HH/HL chain from Asian low; holding above 1.4100 after NY pullback.
The USD bid after the PMI beat lifted the pair out of the 1.4064–1.4088 Asian range and through 1.4100. The NY push capped at the 1.4110 day high, and the pullback held the 1.4091 swing low near the 61.8% fib. Early Asia is back at the 1.4100 psych level, with RSI(14) near 62 and ATR compressed to about 4 pips.
Support: 1.4100, 1.40907, 1.40775
Resistance: 1.41095
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.4110 day high extends the higher-high chain
Failure to hold 1.4100 psych exposes the 1.4091 swing low
A break of the 1.4091 swing low and the london low at 1.4078 would end the higher-low sequence
Canada Retail Sales and US Jobless Claims, both at 12:30 UTC, plus Williams at 08:10 UTC, could materially shift this read
23:31 UTC
Uptrend, stalling below NY high · RSI 56 · price 1.41011
Higher lows since London; tight consolidation on 1.4100 in early Asia.
The US PMI beat drove the NY leg out of the 1.4064–1.4088 Asian range to a 1.4110 NY high. The pullback held the ny swing low at 1.4091, near the 61.8% fib, and price is now compressing on the 1.4100 psych level in a thin Asia session with ATR near 3.6 pips.
Support: 1.4100, 1.40907, 1.40775
Resistance: 1.41095, 1.4125
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.4110 ny high opens the 1.4125 scotia level
Loss of the 1.4091 ny swing low breaks the higher-low chain and exposes the 1.4078 london low
Fed's Williams at 08:10 UTC, then US claims and Canada Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC, could materially shift this read
23:16 UTC
Uptrend, stalling at 1.4100 · RSI 56 · price 1.4100
Higher lows since Asia; tight consolidation below session high.
USDCAD built higher lows from the 1.4064 Asian low through London. The blowout US PMI beat and hawkish Fed tone carried it to a 1.4110 session high in NY. The pullback held the 1.4091 NY low near the 61.8% fib, and price is now pinned at the 1.4100 psych level in a thin early Asia session with ATR compressed to about 4 pips.
Support: 1.40907, 1.40815, 1.40636
Resistance: 1.41054, 1.41095, 1.4125
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.4110 session high opens the 1.4125 tgt cited by Scotiabank
Loss of the 1.4091 NY low exposes the 1.4082 swing low and the rising lows trendline
Failure to hold 1.4064, the Asian low, would break the intraday higher-low chain
US Jobless Claims and Canada Retail Sales, both at 12:30 UTC Thu, could materially shift this read
Late high at 1.4105 is capping price; watch for rejection or break there
NY higher lows intact; late-NY lower high, flat at 1.4100 psych.
The US PMI beat lifted USD/CAD out of the Asian range and through London to a 1.4110 session high in NY. Supply capped a second push at the 1.4105 late NY high, and price now sits flat on the 1.4100 psych in thin trade after rollover, with RSI(14) near 54. NY higher lows from 1.4082 to the 1.4091 swing low remain intact, and that swing low sits close to the 61.8% fib of the rally from the London low.
Support: 1.40907, 1.4088
Resistance: 1.41054, 1.41095
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.4110 session high resumes the NY higher-high sequence
Failure to hold the 1.4091 swing low, near the 61.8% fib, breaks the NY higher lows and exposes the 1.4088 pmi low
Fed's Williams at 08:10 UTC, then US Jobless Claims and Canada Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC, could materially shift this read
Higher lows from London; tight consolidation above 1.4100.
The US PMI beat lifted USD/CAD out of the Asian and London ranges, through 1.4100 to a 1.41095 session high. The pullback held the 1.4091 swing low, and higher lows since the 1.4077 London low remain intact. Price is now holding just above the 1.4100 round number in quiet post-NY trade, capped by prior highs near 1.4105; the 21:00 UTC rollover wick to 1.4087 was a thin-spread print.
Support: 1.4100, 1.40907, 1.40775
Resistance: 1.41057, 1.41095
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 1.4100 round number shifts the read to a range inside the NY swing low at 1.4091
Loss of the 1.4091 swing low breaks the higher-low chain and exposes the 1.4077 London low
Clearance of prior highs at 1.4105 and the 1.41095 session high extends the breakout
Fed's Williams at 08:10 UTC, then Canada Retail Sales and US Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC, could materially shift this read
22:31 UTC
Uptrend, stalling below day high · RSI 63 · price 1.41024
Higher lows off 1.4091, compressing between 1.4100 and 1.4105 in thin post-NY trade.
The US flash PMI beat at 13:45 UTC extended the day's climb, and USD/CAD set a day high at 1.4110 during NY hours. The pullback held the 1.4091 swing low near the 61.8% of the London-NY leg fib. Price is now compressing just above the 1.4100 round number and under the 1.4105 prior high in thin rollover trade, with RSI(14) near 63 and no extreme.
Support: 1.4100, 1.4091, 1.4082
Resistance: 1.4105, 1.4110, 1.4125
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 1.4100 round number exposes the 1.4091 swing low
Loss of the 1.4091 swing low puts the 1.4082 pre-PMI low in focus and breaks the higher-low sequence
Clearance of the 1.4105 prior high and the 1.4110 day high opens the 1.4125 Scotiabank target cited in the digest
Fed's Williams at 08:10 UTC, then Canada Retail Sales and US jobless claims at 12:30 UTC, could materially shift this read
22:16 UTC
Uptrend, compressing under day high · RSI 63 · price 1.41038
Higher lows at 1.4088/1.4091, holding just above 1.4100.
USDCAD broke out of the Asian range and ran from the 1.4078 London low to a 1.41095 day high in NY after the strong US flash PMIs. Pullbacks since then have held higher lows at 1.4088 and the 1.40907 swing low. Price has ground back above the 1.4100 round number into early Asia, sitting just under the 1.41057 PMI high. The 21:00 UTC rollover wick to 1.4087 was a thin-liquidity spread print, not structure.
Support: 1.4100, 1.40907, 1.40775
Resistance: 1.41057, 1.41095
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.41095 day high extends the higher-high chain toward 1.4125
Slipping back under the 1.4100 round number returns price to the 1.4095–1.4105 NY range
Failure to hold the 1.40907 swing low breaks the higher-low sequence and exposes the 1.4078 London low
Fed's Williams (08:10 UTC), then US Jobless Claims and Canada Retail Sales (12:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
Higher lows at 1.4082 and 1.4091, capped at 1.4105/1.4110.
The US flash PMI beat lifted USDCAD from the 1.4082 NY low to a 1.4110 session high. Supply has capped the 1.4105 area on four tests since, while the 1.4091 swing low kept the higher-low chain intact. Early Asia is holding just above 1.4100 psych, and the rollover wick to 1.4087 looks spread-driven.
Support: 1.4100, 1.40907, 1.40815
Resistance: 1.4105, 1.41095
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.4110 session high breaks the 1.4105 cap
Failure to hold the 1.4091 swing low breaks the higher-low line
Loss of the 1.4082 NY low undoes the post-PMI leg
Fed's Williams at 08:10 UTC, then Jobless Claims and Canada Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC Thursday, could materially shift this read
The US flash PMI beat at 13:45 UTC lifted USDCAD from the 1.4082 pre-PMI low, out of the 1.4078–1.4092 London range, to the 1.4110 session high. The 18:00 UTC pullback held the 1.4091 swing low near the 38.2% fib, and price has since ground back above the 1.4100 round number on a higher-lows trendline, with RSI(14) near 63 and the 1.4106 pmi high capping. The 21:00 UTC rollover wick to 1.4087 printed in thin liquidity.
Support: 1.4100, 1.40907, 1.40815
Resistance: 1.41057, 1.41095
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.4110 session high breaks the post-PMI cap at the 1.4106 pmi high
Failure to hold the 1.4100 round number through Asia turns the grind into a 1.4091–1.4110 range
Close below the 1.4091 swing low breaks the higher-lows trendline and exposes the 1.4082 pre-PMI low (61.8% fib zone)
Canada Retail Sales and US Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC Thu could materially shift this read
HL chain from the NY low; retest of 1.4100 holding below the session high.
USDCAD ground higher through Asia, then broke the Asian range high near 1.4088 in NY on the US flash PMI beat, printing a session high at 1.41095. The pullback held the 1.4091 swing low near the 61.8% fib, keeping the higher-low trendline from the 1.4082 NY low intact. Price is back above the 1.4100 round number and pressing the 1.4105 late high; the rollover wick to 1.4087 came on thin liquidity.
Support: 1.4100, 1.40907, 1.40815
Resistance: 1.41054, 1.41095
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.41095 session high extends the higher-high sequence; 1.4125 is the next level cited in the CAD digest
Loss of the 1.4100 round number puts the rising trendline and the 1.4091 swing low back in play
A break below 1.4091 swing low ends the higher-low chain and exposes the 1.4082 NY low
Fed's Williams at 08:10 UTC, then US Claims and Canada Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC Thu, could materially shift this read
HH/HL chain since London; now retesting 1.4100 just under the day high.
USD/CAD climbed off the ny low at 1.4082 on the US flash PMI beat to a day high at 1.4110, then held a 61.8% retracement at the 1.4091 swing low and is now retesting the 1.4100 round number under the 1.4105 intraday cap. The 21:00 UTC wick to 1.4087 at the daily rollover reflects spread widening, not a structural break.
Support: 1.4100, 1.4091, 1.4082
Resistance: 1.4105, 1.4110
What it said to watch
An M15 close above the 1.4110 day high extends the higher-high chain
A loss of the 1.4091 swing low breaks the higher-low sequence and the NY-leg trendline; the ny low at 1.4082 is next
Repeated failure at the 1.4105 intraday cap would turn the round number retest into a range
Fed's Williams at 08:10 UTC, then Canada Retail Sales and US Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC, could materially shift this read
Higher lows since London, capped at 1.4105–1.4110.
USD/CAD broke above the Asian range in London and extended on the US flash PMI beat, printing a session high at 1.4110. The pullback that followed retraced 61.8% of the PMI leg and held at the 1.4091 swing low. Late NY is back above the 1.4100 round number, with higher lows along a rising trendline, but the 1.4105 intraday cap has now rejected price four times.
Support: 1.4100, 1.40907, 1.40815
Resistance: 1.41055, 1.41095
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.4110 session high would extend the higher-high sequence; the intraday cap at 1.4105 has held so far
Loss of the 1.4091 swing low and the rising trendline breaks the higher-low chain, exposing the 1.4082 pre-pmi low
Holding the 1.4100 round number through thin post-NY and Asia hours keeps the retest intact
Williams (08:10 UTC), then Canada Retail Sales and US Jobless Claims (Thu 12:30 UTC), could materially shift this read
20:46 UTC
Uptrend, stalling at 1.4100 · RSI 49 · price 1.40995
Higher lows since the London session, capped at 1.4100–1.4110 in NY.
The US flash PMI beats pushed USDCAD through the 1.4100 round number and on to a 1.4110 session high, but each push above that level failed to hold during NY hours. Price is now coiling just under 1.4100 late in the NY session, with the 1.4091 swing low and the rising lows line still intact.
Support: 1.4091, 1.4078
Resistance: 1.4100, 1.4110
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.4110 session high breaks the NY cap
Loss of the 1.4091 swing low and the rising lows line shifts the read to a range; the 1.4078 london low is next below
Williams 08:10 UTC, then Canada Retail Sales and US Claims at 12:30 UTC Thu, could materially shift this read
The US flash PMI beats at 13:45 UTC broke the pair out of its Asian/London range above 1.4090, printing a session high at 1.41095. The pullback held the ny low at 1.40907, near the 61.8% fib of the pmi base leg, and price is back at the 1.4100 psych level late in the NY session with RSI(14) neutral near 49 and ATR around 5 pips.
Support: 1.40907, 1.40815
Resistance: 1.4100, 1.41095
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.41095 session high extends the higher-high chain
Break below the 1.40907 ny low and rising trendline exposes the 1.40815 pmi base
Repeated failure at 1.4100 psych keeps the post-PMI range intact
Williams (08:10 UTC) and Canada Retail Sales / US claims (12:30 UTC) Thu could materially shift this read
Post-PMI breakout, higher low at 1.4091, compressing at 1.4100.
Hot US flash PMIs drove a breakout from the 1.4082–1.4094 London/NY range to a 1.41095 session high. The pullback held the 1.4091 swing low, just beyond the 61.8% fib, and the rising lows are intact. After NY close, price is compressing at the 1.4100 round number with RSI(14) neutral near 54.
Support: 1.40907, 1.40815, 1.40775
Resistance: 1.4100, 1.41095
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.41095 session high extends the higher-high chain toward 1.4125
Loss of the 1.4091 swing low breaks the rising lows and exposes the 1.4082 pre-PMI low, then the 1.4078 london low
Williams 08:10 UTC, then Canada Retail Sales and US Jobless Claims Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Post-PMI range 1.4091–1.4110 above broken London high.
The 13:45 UTC US PMI beat lifted USD/CAD through the London high near 1.4091. NY printed a session high at 1.4110 after repeated prior highs around 1.4105, then pulled back to a swing low at 1.4091, near the fib 61.8% of the London-low rally. Late NY, price is pressing the 1.4100 round number with RSI(14) neutral near 56, and the rising lows trendline is intact.
Support: 1.40907, 1.40913, 1.40775
Resistance: 1.4100, 1.41048, 1.41095
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.4110 session high extends the uptrend toward 1.4125
Loss of the 1.4091 swing low and the london high breaks the rising lows trendline
A break below 1.4091 exposes the 1.4078 london low
Repeated rejection at the 1.4100 round number / 1.4105 prior highs keeps the range intact
Thu 12:30 UTC Canada Retail Sales and US Jobless Claims, plus Fed's Williams at 08:10 UTC, could reset the range
HH/HL chain from Asia; NY spike rejected, late-NY consolidation above 1.4091.
Asia ground higher from 1.4057 and London held a 1.4078–1.4094 range. The US PMI beat at 13:45 UTC lifted USD/CAD off the pmi low through the 1.4100 psych level to a 1.4110 session high, where it met rejection; the pullback held near the 61.8% of the NY leg fib and the NY rising line. Late NY is now consolidating 1.4091–1.4100 with RSI(14) neutral near 52 and ATR(14) around 5.4 pips.
Support: 1.4091, 1.4082, 1.4078
Resistance: 1.4100, 1.4110
What it said to watch
An M15 close below the ny low at 1.4091 breaks the NY rising line and exposes the pmi low at 1.4082, then the london low at 1.4078
Acceptance above the 1.4100 psych level and the 1.4110 session high extends the HH chain
Canada Retail Sales and US Jobless Claims (Thu 12:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
Higher lows pressing a capped 1.4100–1.4110 ceiling.
USD/CAD lifted off the 1.4082 pre-pmi low on the US PMI beat during NY hours, but the 1.4100 psych level has capped four probes, the latest a rejection from the 1.4110 session high. Dips are getting shallower along a higher lows line through the 1.4088 pmi low and the 1.4091 swing low. Price is holding near the 50% fib of the PMI leg, pinned to EMA20 with RSI(14) neutral near 49.
Support: 1.40907, 1.4088, 1.40815
Resistance: 1.4100, 1.41095
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.4110 session high clears the 1.4100 psych cap
Failure to hold the 1.4091 swing low and the higher lows line breaks the chain and exposes the 1.4088 pmi low
Loss of the 1.4082 pre-pmi low would unwind the PMI leg fib entirely
Thu Canada Retail Sales and US Jobless Claims (12:30 UTC), plus Williams at 08:10 UTC, could materially shift this read
19:16 UTC
Uptrend, stalling under 1.4100 · RSI 50 · price 1.40968
Higher lows since Asia; late-NY range 1.4091–1.4110 with repeated rejection above 1.4100.
The blowout US PMIs lifted USD/CAD off the 1.4082 NY open low. Three pushes through the 1.4100 psych level were rejected, the last at the 1.4110 session high. Late in the NY session, price is rotating around 1.4097, holding above the 1.4091 NY low and the higher-lows trendline, with RSI(14) neutral near 50.
Support: 1.40907, 1.40815
Resistance: 1.4100, 1.41095
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.4110 session high breaks the rejection pattern at the 1.4100 psych level
Loss of the 1.4091 NY low and the higher-lows trendline opens a deeper fib retrace toward the 1.4082 NY open low
Thin Asia session ahead; next scheduled risk is Fed's Williams at 08:10 UTC, then US jobless claims and Canada retail sales at 12:30 UTC
Blowout US PMIs lifted USD/CAD off the 1.4082 pmi low into NY hours. Two pushes through the 1.4100 round number (1.4106, then a 1.4110 session high) were rejected. The pullback held a 1.4091 swing low near the 61.8% fib on the rising trendline, with RSI(14) flat near 49 and price pinned on EMA20 late in the NY session.
Support: 1.40907, 1.40815, 1.40775
Resistance: 1.4100, 1.41095
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.4110 session high invalidates the false-break read
Failure to hold the 1.4091 swing low breaks the higher-low chain and trendline, exposing the 1.4082 pmi low and 1.4078 london low
Thu Williams (08:10 UTC), then US jobless claims and Canada Retail Sales (12:30 UTC) could reset the range
Hot US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC pushed USDCAD out of the Asian-London range (1.4064–1.4093) and through 1.4100. The pair has since been capped at the repeat highs near 1.4105 and the 1.4110 day high. The pullback held a swing low at 1.4091, near the 61.8% of the PMI leg. Late-NY trade sits mid-range around 1.4098 with RSI(14) neutral near 52, and higher lows are intact above the post-PMI low at 1.4088 and rising support.
Support: 1.40907, 1.4088, 1.40775
Resistance: 1.4105, 1.41095
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.4110 day high breaks the repeat highs cap and resumes the uptrend
Close below the 1.4088 post-PMI low and rising support breaks the higher-low sequence and exposes the 1.4078 london low
Fed's Williams (08:10 UTC Thu), then US jobless claims and Canada Retail Sales (12:30 UTC Thu), could materially shift this read
The flash US PMI beat at 13:45 UTC lifted the pair off the 1.4082 pre-pmi low, but three NY-session pushes through 1.4100 psych were rejected, the latest at the 1.4110 session high. Price is now back at the 50% retrace of the PMI leg near 1.4096 and sitting on the EMA20, with RSI(14) neutral at 52 and the higher low at 1.4091 intact.
Support: 1.4091, 1.4082
Resistance: 1.4100, 1.41095
What it said to watch
An M15 close above the 1.4110 session high would break the repeated cap at 1.4100 psych
Loss of the 1.4091 higher low and the higher-lows trendline exposes the 1.4082 pre-pmi low
Fed's Williams (Thu 08:10 UTC), then US claims and Canada retail sales (Thu 12:30 UTC), could materially shift this read
18:16 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pulling back from highs · RSI 47 · price 1.40908
HH/HL chain since Asia; late-NY rejection from 1.4110 back to the 61.8% retrace.
Steady climb from the 1.4065 Asian base extended after the flash US PMI beat, taking price through the round number at 1.4100. Supply capped the late-NY push at the 1.4110 session high, and the drop sits on the 61.8% fib near 1.4090 with the pmi low at 1.4088 just below. RSI(14) has cooled to the high 40s and price is back under EMA20.
Support: 1.4088, 1.4085, 1.4078
Resistance: 1.4100, 1.4110
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.4088 pmi low and the rising trendline near 1.4085 breaks the HL chain; london low at 1.4078 is next
Reclaim of the round number at 1.4100 puts the 1.4110 session high back in play
Fed's Williams (08:10 UTC) and US claims / Canada Retail Sales (both 12:30 UTC Thu) could materially shift this read
18:02 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pulling back from NY high · RSI 46 · price 1.40908
Post-PMI breakout above London high, now retesting breakout zone after rejection at 1.4110.
The US flash PMI beat lifted USDCAD through the London high near 1.4094 and above the 1.4100 psych level. The NY high at 1.4110 was rejected, and price has slid back to 1.4091 into the breakout zone. RSI(14) sits near 46, price is below EMA20 and resting on EMA50, and the move is at the 61.8% fib of the London-NY leg.
Support: 1.4088, 1.4082, 1.4078
Resistance: 1.4100, 1.4110
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.4088 post-PMI low negates the breakout retest
Loss of the 1.4082 pre-PMI low exposes the 1.4078 London low, the base of the London-NY leg
Reclaim of 1.4100 psych keeps the 1.4110 NY high in play; a close above it extends the NY session range
Fed's Williams at 08:10 UTC and Canada Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC Thu could materially shift this read
HH/HL chain from London, holding above 1.4100 late NY.
The flash US PMI beat at 13:45 UTC pushed price out of the London range and through 1.4100 to a 1.4106 pmi high. Dips then held at 1.4088 (pmi low) and 1.4094 (higher low), and a late NY extension set a 1.4110 session high. Price is now sitting just above the 1.4100 psych level, with RSI(14) near 58, well short of stretched, and the NY trendline rising underneath.
Support: 1.4100, 1.40938, 1.4088
Resistance: 1.41057, 1.41095
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 1.4094 higher low breaks the NY trendline and the HL chain
Acceptance under the 1.4088 pmi low would turn the 1.4100 break into a false break
M15 close above the 1.4110 session high extends the chain toward 1.4125
The 50% of the NY leg fib at ~1.4096 coincides with the 1.4100 psych level, a zone to watch on any dip
Canada Retail Sales and US Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC Thu could materially shift this read
Higher lows since PMI spike, capped at 1.4105–1.4110.
USD/CAD extended its Asia-London climb after the strong US flash PMIs and hawkish Fedspeak. It cleared 1.4090 and printed a session high at 1.4110 late in NY hours. Price is holding just above the 1.4100 round number, with higher lows at 1.4088 and 1.4094. Repeated rejection at 1.4105–1.4110 is capping the move, and RSI(14) sits neutral near 58.
Support: 1.4100, 1.40938, 1.4088
Resistance: 1.41095, 1.4125
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.4110 session high opens the 1.4125 noted target
Break of the 1.4094 higher low and the 1.4088 swing low undercuts the higher-lows trendline and the PMI-leg fib 61.8%
Loss of the 1.4082 pre-PMI low would unwind the post-PMI leg
Canada Retail Sales and US Jobless Claims Thu 12:30 UTC are the next scheduled risk; post-NY liquidity is thin until then
17:16 UTC
Uptrend, capped at session high · RSI 62 · price 1.4104
Higher lows since Asia; post-PMI range 1.4088–1.4106 pressing the top.
USDCAD broke the London high near 1.4094 on the US PMI beat. The 1.4106 session high has since capped four tests during NY hours, while dips held the 1.4094 NY lows and the 1.4088 post-PMI low. Price is back at the session high late in NY, above 1.4100 and the rising trendline from the Asian low, with RSI(14) near 62.
Support: 1.4094, 1.4088, 1.4082
Resistance: 1.4106, 1.4125
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.4106 session high opens the path to Scotiabank's 1.4125 target (scotia tgt)
Loss of the 1.4088 post-pmi low, the 38.2% of the day's rally, breaks the higher-low chain
A break of the rising trendline and 1.4082 pre-pmi low shifts the read to a failed breakout
Thu 12:30 UTC: Canada Retail Sales and US Jobless Claims land together and could reset the range
17:02 UTC
Uptrend, pressing the session high · RSI 62 · price 1.4104
Higher lows compressing under a flat 1.4106 NY high.
The US PMI beat at 13:45 UTC lifted USDCAD from the 1.4082 post-PMI low through the Asian and London highs to a 1.4106 session high. Since then the pair has tested 1.4105 three times with rising lows at 1.4088 and 1.4094, and late NY is holding just above the 1.4100 round number (RSI 62).
Support: 1.4100, 1.4094, 1.4082
Resistance: 1.4106, 1.4125
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.4106 session high opens 1.4125, the next cited level
Loss of the 1.4100 round number and the 1.4094 higher low breaks the rising-lows line and exposes the 1.4082 post-PMI low
Canada Retail Sales and US Jobless Claims Thu 12:30 UTC, with Fed's Williams at 08:10 UTC, could materially shift this read
Higher lows from the Asian range (1.4064–1.4088) carried through London, and the US flash PMI beat at 13:45 UTC spiked price to the 1.4106 session high. Supply has capped 1.4105 twice since, with the post-PMI low at 1.4088 holding near the 38.2% retrace. Price is compressing just under the 1.4100 round number with RSI(14) neutral at 55.
Support: 1.4088, 1.40815, 1.40775
Resistance: 1.4100, 1.41057
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.4106 session high breaks the double rejection and puts 1.4125 in view
Loss of the 1.4088 post-pmi low opens the 1.4082 swing low and rising support
Break below the 1.4078 london low invalidates the intraday HH/HL chain
Fed Williams at 08:10 UTC and US claims / Canada retail sales at 12:30 UTC Thu could materially shift this read
Higher lows since Asia; post-PMI consolidation under 1.4106.
USDCAD climbed from the 1.4057 Asian low and cleared the Asian range in London. The blowout US flash PMI beat lifted it to a 1.4106 PMI high during NY hours, where it met rejection. A second test at 1.4105 also failed, and price is now compressing just under the 1.4100 round number. The 1.4088 swing low held near the 38.2% retracement, so the higher-low chain stays intact while CAD ignores firmer oil.
Support: 1.4088, 1.40815, 1.40775
Resistance: 1.4100, 1.41057, 1.4125
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.4106 PMI high breaks the post-PMI cap and puts the 1.4125 area in play
Loss of the 1.4088 swing low exposes the 1.4082 pre-PMI low and rising trendline support
Break below the 1.4078 London low ends the intraday higher-low sequence
Fed's Williams 08:10 UTC Thu, then US claims and Canada Retail Sales 12:30 UTC Thu, could materially shift this read
Post-PMI range 1.4088–1.4105 above broken London high.
The US flash PMI beat at 13:45 UTC lifted USDCAD through the London range top at 1.4091 to a session high of 1.4106, which was rejected twice around the 1.4100 round figure. Price is now holding 1.4095–1.4100 in late NY, above the 1.4088 NY pullback low. RSI(14) is neutral near 57.
Support: 1.4088, 1.40815, 1.40775
Resistance: 1.41057, 1.4125
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.4106 session high reopens the path toward the 1.4125 Scotia target
Loss of the 1.4088 NY pullback low puts the pre-PMI low at 1.4082 and the rising trendline in play
Break below the 1.4078 London low undoes the post-PMI breakout
Canada Retail Sales and US Jobless Claims (Thu 12:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
Higher lows since London; post-PMI breakout rejected at session high, pullback held above Asian high.
The US flash PMI beat lifted USD/CAD through the London highs near 1.4094 to a 1.4106 session high, where the 1.4100 psych level produced a rejection. The pullback low at 1.4088 held near the 38.2% of the day rally fib and above the Asian high, and price is now compressing just under 1.4100 late in the London-NY overlap with RSI(14) neutral at 56.
Support: 1.4088, 1.40815, 1.40775
Resistance: 1.4100, 1.41057
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.4106 session high opens the path to the 1.4125 area flagged in the CAD digest
Break of the 1.4088 pullback low returns price to the London range; losing the 1.4082 pre-NY low breaks the rising higher-low line
A drop below the 1.4078 london low would negate the intraday higher-low chain
Thu: Williams (08:10 UTC), then US Jobless Claims and Canada Retail Sales (both 12:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
HH/HL chain from London low; post-PMI spike rejected, pullback held 61.8% fib.
The US PMI beat in NY hours pushed USDCAD through the 1.4094 London highs to a 1.4106 session high. Price was rejected back under the 1.4100 round number, and the pullback held 1.4088, where the asian high meets the 61.8% fib of the london low-to-session high leg. Price is now rotating mid-range late in NY, about 45 minutes before London close.
Support: 1.4088, 1.40815, 1.40775
Resistance: 1.4100, 1.41057, 1.4125
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.4106 session high extends the HH chain, with Scotiabank's 1.4125 scotia tgt the next reference
Failure to hold the 1.4088 asian high exposes the 1.4082 ny low and the rising lows line toward the 1.4078 london low
Fed's Williams at 08:10 UTC Thu, then US claims and Canada retail sales at 12:30 UTC, could materially shift this read
Higher lows since London; PMI spike rejected at session high.
London broke above the Asian range and built a chain of rising swing lows. The hot US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC then drove a spike to a 1.4106 session high. Price was rejected just above the 1.4100 round number and pulled back to a 1.4088 pullback low near the 61.8% of the London leg, with RSI(14) cooling to about 55 in mid-NY session.
Support: 1.4088, 1.40815, 1.40775
Resistance: 1.4100, 1.41057
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.4100 round number and 1.4106 session high resumes the higher-high chain
Break below the 1.4088 pullback low and 1.4082 swing low breaks the rising swing lows trendline
Loss of the 1.4078 london low unwinds the London breakout of the Asian range
US jobless claims and Canada retail sales (Thu 12:30 UTC), plus Fed's Williams at 08:10 UTC, could reset this read
14:46 UTC
Uptrend, extending in early NY · RSI 64 · price 1.41028
HH/HL chain from 1.4057; post-PMI breakout above 1.4100.
London lifted the pair out of the 1.4064–1.4088 Asian range, and the HH/HL chain held on the rising trendline. The sharp US flash PMI beat at 13:45 UTC drove a breakout through the 1.4094 pre-PMI high and the 1.4100 round number to a 1.4106 session high. RSI(14) sits near 64, firm but not stretched, and the 13:30 swing low at 1.4082 marks the last higher low.
Support: 1.4100, 1.40938, 1.40815
Resistance: 1.41057, 1.4125
What it said to watch
An M15 close back below the 1.4100 round number would turn the PMI breakout into a false break
A slide through the 1.4094 pre-PMI high toward the 1.4082 swing low would test the rising trendline and the HL chain
A move through the 1.4106 session high exposes the 1.4125 Scotiabank level flagged in the CAD digest
Fed's Barr is speaking now; a softer tone on an October hike could stall the USD leg
Higher lows since London, breakout above 1.4094 cap.
USDCAD cleared the 1.4094 cap on the US flash PMI beat at 13:45 UTC, setting a session high at 1.4098 just below the 1.4100 round number. Higher lows at the london low of 1.4078 and the ny low of 1.4082 keep the intraday uptrend intact after the pair left the 1.4064–1.4088 Asian range. RSI(14) sits near 60, well short of stretched.
Support: 1.4094, 1.4082, 1.4078
Resistance: 1.4098, 1.4100
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 1.4094 breakout level would turn the move into a false break
Rejection at the session high or the 1.4100 round number would leave a cap inside the NY session
Break of the ny low at 1.4082 breaks the higher-lows trendline, with the london low at 1.4078 next
Fed's Barr speaking now; US Claims and Canada Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could shift this read
HH/HL chain from Asian low; PMI spike to new session high.
The US flash PMI beat lifted USDCAD to a session high at 1.4098 early in NY hours, extending a higher-low chain from the London low at 1.4078 and the pre-PMI low at 1.4082. Price sits above the Asian high at 1.4085, just under the 1.4100 round number, with RSI(14) near 60 and room left before overbought.
Support: 1.40853, 1.40815, 1.40775
Resistance: 1.40982, 1.4100
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.4100 round number extends the breakout beyond the session high
Break back below the pre-PMI low at 1.4082 puts the Asian high and London low at 1.4078 (50% fib) in play
Loss of the rising trendline from the London low breaks the higher-low sequence
Fed speaker headlines (Barr) during NY hours could shift the USD leg
14:02 UTC
Uptrend, fresh breakout on US PMI bar · RSI 60 · price 1.40955
Higher lows since London; range top broken, testing 1.4100.
The 13:45 UTC bar around the US flash PMI release broke the 1.4091–1.4094 range top that capped London and early NY. It printed a session high at 1.4098, just shy of the 1.4100 round number, extending the three-day USD bid. Rising lows run from the 1.4078 London low to the 1.4082 pre-PMI low, and RSI(14) near 60 is not stretched.
Support: 1.4094, 1.4082, 1.4078
Resistance: 1.4098, 1.4100
What it said to watch
An M15 close back below the 1.4094 range top would turn the breakout into a false break
A hold above the 1.4100 round number extends the session-high sequence; rejection there keeps price inside the prior range
A break of the rising lows trendline and the 1.4082 pre-PMI low reopens the 1.4078 London low
Fed's Barr at 14:05 UTC could materially shift this read
Tight 1.4078–1.4094 range since London open, higher lows intact.
USD strength on hawkish Fed repricing and sub-$90 crude lifted the pair through the Asian range, but the session high at 1.4094 has capped three probes. The latest rejection pulled price back to 1.4082, where the fib 38.2 of the Asian-session rally has held so far, just above the 1.4078 London low.
Support: 1.40822, 1.40775, 1.40637
Resistance: 1.40938, 1.4100
What it said to watch
US flash PMIs (13:45 UTC) and Fed's Barr (14:05 UTC) could break the range either way
M15 close above the 1.4094 session high exposes the 1.4100 round number
Close below the 1.4078 London low breaks the higher-low sequence and opens the Asian low at 1.4064
13:31 UTC
Uptrend, stalling under 1.4100 · RSI 53 · price 1.40874
Higher lows pressing into a flat 1.4094 cap.
USD/CAD has printed higher lows along a rising trendline through London and into the NY session, helped by broad USD strength and sub-$90 WTI. The move keeps stalling at the 1.4091–1.4094 session high, just below the 1.4100 round number, with a rejection there at 12:45 UTC. Price sits on EMA20 near 1.4087, RSI(14) ~53 and ATR ~5 pips, so the tape is compressed going into the US flash PMIs.
Support: 1.40842, 1.40775, 1.40637
Resistance: 1.40938, 1.4100
What it said to watch
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and Fed's Barr at 14:05 UTC could materially shift this read
An M15 close above the 1.4094 session high puts the 1.4100 round number in play
A break of the rising trendline and the 1.4084 NY low shifts focus to the 1.4078 London low
Failure at the London low exposes the Asian low at 1.4064 and ends the higher-low sequence
13:16 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pulling back · RSI 53 · price 1.40854
Higher highs and higher lows since the Asia session; London-NY transition dip testing the Asian high.
USD/CAD extended its higher-high chain through London to a session high at 1.4094, a high since late July, on hawkish-Fed dollar demand and sub-$90 WTI. A 9-pip drop in the 12:45 UTC bar has pulled price back onto the Asian high at 1.4085, which coincides with the rising-lows trendline. The 1.4078 swing low is the last higher low beneath.
Support: 1.4085, 1.4078
Resistance: 1.4094, 1.4100
What it said to watch
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and Fed's Barr at 14:05 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close below the 1.4078 swing low breaks the higher-low chain and the rising-lows trendline
Close above the 1.4094 session high puts the 1.4100 round number in play
12:46 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 68 · price 1.40933
Higher-low chain off London low, testing session highs.
In the first hour of NY, USDCAD is printing a fresh session high at 1.4094 after clearing the 1.4091 London high. This extends the overnight rally from the 1.4057 rollover low and a higher-low chain off the 1.4078 London low, with hawkish-Fed dollar demand and sub-$90 WTI keeping CAD heavy. The 1.4100 round number sits about 7 pips overhead, RSI(14) is near 68 and ATR is around 4.6 pips.
Support: 1.40913, 1.40821, 1.40775
Resistance: 1.40936, 1.4100
What it said to watch
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and Fed's Barr at 14:05 UTC could materially shift this read
Rejection at the 1.4100 round number plus an M15 close back under the 1.4091 London high would flag a false break
An M15 close below the 1.4082 higher low breaks the rising trendline and the higher-low chain
Failure to hold the 1.4078 London low would put the overnight rally structure in question
HH/HL chain from the 1.4057 rollover low; London at a fresh session high.
USDCAD has held a higher-high, higher-low chain since the 1.4057 low at the daily rollover. London printed a fresh session high at 1.4093 as the hawkish-Fed dollar bid and sub-$90 WTI kept CAD heavy, and the dip to the london low at 1.4078 held above the rising trendline. The 1.4100 round number sits about 7 pips overhead, with RSI(14) near 66 and not stretched.
Support: 1.40821, 1.40775
Resistance: 1.40929, 1.4100
What it said to watch
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC (about 75 min out) could materially shift this read; Fed's Barr follows at 14:05 UTC
An M15 close above the 1.4100 round number extends the HH chain; rejection there flags a stall at the session high
A break of the 1.4082 swing low and the rising trendline ends the HL sequence and exposes the london low at 1.4078
Higher lows into a double top at 1.40916 after the Asian range high broke.
London broke the Asian range high near 1.40879 and stalled twice at 1.40916, leaving a double top with RSI(14) around 63 and no expansion — ATR(14) just 4.5 pips. Sub-$90 crude keeps CAD heavy, and price is holding above the ema20 near 1.40855 on a chain of higher lows from the 1.40775 london low.
Support: 1.40855, 1.40775, 1.40637
Resistance: 1.40916, 1.4100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40916 session high invalidates the double top and exposes the 1.41000 round number
Loss of the 1.40775 london low breaks the rising support and the higher-low chain
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC land within the next bar hour and can reprice this range
12:02 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 61 · price 1.40886
Higher highs and higher lows since the late-NY low, London trading at the top of the 24h range.
London broke above the Asia high at 1.40853 and printed a session high of 1.40916, with price holding the breakout on the retest into the London-NY transition; the move fits the hawkish-Fed USD bid and sub-$90 WTI weighing on CAD. RSI(14) at ~61 and ATR(14) near 5 pips — steady, low-volatility drift rather than an impulse.
Support: 1.40853, 1.40775, 1.40571
Resistance: 1.40916, 1.4100
What it said to watch
A 15m close above 1.40916 session high opens the path to the 1.4100 round number
Loss of 1.40775 london low breaks the rising trendline off the prior-day low and ends the higher-low chain
Slip back under 1.40853 asia high would turn the breakout into a false break
US flash PMIs at 13:45 GMT plus Fed's Barr at 14:05 GMT land in the next bars and can reprice this range
Price has ground higher through Asia and London on the hawkish-Fed USD bid and sub-$90 crude, tagging a session high at 1.40913 before a dip to the london low at 1.40775 was bought back. Now pressing the top of the London range again with RSI(14) mid-50s and ATR just under 5 pips — compression ahead of the US open rather than a breakout.
Support: 1.40775, 1.40571
Resistance: 1.40913, 1.4100
What it said to watch
US flash PMIs at 13:45 GMT land inside the next bar block and can resolve this consolidation either way
M15 close above the 1.40913 session high opens the 1.41000 round number as the next reference
Loss of the 1.40775 london low breaks the higher-low chain and puts the overnight low at 1.40571 back in play
Higher highs into London, now consolidating under session high.
Steady grind higher through the Asia session took price off the 1.4065 asian low to a 1.40913 session high early in London, where it was rejected and has since coiled in a 1.40775–1.40913 band with RSI(14) back near 45. Hawkish-Fed momentum and sub-$90 crude keep the 1.4100 round number the obvious upside reference, but the last eight bars are pure consolidation with ATR down to ~4 pips.
Support: 1.40775, 1.4065, 1.40571
Resistance: 1.40913, 1.4100
What it said to watch
Close above 1.40913 session high opens the path to the 1.4100 round number
Loss of the 1.40775 london low breaks the intraday higher-low chain and exposes 1.4065
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC land mid-window and can materially reset this range read
Higher highs/higher lows, now consolidating under session high.
London extended Tuesday's grind to a session high of 1.40913 before stalling, and price has since balanced in a 1.40775–1.40913 band with RSI(14) back to 48 and ATR(14) around 4.5 pips. The advance fits the hawkish-Fed plus sub-$90 crude backdrop flagged in the digest; the 1.4100 round number remains untested, while the asia range shelf near 1.4065 was cleared cleanly on the way up.
Support: 1.40775, 1.4065, 1.40571
Resistance: 1.40913, 1.4100
What it said to watch
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and Fed's Barr at 14:05 UTC can reprice this range within one or two bars
Acceptance above the 1.40913 session high opens the path to the 1.4100 round number
A close below the 1.40775 session low breaks the intraday higher-low chain and puts the 1.4065 asia range back in play
Higher lows into a tight shelf below the session high.
London extended the overnight grind to 1.40913 before stalling, and price has since coiled in a 1.40775-1.40876 shelf with RSI(14) back to neutral near 48 and spot pinned on the EMA20. The drift higher tracks the hawkish-Fed, sub-$90 crude backdrop, but the round number at 1.41000 has not been tested and ATR is a thin 4.5 pips.
Support: 1.40775, 1.4065, 1.40571
Resistance: 1.40913, 1.4100
What it said to watch
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC land within the next few bars and can break the shelf either way
A 15-minute close above the 1.40913 session high opens the path to the 1.41000 round number
Loss of the 1.40775 session low breaks the higher-low chain and exposes the 1.40650 prior pivot
Repeated rejection under 1.40913 keeps the consolidation read intact
10:46 UTC
Uptrend, momentum flattening near session high · RSI 52 · price 1.40845
Higher highs and higher lows since the 21:45 UTC low, now consolidating below the session high.
London hours extended the grind off 1.40571, tagged 1.40913 as the session high and were rejected, with price now chopping in a 14-pip band above the asian range and EMA20 flat at 1.4084. The bid tone matches the hawkish-Fed plus sub-$90 crude backdrop, but RSI(14) near 52 shows momentum has drained out of the move; ATR(14) is a thin 4.5 pips.
Support: 1.40775, 1.4065, 1.40571
Resistance: 1.40913, 1.4100
What it said to watch
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and Fed's Barr at 14:05 UTC land inside the next few bars and can reprice this range
M15 close above the 1.40913 session high opens the 1.41000 round number
Loss of the 1.40775 session low breaks the rising-lows chain and puts the asian range at 1.40650 back in play
Higher lows into a tight shelf below the session high.
Steady Asia-into-London grind off 1.40305 stalled at the 1.40913 session high, with two rejections there before a shallow dip to the 1.40775 session low and a recovery back to 1.40857 — price is pinned just above EMA20 with RSI(14) back to neutral near 54. The drift reflects the broader USD bid against a soft CAD with WTI under $90; ATR(14) is only ~4.6 pips, so ranges are compressed ahead of the NY session.
Support: 1.40775, 1.4065
Resistance: 1.40913, 1.4100
What it said to watch
Close above the 1.40913 session high opens the path to the 1.41000 round number
Loss of the 1.40775 session low breaks the higher-low chain and exposes the 1.40650 asian shelf
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC plus Fed's Barr shortly after can reprice this range within the next few bars
Higher highs/higher lows, consolidating under session high.
London extended the grind off the Asia range and printed a session high at 1.40913 before stalling, with CAD staying heavy on sub-$90 WTI and a firm USD. Price is now coiled either side of the EMA20 at 1.40840, RSI(14) back to 56 after the pullback to 1.40775 held; ATR(14) is a thin 4.4 pips.
Support: 1.4084, 1.40775, 1.40655
Resistance: 1.40913, 1.4100
What it said to watch
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC with Fed's Barr at 14:05 — high-impact risk inside the next bar period
A close above the 1.40913 session high opens the 1.41000 round number
Loss of the 1.40775 london low breaks the higher-low chain and puts the 1.40655 asia range back in play
Higher highs into London, now consolidating below the session high.
A steady overnight grind off the 1.40571 Asia low extended into the London session, where 1.40913 capped price and the pullback stalled at the 1.40775 london low. Price is now mid-range around 1.40849 with RSI(14) back at neutral — sub-$90 crude and a USD holding seven-week highs remain the backdrop.
Support: 1.40775, 1.4065
Resistance: 1.40913, 1.4100
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.40913 session high opens the path to the 1.41000 round number
Loss of the 1.40775 london low confirms a lower low and exposes the 1.40650 asia shelf
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC can reset this intraday range within the next few bars
Higher highs/higher lows intact but last 4 bars carve lower highs back inside the Asian range.
The first hours of London pushed marginally above the Asian high to a session high at 1.40913 and were rejected, with price now back under EMA20 and holding the 1.40775 london low — consistent with the sub-$90 WTI / firm-USD grind that has driven three straight up sessions. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s and ATR(14) is only ~5 pips, so the advance is flattening rather than reversing.
Support: 1.40775, 1.40571
Resistance: 1.40913, 1.4100
What it said to watch
A 15m close above 1.40913 re-opens the path to the 1.41000 round number
Loss of the 1.40775 london low breaks the intraday higher-low chain and exposes the 1.40571 asian low
US S&P Global flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC can materially reset this intraday read
Grinding higher through Asia and into London, USD/CAD printed a session high at 1.40913 before stalling — sub-$90 WTI and a firm dollar remain the backdrop. Last four bars have slipped back to the 1.40775 session low and price is now marginally under EMA20 with RSI(14) back at the midline; ATR(14) 4.8 pips.
Support: 1.40775, 1.4065
Resistance: 1.40913, 1.4100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40913 session high opens the 1.41000 round number
Loss of the 1.40775 session low breaks the rising support line and puts the 1.40650 asian range back in play
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC are the next event risk for this read
Higher highs / higher lows since Asia, capped under 1.4091.
London hours extended the Asia grind to a session high of 1.40913 before supply capped it, and price has since slipped back under EMA20 to 1.4080 with RSI(14) cooling to ~46. The push is USD-led on the hawkish-Fed rate story plus soft crude weighing on CAD; structure stays a shallow higher-low chain off the 1.4065 asia base with ATR(14) just ~4.6 pips.
Support: 1.40775, 1.4065, 1.40571
Resistance: 1.40913, 1.4100
What it said to watch
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC are the nearest catalyst and could materially shift this intraday read
M15 close above the 1.40913 session high opens the 1.4100 round figure
Loss of the 1.40775 recent low and then the 1.4065 asia base breaks the higher-low sequence, with 1.40571 prior day low below
09:03 UTC
Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 46 · price 1.4080
Chain of higher highs/higher lows, first lower high after session high.
Steady grind higher off the asia low at 1.40571 carried into the London session, printing a session high at 1.40913 before rejection dragged price back to 1.40800 and under EMA20; RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s. ATR(14) is only ~4.4 pips, so this is a slow trend — CAD stayed heavy with crude soft and the hawkish Fed story intact, leaving the 1.4100 round number the next reference above.
Support: 1.40775, 1.40712, 1.40571
Resistance: 1.40913, 1.4100
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.40775 recent low breaks the higher-low sequence
Reclaim of 1.40913 session high opens the path to the 1.41000 round number
Loss of the 1.40712 swing low invalidates the intraday uptrend read
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and Fed's Barr 14:05 UTC can reset this intraday range
08:46 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 57 · price 1.40856
Higher highs and higher lows since the Asia low, price pinned near session high.
Steady London-session grind: price broke the Asian base around 1.4066 and has posted a chain of higher lows from 1.4078 into a session high at 1.40913, consistent with the hawkish-Fed USD bid and soft crude weighing on CAD. RSI(14) at 57 is mid-range despite the advance, ATR(14) just 4 pips — a slow, low-volatility drift rather than an impulse.
Support: 1.40805, 1.40779, 1.40657
Resistance: 1.40913, 1.4100
What it said to watch
Acceptance above the 1.40913 session high opens the path to the 1.4100 round number
A close back below the 1.40805 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
Loss of 1.40779 london low would put the 1.40657 asian base back in play
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and Fed's Barr at 14:05 UTC can reprice this intraday read
Early London has extended the grind, printing a fresh session high at 1.40909 with price holding above EMA20 and EMA50 — the leg has not given back a single higher low since the 1.40571 overnight low. Drivers are unchanged: firm USD plus soft crude, leaving the 1.4100 round number as the next reference overhead; RSI(14) near 65 is hot but not stretched, and ATR(14) is a thin ~4 pips.
Support: 1.40779, 1.40571
Resistance: 1.40909, 1.4100
What it said to watch
A 15m close back below 1.40779 breaks the higher-low sequence and the rising support line
Rejection at the 1.4100 round number would define the session high as a cap
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC are the session's main event risk for this read
08:16 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 62 · price 1.40888
Higher highs and higher lows, price at window high.
Asia extended the grind off the 1.40571 overnight low and the early London hours have printed a fresh session high at 1.40894, with the pair holding above EMA20 and EMA50 as weak crude and the hawkish Fed repricing keep USD bid. RSI(14) at 62 is firm but not stretched; ATR(14) is only ~4 pips, so this is a low-volatility drift rather than an impulse, with the 1.4100 round number the next reference overhead.
Support: 1.40805, 1.40779, 1.40571
Resistance: 1.40894, 1.4100
What it said to watch
A close above 1.40894 opens the path to the 1.4100 round number
Failure to hold 1.40805 swing low breaks the higher-low chain built through Asia
Loss of the 1.40779 pullback low would put the rising support line from the overnight low in play
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and Fed's Barr after could materially shift this read
08:02 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher into London · RSI 62 · price 1.40888
Chain of higher highs and higher lows; tight consolidation just under session high.
USDCAD cleared the prior NY high at 1.40835 during Asia and has spent the London open coiling in a 1.40817–1.40894 band, price holding above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) at 62 — firm, not stretched. The bid is USD-led (seven-week dollar highs on hawkish Fed pricing) with soft crude keeping CAD heavy, leaving 1.4100 the obvious round number above the session high.
Support: 1.40817, 1.40779, 1.40571
Resistance: 1.40894, 1.4100
What it said to watch
A 15-minute close above 1.40894 session high opens the path to the 1.4100 round number
Loss of 1.40779 swing low would break the higher-low chain and reopen the asia low at 1.40571
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC are the session's main event risk and could reset this intraday range
ATR(14) at ~4.4 pips — expected bar-to-bar travel is small, so range edges matter
Higher highs and higher lows off the Asian low, capped at session high.
USDCAD has ground higher all night off the 1.40571 Asia low and is pressing the 1.40879 session high into the London open, with oil-led CAD weakness and firm US front-end pricing behind the drift. RSI(14) near 57 and ATR(14) around 4 pips — a slow, low-range advance rather than an impulse, and the 1.40779 prior low is the last shelf holding the higher-low chain.
Support: 1.40779, 1.40656, 1.40571
Resistance: 1.40879, 1.4100
What it said to watch
Acceptance above the 1.40879 session high opens the path toward the 1.41000 round number
M15 close back under the 1.40779 prior low breaks the overnight higher-low chain
Loss of 1.40656 swing low would put the whole Asia-low advance back in play
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC plus Fed's Barr shortly after could materially reset this intraday read
Higher highs and higher lows since the overnight base; prior-day high taken out.
Early London has extended the overnight drift, with the prior-day high at 1.40835 cleared and a fresh session high printed at 1.40879 — USD/CAD trading in line with a firm dollar and soft crude keeping CAD heavy. Momentum is orderly rather than impulsive: RSI(14) near 55 and ATR(14) only ~3.5 pips, with the higher-low chain intact above the 1.40805 swing low.
Support: 1.40805, 1.40779, 1.4065
Resistance: 1.40879, 1.4090
What it said to watch
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC are the main intraday catalyst for this read
A close below the 1.40779 prior low breaks the higher-low chain built through the Asia session
Second failure at the 1.40879 session high would leave a double top on the intraday structure
Sustained trade above 1.40900 round number would confirm continuation of the breakout
07:16 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher into London · RSI 56 · price 1.40847
Higher highs and higher lows since the Asia low, fresh session high posted.
Asia ground USDCAD off the 1.40571 asia low in a near-unbroken chain of higher lows, taking out the prior NY high and printing a session high at 1.40879 before stalling — CAD still carrying the weight of the crude slide. Price is now coiled in a 1.40805–1.40879 band in the first hour of London with RSI(14) mid-50s and ATR(14) only ~3.7 pips, so ranges are thin.
Support: 1.40805, 1.40656, 1.40571
Resistance: 1.40879, 1.4100
What it said to watch
Close below the 1.40805 swing low breaks the rising sequence of higher lows off the asia low
Repeated failure at the 1.40879 session high would define a clear intraday cap
Acceptance above 1.40879 opens the path to the 1.4100 psych area
US flash PMIs at 13:45 GMT and Canada retail sales tomorrow are the near-term risks to this read
Higher highs / higher lows since the 21:45 low, fresh session high.
The Asia leg ground higher off the 1.40571 prior low and cleared yesterday's NY high, printing a session high at 1.40879 with the oil-driven CAD softness still the backdrop. Price sits at 1.40847 above EMA20 (1.40828), RSI mid-50s and ATR only ~3.7 pips — a compressed, stair-step advance rather than an impulse, with the higher-low chain intact into the London open.
Support: 1.40828, 1.40779, 1.40571
Resistance: 1.40879, 1.4090
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40879 session high opens the 1.40900 round number
Loss of the 1.40779 swing low breaks the higher-low chain and the hl support line
US flash PMIs 13:45 GMT and Fed's Barr after are the first volatility events; Canada retail sales Thursday is the next CAD-specific risk
06:46 UTC
Uptrend, shallow and grinding · RSI 63 · price 1.40862
Higher highs / higher lows since the Asian low, fresh session high printed.
Price ground higher through the Asian session in 3-pip bars and has just cleared the prior NY high at 1.40835, printing a session high of 1.40879 into the European open — the third straight session of USD/CAD gains as the Hormuz-driven crude slide keeps CAD offered. Higher lows intact from 1.40571, RSI(14) near 63 with no extreme, ATR(14) only ~3.4 pips so the move is orderly rather than impulsive.
Support: 1.40779, 1.4065, 1.40571
Resistance: 1.40879, 1.4100
What it said to watch
A close back below 1.40779 breaks the chain of higher lows and puts the 1.4065 prior range back in play
Sustained trade above 1.40879 opens the path toward the 1.4100 psych level
US flash PMIs at 13:45 GMT are the first volatility event of the day and can reset this grind in either direction
06:31 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 66 · price 1.40878
Higher highs and higher lows, fresh 24h high.
Asia session ground steadily higher off the 1.40571 asia low and the last bar prints a fresh window high at 1.40878, clearing the prior session high on the CAD-negative oil slide. RSI(14) ~66 with ATR only ~3 pips — a low-volatility drift, not an impulse, with 1.40900 psych immediately ahead into early European hours.
Support: 1.40779, 1.4065, 1.40571
Resistance: 1.4090, 1.4100
What it said to watch
Loss of the 1.40779 swing low breaks the rising higher-low chain and the asia range becomes the reference
Acceptance above the 1.40900 psych level opens the path toward the 1.41000 round number
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC are the session's main event risk and could override this intraday structure
Steady one-way grind through the NY session and into Asia, printing a 24h high at 1.40853 as the oil-led CAD softness in the digest persisted. Last three hours have coiled in a 1.40779–1.40853 band with ATR(14) down to 2.9 pips — no expansion yet ahead of London.
Support: 1.40779, 1.4065, 1.40571
Resistance: 1.40853, 1.4090
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40853 puts the 1.40900 round number in play
Loss of the 1.40779 swing low breaks the intraday higher-high chain; 1.40650 asia pivot next reference
London open likely resolves the coil — ATR at 2.9 pips is compressed
US flash PMIs 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher-high / higher-low chain; Asia edged above the late-NY high.
Grind higher through the Asia session took price marginally above the late-NY high to a 1.40853 session high, with CAD still pressured by the Hormuz-driven crude slide flagged in the digest. Pullbacks have held the 1.40770 swing low and the 1.40650 asia base, but ATR near 3 pips and RSI(14) at ~55 show the move is drifting, not impulsive, with 1.41000 psych the next reference above.
Support: 1.4077, 1.4065, 1.40571
Resistance: 1.40853, 1.4100
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.40770 swing low breaks the Asia higher-low chain
Repeated rejection at the 1.40853 session high would cap the grind and leave the range intact
Loss of the 1.40650 asia base would put the 1.40571 asia low back in play
US flash PMIs 13:45 UTC can reset intraday structure quickly
05:31 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher in thin Asia liquidity · RSI 63 · price 1.40818
Chain of higher highs / higher lows since the 21:45 UTC low.
Asia has extended the grind, taking out the NY afternoon high at 1.40835 and posting a session high of 1.40853 before stalling into 1.40818; the Hormuz-driven crude slide and the wide US-Canada front-end gap remain the backdrop. Micro-structure is intact higher highs and higher lows off the 1.40571 prior low, with RSI(14) near 63 and ATR(14) just 3.4 pips — ranges are compressed, not impulsive.
Support: 1.40779, 1.4065, 1.40571
Resistance: 1.40853, 1.4090
What it said to watch
Loss of the 1.40779 minor low breaks the Asia higher-low chain
Repeated failure at the 1.40853 session high without acceptance above the 1.4090 round number would flag stalling
A slip back under the 1.40650 asia shelf would put the 1.40571 prior low back in play
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC are the session's main catalyst for this read
Higher highs / higher lows; Asia extended above NY high into tight consolidation.
Asia ground above the NY high at 1.40835 to print 1.40853, the Hormuz-reopening oil slide plus a firm USD keeping CAD offered. Price is now coiled in a 6-pip band under the asia high with ATR(14) at ~3 pips and RSI(14) at 66 — extended but not stretched into the London open.
Support: 1.4079, 1.40651, 1.40571
Resistance: 1.40853
What it said to watch
Loss of the 1.40790 swing low would break the rising sequence of higher lows off the asia low at 1.40571
Repeated failure at the 1.40853 asia high would mark it as a session ceiling rather than a breakout base
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC are the session's main event risk and could reprice the USD leg of this move
Higher highs and higher lows through Asia, break above prior high.
Asia has ground USDCAD up off the 1.40571 low in a clean HH/HL chain, clearing yesterday's NY prior high at 1.40835 and stalling at the 1.40853 session high, with the pullback to 1.40779 bought back immediately. Ranges are thin — ATR(14) just 3.7 pips — and RSI(14) near 69 is hot but consistent with the trend, the CAD side still pressured by the Hormuz-driven crude slide.
Support: 1.40835, 1.40779, 1.40571
Resistance: 1.40853, 1.4090
What it said to watch
Sustained trade above the 1.40853 session high opens the 1.40900 psych level
Loss of 1.40779 swing low breaks the Asian higher-low chain
London open in roughly 2h is the first real liquidity test of the Asia range
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC are the session's high-impact event risk
04:46 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 64 · price 1.40792
Higher highs and higher lows through Asia.
Asia has extended the grind higher, clearing the 1.4080 barrier and printing a session high at 1.40853 before easing back to the EMA20 near 1.40770 — CAD still on the back foot with crude soft on Hormuz reopening talk. Structure is an intact chain of higher lows off 1.40571, RSI(14) around 63 with no extreme, and ATR(14) just 3.5 pips, so ranges are thin in the current Asia hours.
Support: 1.4077, 1.4065, 1.40571
Resistance: 1.40853, 1.4090
What it said to watch
Acceptance above the 1.40853 session high opens the path to the 1.40900 round number
A close back below the 1.40650 asian base breaks the higher-low chain
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC are the session's first material catalyst for this read
Higher highs and higher lows through Asia, fresh session high.
Asia has ground higher in a tight rising channel off the 1.40571 session low, clearing yesterday's late-NY high at 1.40835 and printing a fresh session high at 1.40853 before the last bar eased to 1.40823. RSI(14) near 72 is hot but consistent with the oil-driven CAD softness described in the CAD read; ATR(14) is only ~3.6 pips, so ranges are thin ahead of the European handover.
Support: 1.4077, 1.4065, 1.40571
Resistance: 1.40853, 1.4100
What it said to watch
Loss of the 1.40770 minor pivot and a break of the rising Asia support line would end the higher-high chain
Failure to hold the 1.40650 asia base puts the 1.40571 session low back in play
Sustained acceptance above the 1.40853 session high opens the path toward the 1.41000 psych level
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and Canada retail sales Thursday could materially reset this intraday read
04:16 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher into session high · RSI 73 · price 1.40834
Higher highs / higher lows through Asia, prior NY high taken.
Asia has ground steadily higher off the 1.40571 asia low and just cleared the prior NY high, printing a session high at 1.40844 with RSI(14) near 73. Move is USD-led — the hawkish Fed repricing plus the Hormuz-driven crude slide keeping CAD offered — but ATR is only ~3.6 pips, so this is a low-volatility drift rather than an impulse.
Support: 1.4075, 1.4070, 1.40571
Resistance: 1.40844
What it said to watch
Acceptance above 1.40844 session high extends the higher-high chain; failure there leaves a double top risk
Loss of the 1.4075 ema20 and then the 1.407 swing low would break the Asia HH/HL structure
A close back under 1.40571 asia low invalidates the intraday uptrend read
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC later today are the first real test of a crowded USD long
03:46 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher into prior-day high · RSI 73 · price 1.40808
Higher highs/higher lows off the 1.40571 session low, price pressing the top of the 24h range.
Asia has retraced the entire NY-afternoon pullback from 1.40835, with price now stalling at 1.40808 just under the prior day high; RSI(14) at ~73 is hot but consistent with the oil-driven CAD softness in the digest. ATR(14) is only ~4 pips, so the Asian grind is low-range and the 1.40835 area is the first real test.
Support: 1.40655, 1.40571
Resistance: 1.40835, 1.4090
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40835 extends the higher-high sequence toward the 1.4090 psych level
Loss of 1.40655 asia base would break the rising intraday structure and re-open 1.40571 session low
Repeated rejection at 1.40835 without a break sets up a double top on the 24h range high
US flash PMIs at 13:45 GMT are the session's main catalyst and could reshape this read
Higher highs and higher lows since the late-NY low, pressing the prior high.
Asia has ground higher in an unbroken higher-low chain off the 1.40571 swing low, with price at 1.40819 now retesting the 1.40835 prior high set during NY hours; RSI(14) near 73 is hot but not extreme. The underlying drift reflects the Hormuz-driven oil slide weighing on CAD against a firm USD, and ATR(14) at ~3.5 pips shows thin Asian-session ranges.
Support: 1.40637, 1.40571
Resistance: 1.40835, 1.4090
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.40835 prior high opens the path toward the 1.409 round number
Loss of the 1.40637 asia low breaks the higher-low chain and puts 1.40571 swing low back in play
US flash PMIs at 13:45 GMT are the session's main catalyst and could reset this range
03:16 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher into prior high · RSI 70 · price 1.40807
Higher lows since 21:45 UTC, price retesting NY session high.
Asia session has walked USDCAD back up to the NY session high at 1.40835, building a clean chain of higher lows off 1.40571 with the 1.40655 asia base holding on every dip — CAD still heavy on the crude slide. RSI(14) near 70 is hot but consistent with the trend; ATR(14) only ~3.5 pips, so this is a low-range grind rather than an impulse.
Support: 1.40655, 1.40571, 1.4050
Resistance: 1.40835
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40835 prior high extends the higher-low sequence; repeated wicks there without a close would mark rejection
Loss of the 1.40655 asia base breaks the higher-low chain and puts the 1.40571 session low back in play
US flash S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 GMT are the session's main catalyst and can reset this intraday read
02:46 UTC
Intraday uptrend, grinding into prior high · RSI 71 · price 1.4079
Higher lows since 21:45 UTC low, pressing the 1.4080 area.
Asia has walked USDCAD back up from the 1.40571 session low to 1.4079, retesting yesterday's 1.40835 prior high with the widely-cited 1.4080 psych level immediately overhead; the bid tracks the five-day crude slide on Hormuz reopening talk. Higher lows have held off the 1.40650 asia shelf and RSI(14) sits near 71 — hot but normal in this grind; ATR is only ~3.6 pips, so ranges are thin.
Support: 1.4065, 1.40571
Resistance: 1.40835, 1.4080
What it said to watch
Acceptance above 1.40835 prior high would extend the intraday uptrend; repeated rejection there sets up a double-top read
Loss of the 1.40650 asia shelf breaks the higher-low chain and puts 1.40571 session low back in play
US flash S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 GMT is the session's main catalyst and could reprice this structure quickly
02:31 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into prior high · RSI 71 · price 1.40799
Higher lows off 1.40571, retesting NY session high.
Price has ground from the 1.40571 swing low back into the late-NY prior high at 1.40835, with the Asia session building a chain of higher lows off the 1.40655 asia shelf. RSI(14) ~71 and ATR(14) near 4 pips — hot but thin; CAD remains heavy on the five-session oil slide flagged in the macro read.
Support: 1.40655, 1.40571
Resistance: 1.40835
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40835 keeps the run intact; a second rejection there leaves a double top on the session
Loss of the 1.40655 asia shelf breaks the higher-low chain and puts the 1.40571 swing low back in play
US flash PMIs at 13:45 GMT are the main scheduled risk and could reprice this read
02:16 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher in thin Asia liquidity · RSI 66 · price 1.40743
Higher lows off the 1.40571 session low, retesting the prior high.
USDCAD marked 1.40835 late in NY hours, faded to a 1.40571 session low, and has since built a chain of higher lows off the 1.40650 asia base as soft crude keeps CAD on the back foot. Price is now grinding back into the 1.40780 swing high with ATR(14) just ~3 pips — a typical thin Asia drift rather than an impulse.
Support: 1.4065, 1.40571
Resistance: 1.4078, 1.40835
What it said to watch
A 15m close above 1.40835 prior high would extend the higher-low sequence toward fresh two-month territory
Loss of the 1.40650 asia base breaks the higher-low chain and puts the 1.40571 session low back in play
US flash S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 GMT are the session's main catalyst and could reprice this read quickly
01:46 UTC
Uptrend resuming after pullback · RSI 61 · price 1.40739
Higher lows off 1.40571; asia base broken upward.
After a flat Asian session pinned around the 1.40650 asia base, the last four bars have pushed through it to a session high at 1.40753, extending the grind that followed the Hormuz-driven slide in crude. RSI(14) at 61 with ATR only ~3 pips — a low-volatility drift higher rather than an impulse, with the prior high at 1.40835 the unfilled reference above.
Support: 1.4065, 1.40571
Resistance: 1.40753, 1.40835
What it said to watch
A close back under 1.40650 would put price back inside the asia base and negate the range break
Failure to hold 1.40571 would confirm a lower low on this timeframe
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and Fed's Barr could materially reset this intraday read
01:31 UTC
Uptrend, momentum flattening in Asia · RSI 61 · price 1.40722
Higher highs into NY, now coiling above the session low.
London-into-NY hours drove a clean HH/HL chain off 1.40245 to a session high at 1.40835 — fresh highs for the pair as slumping crude on Hormuz-reopening headlines stripped CAD of commodity support. Asia has been thin and mean-reverting, holding a 1.40571–1.40722 band with price grinding back above the 1.40645 asian base and both EMAs; ATR(14) at ~3 pips shows how compressed the current session is.
Support: 1.40645, 1.40571, 1.40245
Resistance: 1.40835, 1.4100
What it said to watch
A 15m close above the 1.40835 session high re-opens the path toward the 1.41000 round number
Loss of the 1.40571 session low breaks the Asian range base and confirms a lower low
US flash S&P Global PMIs 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
NY session pushed to a 1.40835 ny high before rejection dragged price back to 1.40571; Asia has since coiled into a 24-pip range between 1.40571 and the 1.40695 asia high with ATR(14) down to ~3 pips. The advance off 1.4025 tracks the firm USD bid and soft crude after Hormuz-reopening headlines, but nothing structural is in play inside this Asian range.
Support: 1.4064, 1.40571
Resistance: 1.40695, 1.40776, 1.40835
What it said to watch
Loss of the 1.40640 asia floor and then 1.40571 asia low breaks the rising intraday support line
Close above the 1.40695 asia high puts the minor pivot at 1.40776 and the 1.40835 ny high back in range
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
Tight Asian coil under prior-day high after rejection at 1.40835.
NY hours rejected 1.40835 and Asia has since coiled into a 1.40571–1.40695 band, price hugging EMA20 at 1.40645 with RSI(14) mid-range and ATR down to ~4 pips. The underlying drift higher came from a firm USD and slumping crude stripping CAD of commodity support; nothing structural in play inside this Asian range.
Support: 1.40636, 1.40645, 1.40571
Resistance: 1.40695, 1.40835
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.40695 asia high re-opens the 1.40835 prior high
Loss of 1.40571 asia low breaks the rising-lows sequence and invalidates the coil read
US flash PMIs 13:45 UTC could materially widen this range
00:46 UTC
Uptrend, momentum flat in Asia · RSI 58 · price 1.40658
Higher highs from 1.40245, now consolidating below session high.
NY session tagged 1.40835 before rejection, then unwound into the late-NY ny low at 1.40571. Asia has coiled between the asia low 1.40636 and asia high 1.40695 on thin volume, ATR(14) barely 3 pips, leaving price parked in the upper half of the NY leg with soft crude and the wide US-Canada front-end spread the stated backdrop.
Support: 1.40636, 1.40571
Resistance: 1.40695, 1.4080, 1.40835
What it said to watch
M15 close above the asia high 1.40695 reopens the 1.40800 psych area and the prior high 1.40835
Loss of 1.40571 breaks the rising support line and negates the consolidation read
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC are the next scheduled test of the USD bid and could reset this range
00:31 UTC
Uptrend, momentum flat in thin Asia trade · RSI 57 · price 1.40678
Higher highs since 1.40245, now coiling under the session high after a pullback low at 1.40571.
NY hours drove the pair from 1.40245 to a session high at 1.40835 before rejection there and a slide to 1.40571 after the close, with slumping crude and the broad USD bid keeping CAD offered. Early Asia has flatlined in a 1.4064–1.4069 coil just above the ema20, RSI(14) neutral near 57 and ATR down to ~3 pips.
Support: 1.4064, 1.40571, 1.4050
Resistance: 1.40766, 1.40835
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 1.40766 swing high puts the 1.40835 session high back in play
Loss of the 1.40571 late ny low would break the higher-low chain off 1.40245
Sustained trade below the ema20 would end the intraday uptrend read
US flash PMIs Wed 13:45 UTC are the next catalyst able to reprice this range
00:16 UTC
Uptrend, momentum flat in Asia · RSI 56 · price 1.40665
Higher highs intact, coiling under session high after pullback.
NY hours pushed to a session high at 1.40835 before rejection trimmed price back to the 1.40571 asia low; the last eight bars have coiled in a 2-pip band around 1.4065 on thin Asian volume. Structure is still a higher-high chain off 1.4025, supported by USD at two-month highs and slumping crude stripping CAD of commodity support. RSI(14) mid-range at 56, ATR(14) only ~2.7 pips — range is compressed.
Support: 1.40571, 1.4046
Resistance: 1.4080, 1.40835
What it said to watch
Break above 1.40800 psych and the 1.40835 session high extends the uptrend
Loss of the 1.40571 asia low breaks the higher-low chain and opens 1.40460 swing low
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC is the next catalyst capable of resetting the intraday range