AUD/USD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Tuesday, 22 September 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the AUD/USD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:47 UTC
Sideways, no directional momentum · RSI 44 · price 0.71116
Range-bound; higher low into a tightening coil.
Rejection from the asia high at 0.71255 gave way to a London flush to 0.70919, but the NY low at 0.70966 held as a higher low and price recovered to the ny high at 0.71204 before stalling. Soft Australian flash PMIs (manufacturing 49.3) kept the rebound capped; the last two hours are a 5-pip coil around 0.7112 in post-NY-close liquidity with ATR(14) down to ~4 pips and RSI(14) mid-range at 44.
Support: 0.71073, 0.70966, 0.70919
Resistance: 0.71204, 0.71255
What it said to watch
Loss of the recent low at 0.71073 re-exposes the ny low at 0.70966
A 15m close above the ny high at 0.71204 would break the 24h consolidation upward
Thin liquidity into the Asia open can distort the coil; first real test is US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC
Australian labour force report Thu 01:30 GMT is the next scheduled AUD-side risk
23:32 UTC
Sideways, momentum flat · RSI 44 · price 0.71129
Intraday range, higher low off 0.70919 then stall below 0.71204.
London sold AUDUSD to 0.70919 after the soft Australian flash PMIs (mfg 49.3) before NY recovered off the 0.70966 ny low to 0.71204, which capped. Early Asia is coiling in a 0.71073–0.71171 band on minimal turnover, price pinned to EMA20 with RSI(14) mid-40s — no structure in play.
Support: 0.71073, 0.7100, 0.70966
Resistance: 0.71204, 0.71255
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.71204 ny high re-opens the 0.71255 prior high
Loss of the 0.71073 asia low puts the 0.7100 psych level and 0.70966 ny low back in range
US flash PMIs 13:45 UTC plus Fed's Barr are the next volatility events for this pair
23:17 UTC
Sideways, momentum flat · RSI 44 · price 0.71128
Tight consolidation under 0.71204 after NY recovery off 0.70966.
NY session bottomed at the 0.70966 low and recovered to a 0.71204 session high, after which price has gone inert in a 0.71073–0.71161 band on post-close thin flow, pinned around EMA20/EMA50 with RSI(14) near 44. Soft Australian flash PMIs (manufacturing 49.3) removed any impulse for a push on the 0.71255 prior high; ATR(14) has compressed to roughly 4 pips.
Support: 0.71073, 0.70966
Resistance: 0.71204, 0.71255
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.71204 session high reopens the 0.71255 prior high
Loss of the 0.71073 recent low puts the 0.70966 ny low back in play
US flash PMIs 13:45 UTC are the next scheduled catalyst; the current read is a low-liquidity drift until Asia liquidity returns
23:03 UTC
Sideways, momentum flat · RSI 46 · price 0.71135
Tight consolidation inside the 24h range after an NY recovery off 0.70966.
AUDUSD is grinding in a 0.71073–0.71204 band in early Asia hours, volumes thinning out after the NY close and price pinned within a pip of the ema20 at 0.71140. The move up from the 0.70966 ny low stalled at the 0.71204 session high; RSI(14) near 46 and ATR(14) at ~4 pips confirm no directional impulse in play.
Support: 0.71073, 0.71014, 0.70966
Resistance: 0.7114, 0.71204, 0.71255
What it said to watch
Australian S&P Global flash PMIs at 23:00 UTC land inside the next bar and can break this consolidation
M15 close above the 0.71204 session high invalidates the range read and exposes 0.71255 prior high
Loss of the 0.71073 asia low reopens 0.71014 swing low and the 0.70966 ny low
22:46 UTC
Range-bound, no directional edge · RSI 52 · price 0.7114
Compressing range, higher low against the ny low.
AUDUSD is pinned at 0.7114 in early Asia after NY faded off the 0.71204 session high, leaving a chain of lower highs into the 0.71255 prior high; RSI(14) near 52 and ATR(14) around 3.5 pips with single-digit bar volume mark dead liquidity. Demand stepped in repeatedly around the 0.71100 round number after the 0.70966 ny low, keeping the intraday range read intact — hawkish RBA rhetoric and a hawkish Fed are cancelling out on this cross.
Support: 0.7110, 0.7104, 0.70966
Resistance: 0.71204, 0.71255
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.71204 session high would break the intraday range and put 0.71255 prior high in play
Loss of the 0.71100 round number, then 0.71040 swing low, would confirm a lower-low chain back toward the 0.70966 ny low
Australian S&P Global PMIs at 23:00 UTC land within the next bar period and can re-price this compressed range
AUDUSD is compressing in early Asia just under the 0.71204 session high after the NY session failed to extend past it, with ATR down to under 4 pips and volumes near flat. The 24h low at 0.70919 was bought late in London and price has since held above the 0.71073 swing low, leaving a 34-pip range and no directional structure — consistent with hawkish RBA pricing and a firm USD cancelling each other out.
Support: 0.71073, 0.70995, 0.70919
Resistance: 0.71204, 0.71255
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.71204 session high would extend the range toward the 0.71255 24h high
Loss of 0.71073 swing low re-opens the 0.70995 session low
Australian flash PMIs at 23:00 UTC land inside the next bar period and can break this compression
AUDUSD has spent the full window inside a 0.7092–0.7126 band, with the NY low at 0.70966 bought back and price now grinding at 0.71159, just above EMA20 and EMA50. The 0.71204 session high capped the late-NY push and volumes have collapsed into early Asia hours, leaving RSI(14) mid-range near 56 — consistent with the hawkish-RBA vs hawkish-Fed standoff flagged in the digest.
Support: 0.71073, 0.70966, 0.70919
Resistance: 0.71204, 0.71255
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.71204 session high would extend the recovery leg toward the 0.71255 prior high
Loss of the 0.71073 swing low re-exposes the 0.70966 ny low and the 0.70919 range floor
Australian flash PMIs at 23:00 UTC land inside the next bar hour and can break this thin Asian range
Thin Asia open after the NY close: price lifted off the ny low at 0.70966 to tag the session high at 0.71204 late in NY hours and is now idling at 0.71149, RSI(14) mid-50s and ATR(14) about 5 pips. AUD/USD remains penned in its 0.7105–0.7135 band as hawkish RBA pricing is offset by the five-day USD bid, with the higher-low chain from the london low at 0.70919 still intact.
Support: 0.71073, 0.70966, 0.70919
Resistance: 0.71204, 0.71255, 0.7140
What it said to watch
A close below the 0.71073 recent low ends the higher-low chain off the 0.70919 london low
Acceptance above the 0.71204 session high exposes 0.71255 prior high and the 0.7140 range cap
Australian flash PMIs at 23:00 UTC land inside the next bar period and can reset this thin-liquidity range
24h range 0.7092-0.7126, higher lows since NY midday.
AUDUSD is grinding in a 0.7092-0.7126 band, with the late-NY push into the 0.71204 session high rejected and price settling back around EMA20 at 0.7113; RSI(14) mid-range at 54 and ATR only ~3.8 pips as the Asia session opens on very thin volume. Higher lows off 0.70966 have built since NY midday, helped by the hawkish RBA tone from Bullock offsetting a firm USD, but neither range edge has been cleared.
Support: 0.71073, 0.70995, 0.70919
Resistance: 0.71204, 0.71255
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.71204 session high would extend the higher-low chain toward the 0.71255 24h high
Loss of the 0.71073 session low re-opens the 0.70995 swing low and the 0.70919 24h low
Australian flash PMIs at 23:00 UTC land inside the next Asia bars and can break this low-ATR range
US flash PMIs Wed 13:45 GMT are the larger risk to the current range read
Intraday range 0.7092–0.7126, rising lows into NY close.
AUDUSD spent the NY session repairing the London slide to 0.70919, with demand stepping in again at 0.70966 before a push to the 0.71204 ny high late in the session — rejection there and price is back under the ema20 at 0.71125. Bullock's hawkish tone is keeping a floor under the range floor area, but post-NY liquidity is gone: ATR(14) is down to ~3.5 pips and RSI(14) is neutral near 47.
Support: 0.71061, 0.70966, 0.70919
Resistance: 0.71125, 0.71204, 0.71255
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 0.70966 confirms a lower low and breaks the rising-lows line
M15 close above the 0.71204 ny high would extend the NY leg toward the 0.71255 prior high
Australian flash PMIs at 23:00 UTC land in thin Asia liquidity and can reprice this micro-range
AUDUSD has chopped inside roughly 0.7092–0.7126 for the full 24h window, with the NY session carving higher lows off 0.70966 before a rejection at the 0.71204 session high. Price is parked at 0.71138 just above EMA20 and EMA50 on near-zero post-NY-close volume; RSI(14) mid-range at 57, ATR(14) only ~4 pips, consistent with the 0.7105–0.7135 balance the hawkish-RBA vs hawkish-Fed standoff has produced.
Support: 0.7109, 0.70966, 0.70919
Resistance: 0.71204, 0.71255, 0.7140
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.71204 session high would extend the higher-low chain toward the 0.71255 asia high
Loss of the 0.7109 swing low re-opens the 0.70966 ny low and the 0.70919 session low
Australian flash PMIs at 23:00 UTC land inside the next bar period and can break this thin-liquidity range
21:06 UTC
Sideways, momentum flat · RSI 60 · price 0.71142
Consolidation above a double bottom, capped at session high.
Late NY session is grinding sideways at 0.7114 after the recovery off the double bottom formed by the 0.70919 day low and the 0.70966 ny low, with the 0.71204 session high capping the bounce. ATR(14) has collapsed to ~3.4 pips and RSI(14) is mid-range — pure consolidation into the Asia handover, consistent with AUD staying penned in its 0.7105–0.7135 band while hawkish RBA and hawkish Fed pricing cancel out.
Support: 0.71096, 0.70966, 0.70919
Resistance: 0.71204, 0.71255
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.71204 session high opens the path to the 0.71255 asia high
Loss of the 0.71096 pivot invalidates the rising support read and re-exposes the 0.70966 ny low and 0.70919 day low
Australian flash S&P Global PMIs at 23:00 UTC land within the next few bars and could break this consolidation
20:47 UTC
Mild intraday recovery, momentum fading late NY · RSI 57 · price 0.71138
Higher low off 0.70966, capped below 0.71204.
NY hours put in a higher low at 0.70966 above the 0.70919 London low, then ground up to a 0.71204 session high before stalling; last four bars are 1-2 pip dojis on collapsing late-NY participation. Price sits mid-range with two hawkish central banks cancelling out, RSI(14) neutral near 57 and ATR(14) just ~4 pips, so the 0.7097-0.7120 band is intact.
Support: 0.7104, 0.70966, 0.70919
Resistance: 0.71204, 0.71255
What it said to watch
Loss of the 0.71040 ny pivot re-opens the 0.70966 ny low and the 0.70919 london low
A close above the 0.71204 session high exposes the 0.71255 asia high
Australian flash PMIs at 23:00 UTC land in thin post-NY liquidity and can break this range read
Late NY hours: price recovered from the 0.70966 session low back to the 0.71204 session high, where it was rejected and is now idling near 0.71155 on shrinking ranges (ATR ~4.6 pips). Hawkish RBA commentary keeps a floor under AUD while a firm USD caps it, leaving the pair pinned in the 0.71100–0.71204 band with RSI(14) mid-range at 58.
Support: 0.7110, 0.70966, 0.70919
Resistance: 0.71204, 0.71255
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.71204 session high would extend the recovery toward the 0.71255 prior high
Loss of the 0.71100 range floor re-exposes 0.70966 and the 0.70919 day low
Australian flash PMIs at 23:00 UTC land inside the next few bars and could break this compression
AUDUSD spent the NY session chopping 0.7097–0.7120, with the 0.71204 session high rejected on the last push and price settling back to 0.71157 above EMA20 and EMA50. Higher lows off 0.70919 and 0.70966 mark the base of the move, consistent with the range-bound read as hawkish RBA pricing and a firm USD cancel out; ATR(14) near 4 pips shows a thin late-session tape.
Support: 0.7110, 0.70966, 0.70919
Resistance: 0.71204, 0.71255
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.71204 session high would extend the leg toward the 0.71255 prior high
Loss of 0.71100 round number, then the 0.70966 session low, breaks the higher-low chain
Australian S&P Global PMIs at 23:00 UTC land in the Asia open and could reset this range
20:03 UTC
Sideways, mild upward drift late NY · RSI 62 · price 0.71161
Range with higher lows off the session low.
London sold AUDUSD from 0.71255 to 0.70919, and NY hours have retraced roughly 60% of that leg, with price now pressing the 0.71204 session high after holding 0.71100 as a round number pivot. Two hawkish central banks cancelling out keeps the pair pinned inside the 0.7105–0.7135 band; ATR(14) at ~4.8 pips shows compressed late-session ranges.
Support: 0.7110, 0.71014, 0.70966
Resistance: 0.71204, 0.71255, 0.7140
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.71204 session high opens the 0.71255 prior high and the 0.71400 range cap
Failure to hold 0.71014 swing low re-exposes the 0.70966 session low and invalidates the higher-low sequence
Australian S&P Global PMIs at 23:00 UTC land within the next few bars and could break the range
Higher-low chain since 0.70966, pressing prior intraday supply.
Price has ground out a clean higher-low chain from the 0.70966 session low, and the last bar cleared the 0.71197 micro-high to trade 0.71204 with RSI(14) near 70. Two hawkish central banks cancelling out has kept AUDUSD penned under the 0.7135 range top all session; ATR(14) is a thin 3.7 pips, so the advance is a drift rather than an impulse.
Support: 0.71104, 0.71019, 0.70966
Resistance: 0.71255, 0.7135
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.71255 session high would extend the higher-low chain toward the 0.7135 range top
Loss of the 0.71104 swing low breaks the rising support line and re-exposes 0.71019 prior low
US flash PMIs Wed 13:45 UTC are the next event risk capable of resetting this intraday range
24h range with lower highs, higher low at 0.70966.
AUDUSD has ground back to 0.71145 from the 0.70966 session low set mid-NY, holding above EMA20 and EMA50 but still under the 0.71174 NY high that caps a chain of lower highs from the 0.71255 Asian high. Net effect is a 0.7092–0.7126 band consistent with the digest's two-way read, hawkish RBA pricing offsetting a dollar at two-month highs; RSI(14) near 63, ATR(14) about 4 pips into late NY.
Support: 0.7105, 0.70966, 0.70919
Resistance: 0.71174, 0.71255
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.71174 ny high breaks the lower-high sequence and puts 0.71255 asian high back in play
Loss of 0.70966 session low reopens the 0.70919 24h low
Australian flash PMIs at 23:00 UTC land inside the next session and can reprice this range
US flash PMIs Wed 13:45 UTC are the next major USD-side test of the range
NY session based at the 0.70966 session low and recovered in a shallow HH/HL chain to a 0.71137 session high, with the last handful of bars pinned in a 4-pip coil near 0.71120 as liquidity thins after the NY close. RSI(14) at 58 and ATR(14) near 3.8 pips — the 0.7105–0.7135 band produced by the hawkish-RBA versus hawkish-Fed standoff is still intact, and the 0.71255 prior high has capped the whole 24h window.
Support: 0.71093, 0.70966, 0.70919
Resistance: 0.71137, 0.71182, 0.71255
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.71137 session high extends the HH chain toward the 0.71182 swing high
Loss of the 0.71093 micro low re-opens the 0.70966 session low and the 0.70919 day low
Australian flash PMIs at 23:00 UTC land within the next few bars and could resolve the range
US flash PMIs Wed 13:45 UTC are the larger risk to this intraday range read
19:02 UTC
Sideways, mild upward drift into late NY · RSI 57 · price 0.71114
Range with higher lows off the 0.70966 NY low.
AUDUSD is grinding sideways in the last hours of the NY session, holding a shallow higher-low chain off the 0.70966 NY low and pressing the 0.71137 session high; ATR(14) has compressed to ~4 pips as the two-way RBA-hike-versus-hawkish-Fed standoff keeps the pair penned near the top of its 0.7105–0.7135 band. Price sits just above EMA20 and EMA50, RSI(14) mid-range at 57 — no directional edge inside the range.
Support: 0.71026, 0.70966, 0.70919
Resistance: 0.71137, 0.71174, 0.71255
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.71137 session high would extend the higher-low chain toward the 0.71174 prior swing
Loss of 0.71026 swing low would break the higher-low structure and put the 0.70966 ny low back in play
Australian S&P Global flash PMIs at 23:00 UTC land inside the next few bars and can break this compressed range
Lower highs into a flat base, higher low on the session.
AUDUSD has spent the last 24 hours grinding inside roughly 0.7092–0.7126, with the Asia high at 0.71255 starting a chain of lower highs while the NY low at 0.70966 held above the London low at 0.70919 — the 38.2% fibo of the London drop near 0.71047 is acting as the pivot. Late-NY bounce has carried price back to 0.71111 just under the session high at 0.71137, RSI(14) mid-50s and ATR(14) about 5 pips, consistent with the two-way AUD read as hawkish RBA pricing and a firm Fed cancel out.
Support: 0.71047, 0.70966, 0.70919
Resistance: 0.71137, 0.71197, 0.71255
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.71137 session high puts the 0.71197 prior high back in play
Loss of the 0.70966 ny low confirms a lower low and exposes the 0.70919 london low
Australian flash PMIs at 23:00 UTC are the first event risk that could break this range
Range 0.7092–0.7126 with a chain of lower highs; higher low at session low.
Price has ground back to 0.7113 in the late NY session after demand stepped in twice around 0.7097, leaving a higher low against the 0.70919 window low. The chain of lower highs from 0.71255 through 0.71174 still caps, with the hawkish RBA/hawkish Fed standoff keeping the pair penned in a sub-35 pip range; ATR(14) at just over 4 pips shows compressed intraday movement.
Support: 0.70966, 0.70919
Resistance: 0.71137, 0.71174, 0.71255
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.71174 swing high breaks the lower-high chain and re-opens the 0.71255 window high
Loss of the 0.70966 session low confirms a lower low and puts 0.70919 back in play
Australian flash PMIs at 23:00 UTC land inside the next few bars and can break this range
US flash PMIs Wednesday 13:45 UTC are the next USD-side risk to the read
NY afternoon has ground higher off the 0.70966 session low, with price back above EMA20/EMA50, RSI(14) near 59 and ATR(14) only ~4.4 pips. The lower-high chain from the 0.71255 24h high down through the 0.71174 prior high still caps, while the 0.71000 psych level held on the last two dips as hawkish RBA pricing and a firm dollar keep AUD penned inside its 0.7105–0.7135 band.
Support: 0.7100, 0.70966
Resistance: 0.71174, 0.71255
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.71174 prior high breaks the lower-high chain
Loss of the 0.71000 psych level re-opens the 0.70919 24h low
Australian flash PMIs at 23:00 UTC can reset the intraday range
Chain of lower highs into a double base around 0.7092/0.7097.
AUDUSD ground lower through London and into NY under a firm USD, printing lower highs from 0.71255 before demand stepped in twice at 0.70919 and 0.70966 to form a double bottom just above the 0.7100 round number. The last hour has recovered to 0.71093, reclaiming EMA20 and sitting in the 38.2–50% fib band of the day's decline, with the descending lower-high line and EMA50 near 0.7110 still capping; RSI(14) back to neutral at 52, ATR(14) 5.3 pips.
Support: 0.70966, 0.7100, 0.70919
Resistance: 0.71116, 0.7117, 0.71255
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.71170 breaks the lower-high chain and invalidates the intraday downtrend read
Loss of the 0.70966 session low confirms a lower low and puts the 0.70919 prior low back in play
Rejection at the 0.71116 bounce high keeps price pinned under the descending resistance line
Australian S&P Global flash PMIs at 23:00 UTC are the first scheduled risk to this structure
NY session sold from the 0.71174 ny high to a 0.70966 session low, holding above the 0.70919 london low, and price has since stalled into the 38.2% retracement of that leg right at the ema20 near 0.71050. Lower highs from 0.71255 are intact and the 0.7105 area is capping rather than supporting, with hawkish-Fed dollar firmness offsetting RBA hike pricing on the AUD side.
Support: 0.70966, 0.70919
Resistance: 0.7105, 0.71105, 0.71174
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.71105 pivot breaks the lower-high chain
Loss of the 0.70966 session low confirms a lower low and exposes the 0.70919 london low
Rejection at the ema20 near 0.71050 keeps the corrective read intact
Australian S&P Global PMIs at 23:00 UTC could reset the intraday range
Chain of lower highs through NY, higher low forming off 0.70966.
NY hours have printed lower highs from 0.71174, dragging AUDUSD through the 0.7105 area and the psych 0.71000 handle into a session low at 0.70966 before a shallow recovery to 0.71043. Price is pinned at EMA20 with RSI(14) mid-40s and ATR(14) just 4.6 pips — a compressed, two-way tape consistent with hawkish RBA pricing offsetting a firm dollar.
Support: 0.70966, 0.70919, 0.7100
Resistance: 0.71078, 0.71174, 0.71255
What it said to watch
A 15-minute close above the 0.71078 swing high would break the NY lower-high chain
Loss of the 0.70966 session low confirms continuation toward the 0.70919 london low
Australian S&P Global PMIs at 23:00 UTC could reset this intraday range
Chain of lower highs / lower lows, bounce off session low.
NY hours delivered a steady sequence of lower highs from 0.71174, with price basing at the 0.70966 session low before a 5-pip grind back to the 0.71049 EMA20 area. RSI(14) near 46 and ATR(14) around 5 pips — compressing late-NY conditions, with the hawkish RBA story and a firm USD keeping the pair pinned in its 0.7092–0.7126 intraday band.
Support: 0.70966, 0.70919
Resistance: 0.71104, 0.71169, 0.71255
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.71104 swing high breaks the chain of lower highs
Loss of the 0.70966 session low confirms a lower low and exposes the 0.70919 window low
Australian S&P Global PMIs at 23:00 UTC could reset this intraday range
Chain of lower highs and lower lows since the London-NY transition.
AUDUSD ground lower through NY hours, rejected at the 0.71174 session high and marking a session low at 0.70966 before a shallow bounce back to 0.71024, still under EMA20. ATR(14) has compressed to about 5 pips and RSI(14) near 42 shows no extreme — the pair is pinned inside the 0.7105–0.7135 band flagged with hawkish RBA pricing and a firm dollar cancelling out.
Support: 0.70966, 0.70919
Resistance: 0.71104, 0.71174, 0.71255
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.70966 session low would extend the lower-low sequence toward the 0.70919 swing low
Reclaim of the 0.71104 minor high is needed to break the lower-high chain
Fed's Barkin speech shortly after this bar could re-price the USD leg intraday
Lower highs and lower lows since the Asia high, now coiling just above the session low.
The NY open pop to 0.71169 was rejected and price has since ground out a fresh session low at 0.70966, with the last four bars compressing into a 3-pip band under a firm USD tape. Chain of lower highs (0.71255 asia high, 0.71169 ny high, 0.71078 swing high) remains intact and price is holding below both EMA20 and EMA50, RSI(14) at 36 without an oversold extreme; ATR(14) just 5.5 pips, so ranges are thin into late NY.
Support: 0.70966, 0.70919, 0.7090
Resistance: 0.71078, 0.71169, 0.71255
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.71078 swing high would break the lower-high chain
Failure to hold the 0.70966 session low puts the 0.70919 day low and 0.70900 round number in play
Australian flash PMIs at 23:00 UTC are the next scheduled risk that could reset this intraday range
16:16 UTC
Downtrend, grinding lower into the NY close · RSI 35 · price 0.70977
Lower highs and lower lows since the London-NY transition; price below the broken 0.7105 range floor.
AUDUSD slid through the 0.7105 range floor during NY hours and is pinned near the session low at 0.70966, with each bounce capped below the 0.71078 swing high. RSI(14) near 35 and ATR(14) around 5 pips — orderly drift rather than impulsive selling, with the day low at 0.70919 the last intraday reference below.
Support: 0.70966, 0.70919, 0.7090
Resistance: 0.7105, 0.71078, 0.71174
What it said to watch
A close below 0.70919 day low confirms a fresh lower low and puts the 0.70900 round number in play
Reclaiming 0.71050 range floor would invalidate the lower-high sequence off the 0.71174 ny high
Australian S&P Global flash PMIs at 23:00 UTC land within the next few bars and could reset this intraday read
Chain of lower highs; 0.7100 psych level lost, floor at London low.
NY afternoon has ground AUDUSD down through the 0.7100 psych level after rejection at the 0.71174 ny high, leaving price pinned at the 0.70966 session low with RSI(14) at 36 and price under both EMAs. The 0.70919 london low is the only intraday floor left below; USD firmness is doing the work while RBA hike pricing caps the downside momentum, and ATR(14) at ~5 pips keeps moves small.
Support: 0.70966, 0.70919
Resistance: 0.7100, 0.71174
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 0.71000 psych level would negate the breakdown read
Close below the 0.70919 london low confirms a lower low for the NY session
Australian PMIs at 23:00 UTC are the next scheduled catalyst for this range
Lower highs and lower lows, price below EMA20/EMA50.
Clean M15 downtrend: lower highs since 0.71255, and NY hours pushed through to a session low at 0.71012 before basing around 0.7103. Rallies keep stalling at the 0.71139 lower high with the USD firm on hawkish Fed pricing; RSI(14) near 41, ATR ~5.5 pips, so ranges are compressed.
Support: 0.71012, 0.7100, 0.70919
Resistance: 0.71078, 0.71139, 0.71197
What it said to watch
Acceptance below the 0.7100 round number exposes the 0.70919 swing low
A close back above the 0.71139 lower high would break the lower-high sequence; 0.71197 session high is the next reference
Failure to reclaim the 0.71078 micro high keeps the intraday sequence intact
Fed's Barkin at 17:00 UTC is the next USD-side headline risk inside the session
Lower highs and lower lows since London; NY broke the intraday shelf.
AUDUSD lost the 0.71070 prior shelf in the NY session and printed a session low at 0.71012, keeping the chain of lower highs from 0.71197 intact with a firm USD on hawkish fedspeak. Last three bars are consolidating in a 4-pip band just above the 0.7100 psych level, price under both EMA20 and EMA50, RSI(14) at 41 with ATR(14) near 5 pips.
Support: 0.71012, 0.7100, 0.70919
Resistance: 0.7107, 0.71174
What it said to watch
Acceptance below 0.71000 psych opens the 0.70919 swing low
A 15m close back above the 0.71070 prior shelf would negate the NY break
Fed's Barkin at 17:00 UTC and Australian PMIs at 23:00 UTC can reshape this range
Lower highs / lower lows since London open, NY probing the day's lows.
First hour of NY sold the 0.71174 swing high and dragged price back to 0.71012, a retest of the prior low, with RSI(14) near 42 and price under the 0.71105 ema20. The chain of lower highs from 0.71255 has held all through London — a firm USD post-hawkish Fed keeps rallies capped well below the 0.7140 area.
Support: 0.71012, 0.70919
Resistance: 0.71105, 0.71174, 0.71197
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 0.71012 prior low exposes the 0.70919 session low
M15 close back above the 0.71174 swing high breaks the lower-high chain
Fed's Barkin at 17:00 UTC is the nearest headline risk for the USD leg
14:33 UTC
Sideways, no directional impulse · RSI 48 · price 0.71115
Range, lower highs into NY hours.
London swept below 0.7100 to 0.70919 and the move was reclaimed within two bars, leaving price boxed in a 0.71061–0.71197 band through the NY open with RSI(14) flat near 48 and price pinned to the EMA20. Lower highs at 0.71197 and 0.71174 cap the upside while demand has repeatedly stepped in at the ny swing low; ATR(14) at ~4 pips confirms compressed intraday ranges, consistent with the AUD staying rate-differential-locked ahead of Thursday's Australian jobs print.
Support: 0.71061, 0.7100, 0.70919
Resistance: 0.71197, 0.71255
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.71197 swing high breaks the NY range and re-opens 0.71255 prior high
Loss of 0.71061 ny swing low puts the 0.7100 psych level and 0.70919 london low back in play
Barkin at 17:00 UTC is the next scheduled USD-side risk inside this range
14:16 UTC
Sideways after London downswing, drift flat · RSI 46 · price 0.71123
Range between 0.7106 and 0.7120, lower highs capping.
London hours sold AUDUSD from 0.7120 into a 0.70919 london low, but the break under 0.7100 was reclaimed within two bars and price has since chopped 0.71061–0.71197 through the NY open, consistent with the firm-USD/hawkish-fedspeak tone capping rallies. RSI(14) near 46 and ATR(14) around 5 pips — no directional expansion since the session high was set.
Support: 0.71061, 0.71014, 0.70919
Resistance: 0.71197, 0.71255
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.71197 session high breaks the lower-high chain and re-opens 0.71255 day high
Loss of the 0.71061 session low exposes 0.71014 swing low then the 0.70919 london low
Barkin 17:00 UTC and Australian PMIs 23:00 UTC are the near-term catalysts that could break this range
Lower highs since Asia, higher lows since London low — compression.
London open swept down to 0.70919 and was bought back within two bars, leaving a higher low at 0.71061 and a series of lower highs from 0.71255 into the 0.71174 session high. Price has spent the NY open hour compressing between 0.71061 and 0.71174 with RSI(14) near 47 and ATR(14) around 4 pips — inside the 0.7105–0.7135 band the market has held all week against a firm dollar.
Support: 0.71061, 0.7100, 0.70919
Resistance: 0.71174, 0.71197, 0.71255
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.71174 session high, then 0.71197 swing high, would break the lower-high chain
Loss of the 0.71061 swing low re-opens the 0.71000 round number and the 0.70919 london low
Fed speakers Williams and Jefferson inside the next hour can shift the USD leg and expand the compression
Lower highs since 0.71255, higher lows built off 0.70919.
London hours pushed AUDUSD down to a 0.70919 london low on the firm USD/hawkish Fedspeak tone, and NY morning has since compressed into a 0.71061–0.71197 band with higher lows off the session low. The last bar snapped back above EMA20 and the 61.8% retracement of the 0.71255–0.70919 leg, but the descending chain of lower highs from 0.71197 is still intact; RSI(14) mid-range at 52, ATR(14) about 5 pips.
Support: 0.71061, 0.70919
Resistance: 0.71197, 0.71255
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.71197 swing high breaks the lower-high chain and puts 0.71255 prior high back in play
Loss of the 0.71061 session low re-exposes the 0.70919 london low
Fed's Williams (14:05 UTC) and Jefferson (14:20 UTC) land inside the next bar and can reprice the USD leg immediately
Lower highs since the London bounce, price coiling above the session low.
London sold AUDUSD into 0.70919 before a sharp bounce to the 0.71197 session high, and the NY open has since been grinding sideways in a 0.71061–0.71140 band with each push capped below the prior lower high. Price sits under EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) near 38 and ATR(14) around 4.6 pips — compression, not direction, with the 0.7105–0.7135 band flagged in the AUD read still intact.
Support: 0.71061, 0.71014, 0.70919
Resistance: 0.7114, 0.71197, 0.71255
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.71140 lower high, then 0.71197 session high, would break the lower-high chain
Loss of the 0.71061 session low re-exposes the 0.71014 swing low and the 0.70919 london low
Fed Williams (14:05 UTC) and Jefferson (14:20 UTC) land within the next bars and can reprice the USD leg immediately
Lower highs against a 0.7106 shelf after the London low bounce.
London hours sold AUDUSD to a day low of 0.70919 before an immediate snap-back to 0.71197, and the pair has since coiled between the 0.7106 shelf and a 0.7114 intraday cap into the NY open — roughly the 50% retracement of that London leg. Each push higher has printed a lower high while a firm USD near fresh DXY highs keeps rallies capped; ATR(14) has compressed to about 5 pips.
Support: 0.7106, 0.71005, 0.70919
Resistance: 0.7114, 0.71197, 0.71255
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.71197 swing high breaks the lower-high chain
Loss of the 0.7106 session low re-opens 0.71005 swing low and the 0.70919 day low
Fed's Williams 14:05 UTC and Jefferson 14:20 UTC land inside the next bars and can break this consolidation
13:04 UTC
Downtrend, momentum flat · RSI 44 · price 0.71075
Lower highs since the London bounce, tight drift lower.
London hours flushed AUDUSD to a session low of 0.70919 before a sharp recovery stalled at the London high of 0.71197; price has since ground back down inside 0.71061–0.71140 with a clean lower-high chain, price under EMA20 and EMA50. RSI(14) ~43 and ATR(14) ~4.3 pips — compressed ranges into the pre-NY hour, consistent with AUD capped by a USD sitting at fresh July-30 highs.
Support: 0.71061, 0.71014, 0.70919
Resistance: 0.7114, 0.71197, 0.71255
What it said to watch
Close below the recent low at 0.71061 exposes the 0.71014 prior low and the 0.70919 session low
Reclaim of the 0.7114 lower high breaks the descending sequence and puts the 0.71197 london high back in play
Fed speakers Williams 14:05 UTC and Jefferson 14:20 UTC land just after the NY open and can reset this range
Compressed range under lower highs after London low reversal.
London hours flushed to 0.70919 and snapped straight back, but the rebound stalled at the 0.71197 session high and price has since coiled in a 0.71078–0.71140 band with lower highs. RSI(14) at ~48 and ATR(14) near 4.6 pips — hawkish-Fed USD strength is keeping the AUD bounce capped, nothing structural in play inside the range.
Support: 0.71078, 0.71014, 0.70919
Resistance: 0.71197, 0.71255
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.71197 session high breaks the lower-highs sequence
Loss of the 0.71078 range low re-exposes the 0.71014 swing low and the 0.70919 london low
Fed speakers Williams 14:05 UTC and Jefferson 14:20 UTC can break this consolidation within the next few bars
Lower highs, price coiling in a 12-pip band above the london low.
London hours broke the overnight shelf and swept down to 0.70919 before a sharp snapback to 0.71197, and the last four hours have been a 0.71081–0.71197 consolidation with price pinned to EMA20 and RSI(14) back at 45. Bullock's hawkish speech earlier produced no new range extension — supply has capped each push into the range top while the 0.71010 swing low area has not been retested.
Support: 0.71081, 0.7101, 0.70919
Resistance: 0.71197, 0.71246
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.71197 range top breaks the lower-highs sequence and puts the 0.71246 prior high back in play
Loss of the 0.71081 range floor re-opens the 0.71010 swing low and the 0.70919 london low
Fed speakers Williams 14:05 and Jefferson 14:20 UTC land within the next few bars and can break this consolidation
Lower highs since Asia, sideways after London low.
London took out the 0.7100 shelf and printed a session low at 0.70919 before a sharp recovery to 0.71197, and price has since coiled 0.7108–0.7116 under the ema50 with RSI(14) mid-40s. Chain of lower highs from 0.71376 is intact but ATR has compressed to ~6 pips into the NY open, with hawkish-Fed USD firmness capping the recovery.
Support: 0.71005, 0.70919
Resistance: 0.71145, 0.71197, 0.71255
What it said to watch
M15 close above the london high at 0.71197 breaks the lower-high chain
Loss of the 0.7100 shelf re-exposes the session low at 0.70919
NY open expansion after a ~6 pip ATR squeeze
Australian PMIs 23:00 UTC could reset the intraday range
Lower highs, lower lows; coiling above the session low.
London extended the grind lower, taking out the Asian low and printing a 0.70919 session low before a ~28 pip recovery stalled at the 0.71197 bounce high — another lower high beneath the 0.71255 London high. Price has since coiled on the 0.71096 range floor with ATR(14) near 6 pips and RSI(14) around 48, consistent with the digest's read of AUD capped by a hawkish Fed despite hawkish RBA rhetoric.
Support: 0.71096, 0.71014, 0.70919
Resistance: 0.71197, 0.71255
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.71197 breaks the lower-high chain off the 0.71255 london high
Loss of the 0.71096 range floor puts the 0.71014 prior low and 0.70919 session low back in play
NY open inside two hours plus Fed speakers (Williams 14:05, Jefferson 14:20 UTC) can expand the current 6 pip ATR
Lower highs into a tight post-London-low consolidation.
London hours swept the session low at 0.70919 — just under the 0.7100 area flagged as support — and price snapped back to 0.71197 before settling into a 0.71096–0.71197 consolidation, with the pair still capped well below 0.7140 as a hawkish Fed keeps USD firm. RSI(14) is neutral near 48 and ATR(14) ~6 pips, so ranges are thin heading into the NY session.
Support: 0.71096, 0.71014, 0.70919
Resistance: 0.71197, 0.71255
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.71197 breaks the lower-high chain and exposes 0.71255
Loss of the 0.71096 range low re-opens the 0.71014 swing low and the 0.70919 session low
Aus flash PMIs tonight 23:00 GMT and US flash PMIs Wednesday could reset this intraday range
Lower highs into 0.7092 London low, now congesting 0.7105-0.7120.
A chain of lower highs from 0.7140 ran into a flush through 0.7101 at the London open, with the 0.70919 london low bought back in a single bar and price snapping to 0.7118. Since then AUDUSD has congested in a 15-pip band below the 0.71197 session high with RSI(14) back at the midline — the 0.7105-0.7135 cap flagged around hawkish-RBA-but-hawkish-Fed pricing is still intact.
Support: 0.7101, 0.70919
Resistance: 0.71197, 0.71255
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.71197 session high would break the lower-high sequence
Loss of the 0.71010 swing low re-opens the 0.70919 london low
ATR(14) at ~6.5 pips — ranges have compressed since the London-open flush
NY open in under two hours plus Fed speakers can break the current congestion
Steady drift lower off the 0.7139 Asian high resolved into a sweep of 0.70919 early in the London session, with an immediate 28-pip recovery and a stall under the London high at 0.71197. Price is now coiled 0.7109–0.7120 on 6.8-pip ATR, RSI(14) back at neutral, consistent with the 0.7105–0.7140 band holding while a hawkish-Fed USD caps the upside despite Bullock's hawkish tone.
Support: 0.71014, 0.70919
Resistance: 0.71197, 0.71253
What it said to watch
M15 close above the london high at 0.71197 would break the lower-high chain
Loss of the prior low at 0.71014 re-exposes the session low at 0.70919
Fed's Williams at 14:05 UTC is the nearest event risk to this consolidation
Australian S&P Global PMIs 23:00 UTC could reset the intraday range
Lower highs into an 08:30 UTC london low, now consolidating mid-range.
London morning pushed through the Asian lows to 0.70919 and was immediately reclaimed, the largest bar of the window closing back above 0.7108 — a false break of the prior low at 0.71014 with a firm, hawkish-Fed dollar capping the recovery. Price has since coiled in a 0.71073–0.71197 band with RSI(14) back to neutral near 49 and ATR(14) at ~7 pips, keeping the chain of lower highs from 0.71255 intact.
Support: 0.71073, 0.71014, 0.70919
Resistance: 0.71197, 0.71255, 0.71398
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.71197 bounce high breaks the descending lower-highs line and shifts focus to 0.71255
Loss of the 0.71073 bounce base re-exposes 0.71014 and the 0.70919 london low
Fed's Williams at 14:05 UTC and Jefferson at 14:20 UTC land inside NY hours and could break this consolidation
Australian S&P Global PMIs at 23:00 UTC are the next scheduled catalyst for the AUD leg
10:47 UTC
Intraday downtrend, stabilising after London flush · RSI 51 · price 0.71158
Chain of lower highs into 0.7120, V-recovery off 0.70919, now ranging.
London open swept the Asian low, tagging 0.70919 before an immediate V-recovery back through 0.7110; the bounce has stalled just above the 61.8% retrace of that leg down, with 0.71200 capping as the latest lower high. AUD stays pinned under a firm post-FOMC dollar while hawkish RBA rhetoric holds the 0.7105–0.7120 range together into European mid-session; RSI(14) back to neutral near 51, ATR(14) 6.6 pips.
Support: 0.71045, 0.70919
Resistance: 0.7120, 0.71255
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.71200 range top breaks the lower-high chain and puts the 0.71255 asia high in play
Loss of the 0.71045 range low re-exposes the 0.70919 session low
Fed speakers from 14:05 UTC and Aussie PMIs at 23:00 UTC can reset this range read
Chain of lower highs from 0.7140 into a 0.70919 London low, then a 28-pip recovery and consolidation 0.7105–0.7120.
Early London pushed through the Asian low and printed 0.70919 at 08:30 UTC, then reversed hard — 28 pips back in two bars — and price has since coiled between the 0.7105 swing low and the 0.7120 bounce high with RSI(14) back to a neutral 47. The lower-high chain from yesterday's 0.7140 range cap is still intact, consistent with a firm, hawkish-Fed USD capping AUD even after Bullock's hawkish remarks.
Support: 0.7105, 0.7100, 0.70919
Resistance: 0.7120, 0.71255, 0.7140
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7120 bounce high breaks the lower-high chain and exposes the 0.71255 swing high, then the 0.7140 range cap
Loss of the 0.7105 swing low puts the 0.7100 psych level and the 0.70919 session low back in play
Fed speakers from 14:05 UTC (Williams, Jefferson) and Aussie flash PMIs at 23:00 UTC could reshape this intraday range read
ATR(14) near 6 pips — bars this quiet make the 0.7105/0.7120 edges the only meaningful structure
10:17 UTC
Downtrend, momentum stalling after the low · RSI 45 · price 0.71135
Chain of lower highs and lower lows; sub-0.7100 break not sustained.
Asia and early London ground out a steady chain of lower highs from 0.71398, with London morning pushing through the 0.71014 prior low into a 0.70919 session low before an immediate 18-pip snapback — a false break that has since stalled under the 0.71197 bounce high. RSI(14) back at ~44 from oversold territory, ATR(14) ~7 pips; price is hugging EMA20 but still capped by EMA50 with a firm, hawkish-Fed USD as the backdrop.
Support: 0.71014, 0.70919
Resistance: 0.71197, 0.71255
What it said to watch
Close back below 0.71014 prior low re-exposes the 0.70919 session low
Reclaim of the 0.71197 bounce high breaks the lower-highs chain and puts the 0.71255 swing high in play
Fed speakers from 14:05 UTC (Williams, Jefferson, Barkin) fall inside the next few bars and could reprice this range
Lower highs / lower lows into 0.7092, sharp recovery back into range.
London morning extended the Asian-session slide, taking out the 0.71014 swing low and sweeping down to a 0.70919 session low before an immediate bullish reversal bar returned price to 0.7117, with a firm USD at two-month highs offset by hawkish RBA commentary. RSI(14) has rebounded to roughly 48 from sub-30, ATR(14) around 7 pips, and price is back marginally above both EMA20 and EMA50 but still under the 0.71188 recent high.
Support: 0.71014, 0.70919
Resistance: 0.71188, 0.71255, 0.71398
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.71188 recent high puts the 0.71255 swing high and the 0.71398 prior high cap back in focus
Failure to hold 0.71014 swing low re-exposes the 0.70919 session low and confirms the lower-low chain
Aussie S&P Global PMIs 23:00 UTC and US Fed speakers from 14:05 UTC could materially shift this intraday read
Lower highs into a 0.7092 flush, now mean-reverting.
London session broke 0.7100 and tagged 0.70919 before an immediate snap-back to 0.7111 — a false break profile on the day's low, with price still capped under EMA20. The lower-highs chain from the 0.71253 prior high is intact and RSI(14) has recovered to ~43; ATR(14) 6.6 pips keeps ranges tight.
Support: 0.71005, 0.70919
Resistance: 0.7117, 0.71253
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7117 bounce high breaks the lower-highs chain
Failure to hold the 0.71005 micro low reopens the 0.70919 session low
Fed's Williams 14:05 UTC and Jefferson 14:20 UTC land inside the next bars and can reprice the USD leg
Chain of lower highs and lower lows; 0.70919 low swept and 0.7100 reclaimed.
London hours extended Monday's NY slide, tagging 0.70919 before an immediate snap-back above 0.7100 left a false break, and price is now coiling 0.7107-0.7109 just under the EMA20 near 0.71115. RSI(14) at ~43 off the washout low; hawkish Fedspeak and firm US yields have kept every bounce capped well below the 0.71255 Asian-session high.
Support: 0.7100, 0.70919
Resistance: 0.71115, 0.7117, 0.71255
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.71170 bounce high would break the chain of lower highs
Failure to hold the 0.71000 psych level and the 0.70919 session low confirms continuation
Fed speakers Williams 14:05 UTC and Jefferson 14:20 UTC could reshape this intraday read
Lower highs / lower lows, London low swept then reclaimed.
London morning drove AUDUSD through the 0.7100 round number and the 0.70979 prior low into a 0.70919 session low, then bought it straight back to 0.7117 — a false break of the shelf the AUD digest flags as the consolidation line. Price now sits mid-range between that session low and the 0.7117 bounce high, RSI(14) near 41 and price still under EMA20/EMA50 with ATR at ~6 pips per bar.
Support: 0.7100, 0.70919, 0.70979
Resistance: 0.7117, 0.71255, 0.71398
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7117 bounce high would break the chain of lower highs off 0.71255
Failure to hold 0.70919 session low confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
US ADP 4-week average 12:15 UTC and Fed speakers from 14:05 UTC could reset this intraday range
Lower highs / lower lows since London open, V-recovery in progress.
London session sold AUDUSD off the 0.71237 swing high in a clean lower-high chain, sweeping the asia low at 0.70979 before printing a session low of 0.70919, then snapping back 25 pips in two bars to close at 0.71105 — still marginally under ema20. Hawkish Fedspeak keeps the 0.7140 area capped, so the recovery is so far just a reclaim of the broken shelf rather than a structure break; RSI(14) at 40 has unwound from the sell-off low, ATR(14) 6.5 pips.
Support: 0.70919, 0.70979
Resistance: 0.71133, 0.7117, 0.71237
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.71170 bounce high would break the lower-high sequence off 0.71237
Failure to hold 0.70919 session low confirms continuation of the London downtrend
Rejection at ema20 on the retest would keep the bearish micro-structure intact
US ADP 4-week average 12:15 UTC and Fed's Williams 14:05 UTC could reprice this range within the next few bars
Lower highs / lower lows since 06:00 UTC, new 24h low swept and reclaimed.
London open extended the lower-high chain from 0.71237, driving AUDUSD through the Asia low at 0.70979 and the 0.7100 psych cushion to 0.70919 before an outsized 17-pip recovery bar closed back at 0.71081 — a false break so far, with hawkish Fedspeak keeping the USD bid into the session. Price is still below EMA20 (~0.7111) and the broken 0.71150 shelf, RSI(14) at 35 off its lows, ATR(14) ~5.8 pips.
Support: 0.7100, 0.70919, 0.7088
Resistance: 0.7111, 0.7115, 0.71255
What it said to watch
Reclaim and hold above 0.71150 broken shelf would break the lower-high sequence
Loss of 0.7100 psych and a close under 0.70919 session low confirms a lower low and exposes the 0.7088 june high area
US ADP 4-week average 12:15 UTC and Fed's Williams 14:05 UTC fall inside the next bars and could reset the intraday range
Failure at EMA20 (~0.7111) keeps the bounce corrective within the London downswing
Chain of lower highs and lower lows; fresh session low on the London open.
Sellers pressed through the 0.71000 psych level into the London open, taking out the Asian low at 0.70979 and marking a fresh session low at 0.70932 with RSI(14) down near 21. The move extends a clean lower-high chain from the 0.71255 asia high, with a firm USD after hawkish Fedspeak the backdrop; ATR(14) at ~5 pips means each 15-min bar is small but directional.
Support: 0.70932, 0.7090
Resistance: 0.7100, 0.71121, 0.71255
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 0.71000 psych level would invalidate the lower-low read
Acceptance below the 0.70900 round number extends the downtrend leg
A push back above the 0.71121 swing high would repair intraday structure
US ADP 4-week average and Fed speakers (Williams, Jefferson, Barkin) later today are the next drivers for this read
Lower highs and lower lows through London, fresh session low.
London hours extended the slide: AUDUSD lost the 0.7100 round number and closed at 0.71008, a fresh session low, with RSI(14) near 22 and ATR(14) around 4.4 pips. The chain of lower highs from the 0.71253 session high is intact, and the 0.70979 prior low from the earlier flush is the immediate reference below — consistent with the digest's read that 0.7100 was the pivot the market was defending.
Support: 0.70979, 0.7075
Resistance: 0.71121, 0.71253
What it said to watch
A close back above 0.71121 broken pivot would end the lower-high chain
Failure to hold 0.70979 prior low confirms continuation toward the 0.7075 next low
Fed speakers later today (Williams, Jefferson) are the near-term USD risk to this read
Chain of lower highs and lower lows since the London open, price back at the Asian low.
Mid-London grind lower has dragged AUDUSD back to the 0.70979 asian low, with the 0.71255 session high rejected and every bounce since capped at progressively lower highs near 0.71150. RSI(14) at 29 with ATR near 4 pips — a slow, stair-step decline rather than an impulse, consistent with a firm USD on hawkish Fedspeak while RBA hike pricing keeps the 0.71000 round number in play.
Support: 0.70979, 0.7100
Resistance: 0.7115, 0.71255
What it said to watch
A 15-minute close below the 0.70979 asian low confirms a fresh lower low and exposes 0.7075
Reclaiming 0.71150 would break the lower high chain and neutralise the intraday downtrend read
US ADP 4-week average at 12:15 GMT and Fed speakers later in the NY session could reset the intraday range
Lower highs / lower lows off 0.71255, price in lower half of Asian range.
London open pushed AUDUSD out of the tight 0.7115–0.7123 Asian drift, with rejection at the 0.71181 swing high and a fresh session low at 0.71065 — a chain of lower highs since the 0.71255 asia high. Firm USD on hawkish Fedspeak is capping the RBA-driven bid, leaving the 0.71000 round number and the 0.70979 asia low as the next structural references; RSI(14) near 31, ATR(14) ~4.5 pips.
Support: 0.71065, 0.7100, 0.70979
Resistance: 0.71181, 0.71255
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.71000 puts the 0.70979 asia low in play and extends the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of the 0.71181 swing high breaks the lower-high chain and neutralises the downtrend read
Failure to hold the 0.71065 session low on the next retest confirms continuation
Fed speakers later today (Williams, Jefferson, Barkin) could materially shift this read
07:16 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs into London · RSI 36 · price 0.71135
Rolling over from 0.71255 session high, chain of lower highs/lower lows back toward the session low.
Asia flushed to 0.70979 before a fast recovery to the 0.71255 session high, and early London has been fading that bounce — price is back at the session low 0.71107 with RSI(14) near 36 and both EMAs overhead. AUD's hawkish-RBA support (Bullock) keeps 0.7100 relevant, but each push has been capped well under the prior-day high at 0.71398.
Support: 0.71107, 0.7100, 0.70979
Resistance: 0.71185, 0.71255, 0.71398
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.71107 session low would extend the lower-low chain toward psych 0.7100 and the 0.70979 asia low
Reclaiming ema20 near 0.71185 and then 0.71255 session high invalidates the lower-high structure
ATR(14) at ~4.6 pips — sub-5 pip bars, moves are small relative to the 0.7100 level
US flash PMIs and Australian PMIs later in the week are the next scheduled risks to this intraday read
Asia sold the pair into 0.70979 before a bounce stalled at 0.71255, and early London has been carving lower highs back down to the 0.71146 session low with price pinned under the 0.71192 ema20. Hawkish RBA rhetoric is keeping 0.7100 intact so far, but a firm USD is capping every push.
Support: 0.71146, 0.7110, 0.70979
Resistance: 0.71192, 0.71255, 0.7134
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.71146 and a close below 0.71100 psych re-exposes the 0.70979 swing low
Reclaim of the 0.71192 ema20 and a push through 0.71255 bounce high would break the lower-high chain
Australian flash PMIs tonight 23:00 UTC are the next scheduled catalyst; no AUD/USD event inside the next few hours
06:47 UTC
Rangebound, drifting lower off session high · RSI 43 · price 0.71154
False break below 0.7100 reclaimed, now lower highs into early London.
Asia session flushed to 0.70979, briefly losing the 0.7100 psych level, then fully reclaimed it and ran to a session high at 0.71255 — a false break that held, consistent with the hawkish RBA line supporting spot while a firm USD caps it. Early London is rotating back down under a chain of lower highs (0.71255 then 0.71237), price back at 0.7115 with RSI(14) near 43 and ATR(14) around 4 pips.
Support: 0.7110, 0.70979
Resistance: 0.71237, 0.71255, 0.71398
What it said to watch
A closed M15 break back below the 0.7100 psych level invalidates the false-break read and re-exposes the asia low at 0.70979
Reclaim of the 0.71255 session high breaks the lower-high sequence
US ADP 4-week average and Fed speakers later in the NY session are the next drivers for this pair
Asia session flushed to 0.70979 before a sharp recovery, and price firmed to the 0.71255 asia high after RBA Governor Bullock's hawkish remarks around 03:10 UTC. Since then it has coiled in a 12-pip band with lower highs, and the last bar slipped back to 0.71168 under EMA20 as early-European hours begin; RSI(14) mid-40s, ATR(14) near 5 pips.
Support: 0.71134, 0.7110, 0.70979
Resistance: 0.71255, 0.71398
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.71255 asia high would end the lower-highs sequence and put the 0.71398 prior high back in play
Loss of the 0.71134 swing low reopens the 0.71100 psych level and the 0.70979 asia low
Australian flash PMIs at 23:00 UTC tonight could reset this intraday range
06:02 UTC
Sideways, momentum flat after Asia rebound · RSI 53 · price 0.7121
Coil inside 0.7119-0.7126 following recovery off 0.70979; micro higher lows.
Asia flushed to 0.70979 — a false break of the 0.7100 pivot — before hawkish Bullock/Hunter commentary dragged AUD straight back to the 0.71255 session high, completing a ~55% retrace of the 0.71398→0.70979 downleg. Price has since coiled in a 6-pip band either side of EMA20 with ATR(14) near 4 pips, and the lower highs off Monday's prior hi still cap the upside.
Support: 0.7119, 0.71134, 0.70979
Resistance: 0.71255, 0.71398
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.71255 session high ends the coil and re-opens 0.71398 prior hi
Loss of the 0.71190 micro low, then 0.71134 swing low, puts the asia low at 0.70979 back in play
Aus flash PMIs at 23:00 UTC and Fed speakers later today are the next catalysts capable of breaking this band
05:47 UTC
Sideways after Asian flush and recovery · RSI 53 · price 0.71215
Tight range 0.7119-0.7126, higher lows since the 0.7098 spike low.
A thin Asia-session flush to the 0.7098 asia low at 01:45 UTC was fully reversed within four bars, with price back above the 0.711 round number and grinding to 0.71255 as Bullock's hawkish remarks hit. Since then AUDUSD has coiled in a 6-pip band between the 0.7119 session low and that session high, ATR(14) down to ~4 pips and RSI(14) mid-range at 53.
Support: 0.7119, 0.7110, 0.7098
Resistance: 0.71255, 0.7134
What it said to watch
A 15m close above the 0.71255 session high opens the path to the 0.7134 prior swing
Loss of the 0.7119 session low re-opens the 0.711 round number and the 0.7098 asia low
Australian S&P Global flash PMIs at 23:00 UTC are the next scheduled catalyst for this range
05:18 UTC
Sideways, drift higher after Asia flush · RSI 53 · price 0.71208
Range-bound; higher low at 0.71142 after the dip below 0.7110 was reclaimed.
Asia flushed to 0.70979 around 01:30 UTC before the entire move was bought back within two hours, leaving price pinned at 0.7120 with EMA20 and EMA50 flat and RSI(14) neutral at 53. Since the 0.71255 session high, the last twelve bars have compressed into a 6-pip band — no structure in play ahead of the London open, with hawkish Bullock/Hunter commentary keeping AUD supported but capped.
Support: 0.71142, 0.70979
Resistance: 0.71255, 0.71398
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.71142 swing low reopens the 0.70979 asia low
Reclaim of the 0.71255 session high is needed before the 0.71398 monday high comes back into range
Australian PMIs at 23:00 UTC are the next scheduled catalyst that could break this compression
Range after false break of 0.7100, higher lows since the Asia low.
Early Asia hours flushed 20 pips to 0.70979 before the entire move was bought back within four bars — a false break of the 0.71100 round number, with the recovery stalling at the 0.71255 session high. Price has since coiled in a 0.71193–0.71255 band either side of the EMA20, RSI(14) back to a neutral 52.7, with hawkish Bullock/Hunter commentary keeping AUD supported near 0.7120 while the 0.71398 range top from yesterday's London-NY hours caps the wider structure.
Support: 0.71134, 0.7110, 0.70979
Resistance: 0.71255, 0.7132, 0.71398
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.71255 session high would extend the recovery toward the 0.71320 prior high
Loss of the 0.71134 swing low and the 0.71100 round number re-opens the 0.70979 session low
ADP 4-week average and Fed's Williams/Jefferson from 12:15 GMT are the first US-side risk to this range read
Recovery leg inside Monday's range, higher lows since the session low.
Asia hours dumped through 0.71100 to a session low of 0.70979 before the entire move was reclaimed within four bars — a false break, with price now pinned just under the asia high at 0.71255. RSI(14) back to a neutral 53 and ATR(14) around 5 pips as the last eight bars coil in a 6-pip band; hawkish RBA commentary (Bullock, Hunter) keeps the downside contained but the Sept 29 hike is already ~94% priced.
Support: 0.71147, 0.7110, 0.70979
Resistance: 0.71255, 0.71398
What it said to watch
Acceptance above the 0.71255 asia high would extend the recovery toward the 0.71398 prior high
Loss of the 0.71147 swing low re-opens the 0.71100 round number and the 0.70979 session low
A repeat of the sweep below 0.71100 that holds would invalidate the false-break read
US ADP 4-week average and Williams/Jefferson remarks later today can reset this intraday range
Asia low sweep at 0.70979 fully retraced, now consolidating under session high.
Tuesday's Asia session flushed the prior range, dropping to 0.70979 between 01:00 and 01:45 UTC as hawkish Fedspeak kept the USD bid, then reclaimed the entire move within two hours. Price is now pinned in a 0.71210–0.71255 band just under the session high, RSI(14) back at neutral 50 and ATR(14) at ~6 pips.
Support: 0.71134, 0.7100, 0.70979
Resistance: 0.71255, 0.71318
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.71255 session high opens the 0.71318 prior high
Loss of the 0.71134 swing low re-exposes the 0.7100 round number and the 0.70979 asia low
Failure to hold above the reclaimed range would re-validate the downside break rather than the false break read
Australia flash PMIs and US Fed speakers later today sit outside this window but can reset the intraday range
Lower highs, Asia flush and V-recovery into mid-range.
Asia session flushed from 0.71203 to a 0.70979 session low, then fully reversed — the false break below the 0.71014 flush zone was reclaimed within three bars and price has retraced ~58% of the downswing to 0.71223, RSI(14) near 47. The bounce has stalled under the 0.71255 session high, keeping the chain of lower highs from yesterday's 0.71398 prior day hi intact; ATR(14) ~6 pips.
Support: 0.71147, 0.71014, 0.70979
Resistance: 0.71255, 0.71398
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.71255 session high breaks the lower highs sequence and reopens 0.71398 prior day hi
Failure to hold the 0.71147 recovery low re-exposes the 0.71014 flush zone and 0.70979 session low
Australia flash PMIs at 23:00 GMT are the next scheduled risk to this range read
False break below 0.7100 then recovery into mid-range.
Early Asia session flushed 0.7100 down to a session low at 0.70979 before the move was fully retraced back to the session high at 0.71255, leaving a false break and a rejection of sub-0.7100 pricing. Price now sits mid-range at 0.71225 with RSI(14) back at neutral 51 and ATR(14) only ~6 pips, consistent with the catalyst-waiting range AUD has held between hawkish Fed pricing and near-certain RBA hike odds.
Support: 0.71142, 0.7100, 0.70979
Resistance: 0.71255, 0.7139
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.71255 session high opens the 0.71390 prior high
Loss of the 0.71142 swing low re-exposes 0.7100 psych and the 0.70979 session low
Australian PMIs at 23:00 UTC and Thursday's labour market report could reset this intraday range
03:16 UTC
Intraday downtrend, momentum stalled after full retrace · RSI 51 · price 0.71187
Lower highs all session, Asia flush to 0.70979 fully recovered back into the broken range floor.
After 12 hours coiled between 0.71180 and 0.71243, the Asia session dropped hard through 0.71100 into 0.70979 before the entire move was bought back inside three bars — a false break ahead of Bullock's testimony, with the AUD short base still crowded. Price is now pressing the broken range floor at 0.71205 from below, RSI(14) back to neutral at 51 and ATR(14) at 5.7 pips.
Support: 0.7110, 0.70979
Resistance: 0.71205, 0.71243
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.71243 swing high would end the sequence of lower highs
Loss of the 0.71100 round number re-exposes the 0.70979 session low
Bullock testimony headlines (03:10 UTC) are the immediate catalyst and can reprice this range within a bar or two
Lower highs into an Asia-session flush, low reclaimed.
Early Asia hours saw a fast 26-pip flush through the 0.71000 psych level to a 0.70979 session low, immediately bought back to 0.71190 — the break below the figure has so far not held. Price now sits mid-range at 0.71170 with RSI(14) back to a neutral 46 and ATR(14) at 5.4 pips, still under the descending line of lower highs from yesterday's 0.71398 prior day high.
Support: 0.71134, 0.7100, 0.70979
Resistance: 0.71243, 0.7132, 0.71398
What it said to watch
RBA Governor Bullock speaks at 03:10 UTC — the immediate catalyst and could materially shift this read within the next bars
M15 close back below 0.71000 psych would reassert the downtrend and put the 0.70979 session low back in play
Acceptance above the 0.71243 session high breaks the lower-high chain and exposes 0.71320 prior high
Failure to hold the 0.71134 swing low on a retest confirms the reclaim was rejected
Lower highs all session; sharp Asia-open flush below 0.7100 reclaimed within three bars.
Steady grind of lower highs from 0.71398 gave way to a fast flush into 0.70979 at the Asia open, which was reclaimed within three bars back above the 0.7100 psych level. Price now sits at 0.71166, pinned just under the 0.71193 bounce high with RSI(14) back to mid-40s and ATR(14) at ~5.5 pips after the volatility spike.
Support: 0.7110, 0.70979
Resistance: 0.71193, 0.71243, 0.71398
What it said to watch
RBA Governor Bullock speaks 03:10 UTC — immediate catalyst for this range
Loss of 0.7100 psych again and a close below 0.70979 session low confirms a lower-low
M15 close above the 0.71193 bounce high puts 0.71243 prior high back in play and invalidates the lower-high sequence
02:16 UTC
Downtrend, impulsive leg fading · RSI 37 · price 0.71104
Lower highs and lower lows after Asia-session range break.
Asia session broke the tight 0.7118-0.7124 shelf and sold off four straight bars into a 0.70979 session low, with AUD offered against a firm USD before Bullock. Price has since retraced to the 0.71000 round number area and stalled just under the 0.71150 ema20, RSI(14) near 37 after the impulse; ATR(14) at ~4.6 pips is elevated versus the earlier grind.
Support: 0.7100, 0.70979
Resistance: 0.7115, 0.71243
What it said to watch
RBA Governor Bullock at 03:10 UTC is the immediate catalyst and can reset this intraday read
A 15m close back above the 0.71150 ema20 invalidates the range-break continuation read
Failure to hold the 0.71000 round number reopens the 0.70979 session low
Reclaim of 0.71243 prior high would break the lower-high chain
02:02 UTC
Downtrend, impulsive leg in progress · RSI 31 · price 0.71045
Lower highs all session, fresh 24h low after range break.
Early Asia trade sliced the 0.71134 broken shelf and ran 25 pips to a session low at 0.70979, the first clean range break after a full day of compression between 0.7118 and 0.7140. RSI(14) near 31 with price below both EMA20 and EMA50; ATR(14) has expanded to ~4 pips per bar from ~1.5 in the overnight lull.
Support: 0.70979, 0.7095
Resistance: 0.71134, 0.7120, 0.71243
What it said to watch
RBA Governor Bullock at 03:10 UTC is the immediate catalyst and can reprice this leg within the next bars
Reclaim of 0.71134 broken shelf would mark the move as a false break rather than continuation
Loss of 0.70950 range floor extends the lower-low sequence
Rejection at 0.71200 round number would keep the lower-high chain intact
01:47 UTC
Downtrend, impulsive leg lower · RSI 23 · price 0.71011
Range break lower, fresh 24h low, lower highs intact.
Asia session broke the 0.7113–0.7124 shelf and sliced ~23 pips in the last hour to tag the 0.7100 psych level, the lowest print of the window, with RSI(14) near 23. Every bounce since Monday's 0.7140 mon high has stalled under descending res, and the broken low at 0.71134 plus the asia high at 0.71243 are the first references above.
Support: 0.7100, 0.7095
Resistance: 0.71134, 0.71243, 0.71398
What it said to watch
RBA Bullock speech 03:10 UTC (~1.5h) is the immediate catalyst and could reshape this read
Reclaim of the 0.71134 broken low would frame the drop as a false break
Sustained trade below the 0.7100 psych level exposes 0.7095 next support
Failure of price to make a lower low while RSI holds above 23 would flag momentum stalling
Lower highs since London high, Asian range low broken.
Price chopped inside a tight 0.71164–0.71243 Asian range for eight hours before the last two bars snapped the asia low and printed 0.71124, extending the sequence of lower highs built since the 0.71398 London high. RSI(14) at 35 with price under EMA20 and EMA50; ATR(14) is a thin 2.7 pips, so the breakdown bar was roughly three times normal range.
Support: 0.71124, 0.7110
Resistance: 0.71164, 0.71243, 0.7130
What it said to watch
RBA Governor Bullock at 03:10 GMT is the immediate catalyst and could reprice this read within the next bars
Failure to hold 0.71100 psych pivot confirms continuation of the lower-low chain
A reclaim of the 0.71164 asia low back into the range invalidates the range break
01:03 UTC
Drift lower, now flat · RSI 49 · price 0.71196
Tight Asia range under a lower-highs sequence.
AUDUSD has been pinned in a 0.71164-0.71243 Asia range after the slide from the 0.71398 NY high, with the last push into 0.71243 rejected and price closing back at 0.71196, just under EMA20 and EMA50. ATR(14) is only ~2.6 pips and RSI(14) is mid-range near 48 — no directional structure in play, with the market holding above the 0.7110 psych area ahead of RBA Bullock at 03:10 GMT.
Support: 0.71164, 0.7110
Resistance: 0.71243, 0.71267, 0.71398
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.71243 session high, then 0.71267 prior high, would end the lower-highs sequence
Loss of the 0.71164 asia low re-opens the 0.71100 psych area
RBA Bullock speech at 03:10 GMT (~2h) is the immediate catalyst and can invalidate this low-ATR range read
Lower highs into a 0.71164-0.71209 base, first higher high off the low.
Price faded through the NY session from the 24h high at 0.71398 to a session low of 0.71164 as the USD held its post-FOMC firmness, then spent late NY hours flat-lining in a 0.71164-0.71209 base. The Asia open has lifted it back to 0.71234, tagging the asia high at 0.71243 with RSI(14) near 60 and ATR(14) only 2.6 pips — moves are small and mechanical.
Support: 0.71175, 0.71164, 0.7110
Resistance: 0.71243, 0.71267, 0.71398
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.71243 asia high would extend the bounce toward the 0.71267 prior high
Loss of 0.71175 base low, then 0.71164 session low, resumes the lower-high sequence toward the 0.7100 psych level
Australian PMI headlines and thin early-Asia liquidity can distort this range read
Lower highs off 0.71398, now coiling above 0.71164.
AUDUSD faded through the NY session from the London high at 0.71398 to a 0.71164 session low, and has spent the last three hours pinned in a 5-pip coil either side of EMA20 as Asia reopens. ATR(14) down to 1.9 pips — nothing structural in play until the 0.71164 session low or the 0.71232 swing high gives way.
Support: 0.71164, 0.7110
Resistance: 0.71232, 0.71398
What it said to watch
RBA Gov. Bullock speech 03:10 GMT is the immediate catalyst and can break this coil in either direction
Loss of the 0.71164 session low extends the chain of lower highs toward the 0.71100 psych pivot
M15 close above the 0.71232 swing high invalidates the lower-high sequence off the prior day high
Lower highs off 0.71398, compressing into the day low.
After capping at 0.71398 in NY hours, AUDUSD ground out a chain of lower highs and is now pinned in a 4-pip band above the 0.71164 day low, with volume thinning into the Asia open. RSI(14) at 43 and ATR at just 1.6 pips — no setup in play, price sits under both EMA20 and EMA50 as a firm USD offsets near-fully priced RBA hike odds.
Support: 0.71164, 0.7110
Resistance: 0.71209, 0.71267, 0.71398
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 0.71209 session high would break the lower-high chain
Failure to hold the 0.71164 day low opens the 0.7110 psych area
RBA's Bullock at 03:10 GMT is the immediate catalyst and can reset this range