AUD/USD AI Live Scan, 1-hour chart, Wednesday, 14 October 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the AUD/USD 1-hour chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
22:03 UTC
Range-bound, momentum turned lower after the CPI reversal · RSI 45 · price 0.6971
0.6950–0.7013 weekly range; CPI drop retested the week low, rebound capped below EMA(20).
Hawkish RBA minutes and firm China data lifted the pair from Tuesday's Asia week low at 0.6950 to a week high of 0.7013 in Wednesday's London session. The hot US CPI print then produced a 35-pip rejection in the NY session and a full retest of the 0.6950 week low, which held. The NY rebound has stalled at 0.6971 under ema20 (0.6976) and the 38.2% CPI drop fib, just above the 0.6966 weekly open, with RSI(14) back to the mid-40s.
Support: 0.6966, 0.6950
Resistance: 0.6976, 0.7000, 0.7013
What it said to watch
Australian labour force report at 00:30 GMT (~3h) could materially shift this read
H1 close above ema20 at 0.6976 reopens the 0.7000 psych and the 0.7013 week high
Failure to hold the 0.6966 weekly open exposes the 0.6950 week low; a break there confirms a range break lower
US PPI and retail sales at 12:30 UTC Thursday are a second risk event for the range
The week opened on a gap down at 0.6966 and slid to a 0.6950 week low on Tuesday, then built higher lows into Wednesday's London session, peaking at a 0.7013 week high just above 0.7000 psych. Hot US CPI (3.7% vs 3.6%) triggered a 60-pip rejection in the first hour of NY that retested the week low almost exactly before demand stepped in again. The late-NY rebound has retraced about 35% of the CPI drop and now sits just under the EMA(20)/EMA(50) ema cluster near 0.6977, with RSI(14) back at 45 from sub-30.
Support: 0.6966, 0.6950, 0.6935
Resistance: 0.6977, 0.7000, 0.7013
What it said to watch
Australian jobs data Thu 00:30 GMT (~8.5h) could materially shift this read
H1 close above the 0.6977 ema cluster and 50% CPI drop fib (0.6981) reopens the 0.7000 psych and 0.7013 week high
Failure to hold the 0.6966 weekly open and a break of the 0.6950 week low exposes the 0.6935 range floor
US PPI and retail sales Thu 12:30 GMT add a second event risk to the range
The week opened at 0.6966, gapping below the prior close at 0.6986, and the London-NY sessions on Monday drove price to a week low of 0.6950. From there it put in a run of higher lows, rising through Tuesday's NY session and Wednesday's Asian and London hours to a week high of 0.7013, above the 0.7000 round number. That break failed when the hot US CPI print (3.7% y/y vs 3.6%, core 0.3% m/m vs 0.2%) produced a single ~40-pip bar. The drop erased Wednesday's gains, broke the rising trendline and the 61.8% fib of the 0.6950–0.7013 leg, and put price back below EMA(20) and EMA(50), with RSI(14) slipping to the low 40s.
Support: 0.6966, 0.6950
Resistance: 0.6974, 0.6986, 0.7013
What it said to watch
H1 close below the 0.6966 weekly open leaves the 0.6950 week low as the next reference
Reclaiming the 61.8% fib at 0.6974 and the prior close at 0.6986 would restore the rising trendline read
Rejection beneath 0.7000 marks the move to the 0.7013 week high as a false break
Fed's Bowman at 14:55 GMT and the Beige Book at 18:00 GMT could extend or fade the CPI move
AU employment data Thu 00:30 GMT (f/c 20K, 4.6%) could materially shift this read
12:03 UTC
Uptrend, stretched into range top · RSI 72 · price 0.7009
Higher lows since Tuesday low, break of 0.7000 stalling below 0.7020.
Monday's slide from the 0.6995 Monday high reached 0.6950 by Tuesday's Asia session as DXY printed a YTD high. That move has since been reversed through a series of higher lows. The Tuesday–Wednesday rally cleared the 0.7000 psych level in Wednesday's Asian range, helped by hawkish RBA minutes and softer UST yields, and London extended it to a 0.7013 week high. Price is holding above EMA(20) near 0.6997 with RSI(14) at 72 overbought, and has stalled a few pips under the 0.7020 range top ahead of US CPI.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69947, 0.69762
Resistance: 0.70126, 0.7020
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 GMT (headline f/c 3.6% y/y) could materially shift this read within the next bar
H1 close above the 0.7020 range top extends the breakout beyond the week high
Close back below the 0.7000 psych level and the Monday high at 0.6995 turns the breakout into a false break, near the 38.2% of the Tuesday–Wednesday rally
Failure to hold the 0.6976 higher low and the higher-lows trendline ends the rising sequence
AU employment data Thu 00:30 GMT (f/c 20K, 4.6%)
11:02 UTC
Uptrend, extended at week high · RSI 66 · price 0.70063
Higher lows since Tuesday, holding above 0.7000.
After Monday's rejection below 0.7000 sent the pair to a 0.69495 week low early Tuesday, AUD has printed a sequence of higher lows on the hawkish RBA minutes and a softer USD, with the Tuesday high at 0.69863 giving way overnight. Wednesday's push through Asia and into London cleared the 0.7000 round number to a 0.70126 week high. Price sits just above EMA20 near 0.6996 and just under the 0.7020 range top, with RSI(14) holding in the mid-60s and the Tuesday-Wednesday rally fib intact.
Support: 0.7000, 0.6996, 0.69863
Resistance: 0.70126, 0.7020
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 GMT (f/c 3.6% y/y, core 0.2% m/m) could materially shift this read
H1 close back below the 0.7000 round number and EMA20 would echo Monday's rejection
Close above the 0.7020 range top extends the breakout beyond the week high
Break of the higher-lows trendline and the 50% level of the rally fib near 0.6981 would undercut the sequence
AU jobs Thu 00:30 GMT (f/c +20K, 4.6%) is the next range-break catalyst
10:03 UTC
Uptrend, overbought into resistance · RSI 73 · price 0.70105
Higher lows since Tuesday's week low, broke 0.7000.
Higher lows since the week low at 0.6950, set in Tuesday's Asia session, carried the pair through the Monday high at 0.6995 and the 0.7000 round number during Wednesday's Asia session. London extended the move to a week high of 0.7011 as softer US yields, a dovish Williams and hawkish RBA minutes lifted AUD. Price holds above a rising EMA(20) with RSI(14) near 73, overbought after a 60-pip leg, and the 0.7020 range top sits just overhead into US CPI.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69947, 0.69495
Resistance: 0.70114, 0.7020
What it said to watch
An H1 close back below the 0.7000 round number would turn the breakout into a false break
A sustained close above the 0.7020 range top clears the week high and the band cap
US CPI at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read; a hot print puts the Monday high and the 38.2% fib near 0.6988 back in view
Loss of the higher-low trendline exposes the week low at 0.6950, with Australian jobs data due Thu 00:30 GMT
09:05 UTC
Uptrend, stretched into range top · RSI 74 · price 0.70074
Higher highs and higher lows since Tuesday's 0.6950 week low.
AUDUSD has built higher lows since Tuesday's Asia-session week low at 0.6950. Today's Asia session carried it through Monday's 0.6995 high and the 0.7000 round number to a week high at 0.7011, tracking a softer USD on easing yields, Williams' dovish lean and hawkish RBA minutes. Pullbacks since Tuesday have held the rising higher-lows trendline and EMA(20), which now converge near 0.6992 just above Tuesday's 0.6986 high, while RSI(14) near 74 is overbought just beneath the 0.7020 range top.
Support: 0.7000, 0.6992, 0.6986
Resistance: 0.7011, 0.7020
What it said to watch
US Sep CPI at 12:30 GMT (headline f/c 3.6% y/y, core 0.2% m/m) could materially shift this read
H1 close back below the 0.7000 round number turns the breakout into a false break
Loss of the ema20 and higher-lows trendline near 0.6992 breaks the sequence of higher lows
Retracement of the week impulse beyond the 50% level near 0.6980, under the tue high at 0.6986, would undo most of Wednesday's gain
Acceptance above the 0.7020 range top would extend the week high beyond the established band
Australian labour data Thu 00:30 GMT is the next scheduled risk after CPI
Higher lows since Tuesday's week low, Asia break of round number.
After Monday's gap-down open at 0.6966 and the slide to a week low of 0.6950 in early Tuesday trade, AUD/USD has printed higher lows. The pair climbed through the London and NY sessions on Tuesday, then pushed through the 0.7000 round number during the Asia session as US yields eased and the China PPI beat supported the bid. Price holds above EMA(20) near 0.6991 with RSI(14) pressing 70, just under the 0.7008 week high and the 0.7020 range top flagged in the digest.
Support: 0.7000, 0.6991, 0.69762
Resistance: 0.70076, 0.7020
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 GMT (core f/c 0.2% m/m) could materially shift this read; a hot core print puts the 0.7000 break at risk
An H1 close back below the 0.7000 round number would mark the Asia push as a false break
A break of the 0.6976 Wed low would end the higher-low sequence and the trendline from the week low
A close above the 0.7008 week high exposes the 0.7020 range top
Higher lows from Tuesday's week low, capped at week high.
AUD/USD set its week low at 0.6950 in Tuesday's Asia session around the RBA minutes. It has since built a higher-low trendline and held above EMA(20) since early Tuesday, helped by Williams' dovish lean on the USD. Wednesday's Asia session, supported by China CPI/PPI, carried price to the 0.7000 handle, where the 0.7003 week high is capping for now. RSI(14) sits near 70 and the 38.2% level of the week's rally lies near 0.6983.
Support: 0.6988, 0.6966, 0.6950
Resistance: 0.7003, 0.7020
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.7003 week high clears the 0.7000 handle and opens the 0.7020 band top
Break of the higher-low trendline and ema20 near 0.6988 points to the weekly open at 0.6966
US Sep CPI at 12:30 GMT today could materially shift this read; a hot core print puts the 0.6950 week low back in focus
AU Sep employment Thu 00:30 UTC is the next domestic risk for this structure
Higher lows from 0.6950; Monday high cleared, stalling at week high.
The week opened with a gap lower at the 0.6966 weekly open. Monday's Asia session high at 0.6995 capped price, and London and NY selling took it to 0.6950 by Tuesday's Asia low. Since then the pair has printed steady higher lows through Tuesday's London and NY sessions as UST yields eased after Williams' remarks. Wednesday's Asia session, helped by the China PPI beat, cleared the Monday high and set a 0.7003 week high before stalling at 0.7000. RSI(14) sits near 68, just short of overbought, and price holds above the EMA(20) near 0.6990. Pullbacks have been finding the EMA(20) and the rising trendline.
Support: 0.6995, 0.6990, 0.6966
Resistance: 0.7003, 0.7020
What it said to watch
US Sep CPI at 12:30 GMT today could materially shift this read; core MoM vs 0.2% is the swing factor
H1 close back below the 0.6995 Monday high would turn the breakout into a false break
Break of the rising trendline and the 38.2% fib near 0.6983 would mark the first lower-low since Tuesday
Sustained H1 closes above the 0.7003 week high open the path to the 0.7020 range cap
Failure to hold the 0.6966 weekly open would erase the week's recovery
AU Sep jobs data Thu 00:30 UTC is a second catalyst for this structure
05:04 UTC
Uptrend, pressing 0.7000 · RSI 70 · price 0.70016
Higher lows since Tuesday's 0.6950 week low.
The week opened with a gap lower to 0.6966. Monday's high near 0.6995 then capped the pair, and it slid to a 0.6950 week low in early Tuesday. Since then it has carved steady higher lows through Tuesday's London and NY sessions, and the leg extended in today's Asia session after the hot China PPI print and softer UST yields. Price is now testing 0.7000 psych just under the 0.7002 week high, holding above ema20 with RSI(14) near 70 and H1 ranges compressed to around 5 pips.
Support: 0.6995, 0.6987, 0.6966
Resistance: 0.7002, 0.7020
What it said to watch
An H1 close back below the 0.6995 mon high would turn the 0.7000 test into a false break
Loss of the rising lows line and ema20 near 0.6987 would expose the weekly open at 0.6966
Acceptance above the 0.7002 week high opens the path to the 0.7020 range top
US CPI at 12:30 GMT, with core f/c 0.2% m/m, could materially shift this read
AU September jobs on Thu at 00:30 UTC sit just beyond this session
04:03 UTC
Uptrend since Tuesday, stalling at 0.7000 · RSI 65 · price 0.69949
Higher lows from 0.6950 week low, capped at 0.7000 week high.
Monday's Asia push to 0.6995 faded through London and NY to a 0.6950 week low as DXY printed YTD highs. Since Tuesday the pair has carved higher lows above a rising EMA(20), helped by softer UST yields after Williams' comments. Hot China PPI then carried it through the Tuesday high of 0.6986 in Asia, but the 0.6950–0.7000 rally met a rejection at the 0.7000 week high with RSI(14) near 65.
Support: 0.69863, 0.69762, 0.69495
Resistance: 0.70003, 0.7020
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 GMT is the main risk to this read; a core beat would put the higher-low sequence under pressure
H1 close above the 0.7000 week high opens the path to the 0.7020 range top
Slip back below the Tuesday high at 0.6986 turns the 0.7000 test into a second rejection this week
Failure to hold the 0.6976 higher low breaks the Tuesday-Wednesday structure and exposes the 0.6950 week low
AU September jobs Thu 00:30 UTC could materially shift this read
03:03 UTC
Uptrend, pressing 0.7000 · RSI 70 · price 0.6997
Higher low at 0.6950 Tuesday, marginal new week high.
Monday's Asia spike to 0.6995 faded through London and NY into a week low near 0.6950. Since Tuesday's Asia session the pair has printed steady higher lows on lower UST yields and a softer Williams tone, and Wednesday's Asia hours added a push to a 0.69985 week high on the China PPI beat. Price is holding above EMA(20) with RSI(14) near 70, just under the 0.7000 psych level that capped Monday. The Tuesday high near 0.6986 and the 0.6976 swing low sit below on the higher-low line.
Support: 0.6986, 0.6976, 0.6950
Resistance: 0.69985, 0.7000, 0.7020
What it said to watch
An H1 close above the 0.7000 psych level opens the path toward the 0.7020 range cap
A break of the 0.6976 swing low and the higher-low line puts the Tuesday rally fib and the 0.6950 week low back in focus
A stall at the week high with RSI rolling off 70 would repeat Monday's rejection pattern
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC (core f/c 0.2% m/m) could materially shift this read
AU September jobs data Thu 00:30 UTC is a second event risk inside the next day
02:02 UTC
Uptrend since Tuesday, pressing week high · RSI 65 · price 0.69908
Higher lows off 0.6950, testing range top.
Monday's Asia-session week high at 0.6995 gave way to an oil- and geopolitics-driven USD bid through London and NY, carrying price below the weekly open to a week low of 0.6950 into Tuesday's Asia session. Since the hawkish RBA minutes, AUD has printed steady higher lows through London and NY as US yields eased and Williams flagged limited tightening, with pullbacks finding the rising ema20. Early Wednesday's Asia session has lifted price to 0.6991, just under the week high and the 0.7000 psych cap, with RSI(14) at 65 and the H1 range tight at about 5 pips.
Support: 0.6984, 0.6966, 0.69495
Resistance: 0.69947, 0.7000, 0.7020
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.6995 week high and 0.7000 psych would break the cap that held all last week, with the 0.7020 range top the next marker
Failure to hold the ema20 near 0.6984 and the Tuesday trendline would turn the move into another rejection under 0.7000
A break back below the 0.6966 weekly open would put the 0.6950 week low back in play
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC; a core print away from the 0.2% forecast could materially shift this read
AU jobs Thu 00:30 UTC (f/c 20K, 4.6%) is the next AUD-side risk
01:03 UTC
Intraday uptrend into range top · RSI 65 · price 0.69903
Higher lows since Tuesday's Asia low, capped below 0.6995–0.7000.
Price has retraced about 90% of the Monday decline fib (0.6995 to 0.6950) since the Asia-session tuesday low at 0.6950. The advance built through London and NY hours as the USD eased on lower yields and Williams' limited-tightening message. Higher lows along a rising trendline have held above the ema20 (~0.6979) with RSI(14) at 65. The monday high at 0.6995 and the 0.7000 psych cap sit just overhead, marking the top of the range in place since Thursday's 0.6932 low.
Support: 0.6979, 0.6966, 0.69495
Resistance: 0.69947, 0.7000
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.6995 monday high and the 0.7000 psych cap would break the range top in place since Thursday
Close below the rising trendline and ema20 near 0.6979 exposes the 0.6966 weekly open, then the 0.6950 tuesday low
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC (core f/c 0.2% m/m) could materially shift this read; AU jobs follow Thu 00:30 UTC
Higher lows since Tuesday beneath descending highs from Monday's peak.
Monday's Asia-session spike to the 0.6995 week high faded through London and NY as oil-driven safe-haven USD demand dragged the pair to the 0.6950 week low early Tuesday. Tuesday's rebound began around the hawkish RBA minutes and extended through NY, building higher lows back above the ema20 and the 0.6966 weekly open with RSI(14) near 59. Price is now compressing between rising support and Monday's lower highs, with the 0.6987 prior high capping Tuesday's NY push below the 0.7000 psych level.
Support: 0.6978, 0.6966, 0.6950
Resistance: 0.6987, 0.6995, 0.7000
What it said to watch
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC (core f/c 0.2% MoM) could materially shift this read
H1 close above the 0.6995 week high clears the lower highs and puts 0.7000 psych in play
Close below rising support and the ema20 near 0.6978 reopens the 0.6966 weekly open
Failure to hold the 0.6950 week low breaks the floor of this week's range
AU jobs data Thu 00:30 UTC adds a second event risk after CPI