XAU/USD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Friday, 26 June 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the XAU/USD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
20:47 UTC
Pullback after intraday rally · RSI 44 · price 4,071.49
Rejected 4096, fading toward 4064 base.
NY session drove gold up to a session high of 4096 before sellers stepped in, and price has since faded back to 4071, slipping under the EMA20. Move follows the softer USD post-PCE that let gold hold its 4,000 reclaim; now consolidating in a 4064–4085 band with RSI mid-40s.
Support: 4,050.00
Resistance: 4,085.00, 4,096.03
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4064 confirms a lower low and opens 4050
Gold rallied off the 3983 low to a session high at 4096 during the US session before fading, with RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s on the pullback. Price now consolidating in the 4064-4074 band, above EMA50 but capped below the 4085 swing after gold reclaimed and extended past the $4,050 region.
Support: 4,050.00
Resistance: 4,085.00, 4,096.03
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4064 confirms a lower low, exposing 4050
Reclaim of 4085 reopens the 4096 session high
ADP/ISM Wed are the next major catalysts for this read
Pullback from session high, consolidating above 4064.
Gold rallied from $3,983 to $4,096 through the NY session as the USD slipped from yearly highs on the in-line PCE and the Michigan sentiment miss. Price was rejected twice near 4096 and has since pulled back to consolidate above 4064, RSI(14) cooling off the highs into the low-40s.
Support: 4,050.00
Resistance: 4,096.03, 4,085.12
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4064 opens the 4050 psych area
Reclaim of 4085 reopens the 4096 session high
JOLTS Tue and ADP/ISM Wed are the next macro catalysts for USD
20:31 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 44 · price 4,071.12
Rally faded from 4096, consolidating into NY close.
Gold ran from the 3983 London low up to 4096 through the NY session as a softer USD and in-line PCE supported dip-buyers, then rejected the high and faded. Price now consolidates 4064–4074 below EMA20 into the NY close, RSI(14) mid-40s with momentum cooling.
Support: 4,050.00
Resistance: 4,084.00, 4,096.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4064 reopens the 4050 psych level
Reclaim of 4084 puts the 4096 session high back in play
20:17 UTC
Pullback after NY rally peaked · RSI 43 · price 4,067.46
Rolling over from 4096 double top, lower highs.
NY session pushed gold from the 3983 low to a 4096 double top, then faded back to 4067 as the move stalled below the 4085-4096 cap. Dip-buyers reclaimed $4,000 after the in-line PCE and a soft Michigan print eased the USD, but RSI(14) has cooled to the low 40s as price consolidates above the 4064 session low.
Support: 4,050.00
Resistance: 4,085.00, 4,096.03
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4064 confirms a lower low and opens 4050
Reclaim above 4085 needed to retest the 4096 double top
Holding above the 4050 round number keeps the stabilisation intact
20:16 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back from session high · RSI 44 · price 4,067.46
HH/HL chain into 4096, now drifting lower.
NY session drove gold to a session high of 4096 after it reclaimed 4000, the move helped by a softer USD as Michigan sentiment missed and PCE landed in line. Price has since drifted back to 4067, slipping under EMA20 with RSI cooling to the mid-40s; the 4064 swing low is the near-term pivot.
Support: 4,064.00, 4,050.00
Resistance: 4,083.00, 4,096.00
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 4083 reopens the 4096 session high
Loss of 4064 swing low exposes 4050 prior swing
ADP/ISM Jul 1 could materially shift this read
20:02 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 43 · price 4,071.91
Lower highs off 4096 session peak.
NY session drove gold from the $3,983 low to a $4,096 session high after a softer USD post-PCE and a Michigan sentiment miss, but the rally was rejected below 4096 and momentum has faded into late hours. Price has drifted back under the EMA20 to 4072, holding above the 4064 swing low; lower highs since the peak show the impulse cooling.
Support: 4,050.00
Resistance: 4,085.00, 4,096.03
What it said to watch
Loss of 4064 swing low reopens 4050 round number
Reclaim of 4085 recent high needed to retest the 4096 session high
ADP/ISM Jul 1 are the next material catalysts for this read
Gold swept the 3983 low then ran to 4096 through the NY session as the USD eased post-PCE, but the bounce stalled below the 4084 lower high and price is now retracing to 4072. RSI(14) cooled to mid-40s; pullback holding above the 4064 swing low so far.
Resistance: 4,096.03
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4064 confirms a lower low and reopens 4050
NY session drove gold ~$60 off 4036 to a 4096 session high as the USD slipped, but the rally has stalled and price is retracing, now near the 50% pullback at 4067. Buyers holding 4064 keeps the move intact; loss of it exposes the 4050 prior-resistance area.
Support: 4,064.00, 4,050.00, 4,036.00
Resistance: 4,084.00, 4,096.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4064 confirms a lower-low and opens 4050
Reclaim of 4084 reopens the 4096 session high
19:46 UTC
Uptrend fading off highs · RSI 42 · price 4,067.70
Pullback after rally peak, lower highs forming.
NY session rally peaked at the 4096 session high then faded, gold drifting back to 4067 with RSI(14) cooling near 42 — a grind of lower highs since the top. The leg up off the 3983 base came as USD slipped from yearly highs and dip-buyers reclaimed 4000; pullback is holding above the 4064 session low so far.
Support: 4,064.00, 4,050.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,085.00, 4,096.00
What it said to watch
Close back above 4085 reopens the 4096 session high
Close below 4064 opens the 4050 round level
Jul 1 ADP + ISM cluster could materially shift this read
19:32 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back · RSI 41 · price 4,066.02
Rally stalled, lower highs off 4096.
NY session ripped gold off the 3983 base up to a 4096 session high as the USD slipped from its highs, then faded into a steady pullback with RSI(14) cooling toward 40. Price is now grinding the lower edge of the move, holding just above the 4064 session low.
Support: 4,064.00, 4,050.00
Resistance: 4,084.00, 4,096.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4064 opens the 4050 swing low
Reclaim of 4084 puts the 4096 session high back in play
Jul 1 ADP/ISM cluster is the next macro swing factor for gold
19:31 UTC
Uptrend pulling back · RSI 41 · price 4,066.02
Rally from base, lower highs forming.
NY session drove gold off the sub-4000 base to a 4096 session high as the USD slipped from yearly highs; price is now retracing, RSI(14) cooling near 40 and slipping below EMA20 to 4066. Lower highs are stacking under 4084 while the 4064 swing low holds for now.
Resistance: 4,084.00, 4,096.03
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 4084 reasserts the rally toward the 4096 session high
Break of the 4064 swing low opens the 4050 prior swing
ADP/ISM on Jul 1 are the next key swing factors for this read
Gold rallied through the NY session to 4096 — relief bounce as the USD slipped from yearly highs after in-line PCE — then faded into a string of lower highs. Price has rolled back to the 4064 session low with RSI(14) cooling near 42; momentum has flipped from the up-leg into a pullback.
Support: 4,050.00
Resistance: 4,085.00, 4,096.03
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4064 confirms a lower low and opens 4050
Reclaim of 4085 needed to re-challenge the 4096 session high
Late-NY liquidity thin; moves can overextend on light volume
19:16 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back from high · RSI 41 · price 4,068.82
HH/HL chain into 4096, now correcting.
NY session ripped gold from ~4040 to a 4096 session high as the USD slipped post-PCE, then faded back to 4068 with RSI(14) cooling toward 41. Pullback holding above 4067; the 4050 round-number base remains untested into late NY.
Support: 4,067.14, 4,050.00, 4,040.00
Resistance: 4,096.03
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 4096 reopens the rally
Loss of 4050 round number exposes the 4040 prior pivot
ADP/ISM Jul 1 are the next macro swing factors for gold
19:04 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pulling back · RSI 42 · price 4,067.62
HH/HL rally rolling over into pullback off 4096.
Gold ran the NY session from the 3983 low to a 4096 high, reclaiming the $4,050 cap flagged in the macro read, then rejected and bled back to 4067 with RSI(14) cooling toward 42. Pullback is holding above the reclaimed 4050 level for now.
Support: 4,050.00, 4,030.00
Resistance: 4,096.00
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 4050 reopens the 4030 swing low
Reclaim of 4096 session high resumes the rally leg
ADP/ISM Wed could materially shift this read
19:03 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pulling back · RSI 42 · price 4,067.62
Lower highs since 4096 peak.
NY session drove gold from 3983 up to a 4096 session high before fading, with RSI(14) cooling to the low 40s as price slips back toward the 4050 prior-resistance area. The advance cleared the $4,050 cap flagged in the macro read; the question now is whether that level holds as support on the pullback.
Support: 4,050.00, 4,040.00
Resistance: 4,084.00, 4,096.00
What it said to watch
Loss of 4050 prior-res opens the path back toward 4040 swing low
Reclaim of 4084 swing puts the 4096 session high back in play
Jobs-week data (JOLTS Tue, ADP/ISM Wed) could materially shift this read
NY session drove gold from ~4036 to a 4096 session high as the USD eased post-PCE and rallies pushed through the prior $4,050 cap. Price has since rolled over to 4070 with RSI(14) cooling to the low 40s; the 4062 swing low is the first level holding the pullback.
Support: 4,062.20, 4,050.00, 4,035.92
Resistance: 4,085.00, 4,096.03
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4062 opens the path back toward the 4050 prior cap
Reclaim of 4085 puts the 4096 session high back in play
Jobs-week data (ADP/ISM next session) could materially shift this read
NY session drove gold through the $4,050 cap to a session high at 4096 before fading to 4070, RSI cooling as the dollar eased post-PCE. Pullback so far holding above the 4050 breakout zone — a shallow retrace of the 3983-to-4096 run.
Support: 4,070.00, 4,050.00
Resistance: 4,082.00, 4,096.00
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 4050 negates the NY breakout
Reclaim of 4082 reopens the 4096 session high
Quiet month-end; ADP/ISM Wed are the next material catalysts
18:32 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pulling back · RSI 47 · price 4,074.61
Rally off 3983 stalling below 4096.
NY session ran a sharp ~110-dollar leg off the 3983 low up to 4096 before sellers rejected the session high. Price has since faded to 4074, slipping under EMA20 with RSI cooling toward neutral; demand is holding around 4071 so far.
Support: 4,071.00, 4,050.00
Resistance: 4,085.00, 4,096.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4071 opens the path back toward the 4050 area
Reclaim of 4085/4096 session high resumes the intraday leg up
ADP and ISM Manufacturing on Jul 1 could materially shift this read
18:31 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back · RSI 47 · price 4,074.61
Rally off 3983 lows, consolidating under 4096.
NY session drove gold ~110 dollars off the 3983 low to a 4096 session high, clearing the 4050 cap flagged in the macro read as USD eased post-PCE. Price has since faded to 4074 and is now drifting below EMA20, RSI cooling to mid-40s as the move stalls under 4096.
Support: 4,071.57, 4,050.00
Resistance: 4,096.03, 4,085.00
What it said to watch
Loss of 4071.57 opens the path back toward the 4050 round number
Reclaim of 4085 reopens a retest of the 4096 session high
Jul 1 ADP and ISM Manufacturing could materially shift this read
Higher highs into 4096, now pulling back off session high.
NY session ran gold ~$90 off the 3983 low to a 4096 session high as the USD eased post-PCE, then stalled and pulled back to 4073. RSI(14) has cooled from overbought toward neutral; price slipped back under EMA20 while the 4062 swing low holds.
Support: 4,062.20, 4,050.00, 4,040.00
Resistance: 4,096.03, 4,085.00
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 4085 reopens the 4096 session high
Loss of 4062 swing low exposes the 4050 prior high
Failure to hold 4040 higher low breaks the intraday uptrend structure
18:16 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back · RSI 44 · price 4,073.73
HH-HL chain off 4035, retracing from session high.
NY session ran ~$60 off the 4035 low into a session high at 4096.03 as the USD eased post-PCE, then rejected and is retracing, now back at 4073 with RSI(14) cooling toward 43. Buyers stepped in repeatedly around 4075 on the way up; that rising-low structure off 4043 is the near-term reference.
Support: 4,057.09, 4,043.45
Resistance: 4,091.73, 4,096.03
What it said to watch
Close below 4057 pivot low breaks the rising-low chain
Reclaim of 4091.73 prior high reopens the 4096 session high
ADP/ISM on Jul 1 could materially shift this read
18:02 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back · RSI 45 · price 4,073.73
HH/HL chain off London low, now retracing from session high.
NY session ramped gold ~$110 off the London low at 3983 to a session high of 4096 as the USD eased post in-line PCE. The last few bars have rolled over, slipping below the EMA20 with RSI cooling toward 45 — supply capping near 4096 while price probes the 4062 swing.
Support: 4,062.20, 4,050.00
Resistance: 4,085.00, 4,096.03
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 4085 ema20 reopens the path to the 4096 session high
Loss of 4062 swing low confirms a deeper pullback toward 4050
NY session drove gold ~$90 off the 4007 base to a session high at 4096.03, a relief bounce off the $3,983/$4,000 zone with the USD easing from cycle highs. Price has since cooled to 4073, carving lower highs below 4096 with RSI back to neutral; the $4,050 prior cap now sits as nearest support beneath.
Higher highs into NY, now pulling back from session high.
NY session drove gold ~$60 off the 4035.9 leg low up to a 4096 session high before fading back to 4077, with RSI(14) cooling toward neutral. Rejection at 4096 stalled the impulse; price is now testing back into the 4085 intraday zone with the 4062 swing low underneath.
Support: 4,062.00, 4,050.00, 4,035.90
Resistance: 4,085.00, 4,096.00
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 4096 resumes the up-leg
Loss of 4062 swing low signals a deeper pullback toward 4050
ADP and ISM Mfg on Jul 1 could materially shift this read
Pullback from session high after impulsive NY rally.
NY session drove gold ~$90 off intraday lows to a session high at 4096 before stalling; RSI(14) has cooled back to the mid-40s as price faded to 4077, slipping under the EMA20. The 4062 breakout zone is the first support beneath, with the 4035.9 rally base capping the recent move's downside.
Support: 4,062.00, 4,050.00, 4,035.90
Resistance: 4,085.00, 4,096.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4062 negates the NY breakout and exposes 4050
Reclaim of 4085 needed to re-test the 4096 session high
ADP/ISM Jul 1 are imminent high-impact USD catalysts that could shift this read
NY session drove gold ~$110 off the 3983 low to 4096 as the USD eased from its post-FOMC peak, with price now consolidating 4080-4096 and RSI cooling from the rally. The 4096 session high capped the last two pushes; demand stepping in around 4080 keeps the intraday uptrend intact.
Support: 4,080.00
Resistance: 4,096.03
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4096 reopens the leg higher
Loss of 4080 session low confirms a lower-high and shifts the consolidation lower
ADP/ISM cluster Jul 1 could materially shift this read
Consolidating below session high after impulsive NY rally.
NY session drove gold ~$80 off the 4015 base to a 4096.03 session high, clearing the $4,050 cap flagged in the macro read as the USD eased off its post-FOMC peak. RSI(14) has cooled from the highs and price is now consolidating 4080–4093, drifting back under the EMA20 with the 4096 high capping.
Support: 4,080.00, 4,062.20
Resistance: 4,096.03
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 4096 opens the path higher
Loss of 4080 range floor exposes the 4062 breakout level
ADP & ISM on Jul 1 could materially shift this read
NY session drove gold ~60 off the 4036 low to a session high at 4096 as the USD eased from post-FOMC peaks; the move stalled and price is now consolidating 4076–4096, RSI cooling back to mid-50s. The dip-buy off the $4,000 zone holds for now, capped at the session high.
Higher highs into consolidation below session high.
NY session drove a ~$60 relief rally off the 4036 low to a session high at 4096, the bounce digest flagged off the $3,983/$3,959 floor as USD eased. Price now coils 4082-4091, RSI(14) cooling from the highs as momentum flattens just under the cap.
Support: 4,073.00, 4,050.00
Resistance: 4,096.03
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4096 opens continuation higher
Loss of 4073 breaks the consolidation and risks a retrace toward 4050
Higher highs and higher lows, consolidating below session high.
NY session drove a ~$110 relief bounce off the 4035.92 base to a 4096 session high as the USD eased from post-FOMC highs; in-line Core PCE gave no fresh catalyst. Price now consolidating 4082-4096 with RSI(14) cooling from the rally; the prior $4,050 cap has flipped to intraday support.
Support: 4,075.00, 4,050.00, 4,035.92
Resistance: 4,096.03
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4075 breaks the rising intraday structure
Reclaim of 4096 session high opens the path higher
Loss of 4050 returns price into the prior capped zone
Gold rallied ~$110 off the 3983 swing low through the NY session, clearing the $4,050 cap flagged in the macro read as the USD eased from its post-FOMC peak. Price is now consolidating 4076–4096 just under the session high, RSI(14) cooling off from overbought.
Support: 4,076.45
Resistance: 4,096.03, 4,100.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4076 breaks the rising HL chain
Reclaim and close above 4096 opens the path to 4100 psych
Jul 1 ADP/ISM cluster could materially shift this read
NY session drove gold ~110 dollars off the 3983 low to a 4096 high on broad USD softness after in-line core PCE. Price is now consolidating in the 4080-4096 band just under the session high, RSI(14) cooling from overbought into the low 60s.
Support: 4,080.00, 4,062.20
Resistance: 4,096.03
What it said to watch
Close above 4096 opens the path higher toward the 4100 March-low resistance
Failure to hold 4080 exposes the 4062 swing low
ADP (Jul 1) and ISM Manufacturing flagged as the next USD catalyst
NY session drove a steep rally off the 3983 low, breaking 4073 and printing a session high at 4096 as the USD eased on in-line PCE and softer oil. RSI(14) near 70 is hot but consistent with the trend; price stalling just under the 4100 March-low resistance.
Resistance: 4,096.03, 4,100.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4073 breaks the rising-low structure
Failure to clear 4100 keeps the rebound capped
JOLTS Jun 30 / ADP-ISM Jul 1 are the next macro catalysts for gold
Gold ran from the 3983 Asian low to a session high at 4096 through the NY session as the USD softened on in-line core PCE and a Michigan sentiment miss. RSI(14) near 67, hot but not extended; price consolidating just under 4096 after the breakout above 4062.
Support: 4,062.20
Resistance: 4,096.03, 4,100.00
What it said to watch
Close above 4100 march low opens further upside
Loss of 4080 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
ADP and ISM Jul 1 could materially shift this read
16:17 UTC
Uptrend, momentum hot · RSI 74 · price 4,092.31
Rising HH/HL chain off 3983 low.
NY session drove a clean rally from ~4040 to a session high at 4096, an oversold relief bounce as the USD eased after in-line Core PCE. RSI(14) running hot near 73 and price now consolidating just under 4096; 4080 has held on the pullback.
Support: 4,080.00
Resistance: 4,096.00, 4,100.00
What it said to watch
Loss of 4080 would break the intraday HL chain
Acceptance above 4096 opens the path to the 4100 March-low resistance
ADP/ISM Jul 1 are the labor reads flagged to drive the next USD leg
16:16 UTC
Uptrend, extended into session high · RSI 71 · price 4,092.31
Higher highs and higher lows since the 3983 low.
NY session drove a steady rally off the 3983 low, gold breaking 4062 and tagging a session high at 4096 as the USD eased after the Michigan sentiment miss. Price now consolidating just under that high, RSI(14) around 70 — short-term hot but consistent with the trend.
Support: 4,080.00, 4,062.00
Resistance: 4,096.03, 4,100.00
What it said to watch
Close above 4096 opens the path to the 4100 march low
Loss of 4080 intraday base would stall the rally and put 4062 breakout in focus
ADP and ISM Jul 1 are the next macro risk that could shift this read
NY session extended a sharp relief rally off the $3,983 low, clearing 4050 and 4080 to print a session high at 4096 as the USD slipped post-PCE. RSI(14) is hot near 70 into the 4096-4100 zone, where macro flags corrective supply within a broader downtrend.
Support: 4,062.20, 4,050.00
Resistance: 4,096.03, 4,100.00
What it said to watch
Rejection at 4096-4100 would cap the relief bounce
M15 close back below 4062 negates the breakout
Loss of 4075 flags the first lower-low of the rally
NY session drove a steady rally off the ~3983 low, gold breaking higher to a session high at 4096 just under the 4100 psych level. RSI(14) near 71 — hot but normal in this run; price holding above EMA20/50 with the 4076 swing low as the nearest higher-low.
Support: 4,076.45
Resistance: 4,096.03, 4,100.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4100 psych opens the path higher
Failure to hold 4076 swing low breaks the rising HL chain
Soft Michigan sentiment cross-currents already in; no imminent US data in next 8h
NY session drove gold from ~4040 to a fresh session high at 4095.58, extending the relief bounce off the $3,983 zone as the USD eased post-PCE. RSI(14) near 73 is hot but consistent with the run; price is pressing the 4100 psych level after a clean breakout above the prior 4055 high.
Support: 4,076.45, 4,055.05, 4,040.38
Resistance: 4,095.58, 4,100.00
What it said to watch
Sustained move above 4100 psych extends the leg; rejection there caps the bounce
Loss of 4076 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
Digest flags this as corrective within a broader downtrend — supply expected into 4100
15:46 UTC
Uptrend, extended into NY · RSI 72 · price 4,092.69
Higher highs, breakout above range.
Gold ran from the ~3983 NY-session low to 4095 as the USD slipped post-PCE, clearing the 4055 range top in a clean breakout. RSI(14) near 72 is hot but consistent with the impulse; the last bar stalled just under 4095 session high into the 4100 round number.
Support: 4,055.05
Resistance: 4,100.00
What it said to watch
Loss of 4055 range top would invalidate the breakout read
4100 round number is the immediate area to watch for rejection or break
Digest flags 4100 (March low) as corrective-supply resistance into a downtrend
NY session drove a sharp leg from 4036 to a session high at 4093 as gold's oversold relief bounce extended after the in-line PCE print eased the USD. Price reclaimed the 4050 cap on the way up and is now consolidating just under 4093 with RSI(14) hot near 71.
Support: 4,050.00
Resistance: 4,093.08, 4,100.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4093 opens the path to the 4100 psych level
Failure to hold 4073 breakout level signals the leg is stalling
Fed's Kashkari speech (~15:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
15:31 UTC
Uptrend, momentum hot · RSI 74 · price 4,086.76
Higher highs since 3983 low, near session high.
NY session drove a clean rally off the 3983 low, gold reclaiming 4050 then breaking through 4080 as the post-PCE USD stall let the oversold metal bounce. RSI(14) running hot near 73 into the 4093 session high; current bar stalling just under it.
Support: 4,050.00
Resistance: 4,093.08
What it said to watch
Close above 4093 opens room toward the 4100 area
Failure to hold the 4073 breakout shelf risks a fade back to 4050
Fed's Kashkari (~15:30 UTC) could shift the USD read and this bounce
NY session drove a sharp leg from ~4036 to a 4093 session high as the USD stalled post-PCE, with the prior 4050 cap now flipped to support. Price is consolidating in the upper 4070s-4080s, RSI cooling from hot levels but holding above 60; the breakout structure stays intact while 4062 holds.
Support: 4,062.20, 4,050.00, 4,035.92
Resistance: 4,093.08
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4093 extends the rally toward next resistance
Failure to hold 4062 negates the breakout and reopens 4050
NY session ran a steady relief bounce off the $3,983 low, breaking the $4,050 cap and sweeping to $4,093 as the USD stalled post-PCE. Price is now consolidating near $4,080 with RSI cooling from overbought; the rising-low chain off $4,036 stays intact.
Support: 4,062.20
Resistance: 4,093.08
What it said to watch
Loss of 4062 breaks the rising low chain and stalls the bounce
Reclaim and close above 4093 session high extends the move
Fed's Kashkari speech (~15:30 UTC) could shift USD tone into the next bars
NY session ran a sharp relief bounce off the 3992 low, reclaiming 4050 and printing a session high at 4093 as the USD stalled post-PCE. RSI(14) near 71 — hot but normal in this leg; the move has held its breakout above 4062.
Support: 4,062.00, 4,050.00
Resistance: 4,093.08
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 4050 invalidates the breakout read
Kashkari speech (~15:30 UTC) could shift the USD bid and this read
HH/HL chain off the 3983 low, consolidating below session high.
NY session drove a relief bounce off the $3,983 low up to $4,093, gold reclaiming the $4,050 cap and breaking higher as the USD stalled post-PCE. Price is now consolidating $4,080-4,093 just under the session high with RSI(14) cooling from the rally.
Support: 4,062.00
Resistance: 4,093.08, 4,100.00
What it said to watch
Fed's Kashkari speech (~15:30 UTC) could shift this read
Close above 4093 opens the path toward the 4100 march low
Higher highs into session highs, breakout above prior cap.
NY session drove a sharp rally from ~4040 to a 4093 swing high, clearing the $4,050 cap that had repeatedly rejected price as the USD slipped from yearly highs. RSI(14) is hot near 76 and price is now pressing the 4093-4100 area, with 4100 (March low) the first resistance above.
Support: 4,062.00
Resistance: 4,093.08, 4,100.00
What it said to watch
Rejection at 4093-4100 would mark the session high as a cap
Loss of 4062 breakout level would negate the breakout read
Fed speakers Williams (14:30) / Kashkari (15:30) could materially shift this read
NY session ran a sharp rally off 4035.92, clearing the 4050 cap and printing a session high at 4093 before easing to 4084. RSI(14) near 73 — hot but normal in a trend; the move is extended into the 4100 round level.
Support: 4,062.20, 4,050.00, 4,035.92
Resistance: 4,093.08, 4,100.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4093 opens the path toward the 4100 round level
Failure to hold 4062 negates the breakout and reopens 4050
Fed speakers Williams/Kashkari could materially shift this read
14:31 UTC
Uptrend, accelerating into NY · RSI 80 · price 4,084.43
Chain of higher highs, fresh session high.
NY session drove a sharp impulsive rally, clearing the 4050 prior cap and 4062 breakout level to print a session high at 4093, RSI(14) hot near 80. Move is a corrective bounce against the broader bearish backdrop after USD eased from yearly highs; momentum is stretched into the round 4100 area.
Support: 4,062.20, 4,050.00
Resistance: 4,093.08, 4,100.00
What it said to watch
Fed's Williams (14:30Z) and Kashkari (15:30Z) speeches imminent — hawkish lean could cap the bounce and pressure back below 4062
Loss of 4062 breakout level would mark the first lower high and stall the uptrend
Close above 4100 round level opens the path toward the March-low resistance band
NY session drove a sharp recovery in gold, reclaiming and breaking the 4050 cap to print a session high at 4093 as the USD slipped from yearly highs and real yields eased. RSI(14) near 74 — hot but consistent with the impulsive leg; price holding above both EMAs.
Support: 4,062.20, 4,050.00
Resistance: 4,093.08, 4,100.00
What it said to watch
Close above 4093 opens the path to the 4100 march-low resistance
Failure to hold 4062 prior high would signal the rally stalling
Fed's Williams (14:30) and Kashkari (15:30) speeches could materially shift this read
NY session ripped through the 4050 cap that held all day, printing fresh highs at 4085 with RSI(14) hot near 77. The advance came as the USD slipped from yearly highs post-PCE; price is now extended above the 4062 breakout level with no consolidation yet.
Support: 4,062.20, 4,050.00
Resistance: 4,085.18
What it said to watch
Fed's Williams (14:30) and Kashkari (15:30) speeches imminent — hawkish tone could cap this bounce
M15 close back below 4062 negates the breakout and reopens the prior 4050 cap
Failure to hold 4085 with RSI overbought sets up a stall
NY session ripped through the $4,050 cap, posting a session high at 4085.18 with RSI(14) hot near 76. The advance off the 3983 low is steepening, and the reclaimed 4050-4062 zone has flipped to near-term support.
Support: 4,062.20, 4,050.00
Resistance: 4,085.18, 4,100.00
What it said to watch
Loss of 4062 breakout zone reopens the 4050-4035 supports
Fed's Williams (14:30) and Kashkari (15:30) speeches could shift this read
Stall below 4100 keeps the broader downtrend cap in play
Gold squeezed higher through the NY session, breaking the 4045-4055 band that had capped price for hours and tagging 4078 before easing to 4070. The leg followed USD slipping off yearly highs after in-line core PCE; RSI(14) near 72 is hot but consistent with the impulse.
Support: 4,055.00, 4,040.00
Resistance: 4,078.00
What it said to watch
UoM Michigan sentiment + inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could reprice the move
Fed's Williams (14:30) and Kashkari (15:30) — hawkish tone risks a roll back toward 4040
Loss of 4055 negates the breakout read
14:02 UTC
Uptrend, momentum hot · RSI 71 · price 4,069.80
Higher highs off 3983 low, breakout above 4055.
NY session drove a sharp rally from the 3983 London low to a session high of 4078, gold breaking above the 4055 cap as the USD slipped post-Michigan. RSI(14) hot near 71 after the impulse; price now consolidating just under 4078.
Support: 4,045.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,078.00, 4,100.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4078 opens the path toward the 4100 march low
Failure to hold 4045 risks a retrace toward the 4000 pivot
Fed's Williams (14:30) and Kashkari (15:30) could shift this read
Gold reclaimed toward 4060 through NY hours, building higher lows off the 3983 session low and breaking the 4055 prior high to print 4066. Move follows the USD slipping from yearly highs after in-line core PCE; rally is testing the upper edge with RSI(14) firm but not extreme.
Support: 4,040.00
Resistance: 4,066.03, 4,055.05
What it said to watch
Failure to reclaim 4066 keeps the session high capping the recovery
Loss of 4040 breakout level reopens the 4035 swing low
UoM Michigan sentiment (14:00 UTC) and Fed's Williams/Kashkari could materially shift this read
13:46 UTC
Intraday uptrend, near session high · RSI 66 · price 4,059.48
Higher highs and higher lows off 3983 base.
Gold ground higher through NY hours, reclaiming 4060 after a sharp earlier flush to 3983 and breaking above the 4055 prior high; relief squeeze follows in-line US core PCE softening the USD plus a thin Hormuz haven bid. RSI(14) near 66 — firm but not stretched as price probes the 4066 session high.
Support: 4,043.00
Resistance: 4,066.00, 4,055.00
What it said to watch
Rejection at 4066 session high keeps the move capped
Loss of 4043 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
UoM Michigan sentiment + inflation expectations 14:00 UTC and Fed speakers (Williams 14:30, Kashkari 15:30) can shift this read
NY session pushed gold off the $3,983 low up to a session high of $4,066 as the USD slipped from yearly highs after in-line core PCE, then pulled back to $4,053. RSI(14) cooling from the rally near 62, price holding above EMA20/50 with the $4,066 high still capping.
Support: 4,040.00
Resistance: 4,066.03
What it said to watch
Michigan sentiment + inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Failure to hold 4040 breaks the higher-low chain
A close above 4066 reopens the upside toward the $4,100 area
Gold recovered through London-NY from the 3983 session low, printing a high at 4066 before stalling and easing back to 4053. RSI(14) cooling from the push and price still holds above EMA20/50; supply showed at 4066, with the broadly in-line US core PCE keeping the dollar off its highs.
Support: 4,040.00
Resistance: 4,066.00
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 4066 opens the path back toward the March low 4100
Loss of 4040 breaks the rising-low chain
UoM Michigan sentiment + inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC, then Williams 14:30 and Kashkari 15:30 could shift this read
Gold ground higher through NY hours off the 3983 low, tagging 4066 before rejecting back to 4051 — a relief bounce after the sub-4000 break, per the in-line core PCE softening the USD. RSI(14) cooling from the highs; rallies still stalling below the 4055-4066 supply.
Support: 4,040.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,066.00, 4,055.00
What it said to watch
Michigan sentiment + inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Williams (14:30) / Kashkari (15:30) Fed-speak in focus
M15 close above 4066 extends the higher-high sequence
Higher highs/higher lows off the 3983 low; pullback from session high.
NY session drove gold to a 4066 session high before rejecting back to 4051, RSI cooling from the upper 60s; the leg followed USD slipping from yearly highs after in-line core PCE. Buyers stepped in repeatedly above 4035, keeping the intraday higher-low chain intact while 4055 caps.
Support: 4,035.90
Resistance: 4,055.00, 4,066.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4035.9 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
Repeated rejection below 4055 caps the bounce and keeps price ranging
UoM Michigan sentiment + inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Gold ground higher through the NY session, breaking the 4055 prior high and tagging a fresh session high at 4066 before closing 4058. The recovery off the 3983 low followed in-line core PCE that eased the USD; RSI(14) firm near 64, not yet stretched.
Support: 4,040.00
Resistance: 4,066.03, 4,055.00
What it said to watch
UoM Michigan sentiment + inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC can shift this read
Loss of 4040 breaks the higher-low chain
Rejection at 4066 session high keeps price capped below 4055
13:03 UTC
Uptrend, NY recovery · RSI 68 · price 4,058.57
Rising higher highs off 3983 low.
Gold ground higher through the NY session, recovering from the 3983 dip to print a session high at 4066 before the last bar faded to 4058 — a relief squeeze after the break under 4000. RSI(14) near 67, hot but not extreme; price holds above EMA20/50 with the rally still intact.
Support: 4,040.00
Resistance: 4,066.03
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4066 opens the path toward the 4100 area
Failure to hold 4040 turns the near-term structure lower
UoM Michigan Sentiment + inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Gold ground up through the NY session to a 4055 high before fading, RSI(14) cooling back near 48 as the USD eased off yearly highs after in-line core PCE. Price now hovers at 4041 just above the session low, with supply capping the 4051-4055 zone.
Support: 4,031.00
Resistance: 4,055.47, 4,051.00
What it said to watch
Close back above 4055 reopens the upside
Loss of 4031 swing low confirms a lower-low
Michigan sentiment / UoM inflation expectations (14:00 UTC) and Fed speakers could shift this read
Gold ran up through the NY session to a 4055 high before fading back to 4041 as the USD recovery capped the move; rejection at 4055 has RSI(14) cooling to mid-range. Price holds above EMA50 but slipped below EMA20, leaving the rally in pause near the 4036 swing low.
Support: 4,035.92
Resistance: 4,055.47
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4035.92 confirms a lower-low and deepens the pullback
Reclaim of 4055.47 reopens the upside extension
Fed speakers Williams (14:30) and Kashkari (15:30) could shift the read
Higher highs and higher lows since the $3,983 flush.
Gold ground higher through the NY session off the $3,983 low, peaking at the $4,055 session high before stalling. Price now consolidates in a tight $4,042–$4,055 band with RSI(14) cooled to mid-50s; the rebound followed the USD slipping from yearly highs after in-line core PCE.
Support: 4,042.00
Resistance: 4,055.50
What it said to watch
Close above 4055.5 reopens upside toward 4100
Loss of 4042 swing low signals momentum fade
Michigan sentiment / inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC can shift this read
Gold ran from the ~3983 dip through the NY session to a 4055 session high, then stalled and is consolidating in a 4042–4055 band. Move follows the USD retreat from yearly highs after in-line core PCE; RSI(14) near 61 leaves room before any extreme.
Support: 4,042.30, 4,029.69
Resistance: 4,055.47, 4,060.00
What it said to watch
Close above 4055.47 reopens the path toward 4060 round number
Loss of 4042.30 intraday low breaks the consolidation toward 4029.69 swing low
Michigan sentiment / UoM inflation expectations (14:00 UTC) and Fed speakers could shift this read
Higher highs and higher lows since the $3,983 flush.
Gold ground higher through the NY session, posting session high 4055.5 before stalling; RSI(14) cooling into the high-50s after the run. Buyers stepped in repeatedly around 4042 during the NY-afternoon, holding the higher-low chain off the $3,983 London flush.
Support: 4,042.00, 4,029.00
Resistance: 4,055.50
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4042 breaks the higher-low chain and opens a retest of 4029
Reclaim of 4055.5 resumes the intraday advance
Fed speak (Williams 14:30, Kashkari 15:30 UTC) could shift this read
Gold ground higher through the NY session off the 4005 session low, tagging 4055 before stalling, with RSI(14) easing back from hot levels. Price now coils in a tight 4042–4055 band as the rebound off sub-4000 lows holds.
Support: 4,042.00, 4,030.00
Resistance: 4,055.47, 4,063.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4055.47 reopens the path toward 4063
Loss of 4042 exposes the 4030 pivot
Michigan sentiment / UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
Gold ground higher through the NY session off the 3983 low, posting a session high at 4055 before stalling; price now consolidates near 4044 with RSI(14) cooling from the push. Repeated rejections at 4055 cap the top while higher lows hold the ascending structure intact, the recovery aided by a softer USD after in-line core PCE.
Support: 4,042.00
Resistance: 4,055.47
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4055 session high reopens upside momentum
Loss of 4042 intraday low threatens the higher-low chain
Michigan sentiment / UoM inflation expectations could shift the read intraday
Gold reclaimed $4,000 and ground higher through the NY session, posting a chain of higher lows off 3991 into a 4055 session high. Sellers have capped the last several attempts at 4055 with RSI cooling from the highs; price now hovers near 4047 just below that ceiling.
Support: 4,030.00
Resistance: 4,055.47
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4055 opens the path toward the 4100 March low
Loss of 4030 breaks the higher-low sequence
Michigan sentiment 14:00 UTC plus Williams/Kashkari Fed speak could shift this read
Higher highs and higher lows since the 4008 NY-session low.
NY session pushed gold up from the 4008 swing low to a session high at 4055 as the USD eased from yearly highs; RSI(14) is cooling near 60 off that high. Buyers stepped in around 4031 on pullbacks and price is holding above 4040.
Support: 4,031.00, 4,008.00
Resistance: 4,055.00
What it said to watch
Michigan sentiment + UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close below 4031 breaks the chain of higher lows
Reclaim and hold of 4055 session high opens the path higher
11:31 UTC
Uptrend, pressing session high · RSI 65 · price 4,053.97
Higher highs, higher lows intact.
Steady M15 uptrend off the 3983 London low; price is pressing the 4055 session high into the NY open with RSI(14) near 64, not yet stretched. Buyers stepped in repeatedly on dips around 4040, keeping the higher-low chain intact.
Support: 4,040.00
Resistance: 4,055.47
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4055 session high extends the rally toward 4060+
Loss of 4040 pullback low breaks the higher-low chain
Michigan sentiment / UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
11:31 UTC
Uptrend, near session high · RSI 67 · price 4,053.97
Higher highs/higher lows off 3983 low.
NY session ground gold up to a session high at 4055, extending the recovery off the 3983 London dip as the USD eased after in-line PCE. RSI(14) elevated near 67 but not extreme; price holding the upper end of the range with 4031 as the last higher low.
Support: 4,031.00
Resistance: 4,055.47
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 4055.47 opens the path higher
Failure to hold 4031 breaks the higher-low chain
Michigan sentiment / UoM inflation expectations 14:00 UTC and Fed speakers Williams (14:30) / Kashkari (15:30) could shift this read
NY session extended the recovery off the sub-4000 flush, tagging a session high at 4055 before the last bar rejected back to 4046 as the USD eased from yearly highs. RSI(14) cooling from the low-70s; price holds above EMA20/50 with the rising structure intact above 4035.
Support: 4,035.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,055.47
What it said to watch
Loss of 4035 swing pivot would break the intraday higher-low chain
Michigan sentiment + UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Acceptance above 4055.47 session high opens room toward 4100
Gold ground higher through London hours off the 4009 base, tagging a 4055 session high before stalling as the USD retreats from yearly highs. RSI(14) near 62 — firm but not extreme — and price is rejecting the 4054-4055 supply band, easing back toward 4046.
Support: 4,039.00
Resistance: 4,055.40, 4,054.50
What it said to watch
Loss of 4039 would break the intraday higher-low chain
M15 close above 4055 extends the session high
Michigan sentiment / UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
11:02 UTC
Uptrend, momentum firm · RSI 68 · price 4,054.16
Higher highs and higher lows, pressing session high.
Gold ground higher through the London session to a session high at 4055, RSI(14) elevated near 68 but not yet extreme, with rising lows from 4007 intact. The leg up follows USD easing off yearly highs after in-line core PCE, lending gold a modest bid back above 4000.
Support: 4,035.00, 4,007.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,100.00
What it said to watch
Michigan sentiment + inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Close back below 4035 breaks the rising-low chain
Break and hold above 4055 session high opens the path toward the 4100 march low
Gold recovered from the 3983 NY flush and is grinding into the session high at 4055, RSI(14) hot near 72. A clean HH/HL chain holds, with the prior 4030 shelf now acting as support and buyers stepping in around 4044 on the latest pullback.
Support: 4,044.43, 4,030.00
Resistance: 4,055.47, 4,060.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4055.47 extends the rally toward 4060
Loss of 4044 then 4030 breaks the higher-low chain
Michigan sentiment / UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
NY session has driven gold to a session high at 4054, extending the rebound off the 3983 low as the USD eased back from yearly highs. RSI(14) near 68 is hot but not extreme; price holds above EMA20/50 with a clean HH/HL chain intact.
Support: 4,030.00
What it said to watch
Michigan sentiment / UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Gold ground higher through the NY session, tagging a 4054 session high after the USD eased back from yearly highs despite sticky core PCE. Buyers stepped in repeatedly off the 4005 low, building a clean rising channel; RSI(14) elevated near 67 but not yet stretched.
Support: 4,030.00, 4,000.00
What it said to watch
Close above 4054 session high opens the path toward the 4100 March low
Failure to hold 4030 risks a slide back to the 4000 psych pivot
Michigan sentiment / UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
Gold ground higher through the London session off the 3983 low, breaking the 4036 supply zone and printing a session high at 4054 before easing to 4048. Short-covering bounce in play after the slide below $4,000; RSI(14) firm near 65 but not yet stretched.
Support: 4,036.00, 4,024.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,054.16
What it said to watch
Loss of 4036 reopens the 4024/4000 supports and breaks the higher-low chain
Close above 4054 extends the session high
UoM Michigan sentiment + inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
10:31 UTC
Uptrend, near session highs · RSI 69 · price 4,048.07
Higher highs and higher lows since London low.
Gold ground higher through the London-NY transition, clearing the $4,036 supply zone and printing a session high at 4054 — a short-covering extension after the context-flagged oversold bounce. Price holds above rising support off the 3983 low; RSI(14) elevated near 69 but not yet extreme.
Support: 4,030.00
Resistance: 4,054.00
What it said to watch
Close back below 4030 breaks the higher-low chain and the rising support line
Acceptance above 4054 session high opens continuation
UoM Michigan sentiment + inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
10:16 UTC
Uptrend, pressing session high · RSI 68 · price 4,050.73
HH/HL chain off 3983 low.
Gold ground higher through the London session, breaking the 4036 supply zone and printing a session high at 4054 before stalling at 4050. Short-covering off the sub-4000 oversold low at 3983 has carried into a clean HH/HL chain, RSI(14) hot at ~68 but not extreme. The prior 4036 cap now sits below as the first reference on any pullback.
Support: 4,036.00
Resistance: 4,054.00
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 4036 breaks the rising-low structure
Acceptance above 4054 extends the intraday leg
UoM sentiment + inflation expectations 14:00 UTC and Fed's Williams/Kashkari could shift this read
Gold extended its short-covering bounce through the London session, clearing the 4036 supply zone that had capped prior rallies and printing a session high at 4054. RSI(14) near 71 — hot but not extreme; price holds well above EMA20/50 with the last leg from 3983 unbroken.
Support: 4,036.00, 4,006.00
Resistance: 4,054.16
What it said to watch
14:00 UTC UoM Michigan sentiment + inflation expectations could materially shift this read
Fed's Williams (14:30) and Kashkari (15:30) speak — hawkish lean would pressure gold
M15 close back below 4036 would negate the breakout and reopen 4006
Gold ground higher through London into a session high at 4054, clearing the 4036 supply zone that capped prior bounces; RSI(14) near 69, short-term hot but not extreme. The advance is a short-covering recovery off the 7-month lows, with the broader hawkish-Fed read still in the background.
Support: 4,036.00
Resistance: 4,054.00, 4,060.00
What it said to watch
Loss of 4036 prior supply on retest would neutralise the breakout
UoM Michigan sentiment + inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC can materially shift this read
Acceptance above 4054 session high opens the path toward 4060
Gold ground higher through the NY session, clearing the 4036 supply zone and printing a session high at 4054 before easing to 4047, RSI(14) running hot near 67. The bounce off the 3983 low is a short-covering recovery against a broader bearish backdrop; rallies have been sold near 4036–4054 in recent days.
Support: 4,030.00
Resistance: 4,054.16, 4,036.00
What it said to watch
Loss of 4030 would break the rising higher-low chain off 3983
M15 close above 4054 session high opens room back toward the broader supply zone
UoM Michigan sentiment + inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
09:47 UTC
Uptrend, fresh session high · RSI 67 · price 4,046.84
Higher highs/higher lows off the 3983 dip.
Gold extended a short-covering bounce through the $4,036 zone that had capped prior rallies, NY hours printing a fresh session high at 4054 with RSI(14) near 67. The advance off the 3983 dip is a clean higher-high/higher-low chain; the reclaimed 4036 area now acts as first support.
Support: 4,036.00, 4,020.00
Resistance: 4,054.16
What it said to watch
Rejection at 4054 session high keeps the bounce contained
Failure to hold 4036 negates the breakout and reopens 4020
Michigan Sentiment + Fed Williams/Kashkari from 14:00 UTC could shift this read
09:46 UTC
Uptrend, momentum strong into session high · RSI 67 · price 4,046.84
Higher highs / higher lows off the 3983 low.
Gold ground higher through the London-NY transition, reclaiming the 4036 supply zone and tagging a session high at 4054 before stalling, RSI(14) near 67. Price holds above the rising support off the 3983 low; the bounce fits the broader short-covering off oversold described in the digest, but rallies have been sold near 4036-4054.
Support: 4,030.00
Resistance: 4,054.16, 4,036.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4054 extends the intraday uptrend
Failure to hold 4030 breaks the higher-low chain
UoM Michigan sentiment + inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
09:31 UTC
Uptrend, pushing session high · RSI 69 · price 4,047.59
Higher highs / higher lows since 3983 low.
Gold recovered from the 3983 session low through London hours and pushed to a fresh session high at 4050.72, breaking the 4044 prior high. Move follows the in-line core PCE relief and a stalling USD; RSI near 68, hot but not extreme. Dips into 4031 held repeatedly on the way up.
Support: 4,031.00
Resistance: 4,050.72, 4,044.00
What it said to watch
Sustained move above 4050 session high opens path higher
Loss of 4031 intraday low breaks the higher-low chain
Michigan sentiment + inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC and Fed speakers after could shift this read
Gold ground higher through the London session, recovering off the 3983.03 low into a fresh session high at 4050.72 — a relief leg consistent with the in-line core PCE capping the prior slide. RSI(14) is hot near 70 but not extreme, and price holds above both EMAs.
Support: 4,031.00, 4,006.84, 3,983.03
Resistance: 4,050.72
What it said to watch
Close above 4050.72 session high extends the intraday uptrend
Failure to hold the 4031 minor pivot risks rolling back toward 4006.84
Michigan sentiment + inflation expectations and Fed's Williams/Kashkari (14:00-15:30 UTC) could shift this read
Gold dug a session low at 3983 during the late-Asia/early-London window then climbed in a higher-low chain back toward the 4044 session high, a relief bounce after the in-line US core PCE print kept the USD stalling. Price is consolidating just under 4044 into European hours, RSI(14) around 61 with room before extremes.
Support: 4,022.00, 3,983.00
Resistance: 4,044.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4044 opens the path higher toward 4060
Failure to hold 4022 would break the higher-low chain
Michigan sentiment + inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher highs/higher lows, consolidating near highs.
Gold clawed back from the 3983 dip to retest the 4044 session high, building a chain of higher lows through London hours after the relief bounce off the 7-month low below 4000. Price now consolidating 4025–4044 with RSI(14) mid-range; no extreme in play.
Support: 4,025.00, 4,011.00, 3,983.00
Resistance: 4,044.00, 4,050.00
What it said to watch
Close above 4044 opens the path toward 4050 psych
Failure to hold 4025 breaks the higher-low chain back toward 4011
Michigan sentiment/inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
09:03 UTC
Recovery uptrend, stalling near session high · RSI 58 · price 4,030.02
Higher lows off 3983, consolidating below 4040.
Gold reclaimed 4000 after the dip to 3983 and ground higher through the NY session to a session high near 4040, now consolidating around 4030 on a chain of higher lows. RSI mid-range, no extreme; the move stalled just under the 4044 intraday cap.
Support: 4,015.00, 3,983.00
Resistance: 4,040.00, 4,044.00
What it said to watch
Close above 4044 opens the path higher
Loss of 4015 breaks the higher-low sequence
Michigan sentiment & inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
Gold clawed back from the 3983 session low during London hours, building higher lows into 4040 and now consolidating 4030-4036 just under the 4044 session high. RSI mid-range, no extreme, after a ~1% relief bounce that followed yesterday's in-line core PCE. Michigan sentiment and inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC are the next material risk.
Support: 4,011.00, 4,000.00, 3,983.00
Resistance: 4,040.00, 4,044.00
What it said to watch
Close above 4044 extends the recovery toward 4060
Loss of 4011 reopens the 4000 psych and 3983 session low
Michigan inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
Higher lows building since the overnight 3983 low.
Gold reclaimed 4020-4037 after dipping to a 3983 low during the Asia session, tracking the stalling Dollar off its highs. Price is pressing the 4040-4044 session ceiling with RSI(14) mid-60s; a chain of higher lows off 4005 keeps the intraday recovery intact.
Support: 4,020.00
Resistance: 4,040.00, 4,044.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4020 breaks the higher-low sequence
Reclaim of 4044 session high opens room toward the March-low resistance
Michigan sentiment + Fed Williams/Kashkari from 14:00 UTC could shift this read
08:46 UTC
Intraday recovery, momentum slowing near session high · RSI 64 · price 4,037.20
Higher lows off 3983, rebound reclaiming 4036.
Gold bounced off the session low at 3983 and reclaimed 4036 as the USD rally stalled after in-line core PCE. RSI(14) near 63 with price stacked above EMA20/50; the prior session high at 4044 is the immediate cap.
Support: 4,025.00, 3,983.00
Resistance: 4,044.00, 4,060.00
What it said to watch
Close above 4044 session high opens the path toward 4060
Failure to hold 4025 risks a retest of 3983 session low
Michigan sentiment + inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
08:31 UTC
Intraday uptrend off the session low · RSI 61 · price 4,033.27
Higher lows since 3983; reclaiming 4030s.
London session has climbed steadily off the 3983 session low, reclaiming the 4030s as the USD rally stalls. Buyers stepped in repeatedly to print higher lows, with the 4040 session high capping the last push and RSI cooling from a mild peak.
Support: 4,020.00, 3,983.03
Resistance: 4,040.00, 4,044.12
What it said to watch
Close below 4020 breaks the higher-low chain back toward 4005
Acceptance above 4044 extends the intraday bounce
Michigan sentiment / inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC plus Fed's Williams and Kashkari could materially shift this read
08:31 UTC
Recovering off lows, uptrend on recent leg · RSI 61 · price 4,033.27
Higher lows since 3983, pressing session high.
Gold carved a rounded recovery off the 3983 range low, building higher lows through Asia and reclaiming 4030+ as the USD rally stalled after in-line core PCE. Price now presses the 4040 session high with RSI(14) near 60 — momentum constructive but not stretched.
Support: 4,024.00, 4,008.00, 3,983.00
Resistance: 4,040.00, 4,044.00
What it said to watch
Close above 4040 session high opens path to the 4044 swing high
Failure to hold 4024 swing low risks a retrace toward 4008 session low
Michigan sentiment + UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
08:17 UTC
Recovery, near session highs · RSI 60 · price 4,032.71
Rangebound 3983–4044, pressing range top.
Gold bounced off the 3983 London low and reclaimed 4030 as the USD rally stalled near its 13-month high. Price is pressing the 4040 session high after a clean recovery leg; RSI(14) near 60, room before stretched.
Support: 4,022.00, 3,983.00
Resistance: 4,040.00, 4,044.00
What it said to watch
Michigan sentiment + UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Close above 4044 opens room beyond the range top
Failure to hold 4022 risks a rotation back toward 3983
Gold rebounded off the 3983 session low through the Asian range and reclaimed 4040 into London hours, RSI(14) cooling from the bounce near 57. Price is now consolidating around 4030 just under the 4040 session high after a relief lift off seven-month lows as the Dollar rally stalled.
Support: 4,008.00, 4,000.00, 3,983.00
Resistance: 4,040.00, 4,044.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4044 prior high extends the recovery toward the March-low resistance
Loss of the 4008 swing low reopens the 4000 round number and 3983 session low
Michigan sentiment / UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC plus Williams/Kashkari speak can shift this read
Gold reclaimed the $4,000 psych level and ground higher through the London session, recovering from the 3983 dip to retest session highs near 4044. RSI(14) sits mid-60s with price holding above EMA20/50; the recovery structure is intact while higher lows hold.
Support: 4,008.00
Resistance: 4,044.00, 4,050.00
What it said to watch
Loss of 4008 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
Close above 4044 session high opens 4050 psych
Michigan sentiment + inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
Gold bounced off the $3,983 Asian-session low, reclaimed $4,000 and built higher lows into London, tagging the session high near $4,040 before easing to $4,031 — an oversold relief bounce consistent with the DXY stall off yearly highs. RSI(14) mid-range at ~59 leaves room before any extreme; $4,040 is the cap to watch.
Support: 4,008.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,040.00, 4,044.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4040 session high opens path toward the 4044 prior high
Loss of 4008 swing low reopens the 4000 psych pivot
Michigan sentiment / inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
07:47 UTC
Recovery off lows, momentum up · RSI 61 · price 4,031.52
Range 3983-4044, higher lows building.
Gold reclaimed $4,000 after the dip to 3983 and has chained higher lows back to 4040 through the London session, RSI(14) mid-60s. Range top 4040-4044 is the level to watch — prior tests there stalled; in-line PCE failed to add fresh hawkish fuel and the dollar bid is stalling.
Support: 4,022.00, 4,008.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,040.00, 4,044.00
What it said to watch
Close above 4044 invalidates the range top and opens path toward 4050+
Failure to hold 4022 rising support reopens 4008/4000
Michigan sentiment + UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
07:46 UTC
Intraday bounce, choppy · RSI 58 · price 4,031.52
Recovery off 3983 low, capped near 4040.
Gold reclaimed the 4000 psych level after the dip to a 7-month low near 3983 during London hours, grinding back to 4040 before easing to 4031. Price is ranging 4000–4044 with a chain of higher lows since the bounce; rejections keep capping rallies into 4040–4044.
Support: 4,000.00, 3,983.00
Resistance: 4,040.00, 4,044.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4044 invalidates the range top and opens 4060+
Loss of 4000 reopens the 3983 low
Michigan sentiment / UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC (~6h) could shift this read
07:32 UTC
Uptrend, recovery leg · RSI 69 · price 4,038.58
Higher lows off session low, testing prior swing high.
London session recovered from the 3983 session low, reclaimed the 4000 pivot and pushed to 4038, now probing the 4044 prior high with RSI(14) near 69. Higher lows intact through the recovery; move tracks a stalling USD after in-line PCE capped the hawkish impulse.
Support: 4,026.00, 3,983.03
Resistance: 4,044.12
What it said to watch
Close above 4044 prior high extends the recovery leg
Failure to hold 4026 intraday pivot breaks the higher-low chain
UoM Michigan sentiment + Fed speakers from 14:00 UTC could shift this read
07:31 UTC
Uptrend, recovery leg off session low · RSI 67 · price 4,038.58
Higher highs and higher lows since 3983.
Gold ground higher through the London morning, recovering from the session low at 3983 back to 4038 as the USD rally stalled on in-line PCE. RSI(14) near 67, not yet hot, with price pressing prior intraday high 4044 — area to watch for rejection or break.
Support: 4,027.00, 4,011.00
Resistance: 4,044.00, 4,050.00
What it said to watch
Close above 4044 opens the path toward 4050 psych
Loss of 4027 breaks the higher-low chain back toward 4011
UoM Michigan sentiment + Fed speakers (Williams/Kashkari) from 14:00 UTC could shift this read
07:17 UTC
Intraday rebound, momentum building · RSI 61 · price 4,027.57
Higher lows off 3983 low, testing session highs.
Gold reclaimed the $4,000 pivot after basing near 3983 and has ground higher into the London session, now testing 4027 below the 4033 session high. The bounce tracks a stalling USD after in-line PCE; RSI(14) mid-60s with room before stretch.
Support: 4,008.00, 4,000.00, 3,983.00
Resistance: 4,033.00, 4,044.00
What it said to watch
Break above 4033 opens the path to the 4044 prior high
Loss of 4008 then 4000 reopens the 3983 low
UoM Michigan sentiment 14:00 UTC + Fed Williams/Kashkari could shift this read
Gold reclaimed the 4000 psych pivot during early London after basing at the 3983 session low, grinding higher lows up to a 4033 retest as the USD rally stalled on in-line PCE. RSI(14) near 61 — firm but not stretched; current bar holding just under the session high.
Support: 4,000.00, 3,983.03
Resistance: 4,033.19, 4,044.12
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4033 opens the path to 4044 prior high
Failure to hold 4000 reopens 3983 session low
UoM Michigan sentiment + inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
07:02 UTC
Intraday recovery, near-term up · RSI 61 · price 4,031.78
Higher lows off session low, retesting range top.
London session: gold extended its relief bounce back above 4000 after the USD rally stalled on in-line Core PCE. Buyers stepped in twice near the 3983 session low and price has chained higher lows up to 4032, now grinding toward the 4044 prior high. RSI(14) around 61 — firm but not stretched.
Support: 4,008.00, 3,983.00
Resistance: 4,044.12
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4044 confirms a higher high and reopens the upside
Loss of 4008 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
UoM sentiment/inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC plus Fed's Williams could materially shift this read
07:02 UTC
Recovery off intraday low, momentum building · RSI 64 · price 4,031.78
Higher lows since 3983, retracing the prior drop.
Gold reclaimed 4000 and ground back to 4031 during London hours, recovering most of the drop into the 3983 session low as the USD rally stalled on in-line PCE. Higher lows have stacked since 3983, with price now pressing the 4032 zone just under the 4044 session high.
Support: 4,006.84, 4,000.00, 3,983.03
Resistance: 4,044.12, 4,032.00
What it said to watch
Close above 4044 reopens the path toward the prior session highs
Loss of 4006.84 breaks the higher-low chain and exposes 4000 / 3983
UoM Michigan sentiment & inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC plus Fed speakers can shift this read
06:47 UTC
Recovery off session low, momentum building · RSI 59 · price 4,023.85
Higher lows since 3983 low, retesting session highs.
Gold rebounded off the Asia-session low at 3983 and reclaimed the $4,000 pivot as the USD rally stalled, with NY hours yesterday driving the initial bounce. Price broke 4016 consolidation into the London open and is now pressing the 4027 session high, RSI(14) around 59 with room before extremes.
Support: 4,005.00, 3,983.03
Resistance: 4,044.12
What it said to watch
Close above 4027 opens the path to the 4044 prior high
Failure to hold 4005 reopens the 3983 session low
UoM Michigan sentiment + inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
06:46 UTC
Recovery off the low, momentum firming · RSI 57 · price 4,023.85
Higher lows building after 3983 bottom.
Gold sold into the Asian session to a 3983 low then rebounded back through the 4000 pivot, retracing roughly two-thirds of the prior down-leg as the USD eased post in-line PCE. Buyers built higher lows off 4005 but the 4027 session high has so far capped the bounce.
Support: 4,000.00, 3,983.03
Resistance: 4,044.12
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4027 opens the path to the 4044 prior high
Failure to hold 4000 reopens the 3983 swing low
UoM Michigan data 14:00 UTC and Fed Williams/Kashkari could shift this read
Gold rebounded above $4,000 as the USD rally stalled post in-line PCE, peaking at 4044 before pulling back into a 4005-4044 range. London-NY transition saw a dip to 3991 then a fresh push back to 4024 into the close, RSI(14) mid-range at 56.
Support: 4,005.00, 3,991.00
Resistance: 4,044.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4044 opens path back toward the 4100 region
Failure to hold 4005 reopens the 3991 session low
UoM Michigan data + Fed speakers (Williams 14:30, Kashkari 15:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
Gold rebounded above the 4000 pivot through the Asia-to-London window after Thursday's relief bounce off the 7-month low, then chopped between 4005 and 4021. Price holds above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) neutral near 54; the 4040-4044 zone capped the prior advance and remains the overhead barrier.
Support: 4,005.00, 3,992.00, 3,983.00
Resistance: 4,044.10
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4044 reopens the path toward 4060
Loss of 4005 exposes the 3992 dip low and 3983 session low
UoM Michigan sentiment + inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC, plus Fed's Williams/Kashkari, could shift this read
Ranging between 4000 and 4021 after recovery from 3983.
Gold reclaimed the 4000 psych pivot after the NY-session slide bottomed at 3983, with the USD rally stalling on broadly in-line PCE. Price is now mid-range between 4000 and the 4021 session high, RSI(14) neutral around 51.
Support: 4,000.00, 3,983.00
Resistance: 4,044.12
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4000 reopens the 3983 swing low
Reclaim of 4021 puts the 4044 prior high back in play
UoM Michigan sentiment + inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC and Fed's Williams/Kashkari could shift this read
06:02 UTC
Recovery within broader downtrend · RSI 53 · price 4,008.95
Bounce off 3983, higher lows into Asia.
Gold reclaimed the $4,000 pivot after twice basing near 3983 during the Asia session, with price now grinding back toward the 4021 swing high. Move is an oversold relief bounce after Wednesday's break below $4,000; RSI(14) neutral near 53, no momentum extreme in play.
Support: 4,000.00, 3,983.00
Resistance: 4,021.50, 4,044.00
What it said to watch
Loss of 4000 reopens the path to the 3983 swing low
Close above 4021.50 extends the recovery toward 4044
UoM Michigan sentiment/inflation + Fed Williams & Kashkari at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
05:46 UTC
Recovery within wider downtrend · RSI 50 · price 4,008.68
Ranging 3983-4044, bouncing off lows.
Gold rebounded off the 3983 session low back above the 4000 psychological pivot through Asian hours, RSI(14) cooling to mid-range as the USD rally stalled post-PCE. Price is chopping inside a 3983-4044 range with the recovery stalling near 4021.
Support: 4,000.00, 3,983.03
Resistance: 4,044.12
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4000 reopens the 3983 session low
Close above 4021 swing high exposes 4044 session high
UoM Michigan sentiment/inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
Gold rebounded off the 3983 swing low and reclaimed the 4000 psych pivot as the USD rally stalled, now hovering at 4008 just below the 4021 session high. RSI(14) neutral near 52; price ranging between 3983 and 4021 with rising intraday lows.
Support: 4,000.00, 3,983.00
Resistance: 4,021.57, 4,044.12
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4021.57 opens the path back toward the 4044 prior high
Loss of 4000 psych pivot reopens the 3983 swing low
UoM Michigan sentiment/inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Gold ran to a 4044 session high during NY hours then bled back to a 3983 swing low in Asia; buyers stepped in there and price has climbed back to 4016 through the Asia-London transition. The bounce is holding above the 4000 round number with a chain of higher lows, RSI(14) near 59.
Support: 4,000.00, 3,983.00
Resistance: 4,022.00, 4,044.00
What it said to watch
Close above 4022 swing pivot opens the path back to the 4044 session high
Failure to hold 4000 reopens the 3983 swing low
UoM sentiment + inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC is the key gold catalyst
05:31 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 56 · price 4,016.38
Higher lows since 3983 after pullback from 4044.
Gold flushed from the 4044 session high to 3983 then carved higher lows back to 4016, an oversold relief leg after May PCE printed in line. Price is reclaiming the 4000 psych pivot and EMA20 but sits below EMA50; 4025 minor resistance and the 4044 session high cap the bounce.
Support: 4,000.00, 3,983.03
Resistance: 4,025.00, 4,044.12
What it said to watch
Close above 4025 opens path to the 4044 session high
Loss of 4000 psych pivot re-exposes the 3983 session low
UoM Michigan inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
05:16 UTC
Recovering after intraday flush · RSI 58 · price 4,018.41
Rebounding into prior 4012–4044 range.
Gold flushed out of the 4012–4044 Asian range to 3983 around 02:30 UTC, then bought back to 4018 into the London open as the oversold relief bounce extended after in-line US PCE. Price is now climbing back into the prior range with the 4030 prior high as the first overhead test.
Support: 4,000.00, 3,983.03
Resistance: 4,030.00, 4,044.12
What it said to watch
Reclaim and hold above 4030 reopens the 4044 session high
Loss of the 4000 psych pivot reopens the 3983 swing low
UoM inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
05:16 UTC
Recovering off session low, momentum building · RSI 58 · price 4,018.41
Bounce from 3983 back above 4000, rising lows.
Gold reclaimed the 4000 handle after basing at the 3983 session low, now grinding up toward the 4030 supply zone with rising intraday lows. The relief bounce follows broadly in-line PCE; RSI(14) mid-range at ~58, no extreme in play.
Support: 4,000.00, 3,983.00
Resistance: 4,030.00, 4,044.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4030 opens the path back to the 4044 swing high
Loss of 4000 reopens the 3983 session low
UoM inflation expectations 14:00 UTC is the gold catalyst and could shift this read
05:03 UTC
Downtrend, oversold bounce in play · RSI 57 · price 4,012.15
Recovery off 3983 low, higher lows building.
Gold flushed to a 3983 session low in late Asia hours then buyers stepped in, lifting price back through 4000 to 4012 into early London — a relief bounce after the broadly in-line PCE removed hawkish-surprise risk. The move stalls into the 4020 pivot, sitting near the 50% retrace of the 4044-to-3983 leg; RSI(14) has recovered to the mid-50s.
Support: 4,000.00, 3,983.03
Resistance: 4,020.00, 4,044.12
What it said to watch
Close above 4020 pivot opens the path back to the 4044 session high
Loss of 4000 round number reopens the 3983 session low
UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC is the key gold catalyst and could shift this read
05:03 UTC
Recovering off intraday low · RSI 54 · price 4,012.15
V-recovery after flush to 3983, back at EMA20.
Gold flushed to 3983 then V-recovered to 4012 through the early London session, reclaiming the 4000 round number and sitting back at EMA20. The 4044 session high capped the prior leg; price now mid-range between 3983 support and 4024-4044 supply.
Support: 4,000.00, 3,983.03
Resistance: 4,024.00, 4,044.12
What it said to watch
Sustained loss of 4000 reopens the 3983 swing low
Reclaim of 4024 puts the 4044 session high back in play
UoM Michigan sentiment + inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC is the key gold catalyst and can reshape this read
Gold flushed to a 3983 session low in late NY hours then curled back above the $4,000 pivot, reclaiming it after the in-line PCE print steadied the metal. Price is now consolidating near 4008 in the Asia session, capped by the 4012 micro-high with RSI back to neutral.
Support: 4,000.00, 3,983.03
Resistance: 4,012.00, 4,022.00, 4,044.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4012 opens the path back toward 4022 and the 4044 session high
Loss of 4000 and a close below 3983 confirms a lower low
UoM inflation expectations (14:00 UTC) and Fed Williams/Kashkari later could materially shift this read
04:47 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 52 · price 4,008.04
Lower high at 4044, bounce from 3983.
Gold rejected the 4044 session high late in the NY session and sold off into Asia to a 3983 low, then recovered to 4008 around the broken $4,000 psych pivot. Move came as the dollar held near 13-month highs on Fed-hike repricing; RSI(14) has lifted back to mid-range from the dip lows.
Support: 4,000.00, 3,983.03
Resistance: 4,024.00, 4,044.12
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 4024 supply needed to challenge the 4044 session high
Failure to hold the 4000 psych pivot reopens the 3983 session low
UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
04:32 UTC
Pullback off intraday high, bounce in progress · RSI 49 · price 4,007.47
Lower highs from 4044, bounce off 3983 session low.
Gold rallied through the NY session to a 4044 high, then bled lower overnight, printing a 3983 session low into Asia before buyers stepped back in toward 4007. Price is currently parked at the 38.2% retrace of the 4044-3983 drop, capped by lower highs; reclaim of 4020 is needed to reopen 4044.
Support: 3,983.00
Resistance: 4,020.00, 4,044.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below 3983 confirms a lower low and reopens the slide
Reclaim of 4020 puts the 4044 session high back in play
UoM inflation expectations and Fed Williams/Kashkari later today could shift this read
Lower high vs 4044, bounce off 3983 reclaiming 4000.
Gold rejected twice near 4044 then flushed to a 3983 session low before reclaiming the 4000 figure, now holding 4007 in the Asia session. Move follows the in-line core PCE that stabilised the metal above 4000; RSI(14) back to neutral after the dip.
Support: 4,000.00, 3,983.00
Resistance: 4,020.00, 4,044.00
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 3983 confirms a fresh lower-low
Reclaim of 4020 reopens the path to the 4044 session high
Fed Williams (14:30 UTC) / Kashkari (15:30 UTC) could shift this read
Gold flushed below the $4,000 psych level to a 3983 session low, then bounced twice off the 3983-3991 zone as in-line core PCE took the edge off the dollar; price now reclaiming 4000 with RSI recovering from oversold. Lower highs stacked down from the 4044 session high still cap the bounce, currently testing 4009.
Support: 4,000.00, 3,983.00
Resistance: 4,022.00, 4,044.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4022 swing would negate the lower-high sequence
Loss of the 3983 session low reopens the 3959 seven-month low
UoM inflation expectations (14:00 UTC) and Fed Williams/Kashkari could shift this read
04:16 UTC
Pullback off highs, recovering · RSI 51 · price 4,009.03
Lower high after 4044, bounce off 3983.
Gold flushed below the 4000 psych level to 3983 during Asian hours then reclaimed it, now at 4009 with RSI(14) back near neutral. Price is holding a lower high beneath the 4044 session top after the broader Fed-hike-driven slide; 4000 retest holding so far.
Support: 4,000.00, 3,983.00
Resistance: 4,020.00, 4,044.00
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 4000 reopens the 3983 swing low
Acceptance above 4020 puts the 4044 session high in play
UoM inflation expectations and Fed Williams/Kashkari (14:00–15:30 UTC) could shift this read
04:03 UTC
Pullback from highs, recovering · RSI 48 · price 4,002.63
Lower highs off 4044, bounce off 3983.
Gold rallied into a 4044 ceiling through the London-NY session and was rejected repeatedly before flushing to a 3983 swing low, then reclaiming the 4000 psych level into early Asia. RSI(14) is recovering toward neutral after the selloff; price holds just above 4000 with 4022 the first overhead resistance.
Support: 4,000.00, 3,983.00
Resistance: 4,022.00, 4,044.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below 3983 reopens the 3959 low region
Reclaim of 4022 needed to challenge the 4044 ceiling
UoM inflation expectations and Fed Williams/Kashkari later could shift this read
04:02 UTC
Pullback off session high, stabilising near 4000 · RSI 49 · price 4,002.63
Lower highs from 4044, buyers reclaimed 4000.
Gold rallied to a 4044 session high through London-NY then bled lower; buyers stepped in at 3983 and reclaimed the $4,000 psychological pivot, now holding 4002. RSI(14) back to neutral around 49 after the flush, with price still pinned below EMA20/50.
Support: 4,000.00, 3,983.03
Resistance: 4,020.00, 4,044.12
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 4000 reopens the 3983 swing low
Reclaim of 4020 needed to challenge the 4044 session high
UoM inflation expectations 14:00 UTC and Fed Williams/Kashkari could shift this read
Lower highs from 4044, bouncing at 4000 round number.
Asia session is grinding the bounce off a 3983 swing low after the NY-session decline from the 4044 session high; gold remains pressured below $4,000 in line with the broader sub-4k break to 7-month lows. Price is stalling at the 4000 round number with RSI(14) recovering from the mid-30s but still under midline.
Support: 3,983.03
Resistance: 4,000.00, 4,020.00, 4,044.12
What it said to watch
M15 close below 3983 opens continuation toward 3970
Reclaim of 4020 needed to re-challenge the 4044 session high
UoM sentiment + Fedspeak later today are the key intraday risk for a USD-driven shift
Gold rolled over from the 4044 session high and broke below 4000 to a fresh low at 3983 as the USD held a 13-month high. Buyers reclaimed the 4000 round number on the bounce, RSI(14) recovering from the low-40s; lower highs still cap the rally.
Support: 3,983.00
Resistance: 4,000.00, 4,020.00, 4,044.00
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 4020 would break the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 3983 confirms a lower-low toward the 3930 zone
UoM Michigan sentiment + Fed speak (14:00 UTC) could shift this read
03:32 UTC
Downtrend, fading from session high · RSI 41 · price 3,994.43
Lower highs since 4044 rejection, back below 4000.
Gold rallied to 4044 during the prior NY session then faded steadily, breaking back below the 4000 psych level into the Asia hours and printing a session low at 3983. Price is bouncing weakly to 3994 against a chain of lower highs, RSI(14) mid-40s; the broader unwind keeps the intraday tilt heavy after the in-line PCE failed to lift bullion.
Support: 3,983.00, 3,970.00
Resistance: 4,000.00, 4,044.00
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 4000 eases the breakdown read
Failure to hold 3983 opens path toward 3970
UoM Michigan sentiment at 14:00 UTC is a session risk event
03:31 UTC
Rolling over after session-high rejection · RSI 41 · price 3,994.43
Lower highs since 4044 peak, back below 4000.
Gold faded from the session high near 4044 and slipped back below 4000 to ~3994, extending the broader move below the 7-month-low region as the USD stays bid. Recent bars carved lower highs into 3983 before a shallow bounce; RSI(14) near 41, no extreme.
Support: 3,983.00, 3,970.00
Resistance: 4,000.00, 4,020.00, 4,044.00
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 4000 eases the pullback read toward 4020
Loss of 3983 confirms a lower-low and reopens 3970
Michigan sentiment + Fed Williams/Kashkari (14:00-15:30 UTC) could shift this read
03:17 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 43 · price 3,997.57
Lower highs after 4044 rejection.
Gold rallied to a 4044 session high then rolled over, printing lower highs as price slid back below 4000 toward the 3983 session low — broader picture is the sub-$4,000 7-month-low context after in-line PCE. Buyers stepped in at 3983 and price has reclaimed 3997, but the descending high structure off 4044 still caps.
Support: 3,983.03, 3,973.59
Resistance: 4,020.00, 4,044.12
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4020 invalidates the lower-high read
Break below 3983 session low opens the 3974 prior low
UoM Michigan + Fed Williams/Kashkari at 14:00-15:30 UTC could shift this read
03:16 UTC
Rolled over from session high, downside momentum · RSI 39 · price 3,997.57
Lower highs since 4044 peak, testing 4000 psych.
Gold ran up to a 4044 session high then rolled over through the NY-Asia transition, sliding back to the 4000 psych handle near the 61.8% retrace of the 3966-4044 leg. Price sits below both EMAs with RSI(14) around 39; sellers capped the latest bounce at 3997 after the dip to 3983.
Support: 3,983.00, 3,966.39
Resistance: 4,000.00, 4,020.00, 4,044.12
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 4000 psych opens room toward 4020 prior range
Failure to hold 3983 swing low confirms a lower low toward 3966
UoM Michigan at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Gold rolled over from the 4044 session high and sliced back below the 4000 round number through Asia hours, tagging 3983 before steadying near 3991. The move tracks a 13-month-high USD and persistent Fed-hike pricing; the late-window down leg has been sharp and RSI(14) sits soft around 36.
Support: 3,983.00
Resistance: 4,000.00, 4,044.00
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 4000 psych level eases the breakdown read
Break of 3983 session low opens the path toward the 3930 zone
UoM Michigan / Fed speak (14:00 UTC) could shift the USD tone driving this
Gold rolled over from the NY-session double top near 4044 and has bled steadily through the Asia hours, slicing back below the 4000 round number to print a 3983 session low. Price sits just under 4000 with RSI(14) near 37, the broader sub-4000 break keeping the debasement-unwind tone intact.
Support: 3,983.03, 3,967.43
Resistance: 4,000.00, 4,044.12
What it said to watch
M15 close below 3983 session low opens 3967 prior low
Reclaim of 4000 round number needed to ease downside pressure
UoM Michigan + Fed speakers 14:00 UTC could shift this read
Gold spiked to a session high of 4044 during the US session then faded in steady lower highs, slicing back below the 4000 psych level to 3994 as the USD held a 13-month high and the debasement trade kept unwinding. RSI(14) is pressing oversold near 31 after the final leg down through 4000.
Support: 3,985.00
Resistance: 4,000.00, 4,044.00
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 4000 would neutralise the breakdown
Loss of the 3985 7-month low opens the 3930 October support zone
Michigan sentiment + Fed speakers (14:00-15:30 UTC) could spark a short-cover bounce
Gold rolled over from the session high at 4044, grinding lower through the window and accelerating below the 4000 round number in the last hour to a session low of 3991. The slide tracks broad USD strength on hawkish-Fed repricing; RSI(14) near 33, downtrend intact but nearing oversold.
Support: 3,991.00, 3,985.00
Resistance: 4,000.00, 4,044.00
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 4000 would ease the breakdown read
Loss of 3985 7-mo low opens fresh downside
UoM Michigan + Fed-speak at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
02:32 UTC
Pullback from highs, momentum down · RSI 38 · price 4,006.17
Rolling over off 4044, lower highs.
NY session ramped gold from 3983 to a 4044 session high, but the move has rolled over into Asia hours with a chain of lower highs back to 4006 — the 0.618 retrace of that leg. RSI(14) near 37 as price slips toward the 4004 session low and the 4000 psych level; broader backdrop stays heavy after gold broke sub-4000 to a 7-month low.
Support: 4,004.00, 4,000.00, 3,985.00
Resistance: 4,020.00, 4,044.00
What it said to watch
Loss of 4004 / 4000 opens the path toward the 3985 7-month low
Reclaim of 4020 would stall the lower-high sequence
UoM Michigan + Fed Williams/Kashkari at 14:00-15:30 UTC could shift this read
Gold faded the NY-session push to 4044 and has bled back to 4006 through the Asia hours, sitting on the 61.8% fib of that rally and just above the $4,000 psych level as the broader sub-$4k macro tone weighs. RSI(14) near 39, price below EMA20/50 — momentum tilted lower into the session low at 4004.
Support: 4,004.00, 4,000.00, 3,985.00
Resistance: 4,022.00, 4,044.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4000 opens the path to the 3985 prior low
Reclaim of 4022 ema20 would neutralise the lower-high sequence
UoM Michigan sentiment / Fed speak (14:00+ UTC) could shift this read
Gold ramped from ~3984 to 4044 through the prior NY session — short-cover off 7-month lows despite an in-line PCE print — then stalled and drifted into Asia hours, now sitting near 4014 at roughly the 50% retrace. Price has slipped below both EMAs while ranging between 4012 and 4044; 4044 capped twice on the way up.
Support: 4,012.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,030.00, 4,044.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4012 confirms a lower low toward the 4000 psych level
Reclaim of 4030 reopens the 4044 session high
UoM Michigan + Fed Williams/Kashkari at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Gold short-covered off the sub-3985 7-month low through London-NY hours, spiking to 4044 before stalling. Price has since drifted into a 4012-4044 consolidation and now sits under EMA20 at 4014, mid-range with RSI cooling toward 45.
Support: 4,012.00
Resistance: 4,044.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4012 confirms a lower-low and breaks the consolidation floor
Close above 4044 reopens the bounce toward the broken 4100 area
UoM Michigan sentiment + Fed-speak at 14:00-15:30 UTC could shift this read
02:02 UTC
Short-cover bounce, now consolidating · RSI 46 · price 4,020.69
Ranging 4012-4044 after rally off 3985.
Gold short-covered off the 3985 7-month low back above $4,000 into a session high at 4044 during NY hours, then drifted into an Asia-session range. Price now sits mid-range near 4020, capped at 4044 and holding the 4012 floor; RSI(14) neutral around 46.
Support: 4,012.00, 4,002.00, 3,985.00
Resistance: 4,044.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4012 reopens the path toward 4002 and the 3985 low
Close above 4044 extends the short-cover bounce toward 4060
UoM Michigan + Fed-speak (Williams 14:30, Kashkari 15:30 UTC) could shift this read
Gold rallied off the session lows near 3963 to a session high at 4044, then settled into a 4011–4044 range; price now drifting toward the range floor with RSI mid-band. The in-line PCE failed to lift bullion, leaving the intraday move capped at 4044.
Support: 4,011.00, 3,984.00
Resistance: 4,044.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4011 confirms a lower-low, exposing 3984
Reclaim of 4044 reopens the upside from this range
UoM Michigan / Fed-speak later today could reshape this read
Gold rebounded sharply off the 3985 7-month low during NY hours, tagging 4044 before stalling. Asia session is now ranging 4012-4044, price hovering mid-range near 4021 with RSI(14) neutral around 49; the 4044 session high has been rejected twice.
Support: 4,012.00, 4,002.32, 3,985.00
Resistance: 4,044.12
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4044 invalidates the range and opens path higher
Loss of 4012 range low reopens the 4002 swing low and 3985 lows
UoM Michigan + Fed Williams/Kashkari from 14:00 UTC could reshape this read
01:47 UTC
Rebound stalling, now ranging · RSI 47 · price 4,021.57
Consolidation under session high after bounce off sub-4000 lows.
Gold bounced hard off the sub-4000 7-month low into the 4044 session high, then stalled — twin rejections near 4044 capped the move and price has since drifted into a 4012–4030 range through the Asia session. RSI(14) has cooled back to neutral around 47 as momentum flattens.
Support: 4,012.00, 4,006.00
Resistance: 4,030.00, 4,044.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4044 reopens the path toward 4060
Loss of 4012 exposes the 4006 swing low and the sub-4000 base
UoM Michigan sentiment + Fed Williams/Kashkari (14:00–15:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
01:31 UTC
Recovery off lows, now consolidating · RSI 49 · price 4,021.53
Range after NY rally, drifting to lower edge.
Gold rallied through the NY session from ~3983 to a 4044 session high, then stalled and has been consolidating 4012–4044 through the Asia hours. Price is drifting toward the lower edge near 4021 with RSI(14) neutral around 48; the broader downtrend remains intact after the sub-4000 7-month low, but M15 holds a short-cover bounce.
Support: 4,012.00, 4,002.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,044.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4012 opens the 4002/4000 zone
Reclaim above 4044 session high resumes the bounce
Asia range still building — thin liquidity can exaggerate moves
01:31 UTC
Recovered off lows, now consolidating · RSI 47 · price 4,021.53
Rally into 4044 then sideways range.
Gold bounced off the 3984 base during NY hours, ripping to 4044 before settling into an Asia-session range between 4012 and 4044. Price now hovers near 4021 below its short EMAs, RSI(14) flat near 47 — oversold relief bounce digesting after the broader sub-$4,000 selloff.
Support: 4,012.00, 4,000.00, 3,984.00
Resistance: 4,044.00
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 4012 reopens the 4000 psych and 3984 rally base
Close above 4044 session high extends the relief leg
UoM Michigan sentiment + Fed Williams/Kashkari (14:00-15:30 UTC) could break this range
Gold rebounded off the 7-mo low near 3985 through the NY session, peaking at 4044 before stalling; PCE came in line and the oversold bounce stretched ~60 points. Now drifting around 4021 inside a 4011–4044 range on thin Asia-session volume, sitting near the 38.2% retrace of the recovery leg.
Support: 3,985.00
Resistance: 4,044.12
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4011 reopens the path toward the 3985 7-mo low
Reclaim of 4044 session high needed to extend the bounce
UoM Michigan sentiment & inflation expectations 14:00 UTC plus Fed's Williams/Kashkari could reshape this read
Gold rebounded off the $3,984 seven-month low through the NY session, ripping to $4,044 before stalling, and is now drifting in early Asia around $4,020. RSI(14) has cooled back to neutral as the rally lost pace; supply capped repeatedly at 4044 while 4012 has held the recent dip.
Support: 4,012.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,044.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4012 confirms a lower low and reopens 4000 psych
Reclaim of 4044 session high reopens upside continuation
UoM Michigan sentiment / inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC is the day's key risk
Gold staged a sharp NY-session impulse off 3983 up to 4044 before settling into a 4019–4044 range; the in-line PCE failed to keep the broader bid going. Asia hours are drifting toward the 4019 floor, RSI(14) mid-range near 46 after the 4044 rejection held twice.
Support: 4,019.00, 4,012.00
Resistance: 4,032.00, 4,044.10
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4012 confirms a lower-low and breaks the range floor
Reclaim of 4032 reopens the 4044 session high
Fed's Williams/Kashkari speeches later today could shift the read
Gold rebounded off the $3,984 7-month low through NY hours, spiking to $4,044 before stalling; the in-line PCE failed to break the broader downtrend but oversold conditions sparked the bounce. Asia session is consolidating between ~4012 and ~4044 with a chain of lower highs, RSI(14) back to neutral near 46 as price drifts under EMA20.
Support: 4,012.00, 4,000.00, 3,984.00
Resistance: 4,032.00, 4,044.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4012 opens the path back toward 4000 and the 3984 ny low
Close above 4044 session high revives the recovery
Descending lower-high line capping rallies near 4032
Gold rallied off the ~3984 base through the NY session to a 4044 high, then rejected and is now consolidating near 4020, back below EMA20. In-line PCE failed to extend the broader downtrend but offered short-cover room; price is drifting in a 4012–4044 range with RSI cooling to mid-40s.
Support: 4,012.00, 4,000.00, 3,984.00
Resistance: 4,044.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4012 reopens the path toward 4000 psych and the 3984 rally base
Reclaim of 4044 session high needed to revive the intraday bounce
UoM Michigan sentiment + Fed speakers at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
Consolidating below session high after recovery off lows.
Gold rebounded sharply off the 3963 low through the US session to a 4044 session high, then faded back to consolidate around 4012–4030 into Asia. Price is now drifting under the 4030 intraday high with RSI(14) cooling near neutral; the 4011 session low is the floor holding the move.
Support: 4,011.00, 3,998.00
Resistance: 4,030.00, 4,044.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4011 confirms a lower low and reopens 3998
Reclaim of 4044 session high reopens the upside leg
UoM Michigan sentiment + Fed speakers (14:00 UTC) could reshape this read
Asia opened quiet after NY drove a short-cover bounce off the 3962 low to 4044.1, the oversold rebound flagged in the gold digest below $4,000. Price has since drifted back to 4012 and sits on the 38.2% retrace of that rally with RSI cooling toward mid-range; 4044 capped supply, 4011 holding so far.
Support: 4,011.60, 4,000.00, 3,985.00
Resistance: 4,034.00, 4,044.10
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4011 opens the 4000 round number and 3985 ny base
Reclaim of 4034 puts the 4044 session high back in play
Multi-week gold downtrend intact per digest — this is an oversold bounce, not a trend shift
Gold rallied off the ~3963 low through the London-NY session, breaking 4000 to a 4044 session high, then stalled as twin rejections capped near 4044. Price has since drifted back to the 38.2% retrace of that move around 4012 in Asia hours, RSI cooling toward 43 with EMA20 now overhead.
Support: 4,000.00, 3,985.00
Resistance: 4,044.12, 4,036.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4000 confirms a lower low and re-opens the 3985 swing low
Reclaim of 4036 lower high would re-challenge the 4044 session high
UoM Michigan sentiment + inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
00:17 UTC
Intraday bounce fading · RSI 45 · price 4,020.88
Rally off lows stalling below session high.
Gold short-covered off the sub-$4,000 dip to a session high near 4044, then eased back as the move lost steam, now hovering around 4020 below its short EMAs. Repeated rejections at 4044 capped the bounce; price is consolidating between 4012 and 4032 after the relief rebound from 7-month lows.
Support: 4,012.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,032.00, 4,044.00
What it said to watch
Loss of 4012 swing low opens the path back toward 4000 round number
M15 close above 4044 session high revives the upside
US Michigan sentiment + inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC and Fed speakers could materially shift this read
Rally off 3977 lows stalling below 4044, now consolidating.
Gold short-covered off the 3977 area through the London-NY session into a 4044 swing high, then faded into the Asia session and is now consolidating between 4012 and 4044. The bounce fits the oversold backdrop after gold slipped below $4,000 to 7-month lows; RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s and price sits back under EMA20.
Support: 4,012.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,044.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4012 reopens the path toward 4000
Close above 4044 resumes the intraday bounce
UoM Michigan sentiment at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
00:02 UTC
Intraday rally stalling, rolling over · RSI 44 · price 4,017.20
Double top at 4044, lower highs into Asia.
Gold's NY rally off 3985 stalled into a double top around 4044, and price has bled lower through the Asia session to 4017. RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s as buyers fail to reclaim 4032; the broader sub-4000 bearish backdrop keeps any bounce on a short leash.
Support: 4,012.00, 4,000.00, 3,985.00
Resistance: 4,032.00, 4,044.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4012 session low opens the 4000 round number
Reclaim of 4032 needed to retest the 4044 double-top
UoM Michigan sentiment at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
00:02 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pulling back · RSI 43 · price 4,017.20
Rallied to 4044, now fading toward 4012.
Gold rebounded off ~3963 through the US session to a session high at 4044, but has since rolled over and slipped back below EMA20 to 4017 — the sub-$4,000 bearish macro backdrop still frames the move. Buyers held 4012 on the latest dip; rejection at 4044 caps the recovery.
Support: 4,012.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,030.00, 4,044.00
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 4030 reopens the 4044 session high
Loss of 4012 exposes the 4000 psych level
UoM Michigan sentiment (Fri 14:00 UTC) could materially shift this read