Every read JAFX AI made on the USD/JPY daily chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
21:02 UTC
Uptrend, grinding to 2-year highs · RSI 68 · price 161.437
Chain of higher highs / higher lows since April.
USDJPY has trended higher for four months, holding above a rising EMA(50) on D1, and last week broke the 160.50 consolidation to print fresh near-two-year highs at 161.81. The advance has been fed by a hawkish Fed hold and crowded short-JPY carry, with the BoJ's hike to 1.0% failing to lift the yen. Price is now pressing the 161.75 zone the news flags as a likely Tokyo intervention trigger, with RSI elevated but not yet stretched into D1 overbought.
Support: 160.00
Resistance: 161.75, 161.81, 162.00
What it said to watch
- Daily close above 161.81 opens the 162.00 psych level
- Intervention risk concentrated at 161.75 — area to watch for a sharp snapback
- Tokyo CPI Thu (Jun 25) could revive BoJ-hike bets and shift this read
- Loss of 160.00 would mark the first lower low since April
21:02 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 68 · price 161.437
Higher highs and higher lows since April low.
USDJPY has carved a steady multi-week uptrend off the late-April washout near 155.50, reclaiming and holding above EMA(50) on D1 with a clean chain of higher lows. The grind reflects the hawkish-Fed / wide-rate-gap backdrop keeping the pair bid as carry resumes, with last week's print pushing to a fresh near-two-year high at 161.80. Price now sits just under that high, pressing the 161.75 zone flagged as an intervention trigger.
Support: 160.00
Resistance: 161.80, 162.00
What it said to watch
- A daily close above 161.80 opens the 162.00 psych level
- 161.75-162.00 is the verbal-intervention zone — area to watch for a sharp snapback
- Tokyo CPI Thu could revive BoJ-hike bets and stall the advance
- Loss of 160.00 round number would break the rising-low sequence