AUD/USD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Wednesday, 23 September 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the AUD/USD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:46 UTC
Downtrend, stalled into a tight range · RSI 40 · price 0.70357
Post-NY range 0.7025–0.7043 under the 61.8% of the NY leg.
AUDUSD slid from 0.7116 in Asia. London broke lower, and NY extended the drop to a 0.7025 day low after the US PMI beat lifted yields and the dollar. Since then price has held a tight range capped at the 0.7043 range top, near the 61.8% of the NY leg, with the thin-hours spike low at 0.7030 and RSI(14) around 40 as early Asia drifts to the floor.
Support: 0.70296, 0.70253, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70428, 0.70494
What it said to watch
AU jobs at 01:30 GMT, under 2h away, could break the 0.7025–0.7043 range either way
M15 close below the 0.7025 day low extends the lower-low sequence toward 0.7000 psych
Close above the 0.7043 range top and the 61.8% fib exposes the 0.7049 swing high
23:31 UTC
Downtrend, stalled into a tight base · RSI 42 · price 0.70371
Lower highs and lows through London/NY, flat range 0.7025–0.7043 since 17:00 UTC.
AUD bled about 90 pips through London and NY. The slide accelerated on the 13:45 UTC US PMI beat and bottomed at the 0.7025 session low. Since then price has been boxed under the 0.7043 range top, and a late-NY wick to 0.7030 was rejected; early Asia session is quiet at 0.7037 with ATR compressed to ~3 pips.
Support: 0.7030, 0.70253, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70428, 0.70494, 0.70687
What it said to watch
AU August jobs at 01:30 UTC (~2h) is the main catalyst for a break of the 0.7025–0.7043 box
M15 close above the 0.7043 range top brings the 0.7049 bounce high and the 23.6% day decline fib into play; the 0.7069 spike high sits above
Failure to hold the 0.7030 late wick and then the 0.7025 session low extends the lower-low chain toward 0.7000 psych
Lower highs from the post-PMI leg; 7-pip box above the day low.
AUD shed roughly 90 pips across London and NY. The hot US PMI beat at 13:45 UTC drove the pmi break below 0.7055, and the day low at 0.7025 printed during NY hours. Early Asia is holding a tight 0.7036–0.7043 box, with the range floor intact after a rollover wick to 0.7030 and the bounce capped at the 38.2% fib of the post-PMI leg.
Support: 0.7036, 0.70253, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70428, 0.70494, 0.70545
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7043 38.2% fib opens the 0.7049 lower high, with the 0.7055 pmi break level above that
Failure to hold the 0.7036 range floor exposes the 0.7025 day low and then 0.7000 psych
AU August jobs at 01:30 UTC, in about 2h, could break the consolidation either way; a miss puts 0.7000 psych in play
23:02 UTC
Downtrend, pausing in early Asia · RSI 52 · price 0.70396
Lower highs from the Asian high; tight range above the 0.7025 day low.
AUD/USD bled from the 0.7116 Asian high through London, then the hot US flash PMIs extended the slide from the 0.7069 pre-PMI high to a 0.7025 day low. Since the NY afternoon, price has held a 0.7036–0.7043 consolidation, with the range top capped at the 38.2% fib of the PMI drop. The thin-rollover spike low at 0.7030 was bought back quickly, and ATR has compressed to about 3 pips into early Asia.
Support: 0.7036, 0.70296, 0.70253
Resistance: 0.70428, 0.70494, 0.70687
What it said to watch
AU August jobs at 01:30 GMT (~2.5h) could break the range either way; a second straight job loss puts the day low and 0.7000 psych in view
M15 close above the 0.7043 range top / 38.2% fib opens the 0.7049 pmi bounce, then the 0.7069 pre-PMI high
Failure to hold the 0.7036 range floor exposes the 0.7030 spike low and the 0.7025 day low
22:46 UTC
Downtrend, stalled into a late-NY range · RSI 56 · price 0.70404
Lower highs from the PMI drop, flat base above the 0.7025 day low.
Pair slipped below the Asian range low at 0.7094 in London, then dropped from the 0.7069 pmi high after the US PMI beat to a 0.7025 day low. Since late NY it has held a tight 0.7036–0.7043 range, with the range top sitting on the 38.2% retrace of that PMI drop and the 0.7049 ny bounce high capping above.
Support: 0.70359, 0.70253, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70428, 0.70494, 0.70687
What it said to watch
AU jobs report at 01:30 GMT (about 3h) could break the 0.7036–0.7043 range either way
Close above the 0.7043 range top and the 0.7049 ny bounce high breaks the lower-high sequence
Loss of the 0.7036 range floor exposes the 0.7025 day low, then 0.7000 psych
Rollover wick to 0.7030 was thin-liquidity noise; the range read holds while closes stay above 0.7036
22:31 UTC
Downtrend, pausing in a tight range · RSI 50 · price 0.70393
Asian range broken lower at London open; lower highs intact; late-NY range 0.7036–0.7043 above 0.7025 day low.
AUD/USD broke the 0.7096 Asian range low at London open, and the hot US flash PMIs drove the NY slide from the 0.7069 NY high to a 0.7025 day low. Since late NY it has held a 0.7036–0.7043 band between the range floor and the 38.2% fib of the NY drop. RSI(14) sits near 50 and ATR is compressed into the Asia session.
Support: 0.70359, 0.70253, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70428, 0.70494, 0.70687
What it said to watch
AU jobs at 01:30 GMT (about 3h) could break the range either way; a miss vs 20K f/c puts the day low and 0.7000 psych in play
M15 close below the 0.7036 range floor reopens the 0.7025 day low
Close above the 38.2% fib at 0.7043 exposes the 0.7049 NY lower high; lower-high structure holds below it
Thin rollover spike to 0.7030 shows the range floor is fragile in low liquidity
22:02 UTC
Downtrend, stalled in post-NY range · RSI 52 · price 0.70389
Lower-high/lower-low chain from London open, now compressed in a tight range 0.7036–0.7043.
London broke the Asian range low near 0.7096 and the slide extended into NY. The sharp beat in US flash PMIs flushed price to a 0.7025 day low. Since 18:00 UTC price has compressed between a 0.7036 range floor and a 0.7043 range top, just under the 23.6% fib, with RSI(14) neutral near 52 and price flat on EMA20.
Support: 0.7036, 0.70253
Resistance: 0.70428, 0.70494
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7043 range top opens the 38.2 fib at 0.7049, the last NY bounce high
Failure to hold the 0.7036 range floor exposes the 0.7025 day low and resumes the lower-low chain
AU jobs data at 01:30 UTC (f/c 20K, 4.5%) could break the range in either direction
Rollover-hour spike to 0.7030 shows thin liquidity, so wicks through the range floor may not hold
Lower highs and lower lows through London and NY; tight post-low box at 0.7036–0.7043.
AUD/USD broke the Asian range low at 0.7094 at London open, then extended lower after the US flash PMI beat at 13:45 UTC. It carved a day low at 0.7025 late in NY. Since then it has held a 0.7036–0.7043 box through the rollover, with the range top capping at the 38.2% fib of the PMI leg; RSI(14) is neutral near 47 and ATR has compressed to about 4 pips.
Support: 0.7036, 0.7025
Resistance: 0.7043, 0.7049, 0.7069
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7043 range top and 38.2% fib opens the 0.7049 NY bounce high, then the 0.7069 pre-PMI high
Failure to hold the 0.7036 range low exposes the 0.7025 day low
AU jobs data Thu 01:30 UTC (f/c 20K, 4.5%) is likely to break the Asia-session box
21:31 UTC
Downtrend, stalled into tight range · RSI 46 · price 0.70389
Lower highs from London; post-NY low consolidation 0.7036–0.7043.
London broke below the Asian range, and the selloff from the 0.70897 London high ran through NY on soft Aussie PMIs and the US PMI beat, bottoming at the 0.70253 session low. Since late NY, price has compressed into a 0.7036–0.7043 range just under EMA20 and the 23.6% of the selloff fib. RSI(14) is neutral near 46 and ATR has contracted to about 3 pips into the Asia open.
Support: 0.70359, 0.70253
Resistance: 0.70428, 0.70494
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.70428 range top opens the 0.70494 swing high (near the 38.2% of the selloff fib)
Break of the 0.70359 range low exposes the 0.70253 session low
AU jobs data Thu 01:30 UTC (~4h) could break the compressed range decisively
21:17 UTC
Downtrend, pausing in a late-NY range · RSI 44 · price 0.7038
Lower highs and lower lows from the Asian range, now a tight 0.7036–0.7043 box.
AUD/USD broke below the 0.7094–0.7116 Asian range at London open, then extended to a 0.7025 session low after the US flash PMI beat at 13:45 UTC. Since then, price has held a 0.7036–0.7043 box into rollover. The range high sits at the 38.2% fib of the PMI drop, and price is pinned at EMA20.
Support: 0.7036, 0.7025, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7042, 0.7049, 0.7069
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7042 range high opens the 0.7049 bounce high, with the 0.7069 pre-PMI high above
Break of the 0.7036 range low re-exposes the 0.7025 session low, then the 0.7000 round number
AU jobs data at 01:30 UTC (f/c 20K, 4.5%) could break the range in either direction
21:05 UTC
Downtrend, pausing after NY low · RSI 54 · price 0.70387
Lower highs/lows through London and NY; tight post-NY range 0.7036–0.7043.
AUD/USD broke below the 0.7096–0.7116 Asian range at London open after soft Aussie PMIs. It extended lower on the 13:45 UTC US flash PMI beat to a NY low at 0.70253. Since then it has compressed in a 0.7036–0.7043 range, with the range high sitting near the 61.8% fib of the drop from the 0.70494 swing high. ATR has contracted to under 5 pips into the after-NY-close lull.
Support: 0.70359, 0.70253
Resistance: 0.70428, 0.70494
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.70428 range high and the 0.70494 swing high breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold the 0.70359 range low exposes the 0.70253 NY low
AU jobs data Thu 01:30 UTC (f/c 20K, 4.5%) could break the range during the Asia session
US jobless claims and Fed's Williams on Thursday keep USD-driven risk live
20:46 UTC
Downtrend, pausing in late NY · RSI 54 · price 0.70395
Lower highs and lower lows; tight 0.7036–0.7043 range after the session low.
London broke the Asian range low near 0.7094. The US flash PMI beat at 13:45 UTC then drove a leg to 0.7033, and price later printed a lower session low at 0.7025. Since then price has compressed between the 0.7036 range low and the 0.7043 range high, which sits on the 38.2% fib of the PMI drop, with RSI(14) neutral.
Support: 0.70359, 0.70253
Resistance: 0.70428, 0.70494
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7043 range high exposes the post-PMI high at 0.7049 (50% fib)
Failure to hold the 0.7036 range low puts the 0.7025 session low back in play
AU jobs data at 01:30 UTC (~5h) could materially shift this read
20:31 UTC
Downtrend, pausing after NY low · RSI 56 · price 0.70402
Lower highs and lower lows through London and NY; tight range since the 0.7025 low.
Soft Aussie PMIs set off a steady slide from the Asian range through London. The hot US flash PMIs then pushed price through 0.7040 to a 0.7025 session low in NY. Since then price has held a tight 0.7036–0.7043 range late in the NY session, with the range top sitting on the 38.2% fib of the NY leg.
Support: 0.70362, 0.70253, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70428, 0.70494, 0.70521
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7043 range top opens the 0.7049 swing high and the fib 61.8% at 0.7052
Loss of the 0.7036 range floor puts the 0.7025 session low and the 0.7000 round number back in play
AU jobs data Thu 01:30 UTC (~5h) could materially shift this read
Lower highs intact; tight 0.7036–0.7043 box after 0.7025 low.
London broke below the Asian range, then the sharp US flash PMI beat extended the slide to a session low at 0.7025 during NY hours. Late NY is boxed between a range floor at 0.7036 and a range top at 0.7043, which also sits on the 38.2% fib of the post-PMI leg, with the 0.7049 lower high still capping.
Support: 0.7036, 0.7025
Resistance: 0.7043, 0.7049
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7049 lower high breaks the lower-high sequence and opens the fib 50% near 0.7047–0.7054
Loss of the 0.7036 range floor exposes the 0.7025 session low
AU jobs data Thu 01:30 UTC (~5h) could materially shift this read; the market context flags a weak print as the larger AUD risk
Repeated rejection at the 0.7043 range top keeps the late-NY box capped under the 38.2% fib
Lower highs and lower lows all day; late-NY consolidation 0.7036–0.7043.
Soft AU PMIs kept the pair heavy through Asia, and the Asian range low near 0.7098 gave way at London open. The US flash PMI beat then drove a 15-pip bar and extended the slide to a 0.7025 session low late in NY. Since then price has stalled in a 0.7036–0.7043 consolidation, capped by the bounce high at the 38.2% level of the NY drop fib.
Support: 0.7036, 0.70253
Resistance: 0.70428, 0.70494
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7043 bounce high and the 38.2% of the NY drop fib exposes the 0.7049 post-PMI high
Break of the 0.7036 range low reopens the 0.7025 session low
AU jobs data at 01:30 UTC (f/c 20K, unemployment 4.5%) could materially shift this read
Lower highs from 0.7069; tight 0.7036–0.7043 box above the 0.7025 session low.
London opened below the 0.7094–0.7116 Asian range, and the US PMI beat in the NY session extended the slide from the 0.7069 pre-PMI high to a 0.7025 session low. The late-NY rebound hit rejection at the 0.7043 bounce high, near the 38.2% fib, and price is now compressing above the 0.7036 hl pivot.
Support: 0.70359, 0.70253
Resistance: 0.70428, 0.70494, 0.70687
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7043 bounce high (38.2% fib) exposes the 0.7049 ny lower high and the 50% fib
Failure to hold the 0.7036 hl pivot reopens the 0.7025 session low
The 0.7069 pre-PMI high caps the move; only a reclaim changes the lower-high sequence
AU jobs data Thu 01:30 UTC (~6h) could materially shift this read
19:31 UTC
Downtrend, pausing late NY · RSI 50 · price 0.70375
Lower highs from 0.7069; bounce off 0.7025 capped at 38.2% fib.
AUD/USD bled from the 0.7116 Asian range through London and extended in NY after the US PMI beat. It printed a session low at 0.7025 before a bounce stalled at 0.7043, the 38.2% fib of the 0.7069–0.7025 leg. Late NY price is compressing around 0.7037 at the ema20, under a lower-highs trendline, with RSI(14) flat near 50.
Support: 0.70333, 0.70253
Resistance: 0.70428, 0.70494
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7043 (38.2% fib) and the 0.7049 lower high breaks the lower-highs sequence
Loss of the 0.7033 ny swing low exposes the 0.7025 session low
AU jobs data at 01:30 UTC (~6h) could materially shift this read
19:16 UTC
Downtrend, pausing after PMI leg · RSI 51 · price 0.70391
Lower highs below 0.7049, bounce capped at 38.2% fib.
London extended the drop below the Asian range low near 0.7096, then the US flash PMI beat at 13:45 UTC broke the pre-pmi low around 0.7054 and ran price to a 0.7025 session low. The late-NY bounce stalled at 0.7043, the 38.2% fib of the PMI leg, and price now sits just above the 0.7036 late NY low with RSI(14) neutral near 51.
Support: 0.70359, 0.70253
Resistance: 0.70428, 0.70494, 0.70545
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7049 swing high breaks the lower-highs trendline and invalidates the downtrend read
Failure to hold the 0.7036 late NY low puts the 0.7025 session low back in play
A move back above the pre-pmi low at 0.7054 would retrace more than half the PMI leg
AU jobs data Thu 01:30 UTC (~6h, f/c 20K, 4.5%) could materially shift this read
Lower highs below EMA20; bounce off NY low capped at 38.2%.
London broke the Asian range low near 0.7098, and the US PMI beat accelerated the slide through 0.7050 to an NY low of 0.7025. Late-NY bounce stalled at the fib 38.2 (0.7043) near EMA20 and has pulled back toward the 0.7036 pullback low, keeping lower highs intact.
Support: 0.70359, 0.70253
Resistance: 0.70428, 0.70494, 0.70687
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7043 fib 38.2 and EMA20 opens the 0.7049 swing high, then the 0.7069 pre-pmi high
Failure to hold the 0.7036 pullback low exposes the 0.7025 ny low; a break confirms a lower-low
AU jobs data Thu 01:30 UTC (~6.5h) could materially shift this read
London open broke below the 0.7094–0.7116 Asian range, and the US flash PMI beat at 13:45 UTC extended the slide to a session low at 0.7025. The late-NY bounce hit a rejection at the 0.7043 bounce high, near the 38.2% of the PMI drop, leaving a lower high under 0.7049. Price is now just below EMA20 with RSI(14) ~44.
Support: 0.70253, 0.7020
Resistance: 0.70428, 0.70494, 0.7055
What it said to watch
Close above the 0.7049 lower high breaks the lower-high chain and exposes the 0.7055 pre-PMI base
Loss of the 0.7025 session low confirms a lower low toward the 0.7020 round number
AU jobs data Thu 01:30 UTC (~7h, Asia session) could materially shift this read
Lower highs after PMI flush; session low 0.70253 tested twice.
The Asian range (0.7100–0.7116) broke at London open after soft Aussie PMIs, and the US flash PMI beat at 13:45 UTC extended the slide to a 0.70253 session low in NY. The late-NY bounce stalled at the 0.70428 bounce high, near the 38.2% retrace of the PMI leg and under the lower-highs line, and price is back below EMA20.
Support: 0.70333, 0.70253
Resistance: 0.70428, 0.70494
What it said to watch
Close above the 0.70428 bounce high and the lower-highs line puts the 0.70494 pmi rebound high in play
Slip back through the 0.70333 pmi low exposes the 0.70253 session low; a break there extends the lower-low chain
AU jobs data Thu 01:30 UTC (~7h) could materially shift this read
Lower highs from 0.7049; small double bottom at 0.7025-0.7026.
London broke below the 0.7094–0.7117 Asian range, and the hot US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC extended the slide through the 0.7054 breakdown area. NY then set a double bottom at the 0.7025 session low. The late-NY bounce has lifted price to 0.7042, which is the 38.2% retrace of the PMI drop and sits at EMA20, with RSI(14) back to a neutral 53.
Support: 0.70331, 0.70253
Resistance: 0.70494, 0.7054
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7049 swing high breaks the NY lower-high sequence and puts the 50–61.8% PMI drop fib (0.7047–0.7052) and the 0.7054 breakdown in play
Failure at the 38.2% PMI drop fib and a return below the 0.7033 swing low reopens the 0.7025 session low
AU labour force report Thu 01:30 UTC (f/c 20K, 4.5%) lands in the Asia session and could materially shift this read
Lower highs from 0.7069; 0.7025 session low rejected.
London broke the Asian range low near 0.7098. The hot US flash PMIs extended the slide from the 0.7069 pre-PMI high to a 0.7025 session low late in NY. The 17:30 UTC bar reclaimed the 0.7030 round number and is testing the 0.7039 lower high, poking through the trendline off the 0.7049 swing high, with price still below both EMAs.
Support: 0.7030, 0.70253
Resistance: 0.70388, 0.70494, 0.70687
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7039 lower high breaks the NY lower-high sequence and puts the 0.7047–0.7052 fib 50–61.8% zone and the 0.7049 swing high in play
Failure back below the 0.7030 round number exposes the 0.7025 session low; a break there extends the lower-low chain
AU labour force report Thu 01:30 UTC (f/c 20K, 4.5%) could materially shift this read during the Asia session
A reclaim of the 0.7069 pre-pmi high would neutralise the post-PMI selloff structure
17:31 UTC
Downtrend, grinding lower into late NY · RSI 35 · price 0.70309
Lower highs and lower lows below the broken Asian range.
London broke below the Asian range (0.7098–0.7116), and the hot US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC extended the slide. Each NY bounce has capped at a lower high, the latest at 0.7039, and price printed a fresh session low at 0.7025. RSI(14) near 35 is soft but not oversold, and price holds below both EMAs after London close.
Support: 0.70253, 0.7020
Resistance: 0.70388, 0.70494, 0.7054
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7039 lower high breaks the lower-highs trendline and the NY sequence
Failure to hold the 0.7025 session low exposes the 0.7020 round number
Post-PMI high at 0.7049 sits at the 50% of the PMI leg fib; with the pre-PMI low at 0.7054 it forms a resistance band
AU labour force report at 01:30 UTC Thu could materially shift this read
LH/LL chain since London open, Asian range broken lower.
London broke the 0.7096–0.7116 Asian range lower. The US flash PMI beat at 13:45 UTC then accelerated the slide through 0.7054, printing a 0.7025 session low late in NY hours. Lower highs at the 0.7049 swing high and the 0.7039 lower high define a descending trendline, and RSI(14) near 38 is soft but not oversold.
Support: 0.70253, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70388, 0.70494, 0.70687
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7039 lower high breaks the descending trendline and the LH chain
Reclaim of the 0.7049 swing high puts price back at the 50% of the pmi selloff fib; the pre-pmi high at 0.7069 caps the full retracement
Failure to hold the 0.7025 session low exposes the 0.7000 psych level
AU labour force data in ~8h (Thu 01:30 UTC) and Trump-Xi summit headlines could materially shift this read
Lower-high/lower-low chain since the US PMI break, pressing the session low late in NY.
The Asian range (0.7094–0.7116) gave way at London open, and the US PMI beat at 13:45 UTC sent AUDUSD through the 0.7054 pmi break to 0.7033. After London close, rebounds stalled at the 0.7049 swing high and then the 0.7039 lower high, and the pair is now printing a fresh session low at 0.70275 with RSI(14) near 29.
Support: 0.70275, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70388, 0.70494, 0.7054
What it said to watch
An M15 close back above the 0.7049 swing high breaks the lower-high chain; the 0.7039 lower high is the first cap on the trendline
Failure to hold the 0.70275 session low exposes the 0.7000 psych level
A recovery through the 0.7054 pmi break would unwind the post-PMI leg
AU labour force report Thu 01:30 UTC (Asia session) could materially shift this read
16:46 UTC
Downtrend, compressing near lows · RSI 28 · price 0.70338
Lower highs and lower lows since London open; tight hold above 0.7032 session low.
London open broke the Asian low at 0.7094 and set up a lower-high, lower-low sequence. Blowout US PMIs at 13:45 UTC extended the slide from the 0.7069 NY open high to a 0.7032 session low. The post-data bounce capped at 0.7049, a lower high on the NY drop fib, and price is now compressing just above the low with RSI(14) near 28.
Support: 0.7032, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70494, 0.70687, 0.70939
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.7032 session low extends the lower-low chain toward 0.7000 psych
Reclaim of the 0.7049 bounce high breaks the lower-highs trendline and opens the 0.7069 NY open high
AU jobs data Thu 01:30 UTC (f/c 20K, 4.5%) could materially shift this read in the Asia session
Lower highs and lower lows since London open; tight base above session low.
AUD/USD broke below the Asian range floor near 0.7094 at London open and ground lower all session. The US PMI beat at 13:45 UTC extended the slide from the 0.7068 pre-PMI high to a 0.7032 session low, with the 0.7049 bounce high stalling between the 38.2% and 50% fib. Late NY is compressing just above the session low, with RSI(14) near 37 and bar ranges shrinking.
Support: 0.7032, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70494
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.7032 session low extends the lower-low sequence, with 0.7000 round number as the next reference
M15 close above the 0.7049 bounce high breaks the lower-high chain and exposes the 0.7068 pre-PMI high
AU labour force data Thu 01:30 UTC (f/c 20K / 4.5%) could materially shift this read
Lower highs and lower lows; post-PMI compression 0.7032–0.7049.
AUD/USD slipped below the Asian range through London, then extended roughly 36 pips after the strong US PMI beat, falling from the pre-PMI high at 0.7069 to a session low at 0.7032. After London close, price is compressing between that low and a lower high at 0.7049, with RSI(14) near 34 and a mild bullish divergence on the retest of 0.7032.
Support: 0.7032, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70494, 0.70687
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.7032 session low extends the lower-low sequence toward the 0.7000 psych level
M15 close above the 0.7049 lower high, near the 50% post-PMI fib and the lower-highs trendline, breaks the compression
Reclaim of the 0.7069 pre-PMI high invalidates the intraday downtrend read
AU labour force data Thu 01:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower highs and lower lows since London open, NY extending.
London open broke the Asian range low near 0.7094. The US PMI beat at 13:45 UTC then extended the slide along a lower highs trendline to a session low at 0.7032. The post-PMI bounce hit rejection at 0.7049, the bounce high near the 50% fib of the 0.7069–0.7032 leg, and price is pressing the lows again with RSI(14) near 34.
Support: 0.7032, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7049, 0.7069
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.7032 session low extends the lower-low chain toward 0.7000 psych
Recovery above the 0.7049 bounce high breaks the NY micro lower-high sequence
A close above the 0.7069 pre-pmi high and the lower highs trendline invalidates the intraday downtrend read
Australia jobs data Thu 01:30 UTC (f/c 20K, 4.5%) could materially shift this read in the Asia session
LH/LL chain below broken Asian range; post-PMI low 0.70333, lower high 0.70494.
London open broke the Asian range low near 0.7094 and printed steady lower highs. The US PMI beat at 13:45 UTC extended the slide from the 0.70687 pmi high to a 0.70333 session low, and the rebound stalled at the 0.70494 lower high, below the 50% of the PMI leg fib and under the falling trendline; RSI(14) is near 32.
Support: 0.70333, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70494, 0.70687
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.70494 lower high breaks the LH/LL chain and brings the 0.70687 pmi high into view
Failure to hold the 0.70333 session low extends the downtrend toward 0.7000 psych
Falling trendline (now near 0.7059) caps rebounds while it holds
Australian jobs data Thu 01:30 UTC (f/c 20K, 4.5%) could materially shift this read during Asia session
Thinning liquidity after London close; ATR(14) near 8 pips
Asian range broken lower at London open; post-PMI bounce capped below 50% of the leg.
AUDUSD broke below the 0.7096–0.7116 Asian range at London open, and the slide accelerated on the US PMI beat to a session low at 0.7033. The bounce saw rejection at the 0.7049 bounce high, under the 50% fib of the PMI leg. Price is back near the lows with RSI(14) at 34, below oversold territory, and the lower-high line intact.
Support: 0.70333, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70494, 0.70552, 0.70687
What it said to watch
Break of the 0.7033 session low extends the lower-low chain toward the 0.7000 round number
M15 close above the 0.7049 bounce high and the 61.8% fib at 0.7055 would stall the lower-high sequence; the pre-PMI high at 0.7069 caps above
Australia jobs data Thu 01:30 UTC (f/c 20K, 4.5%) could materially shift this read
Lower highs from London open; post-PMI bounce capped near 50% retrace.
London open broke the Asian range low near 0.7094, and the grind lower accelerated after the 13:45 UTC US PMI beat, flushing to a 0.70333 session low. The NY bounce stalled at 0.70494, between the 38.2% and 50% retrace of the PMI leg, and price is holding a higher low at 0.70388 under a descending trendline from the London highs.
Support: 0.70388, 0.70333
Resistance: 0.70494, 0.70552, 0.70687
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.70388 higher low exposes the 0.70333 session low; a break there extends the lower-low chain
Close above the 0.70494 bounce high brings the 61.8% fib at 0.70552 and the descending trendline into play
Only a reclaim of the 0.70687 pre-PMI high negates the post-London lower-high sequence
Thin liquidity after London close may keep price pinned near 0.7040–0.7050
AU labour data Thu 01:30 UTC (f/c 20K, 4.5%) could materially shift this read
15:02 UTC
Downtrend, NY bounce stalling · RSI 39 · price 0.70461
Lower highs and lower lows since the London break of the Asian range; corrective bounce off the session low.
London broke the Asian range low near 0.7096 and printed a lower-high chain under the falling trendline. Hot US PMIs at 13:45 UTC extended the slide from the 0.70687 pmi high to the 0.70333 session low. The NY bounce has stalled at the 0.70494 bounce high, near the 38.2% of that PMI leg, with price below both EMAs and just above the 0.7040 psych level.
Support: 0.7040, 0.70333
Resistance: 0.70494, 0.7055, 0.70687
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7055 (breakdown pivot, near the 61.8% of the PMI leg) would mark a deeper correction
Break of the 0.70333 session low resumes the lower-low chain
Supply capping at the 0.70494 bounce high keeps price pressed toward 0.7040 psych
Falling trendline near 0.7062 caps any extension of the bounce
Aussie jobs data Thu 01:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower highs and lower lows since London open; Asian range broken lower, PMI leg extended the sequence.
London opened with a break below the 0.7094–0.7117 Asian range. The selloff then extended after the US flash PMI beat at 13:45 UTC, reaching a 0.7033 session low, with every bounce capped under the descending trendline. First hour of NY is stabilising around 0.7043 with RSI(14) near 34, just under the 0.7047 lower high, which also lines up with the 38.2% of the PMI drop fib.
Support: 0.70333, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70466, 0.7054, 0.70687
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7047 lower high would print the first higher high since the PMI drop
Reclaim of the 0.7054 breakdown area and the descending trendline would neutralise the downtrend read, exposing the 0.7069 pre-PMI high
Failure to hold the 0.7033 session low leaves the 0.7000 psych level as the next reference
Australian labour force report Thu 01:30 UTC could materially shift this read
14:31 UTC
Downtrend, extending in NY session · RSI 28 · price 0.70371
Lower highs since London open; Asian range broken lower, fresh session low 0.7033.
Price broke the Asian range (0.7096–0.7117) lower at London open. The US flash PMI beat then drove it through the 0.7054 pre-PMI low to a session low at 0.7033, and the bounce stalled at a lower high of 0.7047. RSI(14) is near 28, weak but not extreme. ATR has widened to about 7 pips, with the ny high at 0.7069 sitting near the 38.2% fib of the daily slide.
Support: 0.70333, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70466, 0.7054, 0.70687
What it said to watch
A close back above the 0.7054 pre-PMI low would undercut the breakdown read.
Holding below the 0.7047 lower high keeps the lower-high chain and the descending trendline intact.
Failure to hold the 0.7033 session low exposes the 0.7000 psych level.
A reclaim of the 0.7069 ny high, which lines up with the 38.2% fib, would break the trendline.
The Australian jobs report (Thu 01:30 UTC) could materially shift this read during the Asia session.
LH/LL chain since London open, stalling above NY session low.
London broke below the Asian range low near 0.7094 at the open. NY extended the slide after the US flash PMI beat, leaving a session low at 0.70385 with lower highs holding under the descending res line. RSI(14) is near 31 and price is stalling just above the low, with the 0.7055 broken low overhead.
Support: 0.70385, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7055, 0.70687
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the broken low at 0.7055, near the 38.2% of the London-NY leg fib, would signal the drop is being retraced
A move through the 0.7069 lower high and the descending res line breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold the session low at 0.70385 extends the sequence toward the 0.7000 round number
Australian jobs Thu 01:30 UTC and US jobless claims Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
LH/LL chain since London broke the Asian low; fresh session low printed in NY.
London broke the Asian low at 0.7094 and has printed lower highs and lower lows since, driven by the AUD PMI miss and a firm USD. The 13:45 UTC US flash PMI bar extended the slide to a session low at 0.70385. RSI(14) is lifting from 26 and ATR(14) has roughly doubled to ~7 pips, while the broken low at 0.7054 and the descending trendline near 0.7067 cap the sequence.
Support: 0.70385, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7054, 0.7069, 0.7094
What it said to watch
A close back above the 0.7054 broken low would stall the lower-low sequence. The lower high at 0.7069, where the 38.2% fib and the descending trendline converge, is the next structural test.
Failure to hold the 0.70385 session low extends the downtrend toward the 0.7000 round number.
Fed's Barr at 14:05 UTC could extend or unwind the post-PMI move.
The AU labour force report (Thu 01:30 UTC) is the next AUD-specific driver; a reclaim of the 0.7094 Asian low would mean the London break has failed.
Lower highs and lower lows since the Asian range high near 0.7116. London open broke the asian low at 0.7094 after the soft Australian flash PMIs, and the firm USD carried the slide through the London london low at 0.7080 into NY. The early-NY bounce capped at 0.7069 as a fresh lower high under the falling trendline, and price is now pressing the 0.7050 round number with RSI(14) near 31.
Support: 0.7050, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7069, 0.7080, 0.7094
What it said to watch
US flash PMIs (13:45 UTC bar) and Fed's Barr at 14:05 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close back above the 0.7069 lower high and the falling trendline breaks the LH/LL chain
Reclaim of the 0.7080 london low would put the move back toward the 0.7094 asian low
Sustained trade below the 0.7050 round number leaves little structure in the window before the 0.7000 big figure
Australian jobs report Thu 01:30 UTC is the next AUD-side swing factor
Lower highs since London open; late NY-open rebound testing trendline.
London broke below the Asian range low near 0.7094 and printed lower highs along a descending trendline. The slide reached a 0.7054 session low in the first hour of NY, with the USD bid on hawkish Fedspeak adding to AUD's PMI-miss softness. A 13-pip rejection bar swept back above the 0.7060 swing low and is now pressing the London trendline and the fib 23.6 near 0.7069, with RSI(14) back to 41 and ema20 at 0.7072 overhead.
Support: 0.70596, 0.7054
Resistance: 0.70687, 0.70723, 0.70778
What it said to watch
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and Fed's Barr at 14:05 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close back below the 0.7060 swing low reopens the 0.7054 session low
M15 close above the fib 38.2 at 0.7078 breaks the London lower-high sequence
Holding above the ema20 at 0.7072 would confirm the break of the London trendline
AU labour force report Thu 01:30 UTC is the next AUD-specific risk
The Asia-session slide from 0.7116 after the AU PMI misses extended through London as firm USD and hawkish Fedspeak added pressure. A trendline of lower highs has capped rallies at the 0.7070 swing high and the 0.7066 lower high, and the first hour of NY printed a fresh session low at 0.7054. RSI(14) near 27 is stretched but not extreme, with the 0.7050 round number just below.
Support: 0.7054, 0.7050
Resistance: 0.70659, 0.70699, 0.70778
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 0.7054 session low and the 0.7050 round number extends the lower-low chain
M15 close above the 0.7066 lower high breaks the trendline; clearing the 0.7070 swing high opens the 38.2% fib at 0.7078 and invalidates the downtrend read
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and Fed's Barr at 14:05 UTC could materially shift this read
AU labour force report Thu 01:30 UTC is the next AUD-side catalyst
12:46 UTC
Downtrend, oversold · RSI 19 · price 0.70599
Asian range broken lower at London open; clean lower-high chain into a fresh session low.
London broke the Asian range low near 0.7094 at the open and has since stepped lower through a lower-high chain (0.7090 swing high, 0.7070 lower high), printing a fresh session low near 0.7060 with RSI(14) at 19. The slide follows the soft Australian flash PMIs and a firm USD on hawkish Fed repricing.
Support: 0.70597, 0.7050
Resistance: 0.70699, 0.70897, 0.7100
What it said to watch
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and Fed's Barr at 14:05 UTC, early in NY hours, could materially shift this read
M15 close back above the 0.7070 lower high breaks the lower-high chain and the trendline
Acceptance below the 0.7060 session low exposes the 0.7050 psych level
A recovery through the 0.7090 swing high puts the 0.7100 round number, the former Asian range floor, back in play
Australian labour force report Thu 01:30 UTC is the next AUD-specific risk
Lower highs and lower lows since the Asian range broke; testing session low.
The soft Australian flash PMIs weighed on the pair overnight. It broke the Asian low near 0.7096 into London open and has since held a clean chain of lower highs, with a firm USD adding pressure. Late in London it is retesting the 0.70635 session low, with the 0.70699 bounce high capping the first rebound and RSI(14) near 25, stretched but not extreme.
Support: 0.70635, 0.7060
Resistance: 0.70699, 0.70778, 0.70958
What it said to watch
US flash PMIs 13:45 UTC and Fed's Barr 14:05 UTC could materially shift this read in the first hour of NY
M15 close above the 0.70699 bounce high breaks the lower-high chain; the 38.2% of the London leg fib sits near 0.7074, just under the 0.70778 lower high
Failure to hold the 0.70635 session low extends the lower-low sequence toward the 0.7060 round number
Reclaiming the 0.70958 asian low would negate the range break
Australian labour data Thu 01:30 UTC is the next AUD-specific swing factor
12:17 UTC
Downtrend, impulsive leg extending · RSI 23 · price 0.7066
Chain of lower highs and lower lows since London open, trading at session lows.
London took out the asia low at 0.70939 and extended straight down to a session low of 0.70635, with the soft Australian flash PMIs and a firm USD keeping every bounce shallow. Price is pinned under the ema20 at ~0.70775, RSI(14) near 23 and ATR(14) just 4.3 pips, so the move is stretched but the lower-high sequence is intact.
Support: 0.70635, 0.7060
Resistance: 0.7076, 0.70775, 0.70939
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 0.7076 broken supp / ema20 area would break the lower-high chain
Loss of 0.70635 session low exposes the 0.706 round number
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC land inside the next bar period and can reset this intraday read
12:02 UTC
Downtrend, impulsive leg just stalling · RSI 28 · price 0.70696
Clean chain of lower highs and lower lows through London; fresh session low at 0.70635, small bounce off it.
London hours sold AUDUSD through the 0.70760 broken shelf into a session low of 0.70635, the PMI-miss slide extending with RSI(14) near 28. Last two bars have bounced back to 0.70696 but price remains under EMA20 and EMA50, with 0.70800 the prior pivot capping the last attempt higher.
Support: 0.70635, 0.7060
Resistance: 0.7076, 0.7080
What it said to watch
US flash PMIs at 13:45 GMT and Fed's Barr shortly after could materially shift this read inside the next few bars
A 15-minute close back above 0.70760 broken shelf would break the lower-high chain
Failure to hold 0.70635 session low opens the 0.70600 round number
ATR(14) at ~4 pips — current bars are running above that, so noise is expanding
11:46 UTC
Downtrend, momentum still extending · RSI 27 · price 0.70687
Chain of lower highs and lower lows since the Asian session top.
London hours extended the slide, breaking the 0.7080 shelf and printing a session low at 0.70679 after the soft Australian flash PMIs and a firm dollar. RSI(14) near 27 with price beneath both EMAs and ATR(14) around 5 pips; 0.70765 micro pivot is the first area to watch for rejection or reclaim.
Support: 0.70679, 0.7060, 0.7050
Resistance: 0.70765, 0.7087, 0.7100
What it said to watch
US flash PMIs at 13:45 GMT fall inside the next bar window — the main risk to this read
Reclaim of the 0.70765 micro pivot would break the lower-high chain
Loss of the 0.70600 round number opens the 0.70500 psych area
0.70870 session pivot capped the last London bounce; 0.71000 prior support is now overhead
11:32 UTC
Downtrend, extending into London · RSI 27 · price 0.70687
Clean lower highs / lower lows since the Asian session, no reclaim attempt.
London broke the Asian low at 0.70977 and never traded back inside it, grinding to a session low of 0.70679 after the soft Australian flash PMIs; price is below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) near 27. The 0.70800 broken shelf capped every bounce attempt through the last four hours, with ATR(14) only ~4.6 pips so the decline is stepwise rather than impulsive.
Support: 0.70679, 0.7065, 0.7060
Resistance: 0.7080, 0.70897, 0.70977
What it said to watch
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and Fed's Barr at 14:05 UTC could materially shift this read within the next two hours
A close back above the 0.70800 broken shelf would end the chain of lower highs
Failure to hold the 0.70679 session low opens the 0.70650 round number and 0.70600 psych area
Any push back above 0.70977 (asian low) would flip the intraday break to a false break
Stair-step lower highs/lower lows; grinding at session low.
AUDUSD leaked lower through the London session after the soft Australian flash PMIs, losing 0.7100 and printing a session low at 0.70751 with price pinned below EMA20 near 0.70805. Last six bars are a tight 0.70751–0.70800 coil, RSI(14) at ~33 without reaching oversold; the 0.70872 swing high capped the one attempt to recover.
Support: 0.70751, 0.7070
Resistance: 0.70805, 0.70872
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.70805 ema20 and then 0.70872 swing high would break the lower-high chain
Loss of 0.70751 session low exposes the 0.70700 round number
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and Fed's Barr shortly after can reset this intraday range
Chain of lower highs and lower lows since London open, fresh session low on the last bars.
AUDUSD broke the overnight 0.7094–0.7106 band at the London open on the soft Australian flash PMIs and has ground down to a session low at 0.70751, printing lower highs at 0.70897 and then 0.70800. RSI(14) near 31 with ATR(14) around 4.6 pips — sustained one-way drift rather than an impulse, and the 0.70800 pivot has capped every bounce attempt this session.
Support: 0.70751, 0.7070
Resistance: 0.7080, 0.70897, 0.70939
What it said to watch
A 15m close back above the 0.70800 pivot would break the lower-high sequence
Loss of the 0.70751 session low puts the 0.70700 round number in play
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and Fed's Barr shortly after could materially shift this read within the next few bars
A push through 0.70897 would invalidate the intraday lower-high structure
London open broke the Asian range floor at 0.70939 and price has pressed to a fresh session low at 0.70751, the third leg down after the soft Australian flash PMIs and a firm USD. The 0.7082–0.7089 consolidation that followed the first drop resolved lower, with bounce attempts capped at the 0.70897 bounce high and the 0.70828 minor high; RSI(14) near 28 and ATR(14) at ~4.5 pips.
Support: 0.70751, 0.7070
Resistance: 0.70828, 0.70897, 0.70939
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 0.70828 minor high would break the lower-high chain; 0.70939 asia low is the level that flips the range-break read
Loss of the 0.70700 round number extends the sequence lower
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and Fed's Barr shortly after could materially shift this read
Australian labour force report Thu 01:30 UTC is the next scheduled AUD risk
Lower highs and lower lows; basing just above session low.
London hours broke the Asian balance below 0.70940 and drove price to a session low of 0.70782, extending the third straight down-session after the soft Australian flash PMIs. The last eight bars have coiled in a 0.70782–0.70897 band with RSI(14) near 33 and ATR(14) around 41 pips; price remains under both EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 0.70782, 0.7070
Resistance: 0.70897
What it said to watch
A 15m close back above 0.70897 swing high breaks the lower-high chain
Loss of 0.70782 session low opens the 0.70700 psych area
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC plus Fed's Barr shortly after can reprice the USD leg into NY open
10:16 UTC
Downtrend, impulsive leg stalling · RSI 28 · price 0.70803
Lower highs and lower lows since London open, price basing at session low.
London session broke the 0.7096–0.7106 Asian range to the downside after the soft Australian flash PMIs, extending to a session low of 0.70787 with a hawkish-Fed-driven firm USD behind the move. Price is now grinding sideways in a 0.70787–0.70870 band below EMA20, RSI(14) near 28 and ATR(14) just 4.7 pips — momentum flat rather than reversing.
Support: 0.70787, 0.7075
Resistance: 0.7087, 0.70939, 0.7100
What it said to watch
Reclaiming 0.70870 (ema20) would break the chain of lower highs
Failure to hold 0.70787 session low opens the 0.70750 psych area
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC plus Fed's Barr shortly after can reprice the USD leg within the next bars
Lower highs and lower lows since London open; shallow consolidation resolved lower.
London hours broke the asia low at 0.71012 and drove AUDUSD to a session low of 0.70796 after the soft Australian flash PMIs, with price trading under EMA20 and EMA50. A three-hour consolidation between the session low and the 0.70897 bounce high has just resolved lower; RSI(14) near 36, ATR(14) ~4.6 pips.
Support: 0.70796, 0.7075
Resistance: 0.70897, 0.7094, 0.71012
What it said to watch
Acceptance back above the 0.70897 bounce high would stall the lower-high chain
A reclaim of 0.70940 breakdown level invalidates the London break read
Sustained trade under the 0.70796 session low exposes the 0.70750 psych area
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and Fed's Barr shortly after could reset the intraday range
Lower highs and lower lows since the London-open range break; basing above 0.70796.
The 0.7100–0.7120 Asian/overnight band broke in the London morning after soft Australian flash PMIs, with a fast leg from 0.70939 down to a session low at 0.70796. Price has since chopped in a 0.70796–0.70897 shelf, RSI(14) near 28 and ATR(14) around 5 pips; sellers are still capping at the 0.70897 swing high.
Support: 0.70796, 0.7075
Resistance: 0.70897, 0.70939, 0.7100
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the broken low at 0.70939 would invalidate the lower-high chain from the London break
Acceptance below the 0.70796 session low puts the 0.70750 psych area in focus
US S&P Global flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and Fed's Barr shortly after can reset this intraday structure
Australian labour force report Thu 01:30 GMT is the next scheduled AUD-side risk
Lower highs and lower lows since London open, now flat-basing above the session low.
The London session drove price through the asian low at 0.70958 and the 0.71000 round number after the soft Australian September flash PMIs, extending to a session low at 0.70796. Last six bars have flat-based between 0.70796 and 0.70897 with RSI(14) near 29 and ATR(14) around 4.8 pips — no fresh low since, but every bounce has stalled well under the 0.70940 breakdown pt.
Support: 0.70796, 0.7075
Resistance: 0.7094, 0.70958, 0.7100
What it said to watch
A 15m close back above the 0.70940 breakdown pt would invalidate the lower-high chain off the London open
Failure to hold 0.70796 session low confirms continuation toward the 0.70750 round number
US S&P Global flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC fall inside the next few bars and could reset this intraday range
Chain of lower highs and lower lows; basing above session low.
London session drove the break of the 0.70939 breakdown level and the 0.7100 round number after the weak Australian flash PMIs, extending to a session low of 0.70796 with USD firm across the board. Last five bars have gone flat between 0.70796 and the 0.70897 bounce high, RSI(14) lifting off the low 30s; ATR(14) ~5 pips.
Support: 0.70796, 0.7070
Resistance: 0.70897, 0.70939, 0.7100
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.70939 would invalidate the lower-high chain built through London
Acceptance below the 0.70796 session low confirms continuation toward the 0.70700 psych area
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC are the next scheduled lever on the USD leg and could reshape this range
Chain of lower highs and lower lows; basing above session low.
Asian range rolled over and the London open sold through the 0.7100 shelf to a session low at 0.70796, with the soft Australian flash PMIs and a firm USD keeping the pressure on. Last four bars have based in a tight 0.70796–0.70897 consolidation with RSI(14) near 32 and price pinned under EMA20 at ~0.70920.
Support: 0.70796, 0.7083
Resistance: 0.7092, 0.70968, 0.7100
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the broken shelf at 0.70968 would invalidate the lower-high chain
Loss of 0.70796 session low extends the lower-low sequence
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC are the next lever on the USD leg of this pair
Australian labour force report Thu 01:30 UTC could materially reset the read
Lower highs / lower lows after overnight range break.
London hours broke the overnight 0.7095–0.7105 shelf and pressed to a session low of 0.70796, extending the slide as hawkish Fed pricing keeps USD firm following Australia's flash PMI misses. Price has since stabilised at 0.70868 but sits below a falling ema20 with RSI(14) near 29 and ATR(14) only ~4.8 pips; the 0.71000 psych level and 0.71045 range top now cap.
Support: 0.70796, 0.7075
Resistance: 0.70926, 0.7100, 0.71045
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.71000 psych would break the lower-high chain
Loss of the 0.70796 session low exposes the 0.70750 round number
Reclaim of the ema20 around 0.70926 would neutralise the downside pressure
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC are the next USD lever for this pair
08:31 UTC
Downtrend, impulsive leg in progress · RSI 24 · price 0.70845
24h range broken lower; lower highs and lower lows since London open.
The 0.7096–0.7120 band that held through Asia broke down into the London open, AUD/USD extending to a session low at 0.70796 as soft Australian flash PMIs and a firm USD stacked up. RSI(14) near 24 and price under both EMA20 and EMA50, with 0.7094 old support and the 0.7100 round number now overhead.
Support: 0.70796, 0.7075
Resistance: 0.7094, 0.7100, 0.71059
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.7094 old support would negate the range break
Failure to hold the 0.70796 session low extends the lower-low sequence toward the 0.7075 psych area
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and Fed speaker flow can reset intraday direction
08:16 UTC
Downtrend, impulsive leg lower · RSI 21 · price 0.70807
Range break lower, lower highs and lower lows since London open.
Price churned in a 0.70940–0.71060 band through the Asia session before the London open drove a clean range break lower to 0.70802, the softer Australian flash PMIs still weighing. RSI(14) at 21 is stretched and ATR(14) is only ~4.8 pips, so the last six bars have covered multiple average ranges without a pause.
Support: 0.70802, 0.7075, 0.7070
Resistance: 0.7094, 0.7100, 0.7106
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 0.70940 broken low would invalidate the range break read
Failure to hold 0.70802 session low extends the sequence of lower lows toward the 0.70750 round number
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
Australian labour force report Thu 01:30 UTC is the next domestic input
07:46 UTC
Downtrend, impulsive leg lower into London open · RSI 23 · price 0.70859
Lower highs and lower lows; Asian range broken to the downside.
Late Asia session broke the 0.7100 psych level and the Asian range low, with four impulsive bars stripping ~25 pips to a 0.70817 session low — the continuation of the post-PMI AUD slide against a firm dollar. RSI(14) near 23 is stretched short-term and price sits well below EMA20 (~0.7099) and EMA50, with the 0.7080 round number now the level being tested.
Support: 0.70817, 0.7080
Resistance: 0.7100, 0.71052, 0.71162
What it said to watch
A 15-minute close back above 0.71000 psych would negate the range break read
Acceptance below the 0.70800 round number opens the 0.7050 downside reference
London open within the hour can extend or reverse this Asia-session breakdown; RSI near 23 raises the odds of a corrective bounce into the 0.71052 swing high
24h range broken to the downside, lower highs into a new session low.
Price churned in a 0.7095–0.7120 band for most of the last 24 hours before a clean range break in the final hour of Asia into the London handover, printing a session low at 0.70835 with the 0.71000 psych level lost. RSI(14) at ~24 is stretched after the impulse, ATR(14) ~4.5 pips, and the broken floor at 0.70940 is now the first overhead reference — soft Australian flash PMIs plus a firm USD on hawkish Fed pricing sit behind the leg lower.
Support: 0.70835, 0.7080, 0.7075
Resistance: 0.7094, 0.7100, 0.7106
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.70940 (broken floor) would invalidate the range break read
Failure to hold 0.70835 session low opens the 0.70800 round number
Lower high sequence intact while 0.71060 caps
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and Australian jobs Thu 01:30 UTC could materially shift this read
AUDUSD leaked out of the 0.7100–0.7120 band it held through the NY session and Asian hours, then accelerated into the European open with an 8-pip bar through the 0.70970 broken shelf to a session low at 0.70855 — consistent with the softer Australian flash PMIs and a firm USD. Price is under both EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) near 32 and ATR(14) around 4.3 pips, so the range floor at 0.71059 is now overhead supply.
Support: 0.70855, 0.7080
Resistance: 0.7097, 0.71059, 0.71204
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.70970 (broken shelf) would invalidate the range break read
Acceptance below the 0.70855 session low puts the 0.70800 round number in play
Australian labour force report Thu 01:30 UTC is the next domestic catalyst and could reset this structure
US flash PMIs 13:45 GMT today — a USD-driven move would dominate intraday structure
Lower highs / lower lows since the 0.7120 session peak.
AUDUSD is drifting lower through the Asia session, printing a chain of lower highs from 0.71204 and a session low at 0.70958, with the soft Australian flash PMIs and a firmer USD keeping rallies shallow. Price trades under both EMA20 and EMA50, RSI(14) near 38 and ATR(14) just 3.6 pips — a slow bleed rather than an impulsive break.
Support: 0.70958, 0.70919, 0.7090
Resistance: 0.71059, 0.7113, 0.71204
What it said to watch
A close back above the 0.71059 asian high invalidates the lower-high chain
Loss of the 0.70958 session low exposes the 0.70919 prior day low and the 0.70900 psych level
Australian labour force report Thu 01:30 UTC is the next domestic catalyst that could reset this intraday structure
The Asia session has ground steadily lower off the 0.71162 asia high, losing the 0.7100 psych shelf that held through the NY hours as softer flash PMIs and hawkish Fed pricing kept the Dollar bid. RSI(14) near 37 with ATR(14) only ~3.5 pips — a slow, contained slide into the session low at 0.70958, each bounce capped below the previous high.
Support: 0.70958, 0.70919
Resistance: 0.7100, 0.71059, 0.71162
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 0.7100 psych level would negate the downside range break
A close below the 0.70958 session low exposes the 0.70919 prior low
London open is the first test of whether the lower-high sequence extends or stalls
Australian labour force report Thu 01:30 UTC is the next scheduled catalyst for this pair
Lower highs / lower lows since the 0.71204 session high; 0.7100 shelf lost.
Asia session ground AUDUSD through the 0.7100 round number and price is printing a fresh session low at 0.70958, with the 24h low at 0.70919 the next reference. Softer AU flash PMIs plus a firm USD have capped every bounce at progressively lower highs (0.71204 → 0.71162 → 0.71059); RSI(14) at ~35 and price under EMA20/EMA50, ATR(14) just 3.5 pips so ranges are thin into the London handover.
Support: 0.70958, 0.70919
Resistance: 0.7100, 0.71059, 0.71204
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.71000 would repair the lost shelf and invalidate the lower-high chain
Acceptance below 0.70919 confirms a break of the 24h low
Thin pre-London liquidity: a low-volume wick through the session low is not confirmation
Australian labour force report (Thu 01:30 UTC) is the next scheduled risk to this structure
Descending intraday range, price pinned at session low.
Asia session has ground out a chain of lower highs from 0.71162 and is closing on the 0.70977 session low, with price slipping just under the 0.7100 psych pivot the market has defended for three sessions after yesterday's soft Australian flash PMIs and a firm dollar. RSI(14) near 40 and ATR(14) at ~3.5 pips — compressed, sub-average intraday range with price below both EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 0.70977, 0.70919
Resistance: 0.7100, 0.71032, 0.71162
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.70977 session low confirms a lower low and exposes the 0.70919 24h low
Reclaim of 0.7100 and the 0.71032 ema20 neutralises the lower-high sequence
London open in ~2h is the first real liquidity test of this compressed range
Asia session has compressed AUDUSD into a 0.70977-0.71059 band after a steady slide from the 0.71204 prior high, the chain of lower highs consistent with soft Australian flash PMIs and a firm dollar. ATR(14) is just 3.4 pips and RSI(14) near 46 — no structural setup in play, price pinned either side of EMA20 with EMA50 overhead.
Support: 0.70977, 0.70919
Resistance: 0.71059, 0.71162, 0.71204
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.71059 session high would end the Asian range compression and re-expose 0.71162 swing high
Loss of the 0.70977 session low opens the 0.70919 24h low
London open typically expands range from the current 3.4-pip ATR
Australian labour force report Thu 01:30 UTC is the next scheduled risk to this read
A third session of soft Aussie flash PMIs plus a firm Dollar left AUDUSD grinding lower through NY, and the Asia session has compressed into a 0.70996–0.71059 band under the 0.71162 range top. Lower highs are intact (0.71204 to 0.71162 to 0.71059) but the 0.7100 shelf has absorbed every probe, with ATR(14) at just 3.5 pips and RSI(14) mid-40s.
Support: 0.70996, 0.70966
Resistance: 0.71059, 0.71116, 0.71162
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.71059 asia high, then 0.71116 swing pivot, breaks the lower-high chain
Loss of the 0.70996 session low exposes the 0.70966 prior low
Australian labour force report 01:30 UTC Thursday is the next event risk capable of resetting this range
Lower highs into a tight Asian range above 0.7100.
Third straight session of slippage after the soft Australian flash PMIs, with the NY-to-Asia handover carving a chain of lower highs from 0.71204 to 0.71162 and price now pinned in a 0.70977–0.71060 Asian range. Last close 0.71018 sits under EMA20 and EMA50, RSI(14) at 36 and ATR compressed to under 4 pips — no structural expansion in play yet.
Support: 0.70977, 0.70919
Resistance: 0.7106, 0.71162, 0.71204
What it said to watch
Loss of the 0.70977 session low confirms a lower-low and exposes the 0.70919 prior day low
A close back above the 0.71060 asian high would break the lower-high sequence and put 0.71162 swing high back in focus
ATR under 4 pips means a single impulse bar can resolve the range; Australian labour force data later in the session is the next scheduled catalyst
Third straight leg lower after soft Aussie flash PMIs and a firm USD, with the Asia session boxed into 0.70977–0.71162 and price pinned just under a 0.71060 micro high. Chain of lower highs from the 0.71204 prior high intact, RSI(14) near 42 and ATR(14) only ~4 pips — no expansion in play yet.
Support: 0.7100, 0.70977, 0.70966
Resistance: 0.7106, 0.71162, 0.71204
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.70966 ny low confirms a lower low and puts the 0.7100 psych shelf behind price
Reclaim of the 0.71162 asian high breaks the lower-highs chain
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC are the next scheduled driver for this pair
AUDUSD is grinding sideways in early Asia between 0.70977 and the 0.71162 asia high, with each bounce capped lower after the US flash PMI-driven dollar bid knocked it off 0.7120 during NY hours. The 0.71000 psych shelf held again on the 0.70977 session low probe, RSI(14) near 42 and ATR(14) only ~4 pips — a tight, low-range tape with price hugging EMA20 and pinned under EMA50.
Support: 0.7100, 0.70977, 0.70919
Resistance: 0.71124, 0.71162, 0.71204
What it said to watch
A 15m close below 0.70977 confirms a lower low and exposes the 0.70919 prior low
Reclaim and close above 0.71124 swing pivot, then 0.71162 asia high, invalidates the lower-highs read
Australian labour force report (Thu 01:30 UTC) is the next scheduled catalyst; nothing on the calendar in the next 8h
Lower highs / lower lows inside lower half of Asian range.
Asia has traded a 0.70977–0.71162 range and price sits in its lower half at 0.71028, capped by the ema20 around 0.71045 after rejection at the asia high. Sellers have held a chain of lower highs since 00:45 UTC, but the 0.70970s shelf has absorbed three attempts, echoing the ny low and 24h low base — the soft Australian flash PMIs from yesterday remain the drag with a firm USD alongside.
Support: 0.70977, 0.70966, 0.70919
Resistance: 0.71045, 0.71162, 0.71204
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.70966 (ny low) confirms a lower-low and exposes the 0.70919 24h low
Reclaim of the ema20 at 0.71045 and a push through 0.71162 asia high invalidates the lower-high sequence
ATR near 4 pips — range compression means breaks of either edge expand quickly
Australian labour force report Thu 24 Sep 01:30 UTC is the next scheduled risk for this pair
04:02 UTC
Downtrend, grinding lower into Asia lows · RSI 31 · price 0.71004
Lower highs since 0.71204, price pinned at the Asia range low.
Late Asia session has AUDUSD leaking to the session low at 0.70977 and sitting on the 0.71000 psych shelf, a chain of lower highs from 0.71204 with price under ema20 (~0.71055). Soft Australian flash PMIs plus a firm USD keep the drift one-way, RSI(14) near 30 and ATR(14) only ~4 pips, so ranges are compressed.
Support: 0.7100, 0.70977, 0.70919
Resistance: 0.71055, 0.71162, 0.71204
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.70977 confirms a lower low and exposes the prior low at 0.70919
Reclaim of ema20 near 0.71055 would break the lower-high chain; asia high 0.71162 caps above
Holding the 0.71000 psych level keeps the last 24h range intact
Chain of lower highs, price pinned on the 0.7100 shelf.
AUD stayed heavy through the NY session and into Asia after yesterday's soft Australian flash PMIs, leaving a clean chain of lower highs from 0.71204 to the 0.71162 lower high and the 0.71080 asia high. Price is now compressed in a 0.71006–0.71060 shelf just above the 0.7100 psych level, RSI(14) near 34 and ATR(14) only ~3.8 pips — no expansion in play this early in the Asian range.
Support: 0.71006, 0.70919
Resistance: 0.7108, 0.71162, 0.71204
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.71006 session low confirms a lower low and exposes the 0.70919 prior low
Reclaiming the 0.71080 asia high would break the lower-high chain that has capped since the NY session
Australian labour force report Thu 01:30 UTC is the next scheduled catalyst; US flash PMIs 13:45 GMT today can reprice the USD leg intraday
03:31 UTC
Drifting lower, lower highs into Asia · RSI 39 · price 0.71024
23h range 0.70919-0.71245, price pinned at range lows.
Mid-Asia and AUDUSD is sitting on the 0.71000 psych pivot after a rejection at the 0.71162 asia high, price capped below the 0.71075 ema20 with RSI(14) near 39. Yesterday's soft Australian flash PMIs and a firm USD keep rallies shallow; the 0.70919 session low from the London open remains the range floor.
Support: 0.71006, 0.7100, 0.70919
Resistance: 0.71075, 0.71162, 0.71204
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close below 0.71000 psych pivot confirms a lower low and exposes the 0.70919 session low
Reclaim of the 0.71075 ema20 and then the 0.71162 asia high restores the intraday range read
US flash PMIs 13:45 GMT could materially shift this read later in the session
Early Asia is pinning price to the 0.71006 asia low, just above the 0.7100 round number, after a steady chain of lower highs from the 0.71204 ny high — the 0.71162 lower high capped the last attempt. RSI(14) near 36 with price beneath the 0.71080 ema20, and ATR(14) is thin at ~4 pips. Soft September flash PMIs plus a firm USD kept AUD trapped in the 0.7100–0.7120 band through the NY session.
Support: 0.71006, 0.7100, 0.70919
Resistance: 0.7108, 0.71162, 0.71204
What it said to watch
Sustained trade below the 0.7100 round number exposes the 0.70919 prev day low
M15 close back above the 0.71080 ema20 and then the 0.71162 lower high would break the lower-high chain
US flash PMIs at 13:45 GMT are the next catalyst capable of resetting this intraday range
03:03 UTC
Downtrend, grinding lower on thin Asia flow · RSI 37 · price 0.71034
Chain of lower highs since the NY high, holding just above the session low.
Price rolled over from the 0.71204 NY high into a clean sequence of lower highs, with the 0.71162 Asia high capping the last bounce and price now pinned under EMA20/EMA50 at 0.71034. The 0.71006 session low was tagged and reclaimed within two bars — a false break of the 0.7100 shelf the market has defended for three sessions — with ATR(14) at just ~4 pips reflecting the soft-PMI, firm-USD drift rather than fresh impulse.
Support: 0.71006, 0.70919
Resistance: 0.71162, 0.71204
What it said to watch
A 15m close above the 0.71162 asia high would break the lower-high chain
Sustained trade below the 0.71006 session low opens the 24h low at 0.70919
US flash PMIs 13:45 GMT are the next scheduled catalyst and could reprice this range
Australian labour force report Thu 01:30 UTC is the larger structural risk to the read
02:47 UTC
Drifting lower, lower highs into Asia open · RSI 39 · price 0.71051
Range 0.7100-0.7120 with a lower-high chain in the current Asia session.
Asia has opened with a slow grind lower, printing lower highs from the 0.71162 asia high down to a 0.71006 session low, with price now pinned just above the 0.7100 psych pivot and below both EMA20 and EMA50. ATR(14) is a thin 3.8 pips and RSI(14) at 38 — soft, not stretched; the soft Australian flash PMIs from yesterday's session remain the drag on rally attempts.
Support: 0.71006, 0.7100, 0.70919
Resistance: 0.71162, 0.71204
What it said to watch
15m close below 0.7100 psych pivot confirms a lower low and exposes the 0.70919 prev day low
Reclaim of 0.71162 asia high breaks the lower-high sequence and puts the 0.71204 prior day hi back in play
US flash PMIs at 13:45 GMT are the session's main catalyst and could break the 0.7100-0.7120 range
24h range 0.7092-0.7125, capped by a chain of lower highs since the NY high.
Early Asia hours have pressed AUDUSD to a session low of 0.71006, extending the soft tone left behind by yesterday's Australian flash PMI misses and a firm USD. Price is below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) near 36, and the 0.71162 swing high has capped every attempt since the 0.71204 prior high; ATR(14) just 3.5 pips, so ranges are thin.
Support: 0.71006, 0.70919
Resistance: 0.71162, 0.71204
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.71162 swing high would break the chain of lower highs
Failure to hold 0.71006 session low exposes the 0.70919 swing low
US flash PMIs at 13:45 GMT are the session's main catalyst and could reset this intraday range
02:16 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs into Asia · RSI 31 · price 0.71016
Sequence of lower highs and lower lows since the 0.71204 swing high; price pressing the 0.7100 area.
Asia session has bled lower off the 0.71162 session high, printing a fresh session low at 0.71012 with price now pinned on the 0.7100 psych level; RSI(14) near 31 and price below both EMA20 and EMA50. Australia's soft flash PMIs at 23:00 UTC drew almost no immediate reaction, but the lower-highs chain has tightened since.
Support: 0.71012, 0.7100, 0.70919
Resistance: 0.71162, 0.71204, 0.71255
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.71000 confirms a lower low and puts the prev day low at 0.70919 in view
Reclaim of the 0.71162 session high breaks the lower-highs sequence and invalidates the downtrend read
ATR(14) at ~4 pips — sub-normal ranges, so the slide is grinding rather than impulsive
US flash PMIs later today (13:45 GMT) are the session's main scheduled risk to this structure
02:03 UTC
Sideways, drifting lower into thin Asia hours · RSI 38 · price 0.71077
Intraday range with lower highs since the NY high.
Price is grinding in the lower half of a 0.71071–0.71171 Asia range, sub-EMA20, with a chain of lower highs stretching back from the 0.71204 NY high. Soft Australian flash PMIs at the 23:00 UTC changeover drew almost no reaction — the 0.71171 asia high capped the bounce and the pair is now sitting between the 50% and 61.8% retrace of the NY leg off 0.70991. ATR(14) at 2.8 pips confirms how thin the current bars are.
Support: 0.71071, 0.70991, 0.70919
Resistance: 0.71171, 0.71204, 0.71255
What it said to watch
A 15m close below 0.71071 session low extends the lower-high sequence and puts 0.70991 ny low back in view
Reclaiming 0.71171 asia high would invalidate the lower-highs read and re-open 0.71204 ny high
US flash PMIs at 13:45 GMT are the session's main catalyst and can override this range structure
Loss of the 61.8% ny leg retrace around 0.71057 would negate the shallow-pullback read
01:47 UTC
Sideways, no directional impulse · RSI 44 · price 0.71112
Compressed Asian range inside prior NY range.
Early Asia hours have carved a 9-pip box between the 0.71076 session low and the 0.71162 asian high, with price glued to EMA20/EMA50 and ATR(14) down to ~3.4 pips. Overnight Australian flash PMIs (composite 50.8, all three softer) drew no visible reaction — the NY recovery off 0.70966 stalled at the 0.71204 ny high and has simply drifted since.
Support: 0.71076, 0.7100, 0.70966
Resistance: 0.71162, 0.71204, 0.71255
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.71162 asian high reopens the 0.71204 ny high and the 0.71255 prior high
Loss of the 0.71076 session low puts the 0.7100 round number and 0.70966 ny low back in view
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC are the first event able to break this compression; Australian jobs Thu 01:30 UTC is the larger risk to the range read
01:31 UTC
Flat, no intraday trend · RSI 43 · price 0.71087
Tight range inside prior-day range, lower highs since NY high.
Asia has opened dead flat: AUDUSD is compressed between the 0.71162 range top and the 0.71076 session low, with the 0.71204 NY high capping the last eight hours. Tuesday's soft Australian flash PMIs (manufacturing 49.3) drew no visible reaction on the 23:00 UTC bar, and ATR(14) at ~2.6 pips shows how thin the tape is; RSI(14) near 43 with price under EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 0.71076, 0.71019, 0.70919
Resistance: 0.71162, 0.71204
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.71076 session low exposes the 0.71019 ny low, then the 0.70919 24h low
Reclaim of 0.71162 range top and a push through the 0.71204 ny high would end the compression read
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC are the first scheduled catalyst capable of breaking this range
01:16 UTC
Flat, no directional impulse · RSI 42 · price 0.71108
Tight Asian range inside prior-day range.
Asia is grinding in a 0.71084–0.71171 band with ATR(14) down to ~2.6 pips, price pinned just under EMA20 at 0.71134 and RSI(14) mid-40s. Australia's weaker flash PMIs late in the window (manufacturing 49.3, composite 50.8) drew no visible reaction; the 0.71204 prior high from the NY session still caps.
Support: 0.71084, 0.71014, 0.70966
Resistance: 0.71171, 0.71204, 0.71255
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.71204 prior high invalidates the range read
Loss of 0.71084 session low exposes 0.71014 swing low and the 0.70966 prior day low
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC are the first scheduled risk that could break this range
01:05 UTC
Flat, no directional impulse · RSI 54 · price 0.71148
Tight Asia range inside a 24h 0.7092–0.7126 band.
AUDUSD is compressing in early Asia between 0.71084 and 0.71162, holding just above EMA20/EMA50 after the NY leg up off 0.70966 stalled at the 0.71204 ny high. Australian flash PMIs (composite 50.8, all three softer) landed inside the window at 23:00 UTC with no visible reaction; ATR(14) at ~3 pips and RSI near 54 confirm a dead range.
Support: 0.71084, 0.7100, 0.70966
Resistance: 0.71204, 0.71255
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.71204 ny high would reopen the 0.71255 prior high
Loss of the 0.71084 asia low puts the 0.7100 psych level and the 0.70966 prior low back in play
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC are the next scheduled driver capable of breaking this range
Australian labour force report Thu 01:30 UTC is the larger structural risk to the current read
00:46 UTC
Sideways, momentum flat · RSI 57 · price 0.71154
Tight consolidation under 0.71204 after NY recovery off 0.70966.
Ranging 0.71084–0.71204 for the last five hours after NY bounced off the 0.70966 ny low; price sits mid-range at 0.71154, just above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) neutral near 57. Soft Australian flash PMIs at 23:00 UTC (manufacturing 49.3, composite 50.8) passed with no visible reaction — early Asia bars are thin, ATR(14) down to ~4 pips.
Support: 0.71084, 0.70966, 0.70919
Resistance: 0.71204, 0.71255
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.71204 ny high puts the 0.71255 prior high back in play
Loss of the 0.71084 range floor re-opens the 0.70966 ny low and 0.70919 london low
US flash PMIs 13:45 UTC today are the next volatility event for this consolidation
00:32 UTC
No trend, flat drift · RSI 53 · price 0.71153
Tight coil inside prior session range.
AUDUSD is compressed between 0.71084 and the 0.71204 session high, with the last ~15 bars holding a 5-pip band and ATR(14) down to 4 pips in early Asia hours. The 23:00 UTC Australian flash PMI miss (composite 50.8) produced no visible reaction on the chart; RSI(14) is flat near 53 with price marginally above EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 0.71084, 0.70995, 0.70919
Resistance: 0.71204, 0.71255
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.71204 session high would end the coil and put the 0.71255 24h high in play
Loss of the 0.71084 asia low re-exposes the 0.70995 ny low and the 0.70919 24h low
London open typically expands range from this 4-pip ATR compression
The last eight hours have compressed into 0.71073–0.71171 after the 0.71204 ny high, with price closing the thin early-Asia bars at 0.71115 — a touch under EMA20 and right on the 38.2% retrace of the ny upleg off 0.70966. Weak Australian flash PMIs at 23:00 UTC (manufacturing 49.3, composite 50.8) produced no visible reaction; RSI(14) is flat at 43 and ATR(14) has shrunk to ~3 pips, so nothing structural is in play yet.
Support: 0.71073, 0.7100, 0.70966
Resistance: 0.71171, 0.71204
What it said to watch
Break of the 0.71073 session low extends the lower-highs sequence toward the 0.7100 round number
Failure to hold 0.70966 ny low would confirm a fresh lower low on the day
Reclaim of the 0.71171 asia high breaks the descending line off the 0.71204 ny high
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC are the next scheduled risk to this range read
00:03 UTC
Sideways, drifting lower · RSI 39 · price 0.71105
Tight range, lower highs into Asia open.
Price is grinding in a 0.71073–0.71204 band, rolling off the ny high and now pinned under EMA20 at the 38.2% retracement of the 0.70919–0.71204 leg. Australia's soft flash PMIs at 23:00 UTC drew no visible reaction — the 23:00 bar spanned 0.1 pip — and ATR(14) at under 4 pips shows how thin the early Asia session is.
Support: 0.71073, 0.70966
Resistance: 0.71171, 0.71204
What it said to watch
Close above the 0.71171 asia high would end the lower-high sequence
Loss of the 0.71073 late ny low puts the 0.70966 swing low back in view
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC are the next event capable of breaking this range