XAU/USD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Monday, 21 September 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the XAU/USD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:47 UTC
Short-term uptrend off the NY low · RSI 69 · price 4,367.70
HH/HL chain since 4322.77, late-Monday range reclaimed.
Asia has opened bid, lifting from 4343 to tag a session high at 4370.94 and taking out the whole late-Monday 4340–4353 band, after the post-FOMC dollar bid had pressed gold to a 4322.77 ny low during NY hours. RSI(14) near 69, price above EMA20 (~4354) and EMA50, ATR(14) ~560 pips — micro structure is a clean higher-high/higher-low chain with 4352.70 the break base.
Support: 4,352.70, 4,339.90, 4,322.77
Resistance: 4,370.94, 4,383.36
What it said to watch
Loss of the 4352.70 break base invalidates the Asia range break read
Acceptance above the 4370.94 session high opens the prior day high at 4383.36
Close back under the 4339.90 asia low re-exposes 4322.77 ny low
Fed's Williams, Jefferson and Barkin plus the ADP 4-week average later Tuesday could reprice this move
Gold based out at 4332/4339 after the NY-session slide from 4374.84, then the early Asia session broke the 4340–4355 congestion, printing a session high at 4366.15 before settling at 4361 — right on the 61.8% retracement of the 4383.36–4322.77 leg. Chain of higher lows intact since the London-NY transition, RSI(14) near 72 and hot but not extreme; the post-Fed dollar bid has stalled, which is where this bounce came from.
Support: 4,352.70, 4,339.21, 4,332.05
Resistance: 4,366.15, 4,374.84, 4,383.36
What it said to watch
Loss of the 4352.70 break base invalidates the range break read
Rejection at the 4366.15 session high would leave the 61.8% fib capping the move
Acceptance above 4366.15 puts the 4374.84 ny high back in play
Fed speakers Williams/Jefferson/Barkin plus ADP 4-week average later Tuesday can reset this intraday structure
23:17 UTC
Recovery leg higher off session lows, momentum extended · RSI 71 · price 4,362.28
Higher lows since 4322 low, pressing session high.
Monday's slide from 4383 to the 4322 day low on the firmer post-Fed dollar has been half retraced: the thin Asia session bid lifted price off the 4340 range floor to a fresh session high at 4366.15, with the last closed bar at 4362.28 holding above ema20. RSI(14) near 71 is short-term hot but consistent with the impulse; ATR(14) around 480 pips ($4.8) per bar.
Support: 4,340.00
Resistance: 4,366.15, 4,383.36
What it said to watch
A close above the 4366.15 session high extends the recovery toward the 4383 prior high
Loss of the 4340 range floor invalidates the higher-low chain and reopens the 4322 day low
Liquidity is thin in Asia hours — London open can void the current micro-structure
ADP 4-week average and Fedspeak (Williams, Jefferson, Barkin) later today are the near-term risk to this read
23:03 UTC
Intraday downtrend broken, sharp rebound in force · RSI 69 · price 4,362.91
NY consolidation resolved higher; early-session higher highs and higher lows.
Monday's grind from the 4383.36 prior high down to the 4322.77 day low on the firmer post-Fed dollar gave way to a 4332-4357 NY consolidation, and the new session has opened bid, clearing that range top and printing a session high at 4365.07. Price is holding above the 61.8% retracement of the NY drop with RSI(14) near 69 and ATR(14) around 520 pips per bar.
Support: 4,352.70, 4,322.77
Resistance: 4,365.07, 4,369.70, 4,383.36
What it said to watch
Acceptance above the 4369.7 swing high extends the rebound toward 4383.36
A close back below the 4352.7 session low returns price inside the prior range
Fed speakers (Williams, Jefferson, Barkin) and the ADP 4-week average later Tuesday are the nearest scheduled risk to this read
22:47 UTC
Recovery off the low, grinding higher · RSI 58 · price 4,354.80
Range between 4340 and 4357 after Monday's sell-off, higher lows forming.
Monday's NY session drove gold from 4383 down to the 4322.77 range low on the firmer post-Fed dollar, then bounced into a 4340–4357 band. The early Asia reopen after the rollover break has lifted price off the 4339.90 session low back to 4354.80, pressing the 4357.05 prior high with RSI(14) near 58 and price back above EMA20/EMA50.
Support: 4,339.90, 4,332.05, 4,322.77
Resistance: 4,357.05, 4,369.70
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4357.05 prior high opens the 4369.70 swing high
Loss of the 4339.90 session low reopens 4332.05 swing low and the 4322.77 range low
Thin early-Asia liquidity post-rollover; Fed speakers (Williams, Jefferson, Barkin) and ADP 4-week average later today can reset the intraday range
22:32 UTC
Range after Monday's decline, mild recovery · RSI 55 · price 4,352.92
Higher lows off 4322.77, capped under 4357.
Gold bled from 4383 to 4322.77 through NY hours as the post-Fed dollar recovery extended, then built a chain of higher lows (4332.05, 4339.2) into the late-session drift. The Asia reopen gapped up from 4343.80 and has pressed back to 4352.92, RSI(14) at 55 and price just above EMA20/EMA50 — still inside the 4339–4357 range, with the range top untested.
Support: 4,339.20, 4,332.05, 4,322.77
Resistance: 4,357.05, 4,364.68
What it said to watch
15m close above 4357.05 range top would extend the recovery toward the 4364.68 ny supply shelf
Loss of 4339.2 late ny low reopens 4332.05 swing low and the 4322.77 day low
Thin post-reopen Asia liquidity can distort the gap fill; a full fade back under 4343.80 invalidates the higher-low read
US flash PMIs Wed 13:45 GMT are the nearest high-impact print for this structure
Asia reopened with a small gap up to 4349.87 after Monday's slide from the 4383 area to a 4322.77 day low on post-Fed dollar firmness. Price has coiled in a 4339.90–4357.05 band for the last eight hours, with the session low at 4339.90 holding on three attempts and the prior high at 4357.05 capping. RSI(14) mid-50s, ATR(14) about 520 pips ($5.2) per bar — thin early-Asia liquidity.
Support: 4,339.90, 4,332.05, 4,322.77
Resistance: 4,357.05, 4,369.70
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4339.90 breaks the range and reopens the 4332.05 swing low then 4322.77
Acceptance above 4357.05 puts the 4369.70 swing high back in play
ADP 4-week average 12:15 GMT and Fedspeak (Williams, Jefferson, Barkin) later today can reprice this range
Monday's slide from 4383 into the 4322.8 day low on the firmer post-Fed dollar has retraced into a 4337.5–4357.1 band, and the NY high at 4357.1 has not been retested since. Late-session prints keep stalling under the ema50 near 4350 and printing lower highs, RSI(14) mid-40s, ATR(14) ~580 pips.
Support: 4,337.50, 4,332.00, 4,322.80
Resistance: 4,350.00, 4,353.80, 4,357.10
What it said to watch
A close above the 4353.8 lower high breaks the descending sequence and puts the 4357.1 ny high back in play
Failure to hold the 4337.5 range low reopens 4332.0 swing low and the 4322.8 day low
Fed speakers Williams/Jefferson/Barkin and the ADP 4-week average Tuesday can reset this intraday range
Thin post-NY-close liquidity into the Asia open distorts range edges
Lower highs since NY midday, sideways 4339-4354 drift into the close.
Gold sold through the London-NY transition from 4383 to a 4322.8 day low on the firmer post-Fed dollar, then based and spent the back half of NY chopping 4339-4357. Last hours of NY have price pinned just under the ema20 at 4345.8, RSI(14) neutral near 47 and ATR compressing as the Asia handover begins.
Support: 4,339.20, 4,332.10, 4,322.80
Resistance: 4,345.80, 4,357.10
What it said to watch
Close above the 4357.1 ny high breaks the lower-high chain built since NY midday
Loss of the 4339.2 session low reopens 4332.1 swing low and the 4322.8 day low
Fed speakers (Williams, Jefferson, Barkin) and the ADP 4-week average during Tuesday's London-NY hours are the next intraday drivers
Gold was sold through the NY morning to a day low of 4322.77 as the dollar extended post-Fed gains, then bounced to a 4357.05 session high before being capped by a chain of lower highs back under the 4350 round number. Volumes have thinned into the Asia open with price pinned just below EMA20 and EMA50 and RSI(14) near 48 — ranging between the 4339 session low and 4357, nothing structural in play.
Support: 4,339.20, 4,332.05, 4,322.77
Resistance: 4,350.00, 4,357.05, 4,368.00
What it said to watch
A close above the 4357.05 session high would break the lower-high sequence and reopen the 4368 prior swing
Failure to hold the 4339 session low exposes 4332 swing low and then the 4322.77 day low
Repeated rejection at the 4350 round number keeps the range read intact
ADP 4-week average 12:15 GMT and Fed's Williams/Jefferson/Barkin later Tuesday can reset this intraday range
NY hours flushed gold to a 4322.77 day low on the firmer post-Fed dollar, then price recovered into a 4337.5–4353.8 band and has coiled there on shrinking ranges into the Asia open. Lower highs at 4357.05 and 4353.78 cap the bounce, RSI(14) mid-40s, price under both EMA20 and EMA50 — no structural setup in play.
Support: 4,337.50, 4,332.05, 4,322.77
Resistance: 4,353.80, 4,357.05, 4,367.22
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4353.8 range top would break the lower-high chain and expose 4367.22 prior high
Loss of 4337.5 range floor puts 4332.05 swing low and the 4322.77 day low back in play
Fed speakers (Williams, Jefferson, Barkin) and ADP 4-week average later Tuesday can break this thin Asia range
Lower highs into late-NY consolidation above the day low.
Gold sold from 4374 into a 4322.77 day low during the NY session as the dollar extended its post-Fed recovery, then reclaimed half the move and has chopped between the 4337.50 session low and the 4350 round number for the last six hours. Rejection at 4357.05 swing high left a chain of lower highs, and price is now grinding under EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) mid-40s into the NY close handover.
Support: 4,337.50, 4,332.05, 4,322.77
Resistance: 4,350.00, 4,357.05
What it said to watch
Loss of 4337.50 session low reopens 4332.05 swing low and the 4322.77 day low
Reclaim of the 4350 round number and a close above 4357.05 swing high breaks the lower-high chain
Asia session likely to trade inside the 4337.50-4350 band unless a fresh yield impulse appears
Fed speakers Williams and Jefferson plus the ADP 4-week average Tuesday could reset this intraday range
Lower highs against rising lows, contracting range above the ny low.
NY session sold through the London range into 4322.77 before a sharp snapback, with the firmer dollar and hawkish Fed pricing capping the midday rebound at the 4374.84 day high. Since then price has coiled between 4337.50 and 4353.80 — lower highs against rising lows — with RSI(14) in the mid-40s and price holding under EMA20 as liquidity thins into the daily close.
Support: 4,337.50, 4,332.05, 4,322.77
Resistance: 4,353.80, 4,357.05, 4,374.84
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4337.50 recent low re-opens the 4332.05 swing low and the 4322.77 ny low
Reclaim of the 4353.80 lower high breaks the sequence of lower highs and puts 4357.05 ny high back in play
Asia session reopen is the first real test of the pennant; last bar volume is negligible into the close
Gold flushed through the NY session to a 4322.77 day low as the firmer dollar and hawkish Fed pricing capped the metal, then based and chopped between 4332 and 4357. Price is closing the session at the lower end of that range after rejection at the 4353.78 session high, RSI(14) near 41, ATR(14) about 580 pips.
Support: 4,337.52, 4,332.05, 4,322.77
Resistance: 4,353.78
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 4332.05 pivot low re-opens the 4322.77 day low and the $4,320 100-DMA area
Acceptance back above the 4353.78 session high would break the lower-high sequence
Loss of the 4337.52 swing low in thin late-session liquidity would confirm continued downside drift
Asia session reopen and Tuesday Fed speakers (Williams, Jefferson, Barkin) could reset this range
20:17 UTC
Downtrend from the London high, flat into the close · RSI 45 · price 4,340.96
Lower highs compressing inside a 4337-4357 range.
Gold flushed to the 4322.77 day low early in the NY session as the dollar held its post-FOMC gains, then rebased into a 4337-4357 range for the last six hours. The final bars sit at 4340.96, below EMA20 near 4346, with a series of lower highs capping under the 4357 range top and RSI(14) in the mid-40s.
Support: 4,337.52, 4,332.05, 4,322.77
Resistance: 4,357.05, 4,367.22
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4357 range top, and then the 4367.22 ny high, invalidates the six-hour range read
Failure to hold the 4337.52 swing low exposes the 4332.05 prior low and the 4322.77 day low
Liquidity thins into the daily close and Asia open; Fed's Williams, Jefferson and Barkin tomorrow are the next scheduled risk
Range 4337-4357 with lower highs since the recovery off the day low.
The NY open flushed gold to a 4322.77 day low on a firmer dollar as hawkish Fed pricing stayed entrenched, and the bounce has since stalled into a 4337-4357 range. Price is back under the EMA20 at ~4346.90 with RSI(14) mid-40s and a chain of lower highs capped at 4353.80 through late NY hours.
Support: 4,337.52, 4,332.05, 4,322.77
Resistance: 4,346.90, 4,353.80, 4,357.05
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 4337.52 swing low reopens 4332.05 ny low and the 4322.77 day low
Reclaim of the 4353.80 recent high and 4357.05 session high would break the lower-highs sequence
Fed speakers Tuesday (Williams, Jefferson, Barkin) are the next headline risk for this range
Lower highs into NY, now sideways above the session low.
Gold sold through the European lows into the NY session, spiking down to 4322.77 on the firmer dollar before recovering to 4350. The last five hours have been a 4337–4357 range with price pinned to the EMA20, RSI(14) neutral near 45 and the weekend gap higher up unfilled.
Support: 4,332.05, 4,322.77
Resistance: 4,357.05
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4357 range top would put the 4374 prior swing back in scope
Loss of the 4337 range floor re-exposes 4332 swing low and the 4322.77 day low
Fed speakers Tuesday (Williams, Jefferson, Barkin) can break this range inside a bar or two
19:32 UTC
Intraday downtrend, now flat/ranging · RSI 47 · price 4,349.77
Lower highs off 4386 into a 4337-4357 late-NY range.
Gold sold through the London-NY transition to a 4322.77 day low on the firmer dollar, then based and has chopped between 4337.52 and the 4357.05 NY high for the last eight hours. Price is pinned to EMA20 with RSI(14) near 47 and ATR(14) around 548 pips — no directional structure in play into the late-NY close.
Support: 4,337.52, 4,332.05, 4,322.77
Resistance: 4,357.05, 4,364.20
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4357.05 ny high would break the range top and put the 4364.20 swing high back in focus
Loss of the 4337.52 range low reopens 4332.05 swing low and the 4322.77 day low
Fed speakers Tuesday (Williams/Jefferson/Barkin) are the next scheduled catalyst that could break this range
19:16 UTC
Downtrend, momentum flat late NY · RSI 45 · price 4,345.24
Lower highs into a 4337–4357 consolidation above the day low.
Gold flushed into the 4322.77 day low during NY hours as a firmer dollar and hawkish Fedspeak reasserted, then based and consolidated 4337–4357 for the rest of the session. Late-NY bars are compressing under the ema50 near 4351 with RSI(14) around 45 and ATR(14) near 580 pips — no directional resolution yet.
Support: 4,337.52, 4,332.05, 4,322.77
Resistance: 4,351.00, 4,357.05, 4,367.22
What it said to watch
M15 close above session high 4357.05 would end the late-NY consolidation and put ny high 4367.22 back in view
Failure to hold session low 4337.52 reopens swing low 4332.05 and the 4322.77 day low
Fedspeak Tue (Williams 14:05, Jefferson 14:20 UTC) could materially shift this intraday read
Lower highs into a tight late-NY range above the session low.
Gold sold through the London-NY transition to a 4322.77 ny low as a firmer dollar and hawkish Fedspeak reasserted, then based and has chopped 4337–4357 for the last five hours. Price is pinned under both the ema20 at 4347.35 and the ema50 at 4351.95, with the 4357.05 range top rejecting each push, RSI(14) mid-40s; ATR(14) near 640 pips ($6.40) per bar as late-NY liquidity thins.
Support: 4,337.52, 4,332.05, 4,322.77
Resistance: 4,347.35, 4,351.95, 4,357.05
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4357.05 range top would break the sequence of lower highs
Loss of the 4337.52 swing low reopens 4332.05 prior low and the 4322.77 ny low
Asia session reopening with price inside 4337–4357 keeps the range read intact
Tuesday Fedspeak (Williams, Jefferson, Barkin) is the next scheduled catalyst that could void this consolidation
Lower highs into an intraday range after the NY session low.
Gold flushed to a 4322.77 session low in the first hours of NY as a firmer dollar and hawkish Fedspeak reasserted, then immediately reclaimed the 4337.5 range floor — a false break that has held for five hours. Since then price has been pinned between that floor and the 4357 range top, closing at 4347.03 with RSI(14) mid-40s and ATR(14) around 670 pips per bar.
Support: 4,337.50, 4,332.05, 4,322.77
Resistance: 4,357.00, 4,364.50, 4,369.70
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4357 range top would put the 4364.5 prior high and 4369.7 session high back in play
Loss of the 4337.5 range floor and then 4332.05 swing low reopens the 4322.77 session low
Fed speakers Tuesday (Williams, Jefferson, Barkin) are the next scheduled risk to this range read
Lower highs into a 4337-4357 rotation above the ny low.
Gold bled lower through London and spiked to 4322.77 in the first half-hour of NY as a firmer dollar and hawkish Fedspeak reasserted; that low was not accepted and price has rotated 4337-4357 since. RSI(14) is back at ~50 and ATR(14) near 680 pips ($6.80/bar), with the chain of declining highs from the 4374.84 london high still capping.
Support: 4,337.52, 4,322.77
Resistance: 4,357.05, 4,365.00, 4,374.84
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4357 session high breaks the declining-highs chain and opens the 4365 swing pivot
Loss of the 4337.5 session low puts the 4322.77 ny low back in play
Fedspeak Tuesday (Williams, Jefferson, Barkin) could reset this intraday range
Lower highs off the 4374.8 ny open high, basing above the 4337.5 swing low.
NY session cut through 4350 into a 4322.77 day low on the firmer dollar and hawkish Fedspeak, then recovered to 4357 where supply capped the bounce. Price is now drifting just under EMA20 in a 4337–4357 band with RSI(14) at 46 — no fresh directional structure since the low.
Support: 4,337.52, 4,332.05, 4,322.77
Resistance: 4,357.05, 4,374.84
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4357 ny high breaks the chain of lower highs from 4374.84
Loss of the 4337.5 swing low, then the 4332 ny swing low, reopens the 4322.77 day low
Thin late-NY and Asia hours likely compress range versus the 7.2-dollar ATR(14) seen through the drop
Fed speakers Tue 14:05 UTC and ADP 12:15 UTC could reset this intraday read
Lower highs into a tight late-NY consolidation above the session low.
NY hours delivered a sharp flush from the 4369.32 ny high to 4322.77, with a firmer dollar and hawkish Fedspeak the driver, and price has since balanced in a 4332.05–4357.05 band. Rejection at 4357.05 has capped the last four hours; price sits pinned just under EMA20 with RSI(14) mid-range, so the late-session consolidation is still intact.
Support: 4,332.05, 4,322.77
Resistance: 4,357.05, 4,369.32
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4357.05 swing high breaks the lower-high sequence
Loss of the 4332.05 session low reopens 4322.77 day low
Tuesday Fedspeak (Williams, Jefferson, Barkin) and Wednesday US flash PMIs are the next catalysts for this range
Lower highs since the 4374.84 pivot; 4332-4357 consolidation after the flush.
NY session sold the 4374.84 prior high down to 4322.77 before a sharp reclaim into 4357.05, and the last four hours have chopped in a 4332-4357 consolidation with price capped by the EMA20 near 4347. The firmer dollar and hawkish Fedspeak framed the drop; late-NY bars are fading again toward the 4340 area with RSI(14) mid-40s and ATR around 870 pips per bar.
Support: 4,332.05, 4,322.77
Resistance: 4,347.00, 4,357.05, 4,374.84
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4357.05 bounce high breaks the chain of lower highs
Loss of the 4332.05 swing low reopens the 4322.77 ny low
Sustained acceptance back above the EMA20 near 4347 would neutralise the intraday downtrend read
Fedspeak from Williams, Jefferson and Barkin during Tuesday's session could reset this range
London-NY handover produced the flush to the 4322.77 day low before price recovered into a 4341.5–4357.05 range that has held the last four hours, consistent with the firmer Dollar and hawkish Fedspeak driving Monday's 0.4–0.6% slip. Price sits under both EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) mid-40s, and the sequence of lower highs from the 4374.84 session high is still intact.
Support: 4,341.50, 4,332.05, 4,322.77
Resistance: 4,357.05, 4,374.84
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4357.05 range top breaks the lower-highs sequence
Loss of 4341.5 range low re-opens 4332.05 swing low and the 4322.77 day low
Fedspeak Tue (Williams 14:05, Jefferson 14:20, Barkin 17:00 UTC) can reset this range
Flash PMIs Wed 13:45 UTC are the week's main risk to the intraday structure
Lower highs into a tight post-drop consolidation above the session low.
Gold sold through the NY morning on a firmer dollar and hawkish Fedspeak, with the heaviest bar of the window slicing to a 4322.77 session low before a bounce stalled at the 4357.05 swing high. Price has since coiled between the 4332.05 higher low and that swing high, holding under EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) mid-40s — no directional resolution in the late-NY session.
Support: 4,332.05, 4,322.77
Resistance: 4,357.05, 4,369.70
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4357.05 swing high breaks the lower-high chain and puts the 4369.70 pre-drop hi back in play
Loss of the 4332.05 higher low reopens the 4322.77 session low
ATR(14) near 930 pips — range expansion from this consolidation would be fast
Fedspeak (Williams, Jefferson, Barkin) Tuesday is the next scheduled catalyst for this read
Lower highs into a 4332–4357 consolidation after the session low.
Gold rolled over from the 4374.84 day high through the NY session and flushed to a 4322.77 session low as a firmer dollar and hawkish Fedspeak reasserted themselves. Since then price has chopped in a 4332–4357 consolidation, with repeated rejection into the 4350 ema20 and the 4357.05 swing high; last close 4344.27 sits in the middle of that box with RSI(14) near 41.
Support: 4,332.05, 4,322.77
Resistance: 4,357.05, 4,374.84
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4357.05 swing high breaks the lower-high chain and re-opens 4374.84 day high
Loss of 4332.05 swing low puts the 4322.77 session low back in play
Sustained acceptance back above the 4350 ema20 would invalidate the consolidation-below-resistance read
Late NY hours into the Asia handover typically thin liquidity; Fedspeak (Williams, Jefferson, Barkin) tomorrow is the next scheduled catalyst
16:32 UTC
Downtrend, losses being pared · RSI 41 · price 4,349.41
Lower highs off 4374, base building above the 4322 spike low.
Gold broke down through the NY morning, printing a 4322.77 session low on the heaviest bar of the window as a firmer dollar and hawkish Fedspeak reasserted themselves. The last three hours have been a 4345.20–4357.05 consolidation just under EMA20, with each push into the 4357 intraday cap rejected and RSI(14) recovering to the low 40s.
Support: 4,345.20, 4,332.05, 4,322.77
Resistance: 4,357.05, 4,369.70, 4,374.84
What it said to watch
A 15m close above the 4357 intraday cap opens the path back to the 4369.70 swing high
Loss of the 4345 range floor puts the 4332 swing low and the 4322.77 session low back in play
Chain of lower highs from 4374.84 stays intact while price caps below the descending line
Tue Fedspeak (Williams, Jefferson, Barkin) and Wed US flash PMIs are the next catalysts capable of breaking this range
Lower highs and lower lows, now consolidating above the session low.
London broke below the Asian range and the first hour of NY extended it, with a spike through 4332.05 swing low into a 4322.77 session low before an immediate recovery — a firmer Dollar and hawkish Fedspeak the stated driver. Last six bars are pinned in a tight 4345.2 range low to 4355.9 range top band with RSI(14) back at 51 and EMA20 flat beneath price; the 4364.7 swing high and 4374.84 ny high remain the unfilled supply above.
Support: 4,345.20, 4,332.05, 4,322.77
Resistance: 4,355.90, 4,364.70, 4,374.84
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4355.9 range top would put the 4364.7 swing high back in play and end the consolidation read
Failure to hold 4345.2 range low reopens 4332.05 swing low and the 4322.77 session low
Thin US calendar for the rest of the NY session; Tuesday Fedspeak (Williams, Jefferson, Barkin) is the next catalyst that could reset this range
Lower highs and lower lows into a post-flush consolidation between 4332 and 4356.
Gold sold through the NY open, flushing from the 4369.70 ny high to a 4322.77 day low as a firmer dollar and hawkish Fedspeak reasserted themselves. The bounce stalled at the 4355.92 bounce high and price is now consolidating mid-way through that leg, below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) near 39.
Support: 4,332.05, 4,322.77
Resistance: 4,355.92, 4,369.70
What it said to watch
A 15m close above the 4355.92 bounce high would break the lower-high chain off 4369.70
Failure to hold the 4332.05 swing low re-exposes the 4322.77 day low
Fedspeak Tuesday (Williams, Jefferson, Barkin) and Wednesday's US flash PMIs can reset this intraday range
Lower highs and lower lows since midday, now ranging 4332-4356.
Gold slid from the 4374.84 session high into 4322.77, the day low, through the first NY hours as a firmer dollar and hawkish Fedspeak reasserted themselves. The rebound has stalled at the 4355.92 bounce high, keeping price under EMA20/EMA50 around 4352, with RSI(14) near 41 and the last few bars flat between the 4332 session low and 4356.
Support: 4,332.05, 4,322.77
Resistance: 4,355.92, 4,364.68, 4,374.84
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4355.92 bounce high breaks the lower-highs chain and puts the 4364.68 prior swing in play
Failure to hold the 4332 session low re-exposes the 4322.77 day low
ATR(14) near 1080 pips — intraday swings remain wide into the late NY session
Fedspeak Tuesday (Williams 14:05 UTC) is the next catalyst that could shift this read
15:32 UTC
Downtrend, sharp bounce off the low · RSI 43 · price 4,351.71
Lower highs into a 14:00 UTC flush, now recovering into the EMA50 zone.
NY session sold a chain of lower highs from the 4374.84 session high into a 4322.77 spike low around 14:00 UTC — the digest's $4,320 shelf — before a 29-dollar recovery back to the EMA50 at 4354.70. Price is now retesting that EMA50 from below with RSI(14) back at 43 from sub-30 territory; the 4364.68 prior high still caps the day's structure.
Support: 4,332.05, 4,322.77
Resistance: 4,354.70, 4,364.68, 4,374.84
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4364.68 prior high would break the lower-high chain
Rejection at the ema50 near 4354.70 keeps the day's downtrend intact
Failure to hold 4332.05 swing low reopens the 4322.77 spike low
Fedspeak (Williams, Jefferson, Barkin) Tuesday could reprice this range before the Wednesday PMIs
Lower highs / lower lows into a NY-session flush, now basing above 4332.
Chain of lower highs from 4374.84 rolled over through the London-NY transition and flushed to 4322.77 around 14:00 UTC as the firmer dollar and hawkish Fedspeak reasserted themselves; price has since recovered to 4348.67 and is capped by the 4350.42 bounce high. RSI(14) at 40 is off its lows, price still below EMA20 and EMA50, ATR(14) near 12.5 dollars per bar.
Support: 4,332.05, 4,322.77
Resistance: 4,350.42, 4,364.68, 4,374.84
What it said to watch
Acceptance back above the 4364.68 swing high would break the lower-high chain
Failure to hold 4332.05 reopens the 4322.77 session low
Fedspeak (Williams, Jefferson, Barkin) is the next scheduled catalyst and could reset this intraday range
Lower highs / lower lows since Asia high, now basing above the NY low.
Monday's Asia high at 4383.36 capped a steady lower-high chain through London, and the NY open print flushed to 4322.77 before an immediate recovery — a false break that has held so far. Price is now coiling 4332–4342 beneath the ema20 near 4351, RSI(14) at ~33 with ATR(14) around 1141 pips, consistent with the post-FOMC gold range read where 4320 is the first support shelf.
Support: 4,332.05, 4,322.77
Resistance: 4,351.00, 4,364.68
What it said to watch
Close back above the ema20 near 4351 would break the lower-high sequence
Loss of the session low at 4332.05 and then 4322.77 confirms continuation of the lower-low chain
Acceptance back above 4364.68 pre-drop high would neutralise the NY downside break
Fedspeak (Williams, Jefferson, Barkin) tomorrow is the next scheduled catalyst for this range
14:47 UTC
Downtrend, fresh impulsive leg · RSI 37 · price 4,336.25
Lower highs from Asia, range break below 4340 on NY open.
Rejection under the 4374.84 day high through the London-NY transition rolled into a range break lower on the NY open, with one 24-dollar bar printing the NY low at 4322.77 before a bounce back to 4336 — a firmer dollar and hawkish Fedspeak the backdrop per the digest. RSI(14) at ~37 is soft but not extreme, and price is trading below both EMA20 and EMA50 with the 4346 broken low now overhead. ATR(14) is running near 1184 pips (11.8 dollars) per 15-minute bar.
Support: 4,332.05, 4,322.77, 4,320.00
Resistance: 4,346.00, 4,353.00, 4,374.84
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 4353 50% fib of the Monday down leg would invalidate the range-break read
Failure to hold the 4332.05 recent low reopens 4322.77 and the 4320 round number shelf
Late-NY hours thin liquidity can exaggerate moves in both directions from here
Fedspeak Tuesday (Williams, Jefferson, Barkin) is the next scheduled catalyst that could reset this structure
14:32 UTC
Downtrend, session lows just held · RSI 42 · price 4,341.00
Chain of lower highs/lower lows since Monday open, now basing above the session low.
Monday ground lower from 4382 in an unbroken lower-high sequence, then accelerated in the first NY hours with a 24-point bar through the 4346 broken shelf into a 4322.77 session low — consistent with the firmer dollar and hawkish Fedspeak read. Last three bars are consolidating 4334–4343 under the ema20 at ~4353; RSI(14) at 42 with no oversold extreme, ATR(14) ~1170 pips (11.7 in price).
Support: 4,334.29, 4,322.77
Resistance: 4,346.10, 4,353.00
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 4322.77 session low would confirm continuation of the lower-low chain toward the post-FOMC floor zone
Reclaim of the 4346 broken shelf and a close above the ema20 near 4353 would invalidate the intraday downtrend read
Fedspeak (Williams, Jefferson, Barkin) from Tuesday and Wednesday's US flash PMIs are the next catalysts capable of resetting this range
14:19 UTC
Downtrend, impulsive leg into NY · RSI 39 · price 4,338.93
Lower highs since the session high, range break below the 4340 shelf, fresh session low.
The NY open sold gold straight through the 4340 shelf that had contained Asia and London, printing a session low at 4322.77 before a shallow recovery to 4338.93 — the day's 4340/4383.36 session high range is now broken to the downside. RSI(14) at 39 with price beneath both EMA20 and EMA50, the flush consistent with the firmer dollar and hawkish Fedspeak backdrop; the broken shelf at 4349.18 and the ny open high at 4364.68 now cap.
Support: 4,322.77, 4,300.00
Resistance: 4,349.18, 4,364.68, 4,383.36
What it said to watch
A 15m close back above the broken shelf at 4349.18 invalidates the range-break read
Failure to hold 4322.77 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence toward the 4300 round number
Rejection into 4364.68 ny open high would keep the lower-high chain intact
Fedspeak from Williams, Jefferson and Barkin tomorrow, then Wed flash PMIs, can reset this intraday structure
Lower highs from 4383.36, price pressing the 4340.13 day low.
The NY open rejected the London rebound at the 4374.84 london high — roughly the 78.6% retracement of the Monday leg down — and price has since given back the whole bounce to sit at 4344.42, under a 4355 ema20 that now caps. Lower highs from the 4383.36 asia high remain intact and the 4340.13 day low is the immediate reference, with a firmer dollar and hawkish Fed commentary keeping bullion heavy around the $4,350 fulcrum; RSI(14) at 44.6 is mid-range, ATR(14) ~$10 per bar.
Support: 4,340.13, 4,320.00
Resistance: 4,355.00, 4,374.84, 4,383.36
What it said to watch
A 15m close back above the 4355 ema20 would break the lower highs sequence
Failure to hold the 4340.13 day low exposes the 4320 round number
Reclaim of the 4374.84 london high puts the 4383.36 asia high back in play
No US data scheduled in the next few hours; Tuesday's Fedspeak slate is the next catalyst that could reset this read
13:47 UTC
Lower highs, corrective chop around 4350 · RSI 49 · price 4,351.12
Monday range 4340–4383; London bounce rejected, back to mid-range.
The first hour of NY rejected the 4374.84 intraday high and gave back roughly three-quarters of the London bounce off 4340.13, price back at 4351 and under both EMA20 and EMA50. Gold stays heavy with the dollar firm on hawkish Fedspeak; RSI(14) at 49 is neutral and ATR(14) ~975 pips ($9.75) per bar keeps swings wide inside the 4340–4383 session range.
Support: 4,349.18, 4,340.13
Resistance: 4,364.68, 4,374.84, 4,383.36
What it said to watch
Close below the 4349.18 ny low exposes the 4340.13 session low
Reclaim of 4364.68 prior high is needed before the 4374.84 intraday hi comes back into play
Neither extreme broken keeps the range read intact; Fed speakers and Wednesday's US PMIs are the next catalysts capable of shifting it
13:32 UTC
Range, mild recovery off day low · RSI 54 · price 4,360.08
Lower highs from Asia, higher low base at 4340/4342.
Gold based twice at the 4340.13 day low through late London and squeezed into the first hour of NY to 4374.84 before being rejected straight back to 4351.30, leaving a lower high against the 4382.13 Asia high. Price is now mid-range at 4360 with RSI(14) near 54 and ATR(14) around $9.2 per bar — chop, consistent with the digest's range-not-trend read while the hawkish Fed repricing is already in the price.
Support: 4,351.30, 4,340.13
Resistance: 4,374.84, 4,382.13
What it said to watch
A 15-minute close above the 4374.84 ny high breaks the lower-highs sequence off the Asia high
Loss of the 4351.30 swing low re-exposes the 4340.13 day low and the double bottom base
Thin US data slate today; Tuesday Fedspeak (Williams, Jefferson, Barkin) is the next scheduled catalyst that could break this range
Range between 4340 and 4382, lower highs into 4374.84.
Monday's tape slid from the 4382.13 day high to a 4340.13 day low before a sharp pre-NY-open push to 4374.84 was rejected, leaving price back mid-range at 4363 just above the EMA20 at 4357.85. Gold remains offered near $4,350 with the firm USD and hawkish Fed pricing capping rallies, per the broader read; RSI(14) at 56 is neutral and ATR(14) is running ~$8.90 per bar.
Support: 4,357.85, 4,351.30, 4,340.13
Resistance: 4,374.84, 4,382.13
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4374.84 breaks the lower-high sequence and puts the 4382.13 day high back in play
Loss of the 4351.3 swing low reopens the 4340.13 day low
Thin NY-hours follow-through would keep price pinned between the ema20 and session high; heavy Fedspeak slate tomorrow is the next scheduled catalyst
London low reclaimed, higher low into NY, capped under the NY high.
London pressed gold to a session low of 4340 twice before the first hour of NY lifted price to 4374.84, where it was immediately rejected back to 4351.3. Now mid-range near 4360 with RSI(14) at ~58 and price hovering on the EMA20/EMA50 cluster; the soft-crude / hawkish-Fed standoff flagged in the digest is keeping this a two-way intraday tape rather than a trend.
Support: 4,351.30, 4,340.10
Resistance: 4,374.84, 4,382.13
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 4374.84 ny high re-opens the 4382.13 asia high
Loss of the 4351.3 ny low puts the 4340.1 session low back in play and breaks the higher-low chain
Thin US calendar for the rest of the NY session; Tuesday's Fedspeak slate is the next scheduled catalyst
False break below Asian range low, higher lows since, capped under session high.
London hours broke below the Asian range low into 4340.13 (session low) and immediately reclaimed it, with a chain of higher lows lifting price to 4374.84 before a sharp rejection back to 4360 into the London-NY transition. Gold remains inside the Asian range with RSI(14) near 57 — a two-sided tape consistent with the post-FOMC USD firmness capping rallies rather than a directional break.
Support: 4,351.30, 4,340.13
Resistance: 4,374.84, 4,383.36
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 4351.30 (swing low) breaks the higher-low chain and re-exposes the 4340.13 session low
Reclaim of 4374.84 (session high) opens the path to the 4383.36 asia high
No US data scheduled in the next 8h; first hour of NY flow is the main driver, with Fedspeak and flash PMIs later in the week as the bigger risk
Lower highs from the Asia high, 4340–4375 session range after a sharp rejection.
London hours sold gold from the 4383.36 Asia high down to a 4340.13 session low as the Dollar stayed firm on hawkish Fed pricing; the pre-NY bounce ran to 4374.84 and was immediately rejected, one bar giving back ~19 points. Price is back at the 50% fib of that bounce near 4357 with RSI(14) flat at 52 and ATR(14) around 850 pips (8.5 dollars).
Support: 4,351.55, 4,340.13
Resistance: 4,374.84, 4,383.36
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4374.84 session high breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold the 4351.55 swing low puts the 4340.13 session low back in play
Light US calendar through the remainder of the NY session leaves the 4340–4375 range as the reference
Double bottom 4340/4342, first higher high at 4374.84.
Gold ground down through Asia and early London from 4383.36 to a 4340.13 day low, with a second low at 4341.94 forming a double bottom before a sharp 30-dollar leg higher into the pre-NY hours took out the broken downtrend line and printed a session high at 4374.84. Price is holding above the ema20 at 4356.9 and just above the 61.8% retrace of the 4383–4340 slide, with RSI(14) at 61 after the impulse; the wider backdrop remains a firm USD on hawkish Fed pricing that has been capping rallies near 4350.
Support: 4,356.90, 4,341.94, 4,340.13
Resistance: 4,374.84, 4,383.36
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4374.84 session high would extend the recovery toward the 4383.36 asia high
Loss of the 4356.9 ema20 puts the 4341.94 double bottom and 4340.13 day low back in focus
NY session open can re-price the move; Fedspeak tomorrow and Wednesday flash PMIs are the next scheduled risk
Double bottom near 4340, first higher high of the session.
Gold ground lower through Asia and London on the firmer dollar and hawkish Fed pricing, basing twice around 4340 — the session low — before the last three bars ripped back through the 4357.5 neckline and the chain of descending highs. RSI(14) at ~58 from mid-30s, ATR(14) ~700 pips; 4371 bounce high is the immediate cap with the 4380.5 london high above.
Support: 4,357.50, 4,340.13
Resistance: 4,371.01
What it said to watch
Close back below the 4357.5 neckline invalidates the double-bottom read and reopens the 4340 session low
Acceptance above the 4371 bounce high puts the 4380.5 london high in focus
Tuesday Fedspeak slate (Williams, Jefferson, Barkin) is the next scheduled driver for this tape
11:47 UTC
London downtrend, sharp late reversal · RSI 58 · price 4,366.27
Lower highs into 4340 double bottom, last bar breaks the descending line.
London ground gold down through a chain of lower highs to a 4340.13 session low, matched by the 4341.92 print for a double bottom, with the tape heavy as a firmer Dollar on hawkish Fed pricing capped every bounce. The final bar into the London-NY transition added 12.5 points, clearing the 4357.50 broken high and the descending lower-highs line with RSI(14) back near 58 from mid-40s; 4372.50 prior swing is the next reference inside the 4383.36 asia high–session low retracement.
Support: 4,357.50, 4,340.13
Resistance: 4,372.50, 4,383.36
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 4357.50 broken high negates the reversal and restores the lower-highs sequence
Acceptance above 4372.50 prior swing puts the 4383.36 asia high back in play
Loss of 4340.13 session low confirms a fresh lower low on the day
No US data scheduled in the next 8h; NY open liquidity is the main intraday variable
Monday's European and early NY hours have been a steady grind lower from 4383 in a chain of lower highs, with USD firmness off hawkish Fedspeak doing the work; the last eight bars have stalled into a 4340–4358 consolidation. Price sits mid-range at 4353 just above EMA20 but below EMA50, RSI(14) back to neutral near 50 after the flush to 4340.13.
Support: 4,341.90, 4,340.13, 4,320.00
Resistance: 4,357.70, 4,368.20
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4357.70 micro high would break the descending lower-high chain; 4368.20 swing high is the next reference
Loss of the 4341.90 range floor and the 4340.13 session low would extend the downtrend toward the 4320 100-day sma
US session Fedspeak remains the live driver this session; Wednesday's S&P Global PMIs are the week's main repricing risk
ATR(14) near 682 pips — expect continued wide M15 bars inside the consolidation
Descending channel, lower highs and lower lows since Monday open.
Monday has been one-way lower from 4383 through Asia and into London — an unbroken chain of lower highs (4383, 4372, 4362, 4357.68) with the day low at 4340.13, consistent with the hawkish-Fedspeak dollar bid described in the digest. Price is now pinned to the psych round 4350 with RSI(14) near 48, just under the 4357.68 swing high; nothing structural until one of those two edges gives.
Support: 4,350.00, 4,340.13
Resistance: 4,357.68, 4,368.18
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4357.68 swing high breaks the lower-high chain; 4368.18 session lh is the next reference
Failure to hold the 4340.13 day low confirms channel continuation
NY open in roughly two hours is the next liquidity event; ATR(14) ~6.6 dollars per bar
Wed US flash PMIs remain the week's main repricing risk for this read
Lower highs / lower lows since Asia high, now compressed above session low.
Gold has bled lower all through Asia and London, printing a clean lower-high chain from 4383.36 down to 4357.68 as hawkish Fedspeak and a firm dollar kept rallies capped. Price is now pinned just above the 4340.13 session low with RSI(14) near 41 — no oversold extreme, ATR(14) around 720 pips (roughly $7.20 per bar).
Support: 4,340.13, 4,335.00
Resistance: 4,357.68, 4,383.36
What it said to watch
Loss of the 4340.13 session low extends the lower-low sequence toward the 4335.00 psych area
A 15m close back above the 4357.68 swing high breaks the lower-high chain and invalidates the intraday downtrend read
Continued Fedspeak into the NY open is the live catalyst; PMIs Wednesday are the week's main repricing risk
Gold has ground lower all session from the 4383.36 day high set in early Asia, with hawkish Fedspeak and a firm dollar capping every bounce; London took it to a 4340.13 session low before a recovery stalled at the 4357.68 bounce high. Price is now compressing between the 4346.66 swing low and that bounce high, RSI(14) mid-40s and both EMA20 and EMA50 overhead, so the lower-high chain from 4368.18 is intact.
Support: 4,346.66, 4,340.13
Resistance: 4,357.68, 4,368.18, 4,383.36
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4357.68 bounce high would break the lower-high sequence off 4368.18
Loss of the 4340.13 session low confirms continuation of the intraday downtrend
NY open and follow-through from Fed's Goolsbee remarks can reset this ~17-point range
ATR(14) near 680 pips — consolidation this tight is unlikely to hold into NY hours
Lower highs / lower lows, now compressing in a 4340–4358 late-London range.
Monday has built a clean chain of lower highs from the 4383.36 Asia high into the 4340.13 session low, with hawkish Fedspeak and a firm dollar capping bullion through the London session. Price is back at the EMA20 near 4351, mid-range between 4340.13 and the 4357.68 London high, where rejection has come twice; RSI(14) ~46 and ATR(14) ~7.6 per bar.
Support: 4,344.48, 4,340.13, 4,320.00
Resistance: 4,357.68, 4,368.16, 4,383.36
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4357.68 london high breaks the lower-high chain and exposes the 4368.16 mid pivot
Loss of the 4344.48 prior low then 4340.13 session low confirms continuation, with 4320 (100-dma) the next reference
Fed's Goolsbee (10:30 UTC) and the NY open are the near-term catalysts for a break of the 4340–4357.68 range
Lower highs / lower lows since Asia; bounce off session low in progress.
Gold has ground lower all Monday inside a descending channel, London breaking the 4345.89 Asia low and printing a session low at 4340.13 as hawkish Fedspeak and safe-haven dollar demand kept bullion offered. Price is now back at 4355.52 after two attempts to hold under 4346, with the 4357.68 lower high the immediate cap and RSI(14) recovering to the mid-40s; ATR(14) ~760 pips (7.6 dollars) per bar.
Support: 4,340.13, 4,345.89
Resistance: 4,357.68
What it said to watch
Close above the 4357.68 lower high breaks the day's sequence of lower highs
Failure to hold 4340.13 session low extends the Asia-London leg lower
Fed's Goolsbee at 10:30 UTC and the NY open can reset the session range
Chain of lower highs and lower lows since the Asian-session high.
Gold has ground lower all Monday session, rolling over from the 4383.36 Asian-session high into a fresh session low at 4340.13 that also took out Friday's 4342.73 low, with hawkish Fedspeak keeping the dollar bid. The last two hours have seen repeated rejection in the 4353–4357.68 lower-high band; RSI(14) near 44 is flat, not extended, and price sits below both EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 4,342.73, 4,340.13, 4,335.00
Resistance: 4,357.68, 4,383.36
What it said to watch
A 15-minute close back above 4357.68 breaks the lower-high sequence and neutralises the intraday downtrend read
Failure to reclaim 4342.73 (fri low) on this bounce leaves the 4340.13 session low exposed, with 4335 the next round number below
Fed's Goolsbee at 10:30 UTC lands inside the next bar period and can reset the intraday range
Chain of lower highs and lower lows since the Asia high, price pressing the session low.
Gold has ground lower all session from the Asia high at 4383.36, with each bounce capped below the last — the latest rejection at 4357.68 in the first London hour — as hawkish Fedspeak keeps a safe-haven dollar bid in place. Price is back at 4344.76, a couple of dollars off the 4341.92 session low, and below both EMA20 and EMA50, RSI(14) near 41.5 with no oversold extreme yet.
Support: 4,341.92, 4,340.00
Resistance: 4,357.68, 4,383.36
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 4357.68 breaks the lower-high chain
Loss of 4341.92 and the 4340 psych handle confirms a lower low
Fed's Goolsbee at 10:30 UTC is the nearest headline risk for this range
London session extended Monday's slide from the 4383 Asia high to 4341.92 before price settled into a 4344-4358 consolidation, with hawkish Fedspeak and a firm dollar behind the drift. The 38.2% fib of that leg at 4357.7 has capped the last three attempts; RSI(14) near 47 is flat, ATR(14) about 715 pips per bar.
Support: 4,341.92
Resistance: 4,357.70, 4,366.40
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 38.2% fib at 4357.7 would break the lower-high chain and open 4366.4 swing high
Loss of the 4341.92 session low confirms continuation of the downtrend
Fed's Goolsbee at 10:30 UTC falls inside the next bars and could reprice this range
Lower highs into London, base forming at session low.
Monday opened soft and London extended the slide from the 4383.40 asia high to a 4341.90 session low, a clean chain of lower highs as hawkish Fedspeak kept the dollar bid. Price has since stabilised in a 4342–4358 band with the 4357.70 recent high capping the bounce and RSI(14) back to neutral near 48.
Support: 4,341.90
Resistance: 4,357.70, 4,368.20, 4,383.40
What it said to watch
15m close above 4357.70 breaks the lower-high chain and puts 4368.20 swing high in play
Loss of 4341.90 session low confirms continuation of the London downtrend
Fed's Goolsbee at 10:30 UTC can reprice the dollar leg within the next few bars
08:48 UTC
Downtrend, losses being pared · RSI 47 · price 4,356.31
Lower highs / lower lows off the Asian high, bouncing off session low.
Gold has ground lower all session from the 4383.36 Asia high to a 4341.92 session low as hawkish Fedspeak kept the USD bid, and is now grinding back into the 4357.70 38.2% fib of that decline. RSI(14) near 47 and price back above EMA20 but still under EMA50 — a corrective bounce inside an intraday downtrend rather than a structure break.
Support: 4,347.20, 4,341.92
Resistance: 4,357.70, 4,366.93, 4,383.36
What it said to watch
Acceptance above the 4357.70 38.2% fib exposes the 4366.93 swing high; rejection there keeps lower highs intact
Loss of 4347.20 swing low re-opens the 4341.92 session low
Fed's Goolsbee at 10:30 UTC, roughly two hours out, can reprice the USD leg and this read
Chain of lower highs and lower lows since the Asia high, holding above the session low.
Gold has bled lower through Asia and into the early London session, printing lower highs from the 4383.36 asia high as hawkish Fedspeak and a firm dollar cap rallies. Price bounced off the 4341.92 session low and is now stalling under the 4354.5 ema20 with RSI(14) near 44 — mid-range, no extreme.
Support: 4,341.92
Resistance: 4,354.50, 4,362.00, 4,383.36
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 4362.0 swing high would break the lower-high chain
Loss of 4341.92 session low confirms continuation of the downtrend
Repeated closes back above the 4354.5 ema20 would neutralise the intraday downtrend read
Fed's Goolsbee at 10:30 UTC could reprice the dollar leg within the next few bars
Lower highs and lower lows since Monday open, price pinned near session low.
Gold has ground lower all through the Asia session and into the first hour of London, rejection at the 4383.36 Monday high giving way to a clean chain of lower highs (4368.18, then 4357.45) with EMA20 capping every bounce as hawkish weekend Fedspeak kept the dollar bid. Price is sitting just above the 4341.92 session low with RSI(14) at 43 — soft, not stretched — and ATR(14) near $7.80 per bar.
Support: 4,341.92, 4,320.00
Resistance: 4,357.45, 4,368.18, 4,383.36
What it said to watch
A 15m close back above the 4357.45 lower high would break the descending sequence of lower highs
Loss of the 4341.92 session low confirms continuation and puts the 4320 100-dma in play
Fed's Goolsbee at 10:30 UTC is the only scheduled risk inside the next few bars and can reprice the dollar leg quickly
Descending channel from Asia high, price at session lows.
Monday's Asia session topped at the 4383.4 session high and has sold off in a clean descending channel, with the London open extending to a 4341.92 session low before a small bounce to 4348.97; each attempt higher has been capped near the 4356.1 lower high. The slide tracks the firmer dollar on hawkish Fedspeak, and RSI(14) at ~33 is soft but not yet at the sub-20 extreme.
Support: 4,341.92, 4,320.00
Resistance: 4,356.10, 4,362.00, 4,383.40
What it said to watch
A 15m close back above the 4362.0 swing high would break the lower-high chain on this timeframe
Failure to hold 4341.92 session low opens the path toward the 4320 100d sma
Fed's Goolsbee at 10:30 UTC falls inside the next bars and could shift the intraday read
Lower highs and lower lows since the Asia session high.
Gold has ground down all of the Asia session, from the 4383.36 session high to a 4345.89 session low, with hawkish weekend Fedspeak keeping the dollar bid into the London open. Price is pinned under the ema20 near 4354.8, RSI(14) at 36 and every bounce so far capped below the prior swing high at 4368.18.
Support: 4,345.89, 4,342.73
Resistance: 4,354.80, 4,368.18, 4,383.36
What it said to watch
A 15m close back above the ema20 at 4354.8 would break the chain of lower highs
Loss of 4345.89 session low exposes the 4342.73 prior low from Friday
Fed's Goolsbee at 10:30 UTC is the nearest scheduled risk to this read
Lower highs and lower lows since the Asia-session high.
Gold has ratcheted down all Asia session from the 4383.36 session high into the London open, printing a fresh session low at 4345.89 before a shallow bounce to 4351.33; hawkish weekend Fedspeak and a firmer dollar are the backdrop. Price sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) near 38 — soft but not stretched — and each rally has been capped near the 4362.01 minor high, while Friday's 4342.73 low is the next reference below.
Support: 4,345.89, 4,342.73
Resistance: 4,362.01, 4,383.36
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 4362.01 minor high breaks the lower-high chain
Loss of the 4345.89 session low exposes the 4342.73 friday low
Fed's Goolsbee at 10:30 UTC could reprice the dollar leg and shift this read
ATR(14) near 660 pips — expect $6-7 candle ranges into London
Lower highs / lower lows since the 4383 session high.
Weekly gap open lower and rejection at the 4383.36 session high have left a clean chain of lower highs through Asia hours, with price at 4352.60, below EMA20 and EMA50 and RSI(14) near 40 — consistent with the renewed dollar bid off hawkish Fedspeak. The 4346.35 session low absorbed the last push and 4357.45 recent pivot is capping bounces into the London open.
Support: 4,346.35, 4,340.00
Resistance: 4,357.45, 4,367.41, 4,383.36
What it said to watch
Loss of the 4346.35 session low extends the lower-low sequence toward the 4340 psych area
Reclaim of the 4367.41 swing high breaks the lower-high chain; 4383.36 session high is the upper reference
Fed's Goolsbee 10:30 UTC is the nearest headline risk to this intraday read
Chain of lower highs and lower lows since the Asia high.
Asia has ground lower all session from the 4383.36 session high, and the last four bars broke the 4350 shelf to print 4346.35 as the session low, with hawkish weekend Fedspeak keeping the dollar bid. Lower high at 4362.01 caps, RSI(14) ~32 and not yet at a true extreme; ATR(14) ~6.6 dollars (664 pips).
Support: 4,346.35, 4,342.73
Resistance: 4,362.01, 4,383.36
What it said to watch
Loss of the 4342.73 fri low would confirm a fresh lower low into London
A reclaim of the 4362.01 lower high would break the lower-high chain and neutralise the downside read
London open in under an hour plus Fed's Goolsbee at 10:30 UTC can re-price this intraday structure quickly
Chain of lower highs / lower lows through Asia, price below the monday open.
Asia has stair-stepped lower all session from the 4383.36 asia high, with the monday open at 4375.20 never recovered and price now sitting on the 4349.18 session low; hawkish Fedspeak and a firmer dollar are the backdrop. RSI(14) at 35 is soft but not extreme, and ATR(14) is running near 7.00 ($703 in pip terms) per bar into the European open.
Support: 4,349.18, 4,342.73
Resistance: 4,362.30, 4,375.20, 4,383.36
What it said to watch
A close back above the 4362.30 intraday lh would break the Asian lower-high chain
Loss of the 4349.18 session low exposes Friday's 4342.73 fri low
Fed's Goolsbee 10:30 UTC and the London open fall in the next bars and can reset this range
Lower highs and lower lows since the session high; fresh session low on the last bar.
Monday Asia session has been a one-way grind lower off the 4383.36 session high, with the last closed bar printing a fresh session low at 4351.37 and RSI(14) around 31. Price sits below both EMA20 and EMA50, with supply capping each bounce at the 4362.30 minor high and the 4370.20 lower high; hawkish weekend Fedspeak and a firm dollar are the backdrop.
Support: 4,351.37, 4,343.02
Resistance: 4,362.30, 4,370.20, 4,383.36
What it said to watch
A close back above the 4370.20 lower high would break the descending sequence
Acceptance below the 4351.37 session low exposes Friday's low at 4343.02
Fed's Goolsbee at 10:30 UTC could materially shift the intraday read
Lower highs and lower lows since the Asia spike high.
Monday Asia spiked to 4383.36 then rolled over into a clean chain of lower highs — 4372.47, 4368.18, 4363.33 — with the session low printed at 4352.79 before this bounce to 4361.91 ahead of the London open. Price is under EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) at 42 and ATR(14) near 7.0 dollars per bar; Fedspeak-driven yield firmness is the backdrop cited for the drift off Friday's 4379 close.
Support: 4,352.79, 4,343.02
Resistance: 4,368.20, 4,383.36
What it said to watch
A close back above the 4368.20 lower high breaks the descending sequence of highs
Failure to hold the 4352.79 asia low confirms a lower low and exposes the 4343.02 friday low
Fed's Goolsbee at 10:30 UTC falls inside the next few bars and can reset the intraday range
Chain of lower highs and lower lows since the Asia-session high.
Monday Asia has been a one-way drift: after the 4383.36 session high was rejected, price has printed an unbroken chain of lower highs into a fresh session low at 4352.79, with the close pinned below both EMA20 (~4363.3) and EMA50. RSI(14) near 29 is soft but not extreme; hawkish Fedspeak (Kashkari, Schmid) over the weekend is the backdrop for the give-back of Friday's rebound.
Support: 4,352.79, 4,342.73
Resistance: 4,363.30, 4,368.18, 4,383.36
What it said to watch
A 15m close back above the 4368.18 swing high would break the lower-high chain
Acceptance below 4352.79 session low puts the 4342.73 prev day low in play
Reclaiming ema20 near 4363.3 would neutralise the intraday downtrend read
Fed's Goolsbee 10:30 UTC is the only near-term event risk in this session
Asia session grinding lower-highs/lower-lows off 4383.
Gold gapped slightly lower into the Monday Asia session, poked 4383.36 and has since bled out in a clean lower-high chain, now printing the session low at 4355.15 with price under both EMA20 and EMA50. Hawkish Fedspeak over the weekend (Kashkari, Schmid) kept the dollar bid and gold offered; RSI(14) at ~30 is soft but not yet extreme, ATR(14) ~700 pips ($7.00) per bar.
Support: 4,355.15, 4,347.40, 4,342.73
Resistance: 4,368.18, 4,383.36
What it said to watch
Loss of the 4355.15 session low exposes Friday's 4347.40 and 4342.73 lows
A reclaim of the 4368.18 swing high breaks the lower-high chain and neutralises the Asia downtrend read
Fed's Goolsbee at 10:30 UTC is the nearest event risk and could reset the session range
Lower highs off 4383 asia high, base forming above 4356.
Monday Asia gave back the early push to the 4383.36 asia high and ground down in a chain of lower highs to 4356.08, with hawkish weekend Fedspeak offset by a Middle East haven bid keeping it a low-conviction grind. Price is stalling at 4360–4362 under the ema20 near 4365, RSI(14) mid-40s, ATR(14) about 7.5 dollars a bar.
Support: 4,356.08, 4,350.00
Resistance: 4,365.00, 4,372.47, 4,383.36
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4372.47 breaks the lower high chain and re-opens the asia high at 4383.36
Loss of 4356.08 asia low confirms continuation toward the 4350 round number
Reclaim and hold of the ema20 near 4365 would neutralise the intraday downtrend
Fed's Goolsbee 10:30 UTC is the first event risk after the Asia session
04:32 UTC
Downtrend within the Asia session, momentum stretched · RSI 33 · price 4,358.87
Chain of lower highs and lower lows since the 4383.36 asia high; price pinned at the session low.
Gold was rejected at 4383.36 early in Monday's Asia session and has ground out lower highs and lower lows since, now sitting on the 4356.08 session low with RSI(14) near 33. Hawkish weekend Fedspeak is capping the rebound while the Middle East headline bid keeps the fall orderly rather than impulsive; ATR(14) is ~7.8 dollars per bar.
Support: 4,356.08, 4,343.05
Resistance: 4,368.20, 4,383.36
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 4368.20 breaks the lower-high chain and neutralises the intraday downtrend read
Sustained trade below 4356.08 confirms continuation with Friday's 4343.05 low as the next reference
Fed's Goolsbee at 10:30 UTC is the first scheduled risk that could reprice this range
London open liquidity may redefine the 4356–4383 asia range
Monday opened just below Friday's close and Asia has bled lower: rejection at the 4383.36 session high was followed by a clean chain of lower highs into a 4356.08 session low, with price now at 4359.95 and trading under both EMA20 (4367.4) and EMA50 (4371.0). Weekend hawkish Fedspeak (Kashkari, Schmid) and a firm dollar are capping the bounce, while a Middle East haven bid keeps the downside slow rather than impulsive. RSI(14) at 42 — soft, not stretched; ATR(14) 7.8 dollars per bar.
Support: 4,356.08, 4,347.40
Resistance: 4,367.40, 4,383.36
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 4367 ema20 would break the lower-high chain
Close below 4356 session low opens the path toward the 4347 friday low
Fed's Goolsbee 10:30 UTC is the first scheduled risk to this read
04:05 UTC
Downtrend within Asia range, momentum easing · RSI 43 · price 4,360.27
Chain of lower highs off 4383.4, price pinned at session low.
Monday Asia opened near Friday's close and has ground lower, rejected at the 4383.4 session high and printing successive lower highs into 4368.16. Demand stepped in twice at the 4357.92 session low as hawkish Fedspeak (Schmid) capped the rebound while a Middle East haven bid limited the downside; RSI(14) at 43 is neutral, ATR(14) ~805 pips.
Support: 4,357.92, 4,350.00
Resistance: 4,368.16, 4,383.36
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4368.16 lower high breaks the descending sequence off the session high
Loss of the 4357.92 session low on a closing basis opens the 4350 psych level
Fed's Goolsbee at 10:30 UTC is the next scheduled catalyst inside this session
03:48 UTC
No clear trend, drifting lower within range · RSI 49 · price 4,367.40
Range 4358.7–4383.4, highs compressing after the Asia spike.
Asia session carved a 4358.7–4383.4 range: the spike to the asia high was rejected immediately and price has since printed a chain of lower highs back to mid-range, now under EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) flat near 48. Hawkish Fedspeak over the weekend (Kashkari, Schmid) kept the bounce contained below the friday close at 4378.2, while lows around 4359 have been defended four times.
Support: 4,358.70, 4,348.10
Resistance: 4,378.20, 4,383.36
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4383.4 asia high breaks the lower-high sequence; $4,400 remains the pivot that has capped twice
Loss of the 4358.7 asia low on a closing basis opens the 4348.1 prior low
Fed's Goolsbee 10:30 UTC is the first intraday catalyst that could break this range
Asia session grinding lower into a triple-tested floor.
Monday Asia opened below Friday's close and has built a clean chain of lower highs from the 4383.36 asia high, with price now pinned on the 4358.70 asia low after three touches there. Move fits the hawkish Schmid commentary capping bullion, while RSI(14) near 43 shows the slide is orderly rather than exhausted; ATR(14) ~830 pips (≈$8.30) per bar.
Support: 4,358.70, 4,352.20
Resistance: 4,369.60, 4,383.36
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4358.70 asia low extends the lower-low chain toward 4352.20 friday low
Reclaim of the 4369.60 ema20 invalidates the intraday downtrend read
Fed's Goolsbee at 10:30 UTC is the first scheduled risk that could reset this structure
03:17 UTC
Drifting lower, lower highs into Asia low · RSI 42 · price 4,362.87
Rejection at Asia high, sequence of lower highs pressing the Asia range low.
Monday Asia opened just below Friday's close after a small weekend gap, spiked to 4383.36 then faded — four consecutive lower highs have dragged price back to 4362.87, under both EMA20 and EMA50. Hawkish Schmid/Kashkari commentary is capping the bounce while Middle East headlines keep a bid under the Asia low at 4358.67; RSI(14) mid-40s, ATR ~840 pips per bar.
Support: 4,358.67, 4,347.40
Resistance: 4,383.36, 4,378.16
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4383.36 asia high breaks the lower-high sequence
Loss of 4358.67 asia low on a closing basis opens the 4347.40 friday low
Reclaim of 4378.16 fri close would neutralise the intraday fade
Fed's Goolsbee 10:30 UTC is the first scheduled risk after the Asia session
03:05 UTC
Short-term pullback inside Asian range · RSI 44 · price 4,363.92
Lower highs since 4383.36, price back at range lows.
Monday's Asia session opened near 4375, spiked to the asia high at 4383.36 and was rejected, and price has since printed a chain of lower highs back into the lower third of the 4358.67–4383.36 range, last 4363.92 with RSI(14) near 43 and price under EMA20 and EMA50. The Friday high at 4396.98 is untested; a hawkish Fed and ~5% 10y yields continue to cap rallies into the 4400 area.
Support: 4,358.67, 4,352.18
Resistance: 4,370.21, 4,383.36, 4,396.98
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4358.67 asia low extends the lower-high chain toward the prior base near 4352.18
Reclaim of the 4370.21 lower high and then 4383.36 would invalidate the intraday pullback read
Fed's Goolsbee at 10:30 UTC is the first event risk of the session and can reset the Asian range
02:48 UTC
Sideways, lower highs into Asia · RSI 45 · price 4,368.14
Intraday range 4358–4383, spike high rejected.
Monday's Asia session opened just under the 4378.16 friday close, dipped to the 4358.67 session low, then spiked to a 4383.36 monday high before that push was rejected inside two bars. Price has since slipped back to 4368, sitting on the 61.8% retrace of that up-leg with RSI(14) near 45 and ATR(14) around 810 pips; the up-move was part of the yield-driven bounce off the post-Fed low rather than fresh follow-through.
Support: 4,361.22, 4,358.67
Resistance: 4,378.16, 4,383.36, 4,399.53
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4383.36 monday high re-opens the 4399.53 friday high
Loss of the 4361.22 swing low and 4358.67 session low confirms a lower low for the session
Fed's Goolsbee at 10:30 UTC is the first event risk after the Asia range develops
02:33 UTC
Sideways, no intraday direction · RSI 49 · price 4,371.93
Asia range 4358.67-4383.36, price mid-range after Friday's fade from 4399.53.
Small weekend gap lower, then Asia carved a 4358.67-4383.36 range: dip to the asia low was bought, the push to the asia high was rejected, and price sits back mid-range at 4371.93 with RSI(14) at 48.6 and price just under EMA20/EMA50. Two-way consolidation under Friday's 4399.53 fri high, consistent with the post-FOMC yield-driven chop rather than any fresh impulse. ATR(14) ~782 pips ($7.8) for reference on expected M15 swing size.
Support: 4,361.22, 4,358.67, 4,342.73
Resistance: 4,383.36, 4,399.53, 4,400.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4383.36 asia high re-opens the 4399.53 fri high and the 4400.00 psych handle
Loss of 4361.22 swing low then 4358.67 asia low confirms a lower low and exposes the 4342.73 fri low
Fed's Goolsbee 10:30 UTC is the first scheduled risk that could break this range read
02:17 UTC
Sideways, momentum flat · RSI 45 · price 4,368.30
Asia range between 4358.67 and 4383.36, price mid-range under EMA20/50.
Thin Monday Asia tape: gold gapped slightly lower from Friday's close, based at 4358.67 and spiked to the 4383.36 range top before two bars of rejection dropped it back to 4368.30, below EMA20 (4373.7) and EMA50 (4374.1). RSI(14) at 45 is neutral and the hawkish weekend Fed tone (Kashkari) has kept the metal capped well under the 4400 handle — no structural setup in play inside the range.
Support: 4,362.41, 4,358.67
Resistance: 4,383.36, 4,390.80, 4,399.53
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4383.36 range top would negate the rejection and expose the 4390.80 prior high
Loss of 4362.41 swing low then 4358.67 asia low would confirm a lower-low and open the Friday session lows
Fed's Goolsbee at 10:30 UTC is the first event risk after the Asia session and could reset this range read
02:04 UTC
Sideways, mild upward drift within Asia range · RSI 52 · price 4,376.41
Intraday range; higher low at 4366 after 4358.67 session low, capped at 4383.36.
Monday Asia opened flat against Friday's 4378 close, slid to the 4358.67 session low, then squeezed to a 4383.36 session high before fading back to mid-range at 4376. RSI(14) ~52 and ATR(14) ~695 pips; the hawkish weekend Fed tone (Kashkari) keeps the rebound capped well under Friday's 4390 fri supply shelf, with the 4366 swing low the first shelf beneath.
Support: 4,366.44, 4,358.67, 4,352.18
Resistance: 4,383.36
What it said to watch
M15 acceptance above the 4383.36 session high extends the Asia bounce toward the 4390 fri supply band
Loss of the 4366 swing low re-opens the 4358.67 session low and Friday's 4352 fri low
Thin early-Asia liquidity means the range is still developing; Fed's Goolsbee 10:30 UTC is the session's first event risk
01:47 UTC
Recovering off the Asia low, mildly higher · RSI 54 · price 4,379.85
Early-Asia range, higher low printed after the dip to 4358.67.
Monday opened with a small weekend gap down from the Friday close at 4378.16, sold into 4358.67 in the first Asia hours, then snapped back to 4383.36 — price now sits in the upper half of the young Asia range at 4379.85, just above EMA20/EMA50. The rebound fits the yield-led bounce theme in gold, with the 4400 psych handle still the cap on the recovery.
Support: 4,366.44, 4,358.67
Resistance: 4,383.36, 4,399.53, 4,400.00
What it said to watch
Acceptance above the 4383.36 asia high would extend the recovery toward the 4400 psych level
A close back under the 4366.44 swing low re-exposes 4358.67 and puts price back beneath EMA20
Thin early-Asia liquidity: ATR(14) near 665 pips means range edges can be tagged fast
Fed's Goolsbee at 10:30 UTC is the next scheduled input inside this session
01:33 UTC
Two-way, recovering off asia low · RSI 48 · price 4,376.97
Intraday range 4358.67–4383.36, price mid-range after a failed downside break.
Monday's Asia session opened just under Friday's close, drifted down to the asia low at 4358.67 and reversed hard — a single 14-point bar reclaimed the 4366 pivot and ran into the asia high at 4383.36 before fading back to 4377. RSI(14) near 48 and price marginally above EMA20, so the two-day recovery from the post-Fed low is still range-bound and well below the 4400 psych level.
Support: 4,366.40, 4,358.67
Resistance: 4,383.36, 4,393.20, 4,400.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4383.36 asia high opens the path to the 4393 prior high
Loss of the 4366 pivot re-exposes the asia low at 4358.67 and negates the false-break read
Fed's Goolsbee at 10:30 UTC is the nearest catalyst; Asia-hours liquidity keeps ranges thin until London
01:18 UTC
Recovery leg off the Asia low, momentum firming · RSI 57 · price 4,382.09
Higher lows since 4358.67, session high just taken out.
Monday's Asia session opened near 4375, flushed to an asia low at 4358.67, then built a higher-low chain (4362.41, 4366.44) before a single impulsive candle cleared the early session high at 4382.36 — an extension of gold's two-day rebound as yields and crude eased. Price is holding above ema20 with RSI(14) near 57, so the move is not yet stretched; 4390.80 prior high is the next reference overhead.
Support: 4,374.50, 4,366.44, 4,358.67
Resistance: 4,382.36, 4,390.80, 4,400.00
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 4366.44 swing low breaks the Asia higher-low chain and puts 4358.67 asia low back in play
Acceptance above the 4382.36 session high opens the path to 4390.80 prior high and the 4400 round number
Thin Asia liquidity means the breakout needs London-hours follow-through to hold; Fed speaker flow later today is the main intraday risk to this read
Lower highs into 4358.67, last-bar reclaim toward mid-range.
Monday's Asia session opened with a small gap lower from Friday's close, printed its high at 4382.13 in the first bar and then ground out a chain of lower highs to 4358.67 before a sharp 15-point reclaim into the last close at 4374.07, right at the EMA50. Price is mid-range and still beneath the Asia high, consistent with the post-Fed consolidation below the $4,400 area rather than a directional break; RSI(14) has recovered to the mid-40s.
Support: 4,358.67, 4,347.40
Resistance: 4,382.13, 4,390.80
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4382.13 asia high would end the lower-highs sequence and expose the 4390.80 friday cap
Loss of 4358.67 asia low confirms a lower low and reopens the 4347.40 friday low
Fed speaker Goolsbee at 10:30 UTC is the nearest event risk that can reprice this range
00:48 UTC
Corrective drift lower off Friday's close · RSI 38 · price 4,370.44
Lower highs into the Asia open, first higher low printed off 4358.67.
Monday's Asia open gapped modestly below Friday's close at 4378.16 and sold off in a chain of lower highs to 4358.67 before a two-bar bounce back to 4370.44, now pinned just under EMA20/EMA50. Friday's late-NY push stalled twice near 4397 — the hawkish post-Fed backdrop keeps rallies capped — so this is still range-internal chop inside the 4343.02–4397 Friday range, with RSI(14) near 37 and ATR(14) around 640 pips.
Support: 4,358.67, 4,343.02
Resistance: 4,378.16, 4,397.00
What it said to watch
Reclaim and hold of 4378.16 friday close would close the gap and invalidate the lower-high sequence
Loss of 4358.67 asia low confirms continuation toward the 4343.02 friday low
Dense Fed speaker slate from 10:30 UTC (Goolsbee) can reset this intraday read
Lower highs since Asia open, first higher low attempt off 4358.67.
Gold gapped slightly lower into the Asia session after Friday stalled short of $4,400 — the hawkish Fed is largely priced and the $4,400/$4,422 band capped the move. Price has ground down in a clean lower-high chain from the 4382.13 asia high, swept 4358.67 and snapped back to 4368.94; RSI(14) near 33 with price under both EMA20 and EMA50, ATR(14) ~5.3 dollars per bar.
Support: 4,358.67, 4,343.02
Resistance: 4,376.20, 4,382.13
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 4376.20 breaks the lower-highs sequence
Failure to hold 4358.67 session low exposes the 4343.02 friday low
Fed's Goolsbee at 10:30 UTC is the first event risk of the session and could reset this range
Lower highs and lower lows since Sunday reopen; Asia range broken to the downside.
Gold reopened with a small weekend gap down and has ground lower through the first three hours of Asia, printing a chain of lower highs from 4382.13 (asia high) into 4376.20 and slicing the 4369 asia low on the last two bars. Friday's push at the $4,400 area failed with hawkish-Fed pricing already largely embedded; RSI(14) near 32 is soft but not extreme, and ATR(14) of roughly 575 pips ($5.75) frames current bar size.
Support: 4,353.00, 4,343.00
Resistance: 4,369.00, 4,376.20, 4,382.13
What it said to watch
Recovery back above the 4369 asia low would invalidate the range break read
Failure to hold the 4353 friday pivot opens the path to the 4343 friday low
Acceptance above 4382.13 asia high would restore the Sunday-open range
Fed's Goolsbee at 10:30 UTC is the first post-FOMC steer and could reset intraday structure
00:06 UTC
Short-term drift lower off Friday's close · RSI 46 · price 4,369.24
Lower highs and lower lows since the weekend open.
Monday's Asia open gapped slightly under Friday's 4378.16 close and has ground down in a clean chain of lower highs to a session low at 4368.89, with price now under EMA20 (4375.2) and EMA50 (~4374.5). Friday's rally to 4396.98 came as easing crude and a soft US Industrial Production print capped the Dollar, but the move stalled below 4400 and roughly half of that leg has since been retraced; RSI(14) at 46 is neutral, ATR(14) ~4.8 per bar in thin liquidity.
Support: 4,368.89, 4,363.60, 4,360.02
Resistance: 4,376.20, 4,382.13, 4,396.98
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 4376.20 and then the 4382.13 session high would invalidate the lower-highs read
Loss of the 4368.89 session low exposes fib 61.8 at 4363.60 and the 4360.02 swing low
Liquidity is thin at the Asia open — ranges set here often get overwritten at the London open
Fed's Goolsbee at 10:30 UTC is the first post-FOMC steer and could reset this intraday structure