USD/CHF AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Tuesday, 29 September 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the USD/CHF 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:46 UTC
Rebounding within late-NY drop · RSI 53 · price 0.83429
Asia higher lows off a double bottom, stalling at the 50% retrace.
USDCHF climbed through London and NY to a 0.8358 day high as firm US yields kept the dollar bid. A sharp 19-pip drop then hit late in NY. The Asia session has built a double bottom near 0.8332 after the rollover gap, and the rebound is now stalling at the 0.8345 session high, right on the 50% fib of the drop, with RSI(14) neutral near 53.
Support: 0.83391, 0.83316, 0.83271
Resistance: 0.83452, 0.83495, 0.83585
What it said to watch
An M15 close above the 0.8345 session high clears the fib 50% and puts the 0.8350 london high in play. Only a recovery through the 0.8358 day high erases the late-NY drop.
Loss of the 0.8339 prior pivot exposes the 0.8332 double btm. A break there reopens the 0.8327 london low.
Swiss ZEW at 08:00 UTC and the 12:15–12:30 UTC US ADP/core PCE block could materially shift this read.
Higher low at 0.8332 after 18:00 UTC selloff; early Asia rebound stalling at the 50% retrace.
Yield-driven USD demand carried the pair through the London high to a 0.8358 day high in NY. A sharp 18:00 UTC drop erased that leg, but buyers held the 0.8332 double low twice, after the NY selloff and again after rollover. The early Asia rebound is now capped at a 0.8345 session high, the 50% fib of the drop, with price just above both EMAs and RSI at 54.
Support: 0.8332, 0.8327
Resistance: 0.8345, 0.8350, 0.8358
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8332 double low breaks the rising support and exposes the 0.8327 london low
Close above the 0.8345 session high and 0.8350 london high reopens the 0.8358 day high
Swiss ZEW (Wed 08:00 UTC), then ADP and Core PCE (Wed 12:15/12:30 UTC) are the next scheduled catalysts; month/quarter-end flows add two-way risk
Double bottom at 0.8332 held, price just above post-drop range top.
The rally to a 0.8358 session high in NY on firm US yields ended in a 19-pip drop at 18:00 UTC. The 0.8332 double btm held through rollover, and early Asia has lifted price back above the 0.8343 range top into the 50% fib of that drop, with RSI(14) near 58 and ATR about 3.4 pips.
Support: 0.83426, 0.8332, 0.83271
Resistance: 0.8345, 0.83517, 0.83585
What it said to watch
An M15 close back below the 0.8343 range top negates the double bottom breakout
Rejection at the 50% fib near 0.8345 keeps price inside the post-drop range
Acceptance above the 0.8352 prior high reopens the 0.8358 session high
Failure to hold the 0.8332 double btm exposes the 0.8327 swing low
US ADP and core PCE on Wed (12:15/12:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
18:00 UTC drop from 0.8358 formed a 0.8332–0.8343 range; top now being tested.
NY hours ran the pair to a 0.8358 session high as the yield-driven dollar bid pushed it past last week's 0.8339 peak. An 18:00 UTC flush then took it back to 0.8332. Early Asia has lifted off the 0.8332 rollover low and is pressing the 0.8342 prior high, around the 50% retrace of the drop; RSI(14) 59, ATR near 4 pips.
Support: 0.83426, 0.83316, 0.83271
Resistance: 0.83495, 0.83585
What it said to watch
Hold above the 0.8342 prior high turns the post-drop range into a recovery; the 61.8% drop retrace at 0.8348 and the london high at 0.8350 sit just above
Loss of the 0.8332 rollover low reopens the london low at 0.8327
The session high at 0.8358 marks the rejection point of the NY sell-off; a return there retests it
Swiss ZEW (08:00 UTC), US ADP (12:15 UTC), core PCE (12:30 UTC) and the SNB Bulletin (13:00 UTC) Wed could materially shift this read
Double low at 0.8332, testing post-drop high neckline.
USDCHF set a 0.8358 session high late in NY, then dropped 25 pips at 18:00 UTC to 0.8332. The Asia open gapped lower, but buyers stepped in at the 0.8332 double low a second time, and price is now retesting the 0.8343 post-drop high near the 38–50% retrace of that drop. The franc stays heavy on the Fed–SNB rate gap, and RSI at 58 leaves room either side.
Support: 0.8332, 0.83271
Resistance: 0.83426, 0.83495, 0.83585
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8343 post-drop high completes the double low and exposes the 0.8350 london high
Break below the 0.8332 double low reopens the 0.8327 ny low from the NY session
US ADP (12:15 UTC) and core PCE (12:30 UTC) Wednesday could materially shift this read
22:40 UTC
Sideways after sharp pullback from day high · RSI 53 · price 0.8342
Post-drop range 0.8332–0.8343, testing lower high.
The yield-driven USD bid carried the pair through the london high to a 0.8358 day high late in NY. A 19-pip drop at 18:00 UTC followed, and the double low at 0.8332 has held twice since, including after the rollover gap. Early Asia has lifted price back to 0.8342, at the 38.2% retracement of the day-high drop and just under the 0.8343 lower high.
Support: 0.8340, 0.8332, 0.8327
Resistance: 0.8343, 0.8350, 0.8358
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8343 lower high puts the 0.8350 london high and 0.8358 day high back in view
Failure to hold the 0.8340 asian high, then the 0.8332 double low, exposes the 0.8327 swing low
US ADP (12:15 UTC) and core PCE (12:30 UTC) on Wed could materially shift this read
22:18 UTC
Sideways after sharp reversal from session high · RSI 52 · price 0.83391
Lower high at 0.8343 below the 0.8359 top; double base at 0.8332.
The NY push to a 0.8359 session high was rejected at 18:00 UTC, when one 18-pip bar erased the leg despite the firm USD yield backdrop. Since then price has been boxed between the 0.8332 range low and the 0.8343 range high, with a lower high under the descending trendline. Early in the Asia session it sits on the 61.8% fib of the 0.8327–0.8359 rally and the flat EMA20/EMA50 cluster.
Support: 0.8332, 0.8327
Resistance: 0.8343, 0.8350, 0.8359
What it said to watch
An M15 close above the 0.8343 range high breaks the lower-high trendline and opens the 0.8350 round number, then the 0.8359 session high
Failure to hold the 0.8332 range low exposes the 0.8327 swing low and the 78.6% fib of the rally
Swiss ZEW (Wed 08:00 UTC), then US ADP/core PCE (12:15–12:30 UTC), could materially shift this read
Tight range 0.8332–0.8343 after rejection from the session high.
A sharp 18:00 UTC drop rejected the NY session high at 0.8358 and retraced about 70% of the NY rally fib. Price is now ranging between the range low at 0.8332 and the range top at 0.8343 into the Asia session, and the range low held through the thin rollover dip. The dollar tone stays firm on Fed hike pricing.
Support: 0.8332, 0.8327
Resistance: 0.8343, 0.8358
What it said to watch
M15 close above the range top at 0.8343 reopens the 61.8% NY rally fib at 0.8339–0.8340 as a base and puts the session high at 0.8358 back in view
Failure to hold the range low at 0.8332 exposes the london low at 0.8327, the origin of the NY rally
US ADP and core PCE (Wed 12:15/12:30 UTC) could materially shift this read in the London-NY transition
Lower high after day-high rejection, holding swing low.
NY session printed a 0.83585 day high, then a sharp 18:00 UTC drop took out about 19 pips. The recovery stalled at a 0.8343 lower high, and price now sits near the 78.6% level of the NY leg fib, holding the 0.8332 swing low in thin post-rollover trade. The yield-driven dollar bid remains the macro backdrop, but RSI(14) near 46 with price under both EMAs shows intraday momentum has faded.
Support: 0.8332, 0.8327
Resistance: 0.8343, 0.8350, 0.83585
What it said to watch
A break of the 0.8332 swing low exposes the 0.8327 midday low near the top of the Asian range
A close above the lower-high line and the 0.8343 lower high puts the 0.8350 london high back in view
ZEW (08:00 UTC), then ADP (12:15) and core PCE (12:30 UTC) Wed, plus quarter-end flows, could materially shift this read
21:32 UTC
Intraday uptrend stalled, pullback from day high · RSI 41 · price 0.83341
Lower high after sharp rejection from 0.8358; holding above London swing low.
London broke the 0.8340 Asian range high and NY extended to a 0.8358 day high on the yield-led USD bid, before an 18:00 UTC flush erased most of the NY leg, now retraced beyond its 61.8% fib. Price is sitting on the 0.8332 ny low after a small rollover gap, with a lower high at 0.8343 capping the post-drop bounce.
Support: 0.83319, 0.83271
Resistance: 0.83426, 0.83585
What it said to watch
Close below the 0.8332 ny low exposes the 0.8327 London swing low
Reclaim of the 0.8343 lower high breaks the lower-high line and reopens the 0.8358 day high
Thin post-NY liquidity and quarter-end flows on Sep 30 can distort intraday moves
ZEW (08:00 UTC) and the ADP/core PCE releases from 12:15 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower highs since the 0.8358 NY peak, price testing the 0.8332 double low.
NY hours printed a session high at 0.8358 before a 19-pip rejection bar at 18:00 UTC. The drop has retraced most of the NY leg from 0.8327, and a lower high at 0.8343 now caps price. Price sits on the 0.8332 double low (10:45 and 18:30 UTC) in thin post-rollover trade, with RSI(14) near 31 and not yet oversold.
Support: 0.8332, 0.8327, 0.8319
Resistance: 0.8343, 0.8358
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8332 double low opens the 0.8327 swing low, then the 0.8319 asian low
Reclaiming the 0.8343 lower high breaks the falling resistance line and neutralises the pullback read
Session high at 0.8358 remains the upper bound of the day's range
Rollover gap at 21:00 UTC formed on thin liquidity, so Asia may reprice it
US ADP (12:15 UTC) and Core PCE (12:30 UTC) Wed could materially shift this read; SNB Quarterly Bulletin follows at 13:00 UTC
Lower highs off the 0.8358 day high, holding above the 0.8332 swing low.
Fed-hike repricing lifted the pair through the London high at 0.8350 to a NY day high at 0.8358. An abrupt 19-pip drop at 18:00 UTC then hit the 0.8332 swing low. The rebound stalled at the 0.8343 bounce high, close to 38.2% of the drop, leaving lower highs and price near 0.8338 below both EMAs into the close.
Support: 0.8332, 0.83271
Resistance: 0.83426, 0.83495, 0.83585
What it said to watch
A close below the 0.8332 swing low opens the London low at 0.8327, the day's main pullback base
A recovery above the 0.8343 bounce high breaks the lower-highs line and brings the London high at 0.8350 back into view
Only a return above the 0.8358 day high resumes the prior uptrend structure
Swiss ZEW (Wed 08:00 UTC), US ADP (12:15 UTC) and Core PCE (12:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
20:47 UTC
Intraday uptrend stalled after sharp pullback from session high · RSI 41 · price 0.83372
Post-flush consolidation 0.8332–0.8343 below the 50% retrace.
London broke the Asian range top near 0.8340 into a 0.8350 London high, and NY extended the move to a 0.8358 session high on Fed hike repricing and firm US yields. A 19-pip flush at 18:00 UTC rejected the high and reached a 0.8332 swing low. The late-NY bounce stalled at 0.8343, the 50% fib of the NY move, with price now back under both EMAs.
Support: 0.8332, 0.83271
Resistance: 0.83426, 0.83495, 0.83585
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8332 swing low exposes the 0.8327 NY open low and breaks the day's higher-low chain
Close above the 0.8343 50% fib reopens the 0.8350 London high, with the 0.8358 session high above that
US ADP (12:15 UTC) and Core PCE (12:30 UTC) Wed could materially shift this read; the SNB Quarterly Bulletin follows at 13:00 UTC
20:17 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pulled back after late-NY flush · RSI 43 · price 0.83419
Higher lows intact at 0.8327 then 0.8332; price rebuilding below the 0.8350 London high.
USD/CHF ran to a session high at 0.8358 in NY on firm US yields and Fed hike pricing, then an 18:00 UTC flush of about 19 pips unwound it to a 0.8332 swing low. That low held above the 0.8327 midday low, a higher low. Price is now back near EMA20 around 0.8342 in late NY hours, with the 0.8350 London high overhead.
Support: 0.8332, 0.8327
Resistance: 0.8350, 0.8358
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8332 swing low breaks the higher-low line and the 78.6% fib of the 0.8327–0.8358 leg
Loss of the 0.8327 midday low turns intraday structure to a lower-low sequence
Reclaim of the 0.8350 London high reopens the 0.8358 session high
Wed ZEW at 08:00 UTC, then ADP and core PCE at 12:15/12:30 UTC, could materially shift this read
Higher lows off 0.8332, capped at 0.8341 rebound high.
USD/CHF broke above the Asian range in London and ran to a 0.8358 session high in NY, fed by firm US yields and Fed hike pricing. A single 18:00 UTC bar then dropped about 19 pips, and the move extended to 0.8332. Since then, price has formed higher lows back toward the 0.8341 rebound high. It now sits at the 61.8% fib of the London low–NY high rally, below EMA20/50, with RSI(14) near 42.
Support: 0.8332, 0.8327, 0.8319
Resistance: 0.8341, 0.8358
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8341 rebound high reopens the 0.8350s and the 0.8358 session high
Loss of the 0.8332 flush low exposes the 0.8327 london low, then the 0.8319 asian low
Asia session is typically thin; ADP (12:15 UTC) and Core PCE (12:30 UTC) Wed are the next scheduled catalysts
HH/HL chain dented by 18:00 UTC drop; 12:00 swing low still intact.
Yield-driven USD strength lifted USD/CHF to a 0.83585 session high during NY hours before an 18:00 UTC flush erased ~26 pips to a 0.8332 drop low, near the 78.6% fib of the 0.83271–0.83585 leg. Price is steadying near 0.8339 (61.8%) below EMA20/50, with the 0.83271 swing low the last higher low still standing.
Support: 0.8332, 0.83271
Resistance: 0.8343, 0.83585
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.8343 (50% fib) would reclaim the upper half of the NY leg
Failure to hold the 0.8332 drop low exposes the 0.83271 swing low; a break there ends the intraday HH/HL chain
Waller remarks from 19:00 UTC could extend or reverse the 18:00 UTC drop
A lower high below the 0.83585 session high would confirm the rejection read
HL chain off 0.8327 broke below rising support; basing at 0.8332 NY low.
London and NY built higher lows off the 0.8327 London low into a 0.8359 session high around 16:15 UTC, extending the yield-driven dollar run to fresh 16-month highs. A 19-pip 18:00 UTC bar then broke the rising support trendline and the 61.8% fib near 0.8339. Price is now consolidating on the 0.8332 NY low, below both EMAs, with RSI(14) near 37.
Support: 0.8332, 0.83271
Resistance: 0.8340, 0.8350
What it said to watch
Fed's Waller at 19:00 UTC could materially shift this read; any pushback on an October hike tests the USD bid
M15 close back above the 0.8340 breakdown level reclaims the 61.8% fib and neutralises the drop
Failure to hold the 0.8332 NY low exposes the 0.8327 London low, the day's last higher low
A recovery stalling below the 0.8350 round number leaves the 0.8359 session high as the lower-high reference
18:47 UTC
Uptrend interrupted by sharp late-NY drop · RSI 43 · price 0.83386
HH/HL chain to 0.8358 broken by an 18-pip bar; price back inside London range.
NY extended the USD-yield-driven run from the 0.8327 swing low to a 0.8358 session high, a fresh 16-month peak. That leg reversed in a single 18-pip bar an hour after London close, ahead of Fed Waller. Price now sits at the 61.8% fib of the NY leg, just under the 0.8340 Asian high, with RSI(14) cooled to 43.
Support: 0.83357, 0.83271
Resistance: 0.83396, 0.83495, 0.83585
What it said to watch
Fed's Waller at 19:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Failure to hold the 0.8336 late low exposes the 0.8327 swing low and breaks the intraday HL chain
M15 close back above the 0.8340 Asian high reclaims the 61.8% fib and puts the 0.8350 London high back in play
Session high at 0.8358 caps the move while below it; ADP and core PCE Wed 12:15–12:30 UTC are the next risk
HH/HL chain intact above 0.8327; price testing 61.8% retrace of the NY leg.
USDCHF carried a higher-low chain from Asia through London and NY to a session high at 0.8358 on firm US yields. A single 18:00 UTC bar then dropped ~19 pips to the 0.8338 spike low, right on the 61.8% fib of the 0.8327–0.8358 leg, leaving price below EMA20/EMA50 with RSI(14) near 44 ahead of Fed's Waller.
Support: 0.83379, 0.83343, 0.83271
Resistance: 0.83428, 0.83495, 0.83585
What it said to watch
Fed's Waller at 19:00 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close below the 0.8338 spike low and 0.8334 swing low puts the 0.8327 fib base and HL trendline near 0.8330 in play
A move back above the fib 50% at 0.8343 and the 0.8350 london high would frame the drop as a one-bar flush, with the session high at 0.8358 capping above
Wed ADP (12:15 UTC) and Core PCE (12:30 UTC) are the next scheduled catalysts
18:03 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pulling back off the high · RSI 61 · price 0.83513
HH/HL chain from the 12:00 UTC low; broken London high now being retested.
NY hours cleared the 0.83495 London high and printed a session high at 0.83585. The current bar has dropped back to retest that broken London high, which sits on the 23.6% fib of the midday-low rally, with RSI(14) cooling to about 61. The fresh 16-month high follows the yield-driven USD bid, which ignored today's JOLTS miss.
Support: 0.83495, 0.83433, 0.83271
Resistance: 0.83585, 0.8360
What it said to watch
An M15 close back below the 0.83495 london high turns the breakout into a false break
Failure to hold the 0.83433 swing low, or the rising trendline near 0.8346, breaks the HH/HL chain
A close above the 0.83585 session high reopens the 0.8360 round number
Fed's Williams (18:00 UTC) and Waller (19:00 UTC) are in play now; core PCE and ADP tomorrow from 12:15 UTC could materially shift this read
17:47 UTC
Uptrend, pausing at session high · RSI 67 · price 0.83545
Higher-low chain from 0.8327 since midday; London high broken and holding.
USD/CHF cleared the 0.8350 London high during NY hours and printed a fresh 16-month session high at 0.83585. Yields drove the move, and the JOLTS miss did not stop it. The NY impulse has built higher lows at 0.8327, 0.8335 and 0.8345, and price is holding just under the high with RSI(14) near 67, warm but not stretched.
Support: 0.83495, 0.83447, 0.83396
Resistance: 0.83585, 0.8360
What it said to watch
Fed's Williams (18:00 UTC) and Waller (19:00 UTC) could materially shift this read within the hour
M15 close back below the 0.8350 London high would turn the breakout into a false break
Loss of the 0.8345 higher low breaks the NY higher lows trendline chain
Slide under the 0.8340 Asian high, near the 61.8% of the NY impulse, unwinds the afternoon advance
Close above 0.8360 psych extends beyond the session high
17:17 UTC
Uptrend, fresh highs in late NY · RSI 69 · price 0.83556
HH/HL chain from 0.8327 London low; London high broken.
Late NY session. USD/CHF cleared the London high at 0.8350 and printed a 0.8359 session high, extending the higher-low chain from the 0.8327 London low along a rising trendline as 5.2%+ US yields keep the dollar bid. RSI(14) near 69 is warm but not extreme; ATR around 5 pips reflects compressed after-London-close ranges.
Support: 0.8350, 0.83447, 0.83271
Resistance: 0.83585, 0.8360
What it said to watch
Holding 0.8350 (former London high) keeps the breakout intact; a slip back below turns it into a false break
Loss of the 0.8345 swing low (near the 38.2% fib) breaks the NY higher-low sequence
M15 close above the 0.8359 session high and the 0.8360 round number extends the run
Break of the rising trendline from the 0.8327 London low shifts the read to a deeper pullback
Fed's Williams (18:00 UTC) and Waller (19:00 UTC) could materially shift this read in thin late-session trade
Higher-low chain from the 0.8327 London low; London high cleared in NY.
NY session broke the 0.8350 London high and printed a session high at 0.83585, extending a chain of rising lows off the 0.8327 London low as USD trades firm yields and CHF trades the rate gap. The breakout sits well above the 0.8340 Asia high. RSI(14) near 69 is warm but not stretched.
Support: 0.8350, 0.83447, 0.8340
Resistance: 0.83585, 0.8360
What it said to watch
Fed's Goolsbee, Williams and Waller speak from 17:00 UTC; hike signals could materially shift this read
M15 close back below the 0.8350 London high turns the breakout into a false break
Loss of the 0.8345 NY swing low breaks the rising lows trendline and the HH/HL chain
Session high at 0.83585 and the 0.8360 round number are the area to watch for rejection or extension
A retrace toward the 50% fib near 0.8343 would test the 0.8340 Asia high
Higher-low chain through NY hours, London high broken.
The NY leg off the 0.8327 midday low cleared the 0.8350 London high and then the 0.8352 prior high. The pair is now at a session high near 0.8356, with firm US yields keeping the dollar bid. Higher lows are stacking on rising support, and RSI(14) at ~69 is warm but not stretched.
Support: 0.83517, 0.83495, 0.83447
Resistance: 0.83561, 0.8360
What it said to watch
A close back below the 0.8352 prior high and the 0.8350 London high would turn the NY breakout into a false break.
Losing the 0.8345 swing low and rising support breaks the NY higher-low chain and exposes the 50% fib of the NY leg near 0.8342.
The 0.8360 round number just above the session high is the next test.
Fed speakers Goolsbee (17:00), Williams (18:00) and Waller (19:00 UTC) could materially shift this read.
16:32 UTC
Uptrend, pressing session high · RSI 66 · price 0.83503
Higher lows through NY, capped at 0.8352.
USD/CHF pushed to fresh 16-month highs in the NY session, clearing the London high at 0.8350 as firm US yields outweighed the soft JOLTS miss. Supply is capping the 0.8352 session high after three tests, while higher lows at 0.8327, 0.8334 and the 0.8345 swing low keep the rising trendline intact.
Support: 0.83495, 0.83447, 0.83396
Resistance: 0.83517
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8352 session high clears the triple cap
Close back below the 0.8350 london high turns the breakout into a false break
Loss of the 0.8345 swing low breaks the rising trendline and opens the 38.2% rally fib near 0.8342 and the asian high at 0.8340
Fed's Williams (18:00 UTC) and Waller (19:00 UTC) on October hike odds could materially shift this read
16:16 UTC
Uptrend, pausing under session high · RSI 65 · price 0.83466
HH/HL chain through NY; London high broken, price back just below it.
London broke above the Asian range, and NY pushed from the 0.8327 NY low through a 0.8334 higher low to a fresh session high at 0.8352. Firm yields and October hike pricing are outweighing soft JOLTS. Late in NY hours, price has slipped back under the 0.8350 London high, with RSI(14) near 65 and not stretched.
Support: 0.83396, 0.83343, 0.83271
Resistance: 0.83495, 0.83517
What it said to watch
A sustained M15 close below the london high at 0.83495 after the 0.83517 session high would mark the push as a false break
A break of the rising trendline and the 0.83343 higher low ends the NY HH/HL chain and exposes the asian high near 0.8340 (50% of the NY leg fib), then the ny low at 0.83271
Fed speakers Williams (18:00Z) and Waller (19:00Z) on an October hike could materially shift this read
16:02 UTC
Intraday uptrend, rejection at session high · RSI 63 · price 0.83466
Higher highs and higher lows since the London low; pulling back from 0.8352.
NY hours extended the London advance to a session high at 0.8352, and the 15:45Z bar rejected it back to 0.8346. Higher lows at the 0.8327 London low and the 0.8334–35 NY swing low keep the intraday uptrend intact, and a rising trendline joins those two lows. The dip on the soft JOLTS print held above the NY swing low, with firm yields and Fed hike pricing outweighing the data.
Support: 0.83423, 0.83345, 0.83271
Resistance: 0.83517, 0.83495
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8352 session high extends the higher-high chain; stalling beside the 0.8350 London high leaves a flat-top look
Loss of the fib 38.2 at 0.8342 and the NY rising trendline shifts focus to the 0.8334–35 NY swing low
Break below the 0.8327 London low invalidates the higher-low structure
Fed speakers Williams (18:00Z) and Waller (19:00Z) weighing in on an October hike could materially shift this read
15:46 UTC
Uptrend, fresh session high · RSI 64 · price 0.83495
Higher lows off 0.8327 swing low, retesting London high.
USDCHF cleared the Asian range top near 0.8340 early in London and set a 0.8350 London high. The late-morning pullback held the 0.8327 swing low. NY hours then printed a new session high at 0.8352, with firm US yields and October hike pricing outweighing the soft JOLTS miss. Price is now sitting on the London high with the higher-lows sequence intact, RSI(14) near 64 and ATR around 5.5 pips.
Support: 0.8343, 0.8335, 0.8327
Resistance: 0.8352
What it said to watch
Acceptance above the 0.8352 session high extends the NY leg; failure there leaves a retest rejection at the London high
M15 close back below the prior high at 0.8343 would stall the breakout. That level coincides with the 38.2% fib of the swing low to session high leg
Loss of the 0.8335 higher low and the higher-lows trendline breaks the intraday sequence and puts the 0.8327 swing low back in play
Fed speakers Williams (18:00Z) and Waller (19:00Z) on an October hike could materially shift this read
15:31 UTC
Uptrend, grinding just under the session high · RSI 62 · price 0.83443
Rising lows since the London-NY transition swing low; 0.83495 session high capping.
London broke the Asian range and set a 0.83495 session high as firm US yields and Fed-hike pricing weighed on CHF. The pullback held at the 0.83271 swing low during the London-NY transition, and NY has since built rising lows back to 0.8344, just under the high, with RSI(14) near 62 and not stretched.
Support: 0.83396, 0.83349, 0.83271
Resistance: 0.83495
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.83495 session high extends the higher-high chain into the 0.8350 area
Loss of the 0.8340 asian high exposes the 0.83349 higher low, which sits at the 61.8% of the NY leg
Break below the 0.83271 swing low negates the rising lows structure
Fed speakers (Barr 16:40, Goolsbee 17:00, Williams 18:00, Waller 19:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
Higher lows off 0.8327 since 12:00 UTC, pressing NY session high.
USDCHF has retraced most of the London drop from the 0.8350 London high. It is now printing higher lows from the 0.8327 London low into the NY session and testing the 0.8343 session high. Firm US yields and Fed-hike pricing keep the dollar bid, and the KOF beat gave the franc no relief. RSI(14) near 57 is not stretched.
Support: 0.83345, 0.83271
Resistance: 0.83434, 0.83495
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8343 session high puts the 0.8350 London high back in play
A break of the 0.8334–0.8335 higher low ends the NY higher-low chain and reopens 0.8327
Losing the 0.8327 London low would confirm a failed recovery of the London drop
Fed speakers from 15:00 UTC (Bowman, then Barr 16:40, Goolsbee 17:00, Williams 18:00, Waller 19:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
15:02 UTC
Uptrend, NY recovering London pullback · RSI 58 · price 0.83427
Higher lows off 0.8327, pressing NY high below 0.8350 London high.
London broke the Asian range top near 0.8340 and printed a fresh high at 0.8349, where it was rejected three times before a pullback to 0.8327 into the NY open. The NY session has since built higher lows at 0.8335 along a rising trendline. Price is pressing the 0.8343 NY high, roughly 70% back through the London pullback, as firm US yields and Fed hike pricing keep the USD bid. RSI(14) is near 58, well short of extremes, and ATR(14) is about 5 pips.
Support: 0.83345, 0.83271, 0.83169
Resistance: 0.83434, 0.83495
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8350 London high breaks the rejection zone and extends the uptrend leg
Failure to clear the 0.8343 NY high keeps price capped inside the London pullback range
Break of the 0.8335 higher low and the rising trendline puts the 0.8327 pullback low back in play
Loss of the 0.8327 pullback low shifts structure back toward the Asian low at 0.8317
Fed speakers from 15:00 UTC (Bowman, then Barr, Goolsbee, Williams, and Waller at 19:00) could materially shift this read
14:46 UTC
Range after London rejection, momentum neutral · RSI 51 · price 0.8337
Lower highs from 0.8350 against higher lows off 0.8327, compressing.
London pushed the late-Asia rally to a session high at 0.8350 before a rejection dropped price to a 0.8327 swing low. Since then, lower highs at 0.8343 and higher lows near 0.8334 have squeezed price around EMA20. The soft JOLTS miss at 14:00 UTC barely registered, and RSI(14) is flat near 51.
Support: 0.8334, 0.8327, 0.8325
Resistance: 0.8343, 0.8350
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8343 lower high reopens the 0.8350 session high
Break of the 0.8334 higher low exposes the 0.8327 swing low and the 0.8325 pre-london low
Fed speakers from 15:00 UTC (Bowman, Barr, Goolsbee) could materially shift this read after the soft JOLTS print
14:16 UTC
Intraday uptrend stalling, lower high in place · RSI 47 · price 0.83364
Range 0.8327–0.8350 below the London session high; lower high at 0.8343.
London broke the asian high at 0.8340 on yield- and hike-odds-driven USD strength, printing a session high at 0.83495 before slipping to the london low at 0.83271 by midday. The NY-open rebound hit a 70% retrace of that drop and was rejected at 0.83427 (ny high), a lower high, and price now sits back under the asian high with RSI(14) near 47 as JOLTS lands.
Support: 0.83343, 0.83271
Resistance: 0.83396, 0.83427, 0.83495
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8343 ny high breaks the lower-highs line and reopens the 0.8350 session high
Failure to hold the 0.8334 ny low exposes the 0.8327 london low; a break there confirms a lower-low
JOLTS and Consumer Confidence (14:00 UTC), then Williams 18:00 and Waller 19:00 UTC Fedspeak, could materially shift this read
14:02 UTC
Intraday uptrend stalling, sideways since London high · RSI 48 · price 0.83364
Range 0.8327–0.8350; NY higher low under a lower high.
Firm USD on yields and Fed-hike pricing carried USD/CHF through the Asian high near 0.8340 to a London session high at 0.8350. Price then pulled back to the 0.8327 swing low, which held twice as a double bottom at yesterday's high. NY has since carved a higher low at 0.8334 under a lower high at 0.8343, with price sitting on EMA20, RSI(14) ~48 and ATR ~6 pips as JOLTS lands.
Support: 0.83337, 0.83271
Resistance: 0.83427, 0.83495
What it said to watch
JOLTS and Consumer Confidence (14:00 UTC) fall on the current bar; Williams 18:00 and Waller 19:00 UTC could reset the range
M15 close below the 0.8334 higher low and rising trendline exposes the 0.8327 swing low
Break of the 0.8327 swing low voids the double bottom and flips the day's structure to lower lows
Acceptance above the 0.8343 lower high brings the 0.8350 session high back into focus
13:46 UTC
Uptrend, recovering from pullback · RSI 51 · price 0.83412
Higher lows since 12:00 UTC after rejection at the London high.
Rejection at the 0.8349 London high sent price back to the 0.8327 swing low, between the 61.8% and 78.6% levels of the London rally fib and on the rising lows line. Early NY has built a higher low at 0.8334 and is pressing the 0.8343 NY high, with USD firm on yields and Fed-hike pricing.
Support: 0.83337, 0.83271
Resistance: 0.83427, 0.83495
What it said to watch
JOLTS and Consumer Confidence at 14:00 UTC, 15 min out, could materially shift this read
M15 close above the 0.8343 NY high puts the 0.8349 London high back in play
Loss of the 0.8334 higher low, then the 0.8327 swing low, breaks the rising lows line and the NY higher-low sequence
Lower highs off 0.8350 session high; higher low at 0.8329 after 0.8327 pullback low.
The USD bid on yields and October hike pricing carried the pair from the Asian range to a 0.8350 session high in London. That high was rejected, and the pullback low at 0.8327 held just under the 61.8% of the London rally fib. Price is now compressing below a 0.8337 local cap at the start of the NY session, with ATR(14) near 5 pips.
Support: 0.83271, 0.83247
Resistance: 0.83375, 0.8342, 0.83495
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8337 local cap reopens the 0.8342 breakdown area and the 0.8350 session high
Failure to hold the 0.8327 pullback low exposes the 0.8325 pre-London low and breaks the London rally fib 61.8%
JOLTS and Consumer Confidence at 14:00 GMT, then Fedspeak into Waller, could materially shift this read
13:03 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pulling back · RSI 45 · price 0.83356
Higher lows intact; retest of the 0.8327-0.8330 zone held.
London extended the Asia rally to a 0.8350 day high on the yield-driven USD bid. Price then pulled back to a 0.8327 session low that held above the rising lows and near the day advance fib 78.6%. It now sits on EMA20 near 0.8336 into the first hour of NY, with RSI(14) at 45 and the 0.8340 Asian high capping.
Support: 0.83271, 0.83189
Resistance: 0.83396, 0.83495
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8340 asian high reopens the 0.8350 day high
Failure at the 0.8327 session low breaks the rising lows and exposes the 0.8319 swing low
JOLTS and Consumer Confidence at 14:00 GMT, plus Fedspeak into 19:00, could materially shift this read
12:31 UTC
Intraday pullback after London high · RSI 41 · price 0.83294
Lower highs since 0.8350 double top; retrace testing Asian range top.
London broke the Asian high at 0.8340 and extended to a 0.8350 London high, where a double top formed. Price has since retraced about 79% of the London leg back to 0.8329, a pullback even as the yield-driven USD bid stays in place. The lower highs at 0.8349 and 0.8337 are capping the first hour of NY, with the NY low at 0.8327 sitting just above the 0.8325 swing low.
Support: 0.83271, 0.83247, 0.83189
Resistance: 0.83369, 0.83396, 0.83495
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8337 lower high breaks the lower-high sequence and puts the 0.8340 Asian high back in focus
Loss of the 0.8327 NY low and the 0.8325 swing low completes the full London leg retrace and exposes the 0.8319 Asian low
JOLTS and Consumer Confidence at 14:00 UTC, then Fedspeak from 15:00 UTC, could materially shift this read
12:16 UTC
Uptrend stalled, pulling back · RSI 40 · price 0.83319
London high rejected, testing higher-low base.
London extended the Fed-SNB divergence move to a 0.8350 session high, but two tests there were rejected and price has slipped back through the 0.8340 Asia high to a 0.8331 pullback low, about 71% of the London leg. RSI(14) near 40 and price sitting on EMA50 near 0.8332 point to a cooled but intact advance while the 0.8328 London low holds.
Support: 0.8331, 0.8328, 0.8325
Resistance: 0.8340, 0.8350
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8328 London low breaks the higher-low chain and exposes the 0.8325 pre-London low
Recovery above the 0.8340 Asia high puts the 0.8350 session high back in play
Repeated M15 closes under the 0.8331 pullback low would put the 0.8328 London low under direct test
JOLTS and Consumer Confidence at 14:00 UTC, early in the NY session, could materially shift this read
12:02 UTC
Intraday uptrend stalling, pullback in play · RSI 41 · price 0.83319
False break above Asian high, lower highs from 0.8350 session high.
London cleared the 0.8340 Asian high to a 0.8350 session high on the yield-driven USD bid. That high then formed a double top, and the drop through the 0.8343 neckline has retraced to the 0.8331 swing low, near the 78.6% fib of the London rally. RSI(14) sits at 41, with price below EMA20 and sitting on EMA50 into the London-NY transition, inside the 0.8305-0.8330 cap zone flagged in the digest.
Support: 0.83307, 0.83278, 0.83189
Resistance: 0.83396, 0.83431, 0.83495
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8328 london low completes a full retrace of the London rally and exposes the 0.8319 asian low
Recovery and close back above the 0.8340 asian high negates the false break read; neckline at 0.8343 is the next test
Lower highs line from the 0.8350 session high intact while price holds under 0.8337
US JOLTS and Consumer Confidence at 14:00 UTC plus Fedspeak through 19:00 UTC could materially shift this read
11:46 UTC
Uptrend, momentum fading after London rejection · RSI 45 · price 0.83338
Asian range broken higher in London, double top at session high, pullback back inside the Asian range.
London carried the yield-driven USD bid through the 0.83396 asian high to a 0.83495 session high. A double top at 0.83491/0.83495 then gave way on the 10:45 UTC drop through the 0.83431 neckline, which also broke the asia trendline. Late in the London session, price is holding the 0.83316 pullback low near the 61.8% retracement of the London leg and sitting on the EMA50, with RSI(14) cooled to ~45.
Support: 0.83316, 0.83278, 0.83182
Resistance: 0.83396, 0.83431, 0.83495
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.83396 asian high reopens the 0.83495 session high
Reclaim of the 0.83431 neckline negates the double top
Failure to hold the 0.83316 pullback low exposes the 0.83278 london low; a break below it prints a lower-low toward the 0.83182 asian low
US JOLTS and Consumer Confidence at 14:00 UTC, plus Fedspeak into NY hours, could materially shift this read
11:31 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back from session high · RSI 46 · price 0.83332
Higher-low chain intact, price back below Asia high after rejection at 0.8349.
USDCHF extended from the Asia high at 0.8340 to a session high at 0.83495 in early London on the broad USD bid from firm yields and Fed hike pricing. Four stalls at 0.8349 ended in a rejection back under the Asia high. Price now holds a 0.83316 pullback low near the 61.8% fib of the 0.83247–0.83495 leg, just under EMA20 and sitting on EMA50.
Support: 0.83316, 0.83278, 0.83247
Resistance: 0.83396, 0.83495
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.83278 london low breaks the higher-low chain and exposes the 0.83247 swing low
Loss of the 0.83316 pullback low puts the 78.6% fib at 0.8330 in play
Recovery above the 0.8340 asia high re-opens a test of the 0.83495 session high
Musalem now and JOLTS/Consumer Confidence at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
11:16 UTC
Intraday uptrend stalling, pulling back from high · RSI 47 · price 0.83337
False break above Asian high, double top at 0.8349, retrace into Asian range.
London broke the Asian high at 0.8340 and pushed to a fresh session high at 0.8349 on the yield-driven USD bid. A second rejection there at 10:15 UTC sent price back inside the Asian range, now sitting at the 78.6% fib of the London leg near 0.8332. RSI(14) has cooled to ~47 and price sits below EMA20 in late London.
Support: 0.83278, 0.83247
Resistance: 0.83396, 0.83495
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the asian high at 0.8340 would negate the false break read
Failure to hold the london low at 0.8328 exposes the asia dip at 0.8325 and a full retrace of the London leg
Fed's Musalem at 11:30 UTC, then JOLTS and Consumer Confidence at 14:00 UTC, could materially shift this read
11:02 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pulling back from the high · RSI 46 · price 0.83337
HH/HL chain since Asia; London high rejected, retesting prior breakout area.
USD/CHF made a fresh 16-month session high at 0.8349 in London on firm US yields. Three pushes at 0.8348–0.8349 failed, and a 17-pip drop took price back under the 0.8340 Asian high. Price now sits on the 61.8% retrace (~0.8334) of the 0.8325–0.8349 leg, with RSI(14) cooled to 46.
Support: 0.8332, 0.83278, 0.83247
Resistance: 0.83396, 0.83495
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8332 pullback low breaks the HL chain and exposes the 0.8328 London low, then the 0.8325 swing low at the fib base
Recovery back above the 0.8340 Asian high puts the 0.8349 session high back in play
Musalem at 11:30 UTC, then JOLTS and Consumer Confidence at 14:00 UTC, could materially shift this read
Asian-range breakout now retesting the broken high after a small double top.
London cleared the 0.8340 asian high at 08:30 UTC and printed a fresh 16-month session high at 0.8350 as the USD bid held on firm Fed hike pricing and yields. Two tests of 0.8349 capped the move, and the 10:15 bar broke back through the 0.8343 prior hl. Price now sits on the asian high, which lines up with the 38.2% of the London leg fib, while RSI(14) has cooled to 57.
Support: 0.8340, 0.83342, 0.83278
Resistance: 0.83431, 0.83495
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.8340 asian high exposes the 0.8334 swing low and 0.8328 london low, and would turn the breakout into a false break
Reclaim of 0.8343 prior hl and a close above the 0.8350 session high resumes the higher-high chain
JOLTS and Consumer Confidence at 14:00 UTC, then Williams (18:00) and Waller (19:00 UTC), could materially shift this read
London broke above the Asian high; HH/HL sequence since the 05:30 UTC pullback.
London cleared the Asian high at 0.8340 and the 0.8339 16-month high, printing a session high at 0.83495 as the 10Y near 5.27% keeps USD firm. The 09:30 UTC swing low at 0.8343 held on the first dip, and RSI(14) near 67 is warm but not stretched.
Support: 0.83431, 0.83396, 0.8328
Resistance: 0.83495
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 0.8343 swing low shifts focus to the Asian high at 0.8340, the 38.2% fib of the 0.83247–0.83495 leg
M15 close below the 0.8328 higher low breaks the London HL chain and the rising trendline
Acceptance above the 0.83495 session high extends the breakout past 0.8350
Musalem 11:30 UTC and JOLTS 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
London extended the Asia-session climb as firm USD on 5.27% 10Y yields kept CHF offered. Price cleared the 0.8340 Asian high, which was also the prior 16-month high, and printed a session high at 0.8350. Higher lows have held since the 0.8328 London low, with RSI(14) near 68 and price now sitting on the rising higher-low line.
Support: 0.83431, 0.8340, 0.83278
Resistance: 0.83495
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8343 pullback low breaks the London higher-low line and chain
Acceptance back under the 0.8340 Asian high, where the 38.2% of the London leg fib sits, would mark a false break
Loss of the 0.8328 London low retraces the full London leg
Clearance of the 0.8350 session high extends the London leg into fresh 16-month highs
Musalem 11:30 UTC, then JOLTS and Consumer Confidence 14:00 UTC, could materially shift this read
09:46 UTC
Uptrend, extended into London · RSI 71 · price 0.83471
HH/HL chain since the 0.8325 Asia dip; Asian range high broken.
London cleared the Asian high at 0.8340, which is also the 16-month high cited in the digest, with higher lows stepping up from the 0.8325 asia low dip and the 0.8328 swing low, on firm USD from 5.27% 10Y yields. Price is pausing just under the 0.8350 session high and round number, with RSI(14) near 71 and the rising trendline intact.
Support: 0.83396, 0.83278, 0.83247
Resistance: 0.83495, 0.8350
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.8340 asian high, which lines up with the 38.2% fib, would turn the breakout into a false break
Loss of the rising trendline and the 0.8328 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
Acceptance above the 0.8350 session high and round number extends the London leg
Fed's Musalem at 11:30 UTC, then JOLTS and Consumer Confidence at 14:00 UTC, could materially shift this read
HH/HL chain since the London low, Asian high broken.
London extended the Asia-session advance, clearing the Asian high near 0.8340 and printing fresh 16-month highs at 0.8349 as the yields-driven USD bid held. Higher lows have stepped up from the 0.8328 London low, and price is testing the 0.8350 round number with RSI(14) near 69, firm but not extreme.
Support: 0.8340, 0.8328, 0.8325
Resistance: 0.8350
What it said to watch
Rejection at the 0.8350 round number vs acceptance above it
M15 close back below the 0.8340 asian high turns the breakout into a false break
Loss of the 0.8328 london low breaks the HL chain; the 0.8325 asia low sits just below
Musalem 11:30 UTC and JOLTS 14:00 UTC (f/c 7.23M) could materially shift this read
USDCHF ground higher through Asia on the rates-driven USD bid (10Y near 5.27%), and London cleared the asian high near 0.8339, which is also the 16-month high, before setting a session high at 0.8343. A higher low at 0.8333 and the london low at 0.8328 keep the HH/HL chain and rising support intact, with price holding near 0.8340. RSI(14) is around 61, not stretched, and the round number at 0.8350 is the next reference above.
Support: 0.8339, 0.8333, 0.8328
Resistance: 0.8343, 0.8350
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.8339 asian high turns the breakout into a false break
Loss of the 0.8328 london low breaks the higher-low chain and the rising support
Acceptance above the 0.8343 session high puts the 0.8350 round number in play
Musalem 11:30 UTC and JOLTS 14:00 UTC (f/c 7.23M) could materially shift this read
09:02 UTC
Uptrend, pausing at session high · RSI 61 · price 0.83407
Higher lows since 0.8325; Asian high broken in London.
London cleared the 0.8340 Asian high and set a 0.8343 session high, pushing USD/CHF past the 16-month high. The move tracks firm yields and Fed hike pricing, with the KOF beat ignored. The higher-low chain from the 0.8325 pullback low is intact, and price now sits on the Asian high with RSI(14) near 61.
Support: 0.83396, 0.83329, 0.83247
Resistance: 0.83428, 0.8350
What it said to watch
Hold of the 0.8340 asian high keeps the breakout valid; slipping back inside the Asian range turns it into a false break
Break of the London higher-lows line and the 0.8333 swing low exposes the 38.2–61.8% fib zone toward 0.8325
Close above the 0.8343 session high opens the 0.8350 round number
Musalem 11:30 UTC and JOLTS 14:00 UTC (f/c 7.23M) could materially shift this read
08:46 UTC
Uptrend, pausing under session high · RSI 57 · price 0.83368
Higher lows since Asia; 0.8340 session high tested twice.
USD/CHF broke above yesterday's 0.8327 high during the Asia session on the firm USD/yields backdrop. The 0.8340 session high set at 05:30 UTC was retested early in the London session and held. Higher lows at the 0.8325 swing low and the 0.8328 London low keep the rising trendline intact. RSI(14) sits near 57, with ATR around 5 pips.
Support: 0.83278, 0.83247, 0.83189
Resistance: 0.83396, 0.8350
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8340 session high opens the 0.8350 round number
Break of the 0.8328 London low and the rising trendline near 0.8327 puts the 0.8325 swing low in play
Loss of 0.8325 breaks the higher-low chain; the 0.8319 Asian low is next
Fedspeak from 11:30 UTC and JOLTS at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
US-Iran sanctions-relief headlines have knocked oil and the USD intraday before
08:31 UTC
Uptrend, pressing session high · RSI 60 · price 0.83366
Asia break of prior-day high; higher lows beneath a 0.8340 cap.
USD/CHF cleared the 0.8328 prior-day high during Asia and ran to a 0.8340 session high, extending the 16-month high on firm yields and Fed hike pricing. London has printed higher lows at 0.8325 (swing low) and 0.8328 (higher low) along the rising trendline. The 08:00 UTC probe of 0.8340 is capped so far, with RSI(14) near 60 and not stretched.
Support: 0.83278, 0.83247
Resistance: 0.83396, 0.8350
What it said to watch
An M15 close above the 0.8340 session high opens the path to the 0.8350 round number
Failure to hold the 0.8328 higher low and the rising trendline turns the 0.8340 double probe into a lower-high read toward the 0.8325 swing low
Fedspeak from 11:30 UTC and JOLTS at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Asia breakout above Monday high, retest held, higher lows into London.
Asia cleared Monday's 0.8328 prior high to a 0.8340 session high. The retest to the 0.8325 swing low held along the rising lows line, and early London is chopping 0.8328–0.8337 beneath the high with RSI(14) neutral near 57. A firm USD on 5% long-end yields and roughly 70% October hike odds keeps the pair at 16-month highs, and CHF ignored the strong KOF beat.
Support: 0.8328, 0.8325
Resistance: 0.8340, 0.8350
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8340 session high extends the Asia rally toward the 0.8350 round number
Loss of the 0.8325 swing low breaks the rising lows line and turns the breakout into a false break
Holding above 0.8328 prior high keeps the retest intact; a deeper pullback puts the 61.8% of the Asia rally near 0.8327 in focus
Fed speakers from 11:30 UTC and JOLTS/Consumer Confidence at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
08:02 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pausing below the high · RSI 55 · price 0.83337
Higher lows since Asia, capped by 0.8340 asian high.
USDCHF cleared Monday's 0.8328 high during Asia and tagged a 16-month high at the 0.8340 asian high, on firm yields and Fed hike bets. The 0.8325 swing low held near the 61.8% fib, and London has held a 0.8328 london low while stalling at a 0.8337 london high. That leaves a 0.8325–0.8340 consolidation inside a higher-low chain from the 0.8319 asian low, RSI(14) neutral near 55.
Support: 0.83278, 0.83247, 0.83189
Resistance: 0.83367, 0.83396
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8340 asian high extends the higher-high sequence into fresh 16-month highs
London high at 0.8337 marks a lower high so far; a break below the 0.8328 london low tests the higher-low trendline
Failure to hold the 0.8325 swing low breaks the higher-low chain and exposes the 0.8319 asian low
Fed speakers from 11:30 UTC and JOLTS/Consumer Confidence at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
07:46 UTC
Uptrend, pausing below Asian high · RSI 54 · price 0.83305
Higher lows intact; lower high at London open.
Asia extended the USD yield-driven rally to a 0.8340 Asian high, clearing Monday's 0.8327 high. The 06:00 UTC pullback low at 0.8325 held as a retest of that break. London open then set a lower high at 0.8336, and price is rotating on EMA20 with RSI(14) at 54.
Support: 0.8325, 0.8319
Resistance: 0.8336, 0.8340
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8336 lower high reopens a test of the 0.8340 Asian high
Failure to hold the 0.8325 pullback low breaks the higher-low chain and the Asia trendline, exposing the 0.8319 asian low
A hold of the 50–61.8% zone of the Asia rally fib keeps the retest read intact
Fed speakers from 11:30 UTC and JOLTS/Consumer Confidence at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Asia breakout above prior-day high, retest held, early London compressing.
Asia broke above yesterday's 0.8328 prior high and ran to a 0.8340 session high as the Fed-SNB rate gap kept the franc heavy. The London-open dip to the 0.8325 pullback low held near the 61.8% of the Asia leg fib. Price is now compressing below a 0.8336 lower high, with RSI(14) neutral near 55 and ATR around 4 pips.
Support: 0.83275, 0.83247
Resistance: 0.83359, 0.83396
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8340 session high extends the breakout; staying capped at the 0.8336 lower high keeps the consolidation read
Loss of the Asia rising trendline and the 0.8328 prior high, then a close below the 0.8325 pullback low, turns the retest into a false break
Fed's Musalem at 11:30 UTC and JOLTS at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Asia broke Monday's 0.8328 high; London open retesting upper Asian range.
Asia lifted USDCHF through Monday's 0.8328 high to an Asian high at 0.8340, with oil-driven Fed hike pricing keeping the franc heavy. The 06:00 UTC dip held at the pullback low of 0.8325, above the rising Asia trendline, and price is back near 0.8334 into London open with RSI(14) near 62.
Support: 0.83247, 0.83182, 0.83039
Resistance: 0.83396, 0.8350
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8340 Asian high extends the breakout toward the 0.8350 round number
Close below the 0.8325 pullback low breaks the Asia trendline and puts the 0.8318 Asian low in view
Loss of 0.8318 reopens the Monday low at 0.8304
Fed's Musalem at 11:30 UTC and JOLTS at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
07:02 UTC
Uptrend, higher low in place · RSI 62 · price 0.83341
Asia broke Monday's high; pullback held above it, HH/HL intact.
Asia cleared Monday's 0.8328 prior high on the yield-driven USD bid and printed a session high at 0.8340. The 06:00 UTC pullback found a higher low at 0.8325, a retest of the prior-high area, and price is back at 0.8334 as London opens, above both EMAs with RSI(14) near 62 and ATR around 4 pips.
Support: 0.83275, 0.83247, 0.83189
Resistance: 0.83396, 0.8350
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8325 higher low breaks the HH/HL chain and exposes the 0.8319 asian low
Acceptance above the 0.8340 session high opens the 0.8350 round number
A drop back under the 0.8328 prior high turns the Asia breakout into a false break
Fed's Musalem at 11:30 UTC and JOLTS at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
06:46 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back from Asian high · RSI 56 · price 0.83288
Breakout above prior high, now retesting it.
Asia session cleared the 0.83275 prior high and ran to a 0.83396 session high on firm USD and yield-driven Fed hike pricing. It then faded about 15 pips into a 0.83247 swing low near the 61.8% of the Asian leg. Price is back at 0.8329 ahead of London open, holding just above the prior high and hugging EMA20.
Support: 0.83275, 0.83247, 0.83189
Resistance: 0.8331, 0.83396
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.83247 swing low (61.8% of the Asian leg) exposes the 0.83189 asian base
Reclaim of the 0.8331 minor pivot puts the 0.83396 session high back in play
Failure to hold the 0.83275 prior high turns the breakout into a false break
JOLTS and Consumer Confidence at 14:00 UTC, plus Fedspeak from 11:30 UTC, could materially shift this read
06:31 UTC
Uptrend, pausing below Asia high · RSI 60 · price 0.83293
HH/HL chain through Asia; broken Monday high now being retested after a pullback.
Hawkish Fed pricing carried USD through Asia, breaking Monday's 0.83275 prior high to an Asian high at 0.83396. The pullback held at 0.83247, near the 61.8% fib, and price is back above the prior high as London open approaches. RSI(14) is near 60 and ATR is about 3.4 pips.
Support: 0.83275, 0.83247, 0.83161
Resistance: 0.83312, 0.83396
What it said to watch
A close below the 0.83247 pullback low breaks the Asia HL chain and the asia uptrend line, exposing the 0.83161 asian low
Reclaiming the 0.83312 lower high reopens the 0.83396 asian high
Fedspeak from 11:30 UTC and JOLTS / Consumer Confidence at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
06:16 UTC
Uptrend, first pullback off session high · RSI 63 · price 0.8330
Asia HH/HL chain broke the prior high at 0.8327; London open retracing toward it.
Asia stretched the five-day advance from the 0.8316 asia low. It cleared yesterday's NY prior high at 0.8327 and printed a session high at 0.8340 on a firm dollar and 10y yields above 5%. The London open is pulling back to 0.8330, the 38.2% of the Asia leg fib, with RSI(14) cooling from the high 70s to about 63.
Support: 0.83275, 0.8320, 0.83161
Resistance: 0.83396, 0.8350
What it said to watch
An M15 close below the 0.8327 prior high (near the Asia leg 50%) puts the breakout in question and exposes the 0.8320 asia shelf
A reclaim of the 0.8340 session high resumes the HH chain, with the 0.8350 round number next above
Failure to hold the 0.8316 asia low would unwind the whole Asia leg
Fedspeak from 11:30 UTC and JOLTS at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
HH/HL chain in Asia; breakout above prior high, first pullback underway.
Late in the Asia session, price cleared Monday's prior high at 0.8327 and printed a session high at 0.8340, in line with firm USD on 5%+ US yields and October Fed hike pricing. A two-bar rejection has since pulled price to 0.8330, between the 38.2% and 50% levels of the Asia leg fib. RSI(14) has cooled to about 60 ahead of the London open.
Support: 0.8327, 0.8320, 0.8300
Resistance: 0.8340, 0.8350
What it said to watch
A retest that holds 0.8327 prior high keeps the Asia breakout intact. A slide back under the 0.8320 asian base would mark it a false break.
An M15 close above the 0.8340 session high opens the 0.8350 round number.
Loss of the 0.8300 round number would break the Asia HH/HL chain.
JOLTS and Consumer Confidence at 14:00 UTC, plus Fedspeak from 11:30 UTC, could materially shift this read.
05:46 UTC
Uptrend, RSI stretched · RSI 80 · price 0.83363
Asia breakout above Monday high, unbroken higher-low chain.
The Asia session carried USD/CHF through Monday's 0.83275 prior high and the 0.8330 psych level to a session high at 0.83367. The move came on a clean chain of higher lows along the Asia trendline, as oil-driven Fed hike pricing keeps the dollar firm. RSI(14) near 80 is stretched with London open about 90 minutes away, and the 0.8330 breakout shelf is the first area to watch for a retest.
Support: 0.8330, 0.83275, 0.8319
Resistance: 0.83367, 0.8350
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 0.8330 psych would put the Asia breakout at risk of a false break back toward Monday's range
An M15 close below the 0.83275 prior high breaks the Asia trendline and the higher-low chain
Acceptance above the 0.83367 session high opens the 0.8350 round number
Loss of the 0.8319 asian low would unwind the entire Asia leg
JOLTS and Consumer Confidence at 14:00 UTC, plus Fedspeak from 11:30 UTC, could materially shift this read
05:31 UTC
Uptrend, stretched into late Asia · RSI 78 · price 0.83337
HH/HL chain; Asia broke above Monday's high.
Asia cleared Monday's prior high at 0.8328 and printed a session high at 0.8335, extending the USD bid on Fed hike repricing. RSI(14) is near 78 and bar ranges are compressing into late Asia. Higher lows from the 0.8319 Asian low are intact, and the 50% fib of the move off Monday's 0.8304 NY low sits at that low.
Support: 0.83275, 0.83189, 0.83039
Resistance: 0.83346, 0.8350
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 0.8328 prior high turns the Asian breakout into a false break and puts the 0.8319 asian low back in play
An M15 close above the 0.8335 session high extends the HH chain toward the 0.8350 round number
A break of the Asia higher-lows trendline, then loss of 0.8319, exposes the 0.8304 ny low
London open is under 2h away; Fedspeak from 11:30 UTC and JOLTS at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher lows through Asia, break above prior NY high.
The Asia session broke above yesterday's NY prior high at 0.8328 and printed a session high at 0.8334, extending the oil-driven Fed-hike repricing that has USD/CHF at 16-month highs. Higher lows from the 0.8319 swing low are holding along a rising trendline. RSI(14) near 74 is stretched but not extreme, and ATR is under 3 pips in thin pre-London trade.
Support: 0.83275, 0.83217, 0.83189
Resistance: 0.83344, 0.8350
What it said to watch
A retest of the 0.8328 prior high near the fib 50% would test whether the breakout is accepted; a close back below it reads as a false break
A close below the 0.8322 trendline, then the 0.8319 swing low, breaks the Asia higher-low chain
The 0.8350 round number is the next reference if the 0.8334 session high gives way
London open at 07:00 UTC is the first real liquidity test of the Asia breakout
Musalem at 11:30 UTC and JOLTS at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
05:02 UTC
Uptrend, breakout extending late Asia · RSI 75 · price 0.83341
Higher lows through Asia, break above prior NY high.
Late in the Asia session, USD/CHF cleared Monday's NY prior high at 0.8327 and printed a fresh session high at 0.8334, extending the 16-month high on Fed hike repricing and elevated US yields. RSI(14) near 75 is hot but not extreme. The 50% fib of the Asia leg sits on the prior high, the first pullback marker into London open.
Support: 0.8327, 0.8319, 0.8304
Resistance: 0.83344, 0.8350
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.8327 prior high would mark a false break of the 16-month high
Loss of the 0.8319 asian low breaks the Asia higher-low chain and exposes the 0.8304 ny low
0.8350 round number is the next reference above the session high
JOLTS and Consumer Confidence at 14:00 UTC plus heavy Fedspeak could materially shift this read
Higher lows through Asia; breakout above Monday's prior high.
Late Asia pushed through Monday's 0.83275 prior high to a 0.8330 session high, past the 0.8327 16-month mark, as record US yields and Fed hike pricing keep weighing on the franc. Higher lows have held since the 0.8319 swing low. RSI(14) sits near 74 with price parked at the top of the Asian range, and the asia leg 50% retracement is at 0.8323.
Support: 0.83275, 0.8319, 0.8304
Resistance: 0.8330
What it said to watch
An M15 close back below the 0.83275 prior high would turn the breakout into a false break
Loss of the 0.8319 swing low breaks the Asian higher-low chain, with the 0.8304 ny low next
Acceptance above the 0.8330 session high clears the top of the digest's 0.8305–0.8330 cap
London open, then Fed's Musalem at 11:30 UTC and JOLTS at 14:00 UTC, could shift this read
04:31 UTC
Uptrend, pressing session high · RSI 66 · price 0.8329
Higher lows since the NY low; Asia broke above the NY high.
The Asia session extended to 0.8330, clearing the 0.8327 NY high as USD stayed firm on 2007-high US yields and October Fed-hike pricing. Price is stalling at the round number with RSI(14) near 66. The Asian range runs 0.8319–0.8330 into the London open, with the rising line of higher lows intact.
Support: 0.83275, 0.83189, 0.83039
Resistance: 0.8330, 0.8347
What it said to watch
Acceptance above the 0.8330 round number opens 0.8347, the next level cited by analysts
A slip back under the 0.8327 NY high would turn the Asia push into a false break
Loss of the higher-lows trendline and the 0.8319 Asian low (near the 38.2% of the NY low-high leg) breaks the intraday HL chain
Below the 0.8304 NY low, the session's upward structure is voided
Fedspeak from 11:30 UTC (Musalem), then JOLTS and Consumer Confidence at 14:00 UTC, could materially shift this read
Asian range broken higher late in Asia; higher lows since the NY dip.
USD/CHF cleared the Asian range (0.8319–0.8327) late in Asia and pushed through Monday's NY prior high at 0.8327. It printed 0.8330 ahead of London open, with RSI(14) near 68, as the USD stays firm on >70% October Fed hike odds. The 0.8330 round number caps the move for now, and the leg from the ny low at 0.8304 is intact.
Support: 0.83275, 0.83189, 0.83039
Resistance: 0.8330
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.8327 prior high returns price to the Asian range and reads as a false break
Failure to hold the 0.8319 asian low undoes the breakout; the ny low at 0.8304 is the next pivot
Acceptance above the 0.8330 round number extends the leg into fresh highs
US JOLTS and Consumer Confidence at 14:00 UTC, plus Fedspeak through 19:00 UTC, could materially shift this read
04:01 UTC
Uptrend, fresh breakout in Asia · RSI 68 · price 0.83294
Higher lows since NY swing low; Asian range top cleared.
Late in the Asia session, USDCHF broke out of its 0.8319–0.8327 Asian range and cleared the NY prior high at 0.83275, printing a session high at 0.8330. The move rides a rising trendline off the 0.8304 NY swing low. Firm USD on above-70% October Fed hike odds and elevated US yields keeps the franc heavy. RSI(14) near 68 is warm but not stretched.
Support: 0.83275, 0.8319, 0.8304
Resistance: 0.8330, 0.8350
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.83275 prior high would mark the breakout as a false break
Loss of the 0.8319 asian low breaks the rising trendline and the higher-low chain
Acceptance above the 0.8330 session high opens the 0.8350 round number
A 61.8% fib retracement toward 0.8314 would still leave the NY swing low structure intact
US JOLTS and Consumer Confidence at 14:00 UTC, plus Fedspeak into 19:00 UTC, could materially shift this read
03:46 UTC
Flat, holding upper end of 24h rally · RSI 55 · price 0.83235
Tight Asian range just below prior high.
Late Asia session is compressing between the 0.8319 swing low and the 0.8327 Asian high, just under Monday's 0.8328 prior high. Monday's NY-hours drop to the 0.8304 NY low has been fully retraced as firm USD on 70%+ October hike odds kept the 0.8292–0.8328 rally intact, with ATR(14) near 3 pips reflecting thin pre-London trade.
Support: 0.83189, 0.83161, 0.83039
Resistance: 0.83266, 0.83275
What it said to watch
London open close above the 0.8328 prior high breaks the range to the upside
Loss of the 0.8316 Asian low exposes the 0.8304 NY low and the rally fib 50% area
JOLTS and Consumer Confidence at 14:00 UTC plus Fedspeak into Waller could materially shift this read
Late-Asia range 0.8319–0.8327 capped just under the prior NY high.
Asia session lifted off the 0.8316 asian low to a 0.8327 asian high, stalling just under the 0.8328 prior high from NY. The pair has been boxed in a 7-pip range since, above a swing low at 0.8319. Higher lows from the 0.8304 ny low hold, with USD supported by oil-driven Fed-hike repricing.
Support: 0.83189, 0.83161, 0.83039
Resistance: 0.83266, 0.83275, 0.8330
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8328 prior high breaks the Asian range and puts the 0.8330 round number in play
Failure to hold the 0.8319 swing low exposes the 0.8316 asian low and the higher-lows trendline
A break of the 0.8304 ny low would end the higher-lows sequence
London open in ~4h typically resolves the Asian range; ATR near 3 pips signals compressed conditions
US JOLTS and Consumer Confidence at 14:00 UTC plus heavy Fedspeak could materially shift this read
Tight Asian range 0.8318–0.8327 under Monday's NY high.
Monday's London-NY rally from 0.8297 to a 0.8327 prior high has stalled, with Fed-hike repricing and 5%+ US yields keeping USD bid. Late Asia is compressing in a 0.8318–0.8327 range just under that high, sitting on EMA20. RSI(14) is near 58 and ATR is about 3 pips.
Support: 0.83182, 0.83039
Resistance: 0.83275, 0.8330
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8327 prior high puts the 0.8330 round number, the top of the cited 0.8305–0.8330 cap zone, in play
Loss of the 0.8318 asian low exposes the 0.8304 ny low, below the 61.8% fib of the London-NY rally
London open in ~4h typically sets the break direction out of the Asian range
JOLTS and Consumer Confidence at 14:00 UTC, plus Fedspeak from 11:30 UTC, could materially shift this read
Asia lifted off the 0.8318 base at 00:00 UTC, tagged 0.8327 just below Monday's 0.8328 prior high, then compressed in a tight 0.8319–0.8325 band. The move tracks broad USD strength on Fed-hike repricing and 5%+ US yields. RSI(14) sits near 59 and ATR is about 3 pips, typical of mid-Asia.
Support: 0.83189, 0.83039
Resistance: 0.83275, 0.8330
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8328 prior high opens the 0.8330 round number, the lower edge of the 0.8305–0.8330 overbought cap zone
Failure to hold the 0.8319 session low exposes the fib 38.2% near 0.8318, then the 0.8304 ny low
Fedspeak from 11:30 UTC and JOLTS/Consumer Confidence at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Iran-sanctions or oil headlines have been knocking USD intraday and can break the Asian range either side
02:46 UTC
Sideways near highs after Monday rally · RSI 56 · price 0.83211
Range 0.8304–0.8328, Asia holding upper half.
USD/CHF is holding the upper half of Monday's 0.8304–0.8328 range through mid-Asia. The 0.83266 Asian high stalled just under the 0.83275 Monday high, with firm Fed hike pricing lifting USD while the crowded CHF-weakness trade limits follow-through. The asian low at 0.83161 aligns with the 38.2% of the Monday rally fib, and ATR near 3 pips reflects compressed Asia trade.
Support: 0.83189, 0.83161, 0.83039
Resistance: 0.83266, 0.83275
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.83275 monday high breaks the range top toward 0.8330
Loss of the 0.83189 intraday low exposes the 0.83161 asian low and the 38.2% level of the Monday rally fib
Break of the 0.83039 ny low undoes Monday's rally structure
Fedspeak from 11:30 UTC and JOLTS at 14:00 UTC today could materially shift this read
Higher low at 0.83039 held; tight Asian range capped under 0.8327.
Monday's leg from the 0.82965 London low to the 0.83275 monday high came on hawkish Fed repricing. The NY pullback held at the 0.83039 ny low, near the 76.4% of that leg. Asia pushed to a 0.83266 asian high but stalled just under the Monday top, and price is now compressing on the 0.8320 asia floor and EMA20, with RSI(14) neutral near 54 and ATR about 3 pips.
Support: 0.8320, 0.83161, 0.83039
Resistance: 0.83266, 0.83275, 0.8333
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.83275 monday high breaks the consolidation and exposes the 0.8330 cap zone
Loss of 0.8320 asia floor, then 0.83161 asian low, opens the 38.2% fib retrace area
A break of the 0.83039 ny low would negate the higher-low structure
Fedspeak from 11:30 UTC and JOLTS at 14:00 UTC today could materially shift this read
02:16 UTC
Uptrend, momentum flattening under the high · RSI 61 · price 0.8323
HL chain intact; tight Asian range 0.8320–0.8327 below monday high.
Mid-Asia session, USD/CHF lifted off the 0.8317 break base to 0.8327, retesting the monday high as hawkish Fed repricing keeps CHF soft. Price is now compressing between the 0.8320 asia low and that high, just under the 0.8330 uob cap. Monday's 16:15 UTC flush to the 0.8304 ny low was fully recovered, and RSI(14) is near 61.
Support: 0.8320, 0.8317, 0.8304
Resistance: 0.83275, 0.8330
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8328 monday high and 0.8330 uob cap would extend the HH chain
Close back below the 0.8320 asia low breaks the Asian range, exposing the 0.8317 break base
Loss of the 0.8304 ny low would break the monday rally fib's 38.2% (0.8316) and the HL sequence
US JOLTS and Consumer Confidence Tue 14:00 UTC, plus six Fed speakers, could materially shift this read
02:02 UTC
Uptrend, pausing below the session high · RSI 61 · price 0.8323
Higher lows through Asia; tight 0.8320–0.8327 box under Monday's high.
USD/CHF opened Asia with a jump off the 0.8316 Asia low. It then stalled at 0.83266, just shy of Monday's 0.83275 session high, and has held 0.8320 (the asia hold) on every dip since. The NY low at 0.8304 marked the last pullback before the Asia higher-lows chain began. The move tracks a firm USD on 70%+ October Fed hike odds, with ATR near 2.6 pips showing thin early-Asia ranges.
Support: 0.8320, 0.8316, 0.8304
Resistance: 0.83275, 0.8330
What it said to watch
A close above the 0.83275 session high puts the 0.8330 round number and the UOB 0.8305–0.8330 cap zone in play.
Loss of the 0.8320 asia hold breaks the Asia higher-lows line and exposes the 0.8316 asia low.
Holding the 50% retrace of the rally from the 0.8304 ny low keeps the uptrend structure intact.
US JOLTS and Consumer Confidence Tue 14:00 UTC, plus Fed speakers, could materially shift this read.
Range 0.8304–0.8328 since Monday London; higher lows into Asia.
Monday's London leg from 0.8297 ran into the NY peak at 0.83275, the monday high. The NY swing low at 0.8304 then held, and rising lows since carried price into the Tuesday Asia session, where the first hour pushed to 0.8327 before stalling just under that high. Fed hike repricing and CHF funding-currency weakness underpin the move, while the asian low at 0.8316 sits on the 38.2% fib of the 0.8297–0.8328 leg.
Support: 0.83161, 0.83063, 0.83039
Resistance: 0.83275, 0.8330
What it said to watch
M15 close above the monday high at 0.83275 opens the 0.8330 round number, the lower end of the UOB cap zone
Failure to hold the asian low at 0.8316 (38.2% fib) returns price to the rising lows trendline near 0.8306 and the ny swing low at 0.8304
Break of the rising lows trendline invalidates the higher-low sequence from Monday NY
US JOLTS and Consumer Confidence at 14:00 UTC, plus Fed speakers, could materially shift this read
Asia session pushed to 0.83266 but was rejected just under Monday's 0.83275 prior high. The pair is holding near 0.8322 above a 0.83204 swing low as USD firmness on 70%+ October Fed hike odds keeps it at 16-month highs. Monday's NY dip found support at the 0.83039 ny low, right at the 61.8% fib of the day's rally, and the recovery since has stayed above the 0.83161 asian low.
Support: 0.83204, 0.83161, 0.83039
Resistance: 0.83275, 0.8330
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.83275 prior high clears the double rejection and exposes the 0.8300 round number's upper cap at 0.8330
Loss of the 0.83204 swing low and 0.83161 asian low opens the 38.2% fib near 0.8313
Failure to hold the 0.83039 ny low / 61.8% fib breaks the intraday higher-low sequence
US JOLTS and Consumer Confidence at 14:00 UTC, plus six Fed speakers, could materially shift this read in NY hours
01:16 UTC
Uptrend, pressing Monday high · RSI 64 · price 0.83236
Higher lows along rising trendline; early Asia broke above the 0.8316–0.8319 post-rollover base.
Early Asia lifted price out of the 0.8316–0.8319 asia base to 0.83266, just under the monday high at 0.83275. RSI(14) is near 64 and ATR is about 3.4 pips. The rising trendline from Monday's London-open low has held every dip, including the NY low at 0.8304 and the rollover wick. Firm USD on 10y yields at 2007 highs keeps dips shallow.
Support: 0.8319, 0.8312, 0.8304
Resistance: 0.83275, 0.8330
What it said to watch
M15 close above the monday high at 0.83275 brings the 0.8330 round number (top of the analyst cap zone) into play
Rejection at the monday high that drops back through the asia base at 0.8319 points to the trendline near 0.8312
Break below the ny low at 0.8304 would end the higher-low chain
Iran sanctions headlines, and JOLTS on Tue at 14:00 UTC, could materially shift this read
01:02 UTC
Uptrend, stalling below the Monday high · RSI 64 · price 0.83236
Higher lows since rollover; tight Asian range pressed under 0.8327.
USD/CHF held Monday's London breakout on Fed-hike repricing, and supply capped the 0.8327 monday high during NY hours and again at the Tuesday Asia open (0.83266). Early Asia session prints a higher low at 0.8317 off the rollover dip, with the Asian low at 0.8321 holding so far. RSI(14) is 64 and ATR(14) is about 2.8 pips.
Support: 0.83212, 0.83169, 0.83039
Resistance: 0.83275, 0.8330
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8327 monday high and the 0.8330 round number extends the uptrend
Loss of the 0.8321 asian low breaks the early Asia session range
Break of the 0.8317 higher low and the rising lows line exposes the 0.8315 61.8% of the rollover rally, then the 0.8304 ny low
US JOLTS and Consumer Confidence Tue 14:00 UTC, plus six Fed speakers, could materially shift this read
00:46 UTC
Uptrend, capped at prior high · RSI 66 · price 0.83235
Higher lows since London; 0.8304–0.8327 range, Asia retesting top.
Monday's London rally topped at the 0.8327 prior high. Iran sanctions-relief headlines then knocked NY back to the 0.8304 NY low, but the dip held the rising lows. Early Asia lifted off the 0.8317 Asian base to retest the prior high, with RSI(14) near 66.
Support: 0.8317, 0.8304
Resistance: 0.8327, 0.8330
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8327 prior high opens the 0.8330 round number, top of the UOB cap zone
Loss of the 0.8317 Asian base returns price to the middle of the range
Break below the 0.8304 NY low breaks the rising lows trendline
US JOLTS and Fed speakers Tue 14:00 UTC could shift this read later in the day
HL chain from 0.8297; early Asia break of overnight range, testing day high.
Early Asia pushed out of the overnight range (0.8316–0.8321) to 0.8324, back under Monday's 0.83275 day high. Fed hike repricing has driven the 16-month highs. The uptrend of higher lows from the 0.8297 London low, through the 0.8304 NY low, remains intact beneath the move.
Support: 0.8316, 0.8304
Resistance: 0.83275, 0.8330
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.83275 day high extends the higher-high sequence into the 0.8330 psych and top of the 0.8305–0.8330 cap zone
Slip back below the 0.8316 range low negates the Asia breakout and puts price back inside the overnight range
Break of the higher-low trendline and the 0.8304 NY low shifts structure to a lower low; 0.8309 is the 50% fib
US JOLTS and Consumer Confidence Tue 14:00 UTC, plus Fed speakers, could materially shift this read
Lower high at 0.8323 after 0.83275 peak; tight Asia range 0.8313–0.8323.
On firm US yields, Monday's London push cleared the Asian range (0.8290–0.8301) and ran to a 0.83275 session high in the first hour of NY. The pullback held the 0.8304 NY low twice, recovered only to a lower high at 0.8323, and early Asia is now compressing between the 0.8313 Asia low and 0.8323 after a thin rollover spike to 0.8308, with RSI(14) flat near 49.
Support: 0.8313, 0.8304, 0.8300
Resistance: 0.8323, 0.83275
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8323 lower high reopens the 0.83275 session high
Loss of the 0.8313 Asia low exposes the 0.8304 NY low and the rising lows line
Break under 0.8304 retests the 0.8300 round number and breaks the higher-low sequence on the London-NY leg fib
JOLTS 14:00 UTC and the Tuesday Fedspeak cluster could reset this range