XAU/USD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Monday, 26 October 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the XAU/USD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:48 UTC
Short-term downtrend since the late-NY high · RSI 40 · price 4,009.15
Lower highs from 4029.82, pressing the 4008.48 swing low.
Monday's rebound off 3978 on US-Iran de-escalation hopes topped at the 4029.82 day high late in NY. Since then gold has printed lower highs at 4022.22 and the 4017.29 session high. Early Tuesday Asia is drifting back to the 4008.48 swing low, which sits near the 50% retrace of the 3988.84–4029.82 NY leg, with a firmer USD capping bounces and RSI(14) near 40.
Support: 4,008.48, 4,000.00, 3,988.84
Resistance: 4,017.29, 4,022.22, 4,029.82
What it said to watch
A close below the 4008.48 swing low confirms a lower low and exposes the 4000 psych level, then the 3988.84 NY low.
A close above the 4017.29 session high breaks the lower-highs trendline and reopens 4022.22, then the 4029.82 day high.
US Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC and the run-up to Wednesday's FOMC can materially shift this read.
23:32 UTC
Sideways after NY high, lower highs since · RSI 47 · price 4,012.50
Compression 4008–4018 below 4029.82 day high; lower highs from late NY.
Gold climbed from the 3978 Asian low to a 4029.82 day high late in the NY session, helped by softer oil and yields. It has since printed lower highs and is coiling in early Asia between the 4008.48 swing low and the 4017.65 range top. The swing low sits just under the 50% retrace of the NY leg off the 3988.84 NY low, and RSI(14) is flat near 47.
Support: 4,008.48, 4,000.00, 3,988.84
Resistance: 4,017.65, 4,029.82
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 4008.48 swing low breaks the lower-highs compression and exposes the 4000 round number, then the 3988.84 NY low
M15 close above the 4017.65 range top breaks the lower-highs line and reopens the 4029.82 day high
Durable Goods Tue 12:30 UTC and Consumer Confidence 14:00 UTC are the next pre-FOMC catalysts that could break the Asian range
23:17 UTC
Sideways after NY rally, momentum flat · RSI 49 · price 4,013.27
Lower high under 4029.82, early Asia range holding above the 4008.48 swing low.
Monday's NY-open flush to 3988.84 reversed into a rally to a 4029.82 session high, extending the bounce off the 3978 low as easing oil and yields lifted gold. The rally then faded after a rejection at the high. Price is now consolidating in a tight 4010.70–4017.29 early Asia range, between the 38.2% and 50% retracement of the NY rally, with the 4008.48 swing low and a late NY high at 4017.65 framing the range.
Support: 4,010.70, 4,008.48, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,017.65, 4,029.82
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 4008.48 swing low breaks the 50% retracement and exposes the 4000 psych level
Reclaim of 4017.65 (late NY high) reopens a test of the 4029.82 session high
Loss of the 4010.70 asia low marks a break of the overnight range
Tue 12:30 UTC Durable Goods and 14:00 UTC Consumer Confidence could shift the read ahead of Wednesday's FOMC
23:04 UTC
Sideways after NY fade, momentum flat · RSI 44 · price 4,012.23
Tight early-Asia range 4011.6–4017.6 above the 4008.48 NY low.
Monday's false break below 4000 psych to the 3988.84 swing low reversed into a 4029.82 NY high. The bounce, helped by easing oil and yields, faded under a firmer USD into the 4008.48 NY low, near the 50% fib of that swing. Early Asia is compressing between that low and the 4017.65 range top, below both EMAs with RSI(14) near 44.
Support: 4,008.48, 4,000.00, 3,988.84
Resistance: 4,017.65, 4,029.82
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 4008.48 ny low loses the 50% fib and reopens 4000 psych
Close above the 4017.65 range top puts the 4029.82 ny high back in play
Failure to hold 4000 psych exposes the 3988.84 swing low
Durable Goods (Tue 12:30 UTC) and Consumer Confidence (14:00 UTC) could break the range ahead of Wednesday's FOMC
Higher low at 4008.48 after NY high, compressing 4012–4018 in early Asia.
Gold recovered from the 3978 Asian low. During NY it reversed a dip to the 3988.84 NY low and printed a 4029.82 day high as easing oil and yields offset a firmer USD. The fade stalled at the 4008.48 swing low near the 50% retrace of that NY swing. Early Asia is compressing just under the 4017.65 range top, with RSI(14) neutral and price slightly below both EMAs.
Support: 4,008.48, 4,000.00, 3,988.84
Resistance: 4,017.65, 4,029.82
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4017.65 range top reopens the 4029.82 day high
Break of the 4008.48 swing low exposes the 4000 psych level and the 3988.84 NY low
Loss of the rising lows line would break the higher-low sequence from the NY low
Tue 12:30 UTC Durable Goods and Wed 18:00 UTC FOMC could materially shift this read
Higher low at 3988.84 above Asian low, now a tight 4008–4018 range.
The early-NY flush to the NY low at 3988.84 reversed sharply to a 4029.82 session high, holding a higher low above the Asian 3978.16 trough as easing oil and yields lifted gold. Price has since pulled back to the 50% fib near the range low at 4008.48 and is compressing between that and the 4017.65 range top into the Asia session. It sits flat against the EMAs with RSI(14) in the mid-40s.
Support: 4,008.48, 4,000.00, 3,988.84
Resistance: 4,017.65, 4,029.82
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4017.65 range top reopens the 4029.82 session high
Failure to hold the 4008.48 range low and the 50% fib exposes the 4000 psych level
Loss of the 3988.84 NY low breaks the higher-low trendline and the rebound structure
Tue 12:30 UTC Durable Goods and 14:00 Consumer Confidence could shift this read ahead of Wednesday's FOMC
Post-NY consolidation 4008–4018 inside the 3978–4030 day range.
At the NY open, gold made a false break below $4,000 psych to the 3988.84 ny low, then reversed to a 4029.82 day high as easing oil and yields offset a firmer USD. The late-NY fade found demand at the 4008.48 swing low, near the 50% of the NY leg. Early Asia is compressing between 4008 and 4018, with RSI(14) near 46 and price sitting on ema20.
Support: 4,008.48, 3,988.84
Resistance: 4,022.32, 4,029.82
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 4008.48 swing low and the higher-lows line reopens $4,000 psych
An M15 close above the 4022.32 london high puts the 4029.82 day high back in play
Tue 12:30 UTC Durable Goods and Wed 18:00 UTC FOMC could materially shift this read
Pullback held near 50% of NY leg, higher lows forming.
Monday turned higher from the 3978 Asian low. NY dipped through the 4000 round number to a 3988.84 NY low, then rebounded sharply to a 4029.82 session high as easing oil and yields gave gold a lift. Late NY pulled back to a 4008.48 swing low, close to the 50% of that leg, and price is now grinding back toward the 4021 range cap with RSI(14) neutral near 53.
Support: 4,008.48, 4,000.00, 3,988.84
Resistance: 4,021.00, 4,029.82
What it said to watch
Close below the 4008.48 swing low exposes the 61.8% near 4004.5 and the 4000 round number
Close above the 4021 range cap reopens the 4029.82 session high; a break above it resumes the higher-high chain
Loss of the 3988.84 NY low would negate the NY swing fib structure
Tue 12:30 UTC Durable Goods and 14:00 UTC Consumer Confidence could reset the session range ahead of Wed's FOMC
Higher low at 4008.48 after NY-open false break; mid-range below session high.
Gold reversed a NY-open false break below the 4000 psych, bottoming at the 3988.84 ny low, as easing oil and yields lifted it to a 4029.82 session high. The fade that followed held a 4008.48 swing low near the 50% fib, and late-NY drift has carried price back to 4017, just under the 4019.38 asian high, with RSI(14) neutral near 53.
Support: 4,008.48, 4,000.00, 3,988.84
Resistance: 4,019.38, 4,029.82
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4019.38 asian high puts the 4029.82 session high back in play
Failure to hold the 4008.48 swing low breaks the higher-low sequence and reopens the 4000 psych
Loss of 4000 psych exposes the 3988.84 ny low and the 3978 Asian low
Durable Goods Tue 12:30 UTC is the next scheduled pre-Fed driver
London cleared the Asian range high to 4022.32. Early NY briefly broke 4000 to a 3988.84 NY low, then recovered to a 4029.82 day high as easing oil and yields gave gold a bid. The late-NY pullback held the 4008.48 swing low near the 50% fib, and price is back at 4017 just below the London high as the session closes.
Support: 4,008.48, 4,000.00, 3,988.84
Resistance: 4,022.32, 4,029.82
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 4008.48 swing low breaks the higher-low sequence and reopens the 4000 psych level
M15 close back above the 4022.32 London high puts the 4029.82 day high back in play
A break below the 3988.84 NY low would turn the earlier dip into a confirmed lower low
Durable Goods Tue 12:30 UTC and FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
21:18 UTC
Two-way intraday, higher low off NY dip · RSI 46 · price 4,017.06
4008–4030 range after NY false break below 4000.
Gold bounced off Asia's 3978 low on easing oil and yields. NY dipped through the $4,000 psych to a 3988.84 ny low, then reversed to a 4029.82 session high. The late-NY fade held a 4008.48 swing low near the 50% fib, and price is drifting back toward the 4022 lower high with RSI(14) near 46, hugging EMA20/50.
Support: 4,008.48, 4,000.00, 3,988.84
Resistance: 4,022.22, 4,029.82
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4029.82 session high breaks the range to the upside
Loss of the 4008.48 swing low and rising trendline exposes the 4000 psych and 3988.84 ny low
Repeated rejection at the 4022 lower high keeps the 4008–4030 range intact
Tue 12:30 UTC Durable Goods, then Wed 18:00 UTC Fed decision, could materially shift this read
Gold rebounded from the 3978 Asia low as easing oil and yields lifted it, and the 12:30 UTC London dip to 3988.84 reversed sharply into a NY session high at 4029.82. The roughly 50% fib pullback held at 4008.48, and higher lows remain intact along the rising lows line. Late NY, price is coiling 4009–4018 below the 4025.46 London high, RSI(14) near 57.
Support: 4,008.48, 4,000.00, 3,988.84
Resistance: 4,025.46, 4,029.82
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 4008.48 pullback low breaks the higher-low chain and exposes the 4000 psych level
Loss of 4000 psych reopens the 3988.84 London dip low
Close above the 4025.46 London high and the 4029.82 session high extends the uptrend
Tue 12:30 UTC Durable Goods and Wed 18:00 UTC FOMC could materially shift this read
Pullback from session high to 50% fib, tight late-NY compression.
Gold bounced off the 3978 Asian low as easing oil and yields lifted the metal. NY open made a false break under 4000 psych to the 3988.84 NY low, then reversed to a 4029.82 session high. Late NY has retraced to the 50% fib, with a late low at 4008.48, and is now compressing at 4012–4015 just under flat EMA20/50, RSI(14) neutral near 49.
Support: 4,008.48, 4,000.00, 3,988.84
Resistance: 4,021.00, 4,029.82
What it said to watch
Close back above the 4021 shelf reopens the 4029.82 session high
Break of the 4008.48 late low exposes the 61.8% fib near 4004.5 and 4000 psych
Loss of 4000 psych again puts the 3988.84 NY low back in play
Thin post-NY / early Asia flow; Tue 12:30 UTC Durable Goods is the next catalyst ahead of Wed FOMC
20:33 UTC
Intraday up from Asia low, fading off session high · RSI 48 · price 4,012.41
Lower highs off 4029.82, tight 4008–4015 late-NY range.
Gold bounced off the 3978 Asia-session low as oil and yields eased. The NY open dipped under the London low to the 3988.84 NY low, but that break failed and price ran to the 4029.82 session high. Since then it has faded into a 4008–4015 late-NY range, holding just above the 50% fib of that NY move with RSI(14) flat near 48.
Support: 4,008.48, 4,000.00, 3,988.84
Resistance: 4,014.59, 4,025.46, 4,029.82
What it said to watch
Close below the 4008.48 late-NY low exposes the 4000 psych pivot and the 50–61.8% fib zone
Loss of the 3988.84 NY low reopens the 3978 Asia low
Close above range top 4014.59 puts the 4025.46 london high and 4029.82 session high back in play
Durable Goods Tue 12:30 UTC and FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
20:17 UTC
Intraday pullback inside a recovered range · RSI 43 · price 4,012.75
NY false break below 4,000 reversed to 4029.82 session high; now retracing toward 50% fib.
Gold's NY-open break below the 4,000 psych to the 3988.84 ny low reversed fully as oil and yields eased, carrying price to a 4029.82 session high. It has since faded to the 4008.48 swing low near the 50% fib of that leg and is idling around 4012 after NY close, below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 43.
Support: 4,008.48, 3,988.84
Resistance: 4,021.00, 4,029.82
What it said to watch
A break of the 4008.48 swing low exposes the 4,000 psych and the 3988.84 ny low
A recovery above the 4021 late-ny cap reopens the 4029.82 session high
Asia session range around 4008–4021 sets the next intraday reference
Tue 12:30 UTC Durable Goods and Wed 18:00 UTC FOMC could materially shift this read
19:48 UTC
Intraday up from Asia low, fading off day high · RSI 43 · price 4,012.56
NY sweep below 4000 then rally; lower highs since 4029.8.
Gold bounced off 3978 in Asia as easing oil and yields gave it a lift. The NY open swept the London lows and the 4000 round number to a 3988.84 NY low, then rallied to a 4029.82 day high before fading to 4012. Late in the NY session, price holds the 50% retrace of that rally near the 4008.48 swing low, with RSI(14) at 43 and price below both EMAs.
Support: 4,008.48, 4,000.00, 3,988.84
Resistance: 4,025.46, 4,029.82
What it said to watch
A break of the 4008.48 swing low below the 50% fib exposes the 4000 round number and the 3988.84 NY low
A close back above the 4025.46 london high reopens the 4029.82 day high
Tue 12:30 UTC durable goods is the next scheduled catalyst; Wed FOMC could materially shift this read
NY V-reversal from 3988.84 to 4029.82, now retracing toward 50% with lower highs.
Gold flushed to a 3988.84 NY low after London's 4025 high, then V-reversed to a 4029.82 session high as oil and yield relief pulled it back above $4,000. Late NY has seen rejection off that high and a fade to the 50% retracement of the NY rally, with the 4008.48 swing low holding so far. RSI(14) is near 41 and price sits below both EMAs.
Support: 4,008.48, 4,000.00, 3,988.84
Resistance: 4,022.22, 4,029.82
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 4008.48 swing low exposes the 61.8% near 4004.5 and the 4000 psych handle
Loss of 4000 psych reopens the 3988.84 NY low
Reclaim of the 4022.22 minor high puts the 4029.82 session high back in play
Wed 18:00 UTC FOMC and Warsh tone set the pre-event range; thin Asia trade likely until then
Lower lows off the 4029.82 session high, testing 50% of the NY leg.
Asia set the 3978.16 low before London lifted through the 4019.38 Asian high. Early NY dipped to the 3988.84 NY low, and oil and yield relief then drove a rally to a 4029.82 session high. Late NY has given back half that leg: price slipped through the 4014.83 prior low and is sitting on the 50% retracement near 4009, just above the 4008.48 swing low, with RSI(14) near 43.
Support: 4,008.48, 4,000.00, 3,988.84
Resistance: 4,014.83, 4,019.38, 4,029.82
What it said to watch
Break of the 4008.48 swing low and the 61.8% retracement at ~4004.5 exposes the 4000 psych handle
Recovery above the 4014.83 prior low brings the 4019.38 Asian high back into view; the 4029.82 session high caps the NY leg
Loss of the 3988.84 NY low negates the NY recovery leg and reopens the 3978 Asian low
Wed FOMC (18:00 UTC) is the dominant event risk; the coming Asia session is light on data
Higher lows from the 3978 Asian low; retracing from the 4029.82 session high.
Gold's NY dip below the $4,000 round number to the 3988.84 NY low was a false break. Price recovered to a 4029.82 session high at 17:00 UTC as easing oil and yields gave gold some relief. After London close it has slipped back to the 38.2% fib near 4014, with RSI(14) neutral near 46 and price just under both EMAs. Higher lows stay intact while the 4010.30 London low holds.
Support: 4,010.30, 4,000.00, 3,988.84
Resistance: 4,020.95, 4,029.82
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 4010.30 london low and the 50% fib near 4009 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
An M15 close back above the 4020.95 prior shelf reopens the 4029.82 session high
A loss of the 4000 round number puts the 3988.84 ny low back in play into Asia; Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC Tue and Wednesday's FOMC are the next scheduled risk
18:33 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pausing in late NY · RSI 48 · price 4,017.73
Higher lows from 3978; NY-open flush below 4000 reversed to a new session high, now consolidating.
The NY-open flush below the 4000 psych handle to a 3988.84 ny low was fully reversed. Oil and yield relief lifted gold to a 4029.82 session high, extending the higher-lows line from the 3978 Asia low. Late NY trade is drifting near 4017.7, just under EMA20 with RSI(14) near 48, holding the 4015 shelf below the 4025.46 london high.
Support: 4,015.00, 4,000.00, 3,988.84
Resistance: 4,025.46, 4,029.82
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 4015 shelf exposes the ny leg fib 38.2% near 4014 and 50% at 4009
Loss of the 4000 psych handle and the 3988.84 ny low breaks the higher-lows line from the Asia low
M15 close above the 4029.82 session high extends the higher-highs chain; the 4025.46 london high caps first
Tue Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC is second-tier; Wed FOMC at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
NY V-reversal from 3988.84 into higher highs; tight consolidation 4019–4024 late NY.
Gold made a false break under $4,000 during NY hours to the 3988.84 NY low, then V-reversed through the london high to a 4029.82 session high. The digest ties the bounce to lower yields and an oil pullback. Price is now consolidating near 4020 late in NY, holding above the 4014.83 swing low, which sits close to the 38.2% fib of the NY leg.
Support: 4,014.83, 4,000.00, 3,988.84
Resistance: 4,025.46, 4,029.82
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4029.82 session high extends the higher-high chain toward the $4,034 area flagged in the digest
Rejection at the 4025.46 london high keeps price boxed in the 4015–4025 consolidation
Break of the 4014.83 swing low and the NY rising trendline exposes the 4000 psych level and the 50% fib near 4009
Loss of the 3988.84 ny low would negate the false-break read
Tue Durable Goods 12:30 UTC and Consumer Confidence 14:00 UTC, then FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC, could materially shift this read
Higher lows off the Asian low; consolidating below session high.
In late NY, the NY open flush below the $4,000 round number to the 3988.84 NY low reversed sharply, and price went on to set a 4029.82 session high above the Asian range top at 4019.38. Gold is now holding near 4020 above the 4015 base with RSI(14) neutral, after lower yields and an oil pullback helped it back above $4,000.
Support: 4,015.00, 3,988.84
Resistance: 4,026.58, 4,029.82
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 4015 base exposes the $4,000 round number and the 61.8% fib near 3999.5
Acceptance above the 4026.6 prior high and 4029.8 session high extends the higher-high chain toward 4034
Break of the 3988.8 NY low snaps the rising trendline from the Asian low
Durable Goods Tue 12:30 UTC and FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher highs from the Asian low; NY flush reversed into a new session high.
Gold has built higher highs off the 3978 Asian low. The early-NY flush through the 4000 psych handle to 3988.84 reversed sharply, printing a fresh session high at 4029.82 at 17:00 UTC despite a firmer USD into the Fed. The late-NY pullback is holding the 23.6% fib near 4020, above the 4014.83 swing low, with RSI(14) near 58 and ATR(14) around 680 pips.
Support: 4,014.83, 4,010.32, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,029.82, 4,034.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 4014.83 swing low breaks the higher-low chain and exposes the 4010 london pivot
Loss of the 4000 psych level reopens the 3988.84 NY low
Close above the 4029.82 session high brings the 4034 squeeze zone flagged in the digest into play
Tue Durable Goods 12:30 UTC and Wed FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
NY V-reversal from 3988.84 into higher lows; London high retaken, then lost.
The NY-open flush to the 3988.84 ny low held well above the Asian low and reversed into a session high at 4029.82. The 4014.83 pullback low sits on the 38.2% of the NY rebound fib, and price is now drifting back under the 4025.46 london high late in the NY session. The bounce from the 4000 psych fits the digest's oil-pullback and short-covering read, but a firmer USD into Wednesday's FOMC is keeping follow-through thin. RSI(14) is near 60 and ATR is about 680 pips.
Support: 4,014.83, 4,000.00, 3,988.84
Resistance: 4,025.46, 4,029.82
What it said to watch
Sustained trade back below the 4025.46 london high turns the push to 4029.82 into a false break
Loss of the 4014.83 pullback low breaks the higher-low chain and exposes the 4000 psych and the 61.8% of the NY rebound fib near 4004.5
Clearing the 4029.82 session high puts the digest's $4,034 level in play
A break back below the 3988.84 ny low would negate the NY reversal
Tue Durable Goods (12:30 UTC) and Wed FOMC (18:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
NY-open sweep to 3988.84 reversed into a break of the London high; retest in progress.
Gold swept below 4000 to 3988.84 at the NY open, then the NY rally broke the 4025.46 London high after London close and printed a 4029.82 session high. Price is now retesting that prior-high zone with RSI(14) near 62. The bounce fits the digest's thin, oil-pullback relief ahead of Wednesday's FOMC.
Support: 4,025.46, 4,014.83, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,029.82, 4,034.00
What it said to watch
Holding above the 4025.46 London high keeps the breakout intact. A slip back below turns it into a false break.
An M15 close above the 4029.82 session high opens the 4034 squeeze level flagged in the digest.
Loss of the 4014.83 swing low exposes 4000 psych and the 3988.84 NY low.
Durable Goods Tue 12:30 UTC and FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read.
Tight 4015–4026 range after NY false break below 4000.
Gold broke out of the 3978–4019 Asian range in London, then the NY open flushed price to a 3988.84 NY low before a sharp reversal to the 4026.58 session high, a false break of the 4000 round number as oil-driven Fed-hike fears met crowded shorts. Late NY is compressing in a 4015–4026 band holding the 4014.83 range low, with the higher-low line from the Asian low intact and the pullback shallow at roughly the 38.2% of the NY rebound fib.
Support: 4,014.83, 4,000.00, 3,988.84
Resistance: 4,026.58
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4026.58 session high breaks the compression and exposes the 4034 area flagged in the macro digest
Loss of the 4014.83 range low reopens the 4000 round number; a break of the higher-low line through the 3988.84 NY low negates the recovery structure
US Durable Goods Tue 12:30 UTC and FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
V-reversal from NY flush, tight range 4014.8–4021 under 4026.58.
Gold broke above the Asian range high (4019.38) in London, then early NY flushed through the 4000 round number to the 3988.84 NY low before snapping back to a 4026.58 session high. It has since held above the 23.6% of the NY rebound fib (~4017.7) in a tight 4014.8–4021 range, RSI(14) neutral near 56, as the market waits on the Fed.
Support: 4,014.83, 4,000.00, 3,988.84
Resistance: 4,020.95, 4,026.58
What it said to watch
Close above the 4026.58 session high breaks the consolidation higher
Loss of the 4014.83 range low exposes the 38.2% NY rebound fib near 4012 and the 4000 round number
Break back below the 3988.84 NY low reverses the V-recovery
US Durable Goods Tue 12:30 UTC and FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
V-reversal from NY low, now compressing below session high.
The first hour of NY dipped through $4,000 to the 3,988.84 NY low and reversed within an hour to a 4,026.58 session high, reflecting the oil-driven Fed-hike fears and short-covering pulls flagged ahead of FOMC. Price is now compressing at 4,015–4,021, holding a shallow ny rally fib pullback above the 4,014.83 pullback low, with RSI(14) neutral near 56. The higher-lows line from the 3,978 Asian low remains intact.
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 4,014.83 pullback low reopens the round number at 4,000 and the 3,988.84 ny low
M15 close above the 4,026.58 session high opens the upper zone at 4,034
A break of the higher-lows line from the Asian low would negate the intraday recovery structure
Durable Goods Tue 12:30 UTC and FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher low at 3988.84, consolidating below session high.
The NY open flushed through the $4,000 round number to a 3988.84 NY low, then reversed to a 4026.58 session high, a false break that held above the 3978.16 Asian low. The NY low marks a higher low, with softer oil keeping gold above $4,000. Price is now coiling between the 4014.83 pullback low and the session high, holding above the 38.2% fib, with RSI(14) neutral near 53.
Support: 4,014.83, 3,988.84
Resistance: 4,026.58
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4026.58 session high breaks the Asian-London-NY range top
Failure to hold the 4014.83 pullback low exposes the 50% fib near 4007.70 and the $4,000 round number
A move back under the 3988.84 NY low breaks the higher-low trendline
Durable Goods Tue 12:30 UTC and FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
15:47 UTC
Intraday range, NY whipsaw both ways · RSI 51 · price 4,016.51
NY V-reversal to day high, now fading inside London range.
London held a 4010–4022 range above most of the Asian range. NY flushed below the $4,000 psych to a 3988.84 ny low, then reversed to a fresh day high at 4026.58. Price is back near 4016.5 with RSI(14) neutral around 51, about a quarter of that leg retraced, while USD firms into Wednesday's FOMC.
Support: 4,010.30, 3,988.84
Resistance: 4,022.32, 4,026.58
What it said to watch
Holding the 38.2% fib near 4012 and the 4010.30 range base keeps the NY reversal leg intact
Loss of 4010.30 reopens the $4,000 psych and the 3988.84 ny low
M15 close above the 4026.58 day high clears the london high and breaks the session range
Tue Durable Goods (12:30 UTC) and Wed FOMC (18:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
V-reversal from NY low, rejection at session high, back inside London range.
The NY open swept below the 4000 psych to the 3988.84 NY low. Price then V-reversed to a session high at 4026.58, just above the 4022 London high, where the test drew a rejection back into the 4010–4022 London range with RSI(14) neutral near 50. The digest reads gold holding $4,000 as crude and yields eased, with gains capped as USD firms into Wednesday's FOMC.
Support: 4,010.30, 4,000.00, 3,988.84
Resistance: 4,022.32, 4,026.58
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4026.58 session high breaks the day's range to the upside
Loss of the 4010 range floor exposes the 4000 psych and the rally fib 50–61.8% zone (4007.7–4003.3)
Close back below 4000 reopens the 3988.84 NY low
Tue durable goods 12:30 UTC and consumer confidence 14:00 UTC are the last pre-FOMC data; Wed Fed decision could materially shift this read
15:17 UTC
Intraday uptrend, recovered after NY flush · RSI 56 · price 4,021.28
V-reversal from 3988.84 to new session high, pausing under London high.
Asia low printed at 3978, then London held a 4010–4022 range. Early NY swept the London low and the 4000 psych level to 3988.84, a false break that reversed straight to a 4026.58 session high. Price is now stalling just under the London high with RSI(14) mid-50s, and the digest flags crowded short positioning into Wednesday's FOMC.
Support: 4,010.32, 4,000.00, 3,988.84
Resistance: 4,022.32, 4,026.58
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4026.58 session high extends the higher-high sequence; the digest flags 4,034 as the next reference
Rejection under the london high at 4022.32 returns price to the 4010–4022 London range
Loss of the 4010 london low exposes the 4000 psych level and the 50% of the ny rebound fib near 4007.7
A break of the higher-low line from 3978 through the 3988.84 ny low would undo the reversal read
Tue durable goods 12:30 UTC and consumer confidence 14:00 UTC, then FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC, could materially shift this read
14:47 UTC
Intraday range, V-recovery after NY flush · RSI 55 · price 4,018.86
Higher low above Asian low, price back near session high.
The NY open flushed gold through the 4000 psych level to the 3988.84 NY low as the USD firmed into Wednesday's FOMC. The drop was fully reversed within an hour, back to 4023 just under the 4025.46 session high, putting price back inside the London range above its 4010 range floor. The rising trendline from the 3978.16 Asian low remains intact.
Support: 4,010.30, 4,000.00, 3,988.84
Resistance: 4,025.46
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4025.46 session high breaks the London range top
Loss of the 4010 range floor (38.2% fib of the rebound) shifts focus back to 4000 psych
Close below the 3988.84 NY low breaks the higher-low trendline from the Asian low
Pre-FOMC (Wed 18:00 UTC) USD repositioning is driving the wide NY swings
14:32 UTC
Range, two-way chop after NY spike lower · RSI 49 · price 4,010.86
Day range 3978–4025; NY flush below 4000 fully retraced to 61.8%.
London extended the Asian rebound off the 3978.16 Asia low to a 4025.46 session high. Around the NY open the move reversed as USD firmed, briefly breaking the 4000 round number to a 3988.84 NY low. The break was reclaimed within one bar, and price is now stalling near the 61.8% of the NY drop fib around 4011, just under the 4015.44 rebound high. RSI(14) is neutral near 49 and price is hugging both EMAs.
Support: 4,000.00, 3,988.84, 3,978.16
Resistance: 4,015.44, 4,025.46
What it said to watch
Close back below the 4000 round number reopens the 3988.84 NY low and the 3978.16 Asia low
Acceptance above the 4015.44 rebound high puts the 4025.46 session high back in play
Failure to clear the 61.8% of the NY drop fib keeps the reclaim corrective
Durable goods Tue 12:30 UTC and FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
14:17 UTC
Intraday range broken lower in NY, rebounding · RSI 43 · price 4,006.24
NY flush below 4000 reclaimed; higher low above Asian low.
Gold met rejection at the 4025.46 session high into the NY open and broke the London floor near 4011. It flushed to a 3988.84 NY low before snapping back above the 4000 round number, a false break that left a higher low above the 3978.16 Asian low. Price is holding near the 50% retrace of that drop, below EMA20/50, as the market stays fragile above 4000 into FOMC with oil the swing factor.
Support: 4,000.00, 3,988.84, 3,978.16
Resistance: 4,011.00, 4,019.38, 4,025.46
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 4000 round number reopens the 3988.84 ny low and the higher-low line toward the 3978.16 asian low
Reclaim of the 4011 london floor (61.8% fib of the NY drop) neutralises the flush and brings the 4019.38 asian high and 4025.46 session high back into view
Oil and Middle East headlines remain the main intraday driver; Tue Durable Goods 12:30 UTC and Wed FOMC 18:00 UTC are the next scheduled risks
NY-open rejection at session high, broke London low and 4000.
Monday's climb from the 3978.16 asian low ran through London and printed a 4025.46 session high at the NY open. A rejection there drove price back through the 4003.42 london low and the 4000 psych to a 3988.84 ny low, matching the digest's read that the oil-driven bounce lacked follow-through. Price is now near the 61.8% fib of the Asia-to-NY rally, with RSI(14) near 35 and not stretched.
Support: 3,988.84, 3,978.16, 3,975.70
Resistance: 4,000.00, 4,003.42, 4,025.46
What it said to watch
An M15 close back above 4000 psych and the 4003.42 london low would mark the drop as a retracement within the day's range
Failure to hold the 3988.84 ny low exposes the 3978.16 asian low and the 3975.70 friday low
Tue Durable Goods (12:30 UTC) and Consumer Confidence (14:00 UTC) ahead of Wed FOMC (18:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
Oil and Middle East headlines remain the swing factor for intraday direction around 4000
London range broken lower, testing 4000 psych at 50% retrace.
After the 4025.46 session high was rejected around the NY open, gold dropped about $25 in four bars. The drop broke the 4010 range floor, the rising trendline and the 4003.42 swing low before tagging psych 4000, the 50% retrace of the Asian low-to-high move. RSI(14) near 34 is not yet oversold, and the move fits the digest's read of gold as fragile above $4,000 into FOMC.
Support: 4,000.06, 3,996.23, 3,978.16
Resistance: 4,003.42, 4,010.50, 4,025.46
What it said to watch
Failure to hold psych 4000 on a closing basis, then a break of the 61.8% fib at 3996, exposes the 3983–3978 asian low shelf
Recovery back above the 4003 swing low and the 4010.5 range floor would mark the drop as a false break
Session high at 4025.46 caps the intraday structure; a reclaim restores the higher-high chain
Tue Durable Goods (12:30 UTC) and Wed FOMC (18:00 UTC) could materially shift this read; oil headlines remain the swing factor
13:32 UTC
Intraday range, pulling back from session high · RSI 39 · price 4,008.49
Rejection from 4025 session high, testing London low inside 4003–4025 band.
Gold rebounded from the 3978 Asian low back above $4,000 as oil eased, but supply capped the London-NY transition push at the 4025 session high. Price has since dropped about $17 to the 38.2% retracement near the 4003 London low, with RSI(14) at 39 and the 4000 psych level just below.
Support: 4,003.40, 4,000.00, 3,978.16
Resistance: 4,016.70, 4,025.46
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 4003 London low and 4000 psych exposes the 3978 Asian low, matching Friday's 3975 low
Reclaiming the 4016.7 Asian high would neutralise the session-high rejection and restore the range-top test
Oil and Middle East headlines remain the main intraday swing factor, with Durable Goods (Tue 12:30 UTC) and FOMC (Wed 18:00 UTC) next on the calendar
13:17 UTC
Intraday range, pulling back from session high · RSI 43 · price 4,011.67
Monday range 4003–4025; early-NY rejection at session high, testing London low.
Gold climbed off the 3978 Asian low and reclaimed 4000 as oil pulled back and yields eased. London and early NY extended to a 4025.5 session high, just above the 4022.3 london high, but it was rejected within two bars. Price is back at the 4010 london low, below the ema20 near 4014.7 and holding just over EMA50. RSI(14) is at 43.
Support: 4,010.30, 4,003.40, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,014.70, 4,022.30, 4,025.50
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 4010 london low exposes the 4003 london open pivot and 4000 psych, also the 38.2–50% fib zone
Recovery above ema20 and the 4022.3 london high puts the 4025.5 session high back in play
Durable Goods Tue 12:30 UTC and FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher lows off 4003.4, compressing 4010–4025 below session high.
The Asia low at 3978.2 held above Friday's 3975.7 low, and gold reclaimed 4000 as oil eased. London cleared the Asian range high and built higher lows off the 4003.4 London low. The 4025.5 session high was rejected at 12:30 UTC, leaving price compressing above the 4010.3 swing low and rising support into the NY open, with RSI(14) neutral near 50.
Support: 4,010.30, 4,003.40, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,025.46, 4,034.26
What it said to watch
An M15 close below the 4010.3 swing low breaks the higher-low chain and rising support, exposing the 4003.4 London low and 4000 psych
Acceptance above the 4025.5 session high reopens the 4034.3 Friday high
Oil and Middle East headlines remain the swing factor ahead of Wednesday's FOMC (18:00 UTC)
HH/HL chain from the 3978 Asian low, rejection at the session high.
Gold has built higher lows off the 3978 Asian low. London cleared the Asian range high, and the 12:30 UTC push to a 4025.46 session high was rejected back below 4020, with RSI(14) near 57. An oil pullback and softer yields are holding price above the 4000 psych level, but follow-through is thin, with the london low at 4010.3 and the rising lows trendline underneath.
Support: 4,010.30, 4,003.40, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,025.46, 4,034.26
What it said to watch
Close above the 4025.46 session high opens the friday high at 4034.26
Break of the 4010.3 london low and the rising lows trendline undoes the HH/HL read; the 4003.4 swing low and 4000 psych sit next
38.2% fib of the 3978–4025 leg sits near 4007, between the london low and the swing low
Oil and Middle East headlines remain the intraday swing factor; Durable Goods Tue 12:30 UTC and FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC are the scheduled risk
Higher lows at 4003 and 4010 beneath a flat 4022 cap.
London cleared the 4019 Asian high and set a 4022 session high. Price has made higher lows at the 4003 London low and the 4010 swing low along a rising trendline, and is now retesting 4022 into the London-NY transition with RSI(14) at 63. The rebound from the 3978 Asian low tracks the oil pullback and easier yields, though the digest flags thin follow-through ahead of FOMC.
Support: 4,019.40, 4,010.30, 4,003.40
Resistance: 4,022.30, 4,034.30
What it said to watch
An M15 close above the 4022 session high opens the path to the 4034 Friday high
A pullback that holds the 4019 Asian high keeps the breakout structure intact
A break of the 4010 swing low and the rising trendline ends the higher-low chain and exposes the 4003 London low
NY open and oil/Middle East headlines are the near-term swing factor, with the FOMC on Wednesday
12:17 UTC
Intraday recovery, stalling in a tight range · RSI 53 · price 4,017.00
Higher lows since the 3978 Asian low; 4010–4021 consolidation below the 4022 London high.
Monday's rally off the 3978 Asian low cleared the Asian high and peaked at the 4022.32 London high. Price has since held a 4010–4021 range (range low to range top) with higher lows into the London-NY transition, and RSI(14) is neutral near 53. Pulling oil and easing yields drove the $4,000 psych reclaim, but follow-through has been thin.
Support: 4,010.30, 4,003.40, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,020.80, 4,022.30, 4,034.30
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4022.32 London high breaks the consolidation and opens the 4034 Friday high
Loss of the 4010 range low and the higher-lows line exposes the 4003 London low, with 4000 psych and the 50% fib just below
Oil and Middle East headlines remain the swing factor for the $4,000 hold during NY hours
12:05 UTC
Recovery from Asian low, now flat in a range · RSI 52 · price 4,015.76
Higher lows under a 4010–4022 London range.
Asia flushed to 3978 before gold reclaimed $4,000 as oil eased on Middle East diplomacy. London poked above the Asian high to a 4022.3 session high but stalled, a false break that left a 4010–4022 range with RSI(14) flat near 52. Rising support from the 4003.4 swing low to the 4010.3 range floor is intact, and the reclaimed psych 4000 sits below.
Support: 4,010.32, 4,003.42, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,022.32, 4,034.26
What it said to watch
Close above the 4022.3 session high breaks the range and opens the 4034 Friday high
Close below the 4010.3 range floor and rising support exposes the 4003.4 swing low, then psych 4000 (38.2–50% of the Asia-London leg fib)
NY open with no US data on the calendar leaves oil and Middle East headlines as the swing factor; Durable Goods Tue and FOMC Wed loom
Lower highs against a flat 4010 floor after a marginal Asian-high break.
Gold rallied off the 3978 Asian low and reclaimed 4000 as oil eased. London pushed just past the 4019 Asian high but met rejection at the 4022.3 session high. Since then, lower highs have pressed into a 4010.3 range floor late in the London session, with RSI(14) flat near 53.
Support: 4,010.30, 4,003.40, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,022.30, 4,034.30
What it said to watch
M15 close above the lower-highs line and the 4022.3 session high reopens the 4034.3 friday high
Loss of the 4010.3 range floor exposes the 4003.4 swing low and the 4000 psych level, the 38.2–50% zone of the rally
NY open and oil headlines are the near-term driver; Wed FOMC at 18:00 UTC is the larger risk to this read
11:31 UTC
Recovery from Asia low, momentum flattening · RSI 50 · price 4,014.94
Lower highs below the 4022 session high, micro low at 4010 holding.
Gold rallied off the 3978 Asia dip as oil eased. London briefly cleared the Asian high to the 4022 session high before a rejection, and price is now coiling at 4010–4018 late in London with RSI(14) flat near 50. The micro low at 4010 sits on the 23.6% fib of the 3978–4022 leg, with the london low at 4003 and 4000 psych below.
Support: 4,010.30, 4,003.40, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,022.30, 4,034.30
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 4010 micro low exposes the london low at 4003 and the 4000 psych (38.2–50% fib)
Close above the 4022 session high reopens the 4034 friday high
NY open liquidity and oil/Middle East headlines could break the coil; FOMC on Wednesday caps follow-through
The Asia low at 3978 held above Friday's 3975.70 low, and gold reclaimed the 4000 psych level as oil eased on Middle East diplomacy. London pushed briefly through the asian high at 4019 to a 4022 session high, then fell back into lower highs. Price now sits on the 23.6% fib at 4011, just above the 4010.7 intraday low, ahead of the NY open.
Support: 4,010.73, 4,003.42, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,019.38, 4,022.32, 4,034.26
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 4010.7 intraday low extends the lower-high sequence toward the 4003 london low
Close back above the 4022.3 session high negates the false break of the asian high and opens the 4034 friday high
Loss of 4000 psych on a closing basis puts the 50% fib and the Asia lows back in play
Oil headlines into NY hours remain the swing driver; Tue Durable Goods and Wed FOMC are the main event risk
Higher lows from 3978; tight 4011–4020 range below session high.
Gold rebounded from the 3978 Asia low back above the 4000 psych level on a softer USD and the oil pullback. London cleared the asian high at 4019.40 and printed a 4022.30 session high, but saw rejection there and has since chopped between 4011 and 4020 into the London-NY transition, with RSI(14) near 58. The higher-low line from 3978 through the 4003.40 london low and the 4010.90 swing low is intact.
Support: 4,010.90, 4,003.40, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,019.40, 4,022.30, 4,034.30
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 4010.90 swing low breaks the higher-low line and puts the 4003.40 london low and the 4000 psych level in focus. 4000 is also near the 50% of the 3978–4022 leg.
M15 close above the 4022.30 session high ends the range read and opens the path toward the 4034.30 friday high.
Failure to reclaim the 4019.40 asian high into the NY open keeps the 4011–4020 consolidation intact.
Tue 12:30 UTC durable goods and Wed 18:00 UTC FOMC are the next catalysts that could shift this read.
10:47 UTC
Intraday recovery, fading from London high · RSI 51 · price 4,012.51
Higher low at 4003.42, false break above Asian high, now lower highs.
Gold climbed off the 3978 Asia low back above the 4000 psych level on a softer USD and oil pullback. London pushed through the 4019.38 asian high to a 4022.32 session high, but the move was a false break, and price is now back inside the Asian range near the 50% fib of the 4003–4022 leg. It sits just under EMA20, with RSI(14) neutral near 51 mid-London.
Support: 4,009.64, 4,003.42, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,019.38, 4,022.32, 4,034.26
What it said to watch
A close back above the 4019.38 asian high and the 4022.32 session high opens the path to the 4034.26 friday high
Failure to hold the 4009.64 london low (near the 61.8% fib) exposes the 4003.42 swing low and 4000 psych
Lower highs since 08:45 UTC stay intact while price is capped below 4020.55
No US data today; the Fed decision on Wed 18:00 UTC remains the main catalyst that could reset this structure
Higher lows from Asian low, tight range under London high.
Gold rebounded from a 3978.16 Asian low back above $4,000 on a softer USD and lower oil. London broke the Asian range high and stalled at the 4022.32 London high. Mid-London, price is compressing in a 4013.55–4020.55 range, with the higher-low chain off the 4003.42 London low intact and RSI(14) near 61.
Support: 4,013.55, 4,003.42, 3,978.16
Resistance: 4,022.32, 4,034.26
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 4013.55 range low ends the compression and puts the 4003.42 London low back in play
Failure to hold the 4003.42 London low breaks the higher-low trendline; below 4000, the 3978.16 Asian low and the $3,975 Friday low come into focus
Close above the 4022.32 London high extends the breakout toward the 4034.26 Friday high
Pre-FOMC caution; US Durable Goods (Tue 12:30 UTC) is the next scheduled data risk
Higher-low chain from Asian low; London poked above Asian high then stalled.
Gold rebounded from the 3978 Asian low back over the 4000 psych handle on a softer USD and an oil pullback, printing a higher low at the 4003.4 London low. London pushed through the 4019.4 Asian high to a 4022.3 session high but did not extend. Price is now coiling at 4013–4020, sitting on rising support from the Asian low with the 4013.3 hl pivot underneath and RSI(14) near 60.
Support: 4,013.30, 4,003.40, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,019.40, 4,022.30, 4,034.30
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4022.3 session high reopens Friday's pre-data prior high at 4034.3
Loss of rising support and the 4013.3 hl pivot shifts the read to a deeper pullback toward the 4005 fib 38.2% of the Asia-London leg
Break of the 4003.4 London low and 4000 psych ends the higher-low chain
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst; pre-Fed positioning may keep ranges compressed into the NY open
09:46 UTC
Intraday uptrend, stalling at Asian high · RSI 67 · price 4,018.37
Higher lows from 3978 Asia low, marginal higher high at 4022.3.
Gold has stacked higher lows off the 3978 Asia low on a softer USD and slipping yields, and early London poked through the 4019.4 asian high to a 4022.3 london high before stalling. Price is now compressed between the asian high and the rising tl near 4013.5, with RSI(14) around 67 and not stretched.
Support: 4,013.50, 4,003.40, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,019.40, 4,022.30, 4,034.30
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4022.3 london high extends the higher-high chain toward the 4034.3 friday high
Close below the rising tl near 4013.5 exposes the 4003.4 swing low, near the 38.2% of the asia rebound fib
Loss of psych 4000, the 50% of the asia rebound fib, unwinds the Monday recovery
No US data in the next 8h; Durable Goods on Tue 12:30 UTC and FOMC on Wed 18:00 UTC are the next scheduled catalysts
09:32 UTC
Intraday uptrend, stalling under session high · RSI 64 · price 4,017.40
Higher lows from 3978 Asian low; London poked above Asian high then pulled back.
Gold has rebuilt from the 3978 Asian low back above $4,000 on a softer USD and oil easing after Trump ruled out immediate Iran action. Mid-London, the push through the 4019.38 Asian high met rejection at the 4022.32 session high. The pullback low at 4013.55 held near the 50% retrace, and price sits just under the Asian high with RSI(14) near 64.
Support: 4,013.55, 4,003.42, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,019.38, 4,022.32, 4,034.26
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 4019.38 asian high and 4022.32 session high reopens the 4030–4034 friday high zone
Failure to hold the 4013.55 pullback low breaks the London higher-low chain and exposes the 4003.42 london low
Loss of 4000 psych and the rising asia low trendline shifts the read back to Friday's post-drop range
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the main catalyst. The pre-Fed tone keeps rallies capped, per the digest
09:16 UTC
Intraday uptrend, stalling below London high · RSI 56 · price 4,015.77
Higher lows from 3978 Asia low; failed hold above Asia high.
Gold held the 3978.16 Asia low and reclaimed the $4,000 psych level on a softer USD and oil pullback. London printed a higher low at 4003.42, then wicked above the 4019.38 Asia high to 4022.32 before rejection. Price is holding near 4015 under the London high, with RSI(14) neutral near 56.
Support: 4,003.42, 4,000.00, 3,978.16
Resistance: 4,019.38, 4,022.32, 4,034.26
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4022.32 london high clears the Asia range top and opens the Friday high at 4034.26
Loss of the 4003.42 london low breaks the higher-lows trendline, exposing 4000 psych and the fib 50% near 4000
Failure back below 4000 psych would put the 3978.16 asia low, near Friday's three-month low, back in focus
FOMC on Wed 18:00 UTC is the main catalyst; pre-meeting positioning keeps intraday ranges capped
09:05 UTC
Intraday uptrend, stalling at session high · RSI 65 · price 4,018.01
Higher lows off 3978.16 Asian low, capped at 4019–4022.
Gold rebounded in Asia from 3978.16, just above Friday's 3975.70 low, and reclaimed psych 4000 as the USD and yields eased and oil retreated. The 3978.16 low and the 4003.42 London low form a higher-low chain along a rising trendline. Mid-London, price poked through the 4019.38 Asian high to a 4022.32 session high, then closed back below it. RSI(14) is near 65, firm but not stretched.
Support: 4,003.42, 4,000.00, 3,978.16
Resistance: 4,019.38, 4,022.32, 4,034.26
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4022.32 session high clears the Asian high rejection and opens Friday's 4034.26 high
Break of the rising trendline (~4010) and the 4003.42 London low ends the higher-low chain; 38.2% fib sits at ~4005
Loss of psych 4000 (50% fib) brings the 3978.16 Asian low back into view
No US data in the next 8h; Durable Goods Tue 12:30 UTC and FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher low at 4003.4, capped under the asian high.
Gold reclaimed psych 4,000 during the Asia session on a softer USD. The pullback found a swing low at 4003.42, right at the 38.2% retrace of the Asia rally off 3978.16, and kept rising support intact. The London open push stalled at 4017.87, just under the asian high at 4019.38, so price is still inside Monday's Asian range.
Support: 4,003.42, 3,978.16
Resistance: 4,019.38, 4,034.26
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4019.38 asian high breaks the Asian range and opens the path to the 4034.26 friday high
Loss of rising support and the 4003.42 swing low puts psych 4,000 and the 3978.16 asian low back in focus
No US calendar events in the next 8h; Tuesday's Durable Goods and Wednesday's FOMC are the next scheduled catalysts
08:31 UTC
Intraday recovery, pressing the Asian range top · RSI 54 · price 4,014.29
Higher low at 4003.42 inside the 3978–4019 Asian range.
Gold reclaimed $4,000 in Asia on a softer USD, running from the 3978.16 Asian low to the 4019.38 asian high. The pre-London pullback held a higher low at 4003.42, right at the 38.2% fib, and London open lifted price to a 4017.40 london high, just under the Asian range top, with RSI(14) neutral near 54.
Support: 4,009.64, 4,003.42, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,017.40, 4,019.38, 4,034.26
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4019.38 asian high breaks the Asian range and opens the path to the 4034.26 friday high
Loss of the 4009.64 london low puts the 4003.42 higher low and the rising lows trendline back in play
Break below the 4000 psych handle negates the Asian rally fib structure
No US data until Tuesday's Durable Goods; FOMC on Wednesday is the main catalyst for a range break
08:16 UTC
Intraday recovery, higher low in place · RSI 53 · price 4,014.57
Inside Asian range 3978–4019, higher low at 4003, early London pressing range top.
Monday's Asian low at 3978 mirrored Friday's 3975.70 three-month low. The rebound back above the 4000 psych level came as a softer USD and an oil pullback eased pressure. The 4003 swing low held the 38.2% retrace of the Asian rally, and the first hour of London is pushing back toward the Asian high at 4019 with RSI(14) neutral near 53.
Support: 4,003.42, 4,000.00, 3,978.16
Resistance: 4,019.38, 4,034.26
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4019.38 asian high breaks the Asian range and exposes the friday high at 4034
Failure to hold the 4003.42 swing low returns focus to 4000 psych and the 3978 asian low
Iran/oil headlines and Tue 12:30 UTC durable goods could shift this read ahead of Wed FOMC
08:04 UTC
Recovery inside Asian range · RSI 53 · price 4,011.14
Higher low at 4003 after Asia rebound, below 4019 Asian high.
Gold rebounded from the 3978.16 asian low back through 4000 during the Asia session as easing Iran strike risk pulled crude and the USD lower, topping at the 4019.38 asian high. The 4003.42 pullback low held at the 38.2% fib, and price is lifting off it into London open with RSI(14) neutral near 53.
Support: 4,003.42, 4,000.00, 3,978.16
Resistance: 4,019.38, 4,034.26
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4019.38 asian high opens the 4034.26 friday high
Loss of the 4003.42 pullback low and the 4000 psych handle breaks the rising support from the asian low
Tue durable goods and Wed FOMC remain the catalysts that could reset this intraday range
07:46 UTC
Intraday recovery, pulling back from Asian high · RSI 49 · price 4,008.81
Higher low at 4003.4 after rejection at 4019; consolidating above $4,000.
Asia bounced off the asian low at 3978.16 and reclaimed $4,000 as a softer USD and lower yields lifted gold. The rally was rejected at the asian high at 4019.38, and the pullback low at 4003.42 sits on the 38.2% fib, above the 4000 psych level. Price is consolidating above ema20 into the London open, with a minor high at 4011.35 capping and RSI(14) neutral near 49.
Support: 4,003.42, 4,000.00, 3,978.16
Resistance: 4,011.35, 4,019.38, 4,034.26
What it said to watch
M15 close above the minor high at 4011.35 reopens the asian high at 4019.38; a break there exposes the friday high at 4034.26
Failure to hold the pullback low at 4003.42 and 4000 psych breaks the rising support and points back toward the asian low at 3978.16
Wednesday's FOMC decision keeps two-way event risk elevated; pre-Fed positioning could shift this read
Higher low at 4003 after Asia rally; 4003–4019 consolidation.
The Asia session rebounded from a 3978.16 session low to a 4019.38 session high as a softer USD and easing oil lifted gold back above $4,000. The pullback into London open held the 4003.42 swing low, at the 38.2% fib and above the 4,000 psych level. RSI(14) is neutral near 51, with price back above EMA20.
Support: 4,003.42, 3,978.16
Resistance: 4,019.38, 4,034.26
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4019.38 session high opens the 4034.26 friday high
Failure to hold the 4003.42 swing low and the 4,000 psych level exposes the 50% fib near 3998.8, then the 3978.16 session low
No US data in the next 8h; Durable Goods Tue 12:30 UTC and the Fed decision Wed 18:00 UTC are the next catalysts
Lower highs from 4019.4 Asian high into London open.
Gold climbed from 3978 to the 4019.4 asian high as a softer USD and lower yields lifted it back above 4000. Into the London open, lower highs are pulling price back to the 4003.7 fib 38.2% just above the 4000 round number, with RSI(14) neutral near 48 and price under EMA20 but holding EMA50 near 4002.
Support: 4,003.70, 4,000.00, 3,993.90
Resistance: 4,009.90, 4,019.40, 4,034.30
What it said to watch
An M15 close below the 4000 round number opens the fib 61.8% at 3993.9 and puts the Asian rebound at risk
A close above the 4009.9 lower high breaks the lower-highs line and brings the 4019.4 asian high back into play
Clearing the asian high exposes Friday's 4034.3 high, the friday high from before the 14:00 UTC selloff
Durable Goods (Tue 12:30 UTC) and the FOMC decision (Wed 18:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
07:04 UTC
Intraday recovery, now pulling back · RSI 46 · price 4,006.87
Lower highs below the 4019 Asian high; pullback holding the 38.2% fib.
Gold climbed from the 3978 Asian low back above the 4000 psych level as the USD softened, but rejection at the 4019 Asian high has produced a run of lower highs. The pullback low at 4003.72 sits on the 38.2% fib of the Asian rally, with price flat on EMA20 and RSI(14) near 46 ahead of London open.
Support: 4,003.72, 4,000.00, 3,978.16
Resistance: 4,009.92, 4,019.38, 4,034.26
What it said to watch
M15 close below the pullback low at 4003.72 and the 4000 psych level exposes the 50% fib near 3998.8, then the Asian low at 3978.16
Close above the minor high at 4009.92 and then the Asian high at 4019.38 reopens the Friday high at 4034.26
London open at 08:00 UTC is the first test of the current Asian range
No US data in the next 8h; Tuesday's Durable Goods and Wednesday's FOMC are the next catalysts that could shift this read
06:47 UTC
Intraday rebound fading in late Asia · RSI 44 · price 4,006.96
Asian range 3978–4019, pullback broke the 4007 higher low.
Asia held 3978.16, just above Friday's post-data low at 3975.70, then lifted through the 4000 psych level on a softer USD to an Asian high of 4019.38. Late Asia has retraced to a pullback low at 4004.15, near the 38.2% fib, below the 4007 higher low, with price sitting on a flat EMA20 ahead of London open.
Support: 4,004.15, 4,000.00, 3,978.16
Resistance: 4,019.38, 4,034.26
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 4004.15 pullback low and 4000 psych, near the 50% fib, reopens the 3978 asian low and the double-bottom base
M15 close back above the 4019.38 asian high resumes the rebound toward the 4034 friday high
London open (08:00 UTC) sets whether the retest of 4000–4004 holds or fails
Asia range 3978–4019, pullback through 4007 shelf.
Asia bounced from 3978, just above Friday's NY-session 3-month low at 3975.70, to a 4019.38 asian high as a softer USD and easing crude lifted gold back over $4,000. Rejection there has printed lower highs and pulled price through the 4007 broken shelf. Late Asia session, price is just above the 38.2% fib at 4003.6 and the 4000 round number, with RSI(14) near 44.
Support: 4,000.00, 3,983.26, 3,975.70
Resistance: 4,007.30, 4,019.38
What it said to watch
A close back below the 4000 round number and the 50% fib near 3998.8 opens the path to the 3983 swing low, then the 3-month low at 3975.70
A reclaim of the 4007 broken shelf and a close above the 4019.38 asian high invalidates the pullback read
London open is the next test of the Asian range; no US calendar risk in the next 8h, with Tue Durable Goods and Wed FOMC (18:00 UTC) the bigger catalysts
Double bottom off 3975–3978; lower highs from 4019, testing 4007 higher low.
The Asia session dip to the 3978 asia low held just above Friday's 3975.70 three-month low, carved after the 14:00 UTC drop. That left a double bottom, and its ~4006 neckline gave way at 03:00 UTC as softer oil and yields lifted gold back over $4,000. Price has since printed lower highs off the 4019 session high and is now retesting the 4007 swing low, sitting near the 23.6% of the Asia rebound fib, with London yet to open.
Support: 4,007.15, 4,000.00, 3,978.16
Resistance: 4,019.38, 4,034.26
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 4007 swing low breaks the higher-low sequence and puts the 4000 round number in play
Loss of 4000 (38.2% of the rebound fib near 4003.6) undercuts the double bottom and reopens the 3978 asia low
Close above the 4019 session high resumes the rebound toward the 4034 friday high
Tue Durable Goods 12:30 UTC and FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
06:04 UTC
Intraday recovery, higher lows since Asia low · RSI 63 · price 4,012.91
Post-breakout consolidation 4007–4019 above 4000.
Asia rebounded from the 3978 asia low through the 4000 round number to a 4019 session high, as a softer USD and lower oil lifted gold. Since then it has held a 4007–4019 band, with the 4007 higher low and the 23.6% of the Asia rebound (~4010) both holding. RSI(14) is near 63 as London open approaches.
Support: 4,007.15, 4,000.00, 3,978.16
Resistance: 4,019.38, 4,034.26
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 4007 higher low breaks the Asia higher-low chain and exposes the 4000 round number
Acceptance above the 4019 session high opens Friday high 4034, where the PMI/Michigan-driven slide began
Loss of the 4000 round number puts the 3978 asia low back in play
London open is the first test of the 4007–4019 consolidation band
Asia breakout above 4000, higher lows off 3978, consolidating 4007–4019.
Asia session dipped to a 3978 session low just above Friday's 3975 low, then broke back above psych 4000 to a 4019.38 session high as a softer USD and lower oil after Trump's Iran remarks lifted gold. Price is now holding a 4007 swing low into the London open, sitting near the 23.6% fib of the Asia rally with RSI(14) cooling from the low 70s.
Support: 4,007.15, 4,000.00, 3,978.16
Resistance: 4,019.38, 4,034.26
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4019.38 session high opens the 4031–4034 friday high zone
Loss of the 4007 swing low and psych 4000 returns focus to the 38.2–50% Asia rally fib near 4004–3999, then the 3978 session low
London open is the first test of the Asian range
Wed FOMC remains the main catalyst capping or extending this recovery
05:31 UTC
Uptrend off the Asian low, momentum cooling · RSI 63 · price 4,011.49
Higher-high/higher-low chain from 3978 into the 4019 session high, late Asia.
Asia session rebounded from a 3978 low and broke back above the 4000 round number as a softer USD and an oil pullback lifted gold. The rebound left a higher-high/higher-low chain into the 4019 session high, and price is easing toward 4011 ahead of London open. The swing low at 4007 is the latest higher low; RSI(14) is near 63, well short of stretched.
Support: 4,007.15, 4,000.00, 3,978.16
Resistance: 4,019.38, 4,034.26
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 4007 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
Loss of the 4000 round number reopens the asian low at 3978
Acceptance above the 4019 session high exposes Friday high at 4034
Rising trendline from 3983 has held each pullback in the Asian rebound
London open may reset the session range; FOMC Wed remains the dominant risk
05:17 UTC
Intraday uptrend off the Asia low · RSI 62 · price 4,013.30
HH/HL chain inside the Asian range, pressing the session high.
Asia session put in a 3978.16 session low just above Friday's 3975.70 post-data low, then built a higher-low chain that reclaimed the 4000 round number as USD softened and oil eased. Late in Asia, price is holding just under the 4019.38 session high after a shallow retest of the 4007.15 swing low. RSI(14) at 62 is not stretched.
Support: 4,007.15, 4,000.00, 3,978.16
Resistance: 4,019.38, 4,034.26
What it said to watch
An M15 close above the 4019.38 session high extends the HH/HL chain toward the 4034.26 friday high
A break of the 4007.15 swing low snaps the higher-low trendline and puts the 4000 round number and the 38.2% of the Asia rally (~4003.60) in play
Back below 4000 reopens the 3978.16 session low; London open is the first test of whether the Asian range holds
05:05 UTC
Intraday uptrend off the Asian low · RSI 65 · price 4,015.85
Higher lows since 3978, pressing the Asian high.
Late Asia session: gold swept the 3983 lows to the 3978.16 asian low, holding above Friday's 3975.70 low, then broke back above the 4000 psych handle as USD softened on lower yields and Trump's no-strike remark. The rising trendline held the 4007.15 pullback low and price is now retesting the 4016.70 asian high ahead of London open, RSI(14) at 65.
Support: 4,007.15, 4,000.00, 3,978.16
Resistance: 4,016.70, 4,023.30, 4,034.26
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4016.70 asian high opens Friday's 4023 breakdown area, then the 4034.26 friday high
A break of the 4007.15 pullback low and the rising trendline puts the 4000 psych level back in play
Acceptance back below 4000 returns price to Friday's post-selloff range, with the 3978.16 asian low next
London open could redefine the session range
04:46 UTC
Intraday recovery off the Asia low, momentum firm · RSI 70 · price 4,012.45
Asian range broken higher, shallow higher low at 4007.
Late Asia session: gold set a 3978 session low just above Friday's 3975.70 three-month low, then reclaimed the 4000 psych handle around 03:00 UTC as USD softened on slipping yields, tagging a 4016.70 session high. The pullback stalled at the 4007 swing low, well above the 38.2% fib of the Asia rally (~4002), with RSI(14) near 70.
Support: 4,007.15, 4,000.00, 3,978.16
Resistance: 4,016.70, 4,034.26
What it said to watch
A break of the 4016.70 session high opens the path toward the 4034 friday high
Loss of the 4007 swing low and a slip back below 4000 psych would put price back inside the Asian range
London open is due within the next few hours and may test the Asia session range extremes
FOMC on Wed 18:00 UTC and Tue Durable Goods could materially shift this read
04:31 UTC
Intraday recovery, stalling below Asia high · RSI 63 · price 4,011.15
Higher low above Friday's 3975.70 low, reclaim of 4000, tight hold under 4016.70.
Asia session dipped to 3978.16, holding above Friday's 3975.70 NY low for a double btm. Price then broke back over the 4000 psych as USD eased on lower yields. It is now compressing between the 4007.15 pullback low and the 4016.70 asia high into London open, with RSI(14) near 63 and ATR around $7.4.
Support: 4,007.15, 4,000.00, 3,978.16
Resistance: 4,016.70, 4,034.26
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4016.70 asia high extends the range break toward Friday's 4034.26 fri high
Loss of the 4007.15 pullback low exposes the 4000 psych and the 38.2–50% zone of the asia rally fib near 4002–3997
Break below 3978.16 voids the double btm and reopens Friday's 3975.70 low
US Durable Goods Tue 12:30 UTC and Wed FOMC could materially shift this read
04:17 UTC
Intraday rebound, pausing under session high · RSI 64 · price 4,009.75
Higher lows off Asian low, tight consolidation above $4,000 psych.
Gold held above Friday's 3975.70 three-month low with an Asian low at 3978.16. It then reclaimed the $4,000 psych handle and printed a session high at 4016.70, despite the heavy oil- and Fed-driven tone. Late in the Asia session, price is consolidating just above the 4007.15 pullback low, near the 23.6% of the Asian swing fib, with RSI(14) cooled to ~64.
Support: 4,007.15, 3,978.16
Resistance: 4,016.70, 4,034.26
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4016.70 session high extends the Asian rebound and exposes the 4034.26 friday high
Failure to hold the 4007.15 pullback low and the $4,000 psych handle reopens the 3978.16 asian low and Friday's 3975.70 low
London open (07:00 UTC) is the first test of the 3978–4016 Asian range
Oil moves around $100 remain the dominant driver and could shift this read; FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the week's main risk
04:04 UTC
Intraday rebound, pausing below Asia high · RSI 60 · price 4,007.96
Rising lows from 3978, 4000 reclaimed, pullback inside Asian range.
Friday's Michigan-beat flush printed the 3975.70 friday low. Late in the Asia session, the 3978.16 asia low held just above it, and a rising-lows chain carried gold back through the 4000 psych to a 4016.70 asia high. Price is now easing to 4008 with RSI(14) near 60, while the digest still frames gold as heavy on oil-driven Fed-hike repricing.
Support: 4,000.00, 3,978.16, 3,975.70
Resistance: 4,016.70, 4,034.26
What it said to watch
Close back below the 4000 psych puts the 61.8% of the Asia leg fib (~3993) and the rising lows in play
Break below the 3978.16 asia low and 3975.70 friday low invalidates the rebound read
M15 close above the 4016.70 asia high extends the range toward the 4034.26 friday high
London open liquidity may test either edge of the Asian range
Oil above $100 and Wednesday's FOMC repricing remain the dominant drivers of the tape
Friday's post-PMI flush to 3975.70 was retested in the Asia session at a 3978.16 session low and held, forming a double bottom. A chain of rising lows then carried price through the 4000 psych and Friday's 4006 prior high to a 4016.70 session high. Late in Asia, price is pausing just under that high with RSI(14) near 66; oil-driven Fed-hike repricing remains the backdrop.
Support: 4,006.32, 4,000.00, 3,978.16
Resistance: 4,016.70, 4,034.26
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4016.70 session high opens Friday's 4034.26 friday high
Slip back below the 4006 prior high and 4000 psych, near the 38.2% of the Asia leg at ~4002, would return price to Friday's late range
Break of the rising lows trendline and a loss of the 3978.16 session low would void the double bottom
London open is the first test of the Asian range high; Tue US data and Wed FOMC remain the larger event risk
Higher low above Friday low, reclaim of 4000 psych.
Late Asia session pushed back above the $4,000 psych handle to a 4016.70 session high. The move came after the 3978.16 asian low held just above Friday's 3975.70 friday low, and RSI(14) sits near 67. The bounce runs against an oil-driven Fed-hike backdrop into Wednesday's FOMC, with Friday's 4034 prior high, the origin of the NY breakdown, overhead.
Support: 4,000.00, 3,978.16, 3,975.70
Resistance: 4,016.70, 4,034.26
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 4000 psych negates the Asian breakout
Clearance of the 4016.70 session high opens Friday's 4034 prior high
Loss of the 3978.16 asian low exposes the 3975.70 friday low and breaks the higher-low sequence
London open in ~3.5h is the first test of whether the Asian range break holds
Wed FOMC (hold at 4% expected) and the December-hike signal could materially shift this read
Higher low at 3978 vs Friday 3975.70, Asian range high broken.
Late in the Asia session, gold held 3978 (session low), a higher low against Friday's 3975.70 three-month low that forms a double bottom in this window. It then reclaimed the $4,000 psych and broke the Asian high at 4004 despite the heavy pre-FOMC tone. Price is pressing the session high at 4013, which lines up with the 61.8% fib of Friday's drop from 4034, and RSI(14) at about 64 is not yet stretched.
Support: 4,004.20, 4,000.00, 3,978.16
Resistance: 4,013.41, 4,023.20, 4,034.26
What it said to watch
Rejection at the session high and 61.8% fib of Friday's drop (4012–4013) keeps the bounce corrective. Acceptance above opens the 4023 breakdown level, then the Friday high at 4034.
An M15 close back below the 4004 Asian high flags a false break. Losing the 4000 psych exposes the session low at 3978.
A break of the rising lows trendline from 3978 shifts micro-structure back to a range.
London open is the first test of the Asia-session breakout. Wed FOMC (18:00 UTC) is the week's dominant catalyst.
Asia session dipped below Friday's post-drop range to 3978.16 but held above the 3975.70 friday low, then printed a higher low at 3982.82 and reclaimed the 4000 psych. Price is now testing the 4004.16 asian high, which sits beside the 50% retrace of Friday's NY slide from 4034. The oil-driven Fed-hike repricing ahead of FOMC still caps rebounds.
Support: 4,000.00, 3,982.82, 3,975.70
Resistance: 4,004.16, 4,023.20
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4004.16 asian high and 50% fib opens the 4023 breakdown pt
Loss of 4000 psych and the 3982.82 higher low reopens the 3975.70 friday low
London open in ~4h typically expands the Asian range
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC and Durable Goods Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Asia session range 3978–4004; higher low at 3982.82 above Friday low.
Asia session sold off from the 4000 psych to a 3978.16 asia low, holding just above the 3975.70 friday low set during NY-session liquidation from 4034. Gold stays heavy on oil-driven Fed-hike repricing. A 01:15 UTC rebound was rejected at 4000.52, and a higher low at 3982.82 now has price stalling near 3994, mid-range with RSI(14) neutral at 46. Price is retracing about a third of the Friday drop.
Support: 3,982.82, 3,978.16, 3,975.70
Resistance: 4,000.00, 4,004.16
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 3982.82 higher low reopens the 3978.16 asia low and the 3975.70 friday low
Acceptance back above the 4000 psych and 4004.16 asia high puts the Friday drop's 38.2–50% retracement zone in play
London open is the first test of the Asian range; a break of either edge resolves the current range read
Durable Goods Tue 12:30 UTC and Wednesday's FOMC sit outside this window but anchor the wider tone
Late in the Asia session, gold slid from the 4004 session high to a 3978 session low. That held just above Friday's 3975.70 three-month low, and price has since printed a higher low at 3983 with RSI(14) near 45. It is sitting on a flat EMA20 at the 50–61.8% retrace of the Asian drop, with the 4000 handle already producing one rejection as oil-driven Fed-hike pricing keeps the metal heavy.
Support: 3,982.82, 3,978.16, 3,975.70
Resistance: 4,004.16
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 3983 higher low breaks the sequence and puts the session low and friday low back in play
Acceptance above the 4000 handle reclaims the Asian drop fib and exposes the session high at 4004
London open is the first test of the 3978–4004 Asian range edges; nothing scheduled in the next 8h
Tue Durable Goods 12:30 UTC and Wed FOMC 18:00 UTC are the event risk that could materially shift this read
02:16 UTC
Heavy below 4000, lower highs in Asia · RSI 45 · price 3,994.55
Asian range 3978–4004 inside Friday's post-drop range, lower highs.
Friday's 14:00 UTC break after the Michigan sentiment beat ran from 4034 to the 3975.70 Friday low. The bounce stalled under the 50% fib near 4006, and the market has held below there since. Mid-Asia Monday, price is rotating inside a 3978–4004 session range under psych 4000: the Asian lower highs trendline capped the 4000.5 spike and the swing low at 3983 has held three times.
Support: 3,983.00, 3,978.16, 3,975.70
Resistance: 4,000.50, 4,004.16, 4,006.30
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 3978.16 session low and the 3975.70 Friday low would confirm a lower-low below Friday's range
M15 close above psych 4000 and the Asian lower highs trendline reopens the 4004 asian high and the 50% fib near 4006
London open in ~5h is the first real test of the Asian range; Tue US data and Wed FOMC could materially shift this read
Monday Asian range 3978–4004 sitting below Friday's post-drop range; lower highs from the Asian high.
Asia extended Friday's PMI/Michigan-driven selloff to a 3978.16 session low. The bounce was rejected at the 4000.50 psych level, leaving a lower high under the 4004.16 Asian high. Price is back near the 3982.82 intraday low with RSI(14) near 38, and the 3975.70 Friday low is untested as oil-fuelled Fed-hike pricing keeps gold heavy.
Support: 3,982.82, 3,978.16, 3,975.70
Resistance: 4,000.50, 4,004.16, 4,006.32
What it said to watch
A break of the 3982.82 intraday low and the 3978.16 session low exposes the 3975.70 Friday low.
A close back above the 4000.50 psych level and the 4004.16 Asian high invalidates the lower-highs read and puts price back inside the 4006 Friday range.
London open in roughly 5h typically expands the Asian range. ATR near 930 pips sets the expected bar size.
Tuesday US Durable Goods and Consumer Confidence, then the Wednesday FOMC, could materially shift this read.
The Asia session stalled at the 4004 session high, close to the 50% retrace of Friday's drop. A sweep to the 3978 session low stopped just above the 3975.70 Friday low and snapped back to 4000.52, where the 4000 psych level rejected it, leaving a lower-highs sequence. Oil-driven Fed-hike repricing keeps gold heavy near three-month lows, with RSI(14) near 37 and price below both EMAs.
Support: 3,978.16, 3,975.70, 3,960.00
Resistance: 4,000.00, 4,004.16
What it said to watch
An M15 close above the 4004 session high breaks the lower-highs line and the 50% level of Friday's drop
Failure to hold the 3975.70 Friday low exposes the 3960 June low zone
The London open could break the 3978–4004 Asian range in either direction
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC, and Tue Durable Goods before it, could materially shift this read
Asia lower highs under 4000; session low 3978 holding above Friday low.
Gold opened Asia session marginally above Friday's close but stalled below the 4004.16 session high. It slid through the 3983 swing low to a 3978.16 session low, just shy of the 3975.70 Friday low, while oil-driven Fed-hike bets weigh. The rebound was rejected at the 4000 psych level, keeping the lower-highs sequence intact.
Support: 3,983.30, 3,978.16, 3,975.70
Resistance: 4,004.16
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 3978.16 session low and the 3975.70 Friday low extends the lower-low sequence
M15 close above the 4000 psych level and 4004.16 session high breaks the lower-highs line
Reclaim of the 3983 swing low as resistance would confirm the Asian range is shifting lower
Oil headlines and US-Iran rhetoric during thin Asia hours can drive outsized swings relative to ATR
01:17 UTC
Flat to heavy, rebounding inside Asian range · RSI 51 · price 3,998.40
Asian range 3978–4004; sweep of the 3983 base rejected.
Monday's Asia session slid from the 4004.16 asian high to a 3983 base. The latest bar swept that asian base to a 3978.16 sweep low and was rejected, and price is back under the 4000 psych. Friday's 3975.70 low, set after the Michigan beat, is intact, while oil-driven Fed-hike bets keep gold near three-month lows.
Support: 3,983.30, 3,978.16, 3,975.70
Resistance: 4,000.00, 4,004.16
What it said to watch
Acceptance above the 4000 psych and a break of the 4004.16 asian high turns the sweep into a range break higher
Loss of the 3983 asian base reopens the 3978.16 sweep low and the 3975.70 friday low
Oil headlines remain the live driver in Asia; Tue Durable Goods and Wed FOMC (18:00 UTC) are the next scheduled shifts
Asia lower highs; break below Friday's post-data range floor.
Early Asia session Monday has slipped through Friday's post-data range floor near 3991, with lower highs off the 4004.16 Asian high and a fresh session low at 3981.61. Price sits about $6 above the 3975.70 Friday low, set after firmer US PMI and sentiment beats knocked gold through 4000. RSI(14) is near 36, soft but not oversold, as oil-driven Fed-hike pricing keeps gold heavy.
Support: 3,975.70, 3,960.00
Resistance: 3,991.05, 4,004.16
What it said to watch
A break of the 3975.70 friday low exposes the 3960 june low zone
An M15 close back above the 3991 range floor negates the range break; the 4004 asian high sits above, just over 4000
Failure to clear the Asia lower highs trendline keeps the intraday sequence of lower highs intact
Oil headlines can move this read before Tuesday's 12:30 UTC Durable Goods; FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the main event risk
Lower highs off 4004 session high, flat base at 3983-3984.
Early Asia session has slipped out of Friday's post-sell-off 3991–4006 band. Price has tapped the 3983 session low three times, while bounces cap at a 3996 lower high under the 4004 session high and the 4000 psych mark. Price sits below both EMAs with RSI(14) near 40, still above the 3975.7 Friday low set after the firm US PMI and Michigan prints, with $100+ oil keeping Fed-hike pricing heavy on gold.
Support: 3,983.30, 3,975.70
Resistance: 3,995.90, 4,000.00, 4,004.20
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 3983 session low exposes the 3975.7 Friday low
M15 close above the 3996 lower high and 4000 psych breaks the descending trendline sequence
4004 session high is the Asian range cap; reclaiming it negates the intraday downtrend read
Oil/Iran headlines are the main driver until Tue 12:30 UTC durable goods; FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Range between 3991 and 4006 after Friday's drop, early Asia dip below its floor reclaimed.
Early Asia session dipped through the range floor near 3991 to a 3983.26 session low before reclaiming it. Price is back under the 4000 psych level, with the 4004.16 session high capping. Friday's oil and Fed-hike driven drop from 4034 to the 3975.70 friday low still frames the window, and every rebound since has stalled near the 50% fib under the 4006 range top.
Support: 3,983.26, 3,975.70
Resistance: 4,000.00, 4,004.16, 4,006.32
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 3983 session low reopens the 3975.70 friday low
M15 close above the 4004–4006 range top and the 50% fib invalidates the range read
Oil and Iran headlines over the weekend gap are the live driver; Tue Durable Goods 12:30 UTC sets the pre-FOMC tone
Early Asia session slipped out of its 3993–4004 opening range to a session low at 3983.3, with gold heavy on oil-driven Fed-hike pricing. Friday's post-PMI recovery off the 3975.7 low stalled near the 50% retrace of the friday drop around 4005. RSI(14) sits at 37, not stretched, and price is below both EMAs.
Support: 3,983.30, 3,975.70
Resistance: 3,993.20, 4,000.00, 4,004.20
What it said to watch
Holding below the 3993.2 range low keeps the Asian range break intact.
A reclaim of 4000 psych and the 4004.2 asian high negates the breakdown.
Failure to hold the 3983.3 session low exposes the 3975.7 friday low. The digest flags the 3960/3940 June-low zone below that.
No US data in the next 8h. Durable Goods (Tue 12:30 UTC) and FOMC (Wed 18:00 UTC) are the scheduled catalysts that could materially shift this read.
3989–4006 range below 4000 psych since Friday's breakdown.
The Friday drop from 4034 to the 3975.70 Friday low came on the 14:00 UTC data, as the PMI and Michigan beats lifted the dollar. Since then price has held a 3989–4006 range just below the 4000 psych mark. Early in the Monday Asia session it is still inside that range, with the 4004.16 Asian high capping under the range top and the 50% fib of the Friday drop.
Support: 3,989.49, 3,975.70
Resistance: 4,000.00, 4,004.16, 4,006.32
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4006.32 range top and the ~4005 50% fib breaks the post-drop range
Failure to hold the 3989.49 Asian low exposes the 3975.70 Friday low
Repeated rejection under 4000 psych keeps the range intact through Asia
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC, with December-hike guidance in focus, could materially shift this read