USD/JPY AI Live Scan, 4-hour chart, Thursday, 6 August 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the USD/JPY 4-hour chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
21:02 UTC
Downtrend, basing after crash · RSI 61 · price 158.401
Recovery off 155.23 low, higher lows building.
The intervention-driven crash from 163.90 to 155.23 dominates the window, but price has since carved a series of higher lows and is grinding back up, now pressing the recent high at 158.55. ATR(14) has compressed sharply from the crash spike as the pair consolidates in a 157.30-158.55 band. Price holds above EMA20 while EMA50, still dragged up by the pre-crash levels near 160, caps overhead.
Support: 157.30, 155.23
Resistance: 158.55, 159.57, 160.00
What it said to watch
US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term driver for this read
H4 close above 158.55 opens the path toward the 159.57 prior high
Failure to hold 157.30 range base risks a retest of the 155.23 swing low
160.00 flagged as intervention-risk ceiling on any extension
Base building above intervention low, higher lows.
USDJPY collapsed from 163.90 to 155.23 on last week's joint intervention, then clawed back roughly a third of the move. Price has spent the last several days consolidating 157.30-158.00 and is now pressing the top of that base, with 158.55 (the 38.2% retrace of the crash) capping. EMA20 has turned up beneath price while EMA50 sits well above near the pre-crash range, keeping the broader picture heavy despite the recovery.
Support: 157.30, 155.23
Resistance: 158.55, 159.57, 160.00
What it said to watch
US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC is the dominant driver for the next leg
H4 close above 158.55 opens the path toward the 159.57 fib 50%
Loss of the 157.30 range floor reopens the crash low at 155.23
Downtrend, basing after shock · RSI 57 · price 158.486
Recovery off 155.23 low, rising lows.
The pair is basing after the coordinated intervention crash from 163.98 to the 155.23 low, and has since carved a series of rising lows back into the 158.00 area, this bar pushing to 158.49. ATR(14) has compressed sharply versus the shock volatility and price sits at the 38.2% retracement of the decline, with EMA20 reclaimed but the EMA50 still capping overhead. USD/JPY is giving back intervention gains as skepticism over follow-through dominates.
Support: 157.30, 155.23
Resistance: 159.50, 160.00
What it said to watch
US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC is the decisive catalyst and could reset this read
H4 close above 159.50 opens the path toward the 160.00 round number
Failure to hold the 157.30 range low reopens the 155.00 area
USD/JPY has retraced roughly a third of the ¥8-plus intervention slide from 163.98 to the 155.23 crash low, carving higher lows through the past week. The latest H4 broke above the 157.8 consol top into 158.50, with EMA20 recovered but price still trading below the EMA50. ATR compression through the 157.5-157.9 shelf preceded this push higher.
Support: 157.80, 157.50, 155.23
Resistance: 160.00, 160.88
What it said to watch
US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC is the decisive catalyst and could reshape this recovery read
H4 close back below the 157.50 pivot would negate the higher-low recovery
Break above 160.00 psych and the 160.88 bounce high would reopen the topside
13:02 UTC
Sharp downtrend, now consolidating · RSI 57 · price 157.856
Range-bound above 157.50 pivot.
An intervention-driven collapse dragged price from ~163.9 to a 155.23 range low earlier this month; the pair has since recovered and is consolidating in a tight band pinned to the 200-dma near 157.50. ATR(14) is compressing around 33 pips with a range top near 157.94 capping the bounce. US NFP Friday is the dominant near-term driver via the USD leg.
Support: 157.50, 155.23
Resistance: 157.94, 158.30
What it said to watch
H4 close below 157.50 200-dma reopens the path toward the 155.23 range low
Close above 157.94 range top clears the consolidation ceiling toward 158.30
US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC could materially reprice this range
13:02 UTC
Downtrend, now consolidating above the low · RSI 57 · price 157.856
Recovery range 157.20-157.95 above 155.22 low.
A sharp intervention-driven collapse dumped USDJPY from ~164 to the 155.22 swing low before a three-session recovery stalled into a tight 157.20-157.95 range, with price now pinned to the 157.50 200-dma pivot. ATR(14) has compressed hard as the pair coils just below its range high, and EMA50 sits well overhead reflecting the broken uptrend. The USD leg is defensive after soft ADP and ISM, keeping the pair capped.
Support: 157.50, 157.20, 155.22
Resistance: 157.95, 160.00
What it said to watch
H4 close below 157.50 200-dma reopens the path toward the 155.22 swing low
H4 close above 157.95 range high extends the recovery toward 160.00 psych
US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst via the USD leg and could break this range
09:02 UTC
Sharp downtrend, now consolidating · RSI 49 · price 157.857
USD/JPY collapsed from the 164 area on record MoF/US-coordinated intervention, printing a low at 155.23 before recovering into a tight coil just above the 157.50 200-day pivot. ATR(14) has compressed hard as price ranges in a sub-60-pip band between the 157.00 range low and 158.30 range top; price sits below EMA50 but has reclaimed EMA20 inside the range. Strength is viewed as tactical into Friday's US payrolls.
Support: 157.50, 157.00, 155.225
Resistance: 158.30, 160.00
What it said to watch
H4 close above 158.30 opens the path back toward the 160.00 psych level
Loss of 157.00 range low exposes the 155.23 swing low
US NFP Fri 12:30 GMT is the dominant catalyst and could break this range either way
09:02 UTC
Downtrend, now consolidating · RSI 53 · price 157.857
Post-crash range around 157.50 pivot.
An intervention-driven collapse from the 163 handle wiped ~800 pips off USDJPY into a 155.23 low, and price has since stabilised into a tight range around the 157.50 200-DMA pivot. ATR(14) has compressed to ~34 pips, marking consolidation after the shock, while price hugs a flattening EMA20 well below the EMA50. USD softness after the weak ADP print keeps the yen firm but conviction is capped into Friday's NFP.
Support: 157.00, 155.23, 155.00
Resistance: 158.30, 160.00
What it said to watch
H4 close above 158.30 opens the path back toward 160.00
Failure to hold 157.00 reopens the 155.00 downside
US NFP Fri 12:30 GMT is the dominant catalyst for this range
05:02 UTC
Sharp breakdown, now basing · RSI 50 · price 157.721
Post-crash range above 155.25 low.
A coordinated-intervention shock collapsed USD/JPY roughly 800 pips from the 163.90 area to a 155.25 low, shattering the multi-week 162-164 grind. Price has since clawed back to 157.7 and is consolidating tightly in a 157.20-157.95 band, with ATR(14) compressing after the volatility spike. Both EMAs sit well overhead as the pair rebuilds a base above the intervention low.
Support: 157.20, 155.25
Resistance: 157.95, 160.00
What it said to watch
H4 close above 157.95 opens the path to 158.30 and the 160.00 intervention line
Failure to hold 157.20 reopens the 155.25 swing low
US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC is the decisive catalyst that could break this range
05:02 UTC
Downtrend, basing after sharp drop · RSI 50 · price 157.721
Range-bound recovery above intervention low.
USDJPY collapsed from the 163.6-164 shelf on the coordinated US-Japan intervention, bottoming near 155.25 before clawing back to roughly 157.7. Price has since coiled into a tight 157.15-157.95 range, sitting above a recovering EMA20 but well beneath the EMA50 up near 160, which keeps the broader down-leg intact. ATR has cooled from the intervention spike, reflecting the current consolidation.
Support: 157.15, 155.25
Resistance: 157.95, 158.30
What it said to watch
Friday NFP (Aug 7, 12:30 UTC) is the dominant catalyst and could break this range either way
H4 close above 157.95 opens the path toward 158.30
Slide below 157.15 puts the 155.25 intervention low back in focus
01:02 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating after sharp drop · RSI 48 · price 157.642
Range 157.00-158.30, higher lows off weekly low.
Coordinated US-Japan intervention slammed USD/JPY from 163.9 to a 155.22 weekly low, and price is now boxed in a 157.00-158.30 band with a series of higher lows since that low. Price is holding above a flattening EMA20 but remains well below EMA50 after the drop, and ATR stays elevated near 42 pips. The bounce off the weekly low is grinding rather than impulsive, keeping the recovery capped below the range top.
Support: 157.00, 155.22
Resistance: 158.30, 160.00
What it said to watch
H4 close above 158.30 range top opens the path to the 160.00 psych barrier
Failure to hold 157.00 range floor re-exposes the 155.22 weekly low
US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC is the decisive catalyst and could materially shift this read
01:02 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating after flush · RSI 53 · price 157.642
Coordinated US-Japan intervention drove a violent collapse from ~163.65 to a 155.25 weekly low, wiping out weeks of grind-higher structure. Price has since stabilised into a 157.00-157.95 range with a series of higher lows off the low. ATR(14) has compressed hard from the intervention spike, and price sits above EMA20 but well below the still-elevated EMA50.
Support: 157.00, 155.25
Resistance: 157.95, 160.00
What it said to watch
H4 close below 157.00 opens the path back toward the 155.25 weekly low
H4 close above 157.95 range top exposes 160.00 psych level
Fri 12:30 UTC US NFP is the decisive catalyst and could materially shift this read