AUD/USD AI Live Scan, 1-hour chart, Sunday, 27 September 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the AUD/USD 1-hour chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:04 UTC
Downtrend, basing near 0.7000 · RSI 38 · price 0.70091
Range 0.7004–0.7045 after Wednesday breakdown.
The week's dominant move came in Wednesday's NY session. A 25-pip NY-open drop through 0.7060 extended the decline from the 0.7126 week high to a 0.7004 week low by Friday's Asia session, as surging US yields lifted the USD. Since Thursday price has held a range between the 0.7004 range base and a 0.7045 range top, and Friday's USD pullback stalled below the 38.2% fib of the week decline. Monday's Asia open gapped under the 0.7025 Fri close and now sits below ema20 at 0.7021, with RSI(14) near 38 and price pressing the 0.7000 psych level.
Support: 0.70036, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7021, 0.70249, 0.70447
What it said to watch
H1 close below the 0.7000 psych and 0.7004 week low breaks the range base and confirms a lower low
Recovery through ema20 and the 0.7025 Fri close fills the gap; the 0.7045 range top capped both rebounds this week
RBA decision Tue 04:30 UTC and Bullock presser 05:30 UTC could materially shift this read
US ADP and PCE Wed 12:15–12:30 UTC; US yields remain the dominant driver of the week decline
Lower highs into a 40-pip range above the week low; Monday gap down.
The week's dominant move was Wednesday's roughly 100-pip sell-off through the London and NY sessions, as surging US yields and hawkish Fed repricing drove broad USD demand. Since then, lower highs at 0.7120 and 0.7045 have capped price and Thursday–Friday settled into a range between the week low at 0.7004 and a range top at 0.7042–0.7045, with the 0.7000 psych level just below. Monday's open gapped about 18 pips under the Friday close at 0.7025 and printed a gap low at 0.7007, leaving price below EMA(20) near 0.7022 with RSI(14) near 41 and ATR contracting to about 9 pips.
Support: 0.70068, 0.70036, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70249, 0.70435, 0.70502
What it said to watch
An H1 close back above the friday close at 0.7025 fills the gap and puts price back over EMA(20)
A break above the 0.7042–0.7045 range top and the fib 38.2 at 0.7050 would end the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold the gap low and the week low at 0.7004 exposes the 0.7000 psych level and opens a range break lower
RBA decision Tue 04:30 UTC (25bp hike priced) plus Bullock presser; guidance on further hikes vs one-and-done could materially shift this read
US JOLTS Tue, then ADP/PCE Wed as the USD-yield driver of this week's sell-off
Lower highs from Tuesday; 0.7004–0.7045 range since Thursday.
AUD/USD shed ~120 pips from Tuesday's 0.7126 high. The dominant leg ran from London into NY on Wednesday as US yields and Fed-hike repricing lifted the USD, and Thursday's and Friday's probes stopped at the 0.7004 week low, just above the 0.7000 psych level. Friday built higher lows on a USD pullback, but the NY push met rejection at 0.7042, matching Thursday's range top, and the week closed pinned on EMA(20) near 0.7024, below EMA(50) at 0.7033 and under the 38.2% fib of the week's decline at 0.7050.
Support: 0.7024, 0.7015, 0.7004
Resistance: 0.7033, 0.7044, 0.7050
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.7044 range top and ema50 opens the 38.2% fib at 0.7050
Break of Friday's 0.7015 higher low puts the 0.7004 week low and 0.7000 psych back in play
RBA decision Tue 04:30 UTC and Bullock presser at 05:30 UTC could materially shift this read
US ADP and PCE Wed 12:15–12:30 UTC; US yield direction remains the dominant driver