USDCHF rallied to a fresh YTD high at 0.8150 through Thursday, then reversed sharply into the NY session after the soft US June CPI print, sliding to 0.806. Price has since stabilised and is consolidating around 0.809, holding below both EMAs after the impulse gave back roughly half its weekly gains. The 0.80631 session low is the pivot the recovery is leaning on.
Support: 0.80631, 0.80305
Resistance: 0.8116, 0.81516
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.80631 confirms a lower-low and reopens 0.80305
Reclaim of 0.81160 prior high would repair the reversal
US Core PPI Wed 12:30 GMT could materially shift the USD side of this read
USDCHF climbed to a week high at 0.81516 into Monday's NY session before soft US June CPI drove a sharp reversal to 0.80631. Price has since consolidated around 0.809, holding below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) recovering toward neutral. The 0.80990 session high has capped the bounce so far.
Support: 0.80631, 0.8059
Resistance: 0.8099, 0.8116, 0.81516
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.81160 prior support would repair the uptrend read
Failure to hold 0.80631 swing low opens the 0.80590 cpi floor
Wed PPI cluster 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
USDCHF ran to fresh YTD highs near 0.8152 mid-week then reversed hard after the soft US June CPI print, shedding roughly 90 pips into the 0.8063 low. Price is now consolidating around 0.809, below EMA20, with the 0.8100 pivot capping the recovery attempt. The twin peaks at 0.8148–0.8152 form a clear double top ahead of the drop.
Support: 0.80631, 0.80305
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.81516
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 0.8100 pivot would ease the corrective read
Failure to hold the 0.8063 cpi low opens the 0.8043–0.8031 weekly low zone
Fed Chair Warsh testimony Wed 14:00 GMT could materially shift the USD side of this read
22:02 UTC
Uptrend broken, pulling back · RSI 47 · price 0.80951
Sharp break lower, now consolidating.
USDCHF ran to a fresh week high near 0.8152 mid-week before rejection set in, then soft US June CPI drove a sharp break lower through 0.8100, printing 0.80631 in the NY session. Price is now consolidating around 0.809-0.810, capped by the round-number level and sitting near a flattening EMA20 with RSI back below 50.
Support: 0.80631, 0.8043
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.8116, 0.81516
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.81000 round number would ease the breakdown pressure
Loss of 0.80631 cpi low confirms a lower-low
Fed Chair Warsh testimony Wed 14:00 GMT could materially shift the USD side of this read
21:03 UTC
Downtrend after sharp reversal · RSI 44 · price 0.80915
Consolidating below 0.8100 after CPI drop.
USD/CHF ran to fresh week highs near 0.8150 midweek then reversed hard on the soft US June CPI, dropping to 0.8063 in a single hour before stabilising. Price is now consolidating around 0.809, capped below the 0.8100 pivot and trading under EMA20 with RSI holding mid-range. The prior uptrend structure has broken; supply capped the 0.8150 area repeatedly this week.
Support: 0.80631, 0.8043, 0.80305
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.8116, 0.81516
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.8100 pivot reopens the 0.8116 swing and week high at 0.8150
Failure to hold 0.80631 session low opens 0.80430
Core PPI YoY Wed 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
20:02 UTC
Uptrend broken, pulling back · RSI 47 · price 0.80952
Sharp reversal off YTD high, consolidating.
USDCHF rallied to fresh YTD highs at 0.81516 through Monday and Tuesday before the soft US June CPI print (headline -0.4% vs -0.1% f/c) knocked it from the 0.8116 shelf down to 0.8063 in a single NY-hour bar. Price has since clawed back above 0.8090 but is capped below the 0.8100 pivot and trades under EMA20 after the reversal. RSI has recovered off oversold but remains sub-50, matching the loss of the week's upside momentum.
Support: 0.80631, 0.80305
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.8116, 0.81516
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.8100 pivot reopens the 0.81160 prior-consol area
Failure to hold 0.80631 cpi low confirms a deeper pullback toward the 0.80305 week low
US PPI and Warsh testimony Wed could materially reshape this read
20:02 UTC
Uptrend stalled, sharp reversal in play · RSI 43 · price 0.80952
Rejection at 0.8150, lower high forming.
USDCHF rallied from Monday's 0.8030 base to a fresh YTD high near 0.8150 into Tuesday, printing a double top before the soft US June CPI triggered a sharp reversal down to 0.8063. Price has since clawed back to consolidate around 0.8095, sitting below EMA20 with RSI(14) recovering from oversold toward 43. The 0.8116 pre-drop shelf now caps the bounce.
Support: 0.80631, 0.80305
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.8116, 0.81516
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.8116 reopens the 0.8150 double top
Failure to hold 0.8063 cpi low confirms a lower low
US PPI Wed 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
Reversal off YTD high, consolidating below broken support.
USDCHF ran to a fresh week high at 0.81516 into the NY session before the soft June US CPI print sank it in one bar, taking price back to 0.80631 and below both H1 EMAs. Since then it has consolidated 0.807–0.809, stalling around the 38.2% retracement of the CPI drop near 0.8097. The 0.8100 pivot now caps as prior support flips to resistance.
Support: 0.80631, 0.80305
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.81516
What it said to watch
Hourly close back above 0.81000 would negate the reversal read and reopen the week high
Failure to hold 0.80631 confirms a lower-low and exposes 0.80305
US PPI Wed 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read after the CPI miss
Sharp reversal off weekly high, now consolidating.
A grind to fresh weekly highs near 0.8152 into the NY session was violently unwound after the soft US June CPI print, with a single H1 bar dropping ~55 pips to 0.8063. Price has since stabilised around 0.809, holding below EMA20 and EMA50 as RSI(14) recovered off its post-CPI low. The 0.8116 breakdown level now caps recovery attempts.
Support: 0.80605, 0.80305
Resistance: 0.80985, 0.8116, 0.81516
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 0.8116 would negate the breakdown
Failure to hold 0.80605 opens the 0.80305 week low
PPI Wed 12:30 GMT could extend the CPI-driven move
USDCHF climbed from Monday's 0.80742 open to a fresh YTD high at 0.81516 by Tuesday, then reversed sharply as June US CPI missed across the board. Price sliced back through the EMA(20) near 0.8112 and is now consolidating around 0.809 after tagging the 0.80631 CPI low. The 0.81000 round level has capped the bounce and RSI(14) is recovering but still sub-50.
Support: 0.80742, 0.80631
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.8112, 0.81516
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 0.8100 and EMA(20) would neutralise the reversal read
Loss of 0.80631 CPI low opens a lower-low
Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC Jul 15 and US PPI 12:30 UTC could reset this read
18:02 UTC
Uptrend reversed, momentum down · RSI 44 · price 0.80932
Double top rejection off YTD high, now consolidating.
USDCHF pressed to a fresh YTD high near 0.8152 twice before the soft US June CPI print triggered a sharp reversal, dumping roughly 90 pips to the 0.8063 spike low in a single hour. Price has since clawed back to 0.8093 but sits below both EMA(20) and EMA(50), with the 0.8100 pivot now capping the recovery. RSI(14) sits in the mid-40s after unwinding the overbought week.
Support: 0.80631, 0.8043
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.81516
What it said to watch
H1 close back above the 0.8100 pivot would neutralize the reversal read
Failure to hold the 0.8063 spike low opens the 0.8043 swing low
Warsh testimony (Jul 15 14:00) and the US PPI batch could materially shift this read
USDCHF ground higher all week from Monday's open near 0.8074 to a fresh YTD high around 0.8150, twice capped in a double-top before the soft US June CPI print smashed price back to 0.8063 in a single hour. The pair has since recovered to 0.8086 but sits below EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) mid-40s, marking the first clear lower high of the week. The 0.8063 CPI low is now the pivot for whether the recovery holds.
Support: 0.8063, 0.8043
Resistance: 0.8094, 0.8116, 0.8150
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 0.8116 prior range negates the reversal read
Failure to hold 0.8063 cpi low opens the path to 0.8043 swing low
US PPI tomorrow 12:30 GMT could revive the hawkish USD trade and shift this read
17:02 UTC
Uptrend reversed, momentum down · RSI 42 · price 0.8086
Rejection at YTD high, breakdown through pivot.
USDCHF climbed to a fresh YTD high near 0.8150 into the NY session before soft June US CPI knocked it sharply lower, with the drop bar slicing through the 0.8100 pivot to a 0.8063 low. Price is now consolidating around 0.8086 below both EMA(20) and EMA(50), and RSI has cooled into the low-40s after the impulse down.
Support: 0.8063, 0.8043
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.8150
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 0.8100 pivot negates the breakdown
Hold below 0.8100 keeps the CPI reversal intact toward 0.8063
US PPI tomorrow 12:30 GMT could revive the USD bid and shift this read
USDCHF rallied from Monday's open through the NY session to YTD highs, peaking twice around 0.8149-0.8152 before soft US June CPI capped the advance. One hourly bar then dropped roughly 50 pips to the 0.80631 session low; price has since recovered to 0.80925 but sits back below both EMA20 and EMA50, having filled the 0.8100 pivot from below. The move has retraced about half of this week's impulse off 0.80305.
Support: 0.80631, 0.8043
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.8115, 0.81516
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 0.8100 pivot would negate the reversal read
Failure to hold the 0.80631 session low opens the path to 0.80430
US core PPI on Jul 15 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCHF climbed steadily through Monday and into the NY session to fresh week/YTD highs near 0.8152 before the soft US June CPI print triggered a sharp reversal, the standout bar slicing from 0.8116 to 0.8063 in a single hour. Price has since stabilised near 0.8092 but sits below both EMA(20) and EMA(50), with RSI(14) recovering off its post-CPI low. The prior 0.8116 pre-CPI shelf now caps as resistance.
Support: 0.80631, 0.80305
Resistance: 0.8116, 0.81516
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 0.81160 would repair the CPI drop
Failure to hold the 0.80631 cpi low opens 0.80305 week low
USDCHF pushed to a fresh YTD high near 0.8151 into Tuesday's NY session before the soft US June CPI print triggered a sharp reversal, slicing back through the 0.8100 pivot to 0.8063. Price now trades below both EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) pressed into the mid-30s, sitting on the 61.8% retracement of the week's advance. The 0.8100 level that broke has flipped to resistance.
Support: 0.80631, 0.8043, 0.80305
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.81168, 0.81516
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 0.8100 psych pivot would neutralise the reversal read
Failure to hold 0.80631 session low opens the 0.8043 swing low
Fed speakers this afternoon and Wed PPI could reshape the USD leg
USDCHF ground up to a fresh weekly high near 0.81516 through Monday-Tuesday on the hawkish-Fed repricing and Mideast haven bid, then reversed hard after June US CPI undershot across the board, shedding ~55 pips into the NY session. Price now sits at 0.80777, back below EMA20 and EMA50 after the twin highs at 0.815 were rejected, with RSI(14) turning down into the mid-30s.
Support: 0.80605, 0.8043, 0.80305
Resistance: 0.8116, 0.81516
What it said to watch
Fed speakers this afternoon and Warsh testimony tone could extend or reverse the CPI move
H1 close below 0.80605 session low opens the path to 0.80430
Reclaim of 0.81160 needed to repair the break lower
Wed PPI (12:30 GMT) is the next major catalyst for the USD side
USDCHF ran to fresh YTD highs near 0.81516 on the week's hawkish-Fed bid, then reversed hard after the soft June US CPI print undercut the hike narrative — the 0.8116 breakdown bar erased two days of gains in a single leg. Price now sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) pressed into the mid-30s, and the session low at 0.80631 is the first shelf holding the decline.
Support: 0.80631, 0.80305
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.8116, 0.81516
What it said to watch
Break below 0.80631 opens the path to the week low at 0.80305
Reclaim of the 0.81000 psych level would ease the reversal read
Warsh testimony and Wed PPI could materially shift this read
USDCHF rallied to fresh YTD highs near 0.8152 through midweek before a soft June US CPI print reversed the move sharply into the NY session, slicing back below the 0.8100 psych level and both EMAs in a single hour. Price now consolidates just above the 0.80631 day low with RSI(14) pressed into the mid-30s. The retracement has retraced most of this week's 0.80305-0.81516 impulse.
Support: 0.80631, 0.8050, 0.80305
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.81301, 0.81516
What it said to watch
H1 reclaim of 0.8100 psych would repair the breakdown
Failure to hold 0.80631 day low opens the 0.80305 week low
Warsh testimony and Wed PPI could materially shift this read
USDCHF ran to fresh week highs near 0.8151 through Monday's NY session before a soft US June CPI print triggered a sharp reversal, the pair dropping through 0.8100 to a 0.80631 low in a single H1 bar. Price now sits near the 61.8% retracement of the week's impulse with RSI(14) rolling below 40 and price under both EMA(20) and EMA(50). The twin stalls around 0.8149-0.8151 leave a double-top look, and the rising higher-low support off Monday has been broken.
Support: 0.80631, 0.80305
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.81516
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 0.8100 round number would repair the breakdown
Failure to hold 0.80631 day low opens the 0.80305 week low
Warsh testimony and Fed speakers through the session could shift this read
13:03 UTC
Uptrend rejected at YTD high · RSI 40 · price 0.80781
Sharp reversal off weekly high, back below EMAs.
Price rallied all week into a fresh YTD high at 0.81516 before a sharp rejection through the 12:00 UTC bar, where the softer US CPI print unwound hawkish-Fed bets and dragged USD/CHF back through 0.8100 and both EMAs. The move has now retraced almost the entire Monday-to-Tuesday impulse, with RSI(14) rolling from overbought toward 40. Demand at the 0.80631 session low is the first structural test.
Support: 0.80631, 0.8043, 0.80305
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.8116, 0.81516
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 0.8100 pivot would repair the uptrend read
Failure to hold 0.80631 session low opens the 0.80430 swing low
Fed Chair Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
12:02 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back · RSI 43 · price 0.81166
Higher highs into 0.815, now retracing.
USDCHF rallied through the week from the 0.807 base to a 0.81516 high before capping, the leg driven by the broad USD bid on hawkish-Fed repricing and Middle East risk premium. Price has since rolled over below the EMA20 near 0.8135 and is drifting back toward the 0.8100 pivot, with RSI(14) unwinding to the mid-40s. The 0.8100 area capped repeated attempts earlier and now sits as the pullback's first test.
Support: 0.8100, 0.8050
Resistance: 0.8135, 0.81516
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.8100 pivot exposes 0.8050 support
Reclaim of 0.8135 ema20 re-opens the 0.81516 week high
US CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCHF rallied from Monday's 0.80688 low to a 0.81516 week high through the NY session as the dollar firmed on hawkish-Fed repricing and the Iran/oil premium. Price has since faded back under EMA(20) to 0.8116, holding above EMA(50) and the 0.8100 pivot, with the week high capping the last push. RSI has cooled toward mid-range as the pullback develops.
Support: 0.81122, 0.8100, 0.80688
Resistance: 0.81516, 0.8137
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC (~30m out) plus Warsh at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close above 0.81516 re-opens the path higher; failure to hold 0.8100 confirms a deeper retrace toward 0.80688
USDCHF rallied off the midweek low near 0.8030 into a two-week high at 0.8152 before stalling and rolling over through the NY session, dipping back to the EMA20 and a swing low at 0.8118. The move is a USD-side trade — Swiss PPI deepened to -2.1% YoY but gave CHF no story of its own, while the dollar eased ahead of US CPI. RSI has cooled to the high-40s as price slipped just under the EMA20.
Support: 0.8118, 0.8100, 0.8075
Resistance: 0.8152, 0.8136
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 GMT and Warsh testimony at 14:00 GMT could materially shift this read
Close below 0.8118 swing low confirms a lower-low and re-exposes the 0.8100 pivot
Reclaim of 0.8136 EMA20 and a push above the 0.8152 week high reopens the upside
USDCHF opened Monday near 0.8074 and rallied through the NY session Tuesday to a 0.81516 week high, with USD firm into June CPI. Price has since faded below EMA(20), printing a session low at 0.81178 before steadying at 0.81295 — a retracement into the 38.2% zone of the week's up-leg. Rising higher-lows off Monday's base remain intact while 0.8100 holds.
Support: 0.81178, 0.8100, 0.80688
Resistance: 0.8146, 0.81516
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.8100 pivot exposes the 0.80688 weekly low
Reclaim of EMA(20) and 0.81460 prior high needed to resume the up-leg
US June CPI at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
USDCHF rallied from Monday's ~0.8074 open to a week high at 0.81516 into the NY session yesterday, with the dollar firm ahead of US CPI while soft Swiss PPI (-2.1% YoY) kept the Franc reactive. The last few hours have unwound part of that move, dropping through EMA(20) toward the well-worn 0.8100 pivot as RSI(14) cools back into the low 40s. Price still holds above EMA(50), so the pullback is trimming the impulse rather than reversing it so far.
Support: 0.8100, 0.80746
Resistance: 0.8140, 0.81516
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 GMT is the main USD-side catalyst for this read
H1 close below 0.8100 pivot confirms a deeper pullback toward 0.80746 swing low
Reclaim of the 0.8140 ema20 re-exposes the 0.81516 week high
10:02 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back · RSI 43 · price 0.81196
Post-impulse pullback below EMA20.
USDCHF ran higher Monday into Tuesday's session, peaking at 0.81516 before supply capped the move; the pair has since faded back below EMA20 toward 0.812 as the dollar squared up ahead of June CPI. Price still holds above EMA50 and the 0.8100 pivot, keeping the week's advance intact, but RSI has cooled toward the mid-40s. Rejection at 0.815 leaves the pullback in control near term.
Support: 0.81178, 0.8100, 0.8050
Resistance: 0.8138, 0.81516
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 GMT could materially shift the USD leg of this pair
H1 close below 0.8100 pivot exposes 0.8050
Reclaim of EMA20 ~0.8138 would signal the rally resuming
USDCHF ran higher all week from Monday's ~0.8074 open to a two-week high at 0.81516 into the NY session, with the leg supported by a firm Dollar and SNB Franc-selling capping haven bids. Price has since faded below EMA(20) and RSI(14) has cooled toward 42, with the pullback now testing 0.81214. EMA(50) around 0.8105 remains beneath price, keeping the broader weekly structure intact.
Support: 0.81214, 0.8105, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.81516, 0.81472
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.81214 confirms a lower-low and deepens the pullback
Higher highs into weekly top, first pullback underway.
USDCHF ran a clean impulse off Monday's open, pushing to a weekly high at 0.81516 as USD firmed on hawkish Fed repricing while SNB selling kept CHF heavy. The last two bars have rejected 0.8148 and slipped back below EMA(20) into 0.81233, with RSI(14) cooling toward 44 as the first pullback of the week develops. Price still holds above EMA(50) and the 0.81082 swing low, keeping this week's rising structure intact for now.
Support: 0.81214, 0.81082, 0.80866
Resistance: 0.81516, 0.81454
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Failure to hold 0.81082 swing low breaks the week's higher-low sequence
USDCHF climbed steadily off the 0.80305 low, with the sharpest leg through the NY session pushing to a week high of 0.81516 on broad USD safe-haven demand while SNB Franc-selling capped any CHF fightback. Price has since stalled and is chopping around 0.81355, holding above EMA(50) but pinned at EMA(20) as RSI(14) cools back toward the mid-line. The 0.81322 pullback low is the immediate floor with the 0.8100 pivot below.
Support: 0.81322, 0.8100, 0.80746
Resistance: 0.81516, 0.81482
What it said to watch
US CPI 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher highs since Thursday, consolidating below week high.
USDCHF has trended up all week, with the dominant leg driven through the NY session as broad USD demand on Iran/Oil safe-haven flows lifted the pair off 0.80305 to a 0.81516 week high. Price cleared the 0.8100 pivot decisively and is now consolidating in the low 0.8130s, holding above EMA(20) with RSI(14) cooling from overbought toward the mid-50s. The 0.8100 level, a false-breakout zone earlier in the week, has flipped to support beneath price.
Support: 0.81322, 0.8100, 0.8066
Resistance: 0.81516, 0.8148
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close above 0.81516 extends the uptrend; failure to hold 0.81322 opens the path back to the 0.8100 pivot
07:02 UTC
Uptrend, near week highs · RSI 59 · price 0.81472
Higher highs and higher lows since mid-week.
USDCHF is trading near a two-week high at 0.8147 after a sustained climb from the 0.8030 base earlier in the week, with the pair holding above EMA(20) and EMA(50). The move accelerated as the Dollar drew a Hormuz risk premium and SNB Franc-selling capped haven demand, clearing the 0.8100 pivot and the 0.8126 highs that repeatedly capped price mid-week. Price is now consolidating just under the 0.8152 week high after a shallow pullback to 0.8132 was bought back.
Support: 0.8126, 0.8100, 0.8075
Resistance: 0.8152, 0.8180
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC is the binary catalyst and could materially shift this read
H1 close above 0.8152 opens the path toward 0.8180
Loss of 0.8126 would put the flip zone back in play and question the breakout
07:02 UTC
Uptrend, extended into week high · RSI 60 · price 0.81472
Higher highs, higher lows since Monday.
USDCHF has trended higher all week, clearing the 0.8100 pivot that capped it repeatedly and pushing to a fresh week high at 0.8152 as the Dollar held its Hormuz risk premium and SNB selling weighed on the Franc. Price is now consolidating just below that high, holding above EMA20 with RSI cycling in the low 60s. The 0.8100 level, once resistance, has flipped to support on the break.
Support: 0.8132, 0.8100, 0.8075
Resistance: 0.8152, 0.8126
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 0.8152 opens continuation higher
Loss of 0.8100 pivot would negate the breakout
US CPI at 12:30 UTC is the binary catalyst that can redefine this read
USDCHF has trended higher since Monday's open, clearing the 0.8100 pivot that repeatedly capped price earlier in the week and pushing to a two-week high at 0.81516 in the NY session as the Dollar firmed on hawkish-Fed pricing and SNB Franc selling. Price has since drifted back to consolidate around 0.8138, holding above EMA20 with RSI cooling off from the highs. The 0.8100 pivot, now flipped to support, underpins the structure.
Support: 0.81344, 0.8100, 0.80742
Resistance: 0.81472, 0.81516
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
Break above 0.81516 week high extends the uptrend
H1 close back below 0.8100 pivot would negate the breakout
USDCHF has trended higher since Monday's open, clearing the 0.8100 pivot that repeatedly capped price earlier in the week and pushing to a two-week high at 0.81516 as the dollar firmed on renewed Fed hike pricing and soft CHF. Price is now consolidating below that high, holding above EMA20 with RSI(14) easing back toward the mid-50s after stretching into the 70s on the Monday-Tuesday impulse. The 0.81322 swing low marks the base of this pullback.
Support: 0.81322, 0.8100, 0.80688
Resistance: 0.81516, 0.81461
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
H1 close above 0.81516 opens the path to fresh two-week highs
Loss of 0.81322 exposes the 0.8100 pivot as re-tested support
USDCHF has trended up since Monday, clearing the 0.8100 pivot that capped it repeatedly earlier in the week — SNB Franc-selling and a firmer Dollar underpinning the move. Price pushed to a 0.81516 week high in the NY session before stalling; RSI(14) has cooled off its highs as this pullback holds above EMA(20). The 0.8100 pivot, now flipped to support, remains the structural line below.
Support: 0.81322, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.81516, 0.8160
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close below 0.81000 pivot invalidates the pullback-in-uptrend read
Reclaim of 0.81516 reopens the path toward the 0.81600 psych level
Higher highs since Sunday low, stalling under week high.
USDCHF has trended higher since Sunday's low near 0.80305, clearing the 0.8100 pivot that capped it repeatedly earlier in the week and now flipping it to support. The advance stalled at 0.81516 into the NY session, with RSI(14) easing off and price drifting back toward EMA20 near 0.8133. The bid tracks a firm Dollar ahead of US CPI, with soft CHF underperforming amid SNB intervention risk.
Support: 0.8133, 0.8100, 0.80305
Resistance: 0.81516, 0.8150
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Close above 0.81516 opens the path higher; rejection there confirms the week-high cap
Failure to hold 0.8100 pivot would break the higher-low structure
USD/CHF has trended higher since the weekly open, clearing the 0.8100 pivot and pressing to 0.81516 into the NY session as the dollar firmed on Waller's hawkish tone while an empty Swiss calendar left the franc a dollar-side story. Momentum has cooled with price easing back to EMA20 near 0.8130 and RSI slipping off its highs. The 0.8100 former-resistance level now sits as the closest structural support.
Support: 0.8130, 0.8100, 0.8075
Resistance: 0.81516, 0.8147
What it said to watch
US CPI 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close below 0.8100 pivot would invalidate the uptrend read
Break above 0.81516 week high opens continuation higher
USDCHF cleared the 0.8100 pivot after the weekend gap and ran to a fresh week high at 0.81516 through the NY session, with the franc leaning soft as the tape stays a dollar-side story. Price is now consolidating just under that high, holding above EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) easing back from overbought. The 0.8100 former-resistance level flips to the first structural floor beneath current price.
Support: 0.81322, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.81516
What it said to watch
US CPI 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close above 0.81516 week high extends the uptrend
Loss of the 0.8100 pivot invalidates the breakout structure
03:02 UTC
Uptrend, pullback from highs · RSI 57 · price 0.81366
Higher highs, higher lows since week open.
USDCHF climbed steadily since Monday's open, clearing the 0.8126 two-week high and printing a week high at 0.81516 into the NY session — CHF stays soft with SNB intervention capping any haven bid. Price has since eased back toward 0.81366 but holds well above EMA20 and EMA50, with RSI(14) cycling in the mid-50s on the pullback. The 0.8126 former resistance is the first area to watch on any deeper retrace.
Support: 0.8126, 0.8115, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.81516
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close back below 0.8126 turns the breakout into a retest
Loss of the 0.8100 pivot invalidates the uptrend structure
USDCHF cleared the 0.8100 pivot and the 0.8126 two-week high, rallying to a week high at 0.81516 through the NY session with the franc soft on an empty Swiss calendar and standing SNB intervention risk. Price is now pulling back toward the 0.81300 recent low, holding well above EMA(20). RSI(14) has eased off its highs into the mid-50s as the impulse cools.
Support: 0.8130, 0.8100, 0.8075
Resistance: 0.81516, 0.81472
What it said to watch
H1 close back below 0.8100 pivot would negate the breakout
Hold above 0.81300 recent low keeps the higher-low sequence intact
US CPI 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony could materially shift this read
02:02 UTC
Uptrend, extended · RSI 66 · price 0.8141
Breakout above 0.8100 ceiling, holding higher.
USDCHF firmed for a second day and cleared the 0.8100 ceiling that twice rejected earlier this week, tagging a 0.8151 week high before easing to 0.8141. The push came on a USD safe-haven bid around US-Iran/Hormuz headlines with the SNB capping any counter Franc strength. RSI(14) sits elevated near 66 and price holds well above EMA(20)/EMA(50), though momentum flattened into the last few bars.
Support: 0.8100, 0.8110, 0.8080
Resistance: 0.8151
What it said to watch
Sustained hold above 0.8100 confirms the escape from the twice-rejected ceiling
Loss of 0.8100 back into the range reopens the 0.8080 weekly area
US CPI 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
02:02 UTC
Uptrend, extended · RSI 67 · price 0.8141
Higher highs since Monday's open, breakout above 0.8100.
USDCHF firmed for a second session and cleared the twice-rejected 0.8100 ceiling, running to a week high near 0.8150 before stalling at 0.8141 — a Dollar move, not a Swiss one, with the SNB still capping Franc strength. Price holds above EMA20/EMA50 with RSI(14) elevated near 67 after the impulse. The old 0.8100 barrier now sits as the nearest reference on any pullback.
Support: 0.8100, 0.8095, 0.8069
Resistance: 0.8150
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony at 14:00 UTC could break the range
Hourly close back below 0.8100 would negate the breakout and turn it into a false break
Acceptance above 0.8150 opens room to extend the weekly high
01:03 UTC
Uptrend, momentum firm · RSI 66 · price 0.81445
Higher highs / higher lows since midweek low.
USDCHF firmed for a second session toward and through 0.8100 — the level that capped two attempts earlier in the week — with the leg building steadily since the midweek low near 0.8030. RSI(14) sits in the mid-60s and price holds well above EMA(20) and EMA(50), pullbacks finding rising support. The Franc remains a passenger to dollar flows with an empty Swiss calendar; 0.8152 marks the week high overhead.
Support: 0.8100, 0.80746, 0.80568
Resistance: 0.81516
What it said to watch
H1 close back below 0.8100 would negate the breakout read given the pair's false-break history there
US CPI at 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
01:02 UTC
Uptrend, extended into week high · RSI 66 · price 0.81445
Breakout above 0.8100, higher highs and higher lows.
USDCHF has run a clean uptrend since the weekend gap, firming for a second session toward the week high at 0.81516 as the dollar caught safe-haven bids on renewed US-Iran/Hormuz headlines. The 0.8100 round number, which capped repeated attempts earlier in the week, has now flipped to support after the breakout, with price holding above EMA20 and EMA50. RSI(14) sits mid-60s — elevated but not yet stretched.
Support: 0.8100, 0.8070
Resistance: 0.81516, 0.8147
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC then Warsh testimony at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Loss of 0.8100 on a close would reopen the prior range and question the breakout
Close above 0.81516 extends the week high and opens room higher
Higher highs since Monday, extended into week high.
USDCHF cleared the 0.8100 pivot through the NY session and rallied to a fresh week high at 0.81492, extending well above EMA20 and EMA50 on broad USD safe-haven demand. RSI(14) is stretched near 70 while the last handful of bars have narrowed just under the high, showing momentum easing after the impulse. The 0.8100 pivot, repeatedly rejected earlier in the week, now sits as the nearest structural support.
Support: 0.8100, 0.80746
Resistance: 0.81492, 0.8150
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 0.81492 extends the week-high breakout toward 0.8150
Loss of the 0.8100 pivot would neutralise the breakout read
US CPI (Tue 12:30 UTC) and Warsh testimony (14:00 UTC) are twin catalysts that could reset this range
USDCHF has climbed steadily from this week's open near 0.8074, clearing the 0.8100 pivot that capped price for much of last week and extending to a fresh week high at 0.81492 into the NY session. The move fits the broad USD safe-haven bid noted in the digest, while a lack of Swiss catalysts leaves the dollar leg in control. RSI(14) is elevated near 71 with price stretched above EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 0.8100, 0.80742, 0.80688
Resistance: 0.81492, 0.8150
What it said to watch
Sustained hold above 0.8100 confirms the range break; a close back below reopens the 0.8074 week open
US CPI (12:30 UTC) and Warsh testimony (14:00 UTC) are twin catalysts that could materially shift this read
Rejection at 0.81492 week high would mark a lower-high after the extended run