USD/JPY AI Live Scan, 4-hour chart, Wednesday, 5 August 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the USD/JPY 4-hour chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
21:02 UTC
Downtrend after intervention crash, now basing · RSI 45 · price 157.70
Consolidation 156-158 above the 155.22 crash low.
USDJPY was slammed from the 163.90 region to a 155.22 crash low on last week's US-Japan joint intervention, and has since clawed back into a tight 156-158 consolidation. Price is holding well below EMA20 and EMA50 with the 200DMA at ~158.00 capping the recovery, consistent with the soft-USD, firmer-JPY tone after the ADP miss. ATR remains elevated from the intervention spike but has compressed through the basing action of recent sessions.
Support: 156.24, 155.22
Resistance: 158.00, 160.00
What it said to watch
H4 close above 158.00 (200DMA) opens the path toward the 160.00 ceiling
Failure to hold 156.24 reopens the 155.22 crash low
US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDJPY collapsed from the 163-164 shelf to a 155.23 low on last week's US-Japan joint intervention, one of the sharpest H4 moves in the window. Price has since clawed back into a tight 156-158 range and is grinding sideways below EMA50, with EMA20 flattening just under the current 157.70 print. Compression under the 158.57 fib retracement and the ~158 area keeps the recovery capped.
Support: 156.24, 155.23
Resistance: 157.96, 158.57, 160.00
What it said to watch
H4 close above 157.96 range high opens the path to the 158.57 fib and 160.00 psych level
Failure to hold 156.24 swing low reopens the 155.23 intervention low
Fri NFP (12:30 UTC) is the week's dominant catalyst and could break this range
Fresh intervention headlines would materially shift this read
17:02 UTC
Sharp downtrend, now basing · RSI 51 · price 157.642
Consolidation range after intervention-driven drop.
USDJPY collapsed from the 164 area to a 155.22 low as coordinated US-Japan intervention hit the tape, wiping out weeks of grind higher. Price has since carved a tight 157.20-157.96 range in the mid-157s, with ATR(14) compressing hard versus the crash bars. EMA50 sits far above spot after the drop, while EMA20 has flattened under price as the base builds.
Support: 157.20, 155.22
Resistance: 157.96, 160.00
What it said to watch
H4 close above 157.96 range high opens the path back toward 160.00 psych level
Failure to hold 157.20 range floor puts the 155.22 swing low back in play
Friday US NFP (f/c 80K, ADP flagged 44K downside) could materially shift this read
17:02 UTC
Downtrend, basing after crash · RSI 45 · price 157.642
Range in mid-157s above 155.25 swing low.
The multi-week 162-164 base gave way to a violent range break lower as coordinated US-Japan intervention drove USDJPY to a five-month low near 155.25. Price has since recovered and is consolidating in the mid-157s, carving higher lows off the intervention low while capped below the 157.96 recent high. ATR remains elevated from the crash, keeping ranges wide as the pair digests the move.
Support: 155.25
Resistance: 157.96, 160.00
What it said to watch
H4 close above 157.96 recent high extends the recovery toward the 160.00 intervention line
Failure to hold 155.25 swing low confirms a fresh lower-low
Friday NFP (~19h out) could materially shift this read
13:02 UTC
Sharp downtrend, now basing · RSI 52 · price 157.571
Consolidating below 158.02 after intervention flush.
The H4 collapsed roughly 850 pips off 163.9 into the 155.20 low as coordinated MoF/US Treasury intervention hit the tape late last week. Price has since retraced to 27% of that impulse and is grinding sideways in the 156.00-157.90 band, with the 200-DMA at 158.02 capping every push higher. ATR remains elevated versus the pre-crash regime but is compressing as the consolidation matures.
Support: 156.00, 155.20
Resistance: 157.90, 158.02
What it said to watch
H4 close above 158.02 200-dma opens the path back toward the pre-crash zone
Failure to hold 156.00 range base reopens the 155.20 intervention low
US ISM Services / NFP this week could break the consolidation either way
Renewed MoF/Treasury intervention rhetoric would reject 158.02 hard
13:01 UTC
Downtrend, basing after selloff · RSI 49 · price 157.571
Range break lower, consolidating above the low.
The multi-week 162-164 range collapsed on coordinated MoF/US intervention, USDJPY plunging to 155.22 before retracing roughly a quarter of the move. Price is now consolidating 156-158, capped just under the 200-DMA at 158.02 and holding above the base low near 157.21. ATR(14) remains elevated versus the pre-crash grind, and EMA20 has crossed below EMA50 after the drop.
Support: 157.21, 155.25
Resistance: 158.02, 157.96, 160.54
What it said to watch
H4 close above 158.02 (200-dma) opens the path back toward 160.54
Failure to hold 157.21 base low reopens the 155.25 intervention low
US ISM Services / NFP this week could materially shift this read
Fresh MoF/Treasury intervention rhetoric a wildcard capping upside
USDJPY held a tight 162-164 band for two weeks before breaking violently lower, with ~$87bn of coordinated intervention driving the pair from 163.9 to 155.20 in a single session. Price has since stabilized in the mid-157s, repeatedly capped near the intervention line at 158.02 as ATR reflects the volatility spike. EMA20 has crossed below EMA50 following the breakdown, and both now sit above price.
Support: 157.20, 155.23
Resistance: 158.02, 160.50
What it said to watch
H4 close above 158.02 opens the path back toward the 160.50 bounce high
Loss of 157.20 exposes the 155.23 intervention low
US ADP (12:15 UTC) and ISM Services (14:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
05:01 UTC
Sharp downtrend, now basing · RSI 48 · price 157.406
Range 155.20-158.02 after intervention drop.
The multi-week plateau near 163.9 collapsed on last week's coordinated US-Japan intervention, a ~800 pip cascade that bottomed at 155.22. Price has since carved higher lows and stabilised in a 155.20-158.02 range, with the 200-day SMA / intervention line at 158.02 capping the recovery. ATR is compressing off the intervention spike as the pair consolidates in the mid-157s.
Support: 156.20, 155.22
Resistance: 158.02
What it said to watch
H4 close above 158.02 (200-dma) would extend the recovery toward 160
Loss of 156.20 swing low reopens the 155.22 intervention low
US NFP Friday is the near-term catalyst; fresh MoF intervention headlines could reject 158 sharply
Sharp break lower, now consolidating under 200-dma.
USDJPY collapsed from the 163.90 area to a 155.23 low on the rare ~$87bn joint US-Japan intervention, a multi-figure move that resets the structure firmly lower. Price has since ground back up through the last several bars, printing rising lows into the 200-DMA cap at 158.02. ATR is elevated but compressing off the crash spike as the pair consolidates below prior support-turned-resistance.
Support: 155.23
Resistance: 158.02
What it said to watch
H4 close above 158.02 200-dma would flag fading intervention effect
loss of 155.23 intervention low opens deeper downside toward 153
US ADP/ISM today and NFP Friday are the dominant catalysts for this read
01:02 UTC
Downtrend, basing after sharp drop · RSI 46 · price 157.743
Consolidation 155.20-158.00 below prior range.
USDJPY collapsed from the 163.90 area to a 155.23 low on the coordinated US-Japan intervention, then rebounded to base in a tight 155.20-158.00 band. Price is grinding sideways just under the 158.02 200-day line, which the digest flags as the key cap on relief rallies, with the EMA20 and EMA50 both stacked above the market. ATR remains elevated after the crash, keeping the consolidation volatile.
Support: 155.23
Resistance: 158.02
What it said to watch
H4 close above 158.02 200-dma opens the path back toward 159-160
Failure to hold 155.23 reasserts downside toward 153
US NFP Friday is the dominant catalyst and could break this range either way