XAG/USD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Friday, 18 September 2026

Every read JAFX AI made on the XAG/USD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.

20:47 UTC

Pullback within intraday uptrend, momentum fading · RSI 37 · price 66.317

Lower highs off the 67.32 session high, holding above the 65.97 swing low.

Silver squeezed to a 67.32 session high during the London-NY overlap — the oil-led yield retreat flagged in the digest — then bled back through the 67.00 shelf, printing a chain of lower highs (67.32, 67.17, 66.85) into the late NY hours. Price is pinned near 66.24-66.40 below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) around 37; the final bars are thin into the Friday close.

Support: 66.24, 65.974

Resistance: 66.847, 67.00, 67.321

What it said to watch

  • Close below the 66.240 session low confirms a lower low and puts the 65.974 swing low back in play
  • Reclaim of the 66.847 prior high and the 67.000 shelf invalidates the lower-high chain
  • Weekend gap risk into Monday's Fedspeak (Goolsbee 10:30 GMT) can reset this intraday read

20:32 UTC

Pullback within intraday uptrend, momentum flat · RSI 39 · price 66.398

Lower highs off 67.321, basing above 66.24.

Silver's squeeze-driven push to 67.321 in the London-NY overlap has unwound into a sequence of lower highs — 66.847 was rejected in the second half of NY, and price has spent the last two hours coiling between the 66.240 session low and 66.605 micro high, below both EMA20 and EMA50. RSI(14) near 38 with ATR(14) at ~145 pips; the last bar is near-empty on the NY close, so the current range is a thin-liquidity construct rather than real acceptance.

Support: 66.24, 66.168, 65.974

Resistance: 66.605, 66.847, 67.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 66.847 breaks the lower-high sequence and re-opens the 67.000 psych level
  • Loss of the 66.240 session low exposes the 66.168 swing low, then 65.974 range low
  • Asia reopen after the thin NY close is the first real test of this 66.24-66.60 range
  • Fed's Goolsbee Mon 10:30 GMT is the next scheduled catalyst that could invalidate the consolidation read

20:17 UTC

Intraday uptrend rolled over, lower highs · RSI 41 · price 66.38

Double top at 66.85 broken, price grinding into session low.

The oil/yield-driven silver squeeze peaked at the 67.321 day high in London hours; the NY recovery off 65.974 then stalled twice at the 66.847 ny high and that double top has since broken. Price is fading under EMA20 into the close with RSI(14) near 41, 66.605 the nearest lower high and 66.240 session low the immediate floor.

Support: 66.24, 66.168, 65.974

Resistance: 66.605, 66.847, 67.321

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 66.168 ny low confirms a lower-low and puts 65.974 swing low back in play
  • Reclaim of 66.847 ny high invalidates the double top read
  • Weekend gap risk plus Fed's Goolsbee Mon 10:30 GMT is the first live catalyst after this window

20:04 UTC

Pullback within intraday uptrend, momentum fading · RSI 39 · price 66.36

Lower highs since 66.847, holding above 66.24 session low.

Silver's squeeze stalled at 67.32 earlier in the window and late NY hours have carved a chain of lower highs from 66.847, with price now pinned under the ema20 at 66.51 after the soft US Industrial Production print took a little edge off the dollar bid. RSI(14) at 39 and the 61.8% retrace of the 65.974–66.847 leg sits right at 66.31, where the current bar is trading; 66.24 session low is the near reference into the weekend close.

Support: 66.24, 65.974

Resistance: 66.51, 66.605, 66.847

What it said to watch

  • Close back above 66.605 prior high invalidates the lower-high chain
  • Loss of 66.240 session low opens the 65.974 swing low
  • ema20 at 66.51 capping each bounce attempt — area to watch for rejection or reclaim
  • Fedspeak early next week (Goolsbee) is the first live catalyst for yields and could reset this intraday read

19:48 UTC

Intraday pullback, upside momentum fading · RSI 43 · price 66.402

Lower highs from 67.32, holding the 66.38 shelf.

London's 67.321 day high gave way to a 135-cent slide into the 65.974 ny swing low, and the NY bounce stalled at 66.847 — the 61.8% retracement of that leg — before fading back toward the 66.380 late-ny low into the Friday close. The squeeze that carried silver above $67 was yield- and oil-led rather than a dovish repricing, and today's soft US industrial production print did little to extend it; RSI(14) near 42 with price under EMA20 and EMA50 leaves the last 8 hours as a lower-high sequence.

Support: 66.38, 66.206, 65.974

Resistance: 66.847, 67.321

What it said to watch

  • Close below the 66.380 late-ny low exposes the 66.206 swing low, then 65.974
  • Reclaim of 66.847 session high invalidates the lower-high sequence
  • Weekend gap risk into Monday; Fed's Goolsbee Mon 10:30 GMT is the first live catalyst for the rate-pricing that drove this week's squeeze

19:32 UTC

Intraday uptrend stalled, momentum flat · RSI 47 · price 66.39

Lower highs off 67.32, ranging 66.20-66.85.

The relief squeeze that carried silver to 67.32 in the London session lost traction, and NY has traded a 66.20-66.85 range since the 65.97 swing low. Rejection at the 66.85 session high has price back mid-range at 66.39, below EMA20 with RSI(14) near 47 and the 67.00 shelf still unreclaimed.

Support: 66.21, 65.97

Resistance: 66.85, 67.00, 67.32

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below the 66.21 session low confirms a lower low and puts 65.97 back in play
  • Reclaim of the 66.85 session high is required before the 67.00 shelf is tested again
  • Final bar is thin into the weekend close; Monday Fedspeak (Goolsbee) is live risk to this range read

19:18 UTC

Intraday uptrend stalled, drifting sideways · RSI 53 · price 66.532

Lower highs from the 67.32 day high, base above the 66.17 swing low.

Silver's squeeze off the oil/yield rollover topped at the 67.32 day high early in NY, then unwound to 65.97 before a grind back to 66.847, where the move was rejected and price slipped under EMA20 into the weekly close. Last few hours are a 66.38–66.85 range with RSI(14) back to neutral near 53 and ATR(14) around 170 pips.

Support: 66.379, 66.168, 65.974

Resistance: 66.847, 67.00, 67.321

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above the 66.847 session high would re-open the psych 67.00 shelf and the 67.32 day high
  • Loss of 66.168 swing low would confirm a lower low and put the 65.974 pullback low back in focus
  • Final bar is thin into the weekly close — Monday's gap risk and Fed's Goolsbee (Mon 10:30 GMT) can reset this range read

19:07 UTC

Intraday uptrend stalled, pulling back · RSI 53 · price 66.482

Lower highs off 67.32, holding above 66.44.

Silver topped at 67.32 during the London-NY overlap — the tail end of the squeeze off $62 as yields and WTI rolled over — then sold to 65.97 before the NY session rebuilt to 66.85. That bounce was rejected into late NY and price has slipped back under EMA20 to 66.48 on a thin final bar, RSI(14) neutral at 53.

Support: 66.44, 66.21, 65.97

Resistance: 66.85, 67.00, 67.32

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of the 66.85 session high puts the 67.00 psych level back in scope
  • Loss of 66.44 swing low exposes the 66.21 prior low, then the 65.97 pullback low
  • Final bar is thin into the weekend close — Monday Fedspeak (Goolsbee) is the next live catalyst for this read

18:48 UTC

Intraday pullback inside a broader squeeze higher · RSI 52 · price 66.527

Lower high vs 67.32 day high; NY recovery leg stalled at 66.85.

London morning topped at the 67.32 day high, NY sold it down to the 65.97 swing low before a steady six-hour grind back to 66.85, where supply capped it and the last two bars gave back 30c into the late-Friday close. Price is now back under EMA20 (66.59) and pinned on EMA50 near 66.49, RSI(14) mid-range at 52 — mechanical squeeze off $62 is digesting, not extending, with the 67.00 psych shelf unreclaimed.

Support: 66.49, 66.21, 65.97

Resistance: 66.85, 67.00, 67.32

What it said to watch

  • Close below the 66.21 ny low confirms a lower low and reopens the 65.97 swing low
  • Reclaim of the 66.85 session high puts the 67.00 psych level and 67.32 day high back in range
  • Sustained trade under ema50 (66.49) removes the last intraday support reference
  • Weekend gap risk and Monday Fedspeak (Goolsbee) could reset this intraday read

18:32 UTC

Intraday recovery, grinding higher · RSI 64 · price 66.755

Higher lows since the NY low, capped under the session high.

Silver was rejected at the 67.32 london high in the morning, sold off to 66.04 at the NY low, then rebuilt a higher-low chain through the NY afternoon — the yield/oil-driven squeeze the digest flags, helped by the soft US industrial production print. Price is back above the 66.58 break retest and pressing the 66.85 session high with RSI(14) mid-60s; ATR(14) ~156 pips keeps swings wide.

Support: 66.58, 66.27, 66.04

Resistance: 66.85, 67.00, 67.32

What it said to watch

  • Acceptance above the 66.85 session high opens the 67.00 psych level and the 67.32 london high
  • Loss of the 66.27 ny range low breaks the higher-low chain and re-exposes the 66.04 ny low
  • Failure to hold the 66.58 break retest would flatten the intraday recovery read
  • Monday Fedspeak (Goolsbee 10:30 GMT) is the first catalyst able to reset this intraday structure

18:17 UTC

Uptrend resumed after midday pullback · RSI 65 · price 66.742

Higher low off 65.97, grinding back toward day high.

Silver sold from the 67.321 day high into a 66.27–66.40 consolidation through the London-NY transition, then broke back up in the NY session to a 66.828 session high, with the softer US industrial production print keeping yields and the dollar off their highs. Price is holding above the 66.540 swing low into the late NY hours, ATR(14) near 172 pips keeping ranges wide.

Support: 66.54, 66.27, 65.974

Resistance: 66.828, 67.00, 67.321

What it said to watch

  • Close back below 66.540 swing low would negate the NY breakout
  • Loss of the 66.270 range low re-opens the 65.974 day low
  • Acceptance above 66.828 session high puts 67.000 psych and the 67.321 day high back in play

18:05 UTC

Recovery leg up, momentum steady · RSI 54 · price 66.734

Higher lows since 65.97, capped under session high 66.83.

The 67.321 prior high was sold hard into the London-NY transition, bleeding to a 65.974 session low before NY hours built a chain of higher lows and broke back through the 66.576 break level. Price now sits just under the 66.828 session high with RSI(14) mid-range at ~54, softer US industrial production (0% vs 0.3%) and easier long-end yields underpinning the bounce.

Support: 66.576, 66.206, 65.974

Resistance: 66.828, 67.00, 67.321

What it said to watch

  • Acceptance above the 66.828 session high opens the 67.000 round number, then the 67.321 prior high
  • A close back below the 66.576 break level puts the 66.206 range low back in play
  • Loss of 65.974 session low would confirm a lower low on this timeframe
  • Final bars run into the weekly close — thin liquidity can distort the last prints
  • Fed speaker slate early next week is the first live catalyst after this window

17:48 UTC

Recovering, short-term uptrend intact · RSI 62 · price 66.727

Higher lows off 66.04 after consolidation break.

NY session broke the 66.20-66.43 consolidation and has ground higher into a 66.83 session high, extending silver's yield-driven squeeze after the soft US industrial production print (0% vs 0.3%). Price holds above EMA20 with RSI(14) near 62; the 61.8% retracement of the 67.32 day high to 66.04 session low drop sits exactly at the highs.

Support: 66.58, 66.35, 66.04

Resistance: 66.83, 67.11, 67.32

What it said to watch

  • Acceptance above the 66.83 session high opens the 67.11 prior high and the 67.32 day high
  • Loss of the 66.58 breakout base and 66.35 range top would put the 66.04 session low back in play
  • Late NY hours into the weekly close — thinning liquidity can distort the 66.83 test

17:33 UTC

Uptrend, momentum flattening · RSI 52 · price 66.631

Pullback from 67.32 held, now coiling above 66.53.

Silver's two-day squeeze — yield and oil driven, helped by the soft US industrial production print — stalled at 66.78 after the 67.32 day high was rejected and roughly half of the 67.32–65.97 drop was retraced. Last five bars are compressing in a 66.53–66.78 band with RSI(14) back at the midline; ATR(14) near 205 pips, so the coil is tight relative to the session's average bar.

Support: 66.53, 66.20, 65.97

Resistance: 66.783, 67.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above the 66.78 ny high reopens the 67.00 psych level and the 67.32 day high
  • Loss of the 66.53 range base exposes 66.20 swing low, then the 65.97 ny low
  • No US data scheduled in the next 8h; late-NY liquidity can widen the 66.53–66.78 band without changing structure
  • Wed flash PMIs are the week's yield catalyst and would materially reset this intraday read

17:17 UTC

Pullback being retraced, near-term grind higher · RSI 63 · price 66.69

Higher lows off the session low, ~50% of the NY drop recovered.

Silver topped at the 67.32 day high in the London morning, then unwound through the NY open to a 65.97 session low as the yield/oil-driven squeeze paused. The 66.21–66.40 session base held for six bars before price broke back above the 66.55 break level and tagged 66.78; RSI(14) ~63, ATR ~185 pips.

Support: 66.55, 66.21, 65.97

Resistance: 66.78, 67.10, 67.32

What it said to watch

  • Acceptance above the 66.78 session high exposes 67.10 prior high, then the 67.32 day high
  • A close back below the 66.21 session base negates the recovery leg and re-opens 65.97 session low
  • Fed speaker slate and a move in US 10y back toward 5.00% could reshape this intraday read

17:07 UTC

Recovery off NY low, upside resumed · RSI 50 · price 66.598

NY range 66.20–66.43 broken upward, higher lows since 65.97.

London pushed to 67.321 before NY hours unwound the move to 65.97, and the last four hours built a tight range base at 66.20–66.43 that broke higher into the final NY stretch, peaking at 66.783. Price is now coiling just above the ema20 at 66.51 with RSI(14) back at 50 — mid-range within the yield/oil-driven squeeze the digest flags into the 68.00 test.

Support: 66.51, 66.20, 65.97

Resistance: 66.783, 67.00, 67.321

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of the 66.783 session high opens the path back to the 67.00 psych level and the 67.321 day high
  • Loss of the ema20 and a close back under the 66.20 range base re-exposes the 65.97 ny low
  • Fed speaker slate and a move in US 10y back toward 5.00% remain the main intraday catalyst for this bounce

16:48 UTC

Recovering after intraday pullback · RSI 54 · price 66.608

Higher lows off 65.97, pressing the top of the NY consolidation.

Silver topped at the 67.321 day high early in NY, sold back to a 65.97 session low, then spent five hours coiling in a 66.21–66.42 band before the last two bars broke out to a 66.783 session high — the wider driver remains softer US yields and the crude correction, with today's 0% industrial production print adding to it. Price is back above EMA20 (66.49) and EMA50 (66.44) with RSI(14) mid-range at 54, so there is no momentum extreme here; ATR(14) is a wide 200 pips.

Support: 66.27, 65.97, 66.49

Resistance: 66.783, 67.13, 67.321

What it said to watch

  • Sustained M15 closes above the 66.783 session high would extend the recovery toward the 67.13 prior high and the 67.321 day high
  • Loss of the 66.27 range low re-opens the 65.97 session low and invalidates the higher-low sequence
  • Fed speaker slate and any move in the US 10y back toward 5.00% could reprice this intraday read quickly

16:32 UTC

Pullback within intraday uptrend, stabilising · RSI 48 · price 66.592

Lower highs off 67.32, rising lows since 65.97.

Silver topped at the 67.32 session high in early NY, then bled back to 65.97 and spent the last four hours coiling in a 66.21–66.43 band before the latest bar popped out to 66.59 — the 38.2% retracement of the 65.18–67.32 leg. Move up was rate-driven short-covering as US 10y backed off 5%; RSI(14) has cooled to the high-40s and ATR(14) is running near 200 pips per bar, so ranges are wide.

Support: 66.21, 65.97

Resistance: 66.78, 67.00, 67.32

What it said to watch

  • Acceptance above 66.78 prior swing would put 67.00 psych and the 67.32 session high back in play
  • Loss of the 66.21 session low re-opens 65.97 swing low and negates the rising-lows sequence
  • Late-Friday liquidity can exaggerate wicks at both range edges given the 200-pip ATR
  • Fed speakers early next week are the next scheduled catalyst for the yield channel driving this move

16:18 UTC

Intraday pullback within a two-day advance, momentum flat · RSI 37 · price 66.261

Lower highs off 67.32, now a tight range above the session low.

London hours printed the session high at 67.321 before a sharp NY-morning unwind to 65.974 — the squeeze off the hawkish Fed stalled rather than extended. Price has since coiled in a 66.21–66.43 range around the 50% retracement of the 65.18–67.32 leg, with EMA20 and EMA50 clustered just overhead near 66.43 and RSI(14) at 37.

Support: 66.17, 65.974

Resistance: 66.43, 66.78, 67.321

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above the 66.43 range top clears the EMA cluster and reopens 66.78 swing high
  • Loss of the 66.170 session low confirms a lower low with 65.974 swing low next
  • ATR(14) at ~214 pips — range compression to 20-pip bars into the late NY session is unusually tight for this symbol
  • No top-tier US data in the next 8h; Fedspeak early next week is the next scheduled catalyst

16:04 UTC

Intraday pullback, now flat · RSI 40 · price 66.294

Lower highs off 67.32, coiling above 65.97.

Silver rejected 67.32 in the first half of NY and bled ~135 cents into a 65.974 session low, the short-covering squeeze off $62 stalling as the hawkish Fed dots cap the upside. Last three hours are a tight 66.17–66.43 range under EMA20, RSI(14) around 40 with ATR ~200 pips — no structure in play into the Friday close.

Support: 66.17, 65.974

Resistance: 66.43, 66.78, 67.32

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above the 66.43 range top puts the 66.78 lower high back in focus
  • Loss of 65.97 session low confirms continuation of the lower-high sequence
  • Flash PMIs Wed 13:45 GMT are the next catalyst capable of resetting this range

15:48 UTC

Rally stalled, corrective pullback · RSI 47 · price 66.336

Lower highs off 67.32, basing above 66.17.

The squeeze that carried silver through 66.56 peaked at the 67.32 session high around the London-NY handover, and NY hours have retraced most of it — a fast slide to 65.97 before demand stepped in twice near 66.17. Last two hours are pure consolidation in a 66.21-66.43 band with RSI(14) back to mid-range and price under both EMA20 and EMA50; the softer oil/10y backdrop that drove the rally has stopped adding fuel.

Support: 66.17, 65.97

Resistance: 66.43, 66.78, 67.32

What it said to watch

  • 15m close above the 66.43 range top would re-open 66.78 prior high
  • Loss of 66.17 swing low puts the 65.97 session low back in play
  • No scheduled US data in the next 8h — late-Friday drift/thin liquidity is the main distortion risk
  • ATR(14) near 260 pips: expect continued wide intraday swings inside the range

15:33 UTC

Intraday rally stalled, corrective pullback · RSI 46 · price 66.389

Lower highs since 67.32, coiling above 66.17.

Silver's third-session squeeze — oil unwinding and the 10y back at 4.93% — topped at a session high of 67.32 early in NY hours before shedding roughly 135 pips into 65.974. Last four bars are coiling 66.17–66.43 and capped by EMA20 at 66.49, with a clean chain of lower highs since the 67.32 print.

Support: 66.17, 65.974

Resistance: 66.49, 66.779, 67.321

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 66.49 ema20 and then the 66.78 prior high would break the lower-high chain
  • Failure to hold the 66.17 swing low re-exposes the 65.974 session low
  • No further US data today; unscheduled oil supply headlines are the live risk into the close

15:17 UTC

Intraday pullback inside a broader squeeze higher · RSI 39 · price 66.381

Lower highs from 67.32, holding above 65.97 session low.

The oil/yield-driven squeeze stalled at the 67.32 session high in the London-NY overlap, with the 67.00 psych level capping twice before NY hours unwound the move to the 65.97 session low. Price has since based into 66.38 with a shallow higher-low sequence, RSI(14) near 38 and price under both EMAs; the 66.60 prior high is the first shelf of supply.

Support: 66.17, 65.97

Resistance: 66.60, 67.00, 67.32

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above the 66.60 prior high would break the chain of lower highs from 67.32
  • Failure to hold the 65.97 session low confirms continuation of the NY downleg
  • 66.17 swing low is the nearer pivot — area to watch for demand or a clean break
  • No high-impact US data left today; Fed speakers Monday are the first scheduled risk to this read

15:05 UTC

Intraday downtrend, decline decelerating · RSI 36 · price 66.307

Lower highs / lower lows since the 67.32 high, corrective bounce underway.

NY hours have been one-way lower from the 67.32 European high, with supply capping each successive lower high — the latest at 66.40 — after the 66.56 breakout lvl gave way; the oil-driven squeeze noted in the metal's tone is unwinding intraday. RSI(14) near 36 and ATR(14) around 288 pips; the 65.97 session low held on the last push and price is grinding back up toward the 66.40 lower high.

Support: 65.974

Resistance: 66.40, 66.56, 66.78

What it said to watch

  • A close back above the 66.56 breakout lvl would break the intraday lower-high chain, with 66.78 swing high the next structural marker
  • Loss of 65.97 session low extends the lower-low sequence
  • No US data left today — crude and 10y yield headlines are the live variable into the close

14:47 UTC

Intraday pullback inside a broader up-leg · RSI 34 · price 66.262

Lower highs since the 67.32 session high, holding above 66.00.

London hours capped the third-session squeeze at the 67.32 session high; NY hours have unwound roughly 135 cents in a clean lower-high chain back to a 66.04 session low before a bounce to 66.26. Price is now trading under the 66.56 breakout lvl that flipped the picture earlier in the week, with RSI(14) near 34 and ATR(14) at ~278 pips.

Support: 66.04, 65.71

Resistance: 66.56, 67.32

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim and hold of 66.56 would break the lower-high sequence off 67.32
  • Loss of the 66.04 session low extends the pullback toward the 65.71 swing low
  • Rejection at the descending lower-high line keeps the intraday downtrend intact
  • Crude and US 10y direction remain the fastest intraday driver; unscheduled oil headlines can reset this range

14:32 UTC

Intraday downtrend, pullback within broader bounce · RSI 34 · price 66.11

Lower highs and lower lows since the 67.32 session high.

Silver rejected the 67.32 session high in European hours and has bled lower through the London-NY transition, with a clean chain of lower highs capping at 66.76 then 66.53 and price now sitting on the 61.8% fib of the 65.26–67.32 impulse. RSI(14) at 33.7 with price under both EMA20 and EMA50; the 66.56 area that the digest flags as the post-Fed break level has been given back, and the 65.974 session low is the nearest shelf.

Support: 65.974, 65.70

Resistance: 66.60, 67.321

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of the 66.60 prior pivot would break the lower-high chain
  • Failure to hold 65.974 session low opens the 65.70 london low
  • ATR(14) near 280 pips — moves of that size are normal in this window
  • Fed speaker commentary and any renewed crude bid could shift this read quickly

14:17 UTC

Intraday pullback, lower highs · RSI 31 · price 66.207

Lower highs / lower lows off 67.321 after an impulsive advance.

Silver topped at the 67.321 session high into the London-NY transition and has ground lower through NY hours, slipping back below the 66.56 pivot that the oil/yield-relief rally had cleared; last print 66.207 sits near mid-retracement of the 65.18-67.32 leg. RSI(14) around 31 with a clean chain of lower highs (66.779 the latest) and price under both EMA20 and EMA50; 66.168 session low is the immediate shelf, with fib 61.8 at 66.00 below it. ATR(14) near 268 pips — moves are still wide.

Support: 66.168, 66.00

Resistance: 66.56, 66.779, 67.321

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above the 66.56 pivot breaks the lower-high chain and re-engages 66.779
  • Failure to hold the 66.168 session low confirms continuation toward fib 61.8 at 66.00
  • WTI and the US 10-year at 4.93% remain the drivers behind this leg; Fed speaker slate early next week is the next scheduled risk

14:04 UTC

Intraday uptrend stalling, corrective slide in progress · RSI 32 · price 66.257

Lower highs and lower lows since the 67.321 session high.

The three-day squeeze — oil unwinding and the 10y back at 4.93% — peaked at the 67.321 session high in early NY, and price has since bled back to 66.257, right on the 50% retrace of the 65.180–67.321 leg. Late-NY structure is a clean chain of lower highs (67.166, 66.779, 66.764) with RSI(14) near 31 and price under both EMA20 and EMA50; the 66.179 session low is the immediate reference.

Support: 66.179, 66.00

Resistance: 66.532, 66.779, 67.321

What it said to watch

  • Close below the 66.179 session low confirms another lower low and puts the 66.000 round number in view
  • Reclaim of the 66.532 fib 38.2% and then the 66.779 lower high would end the lower-high sequence
  • Loss of the 66.56 breakout zone noted in the digest re-arms the broader bearish structure
  • Thin late-Friday liquidity into the close can distort the retracement read

13:48 UTC

Intraday uptrend stalled, pullback in control · RSI 39 · price 66.38

Lower highs off 67.32 after break of the rally structure.

The squeeze topped at the 67.32 session high in late London and unwound hard into the London-NY transition, a 110-cent slide to 66.22 that put price back under the 66.56 break level cited in the silver forecasts. First hour of NY is trading heavy near 66.38 with price below EMA20 (66.67) and EMA50 (66.51), RSI(14) at 39; the soft US Industrial Production print (0% vs 0.3%) failed to lift the metal.

Support: 66.22, 66.00

Resistance: 66.56, 66.78, 67.32

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim and 15m close above the 66.56 break level would re-open the 66.78 bounce high and 67.00
  • Failure to hold 66.22 swing low confirms a lower low and exposes the 66.00 psych level
  • ATR(14) at ~250 pips — moves are running wide, level tests may overshoot
  • Fed speaker flow and yield direction (10y ~4.93%) remain the driver behind this pullback

13:32 UTC

Intraday uptrend stalling after failed push above 67.30 · RSI 49 · price 66.451

Lower highs off 67.32, price back inside the 66.22–66.78 pullback range.

Three-session squeeze (oil unwind, 10y back to 4.93%) topped at the 67.32 session high before a sharp 100-pip flush into early NY hours to 66.217. Price is now capped under the 66.56 break level after a failed retest, with EMA20 at 66.74 overhead and RSI(14) back to neutral near 48.

Support: 66.42, 66.217

Resistance: 66.56, 66.78, 67.32

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above the 66.56 break level would re-open 66.78 swing high and 67.00
  • Loss of 66.217 session low confirms a lower low and shifts the intraday structure down
  • Failure to hold the 66.42 swing low on a retest keeps supply capping the bounce
  • Thin US calendar for the rest of NY hours; Fed-speak next week is the next rate-path catalyst

13:17 UTC

Intraday uptrend broken, corrective recovery · RSI 41 · price 66.698

Sharp flush from session high, now basing under EMA20.

The London-NY squeeze topped at the 67.321 session high before a single-bar flush through 66.760 into the 66.217 session low, unwinding roughly 1.10 of the move as WTI-led risk transmission dominated. Price has since retraced to 66.698 and is stalling directly beneath the 66.749 ema20, with the 66.420 swing low holding on the last two tests and RSI(14) recovering from the low 30s to ~41.

Support: 66.42, 66.217

Resistance: 66.749, 66.943, 67.321

What it said to watch

  • US Industrial Production at 13:15 GMT lands inside the next bar and can materially shift this read
  • A close back above the 66.749 ema20 and then the 66.943 prior high re-opens the 67.321 session high
  • Loss of the 66.420 swing low re-exposes the 66.217 session low and confirms a lower low

13:07 UTC

Uptrend, pullback in progress · RSI 46 · price 66.616

Lower high after 67.32 rejection, basing above 66.56.

The squeeze off yesterday's 65.15 base topped at the 67.32 session high in early London, then a sharp late-London flush took price to 66.22 before a bounce back to 66.62 — the oil-unwind bid that drove the move has stalled rather than reversed. Price is now pinned between the 66.56 break level and the 66.78 rebound high, with RSI(14) back to neutral at 45 and price below EMA20 but still above EMA50.

Support: 66.56, 66.22, 66.00

Resistance: 66.78, 67.03, 67.32

What it said to watch

  • US Industrial Production at 13:15 UTC lands inside the next bar and can reprice this range ahead of the NY open
  • A 15m close back below the 66.56 break level would confirm the lower-high sequence and put the 66.22 session low back in play
  • Reclaim of the 66.78 rebound high is required before the 67.03 prior high is back in reach
  • Rising support off the 20:15 and 03:00 UTC lows is far below the market; failure at 66.22 exposes 66.00 psych

12:46 UTC

Uptrend interrupted by sharp intraday pullback · RSI 38 · price 66.608

Lower highs off 67.32 after a flush to 66.217 and reclaim of 66.56.

Silver was rejected at the 67.32 session high and flushed 110 cents to 66.217 in the London-NY transition, with the wick below the 66.56 neckline bought back inside two bars. Price now sits at 66.608 just above that neckline, capped by the 66.93 lower high; RSI(14) ~38 after the drop, ATR(14) 215 pips.

Support: 66.56, 66.217, 65.98

Resistance: 66.93, 67.00, 67.321

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back under the 66.56 neckline re-opens the 66.217 session low and the 65.98 swing low
  • Reclaim of the 66.93 lower high needed before 67.00 psych and the 67.321 session high come back into play
  • US Industrial Production at 13:15 GMT lands within the next bar and could materially shift this read via yields

12:33 UTC

Uptrend stalling, sharp pullback underway · RSI 38 · price 66.397

Lower high at 67.166 vs the 67.321 session high; rising support broken, first lower low of the day.

Silver ran from 64.08 through Asia and London to a 67.321 session high — the oil correction and the 10y back at 4.93% did the work — then rolled over, printing a lower high at 67.166 and breaking the rising support off the 65.586/66.760 lows in the last three bars into the 66.217 session low. Price now sits back under the 66.56 neckline and the 66.80 ema20 with RSI(14) at 37.6; ATR(14) is a wide 205 pips.

Support: 66.217, 66.084, 66.00

Resistance: 66.56, 66.80, 67.166

What it said to watch

  • Failure to hold the 66.217 session low exposes the 66.084 fib 38.2% zone and the 66.00 round number
  • Reclaim of the 66.56 neckline and then the 66.80 ema20 would negate the range break
  • US Industrial Production at 13:15 GMT lands within the next bar and can reset this read via yields

12:17 UTC

Uptrend, momentum broken short-term · RSI 41 · price 66.471

Higher highs capped at 67.32, first lower-low sequence into NY.

Three sessions of silver strength peaked at the 67.321 session high in London hours — the oil/10y pullback trade flagged in the digest — before a single 52-cent bar broke the 66.880 shelf and dumped price to 66.420. Close at 66.471 sits back under EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) at 41, and the rising intraday support line off the 66.139 prior pivot has given way.

Support: 66.42, 66.139, 66.081

Resistance: 66.88, 67.321

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of the 66.880 broken shelf would neutralise the range break; failure keeps 66.139 prior pivot and the 66.081 38.2% fib in view
  • A close below the 66.420 swing low extends the lower-low sequence
  • US Industrial Production at 13:15 GMT lands within the next bar period — a firm print with the 10y pushing back toward 5% would pressure this structure further

12:04 UTC

Uptrend, momentum stalling · RSI 49 · price 66.837

Higher highs into 67.32, now coiling below it.

The London-NY leg pushed to a 67.321 session high before stalling, and the last six bars have coiled between the 66.760 session low and 67.17 with price slipping back under EMA20. RSI(14) has cooled to ~49 from the highs and the 67.00 round number is now capping, though the squeeze driven by the oil-led retreat in the US 10-year to 4.93% keeps price well above EMA50.

Support: 66.76, 66.56

Resistance: 67.00, 67.321

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above the 67.321 session high resumes the higher-high chain
  • Failure to hold the 66.760 session low marks the first lower low of the NY range, with the 66.560 news pivot the next reference
  • US Industrial Production at 13:15 GMT lands inside the next bar period and could reprice this intraday read

11:47 UTC

Uptrend, momentum flattening · RSI 52 · price 66.936

Higher highs into 67.32, now sideways 66.87-67.32.

London hours extended the squeeze through the 66.56 breakout lvl to a session high of 67.32, and price has since gone sideways between 66.87 and 67.32 with the last four hours of closes pinned around 67.00, just under the ema20. RSI(14) has cooled to the low 50s from overbought as the move stalls; ATR(14) at ~162 pips keeps intraday swings wide.

Support: 66.87, 66.56

Resistance: 67.00, 67.32

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 67.32 session high would resume the higher-high chain toward 67.50
  • Loss of 66.87 range low puts the 66.56 breakout lvl back in play
  • US Industrial Production at 13:15 GMT is the only near-term print and can break this consolidation either way

11:32 UTC

Uptrend, momentum flattening · RSI 58 · price 67.013

Higher highs and higher lows, now ranging under the session high.

Silver's two-day short squeeze extended through London as falling crude pulled the US 10y back to 4.93%, clearing the 66.56 pivot and printing a session high at 67.32. Price has since gone sideways in a 66.87–67.17 band just above the EMA20 at 66.92, with RSI(14) cooling to the high 50s from the spike.

Support: 66.87, 66.92, 66.56

Resistance: 67.17, 67.32

What it said to watch

  • Loss of the 66.87 range low and the ema20 would end the higher-low chain on this timeframe
  • A 15-minute close above 67.32 session high extends the breakout leg; repeated failure at the 67.17 lower high keeps the range intact
  • US Industrial Production at 13:15 GMT lands mid-window and could break this consolidation either way
  • Slip back under 66.56 prior high would negate the breakout read

11:16 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 59 · price 67.097

Higher highs / higher lows, consolidating under session high.

Silver's short squeeze extended through Asia and into London, clearing the 66.56 pivot and the 67.00 psych level before stalling at the 67.321 session high around 09:00 UTC. Price has since coiled in a 66.87-67.17 shelf in late London morning ahead of the NY open, with RSI(14) cooling to the high-50s and the oil-led retreat in US 10y yields still the driver behind the bounce.

Support: 67.00, 66.89, 66.56

Resistance: 67.321, 68.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back under the 66.890 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
  • Acceptance above the 67.321 session high extends the leg toward the 68.00 psych level
  • Loss of the 66.560 pivot returns price into the prior range
  • US Industrial Production at 13:15 GMT lands just before NY and can reset this intraday range

11:04 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 57 · price 67.012

Higher highs and higher lows, consolidating under session high.

Silver ran a near-uninterrupted HH/HL chain through Asia and London, clearing the 66.56 prior pivot and tagging a session high of 67.321 before stalling — the oil-led retreat in the US 10y to 4.93% keeping the short squeeze alive. Last six bars are flat between the 66.874 swing low and the 67.10 round number, RSI(14) back to ~57 from stretched levels; ATR(14) at ~150 pips is the working bar range.

Support: 66.874, 66.55, 66.56

Resistance: 67.105, 67.321

What it said to watch

  • Close above 67.321 session high extends the HH/HL chain; failure there builds a double top
  • Loss of the 66.874 swing low breaks the intraday higher-low sequence and re-exposes 66.560
  • US Industrial Production at 13:15 GMT is the only near-term print and could resolve this consolidation either way

10:47 UTC

Uptrend, momentum flattening after London push · RSI 54 · price 66.957

Higher highs/higher lows, now consolidating under session high.

London hours extended the yield-driven bid, breaking the Asian range top and marking a session high at 67.321 before a three-bar fade back to 66.888. Price is now coiling 66.89–67.03 with RSI(14) back to the mid-50s from overbought, and the 66.55 breakout pivot is the last higher low of the move.

Support: 66.888, 66.55

Resistance: 67.15, 67.321

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below the 66.888 swing low breaks the intraday higher-low chain
  • Loss of the 66.55 breakout piv invalidates the London breakout read
  • Reclaim of the 67.15 minor pivot re-exposes the 67.321 session high
  • US Industrial Production at 13:15 GMT is the only data left today and could reset the intraday range

10:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 55 · price 66.961

Higher highs and higher lows, now consolidating under session high.

London hours extended the squeeze off the Asian range (65.18–65.42) to a session high of 67.321 before rejection dragged price back into a 66.89–67.11 box; the leg is yield/oil driven, with the 10y back at 4.93% and the 66.56 breakout lvl now well below price. RSI(14) has cooled to ~55 from overbought while the higher-low chain from 66.140 stays intact, ATR(14) ~155 pips.

Support: 66.89, 66.56, 66.14

Resistance: 67.105, 67.321

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 67.321 session high would resume the impulse; repeated failure under 67.105 minor cap keeps the consolidation intact
  • Loss of the 66.890 session low breaks the intraday higher-low chain and re-exposes the 66.560 breakout lvl
  • US Industrial Production at 13:15 GMT lands inside the next NY-session bars and could reprice the read

10:17 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling after session high · RSI 58 · price 66.921

HH/HL chain intact; shallow pullback from 67.32 into 66.90s.

London extended the squeeze well above the 65.18–65.72 Asian range, clearing the 66.56 breakout lvl and tagging a session high at 67.321 as the 10y retreat and softer crude kept the metal bid. Price has since stalled under the 67.00 psych level and is consolidating at the intraday low near 66.896, RSI(14) cooling to ~58 with ATR(14) at roughly 150 pips per bar.

Support: 66.896, 66.56

Resistance: 67.00, 67.321

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 66.896 on a 15-minute close would break the intraday HL chain and put 66.56 breakout lvl back in play
  • Reclaim of the 67.00 psych level keeps the 67.321 session high as the next reference
  • US Industrial Production at 13:15 GMT lands inside the next few bars and could reprice the yield-driven bid

10:04 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 63 · price 66.97

Higher highs / higher lows, pullback from session high.

Silver ran the Asian range top and extended through the London session to a session high of 67.32, the squeeze off yesterday's 65.18 base tracking the softer crude / lower 10y backdrop. Last three bars have faded back under the 67.11 prior high and are holding around 66.97, with the London low at 66.74 still the reference higher low; ATR(14) is 155 pips.

Support: 66.92, 66.74, 66.56

Resistance: 67.11, 67.32

What it said to watch

  • Repeated rejection under 67.11 with a close below 66.92 would end the intraday higher-high chain
  • Loss of 66.74 swing low opens the 66.56 break level, the pivot cited into the rest of the session
  • Reclaim of 67.32 session high extends the London leg
  • US Industrial Production at 13:15 GMT is the only data catalyst into the weekend and could reset this read

09:47 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling after session high · RSI 65 · price 66.99

HH/HL chain intact; pullback into the 66.94-67.00 shelf.

Silver ran from 66.14 through the 66.56 break level across the Asian session and into London, printing a session high of 67.32 before fading back to the 66.94-67.00 shelf; the squeeze is oil/yield-led, with the US 10y back at 4.93% capping the post-Fed dollar bid. RSI(14) near 65 has cooled from the spike without breaking the higher-low chain, ATR(14) ~164 pips.

Support: 66.94, 66.56, 66.14

Resistance: 67.00, 67.32

What it said to watch

  • Loss of the 66.94 shelf would break the intraday higher-low chain and put 66.56 back in play
  • Reclaim and hold above 67.00 psych re-exposes the 67.32 session high
  • US Industrial Production 13:15 GMT is the only data catalyst left and could reprice yields into the London-NY transition

09:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum extended · RSI 73 · price 67.14

Higher highs and higher lows since the Asian low, shallow pullbacks.

London hours broke the 66.93-67.10 consolidation and printed a session high at 67.321 before the pullback to 67.045, with RSI(14) near 73 — hot but consistent with the trend. The grind higher is the continuation of the oil/yield-relief squeeze that already cleared the widely-cited 66.56 break level; 67.00 is the first psych reference beneath price.

Support: 67.00, 66.95

Resistance: 67.321

What it said to watch

  • Loss of the 66.95 prior range base would break the higher-low chain on this timeframe
  • Acceptance above the 67.321 session high extends the breakout leg
  • US Industrial Production at 13:15 GMT is the only data catalyst into the weekend and could reset this intraday read

09:16 UTC

Uptrend, impulsive extension · RSI 73 · price 67.247

Higher highs and higher lows, fresh session high.

Silver ground higher through Asia and into London, coiling in a tight 66.94–67.10 consolidation before breaking out to a session high at 67.321 — the squeeze extension driven by softer crude and the US 10y back near 4.93%. RSI(14) at 73 is hot but not extreme, and the breakout base at 66.936 has not been retested; ATR(14) 172 pips.

Support: 67.00, 66.936, 66.40

Resistance: 67.321, 67.50

What it said to watch

  • Loss of the 67.000 round number and a close back inside 66.936 breakout base would mark a false break of the London high
  • Acceptance above the 67.321 session high opens the 67.500 psych area
  • A break of the rising support line off the 66.400 swing low ends the higher-low chain
  • US Industrial Production at 13:15 GMT lands inside the next few bars and can reprice the yield-driven leg

09:05 UTC

Uptrend, momentum extended · RSI 79 · price 67.222

Higher highs and higher lows, fresh session high on the last bar.

London session pushed through the 66.95 shelf and cleared the 66.56 pivot outright, printing a session high at 67.27 as softer crude and a 10-year back at 4.93% kept the metal bid. RSI(14) near 79 with ATR(14) around 187 pips — extended but still trending, with no sign of supply capping the advance yet.

Support: 66.95, 66.56, 66.14

Resistance: 67.27, 67.50

What it said to watch

  • Loss of the 66.95 shelf would be the first break of the intraday higher-low chain since the London open
  • A slip back under the 66.56 pivot reopens the 66.14 swing low
  • Stalling below the 67.50 round number after the 67.27 session high would flag supply
  • US Industrial Production at 13:15 GMT is the next scheduled risk into NY hours

08:47 UTC

Uptrend, extended but grinding · RSI 83 · price 67.008

Higher highs / higher lows off the Asian low, now coiling under the session high.

Silver ran the whole Asia session and London open higher off 65.18, clearing the 66.56 pivot and printing a session high at 67.105 as softer oil and a 10y retreat to 4.93% capped the post-FOMC Dollar bid. Last six bars are a tight 66.93-67.105 coil with RSI(14) at ~83 — overbought and flat while price holds, a shallow momentum stall rather than a reversal so far. Rising support off the Asian low and 66.93 range floor define the near-term structure; ATR(14) ~167 pips.

Support: 66.93, 66.56, 66.14

Resistance: 67.105

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back below the 66.93 range floor would end the London consolidation and open the 66.56 pivot
  • Acceptance above the 67.105 session high extends the breakout leg
  • Loss of 66.56 would unwind the London leg toward the 66.14 swing low and break rising support
  • US Industrial Production 13:15 GMT is the only near-term data that can reprice this range

08:32 UTC

Uptrend, momentum stretched · RSI 81 · price 66.993

HH/HL chain, coiling under session high.

London morning has extended the oil/yield-driven squeeze, tagging 67.105 as the session high before stalling; the last six bars are compressed in a 66.927–67.105 consolidation with the 67.00 psych level yet to close above. RSI(14) near 81 is deeply overbought and ATR(14) is running ~168 pips, so intraday swings are wide relative to that shelf.

Support: 66.927, 66.635, 66.139

Resistance: 67.00, 67.105

What it said to watch

  • Repeated closes below the 66.927 range low would mark the first break of the London HH/HL chain
  • Loss of 66.635 swing low confirms a lower-low and puts the 66.139 breakout base back in play
  • A 15m close above the 67.105 session high keeps the squeeze structure intact
  • US Industrial Production at 13:15 GMT is the only near-term data and can reset this range

08:17 UTC

Uptrend, momentum extended · RSI 78 · price 66.984

Higher highs / higher lows, stalling under session high.

London hours extended the squeeze through the $66.56 pivot to a session high of 67.105, with the last four bars compressing into a 17-cent band around the 67.00 round number and RSI(14) at 78. The leg is driven by softer oil and the 10y pulling back from 5.00%, not metals-specific demand; the recent low at 66.930 is the first thing giving way if the grind stalls.

Support: 66.93, 66.55, 66.139

Resistance: 67.00, 67.105

What it said to watch

  • Repeated wicks into 67.105 with RSI above 78 — session high is the area to monitor for rejection or a clean break
  • M15 close back under the 66.550 swing low breaks the rising support chain off the prior low at 66.139
  • US Industrial Production 13:15 GMT is the only near-term data and can reset this intraday read

08:04 UTC

Uptrend, extended and stretched · RSI 81 · price 66.968

Stair-step higher highs / higher lows since Asia, stalling under session high.

London hours extended the post-FOMC short squeeze, clearing the 66.56 breakout level and printing a session high at 67.105 before stalling just under the 67.00 round number. Each dip has been bought at progressively higher lows, but RSI(14) near 81 is the hottest reading in the window and the last three bars have gone sideways with tiny bodies.

Support: 66.635, 66.56, 66.40

Resistance: 67.00, 67.105

What it said to watch

  • Failure to hold the 66.635 swing low would break the higher-low chain
  • Loss of 66.56 and then the 66.40 pullback low would invalidate the breakout read
  • Acceptance above the 67.105 session high keeps the extension intact
  • US Industrial Production 13:15 GMT is the next scheduled catalyst and can reset this intraday range

07:47 UTC

Uptrend, extended but intact · RSI 79 · price 66.967

Clean HH/HL chain into session high.

Silver stair-stepped through the $66.56 break level during Asia and into the London open, printing a session high at 67.065 with RSI(14) near 79 — hot but consistent with the post-FOMC yield/oil relief squeeze off the $64.10 area. Structure is an unbroken HH/HL chain; the 67.000 psych level is the immediate cap, with the 66.635 swing low the first higher-low to lose.

Support: 66.635, 66.139, 66.00

Resistance: 67.00, 67.065

What it said to watch

  • Acceptance above the 67.065 session high would extend the breakout leg
  • Loss of the 66.635 swing low breaks the intraday higher-low chain
  • A slip back under the 66.139 prior low and 66.000 round number would unwind the whole London leg
  • US Industrial Production 13:15 GMT is the next intraday catalyst and could reset this read

07:31 UTC

Strong uptrend, extended · RSI 82 · price 66.993

Unbroken higher highs / higher lows since the London-open push, no pullback deeper than one bar.

Silver has run vertically through the Asia session into the London open, printing 67.00 on the last bar after clearing the 66.55 bull trigger — continuation of the yield-driven short squeeze off the 65.526 session low. RSI(14) near 82 is overbought with no corrective bar yet; ATR(14) at ~178 pips shows how wide the ranges have become.

Support: 66.55, 66.139, 65.526

Resistance: 67.00

What it said to watch

  • Fed's Bowman speech at 07:30 GMT is the first post-FOMC guidance and could stall the squeeze
  • Rejection at the 67.00 round number would be the first structural pause signal
  • A 15-minute close back below the 66.55 bull trigger breaks the higher-low chain
  • Loss of 66.139 swing low would flip intraday structure lower

07:17 UTC

Uptrend, extended but intact · RSI 79 · price 66.842

Clean HH/HL chain since the 65.53 low, no lower low in 24 bars.

Steady HH/HL grind off the 65.53 low through Asia and into the London open, clearing the $66.56 bull trigger and printing a session high at 66.90 — the continuation of the yield- and oil-led short squeeze that invalidated the H&S top. RSI(14) near 80 is short-term hot and the last two bars have stalled just under 66.90; ATR(14) ~185 pips.

Support: 66.138, 65.93

Resistance: 66.901, 67.00

What it said to watch

  • Fed's Bowman at 07:30 GMT is the first post-FOMC guidance and can reshape this read within one bar
  • Close below the 66.56 bull trigger breaks the HL chain and the rising support line; 66.14 prior high is the next reference
  • Acceptance above the 66.90 session high puts the 67.00 psych level in play
  • Loss of the 65.93 swing low would unwind the entire Asia-through-London advance

07:04 UTC

Uptrend, momentum extended · RSI 81 · price 66.792

Clean HH/HL chain since the 65.23 Asian low, no lower high yet.

London hours extended the yield-driven squeeze, with price breaking the 66.139 breakout base and grinding to a session high at 66.809 on an unbroken HH/HL chain. RSI(14) near 81 is the hottest reading in the window — extension, not reversal, but the 67.000 round number is the next reference above. ATR(14) at ~187 pips shows ranges have doubled versus the overnight Asia lull.

Support: 66.55, 66.139

Resistance: 66.809, 67.00

What it said to watch

  • Acceptance above 66.809 session high opens the 67.000 round number
  • Loss of 66.550, the flagged bull trigger, would print the first lower low of the London leg
  • A close back under the 66.139 breakout base invalidates the intraday uptrend read
  • Fed's Bowman at 07:30 GMT is the first post-FOMC guidance and could reprice this leg within the next bars

06:47 UTC

Uptrend, extended into overbought · RSI 81 · price 66.772

Clean HH/HL chain, fresh session high.

Asia-session grind higher broke the 66.55 bull trigger and has printed an unbroken HH/HL chain into a 66.784 session high, extending the post-Fed short-covering move as yields stayed soft. RSI(14) near 81 is overbought with price stretched well above the 66.26 ema20, and the 67.00 psych level is the next reference overhead; ATR(14) ~195 pips (0.195) on 15-minute bars.

Support: 66.55, 66.26, 66.138

Resistance: 66.784, 67.00

What it said to watch

  • Close back under 66.55 bull trigger breaks the M15 HH/HL chain
  • Rejection at the 67.00 psych level would mark the first supply since the breakout
  • Fed's Bowman 07:30 GMT — first post-FOMC guidance, can stall or extend this leg
  • Acceptance back below the 66.138 prior high would signal the breakout failed

06:32 UTC

Uptrend, momentum extended · RSI 78 · price 66.698

Unbroken chain of higher highs and higher lows through Asia, no corrective pullback yet.

Asia has been a one-way grind: silver has added roughly 1.50 off 65.18 and cleared the 66.560 break level about an hour ago, printing a 66.759 session high as post-Fed yield relief keeps the short squeeze running. RSI(14) near 78 is hot but not extreme, and the 66.139 swing low is the first structural marker below with no retest attempted yet.

Support: 66.56, 66.139, 65.93

Resistance: 66.759, 67.00

What it said to watch

  • Fed's Bowman at 07:30 GMT is the first post-FOMC guidance and could stall the squeeze inside the next bar or two
  • Sustained trade above the 66.759 session high opens the 67.000 round number
  • Loss of the 66.560 break level would be the first failure of the Asia trend structure
  • A close back under the 66.139 swing low breaks the higher-high/higher-low chain; below 65.930 session base unwinds the whole advance

06:17 UTC

Uptrend, extended · RSI 77 · price 66.629

Clean HH/HL chain, prior-day high taken out.

Asia session ground silver from 65.20 up through the 66.560 bull trigger to a session high at 66.759, the yield-relief squeeze flagged in the digest still running. RSI(14) near 77 and ATR(14) at ~211 pips — momentum is intact but stretched, with the last bar stalling just under the session high.

Support: 66.56, 66.137

Resistance: 66.759, 67.00

What it said to watch

  • Fed's Bowman 07:30 GMT lands inside the next bar hour — first post-FOMC guidance, can reprice this leg fast
  • Loss of 66.560 back inside the range would negate the breakout read
  • A close below the rising support line through 66.137 breaks the HH/HL chain
  • Acceptance above 66.759 puts the 67.000 psych level in play

06:04 UTC

Uptrend, extended into fresh highs · RSI 78 · price 66.698

Clean HH/HL chain since the Asian low, no lower high yet.

Asian hours ground higher off 65.18 and the last three hours accelerated through the 66.56 area flagged as the bull trigger, printing a session high at 66.714 as post-Fed yield relief kept the squeeze running. RSI(14) at 78 is hot but the HH/HL chain is intact, with the 66.40 swing low the nearest structural marker beneath price.

Support: 66.40

Resistance: 66.714, 67.00

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 66.400 would break the intraday HL chain
  • Acceptance above the 66.714 session high opens the 67.000 psych level
  • Fed's Bowman at 07:30 GMT is the first post-FOMC guidance and can reprice this move inside the next bars
  • RSI(14) near 78 with price extended — divergence on a new high would flag momentum fade

05:47 UTC

Uptrend, impulsive extension · RSI 72 · price 66.528

HH/HL chain off 65.526, breakout in progress.

Late-Asia hours extended the post-Fed short squeeze: price cleared the 66.138 prior high and printed a session high at 66.599 on the widest bar of the window, with RSI(14) near 72 — hot but short of extreme. Structure is a clean HH/HL chain off the 65.526 session low, driven by the pullback in US yields rather than any fresh release.

Support: 66.138, 65.93, 65.526

Resistance: 66.599, 67.00

What it said to watch

  • A close back below the 66.138 prior high breaks the HH/HL chain and reopens the 65.930 swing low
  • Rejection at the 66.599 session high would leave the 67.000 psych level untested
  • Fed's Bowman at 07:30 GMT falls within the next few bars and could reset this intraday read
  • ATR(14) around 219 pips — bar ranges are wide relative to the earlier Asian session

05:32 UTC

Uptrend, extended into new highs · RSI 71 · price 66.298

HH/HL chain through Asia, NY high taken out.

Asia session ground higher off 65.23 and pushed through Wednesday's NY high at 66.037, printing a session high of 66.351 into the pre-London hours — continuation of the yield-driven short squeeze that cleared the 64.10-64.20 area. HH/HL chain intact with RSI(14) at 70.8, hot but not stretched; ATR(14) 202 pips means wide intraday swings.

Support: 66.037, 65.705, 65.23

Resistance: 66.351, 66.56, 67.00

What it said to watch

  • Acceptance above 66.56 bull trigger would open the 67.00 round number
  • Loss of the 65.705 swing low breaks the Asian HH/HL chain
  • Fed's Bowman 07:30 GMT is the first post-FOMC guidance and could reprice this leg within the next few bars
  • A drop back under 66.037 prior high turns the breakout into a false break

05:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum intact · RSI 68 · price 66.187

Higher highs and higher lows since the Asia low, prior NY high cleared.

Asia hours extended Thursday's yield-driven short squeeze, taking out the prior NY high at 66.14 and printing a session high at 66.303 with RSI(14) near 68 — hot but not extreme. Each dip has been shallow: the 65.526 ny low and the 65.93 pullback low both held, leaving a clean higher-low chain into the London open.

Support: 65.93, 65.526

Resistance: 66.303, 66.56

What it said to watch

  • Sustained trade above 66.303 puts the 66.56 bull trigger in range
  • Loss of the 65.93 pullback low breaks the higher-low chain; 65.526 ny low is the next structural test
  • Fed's Bowman (07:30 GMT) and US Industrial Production (13:15 GMT) can reshape this read intraday

05:05 UTC

Uptrend, pressing into prior high · RSI 69 · price 66.111

Higher highs / higher lows off the asia low, capped at 66.14.

Asia session ground higher in a chain of higher lows from the 65.18 asia low, and the last full bar tagged a new session high at 66.138 — effectively a retest of the 66.137 high that capped the yield-driven NY squeeze, leaving a double top under test. RSI(14) near 69 and ATR(14) around 205 pips; 65.85 swing low is the first shelf beneath price.

Support: 65.846, 65.526, 65.18

Resistance: 66.138, 66.56

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 66.138 clears the double top and opens the 66.56 bull trigger
  • Rejection back under the 65.85 swing low would confirm the double top
  • Loss of the 65.53 higher low breaks the rising support off the asia low
  • Fed's Bowman at 07:30 GMT — first post-FOMC guidance — could shift this read inside the next few bars

04:47 UTC

Uptrend, steady grind higher · RSI 63 · price 66.065

Higher highs / higher lows through Asia, now consolidating under session high.

Asia session ground higher off 65.53, cleared the 65.94 breakout lvl and printed a session high at 66.116 around 03:30 GMT; the last four bars are pinned in a tight 65.85–66.12 shelf into the pre-London hour. RSI(14) near 63 is firm but not stretched, ATR(14) about 200 pips per bar, and the bid fits the relief move in silver as the oil rally paused with hawkish Fed pricing already absorbed.

Support: 65.94, 65.71, 65.53

Resistance: 66.116, 66.137

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above the 66.137 prior high extends the higher-high chain
  • Loss of the 65.94 breakout lvl and a close below the 65.71 swing low breaks the HH/HL chain
  • Fed's Bowman 07:30 GMT and US Industrial Production 13:15 GMT could materially shift this read

04:32 UTC

Uptrend, momentum stalling at range top · RSI 59 · price 65.955

HH/HL chain off 65.23, capped 66.12-66.14.

Asia session broke out of the 65.20-65.45 opening range and pushed to 66.116, stalling one tick under yesterday's NY high at 66.137 — a double top on this timeframe. The pullback is shallow and still holding the ema20 near 65.82 with RSI(14) around 59, extending the oil-driven relief bounce rather than reversing it.

Support: 65.82, 65.53, 65.23

Resistance: 66.12, 66.14

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above the 66.14 prior high would clear the double top
  • Loss of the 65.53 swing low breaks the HH/HL chain built off the 65.23 asia low
  • Fed's Bowman at 07:30 GMT is the next event risk into London hours

04:17 UTC

Uptrend, stalling at prior high · RSI 58 · price 65.958

Higher highs / higher lows through Asia, capped by the 66.137 prior high.

Asia session ground higher off 65.18 in a clean higher-low chain, tagging 66.116 before fading back under the 66.00 round number — a second rejection almost exactly at yesterday's 66.137 prior high set during NY hours. The advance is an extension of the oil-pause relief bid in metals; RSI(14) near 57 and ATR(14) around 213 pips leaves room either way into the London open.

Support: 65.705, 65.526, 65.23

Resistance: 66.00, 66.137

What it said to watch

  • A 15-minute close above the 66.137 prior high invalidates the twin-rejection cap
  • Loss of the 65.705 pivot low breaks the higher-low chain and exposes the 65.526 swing low
  • Failure to reclaim the 66.00 round number keeps the fade in play through London open
  • Fed's Bowman 07:30 GMT and US Industrial Production 13:15 GMT could reshape the read; a deeper unwind puts the 65.23 asia low back in view

04:04 UTC

Uptrend, extending into Asia · RSI 66 · price 66.08

Higher highs and higher lows, fresh window high.

Late Asia hours pushed silver out of the 65.53–65.95 balance to a session high of 66.116, the fourth higher low in the last 12 bars holding at 65.53. The relief bounce driven by the pause in the oil rally has now run well beyond the 65.30 zone that capped it last week; RSI(14) near 66 is firm but not stretched, ATR(14) around 216 pips.

Support: 66.00, 65.53, 65.18

Resistance: 66.116, 66.50

What it said to watch

  • Loss of the 66.00 round number and a close back under 65.53 session low would break the higher-low chain
  • Acceptance above the 66.116 session high leaves 66.50 psych as the next reference
  • Fed's Bowman at 07:30 GMT and US Industrial Production at 13:15 GMT could reprice yields and shift this read
  • Failure to hold rising support off the 65.18 swing low flattens the intraday structure

03:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum intact · RSI 69 · price 66.095

Higher lows through Asia, pressing session high.

Asia has ground steadily higher off the 65.18 asia low and just broke the late-NY consolidation top, printing 66.114 to retest the 66.137 session high set during the oil-led NY rally. RSI(14) near 69 — hot but not extreme — with ATR at roughly 234 pips per bar.

Support: 65.53, 65.18

Resistance: 66.137

What it said to watch

  • Sustained trade above the 66.137 session high extends the breakout; repeated rejection there marks a double top
  • Loss of the 65.53 swing low breaks the rising Asia support line and voids the higher-low chain
  • Fed's Bowman at 07:30 GMT and US Industrial Production at 13:15 GMT can reset this intraday read

03:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum flattening near session high · RSI 59 · price 65.776

Higher lows since the 65.18 base, capped by a flat 65.94-65.98 ceiling.

Asia session has ground higher off the 65.23 asia low but four attempts at the 65.94-65.98 session high have all been rejected, leaving price mid-range at 65.776 with RSI(14) near 59. The move is the continuation of the oil-led relief bounce in metals; ATR(14) around 22 cents (225 pips) frames the intraday swing size.

Support: 65.526, 65.23

Resistance: 65.978, 66.137

What it said to watch

  • A 15m close above the 65.978 session high would extend the sequence toward the 66.137 prior high
  • Loss of the 65.526 swing low breaks the higher-low chain and re-exposes the 65.23 asia low
  • Fed's Bowman (07:30 GMT) and US Industrial Production (13:15 GMT) are the next scheduled risks to this read

03:16 UTC

Uptrend, capped near session high · RSI 61 · price 65.742

Higher lows since the Asia low, repeated stalls at 65.94-65.98.

Silver's oil-led relief bounce extended through NY to 66.14, then based at 65.18 late in the session before Asia hours pushed back up. Four attempts at 65.94-65.98 have been rejected while lows keep rising off 65.59, leaving price mid-range with RSI(14) near 61.

Support: 65.59, 65.18

Resistance: 65.98, 66.14

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 65.98 would put the 66.14 ny high back in play
  • Loss of the 65.59 swing low breaks the rising-low chain and re-exposes 65.18
  • Fed's Bowman 07:30 GMT and US Industrial Production 13:15 GMT could reshape this intraday read

03:04 UTC

Uptrend, momentum flattening · RSI 62 · price 65.675

Higher highs/higher lows, consolidating under session high.

Asia hours broke out of the post-rollover 65.23–65.42 shelf off the 65.34 break base and ran to a 65.978 session high before stalling; price is now coiling 65.55–65.85 with RSI(14) mid-60s. The bounce follows the oil-led easing in yields flagged mid-week, with silver holding well above the 65.30 area that rejected the prior rally.

Support: 65.553, 65.34, 65.23

Resistance: 65.978, 66.137

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above the 65.978 session high opens the 66.137 prior high
  • Loss of the 65.553 swing low would confirm the breakout is failing back into the 65.23–65.42 session-low band
  • Fed's Bowman 07:30 GMT and US Industrial Production 13:15 GMT could reprice yields and shift this read intraday
  • ATR(14) near 195 pips — expect wide M15 candles around those releases

02:46 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher into Asia · RSI 69 · price 65.778

Higher lows since the 65.18 base, holding upper half of the 24h range.

Silver's oil-driven relief bounce has extended through the Asia session, with price reclaiming the 65.40 shelf and printing a higher low at 65.615 before stalling at the 65.978 session high. RSI(14) near 68.6 and price above EMA20/EMA50; the pullback from 66.137 to 65.18 has now been retraced roughly 62%.

Support: 65.615, 65.18

Resistance: 65.978, 66.137

What it said to watch

  • A 15m close back below 65.615 breaks the higher-low chain and re-exposes the 65.18 asia low
  • Rejection at the 65.978 session high keeps the recovery capped short of the 66.137 prior high
  • Fed's Bowman 07:30 GMT and US Industrial Production 13:15 GMT could reset this intraday read

02:31 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher in Asia · RSI 67 · price 65.88

Higher highs / higher lows off the 65.18 Asia low, back inside the prior NY range.

Silver held the 65.18 Asia low and has built a clean higher-low chain back to 65.88, clearing the 65.30 area that capped the earlier grind — extension of Thursday's oil-driven relief bounce. RSI(14) at 66.6 with price above EMA20 and EMA50; 65.978 session high is the immediate cap ahead of 66.137.

Support: 65.615, 65.30, 65.18

Resistance: 65.978, 66.137

What it said to watch

  • Acceptance above the 65.978 session high opens the 66.137 prior high
  • A close back below 65.615 swing low breaks the Asia higher-low chain
  • Loss of 65.30 puts the 65.18 asia low back in play
  • Fed's Bowman 07:30 GMT and US Industrial Production 13:15 GMT can reset this intraday read

02:17 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher after NY impulse · RSI 63 · price 65.774

Higher lows through Asia inside the 65.18-66.14 post-breakout range.

The NY session breakout ran 64.08 to the 66.14 ny high as the crude pullback eased yield pressure and the 64.10-64.20 neckline was reclaimed, forcing the squeeze the digest flagged. Asia has since built a higher-low chain off the 65.18 range low, with the 65.98 asia high capping and RSI(14) near 63; ATR(14) ~180 pips keeps intraday swings wide.

Support: 65.553, 65.18

Resistance: 65.978, 66.137

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above the 65.978 asia high reopens the 66.137 ny high
  • Loss of the 65.553 swing low breaks the Asian higher-low chain and puts the 65.180 range low back in play
  • Fed's Bowman 07:30 GMT and US Industrial Production 13:15 GMT (f/c 0.3%) could reset this range

02:03 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 64 · price 65.744

Higher highs and higher lows since the London breakout; shallow pullback held above prior swing lows.

London-NY squeeze carried XAG from 63.04 to 66.137, well through the $64.75-$65.30 reclaim zone flagged as the squeeze target, before a drift back to 65.18 into the rollover break. Asia has rebuilt higher lows and pushed to a 65.978 session high; price now sits mid-range at 65.744 with RSI(14) near 64 and ATR(14) around 158 pips.

Support: 65.553, 65.409, 65.18

Resistance: 65.978, 66.137

What it said to watch

  • Close above the 65.978 session high opens the path back to the 66.137 prior high
  • Loss of the 65.553 session low breaks the Asia higher-low sequence and puts the 65.409 swing low back in play
  • Fed's Bowman 07:30 GMT and US Industrial Production 13:15 GMT are the next yield-driven risks to this read

01:32 UTC

Uptrend, extended into session high · RSI 73 · price 65.845

Higher highs and higher lows through Asia; 66.14 swing high untested.

Asia session ground higher off 65.18, broke the 65.72 prior high and printed a rejection wick at 65.98 before closing 65.845 with RSI(14) near 73. Rising lows intact since the session low; the 66.14 swing high from yesterday's NY leg is the next reference, with the whole move framed by the hawkish post-FOMC dots capping metal rallies.

Support: 65.72, 65.34, 65.18

Resistance: 65.98, 66.14

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 65.72 prior high would break the Asian rising-lows sequence
  • A 15m close above 65.98 session high opens the path to the 66.14 swing high
  • Failure to hold 65.34 puts the 65.18 session low back in play
  • Fed's Bowman 07:30 GMT and US Industrial Production 13:15 GMT could reshape this read intraday

01:17 UTC

Uptrend, late-Asia leg extending · RSI 66 · price 65.70

Higher highs and higher lows off the Asian base, capped at the session high.

Silver based at the asian low near 65.23 and broke the Asian range in the last four bars, tagging a session high at 65.98 before the wick was rejected and price settled back at 65.70 — consistent with the crude-driven pullback in yields easing pressure on metals. Structure is a clean chain of higher lows with the 65.52 swing low as the nearest reference; RSI(14) near 66 is firm but not stretched, ATR(14) about 168 pips.

Support: 65.52, 65.23

Resistance: 65.98, 66.14

What it said to watch

  • A 15-minute close above 65.98 session high opens the path to the 66.14 prior high
  • Loss of the 65.52 swing low breaks the higher-low chain and puts the asian low at 65.23 back in play
  • Fed's Bowman 07:30 GMT and US Industrial Production 13:15 GMT could materially shift this read

01:05 UTC

Intraday uptrend resuming, extended · RSI 72 · price 65.872

Higher lows since the late-NY low, range top reclaimed.

Asia session has ground steadily higher out of the 65.18–65.46 late-NY range, closing at 65.872 with RSI(14) near 72 — hot but consistent with the leg. The move extends Thursday's rebound as the crude pullback eased the energy premium, though the 65.99 prior high and 66.137 NY high remain untested from below.

Support: 65.46, 65.18

Resistance: 65.99, 66.137

What it said to watch

  • An M15 close back under 65.46 range top negates the Asia breakout and puts 65.18 session low back in focus
  • Rejection at 65.99–66.14 would mark a lower high against the NY high
  • Fed's Bowman 07:30 GMT and US Industrial Production 13:15 GMT could materially shift this read

00:32 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher off session low · RSI 59 · price 65.62

Higher lows since late NY, Asia range top taken out.

Silver's oil-driven rebound peaked at 66.14 in the NY session before a steady slide to 65.18; the Asia session has since built a chain of higher lows and pushed through the 65.42 Asia range high, printing a session high of 65.71. Price is back above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) at 58.6 — recovering, not stretched — and ATR(14) near 115 pips keeps intraday swings wide.

Support: 65.42, 65.18

Resistance: 65.71, 65.90, 66.14

What it said to watch

  • A 15m close above the 65.71 session high extends the higher-low chain toward 65.90 and the 66.14 prior high
  • Loss of 65.42 (asia hi) breaks the higher-low structure and puts the 65.18 session low back in play
  • Fed's Bowman 07:30 GMT and US Industrial Production 13:15 GMT could materially reshape this read

00:17 UTC

Recovery higher, consolidating after NY rally · RSI 64 · price 65.579

Higher lows inside a tight Asian range, last bar breaking the range top.

Silver ran from 63.04 to a 66.14 day high through London-NY as the crude pullback eased the post-FOMC yield squeeze, then bled back into a 65.18-65.46 Asian range. The final bar closed at 65.579, breaking the range top on thin Asia liquidity, with RSI(14) near 64 and rising support tracking the Asian higher lows.

Support: 65.18

Resistance: 65.72, 65.95, 66.14

What it said to watch

  • Follow-through above 65.72 prior swing would extend the breakout toward the 65.95 session high and 66.14 day high
  • Loss of 65.18 asia low returns price inside the prior range and negates the breakout read
  • Fed's Bowman (07:30 GMT) and US Industrial Production (13:15 GMT) later Friday can reset this intraday structure

00:04 UTC

Uptrend, momentum stalled in late-session drift · RSI 54 · price 65.354

Post-impulse consolidation under 65.46 after NY pullback from 66.14.

Thursday's London-NY leg ran 64.58 to 66.14 before supply capped it, and the pullback has since flattened into a 65.18-65.46 Asian range with RSI(14) mid-scale at 54. Price is holding above EMA20 (65.32) and EMA50 (65.16), but the squeeze the post-FOMC digest flagged toward 64.75-65.30 has now been fully absorbed and nothing structural is in play inside the range.

Support: 65.18, 64.58

Resistance: 65.46, 65.76, 66.137

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above the 65.46 range high re-opens the 65.76 swing high
  • Loss of the 65.18 session low confirms a lower-low and puts EMA50 back in play
  • Fed's Bowman 07:30 GMT and US Industrial Production 13:15 GMT could reprice this range during London-NY hours

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