AUD/USD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Friday, 25 September 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the AUD/USD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
20:47 UTC
Intraday up-leg faded, drifting lower into Friday close · RSI 44 · price 0.70257
Lower highs from 0.70423 day high pressing a flat 0.70245 floor.
London extended the late-Asia rally to a 0.70359 london high. NY then dipped to the 0.7015 ny low before a USD pullback spiked price to the 0.70423 day high, a move that was rejected. Late NY has since printed lower highs near 0.7031 while holding the 0.70245 late ny low, right on the 61.8% fib of the 0.7015–0.7042 leg, with RSI(14) at 44 and ATR near 2.7 pips.
Support: 0.70245, 0.7015, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7031, 0.70359, 0.70423
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.70245 late ny low breaks the 61.8% fib and opens the 0.7015 ny low, then the 0.7000 psych
Close above the 0.7031 lower highs line would neutralise the fade toward the 0.70359 london high and 0.70423 day high
Market close imminent; any weekend gap on Monday resets session structure
RBA decision Tue 29 Sep 04:30 UTC is the next scheduled driver for AUD
20:31 UTC
Intraday fade after NY spike, drifting lower · RSI 42 · price 0.70251
Lower highs below 0.7042 spike, late-NY range 0.70245–0.7031.
The softer dollar on the WTI slump lifted AUD off the 0.7015 NY low into a 16:00 UTC spike to 0.7042. That push above the 0.7036 London high failed, and price has since fully retraced it. Late-NY trade is compressing in a 6-pip range between the 0.70245 swing low and 0.7031 range top. Price sits near the 61.8% fib of the NY-low-to-spike-high leg, with RSI(14) at 42 and ATR under 3 pips as Friday liquidity thins.
Support: 0.70245, 0.7015
Resistance: 0.7031, 0.70359, 0.70423
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.70245 swing low breaks the late-NY range and exposes the 0.7015 NY low
Reclaim of the 0.7031 range top reopens the 0.7036 London high and 0.7042 spike high
Lower-highs trendline from the spike high caps the tape unless broken
Friday close into the weekend, with the RBA decision on Tue, leaves Monday open gap risk
20:16 UTC
Range-bound, drifting lower into Friday close · RSI 41 · price 0.70255
Lower highs off the NY spike high, price sitting on the 61.8% retrace.
Asia lifted AUDUSD out of a 0.7004–0.7027 range and London extended it to the 0.7036 london high. Early NY dipped to the 0.7015 ny low, then a spike to the 0.7042 ny high was fully rejected as the softer USD tone faded. Late NY has printed a lower high at 0.7031 and is holding the 0.7024 pm low, right on the 61.8% retrace, in thin Friday-close trade.
Support: 0.70245, 0.70179, 0.7015
Resistance: 0.70307, 0.70359, 0.70423
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.7024 pm low exposes the 0.7018 london low and the 0.7015 ny low
Close above the 0.7031 lower high breaks the descending trendline from the NY high and brings the 0.7036 london high back into play
0.7042 ny high marks the rejection extreme of the session
RBA decision Tue 29 Sep 04:30 UTC is the next major driver; weekend gap risk at the Asia open
Asia-to-London higher lows; NY spike to day high rejected, tight late-NY range.
AUD climbed off the 0.7004 asian low through London to 0.7036 as USD eased on the oil slide. The NY-hours spike to the 0.7042 day high was a false break of the london high and was quickly rejected. Late NY is now boxed between the 0.7025 swing low and the 0.7031 range top, sitting on the 61.8% fib of the 0.7015–0.7042 leg, with RSI(14) neutral at 47 and ATR(14) near 4 pips.
Support: 0.70245, 0.7015, 0.70036
Resistance: 0.70307, 0.70359, 0.70423
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.7025 swing low and 61.8% fib exposes the 0.7015 ny low, then the asian low at 0.7004 just above 0.7000 psych
Break above the 0.7031 range top puts the 0.7036 london high and 0.7042 day high back in play
Friday late NY liquidity is thin into the weekly close; the RBA decision Tue 04:30 UTC is the next major catalyst for this read
19:46 UTC
Intraday uptrend, stalling into Friday close · RSI 48 · price 0.70289
HL chain from day low; post-spike consolidation 0.7025–0.7031.
London broke above the Asian range and set a London high at 0.7036. NY dipped to the NY low at 0.7015, then spiked to a 0.7042 session high around the London close before rejection. Price has since compressed in a 0.7025–0.7031 range at the 50% retrace of that NY leg, as the USD eased on softer oil into the weekend.
Support: 0.70245, 0.7015, 0.70036
Resistance: 0.70307, 0.70359, 0.70423
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7031 range top reopens the London high at 0.7036 and the 0.7042 session high
Failure to hold the 0.7025 range low (61.8% retrace) exposes the NY low at 0.7015, where the rising support from the day low converges
A loss of the NY low shifts focus to the 0.7004 day low and 0.7000 psych
Thin late-Friday liquidity; weekend gap risk ahead of Tue RBA decision (f/c hike to 4.60%) could materially shift this read
Tight 0.7024–0.7031 band after NY rejection at 0.7042; higher lows at 0.7004, 0.7015, 0.7024.
After a dip to the 0.7015 NY low on the UoM beat, NY spiked through the 0.7036 London high to a 0.7042 day high. That spike was rejected and faded to the 61.8% of the NY swing fib as the USD eased into the weekend. Since the London close, price has compressed in a 0.7024–0.7031 band on EMA20, with RSI(14) neutral near 51.
Support: 0.70245, 0.7015, 0.70036
Resistance: 0.70307, 0.70359, 0.70423
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7031 range top reopens the 0.7036 London high and the 0.7042 day high
Failure to hold the 0.7024 pm low (61.8% of the NY swing fib) exposes the 0.7015 NY low
Loss of the NY low brings the 0.7004 day low and 0.7000 psych into view
Friday close with thin liquidity; RBA decision Tue 29 Sep 04:30 UTC is the next major risk for this read
19:16 UTC
Intraday uptrend from the Asian low, stalling after a spike rejection · RSI 49 · price 0.70287
Late-NY consolidation 0.7025–0.7031, holding the 50% of the NY rally.
AUD/USD rallied from the 0.7004 Asian low, and London cleared the Asian range top to reach the 0.7036 London high. NY dipped to the 0.7015 session low, then spiked to a 0.7042 session high as the USD eased on softer oil. That spike was rejected, and price is now pinned at the 50% retracement of the NY rally, with the NY low at 0.7025 and the range top at 0.7031. RSI(14) is neutral near 49 and ATR is about 4 pips as Friday trade thins.
Support: 0.70245, 0.7015, 0.70037
Resistance: 0.70312, 0.70359, 0.70423
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7031 range top reopens the 0.7036 London high and the 0.7042 session high
Failure to hold the 0.7025 NY low exposes the 0.7015 session low, then the 0.7004 Asian low near 0.7000
Weekend gap risk into the Tuesday RBA decision (f/c hike to 4.60%), where the guidance could materially shift this read
Higher lows since Asia; post-spike consolidation at 50% retrace.
The USD's oil-driven Friday dip lifted AUDUSD from the 0.7015 NY low to a 0.7042 session high near 16:00 UTC, which was rejected. Price has retraced to the 50% fib near 0.7029, with the 0.70245 pullback low holding in quiet late-NY trade. RSI(14) is neutral and ATR(14) is about 4.6 pips.
Support: 0.70245, 0.7015
Resistance: 0.70359, 0.70423
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.70245 pullback low (61.8% fib) exposes the 0.7015 NY low
Recovery above the 0.70359 London high puts the 0.70423 session high back in focus
Thin liquidity into the weekend close; RBA decision Tue 04:30 UTC is the next major risk
A break of the rising support line from the Asia low would end the higher-low sequence
Tight range 0.7025–0.7031 below rejected day high.
Late NY Friday. The 16:00 UTC spike to the 0.7042 day high ran through the 0.7036 London high but was rejected within a bar. Price has since compressed between the 0.7025 pullback low and the 0.7031 range top, holding the 61.8% of the 0.7015–0.7042 NY leg. RSI(14) sits near 50 and ATR is ~5 pips as the USD eases into the weekend.
Support: 0.70245, 0.7015, 0.70036
Resistance: 0.70305, 0.70359, 0.70423
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7031 range top retests the 0.7036 london high (UOB 0.7035 range cap); acceptance above reopens the 0.7042 day high
Failure to hold the 0.7025 pullback low exposes the 0.7015 ny low, then the 0.7004 asian low near 0.7000 psych
Thin liquidity into the Friday close; RBA decision Tue 04:30 UTC is the next major risk for this read
18:32 UTC
Intraday uptrend, fading from day high · RSI 55 · price 0.70284
Rising lows since Asian low; NY spike high rejected, pullback holding 61.8% fib.
Late NY Friday. The 16:00 UTC spike to the 0.7042 day high was rejected, and price has retraced to the 61.8% level of the 0.7015–0.7042 NY rally fib, with the 0.70245 pullback low holding and RSI(14) near 55. Rising lows from the 0.70036 Asian low stay intact as USD eases into the weekend, while the 0.7036 London high caps.
Support: 0.70245, 0.7015, 0.70036
Resistance: 0.70359, 0.70423
What it said to watch
Loss of the 0.70245 pullback low puts the 0.7015 NY low back in play
Close above the 0.7036 London high reopens the 0.7042 day high
Break of the 0.7015 NY low ends the rising lows sequence and exposes the 0.70036 Asian low
Thin late-Friday liquidity; RBA decision Tue 29 Sep 04:30 UTC is the next scheduled catalyst
18:18 UTC
Intraday recovery off 0.7004, stalling late NY · RSI 46 · price 0.70272
Lower highs since 0.7042 rejection, compressing 0.7025–0.7031.
AUD lifted off the 0.7004 asian low as the USD eased into Friday, and London pushed to the 0.7036 london high. The NY-hours spike to 0.7042 (ny spike hi) was a false break, reversed within two bars. Late NY is now pinned at EMA20 in a 0.7025–0.7031 band, inside the 50–61.8% zone of the NY swing fib, with RSI(14) neutral near 46.
Support: 0.70245, 0.7015, 0.70036
Resistance: 0.70312, 0.70359, 0.70423
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7031 lower high reopens the 0.7036 london high and the 0.7042 ny spike hi
Failure to hold the 0.7025 late ny low exposes the 0.7015 ny low, then the 0.7004 asian low and 0.7000 psych
A break below 61.8% of the NY swing fib at ~0.7026 would undo most of the NY-hours bounce
Thin Friday close into the weekend; RBA decision Tue 04:30 UTC is the next scheduled AUD driver
False break above London high, retracing into 0.7025.
The 0.7004 day low from the Asia session held, and London built higher lows up to the 0.7036 London high. The Michigan sentiment beat knocked price to the 0.7015 NY low, then a spike to the 0.7042 NY high failed back under the London high. Late in the NY session, price has retraced about 60% of the NY low-to-high leg and sits on the 0.7025 pullback low, with RSI(14) near 55 and price just under EMA20.
Support: 0.70246, 0.7015, 0.70037
Resistance: 0.70359, 0.70423
What it said to watch
Fed's Hammack at 18:00 UTC could shift this read as Friday's USD pullback winds down into the weekend
Failure to hold the 0.7025 pullback low exposes the 0.7015 NY low and the higher-lows trendline
An M15 close back above the 0.7036 London high negates the false break at the 0.7042 NY high
A loss of 0.7015 puts the 0.7004 day low and 0.7000 psych back in focus
Higher lows from the Asian low; pullback into the 50–61.8% zone of the NY leg.
NY hours printed a session high at 0.7042 before a rejection gave back most of the leg. Price is now pinned near EMA20 at 0.7027, inside the 50–61.8% fib of the 0.7015 NY low to 0.7042 move, with RSI(14) neutral at 49. Higher lows from the 0.7004 Asian low remain intact as the USD eases into the weekend.
Support: 0.70245, 0.7015, 0.70036
Resistance: 0.70312, 0.70359, 0.70423
What it said to watch
Fed's Hammack at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read into the weekly close
M15 close below the 0.7025 pullback low exposes the 0.7015 NY low; a break there ends the higher-lows sequence
Reclaim of the 0.7031 prior cap reopens the 0.7036 london high and 0.7042 session high
Failure of the 0.7004 asian low would put the 0.7000 psych level back in play
False break above London high, retracing into fib zone.
Higher lows from the 0.7004 Asian range low to the 0.7015 NY low as USD eased into the weekend. The late-London spike above the 0.7036 London high to the 0.7042 session high was rejected, and price has slipped back under the 0.7031 prior highs into the fib 61.8 area near 0.7025, sitting flat on EMA20 with RSI(14) mid-50s.
Support: 0.70254, 0.7020, 0.7015
Resistance: 0.7031, 0.70359, 0.70423
What it said to watch
Fed's Hammack at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close back above the 0.7031 prior highs reopens the London high and 0.7042 session high
Failure to hold the fib 61.8 near 0.7025 exposes the 0.7020 swing low
Break of the 0.7015 NY low breaks the rising lows chain
False break above London high, pulled back to fib 50–61.8% zone.
Late NY session pushed through the london high at 0.7036 to a session high of 0.7042, then reversed to 0.7028. Price now sits on EMA20, between the 50% and 61.8% retrace of the 0.7015–0.7042 leg, as the USD eases into the weekend. Lows have stepped up from the asian low at 0.7004, and the rising trendline holds while the 0.7015 ny low stays intact.
Support: 0.7021, 0.7015, 0.7004
Resistance: 0.7036, 0.7042
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the london high at 0.7036 negates the false break
Loss of the 0.7021 swing low exposes the 0.7015 ny low and the rising trendline
Break below the 0.7015 ny low puts the asian low at 0.7004 back in focus
Fed's Hammack at 18:00 UTC could shift the USD read into the weekend close
17:04 UTC
Intraday uptrend off Asia low, stalling late NY · RSI 51 · price 0.70287
Higher lows from 0.7004; NY spike above London high rejected.
AUDUSD climbed from the 0.7004 Asian low to a 0.7036 London high. The pair then dipped to the 0.7015 NY low on the UoM sentiment beat, and a 16:00 UTC spike to the 0.7042 session high was rejected back below the London high. Price now sits at the 50% retracement of the NY leg near 0.7029, above the 0.7020 higher low, as the USD eases into the weekend.
Support: 0.7020, 0.7015, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70359, 0.70423
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.7036 london high negates the false-break read at the 0.7042 session high
Loss of the 0.7020 higher low exposes the 0.7015 NY low and the 0.7000 psych level
Fed's Hammack at 18:00 UTC could shift the late-NY read if he endorses hike pricing
Higher highs off the Asia low; 0.7042 spike rejected, pullback holding near 38.2%.
AUD/USD has printed higher highs from the 0.7004 Asia low as the USD eased into the weekend, but the 16:00 UTC spike to the 0.7042 NY high was rejected within a bar. After London close, price sits near 0.7030, just above the 0.7028 pullback low at the 38.2% retracement of the Asia low to NY high leg. RSI(14) is neutral at 54, and the 0.7015 NY low rests on rising trendline support from the Asia low.
Support: 0.70281, 0.7015, 0.70036
Resistance: 0.70359, 0.70423
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.7028 pullback low exposes the 50% retracement near 0.7023 and the 0.7015 NY low
Break of the rising trendline and 0.7015 NY low would mark a lower low, with the 0.7004 Asia low and 0.7000 psych level next
Close back above the 0.7036 london high reopens a test of the 0.7042 NY high
Fed's Hammack at 18:00 UTC could jolt thin late-Friday NY trade
Higher lows from Asia low; 0.7042 spike faded below London high.
Higher lows ran from the 0.7004 Asian range low through the 0.7015 NY low as the USD eased on paused yields and US-Iran deal headlines. The 16:00 UTC spike to a 0.7042 session high was rejected back beneath the 0.7036 London high, with price now sitting on the 38.2% fib at 0.7032 and RSI(14) back at 57.
Support: 0.7032, 0.7021, 0.7015
Resistance: 0.7036, 0.7042
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.7036 london high, then the 0.7042 session high, would extend the higher-high chain
Failure at the 0.7021 pullback low exposes the 0.7015 ny low; a break there ends the higher-low sequence and the rising trendline
Fed's Hammack at 18:00 UTC could shift USD tone into the weekend close
Higher lows from the Asia low, London high broken during NY hours.
NY hours recovered the post-data dip to the 0.7015 NY low and broke the 0.7036 London high, printing a session high at 0.7042 as the USD eased into the weekend. The rising lows off the 0.7004 Asia low remain intact, and RSI(14) near 63 is not stretched.
Support: 0.70359, 0.7015, 0.70036
Resistance: 0.70423, 0.7050
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.7036 London high turns the breakout into a false break
Failure to hold the 0.7031 fib 38.2% of the 0.7015–0.7042 leg exposes the NY low
A hold above the session high at 0.7042 opens the 0.7050 round number
A break of the rising-lows trendline from the Asia low ends the higher-low sequence
Fed's Hammack at 18:00 UTC could shift USD tone into the weekend close
Higher low at 0.7020 off the 0.7015 NY low; price pressing London high.
AUDUSD cleared the Asian range in London to a 0.7036 London high, then slid to the 0.7015 NY low after the firmer UoM print at 14:00 UTC. That low held the 61.8% of the Asia-London leg. Late NY hours have since printed a higher low at 0.7020 and pushed back to 0.7033, with RSI(14) near 59 and price just under the London high.
Support: 0.7020, 0.7015, 0.70036
Resistance: 0.70359, 0.7040
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7036 London high clears the day's range and opens the 0.7040 round number
Loss of the 0.7020 higher low and rising support puts the 0.7015 NY low back in focus, with the 0.7004 Asia low below
Fed's Hammack at 18:00 UTC could shift this read into a thin Friday close
15:47 UTC
Sideways, lower highs since London peak · RSI 48 · price 0.70255
Lower highs from 0.7036 session high; NY low 0.7015 holding, bounce at 50% retrace.
London set the session high at 0.7036. NY then sold back through the Asian range high, and the leg after the firm Michigan print bottomed at the 0.7015 NY low. The bounce has retraced about half the drop to 0.7025, with a lower-high sequence capping near 0.7029; RSI(14) sits near 48 and ATR is about 5 pips.
Support: 0.7021, 0.7015, 0.7004
Resistance: 0.7029, 0.7036
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7029 lower high, near the 61.8% fib, breaks the NY lower-high chain and exposes the 0.7036 session high
Failure to hold the 0.7021 swing low reopens the 0.7015 NY low, with the 0.7004 asia low below
Fed's Hammack at 18:00 UTC could shift USD tone into the weekly close
Lower highs off 0.7036 London high; higher low at 0.7021 after the 0.7015 NY low.
After Asia based at the 0.7004 Asian low, London pushed to a 0.7036 London high. Firmer US data in NY hours (durables, UoM sentiment beat) then knocked price to the 0.7015 NY low. The rebound has carved a higher low at 0.7021 on a retest and now sits at the 50% retrace, capped just under the 0.7027 rebound high. RSI(14) is neutral near 48.
Support: 0.7021, 0.7015, 0.7004
Resistance: 0.7027, 0.7032, 0.7036
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7027 rebound high opens the 0.7032 lower high and the 0.7036 London high
Loss of the 0.7021 higher low re-exposes the 0.7015 NY low, then the 0.7004 Asian low
Fed's Hammack at 18:00 UTC could shift USD tone late in the NY session
15:16 UTC
Lower highs since London peak, bounce stalling · RSI 44 · price 0.70227
NY low 0.7015 held, rebound capped mid-range.
London set the session high at 0.7036 before NY sold down to 0.7015 around the Michigan sentiment beat, extending the lower-high sequence. The bounce off the NY low stalled at the 0.7026 rebound high near the 50% fib, and price sits just under EMA20 inside the Asian-London range as the USD pauses on softer yields and oil.
Support: 0.7015, 0.70037
Resistance: 0.70263, 0.70359
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7026 rebound high and 61.8% fib (0.7028) reopens the 0.7031 cluster and the 0.7036 london high
Failure to hold the 0.7015 ny low exposes the 0.7004 asian low and 0.7000 psych
Fed's Hammack at 18:00 UTC into thinning late-Friday NY liquidity could shift this read
15:03 UTC
Intraday pullback from London high, now rebounding · RSI 50 · price 0.70252
Lower highs off 0.7036; NY low swept London low and reclaimed, price at 50% retrace.
London set the 0.7036 session high, then NY sold off through the Michigan print. The drop to the 0.7015 NY low took out the London low near 0.7018 before a V-shaped reclaim as the USD paused on US-Iran de-escalation reports. Price is back at the 50% fib near 0.7025 and pressing the lower-highs line; RSI(14) is neutral near 50 and EMA20 is flat just below price.
Support: 0.70214, 0.7015, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7028, 0.70359
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7028 ny swing hi breaks the lower-highs sequence and exposes the 0.7036 session high
Failure to hold the 0.7021 ny pivot puts the 0.7015 ny low back in focus, then 0.7000 psych
Fed's Hammack at 18:00 UTC could shift the USD tone into the Friday close
14:47 UTC
Intraday pullback, lower highs since London peak · RSI 38 · price 0.70195
London broke the Asian high to 0.7036; NY printed lower highs down to 0.7015.
London cleared the Asian high at 0.7027 to a 0.7036 london high. NY then rolled over in a lower-high sequence as firm US durables and Michigan beats kept the USD bid, sliding to a 0.7015 ny low near the 61.8% fib of the Asia–London advance. Price is back at 0.7020, holding below both EMAs, with RSI(14) near 38.
Support: 0.7015, 0.7004, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7027, 0.7036
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.7027 asian high and the lower-high trendline would neutralise the NY pullback
Failure to hold the 0.7015 ny low and 61.8% fib exposes the 0.7004 asian low and 0.7000 psych
Fed's Hammack at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
14:32 UTC
Intraday downtrend, extending into NY · RSI 32 · price 0.70159
Lower highs from the London high; 0.7021 shelf broken, price back inside the Asian range.
London peaked at the 0.70359 London high and NY faded it along a line of lower highs. The 14:00 UTC flush, in the UoM release window and against a yield-backed USD bid, broke the 0.7021 broken shelf and pushed price back below the 0.70185 Asian high. It now sits on the 61.8% fib near 0.7016, with RSI(14) around 32, soft but not oversold.
Support: 0.7015, 0.70037, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70185, 0.70214, 0.70359
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the ny low at 0.7015 exposes the asian low at 0.70037 and the 0.7000 psych level
Reclaim of the asian high at 0.70185 and the broken shelf at 0.7021 would neutralise the NY breakdown
M15 close above the lower-highs trendline, near 0.7025, invalidates the fade read
Fed's Hammack at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
14:17 UTC
Intraday pullback, lower highs since London · RSI 38 · price 0.7018
London rally from Asian range faded; NY broke afternoon lows.
London's break above the Asian range was rejected at the 0.7036 session high, and a chain of lower highs followed. The 14:00 UTC UoM release knocked price through the 0.7021 broken lows to a 0.7017 NY low in the first hour of NY. Price is now between the 50% and 61.8% of the Asia-London leg, just above the 0.7016 Asian high, with RSI(14) near 38 and the dollar firm on yields.
Support: 0.7017, 0.7016, 0.7004
Resistance: 0.7021, 0.7028, 0.7036
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.7016 asian high (61.8% fib) opens the 0.7004 asian low and 0.7000 psych
Recovery above 0.7021 broken lows and the trendline near the 0.7028 lower high neutralises the fade
Fed's Hammack at 18:00 UTC could move US yields and shift this read
14:02 UTC
Intraday uptrend stalling into a pullback · RSI 45 · price 0.70251
Lower highs below the 0.7036 session high, lows holding 0.7021.
AUDUSD climbed from the 0.7004 asian low through London to a 0.7036 session high at 11:00 UTC. It has since printed lower highs through the London-NY transition, with the 0.7021 swing low holding near the 38.2–50% fib as a firm USD caps rebounds. RSI(14) near 45 and price sits just under EMA20 as UoM inflation expectations hit at 14:00 UTC.
Support: 0.70214, 0.70179, 0.70036
Resistance: 0.70319, 0.70359
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.7021 swing low exposes the 0.7018 london low and the 50% fib
M15 close above the lower-highs line and 0.7032 prior high reopens the 0.7036 session high
UoM 1-yr/5-yr inflation expectations (14:00 UTC) and Fed's Hammack (18:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
13:32 UTC
Intraday pullback after London high · RSI 41 · price 0.70236
Lower highs since 0.70359, higher-low chain intact above 0.70179.
London extended the rally from the asian low at 0.70036 to a london high of 0.70359. Supply capped that high near the 0.7035 intraday cap. NY hours have since unwound price back inside the Asian range, below the asia high at 0.7027 and through the asia rising line, with US yields keeping USD bid. Price sits at the 38.2% fib of the Asia-London rally, just above the NY low at 0.70214, and is hugging EMA50.
Support: 0.70214, 0.70179, 0.70036
Resistance: 0.7027, 0.70359
What it said to watch
UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close below the london low at 0.70179 breaks the higher-low chain and exposes the asian low
Reclaim of the asia high at 0.7027 restores the London-session structure
Fed's Hammack at 18:00 UTC is a secondary USD risk
Higher lows from Asia, NY pullback into 38–50% retrace.
London extended the rally off the 0.7004 asia low to a 0.7036 session high, briefly clearing yesterday's 0.7033 prior high before rejection, while firm US yields kept USD bid. The first hour of NY has pulled back to a 0.7022 ny low, between the 38.2% and 50% retrace of the rally, with RSI(14) neutral at 47.
Support: 0.7022, 0.7018, 0.7004
Resistance: 0.7033, 0.7036
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.7018 london low breaks the higher-low chain and exposes the 0.7004 asia low and 0.7000 psych
Reclaim of 0.7033 prior high, then 0.7036 session high, negates the false-break read
UoM sentiment and inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
13:04 UTC
Pullback after London rally, momentum fading · RSI 42 · price 0.70225
Lower highs and lower lows since the 0.70359 session high.
London extended the Asia bounce off 0.7004 to a session high of 0.70359 at 11:15 UTC, but that level was rejected. Price has since stepped lower into the NY open through the 0.70245 broken low, and now sits on the 78.6% fib of the London leg at 0.7022 with RSI(14) at 42 and DXY firm on Fed-hike pricing.
Support: 0.70218, 0.70179, 0.70036
Resistance: 0.70245, 0.70319, 0.70359
What it said to watch
A close below 0.7018 london low erases the London leg and exposes the 0.7004 asia low
Recovery above the 0.70245 broken low and the lower high at 0.7032 would neutralise the fade toward the 0.70359 session high
UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC (1y f/c 4.6%) and Fed's Hammack at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher lows from Asia low, capped at session high.
AUD bounced from the 0.7004 Asia low after the yield-driven test of 0.7000 and built higher lows through London. The late-London push to a 0.7036 session high cleared the 0.7034 prior high but was rejected back to 0.7030 ahead of US data. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 56, and the rally is intact above the 0.7028 swing low.
Support: 0.70275, 0.70179, 0.70036
Resistance: 0.70359, 0.70336
What it said to watch
US Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC lands on the current bar and could materially shift this read
A close below the 0.70275 swing low breaks the higher lows chain and exposes the 0.7018 london low
An M15 close back above the 0.7036 session high negates the rejection at the prior high
Loss of the 0.7004 Asia low unwinds the whole rally; UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC add risk
12:17 UTC
Intraday uptrend from Asian low, momentum faded · RSI 53 · price 0.70284
HH/HL chain since Asia; London high rejected, price back at Asian high.
AUDUSD climbed from the 0.7004 Asian low through Asia and London, with a brief push above the 0.7034 prior high to a 0.7036 session high that was rejected. Price has since faded back to retest the 0.7027 Asian high and the rising trendline, with RSI(14) neutral near 53, while USD stays firm on Fed hike bets ahead of US data.
Support: 0.7027, 0.70179, 0.70036
Resistance: 0.70336, 0.70359
What it said to watch
US Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC and UoM final at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close below 0.7027 Asian high and the rising trendline breaks the HL chain; 38.2% fib ~0.7024 then 0.7018 swing low next
Failure to hold 0.7018 swing low exposes the 0.7004 Asian low
M15 close back above the 0.7036 session high and prior high reverses the rejection read
12:02 UTC
Uptrend, stalling at prior high · RSI 56 · price 0.70299
HH/HL chain from 0.7004 overnight low; rejection at session high.
AUD has built a steady HH/HL climb off the 0.7004 overnight low through Asia and into London, helped by the USD's Friday pause as yields eased. The 11:00 UTC push briefly cleared yesterday's 0.7034 prior high to a 0.7036 session high, then met rejection back to 0.7030. The 0.7028 higher low and the rising trendline near 0.7027 still hold.
Support: 0.70275, 0.70254, 0.70179
Resistance: 0.70336, 0.70359
What it said to watch
US Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC and UoM sentiment/inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read into the NY open
M15 close above the 0.7036 session high reclaims the prior high and extends the HH chain
Break of the 0.7025 swing low and the rising trendline ends the HL sequence; the 38.2% retrace of the 0.7004–0.7036 leg (~0.7024) sits just beneath it, with the 0.7018 london low below that
HH/HL chain from 0.7004; breakout above prior high now being tested.
AUD has climbed steadily from the 0.7004 low set late NY, clearing the Asian range as USD eased toward 101.00 and yields cooled. London printed a higher low at the 0.7018 London low, then broke out through the 0.7028–0.7031 cap and the 0.70336 prior high to a 0.70359 session high. Price has since slipped back just below the prior high, with RSI(14) near 60.
Support: 0.7028, 0.70255, 0.7018
Resistance: 0.70336, 0.70359
What it said to watch
US Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read around the NY open
M15 close below the 0.7028 breakout base, near the 38.2% fib of the London leg, would mark the breakout as failing
Break of the rising trendline and the 0.70255 swing low ends the HH/HL chain
Close above the 0.70359 session high extends the breakout
HH/HL chain from 0.7004 Asian low; prior-day high cleared late London.
AUDUSD has printed higher lows since the 0.7004 Asian low near 0.7000, holding the 0.7018 london low and the 0.7025 higher low along a rising trendline, as US yields ease from highs. The 11:00 UTC bar broke yesterday's 0.7034 prior high to a 0.7035 session high, with RSI(14) near 70, hot but not stretched.
Support: 0.70336, 0.70254, 0.70179
Resistance: 0.70354, 0.7050
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 0.7034 prior high turns the breakout into a false break
M15 close below the 0.7025 higher low breaks the rising trendline and the London HH/HL sequence
Extension through the session high opens the 0.7050 round number
US Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher-low chain from 0.7004 Asia low; session high 0.7031 capped under yesterday's 0.7033 top.
Asia held just above 0.7000 with the asia low at 0.7004. London broke the Asian range top and built higher lows at 0.7018 (london low) and 0.7025, pressing to a 0.7031 session high just shy of yesterday's 0.7033 prior high. Price action fits the digest's Friday consolidation read after the dollar eased off its weekly high; RSI(14) is near 63 and ATR is compact at about 3.4 pips.
Support: 0.70254, 0.70179, 0.70036
Resistance: 0.70313, 0.70336
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7034 prior high clears yesterday's top
M15 close below the 0.7025 higher low breaks the London HL chain
Loss of the HL trendline and the 0.7018 london low turns focus back to the 0.7004 asia low
US Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher-low chain from 0.7004; London broke above Asian range high.
AUDUSD ground higher through Asia from the 0.7004 Asian low and London cleared the 0.7027 Asian range high, printing a session high at 0.7031 as US yields eased off highs. Dips held a higher low at 0.7025 into late London; the pair is now pressing yesterday's 0.7034 prior high with RSI(14) near 64.
Support: 0.70254, 0.70179, 0.70036
Resistance: 0.70313, 0.70336
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.7025 higher low breaks the HL chain and puts the 0.7018 London low back in play
Rejection at the 0.7031 session high / 0.7034 prior high keeps price capped inside yesterday's range
Loss of the rising trendline (~0.7024) negates the intraday uptrend read
US Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
10:17 UTC
Intraday uptrend, stalling at session high · RSI 62 · price 0.7030
Higher lows 0.7018/0.7025 under flat 0.7030-31 cap.
The Asian low at 0.7004 held just above 0.7000. Price climbed from late Asia into London as US yields eased, printing a higher low at 0.7018 and another at 0.7025. It is now stalling at the 0.7031 session high, just under yesterday's 0.7034 prior high, with RSI(14) near 62 and ATR compressed ahead of US data.
Support: 0.70254, 0.70179, 0.70036
Resistance: 0.70306, 0.70336
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7034 prior high clears yesterday's range top
Break of the 0.7025 higher low and the rising trendline (~0.7024) undoes the HH/HL chain
Loss of the 0.7018 london low (near the 50% fib of 0.7004-0.7031) exposes the asian low at 0.7004 and 0.7000
US Durable Goods 12:30 UTC and UoM inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
10:02 UTC
Uptrend off the Asian low, momentum stalling · RSI 58 · price 0.7028
Higher-low chain from 0.7004; London broke the Asian range, now capped near 0.7031.
AUD steadied through Asia off the 0.7004 asian low as US yields eased. London broke the Asian range top near 0.7027 and extended a higher-low chain to a 0.7031 session high, where progress has stalled just under yesterday's 0.7034 prior high. RSI(14) near 58 is cooling rather than stretched, and the 0.7025 swing low has held on the latest dip.
Support: 0.70254, 0.70179, 0.70036
Resistance: 0.70306, 0.70336
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7034 prior high clears the ceiling from yesterday's NY spike
Loss of the 0.7025 swing low and the rising trendline would stall the higher-low chain, leaving the 0.7018 london low exposed
A move back under the 0.7018 london low returns price to the Asian range, with the 0.7004 asian low and 0.7000 below
US Durable Goods 12:30 UTC and UoM inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read through the USD-yield channel
Higher lows from 24h low; Asian range broken higher, London pulling back.
AUD/USD has built higher lows off the 0.7004 24h low as USD eases with yields and oil, breaking the Asian range top near 0.7016 before London. Mid-London, the london high at 0.7031 met rejection just under yesterday's 0.7034 prior high, and price is easing back toward the 0.7024 pullback low with RSI(14) near 58.
Support: 0.70242, 0.70179, 0.70036
Resistance: 0.70306, 0.70336
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.7024 pullback low and the rising trendline near 0.7022 exposes the 0.7018 london low, near the 50% fib of the 0.7004-0.7031 leg
Failure to hold 0.7018 breaks the higher-low chain and reopens the 0.7004 24h low / 0.7000 area
M15 close above the 0.7031 london high and 0.7034 prior high extends the HH chain
US Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
09:16 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pressing prior range top · RSI 65 · price 0.70287
Higher lows since 0.7004 overnight low; London higher low at 0.7018.
AUDUSD has climbed from the 0.7004 swing low through Asia and into mid-London. It held a London low at 0.7018, near the 50% of the overnight rally fib, and is now testing the 0.7031 session high just under yesterday's 0.7034 prior high, as easing US yields on Hormuz headlines trim the dollar. RSI(14) near 65 is firm but not stretched.
Support: 0.7027, 0.7018, 0.7004
Resistance: 0.7031, 0.7034
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7034 prior high takes price back above yesterday's range top
Rejection at the 0.7031 session high and a slip back below the 0.7027 asian high points to a return into range
Break of the 0.7018 london low and rising support undercuts the higher-low sequence; the 0.7004 swing low and 0.7000 psych sit below
Williams (09:15 UTC), Durable Goods (12:30 UTC) and UoM inflation expectations (14:00 UTC) could materially shift this read via US yields
Higher-low chain off Asian low, testing Thursday highs.
AUDUSD has built higher lows off the 0.7004 Asian low as oil and yields eased overnight. The London open dip held a higher low at 0.7018, and price pushed to a 0.7030 session high, now just under Thursday's 0.7033–0.7034 prior high, with RSI(14) near 67.
Support: 0.70242, 0.70179, 0.70036
Resistance: 0.70298, 0.70336
What it said to watch
Williams at 09:15 UTC, then US Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC, could shift this read via yields
M15 close above the 0.7034 prior high clears Thursday's London range top
Loss of the 0.7024 pullback low, then the 0.7018 higher low, breaks the higher-low line
Return below the 0.7004 Asian low reopens the 0.7000 area
HH/HL chain since Asian range break; London dip held as higher low.
AUD/USD broke above the 0.7016 Asian range high before London and printed a session high at 0.7029. The early-London dip to 0.7018 held as a higher low near the 38.2% of the asian low-to-high rally, as easing oil and yields overnight trimmed the dollar. Price now sits just under the 0.7033 prior high, with the 0.7024 pullback low below.
Support: 0.70243, 0.70179, 0.70036
Resistance: 0.70292, 0.70336
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7033 prior high extends the HH/HL chain beyond yesterday's range
Break of the 0.7018 higher low and the rising trendline invalidates the intraday uptrend read
Loss of the 0.7024 pullback low puts the 0.7019 fib 38.2% back in play; the asian low at 0.7004 is the range floor
Williams at 09:15 UTC and US Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read via yields
08:31 UTC
Intraday uptrend, higher lows since Asia · RSI 67 · price 0.70266
Asian range breakout, HH/HL chain into London.
AUD/USD broke the Asian high near 0.7016 late in Asia as US yields cooled and oil eased on US-Iran talk reports. After the break it set a London low at 0.7018, a higher low on the rising trendline, then printed a session high at 0.7029. Price now sits just under yesterday's 0.7033 prior high, with the Asia-London leg intact and RSI(14) near 67.
Support: 0.70179, 0.7016, 0.70036
Resistance: 0.70292, 0.70336
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7033 prior high clears yesterday's London-NY range top
Break of the 0.7018 london low and the rising trendline ends the higher-low chain; 38.2% of the Asia-London leg sits at 0.7019
Failure back below the 0.7016 asian high turns the breakout into a false break, exposing the 0.7004 asia low
Fed's Williams at 09:15 UTC and US Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC could shift the USD tone
Price broke above the 0.7004–0.7019 Asian range from the asia low at 0.70036 around 06:00 UTC. London's early dip held at 0.70179 as a higher low, and price is now through the 0.7027 pre-London high. The move comes as US yields cool; RSI(14) is near 72 and the next resistance is yesterday's NY high at 0.70327, then the 0.70355 prior high.
Support: 0.70179, 0.70036
Resistance: 0.70327, 0.70355
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.70327 ny high opens the 0.70355 prior high
Break below the 0.70179 london low and the rising trendline ends the higher-low chain
Fed's Williams at 09:15 UTC, then Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC and UoM at 14:00 UTC, could shift the read via US yields
Higher lows since 0.7004; Asian range broken higher.
AUD held its floor near 0.7000 as the US yield bid paused. Price broke the Asian range at the 0.7016 asian high late in Asia and tagged a 0.7027 session high. The London open dip then held the 0.7018 pullback low, right at the 38.2% fib, keeping the higher-low chain and rising trendline intact near the ~0.7021 area flagged in the digest.
Support: 0.70179, 0.70159, 0.70037
Resistance: 0.7027, 0.70327
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7027 session high extends the higher-high chain toward the 0.7033 ny spike hi from Thursday's NY session
Break of the 0.7018 pullback low and the rising trendline puts a retest of the 0.7016 asian high in play
Loss of the 0.7004 swing low would expose the 0.7000 handle and negate the overnight recovery
Fed's Williams at 09:15 UTC, US durables at 12:30 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift yields and this read
07:31 UTC
Higher lows off 0.7004, pulling back from 0.7027 · RSI 62 · price 0.70204
Asian range broken to the upside, now retracing toward the range top.
Early European trade cleared the Asian high at 0.7016 and reached a session high of 0.7027 before the London open bars rejected it. The pullback is holding near the 38.2% fib at 0.7018, with firm US yields keeping the pair close to 0.7000 psych.
Support: 0.7016, 0.7008, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7027, 0.7033, 0.7045
What it said to watch
An M15 close back below the asian high at 0.7016 returns price to the overnight range
A break above the session high at 0.7027 exposes the prior high at 0.7033 from Thursday's NY spike, then the thu high at 0.7045
Losing the 0.7008 swing low ends the higher-low sequence and puts 0.7000 psych back in play
Williams at 09:15 UTC, durables at 12:30 UTC and UoM at 14:00 UTC could shift this read via US yields
07:16 UTC
Short-term uptrend off the Asia low, stalling at session high · RSI 69 · price 0.70226
Asian range break higher, higher-lows chain intact.
AUD/USD broke above the Asian high at 0.7016 into London open and printed a session high at 0.7027 before stalling, with RSI(14) near 69. The leg extends a higher-lows chain from the 0.7004 asia low as USD yields ease slightly. Thursday's 0.7032 spike high sits just overhead.
Support: 0.7016, 0.7004
Resistance: 0.7027, 0.7032, 0.7045
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.7016 asian high puts price back inside the Asian range and invalidates the breakout read
Failure of the higher lows line and the 0.7004 asia low exposes 0.7000 psych
Clearance of the 0.7032 spike high opens the path to the 0.7045 thu high
Rejection at the 0.7027 session high would leave a lower high against Thursday's range
Fed's Williams at 09:15 UTC, US durables at 12:30 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift the USD-driven read
07:02 UTC
Intraday uptrend off Asia low, RSI firm · RSI 74 · price 0.70248
Higher lows since Asia; London open broke above Asian range.
After the Asia low at 0.7004 held just above 0.7000, AUD built higher lows through Asia and London open cleared the 0.7016 Asian high to print a session high at 0.7027, with RSI(14) near 74. The NY spike high at 0.7033 and Thursday's prior high at 0.7045 sit overhead, while USD remains bid on the 5%+ yield backdrop.
Support: 0.7021, 0.7016, 0.70036
Resistance: 0.7027, 0.70327, 0.70447
What it said to watch
Rejection at the 0.7027 session high with a close back under the 0.7021 pivot zone would stall the breakout
Failure to hold the 0.7016 Asian high puts price back inside the Asian range
Close above the 0.7033 NY spike high opens the prior high at 0.7045
Break of the rising trendline from the Asia low would end the higher-low sequence
Fed's Williams at 09:15 UTC and US Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read via USD yields
06:46 UTC
Short-term uptrend off the asian low, stretched · RSI 77 · price 0.70247
HH/HL chain through Asia; break above 0.7016 consolidation top, pressing the asian high.
The Asia session built steady higher lows off the 0.7004 asian low. Price then broke the 0.7016 consolidation top and is pressing the 0.7025 asian high into London open, with RSI(14) near 77. The bounce has recovered most of yesterday's NY-session slide, which ran on firm USD and higher yields. The 0.7033 ny high and 0.7045 london high sit overhead.
Support: 0.7021, 0.70144, 0.70036
Resistance: 0.70252, 0.7033, 0.70447
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 0.7021 break level puts the fib 50% at 0.7014 back in play
M15 close above the 0.7033 ny high opens the path to the 0.7045 london high
Loss of the 0.7004 asian low would invalidate the Asia higher-low chain
Fed's Williams at 09:15 UTC, US durables at 12:30 and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 could materially shift this read
06:31 UTC
Intraday uptrend from Asian low, RSI hot · RSI 76 · price 0.70215
HH/HL chain off 0.7004, pressing the 0.7021-0.7024 zone.
Late Asia session, ahead of London open. Price has built a higher-low chain off the 0.7004 asian low, cleared the 0.7016 asia high and is now testing the 0.7021-0.7024 session high, where the digest places the 200-day SMA, with RSI(14) near 76. The ny spike hi at 0.7033 is the next overhead reference, while the dollar stays firm on 5.20%+ US yields.
Support: 0.70159, 0.70078, 0.70036
Resistance: 0.70242, 0.70327
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.7016 asia high marks a false break of the Asian range top
Failure of the rising support line and the 0.7008 higher low breaks the intraday HH/HL chain
Acceptance above the 0.7024 session high opens the path toward the 0.7033 ny spike hi
London open reaction at the 0.7021-0.7024 zone, with RSI already hot
Fed's Williams at 09:15 UTC and US durable goods at 12:30 UTC could move the USD leg
UoM 1y inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC are the most Fed-relevant print today
Higher lows through Asia, new session high above Asian range.
Asia session held the 0.7004 session low just above the 0.70 handle, then printed a higher low at 0.7008 and broke to a new session high at 0.7022, the 61.8% fib of the NY slide from the 0.7033 NY spike high. RSI(14) sits near 72 as price tests the 0.7021–0.7022 zone flagged in the news. US yields above 5.20% keep the dollar leg firm heading into London open.
Support: 0.70159, 0.70078, 0.70036
Resistance: 0.70216, 0.70327, 0.70447
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.7016 prior high returns price inside the Asian range
Failure to hold the 0.7008 higher low breaks the rising trendline and exposes the 0.7004 session low
Close above the 0.7033 NY spike high clears the 61.8% fib and opens the 0.7045 London high
Fed's Williams 09:15 UTC, Durable Goods 12:30 UTC and UoM inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could shift the read via yields
Asian higher-low chain testing session high, below prior-day swing highs.
Late Asia session: AUDUSD is grinding into the asian high at 0.7019 on a higher low at 0.7008, off the 0.7004 asian low. The move is stalling at the 38.2% retrace of yesterday's slide from the 0.7045 prior high. The 0.7033 spike high from the NY session is still overhead, and a firm USD on 5.20%+ yields has capped rebounds.
Support: 0.70078, 0.70036, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70187, 0.70327, 0.70447
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7019 asian high opens the 0.7033 spike high, then the 0.7045 prior high
Break of the 0.7008 higher low undercuts the Asian trendline and exposes the 0.7004 asian low and the 0.7000 round number
London open (~07:00 UTC) is the first test of the Asian range edges
Fed's Williams (09:15 UTC), US durables (12:30 UTC) and UoM inflation expectations (14:00 UTC) could shift the USD leg
05:46 UTC
Intraday up from session low, momentum firm · RSI 64 · price 0.70176
Asia HH/HL chain off 0.7004, pressing Asian high.
After Thursday's yield-driven slide to a 0.7004 session low just above the 0.70 handle, Asia has built higher lows at 0.7008 along a rising Asia trendline and cleared the 0.7016 prior high. Price is testing the 0.7018 Asian high about an hour before London open, with the 200d SMA zone at 0.7021-0.7022 directly overhead and the 0.7031 NY spike high capping Thursday's bounce.
Support: 0.70159, 0.70078, 0.70036
Resistance: 0.70183, 0.7022, 0.70312
What it said to watch
An M15 close above the 0.7018 Asian high and the 200d SMA at 0.7022 extends the HH/HL chain toward the 0.7031 NY spike high
A slip back below the 0.7016 prior high turns the Asian-high push into a false break
A break of the 0.7008 higher low and the rising Asia trendline undoes the Asia recovery. Loss of the 0.7004 session low exposes the 0.70 handle
Williams (09:15 UTC), durables (12:30 UTC) and UoM inflation expectations (14:00 UTC) could reprice US yields and shift this read
Asian range 0.7004–0.7016 with higher lows compressing into the range top.
London sold off from the 0.7045 session peak, and NY extended the slide as US yields above 5.20% kept USD bid. The 0.7031 spike high faded and the late-NY session low at 0.7004 held just above 0.7000. In late Asia, ahead of the London open, price is pressing the 0.7016 asian high on a chain of higher lows (0.7008 double low, then 0.7012), with ATR(14) at a compressed ~2.7 pips.
Support: 0.70119, 0.70078, 0.70037
Resistance: 0.70159, 0.70186, 0.70327
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7016 asian high opens the 0.7019 swing high, then the 0.7031–0.7033 spike high
Loss of the higher-low line and 0.7012 exposes the 0.7008 double low; below the 0.7004 session low, the 0.7000 handle comes into play
Fed's Williams (09:15 UTC), US durables (12:30 UTC) and UoM inflation expectations (14:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
05:16 UTC
Post-NY downleg, Asia recovery · RSI 58 · price 0.70151
Asian range, higher low pressing range top.
Thursday's NY session faded the 0.7033 spike high down to a 0.7004 swing low as US yields above 5.20% kept USD bid, with 0.7020 giving way as a breakdown level. Late Asia has printed a higher low at 0.7008 and is pressing the 0.7016 Asian high, the 38.2% fib of the NY drop, in a 2-3 pip ATR tape ahead of London open.
Support: 0.70078, 0.70036, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70159, 0.7020, 0.70327
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7016 Asian high opens the 0.7018-0.7020 breakdown level and 50% fib
Failure to hold the 0.7008 higher low returns price to the 0.7004 swing low and 0.7000 psych handle
Rejection at the 38.2% fib keeps the Asian range intact into London open
Fed's Williams at 09:15 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could extend the USD bid
Spike high at 0.7033 caps the NY drop; reclaiming it negates the downleg
05:03 UTC
Down, pausing in a tight Asian range · RSI 54 · price 0.70136
Asian range 0.7004–0.7016 with higher lows under a flat cap.
Thursday's NY session failed at the 0.7033 ny high and slid into the 0.7004 asian low as US yields above 5.20% kept the dollar bid. Late Asia is now compressing below the 0.7016 asian high, which capped twice, while higher lows at 0.7008 build underneath. RSI(14) is neutral near 54 and ATR(14) is a quiet ~3 pips.
Support: 0.70078, 0.70036, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70159, 0.70327, 0.70447
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7016 asian high breaks the Asian range and opens 0.7033 ny high, then the 0.7045 prior high
Loss of the 0.7008 higher low and the Asia higher-lows trendline returns focus to the 0.7004 asian low and 0.7000 round number
London open in ~2h typically expands a range this tight
Fed's Williams (09:15 UTC), Durables (12:30 UTC) and UoM inflation expectations (14:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
04:46 UTC
Downtrend, stalling in Asia · RSI 56 · price 0.70145
Lower highs 0.7045→0.7032→0.7016; Asian range 0.7004–0.7016 with a higher low.
Lower highs held through London and NY as US yields above 5.20% kept USD firm, with the 0.7032 NY spike high sold into a late-NY low at 0.7004. Late in the Asia session, price has formed an Asian HL at 0.7008 and is pressing the 0.7016 Asian high, where the descending trendline and the 38.2% of the NY drop converge.
Support: 0.70078, 0.70037, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70159, 0.70222, 0.70327
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7016 Asian high and descending trendline opens the 0.7022 breakdown shelf, then the 0.7032 NY spike high
Failure to hold the 0.7008 Asian HL puts the 0.7004 late-NY low and the 0.7000 psych handle back in play
Fed's Williams at 09:15 UTC, US durables at 12:30 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
04:31 UTC
Downtrend, pausing in Asia · RSI 55 · price 0.70126
Lower highs from 0.7045; Asia coiling between 0.7004 and 0.7016.
Firm US yields kept AUD heavy: the NY spike to the 0.7033 NY high faded, and the slide made a 0.7004 Asian low just above the 0.7000 round number. Asia's bounce stalled at the 0.7016 Asian high, near the 38.2% fib of the NY drop, and a higher low at 0.7008 has price coiling mid-range at 0.7013, with ATR(14) at about 3 pips.
Support: 0.70078, 0.70036, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70159, 0.70327
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7016 Asian high breaks the coil and puts the 0.7033 NY high back in view
Loss of the 0.7008 higher low and the rising Asia lows trendline reopens the 0.7004 Asian low and the 0.7000 round number
London open in about 2.5h is the first test of the Asian range
Fed's Williams at 09:15 UTC and US durables at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
04:17 UTC
Downtrend, pausing in Asian consolidation · RSI 56 · price 0.70131
Lower highs from 0.7045; tight Asian range 0.7004–0.7016 with a higher low.
Late in the Asia session, AUDUSD holds a 0.7004–0.7016 range after the NY session unwound the 0.7031 spike high, with firm US yields keeping USD bid. A higher low at 0.7008 sits under a cap at the Asian high near the 38.2% level of the NY drop fib. Price is flat on EMA50; ATR is about 3 pips.
Support: 0.70078, 0.70036, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70159, 0.70186, 0.70312
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7016 Asian high opens the 0.7019 swing high, then the 0.7031 spike high
Loss of the 0.7008 higher low and the 0.7004 Asian low exposes the 0.7000 round number
London open in about 3h is likely to resolve the Asian range
Fed's Williams at 09:15 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift the USD leg
04:02 UTC
Flat after NY selloff, Asia compressing · RSI 58 · price 0.70131
Tight Asian range 0.7004–0.7016, higher low inside.
NY faded the 0.70327 spike high as US yields held above 5.20%. Asia has boxed price between the asian low at 0.70036 and the asian high at 0.70159. A higher low at 0.70078 puts price in the upper half of the range, sitting on EMA50, with ATR(14) near 3.4 pips showing compressed ranges.
Support: 0.70078, 0.70036, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70159, 0.70186, 0.70327
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.70159 asian high breaks the range and brings the 0.70186 ny swing hi into play
Loss of the 0.70078 higher low and the asian low at 0.70036 exposes the 0.7000 psych handle
Fed's Williams at 09:15 UTC, then US Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC, could expand the current compressed range
Rising asian hl trendline from 0.70036 is the near-term structural floor
Lower highs from 0.7045; Asian range 0.7004–0.7016 with a higher low.
AUDUSD kept sliding on the firm USD and yield backdrop. The NY spike to 0.7031 (spike high) was rejected, and the Asian session low printed at 0.7004, just above the 0.7000 round number. Late Asia has put in a higher low at 0.7008 and is pressing the 0.7016 Asian high, where the descending trendline and the 38.2% fib converge. RSI(14) is neutral at 54, ATR(14) about 3 pips, and price is pinned at EMA50.
Support: 0.70078, 0.70036, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70159, 0.70186, 0.70327
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7016 Asian high and the descending trendline opens the 0.7019 swing high
Failure to hold the 0.7008 higher low puts the 0.7004 session low and 0.7000 round number back in play
Fed's Williams (09:15 UTC) and US Durable Goods (12:30 UTC) could reset the USD leg into the London-NY transition
03:31 UTC
Downtrend easing into Asia consolidation · RSI 56 · price 0.70116
Lower highs since NY spike, tight Asian range 0.7004-0.7016.
Mid-Asia session, AUDUSD sits mid-range at 0.7012 after a bounce off the 0.7004 session low stalled at the 0.7016 Asian high, near the 38.2% retracement of the drop from yesterday's 0.7033 NY spike. A higher low at 0.7008 holds, but the lower-high trendline from the NY spike still caps price as firm US yields keep the pair pinned just above the 0.70 psych handle.
Support: 0.70078, 0.70037, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70159, 0.70186, 0.70327
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7016 Asian high and the 0.7019 swing high breaks the lower-high trendline
Loss of the 0.7008 higher low reopens the 0.7004 session low and 0.7000 psych
Fed's Williams at 09:15 UTC and US durables at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
03:16 UTC
Intraday downtrend, flattening in Asia · RSI 54 · price 0.70102
Lower highs from 0.7045; Asian range 0.7004–0.7016 inside the down-sequence.
Thursday's NY spike to the 0.7033 ny high met rejection and was fully unwound as the USD bid, driven by Fed-hike talk and firm US data, reasserted itself. Lower highs from 0.7045 are still intact. The Asia session is compressing in a 12-pip range between the 0.7004 asian low and the 0.7016 asian high, and price sits flat on EMA20 just above the 0.7000 psych handle. The recent low at 0.7008 has been tested twice in the last hour.
Support: 0.70078, 0.70037, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70159, 0.70327
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 0.7004 asian low extends the lower-low sequence toward the 0.7000 psych handle
A close above the 0.7016 asian high and the lower highs trendline shifts focus back to the 0.7033 ny high
Repeated tests of the 0.7008 recent low erode the floor of the Asian range
Fed's Williams at 09:15 UTC and US Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
03:02 UTC
Downtrend, momentum flattening in Asia · RSI 50 · price 0.70095
Lower highs from 0.70447; tight Asian range 0.70036–0.70159.
Thursday's London-open high at 0.70447 has given way to a lower-highs chain. The NY spike to 0.70327 was rejected and fully faded as US yields pushed above 5.20%. Mid-Asia, price is capped under the lower-highs trendline inside a 0.70036–0.70159 Asian range, just above the 0.7000 round number, with RSI(14) neutral near 50.
Support: 0.70036, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70159, 0.70327
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.70159 asian high breaks the lower-highs trendline and the Asian range top
Failure to hold the 0.70036 asian low exposes the 0.7000 round number
Fed's Williams at 09:15 UTC, then Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC, could materially shift this read
Reclaim of the 0.70327 ny high would negate the lower-highs sequence
02:46 UTC
Downtrend, pausing in a tight Asian range · RSI 54 · price 0.70117
Lower highs from 0.7045; Asia bounce from 0.7004 holding a higher low at 0.7010.
Lower highs since the London high at 0.7045. The NY spike high at 0.7033 was fully retraced as firm US data and 5.2% 10y yields lifted USD. Asia bounced off the 0.7004 Asian low, then saw rejection at the 0.7016 Asian high near the 38.2% fib. Price now sits on a 0.7010 higher low, just under EMA50.
Support: 0.7010, 0.70036, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70159, 0.70186, 0.70327
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7016 Asian high and the 0.7019 swing high breaks the lower-highs trendline
Loss of the 0.7010 higher low puts the 0.7004 Asian low and 0.7000 psych back in play
Fed's Williams 09:15 UTC, US durables 12:30 UTC and UoM inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could reset the NY range
Reclaim of the 0.7033 NY spike high would negate the lower-highs sequence
02:31 UTC
Downtrend, pausing in Asian range · RSI 57 · price 0.7013
Lower highs from 0.7045; Asian range 0.7004–0.7016 above 0.7000.
Thursday's NY sell-off, driven by US 10y yields above 5.20%, extended a lower-highs chain from the 0.7045 London high. The 16:15 UTC spike to the 0.7033 ny spike hi was fully rejected. Mid-Asia Friday, price is holding a tight 0.7004–0.7016 range just above the 0.7000 psych. It sits under the asian high and the 38.2–50% fib of that spike-to-low leg, hugging the EMA50, with RSI(14) near 57 and ATR at a thin 3.4 pips.
Support: 0.7010, 0.70036, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70159, 0.70182, 0.70327
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7016 asian high and the lower-highs trendline (~0.7019) breaks the sequence, with the fib 50% at 0.7018 and then the 0.7033 ny spike hi overhead
Failure to hold the 0.7010 swing low puts the 0.7004 asian low back in play
Break of the 0.7004 asian low exposes the 0.7000 psych and 200-day SMA support zone
Fed's Williams at 09:15 UTC and US durables at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower highs have held since the 0.7045 London high, and the selloff tracked US 10Y yields pushing above 5.20%. Early Asia swept the NY low to the 0.7004 Asian low, just above 0.7000 psych, then bounced to the 0.7016 Asian high. Price now sits mid-range near the 23.6% of the selloff, with RSI(14) neutral at 54 and ATR a quiet 3.3 pips.
Support: 0.70036, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70159, 0.70327, 0.70447
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7016 Asian high and the lower highs line near 0.7019 breaks the lower-high sequence and exposes the 0.7033 NY high
Failure to hold the 0.7004 Asian low puts 0.7000 psych in play
Fed's Williams (09:15 UTC), then US durable goods (12:30 UTC) and UoM inflation expectations (14:00 UTC), could materially shift this read
02:02 UTC
Downtrend, Asia bounce stalling · RSI 54 · price 0.70123
Lower highs from 0.7045; Asian low 0.7004 holding, bounce capped at 0.7016.
AUD bled from the 0.7045 London high through Thursday's NY session as US yields pushed above 5.20%, and the 16:15 UTC spike high at 0.7031 was fully faded. Early Asia printed an Asian low at 0.7004 and bounced to a 0.7016 session high, where the lower-highs line and the 23.6% retracement capped it. Price sits at 0.7012, pinned just above the 0.7000 psych level, with ATR near 3 pips.
Support: 0.70036, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70159, 0.70327, 0.70447
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.7004 asian low resumes the lower-low sequence and puts 0.7000 psych in play
Close above the 0.7016 session high breaks the lower-highs line and opens the 0.7031 spike high
Only a recovery above the 0.7045 london high would negate the intraday downtrend
Fed's Williams at 09:15 UTC during London hours could shift USD tone; Durable Goods (12:30 UTC) and UoM (14:00 UTC) follow in NY
Lower highs from London 0.7045 high; bounce off 0.7004 Asian low capped at 0.7016.
Lower highs have held since the 0.7045 London high as yield-driven USD demand pressed AUDUSD to a 0.7004 Asian low, just above 0.7000 psych. The early-Asia bounce stalled at the 0.7016 swing high, near the 38.2% retrace of the NY high–Asian low leg and under the falling trendline, with ATR compressed to ~3 pips.
Support: 0.70036, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7016, 0.70327
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7016 swing high and the falling trendline breaks the lower-high chain, opening the 0.7033 NY high
Failure to hold the 0.7004 Asian low exposes 0.7000 psych
Fed's Williams at 09:15 UTC, ahead of US durables, could materially shift this read
01:16 UTC
Downtrend, early Asia bounce testing it · RSI 58 · price 0.70144
Lower highs since the NY spike; descending trendline broken, 0.7004 low holding.
The early Asia bounce off the 0.7004 session low has cleared the descending trendline from the NY high. Price is stalling at the 38.2% fib near 0.7015, with the 0.7019 swing high directly overhead. The pullback came after a USD-driven slide as US yields pushed higher; the 0.7033 NY high from the post-auction spike marks the top of the fade.
Support: 0.7009, 0.70036, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70186, 0.70327
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7019 swing high extends the break of the descending trendline toward the 0.7033 NY high
Slip back below the ema20 near 0.7009 returns focus to the 0.7004 session low and 0.7000 psych
Fed's Williams at 09:15 UTC during London hours could shift USD tone and this read
01:03 UTC
Downtrend, compressing near lows · RSI 47 · price 0.70101
Lower highs from London high, tight range above 0.7000.
Supply capped every bounce after the 0.7045 London high, printing lower highs through NY as US 10Y yields pushed past 5.20%. The 16:15 UTC spike to the 0.7033 NY high was fully retraced. Price is now compressing in a 0.7004–0.7013 range into early Asia, just above 0.7000 psych, with RSI(14) neutral near 47.
Support: 0.70036, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70133, 0.70186, 0.70327
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.7004 session low exposes 0.7000 psych
M15 close above the 0.7013 range top (fib 23.6%) opens the 0.7019 swing high and the lower-highs trendline near 0.7021
Reclaim of the 0.7033 NY high would negate the lower-highs sequence
Williams at 09:15 UTC, then US durables (12:30 UTC) and UoM inflation expectations (14:00 UTC), could materially shift this read
00:46 UTC
Downtrend, compressing near lows · RSI 39 · price 0.70071
Lower highs from London high, tight Asian range above 0.7000.
AUDUSD printed a fresh session low at 0.7004 early in the Asia session, just above 0.7000 psych. The NY spike to 0.7033 faded fully as US yields pushed higher. The Asian range of 0.7004–0.7013 is tight and ATR is under 3 pips, with RSI(14) near 39. The lower highs sequence from the London high at 0.7045 is still intact.
Support: 0.70036, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70133, 0.70327
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.7000 psych extends the lower-low chain beyond the session low
Close above the asian high at 0.7013 opens the 38.2–50% fib zone at 0.7015–0.7018
Recovery through the ny spike high at 0.7033 breaks the lower highs line
Fed's Williams at 09:15 UTC could shift yield-driven USD tone into London
Lower highs and lower lows since London open, compressing above psych.
Lower highs have stepped down from the 0.7045 London-open peak. The 0.7031 NY spike high was fully faded as higher US yields kept USD bid, and early Asia printed a fresh session low at 0.7004. Price is compressing just above the 0.7000 psych level under the lower-highs trendline near 0.7010, with the Asian range narrow and ATR(14) near 3 pips.
Support: 0.70036, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70133, 0.70186, 0.70312
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.7004 session low exposes the 0.7000 psych level
Close above the 0.7013 lower high breaks the lower-highs trendline and puts the 0.7019 swing high in play
Recovery through the 0.7031 NY spike high (61.8% of the London-NY decline) invalidates the downtrend read
Fed's Williams (09:15 UTC) and US durables (12:30 UTC) later Friday could shift the USD leg
00:02 UTC
Downtrend, grinding to new lows · RSI 36 · price 0.70039
Lower highs since NY spike; late-NY range broken lower.
Early in the Asia session AUDUSD printed a fresh session low at 0.7004, breaking the 0.7007 range floor of the thin 0.7007–0.7013 late-NY range. Lower highs since the 0.7033 spike high have capped every bounce as US yields keep the USD bid. RSI(14) sits near 36, not stretched, with the 0.7000 round number just below.
Support: 0.70036, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7007, 0.7013, 0.70327
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.7013 range top voids the range break
Loss of the 0.7000 round number extends the lower-low sequence
Recovery through the lower highs trendline toward the 0.7033 spike high changes the read
Fed's Williams 09:15 UTC and US durables 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read