AUD/USD AI Live Scan, 1-hour chart, Monday, 26 October 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the AUD/USD 1-hour chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:03 UTC
Short-term down, testing week's range base · RSI 31 · price 0.70113
Double top at 0.7039, lower highs since Monday London.
Monday's Asia and London sessions printed a double top at 0.7039, extending the cap that has held the pair into the week. The break through 0.7022 at the NY open ran to a 0.7011 NY low, and the NY-session bounce stalled at 0.7027, a lower high near the 0.7027 weekly open, as pre-FOMC USD short-covering weighed. Price now sits below EMA(20) at the 61.8% retracement of the rally from the 0.6994 week low, with RSI(14) near 31, while the Friday low at 0.7004 and the 0.7000 handle sit beneath.
Support: 0.7011, 0.70044, 0.69936
Resistance: 0.7020, 0.70269, 0.70393
What it said to watch
An H1 close back above the 0.7027 lower high breaks the sequence of lower highs and weakens the double top read
Failure to hold the 0.7004 Friday low exposes the 0.7000 handle and the 0.6994 week low
Reclaiming EMA(20) near 0.7020 would show the NY-session selling absorbed
Tue US Durable Goods 12:30 UTC and Consumer Confidence 14:00 UTC could extend the USD leg
Bullock 00:15 UTC and Australian CPI 00:30 UTC Wed could materially shift this read
0.6994–0.7039 range; Monday double tap at the top rejected.
Friday's rally from the 0.7004 friday low ran into supply again at the 0.7035–0.7039 week high, near the 100-day SMA. Supply has capped that zone on every attempt since Wednesday, and Monday's London retest printed a double top before early NY hours drove price to the 0.7012 monday low as USD shorts were trimmed ahead of the Fed. Price now sits below the EMA20 at 0.7023 and the 0.7027 weekly open, has retraced about 70% of the Friday rally, and RSI(14) is near 41 with a lower-highs line capping the intraday bounces.
Support: 0.7012, 0.70044, 0.69936
Resistance: 0.7023, 0.7027, 0.70393
What it said to watch
H1 close back above the 0.7023 ema20 and 0.7027 weekly open would neutralise the double top and lower-highs read
Failure to hold the 0.7012 monday low, near the 78.6% fib, exposes the 0.7004 friday low and the 0.7000 handle
A break of the 0.6994 thursday low would end the week-long range
H1 close above the 0.7039 week high, the 100-day SMA zone, would mark a range break higher
US Durable Goods Tue 12:30 UTC and Consumer Confidence 14:00 UTC could set the pre-Fed USD tone
Bullock 00:15 UTC and Australia CPI 00:30 UTC Wed, then FOMC 18:00 UTC Wed, could materially shift this read
Four-day range 0.6994–0.7039; double top at the week high, lower highs into Monday's close.
AUDUSD has rotated inside a 0.6994–0.7039 range since Wednesday. Thursday's London dip to the 0.6994 thu low was bought, and Friday's late NY rally carried into Monday's 0.7039 week high. Two rejections there, first in Asia and then in London, formed a double top, and the drop at the NY open to the 0.7012 day low took price below EMA(20) near 0.7022 and the 0.7027 weekly open, with RSI(14) at about 41 and price sitting on the 50% fib of the Thu low–week high leg. A firmer USD on pre-Fed short-trimming, plus caution ahead of Wednesday's Australian CPI and FOMC, has kept the pair capped beneath the 100-day SMA zone.
Support: 0.7012, 0.7004, 0.6994
Resistance: 0.7022, 0.7027, 0.7039
What it said to watch
An H1 close back above the 0.7027 weekly open would negate the double top read and reopen the 0.7039 week high
Failure to hold the 0.7012 day low (near the 61.8% fib) and the 0.7004 friday low would expose the 0.6994 thu low and the 0.7000 handle
A break below the 0.6994 thu low would mark a range break to the downside
Lower highs from the London rejection keep the sequence pointed down while price holds below that line
US Durable Goods and Consumer Confidence on Tuesday, then Bullock and Q3 CPI at 00:15–00:30 UTC Wed and the FOMC, could materially shift this read
0.7000–0.7039 range; lower high after Monday's rejection, rising lows intact.
AUD/USD has held a 0.7000–0.7039 range since Wednesday. Monday's Asia and London tests of the range top were both rejected near 0.7039, the 100-day SMA cap the digest flags ahead of Wednesday's CPI and FOMC, and they left a double top. The first hour of NY then drove a drop to the 0.7012 monday low, which tagged the 61.8% fib of the Thursday-to-Monday advance. The bounce stalled at 0.7027, under the weekly open, leaving a lower high, with price now just below the ema20 and RSI(14) at 45, while rising lows from the 0.6994 thursday low still hold.
Support: 0.7012, 0.70044, 0.69936
Resistance: 0.7024, 0.7027, 0.70393
What it said to watch
H1 close back above the 0.7027 weekly open and the ema20 negates the lower highs since Monday's rejection
Failure to hold the 0.7012 monday low breaks the rising lows from Thursday and exposes the 0.7004 friday low, then the 0.6994 thursday low
H1 close above the 0.7039 range top clears the double top and the digest's 100-day SMA cap
US Durable Goods Tue 12:30 UTC and Consumer Confidence 14:00 UTC, then Australia CPI Wed 00:30 UTC and FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC, could materially shift this read
18:03 UTC
Sideways-to-higher, upside stalling at week high · RSI 46 · price 0.70244
Higher lows from Thursday under a flat 0.7039 cap.
AUDUSD has held a 0.6994–0.7039 range since Thursday's low. Friday's NY-session climb carried into a Monday double top at 0.7039, the area the digest flags as the 100-day SMA cap ahead of Wednesday's CPI and FOMC, and the second rejection in London led to a 27-pip slide into the first hour of NY. The 0.7012 Monday low held on the rising higher-low trendline and near the 61.8% retracement of the Thu–Mon advance; price has recovered to 0.7024, flat against EMA(20) and just under the 0.7027 weekly open, with RSI(14) neutral at 46.
Support: 0.7012, 0.70044, 0.69936
Resistance: 0.7027, 0.7039
What it said to watch
H1 close back above the 0.7027 weekly open, then the 0.7039 double top, would break the week's range cap
Failure to hold the 0.7012 Monday low breaks the higher-low trendline and exposes the 0.7004 Friday low and 0.6994 Thursday low
Australia CPI Wed 00:30 UTC (Bullock speaks 00:15) and the FOMC decision Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
US durable goods Tue 12:30 UTC is the last pre-Fed data check for USD
16:03 UTC
Range-bound, momentum fading off the cap · RSI 41 · price 0.70172
Higher lows under a flat 0.7036–0.7039 cap.
Monday's Asia and London sessions both stalled at the 0.7039 monday high, extending the caps at the 0.7036 range top seen Wednesday and Friday. That zone is the 100-day SMA area flagged in the AUD news read. The first hour of NY then dropped price 27 pips to 0.7012. That monday low sits on the 61.8% retrace of the Thursday–Monday advance and keeps the higher-low sequence from the 0.6994 week low intact, although price has slipped below ema20 with RSI(14) near 41. Caution ahead of Australia CPI and the FOMC is keeping the pair boxed between 0.6994 and 0.7039.
Support: 0.7012, 0.7004, 0.6994
Resistance: 0.7024, 0.7036, 0.7039
What it said to watch
H1 close below the 0.7012 monday low breaks the higher-low trendline and exposes the 0.7004 friday low
Loss of 0.7000 and the 0.6994 week low would turn the range into a lower-low sequence
Recovery above ema20 near 0.7024, then a close through the 0.7036 range top and 0.7039 monday high, would be the first break of the cap
Australia CPI Wed 00:30 UTC (Bullock 00:15 UTC) and FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read; US durable goods Tue 12:30 UTC is a nearer USD test
AUD/USD has been capped at the 0.7036–0.7039 band four times since Wednesday, including Monday's twin rejections at the week high in the Asia session and again at London open. That second rejection pushed price back below the EMA(20) near 0.7029, with RSI(14) easing to the mid-40s. Lows have stepped up from the 0.6994 thursday low to the 0.7004 friday low and the 0.7022 monday low, which sits on the 38.2% fib of the Thursday–Monday leg. The digest ties the cap to the 100-day SMA area, while RBA hike bets keep AUD supported ahead of Wednesday's CPI.
Support: 0.7022, 0.7004, 0.6994
Resistance: 0.7029, 0.7039
What it said to watch
H1 close below the 0.7022 monday low and the rising line would complete the intraday double top and expose the 0.7004 friday low
Close back above the ema20 at 0.7029 keeps price pinned in the upper half of the range
H1 close above the 0.7039 week high breaks the range top that has capped price since Wednesday
Loss of the 0.6994 thursday low invalidates the rising-lows structure
US Durable Goods Tue 12:30 UTC, then Bullock at 00:15 UTC and AU CPI at 00:30 UTC Wed, could materially shift this read
FOMC decision Wed 18:00 UTC adds a second volatility event within the same session window
Higher lows since Thursday into flat highs at 0.7036–0.7039.
Higher lows have built since Thursday's dip to 0.6994 after soft AU flash PMIs. Friday's NY-session rally carried price back to the prior close at 0.7036, and Monday's week high at 0.7039 was rejected in both the Asia session and London. Price is now compressed in a 17-pip session range above the Monday low at 0.7022, which marks the 38.2% retracement of the Thursday–Monday leg. It sits on EMA(20) with RSI(14) flat near 52, as RBA hike pricing keeps dips shallow and a firmer USD into FOMC supplies supply at the top.
Support: 0.70289, 0.70217, 0.70044
Resistance: 0.70359, 0.70393
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.7039 week high breaks the flat-top cap and ends the consolidation read
Failure to hold the Monday low at 0.7022 breaks the higher-low trendline and exposes the friday low at 0.7004
US durable goods Tue 12:30 UTC, then AU CPI 00:30 UTC Wed and FOMC 18:00 UTC Wed could materially shift this read
10:02 UTC
Higher lows, pressing range top · RSI 58 · price 0.7037
Higher lows beneath flat 0.7036–0.7039 cap.
AUDUSD has printed higher lows since Tuesday's 0.6983 low, and Friday's London-session push ran to 0.7038. Monday's Asian session matched that with a week high at 0.7039, then dipped to the monday low at 0.7022, which sits on the 38.2% retracement of the Thursday–Monday leg. Price has since reclaimed the ema20 near 0.7030, but supply has capped every test of the 0.7036–0.7039 band, the 100-day SMA area, as RBA hike pricing offsets the weak flash PMIs ahead of Wednesday's CPI.
Support: 0.7030, 0.7022, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7039, 0.7045
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.7039 week high breaks the range top and exposes the 0.7045 uob cap
A break below the 0.7022 monday low also breaks the higher-low trendline and puts the 0.7000 psych level in focus
Bullock speech (00:15 UTC Wed) and AU CPI (00:30 UTC Wed, f/c 4.2% y/y) could materially shift this read
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC Wed and US Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC Tue are USD-side risk to the range
Higher lows have stacked against a flat range top at 0.7036–0.7039. Tuesday's 0.6983 base gave way to Thursday's dip to 0.6994, which was bought back above the 0.7000 round number, then Friday's 0.7004 and today's 0.7022 monday low at the 38.2% retracement of the Thu-Mon leg. Monday's Asia-session spike to a 0.7039 month high met rejection, but price has recovered through the weekly open and EMA(20) near 0.7027–0.7029, with RSI(14) back around 57. Friday's leg up came in London and NY hours as softer US yields weighed on the USD, while weak AU PMIs and pre-CPI caution have capped follow-through at the range top.
Support: 0.7027, 0.70217, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70393, 0.7045
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.7039 month high breaks the range top and exposes the 0.7045 res cluster
Loss of the 0.7022 monday low breaks the higher-lows trendline and the 38.2% retracement
Failure back below the weekly open/EMA(20) at 0.7027 returns price to range-bound chop
AU Q3 CPI (Wed 00:30 UTC, after Bullock at 00:15) and the FOMC later Wednesday could materially shift this read; a soft CPI print would put the 0.7000 round number back in focus
US Durable Goods Tue 12:30 UTC adds pre-Fed USD event risk
07:03 UTC
Range-bound in upper half of the week, momentum fading · RSI 47 · price 0.70282
Higher lows since Thursday, capped under 0.7036–0.7039 highs.
The soft AU flash PMIs drove a Thursday flush to 0.6994, and the recovery from that low ran through Friday's NY session into a 0.7039 week high in Monday's Asian session. It stalled there, the fourth test of the 0.7036–0.7039 cap since Wednesday. Price has since slipped under EMA(20) near 0.7030 and is sitting on the 0.7027 weekly open. The 0.7022 Monday low matches the 38.2% fib of the Thursday–Monday leg, and RSI(14) has eased to the high 40s.
Support: 0.7027, 0.70217, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7030, 0.70393, 0.7045
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.7039 week high breaks the range top and brings the 0.7045 res band into play
Failure to hold the 0.7022 Monday low and 38.2% fib exposes the 0.7000 psych level and Thursday's 0.6994 low
Repeated H1 closes back above EMA(20) at 0.7030 would show the pullback from the week high being absorbed
US Durable Goods and Consumer Confidence on Tuesday, then Bullock and AU Q3 CPI at 00:30 UTC Wed and the FOMC decision, could materially shift this read
06:03 UTC
Uptrend, stalling below the week high · RSI 51 · price 0.70266
Higher lows since Tuesday under a flat 0.7036–0.7039 cap.
AUDUSD has printed higher lows since Tuesday's 0.6983 London low. Thursday's PMI-driven dip held at 0.6994, and the NY-hours push on Friday carried price to a 0.7039 week high in early Asia today. Supply has capped the 0.7036–0.7039 area across four sessions. Monday opened with a gap below Friday's 0.7036 close, and the Asian rejection has price back under the ema20 near 0.7028, sitting on the 38.2% retrace of Friday's leg with RSI(14) neutral around 51.
Support: 0.7025, 0.70044, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7028, 0.70393, 0.7045
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.7039 week high exposes the 0.7045–0.7074 res cluster
Loss of the 0.7025 session low opens the 50% retrace at 0.7022, then the 0.7004 friday low
A break of the higher-lows trendline and the 0.7000 round number would end the sequence that has held since Tuesday
Tue US Durable Goods 12:30 UTC, then Bullock 00:15 UTC and Q3 CPI 00:30 UTC Wed, with FOMC at 18:00 UTC; all could materially shift this read
Range 0.6994–0.7039 with higher lows under a flat top.
Since Wednesday AUD/USD has capped at a 0.7036–0.7039 range top. Thursday's slump in the AUD flash PMIs drove a London-session false break below 0.7000 to the 0.6994 thursday low, which was quickly reclaimed. Higher lows followed at the 0.7004 friday low and the 0.7025 monday low, and Friday's NY-hours rally plus Monday's Asia open set a marginal week high at 0.7039 that did not extend. Price now hugs EMA(20) near 0.7028 with RSI(14) flat around 48, compressing between the higher lows trendline and the flat top ahead of Wednesday's RBA/CPI and FOMC.
Support: 0.70253, 0.70044, 0.69936
Resistance: 0.70361, 0.70393
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.7039 week high breaks the range top and ends the compression read
Failure to hold the 0.7025 monday low and the higher lows trendline reopens the 0.7004 friday low
A break below the 0.6994 thursday low would undo the false break and the higher-low sequence
Tue US Durable Goods (12:30 UTC) and Consumer Confidence (14:00 UTC) could test the range edges
Wed 00:15–00:30 UTC Bullock speech and AU CPI (f/c 4.2% YoY), then FOMC at 18:00 UTC, could materially shift this read
04:04 UTC
Sideways, higher lows under a flat top · RSI 46 · price 0.7028
0.6994–0.7039 range since Wednesday, higher lows into the range top.
Since Wednesday AUDUSD has held a 0.6994–0.7039 range. Thursday's Asia-session slide on the weak AU flash PMIs found demand at the thursday low of 0.6994, and Friday's London-NY recovery from the friday low of 0.7004 printed a higher low. Monday's Asia session opened on a small gap down near 0.7027, rejected the 0.7039 range top and now sits just under the ema20 near 0.7030 with RSI(14) around 46, holding the 38.2% retrace of Friday's leg at the monday low of 0.7025.
Support: 0.70253, 0.70044, 0.69936
Resistance: 0.7030, 0.70393
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.7039 range top breaks the flat ceiling capping Wednesday, Thursday, Friday and Monday highs
Loss of the monday low at 0.7025 puts the 50–61.8% zone of Friday's leg and the higher-lows trendline toward 0.7004 in play
Break of the thursday low at 0.6994 ends the higher-low sequence and the range read
Tue US Durable Goods 12:30 UTC and Consumer Confidence 14:00 UTC are the last pre-FOMC data
RBA Bullock 00:15 UTC and AU CPI 00:30 UTC Wed (YoY f/c 4.2%), then FOMC 18:00 UTC Wed, could materially shift this read
03:04 UTC
Range after Tuesday impulse, momentum fading · RSI 45 · price 0.70273
0.6994–0.7039 range since Wednesday, range top capping.
Tuesday's London-NY push from 0.6980 cleared 0.7000, but every advance since Wednesday has stalled in the 0.7036–0.7039 band. Thursday's slump in the Australian flash PMIs drove a drop to the 0.6994 thursday low before Friday's NY recovery retested the range top. Monday's Asia session gapped lower from Friday's 0.7036 close, poked to 0.7039 and slipped back. Price sits just under the ema20 near 0.7030, with RSI(14) easing to the mid-40s and ATR(14) compressed to about 6 pips.
Support: 0.70253, 0.70044, 0.69936
Resistance: 0.7030, 0.70393
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.7039 range top invalidates the range read and marks Monday's poke as more than a false break
Failure to hold the 0.7025 monday low exposes the 50% retracement of the Thursday–Monday leg near 0.7017, then the 0.7004 friday low
Loss of the 0.6994 thursday low and the 0.7000 round number breaks the range floor
US Durable Goods Tue 12:30 UTC, then RBA's Bullock and AU CPI from 00:15 UTC Wed, could materially shift this read
FOMC decision Wed 18:00 UTC, where December guidance is the key variable
0.6994–0.7039 range since Wednesday, higher low Friday, top repeatedly capping.
Tuesday's impulse from 0.6980 has turned into a 0.6994–0.7039 range. The range top has capped Wednesday, Thursday and Friday highs, and Monday's Asia-session push to 0.7039 was rejected. The thursday low at 0.6994 came as AUD's flash PMIs slumped into contraction, and Friday's NY session rebuilt from the friday low at 0.7004. After the weekend gap, price has slipped back onto the weekly open at 0.7027, flush with a flat EMA(20). RSI(14) sits near 49, and EMA(50) near 0.7021 is still below.
Support: 0.7027, 0.70044, 0.69936
Resistance: 0.70393, 0.7074, 0.7100
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.7039 range top breaks the four-test cap and opens the 0.7074 sma cluster, then the 0.7100 round number
Acceptance below the weekly open at 0.7027 brings the week-impulse 38.2% at 0.7017 into play, then the friday low at 0.7004
Loss of the thursday low at 0.6994 breaks the range and the 0.7000 handle, undoing the higher-low sequence
US Durable Goods Tue 12:30 UTC, then Bullock at 00:15 UTC and AU CPI at 00:30 UTC Wed (f/c 4.2% YoY), could materially shift this read
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC; December guidance is the swing variable for USD
01:05 UTC
Uptrend, stalling at range top · RSI 58 · price 0.7030
Higher lows compressing under flat 0.7036–0.7039 top.
AUDUSD extended Tuesday's impulse from 0.6977 to 0.7036 by Wednesday's London session on rising RBA hike bets and a softer USD. It slipped to the 0.6994 thursday low as Iran headlines and weak AU PMIs weighed, and NY buyers lifted it back to the range top on Friday despite firm US data. The 0.7036–0.7039 range top has now capped four tests, including a Monday Asia probe, while higher lows at 0.6994, 0.7004 (friday low) and 0.7025 tighten beneath it, with price holding just above the ema20 near 0.7028 and RSI(14) near 58.
Support: 0.7028, 0.7004, 0.6994
Resistance: 0.7039, 0.7074, 0.7100
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.7039 range top opens the 0.7074 sma cluster and the 0.7100 round number
Failure to hold the 0.7004 friday low breaks the higher-lows trendline and exposes the 0.6994 thursday low
Sustained trade below the ema20 at 0.7028 would mark a fifth rejection from the range top
US durable goods Tue 12:30 UTC, then the Bullock speech and AU CPI Wed 00:15/00:30 UTC, could materially shift this read
FOMC decision Wed 18:00 UTC is the main USD-side risk to the range
00:04 UTC
Uptrend stalled into a range below 0.7038 · RSI 52 · price 0.70282
Higher lows pressing a flat range top.
Tuesday's NY session drove the break above 0.7000 and Wednesday's Asia-London push stalled near 0.7036. Price has ranged between the 0.7004 range floor and the 0.7038 range top since, as hawkish-RBA repricing offset Thursday's weak PMIs and risk-off hit. That Thursday London dip swept to the 0.6994 swing low, near the 61.8% level of the week rally fib, and buyers stepped back in to print higher lows into Friday's NY rally back to the range top. Monday opened with a small gap lower at 0.7027, filled to 0.7039 and met rejection there. Price now sits on EMA20 near 0.7028 with RSI(14) flat around 52, still above the rising EMA50 near 0.7022.
Support: 0.7028, 0.7004, 0.6994
Resistance: 0.7038, 0.7100
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.7038 range top breaks the range and opens the path toward the 0.7100 round number
A sustained move below EMA20 and the higher lows line shifts focus back to the 0.7004 range floor
Failure to hold 0.7004 and then the 0.6994 swing low turns the week's higher lows into a failed range
US durable goods (Tue 12:30 UTC) could jolt the range edges during NY hours
Bullock's speech and Australian CPI (Wed 00:15/00:30 UTC), then the FOMC decision (Wed 18:00 UTC), could materially shift this read