USD/CHF AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Tuesday, 20 October 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the USD/CHF 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:46 UTC
Recovering from NY low, early Asia firming · RSI 64 · price 0.82556
Double bottom at 0.8222, 50% pullback held, late-NY range broken higher.
Pause bets and haven CHF demand pressed USDCHF to a double bottom at the 0.8222 NY low, on the 0.8225 support. The rebound to the 0.8263 NY high faded to the 50% retracement near 0.8244. Early Asia has lifted out of the 0.8244–0.8250 late-NY range and is holding just under the 0.8259 Asia high.
Support: 0.8250, 0.8244, 0.8222
Resistance: 0.82586, 0.8263
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8259 Asia high opens a retest of the 0.8263 NY high
Slip back below the 0.8250 range top returns price to the late-NY range
Loss of the 0.8244 range floor and 50% fib exposes the 0.8222 NY low
US-Iran deal headlines moving oil and yields could shift this read
23:31 UTC
Recovery from NY low, now ranging below 0.8263 · RSI 63 · price 0.82563
Double bottom at 0.8222, higher low at 0.8244, mid-range.
The NY session briefly broke below the 0.8225 double-top neckline, printing a 0.8222 ny low twice, then reclaimed the level and rallied to a 0.8263 ny high. The pullback held the 0.8244 swing low near the 50% retrace of that NY rally, and a post-rollover pop has price mid-range in early Asia, with ATR(14) compressed near 3 pips.
Support: 0.8244, 0.8222
Resistance: 0.8263, 0.8270
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8263 ny high opens the 0.8270 prior high, the cap cited in recent flow
Loss of the 0.8244 swing low breaks the higher lows line and exposes the 0.8222 ny low
A close back below 0.8222 would turn the false break into a confirmed double-top breakdown
No US or Swiss data in the next 8h; US-Iran headlines moving oil and yields are the main event risk for this read
23:16 UTC
Intraday recovery, higher low in place · RSI 60 · price 0.82574
Early-Asia breakout from a post-NY base, still capped below the NY high.
NY rebounded about 40 pips off a double low at 0.8222 after the soft US housing data, then stalled at 0.8263 and faded into a 0.8244–0.8250 base, holding near the 38.2% retracement. Early Asia lifted price out of that base to 0.8259 with RSI(14) near 60, leaving the NY high and the 0.8270 prior high overhead.
Support: 0.8250, 0.8244, 0.8222
Resistance: 0.8263, 0.8270
What it said to watch
Holding above the 0.8250 base top keeps the Asia breakout intact. A slip back below the 0.8244 base low returns price to the post-NY range.
An M15 close above the 0.8263 NY high exposes the 0.8270 prior high, which was Monday's cap.
Loss of the higher-low trendline and then the 0.8222 double low would put the 0.8225 double-top neckline back in focus.
No scheduled data in the next 8h. US-Iran and oil headlines, along with the US 10y near 5.12%, remain the swing factors.
Double bottom at 0.8222, higher low at 0.8244, price pressing toward the 0.8263 NY high in early Asia.
The NY-morning slide on Iran-deal USD softness stalled in a double bottom at the 0.8222 day low, near the 0.8225 neckline flagged in the digest, and the rebound peaked at the 0.8263 NY high. The late-NY pullback held 0.8244, about a 46% retracement of that rally, and a 10-pip range break above 0.8250 has carried into the early Asia session with RSI(14) near 65, not stretched.
Support: 0.8244, 0.8222
Resistance: 0.8263, 0.8269
What it said to watch
A close above the 0.8263 NY high exposes the 0.8269 asian high and the 0.8270 cap
Failure to hold the 0.8244 late-ny low and the rising trendline breaks the higher-low sequence and puts the 0.8222 day low back in view
US-Iran headlines moving oil and yields could override thin Asia session structure before Thursday's jobless claims
22:46 UTC
Intraday recovery from day low, early Asia push higher · RSI 64 · price 0.82569
Higher low at the 50% fib, overnight box broken to the upside.
NY rejected the 0.8222 day low, just above the 0.8225 neckline flagged in the CHF digest, and rebounded to the 0.8263 NY high as USD selling on US-Iran deal hopes faded. The late-NY pullback held 0.8244, the box low and roughly the 50% fib of that rally. Early Asia then lifted price out of the 0.8244–0.8250 box to 0.8257 on thin post-rollover liquidity, with RSI(14) near 64.
Support: 0.8250, 0.82438, 0.82223
Resistance: 0.8263, 0.82691
What it said to watch
A close above the 0.8263 NY high brings the 0.8269 Asian high, near the digest's 0.8270 cap, into play
A slip back below the 0.8250 box top would turn the Asia jump into a false break
Loss of the 0.8244 box low (50% fib) exposes the 0.8222 day low
US-Iran headlines and the US 10y yield near 5.12% are the main drivers, with no scheduled data in the next 8h
Double bottom at 0.8222, rebound capped at 0.8263, holding 0.8244 base.
Asia and London ground lower from the 0.8270 Asia high, and the housing misses pushed USD/CHF into a NY double bottom at 0.8222 before a rebound stalled at the 0.8263 session high. Late NY faded to a late base at 0.8244, near the 50% fib of the rebound, and a thin after-NY-close pop has price back at 0.8254 with RSI(14) near 61.
Support: 0.8244, 0.8222
Resistance: 0.8263, 0.8270
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8263 session high reopens the 0.8270 Asia high
Failure to hold the 0.8244 late base and 50% fib exposes the 0.8222 double bottom
Close below 0.8222 breaks the double bottom and the 0.8225 neckline flagged in the digest
US-Iran deal headlines are driving yields and USD with no calendar events in the next 8h
Double low at 0.8222, NY bounce capped at 0.8263, now compressing near 0.8245.
Price slid from the 0.8269 Asia high through London, and the US housing miss drove a double low at 0.8222, rejected at the 0.8225 neckline area. The NY bounce to 0.8263 faded after London close and price is now pinned in a 4-pip band above the 0.8244 late NY low. That band sits at the 38.2% fib of the rebound, with the 0.8251 fade high capping and ATR at about 3 pips as the Asia session opens.
Support: 0.8244, 0.8222
Resistance: 0.8251, 0.8263, 0.8269
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 0.8244 late NY low brings the 50% fib and the 0.8222 double low back into view
M15 close above the 0.8251 fade high and 0.8263 NY high invalidates the fade read, with the 0.8269 Asia high next
Break below 0.8222 double low would confirm the double-top neckline loss flagged in the CHF digest
US-Iran headlines and the 10y around 5.12% are the main drivers, with no scheduled data in the next 8h
22:02 UTC
Flat after a late-NY fade from 0.8263 · RSI 52 · price 0.82479
NY double bottom at 0.8222, rally to 0.8263 retraced to 38.2%, now a tight 0.8244–0.8251 band.
USD/CHF bled from the 0.8270 24h high through Asia and London, then swept to a 0.8222 NY low around the soft US housing data before a double-bottom bounce to the 0.8263 NY high. The late-NY fade has stalled at the 38.2% of that rally, with price hugging EMA20 in a 0.8244–0.8251 band between the late low and a lower high.
Support: 0.8244, 0.8239, 0.8222
Resistance: 0.8251, 0.8263, 0.8270
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8244 late low exposes the 0.8239 london low and the 50–61.8% fib zone
Close above the 0.8251 lower high reopens the 0.8263 ny high and the 0.8270 24h high
Loss of the 0.8222 ny low breaks the double bottom and the 0.8225 neckline cited in the digest
US-Iran headlines and the 10y yield near 5.12% remain the main drivers; no calendar events in the next 8h, Asia session liquidity thin
21:46 UTC
Fading after NY rebound, momentum soft · RSI 38 · price 0.82457
Lower highs from 0.8263 NY high, drifting into thin late-NY trade.
USD/CHF slid from the 0.8270 Asia open to a 0.8222 session low after the US housing miss. A double bottom near 0.8223 drove a rebound to the 0.8263 NY high, and price has since bled lower along a falling trendline. It now sits at the 0.8244 late NY low, between the 38.2% and 50% retracement of that bounce, as US-Iran deal hopes keep USD heavy.
Support: 0.8244, 0.8222
Resistance: 0.8248, 0.8263, 0.8270
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8248 trendline breaks the lower-high sequence back toward the 0.8263 NY high
Failure to hold the 0.8244 late NY low exposes the 0.8222 session low, near the 0.8225 neckline flagged in the digest
US-Iran deal headlines moving oil and yields could override the thin late-NY tape; ATR near 3 pips reflects compressed ranges into Asia
Lower highs off 0.8263 NY high, basing near 0.8244.
Asia and London bled from the 0.8270 prior high to the 0.8239 London low. Weak US housing data and a softer dollar on US-Iran deal hopes then took the NY open to a twin 0.8222 NY low, which drew a 40-pip bounce to the 0.8263 NY high. Since London close that rally has faded along a lower-high fade line, holding near 0.8244, the evening low and roughly the 50% retrace, with rollover quotes flat.
Support: 0.8244, 0.8239, 0.8222
Resistance: 0.8251, 0.8263, 0.8270
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8244 evening low and the 50% retrace exposes the 0.8239 london low, then the 0.8222 ny low
Break of the 0.8222 ny low would push through the 0.8225 double-top neckline cited in the digest and set a fresh session low
Recovery above the 0.8251 fade high breaks the fade line and reopens the 0.8263 ny high and 0.8270 prior high
US-Iran deal headlines and US 10y yields are the swing factor; no scheduled US/Swiss data in the next 8h
21:16 UTC
Intraday range, fading off NY high · RSI 34 · price 0.8245
NY V-reversal from 0.8222 capped at 0.8263, lower highs since, price back on London low.
London broke the Asian low and held a 0.8243 London low. NY flushed through it to a 0.8222 NY low as weak US housing data hit the dollar, then the false break snapped back to a 0.8263 NY high. Lower highs since have returned price to the London low, between the 38.2% and 50% fib retrace of that NY rebound, with RSI(14) near 34 and ATR compressed into rollover.
Support: 0.8243, 0.8222
Resistance: 0.8251, 0.8263, 0.8270
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8243 London low / 50% fib reopens the 0.8222 NY low, near the 0.8225 double-top support flagged in the digest
Close above the 0.8251 lower high breaks the lower-highs trendline; the 0.8263 NY high and 0.8270 day high cap the range above
US-Iran deal headlines and 10y yield moves around 5.12% can jolt the thin Asia session
Lower highs off the 0.8263 NY high, retracing the 0.8222–0.8263 rebound.
USD softness on US-Iran deal hopes drove the Asia-to-London slide from the 0.8270 Asia high into a double bottom at the 0.8222 day low early in NY. The rebound stalled at the 0.8263 NY high, and the late-NY fade of lower highs now sits on the fib 50% near 0.8243 with RSI(14) near 31.
Support: 0.8243, 0.8238, 0.8222
Resistance: 0.8251, 0.8263, 0.8270
What it said to watch
M15 close below the fib 61.8% at 0.8238 reopens the 0.8222 day low, which lines up with the 0.8225 support flagged in the CHF digest
Break above the 0.8251 lower high and descending highs trendline negates the fade, putting the 0.8263 NY high back in play
A clean break of the 0.8222 day low cancels the intraday double bottom read
US-Iran deal headlines and US 10y yield moves are the main swing factor, as no scheduled US or Swiss data falls in the next 8h
Double bottom at 0.8222 NY low, retracing the rebound into 38.2% fib.
USD softness on US-Iran deal hopes and weak housing data carried the pair through the Asian range low and into a 0.8222 NY low, which held twice near the 0.8225 support. The rebound topped at the 0.8263 session high, and price has since drifted back to the 38.2% fib, with the 0.8245 evening low holding in thin post-NY trade.
Support: 0.8245, 0.8243, 0.8222
Resistance: 0.8250, 0.8263
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.8250 psych reopens the 0.8263 session high
Loss of the 0.8245 evening low exposes the fib 50% at 0.8243, then the 0.8222 NY low
Break below the 0.8222 NY low would void the double bottom and confirm a lower low through 0.8225
US-Iran deal headlines and the US 10y near 5.12% could materially shift this read in the Asia session
20:16 UTC
Intraday rebound fading, drifting lower into close · RSI 46 · price 0.82471
Lower highs off 0.8263 NY high; holding 38.2% of the 0.8222–0.8263 NY rebound.
London broke below the Asian range as US-Iran deal hopes and soft US housing data weighed on USD. The day low at 0.8222 held twice, and the NY rebound capped at the 0.8263 NY high. Price has since faded along a fade line of lower highs to 0.8247, the 38.2% retracement and Asian low area, late in NY hours near rollover.
Support: 0.82448, 0.82223
Resistance: 0.8263, 0.82698
What it said to watch
Close below 0.8245 asian low exposes the 0.8222 day low, the double-top neckline zone
Recovery through the fade line and the 0.8263 ny high reopens the 0.8270 asian high
US-Iran deal headlines and the US 10y yield around 5.12% remain the main swing factor for USD overnight
Late NY: lower highs off 0.8263 session high, price at 38.2% of the 0.8222–0.8263 rebound.
London broke below the 0.8245 Asian range low. Dollar weakness on US-Iran deal reports and soft housing data then extended the slide to the NY low at 0.8222, where a double bottom formed into the early NY session. The rebound was rejected at the 0.8263 session high, and a desc line of lower highs has since walked price back to 0.8247 in quiet late-NY trade, just above the london low at 0.8243.
Support: 0.8243, 0.8222
Resistance: 0.8251, 0.8263, 0.8270
What it said to watch
M15 close below the london low at 0.8243 (also the 50% retrace) exposes the 0.8222 ny low double bottom
Break back above the desc line near 0.8251 and the 0.8263 session high reopens the 0.8270 prior high
US-Iran deal confirmation or collapse headlines could materially shift this read during Asia session
19:46 UTC
Rebound fading, drifting lower late NY · RSI 47 · price 0.82475
Double bottom at 0.8222, pullback to Asian low.
Soft US housing data and US-Iran deal hopes knocked USD/CHF to a double bottom at 0.8222 in the first hour of NY, right on the 0.8225 neckline. It rebounded to a 0.8263 NY high, but since London close has faded back to the 0.8245 Asian low, the 38.2% retrace of that bounce, with RSI(14) neutral near 47.
Support: 0.8245, 0.8243, 0.8222
Resistance: 0.8263, 0.8270
What it said to watch
A close below the 50% fib at 0.8243 exposes the 0.8222 double bottom again
A break of 0.8222 would mark a decisive loss of the 0.8225 neckline
Reclaiming the 0.8263 NY high reopens the 0.8270 Asian high
US-Iran deal headlines during Asia session could shift this read
False break below 0.8225, then a pullback into the fib 50% zone.
NY session flushed through the 0.8225 double-top neckline to a 0.8222 ny low around the soft US housing data. It double-bottomed there and squeezed to a 0.8263 rebound high as yields eased. Since London close price has faded to the 0.8245 pullback low near the fib 50%, sitting just under EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) near 34.
Support: 0.8245, 0.8238, 0.8222
Resistance: 0.8263, 0.8270
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8245 pullback low exposes the fib 61.8% at 0.8238 and the 0.8222 ny low
A break of the 0.8222 ny low converts the false break into a confirmed loss of the 0.8225 neckline
Recovery above the 0.8263 rebound high reopens the 0.8270 day high
No scheduled data in the next 8h; US 10y yield moves around 5.12% and US-Iran headlines are the live drivers into Asia session
NY double bottom at 0.8222, rally to 0.8263, now in lower highs.
Soft US housing data drove an early-NY flush below the London low to 0.8222. A double bottom formed there, a false break of the 0.8225 neckline, and the NY rebound ran to a 0.8263 session high. Late NY is fading that leg in lower highs, with price on the 38.2% retrace near 0.8247, below EMA20/50, and RSI(14) near 41.
Support: 0.8243, 0.8238, 0.8222
Resistance: 0.8253, 0.8263, 0.8270
What it said to watch
Break of the 0.8243 london low exposes the 61.8% fib of the NY rebound at 0.8238
A close back below 0.8222 negates the double bottom and confirms the 0.8225 neckline break
Reclaim of the 0.8253 lower high reopens the 0.8263 session high and 0.8270 prior high (Asia cap)
US-Iran deal headlines and US 10y yields near 5.12% remain the live driver into the Asia session
NY double low at 0.8222, rally to 0.8263, now retracing to the Asian low.
Soft US housing data and a weaker dollar drove the NY drop to a double low at 0.8222 (12:30/13:45 UTC). Price then rebounded to the 0.8263 ny high, and the late-NY fade has pulled it back into the 38.2–50% zone of that NY rally fib, right on the asian low 0.8245 with price slightly under both EMAs.
Support: 0.8245, 0.8239, 0.8222
Resistance: 0.8250, 0.8263, 0.8270
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8245 asian low exposes the 0.8239 london low and the 61.8% retracement near 0.8238
Reclaim of the 0.8250 round number, then the 0.8263 ny high, reopens the 0.8270 day high
Break of the 0.8222 double low would line up with the 0.8225 double-top neckline flagged in the CHF digest
After London close and into the Asia handover, thin liquidity can distort the 0.8245 test
18:46 UTC
Pullback after NY rebound, momentum fading · RSI 47 · price 0.82461
Lower high under Asian high, retracing NY rally.
USD softness on Iran-deal headlines and weak housing data drove the London-NY slide into a double bottom at the 0.8222 day low, followed by a 40-pip NY rally to 0.8263 that formed a lower high under the 0.8269 Asian high. That bounce is fading into the late NY session. Price is back below the 0.8250 round number and below the 38.2% retrace of the NY rally, with the 50% fib at 0.8243 next and RSI(14) neutral near 47.
Support: 0.82427, 0.82393, 0.82223
Resistance: 0.8250, 0.8263, 0.82691
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8243 50% fib exposes the 0.8239 swing low and the 0.8222 day low
Recovery above the 0.8250 round number and the 0.8263 ny high reopens the 0.8269 asian high
No scheduled US or Swiss data in the next 8h; Iran-deal headlines and the US 10y near 5.12% could materially shift this read
18:31 UTC
Intraday rebound fading in late NY · RSI 45 · price 0.8251
Double bottom at 0.8222, NY rally to 0.8263 now retracing.
Asia and London ground lower from the 0.8270 prior high, and early NY flushed to 0.8222 alongside soft US housing data and a heavier dollar. That NY low held twice as a double bottom, and price rebounded to the 0.8263 NY high. After London close the move has faded about 30% back to the 0.8250 round number, sitting just above the 0.8246 higher low and the 38.2% fib, with RSI(14) near 45 and ATR around 5 pips.
Support: 0.8250, 0.8246, 0.8222
Resistance: 0.8263, 0.8270
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8246 higher low and 38.2% fib exposes the 0.8222 ny low.
A break of the 0.8222 double bottom sets a fresh session lower-low near the 0.8225 neckline cited in the digest.
Close back above the 0.8263 ny high reopens the 0.8270 prior high.
US-Iran deal headlines and moves in US yields could shift this read; no scheduled US or Swiss data in the next 8h.
18:16 UTC
V-shaped recovery off NY low, now pulling back · RSI 52 · price 0.82509
Double bottom at 0.8222, lower high forming under 0.8263.
London broke below the 0.8245 Asian range low, and the NY session extended it to a 0.8222 double bottom (the NY low) as soft US housing data hit the dollar, before a sharp V-recovery to a 0.8263 session high. Late in the NY session price is easing back to the 0.8250 round number after rejection at the high, sitting between the 23.6% and 38.2% retracement of the rally.
Support: 0.8250, 0.8246, 0.8222
Resistance: 0.8263, 0.8270
What it said to watch
Break of the 0.8246 swing low (near the 38.2% fib) opens a deeper retracement toward the 0.8222 NY low
M15 close above the 0.8263 session high brings the 0.8270 Asia high back into play
US-Iran deal headlines could reprice oil, yields and the USD outside session hours
18:02 UTC
Rebound from intraday low, now pulling back · RSI 50 · price 0.82509
Double bottom at 0.8222, higher low at 0.8246, session high 0.8263 being faded late NY.
Early NY pushed through the 0.8225 support to 0.8222 as US housing data missed. The double bottom there turned into a false break and a 40-pip rebound to a 0.8263 session high. Late NY has given back about 12 pips to 0.8251, between the 23.6% and 38.2% fib, with RSI(14) neutral near 50 and the 0.8246 swing low just below.
Support: 0.8246, 0.8239, 0.8222
Resistance: 0.8263, 0.8270
What it said to watch
Break of the 0.8246 swing low (38.2% fib) exposes the 0.8239 london low
Close back above the 0.8263 session high brings the 0.8270 asian high into view
Loss of the 0.8222 double bottom would confirm the broader 0.8225 break
No scheduled US/CHF data in the next 8h; unconfirmed US-Iran headlines remain the live risk
17:46 UTC
Intraday rebound, stalling late NY · RSI 61 · price 0.82562
V-recovery from 0.8222 double bottom, higher lows into 0.8263.
Weak US housing data and US-Iran deal headlines pushed the pair through the London lows to a 0.8222 session low, but a double bottom there briefly undercut the 0.8225 area and failed to hold below it, and price recovered about 40 pips to a 0.8263 session high. Late NY is stalling under the 0.8270 Asian high, with RSI(14) near 61 and ATR(14) at roughly 6 pips.
Support: 0.8252, 0.8246, 0.8222
Resistance: 0.8263, 0.8270
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8263 session high and 0.8270 asian high extends the rebound beyond the overnight range
Failure to hold the 0.8252 pullback low, then the 0.8246 swing low (near the 38.2% rebound fib), turns the recovery into a deeper retracement
Return below the 0.8222 session low negates the double bottom
US-Iran deal headlines remain a live risk via oil and yields at any time
17:31 UTC
Intraday recovery, stalling below the NY high · RSI 61 · price 0.82597
V-shaped rebound off a 0.8222 double bottom into a tight 0.8257–0.8263 consolidation inside the Asian range.
London broke below the 0.8245 Asian low, and early NY extended the drop to 0.8222. That area produced a double bottom at 12:30 and 13:30 UTC, and the low held despite the weak US housing prints. The rebound has since reclaimed the Asian range and is compressing late in the NY session just under the 0.8263 NY high, with RSI(14) cooling to about 61.
Support: 0.8257, 0.8246, 0.8222
Resistance: 0.8263, 0.8270
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8270 Asian high clears the overnight range top and the 0.8270 cap flagged in the macro read
Loss of the 0.8257 range floor exposes the 0.8246 pullback low, which coincides with the 38.2% retrace of the rally
Failure to hold the 0.8222 double bottom revives the 0.8225 double-top neckline break
No data in the next 8h; US-Iran headlines and yield swings are the likely movers into the Asia session
NY double bottom at 0.8222, higher low at 0.8246, compressing under NY high.
Weak US housing data briefly pushed the NY open lower, but the dip held twice at the 0.8222 NY low, just under the widely watched 0.8225 support, forming an intraday double bottom. The rebound reclaimed the 0.8243 London low and printed a higher low at 0.8246 (38.2% of the rally). Late in NY, price is compressing just below the 0.8263 NY high and remains under the 0.8270 Asia high, with RSI(14) near 62.
Support: 0.82462, 0.8243, 0.82223
Resistance: 0.82625, 0.82698
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8263 NY high opens a test of the 0.8270 Asia high
Failure to hold the 0.8246 higher low breaks the higher-lows trendline and puts the 0.8243 London low back in play
Loss of the 0.8222 NY low voids the double bottom and exposes the 0.8225 double-top neckline
US-Iran headlines and US yield moves can shift this read; no scheduled US or Swiss data in the next 8h
17:02 UTC
Rebound from NY low, momentum flattening · RSI 61 · price 0.82606
Double bottom at 0.8222, higher lows into late NY, capped under 0.8263.
Weak US housing data drove an early-NY drop to the 0.8222 NY low, which held twice near 0.8225. The break of the 0.8239 neckline lifted price about 40 pips back into the Asian range. Late NY is now compressing under the 0.8263 session high with ATR shrinking, and the Asian high at 0.8270 sits just above.
Support: 0.82462, 0.82387, 0.82223
Resistance: 0.82625, 0.82698
What it said to watch
Close above the 0.8270 asian high clears the Asian range and the Monday 0.8265 close area
Failure to hold the 0.8246 swing low (~38.2% fib of the rebound) puts the 0.8239 neckline back in focus
A break of the 0.8222 ny low reopens the 0.8225 support flagged in the digest
US-Iran headlines and yield moves drove the day; a fresh headline could shift this read
Asia and London ground lower from the 0.8270 day high to a double btm at 0.8222 in the first hours of NY. That held the 0.8225 area, and the rebound retraced the full London leg to a 0.8262 session high despite soft US housing data. Now, after London close, price is pausing just under that high with RSI(14) near 65.
Support: 0.82462, 0.82225
Resistance: 0.82616, 0.82698
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8270 day high clears the Asian range top and extends the higher-high chain
Break of the 0.8246 pullback low cuts the rebound trendline and puts the 0.8242 midpoint of the rebound fib in play
Loss of the 0.8222 double btm resumes the downside test flagged in the macro read
No calendar events in the next 8h; US-Iran headlines and US yield moves could still shift this read
16:31 UTC
V-shaped recovery off NY low, testing session high · RSI 66 · price 0.82599
Higher lows since the 0.8222 double bottom; back inside the Asian range.
London broke the Asian low near 0.8245, and the housing misses extended the drop to a 0.8222 ny low around NY open, just under the digest's 0.8225 support. That break failed: a double bottom formed and the NY rally line has carried price back to the 0.8261 session high, with RSI(14) at 66 and the 0.8246 pullback low the last higher low. Late NY with London closed, price is pressing the session high and sits about 10 pips under the 0.8270 asian high.
Support: 0.8246, 0.8222
Resistance: 0.8261, 0.8270
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8261 session high puts the 0.8270 asian high (Monday's cap) back in play
Break of the NY rally line and the 0.8246 pullback low would end the higher-low sequence
Close below the 0.8222 ny low reopens the 0.8225 double-top neckline break
No scheduled US or Swiss data in the next 8h; US-Iran deal headlines are the near-term swing factor
16:16 UTC
Intraday rebound, higher lows since NY open · RSI 63 · price 0.82584
Double bottom at 0.8222, Asian low reclaimed.
London broke the Asian low at 0.8245 and extended into NY. A double bottom at 0.8222 then held just above the 0.8225 neckline flagged in the digest, despite USD-negative housing misses. The NY upleg reclaimed the Asian low, retested it from above at 0.8246, and now sits just under the 0.8261 session high, with RSI(14) at 63 and not stretched.
Support: 0.82455, 0.82223
Resistance: 0.82609, 0.82698
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8261 session high opens the 0.8270 Asian high, the cap noted in the digest
M15 close back below the 0.8245 Asian low turns the reclaim into a failed move
Loss of the NY trendline exposes the 0.8242–0.8237 retracement zone of the NY upleg
Break below the 0.8222 double btm would clear the 0.8225 neckline cited in the digest
No scheduled US/CHF data in the next 8h; US-Iran headlines remain the event risk
16:02 UTC
V-shaped rebound from day low, momentum fading near highs · RSI 65 · price 0.82584
Double bottom at 0.8222, higher low at 0.8246, back inside Asian range.
London and early NY extended below the Asian range to a day low at 0.8222. A rejection there formed a double bottom near the 0.8225 support flagged in the digest, even as soft US housing data weighed on the dollar. The rebound broke back above the London range and printed a 0.8261 NY high; the follow-up pullback low at 0.8246 held at the 38.2% of the rebound fib and on the rebound line. Price now sits inside the Asian range, below the 0.8270 Asian high, with RSI(14) near 65.
Support: 0.82462, 0.82223
Resistance: 0.82609, 0.82698
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8261 ny high brings the 0.8270 asian high, the prior rejection area, back into play
Loss of the 0.8246 pullback low and the rebound line puts the 0.8222 day low back in focus
A close below the 0.8222 day low invalidates the double bottom read
US-Iran deal headlines and US 10y yield moves could shift this read; no scheduled US or Swiss data in the next 8h
Selling from the 0.8270 Asian high ran through London into a 0.8222 session low in early NY, as soft US housing data weighed on the dollar. That area held twice. The rebound was rejected at the 0.8261 rebound high and is pulling back toward the 0.8246 pullback low, still below the Asian high.
Support: 0.82462, 0.82223
Resistance: 0.82609, 0.82698
What it said to watch
A break of the 0.8246 pullback low exposes the 50% fib of the rebound near 0.8242
An M15 close below the 0.8222 session low breaks the double bottom and the 0.8225 support area
A close above the 0.8261 rebound high opens the 0.8270 Asian high, the prior cap
No scheduled US or CHF data in the next 8h. Fed-pause and US-Iran headlines remain the swing factor
15:31 UTC
V-rebound from NY low, stalling below 0.8261 · RSI 57 · price 0.82504
Double low at 0.8222 held, reclaimed London base, upper-wick rejection at session high.
The Asia–London slide extended into the first hour of NY on soft US housing data. Two lows at 0.8222 held just above the 0.8225 neckline flagged in the digest. A V-rebound then reclaimed the 0.8243 London base, but was rejected at the 0.8261 NY high near the Asian bounce high, with RSI(14) cooling to ~57.
Support: 0.8243, 0.8222
Resistance: 0.8261, 0.8270
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8261 NY high exposes the 0.8270 prior high, the cap cited in the digest
Failure to hold the 0.8243 London base, near the 38.2% retracement of the rebound, undercuts the double low recovery
Break below the 0.8222 double low would confirm the broader double-top neckline break
No US or Swiss data in the next 8h; yields and equity tone drive the London-close to late-NY drift
Double low at 0.8222, higher lows since; pressing London high.
The pair bled from the 0.8270 Asian high through London, and the soft US housing data knocked it to a double low at 0.8222, briefly through the 0.8225 support before buyers stepped in twice. The rebound has reclaimed the Asian low near 0.8245 and is now testing the London high at 0.8259 late in the London-NY transition, with RSI(14) near 61 and not stretched.
Support: 0.8245, 0.8222
Resistance: 0.8259, 0.8270
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8259 london high opens the 0.8270 asian high, the session cap noted in the digest
Slip back below the 0.8245 asian low turns the rebound into a lower high; 38.2–61.8% of the rebound fib sits at 0.8244–0.8236
M15 close below the 0.8222 double low confirms the break of 0.8225 support
No US or Swiss events in the next 8h; US yield and tech-equity swings remain the driver
15:02 UTC
V-shaped recovery from intraday low, momentum up · RSI 60 · price 0.82547
False break below 0.8225, double bottom, reclaimed Asia low.
London broke the Asian range low at 0.8245 and NY extended the slide to a double bottom at 0.8222. The housing-starts miss failed to hold price below the 0.8225 neckline. The rebound has recovered all of the London leg to a 0.8257 session high, with price back inside the Asian range.
Support: 0.82448, 0.82355, 0.82223
Resistance: 0.82566, 0.82698
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the asia low at 0.8245 negates the recovery and reopens the 61.8% fib at 0.8236
Loss of the 0.8222 double btm confirms a lower-low and the wider double-top break
Clearance of the 0.8257 session high puts the 0.8270 asia high and cap back in play
No scheduled US or Swiss data in the next 8h; US yields and tech-equity tone remain the swing driver into London close
14:46 UTC
Downtrend, NY rebound underway · RSI 52 · price 0.8243
Lower highs from London open; double bottom at 0.8222 in NY.
London extended the Asia-session slide from the 0.8270 asia high as Fed-pause bets weighed on USD. NY printed a double bottom at 0.8222–0.8223, just above the 0.8225 neckline flagged in the digest, then rebounded to a 0.8248 rebound high at the 61.8% retracement; mid-NY, price is holding above the 0.8236 pullback low with RSI(14) neutral near 52.
Support: 0.8236, 0.8222
Resistance: 0.8248, 0.8253, 0.8270
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8253 swing high breaks the lower-high sequence and opens the 0.8270 asia high
Loss of the 0.8236 pullback low exposes the 0.8222 double bottom; a close below 0.8225 confirms the broader double-top break
Rejection at the 0.8248 rebound high / 61.8% retracement keeps the downtrend intact
FOMC next week (pause expected) could materially shift this read; US yield moves around 5.13% are the near-term driver
Lower highs since Asia open; double bottom at 0.8222 testing trendline.
Steady slide from the 0.8269 Asian open ran through London as Fed-pause pricing weighed on USD. Two probes of the 0.8222 double low in the first hours of NY held only just under the 0.8225 support and were rejected. The 13:45 rebound reclaimed the 0.8239 db neckline, and price is now pressing the descending trendline from 0.8270 near 0.8248, below the 0.8253 swing high.
Support: 0.8239, 0.8222
Resistance: 0.8248, 0.8253
What it said to watch
M15 close above the trendline near 0.8248 and the 0.8253 swing high breaks the lower-high sequence in place since Asia
Loss of the 0.8239 db neckline returns price to the 0.8222 double low; a close below there extends the lower-low chain
No US or Swiss data in the next 8h; US 10y yield moves and oil/Iran headlines remain the main swing factors for this read
14:16 UTC
Intraday downtrend, bounce off the lows · RSI 47 · price 0.82409
Lower highs from London open, double low at 0.8222 in NY, testing the falling trendline.
London opened with a break of the Asian low at 0.8245. After a 0.8243–0.8253 London range, the slide extended in the first hours of NY, with the dollar heavy on Fed-pause pricing, and 0.8222 held twice as a double low near the 0.8225 support flagged in the macro read. Price is now back above the 0.8239 NY pivot, pressing the 38.2% retrace and the falling trendline from the London highs.
Support: 0.8239, 0.8222
Resistance: 0.8245, 0.8253
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8245 Asian low and the falling trendline invalidates the lower-high sequence and opens the 0.8253 range top
Failure to hold the 0.8239 NY pivot puts the 0.8222 double low back in play; a break there extends the downtrend
Pending Home Sales (14:00 UTC, f/c -0.5%) is due on the current bar and could shift this read
Lower highs from London; double bottom at 0.8222 in NY.
USD/CHF extended its London slide into the NY open, with the Housing Starts miss flushing price to 0.8222, near the 0.8225 support. The low was retested and rejected with a 15-pip bar, forming an intraday double bottom. Price has reclaimed the 0.8239 bounce high and sits at the 50% retracement of the London drop, just under the falling trendline near 0.8243.
Support: 0.8239, 0.8222
Resistance: 0.8243, 0.8253, 0.8270
What it said to watch
M15 close above the falling trendline at 0.8243 breaks the lower-high chain and exposes the 0.8253 swing high, then the 0.8270 Asian high
Slip back below the 0.8239 bounce high returns focus to the 0.8222 double bottom
A close below the 0.8222 double bottom breaks the 0.8225 neckline area, with 0.8200 next
Pending Home Sales at 14:00 UTC could add near-term volatility
13:46 UTC
Downtrend, early NY bounce fading · RSI 35 · price 0.82321
Lower highs and lower lows since Asia; London base broken in early NY.
London broke below the Asian low at 0.8245, then held a 0.8243–0.8253 range until early NY. Late London lost the london base, and the Housing Starts miss at 12:30 UTC drove a session low at 0.8222, testing the 0.8225 double-top neckline. The bounce met rejection at the 0.8239 bounce high, near the 50% retrace of the selloff fib. Price sits back at 0.8232, below EMA20 and EMA50, with RSI(14) near 35.
Support: 0.82223, 0.8200
Resistance: 0.82387, 0.8243
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8222 session low extends the lower-low chain toward the 0.8200 round number
Recovery above the 0.8239 bounce high and the 0.8243 london base would negate the breakdown read
Pending Home Sales at 14:00 UTC is minor but could add to the weak-housing USD read
13:31 UTC
Downtrend, rebounding off NY low · RSI 41 · price 0.82368
Lower highs from 0.8253; brief break below 0.8225 neckline reclaimed.
The Asia-to-London slide on a softer USD extended in the first hour of NY. The 12:30 UTC bar briefly took out the 0.8225 neckline to a 0.8222 session low around the Housing Starts miss. Price has since rebounded to the 38.2% fib of the 0.8259–0.8222 leg and is retesting the 0.8239 broken low from below, still under EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 41.
Support: 0.8225, 0.82223
Resistance: 0.82393, 0.82447, 0.82535
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8239 broken low and 50% fib (0.8241) puts the 61.8% fib at 0.8245 and the lower-highs line in play
Acceptance above 0.8245 opens the London high at 0.8253
Return below the 0.8225 neckline and the 0.8222 session low confirms the double-top break
Pending Home Sales at 14:00 UTC is low impact, but moves in the US 10y yield have been driving this pair
Lower highs since Asia; NY dip to 0.8222 rejected at 0.8225 neckline.
London broke the Asian low at 0.8245, capped below the 0.8270 prior high, and the NY open extended the slide to a 0.8222 session low. The 0.8225 double-top neckline drew a sharp rejection, with the dollar softer after the Housing Starts miss. The bounce sits at the 38.2% fib near 0.8236, below the 0.8240 breakdown level and the descending trendline.
Support: 0.82223, 0.8200
Resistance: 0.8240, 0.82448, 0.82704
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.8240 breakdown level and the descending trendline would break the lower-high chain
Reclaim of the 0.8245 asian low (61.8% fib) would shift the read to a range inside Asia
Close below the 0.8222 session low confirms the 0.8225 neckline break and opens the 0.8200 round number
US Pending Home Sales at 14:00 UTC could add volatility to the bounce
Lower-high chain since late Asia; Asian range low broken in London, flush to 0.8222.
The pair slid through the Asian low at 0.8245 during London, then extended to a 0.8222 session low around the London-NY transition as the soft Housing Starts print and Fed-pause pricing weighed on USD. The NY bounce to 0.8238 bounce high is holding near the 38.2% retrace of the drop from the 0.8259 swing high, still under the descending lower-high trendline and both EMAs.
Support: 0.8222, 0.8200
Resistance: 0.8238, 0.8245, 0.8259
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.8222 session low extends the lower-low sequence toward the 0.8200 round number
Reclaim of 0.8245 asian low and the lower-high trendline would negate the downtrend read
Rejection at 0.8238 bounce high keeps the bounce a 38.2% retrace only
Pending Home Sales at 14:00 UTC, low impact after the Housing Starts miss
12:46 UTC
Downtrend, extending into NY open · RSI 26 · price 0.82259
Lower highs and lower lows since the Asian high; Asian range broken lower.
The pair has slid from the 0.8270 Asian high. London broke the 0.8245 Asian low after rejecting the 0.8259 London high, and the late-London breakdown from 0.8238 has pushed to a 0.8224 session low into the NY open. That puts the 0.8225 double-top neckline under test as the dollar eases on Fed-pause bets. RSI(14) near 26 is stretched, not extreme. ATR is about 5.5 pips, widening on the latest legs.
Support: 0.8224, 0.8200
Resistance: 0.8238, 0.8245, 0.8259
What it said to watch
M15 closes below the 0.8224 session low confirm the neckline break, with the 0.8200 round number the next reference
A recovery back above the 0.8238 breakdown level and the 0.8245 Asian low would mark this dip as a false break
The lower-highs trendline from the 0.8259 London high caps rebounds; a break above it negates the sequence
US 10y yield swings around 5.13% are the main driver; no scheduled US or Swiss data in the next 8h
LH/LL sequence from 0.8270; fresh session low into the London-NY transition.
USDCHF has carved lower highs and lower lows from the 0.8270 Asia-open high. London broke the Asian low near 0.8245, and the late-London push cleared the 0.8239 broken low to a session low at 0.8232, with dollar softness on Fed-pause bets driving the slide. RSI(14) is near 34, not yet oversold, and the descending trendline from the london high has capped every bounce.
Support: 0.82323, 0.8225
Resistance: 0.82393, 0.82481
What it said to watch
An M15 close back above the 0.8239 broken low would mark the latest break as failing.
A move through the 0.8248 lower high and the descending trendline breaks the LH/LL sequence.
A break of the 0.8225 neckline confirms the double-top read cited in market coverage.
No US or Swiss data falls in the next 8h, so yields and AI-equity headlines into the NY open are the main swing factor.
London lower-high chain from 0.8259; London range broken lower.
Asia sold off from Monday's 0.8270 cap, and London broke the Asian low near 0.8245. It then capped three lower highs on a falling line from the 0.8259 London high before breaking the 0.8243–0.8253 London range. Price has now slipped below Monday's 0.8242 prior low to a 0.8236 session low ahead of NY open, with RSI(14) near 33 and not yet oversold, as Fed-pause bets and haven CHF demand weigh on the dollar.
Support: 0.82355, 0.8225
Resistance: 0.82419, 0.82481, 0.82586
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.8248 lower high breaks the lower-high chain
Reclaim of the 0.8242 prior low would mark the break below it as a false break
Extension below the 0.8236 session low brings the 0.8225 double-top neckline into play
No US/Swiss data in the next 8h; NY-session moves in US 10y yields (~5.13%) are the main swing factor
12:01 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs since Asia · RSI 30 · price 0.82359
Lower-high sequence; London range floor broken into the London-NY transition.
USDCHF has printed lower highs from the 0.8259 pre-London high, capped by a lower-high trendline. Through the London-NY transition it broke the 0.8242 London floor, which was also yesterday's NY low, and reached a session low at 0.8236 as Fed-pause bets weigh on USD. RSI(14) is near 30.
Support: 0.82355, 0.8227
Resistance: 0.8242, 0.82481, 0.82586
What it said to watch
An M15 close back above the 0.8242 broken low would recast the break as a false break
Failure to hold the 0.8236 session low exposes the 0.8227 neckline
A close above the 0.8248 lower high breaks the lower-high trendline sequence
US ADP at 12:15 UTC and Housing Starts/Permits at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower-high chain from Asian high; sweep below London lows at 0.8239.
Steady grind lower from the 0.8270 Asian high as Fed-pause bets weigh on the dollar. London broke the Asian range low and capped rallies at 0.8259 (london open) and 0.8251, a lower high that coincides with the 38.2% retrace of the drop. The late-London dip to a 0.8239 session low swept the 0.8243 London lows before recovering; RSI(14) is neutral near 49 and ATR(14) is about 5 pips.
Support: 0.8243, 0.8239
Resistance: 0.8251, 0.8259, 0.8270
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8251 lower high and the lower-highs trendline breaks the chain; 0.8259 london open is next
Failure to hold the 0.8239 session low extends the downtrend toward the 0.8227 neckline flagged in the digest
US ADP 4-week average (12:15 UTC) plus housing starts and permits (12:30 UTC) around the NY open could materially shift this read
11:31 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs through London · RSI 44 · price 0.82435
Asian range broken lower, lower highs pressing a 0.8243 shelf.
Asia faded from the 0.8270 Asian high. London broke the Asian range low near 0.8245 and set a sequence of lower highs from the 0.8259 London high down to 0.8251, while repeated tests of the 0.8243 London shelf produced a 0.8239 session low. Softer USD on fading Fed-hike bets explains the drift; RSI(14) sits near 44 and ATR(14) is about 5 pips going into the London-NY transition.
Support: 0.82427, 0.82393
Resistance: 0.82511, 0.82586, 0.82698
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8251 lower high, also the 38.2% retrace and trendline, breaks the lower-high sequence
Acceptance below the 0.8239 session low extends the lower-low chain beneath the UOB 0.8240 range floor
US ADP 4-week average at 12:15 UTC and Housing Starts/Permits at 12:30 UTC, around NY open, could reset the session range
A recovery through the 0.8259 London high would put the 0.8270 Asian high back in play
11:16 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs into London · RSI 44 · price 0.82429
Lower-high chain from 0.8270, floor at 0.8243 tested repeatedly.
USDCHF has faded from the 0.8270 asia high, and London has printed lower highs at 0.8259, 0.8253 and 0.8251 as CHF firms on Fed-hold bets capping the dollar. The 0.8243 london low, just above Monday's 0.8242 low, has absorbed five tests during London. RSI(14) sits near 44 with ATR around 5 pips.
Support: 0.82427, 0.8240
Resistance: 0.82511, 0.82586, 0.82698
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8243 london low and Monday's low opens the 0.8240 round number, the bottom of UOB's intraday range
Close above the 0.8251 lower high breaks the descending lower-highs trendline; the 38.2% retrace of the asia high decline sits near 0.8253
Reclaim of the 0.8259 london high would negate the intraday downtrend read
US ADP 12:15 UTC and housing starts/permits 12:30 UTC land during the London-NY transition and could shift this read
Lower highs pressing into flat 0.8242–0.8243 floor.
The Asia selloff from the 0.8269–0.8270 double top (asia high) broke the Asian low. London pushed only marginally lower to 0.8243 and has since printed lower highs at 0.8259 (london high), 0.8254 and 0.8251 along a lower-high trendline into the 24h low near 0.8242. A firmer franc on Fed-hold bets frames the drift. RSI(14) sits near 43 with no oversold reading, and ATR is a tight 4.6 pips.
Support: 0.82425, 0.8227
Resistance: 0.82511, 0.82586, 0.82698
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.8242 (24h low) confirms a lower-low and exposes the 0.8227 double-top neckline
Close above the trendline near 0.8251 and the 0.8259 london high breaks the lower-high sequence
US ADP (12:15 UTC) and housing starts/permits (12:30 UTC) around NY open could materially shift this read
USDCHF has slid from the 0.8270 asia high through the Asian session on softer yields. London has added lower highs at the 0.8259 london high and the 0.8253 lower high. Mid-London, price is compressing above the 0.8243 london low, tested three times, with RSI(14) neutral near 45 and ATR around 5 pips.
Support: 0.8243, 0.8240
Resistance: 0.8253, 0.8259, 0.8270
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8243 london low extends the lower-low sequence toward the 0.8240 round number
M15 close above the 0.8253 lower high breaks the descending sequence and exposes the 0.8259 london high
Second-tier US data from 12:15 UTC (ADP, housing starts) around the NY open could break the current compression
A US 10y move back above ~5.13% would challenge the slide from the asia high
Lower highs from 0.8270 Asian high into flat 0.8243 base.
USDCHF faded from the 0.8270 Asian high as US yields failed to extend, and the London open extended the slide to a 0.8243 london low, in line with yesterday's 0.8242 low. Buyers stepped in there three times this session, and price is now at 0.8250 pressing a chain of lower highs. The 0.8254 swing high and 0.8259 pre-London high sit just above.
Support: 0.8243
Resistance: 0.8254, 0.8259, 0.8270
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8254 swing high breaks the lower-highs trendline and opens the 0.8259 pre-ldn high, then the 0.8270 Asian high
Failure to hold the 0.8243 london low exposes price below yesterday's low
US housing data at 12:30 UTC is second-tier; a move in US 10y yields around 5.13% is the bigger swing factor
Lower highs since 0.8270 prior high; London holding a flat 0.8243–0.8253 base.
USD/CHF has printed lower highs since the 0.8270 prior high, sliding through Asia as Fed-pause bets weighed on the dollar. London broke the Asian low and set a 0.8243 london low, just above yesterday's 0.8242 prior low. Bounces stall at the 0.8253 london high, which lines up with the 38.2% fib, and RSI(14) sits near 39.
Support: 0.8243, 0.8242, 0.8227
Resistance: 0.8253, 0.8259, 0.8270
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8242 prior low confirms a lower-low and exposes the 0.8227 neckline
Close above the 0.8253 london high and the lower-highs trendline breaks the sequence; 0.8259 swing high next
US housing data at 12:30 UTC is second-tier, but a move in the US 10y around 5.13% could shift this read
Lower highs from the Asia open; London holding a 0.8243 floor.
USD/CHF has printed lower highs since the 0.8270 Asia high as US yields failed to follow through. London broke the Asian low but has stalled at the 0.8243 london low three times, with the 0.8253 london high sitting near the 38.2% fib retrace.
Support: 0.8243, 0.8227
Resistance: 0.8253, 0.8259, 0.8270
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8243 london low extends the lower-low chain toward the 0.8227 neckline
M15 close above 0.8259, the pre-ldn high, breaks the lower-high trendline
US ADP 12:15 UTC and Housing Starts/Permits 12:30 UTC could shift the read at the NY open
Lower highs from 0.8270; London broke the Asian low and is now basing 0.8243–0.8253.
USDCHF drifted from the 0.8270 Asian high as softer USD and Fed-pause bets weighed. London opened by breaking the Asian range low and printed a London low at 0.8243, just above yesterday's 0.8242 swing low. The bounce stalled at the 0.8253 fib 38.2 under the descending trendline, and price is now coiling 0.8243–0.8253 below EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 0.8243, 0.8240
Resistance: 0.8253, 0.8259, 0.8270
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8243 London low and 0.8242 swing low extends the lower-low chain toward the 0.8240 round number
Close above the 0.8253 fib 38.2 and the descending trendline breaks the lower-high sequence and puts the 0.8259 pre-London high in play
Reclaiming the 0.8270 Asian high would negate the session downtrend read
US ADP 12:15 UTC and Housing Starts/Permits 12:30 UTC could expand the range in the first hour of NY
09:31 UTC
Downtrend from the Asian high, stalling near the lows · RSI 44 · price 0.82484
Lower highs since 0.8270; London dip below the Asian low recovered.
USDCHF has slid from the 0.8270 asian high as the USD softened on fading yields. The London open broke the 0.8245 asian low to a 0.8243 london low, just above the 0.8242 monday low, then reversed. The rebound stalled at the fib 38.2 (0.8254), so the lower-high chain under the trendline is intact.
Support: 0.82448, 0.8243, 0.82419
Resistance: 0.82535, 0.82586, 0.82698
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.8243 london low and 0.8242 monday low would confirm a fresh lower-low and void the false break
Close above the fib 38.2 at 0.8254 and the lower-highs trendline shifts the read to range
A break above the 0.8259 lower high exposes the 0.8270 asian high
US Housing Starts, Building Permits and Pending Home Sales (12:15–14:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
09:16 UTC
Intraday downtrend, lower highs since Asia open · RSI 44 · price 0.8245
Lower highs from 0.8270; London-open low at 0.8243 being retested.
USD/CHF has printed lower highs from the 0.8270 asia high as the dollar gave back Monday's yield bounce. London open took out the Asian low to a 0.8243 session low, and the rebound met rejection at 0.8254, the 38.2% fib. Mid-London, price is back on the session low with the 0.8240 monday low just beneath.
Support: 0.8243, 0.8240
Resistance: 0.8254, 0.8259, 0.8270
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8240 monday low (also UOB's intraday range floor) extends the lower-low sequence
Recovery above the 0.8259 swing high and the lower-high trendline breaks the intraday downtrend read
US housing data at 12:15–14:00 UTC, into NY open, could shift this read
A US 10y move back toward 5.13% would pressure the franc and test the 0.8254 lower high
The Asian session unwound Monday's late push to the 0.8270 asian high as Fed-pause bets and softer yields weighed on USD. The London open extended the drop to the 0.8243 london low, which has held three times since. The 08:15 bounce stalled at the 38.2% fib (0.8254), leaving a lower high under the 0.8259 lower high.
Support: 0.8243, 0.8240, 0.8227
Resistance: 0.8254, 0.8259, 0.8270
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8240 monday low breaks the flat base and exposes the 0.8227 double-top neckline
Recovery above the 0.8259 lower high negates the descending sequence, with the 0.8270 asian high next
US housing data 12:15–14:00 UTC and the US 10y vs 5.13% could materially shift this read in the NY session
08:46 UTC
Intraday downtrend, London rebound testing it · RSI 54 · price 0.82521
Lower highs from the 0.8270 Asian high; London false break of the Asian low.
USD/CHF has printed lower highs off the 0.8270 Asian high as US yields eased. London open pushed through the Asian low to a 0.8243 London low, holding just above the 0.8240 Monday low, before snapping back. Price now sits at the 61.8% retrace near 0.8252, under the falling trendline and the 0.8259 London high.
Support: 0.8243, 0.8240
Resistance: 0.82586, 0.82698
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8259 London high breaks the lower-high trendline and exposes the 0.8270 Asian high
Failure to hold the 0.8243 London low and 0.8240 Monday low would confirm a lower-low and turn the false break into a genuine range break
Rejection at the 61.8% retrace near 0.8253 keeps the lower-high sequence intact
US housing data and ADP 4-wk average 12:15–14:00 UTC could shift the read during NY hours
LH/LL sequence from 0.8270; London broke below the Asian range low.
USD/CHF faded from the 0.8270 prior high through Asia as USD eased on fading Fed-hike bets. The London open broke the Asian low near 0.8245 and printed a 0.8243 london low. Early-London bounces are stalling under the 0.8250 round number, with price below both EMAs and RSI(14) near 44.
Support: 0.8243, 0.8240
Resistance: 0.8250, 0.8259, 0.8270
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.8259 swing high breaks the lower-high chain and the falling trendline
Failure to hold the 0.8243 london low exposes Monday's 0.8240 prior low
A rally back toward the 0.8270 prior high would neutralise the Asian-session decline
US housing data 12:15–14:00 UTC and US yields near 5.13% could materially shift this read
Lower highs and lower lows from the Asian high; Asian low broken at London open.
USDCHF has printed lower highs from the 0.8270 asian high. London open then broke the Asian low at 0.8245 and extended to a 0.8243 london low, with USD soft on fading Fed-hike bets. Price is flat just above that low and below EMA20/50, with RSI(14) near 42 and no downside follow-through yet.
Support: 0.8243, 0.82378
Resistance: 0.82532, 0.82586, 0.82698
What it said to watch
Close above the 0.8259 swing high breaks the lower-high chain and the falling trendline
Failure to hold the 0.8243 london low exposes Monday's 0.8238 prior low
0.8253 fib 38.2 of the Asia-London leg is the first area to watch for rejection on bounces
US housing data and pending home sales 12:15–14:00 UTC could shift this read during NY hours
Lower highs since the Asia high; London open broke the Asian low.
Lower highs since the 0.82698 Asia high, with the London open pushing through the Asian low at 0.82448 to a London low of 0.82430 as the softer USD tone on Fed-hold bets persists. RSI(14) sits around 42 with price below both EMAs. The last three bars are holding just under the broken Asian low, with selling stalling at the London low.
Support: 0.8243, 0.82378
Resistance: 0.82448, 0.82532, 0.82586
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.82448 asian low turns the break into a false break
Failure to hold the 0.82430 london low exposes the 0.82378 monday low
Close above the fib 38.2 at 0.82532 and the 0.82586 lower high invalidates the downtrend read
US Housing Starts and Building Permits at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
07:46 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs since Asia · RSI 42 · price 0.82452
Asian range low broken at London open, sitting at session low.
Lower highs have stepped down through Asia from the 0.8270 prior high. London open broke the Asian range low near 0.8245 and printed a 0.8243 session low, just above Monday's 0.8238 prior low, as USD stays soft on fading back-to-back Fed hike bets. RSI(14) near 42 is not stretched, and the bounce to the 0.8259 swing high was capped near the 61.8% retracement.
Support: 0.82433, 0.82375
Resistance: 0.82586, 0.82704
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.8259 swing high breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold the 0.8238 prior low extends the break toward the 0.8227 area
US Housing Starts and Building Permits at 12:30 UTC could shift the NY session read
Asia lower highs intact; price on the 61.8% of Monday's rally.
The Asia session unwound most of Monday's 0.8238–0.8270 rally, setting an asia low at 0.8245 by the 78.6% fib as CHF stayed firm on Fed-hold pricing. The London open bar was rejected at 0.8257, just under the 0.8259 swing high, leaving price on the 61.8% retracement at 0.8250 beneath the Asia lower-highs line.
Support: 0.82448, 0.82375
Resistance: 0.82586, 0.82623, 0.82704
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8259 swing high breaks the Asia lower-highs line; the 0.8262 lower high sits just above
Failure to hold the 0.8245 asia low exposes the 0.8238 monday low
Recovery through 0.8270 would retake the monday high and negate the Asia downtrend read
US ADP (12:15 UTC) and Housing Starts/Permits (12:30 UTC) could shift this read via front-end yields
Double top completed, price retesting broken neckline.
A double top at 0.8270, set in NY and again just after the rollover, completed when Asia broke the 0.8257 neckline. The drop reached the measured move near the 0.8245 Asian low as the USD softened on firmer Fed-hold pricing. The London open has rebounded off a higher low at 0.8250 back into the broken neckline, near the 50% retracement of the Asian decline, with RSI(14) around 59.
Support: 0.8250, 0.8245, 0.8238
Resistance: 0.8257, 0.8270
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8257 neckline and the 61.8% retracement near 0.8260 negates the retest read and exposes the 0.8270 double top
Loss of the 0.8250 higher low reopens the 0.8245 Asian low, with the Monday low at 0.8238 below
US Housing Starts and Building Permits at 12:30 UTC, plus the US yield and tech-equity tone, could shift USD into the NY session
07:02 UTC
Asia downtrend, London bounce underway · RSI 58 · price 0.8256
Lower highs and lows through Asia; higher low at 0.8250 off the 0.8245 low.
The Asia session sold USD/CHF from the 0.8270 prior high to a 0.8245 Asian low as the USD eased on Fed October-hold bets. London open has bounced to a 0.8259 London high with a higher low at 0.8250. Price is now testing the 50% retrace of the Asia drop, with EMA50 near 0.8258.
Support: 0.8250, 0.8245, 0.8238
Resistance: 0.8259, 0.8262, 0.8270
What it said to watch
A close above the 0.8259 London high and the 0.8262 Asia pivot (61.8% of the Asia drop) opens the 0.8270 prior high
Failure to hold the 0.8250 higher low breaks the London bounce line and returns focus to the 0.8245 Asian low, then the 0.8238 prior low
ADP (12:15 UTC) and Housing Starts/Permits (12:30 UTC) could shift the read into NY
Lower highs and lower lows from 0.8270, corrective bounce capped at 0.8255.
Asia session unwound Monday's NY gains, sliding from the 0.8270 asian high to the 0.8245 asian low as USD eased on Fed October-hold bets. The rebound was rejected at the 0.8255 swing high, between the 38.2% and 50% retracement of the Asia decline. Price is back under EMA20 with RSI(14) near 42 heading into the London open.
Support: 0.8245, 0.8242
Resistance: 0.8255, 0.8262, 0.8270
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8245 asian low extends the lower-low sequence and exposes Monday's 0.8242 NY low
M15 close above the 0.8255 swing high and the 50% fib shifts focus to the 0.8262 lower high
Reclaim of the 0.8270 asian high invalidates the Asia downtrend read
US ADP 4-week average (12:15 UTC) and housing starts/permits (12:30 UTC) could shift USD during NY hours
06:31 UTC
Intraday downtrend, early London bounce · RSI 54 · price 0.82553
Lower highs through Asia, rebound off asian low.
Asia faded from the 0.8270 asian high to a 0.8245 asian low, carving lower highs as Fed-pause pricing kept USD soft. Early London is retesting the 0.8255 shelf, the 38.2% of the asian drop, with RSI(14) neutral near 54 and ATR(14) near 3 pips.
Support: 0.82448, 0.82334
Resistance: 0.82605, 0.82698
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8260 lower high breaks the Asian lower-high sequence and puts 0.8270 asian high back in view
Failure to hold the 0.8245 asian low exposes Monday's 0.8233 prior low
US ADP 4-week average (12:15 UTC) and housing starts/permits (12:30 UTC) could materially shift this read during NY hours
Lower-high chain from 0.8270; bounce retesting broken shelf.
From the Tokyo open, the Asian session printed a steady lower-high chain from the 0.8270 prior high down to the 0.8245 asian low, in line with Fed-pause bets weighing on USD. The early-Europe bounce is now retesting the 0.8252–55 broken shelf, which sits at the 38.2% fib of the Asian decline.
Support: 0.8245, 0.8233
Resistance: 0.8255, 0.8262, 0.8270
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8255 broken shelf breaks the lower-high sequence and puts the 0.8262 lower high and the 50% fib in view
Failure back below the 0.8245 asian low resumes the downtrend toward the 0.8233 prior low
US ADP 4-week average (12:15 UTC) and housing starts (12:30 UTC) could shift the read during NY hours
A US 10Y yield move away from 5.13% could change the USD tone behind this pair
Lower highs and lower lows from the 0.8270 Asia high; pre-London bounce retesting the 0.8255 breakdown.
Asia unwound Monday's NY push. Price slid from the 0.8270 monday high in a lower-high sequence to a 0.8245 asia low as Fed-hold pricing kept USD soft. The pre-London bounce of the Asia leg is pressing the 0.8255 breakdown zone near the 38.2% retracement, with price sitting on EMA20 and RSI(14) mid-40s.
Support: 0.8245, 0.8242, 0.8233
Resistance: 0.8255, 0.8260, 0.8270
What it said to watch
Rejection at the 0.8255 breakdown keeps the lower-high sequence intact; a close above the fib 61.8 near 0.8260 neutralises the Asia downtrend read
Failure to hold the 0.8245 asia low exposes the 0.8242 ny low, then the 0.8233 monday low
Only a recovery through the 0.8270 monday high would erase the Asia leg entirely
London open within the hour, with US Housing Starts/Permits at 12:30 UTC and US yield moves around 5.13% the main risk to this read
Lower-high chain from 0.8270 double top, holding above session low.
Asia rejected the NY day high at 0.8270 and printed a double top there. Price then slid through a lower-high chain to a 0.8245 session low, with ranges compressing late in the session and RSI(14) near 31. Soft USD tone, with DXY back under 102.00, frames the Asian slide; the pair sits just above the session low ahead of London open.
Support: 0.82448, 0.82419, 0.82334
Resistance: 0.82553, 0.82623, 0.82704
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8255 (fib 38.2 of the Asia sell-off) breaks the lower-high chain and the asia lower highs line
Failure to hold the 0.8245 session low exposes the 0.8242 london low, then the 0.8233 prior low
Reclaiming the 0.8262 swing high puts the 0.8270 day high and the double top back in focus
US ADP and Housing Starts at 12:15–12:30 UTC, plus DXY reaction at 102.00, could materially shift this read
Asia session faded from the 0.8270 prior high as DXY slipped back below 102.00. A steady lower-high chain via the 0.8262 swing high took price to a 0.8245 asia low, with RSI(14) near 29 and bars compressing into the London open. Monday's NY rally has now been fully retraced back into the 0.8241 london base area.
Support: 0.82448, 0.82413, 0.82334
Resistance: 0.82553, 0.82623, 0.82704
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 0.8245 asia low exposes the 0.8241 london base and the 0.8233 prior low
Reclaim of the 0.8255 lower high (38.2% fib zone) breaks the Asian lower-high chain
London open often resets the Asian range; ATR near 3 pips signals compressed conditions
US housing starts and permits at 12:30 UTC could shift the read in NY hours
Lower highs and lower lows since the 0.8270 session high.
Asia session has unwound Monday's NY gains, grinding from the 0.8270 range top to 0.8245 on a steady lower-high chain as DXY slipped back below 102.00. Price now sits on the 0.8242 swing low from early Monday NY, RSI(14) near 24, with London open about two hours out.
Support: 0.8242, 0.8233
Resistance: 0.8255, 0.8270
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8242 swing low exposes the 0.8233 monday low
Reclaim of the 0.8255 lower high and the descending line breaks the Asia lower-high sequence
London open is the first test of whether the Asian range low holds
US housing starts and permits at 12:30 UTC could shift the read via yields
05:02 UTC
Downtrend, steady grind lower through Asia · RSI 27 · price 0.82455
Lower highs and lower lows since the 0.8270 Asia open; NY rally nearly fully retraced.
Asia session has unwound most of Monday's NY rally off the 0.8242 NY swing low. Price has slid from the 0.8270 Monday high in a lower-high sequence (0.8262, 0.8255) and is printing a fresh Asian low at 0.8245, in line with the soft-USD tone as DXY slips back below 102.00. RSI(14) near 27 is stretched but not extreme, and price is pressing the NY swing low with the London open next.
Support: 0.8245, 0.8242, 0.8233
Resistance: 0.8255, 0.8262, 0.8270
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 0.8242 NY swing low exposes Monday's London low at 0.8233
M15 close above the 0.8255 lower high breaks the descending trendline and the lower-high chain
Reclaim of the 0.8262 lower high would neutralise the Asia downtrend toward the 0.8270 Monday high
London open could extend or reject the Asian low at 0.8245
US housing starts and permits at 12:30 UTC could shift this read later in the day
04:46 UTC
Intraday downtrend, grinding lower through Asia · RSI 31 · price 0.82478
Lower highs and lower lows since the 0.8270 Monday high; price at the session low.
Asia has unwound most of Monday's yield-driven NY rally. A steady lower-high chain under the descending trendline took price from the 0.8270 Monday high through the 0.8250 round number to a 0.8247 session low, with RSI(14) near 31 but not yet oversold. Next intraday support is the 0.8242 NY open low, then the 0.8233 Monday low.
Support: 0.8242, 0.8233
Resistance: 0.8250, 0.8255, 0.8270
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.8255 swing high and the descending trendline breaks the lower-high chain
Failure to hold the 0.8242 NY open low exposes the 0.8233 Monday low
Reclaim of the 0.8250 round number would mark a stall in the Asia sell-off
London open in ~2.5h typically expands the narrow ~3-pip ATR Asian range
US Housing Starts/Building Permits at 12:30 UTC and US 10y yield swings around 5.13% could materially shift this read
Lower highs and lower lows through Asia, under descending trendline.
The Asia session has unwound most of Monday's NY rally, which ran as US 10y yields rebounded. It has printed a chain of lower highs from the 0.8270 Monday high under a descending trendline. Price is now pressing the 0.8248 Asian low at the 61.8% fib of the 0.8233–0.8270 rally, with RSI(14) near 31.
Support: 0.82479, 0.82419, 0.82334
Resistance: 0.82553, 0.82623, 0.82704
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8248 Asian low exposes the 0.8242 NY dip low, then the 0.8233 London low
Close above the 0.8255 swing high breaks the trendline and the lower-high chain, with the 0.8262 lower high next
US Housing Starts and Building Permits at 12:30 UTC could shift the read
A move in the 10y yield away from 5.13% could shift the read
04:16 UTC
Intraday downtrend, lower highs through Asia · RSI 31 · price 0.82494
Asia lower-high/lower-low chain below a falling trendline, at session lows.
The Asia session has fully reversed Monday's NY push to the 0.8270 monday high, which came as the US 10y yield rebounded to 5.13%. Price has printed lower highs under a falling trendline to a session low of 0.8249. That puts it between the 50% and 61.8% fib of Monday's 0.8233–0.8270 advance, with RSI(14) near 31 and London open about three hours away.
Support: 0.82475, 0.82419, 0.82334
Resistance: 0.82553, 0.82704
What it said to watch
An M15 close above the 0.8255 lower high and the falling trendline breaks the Asia lower-high chain
Failure to hold the 0.8248 fib 61.8 exposes the 0.8242 NY swing low, then the 0.8233 monday low
US Housing Starts / Building Permits at 12:30 UTC and moves in the US 10y yield around 5.13% could materially shift this read
04:02 UTC
Intraday downtrend, lower highs and lower lows through Asia · RSI 33 · price 0.82494
Double top at 0.8270 broken via 0.8257 neckline; Asia grinding to new lows.
USD/CHF formed a double top at 0.8270. The first peak was Monday's NY high and the retest came just before the Asia open. The pair then slipped through the 0.8257 neckline in the Asia session, carving lower highs to a 0.8249 Asia low as USD softened again. RSI(14) near 33 is soft but not oversold, and the London open is about 3h away.
Support: 0.8249, 0.8242, 0.8233
Resistance: 0.8257, 0.8262, 0.8270
What it said to watch
A close back above the 0.8257 neckline and the Asia lower-highs trendline negates the breakdown
Failure to hold the 0.8249 Asia low exposes the 0.8242 swing low, then the 0.8233 Monday low
A reclaim of the 0.8262 lower high reopens the 0.8270 double top
US 10y yield moves and US housing data later in the NY session could materially shift this read
03:46 UTC
Intraday downtrend after rejection at 0.8270 · RSI 38 · price 0.8254
Lower highs and lower lows through Asia below a triple-top neckline.
Monday's NY rally stalled at 0.8270 and printed a triple top there, the top of the 0.8220-0.8270 range in the digest. Asia has unwound it with lower highs as USD softened again overnight, slipping below the 0.8257 neckline. Price is now basing at the 0.8252 asian low, which lines up with the 50% retrace of the Monday leg (0.8233-0.8270), with RSI(14) near 38 and ATR(14) around 3.8 pips.
Support: 0.8252, 0.8242, 0.8233
Resistance: 0.8257, 0.8262, 0.8270
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 0.8252 asian low and Monday leg 50% exposes the 0.8242 swing low
A break of the 0.8242 swing low puts the 0.8233 monday low in play
An M15 close back above the 0.8257 neckline and the 0.8262 lower high negates the triple top read
London open in ~3.5h; US ADP (12:15Z) and Housing Starts (12:30Z), plus US 10y yields near 5.13%, could shift this read in NY hours
Lower highs and lower lows off the 0.8270 Monday high.
The Asia session has unwound Monday's NY leg from the 0.8270 Monday high, breaking the 0.8257 prior low and printing an asian low at 0.8252, near the 61.8% retracement, as USD softened again overnight. RSI(14) sits near 33 with price below both EMAs, and each bounce has capped under a descending trendline from the 0.8262 lower high.
Support: 0.8252, 0.8242
Resistance: 0.8257, 0.8262, 0.8270
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.8262 lower high breaks the Asian descending trendline and the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold the 0.8252 asian low and the 61.8% retracement exposes the 0.8242 swing low from Monday's NY session
Reclaiming the 0.8257 prior low would show the Asian break failing
London open in about 3.5h, followed by US ADP and Housing Starts at 12:15Z/12:30Z, could reset the session range
03:16 UTC
Intraday downtrend, lower highs through Asia · RSI 31 · price 0.82525
Double top at 0.8270, then lower highs and lower lows to 0.8252.
Rejections at 0.8270 in Monday's NY session and again in late Asia set an intraday double top. The Asia selloff that followed, with USD softening again overnight, has printed lower highs and lower lows down to the 0.8252 Asia low. Each bounce has been capped at the falling trendline, RSI(14) sits near 31 and ATR(14) is about 3.9 pips.
Support: 0.8252, 0.8242, 0.8233
Resistance: 0.8255, 0.8262, 0.8270
What it said to watch
An M15 close above the 0.8262 lower high breaks the Asia downtrend structure; 0.8270 double top sits above
Reclaiming 0.8255, the broken low, would neutralise the latest leg lower
A loss of the 0.8252 Asia low extends the lower-low chain toward the 0.8242 swing low, with the Monday low at 0.8233 beneath
US Housing Starts/Permits at 12:30Z and swings in the US 10y yield (~5.13%) could materially shift this read
03:01 UTC
Downtrend through Asia session, RSI near oversold · RSI 29 · price 0.82525
Lower highs and lower lows since 00:00 UTC; double top at 0.8270 broken below neckline.
Monday's NY rally on rebounding US yields stalled in a double top at 0.8270, and the Asia session has since unwound it through the 0.8257 neckline with a steady chain of lower highs. Price is pressing the session low at 0.8252 with RSI(14) near 29.
Support: 0.82522, 0.82419, 0.82334
Resistance: 0.82566, 0.82605, 0.82704
What it said to watch
Holding below the 0.8257 neckline keeps the double top active; measured move points to ~0.8244, just above the ny dip low at 0.8242
M15 close back above the 0.8260 lower high and the Asia lower-highs trendline negates the breakdown
Loss of 0.8242 exposes the monday low at 0.8233
US ADP (12:15Z) and Housing Starts (12:30Z) plus moves in the US 10y yield could shift this read in NY hours
02:46 UTC
Intraday downtrend, lower highs through Asia · RSI 31 · price 0.82535
Double top at 0.8270 resolved lower; LH/LL chain below 0.8257 neckline.
Monday's yield-driven USD rally stalled twice at the 0.8270 Monday high, and Asia has unwound it, breaking the 0.8257 neckline on lower highs at 0.8262 and 0.8260. Price sits at 0.8253 mid-Asia with RSI(14) near 31, above the 0.8248 NY pullback lows and the 0.8242 swing low.
Support: 0.8248, 0.8242
Resistance: 0.8262, 0.8270
What it said to watch
Recovery above the 0.8262 lower high breaks the Asia LH chain and the descending trendline
Loss of the 0.8248 NY pullback lows opens the 0.8242 swing low
US 10y slipping off 5.13% would extend CHF strength; ADP and Housing Starts at 12:15–12:30 UTC are the next scheduled inputs
Lower highs below 0.8270 triple top, testing Asian low.
Monday's yield-driven rally stalled at the 0.8270 triple top (16:00 and 18:15 UTC highs, then late Asian high), and the Asia session has since printed lower highs, the latest at 0.8262. Price is pressing the 0.8254 Asian low near the 50% retracement of the 0.8242 swing low to 0.8270 leg, with RSI(14) soft at 35 but not stretched.
Support: 0.82544, 0.82419
Resistance: 0.82623, 0.82704
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8254 Asian low confirms the triple top and exposes the 61.8% fib at 0.8253, then the 0.8242 swing low
M15 close above the 0.8262 lower high breaks the descending sequence and reopens the 0.8270 triple top
US Housing Starts and Building Permits at 12:30 UTC, and US 10y holding near 5.13%, could shift this read in the London-NY transition
Monday high capped three times at 0.8270; Asia pullback holding above 0.8254.
Monday's yield-driven rally (US 10y back at 5.13%) was rejected three times at the 0.8270 monday high through NY and late hours. Early Asia sold off to a 0.8254 asia low, and price is now steadying near 0.8260, the 38.2% fib of the NY leg, just under the 0.8262 minor high. Price is below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 40.
Support: 0.82544, 0.82419
Resistance: 0.82623, 0.82704
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8254 asia low exposes the 61.8% fib near 0.8253, then the 0.8242 ny low
Reclaim of the 0.8262 minor high puts the 0.8270 monday high back in focus; a break there ends the rejection read
US ADP (12:15 UTC) and housing starts/permits (12:30 UTC) could shift the read via US yields
US 10y slipping from ~5.13% would remove the support behind Monday's rally
02:01 UTC
Intraday pullback from Monday high, lower highs in Asia · RSI 42 · price 0.82603
Double top near 0.8270, Asia lower highs, holding above 0.8254.
Monday's yield-driven rally from the 0.8242 swing low stalled at the 0.8270 Monday high. That level matches the top of the 0.8220–0.8270 range in the CHF digest, and the late-NY retest at 0.82698 printed a double top. The Asia session sold off from there to a 0.8254 Asia low, and the bounce is now capped by a sequence of lower highs into 0.8262, with price sitting on the 38.2% retracement of the Monday leg.
Support: 0.82544, 0.82419
Resistance: 0.82623, 0.82704
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8254 Asia low extends the double top move toward the 61.8% fib near 0.8253 and the 0.8242 swing low
Close above the 0.8262 lower high breaks the Asia lower highs line and reopens the 0.8270 Monday high
US Housing Starts/Permits at 12:30 UTC and moves in the US 10y around 5.13% could materially shift this read
01:46 UTC
Pullback inside intraday range after Monday rally · RSI 41 · price 0.82593
Range 0.8254–0.8270, triple cap at range top.
Monday's London-NY rally off the 0.8242 swing low ran on firmer US yields (10y ~5.13%). It stalled at the 0.8270 range top, which capped three times into the rollover. Asia session has faded to a 0.8254 Asia low, just past the 50% retracement of that leg, with price back below the ema20 near 0.8262 and RSI(14) near 41.
Support: 0.82544, 0.82419, 0.82334
Resistance: 0.8262, 0.82704
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8254 Asia low breaks the range floor and exposes the 0.8242 swing low, then the 0.8233 Monday low
Recovery above the ema20 near 0.8262 puts the 0.8270 range top back in play; a close above it ends the triple-cap rejection read
US housing starts/permits at 12:30 UTC and moves in the US 10y around 5.13% could shift the read in the NY session
Lower high at 0.8270, prior low 0.8257 broken in Asia.
Asia session opened with a rejection from the 0.8270 triple top and slid about 14 pips to 0.8255. That move slipped below Monday's 0.8257 prior low and lands on the 50% retracement of the NY rally, as the yield-driven USD bid that lifted Monday fades in thin trade. RSI(14) is near 39, so the move is not stretched.
Support: 0.8250, 0.8242
Resistance: 0.8257, 0.8270
What it said to watch
Holding below the 0.8257 prior low keeps the lower-low sequence intact; reclaiming it puts the 0.8270 triple top back in focus
A break of the 0.8250 round number and the 61.8% of the NY rally fib (~0.8253) exposes the 0.8242 ny low
US housing starts and permits at 12:30 UTC, plus the US 10y yield near 5.13%, could shift this read during NY hours
0.8257–0.8270 range since NY afternoon, three rejections at the range high.
Monday London lifted the pair off the 0.8233 Asian low and NY extended it to 0.8270 as US 10y yields rebounded to 5.13%. Since then it has ranged between 0.8257 and 0.8270, capped three times at the range high. Early Asia's dip held at the range low, which sits on the 38.2% fib of the rally, and price is back mid-range just under EMA20.
Support: 0.8257, 0.8242
Resistance: 0.8270, 0.8300
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8257 range low breaks the range and exposes the 0.8242 ny open low
M15 close above the 0.8270 range high opens the path to 0.8300 psych resistance
US Housing Starts/Permits at 12:30 UTC and the 10y yield around 5.13% could shift this read in NY hours
0.8257–0.8270 range since NY afternoon; price testing range low.
Monday's London-NY leg ran from 0.8233 to 0.8270 as US 10y yields rebounded to 5.13%, then stalled. The range top at 0.8270 drew four rejections through late NY and the Asian range, and early Asia has dropped to 0.8258, onto the range low where the 38.2% fib and the London rising trendline converge.
Support: 0.8257, 0.8242
Resistance: 0.8270
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8257 range low and the London trendline exposes the 13:15 UTC swing low at 0.8242
Close back above the 0.8270 range top ends the stall and resumes the London-NY leg
US 10y yield around 5.13%. ADP and Housing Starts at 12:15–12:30 UTC are the next scheduled USD inputs
Range 0.8257–0.8270 after multiple rejections at range top.
London and NY lifted USDCHF out of Monday's 0.8233–0.8249 Asian range as US 10y yields rebounded to 5.13%. Four tests of the 0.8270 range top since 15:30 UTC failed, and the latest rejection has price at 0.8261, near the 38.2% fib of the 0.8242–0.8270 leg. Early Asia is holding above the 0.8257 swing low.
Support: 0.8257, 0.8242, 0.8233
Resistance: 0.8270, 0.8300
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 0.8257 swing low breaks the higher-low chain and exposes the 0.8242 pullback low
M15 close above the 0.8270 range top invalidates the range read and puts the 0.8300 round number in focus
Loss of 0.8242 would put Monday's 0.8233 asian low back in play
US Housing Starts and Building Permits at 12:30 UTC and any move in the US 10y around 5.13% could shift this read
00:16 UTC
Uptrend, pausing under session high · RSI 49 · price 0.82672
Higher lows since NY; tight 0.8266–0.8270 band in early Asia.
London broke Monday's Asian high near 0.8248. The NY rally then ran from the 0.8242 NY low to a 0.8270 session high as US yields rebounded. The 50% retrace held at the 0.8257 swing low, retested in the thin rollover dip, and early Asia is compressing between the 0.8266 range floor and the session high, at the top of the cited 0.8220–0.8270 range.
Support: 0.8266, 0.8257, 0.8242
Resistance: 0.8270, 0.8300
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8270 session high breaks the range top and opens the 0.8300 round number
Loss of the 0.8266 range floor shifts focus back to the 0.8257 swing low; a break there exposes the 0.8242 NY low
US ADP (12:15 UTC) and Housing Starts/Permits (12:30 UTC) could shift the read via yields
Higher lows from the Asian low; tight 0.8257–0.8270 consolidation since 16:00 UTC.
London broke above Monday's Asian range (asian low 0.8233, high 0.8248), and NY extended to a 0.8270 session high as US 10y yields rebounded toward 5.13%. Since then price has compressed beneath that high, with the 0.8257 swing low at the 38.2% fib holding twice, including the thin rollover dip. Early Asia now, RSI(14) flat near 50 and ATR(14) down to ~3 pips.
Support: 0.8257, 0.8242, 0.8233
Resistance: 0.8270, 0.8300
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8270 session high opens the path to the 0.8300 round number
Failure to hold the 0.8257 swing low exposes the 0.8242 ny low and the rising lows trendline
A break below the 0.8233 asian low would undo the London range break
No scheduled data in the next 8h; US yields and AI-equity tone remain the swing factors