HH/HL chain
London open and Fed's Williams at 09:30 UTC could reset the session range
US NFP and Canada employment both at 13:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Thursday's NY rally off 1.3950 carried into Asia, and price broke the prior high at 1.4024 at 02:45 UTC before stair-stepping to a session high of 1.4044. The breakout low at 1.4030 sits on the 38.2% of the Asian leg from the 1.4010 Asian low, while RSI(14) near 78 is running hot.
Support: 1.4030, 1.40237, 1.40098
Resistance: 1.40442, 1.4050
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 1.4030 breakout low returns price to the 1.4024 prior high and the old Asian range
Failure to hold the 1.4010 Asian low breaks the higher-low chain from the NY rally
Acceptance above the 1.4044 session high puts the 1.4050 round number in play; RSI(14) above 80 would mark the move as stretched
Fed's Williams at 09:30 UTC, then simultaneous Canada/US jobs at 13:30 UTC, could materially shift this read
04:16 UTC
Uptrend, extending into late Asia · RSI 79 · price 1.40438
Asian range break higher, HH/HL chain since 01:15 UTC.
Late Asia session broke the Asian high at 1.4024 at 02:45 UTC. Price has printed higher closes every bar since to a session high at 1.4044, extending Thursday's claims-driven USD rebound. RSI(14) near 79 is stretched but not extreme, and ATR is about 5 pips.
Support: 1.4024, 1.4010, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4044, 1.4050
What it said to watch
Holding above the 1.4024 asian high, which is also the 61.8% of the Asian leg fib, keeps the breakout intact; a close back below it reads as a false break
M15 close below the rising trendline from the 01:15 UTC low signals momentum fading
Loss of the 1.4010 asian low and 1.4000 psych level would unwind the Asian session structure
Close above the 1.4050 round number extends the HH chain; a stall at the session high with RSI above 80 points to exhaustion
Fed's Williams at 09:30 UTC, then simultaneous US and Canada jobs data at 13:30 UTC, could materially shift this read
04:02 UTC
Uptrend, extending in late Asia · RSI 77 · price 1.40392
HH/HL chain; Asian range broken higher through prior NY high.
Late in the Asia session, price broke out of the 1.4010–1.4020 Asian range and cleared Thursday's NY prior high at 1.4024. It printed a 1.4040 session high, and RSI(14) is near 77. The rising lows from the 1.3980 NY pullback remain intact, consistent with the digest's USD/CAD rebound as oil swings cap CAD.
Support: 1.40237, 1.40098, 1.39802
Resistance: 1.4040, 1.4050
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 1.4024 prior high puts price back inside the Asian range
An M15 close below the 1.4010 asian low negates the breakout and breaks the rising lows
Session high at 1.4040 and the 1.4050 round number are the areas to watch for rejection or extension into London open
Fed's Williams at 09:30 UTC, then the Canada and US jobs reports at 13:30 UTC, could materially shift this read
03:46 UTC
Uptrend, extending in late Asia · RSI 74 · price 1.40376
Higher highs since the NY low; Asian range broken to the upside.
Late Asia broke the 1.4010–1.4024 Asian range and printed a session high at 1.4038, holding above 1.4000 as the digest describes oil swings capping CAD after the post-midterm USD drop. RSI(14) is near 74 and ATR is only ~5 pips. The Asian high at 1.4024 sits on the 50% retrace of the Asian leg and is the first test for the break.
Support: 1.4024, 1.4010, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40378, 1.4050
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 1.4024 asian high puts price back inside the Asian range and marks the break as false
A break of the 1.4010 asian low exposes the 1.4000 psych level
Acceptance above the 1.4038 session high brings the 1.4050 round number into view
Fed's Williams at 09:30 UTC, then the simultaneous Canada and US jobs reports at 13:30 UTC, could materially shift this read
03:31 UTC
Uptrend, extending into late Asia · RSI 73 · price 1.40339
HH/HL chain since London low; Asia range break higher.
The rally from the 1.3942 London low has run unbroken through NY. Late Asia then broke the 1.4010–1.4024 Asian range, clearing the prior high at 1.4024 and printing a session high at 1.4034. RSI(14) near 73 is hot but not stretched, with Fed-hike bets capping the post-election USD slide and holding the pair above the 1.4000 round number.
Support: 1.40237, 1.40098, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40341, 1.4050
What it said to watch
A return below the prior high at 1.4024 would turn the Asia breakout into a false break
Loss of the asian low at 1.4010 breaks the HH/HL chain, with the round number at 1.4000 (near the 38.2% of the rally fib) next
Session high at 1.4034 and the 1.4050 psych level are the next tests into London open
Fed's Williams at 09:30 UTC, then simultaneous US and Canada jobs reports at 13:30 UTC, could materially shift this read
03:17 UTC
Uptrend, extending in Asia · RSI 74 · price 1.40327
Higher highs and higher lows since the 1.3942 London low; Asian range top cleared.
The uptrend that began after Thursday's claims beat extended in the Asia session. Price cleared the 1.4024 prior high and the Asian range top to a session high at 1.4033, with higher lows at the 1.3980 swing low and the 1.4010 Asia low intact. RSI(14) near 74 is warm but not stretched, and the advance runs against the soft-USD digest tone.
Support: 1.40237, 1.40098, 1.39802
Resistance: 1.40333, 1.4050
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 1.4024 prior high would turn the breakout into a false break
Failure to hold the 1.4010 Asia low breaks the higher-low chain and exposes the 1.3980 swing low
Round number 1.4050 is the next reference above the session high
Fed's Williams at 09:30 UTC, then the Canada and US jobs reports at 13:30 UTC, can materially reset this read
03:02 UTC
Uptrend, extending in late Asia · RSI 71 · price 1.40308
HH/HL chain; Asian range broken to the upside.
Late Asia pushed through the 1.4024 prior high and Asian range top to a 1.4032 session high, extending the higher-low chain from the 1.3942 London-open low; RSI(14) around 71. The move holds above the 1.3990–1.4000 area flagged in the CAD digest as a wedge top, with soft USD yields and oil swings broadly offsetting.
Support: 1.4024, 1.4010, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4032, 1.4050
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 1.4024 prior high would turn the Asian range break into a false break
Loss of the 1.4010 asian low breaks rising support from the 1.3981 NY pullback low
M15 close above 1.4032 session high opens the 1.4050 round number
1.4000 round number sits near the 38.2% fib of the 1.3942–1.4032 leg
Fed's Williams at 09:30 UTC, then simultaneous Canada/US jobs at 13:30 UTC could materially shift this read
02:46 UTC
Uptrend, pressing prior high · RSI 66 · price 1.40233
Higher lows since London Thu; Asian range top broken.
Thursday's NY rally lifted USDCAD from the 1.3960 area through the 1.4000 psych level as Fed-hike bets and swinging oil capped the post-election USD selloff. The Asian session held a tight 1.4010–1.4020 range above the 1.4010 asian low, and price is now testing the 1.4024 prior high with RSI(14) firm but not stretched.
Support: 1.4010, 1.4000, 1.39805
Resistance: 1.4024, 1.4050
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.4024 prior high opens the 1.4050 round number
Break below the 1.4010 asian low and rising trendline exposes 1.4000 psych
Loss of the 1.3980 swing low invalidates the higher-low chain from Thursday
Fed's Williams at 09:30 UTC, then simultaneous Canada/US jobs at 13:30 UTC, could materially shift this read
Higher lows since NY swing low; tight Asian range under 1.4024.
USD/CAD reclaimed 1.4000 during NY hours Thursday on the jobless-claims beat and hawkish Fed talk. A higher low formed at the 1.3981 swing low before a late push to the 1.4024 prior high. Asia has held a 1.4010–1.4024 range, with the asian low defended twice, and price is now retesting the range top while RSI(14) sits mid-50s.
Support: 1.4010, 1.4000, 1.3981
Resistance: 1.4024, 1.4050
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.4024 prior high breaks the Asian range and opens 1.4050 psych
Loss of the 1.4010 asian low puts the 1.4000 round number and the higher-lows line in play
Failure below the 1.3981 swing low ends the higher-low sequence
Fed's Williams at 09:30 UTC, then simultaneous US NFP and Canada jobs at 13:30 UTC could materially shift this read
02:16 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 63 · price 1.40227
Higher highs from 1.3942; tight Asian range under the NY high.
USD/CAD ran from 1.3942 to the 1.4024 NY high on Thursday's claims beat and hawkish Fed talk, then held a narrow 1.4010–1.4023 Asian range. Price is now pressing that NY high with RSI(14) near 63, while the prior high at 1.4005 and the 1.3980 swing low sit beneath the Asian low.
Support: 1.4010, 1.40052, 1.3980
Resistance: 1.40237, 1.4050
What it said to watch
Close above the 1.4024 NY high exposes the 1.4050 round number
Loss of the 1.4010 Asian low shifts focus to the 1.4005 prior high and the 1.4000 handle
A break below the 1.3980 swing low ends the higher-low chain and puts the rally fib 50% near 1.3983 in play
Simultaneous Canada and US jobs reports at 13:30 UTC could materially shift this read
The NY-session rally ran from the 1.3981 swing low to a 1.4024 prior high, then compressed into a 1.4010–1.4023 Asian range. The latest bar is pressing that range top, with dips to the 1.4010 Asian low absorbed as oil swings and Fed-hike bets cap USD selling.
Support: 1.4010, 1.4000, 1.3981
Resistance: 1.4024, 1.4050
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.4024 prior high breaks the Asian range top and opens the 1.4050 round number
Failure to hold the 1.4010 Asian low reopens the 1.4000 round number, then the 1.3981 swing low
Fed's Williams at 09:30 UTC, then simultaneous US and Canada jobs at 13:30 UTC, could materially shift this read
01:46 UTC
Uptrend, stalling below NY high · RSI 54 · price 1.40141
Higher-low chain from London low; tight Asian range under 1.4024 after the 1.4000 break.
Price broke the 1.4000 round number during the NY session after the claims beat firmed Fed hike bets. The rally topped at the 1.4024 ny high after the 1.3980 swing low held twice. Early Asia is compressing in a 10-pip band between the 1.4010 asian low and the 1.4020 asian high, with RSI(14) neutral near 54 and price above the 23.6% fib of the 1.3942–1.4024 leg.
Support: 1.40098, 1.4000, 1.39802
Resistance: 1.40202, 1.40237
What it said to watch
A break of the 1.4020 asian high and 1.4024 ny high extends the higher-high chain
An M15 close below the 1.4010 asian low and rising support puts the 1.4000 round number in play
Loss of 1.4000 reopens the 1.3980 swing low and the 38.2% fib near 1.3993
Fed's Williams at 09:30 UTC, then US NFP and Canada jobs together at 13:30 UTC, could materially shift this read
01:31 UTC
Uptrend, pausing after breakout · RSI 52 · price 1.40144
Post-breakout consolidation inside a tight Asian range above 1.4000.
USDCAD cleared the 1.4000 round number during NY hours. A double low near 1.3981 fed the late-NY leg to the 1.4024 Nov 5 high, as hawkish Fed talk lifted USD and soft oil weighed on CAD. Early Asia session is compressing in a 1.4010–1.4020 Asian range, with RSI(14) neutral near 52 and price sitting on EMA20.
Support: 1.4010, 1.4000, 1.3981
Resistance: 1.4020, 1.4024
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4024 nov 5 high resumes the higher-high chain
Acceptance below 1.4010 asian low exposes the 1.4000 round number and the 50% fib of the late-NY leg
Break back below 1.3981 double low negates the breakout
Fed's Williams at 09:30 UTC and simultaneous US NFP / Canada jobs at 13:30 UTC could reset the Asian range
01:16 UTC
Uptrend, pausing in Asia · RSI 50 · price 1.40163
Post-breakout consolidation above 1.4000, Asian range 1.4010–1.4018.
The USD recovery on hawkish Fed talk carried price through the 1.4000 round number in the NY session. The pair extended from the 1.3980 swing low to a 1.4024 day high. Asia has compressed into a tight 1.4010–1.4018 range between the Asian low and Asian high, with RSI(14) back to neutral near 50 and the rising trendline from the London low still intact.
Support: 1.40098, 1.4000, 1.39802
Resistance: 1.40183, 1.40237
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.4010 Asian low puts the 1.4000 round number and 38.2% fib retest in play
Break above the 1.4018 Asian high and 1.4024 day high resumes the NY leg
Loss of the 1.3980 swing low and rising trendline invalidates the breakout read
Fed's Williams at 09:30 UTC; US NFP and Canada jobs at 13:30 UTC could materially shift this read
01:02 UTC
Uptrend, pausing below NY high · RSI 47 · price 1.4013
HH/HL chain from London low, tight Asia consolidation above 1.4000.
The NY session rally cleared the 1.4000 round number and printed a 1.4024 NY high as USD clawed back post-election losses on hawkish Fed talk. Asia is now holding a 1.4010–1.4018 band, with the session low sitting on the rising trendline from the 1.3942 London low. The HH/HL chain is intact and RSI(14) has cooled to the high 40s.
Support: 1.4010, 1.4000, 1.3980
Resistance: 1.4024
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.4010 session low breaks the rising trendline and puts the 1.4000 round number back in play as a retest
A push through the 1.4024 NY high extends the HH chain
Loss of the 1.3980 swing low invalidates the HH/HL sequence and the fib 61.8% zone
Fed's Williams at 09:30 UTC, then US and Canada jobs data at 13:30 UTC, could materially shift this read
00:46 UTC
Uptrend, momentum cooling in Asia · RSI 48 · price 1.40132
HH/HL chain from London low; tight Asian range above 1.4000.
Thursday's climb from the 1.3942 London-open low cleared the 1.4000 psych cap as USD recovered on hawkish Fed talk, with the day high at 1.4024 printed late in NY. Asia is compressing between the 1.4010 asian low and 1.4018 asian high, just above the ema20, while RSI(14) has cooled to around 48.
Support: 1.4010, 1.4000, 1.3981
Resistance: 1.4018, 1.4024
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.4010 asian low exposes a retest of 1.4000 psych
Loss of the 1.3981 swing low breaks the higher-low chain and the rising trendline
Close above the 1.4024 day high resumes the higher-high sequence
Fed's Williams at 09:30 UTC, then simultaneous US NFP and Canada jobs at 13:30 UTC, could materially shift this read
00:31 UTC
Uptrend, pausing in Asia · RSI 49 · price 1.4015
NY HH/HL chain broke 1.4000; tight Asian range below NY high.
NY session pushed through the 1.4000 psych cap on a higher-high/higher-low chain into a 1.4024 NY high, with soft oil weighing on CAD despite Macklem's hawkish testimony. Asia is holding a tight 1.4010–1.4018 range near the 23.6% NY leg fib, RSI(14) neutral near 49.
Support: 1.4010, 1.4000, 1.3980
Resistance: 1.4018, 1.4024
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.4010 asian low exposes the 1.4000 psych level; losing that would mark the breakout as a false break
Close above the 1.4018 asian high and the 1.4024 ny high resumes the HH chain
Break of the 1.3980 swing low ends the NY higher-low sequence
Fed's Williams at 09:30 UTC, then simultaneous US NFP and Canada jobs at 13:30 UTC could materially shift this read
00:16 UTC
Uptrend, pausing in Asian trade · RSI 56 · price 1.4016
Higher highs and higher lows since London; tight post-rollover range above 1.4000.
The rally began around midday UTC and extended through the NY session. It cleared the 1.4000 round number, the cap flagged in the CAD digest, and printed a 1.4024 day high near 21:00 UTC as USD recovered on hawkish Fed talk. After rollover, Asian trade is holding a 1.4010–1.4024 band above the rising trendline, with RSI(14) neutral near 56.
Support: 1.4010, 1.4000, 1.3981
Resistance: 1.4024, 1.4050
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.4010 asian low and the rising trendline exposes the 1.4000 round number retest
Loss of 1.4000 turns the breakout into a false break; the 1.3981 ny swing low and the 38.2% rally retrace near 1.3993 sit below
Clearance of the 1.4024 day high puts 1.4050 psych in view
Fed's Williams at 09:30 UTC, then US NFP and Canada jobs together at 13:30 UTC, could materially shift this read
Higher lows since NY open, tight post-rollover range above 1.4000.
USD/CAD broke the 1.4000 round number during NY hours as the USD recovered on the claims beat and hawkish Fed talk. It ran from the Asian low near 1.3942 to a session high at 1.4024, and now sits in a 1.4010–1.4024 range through the rollover. Price holds above the rollover low and the rising support drawn from the 1.3981 swing low.
Support: 1.4010, 1.4000, 1.3981
Resistance: 1.4024
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.4010 rollover low breaks rising support and exposes the 1.4000 round number for a retest
Failure to hold 1.4000 turns the breakout into a false break and points back to the 1.3981 swing low
M15 close above the 1.4024 session high resumes the higher-high chain
Fed's Williams at 09:30 UTC could shift this read
US NFP and Canada jobs both at 13:30 UTC Fri; the relative surprise between them is the main event risk