USDCAD has held a tight 1.4054-1.4114 band through the week, coiling near fair value after Monday's soft Canadian CPI capped CAD and a firm USD held it up. Price recovered off the 1.4054 low into the NY session and sits back above EMA20 with RSI cycling mid-band. The 1.4114 week high capped the latest push before this pullback to 1.4102.
Support: 1.4085, 1.4054, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4114
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.4114 breaks the week's range top
Loss of 1.4054 opens the 1.4000 psych level
FOMC next week is the dominant catalyst that could break this range
USDCAD has been pinned in a tight 1.4054–1.4114 band since Monday, with soft Canadian CPI and fresh US tariffs capping CAD while firm oil offsets, leaving spot near fair value around 1.40. Price is back at the range top after a NY-session lift, holding above EMA20 with RSI cycling in the mid-50s to low-60s. The week high at 1.4114 has capped attempts and remains the pivot for any move higher.
Support: 1.4076, 1.4054, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4114, 1.4150
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 1.4114 week high opens the path to 1.4150 resistance
Loss of 1.4076 range mid re-exposes the 1.4054 swing low
FOMC next week is the dominant catalyst that could break this range
19:03 UTC
Range-bound, no clear trend · RSI 56 · price 1.4096
Week-long consolidation between 1.4054 and 1.4114.
USDCAD has been pinned in a tight ~60-pip range since Monday's open, coiling around fair value with USD firm but CAD cushioned by strong oil despite softer Canadian CPI and fresh tariff headwinds. Price sits above both H1 EMAs after a rejection at 1.4114 in the last NY session, RSI(14) cycling in the mid-50s with no momentum extension. The 1.4054-1.4114 band has capped every attempt this week.
Support: 1.4065, 1.4054, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4105, 1.4114
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.4114 (week high) opens the path toward 1.4150
Failure to hold 1.4065 swing low reopens 1.4054 and the 1.4000 psych pivot
FOMC next Wed is the dominant catalyst and could break this range either way
19:03 UTC
Range-bound, no clear direction · RSI 54 · price 1.4096
Sideways band under range top, holding above week low.
USDCAD has chopped in a tight 1.4056–1.4110 band since Monday's open, matching the range read the CPI-miss and tariff headlines left behind. A spike to 1.4114 during the NY session was rejected straight back into the range — a false break of the week high. Price now sits mid-band near 1.4096 with RSI cycling around the midline and EMA20 flattening just below spot.
Support: 1.40553, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4110, 1.41144
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 1.4114 invalidates the range top and opens 1.4150
Failure to hold 1.4056 exposes the 1.4000 psych level
FOMC next week (Wed) is the dominant catalyst and could break this band
18:02 UTC
Sideways, range-bound · RSI 53 · price 1.40965
Multi-day range, choppy chop around EMAs.
USDCAD has been pinned in a 1.4054–1.4114 range since Monday's open, with price oscillating either side of the EMAs and no clean directional break. The recent NY session saw a spike to the 1.41144 week high that was rejected back toward the range middle, and RSI(14) is cycling around the midline. Softer Canadian CPI and firm oil have left spot near fair value, keeping structure two-way ahead of next week's FOMC.
Support: 1.4054, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4110, 1.41144, 1.4150
What it said to watch
Hourly close above the 1.41100 range top opens the 1.41144 week high and 1.41500 interim res
Break below the 1.40540 week low turns structure toward the 1.40000 psych pivot
FOMC next week is the dominant catalyst that could break this range
18:02 UTC
Sideways, no dominant side · RSI 54 · price 1.40965
Range, choppy this week.
USDCAD has been pinned in a 1.4056–1.4110 band all week, with the range top capping every push and price now sitting mid-range near the EMAs. Soft Canadian CPI and fresh US tariffs have limited CAD upside while firm oil offsets, leaving spot near fair value ~1.40. A brief spike to the 1.4114 week high this session was rejected and unwound.
Support: 1.4074, 1.4056, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4110, 1.4114
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.4110 range top opens the 1.4114 week high
Failure to hold 1.4056 week low opens the 1.4000 psych level
FOMC Jul 29 is the week's pivot and could break this range
17:03 UTC
Sideways, range-bound this week · RSI 49 · price 1.40858
Horizontal range, mid-band chop.
USDCAD has churned in a tight 1.4056–1.4110 band since Monday, with price sitting mid-range around the H1 EMA(20) and RSI cycling near 50. The 1.4110 area has capped every push this week — the latest spike to 1.4114 in the NY session was rejected straight back into the range. Soft Canadian CPI and fresh tariffs cap CAD while firm oil offsets, leaving spot near fair value into next week's FOMC.
Support: 1.4056, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4110, 1.4100
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.4110 invalidates the range-top read and opens 1.4150
Failure to hold 1.4056 exposes the 1.4000 psych pivot
FOMC Jul 29 is the dominant catalyst and could break this range
17:03 UTC
Sideways, range-bound · RSI 51 · price 1.40858
Choppy range, flat highs and lows.
USDCAD has churned in a 1.4056–1.4110 band all week, matching the digest's ~1.4070 pinning as soft Canadian CPI and fresh US tariffs offset firm oil. A spike to 1.4114 in the last NY session was rejected straight back into the range, a false break of the range top. Price now sits mid-range near EMA(20) with RSI(14) flat around 50.
Support: 1.4056, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4106, 1.4114
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.4114 invalidates the range read and opens 1.4150
Failure to hold 1.4056 exposes the 1.4000 psych level
FOMC Jul 29 is the dominant catalyst that could break this band
16:03 UTC
Range-bound, no clear trend · RSI 46 · price 1.40807
Sideways range beneath week high.
USDCAD has been pinned in a 1.4053–1.4114 range all week, soft Canadian CPI and fresh US tariffs capping CAD while firm oil offsets, leaving spot near fair value ~1.40. The NY-session spike to 1.41144 was rejected back below 1.4090, a false break above the week high that keeps price mid-range. RSI(14) sits near 46 with price hugging both EMAs, no directional resolution ahead of next week's FOMC.
Support: 1.40741, 1.40607, 1.40529
Resistance: 1.4100, 1.41105, 1.41144
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.41144 spike high opens the path toward the 1.4150 zone
Loss of 1.40529 week low confirms a lower low toward the 1.4000 psych level
FOMC next week is the dominant catalyst that could break the range
16:02 UTC
Range, no clear bias · RSI 48 · price 1.40807
Sideways band, capped tops.
USDCAD has churned in a 1.4053–1.4110 band all week, pinned near Scotia's ~1.40 fair value as soft Canadian CPI and fresh US tariffs cap CAD while firm oil offsets. The latest NY session spiked to 1.41144 before reversing sharply back to 1.4080 — a false break of the week high with price now sitting on both EMA(20) and EMA(50). RSI(14) is neutral around 47, matching the directionless price action.
Support: 1.4065, 1.4053, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4110, 1.4150
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 1.4110 week high opens 1.4150 prior res
Loss of 1.4065 swing low exposes 1.4053 week low then 1.4000 psych
FOMC Jul 29 is the dominant catalyst that could break this range
USDCAD has been pinned in a 1.4056-1.4114 range all week, with price sitting near fair value around 1.408 after soft Canadian CPI and firm oil left the pair two-way. A spike into the NY session tagged 1.41144 before rejecting straight back into the range, a false break that leaves the range top intact. RSI(14) is neutral near 49 and price is hugging both EMAs, consistent with the consolidation.
Support: 1.4075, 1.4056, 1.4050
Resistance: 1.4110, 1.4114
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 1.4114 negates the false-break read and reopens the range top
Loss of 1.4056 range low confirms a lower low toward the 1.4050 week low
FOMC next week is the dominant catalyst and could break this range in either direction
15:02 UTC
Range-bound, no clear direction · RSI 47 · price 1.40814
Week-long range, top rejected.
USDCAD has been range-bound between 1.4056 and 1.4114 all week, pinned near Scotia's stated fair value around 1.40 as soft Canadian CPI and firm oil offset one another. The NY-session spike to 1.4114 was rejected sharply back to 1.4081, a false break of the range top. RSI(14) is cycling around 50 with price hugging EMA(20); the range remains intact.
Support: 1.4065, 1.40564, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.41144, 1.4100
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.4114 would invalidate the range-top rejection
Loss of 1.4056 opens the 1.4000 psych pivot
FOMC next week is the dominant catalyst that could break the 1.4000-1.4114 band
14:02 UTC
Sideways, capped near 1.4110 · RSI 56 · price 1.40948
Range-bound between 1.4060 and 1.4110.
USDCAD has been boxed between 1.4060 and 1.4110 since Monday's open, sitting near Scotia's fair value with the softer CAD CPI and firm USD offsetting. The 1.4110 top has capped repeatedly this week; the latest NY-session spike to 1.4114 was rejected straight back into the range, a clean false break. Price holds just above EMA(20) with RSI(14) mid-range around 56, no directional conviction.
Support: 1.4060, 1.4054
Resistance: 1.4110, 1.4114
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 1.4110 range top invalidates the range read, opening 1.4150
Loss of 1.4060 range base confirms a lower-low toward the 1.3991 pivot
FOMC next week is the dominant swing factor for this read
14:02 UTC
Range-bound, no clear trend · RSI 55 · price 1.40948
Week-long 1.4055–1.4110 range, upper-half.
USDCAD has churned inside a 1.4055–1.4110 band all week, boxed near Scotia fair value (~1.40) as soft Canadian CPI and firm oil offset each other. The latest NY-session push tagged 1.4114 before sellers rejected it straight back to 1.4095, a false break of the range top. Price sits in the upper half above a flat EMA20/EMA50 with RSI cycling mid-range.
Support: 1.4056, 1.4050, 1.4082
Resistance: 1.4110, 1.4114
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.4110 range top would confirm a range break higher
Loss of 1.4056 range low opens the week low at 1.4050
FOMC next week is the dominant swing factor for this range
13:03 UTC
Range, pressing the top · RSI 64 · price 1.41075
Week-long range 1.4060-1.4110, price at range top.
USDCAD has boxed inside 1.4060-1.4110 since Monday's open, with soft Canadian CPI and fresh US tariffs capping the Loonie while firm oil offsets. Price recovered through the NY session and the last bar spiked back to 1.4107, pressing the week high near 1.4110 that already rejected twice mid-week. RSI(14) has cycled back to the low-60s and price sits above EMA20/50, but the 1.4110 ceiling is intact.
Support: 1.4083, 1.4060, 1.4042
Resistance: 1.4110
What it said to watch
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC could break the range either way
H1 close above 1.4110 opens the range break toward 1.4150
Failure to hold 1.4060 reopens the weekly open at 1.4042
13:02 UTC
Range, testing top · RSI 62 · price 1.41075
Week boxed 1.4056–1.4110, price back at range top.
USDCAD has been boxed between 1.4056 and 1.4110 all week, with the 1.4110 top capping three attempts since Wednesday. Price pushed back to the range top into the NY session, lifting above EMA20 and EMA50 as RSI cycles into the low 60s. Soft Canadian CPI and fresh US tariffs against firm oil keep the pair pinned near fair value; US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC are the near-term swing factor.
Support: 1.4065, 1.4042
Resistance: 1.4110, 1.4150
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.4110 opens the path toward 1.4150
Failure to hold 1.4065 reopens the week low at 1.4042
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC could break the range read
USDCAD has held a 1.4060–1.4110 range since mid-week, capped below the week high at 1.4110 after two rejections, with a softer USD and firmer oil keeping the pair from extending. Price is back above EMA(20) into the NY session with RSI(14) mid-range near 56. The 50% US tariff shock and soft Canadian June CPI cap CAD, but crude strength offsets — leaving a two-way tone into next week's FOMC.
Support: 1.4060, 1.4080, 1.4040
Resistance: 1.4100, 1.4110
What it said to watch
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift the USD leg near-term
H1 close above 1.4110 opens the path toward 1.4150
Failure to hold 1.4060 opens the path toward 1.4040 range low
FOMC next week is the dominant catalyst for this range
USDCAD rallied off the 1.4045 weekly open to a 1.4110 wk high mid-week before fading into a 1.4056–1.4090 range, with lower highs marking a rounded top. Price is holding just above EMA20/50 with RSI back near 55 as the pair recovers from the 1.4056 swing low. The move reflects the two-way tension flagged in context — tariff/BoC-pause divergence versus firmer oil capping upside.
Support: 1.4056, 1.4045, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4100, 1.4110
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.4110 wk high reopens the 1.4150 area
Loss of 1.4056 swing low exposes the 1.4000 psych handle
US flash PMIs 13:45 UTC could shift the near-term read
FOMC next week is the dominant catalyst for this pair
11:02 UTC
Range after midweek pullback · RSI 50 · price 1.40791
USDCAD ran from Monday's 1.4029 open to a midweek high at 1.41105 before rolling over and settling into a 1.4064-1.4090 range around EMA(20). The pair is pinned near Scotiabank's ~1.40 fair value as hawkish-Fed USD support meets a firm-WTI CAD bid, with two-way flow keeping the week from breaking above 1.4100 decisively. RSI(14) is cycling near 50, reflecting the balanced consolidation.
Support: 1.4064, 1.40286
Resistance: 1.4090, 1.41105
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.4090 range top opens path to the 1.41105 week high
Loss of the 1.4064 swing low confirms a lower-low
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read via the USD leg
11:02 UTC
Sideways, momentum flat · RSI 51 · price 1.40791
Range below week high, holding above swing low.
USDCAD stalled after tagging a 1.4110 week high midweek, with 1.4100 capping two subsequent attempts into NY. Price has since chopped in a 1.4056–1.4090 range, coiling around EMA(20) with RSI(14) parked near 50 — no directional resolution. The pair sits near Scotiabank's ~1.40 fair value with soft BoC CPI and hawkish-Fed pricing offset by firm crude.
Support: 1.4056, 1.4065, 1.4028
Resistance: 1.4100, 1.4110
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.4100 opens the path toward 1.4110 week high
Failure to hold 1.4056 confirms a lower-low and exposes 1.4028
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC could resolve the range via the USD leg
10:02 UTC
Sideways after mid-week pullback · RSI 51 · price 1.40793
Range below week high, holding EMA20.
USDCAD opened the week near 1.4025 and rallied into the 1.4110 week high mid-week before rejecting and pulling back into a 1.4056-1.4100 range. Price has since chopped either side of EMA20 with RSI(14) cycling around the 50 line, in line with the two-way, oil-vs-tariff balance around ~1.40 fair value. US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC are the near-term driver via the USD leg.
Support: 1.4056, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4100, 1.4110
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.4100 pivot reopens the 1.4110 week high
Loss of 1.4056 swing low confirms a lower low toward 1.4000 psych
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC could break the range via the USD leg
USDCAD has been pinned in a 1.4064-1.4110 range since midweek, with the 1.41105 week high capping the advance and demand stepping in near 1.4064 on the pullback. Price now sits just below EMA20/EMA50 with RSI cycling around the mid-line; the tariff/soft-CPI CAD drag and firm oil offset keep the pair two-way near Scotiabank's ~1.40 fair value. No clear directional resolution while the week's range holds.
Support: 1.4064, 1.40564, 1.40254
Resistance: 1.4091, 1.41105
What it said to watch
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC could move the USD leg and this range read
H1 close above 1.40910 puts the 1.41105 week high back in play
Failure to hold 1.40640 exposes the 1.40564 range low
USDCAD rallied off Monday's 1.4018 low to a week high near 1.4111 on Wednesday as the broad USD firmed on Middle East safe-haven flows, then faded back to hug the EMA(20) around 1.4079. Price has since ground sideways in the 1.4065–1.4090 band with RSI(14) parked near neutral, spot glued to Scotiabank's cited ~1.40 fair value as soft Canadian CPI and firmer oil offset each other.
Support: 1.4065, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.4090, 1.4111
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.40900 supply reopens the 1.41110 week high
Failure to hold 1.40650 swing low confirms a lower low
US S&P Global PMIs 13:45 UTC could break the range grind
09:03 UTC
Uptrend faded, now ranging · RSI 49 · price 1.40787
Midweek high rejected, consolidating below EMAs.
USDCAD rallied from Monday's ~1.4025 open to a midweek high near 1.4111 before rolling back to 1.4056, and has since ground sideways in a 1.4065-1.4090 band. A firm USD on safe-haven and Fed-repricing flows is offset by firmer oil supporting CAD, keeping spot glued near the ~1.40 fair value cited in the digest. Price sits right on the H1 EMA20 and below EMA50, with RSI hovering near the midline.
Support: 1.4065, 1.4056
Resistance: 1.4090, 1.4100, 1.4111
What it said to watch
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read
Hourly close above 1.4090 reopens the 1.4111 week high
Failure to hold 1.4056 confirms a lower-low
08:02 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pullback into range · RSI 47 · price 1.40756
Consolidating below week high after impulse.
USDCAD rallied from Monday's open near 1.4022 to a week high at 1.4110 midweek as the USD firmed on strong US labour data and safe-haven flow, then eased back and has since consolidated in a 1.4060-1.4091 band. Price sits just under EMA20/EMA50 with RSI mid-range, and the descending highs off the 1.4110 peak flag momentum cooling. CAD's tariff/soft-CPI drag is being offset by firmer oil, keeping the pair gravitating near the 1.40 fair-value area.
Support: 1.4060, 1.4022
Resistance: 1.4091, 1.4110
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.4091 range top reopens the path to the 1.4110 week high
Failure to hold 1.4060 swing low exposes the 1.4022 week open
US S&P Global PMIs today 13:45 UTC could shift the USD read
USDCAD opened Monday near 1.4022 and rallied into a midweek peak at the 1.4110 week high before fading, with the pair now drifting sideways around 1.4076, just below EMA20. Firm USD on the 1969-low jobless claims and Middle East safe-haven bid has been offset by higher oil cushioning CAD, leaving price to grind in a range between 1.4056 support and the 1.4088 supply band. RSI(14) is cycling near the mid-line, reflecting the lack of directional follow-through.
Support: 1.4056, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4088, 1.4110
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.4088 supply, then 1.4110 week high, reopens the upside
Loss of 1.4056 week low confirms a lower low toward 1.4000 psych
S&P Global US PMIs at 13:45 UTC could break the range
07:02 UTC
Range after mid-week peak, momentum flat · RSI 47 · price 1.40743
Consolidation below 1.4090, above 1.4056.
USDCAD topped at 1.4111 mid-week and has since drifted into a tight range around 1.4075, capped by supply near 1.4090 and holding above the 1.4056 week low. Price is pinned just under both EMAs with RSI(14) hovering near 46, reflecting the stall the CAD digest flags around fair-value ~1.40 as firm USD (187K jobless claims, Iran safe-haven bid) meets rising oil. Two rallies this week failed under 1.4090, keeping the pair rotating rather than trending.
Support: 1.40607, 1.4056, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4090, 1.4111
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.4090 reopens the 1.4111 week high
Loss of 1.4056 confirms a lower-low and breaks the range
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read
USDCAD rallied from Monday's 1.4014 open to 1.41105 by Tuesday's NY session, then rolled over and has traded a 1.4056–1.4090 range for the past two days. Price now sits just under EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI cycling around 47, reflecting the stall the digest ties to fair value near 1.40 — soft Canadian CPI and tariff drag offset by firmer oil. Supply capped two attempts near 1.4090 while demand held the 1.4056 swing low.
Support: 1.40564, 1.40145
Resistance: 1.4090, 1.41105
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.4090 supply reopens the 1.41105 week high
Failure to hold 1.4056 confirms a lower low toward the 1.4014 weekly open
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift the USD read intraday
06:02 UTC
Consolidation after pullback from week high · RSI 52 · price 1.40823
Range-bound mid-week, holding above rising lows.
USDCAD ran from Monday's 1.4003 open up to a 1.4110 week high, then rejected the 1.4100 confluence and pulled back into a 1.4056–1.4100 range that has held all week. Price is sitting mid-range near EMA20 after recovering off the 1.4065 swing low, with the tariff shock and soft Canadian CPI keeping the Loonie capped while a firm USD safe-haven bid offsets higher oil. RSI(14) is cycling around the 50 line, reflecting the balance.
Support: 1.4065, 1.4056, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4100, 1.4110
What it said to watch
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close above 1.4100 confluence opens the path back to the 1.4110 week high
Failure to hold the 1.4065 swing low exposes 1.4056 week low then 1.4000 psych
06:02 UTC
Uptrend stalled, now ranging · RSI 52 · price 1.40823
Consolidation below week high after mid-week peak.
USDCAD rallied off Monday's 1.4003 low to a mid-week peak near 1.4110 before rejection stalled the advance, and price has since coiled in a 1.4056-1.4090 range below the 1.4100 confluence hurdle. USD stayed firm this week on safe-haven and hawkish-Fed flows while soft Canadian CPI capped the Loonie, but rallying oil kept a lid on the topside. RSI(14) is mid-range and price is pinned near EMA20 with EMA50 capping just above.
Support: 1.40607, 1.40564, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4090, 1.4100, 1.41105
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.4100 confluence opens the path to the 1.41105 week high
Failure to hold the 1.4060 swing low exposes 1.4000 psych floor
US S&P Global PMIs 13:45 UTC could shift this read
05:03 UTC
Uptrend faded, now ranging · RSI 49 · price 1.40813
Range below 1.4110 peak, lower highs.
USDCAD rallied off Monday's 1.4003 open into a mid-week peak at 1.4110 as the hawkish-Fed/Mideast USD bid offset soft Canadian CPI, then rolled over. Since then it has ranged 1.4056–1.4099, with the 1.4100 confluence capping and price now hovering around the EMA(20). RSI(14) sits mid-range near 49, reflecting the loss of directional momentum.
Support: 1.4060, 1.4079, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4100, 1.4110
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.4100 reopens the path to the 1.4110 week high
Failure to hold 1.4060 swing low exposes the 1.4000 psych floor
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift the range read
05:03 UTC
Uptrend faded, now ranging · RSI 49 · price 1.40813
Consolidation below weekly high.
The early-week rally from 1.4005 peaked near 1.4111 before stalling; price has since faded into a 1.4065–1.4090 range as the 1.4100 pivot capped repeated attempts. USDCAD is grinding sideways below that confluence, consistent with a hawkish-Fed/Mideast USD bid offset by firmer oil supporting CAD. Price sits just above EMA(20) but below EMA(50) with RSI(14) hovering near the midline.
Support: 1.4065, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4100, 1.4111
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.4100 pivot reopens the path toward 1.4150
Failure to hold 1.4065 exposes the 1.4000 psych floor
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read
04:02 UTC
Range, momentum flat · RSI 45 · price 1.40766
Consolidating below week high after 1.411 rejection.
USDCAD ground higher from Monday's 1.4003 open to a 1.4110 week high mid-window, then stalled and rolled over into a range as the 1.41 confluence capped repeated attempts. Soft Canadian CPI and fresh US tariffs kept the pair bid off 1.4000 earlier this week, but firm oil has repeatedly stalled it below 1.4100. Price now sits just below EMA20/EMA50 with RSI(14) cycling around the midline — neither side pressing.
Support: 1.4065, 1.40564, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4100, 1.41105
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.41000 re-opens 1.41105 week high and 1.4150
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift the USD leg
04:02 UTC
Midweek uptrend, now stalled · RSI 46 · price 1.40766
Consolidation below 1.4100 after week impulse.
USDCAD rallied off Monday's 1.4003 open to a 1.4111 week high by Wednesday's NY session, driven by soft Canadian CPI and the tariff overhang, then stalled as firm oil kept the pair capped below the 1.4100 confluence. Since Thursday it has drifted into a tight consolidation, printing lower highs into 1.4090 while holding above the 1.4056 swing low. Price now sits just under EMA(20) with RSI(14) cycling around the midline.
Support: 1.4056, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4090, 1.4100, 1.4111
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 1.4100 confluence re-opens the 1.4111 week high
Loss of 1.4056 swing low exposes the 1.4000 psych floor
Sustained WTI strength is the main brake capping attempts at 1.4100
USDCAD opened Monday near 1.4005 and rallied through midweek to a 1.4111 week high, driven by soft Canadian CPI and the new US tariff overhang. That advance stalled at the 1.4100 confluence, which capped a second attempt near 1.40993, and price has since drifted into a range hugging EMA20/EMA50 with RSI(14) around 46. Firm oil has repeatedly cushioned the pair around the 1.4060 week low.
Support: 1.4060, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4100, 1.4111
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.4100 res reopens the 1.4111 week high
Failure to hold 1.4060 week low opens the 1.4000 psych floor
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift the USD leg
Price rallied from Monday's 1.4004 open to a 1.4110 midweek high before rolling over and settling into a 1.4056–1.4100 range. The 1.4100 confluence has capped every attempt since the peak, consistent with rising oil pinning the pair below the round number while soft Canadian CPI and the US tariff overhang cap the Loonie. RSI(14) is cycling around the midpoint with price drifting under EMA20/EMA50.
Support: 1.40564, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4100, 1.41105
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.4100 reopens the 1.41105 prior high
Failure to hold 1.4056 confirms a lower low toward 1.4000
US S&P Global PMIs 13:45 UTC could shift the USD leg
USDCAD lifted off Monday's 1.4004 open through midweek to a 1.4111 peak, powered by soft June Canadian CPI and the fresh US tariff overhang. The 1.4100 confluence has capped subsequent attempts and price has since drifted back toward the lower half of the week's range, now near 1.4073 with RSI in the mid-40s and price back below EMA20. Rallying WTI continues to cushion the pair around the 1.4060 zone.
Support: 1.40607, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4100, 1.4111
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.4060 confirms a lower low and opens the 1.4000 psych floor
A clean break above the 1.4100 confluence reopens the 1.4111 week high
US S&P Global PMIs today 13:45 UTC could shift the USD leg
02:02 UTC
Rolling over from midweek high, lower highs · RSI 43 · price 1.40729
Capped near 1.4110, sliding off the top.
USDCAD rallied off Monday's 1.4005 open and peaked near 1.4110 on Wednesday, but the 1.4100 confluence flagged in the CAD read (soft June CPI and tariff overhang vs firm oil) capped two attempts and price has since carved lower highs. Price now sits below EMA20 and EMA50, drifting back toward the 1.4065 swing low with RSI in the low 40s. The pair is testing the 38.2% retrace of the weekly impulse around 1.4070.
Support: 1.4065, 1.4056, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4085, 1.4100, 1.41105
What it said to watch
S&P Global US PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift the USD leg materially
Close below 1.4056 opens the 1.4000 psych floor
Reclaim of the 1.4100 confluence reaffirms the earlier-week bid
01:03 UTC
Uptrend stalled, pulling back · RSI 43 · price 1.40688
Range below 1.4100 after weekly high, lower highs forming.
USDCAD rallied from Monday's 1.4004 open to a 1.4111 week high on the soft CAD CPI and tariff overhang, but two attempts at that peak stalled and the pair has since drifted into a 1.4056–1.4088 range under the 1.4100 confluence. Firm oil kept the Loonie supported, capping the advance below 1.4100 while price now sits back under EMA20/50 after the latest bar slid to 1.40688. RSI has cooled into the low 40s as the session high at 1.4088 continues to cap.
Support: 1.4056, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4088, 1.4100, 1.4111
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.4100 confluence re-opens the 1.4111 week high
Loss of 1.4056 swing low exposes the 1.4000 psych floor
S&P Global flash PMIs Fri 13:45 UTC could shift the USD leg materially
01:03 UTC
Uptrend stalled, rolling over · RSI 42 · price 1.40688
Lower highs off the week peak, pullback in progress.
USDCAD opened near 1.4007 Monday and rallied through Tuesday's NY session to 1.4111 before rolling over, with soft Canadian CPI and fresh US tariffs feeding the earlier bid while rising WTI kept the pair capped under 1.4100. The 1.4100 confluence rejected the retest and price has since slipped back below EMA20 and EMA50, now testing the 1.4064 swing low with RSI cooling toward 42. Lower highs off the peak define the current pullback.
Support: 1.4064, 1.4056, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4091, 1.4100, 1.4111
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.4056 prior low confirms a lower low, opening 1.4000 psych
Reclaim of 1.4091 session high needed to re-challenge the 1.4110 week high
S&P Global flash PMIs Fri 13:45 UTC could shift the USD leg
Consolidation under week high, holding above prior-week lows.
USDCAD rallied off Monday's 1.4004 low to a 1.4110 week high before stalling, and has since traded a tight range in the 1.4064-1.4100 band with RSI(14) cycling around 50. Two attempts at the 1.4100 confluence have been capped as rising WTI cushions the Loonie against a firm dollar and this week's soft Canadian CPI. Price is coiling just above EMA(20) with no clear directional impulse into the back half of the week.
Support: 1.4064, 1.4057, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4100, 1.4110
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.4100 confluence opens the 1.4110 week high, then 1.4150
Failure to hold 1.4064 swing low re-opens the 1.4000 psych floor
S&P Global flash PMIs Fri 13:45 UTC could break this range via the USD leg
00:02 UTC
Range after midweek peak · RSI 51 · price 1.40853
Rounded top, chopping under 1.4100.
Since Monday's open near 1.4010 USD/CAD ground higher to a 1.4110 week high midweek, then rolled over into a rounded top and has been chopping 1.4056–1.4088 under the 1.4100 confluence. The soft Canadian CPI and fresh US tariffs underpinned the earlier rally while firm oil has repeatedly stalled attempts to clear 1.4100. RSI(14) is cycling around 50 with price hugging EMA20.
Support: 1.4056, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4100, 1.4110
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.4100 confluence opens the path toward 1.4150
Failure to hold the 1.4056 swing low re-opens the 1.4000 psych floor
S&P Global flash PMIs Fri 13:45 UTC could shift the USD leg