Higher lows off 1.4074, consolidating near session highs.
USDCAD recovered from the 1.4074 NY low back to 1.4103, then stalled and is consolidating around 1.4096 with RSI(14) easing from the mid-60s. Broad USD firmness underpins the bid while soft Canadian IPPI keeps CAD offered; 1.4103 caps for now.
Support: 1.4085, 1.40741, 1.40676
Resistance: 1.4103, 1.41144
What it said to watch
A close above 1.4103 opens the path back to the 1.4114 session high
Failure to hold 1.4085 exposes the 1.4074 swing low again
USDCAD recovered from the 1.40741 dip and is now consolidating just under the 1.41034 session high in quiet late-NY trade, RSI(14) mid-range. Softer CAD data (June IPPI -1.4%) capped CAD gains but late-session flows are thin with tight sub-6-pip bars.
Support: 1.4095, 1.40741
Resistance: 1.41034, 1.41144
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41034 reopens the 1.41144 spike high
Failure to hold 1.40950 puts the 1.40741 swing low back in play
NY session ground back up through the 1.4100 round number, holding a chain of higher lows since the 1.40741 swing low. Price now presses the earlier session high at 1.41144 with RSI(14) firm near 67 but not yet stretched.
Support: 1.4100, 1.40741, 1.40659
Resistance: 1.41144
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41144 opens continuation of the intraday uptrend
Loss of 1.41000 and then 1.40741 breaks the higher-low chain
NY session ground higher into 1.41025, reclaiming the 1.4100 psych level after recovering from the 1.40741 swing low. Chain of higher lows intact; session high at 1.41144 is the level to watch, with RSI in the mid-60s and no extreme in play. Soft US CAD data and firm oil keep spot pinned near the ~1.40 fair-value zone.
Support: 1.4100, 1.40953, 1.40741
Resistance: 1.41144
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41144 opens continuation toward next resistance
Loss of 1.40953 rising support risks a break of the higher-low chain
Move back below 1.4100 negates the reclaim
20:17 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into session high · RSI 63 · price 1.41022
Higher lows off 1.4066, retest of 1.4114 area.
USDCAD clawed back to 1.4102 into the late NY session, holding a chain of higher lows off the 1.4066 session low and now retesting the 1.41144 spike high. RSI(14) mid-60s with ATR compressed near 3.6 pips; disinflationary CAD IPPI miss keeps sellers hesitant.
Support: 1.40741, 1.40659
Resistance: 1.41144, 1.41061
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41144 confirms continuation of the intraday uptrend
Loss of 1.40741 breaks the higher-low chain and reopens 1.40659
20:16 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 64 · price 1.41022
Higher lows into session highs.
USDCAD reclaimed the 1.4100 psych level in the NY session and is grinding back toward the 1.41144 session high, USD firm near monthly highs. Chain of higher lows off 1.40741 intact; RSI(14) mid-60s, room before hot.
Support: 1.4100, 1.40949, 1.40741
Resistance: 1.41144, 1.41061
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41144 opens continuation higher
Failure to hold 1.41000 psych reopens the 1.40741 swing low
Rising support off 1.40741 breaking flips the near-term read
20:02 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 63 · price 1.41019
Higher lows off session low, testing 1.4100.
USDCAD ground higher through late NY hours, reclaiming the 1.4100 psych level after basing at the 1.40741 swing low; RSI(14) mid-60s, price now pressing session highs. Soft Canadian CPI and a firm USD backdrop underpin the recovery back toward the 1.41144 session high.
Support: 1.4096, 1.40741, 1.4100
Resistance: 1.41144, 1.41061
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41144 opens continuation of the up leg
Failure to hold 1.41000 psych puts the 1.40960 range base back in play
USD/CAD spiked to a session high of 1.41144 during the NY session before fading to 1.40741, then rebuilt higher lows back toward 1.4100. Price is now grinding sideways in a tight 1.4097-1.4102 range with RSI cooling in the low 60s; the 1.41144 high caps for now.
Support: 1.4097, 1.40741, 1.4085
Resistance: 1.41144, 1.4150
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41144 reopens the upside toward the psych 1.415 level
Loss of the 1.4097 range low exposes the 1.40741 swing low
FOMC next week is the dominant catalyst but sits outside this window
19:46 UTC
Recovery off lows, momentum flat near highs · RSI 57 · price 1.4098
Consolidating just under 1.4100 after reclaim.
USDCAD ground back to 1.4098 through the NY session after basing at 1.4074, and is now coiling in a tight 15-pip band just beneath the 1.4100 psych level. Soft Canadian CPI keeps CAD capped, but follow-through above the figure has stalled with RSI(14) flat mid-range.
Support: 1.4074, 1.4066
Resistance: 1.4100, 1.4114
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4100 opens the path back to the 1.4114 session high
Failure to hold 1.4074 confirms a lower low toward 1.4066
USDCAD spiked to 1.4114 in the NY session then faded, and has coiled into a tight range just under the 1.4100 psych level over the last few hours. RSI(14) mid-50s and flat; price holds above EMA20/50 with buyers defending the 1.4074 swing low.
Support: 1.4085, 1.4074, 1.4066
Resistance: 1.4100, 1.4114
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4100 psych opens a retest of the 1.4114 session high
Loss of 1.4074 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
FOMC next week is the dominant catalyst for this range
NY session swept the highs to 1.41144 before reversing to 1.40741; price has since recovered and is coiling tightly around 1.4097 into the NY close. Soft USD kept follow-through selling limited, holding the pair near fair value with RSI mid-range.
Support: 1.40853, 1.40741
Resistance: 1.41051, 1.41144
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41051 reopens the 1.41144 session high
Failure to hold 1.40853 exposes the 1.40741 session low
FOMC next week is the dominant catalyst and could shift this read
Spike to 1.41144 during NY hours was rejected, price then based around 1.40741 before recovering. Last several bars are pinned in a tight 1.4095–1.4098 band with RSI(14) cooling near 58; USD/CAD sitting close to Scotia's ~1.40 fair value with no fresh catalyst.
Support: 1.40741, 1.40659, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.41144, 1.4100
What it said to watch
Close above session high 1.41144 opens 1.4100 psych extension
Loss of swing low 1.40741 exposes session low 1.40659
FOMC next week is the dominant catalyst for a break of this band
19:17 UTC
Uptrend, momentum easing · RSI 64 · price 1.4097
Higher highs/lows, consolidating below 1.4100.
USDCAD ground higher through NY hours off the 1.4074 session low, now coiling in a tight 1.4095–1.4099 band just under the 1.4100 psych level. Move follows a muted CAD reaction to soft retail sales; RSI(14) mid-60s with momentum flattening into the top of the leg.
Support: 1.4074, 1.4058
Resistance: 1.4100, 1.41144
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4100 opens the path to the 1.41144 session high
Failure to hold 1.4074 breaks the intraday higher-low sequence
USDCAD recovered off the 1.4066 NY session low and is now coiling in a 1.4092–1.4098 band just under the 1.4100 round number, USD kept firm on the hawkish Fed repricing. RSI(14) neutral around 62 and ATR compressed to ~6.5 pips as the late-NY range tightens beneath the 1.4114 session high.
Support: 1.4084, 1.4074, 1.4066
Resistance: 1.4100, 1.4114
What it said to watch
close above 1.4100 then 1.4114 session high extends the recovery leg
failure to hold 1.4084 swing low reopens the 1.4066 session low
NY session recovered off the 1.4074 swing low back to 1.4099 and is now stalling just under the 1.4100 round number, RSI cooling from the push. Last bars are flat on thin late-session/Friday liquidity — consolidating below round-number resistance.
Support: 1.4074, 1.4066
Resistance: 1.4100, 1.41144
What it said to watch
Close above 1.4100 round number opens the path to the 1.41144 spike high
Loss of 1.4074 swing low reopens the 1.4066 prior low
Recovered off 1.4074 low, consolidating under 1.4100.
USD/CAD recovered off the 1.4074 swing low through the NY session and is now pinned in a tight consolidation just under the 1.4100 round number, RSI(14) mid-range near 57. The earlier push to the 1.41144 session high faded; late-session bars are low-volume and coiled at the top of the range.
Support: 1.4074, 1.4090
Resistance: 1.4100, 1.41144
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4100 opens the path to the 1.41144 session high
Failure to hold 1.4074 confirms a lower low
18:46 UTC
Recovering, micro-uptrend into NY close · RSI 64 · price 1.4097
Higher lows off session low, retesting range top.
USDCAD recovered the full NY drop from 1.41144 to the 1.40741 swing low and is grinding back toward the 1.4100 round level, RSI(14) around 64. Higher lows through the late session with price pressing the range top.
Support: 1.40765, 1.40659, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4100, 1.41144
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41144 opens the path back to the session high extension
Failure to hold 1.40765 confirms a lower-low and reopens 1.40659
FOMC Jul 29 is the week's dominant catalyst but not imminent this bar
NY session spiked to 1.41144 then flushed to 1.40741 before buyers stepped in through the London-NY transition, lifting spot back to 1.4097 as USD stayed firm. Micro-structure is a chain of higher lows, RSI(14) mid-60s with room before overbought.
Support: 1.40741, 1.40659, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.41051, 1.41144
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.41051 opens a retest of the 1.41144 session high
Loss of 1.40741 breaks the higher-low chain and reopens 1.40659
USDCAD spiked to a session high of 1.41144 in the NY session before sellers rejected it back to 1.40741; buyers have since rebuilt a chain of higher lows into 1.40968. Price now retraces the drop, with the 1.41000 psych level the immediate hurdle.
Support: 1.40765, 1.40741, 1.40659
Resistance: 1.4100, 1.41144
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41000 opens a retest of the 1.41144 session high
Loss of 1.40765 swing low breaks the higher-low sequence
FOMC Jul 29 is the week's pivot for this pair
18:31 UTC
Recovering off session low, grinding up · RSI 62 · price 1.40968
Higher lows since NY-session low, back near range top.
USDCAD spiked to 1.41144 earlier in NY hours then flushed back to a 1.40741 session low, and price has since ground higher on a chain of higher lows, now pressing the 1.40991 session high with RSI(14) around 62. Move sits inside the digest's fair-value 1.4056–1.4100 band; no fresh catalyst in the next few hours.
Support: 1.40785, 1.40741
Resistance: 1.40991, 1.41144
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40991 opens the path back to the 1.41144 spike high
Failure to hold 1.40785 exposes the 1.40741 session low again
18:17 UTC
Recovering off session low, momentum building · RSI 62 · price 1.40964
Spike high rejected, higher lows since.
NY session spiked to 1.41144 then got rejected, dumping to a 1.40741 session low before buyers stepped back in. Price has since carved higher lows and is grinding back toward the spike high, retracing ~55% of the drop with RSI(14) mid-60s — no extreme in play.
Support: 1.40853, 1.40741, 1.40668
Resistance: 1.41051, 1.41144
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41051 opens a retest of the 1.41144 session high
Failure to hold 1.40741 confirms a lower low and breaks the recovery
USD/CAD spiked to 1.41144 during NY hours then got rejected back into range, printing a low at 1.40741 before buyers stepped in and lifted spot to 1.40964. Pair now grinding toward the 1.41000 psych level with RSI(14) around 62; USD firm into next week's FOMC keeps a floor under the recovery.
Support: 1.4078, 1.40741
Resistance: 1.4100, 1.41144
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.41000 psych opens a retest of the 1.41144 session high
Loss of 1.40780 swing low reopens the 1.40741 session low
FOMC next week is the dominant catalyst but sits outside this window
18:02 UTC
Recovering, higher lows · RSI 61 · price 1.4097
Rebound from intraday low after spike faded.
NY afternoon reclaimed ground after the spike to 1.4114 faded back to 1.4074; spot now grinding higher to 1.4097 on a soft-USD/firm-oil balance, RSI mid-60s. Micro higher lows intact but the session high at 1.4114 is still the cap.
Support: 1.4074, 1.4059, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4114, 1.4150
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4114 opens continuation toward the 1.4150 range top
Failure to hold 1.4074 confirms a lower-low and negates the recovery
Pair pinned in the 1.4000–1.4175 band into next week's FOMC
18:02 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 64 · price 1.4097
Higher lows since NY-open fade.
NY session spiked to the 1.4114 session high near the open then faded to the 1.4074 session low; price has since ground back to 1.4097, RSI(14) mid-60s. Buyers stepped in above the 1.4056 range base and are now retesting the 1.4100 psych level from below.
Support: 1.4074, 1.4056, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4100, 1.4114
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4100 psych opens a retest of the 1.4114 session high
Failure to hold 1.4074 session low reopens the 1.4056 range base
17:46 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 64 · price 1.40962
24h range, micro higher lows into NY afternoon.
NY session spiked to 1.41144 around midday then faded to 1.40741; buyers stepped back in through the afternoon and price is grinding back to 1.4096, RSI mid-60s. Still boxed in the 1.4066–1.41144 24h range with a micro higher-low chain off the session low.
Support: 1.4074, 1.4066, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.41144, 1.4105
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41144 reopens the session high and the 1.4150 zone
Loss of 1.4074 swing low confirms a lower low back toward 1.4000 psych
17:46 UTC
Recovering after intraday pullback · RSI 61 · price 1.40962
Choppy range, spike high rejected.
NY session spiked to 1.41144 then was rejected, unwinding to 1.40741 before buyers stepped back in. Price now grinding up to 1.40962 into late NY, RSI(14) mid-range near 61 with no extreme in play.
Support: 1.4074, 1.4066
Resistance: 1.4105, 1.41144
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.41050 opens a retest of the 1.41144 spike high
Loss of 1.40740 confirms a lower low and reopens 1.40660
17:31 UTC
Recovering after intraday pullback · RSI 60 · price 1.40929
Spike high faded, higher low forming.
NY session spiked to 1.41144 mid-morning then bled back to a 1.40741 session low before buyers stepped in twice into the afternoon, lifting spot to 1.40929 with RSI(14) recovering to ~60. Price is grinding back toward the 1.4100 round level; the soft CAD tone (BoC-friendly CPI) sits behind the firmer bias but no fresh catalyst is in play.
Support: 1.40741, 1.4056
Resistance: 1.4100, 1.41144
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.4100 opens a retest of the 1.41144 spike high
Loss of 1.40741 session low confirms a lower-low and reopens the range floor
FOMC next week is the dominant catalyst that would reset this read
USD/CAD spiked to 1.41144 in the NY session then got rejected, unwinding to the 1.40741 session low before buyers stepped in. Spot has since ground back to 1.4093, RSI(14) mid-range near 60; still boxed inside the 1.4074-1.4114 range.
Support: 1.40741, 1.40853, 1.4070
Resistance: 1.4100, 1.41144
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41000 reopens the 1.41144 session high
Loss of 1.40741 session low confirms a lower-low
FOMC next week is the dominant catalyst for this pair
17:17 UTC
Recovering off session low, momentum up · RSI 60 · price 1.40913
Intraday range, price back near top.
NY session spiked to 1.41144 then faded to 1.40741, and price has since recovered to 1.40913 with RSI(14) near 60. Move is capped below the 1.41000 round number into the late session; the day's range 1.40741–1.41144 still contains price.
Support: 1.40785, 1.40741
Resistance: 1.4100, 1.41144
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41000 opens a retest of the 1.41144 session high
Failure to hold 1.40741 confirms a lower low
17:16 UTC
Choppy, recovering off lows · RSI 55 · price 1.40913
Range after rejection of session high.
NY morning spiked to 1.41144 then faded back through the session, printing a low at 1.40741 before buyers stepped in during late NY hours. Price now recovering toward 1.40917, still inside the 1.40659–1.41144 band with the session high capping.
Support: 1.40741, 1.40659
Resistance: 1.4105, 1.41144
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41050 reopens the 1.41144 session high
Failure to hold 1.40741 confirms a lower-low and exposes 1.40659
17:03 UTC
Range after failed push higher · RSI 52 · price 1.40863
Rejection off 1.411, back inside range.
NY session spiked to 1.41111 then got rejected, unwinding back to the session low at 1.40741 before recovering to 1.40863. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 52 and ATR is thin at ~6.6 pips; price is chopping between 1.40741 and 1.40915 with no clean structure.
Support: 1.40775, 1.40741, 1.40659
Resistance: 1.40915, 1.41111
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40915 reopens the 1.41111 spike high
Failure to hold 1.40741 confirms a lower low toward 1.40659
17:03 UTC
Sideways after spike rejection · RSI 55 · price 1.40863
NY spike to 1.41144 rejected, recovering off 1.40741.
NY session spiked to a session high of 1.41144 then rejected sharply back to 1.40741, giving up the entire move. Price is now recovering toward 1.4086, holding above the swing low; the 1.4100 round number caps the bounce.
Support: 1.40741, 1.4070
Resistance: 1.4100, 1.41144
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4100 reopens the 1.41144 session high
Failure to hold 1.40741 confirms a lower low toward the range low
FOMC next week is the dominant catalyst for this pair
Reversed off session high, consolidating mid-range.
NY session spiked to the session high 1.41144 then fully reversed, a false break of 1.41000 that dragged spot back to 1.40741. Buyers stepped in there and price is now consolidating near 1.4085, RSI(14) back to neutral after the fade.
Support: 1.40741, 1.40659
Resistance: 1.40915, 1.4100, 1.41144
What it said to watch
Close above 1.40915 reopens the 1.41000 psych level and session high
Failure to hold 1.40741 confirms a lower low
FOMC next week is the dominant catalyst that could break the 1.4000–1.4175 band
16:47 UTC
Recovering after spike rejection · RSI 52 · price 1.40849
Spike high rejected, pullback holding session low.
NY session spiked to 1.41144 near midday before sharp rejection dumped price back to the 1.40741 session low. Spot is now recovering into the 1.4085 area, retracing about half of that decline; RSI(14) back near 52 after the flush.
Support: 1.40741, 1.40668
Resistance: 1.40915, 1.41144
What it said to watch
Close above 1.40915 reopens the 1.41144 spike high
Failure to hold 1.40741 confirms a lower low toward 1.40668
NY session spiked to 1.41144 then reversed hard, price selling back to the 1.40741 session low before stabilising near 1.4079. The spike high was rejected and price is back inside the prior range, RSI(14) recovering from the mid-30s to ~44.
Support: 1.40741, 1.40659
Resistance: 1.4086, 1.41144
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.40860 minor high reopens the 1.41144 session high
Failure to hold 1.40741 session low exposes 1.40659 swing low
FOMC next week is the dominant catalyst for this pair
16:32 UTC
Pullback after NY spike faded · RSI 44 · price 1.40793
False break of session high, back inside prior range.
NY session spiked to 1.41144 around the US open then fully retraced, printing a false break that faded back to 1.4079. RSI(14) cooled to the mid-40s and price now sits below EMA20/50, ranging between the 1.40741 session low and the 1.40860 recent high.
Support: 1.40741, 1.40659, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4086, 1.41144
What it said to watch
Close above 1.40860 reopens the path to the 1.41144 session high
Break below 1.40741 confirms a lower low toward 1.40659
16:17 UTC
Pulled back from intraday high, momentum down cooling · RSI 46 · price 1.40796
Lower highs after rejection, unwound the NY leg.
NY session spiked to 1.41144 then rejected sharply, unwinding the entire London-NY advance back to ~1.40790. Sequence of lower highs since; RSI(14) cooling near 46 as price consolidates just above the 1.40741 swing low.
Support: 1.40741, 1.4070, 1.40659
Resistance: 1.4086, 1.4100, 1.41144
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.40860 challenges the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.40741 opens the 1.40659 session low
16:17 UTC
Pullback after NY spike, momentum down · RSI 43 · price 1.40796
Lower highs off session high, holding above session low.
NY session spiked to 1.41144 then rejected sharply, unwinding the entire move back below 1.4080 as RSI cooled toward 43. Price is now chopping around 1.40796, building lower highs while the 1.40741 session low holds.
Support: 1.40741, 1.40659
Resistance: 1.4090, 1.41144
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.40900 spike zone negates the rollover
Failure to hold 1.40741 session low opens the 1.40659 area
FOMC next week is the dominant catalyst for the wider USDCAD range
NY session spiked to 1.41144 then was rejected hard, fading back through 1.4090 to hold near 1.4080. Move stalled just under the 1.4100 round number; RSI(14) cooled to mid-range as the false break unwound.
Support: 1.4074, 1.4066
Resistance: 1.4100, 1.41144
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40740 confirms a lower-low and voids the pullback base
Reclaim above 1.41000 reopens the 1.41144 session high
NY session drove USDCAD to a session high of 1.41144 on the oil-fed USD bid before a clean rejection, unwinding ~40 pips back to 1.408. Price now sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-40s; the false break of the highs has left a chain of lower highs into the NY afternoon.
Support: 1.4074, 1.4066
Resistance: 1.4090, 1.41144
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 1.40900 negates the fade read
Break below 1.40740 opens the 1.40660 day low
15:47 UTC
Intraday pullback after rejection · RSI 46 · price 1.40843
Lower highs off session high, holding swing low.
NY session spiked to 1.41144 then rejected, unwinding in a chain of lower highs down to a 1.40741 swing low before a shallow bounce to 1.40843. RSI(14) cooled off the highs to mid-40s; price sits back below EMA20 with the descending highs still capping.
Support: 1.40741, 1.40659
Resistance: 1.40906, 1.41144
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 1.40906 swing high reopens the run at the 1.41144 session high
Loss of 1.40741 swing low confirms a lower low toward 1.40659
15:47 UTC
Pullback after failed spike · RSI 45 · price 1.40843
Spike high reversed, bouncing off session low.
NY session pushed a spike to 1.41144 above the 1.4100 psych level, which was fully reversed back to 1.4084 within an hour. Buyers stepped in at 1.40741 and price is bouncing, but sits under EMA20 with RSI recovering from the mid-40s.
Support: 1.40741, 1.40659
Resistance: 1.4100, 1.41144
What it said to watch
Close below 1.40741 exposes the 1.40659 session low
Reclaim of 1.41000 negates the false-break read
FOMC next week is the dominant catalyst for the wider range
NY session spiked to 1.41144 then rejected sharply, selling back through 1.40900 to a 1.40741 session low. Price now hovering at 1.40814 mid-range, RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s after the failed break.
Support: 1.40741, 1.40659
Resistance: 1.4090, 1.41144
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.40900 negates the pullback read
Loss of 1.40741 confirms a lower low, opening 1.40659
NY session spiked to 1.41144 then fully retraced back to 1.40814, a clean rejection of the highs with RSI(14) cooling to the low 40s. Price now sits back at the pre-spike base near 1.4080 with the round 1.4100 capping the move.
Support: 1.4074, 1.40659
Resistance: 1.4100, 1.41144
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.41000 reopens the 1.41144 session high
Loss of 1.40740 confirms a lower low toward the 1.40659 session low
FOMC next week is the dominant catalyst for USDCAD direction
NY session spiked to 1.41144 then reversed hard, unwinding the entire move; price now retesting the 1.40741 session low with RSI(14) near 36. The 1.41144 print looks like a false break — supply capped the rally and sellers have controlled the last two hours.
Support: 1.40741, 1.40659
Resistance: 1.40957, 1.41144
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40659 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.40957 swing high negates the downside read
15:17 UTC
Downtrend, faded from session high · RSI 40 · price 1.40752
Full retrace of NY rally, printing lower highs.
NY session spiked to 1.41144 then rejected hard, fading the entire move back to the session low near 1.4074 as the USD/CAD move stalled at fair value. RSI(14) at ~40, lower highs stacking; supply capped at 1.4086 on the way down.
Support: 1.40741, 1.40659, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4086, 1.41144
What it said to watch
Close below 1.40659 confirms a fresh lower low and extends the fade
Reclaim of 1.40860 negates the lower-high sequence
15:02 UTC
Pullback after intraday spike · RSI 47 · price 1.40817
Spike-and-reject, retracing the NY leg up.
NY session spiked to 1.41144 around the open then rejected, unwinding almost the entire London-NY leg back to 1.408 with RSI(14) cooling to ~47. The 1.4100 round number now caps, and price is pressing the 1.40785 swing low.
Support: 1.40785, 1.40659
Resistance: 1.4100, 1.41144
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.4100 round number reopens 1.41144 session high
Loss of 1.40659 session low confirms a lower low
FOMC next week is the dominant catalyst for USD/CAD
15:02 UTC
Pullback after NY spike, momentum down · RSI 41 · price 1.40817
Spike high faded back into range.
USDCAD spiked to 1.41144 during NY hours then faded the full move, printing a false break and grinding back to 1.40817 as RSI(14) cooled to ~40. Price is now probing the 1.40785 recent low; 1.41000 round number capped the retrace attempts.
Support: 1.40785, 1.40659
Resistance: 1.4100, 1.41144
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40785 exposes the 1.40659 session low
Reclaim of 1.41000 round number would negate the fade off the spike high
FOMC next week remains the dominant catalyst for this pair
14:47 UTC
Intraday spike, now fading · RSI 51 · price 1.40884
False break above range, pullback in progress.
NY session drove a sharp spike to 1.41144, sweeping above the day's range on the firm-USD tone, then reversed just as quickly back to 1.40884. RSI(14) has cooled from overbought toward neutral as the pullback filled more than half the rally; price is now hovering around the 1.40850 swing.
Support: 1.4085, 1.4076, 1.40659
Resistance: 1.4100, 1.41144
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.41000 reopens the 1.41144 session high
Loss of 1.40760 range low confirms the spike as a false break
FOMC next week is the dominant catalyst but sits outside this window
NY session spiked to a session high of 1.41144 then reversed sharply, with price fading back to 1.40884 — roughly 62% of the intraday rally retraced. RSI cooled off the spike toward neutral; the Greenback stays broadly underpinned into next week's FOMC.
Support: 1.40734, 1.40659
Resistance: 1.4100, 1.41144
What it said to watch
Close below 1.40734 negates the intraday rally
Reclaim of 1.41000 reopens the 1.41144 session high
FOMC next week is the dominant catalyst for this pair
14:31 UTC
Intraday up, pulling back · RSI 51 · price 1.40918
Spike high then retrace off session high.
NY session ran a sharp rally into 1.41144, then rejected and retraced to 1.40918 with RSI(14) cooling back to neutral. Price is holding above EMA20/50 while the pullback tests the 1.40876 session low; the 1.41050 shelf is the level to watch for another push.
Support: 1.40876, 1.4080, 1.4070
Resistance: 1.4105, 1.41144
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.40876 session low opens the 1.40800 swing pivot
Reclaim of 1.41050 puts the 1.41144 session high back in play
FOMC Jul 29 is the dominant catalyst but sits outside this session
14:31 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pulling back · RSI 56 · price 1.40918
Spike high then retrace to mid-range.
NY session drove a sharp push from 1.4065 to a session high of 1.41144, then rejected and pulled back toward the 50% retracement near 1.40900, where price sits now. RSI(14) has cooled from the spike to the mid-50s; buyers held the rising sequence of higher lows off 1.40659.
Support: 1.40878, 1.40659, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4106, 1.41144
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.41060 reopens the session high at 1.41144
Loss of 1.40878 exposes the session low at 1.40659
Break of the rising support line signals loss of the intraday uptrend
NY session spiked to a session high of 1.41144 on the back of firm USD after US Services PMI beat, then rejected sharply back toward 1.40900. RSI(14) has cooled from overbought to mid-range as the move unwinds; price holding above the 1.409 round level.
Support: 1.4090, 1.40725, 1.40668
Resistance: 1.41051, 1.41144
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.41051 spike level reopens the 1.41144 session high
Loss of the 1.409 round level exposes the 1.40725 swing low
FOMC next week is the dominant catalyst for the USD leg
NY session drove USDCAD to a session high of 1.41144 on the broad USD bid, then sharply rejected back below the 1.41000 psych level; price now ~1.40947. RSI(14) has cooled off the spike into the mid-50s as the pullback develops.
Support: 1.40778, 1.40659
Resistance: 1.4100, 1.41144
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.41000 psych reopens the 1.41144 session high
Loss of 1.40778 swing low confirms a deeper intraday pullback
NY session broke the 1.4076-1.4090 consolidation and spiked to a session high of 1.41144, helped by firm US flash PMIs. Price is now retesting the 1.4090 breakout with RSI(14) cooling from the low-70s toward 61.
Support: 1.4090, 1.4076, 1.40668
Resistance: 1.41144, 1.4106
What it said to watch
Close back below 1.40900 negates the breakout retest and reopens 1.40760
Reclaim of 1.41144 session high resumes the intraday push
NY session broke above the 1.4090 shelf and spiked to a session high at 1.41144 before rejecting back to 1.40949, RSI cooling from short-term hot. USD stayed firm after the S&P Services PMI beat (53.6 vs 51); 1.4105 now acts as the breakout pivot.
Support: 1.4084, 1.40659
Resistance: 1.4105, 1.41144
What it said to watch
A 15m close back below 1.40840 negates the breakout and reopens the 1.40659 day low
Reclaim of 1.41050 reopens the 1.41144 session high
FOMC next week is the dominant driver for USD/CAD direction
Broke range top, spiked to session high then pulled back.
NY session drove USD/CAD off the 1.4070 range into a session high at 1.41144 as firm US services PMI backed the dollar, then price rejected back to ~1.40994. RSI(14) cooling from the spike but still above 60, holding above EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 1.4090, 1.40734
Resistance: 1.41144, 1.41061
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 1.41144 opens the path toward the 1.4150 resistance
Failure to hold 1.40900 round number opens 1.40734 swing low
Next week's FOMC is the dominant swing factor for the pair
NY session PMI beat powered USD/CAD off 1.40850 to a session high at 1.41144, then price rejected and faded back to 1.40994 as the spike unwound. Still holding above the 1.40959 pullback low; RSI(14) cooling from the impulse near 59.
Support: 1.40959, 1.4085, 1.40659
Resistance: 1.41144, 1.41061
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.41144 reopens the path toward 1.4150
Loss of the 1.40959 pullback low confirms the spike fade
Break below 1.40850 prior range negates the intraday uptrend
Range broken to the upside, pulling back into the level.
USD/CAD broke the 1.4066–1.4090 range top in the NY session on a firm USD bid, spiking to a session high of 1.41144 before easing back to 1.41006. Price is now retesting the 1.4090 breakout area with RSI(14) cooling from the impulse.
Support: 1.40905, 1.4075, 1.40659
Resistance: 1.41144
What it said to watch
Hold of 1.40905 keeps the breakout intact; a close back below reasserts the prior range
A reclaim of 1.41144 opens continuation higher
US flash PMIs (13:45 UTC) due imminently could shift this read sharply
13:31 UTC
Uptrend, breakout leg cooling · RSI 68 · price 1.41006
Broke out of intraday range, pulling back.
NY session broke the 1.4090 consolidation top and spiked to 1.41144 as USD firmed following the flash PMIs, then pulled back to 1.4100. RSI cooling off from an elevated read as price digests the breakout leg.
Support: 1.4090, 1.4066
Resistance: 1.41144
What it said to watch
Hold above the 1.4090 breakout retest keeps the leg intact
Close back below 1.4090 puts price back inside the prior range toward the 1.4066 swing low
13:16 UTC
Uptrend, fresh breakout · RSI 74 · price 1.41108
Range break to the upside.
USDCAD broke out of the 1.4067–1.4099 NY-session range, surging to 1.41144 as the USD stayed firm ahead of US flash PMIs. RSI(14) near 74 is hot but typical of a fresh impulse; 1.4100 is now the pivot on any pullback.
Support: 1.4100, 1.40904, 1.40668
Resistance: 1.41144
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.4100 puts price back inside the prior range
US flash PMIs (13:45 UTC) land imminently and could extend or reverse this leg
13:16 UTC
Uptrend, breakout leg extending · RSI 75 · price 1.41108
Range break to fresh session high.
USDCAD broke the 1.4066–1.4091 intraday range into the NY session, spiking to 1.41144 on a firmer USD ahead of US flash PMIs. RSI(14) near 74 is hot but typical for a fresh breakout leg; former range top around 1.4076 now sits as first support.
Support: 1.4100, 1.4076, 1.4066
Resistance: 1.41144, 1.4150
What it said to watch
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
A close back below 1.41000 negates the breakout and reopens the range
Holding above 1.41000 keeps the path toward 1.41144 then 1.4150 open
13:02 UTC
Uptrend, fresh breakout · RSI 76 · price 1.4107
Broke above 1.4090 range top into session highs.
USDCAD spent most of the window boxed 1.4066–1.4090, then broke the range top on the NY push, printing session highs at 1.4107. RSI(14) is hot near 76 after the impulse; the 1.4090 breakout level is the immediate reference on any pullback.
Support: 1.4090, 1.4075, 1.4066
Resistance: 1.4110
What it said to watch
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read within the hour
A close back below 1.4090 negates the breakout and returns price to range
Failure to hold 1.4110 leaves the move stalling below psych
13:02 UTC
Uptrend, fresh breakout · RSI 74 · price 1.4107
Range break to the upside.
USDCAD broke the 1.4066-1.4099 intraday range during NY hours, printing 1.4107 as the USD stayed firm post-jobless-claims while a soft Canadian retail ex-autos read drew muted CAD support. RSI(14) near 74 is hot but consistent with the impulsive breakout; 1.4090 is the prior range cap now acting as reference.
Support: 1.4090, 1.4066
Resistance: 1.4150
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.4090 back into the range invalidates the breakout read
Sustained hold above 1.4107 opens the path toward 1.4150 resistance
USDCAD spiked above the 1.4066–1.4099 session range in the last two bars, tagging 1.41051 as the USD firmed into US flash PMIs. RSI(14) near 72 — short-term hot but not extreme after a day of tight consolidation. Prior resistance at 1.4092 now the first support to watch.
Support: 1.4090, 1.4075, 1.40659
Resistance: 1.41051, 1.4150
What it said to watch
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC could extend or reverse this breakout
Failure to hold 1.4092 signals a false break back into the range
Sustained close above 1.41051 opens the 1.4150 range top
USDCAD spent the day boxed in 1.4066–1.4090, then broke the range top on a sharp NY-session push to 1.41051, riding the firmer USD tone. RSI(14) is hot near 76 after the impulse; 1.4090 is now the immediate breakout level to watch on any pullback.
Support: 1.4090, 1.40749, 1.40659
Resistance: 1.41051
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 1.4090 puts price back inside the prior range
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
12:31 UTC
Short-term uptrend, momentum building · RSI 65 · price 1.40906
Higher lows pressing into session highs.
USDCAD ground higher off the 1.40659 session low, stacking higher lows into the late-London push and now testing the 1.40920 session high. RSI(14) near 65 — hot but not extreme; pair sits just under the 1.40993 prior high with US flash PMIs due shortly.
Support: 1.4075, 1.40659
Resistance: 1.4092, 1.40993
What it said to watch
Close above 1.40920 opens the path to the 1.40993 prior high
Loss of the 1.40750 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session, reclaiming 1.4090 after basing at 1.4066, with RSI(14) firm near 66. Price now tests the session high at 1.4092; a chain of higher lows keeps the intraday recovery intact.
USDCAD grinding back toward the session high after buyers stepped in twice around 1.4066 during NY hours, RSI(14) near 61. Price contained inside the 1.4066-1.4099 range with no clean break in play.
Support: 1.4066
Resistance: 1.4090, 1.4099
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4090 opens the path to 1.4099
Failure to hold 1.4066 confirms a lower low
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read within the hour
USDCAD carved a rounded base off 1.4066 through the London-NY transition and is grinding back toward the session high at 1.4090, price above both EMAs. RSI(14) near 63, firm but not stretched; softer USD kept the earlier dip shallow with bulls hesitant per the CAD tone.
Support: 1.40758, 1.40659
Resistance: 1.4090, 1.40993
What it said to watch
Clean break of 1.4090 opens the path to 1.4099 prior high
Loss of 1.40758 puts the 1.4066 session low back in play
US flash PMIs 13:45 UTC could shift this read within the next bars
12:02 UTC
Range, edging up late · RSI 65 · price 1.40879
Range-bound, testing session high.
USDCAD ranged 1.4066-1.4099 through the session and is grinding back toward the 1.4090 session high into the NY window, RSI(14) in the mid-60s. Move fits the soft-USD, two-way tone; buyers stepped in repeatedly near 1.4066.
Support: 1.40659
Resistance: 1.4090, 1.40993
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4090 opens a retest of 1.4099 prior high
Loss of 1.4066 confirms a lower low and breaks the range floor
US flash PMIs 13:45 UTC could shift this read
12:02 UTC
Recovering off range low, momentum picking up · RSI 64 · price 1.40879
Range, pushing back to session highs.
USDCAD dipped to the range low at 1.40659 through the London-NY transition then recovered, and NY hours are now pressing back toward the session high near 1.4093 with RSI(14) around 64. Pair stays range-bound between 1.4066 and 1.4099 on a softer USD leg, per the digest's ~1.4070 consolidation read.
USDCAD is ranging roughly 1.4066–1.4099 through the London-NY window, with price grinding back to the upper third at 1.40852 on a chain of rising lows. RSI(14) near 60 with no extreme; buyers stepped in twice around 1.4066–1.4072 but the 1.4089 session high still caps.
Support: 1.40725, 1.40659, 1.4060
Resistance: 1.40886, 1.40993
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40886 opens the path to the 1.40993 prior high
Loss of 1.40725 rising lows reopens 1.40659 swing low
US flash PMIs ~13:45 UTC could break the range
11:46 UTC
Ranging, mild bid off the low · RSI 57 · price 1.40852
Range between 1.4066 and 1.4099.
USDCAD ranging 1.4066-1.4099 through the London-NY window, holding near 1.4085 as a softer USD leg caps upside. Buyers stepped in at 1.4066 mid-session and price has retraced back toward the range top; RSI(14) mid-50s, no extreme.
Support: 1.40749, 1.40659
Resistance: 1.40886, 1.40993, 1.4100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4099 opens a test of the 1.4100 psych level
Loss of 1.4066 confirms a lower-low and breaks the range
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC could inject USD volatility into this read
USDCAD ranging 1.4066–1.4099 for most of the 24h window, pinned near Scotiabank's ~1.40 fair value. Price recovered off the 1.40659 session low and is grinding back toward the 1.40868 session high, RSI mid-range with no momentum extreme.
Support: 1.4075, 1.40659
Resistance: 1.40868, 1.40993
What it said to watch
Close above 1.40868 opens a retest of range high 1.40993
Failure to hold 1.40750 exposes the 1.40659 session low
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC could break the range via the USD leg
11:31 UTC
Range-bound, drifting off lows · RSI 58 · price 1.40842
24h range 1.4066-1.4099, price mid-range.
USDCAD is pinned in a 1.4066-1.4099 range across the Asia-London window, consistent with the ~1.40 fair-value read on the pair. Price has recovered off the 1.40725 session low into the London-NY transition, RSI near 58 with no extreme in play.
Support: 1.40725, 1.40659
Resistance: 1.40868, 1.40993
What it said to watch
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC could break this range via the USD leg
M15 close above 1.40868 opens a retest of the 1.40993 range high
Loss of 1.40725 exposes the 1.40659 range low
11:16 UTC
Range, no clear direction · RSI 53 · price 1.40806
Consolidating inside 1.4066–1.4091.
USDCAD pinned in a tight 1.4066–1.4091 band through the London-NY session, RSI(14) flat near 53. Price dipped to 1.40659 early NY and has since recovered to mid-range with no directional follow-through — matching the ~1.40 fair-value read as CAD stays two-way between hawkish-Fed and firm oil.
Support: 1.40659
Resistance: 1.40868, 1.40913
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40913 opens a push toward the range high
Break below 1.40659 confirms a lower low and breaks the range floor
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC could inject direction via the USD leg
11:16 UTC
Ranging, no clear direction · RSI 53 · price 1.40806
Consolidation between 1.4066 and 1.4090.
USDCAD is pinned in a tight 1.4066–1.4090 band, coiling near 1.4080 with ATR compressed under 5 pips. Buyers stepped in twice around 1.4066 during the London session and supply capped the bounce at 1.4087; no setup in play. US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC are the next catalyst into this range.
Support: 1.40725, 1.40659
Resistance: 1.40868, 1.40924
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40868 opens a probe of the 1.40924 session high
Loss of 1.40725 exposes the 1.40659 session low
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could break this consolidation via the USD leg
11:02 UTC
Ranging, no directional bias · RSI 51 · price 1.40787
Sideways range, mid-band.
USDCAD is pinned in a tight 1.4066-1.4092 range through the Asia and early-London window, RSI(14) neutral near 51 and ATR compressed around 5 pips. Price chopped back to mid-range at 1.4079 after a rejection at 1.4087; no setup in play with US flash PMIs still ahead.
Support: 1.4066, 1.4075
Resistance: 1.4092, 1.40993
What it said to watch
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close above 1.40920 opens a probe of the 1.40993 swing high
Failure to hold 1.40660 confirms a lower-low out of the range
11:02 UTC
Sideways, no clear direction · RSI 52 · price 1.40787
Range-bound intraday.
USDCAD is pinned in a 1.4066–1.4090 range through the London-NY transition, consistent with the two-way ~1.40 fair-value read. Price sits mid-range near 1.4079 with RSI(14) flat around 52 and ATR compressed near 5 pips; no setup in play.
Support: 1.4075, 1.4066
Resistance: 1.4086, 1.4099
What it said to watch
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC (~2.5h) could break the range via the USD leg
M15 close above 1.4090 opens a push toward the 1.4099 session high
Failure to hold 1.4066 confirms a lower-low
10:46 UTC
Ranging, no clear bias · RSI 46 · price 1.4075
Consolidation inside 1.4066-1.4099 band.
USDCAD pinned in a tight 1.4066-1.4099 range through Asia and into the London-NY window on a softer USD, ATR compressed near 5 pips. Price sits mid-range at 1.4075 with RSI(14) neutral around 46; the retrace off the 1.4099 session high stalled without a clean directional break.
Support: 1.4066, 1.4050
Resistance: 1.4086, 1.4099
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4066 opens the path toward the 1.4050 range floor
Close above 1.4099 exposes the 1.4100 psych level
US flash PMIs 13:45 UTC could break this range via the USD leg
10:46 UTC
Sideways, no directional bias · RSI 46 · price 1.4075
Consolidation inside 1.4066-1.4090.
USDCAD pinned in a 1.4066-1.4090 range through Asia and into London, with the pair drifting back to 1.4075 on a softer USD. Buyers stepped in twice near the 1.4066 session low; RSI(14) mid-range and offering no edge.
Support: 1.4066, 1.4050
Resistance: 1.4090, 1.4100
What it said to watch
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read via the USD leg
Close above 1.4100 pivot opens the upside path
Failure to hold 1.4066 session low confirms a lower-low
10:31 UTC
Sideways, no momentum · RSI 47 · price 1.4075
Range-bound intraday.
USDCAD pinned in a tight 1.4066–1.4099 range for the full 24h window, price back at 1.4075 near mid-range with RSI(14) flat around 46. Pair sits just under EMA20/50 but no directional structure has developed — two-way trade near Scotiabank's ~1.40 fair value.
Support: 1.4066, 1.4070
Resistance: 1.4090, 1.4099, 1.4100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4099 range top opens the 1.4100 psych pivot
Loss of 1.4066 session low confirms a lower-low
US flash PMIs 13:45 UTC could break the range via the USD leg
10:31 UTC
Sideways, no momentum · RSI 47 · price 1.4075
Range-bound, choppy micro-swings.
USDCAD is pinned in the 1.4066-1.4092 band, hovering near 1.4075 into the NY session with no directional impulse; RSI(14) sits mid-range near 46 and ATR is a thin ~7 pips. The 1.40659 low was tapped and held earlier, keeping the range floor intact.
Support: 1.4066, 1.4050
Resistance: 1.4086
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4092 breaks the range top
Failure to hold 1.4066 opens the path toward 1.4050
US flash PMIs 13:45 UTC could break this range via the USD leg
10:16 UTC
Sideways, no directional momentum · RSI 51 · price 1.40788
Range-bound, mid-range chop.
USDCAD ranging between the 1.40659 session low and 1.40868 session high through London, price pinned mid-range near 1.4079 with RSI(14) flat around 50 — no setup in play. Move reflects the softer-USD Asia lean and Scotiabank's ~1.40 fair-value pinning cited in the CAD read.
Support: 1.40659, 1.40706
Resistance: 1.40868, 1.40993
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40868 opens the path back to 1.40993
Break below 1.40659 confirms a lower low
US flash PMIs 13:45 UTC could break this range via the USD leg
10:16 UTC
Sideways, no momentum · RSI 51 · price 1.40788
Range-bound, tight consolidation.
USDCAD pinned in a 1.4066-1.4087 range through the London-NY window, RSI(14) flat near 50 and ATR compressed to ~5 pips. Buyers stepped in twice around 1.4066 while supply capped the pushes near 1.4087; price sits mid-range with no setup in play, consistent with the ~1.40 fair-value consolidation.
Support: 1.40659
Resistance: 1.40868, 1.40993
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40868 opens the path to 1.40993
Break below 1.40659 confirms a lower low
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC could break this range via the USD leg
10:02 UTC
Sideways, no momentum · RSI 52 · price 1.40794
Range-bound, mid-range.
USDCAD ranging roughly 1.4066-1.4090 through the London session, pinned near Scotiabank's ~1.40 fair value. Price swept the 1.40659 session low mid-window then recovered; the last push to 1.40868 was rejected back into mid-range with RSI(14) neutral near 51.
Support: 1.40659
Resistance: 1.40868, 1.40993
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40868 opens the path to 1.40993 prior high
Failure to hold 1.40659 session low confirms a lower-low
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC could break this range via the USD leg
10:02 UTC
Range, no clear bias · RSI 51 · price 1.40794
Consolidation between 1.4066 and 1.4090.
USDCAD grinding in a 1.4066-1.4090 range through the London session, pinned near Scotiabank's ~1.40 fair value with RSI(14) neutral around 51. Price bounced off the 1.40659 session low and pushed to 1.40868 before rejecting back to 1.4079; no setup in play ahead of US PMIs.
Support: 1.40659, 1.40749
Resistance: 1.40868, 1.40993
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40868 opens the path back toward 1.40993
Failure to hold 1.40659 confirms a lower low
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could break this range via the USD leg
09:46 UTC
Range-bound, late pop off lows · RSI 62 · price 1.40855
Consolidation between 1.4066 and 1.4099.
USDCAD has ranged 1.4066–1.4099 through the session, pinned near Scotiabank's ~1.40 fair value with oil offsetting the hawkish-Fed/CAD-tariff drag. Last bar popped to 1.4086 off the 1.4066 session low, RSI(14) back above 60 but structure still contained inside the range.
Support: 1.4066
Resistance: 1.4087, 1.4099
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4099 breaks the range top
Failure to hold 1.4066 opens a lower low
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC (~4h) could break the range via the USD leg
USDCAD churning in a tight 1.4066-1.4099 band all session with no fresh CAD catalyst; last bars pushed off the 1.40659 session low back up to the 1.40868 session high, RSI(14) mid-60s. Range-bound near the 1.40 fair-value area as traders wait on the US leg.
Support: 1.40659
Resistance: 1.40868, 1.40913, 1.40993
What it said to watch
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC could break this M15 range via the USD side
Close above 1.40913 opens the path to the 1.40993 range top
Failure to hold 1.40659 confirms a lower-low
09:31 UTC
Range, no clear direction · RSI 48 · price 1.40782
Consolidation between session pivots.
USDCAD is grinding in a 1.4066-1.4084 range through the London session, price coiling near mid-range at 1.40782 with RSI(14) flat around 48. Swing low at 1.40659 held on the last dip; no directional setup in play ahead of the US flash PMIs.
USDCAD drifted off the 1.40913 session high through NY hours and is now chopping around 1.4078, mid-range, after buyers stepped in at 1.40659. Pair sits at Scotiabank fair value with no fresh CAD catalyst; RSI(14) neutral near 49 and ATR compressed to ~5 pips.
Support: 1.40706, 1.40659
Resistance: 1.40842, 1.40913
What it said to watch
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC could break the current chop
Close below 1.40659 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.40842 puts the 1.40913 session high back in play
USDCAD is ranging 1.4066–1.4092, chopping near fair value with no clean direction into the London-NY transition. Price recovered off the 1.40659 session low back toward mid-range and RSI(14) sits neutral around 54.
Support: 1.40659
Resistance: 1.40842, 1.40924
What it said to watch
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC are the nearest catalyst and could break this range
M15 close below 1.40659 confirms a lower low
Close above 1.40842 reopens the 1.40924 prior high
USDCAD is ranging 1.4066-1.4099 through the Asian into London session, with price recovering to 1.4081 after a dip to 1.40659. Move stayed muted as the pair sits near fair value; RSI(14) neutral around 53 with no session-range break in play.
Support: 1.4066
Resistance: 1.4092, 1.4099
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4066 confirms a lower low and breaks the range floor
Close above 1.4092 reopens the range top at 1.4099
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC could inject direction into this range
09:03 UTC
Range grind, mild recovery off lows · RSI 53 · price 1.40793
Intraday range, bounce from session low.
USDCAD sold off through London hours from the 1.40842 swing high to a 1.40660 session low, then found demand twice near 1.4066 and ground back to 1.4079. RSI(14) sits neutral around 53 with price hugging EMA20; no directional setup while the 1.4066–1.4084 range holds.
Support: 1.4066, 1.40706
Resistance: 1.40842, 1.40993
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40660 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.40842 reopens the 1.40993 session high
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could break this range
USDCAD grinding in a 1.4066–1.4099 range through the London session; the dip to 1.40659 was swept and reclaimed, price now back to 1.40793 with RSI(14) neutral near 51. Pair pinned near ~1.40 fair value with no domestic driver — direction hinges on US PMIs.
Support: 1.40688, 1.40749
Resistance: 1.40913
What it said to watch
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could break this range
Close above 1.40913 opens the path back toward the range top
Failure to hold 1.40688 reopens the session low sweep
08:46 UTC
Range-bound, drifting off lows · RSI 51 · price 1.40784
Intraday range, session low swept and reclaimed.
USDCAD ranging through the NY morning between 1.4066 and 1.4092; the 1.40659 session low was swept and reclaimed, price recovering to 1.40784 with RSI(14) back near neutral. USD holding firm on the safe-haven bid but no fresh intraday catalyst yet.
Support: 1.40659, 1.40706
Resistance: 1.40842, 1.40924
What it said to watch
S&P Global US PMIs at 13:45 UTC could break the 1.4066/1.4092 range
M15 close below 1.40659 confirms a lower-low
Reclaim of 1.40842 puts the session high at 1.40924 back in play
USD/CAD grinding a 1.4066–1.4082 range through the London session after supply capped the earlier push toward 1.409. Price rebounded off the 1.40659 session low, RSI back to neutral near 51; no clean directional structure in play.
Support: 1.40659
Resistance: 1.40825, 1.4090
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40825 opens the path back toward the 1.409 session high
Failure to hold 1.40660 confirms a lower low and extends the intraday slide
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could break the range
USDCAD grinding the lower half of a 1.4066-1.4099 range, holding near Scotiabank's ~1.40 fair value amid the tariff-vs-oil standoff. London swept the 1.40659 low then bounced to 1.4076; price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-40s, no directional break in play.
Support: 1.40659, 1.4070
Resistance: 1.4084, 1.40913
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40659 opens the path toward the 1.40 psych level
Reclaim of 1.40840 negates the lower-high sequence
US S&P Global PMIs 13:45 UTC could break the range
USDCAD grinding lower into London hours, printing a fresh session low at 1.40659 before a shallow bounce back to 1.4076. Still boxed inside a 1.4066–1.4092 range; price sits just under EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-40s, no momentum extreme.
Support: 1.40659, 1.4056
Resistance: 1.40842, 1.40924
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.40659 opens the 1.4056 range floor
M15 close above 1.40842 intraday cap questions the lower-high sequence
US S&P Global PMIs 13:45 UTC could break the range via broad USD
USDCAD drifted off the 1.40993 session high through the European morning, printing lower highs and tagging 1.40659 before a shallow bounce to 1.40765. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-range; pair keeps stalling ahead of the 1.4084 supply as flagged by firmer USD on jobless-claims/Iran themes.
Support: 1.40659, 1.4070, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40842, 1.40993
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40659 opens the path toward 1.4000
Reclaim of 1.40842 would negate the lower-high sequence
S&P Global US PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
08:16 UTC
Mild intraday downtrend off session high · RSI 44 · price 1.40765
Lower highs, ranging 1.4066-1.4090.
USDCAD stalled below the 1.4099 session high and rolled over through London, tagging a session low at 1.4066 before a shallow bounce to 1.40765 — consistent with the pair gravitating around fair value near 1.40. Price is capped under the 1.40842 swing and sits below EMA20/50; RSI(14) mid-range at 44, no momentum extreme.
Support: 1.40659, 1.4056
Resistance: 1.40842, 1.40993
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40842 negates the lower-high sequence
Break of 1.40659 session low opens 1.4056
S&P Global US PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read
Stepping down from session high toward 1.4066 low.
USDCAD has ground lower through the London morning, printing lower highs off the 1.40993 session peak and tagging a fresh 1.40659 low before bouncing to 1.40749. RSI(14) sits mid-40s with no extreme; price holds below EMA20/50 while consolidating just above the low.
Support: 1.40659, 1.40706
Resistance: 1.40828, 1.40924
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40659 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.40828 swing high negates the downward drift
S&P Global PMIs 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD rejected the 1.4099 day high early and has ground out a series of lower highs, dipping to a 1.4066 session low before a shallow bounce to 1.4075. RSI(14) near 43, price below EMA20/50 — pair gravitating toward fair value ~1.40 with oil cushioning CAD.
Support: 1.40659, 1.4070
Resistance: 1.4084, 1.40993
What it said to watch
Break of 1.40659 session low confirms a fresh lower-low
Reclaim of 1.40840 lower-highs line neutralises the intraday slide
US S&P Global PMIs 13:45 UTC could inject volatility into USD
07:47 UTC
Range-bound, recent leg lower · RSI 42 · price 1.40737
24h range 1.4066-1.4099, micro lower highs into London open.
USDCAD is caught in a 1.4066-1.4099 range across the last 24h, with a soft leg lower into the London open printing lower highs from 1.40842 down to the 1.40659 session low before a bounce to 1.4074. Firmer USD on hawkish Fed repricing is offset by supportive oil, keeping the pair stalling near fair value; RSI(14) mid-range at 42.
Support: 1.40659, 1.4060
Resistance: 1.40842, 1.40924
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40659 confirms a lower low
Close back above 1.40842 swing high negates the micro downtrend
S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
07:46 UTC
Range, tilting lower into London · RSI 43 · price 1.40737
Lower highs, testing range floor.
USDCAD held a 1.40660–1.40990 range through the Asian session and has drifted toward the floor into London hours, printing lower highs with price below both EMA20 and EMA50. Sellers pressed to 1.40659 before a shallow bounce to 1.40737; RSI(14) mid-40s, no extreme.
Support: 1.40688, 1.40659, 1.4070
Resistance: 1.40842, 1.40924, 1.40993
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40659 confirms a lower low and opens the 1.40600 area
Reclaim of 1.40842 negates the lower-high sequence
S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could reprice the USD side of this read
USDCAD ground lower into the London session, printing a fresh session low at 1.40659 after a ~24h range between 1.4066 and 1.4099. RSI(14) near 37 with a chain of lower highs off 1.40842; sellers stepped in on the last few bars despite the broadly bid USD, with firmer oil cushioning CAD.
Support: 1.40659, 1.4050, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40842, 1.40916, 1.40993
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close below 1.40659 opens 1.4050 / 1.4000
Reclaim of 1.40842 negates the lower-high chain
S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD slid through the London open, breaking the 1.4075-1.4085 consolidation to print a fresh session low at 1.40659 as the USD stays broadly bid on hawkish Fed repricing. RSI(14) near 34, short-term stretched but not extreme; sellers pressing lower highs.
Support: 1.40659, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4080, 1.40842
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.40800 negates the breakdown
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
07:16 UTC
Intraday downtrend, rolling off highs · RSI 40 · price 1.40692
Retracing the London rally, testing session lows.
USDCAD rolled off the session high at 1.4099 and has slid back toward the session low near 1.4067, now sitting below both EMAs with RSI(14) cooling to ~40. The move has retraced almost the entire Asian-to-London rally; oil and Fed repricing remain the drivers behind the pair's stall.
Support: 1.40641
Resistance: 1.40842, 1.40993
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4064 confirms a lower low and opens fresh downside
Reclaim of 1.4084 consol top negates the intraday breakdown
US PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
07:16 UTC
Sideways, drifting lower · RSI 40 · price 1.40692
Range with lower highs late session.
USDCAD is consolidating in the 1.4067–1.4092 band, drifting toward the session low as the pair stalls below the 1.4100 confluence flagged in the broader CAD read. Price rolled off the 1.40842 swing high and sits back at the 1.40676 session low with RSI(14) sub-40; no clean break either way.
Support: 1.40676, 1.4064
Resistance: 1.40842, 1.40924, 1.4100
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40676 confirms a lower low and opens 1.40640
Reclaim of 1.40842 swing high needed to reassert the range top
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read
07:02 UTC
Range, drifting lower · RSI 43 · price 1.40741
Consolidation inside 1.4058–1.4099.
USDCAD is ranging 1.4058–1.4099 after tagging the 1.40993 window high during the prior NY session; price has since drifted back below EMA20/EMA50 and sits mid-range at 1.40741. Asian and early-London bars are compressing, RSI(14) neutral near 43 with no session breakout in play.
Support: 1.40676, 1.40578
Resistance: 1.40842, 1.40993
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40676 opens a retest of the 1.40578 window low
Reclaim of 1.40842 swing high needed to re-engage the range top
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift USD tone and this read
07:02 UTC
Ranging, drifting lower into London · RSI 42 · price 1.40741
Range-bound below 1.4090, lower highs into current bar.
USDCAD is ranging roughly 1.4068–1.4090, slipping toward the lower edge in early London after a session peak at 1.4099. RSI(14) has cooled to the low-40s with price back under EMA20/50; no fresh momentum in either direction.
Support: 1.4068, 1.4056
Resistance: 1.4084, 1.4099
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4068 opens the path to the 1.4056 range low
Reclaim of 1.4084 shifts the tape back toward the 1.4099 session high
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read via USD
USDCAD is ranging roughly 1.4068-1.4084 through Asia into early London, sitting near fair value ~1.40 with the pair capped below the 1.4100 confluence. Price faded off the 1.40993 high made late in the prior NY session and rejected the 1.4084 area repeatedly; RSI(14) sits mid-40s with no setup in play.
Support: 1.40676, 1.40706
Resistance: 1.40842, 1.40993
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4084 reopens the 1.4092/1.4099 highs
Break below 1.4068 confirms a lower-low and range break
S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift the USD leg of this read
06:46 UTC
Range after failed push to 1.4099 · RSI 44 · price 1.40748
Consolidation inside prior-day range.
NY session pushed to 1.40993 yesterday then rejected, and price has since coiled into a tight 1.40676–1.40850 range through the Asian hours. Now sitting at 1.40748 just under EMA20/50, no directional setup in play.
Support: 1.40676, 1.40577
Resistance: 1.4085, 1.40993
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40850 reopens the 1.40993 session high
Break below 1.40676 confirms a lower low toward 1.40577
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift USD tone and this range read
USDCAD is ranging 1.4070–1.4085 in the Asia session after failing to hold the 1.40993 session high set during prior NY hours; RSI(14) sits mid-range near 44. Price is drifting the lower half of the range, hovering around the 61.8% retrace of the earlier rally.
Support: 1.4070, 1.40577
Resistance: 1.4085, 1.40993
What it said to watch
Close above 1.40850 reopens the 1.40993 session high
Break below 1.40700 exposes the 1.40577 session low
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read
06:31 UTC
Range, drifting off highs · RSI 46 · price 1.40762
Consolidation below session high.
USDCAD stalled after tagging 1.40993 during the Asia session and is now chopping between 1.40676 and the 1.40913 swing high, last print 1.40762 slipping under EMA20/50. RSI(14) near 46 — neutral, no momentum extreme. Pair gravitating around fair value ~1.40 with oil and Fed repricing the drivers.
Support: 1.40676, 1.40577
Resistance: 1.40913, 1.40993
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40913 reopens the 1.40993 session high
Loss of 1.40676 confirms a lower-low toward 1.40577 range low
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could break the range
Consolidating below session high, higher lows into Asia-London.
USDCAD ranging between 1.4067 and 1.4099 through the Asian session, grinding back to 1.4082 after buyers stepped in at 1.4067. RSI(14) neutral near 55, ATR compressed to ~3 pips — no setup in play, price stalling under the 1.4100 confluence flagged in the CAD read.
Support: 1.40676, 1.4075
Resistance: 1.4091, 1.40993, 1.4100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40993 opens the path to the 1.4100 confluence
Failure to hold 1.40676 confirms a lower-low
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD is ranging 1.4067–1.4099 after fading the 1.4099 session peak; buyers stepped in at 1.4067 and price is grinding back through mid-range near 1.4083 in quiet Asia-into-London hours. RSI(14) neutral around 55, ATR compressed near 3 pips — no directional setup in play.
Support: 1.4067, 1.4056
Resistance: 1.4085, 1.4099
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4099 opens continuation of the intraday leg
Loss of 1.4067 confirms a lower low and breaks the range
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD is ranging 1.4068–1.4099 after the 1.40993 session high was rejected during the London hours, price now grinding back to mid-range near 1.4083 as USD keeps a safe-haven bid. RSI(14) neutral around 54, no momentum extreme; the 1.4100 confluence above still caps.
Support: 1.40676, 1.40578
Resistance: 1.40924, 1.40993
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40993 opens the path toward the 1.4100 confluence
Loss of 1.40676 confirms a lower-low and breaks the range
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read
05:47 UTC
Range after NY-session peak · RSI 52 · price 1.40802
Consolidation, mid-range.
USDCAD topped at 1.40993 during the NY session then drifted lower through Asia, bottoming at 1.40676. Price is now boxed between 1.40760 and 1.40850 pre-London, RSI(14) neutral near 52 with the broad grind toward the 1.4100 pivot still intact.
Support: 1.4076, 1.40676
Resistance: 1.4085, 1.40913, 1.40993
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40913 opens the path toward the 1.4100 pivot
Failure to hold 1.40676 confirms a lower low
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read
05:46 UTC
Range, flat momentum · RSI 53 · price 1.40802
Consolidation below session high.
USDCAD faded from the 1.40993 session high and has spent the Asian session ranging roughly 1.4067–1.4085, price now mid-range near 1.408 with RSI(14) flat around 53. USD holds a broad safe-haven bid keeping dips shallow, but no intraday setup in play.
Support: 1.4067, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.4085, 1.40993, 1.4100
What it said to watch
Close above 1.4085 range top reopens 1.40993 and the 1.4100 psych pivot
US S&P Global PMIs 13:45 UTC could break the range
05:31 UTC
Uptrend faded, now consolidating · RSI 49 · price 1.40781
Range after pullback from session high.
USDCAD faded from the session high at 1.40993 and is now consolidating between 1.4068 and 1.4085, with RSI(14) flat near 50. Grind reflects the USD-firm/CAD-capped backdrop, but no intraday setup is in play ahead of London.
Support: 1.40676, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.40849, 1.40993, 1.4100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40849 reopens the path to 1.40993 and 1.4100
Break below 1.40676 confirms a lower low and breaks the range
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
05:31 UTC
Ranging, momentum flat · RSI 48 · price 1.40781
Consolidation after fade from session high.
USDCAD is chopping between 1.4070 and 1.4090 through the Asia session, having faded from the 1.40993 range high toward the 1.4100 pivot flagged in the CAD read. RSI(14) sits near 48 and price is pinned around EMA20 — no directional resolution, mid-range balance.
Support: 1.4070, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.4090, 1.40993
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4090 reopens the 1.40993 range high
USDCAD is ranging 1.4067–1.4090 after rejection at the 1.4099 day high, with buyers stepping in near 1.4067 during Asian hours. Price grinds back toward the 1.4090 top on soft momentum, RSI(14) mid-range near 57. The 1.4100 confluence flagged by dealers remains the pivot capping the tape.
Support: 1.40676, 1.4075
Resistance: 1.40908, 1.40993, 1.4100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4090 opens a retest of the 1.41000 psych pivot
Loss of 1.40676 session low confirms a lower-low and breaks the range
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
05:16 UTC
Consolidation after failed push to 1.4100 · RSI 55 · price 1.4080
Range, holding below session high.
USDCAD ran from 1.4056 to a 1.4099 high before rejection dragged it back toward 1.4067; price now ranges 1.4076–1.4082 with RSI(14) flat mid-range. The 1.4090 session high and 1.4100 psych level cap, aligning with the digest read of a grind back toward 1.4100.
Support: 1.4076, 1.4067, 1.4056
Resistance: 1.4090, 1.4099, 1.4100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4090 reopens the 1.4100 psych level
USDCAD is consolidating near 1.4081 after a rejection at the 1.40993 session high; the subsequent pullback found demand at the 1.40676 session low and lows have since crept higher. RSI(14) sits neutral near 54 with the range top capping around 1.4089.
Support: 1.40676, 1.4075
Resistance: 1.4089, 1.40993, 1.4100
What it said to watch
Close above 1.4089 range top reopens 1.40993 and the 1.4100 psych level
Loss of the 1.40676 session low confirms a lower low
S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read
05:02 UTC
Range, drifting back toward session high · RSI 54 · price 1.40811
Consolidation after pullback from 1.4099.
USDCAD is ranging 1.4068–1.4099 after rejecting the session high at 1.40924; price has crept back up to 1.40811, holding above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) neutral near 54. Move fits the digest's grind back toward the 1.4100 confluence as USD safe-haven demand offsets firm oil.
Support: 1.40748, 1.40676
Resistance: 1.40924, 1.4100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40924 opens the 1.41000 psych level
Loss of 1.40676 confirms a lower low and breaks the range
S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read
USDCAD is grinding in a tight Asian-session range after fading from the 1.4099 high, holding above the 1.4068 swing low. Price has crept back to 1.4082 on low ATR; pair remains pinned below the 1.4100 confluence noted in the macro read, with soft CAD CPI and a firm USD keeping downside limited.
Support: 1.40676, 1.4056
Resistance: 1.4091, 1.40993
What it said to watch
Clean break of 1.4091 session high opens the path back to 1.4099 range high
Loss of 1.4068 swing low re-exposes the 1.4056 range low
S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could inject volatility into a currently quiet range
04:46 UTC
Ranging, modest recovery · RSI 58 · price 1.40822
Range after pullback from session high.
USDCAD pulled back from the 1.4099 session high to 1.4067 through NY, then chopped sideways in Asia and recovered to 1.4082, back at the range top. Soft Canadian CPI/retail earlier this week keeps CAD heavy while firm USD caps the pair below 1.4100; RSI(14) neutral near 58.
Support: 1.4067, 1.4056
Resistance: 1.4085, 1.4099
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4085 opens a retest of the 1.4099 prior high
Failure to hold 1.4067 confirms a lower low toward 1.4056
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could break this range
04:32 UTC
Range, drifting off highs · RSI 51 · price 1.40795
Consolidation below session high after NY rally faded.
NY session pushed to a session high of 1.40993 before rejecting; price has since retraced ~46% of that rally and is consolidating around 1.4078 in Asian hours. Sits between the 1.4067 swing low and the 1.40913 prior high, capped below the 1.4100 confluence noted in the digest.
Support: 1.4067, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.40913, 1.40993
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40913 re-opens the session high at 1.40993
Break of 1.4067 swing low exposes the 1.40564 window low
US S&P Global PMIs 13:45 UTC could shift the USD leg
04:32 UTC
Faded from highs, now flat · RSI 51 · price 1.40795
Consolidation after rejection at 1.4099.
USDCAD pushed to a session high of 1.40993 before fading, and is now coiled in a tight 1.4070–1.4085 band into the quiet late-Asian hours. The pair holds above the 1.4000 floor with soft CAD CPI and a firm USD keeping it capped below the 1.4100 confluence; volatility has drained, ATR sub-6 pips.
Support: 1.4070, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.4085, 1.40993, 1.4100
What it said to watch
close above 1.40850 reopens the 1.40993 session high and 1.4100 confluence
loss of 1.40700 session low turns the read lower toward 1.40564
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could break this compression
04:17 UTC
Pullback stalling, now flat · RSI 50 · price 1.40768
Ranging after NY high fade.
NY session topped at the 1.40993 session high before fading through Asia to a 1.40676 session low. Price is now consolidating around 1.4077, RSI(14) flat near 50 and holding the EMA20 — no setup in play.
Support: 1.40676, 1.4056
Resistance: 1.4085, 1.40993
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4085 re-opens the 1.40993 session high
Break below 1.40676 re-opens 1.4056
US S&P Global PMIs (13:45 UTC) could shift the USD leg
04:16 UTC
Range, momentum flat · RSI 47 · price 1.40768
Faded off session high, now consolidating.
USDCAD stalled at the session high 1.40993 and rejected, sliding to 1.40676 before settling into a tight 1.4067-1.4085 range through the Asia session. Price now hugs EMA20 near 1.4077 with RSI(14) mid-range; no directional impulse in play, consistent with the pair pinned below the 1.4100 confluence.
Support: 1.40676, 1.4056
Resistance: 1.4085, 1.40993, 1.4100
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.4085 prior high reopens the 1.40993 session high
Loss of 1.40676 swing low confirms a lower low
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could break this range via the USD leg
USDCAD topped at 1.4099 during NY hours yesterday, then drifted back through the Asia session and is now consolidating tightly between 1.4067 and 1.4079, RSI neutral near 47. Soft CAD CPI and the tariff overhang cap the Loonie, but firm oil keeps the pair pinned below the 1.4099 high.
Support: 1.40676, 1.4056
Resistance: 1.4085, 1.40924, 1.40993
What it said to watch
Close above 1.40850 reopens the 1.40924/1.40993 highs
Break below 1.40676 confirms a lower-low from the Asia range
US PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift the USD leg
04:02 UTC
Up-move stalled, now ranging · RSI 47 · price 1.40769
Consolidation below session high.
USDCAD pushed to a session high of 1.40993 during the prior NY session, then rolled back into a tight Asian-session range around 1.4077 with RSI(14) neutral near 46. Price is coiling between 1.4068 and 1.4090, holding just above the 50% retrace of the up-leg; soft Canadian CPI and a firm USD keep the pair pinned below the 1.4100 confluence.
Support: 1.40676, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.4090, 1.40993
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4090 re-opens the 1.40993 session high
Break below 1.40676 exposes the 1.40564 session low
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift the USD leg
USD/CAD is ranging through the Asia session after rejection of the 1.40993 NY high, back mid-range near 1.40769 with RSI(14) neutral. The pair stays capped below 1.4100 as firm oil offsets the hawkish-USD bid; the 1.40676 session low held on the recent dip.
Support: 1.40706, 1.40676, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.4079, 1.4085, 1.40993
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40850 reopens the 1.40993 session high
Loss of 1.40676 confirms a lower low toward 1.40564
US Flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift the USD leg materially
03:46 UTC
Pulled back from session high, now flat · RSI 51 · price 1.40769
Consolidation after NY-session rejection.
NY session pushed to 1.40993 and was rejected, fading back toward the 50% retrace near 1.40779 where Asia hours have parked price in a 1.40676–1.40790 range. RSI(14) neutral around 50, no momentum edge into the session.
Support: 1.40676, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.4085, 1.40993
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40850 reopens the 1.40993 session high
Break of 1.40676 exposes the 1.40564 session low
US Flash PMIs 13:45 UTC could shift the USD leg
03:32 UTC
Pullback from highs, now flat · RSI 51 · price 1.40778
Consolidation after retreat from 1.4099.
Quiet Asian session chopping between 1.4067 and 1.4085 after the earlier retreat from the 1.4099 NY-session high; ATR compressed near 6 pips. Price ground back to 1.4078 with RSI(14) neutral — no directional impulse while oil and a firm USD keep the pair pinned below 1.4100.
Support: 1.40676, 1.4075
Resistance: 1.4085, 1.40913, 1.40993
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4085 reopens 1.4091/1.4099
Loss of 1.4067 confirms a lower low
S&P Global US Flash PMIs 13:45 UTC could break the range
03:32 UTC
Pullback from session high, now flat · RSI 50 · price 1.40778
Consolidation, holding 50% of the up-leg.
NY pushed USD/CAD to a session high of 1.40993 and faded, capped below the 1.4100 confluence noted in the macro read; Asian-hour trade has since coiled between 1.40676 and 1.40851. Price sits near the 50% retrace of the 1.4056–1.4099 move with RSI(14) neutral around 50 and ATR thin at ~5 pips.
Support: 1.40676, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.40851, 1.40993
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40851 reopens the 1.40993 session high
Break below 1.40676 swing low exposes the 1.40564 session low
US Flash PMIs 13:45 UTC could shift the USD leg
03:17 UTC
Pullback within broader range · RSI 51 · price 1.40771
Consolidating after NY-session decline off 1.40993.
USDCAD topped at 1.40993 during NY hours then drifted lower into Asia, now consolidating in a tight 1.40676–1.40850 band with RSI(14) neutral near 51. Recent dip to 1.40676 was bought back to the mid-range; soft Canadian CPI and a firm USD keep the pair pinned below the 1.40913 area.
Support: 1.40676, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.4085, 1.40913, 1.40993
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40676 confirms a lower-low and re-opens 1.40564
Close above 1.40850 puts the 1.40913/1.40993 session high back in play
US Flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift the USD leg materially
USD/CAD ran through the London-NY session to a 1.40993 session high, then faded on the soft-CAD/firm-USD backdrop and is now consolidating 1.4067–1.4078 in thin Asian trade. RSI(14) neutral near 49, ATR compressed to ~4.5 pips as volume dries up.
Support: 1.40676, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.4085, 1.40993, 1.4100
What it said to watch
Close above 1.40850 reopens the 1.40993 session high and 1.4100 psych level
Failure to hold 1.40676 swing low exposes 1.40564 session low
US Flash PMIs 13:45 UTC could shift the USD leg
03:02 UTC
Range, recovering off dip · RSI 49 · price 1.40783
Pullback from session high, descending highs into Asia range.
USDCAD peaked at 1.40993 then faded on descending highs, dipping to 1.40676 before Asia session recovered price to 1.40783 near the 50% retrace. Pair stays pinned below 1.4100 as soft Canadian CPI and tariff drag meet a firm USD; RSI(14) back to mid-range.
Support: 1.40676, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.40851, 1.40993
What it said to watch
Close above 1.40851 reopens the 1.40993 session high
Failure to hold 1.40676 confirms a lower low
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift the USD leg
03:02 UTC
Faded from highs, now consolidating · RSI 53 · price 1.40783
Range after NY peak, lower highs.
USDCAD topped at 1.4099 during NY hours — the 1.4100 confluence flagged in the CAD read capped the move — then faded and has ranged 1.4068-1.4085 through the Asian session. Price now 1.4078, sitting on EMA20 with RSI(14) neutral near 53; a chain of lower highs remains intact below 1.4085.
Support: 1.4068, 1.4056
Resistance: 1.4085, 1.4099, 1.4100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4085 re-opens the 1.4099 session high / 1.4100 psych
Failure to hold 1.4068 confirms a lower low toward 1.4056
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read via the USD leg
02:47 UTC
Uptrend fading, in pullback · RSI 43 · price 1.40753
Retrace off session high, consolidating.
NY session drove USDCAD to a 1.4099 session high before rejection, and price has drifted lower through the Asia session to 1.4075 as the USD safe-haven bid cooled. RSI(14) near 43 with price back below EMA20/50; sitting mid-way through the 1.4056–1.4099 up-leg, no fresh setup in play.
Support: 1.4068, 1.4056
Resistance: 1.4085, 1.4099
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4068 confirms a lower-low toward 1.4056
Reclaim of 1.4085 puts 1.4099 session high back in play
US S&P Global PMIs 13:45 UTC could shift the USD leg
02:47 UTC
Pullback after NY rally, momentum fading · RSI 46 · price 1.40753
Lower highs off session peak, consolidating mid-range.
USDCAD topped at the NY session high of 1.40993 and has drifted lower since, printing lower highs into the quiet Asia session; price now consolidates near 1.4075 below EMA20/50. RSI(14) neutral around 46 with no momentum extreme; pair pinned below the 1.4100 confluence noted in the CAD read.
Support: 1.40676, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.4085, 1.40993, 1.4100
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.40676 session low confirms a lower-low extension
Reclaim of 1.40850 swing high reopens the 1.40993 ny high
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift the USD leg
02:32 UTC
Pullback off NY highs, momentum soft · RSI 44 · price 1.40726
Lower highs since 1.4099, drifting on session lows.
NY session pushed to 1.40993 then faded, printing lower highs into the Asia session; price now hovers on session lows near 1.4073, sitting on the 61.8% fib of the prior up-leg. RSI(14) mid-40s, price below both EMAs — momentum has cooled after the rejection.
Support: 1.40676, 1.4056, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4077, 1.4085, 1.40993
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.4077 negates the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.40676 confirms a lower-low and opens 1.4056
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could reset the USD leg
02:31 UTC
Pullback from session high, now flat · RSI 41 · price 1.40726
Consolidating below highs after rejection at 1.40993.
USDCAD faded off the 1.40993 session high and now consolidates around 1.4072 in the Asia session, holding above the 1.40676 low. Price sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) mid-40s; the USD stayed firm on hawkish Fed pricing while soft Canadian CPI keeps the CAD capped.
Support: 1.40676, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.4085, 1.40993
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40676 opens the path back to 1.40564
Reclaim of 1.40850 puts the 1.40993 session high back in play
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read
USDCAD faded from the NY session high at 1.40993, rejecting the 1.40850 shelf before sliding to a 1.40676 session low and stabilising near 1.4070 into early Asia. RSI(14) has cooled to the low-40s as the pair sits around the 0.618 retrace of the prior up-leg; broader tone stays USD-firm but rising oil keeps the pair capped below 1.4100.
Support: 1.4070, 1.40676, 1.40607
Resistance: 1.4085, 1.40913, 1.40993
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 1.40850 prior shelf reopens 1.40913
Loss of the 1.40676 session low confirms a lower-low toward 1.40607 swing low
Hold of 1.40700 psych keeps the intraday floor intact
02:16 UTC
Pullback off session high · RSI 43 · price 1.40732
Lower highs after rejection at 1.4099.
USDCAD rejected the 1.4099 session high and has bled back to 1.4073 through the Asia session, printing a chain of lower highs. RSI(14) cooling near 42 as price slips under both EMAs; 1.40676 is the near-term floor.
Support: 1.40676, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.4085, 1.40913
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.40676 confirms continuation toward 1.40564 range low
Reclaim of 1.40850 negates the lower-high sequence
Headline-driven oil/USD swings the marginal driver — no high-impact CAD data on tap
Lower highs since the NY high, testing session lows.
NY session pushed USD/CAD to a 1.40993 session high before it faded through the Asian range, breaking lower at 1.40851 and printing 1.40676. Price now hovers 1.4073 below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-range; oil strength remains the main brake capping the pair below 1.4100.
Support: 1.40676, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.4085, 1.40993
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.40850 swing high negates the intraday lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.40676 session low confirms continuation toward 1.40564
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift the USD leg
02:02 UTC
Pulling back off session high · RSI 43 · price 1.40726
Lower highs since 1.4099 peak, testing session low.
USDCAD rolled off the 1.4099 session high and drifted lower through Asia hours, now sitting on the 1.4068 session low and the 61.8% retrace of the London-NY advance near 1.4073. RSI mid-40s, momentum soft; supply capped each bounce below the 1.4086 swing high.
Support: 1.40676, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.40864, 1.40993
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4068 opens 1.4056
Reclaim of 1.4086 negates the pullback
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift the USD leg
01:47 UTC
Intraday pullback from session high · RSI 36 · price 1.40695
Lower highs, testing session low.
USDCAD rolled off the 1.40993 session high and has ground lower through the Asia session, now pressing the 1.40676 session low with RSI(14) near 36. Price sits below both EMAs after failing to hold the 1.4085 prior range; soft CAD CPI and a firm USD frame the backdrop but oil is capping upside.
Support: 1.40676, 1.40607, 1.4056
Resistance: 1.4085, 1.40993
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.40676 session low opens the 1.40607 swing low
Reclaim of 1.4085 prior range negates the pullback
Flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift the USD leg
01:46 UTC
Pulling back from session high · RSI 42 · price 1.40695
Lower highs after topping near 1.40993.
USDCAD rejected the 1.40993 session high set during London-NY hours and has ground lower through the Asia session, now probing 1.40676 with RSI(14) mid-40s. Price sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with a chain of lower highs capping rebounds.
Support: 1.40676, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.40864, 1.40993
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40676 opens the 1.40564 asia low
Reclaim of 1.40864 negates the pullback read
S&P Global flash PMIs Fri 13:45 UTC could shift the USD leg
01:32 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back · RSI 39 · price 1.4073
Lower high off NY session high, testing support.
USDCAD rejected the NY session high at 1.4099 and the Asia session has sold it down to 1.4067, RSI(14) cooling to ~39 and price slipping below EMA20/50. Now hovering at 1.4073, right on the 61.8% retrace of the 1.4056–1.4099 leg with 1.4067 the immediate support.
Support: 1.4067, 1.4056
Resistance: 1.4088, 1.4099
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4056 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.4088 prior high negates the pullback
S&P Global flash PMIs 13:45 UTC could shift the USD leg
01:31 UTC
Range, pulling back from highs · RSI 42 · price 1.4073
Rally to 1.4099 faded, retracing lower.
USDCAD topped at 1.4099 and has drifted back to 1.4073, retracing about 62% of the earlier push off 1.4056 as the USD leg cools into the Asia session. Price now sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 42; supply capped repeatedly at 1.4090 and demand held 1.4068.
Support: 1.40676, 1.40564, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4090, 1.40993
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4068 opens a retest of the 1.4056 session low
Reclaim of 1.4090 puts the 1.4099 swing high back in play
S&P Global flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift the USD leg
01:17 UTC
Range breaking lower · RSI 38 · price 1.40708
Consolidation broke down, lower lows forming.
USDCAD held a tight range top near 1.40850 through the quiet Asian session, then broke lower into 1.40676 with volume picking up on the drop; price sits at 1.40708 with RSI(14) around 37. Move stalls just under the 61.8% retrace of the 1.40564-1.40993 up-leg, consistent with the CAD's soft-CPI/tariff drag against a firm USD.
Support: 1.40676, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.4085, 1.40913, 1.40993
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.40676 session low confirms the lower-low continuation
Reclaim of 1.40850 range top negates the breakdown read
S&P Global flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift the USD leg
01:16 UTC
Intraday pullback, momentum down · RSI 38 · price 1.40708
Lower highs since the 1.40993 peak, testing session low.
USDCAD rolled off the session high at 1.40993 and is now pressing the session low near 1.40676 during Asia hours, in line with a firmer USD leg. RSI(14) sub-40 with a chain of lower highs since the peak; price sits below EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 1.40676, 1.40607, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.4086, 1.40993
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40676 opens 1.40607 then 1.40564
Reclaim of 1.40860 negates the lower-high sequence
S&P Global flash PMIs 13:45 UTC could shift the USD leg
01:03 UTC
Range broke lower, momentum down · RSI 38 · price 1.40695
Range break below session base.
USDCAD ranged 1.4077-1.4091 through the NY session and late hours, then broke lower into early Asia to test 1.40689, RSI(14) cooling near 37. Move fits the firm-USD/soft-CAD backdrop but the downside slip keeps price pinned below the broken 1.40770 base.
Support: 1.40689, 1.40607
Resistance: 1.4077, 1.4091
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40689 opens the 1.40607 swing low
Reclaim of 1.40770 base negates the downside break
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift the USD leg
01:03 UTC
Downtrend developing off session high · RSI 40 · price 1.40695
Rolled over from 1.40993, breaking below Asian consolidation.
USDCAD topped at 1.40993 during NY hours, then rounded lower and coiled near 1.40830 through the Asia session before breaking down to 1.40695 in the last hour. Price is below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 39; the consolidation top at 1.40850 has capped and the pair now sits mid-range above the 1.40607 session low.
Support: 1.40607, 1.4056
Resistance: 1.4085, 1.40993
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.40607 session low confirms lower-low continuation toward 1.4056
Reclaim of 1.40850 consol top negates the breakdown read
S&P Global flash PMIs 13:45 UTC could shift the USD leg
00:46 UTC
Pullback after session-high rejection · RSI 43 · price 1.40772
Broke down from 1.4075-1.4090 consolidation.
USDCAD rejected the 1.4099 session high and drifted into a 1.4075-1.4090 band before breaking lower to 1.4077 on a volume uptick, RSI(14) cooling to the low 40s. Price is now sitting on the 1.4075 recent low, holding the 61.8% retrace of the prior push off 1.4056.
Support: 1.4075, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.4085, 1.40993
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40750 re-opens 1.40564 session low
Reclaim of 1.40850 negates the breakdown and restores the range
S&P Global flash PMIs (13:45 UTC) can shift the USD leg later in the session
USDCAD drifted through a tight 1.4080s consolidation for much of Asia before a sharp bar broke it lower, sweeping the 1.40748 area with price now at 1.40772. Rally off the NY 1.40564 low stalled below 1.40993; RSI(14) cooled to ~40 as sellers pressed the range floor.
Support: 1.40748, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.4090, 1.40993
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close below 1.40748 extends the pullback toward 1.40564
Reclaim of 1.40900 negates the downside break and reopens the session high
S&P flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift the USD leg
00:32 UTC
Range faded, edging lower · RSI 41 · price 1.40758
Overnight range broken to the downside.
NY session drove USDCAD to a 1.40993 high before fading into a tight 1.4080-1.4086 overnight range as USD held firm on safe-haven/Fed bids. Asia open cracked the range base, dropping price to 1.40758; RSI(14) near 41, ATR thin at ~3.5 pips.
Support: 1.40748, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.4085, 1.40993
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 1.40850 puts price back inside the overnight range
Close below 1.40748 confirms a lower low toward 1.40564
S&P Global flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC could reshape the USD leg
00:31 UTC
Range breaking lower · RSI 41 · price 1.40758
Multi-hour range, recent downside break.
USDCAD consolidated 1.4082-1.4091 through the Asian session after topping at 1.40993, then dropped through 1.4082 in the last hour to a session low of 1.40750. RSI(14) cooling to the low 40s as price sits at range support, in line with the digest's oil-capped tone below the 1.4100 confluence.
Support: 1.4075, 1.4064, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.4085, 1.4091, 1.40993
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 1.4085 negates the downside break and restores the range
Failure to hold 1.40750 opens the path to 1.40640
Tariff/oil headlines are the near-term driver with no scheduled CAD data
00:17 UTC
Range, tilting lower late · RSI 43 · price 1.4077
Range with a fresh break of the floor.
USDCAD ranged 1.4075–1.4090 through the NY-Asia transition after topping at 1.4099; the last bar snapped the range floor down to 1.40753 on a sharp drop, dragging price back below EMA20/50. RSI(14) cooling near 42, with soft CAD CPI and a firm USD keeping the pair pinned under 1.4100.
Support: 1.4075, 1.4056
Resistance: 1.4090, 1.4099
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close below 1.4075 opens the path toward 1.4056 session low
Reclaim of 1.4090 restores the range top and invalidates the breakdown
S&P Global flash PMIs (13:45 UTC) could shift the USD leg later in the session
USDCAD rallied to 1.4099 during the NY session then chopped sideways through Asia, holding a 1.4075-1.4086 band; the pair sits near 1.4088 confluence per the CAD digest as a firm USD offsets rallying oil. Last bar swept the range low to 1.4077, RSI mid-range and momentum flat.
London/NY drove USDCAD to a 1.40993 session high on renewed USD strength before it eased back; Asia hours are now grinding in a tight 1.4078-1.4092 band on thin volume. Move fits the firm-USD, tariff-capped-CAD tone, with the pair pinned below the 1.4100 confluence.
Support: 1.4078, 1.4056
Resistance: 1.4092, 1.4099
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4092 opens the 1.4099 session high
Loss of 1.4078 range low exposes 1.4056 session low
S&P Global flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read
NY session drove USDCAD from the 1.4056 low up to a session high of 1.4099 before stalling, with the USD underpinned by safe-haven flows and soft Canadian CPI capping CAD. Asia hours are quiet, price coiling in a tight 1.4075–1.4090 band just below the highs, ATR compressed to ~4 pips.
Support: 1.4075, 1.4056
Resistance: 1.4090, 1.4099
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4090 exposes the 1.4099 session high
Loss of 1.4075 opens a retest of the 1.4056 prior low
S&P Global flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC could break this range