AUD/USD AI Live Scan, daily chart, Thursday, 15 October 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the AUD/USD daily chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
21:05 UTC
Downtrend since September high, lower highs and lower lows · RSI 35 · price 0.69183
LH/LL chain from 0.7237; two-week 0.6903–0.7013 base broken intraday.
AUDUSD has traded in a five-week downtrend from the 9 Sep Sept high at 0.7237, holding below a now-falling EMA(50) since the 22 Sep breakdown. The two-week base between 0.6903 and 0.7013 ended with a rejection at the 0.7013 lower high after the hot US CPI print, short of the 38.2% retracement of the decline. Thursday's AU jobs miss then drove a new oct low at 0.6894, with the close back near 0.6918, just above the 1 Oct low at 0.6903.
Support: 0.6894, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.7013, 0.7035, 0.7237
What it said to watch
A D1 close below the 0.6894 oct low confirms the lower low and exposes the june low at 0.6865
A D1 close back above the 0.7013 lower high breaks the LH/LL sequence and brings the ema50 near 0.7035 into play
The descending trendline from the Sept high caps rebounds near 0.7010 and is the line to monitor on any squeeze
Fed Chair Warsh speaks Fri 03:30 UTC; a hawkish shift on hike timing could materially move this read
RSI near 35 is not yet oversold; a slide under 30 would mark a stretched daily leg
17:50 UTC
Downtrend since the Sep 9 peak, extending · RSI 34 · price 0.69114
Lower highs and lower lows from 0.7237; two-week 0.6903–0.7013 range floor broken.
The Sep–Oct decline from the 0.7237 Sep 9 peak has held a clean lower-high trendline. Price broke the summer range on Sep 22 and has stayed below a now-falling EMA(50) near 0.7040 since. After two weeks of basing between 0.6903 and 0.7013, Wednesday's rejection at the Oct 14 high came as hot US CPI revived Fed hike pricing. Thursday's AU jobs miss then drove the pair through the 0.6935 range floor to 0.6894, a fresh lower low. Price now sits just above the 0.6900 round number, with the June low at 0.6865 the next pivot; RSI at 34 is not yet oversold.
Support: 0.6900, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.6935, 0.7013, 0.7040
What it said to watch
Daily close below the 0.6900 round number exposes the 0.6865 June low
Recovery back above the 0.6935 range floor would mark today's break as a false break
Close above the 0.7013 Oct 14 high and the EMA(50) near 0.7040 breaks the lower-high trendline
Fed Chair Warsh speech Friday 03:30 UTC could materially shift this read via US yields