BTC/USD AI Live Scan, 4-hour chart, Wednesday, 4 November 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the BTC/USD 4-hour chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
22:07 UTC
Rebound off swept lows, testing old range · RSI 61 · price 79,958.94
Break above 75.7k–78.8k base into lower half of pre-hack range.
The Oct 29 Binance-hack breakdown pushed BTC out of the 79.2k–81.9k range and into a 75.7k–78.8k base. The latest leg swept below the base lows to the 75,671 swing low, then reversed and broke the base top at 78,824, reaching a spike high of 81,104. Price has eased back to just under 80k, above the old range floor near 79,300 and above both EMAs, with ATR(14) near 1,050 and expanding on the move, a firmer chart than the stale digest's 'capped near 79k' read.
What it said to watch
H4 close back below the base top at 78,824 would turn the breakout into a false break
Failure to hold the range floor near 79,300 puts the rally fib 50% at ~78,390 in play
Rejection below the 81,104 spike high keeps a lower-high trendline from the 81,893 range high intact; a close above the range high reclaims the pre-hack range
Thu jobless claims and Fri NFP (13:30 UTC, f/c 65K) could materially shift this read
Any outbound movement from the hacker wallets holding 18,270 BTC is a headline supply risk
Sweep of 76.2k low reversed into breakout above 78.8k range top.
After the Binance-hack breakdown from the 81,893 swing high, BTC held a 76,200–78,800 base for a week. A brief sweep to 75,670 below the 76,227 swing low reversed, and the latest bar cleared the 78,800 breakout lvl and the $79k resistance flagged in the digest, with the short-squeeze rebound reaching a 81,104 spike high. Price now sits above both EMAs near the 78.6% retracement of the drop, with ATR expanding off the base.
What it said to watch
H4 close back below the 78,800 breakout lvl would mark the move as a false break back into the base
Close above the 81,104 spike high puts the 81,893 swing high and full retracement of the drop in play
Loss of the 76,227 swing low and 75,670 sweep low would resume the lower-low sequence
Thu jobless claims and Fri NFP (f/c 65K) after ADP's beat could materially shift this read; hot data revives USD and yields
Stolen-coin wallet transfers or further ETF outflows remain a supply-overhang risk to the rebound
14:05 UTC
Post-crash range, recovery testing range high · RSI 58 · price 78,450.60
Lower high from 81,893; 76,230–78,820 range since the hack sell-off, false break below.
The Oct 29 Binance hack knocked BTC from the 81,893 swing high into a 76,230–78,820 range. Price then spent most of a week inside that range. The latest drop to 75,670 was a false break under the range low and reversed fast, taking price back above the fib 38.2 at 78,048 and through the lower-high line from 78,824. The digest frames the bounce as short-covering after heavy ETF outflows, and price is now pressing the range high just under the round number at 79,000, with ATR elevated near 860.
What it said to watch
H4 close above the 78,824 range high and the 79,000 round number opens the fib 61.8 at 79,516
Slip back below the fib 38.2 at 78,048 returns price to the middle of the range
Close below the 75,670 swing low invalidates the false-break read and resumes the post-hack downtrend
ISM Services PMI at 15:00 UTC (f/c 54.8) could materially shift this read via yields and the USD
Spot ETF flow prints and movement from hacker wallets holding 18,270 BTC remain a supply risk against the range high
10:05 UTC
Downtrend paused, basing inside a lower range · RSI 51 · price 78,105.98
Breakdown from 79,300-81,900 range into 76,200-78,800 range; sweep below range reclaimed.
The post-hack breakdown from the prior high at 81,893 reset BTC into a 76,200-78,800 range. The latest leg briefly broke the 76,230 swing low to a 75,671 sweep low before closing back inside, and price now sits on the 38.2% retracement near 78,050. EMA20 (~77,550) remains below EMA50 (~77,930) with price marginally above both, while ATR(14) near 860 points is elevated after the sweep bar. The digest frames the rebound as short-covering against ETF outflows rather than fresh demand.
What it said to watch
H4 close above the 78,824 range high, which aligns with the 50% fib, would break the lower-high sequence and bring the 79,300 old base (prior range floor) into view
Rejection at 78,824 keeps the range intact; a close back below the ema20 near 77,550 points back toward the 76,230 swing low
A close below the 75,671 sweep low would turn the false break into a continuation of the downtrend
US ADP (13:15 UTC) and ISM Services (15:00 UTC) today; strong prints firming USD and yields could cap the bounce below the range high
On-chain movement from the hacker wallets holding 18,270 BTC is a headline risk to the 76,230 swing low
Lower highs and lower lows since the breakdown from the 79,200-81,900 range.
BTC broke out of the 79,200-81,900 range after the Binance hack and has since printed lower highs at the 78,824 swing high and the 78,003 lower high. The latest bar ran to a 75,670 swing low before closing back above the 76,227 prior low. That rejection at 78,003 came despite the Democratic midterm sweep weighing on USD, consistent with ETF outflows and a rebound driven more by short-covering than fresh demand. ATR(14) is expanding off the last two bars, and price sits below both EMAs.
What it said to watch
H4 close below the 75,670 swing low extends the lower-low sequence toward the 75,000 psych level
H4 close above the 78,003 lower high breaks the descending trendline and exposes the 78,824 swing high
A recovery through the 78,824 swing high would bring the fib 61.8% at 79,516, near the old range floor, into view
ADP (13:15 UTC) and ISM Services (15:00 UTC) today; strong prints firming yields would keep supply capping below 78,003
On-chain movement from the hacker wallets holding 18,270 BTC could materially shift this read
02:05 UTC
Post-hack downtrend, basing below both EMAs · RSI 45 · price 77,413.75
76,200–78,800 range after the hack drop; flat range base, lower high at 78,003.
The Oct 29 Binance hack broke BTC out of the 79,200–81,900 range and sent it to the 76,227 hack low. Since then it has held a 76,200–78,800 range, and the retest of the range base at the 76,316 swing low held just above that low. That leaves a potential double bottom, with the neckline at the 78,824 swing high. The rebound is still capped at the 78,003 lower high, below the 23.6% level of the hack drop fib, with price under both EMAs and EMA20 below EMA50. ATR(14) near $700 has compressed from the crash bars.
What it said to watch
H4 close above the 78,824 swing high completes the double bottom and opens the 50% fib near 79,060
Failure to clear the 78,003 lower high keeps the lower highs sequence and the range intact
Loss of 77,000 psych and a break of the 76,227 hack low would resume the post-hack downtrend
US midterm results overnight, then ADP and ISM Services on Wed, could materially shift this read