Lower highs from Tuesday's 0.7125, then a 0.7004–0.7045 range since Wednesday NY.
AUD/USD shed about 120 pips from Tuesday's 0.7125 high. Most of the week's drop came during Wednesday's London and NY sessions, as 5%+ UST yields and Fed-hike repricing lifted the USD. Since Wednesday NY, price has been held in a 0.7004–0.7045 range above the 0.7000 psych level, with the week low printed early Friday. Friday's USD easing on the oil slide produced higher lows along a rising support line, but the NY push to 0.7042 met rejection under the range top; price now sits on EMA(20) near 0.7024, below EMA(50) at 0.7033, with RSI(14) in the mid-50s.
Support: 0.7015, 0.7004, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7033, 0.7044, 0.7050
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.7044 range top, and then the fib 38.2 retracement of the week's drop at 0.7050, would break the lower-high sequence
Loss of the rising support line and the fri low at 0.7015 puts the 0.7004 week low and 0.7000 psych back in play
Price is capped below the ema50 at 0.7033 on each Friday bounce so far
RBA decision Tue 29 Sep 04:30 UTC (hike to 4.60% expected) could materially shift this read
US ADP and PCE on Wed 30 Sep, plus Aussie CPI the same day, are follow-through risk for the range
Lower highs from 0.7126; basing in a 0.7004–0.7045 range.
Monday's 0.7119 weekly open gave way to a Wednesday London-into-NY slide that carried price below 0.7030. Follow-through into Friday's Asia session set a 0.7004 week low as US yields above 5% and Fed-hike repricing supported the USD. Friday's bounce, as the USD eased on lower oil, printed a higher low at 0.7015 on a rising trendline and lifted price back above EMA(20) at 0.7024, but the NY-session spike to 0.7042 was rejected at the range cap in place since Wednesday, with price still under EMA(50) and the 38.2% fib at 0.7050.
Support: 0.7024, 0.7015, 0.7004
Resistance: 0.7042, 0.7050, 0.7119
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.7042 range cap and the 38.2% fib at 0.7050 would break the lower-high sequence
Loss of the 0.7015 higher low and rising trendline puts the 0.7004 week low and 0.7000 psych back in focus
Holding below EMA(50) keeps the weekly open at 0.7119 out of reach on this structure
RBA decision Tue 29 Sep 04:30 UTC (f/c hike to 4.60%); guidance tone could materially shift this read
Post-breakdown base, higher lows since Friday Asia.
The week's dominant move came Wednesday, when a London-open slide from the 0.7100–0.7120 range accelerated into the NY open on the yield-driven USD bid, and Thursday's NY session pushed on to a week low at 0.7004 despite mixed Aussie jobs data. Friday's session has printed a higher low at 0.7015 as the dollar eased, putting price back above EMA(20) with RSI(14) near 59. Lower highs at the 0.7045 Thursday peak and the 0.7042 Friday high are capping the bounce, and EMA(50) at 0.7031 sits just above.
Support: 0.7024, 0.7015, 0.7004
Resistance: 0.7031, 0.7042, 0.7100
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.7042 fri high and the lower highs line opens the path toward the 0.7100 range floor
Failure to hold the 0.7015 higher low puts the 0.7004 week low and the 0.7000 psych level back in play
Price holding under the ema50 near 0.7031 keeps the bounce inside the downtrend
Fed's Hammack at 18:00 UTC today, then the RBA decision Tue 04:30 UTC, could materially shift this read
Lower highs since Tue range; Fri higher lows under 0.7044.
The week's damage came in NY hours. Wednesday's session broke Tuesday's 0.7092–0.7126 range, and Thursday's NY leg pressed to 0.7006 as the global bond sell-off and hawkish Fed repricing lifted the USD, while the Aus jobs bounce faded below the Thursday high at 0.7044. Friday's rebound from the 0.7004 week low has built higher lows along a trendline through the Friday NY low at 0.7015, holding above EMA(20) at 0.7023 as the USD eased. It stalled with a rejection at 0.7042, where EMA(50) at 0.7033, the 23.6% retracement of the week's sell-off and the thu high cluster overhead. RSI(14) sits near 55, recovered from the lower 40s rather than stretched.
Support: 0.7023, 0.7015, 0.7004
Resistance: 0.7033, 0.7044, 0.7050
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.7044 thu high breaks the lower-high sequence and exposes the 38.2% fib of the week's sell-off at 0.7050
Loss of the Friday higher-lows trendline and the 0.7015 fri ny low returns focus to the 0.7004 week low and 0.7000 psych
Price failing to hold EMA(20) at 0.7023 with EMA(50) capping at 0.7033 keeps the bounce corrective within the downtrend
Fed's Hammack at 18:00 UTC today could shift USD tone into the weekend close
RBA decision Tue 29 Sep 04:30 UTC (hike to 4.60% expected); the guidance language could materially shift this read
Lower highs since Tuesday's 0.7126 peak; higher lows off the 0.7004 week low set late Thursday.
The week's dominant leg came Wednesday, when a London-led slide from 0.7115 accelerated into the NY open on Fed-hike repricing and 5%+ US yields. Since then the pair has based above the 0.7000 psych area, with the week low at 0.7004 set late Thursday. Friday's recovery has printed higher lows, and the NY-hours dip after firm US durables and sentiment data held the 0.7015 pullback low and closed back at EMA(20). Price is now pressing the friday high at 0.7036, which is also the double-bottom neckline, along with EMA(50) and the lower-highs trendline from Thursday's high, with RSI(14) at 58.
Support: 0.7024, 0.7015, 0.7004
Resistance: 0.7036, 0.7045, 0.7050
What it said to watch
H1 close above the friday high at 0.7036 clears the lower-highs trendline and confirms the double bottom, exposing the thu high at 0.7045 and the 38.2% fib near 0.7050
Loss of ema20 and the 0.7015 pullback low breaks the Friday higher-lows trendline and returns price to the Thursday range
A close below the 0.7004 week low and 0.7000 psych resumes the downtrend
Fed's Hammack at 18:00 UTC today, then the RBA decision Tue 29 Sep 04:30 UTC, could materially shift this read
15:03 UTC
Downtrend, basing near 0.7000 · RSI 58 · price 0.70257
Lower highs Mon–Thu, Friday higher lows off week low.
The week's dominant move came Wednesday, when AUD broke through the 0.7092 Tuesday low and slid into the NY session as US yields pushed higher, and Thursday's mixed jobs print gave only a brief spike low and recovery. Price based at the 0.7004 week low, just above 0.7000 psych, and Friday's USD pause lifted it back above EMA(20) near 0.7021 on a string of higher lows. The 0.7036 Friday high stalled near the 23.6% retrace of the week drop with EMA(50) overhead, leaving an unconfirmed double bottom against Thursday's low.
Support: 0.7021, 0.7015, 0.70036
Resistance: 0.70359, 0.70447, 0.70919
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.7036 fri high and 0.7045 thu high confirms the double bottom and exposes the 0.7092 tue low
Break of the friday higher lows line and the 0.7015 fri low reopens the 0.7004 week low and 0.7000 psych
Holding above EMA(20) keeps the Friday rebound structure intact; a close back below it returns price to the week-low range
Fed's Hammack at 18:00 UTC today, then the RBA decision Tue 04:30 UTC, could materially shift this read
Lower highs 0.7045/0.7036 after Wednesday's breakdown; short run of Friday higher lows off 0.7004.
The week's dominant move was Wednesday's breakdown through the Tuesday low at 0.7092. It started in London and accelerated into the NY open, as surging US yields and Fed-hike pricing hit AUD. Thursday's grind produced a week low at 0.7004 in Friday's Asia session. The London rebound retraced only to the 23.6% fib of the sell-off and was rejected at 0.7036, a lower high beneath Thursday's 0.7045 high. Price is now sitting on EMA(20) near 0.7021 and the Friday higher-lows line, with RSI(14) easing from the low 60s.
Support: 0.7021, 0.70036, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70359, 0.70447, 0.70919
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.7021 and the Friday higher-lows line leaves the Friday high at 0.7036 as a lower high and exposes the 0.7004 week low
Break of the week low and the 0.7000 psych level extends the lower-low sequence
H1 close above the thu high at 0.7045 breaks the lower-high sequence and points back toward the tue low at 0.7092
UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC and Fed's Hammack at 18:00 UTC today could shift US yields and this read
RBA decision Tue Sep 29 04:30 UTC (hike to 4.60% priced); guidance on further hikes is the main AUD swing factor
Lower highs intact; tight 0.7004–0.7036 base after Wednesday's slide.
The week's dominant move came through Wednesday's London and NY sessions, a slide from 0.7120 to 0.7025 as US yields breached 5% and US PMIs beat. Price then extended to a lower low at the 0.7004 week low, just above the 0.7000 psych level. Friday's Asia-to-London bounce met rejection at 0.7036, the friday high just above the 23.6% level of the decline fib, and the Friday higher-lows line has given way into the NY session. Price now sits on EMA(20) near 0.7022 with RSI(14) flat around 48, still below Thursday's 0.7045 lower high.
Support: 0.7022, 0.70036, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70359, 0.70447, 0.7062
What it said to watch
H1 close below the 0.7004 week low exposes the 0.7000 psych level and extends the lower-low sequence
H1 close above the 0.7045 lower high breaks the lower-highs trendline and opens the 50% fib at 0.7062
Failure to hold ema20 at 0.7022 keeps the friday high at 0.7036 as a capped rebound
UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC and Fed's Hammack at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
RBA decision Tue 04:30 UTC is the next major AUD risk; guidance tone matters more than the priced hike
12:03 UTC
Downtrend, corrective bounce from the week low · RSI 63 · price 0.70308
Lower highs since Tuesday; Friday higher lows off 0.7004.
The week's dominant move came in Wednesday's London-to-NY session. AUDUSD fell from 0.7115 to 0.7025 as US yields breached 5% and US PMIs beat, and Thursday's NY session pressed toward 0.7004 despite the mixed Australian jobs print. Friday's Asia session set the 0.7004 week low, and London built higher lows back above EMA(20) at 0.7022. Price is now retesting the 0.7036 friday high and EMA(50) from below, near the 23.6% fib of the Tuesday-Friday decline.
Support: 0.7022, 0.7017, 0.7004
Resistance: 0.7036, 0.7045, 0.7062
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.7036 friday high and EMA(50) exposes the 0.7045 thu high, the lower highs line and the 38.2% fib near 0.7048, with the 50% fib at 0.7062 beyond
Loss of the friday higher lows line and ema20 at 0.7022 puts the 0.7017 swing low back in play
Break of the 0.7004 week low exposes the 0.7000 psych level and resumes the downtrend sequence
US Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read via US yields
Lower highs all week; Friday higher lows off 0.7004.
The week opened near 0.7137 and has printed lower highs since. The dominant leg was Wednesday's slide from 0.7117, which ran through London and into NY as strong US PMIs and 5%+ yields drove the USD bid, followed by a Thursday lower high at the 0.7045 thu high. Friday's Asia week low at 0.7004 held just above 0.7000 psych, and the London open bounce has reclaimed ema20 along a rising line of Friday higher lows. Price is now pressing the friday high at 0.7031, which sits on the 23.6% retracement, with ema50 at 0.7035 just overhead.
Support: 0.7021, 0.70036, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70313, 0.7035, 0.70447
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.7035 ema50 and the 0.7045 thu high (38.2% retracement) breaks the lower-high sequence
Loss of the Friday higher lows line and ema20 near 0.7021 puts the 0.7004 week low back in play
Break below 0.7000 psych extends the downtrend to a fresh week low
US Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower highs since Monday; first higher low forming above the 0.7004 week low.
The week's dominant move came in Wednesday's London-into-NY slide from 0.7117, extended by the US PMI beats and rising US yields. Thursday's NY session pushed on to 0.7006, and Friday's Asia session printed the week low at 0.7004. London has lifted price back above ema20 near 0.7020, but the bounce is stalling at 0.7031–0.7033, where ema50, the 23.6% level of the Tuesday-to-Friday fib and Thursday's NY high converge; RSI(14) near 61 has recovered from Wednesday's oversold lows against a marginally lower price low.
Support: 0.7020, 0.7004, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7033, 0.7045, 0.7062
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.7033 ema50 opens the 0.7045 thu high and the 0.7062 50% fib
Loss of ema20 at 0.7020 and the rising line from the week low puts the 0.7004 week low and 0.7000 psych back in play
US Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read via US yields
RBA decision on Tue 04:30 UTC is the next AUD-specific catalyst for the 0.7000 psych area
09:04 UTC
Downtrend, basing near 0.7000 · RSI 63 · price 0.70292
Lower highs Mon–Thu, double-bottom base 0.7004–0.7006, Friday higher lows.
Since Monday's 0.7140 week high the pair has printed lower highs. The main leg came in Wednesday's NY session after the hot US flash PMIs, carrying price from 0.7070 to 0.7025. Thursday and Friday Asia held a base at 0.7004–0.7006 (week low 0.70036), and Friday's London session has lifted price back above the ema20 near 0.7018 and marginally above EMA(50), with RSI(14) near 63 as easing oil and yields trim the dollar. Price is now pressing the 0.7033 neckline of that base, the Thursday NY high, while the 0.7045 lower high and the 0.7056 fib 38.2% of the week's decline sit just above.
Support: 0.7018, 0.70036
Resistance: 0.70327, 0.70447, 0.7056
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.7033 neckline completes the double bottom and opens the 0.7045 lower high, then the 0.7056 fib 38.2%
Loss of the ema20 near 0.7018 and the Friday higher-lows trendline returns focus to the 0.7004 week low and the 0.7000 round number
Fed's Williams at 09:15 UTC, US Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift the NY-session read
Lower highs all week; Friday higher lows near 0.7000.
AUDUSD has printed lower highs since Monday's 0.7140 peak. The dominant leg came into Wednesday's NY session, when the hot US PMIs took the pair from 0.7116 to 0.7025, and hawkish Fedspeak and rising yields pushed it to a 0.70036 week low into Thursday's close, just above the 0.7000 psych level. Friday's Asia and London sessions have built higher lows off that week low, reclaiming the H1 EMA20 near 0.7018 and poking above Thursday's lower-highs line. The early-London session high at 0.7027 sits just under the fib 23.6 retracement of the week's decline near 0.7036.
Support: 0.7018, 0.70036, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7027, 0.70357, 0.70447
What it said to watch
H1 close back below Friday's higher-lows line and the EMA20 near 0.7018 puts the 0.70036 week low and 0.7000 psych back in focus
Clearance of the 0.7027 session high and the fib 23.6 near 0.7036 would test Thursday's high at 0.7045; above there, this week's lower-high sequence breaks
Break below 0.7000 psych extends the week's lower-low structure
Williams at 09:15 UTC, US durables at 12:30 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
RBA decision Tue 04:30 UTC is the next major AUD risk after the weekend
Lower highs and lower lows since Monday; lows flattening at 0.7004-0.7006.
The week's dominant move came Wednesday. A London-into-NY slide, extended by the strong US PMI beats and rising US yields, took price from 0.7117 to 0.7025, and lower lows followed into Thursday's NY session. Downside momentum has since stalled above 0.7000: the 0.7006 and 0.7004 week low held, and Asia session higher lows have lifted price back above EMA(20) with RSI(14) near 59. Price is now capped under the 0.7033 lower high and the 23.6% fib of the Tuesday-high-to-week-low leg, and remains below EMA(50).
Support: 0.7017, 0.7004, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7033, 0.7045, 0.7062
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.7033 lower high breaks the lower-high sequence and opens the 0.7045 thu high
Acceptance above 0.7045 brings the 50% fib at 0.7062 into view
Loss of the asia higher lows and ema20 at 0.7017 returns focus to the 0.7004 week low
H1 close below 0.7000 psych resumes the lower-low sequence
Fed's Williams at 09:15 UTC, US Durables at 12:30 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read in the NY session
Lower highs since Wednesday, compressing in a tight base above the week low.
The week's dominant leg came in Wednesday's NY session, when strong US PMIs and a yield surge knocked the pair from 0.7116 to the 0.7030s. The lower highs that followed have compressed price into a narrow base just above the 0.7004 week low, set in early Friday Asia, while the 0.7000 round number has not been tested on a close. Price has edged back onto the EMA(20) near 0.7017 and is probing the lower-high line from Thursday's 0.7045 high, with RSI(14) recovering toward the mid-40s. The 23.6% fib of the Wednesday–Friday drop, at 0.7030, is the first cap overhead.
Support: 0.7017, 0.70037, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7030, 0.70447, 0.7060
What it said to watch
An H1 close below the 0.7004 week low and the 0.7000 round number would extend the lower-low sequence.
Acceptance above the lower-high line and the 23.6% fib at 0.7030 would shift the read to a deeper correction toward the 0.7045 thu high, which sits near the 38.2% retracement.
A push through the thu high would bring the 50% fib near 0.7060 into view.
Slipping back below the EMA(20) near 0.7017 would keep the pullbacks shallow and leave the downtrend structure intact.
US durables (12:30 UTC) and UoM inflation expectations (14:00 UTC) during NY hours could reprice Fed-hike odds and materially shift this read.
Lower highs since Tuesday; tight Asian range above week low.
The week's dominant leg came Wednesday. Selling started at the London open and accelerated in the NY session on the US flash PMI beat, taking price from 0.7120 to 0.7025. A second NY-driven leg on Thursday after upbeat US claims and home sales data extended the lower-high sequence, and price then printed a week low at 0.70036 in the Asia session. Price is now compressing in a roughly 12-pip Asian range just under the EMA(20) at 0.7016, with RSI(14) flat in the mid-40s and ATR contracting.
Support: 0.70036, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7016, 0.70327, 0.70447
What it said to watch
H1 close above the thu ny high at 0.7033 (near the 23.6% fib of the Wed-Fri drop) breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold the week low at 0.70036 exposes the 0.7000 round number; acceptance below it extends the downtrend
Thu high at 0.7045 and the lower highs trendline mark the ceiling of the current structure
US UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC and durables at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read; RBA decision Tue is the next AUD-side risk
Lower highs since Wednesday's drop, compressing just above 0.7000.
The dominant leg of the week was Wednesday's drop, which ran from 0.7120 to 0.7025 through the London-NY transition after strong US PMIs and hawkish Fed commentary. Since then the pair has printed lower highs at the 0.7045 thu high and the 0.7033 thu ny high, and early Asia Friday set a fresh week low at 0.7004. Price is pinned just under the EMA(20) near 0.7016 and the lower-highs trendline, with RSI(14) at 42 and ATR compressed to about 9.5 pips as ranges tighten above the 0.7000 psych handle.
Support: 0.70036, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7016, 0.70327, 0.70447
What it said to watch
An H1 close below the 0.7000 psych extends the lower-low sequence beyond the 0.7004 week low
An H1 close above the ema20 and the lower-highs trendline, then through the 0.7033 thu ny high (near the 23.6% of the wed drop fib), breaks the lower-high pattern and brings the 0.7045 thu high into view
US Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC and UoM sentiment/inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could expand the compressed range during NY hours
RBA decision on Tue Sep 29 04:30 UTC is the next major AUD risk for this structure
03:03 UTC
Downtrend, momentum fading near the lows · RSI 36 · price 0.70088
Lower highs and lower lows since Monday; tight compression just above 0.7000.
AUD/USD has printed lower highs all week from Monday's 0.7140 peak. Wednesday's selloff did most of the damage, running from the London open through NY hours as strong US PMIs lifted yields. Thursday's bounce after the mixed AU jobs data stalled at the 0.7045 Thu high, just under the 38.2% retracement of that move, and NY hours sold price back toward the 0.7004 week low. In Friday's Asia session price is compressing just below EMA(20) at 0.7017, with RSI(14) near 36 and no divergence at the lows.
Support: 0.70036, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7017, 0.70327, 0.70447
What it said to watch
H1 close below the 0.7000 psych level extends the lower-low sequence beyond the 0.7004 week low
A reclaim of EMA(20) and a close above the 0.7033 Thu NY high breaks the lower-highs trendline
A move through the 0.7045 Thu high would put the Wednesday selloff's 38.2% retracement back in play
US Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read; the RBA decision on Tue Sep 29 is the larger event risk
Lower highs and lower lows since Wednesday's breakdown, compressing above psych 0.7000.
After a Monday–Tuesday range capped near 0.7140, the week's dominant move came in Wednesday's London and NY sessions. Strong US flash PMIs and a jump in yields drove AUDUSD from 0.7120 down to 0.7025. Since then, each bounce has stalled lower: the Thursday high at 0.7045, then the 0.7033 lower high after the NY open. Thursday's jobs-data pop also faded, and Asia printed a fresh week low at 0.7004. Price sits just under EMA(20) near 0.7017 with RSI(14) around 38, so downside momentum is slowing rather than extending.
Support: 0.70036, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7017, 0.70327, 0.70447
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.7033 lower high, near the 23.6% of the Wednesday drop fib, breaks the lower-highs trendline sequence
Failure to hold psych 0.7000 below the 0.7004 week low extends the lower-low sequence
Repeated rejection at ema20 near 0.7017 keeps the downtrend structure intact
A clear run back through the thu high at 0.7045 would shift the read toward a broader retracement
US Durable Goods (12:30 UTC) and UoM inflation expectations (14:00 UTC) today could materially shift this read via yields
RBA decision Tue 04:30 UTC is the next major AUD-specific risk
Lower highs and lower lows since Monday; compressing just above 0.7000.
AUDUSD has printed lower highs since Monday's 0.7140 top. The decisive leg came during Wednesday's London and NY sessions, as US yields climbed on strong US flash PMIs and hawkish Fed talk. Since then price has compressed just above the 0.7000 psych level, capped by EMA(20) near 0.7016 and a lower-highs trendline running off Thursday's 0.7045 thu high. The new week low at 0.7004 printed in the Asia session with RSI(14) near 37, well above Wednesday's oversold reading, an early bullish RSI divergence.
Support: 0.70036, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7016, 0.70327, 0.70447
What it said to watch
H1 close above the lower-highs trendline and the 0.7033 prior high breaks the lower-high sequence; the Wed selloff fib 38.2% near 0.7048 sits just above the thu high
Failure to hold the 0.7004 week low and 0.7000 psych extends the lower-low sequence and voids the divergence
US Durable Goods (12:30 UTC) and UoM inflation expectations (14:00 UTC) today could materially shift this read
Fed speakers Williams (09:15 UTC) and Hammack (18:00 UTC) on October hike pricing remain a yield-driven risk
Lower highs since Tuesday, compressing into 0.7000.
The week opened near 0.7126 and topped at 0.7140 on Monday. The dominant move came Wednesday: a slide from London into NY took price from 0.7120 to 0.7025 as hot US flash PMIs, Barr's hawkish comments and US yields above 5% drove the USD bid. Thursday's rebounds capped at the 0.7045 thu high in London and a 0.7033 lower high in NY, and price has since slipped to a fresh week low at 0.7004 in the Asia session, below EMA(20) near 0.7017. RSI(14) near 33 sits above its Wednesday trough despite the lower price, a mild bullish divergence as price presses the 0.7000 psych level.
Support: 0.70036, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7017, 0.70327, 0.70447
What it said to watch
H1 close below the 0.7000 psych extends the lower-low sequence beyond the week low
Close above the 0.7033 lower high breaks the lower-high line from Thursday
Holding back above the ema20 then 0.7045 thu high brings the 38.2% of Wednesday's slide near 0.7048 into play
US durables (12:30 UTC) and UoM inflation expectations (14:00 UTC) today could materially shift this read via yields
RBA decision Tue Sep 29 04:30 UTC is the next AUD-specific risk