USDCHF has round-tripped the week's rally, sliding from Tuesday's 0.81516 high back to the 0.80338 area as USD stayed heavy after cool US CPI and PPI prints. Price trades below both EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) near 41, and the 0.8100 pivot has capped every recovery attempt this week. The bounce off the week low has been shallow, holding under the descending lower-highs line.
Support: 0.80338, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.81145, 0.81516
What it said to watch
Hourly close below 0.80338 opens the path toward the 0.8000 psych level
Reclaim of the 0.8100 pivot needed to re-open 0.81145 and the week high
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC is the week's key USD catalyst and could shift this read
23:02 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs · RSI 38 · price 0.80485
Declining from week high, lower highs and lows.
USD/CHF has ground out lower highs since the mid-week peak near 0.8149, with the pair rolling over after soft US CPI and PPI weighed on the dollar. The 0.8100 pivot capped the latest bounce before sellers dragged price to a fresh 0.80338 low into the NY session, and price now sits below both EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) pinned in the mid-30s. A shallow recovery to 0.80485 leaves the down structure intact.
Support: 0.80338, 0.80305
Resistance: 0.8073, 0.8100
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 0.8100 invalidates the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.80338 confirms continuation of the lower-low run
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC is the week's key USD catalyst and could reset this read
USD/CHF has trended lower since the YTD-high rejection near 0.8150, sliding through the NY session with a sharp break under 0.8090 and printing a fresh swing low at 0.80435. Soft US CPI and PPI trimmed Fed-hike pricing and kept the dollar heavy, though SNB franc-selling has capped CHF upside. Price is now consolidating just above the swing low, below EMA20, with RSI(14) in the low 40s.
Support: 0.80435, 0.80305, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.8074, 0.8090, 0.81145
What it said to watch
H1 close back above weekly open 0.80740 would neutralise the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.80435 opens 0.80305 prior low then the 0.80000 round number
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCHF rolled over after tagging the YTD high near 0.8152 mid-week, with the soft US CPI/PPI unwind keeping the dollar heavy. NY hours yesterday drove a clean break of the 0.8100 pivot, extending the slide to 0.8043 and leaving price well below EMA20/EMA50 with RSI(14) pressed into the mid-30s. The 0.8100 pivot, which saw repeated false breaks earlier in the week, now caps as resistance.
Support: 0.80435, 0.80305, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.81145, 0.81516
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 0.8100 pivot negates the breakdown
Failure to hold 0.80435 opens the 0.8030/0.8000 area
US Retail Sales (Thu 12:30 UTC) could materially shift the dollar tone
21:03 UTC
Downtrend, sharp leg lower · RSI 38 · price 0.80527
Lower highs and lower lows off mid-week peak.
USDCHF rolled over from the mid-week peak near 0.8150, losing the 0.8100 pivot through the NY session as soft US CPI/PPI kept the dollar heavy. Price is trading below EMA20 with RSI(14) near 37 after tagging 0.80338; a shallow bounce back to 0.80527 has yet to reclaim the 0.80850 EMA20 zone. Prior support at 0.80900 now caps as resistance ahead of the 0.8100 pivot.
Support: 0.80338, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.8085, 0.8090, 0.8100
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.81000 pivot would neutralise the downtrend read
Failure to hold 0.80338 session low confirms continuation toward 0.80000 psych
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
21:03 UTC
Downtrend, off YTD highs · RSI 43 · price 0.80527
Lower highs, lower lows since Tuesday's peak.
USDCHF has rolled over from Tuesday's YTD high near 0.8150, carving lower highs and lower lows as soft US June CPI/PPI drove a broad dollar repricing lower. Price sits below EMA20 and EMA50 after a fresh leg down tagged 0.80338 in the NY session; a shallow bounce back to 0.80527 has yet to reclaim the 0.80700 lower-high area. The SNB backstop on franc strength keeps this a grind rather than a collapse, with 0.8100 now capping from above.
Support: 0.80338, 0.80305, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.8070, 0.8090, 0.81145
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 0.80700 lower-high area would ease the downtrend read
Break of 0.80338 swing low confirms continuation toward 0.8000 round number
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
20:02 UTC
Downtrend after midweek reversal · RSI 35 · price 0.80512
Lower highs, break below 0.8100 pivot.
USDCHF ran to a YTD high near 0.8152 midweek on Iran-driven safe-haven flows before reversing as soft US CPI and PPI misses fed dovish repricing. The pair rejected the 0.8100 pivot twice in the NY session and broke down sharply, printing a session low at 0.80338 with RSI(14) pressed near 35. Price now sits below both EMA(20) and EMA(50), holding just above the Monday swing low.
Support: 0.80338, 0.80305, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.8090, 0.8100, 0.81145
What it said to watch
Sustained H1 close back above the 0.8100 pivot would neutralise the breakdown
Failure to hold 0.80305 swing low confirms a fresh lower-low toward the 0.8000 round number
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USD/CHF rolled over from the 0.8114 high through the NY session, slipping back under the 0.8100 pivot as the June PPI miss reinforced the dovish USD repricing. Price is now trading below both EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI in the high-30s, having tagged a 0.8043 session low before a shallow bounce. The 0.8100 handle, which capped repeated attempts this week, now sits overhead as resistance.
Support: 0.8043, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.8114, 0.8150
What it said to watch
Hourly close back above 0.8100 pivot would neutralise the lower-high structure
Failure to hold 0.8043 swing low opens 0.8000 psych
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
19:02 UTC
Downtrend after YTD-high rejection · RSI 35 · price 0.80443
Lower highs, lower lows into fresh session lows.
USD/CHF topped near the YTD high around 0.8152 midweek then rolled over as back-to-back soft US CPI/PPI prints trimmed Fed hike bets and weighed on the dollar. Selling accelerated through the NY session, breaking the 0.8070 shelf to print fresh lows at 0.8034, leaving price well below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) pressed into the mid-30s. Note the SNB backdrop still caps deeper franc gains per the macro read.
Support: 0.80338, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.8070, 0.8090, 0.81145
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 0.8090 (EMA20) would neutralise the downtrend read
Failure to hold 0.8034 opens the path toward the 0.8000 handle
US Retail Sales Thu 16 Jul 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower highs and lower lows since yesterday's NY session.
USD/CHF has unwound the week's rally, sliding from the 0.8152 YTD high back through the range to sub-0.8045 as soft US PPI kept the dollar heavy across the NY session. Price broke below the 0.8070 prior-low pivot and now trades under EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) pressed near oversold. Dip demand has been shallow so far — the SNB backstop caps franc upside but has not yet drawn buyers back into the pair.
Support: 0.80338, 0.80305, 0.8006
Resistance: 0.8070, 0.8085, 0.8110
What it said to watch
Hourly close back above 0.80700 would ease the downside pressure and reclaim range
Failure to hold 0.80305/0.80338 confirms a fresh lower-low
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USD/CHF has rolled over from the 0.8114 area, unwinding the week's push to the 0.8152 YTD high as soft US CPI and PPI keep the dollar heavy. Price broke below the 0.8090 shelf and both H1 EMAs during the NY session, extending losses into 0.8043 with RSI(14) pressing oversold. The decline nearly fully retraces Monday's low-to-Wednesday-high impulse.
Support: 0.8043, 0.80305, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.8070, 0.8094, 0.81145
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 0.80700 would ease the breakdown read
Failure to hold 0.80305 swing low confirms lower-low continuation
Thursday 12:30 UTC US Retail Sales could materially shift this read
SNB intervention headlines could cap franc strength near 0.8000
USDCHF reversed off the YTD high near 0.8150 midweek and has trended lower into the NY session, with soft US CPI and PPI misses undercutting the dollar. The 0.8100 pivot capped the latest bounce and price has since broken the week's range floor, sliding to 0.8043 on the last bar. RSI(14) is pressing into oversold as the pair approaches the 0.80305 week low.
Support: 0.80305, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.8090, 0.81145, 0.81516
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.80305 week low confirms extension toward the 0.8000 round number
Reclaim of the 0.8100 pivot would neutralise the breakdown
Thursday US Retail Sales (12:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
17:03 UTC
Downtrend, pulling back within week range · RSI 38 · price 0.80664
Lower highs since Thursday's peak, broad 0.803–0.815 range.
USDCHF has bled lower since Thursday's run to the 0.8150 week high, with soft US CPI and PPI knocking the dollar and dragging the pair back through EMA20. A bounce into the NY session stalled at 0.8110 — a clear lower high — before sellers pressed price back toward the 0.80605 session low. Price now sits below both EMAs with RSI in the high-30s, though the SNB's known cap on franc strength has kept the wider week contained above 0.803.
Support: 0.80605, 0.8043, 0.80305
Resistance: 0.8088, 0.8110, 0.81516
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.80605 confirms a lower low and opens 0.80430
Reclaim of 0.81100 negates the lower-high sequence
Thursday US Retail Sales could materially shift this read
17:02 UTC
Downtrend, pulling back from week high · RSI 41 · price 0.80664
Lower highs since weekly peak, testing lows.
USD/CHF rolled over from 0.8114 into the NY session after softer US CPI/PPI capped the dollar, extending losses toward 0.8066. Price trades below EMA20 with RSI(14) near 40, having retraced roughly 70% of this week's 0.8031–0.8152 impulse. Session low at 0.8063 is the immediate floor, with SNB-driven franc weakness keeping rebounds shallow.
Support: 0.80634, 0.80605, 0.8043
Resistance: 0.8092, 0.81145, 0.81516
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.80605 confirms a lower-low, opens 0.80430
Reclaim of 0.80920 needed to challenge the 0.81145 lower-high sequence
Thursday US Retail Sales (12:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
16:02 UTC
Pullback from week high, momentum down · RSI 40 · price 0.8066
Lower highs off 0.8152, testing 0.8060.
USD/CHF has rolled over from the 0.8114 area through the NY session, slipping back below EMA20 and EMA50 as soft US CPI and PPI kept the dollar heavy, though the SNB's franc cap has limited the downside. RSI(14) has faded toward 40 on the leg lower with price now pressing the 0.8060 support. The 0.8100 psych pivot capped the latest bounce, keeping the near-term series of lower highs intact.
Support: 0.8060, 0.8043
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.8114, 0.8152
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.8060 exposes the 0.8043 prior low
Reclaim of 0.8100 needed to re-open 0.8114 and the 0.8152 wk high
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCHF ran to the 0.8151 weekly high before the soft US CPI/PPI prints knocked it lower, with a sharp NY-session drop to 0.8063 mid-week. The recovery stalled at a lower high near 0.8112 and price has since faded back toward the 0.8063 swing low, trading below both EMA(20) and EMA(50). CHF upside stays shallow given the SNB's stance against franc strength, but soft USD data is capping rebound attempts.
Support: 0.8063, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.8112, 0.8151
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.8063 confirms a lower low, opening the path toward 0.8000
Reclaim of 0.8112 needed to negate the lower-high structure
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
15:02 UTC
Pullback from ytd high, momentum down · RSI 41 · price 0.80723
Lower highs off 0.8151, testing lows.
USDCHF ran to a YTD high near 0.8151 mid-week before soft US CPI/PPI capped the dollar and pulled the pair back under EMA(20) and EMA(50). Price staged a false break above the 0.8100 pivot to 0.81145 in the NY session before sellers returned, dropping it back to 0.8072. SNB franc-selling is keeping downside shallow, but the near-term structure is a sequence of lower highs since Monday.
Support: 0.80631, 0.8043
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.81145, 0.81516
What it said to watch
Sustained H1 close back above 0.8100 needed to reopen 0.81145 then 0.8151
Loss of 0.80631 confirms a lower low and exposes 0.80430
US Retail Sales Thu 16 Jul 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
15:02 UTC
Pullback from weekly high, rolling over · RSI 40 · price 0.80723
Lower highs since YTD peak, back below 0.8100.
USD/CHF ran to a YTD high near 0.8150 earlier this week before rolling over as soft US CPI and today's PPI miss unwound Fed hike bets and capped the pair. Price rejected at 0.81145 in the NY session and broke back below the 0.8100 pivot, now trading 0.80723 beneath both EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) cycling into the low 40s. The 0.80631 day low is the immediate structural floor.
Support: 0.80631, 0.80605, 0.80305
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.81145, 0.81516
What it said to watch
Sustained close back above the 0.8100 pivot needed to negate the rollover
Break of 0.80631 day low opens 0.80605 swing low then 0.80305
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower highs off week high, consolidating below 0.8100.
USDCHF ran to a week high near 0.81516 before soft US CPI then PPI knocked the dollar, driving a sharp reversal on Tuesday's NY session that cut through 0.8100 back to the 0.80605 drop low. Price has since chopped in a lower-high pattern, tagging 0.81145 before rejecting back under the 0.8100 psych pivot, where breakouts have repeatedly failed this week. Sits below both EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) around 43.
Support: 0.80605, 0.8043
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.81145, 0.81516
What it said to watch
Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC is the primary near-term USD driver and can shift this read fast
H1 close above 0.8100 reopens the path toward the 0.81145 day high and 0.81516 week high
Loss of the 0.80605 drop low exposes the 0.80430 week low
USDCHF topped near 0.8150 midweek then broke sharply lower into the NY session as soft US CPI and PPI gutted Fed hike bets; the pair is now consolidating below EMA20 around 0.8082. Price has carved a lower high at 0.8114 and repeated attempts to hold 0.8100 have failed, keeping the read within a 0.8063–0.8114 range with RSI cycling in the low 40s.
Support: 0.80631, 0.80305
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.81145, 0.81516
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 0.8100 pivot reopens 0.8114 and the 0.8152 zone
Loss of 0.80631 confirms a lower low and exposes 0.80305
Thu Retail Sales (12:30 UTC) is the next hard-data catalyst for USD
13:03 UTC
Corrective, momentum flat after drop · RSI 47 · price 0.80906
Consolidation below 0.8100 pivot.
A sharp mid-window slide on soft US CPI then PPI knocked USDCHF from the 0.8150 week high down to 0.8063, and price has since consolidated in a 0.808-0.811 band. The 0.8100 pivot has repeatedly capped recovery attempts, with the last bar rejecting 0.8114 back toward 0.809 as SNB CHF-selling caps franc gains. RSI sits mid-range near 47 with price hugging EMA20.
Support: 0.8080, 0.80631, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.81145, 0.81516
What it said to watch
Clean H1 close above 0.8100 validates upside toward 0.8152
Loss of 0.80631 swing low reopens downside toward 0.8000
Warsh testimony (14:00 UTC) could materially shift this USD-driven read
13:03 UTC
Uptrend stalled, momentum rolling over · RSI 45 · price 0.80906
Rejection from week high, back below 0.8100 pivot.
USD/CHF pushed into YTD-high territory near 0.8151 mid-week before soft US CPI, then a cool PPI print, drove a broad USD sell-off that dragged the pair back through the 0.8100 pivot. A fresh push to 0.8114 into the NY session was rejected and price has slipped back to sit around the 50% retracement of this week's rally, now below EMA20 and EMA50. RSI(14) has rolled back to neutral with the 0.8100 pivot capping.
Support: 0.80631, 0.80805, 0.80305
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.81145, 0.81516
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.8100 pivot reopens 0.8114/0.8151 resistance
Loss of 0.8063 cpi low exposes the week low toward 0.8030
Fed's Warsh testimony / Beige Book today could materially shift the USD read
12:02 UTC
Recovering after CPI flush, momentum turning up · RSI 60 · price 0.81089
Reclaiming 0.8100 pivot after mid-week selloff.
USDCHF sold off sharply Tuesday into the NY session, dumping from 0.8150 toward 0.8060 as soft US CPI (3.5% vs 3.8% f/c) gutted hawkish-Fed pricing. Since then price has ground back higher through the Asia and early-London sessions to retest the 0.8100 pivot, now holding just above it with RSI(14) back near 60 and price above both EMAs. The 0.8100 area has seen repeated false breaks this week and caps the recovery for now.
Support: 0.8100, 0.8080, 0.80605
Resistance: 0.81126, 0.81516
What it said to watch
Warsh testimony at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close above 0.81126 session high opens path to the 0.8150 ytd zone
Loss of 0.8080 session low reopens the 0.80605 cpi low
11:02 UTC
Recovering after sharp pullback · RSI 57 · price 0.81075
Rejected week high, reclaiming pivot.
Price ran to a fresh week high near 0.8151 before a sharp reversal — the soft US June CPI print knocked the dollar and drove the pair down to 0.8063 in one candle. Buyers have since clawed back above the 0.8100 pivot, with RSI(14) recovering to the mid-50s and price back above EMA(20). The 0.8100 handle, noted for repeated false breaks, is now the pivot being retested from above.
Support: 0.8100, 0.80631, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.81516
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.8100 validates a push back toward the 0.8151 week high
Failure to hold 0.80631 confirms a lower-low and reopens 0.8000
US PPI cluster and Warsh testimony (12:30-14:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
USDCHF ran to a fresh week high near 0.81516 before a sharp intraday flush swept 0.80631 as soft June US CPI (3.5% vs 3.8%) pared Fed hike bets and knocked the dollar. Price has since carved higher lows back into the 0.8100 pivot, where repeated false breaks have capped this week; SNB CHF-selling continues to limit franc gains. RSI(14) has cycled back above 50 with price reclaiming EMA20.
Support: 0.8100, 0.80631
Resistance: 0.81126, 0.81516
What it said to watch
Sustained H1 close above 0.8100 pivot keeps the path toward 0.81516 open
Failure to hold 0.8100 reopens 0.80631 week low
Core PPI 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
10:02 UTC
Recovering after CPI-driven drop · RSI 60 · price 0.81086
Higher lows off the swing low, reclaiming 0.8100.
USDCHF pushed to the weekly high near 0.81516 before reversing hard on the soft US June CPI print, dumping to 0.80605 in a single session before steadying. Price has since carved higher lows and reclaimed the 0.8100 psych level, recovering roughly half of the CPI drop with RSI(14) cycling back above 55 and price holding above EMA(20). The 0.8100 pivot, site of repeated false breaks this week, is being retested from above.
Support: 0.8100, 0.80838, 0.80605
Resistance: 0.8126, 0.81516
What it said to watch
US PPI at 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Holding above 0.8100 validates the recovery; a close back below 0.80838 negates the higher-low sequence
Reclaim of 0.81260 would reopen the path to the 0.81516 weekly high
10:02 UTC
Recovering after sharp drop, range-bound near pivot · RSI 57 · price 0.81086
Lower high off 0.8152, recovery into 0.8100 pivot.
USDCHF pushed to a fresh week high near 0.8152 before the soft US June CPI print yesterday triggered a sharp single-bar drop to 0.80631, cutting hawkish Fed pricing. Price has since clawed back into the 0.8100 pivot, a level that has seen repeated false breaks this week. RSI(14) has cycled back toward the mid-50s and price is holding above EMA20/EMA50 as the recovery grinds higher.
Support: 0.80807, 0.80631, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.81516
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.8100 pivot validates a path toward the 0.8152 week high
Failure to hold above the 0.80807 cpi low area re-exposes the 0.80631 swing low
US PPI at 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
09:03 UTC
Recovering after sharp drop, capped at pivot · RSI 53 · price 0.81001
Consolidation below 0.8100 after impulsive sell-off.
USDCHF sold off sharply from the YTD-high zone near 0.8148 to the 0.80631 swing low as June US CPI undershot across the board and pared hawkish-Fed bets. Since then price has ground back to the 0.8100 pivot, which has capped repeatedly this week; the recovery is holding above EMA(20) but stalling into 0.8100 with RSI(14) back near neutral.
Support: 0.80631, 0.8030
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.8148
What it said to watch
Clean H1 close above 0.8100 pivot validates the 0.8148 week high
Loss of 0.80631 swing low exposes the 0.8030 week low
US PPI at 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
After pushing to the 0.8151 week high midweek, USDCHF reversed hard through the NY session as June US CPI undershot across the board, dropping the pair to a 0.8063 swing low. Since then price has consolidated around 0.8090 and is now retesting the 0.8100 pivot, which has produced repeated false breaks this week. Price sits back above EMA20 but under EMA50 with RSI(14) recovering toward the mid-50s.
Support: 0.80605, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.81516
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.8100 pivot opens the path to 0.8152 week high
Loss of 0.80605 swing low exposes 0.8000 psych level
US PPI at 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could reshape this read
08:02 UTC
Reversal from highs, consolidating · RSI 51 · price 0.80968
Lower high after YTD-high rejection.
USDCHF pushed to a fresh YTD high near 0.81516 midweek before the soft US June CPI print flushed it back below 0.8100, a sharp reversal that has left a clear lower high. Price is now consolidating in a tight 0.8083–0.8097 band, holding above EMA20 but capped below EMA50, with the 0.8100 psych pivot the immediate line to reclaim. RSI(14) has recovered to the mid-50s from oversold after the drop.
Support: 0.80631, 0.80328, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.81516
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.8100 reopens the path toward the 0.81516 week high
Loss of 0.80631 swing low exposes 0.80328 prior low
US Core PPI (12:30 UTC) and Warsh testimony (14:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
USDCHF pushed to a fresh week high near 0.8152 before a sharp NY-session drop to 0.8063 after the soft US June CPI print undercut the dollar. Price has since based and consolidated around 0.8090-0.8097, reclaiming the EMA(20) but capped under the 0.8100 pivot that has produced repeated false breaks this week. RSI(14) has recovered to the low-50s, reflecting the balance rather than fresh momentum.
Support: 0.80807, 0.80631, 0.80305
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.81159, 0.81516
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 0.8100 validates upside toward 0.81159 and 0.81516
Loss of 0.80631 drop low exposes the 0.80305 week low
US PPI at 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
07:02 UTC
Uptrend stalled, pullback · RSI 46 · price 0.8091
Consolidating below 0.8100 after YTD-high rejection.
USDCHF tagged fresh YTD highs near 0.8152 before the soft US June CPI print triggered a sharp ~90-pip flush to 0.8063 in the NY session. Price has since based and is coiling around 0.8089–0.8093, holding just under the 0.8100 pivot that capped repeated attempts earlier in the week. EMA(20) is being tracked from below while EMA(50) overhead reflects the broken uptrend momentum.
Support: 0.8089, 0.80631
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.8152
What it said to watch
Hourly close back above 0.8100 pivot reopens the 0.8152 ytd high
Failure to hold the 0.8063 cpi low confirms a deeper pullback
US PPI at 12:30 UTC plus Warsh testimony could materially shift this read
USDCHF ran to a fresh YTD high near 0.8151 into Tuesday's NY session before soft US June CPI sank the pair ~0.7% to a 0.8063 low. Price has since stabilised but is capped under the 0.8100 pivot, coiling around EMA20 with RSI(14) mid-range near 46. The dominant move of the week remains the post-CPI reversal that stalled the uptrend.
Support: 0.8063, 0.8080
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.8151
What it said to watch
Hourly close back above 0.8100 pivot reopens 0.8151 week high
Loss of 0.8063 cpi low confirms extension of the pullback
US PPI at 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
06:02 UTC
Downtrend off weekly high, now consolidating · RSI 47 · price 0.80876
Sharp drop then sideways below 0.8100.
USDCHF ran to fresh weekly highs near 0.8150 before a sharp CPI-driven slide dumped it below the 0.8100 pivot to 0.80605. Price has since consolidated in a tight 0.8073–0.8096 band, pinned to EMA(20) with RSI(14) hovering near 47. The 0.8100 pivot capped the bounce and remains the swing line above.
Support: 0.80707, 0.80605, 0.8030
Resistance: 0.80958, 0.8100, 0.81169
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.8100 pivot exposes 0.8152/0.8171
Failure to hold 0.80605 confirms a lower low toward 0.8050
Core PPI at 12:30 UTC could break this consolidation
06:02 UTC
Pulled back from YTD highs, consolidating · RSI 44 · price 0.80876
Range below 0.8100 after impulsive drop.
USDCHF printed fresh YTD highs near 0.8152 mid-week before a soft US CPI print knocked it sharply back through the 0.8100 pivot during the NY session, the single 0.8116-0.8063 candle doing most of the damage. Price has since consolidated in a tight 0.808-0.809 band, holding below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) mid-range around 44. The 0.8100 pivot now caps as former support turned resistance.
Support: 0.80631, 0.80305
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.81516
What it said to watch
Close above 0.8100 pivot re-exposes 0.8152 ytd high
Failure to hold 0.80631 swing low opens 0.8050/0.8030
Core PPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this USD-driven read
05:03 UTC
Pullback from YTD highs, now flat · RSI 49 · price 0.80932
Consolidation below 0.8100 after CPI-driven drop.
USDCHF ran to fresh YTD highs near 0.81516 through midweek before the soft US June CPI print knocked the pair sharply lower, printing a 0.80631 low on the impulse candle. Since then price has stabilised and is consolidating in a tight 0.8080–0.8100 band, sitting on EMA(20) but under EMA(50) with RSI(14) neutral around 49. The 0.8100 pivot has capped the recovery, keeping the pair below the level it broke down from.
Support: 0.80805, 0.80631, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.8116, 0.81516
What it said to watch
Hourly close back above 0.8100 pivot reopens 0.8116 and the 0.81516 ytd high
Loss of 0.80805 recovery base exposes the 0.80631 cpi low
US PPI at 12:30 GMT and Warsh testimony at 14:00 GMT could materially shift this read
The week's steady climb to a fresh YTD high at 0.81516 was unwound sharply after yesterday's soft US CPI print, with one hourly bar dropping over 50 pips through the 0.8100 pivot to 0.80631. Price has since carved higher lows back to 0.809 but is stalling just under EMA(20) and the reclaimed 0.8100 pivot. RSI(14) has recovered off the drop into the mid-40s without regaining the prior uptrend's momentum.
Support: 0.80631, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.81516
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.8100 pivot would re-expose the 0.81516 ytd high
Failure to hold 0.80631 cpi low confirms a lower-low
US Core PPI at 12:30 UTC is the key near-term swing factor for this read
Lower high after YTD-high rejection, ranging under 0.8100.
The pair extended to fresh YTD highs near 0.8150 into midweek before the soft US June CPI print knocked it 0.7% lower, breaking back below the 0.8100 pivot in a single impulsive bar. Since then price has consolidated in a tight 0.8080–0.8095 band, holding above the 0.80631 swing low but capped under 0.8100, with RSI(14) cycling in the low-40s below both EMAs.
Support: 0.80631, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.81516
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 0.8100 pivot reopens the 0.8150 ytd high
Loss of the 0.80631 swing low confirms a lower low toward 0.8000
US PPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
03:02 UTC
Uptrend reversed, now consolidating · RSI 44 · price 0.80854
Sharp lower-high off 0.8150, ranging below 0.8100.
USDCHF ran to fresh YTD highs near 0.8150 through Monday and Tuesday's NY session before soft US June CPI reversed it, dropping the pair ~0.70% in a single hour to 0.80631. Price has since stabilised into a tight range below the 0.8100 pivot, holding under EMA20 with RSI(14) recovering toward the mid-40s. The 0.80945 session high has capped the bounce.
Support: 0.80631, 0.8080, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.80945, 0.8100, 0.81516
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.8100 exposes the 0.8150 ytd high
Failure to hold 0.80631 confirms a lower-low
PPI cluster 12:30 GMT and Warsh testimony 14:00 GMT could materially shift this read
03:02 UTC
Uptrend reversed, pulling back · RSI 44 · price 0.80854
Lower high after YTD-high rejection, consolidating below 0.8100.
USD/CHF climbed to fresh YTD highs near 0.8150 mid-week before soft US June CPI reversed the move, dropping the pair ~90 pips to 0.8063 in a single hour and back below the 0.8100 pivot. Price has since consolidated in the 0.808–0.809 area, holding below EMA20 with RSI(14) mid-range around 44. The leg lower was USD-driven; the Swiss calendar is empty this week.
Support: 0.8063, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.8150
What it said to watch
Hourly close back above 0.8100 reasserts the prior bullish structure toward 0.8150
Failure to hold 0.8063 opens the path to 0.8000
US PPI cluster 12:30 GMT and Warsh testimony 14:00 GMT could materially shift this read
02:02 UTC
Uptrend stalled, pulled back · RSI 43 · price 0.80864
Reversal off YTD high, now consolidating.
USDCHF ran to a fresh YTD high near 0.81516 by midweek before the soft US June CPI print sent it reversing sharply — the CPI-miss candle drove it from 0.8116 to 0.80631 in a single hour. Price has since consolidated between 0.8080 and 0.8095, holding just below EMA20 with RSI stuck in the low-40s. Two attempts capped near 0.8149 left a double-top look before the break lower.
Support: 0.80631, 0.8080, 0.80305
Resistance: 0.80945, 0.8116, 0.81516
What it said to watch
PPI (12:30 GMT) and Warsh testimony (14:00 GMT) could materially shift this read
H1 close below 0.80631 confirms a lower-low and extends the reversal
Reclaim of 0.80945 range top reopens the path toward 0.81160
USDCHF ran to fresh YTD highs near 0.8149 into midweek before the soft US June CPI print knocked the dollar back, driving a sharp drop to 0.8063. Price has since consolidated around 0.8086, holding just below EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) recovering off its post-drop low toward 43. The 0.80990 range top has capped the bounce so far.
Support: 0.80631, 0.80305
Resistance: 0.8099, 0.8126
What it said to watch
Hourly close back above 0.80990 range top would signal a recovery attempt toward 0.81260
Failure to hold 0.80631 cpi low opens the path to 0.80305
US PPI at 12:30 GMT and Warsh testimony 14:00 GMT could materially shift this read
01:03 UTC
Reversal lower, now consolidating · RSI 42 · price 0.80836
Sharp drop from ytd high, ranging under 0.8100.
USDCHF pushed to a YTD high at 0.81516 into midweek before a sharp one-hour reversal on the soft US June CPI knocked it down to 0.80631. Price has since consolidated in the 0.808–0.809 band, holding below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) near 42. The 0.8095 consolidation cap has limited bounces, with the 0.8100 pivot just above.
Support: 0.80631, 0.8043
Resistance: 0.8095, 0.8100, 0.81516
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.8100 pivot reopens the path toward 0.81516 ytd high
Loss of 0.80631 cpi low confirms a lower-low
US PPI 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
01:02 UTC
Uptrend broken, now ranging below EMAs · RSI 44 · price 0.80836
Midweek high rejected, sharp reversal then consolidation.
USDCHF rallied to a fresh week high near 0.8151 before a soft US June CPI print triggered a sharp reversal, one bar shedding over 50 pips into 0.80631. Price has since consolidated in the 0.8080–0.8098 band, holding below both EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) stalled in the low-40s. The 0.8100 pivot now caps recovery attempts after acting as prior support.
Support: 0.80631, 0.80305
Resistance: 0.80985, 0.8100, 0.81516
What it said to watch
US PPI at 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony at 14:00 UTC are the key intraday USD catalysts
H1 close back above 0.81000 would reopen the path toward the 0.81516 week high
Failure to hold 0.80631 confirms extension of the CPI-driven breakdown
Rejection off YTD highs, consolidating below pivot.
USDCHF ran to fresh YTD highs at 0.81516 through midweek before the soft US June CPI print sparked a sharp rejection, dumping price back below the 0.8100 pivot in a single NY-hours candle. Price is now consolidating around 0.809 beneath EMA20 and EMA50, with RSI reset into the low 40s. The 0.80631 CPI low is holding as near-term support while the 0.8100 pivot caps the recovery.
Support: 0.80631, 0.8043
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.8116, 0.81516
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 0.8100 pivot reopens the 0.8116 prior high and week high at 0.81516
Failure to hold 0.80631 cpi low opens the path toward the 0.8043 week low
US PPI cluster at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
Sharp rejection from week high, base forming near 0.809.
USDCHF ran to a fresh week high near 0.8151 before reversing hard as the dollar sold off on the soft June CPI print, dropping to 0.80631 in a single NY-session bar. Price has since based around 0.809, holding below EMA20 with RSI(14) recovering off the lows but capped under 50. The prior uptrend line off Monday's low has broken.
Support: 0.80631, 0.80305
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.8116, 0.81516
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.8100 pivot and EMA20 needed to repair the break
Close below 0.80631 cpi low opens the path to 0.8043/week low
US PPI 12:30 GMT and Warsh testimony 14:00 GMT could materially shift this read