EUR/USD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Tuesday, 3 November 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the EUR/USD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:46 UTC
Range-bound, late bid into midterm results · RSI 65 · price 1.12004
Day range 1.1175–1.1206, price pressing the top.
After the rollover dip held at the 1.1180 late low, the late rally on early US midterm results lifted price back to 1.1200. It is now poking through the lower highs line from the 1.1206 London high, with the 1.1202 late high capping so far. The 1.1175 day low held twice during London and NY.
Support: 1.1180, 1.1175
Resistance: 1.1202, 1.1206
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.1206 London high breaks the day range
Slip back below the 1.1180 late low unwinds the late rally and reopens the 1.1175 day low
Senate control call overnight could swing this read either way
Eurozone PMIs 08:15–09:00 UTC and flash HICP 10:00 UTC Wed are the next scheduled catalysts
23:32 UTC
Sideways, lower highs into flat support · RSI 56 · price 1.11927
1.1175–1.1206 range since London open; highs stepping lower, 1.1175 day low tested three times.
EURUSD has held a 1.1175–1.1206 range since the London open. The 1.1175 day low held three times while highs stepped lower: the 1.1206 London high, then a NY high at the 1.1200 psych level, then 1.1199 late in NY. Early Asia lifted price off the 1.1180 rollover low and filled the rollover gap as US midterm results began landing. It is now pressing the falling highs line and the 61.8% of the London drop near 1.1194–1.1196, with RSI(14) at 56.
Support: 1.1180, 1.1175
Resistance: 1.1200, 1.1206
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.1200 psych level breaks the falling highs sequence and puts the 1.1206 London high in play
Failure to hold the 1.1180 rollover low exposes the 1.1175 day low; a break there ends the range read
Senate control calls overnight could materially shift this read; a Democratic sweep is the EUR-supportive tail
Eurozone PMIs 08:15–09:00 UTC and flash HICP 10:00 UTC Wed are the next scheduled range-break risk
23:16 UTC
Sideways, mild drift lower since NY · RSI 44 · price 1.11874
24h range 1.1175–1.1206, mid-range in thin early Asia.
The London high at 1.1206 faded to a 1.1175 day low, where demand stepped in three times. The strong US JOLTS beat produced a whipsaw before the rebound to the 1.1199 NY high. Early Asia is trading thin near 1.1187, below EMA20/50 and under the 1.1192 ny shelf after a rollover low at 1.1180, with RSI(14) neutral at 44 as midterm results start to land.
Support: 1.1180, 1.1175
Resistance: 1.1192, 1.1199, 1.1206
What it said to watch
US midterm results overnight (Senate call) could spike price out of the 1.1175–1.1206 range in thin Asia liquidity
M15 close below the 1.1175 day low breaks the range floor tested three times
Reclaim of the 1.1192 ny shelf reopens the 1.1199 ny high and the 1.1206 london high
Eurozone flash HICP at 10:00 UTC Wed (f/c 4%, core 2.5%) is the next scheduled range-break risk
23:02 UTC
Sideways, mild downside drift since late NY · RSI 42 · price 1.11868
Day range 1.1175–1.1206, lower highs, flat lows.
Tuesday held a 1.1175–1.1206 range. The London open was rejected at the 1.1206 London high, and the 1.1175 day low held three times, including the drop after the JOLTS beat at 15:00 UTC. Price sits in thin early-Asia trade just above the 1.1180 rollover low. It is near the 50% fib of the NY swing and below the 1.1192 NY shelf, with RSI(14) ~42.
Support: 1.1180, 1.1175
Resistance: 1.1192, 1.1200, 1.1206
What it said to watch
US midterm results from 23:00 UTC, in thin liquidity, could push price through either range edge
Loss of the 1.1180 rollover low exposes the 1.1175 day low; an M15 close below it breaks the range
Reclaim of the 1.1192 NY shelf brings 1.1200 psych and the 1.1206 London high back into view
Flash HICP Wed 10:00 UTC could materially shift this read
1.1175–1.1206 day range, lower highs since London, triple-tested floor.
EUR/USD spent the day inside 1.1175–1.1206. The day low held three times, including after the JOLTS beat sent price there mid-NY, while highs stepped lower from the 1.1206 London high to the 1.1199 NY high. The rollover gap left price at 1.1187, under the 1.1190 late range floor, in thin pre-midterm trade with RSI(14) near 34.
Support: 1.11843, 1.1175
Resistance: 1.1190, 1.11992, 1.12062
What it said to watch
US midterm results from ~23:00 UTC could materially shift this read in thin liquidity
Failure to hold the 1.1184 rollover low exposes the 1.1175 day low; a close below it breaks the range
Reclaim of the 1.1190 late range, then a break of the lower highs line near the 1.1199 NY high, would challenge the 1.1206 London high
Flash HICP (10:00 UTC Wed) is the next scheduled range-break catalyst
24h range 1.1175–1.1206, lower highs since London.
EURUSD spent the day boxed between the 1.1175 triple low and the 1.1206 London high. The beat in US JOLTS knocked it back to 1.1175 in NY, and the session high then capped at 1.1199 for another lower high. Price sits at the 50% retracement of that NY bounce after a thin rollover gap to 1.1184, with RSI(14) near 34 and ATR around 3 pips as Asia opens.
Support: 1.11843, 1.1175
Resistance: 1.11992, 1.12062
What it said to watch
US midterm results from ~23:00 UTC could break the quiet Asian range; a Senate surprise is the larger swing factor
Failure to hold the 1.1184 rollover low exposes the 1.1175 triple low; an M15 close below it breaks the day's range floor
M15 close above the 1.1199 ny high and the 1.1200 pivot breaks the lower-highs line and puts the 1.1206 london high in play
24h range 1.1175–1.1206, lower highs, price mid-range.
EURUSD is ranging between the 1.1175 day low, tested three times in Asia, London and NY, and the 1.1206 London high. Highs have stepped lower to the 1.1200 NY high, and the pair faded after Tuesday's JOLTS beat. Price has slipped below the late-NY shelf at 1.1192 after a rollover gap to 1.1184, and the move sits around the 50% level of the NY swing as midterm caution keeps early-Asia ranges thin.
Support: 1.11843, 1.1175
Resistance: 1.1192, 1.12007, 1.12062
What it said to watch
US midterm results from ~23:00 UTC could break the range in either direction during the Asia session
Failure to hold the gap low at 1.1184 exposes the 1.1175 day low; a close below it breaks the range floor
M15 close back above the late-NY shelf at 1.1192 and then the 1.1200 NY high would break the lower-highs line
Wed 10:00 GMT flash HICP (f/c 4.0% y/y) is the next scheduled EUR catalyst
22:01 UTC
Sideways, momentum flat after NY close · RSI 45 · price 1.1191
Day range 1.1175–1.1206, price mid-range in compression.
Range day between the day low at 1.1175 and the London high at 1.1206. London false-broke the Asian range high, and the 1.1175 day low held three times, the last after the JOLTS and Factory Orders beats in NY hours. Post-NY trade is compressed in a 3-pip band below the NY high at 1.1199. Price is sitting on the 38.2% retrace of the NY rebound fib near 1.1190, with the late NY low at 1.1188 just beneath.
Support: 1.1188, 1.1175
Resistance: 1.1199, 1.1206
What it said to watch
US midterm results from ~23:00 UTC land in the Asia session and could break the compression
M15 close above the NY high at 1.1199 and the 1.1200 pivot reopens the London high at 1.1206
Loss of the late NY low at 1.1188 puts the triple-tested day low at 1.1175 back in play
1.1175–1.1206 day range; flat lows, descending highs.
The london high at 1.1206 faded, NY's push after the JOLTS beat stalled under the 1.1200 round number, and buyers defended the 1.1175 day low three times, leaving a lower-highs sequence against flat lows. After the NY close, price compressed into a 5-pip band above the 1.1188 late low, under EMA20 and sitting on EMA50, with ATR down to ~4 pips ahead of the US midterm results.
Support: 1.11878, 1.1175
Resistance: 1.1200, 1.12062
What it said to watch
US midterm results from ~23:00 UTC could break the post-NY compression; a Senate flip is the USD-negative swing factor
A close above the 1.1200 round number breaks the lower-highs line and reopens the 1.1206 london high
Failure to hold the 1.1188 late low exposes the 1.1175 day low; a break there ends the range read
21:31 UTC
Sideways, intraday range intact · RSI 43 · price 1.11916
1.1175–1.1206 day range; late-NY lower highs compressing near 1.1190.
The London high at 1.1206 faded, and the 1.1175 triple low held three times, including the 15:00 UTC drop after the JOLTS beat. The NY swing failed just under the 1.1200 round number. Price has since held the 38.2–50% fib zone with a late-NY low at 1.1188 and is coiling in a 5-pip pocket after NY close ahead of midterm results.
Support: 1.11878, 1.1175
Resistance: 1.1200, 1.12062
What it said to watch
US midterm results from ~23:00 UTC could break the compression; Senate control is the swing factor for USD
M15 close above the 1.1200 round number brings the 1.1206 London high back into play
Loss of the 1.1188 late-NY low puts the 1.1175 triple low and range floor back in focus
A close below 1.1175 converts the day range into a range break lower
21:16 UTC
Sideways, drifting lower after NY · RSI 42 · price 1.11911
1.1175–1.1206 day range; post-NY lower highs.
London's push to 1.1206 (london high) faded. The beats in US JOLTS and factory orders then knocked EURUSD to the 1.1175 day low for a third time, and buyers stepped back in there. After the NY session, price is printing lower highs off the 1.1199 ny high and sits just above the 1.1188 late low near the 38.2% fib, with ATR compressed to about 4 pips.
Support: 1.11878, 1.11748
Resistance: 1.11992, 1.12062
What it said to watch
US midterm results from ~23:00 UTC could break the compressed range in either direction
A break of the 1.1188 late low exposes the 1.1175 day low
An M15 close above the lower-highs line and the 1.1199 ny high puts the 1.1200 round number and the 1.1206 london high back in play
21:01 UTC
Sideways, drifting lower in late NY · RSI 48 · price 1.11911
Intraday range 1.1175–1.1206; lower highs below 1.1199.
The day's range of 1.1175–1.1206 is intact. The US JOLTS beat pushed price into the 1.1175 day low for a third rejection there, and the rebound stalled at the 1.1199 NY high. Late NY is drifting on lower highs to 1.1191, holding the 38.2% fib of that rebound and the late-NY low at 1.1188, with RSI(14) neutral at 48 and ATR at about 4 pips.
Support: 1.1188, 1.1175
Resistance: 1.1199, 1.1206
What it said to watch
M15 close below the late-NY low at 1.1188 extends the lower-high sequence toward the 1.1175 day low
A break of 1.1175 after three rejections would take out the floor of the day's range
A break of the late-NY lower-highs trendline and a close above the 1.1199 NY high reopens the 1.1206 London high
US midterm results from about 23:00 UTC (01:00 broker) could widen the range; Senate control is the swing variable
1.1175–1.1206 day range, lower highs into late NY.
EUR/USD failed above the 1.1206 London high, and the dip to the 1.1175 day low after the JOLTS beat was bought, forming a double bottom with the 12:30 UTC low. Late NY is a shallow pullback from the 1.1199 swing high, about 30% into the NY rebound fib and above the 1.1188 swing low. Highs are stepping lower and RSI(14) sits neutral at 47.
Support: 1.11878, 1.1175
Resistance: 1.11992, 1.12062
What it said to watch
Close above the 1.1199 swing high and the lower-highs line reopens the 1.1206 London high
Break of the 1.1188 swing low exposes the 1.1175 day low and the double bottom
US midterm results from ~23:00 UTC could break the day range in thin Asia session trade
20:31 UTC
Sideways, flat EMA20 with a sequence of lower highs · RSI 49 · price 1.11921
1.1175–1.1206 day range; three tests of the day low, highs stepping lower.
The London high at 1.1206 capped the day. The US JOLTS beat at 15:00 UTC drove a third test of the 1.1175 day low, where demand stepped in again and lifted price to a 1.1199 lower high. Post-NY drift has retraced roughly half of that post-JOLTS rally to the 1.1188 late low, with RSI(14) at 49 and price sitting on a flat EMA20.
Support: 1.11878, 1.11748
Resistance: 1.11992, 1.12062
What it said to watch
A close above the lower highs at 1.1199–1.1200 breaks the descending-highs line and exposes the 1.1206 London high
Loss of the 1.1188 late low brings the 1.1175 day low back into play; a close below it ends the range read
US midterm results from ~23:00 UTC could gap the Asian session and reset this structure
Wed 10:00 GMT flash HICP (f/c 4.0% y/y) is the next scheduled EUR catalyst for a range break
20:16 UTC
Sideways, lower highs into late NY · RSI 47 · price 1.11902
1.1175–1.1206 session range, lower highs above a triple low.
EUR/USD has held a 1.1175–1.1206 range through London and NY. The JOLTS beat at 15:00 UTC drove a third test of the 1.1175 triple low before buyers stepped back in. Late-NY drift has price at the 38.2% fib of that rally near 1.1190, under a lower-highs line running from the 1.1206 session high through the 1.1199 swing high.
Support: 1.11878, 1.11842, 1.1175
Resistance: 1.11992, 1.12062
What it said to watch
Loss of the 1.1188 late-NY low exposes the 61.8% fib at 1.1184
M15 close below the 1.1175 triple low breaks the session range
M15 close above the 1.1199 swing high breaks the lower-highs line, with the 1.1206 session high next
US midterm results from ~23:00 UTC could materially shift this read
20:01 UTC
Sideways, upside fading · RSI 47 · price 1.11901
1.1175–1.1206 intraday range, lower highs since London.
The London spike to the 1.1206 london high reversed to a 1.1175 triple low that held three times into NY. The rebound stalled at the 1.1199 pm high, just under the 1.1200 round number and the lower-highs line, and price is now drifting at the 38.2% fib of the pm rally toward the 1.1188 pm swing low; RSI(14) neutral near 47 with US midterm results due overnight.
Support: 1.1188, 1.1175
Resistance: 1.1199, 1.1206
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.1188 pm swing low exposes the 1.1175 triple low
Break of the 1.1175 triple low turns the range into a lower-low
Close above the 1.1199 pm high and the 1.1206 london high breaks the lower-highs line
US midterm results from ~23:00 UTC could materially shift this read
19:46 UTC
Intraday range, mild drift lower in late NY · RSI 45 · price 1.11908
Range 1.1175–1.1206 with equal lows held twice; NY rebound capped at a lower high.
The JOLTS beat sent EURUSD to 1.1175, a double low with London's 1.1175 trough. The NY rebound stalled at 1.1199, a lower high under the 1.1206 London high, and price is now slipping back to the 38.2% retrace of that rebound near 1.1190 in thin late-NY trade, RSI(14) around 45.
Support: 1.11882, 1.1175
Resistance: 1.11992, 1.12062
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 1.1188 ny swing low exposes the 1.1175 double low again
A close above the 1.1199 ny high reopens the 1.1206 london high and the range top
US midterm results from about 23:00 UTC, especially a Senate call, could materially shift this read in the Asia session
19:31 UTC
Range-bound, lower highs since London · RSI 48 · price 1.1191
1.1175–1.1206 day range; NY higher low under lower-highs line.
Late NY, after London close, price is compressing near 1.1191 inside the 1.1175–1.1206 day range, capped by a line of lower highs from the London high at 1.1206. The day low at 1.1175 held through London and again after the NY open spike that followed the JOLTS and Factory Orders beats faded; NY has since printed a higher low at 1.1188, with the NY high at 1.1199 overhead.
Support: 1.1188, 1.1175
Resistance: 1.1199, 1.1206
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.1188 higher low exposes a retest of the 1.1175 day low
Break above the 1.1199 NY high and the lower-highs line opens the 1.1206 London high
US midterm results from ~23:00 UTC could abruptly reshape this range
19:16 UTC
Sideways, higher lows since NY dip · RSI 55 · price 1.1194
Late-NY range 1.1188–1.1199 inside the Asian range, triple test of the 1.1175 day low.
After London close, EURUSD is compressing between a 1.1188 range low and a 1.1199 range top, back inside the 1.1177–1.1197 Asian range. The JOLTS-beat drop to the 1.1175 day low was rejected for a third time today, and higher lows along the rising trendline have lifted price to the 61.8% retrace of the London sell-off leg from the 1.1206 London high. RSI(14) is neutral near 55.
Support: 1.1188, 1.1175
Resistance: 1.1199, 1.1206
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.1199 range top and the 1.1200 pivot exposes the 1.1206 London high
Break of the rising trendline and the 1.1188 range low reopens the 1.1175 day low
Failure at the 1.1175 day low after three holds would confirm a lower-low
US midterm results from ~23:00 UTC could materially shift this read
19:01 UTC
Recovering within intraday range · RSI 58 · price 1.11956
Range 1.1175–1.1206, rising lows since NY low.
Late NY session. Buyers held the 1.1175 triple low three times, the last after the JOLTS beat knocked price off 1.1197. Since then a run of rising lows has formed above the 1.1188 pullback low, and price now presses the 1.1200 round number, still below the 1.1206 London high.
Support: 1.11882, 1.11748
Resistance: 1.1200, 1.12062
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.1200 round number confirms the triple low and exposes the 1.1206 london high
Break of the rising lows and the 1.1188 pullback low returns focus to the 1.1175 triple low
US midterm results from ~23:00 UTC could materially shift this read in thin Asia trade
1.1175–1.1206 day range, higher lows since the 15:00 UTC low.
London ran to a 1.1206 high and then sold into a 1.1175 low. That low held twice, forming a double bottom, with the second test coming on the 15:00 UTC US JOLTS beat. NY has since built a higher low at 1.1188 and recovered to the 61.8% fib near 1.1194, with the NY high at 1.1199 capping just under the 1.1200 pivot.
Support: 1.1188, 1.1175
Resistance: 1.1199, 1.1206
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.1199 NY high and 1.1200 opens a retest of the 1.1206 London high
Loss of the 1.1188 higher low breaks the rising support line and returns price to mid-range
Failure at the 1.1175 double bottom would mark a fresh session low below the Asian range
US midterm results from ~23:00 UTC could materially shift this read
18:31 UTC
Recovering within intraday range · RSI 60 · price 1.11962
Triple low at 1.1175, higher lows into 1.1200.
The triple low at 1.1175 held through London and again on the NY drop after the JOLTS beat. Price has since printed a higher low at 1.1188 and is pressing the 1.1200 round number late in NY, about 70% back into the London decline from the 1.1206 London high. RSI(14) sits near 60, so the move is not stretched.
Support: 1.11882, 1.1175
Resistance: 1.1200, 1.12062
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.1206 london high breaks the day's range top
Failure to hold the 1.1188 higher low returns focus to the 1.1175 triple low
US midterm results from ~23:00 UTC could materially shift this read during Asia session
18:16 UTC
Intraday recovery, higher lows off NY low · RSI 55 · price 1.11977
Double bottom at 1.1175, higher-low chain pressing 1.1200.
London swept the Asian high to the 1.1206 London high, reversed, and briefly undercut the Asian low. NY set a double bottom at 1.1175 through the volatility around the JOLTS beat, and higher lows since have lifted price above the 61.8% of the London drop fib, into the 1.1200 round number with RSI(14) near 55.
Support: 1.11882, 1.1175
Resistance: 1.1200, 1.12062
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.1200 round number opens the path to the 1.1206 London high
Break below the 1.1188 higher low snaps the higher-low line and the chain since the NY low
Loss of the 1.1175 double bottom confirms a lower-low on the session
US midterm results from ~23:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Eurozone flash HICP Wed 10:00 UTC is the next EUR-side risk
London false break above Asian range; 1.1175–1.1200 range with NY higher lows.
London broke above the Asian range to the 1.1206 London high, then reversed down to the 1.1175 triple low. That floor held three times, including after the 15:00 UTC US JOLTS/factory orders beat. Late NY is printing higher lows, and price sits at the 61.8% of the London drop fib, with NY highs capped at 1.1197 just under the 1.1200 round number.
Support: 1.11882, 1.1175
Resistance: 1.1197, 1.1200, 1.12062
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.1200 round number and 1.1206 London high breaks the range top
Loss of the 1.1188 higher low breaks the higher-lows trendline and puts the 1.1175 triple low back in play
ECB Nagel/Sleijpen (18:00–18:15 UTC) and US midterm results from ~23:00 UTC could materially shift this read
EURUSD has held a 1.1175–1.1206 range through London and NY, with the triple low at 1.1175 holding again after the JOLTS beat knocked price there at 15:15 UTC. Late NY is printing higher lows off the 1.1188 swing low into the 1.1200 round number, which is also the market's pivot. RSI(14) is near 56 and ATR(14) is about 7 pips.
Support: 1.11882, 1.1175
Resistance: 1.1200, 1.12062
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.1200 round number puts the 1.1206 day high in play. A break there exits the range.
Loss of the 1.1188 swing low breaks the higher lows and reopens the 1.1175 triple low.
A close below the 1.1175 triple low invalidates the range read.
ECB Nagel 18:00 UTC and Sleijpen 18:15 UTC, then US midterm results overnight, could materially shift this read.
17:31 UTC
Intraday range, NY recovery into the cap · RSI 56 · price 1.11952
1.1175–1.1206 day range; lower highs from London, higher lows since the post-JOLTS dip.
London's push to the 1.1206 london high faded, and the 1.1175 triple low held three times, the last after the JOLTS beat. Since then NY has printed higher lows into the 1.1200 ny highs, where the lower highs line from London caps price into late NY, with RSI(14) near 56.
Support: 1.1188, 1.1175
Resistance: 1.1200, 1.1206, 1.1208
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.1200 ny highs breaks the lower highs line and exposes the 1.1206 london high and 1.1208 prior high
Loss of the 1.1188 higher low returns focus to the 1.1175 triple low
ECB Nagel (18:00 UTC) and Sleijpen (18:15 UTC), then US midterm results from ~23:00 UTC, could materially shift this read
24h range 1.1175–1.1206, double bottom at day low, highs compressing.
London briefly broke above the Asian high to the 1.1206 london high, then broke below the Asian low. The 15:00 UTC JOLTS beat pushed price back to the 1.1175 day low, a second hold there, and the late-NY rebound has it mid-range near 1.1193. Session highs keep stepping lower along the lower-highs line toward the 1.1197 asian high, with RSI(14) neutral at 51 and ATR near 7 pips.
Support: 1.1183, 1.1175
Resistance: 1.1197, 1.1206
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1206 london high breaks the lower-highs sequence and the range top
Loss of the 1.1183 swing low puts the 1.1175 day low back in play; a close below it negates the double bottom
Failure at the 1.1197 asian high keeps the lower-highs read intact
ECB's Nagel (18:00 UTC) and Sleijpen (18:15 UTC), then US midterm results from ~23:00 UTC, could materially shift this read
17:02 UTC
Sideways after London sell-off, lower highs · RSI 54 · price 1.11923
1.1175–1.1200 range in late NY; equal lows at 1.1175, highs stepping down from 1.1206.
London faded a false break above the Asian range from the 1.1206 london high. NY printed a double bottom at the 1.1175 range low, which held through the JOLTS and factory orders beats at 15:00 UTC. Price now sits between the 50% and 61.8% fib of that drop and just above the ema cluster near 1.1189, with lower highs capping at the 1.1200 range top; RSI(14) at 54 and ATR(14) at about 7 pips.
Support: 1.1189, 1.1175
Resistance: 1.1200, 1.1206
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.1200 range top breaks the lower highs line and confirms the double bottom, with the 1.1206 london high next
Close below the 1.1175 range low confirms a lower low and voids the double bottom
Failure to hold the ema cluster near 1.1189 puts price back toward the range low
ECB's Nagel (18:00 UTC) and Sleijpen (18:15 UTC), then US midterm results from ~23:00 UTC, could materially shift this read
16:46 UTC
Sideways, lower highs since London · RSI 50 · price 1.11911
1.1175–1.1200 intraday range, mid-range after London close.
After London close, EUR/USD sits mid-range at 1.1191, just above ema20. The 1.1175 day low has held three times, including after the 15:00 UTC JOLTS and Factory Orders beats knocked price there. Every rally has stalled at the 1.1200 range top, under a line of lower highs from the 1.1206 London high, and with RSI(14) near 50 no directional pressure is in play.
Support: 1.1188, 1.1175
Resistance: 1.1200, 1.1206
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1200 range top breaks the lower-highs line and exposes the 1.1206 london high
A fourth test of the 1.1175 day low that fails confirms a range break lower
ECB Nagel 18:00 UTC and Sleijpen 18:15 UTC, then US midterm results from ~23:00 UTC, could materially shift this read
Loss of ema20 near 1.1188 returns price to the lower half of the range
16:31 UTC
Sideways, lower highs over flat base · RSI 56 · price 1.1193
1.1175–1.1206 day range, highs stepping down from London.
London's break above the Asian range high failed at 1.1206. Price slid to 1.1175, which has now held three times, including after the strong JOLTS print knocked the pair lower during NY hours. The late-NY rebound to 1.1193 sits just under the 1.1201 NY high and the lower-highs line; RSI(14) is neutral at 56 inside the 1.1175–1.1206 range.
Support: 1.1183, 1.1175
Resistance: 1.1201, 1.1206, 1.1208
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.1206 london high and 1.1208 prior high breaks the lower-highs sequence and the range top
Loss of the 1.1183 ny pivot puts the 1.1175 triple low back in play; a close below it breaks the day's range floor
ECB's Nagel (18:00 UTC) and Sleijpen (18:15 UTC), then US midterm results from ~23:00 UTC could materially shift this read
16:16 UTC
Sideways, two-way intraday chop · RSI 54 · price 1.1194
Range 1.1175–1.1206 with lower highs from London, double low at 1.1175.
Firm JOLTS and Factory Orders at 15:00 UTC knocked the pair through the Asian low to 1.1175, matching the London double low, before a full rebound to 1.1194. Price is back under the lower highs at 1.1198, with the London high at 1.1206 capping the day and the 1.1183 NY pivot below. RSI(14) is neutral near 54.
Support: 1.1183, 1.1175
Resistance: 1.1198, 1.1206
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.1206 London high breaks the lower-highs sequence and the range top
Failure to hold the 1.1175 double low confirms a fresh session low
Rejection at 1.1198 lower highs keeps price rotating back toward the 1.1183 NY pivot
ECB's Nagel (18:00 UTC) and Sleijpen (18:15 UTC), plus US midterm results from ~23:00 UTC, could materially shift this read
Lower highs off 1.1206 London high into a flat 1.1175 base.
London rejected 1.1206 (london high) and the pair has printed lower highs since. The firm JOLTS and Factory Orders beats knocked a 1.1198 spike back to the 1.1175 session low, now held three times. Price is mid-range at 1.1183 with RSI(14) near 50, sitting just under EMA20 late in the London-NY transition.
Support: 1.1175
Resistance: 1.1200, 1.1206
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.1175 session low breaks the intraday base and extends the lower-high sequence
M15 close above the 1.1200 ny high clears the lower highs trendline and puts the 1.1206 london high back in play
ECB's Nagel (18:00 UTC) and Sleijpen (18:15 UTC), then US midterm results from ~23:00 UTC, could materially shift this read
Lower highs 1.1206/1.1201/1.1198 compressing into a 1.1175 triple low.
London pushed above the Asian high to a 1.1206 london high, then failed and broke the 1.1177 Asian low. NY printed lower highs at 1.1201 and 1.1198, and the JOLTS beat at 15:00 UTC knocked price back to the 1.1175 triple low. The bounce is stalling just under the ema20 near 1.1185, with RSI(14) neutral at 50 late in the London-NY overlap.
Support: 1.1175
Resistance: 1.1185, 1.1197, 1.1206
What it said to watch
An M15 close below the 1.1175 triple low breaks the session floor and extends the lower-high sequence
A close above the 1.1197 asian high clears the lower highs trendline and brings the 1.1206 london high back into view
Failure to clear the ema20 near 1.1185 keeps the bounce capped inside the range
ECB's Nagel (18:00 UTC) and Sleijpen (18:15 UTC), plus US midterm results from ~23:00 UTC, could materially shift this read
Lower highs from London high; NY retesting day low.
London cleared the Asian range high, stalled at the 1.1206 london high, then slid to a 1.1175 day low. NY rallies after the firm US JOLTS and Factory Orders data were capped under the falling trendline at the 1.1201 ny high and the 14:45 UTC spike. The 15:00 UTC drop has price back at the day low mid-NY session, with RSI(14) near 46.
Support: 1.11748
Resistance: 1.1184, 1.12007, 1.12062
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.1175 day low extends the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of the 1.1184 breakdown pivot and the falling trendline near 1.1200 (ny high) negates the lower-high read
ECB Nagel 18:00 UTC and US midterm results from ~23:00 UTC could materially shift this read
15:16 UTC
Sideways, intraday range with lower highs · RSI 47 · price 1.11808
1.1175–1.1206 day range; NY highs capped below the London high.
London's break above the Asian range to the 1.12062 london high failed. Price sank to a 1.11748 session low before NY lifted it to a 1.12007 ny high. A second NY spike to 1.11979 was rejected on the 15:00 UTC bar around the JOLTS release, extending the lower highs and dropping price back under the 1.1184 ny pivot and both EMAs, with RSI(14) near 47 and ATR(14) about 8 pips.
Support: 1.11748
Resistance: 1.11837, 1.12007, 1.12062
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.1175 session low breaks the day's range floor
Reclaim of the 1.1184 ny pivot returns price to mid-range
Close above the 1.1201 ny high breaks the lower highs; the 1.1206 london high caps the range above
ECB's Nagel at 18:00 UTC and US midterm results after 23:00 UTC could materially shift this read
15:01 UTC
Sideways, lower highs from London · RSI 53 · price 1.11859
Range 1.1175–1.1206, NY spike rejected near 1.1200.
London faded from the 1.1206 london high and swept the Asian low into a 1.1175 session low, with the dollar mildly firm on Iran/oil headlines. The NY-open push to the 1.1201 ny high met rejection at the round number. Price is now near the 61.8% of that rally, holding above the 1.1183 pullback low with RSI(14) ~53 and pinned at the EMAs.
Support: 1.11835, 1.1175
Resistance: 1.12007, 1.12062
What it said to watch
JOLTS and Factory Orders at 15:00 UTC land on the current bar and could break the 1.1175–1.1206 range
M15 close above the 1.1201 ny high and 1.1206 london high breaks the lower-highs trendline
Failure to hold the 1.1183 pullback low exposes the 1.1175 session low again
US midterm results from ~23:00 UTC and ECB's Nagel at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower high at 1.1201 below London high, mid-range between 1.1175 and 1.1206.
London lifted above the Asian range to a london high of 1.1206, then reversed through the Asian low to a session low at 1.1175 as oil rebounded and USD firmed. The NY open bounce met rejection at the ny high of 1.1201, a lower high near the 0.786 retracement, and price has settled mid-range near 1.1188 above the 14:00 low.
Support: 1.11834, 1.11748
Resistance: 1.12007, 1.12062
What it said to watch
US JOLTS at 15:00 UTC could break the 1.1183–1.1201 band within the hour
M15 close below the 14:00 low at 1.1183 reopens the session low at 1.1175
Close above the ny high at 1.1201 puts the london high at 1.1206 back in play
ECB Nagel 18:00 UTC and US midterm results overnight could reset the intraday range
Lower high at 1.1201 under the 1.1206 London high, inside a 1.1175–1.1206 session range.
London's break above the Asian range to the 1.1206 london high failed. The NY rebound from the 1.1175 session low then stalled at the 1.1201 ny high just under 1.1200, printing a lower high. Price has retraced about 56% of that NY leg to 1.1186 as USD firms on Iran headlines, sitting between the 50% and 61.8% fib levels just above the 1.1183 pullback low, with RSI(14) neutral near 50.
Support: 1.11834, 1.11748
Resistance: 1.12007, 1.12062
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.1183 pullback low breaks the 61.8% fib of the NY leg and exposes the 1.1175 session low
M15 close above the 1.1201 ny high clears the lower-highs trendline and reopens the 1.1206 london high
US JOLTS and Factory Orders at 15:00 UTC (17:00 broker) could materially shift this read; US midterm results from ~23:00 UTC follow
14:16 UTC
Range-bound, lower highs since London · RSI 52 · price 1.11861
Lower highs 1.1206/1.1201 over a 1.1175 base, NY spike retracing.
London failed above the Asian range at the 1.1206 London high. It then swept the Asian low into a 1.1175 London low before the NY open spike stalled at the 1.1201 NY high. Lower highs are intact, and price has slipped back to the 61.8% of the NY spike fib, pinned at EMA20 with RSI(14) near 52 as USD steadies on oil ahead of tonight's midterms.
Support: 1.11834, 1.11748
Resistance: 1.12007, 1.12062
What it said to watch
Break of the 1.1183 NY low exposes the 1.1175 London low; failure there confirms a lower low
M15 close above the 1.1201 NY high and the lower highs line puts the 1.1206 London high back in play
US JOLTS at 15:00 UTC and ECB's Nagel at 18:00 UTC could shift this read, with midterm results from ~23:00 UTC
Double bottom at 1.1175, NY breakout above Asian high.
London faded from the 1.1206 London high into a double bottom near 1.1175, with two tests holding during the late London session. The first hour of NY broke above the 1.1197 Asian high to a 1.1201 NY high, pressing the 1.1200 pivot the digest flags as EUR's base. RSI(14) is at 63 with ATR(14) around 6 pips.
Support: 1.11973, 1.11878, 1.1175
Resistance: 1.12007, 1.12062, 1.12219
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 1.1197 Asian high puts price back inside the London range and toward the fib 50% at 1.1188 of the NY rally
Acceptance above the 1.1206 London high opens the 1.1222 prior high from Monday's NY session
Break of the 1.1175 double btm negates the rebound and confirms a lower-low
US JOLTS and Factory Orders at 15:00 UTC, ECB Nagel at 18:00 UTC and midterm results from 23:00 UTC could materially shift this read
London false break above Asian high, sweep of Asian low, NY open recovery.
London pushed through the Asian high to 1.12062 and failed. It then slid to a 1.11748 session low just under the Asian low before the NY open bar broke above 1.1184 and lifted price to 1.1194, a 61.8% retrace of the London high-low drop. Price is back inside the Asian range, just under the 1.11973 Asian high, with RSI(14) near 61 as the USD steadies below DXY 102.00.
Support: 1.1184, 1.11748
Resistance: 1.11973, 1.12062, 1.12238
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.11973 asian high reopens the 1.12062 london high and the 1.1200 pivot
Rejection at the 61.8% fib and a slip back below the 1.1184 ny breakout puts the 1.11748 session low back in focus
US JOLTS and Factory Orders at 15:00 UTC could materially shift this read
ECB Nagel 18:00 UTC and US midterm results overnight; 1.12238 prior high is the upper reference if USD softens
13:31 UTC
Intraday recovery off London lows · RSI 60 · price 1.11944
Double bottom at 1.1175, neckline broken pre-NY.
London faded an early push above the asian high to the 1.1206 london high and slid to 1.1175, where a double bottom formed just under the Asian low. The 13:15 UTC bar broke the 1.1183 neckline, and price now sits at the 61.8% fib of the London drop, pressing the asian high and the 1.1200 round number the digest flags as the pivot.
Support: 1.1183, 1.1175
Resistance: 1.1197, 1.1206, 1.1224
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 1.1183 neckline would negate the double bottom breakout and put the 1.1175 lows back in play
Close above the 1.1206 london high clears the session range and opens the 1.1224 prior high
JOLTS and Factory Orders at 15:00 UTC, early in NY, could materially shift this read
ECB Nagel 18:00 UTC and US midterm results from ~23:00 UTC are event risk for the Asian range
Lower highs from London high, double low forming at 1.1175.
London open broke above the 1.1177–1.1197 Asian range but was rejected at the 1.1206 London high. A lower-high sequence then swept the Asian low to the 1.1175 London low, keeping price below the 1.1200 pivot as Iran/Hormuz headlines firmed USD. Early NY is basing at that London low with RSI(14) near 42 and price pinned at EMA20, while the 1.1184 micro high caps the bounce.
Support: 1.1175
Resistance: 1.1184, 1.1197, 1.1206
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.1184 micro high confirms a double low and opens the London leg fib 38.2% (~1.1187) and the 1.1197 Asian high
Failure to hold the 1.1175 London low extends the lower-low sequence
US JOLTS and Factory Orders at 15:00 UTC, then ECB Nagel/Sleijpen at 18:00 UTC, could shift this read
13:01 UTC
Intraday downtrend, lower highs since London · RSI 34 · price 1.11768
Failed break above Asian high, now pressing the Asian range low.
London open pushed above the 1.1196 Asian high to 1.1206, but the break failed. Price has since ground lower in a lower-high sequence to a fresh session low at 1.1175, just under the 1.1177 Asian low, as the USD firmed on Iran/Hormuz headlines. RSI(14) at 34 is soft but not oversold heading into NY open.
Support: 1.11748, 1.1160
Resistance: 1.11829, 1.11964, 1.12062
What it said to watch
A close above the 1.1183 lower high breaks the descending sequence and puts the 1.1196 Asian high back in view
Failure to hold the 1.1175 session low exposes 1.1160, the range floor of the cited 1.1160–1.1220 band
US JOLTS and Factory Orders at 15:00 UTC could materially shift this read
ECB's Nagel and Sleijpen at 18:00–18:15 UTC are late-session event risk
Recovery through the 1.1187–1.1191 retracement zone of the London selloff, and a hold there, would neutralise the downtrend read
Lower highs since London open; Asian low under test.
London opened with a false break above the Asian high to a 1.1206 London high, then reversed into a lower-high chain as USD firmed. Price slipped through the 1.1177 Asian low to a 1.1175 session low. The last six bars are compressing at 1.1175–1.1183 under the descending lower-high trendline, with RSI(14) at 37 and late-London price action quiet ahead of the NY open.
Support: 1.11748, 1.1160
Resistance: 1.11829, 1.11905, 1.12062
What it said to watch
A close above the 1.1183 lower high and the trendline breaks the London lower-high chain; the 50% retrace of the London drop sits at 1.1191.
Acceptance below the 1.1175 session low exposes 1.1160, the band low of UOB's 1.1160–1.1220 range.
A reclaim of the 1.1206 London high would negate the false-break read.
US JOLTS at 15:00 UTC, about 2h out, and ECB's Nagel at 18:00 UTC could reset the NY session range.
Lower highs from 1.1206 London high, basing above 1.1175 session low.
Early London ran above the Asian high to a 1.1206 London high, then reversed and broke the Asian low. A session low printed at 1.1175 as the USD rebound on upbeat US data and Fed hike bets reasserted. The last five bars are basing just above that low with small higher lows and a 1.1183 minor high capping, RSI(14) near 39.
Support: 1.11751, 1.1150
Resistance: 1.11829, 1.11973, 1.12062
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.1183 minor high would mark the London selloff stalling, with the 1.1197 Asian high and the 38.2% retrace of the London drop above
A break of the 1.1175 session low extends the lower-low sequence, leaving the 1.1150 round number as the next reference
US JOLTS at 15:00 UTC during NY hours and ECB's Nagel at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read; midterm results land overnight
Lower highs since the London open failure; basing at 1.1175 just under the Asian low.
The London open lifted price above the 1.1197 Asian high to a 1.1206 session high, but the break failed. The London sell-off since then has run in lower highs to a 1.1175 session low, slightly below the Asian low, as the USD firmed on upbeat US data. Late in London the pair is stalling below the 1.1183 bounce high, RSI(14) near 33 and not yet oversold.
Support: 1.11751
Resistance: 1.11825, 1.11973, 1.12062
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.1175 session low extends the lower-low sequence out of the Asian range
Recovery above the 1.1183 bounce high and the 38.2% London sell-off fib (~1.1187) breaks the lower-high chain; the Asian high at 1.1197 sits above
US JOLTS and Factory Orders at 15:00 UTC in the NY session could shift this read
US midterm results overnight carry gap risk into the Asian session
Lower highs and lower lows since 1.1206; Asian range broken lower.
The London decline from the 1.1206 london high has printed steady lower highs, slipping below the 1.1177 Asian low to a 1.1175 session low as the dollar holds its rebound on firm US data. Price sits under both EMAs with RSI(14) near 34, and the first bounce is stalling below the 23.6% retrace at 1.1182.
Support: 1.11751, 1.1160
Resistance: 1.1187, 1.11973, 1.12062
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.1187 fib 38.2 would break the lower-high sequence and put the 1.1197 asian high back in focus
Failure to hold the 1.1175 session low exposes the 1.1160 band low cited by UOB
US JOLTS at 15:00 UTC and ECB's Nagel at 18:00 UTC could shift this read during NY hours
US midterm results overnight are a gap risk into the Asia session
11:46 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs since London open · RSI 31 · price 1.1178
Failed break above Asian high, then break below Asian low.
London open pushed above the Asian high at 1.1197 to a 1.1206 London high, but the break failed and a lower-high chain under the descending trendline has since taken price through the Asian low near 1.1177 to a 1.1175 session low. EUR is failing to hold 1.1200 as the USD steadies. RSI(14) near 31 is soft but not stretched heading into the NY open.
Support: 1.11751, 1.1160
Resistance: 1.11907, 1.11973, 1.12062
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the descending trendline and the 1.1191 fib 50% would break the lower-high chain
Failure to hold the 1.1175 session low exposes the 1.1160 band low
A reclaim of the 1.1197 Asian high would turn the London high break attempt back into a range
US JOLTS and Factory Orders at 15:00 UTC could materially shift this read
ECB's Nagel (18:00 UTC) and US midterm results overnight are event risk for the NY session
11:31 UTC
Intraday downtrend, lower highs since London open · RSI 29 · price 1.11768
Failed break above Asian high, now through Asian low.
London's early push through the Asian high to the 1.1206 london high failed and has unwound into a chain of lower highs, with price now slipping under the 1.1177 Asian low to a 1.1175 session low. RSI(14) near 29, close to oversold. The softer euro tone after last week's HICP miss fits the drift, while the 1.1184 prior low and the falling trendline cap bounces.
Support: 1.11751, 1.1160
Resistance: 1.1184, 1.11911, 1.12062
What it said to watch
Sustained trade below the 1.1175 session low extends the range break toward the 1.1160 band low cited by UOB
M15 close back above the 1.1184 prior low and the falling trendline weakens the downtrend read
Recovery through the 1.1191 lower high would put the 1.1206 london high back in focus
US JOLTS at 15:00 UTC during NY hours could shift this read; midterm results land overnight
11:16 UTC
Intraday downtrend since London open · RSI 31 · price 1.11783
Lower highs and lower lows from the 1.1206 London high; price testing the Asian low.
London open pushed through the Asian high at 1.1197 to a 1.1206 London high, then failed. A falling trendline of lower highs has since walked price back to the 1.1177 Asian low, with RSI(14) near 31. The give-back fits the USD rebound noted in the digest.
Support: 1.11767
Resistance: 1.11885, 1.11973, 1.12062
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.1177 asian low extends the lower-low sequence to a fresh 24h low
Close above the 1.1189 lower high breaks the falling trendline and the lower-high chain
Reclaiming the 1.1197 asian high would put the morning drop back inside the Asian range
US JOLTS at 15:00 UTC, ECB's Nagel at 18:00 UTC and overnight midterm results could materially shift this read
11:01 UTC
Intraday downtrend, lower highs since London open · RSI 34 · price 1.11825
London false break of Asian high, lower-high chain pressing session low.
London open pushed through the Asian high at 1.1197 to a London high of 1.1206, then failed. Price has since printed a series of lower highs, the latest at 1.1189, back into the session low at 1.1181 with RSI(14) near 34. Mid-to-late London, price is in the lower half of the Asian range, with the Asian low at 1.1177 the next reference below.
Support: 1.11807, 1.11767
Resistance: 1.11885, 1.11973, 1.12062
What it said to watch
An M15 close below the 1.1177 Asian low extends the lower-low sequence beneath the Asian range
A close above the lower-high trendline near 1.1189 and the London drop fib 50% at 1.1193 breaks the lower-high chain, with the Asian high at 1.1197 above
US JOLTS at 15:00 UTC, ECB's Nagel at 18:00 UTC and overnight midterm results could materially shift this read
10:46 UTC
Intraday downtrend since London open · RSI 33 · price 1.11832
Failed break of Asian high, lower highs and lower lows into London.
London open pushed through the asian high at 1.1197 to 1.1206 but was rejected, and the false break has turned into a chain of lower highs that has taken price back to the london low at 1.1181. Price sits under both EMAs with RSI(14) near 33, not yet oversold. The asian low at 1.1177 is next below, and the latest lower high at 1.1189 caps the London leg below its 38.2% retracement.
Support: 1.11807, 1.11767
Resistance: 1.11885, 1.11973, 1.12062
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.1177 asian low extends the lower-low chain and takes out the full Asian range
Close above the lower high at 1.1189 and the falling lower-highs trendline breaks the London sequence
Reclaim of the 1.1197 asian high would neutralise the false break read
US JOLTS and Factory Orders at 15:00 UTC (17:00 broker) could materially shift this read in the NY session
ECB's Nagel (18:00 UTC) and US midterm results overnight carry event risk beyond the NY close
10:31 UTC
Intraday downtrend, lower highs since London open · RSI 45 · price 1.11869
Failed break of Asian high, now trading back inside the Asian range.
London open pushed through the Asian high to 1.1206 but the move was rejected. Price slid back into the Asian range with a lower-high sequence, and the London high is capping as the session reaches its midpoint. The 1.1181 session low held on the latest dip, and RSI(14) sits neutral near 45 with the USD firm into the US midterms.
Support: 1.1181, 1.1177
Resistance: 1.1194, 1.1206, 1.1229
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.1194 lower high breaks the lower-high chain; 1.1206 London high is the next cap, with the 1.1229 prior high beyond
Failure to hold the 1.1181 session low opens the 1.1177 Asian low
US JOLTS at 15:00 UTC and ECB's Nagel at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
US midterm results overnight carry gap risk for the Asian session
10:16 UTC
Intraday down from London high, momentum mild · RSI 45 · price 1.11856
London false break above Asian high, lower highs back inside Asian range.
London lifted through the Asian high at 1.1197 to a london high of 1.1206, but supply capped it near the 1.1200 round number. That false break has since unwound into lower highs, the latest at 1.1193, and lost the 61.8% of the Asia-London rally near 1.1188. Price sits mid-Asian range just above the 1.1181 london low, RSI(14) ~45, consistent with the digest's 'pinned near 1.1200' tone.
Support: 1.11807, 1.11767
Resistance: 1.1193, 1.1200, 1.12062
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 1.1181 london low exposes the 1.1177 asian low; a break there extends the lower-low sequence beneath the Asian range
M15 close above the 1.1193 lower high breaks the descending trendline from the london high and reopens the 1.1200 round number
US JOLTS at 15:00 UTC, ECB's Nagel at 18:00 UTC and overnight midterm results could materially shift this read
London false break of Asian high, lower highs since.
London pushed through the Asian high at 1.1197 to a London high of 1.1206, but supply capped price under 1.1200. That false break has pulled price back inside the Asian range, with a run of lower highs since. The session low at 1.1184 is holding, and RSI(14) at ~49 shows no momentum extreme; the softer USD on lower oil is not producing EUR follow-through near 1.1200.
Support: 1.1184, 1.11767
Resistance: 1.11973, 1.12062
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.1184 session low exposes the 1.1177 Asian low
Reclaiming the 1.1197 Asian high and the lower-highs line negates the false-break read; the 1.1206 London high is next
US JOLTS at 15:00 UTC and ECB's Nagel at 18:00 UTC could break the session range
London false break above Asian high, back inside Asian range.
London open pushed through the Asian high at 1.1197 to a london high of 1.1206 but failed to hold. Price rotated back to the london low at 1.1184, back inside the Asian range, extending a lower-high chain from Monday's 1.1229 high. Mid-London, price sits at the 61.8% retrace of the asian low–london high leg with RSI(14) near 43, below both EMAs, as the session's push toward 1.1200 met supply.
Support: 1.1184, 1.11767
Resistance: 1.11973, 1.12062, 1.1229
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1184 london low exposes the 1.1177 asian low; a break there extends the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 1.1197 asian high and the 1.1206 london high would negate the false-break read
Lower-high trendline from 1.1229 caps near 1.1200–1.1205
US JOLTS 15:00 UTC, ECB Nagel 18:00 UTC and overnight midterm results could materially shift this read
London false break above Asian high, price back inside Asian range.
London open pushed through the 1.1197 Asian high to a 1.1206 London high, but the false break was sold back into the Asian range. Price now sits near the 61.8% of the overnight 1.1177–1.1206 leg, with RSI(14) at 45 and price under EMA20/50. Highs have stepped lower from Monday's 1.1229 high, in line with the reported supply capping the pair at 1.1200–1.1250.
Support: 1.1184, 1.1177
Resistance: 1.1197, 1.1206, 1.1229
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.1206 london high breaks the lower-highs trendline from 1.1229 and would void the rejection read
Failure to hold the 1.1184 london low exposes the 1.1177 asian low and the bottom of the Asian range
US JOLTS at 15:00 UTC and ECB Nagel at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read; US midterm results land overnight
09:16 UTC
Intraday downtrend, lower high in place · RSI 42 · price 1.11858
False break above Asian high, back inside Asian range.
Early London pushed through the Asian high at 1.1197 to a London high at 1.1206 but was rejected twice there. Price has slipped back into the Asian range and is pressing the Asian shelf near 1.1183, below both EMAs with RSI(14) near 42. The London high sits under the prior high at 1.1229, holding the descending trendline as the euro stays capped near 1.12.
Support: 1.1183, 1.1177
Resistance: 1.1197, 1.1206, 1.1229
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 1.1197 asian high negates the false break read
Break of the 1.1177 asian low extends the lower-low sequence from yesterday
Clearing the 1.1206 london high would break the descending trendline from the 1.1229 prior high
US JOLTS at 15:00 UTC, ECB Nagel/Sleijpen from 18:00 UTC and overnight US midterm results could materially shift this read
09:01 UTC
Intraday range, higher lows since Asia · RSI 49 · price 1.11931
Failed London break above Asian high; HL chain from 1.1177 intact.
London cleared the 1.1197 Asian high to 1.1206 but supply capped the 1.1200 area, consistent with the digest's EUR cap near 1.12, and price fell back inside the Asian range. The pullback held above the 61.8% of the Asia-London leg and on the rising trendline from the 1.1177 Asian low; price sits on EMA20 with RSI(14) flat near 49.
Support: 1.1190, 1.1185, 1.1177
Resistance: 1.1197, 1.1206, 1.1229
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.1206 london high negates the false break and opens the 1.1229 prior high
Close below the 1.1190 session low breaks the rising trendline and higher-low chain, exposing the 1.1185 swing low and 1.1177 asian low
US JOLTS at 15:00 UTC and overnight midterm results could materially shift this read
London false break above Asian high; higher lows from Asian low still intact.
London open pushed through the 1.1197 asian high to a 1.1206 london high but was rejected twice, slipping back inside the Asian range to the 50% retracement of the overnight leg with price pinned on both EMAs. The rising lows from the 1.1177 asian low, built as a soft USD tracked oil lower, are still intact.
Support: 1.11849, 1.11767
Resistance: 1.11973, 1.12062
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 1.1197 asian high would put the 1.1206 london high back in play
Break of the 1.1185 swing low ends the rising-lows sequence and exposes the 1.1177 asian low
US JOLTS 15:00 UTC, ECB Nagel 18:00 UTC and overnight midterm results could materially shift this read
08:31 UTC
Rebound from Asian low, stalling at London high · RSI 55 · price 1.11962
Asian range broken higher at London open, double top at 1.1206, back testing the Asian high.
London open broke the Asian high at 1.1197 and ran to 1.1206, but the London high was rejected twice in a double top. Price has slipped back to the Asian high, near the 38.2% fib of the Asia-London leg, with RSI(14) neutral at 55. Rising lows from the 1.1177 Asian low through the 1.1185 higher low hold the rebound structure while a soft dollar tracks oil; the Monday high at 1.1237 sits well above.
Support: 1.11849, 1.11767
Resistance: 1.11973, 1.12062, 1.12366
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 1.1197 Asian high turns the London breakout into a false break
Failure to hold the 1.1185 higher low breaks the rising-lows trendline and puts the 1.1177 Asian low back in play
Close above the 1.1206 London high voids the double top and opens a path toward the 1.1237 Monday high
US JOLTS at 15:00 UTC and ECB Nagel at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
US midterm results overnight carry dollar gap risk into the Asia session
08:16 UTC
Intraday recovery, higher lows off Asian low · RSI 59 · price 1.11982
London broke the Asian range high; price now retesting it from above.
London open lifted EURUSD through the Asian high at 1.1197 to a 1.1206 London high as the USD stayed heavy on lower oil. Price is now back on the Asian high, with the ema cluster at 1.1194 just below and RSI(14) near 59. The higher lows from the 1.1177 Asian low are intact.
Support: 1.11973, 1.1194, 1.11767
Resistance: 1.12062, 1.1229, 1.12366
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the Asian high and the ema cluster at 1.1194 would turn the London break into a false break
A break above the 1.1206 London high opens the 1.1229 NY high, with the 1.1237 prior high above it
Loss of the higher lows trendline near 1.1185 (the 61.8% of the Asian low to London high fib is 1.1188) would expose the 1.1177 Asian low
US JOLTS at 15:00 UTC and the midterm results overnight could materially shift this read
Asian range breakout, retest holding, higher low at 1.1185.
Ahead of the London open, price broke above the Asian high at 1.1197 and stalled at the 1.1206 session high. That sits near the 50% retrace of yesterday's 1.1237–1.1177 drop, while a softer USD on oil and Iran-diplomacy headlines underpins the pair. The 07:45 dip retested the Asian high and held, and the rising support from the 1.1177 Asian low through the 1.1185 higher low remains intact.
Support: 1.1197, 1.11849, 1.11767
Resistance: 1.12062, 1.12085, 1.1229
What it said to watch
A close back below the 1.1197 Asian high would turn the breakout into a false break
An M15 close above the 1.1206 session high and the 1.1209 ny bounce high (50% retrace) opens the 1.1229 ny open high
A break of the 1.1185 higher low and the rising support line exposes the 1.1177 Asian low
US JOLTS at 15:00 UTC and the overnight midterm results could materially shift this read
07:46 UTC
Down-leg stalling, higher low in place · RSI 61 · price 1.11973
London broke the Asian range high and is now retesting it.
The slide from Monday's 1.1237 high bottomed at the 1.1177 Asian low. A higher low followed at 1.1185, and London open, with USD heavy on lower oil, lifted price through the 1.1197 Asian high to a 1.1206 London high. Price is now back at the Asian high, retesting the breakout.
Support: 1.11973, 1.11849, 1.11767
Resistance: 1.12062, 1.12085
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 1.1197 Asian high turns the London break into a false break
Failure to hold the 1.1185 higher low reopens the 1.1177 Asian low and the rising trendline breaks
Close above the 1.1206 London high and the 1.1208 lower high from NY hours extends the recovery leg
US JOLTS at 15:00 UTC and US midterm results overnight could materially shift this read
07:16 UTC
Down from Monday's 1.1237 high, short-term recovery · RSI 54 · price 1.11912
Higher lows inside Asian range, capped below 1.1197.
Since the 1.1177 Asian low, price has built a chain of higher lows on rising support into the London open. It is now stalling under the Asian high at 1.1197 and the 1.1200 round number, where Monday's NY session ran into supply on fading USD softness. RSI(14) is neutral near 54 and price is sitting on EMA50.
Support: 1.1185, 1.1177
Resistance: 1.1197, 1.1200, 1.1229
What it said to watch
Close above the 1.1197 Asian high and 1.1200 round number breaks the Asian range and opens 1.1229, Monday's ny high
Break below the 1.1185 higher low and rising support puts the 1.1177 Asian low back in play
US midterm results and any Iran escalation headlines could jolt USD at any point
US JOLTS at 15:00 UTC is the scheduled risk for the NY session
07:01 UTC
Sideways, mild recovery off Asian low · RSI 57 · price 1.11912
Higher lows inside Asian range, below 1.1200.
Monday's London spike to 1.1237 and the 1.1229 NY high both faded as soft-USD momentum stalled near 1.1200. Asia set a 1.1177 low and has since built higher lows to a 1.1185 swing low, leaving price mid-range under the 1.1197 Asian high into London open. Price sits about 24% into a retracement of the Monday drop.
Support: 1.11849, 1.11767
Resistance: 1.11973, 1.1200, 1.1229
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.1197 Asian high brings the 1.1200 round number into play, where the digest flags supply
Break of the 1.1185 swing low and the rising Asian higher-low line exposes the 1.1177 Asian low
US midterm results and JOLTS at 15:00 UTC could materially shift this read
06:46 UTC
Intraday recovery off Asian low · RSI 66 · price 1.11933
HH/HL chain since 02:30 UTC low, pressing Asian high.
Monday's oil-driven pop to 1.1237 faded through NY, and the pair slid to the 1.1177 Asian low as Fed hike bets and French fiscal worries weighed. Since then a higher-low chain along a rising trendline, with a swing low at 1.1185 and a higher low at 1.1191, has lifted price to 1.1193. That leaves it just under the 1.1197 Asian high and the 1.1200 round number ahead of London open.
Support: 1.1191, 1.11847, 1.11767
Resistance: 1.11973, 1.1200, 1.1229
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.1197 Asian high and 1.1200 round number exposes the 1.1229 NY high
Break of the rising trendline and the 1.1191 higher low ends the HH/HL chain, with the 1.1185 swing low next
Loss of the 1.1177 Asian low resumes the decline from Monday's high
US JOLTS/Factory Orders at 15:00 UTC and ECB's Nagel/Sleijpen at 18:00 UTC could shift this read
06:31 UTC
Asia recovery off 1.1177, stalling under 1.1200 · RSI 63 · price 1.11933
Higher lows since Asian low, pressing Asian high pre-London.
EUR faded from Monday's 1.1237 London prior high back below 1.1200 as French debt worries and Fed hike bets capped it, bottoming at the 1.1177 Asian low. Asia has since printed a chain of higher lows (1.1185 swing low, 1.1191 higher low) along the rising trendline, and late in the Asia session price is pressing the 1.1197 Asian high just under the 1.1200 round number. ATR(14) near 4 pips reflects thin Asian ranges ahead of the London open.
Support: 1.11908, 1.11847, 1.11767
Resistance: 1.11973, 1.1229, 1.12366
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.1197 Asian high and 1.1200 round number opens the 1.1229 NY high
Break of the 1.1191 higher low and rising trendline stalls the Asia recovery, exposing the 1.1185 swing low
Loss of the 1.1177 Asian low resumes the decline from the 1.1237 prior high
US JOLTS and Factory Orders at 15:00 UTC, ECB's Nagel/Sleijpen at 18:00 UTC and overnight US midterm results could shift this read
06:16 UTC
Micro uptrend off the Asian low, inside Monday's broader fade · RSI 64 · price 1.11939
HH/HL chain from 1.1177, pressing the Asian range high below the 1.1200 pivot.
Monday's failure at 1.1237 gave way to a slide to the 1.1177 Asian low as the USD steadied. Since then price has printed a clean higher-low chain along the Asia trendline. It now sits at the Asian high of 1.1197, just under the 1.1200 pivot that lines up with the 38.2% fib of the 1.1237–1.1177 decline, with London open about 45 minutes away.
Support: 1.11908, 1.11767
Resistance: 1.11973, 1.11996, 1.12085
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1200 (38.2% fib) clears the Asian high and opens the 1.1209 late NY high
Loss of the 1.1191 higher low and the Asia trendline breaks the micro HH/HL chain, putting the 1.1177 Asian low back in view
London open will set the session range off the Asian high/low boundaries
US JOLTS at 15:00 UTC, ECB Nagel at 18:00 UTC and US midterm results overnight could materially shift this read
Higher-low chain off Asian low, pressing Asian range top.
Monday's London spike to 1.1237 fully faded as USD stabilised. Asia then printed an Asian low at 1.1177. Since 02:30 UTC a higher low chain, last at 1.1191 on the trendline, has lifted price into the Asian high at 1.1197 and the 1.1200 round number (38.2% fib) an hour before London open, with RSI(14) at 59 and ATR near 4 pips.
Support: 1.11907, 1.11836, 1.11767
Resistance: 1.11973, 1.1200, 1.12085
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.1197 asian high and 1.1200 round number breaks the Asian range and opens the 1.1209 swing high
A break of the 1.1191 higher low and the trendline returns price to the 1.1184 asia pivot, then the 1.1177 asian low
US JOLTS at 15:00 UTC and ECB Nagel at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read; US midterm results land overnight
05:46 UTC
Intraday down from prior high, Asia rebuilding higher · RSI 64 · price 1.1193
HH/HL chain off the Asian low, pressing the Asian high.
Monday's London rally topped at the 1.1237 prior high and faded through NY as USD steadied after the ISM beat. Asia swept the late-NY lows to an asian low of 1.1177, then printed a higher-low chain (swing low 1.1185), and price now sits just under the 1.1197 asian high and the 1.1200 psych pivot. RSI(14) is near 64 and ATR(14) is about 4 pips, so the pair is quiet ahead of London open.
Support: 1.11847, 1.11767
Resistance: 1.11973, 1.1200, 1.12366
What it said to watch
A close above the 1.1197 asian high and 1.1200 psych extends the HH chain toward the 1.1237 prior high
A break below the 1.1185 swing low cuts the Asian rising support line and reopens the 1.1177 asian low
US JOLTS at 15:00 UTC and ECB Nagel at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
US midterm results overnight may widen the session range
Recovering off Asian low, higher low at 1.1185, still under the Asian high.
Monday's London rally on hawkish ECB talk and falling oil was rejected at the 1.1237 Monday high. NY then faded it through the 1.12085 NY swing high, leaving a lower-high chain. Late Asia has rebounded from the 1.1177 Asian low, which followed Iran-strike haven USD demand, printing a higher low at 1.1185. Price is now pressing just under the 1.1197 Asian high with RSI(14) near 63.
Support: 1.11847, 1.11767
Resistance: 1.11973, 1.1200, 1.12085
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.1197 Asian high breaks the lower-high sequence and opens the 1.1200 round number, the 38.2% retrace of the Monday high-Asian low drop
Above 1.1200, the 1.12085 NY swing high is the next cap
Failure to hold the 1.1185 higher low puts the 1.1177 Asian low back in play
London open in ~1.5h is likely to set the session range
JOLTS at 15:00 UTC and US midterm results overnight could materially shift this read
05:16 UTC
Intraday downtrend paused, higher lows in Asia · RSI 58 · price 1.11916
Asian range 1.1177–1.1197, micro higher lows.
Monday's London rally to 1.1237 fully unwound to a 1.1177 asian low as the dollar steadied on Fed-hike pricing and the pair failed to hold 1.1200. Late Asia shows higher lows at 1.1181 and 1.1185, with price near the 25% retrace of the selloff and below the 1.1197 asian high ahead of London open. RSI(14) is near 58.
Support: 1.11847, 1.11767
Resistance: 1.11973, 1.1200
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.1197 asian high breaks the range top and puts the 1.1200 round number and 38.2% fib of the selloff in play
Loss of the 1.1185 higher low breaks the Asia trendline and puts the 1.1177 asian low back in focus
London open and US midterm results could materially shift this read
05:01 UTC
Intraday downtrend from London high, late-Asia bounce · RSI 55 · price 1.11896
Higher lows off Asian low, capped below Asian high.
Monday's London spike to 1.1237 fully unwound below 1.1200 through NY as the dollar steadied on Fed hike bets. Late Asia, price is printing higher lows off the 1.1177 Asian low and sits at the 61.8% retrace of the Asian swing, just under the 1.1193 swing high and inside the 1.1177–1.1197 Asian range ahead of London open.
Support: 1.11847, 1.11767
Resistance: 1.11929, 1.11973, 1.1200
What it said to watch
Close above the 1.1197 Asian high puts the 1.1200 round number back in play
Loss of the 1.1185 higher low breaks the bounce structure and exposes the 1.1177 Asian low
US midterm results and JOLTS/Factory Orders at 15:00 UTC could materially shift this read
04:46 UTC
Downtrend, stalling in late Asia · RSI 51 · price 1.11881
Lower highs from 1.12366; higher low inside Asian range.
Monday's London rally to 1.12366 fully unwound as the USD firmed on upbeat data and Fed hike bets. Asia printed a fresh low at 1.11767, then bounced into a rejection at the 1.11929 swing high, on the descending trendline and just above the 23.6% fib of the London rally. Late Asia is holding a higher low at 1.11847 inside the 1.11767–1.11973 Asian range, with RSI(14) neutral near 51 and ATR around 4.6 pips.
Support: 1.11847, 1.11767, 1.11748
Resistance: 1.11929, 1.11973, 1.1200
What it said to watch
A close above the 1.11929 swing high and the trendline breaks the lower-high chain, putting the asian high at 1.11973 and the 1.1200 round number in view.
Losing the 1.11847 higher low reopens the 1.11767 asian low and Monday's prior low at 1.11748.
US midterm results through Asia/London, then JOLTS and Factory Orders at 15:00 UTC, could materially shift this read.
04:31 UTC
Downtrend, compressing in Asian range · RSI 53 · price 1.11873
Lower highs since London high; Asian range 1.1177–1.1197.
Lower highs since yesterday's London high at 1.1237. NY failed at 1.1229 and sold into 1.1190 as the USD firmed on Fed hike bets, and the NY bounce stalled at 1.1209. Late Asia is ranging inside 1.1177–1.1197. The bounce off the asian low stalled at 1.1193, a fresh lower high near the 23.6% fib, with price mid-range on the asia shelf at 1.1184 ahead of London.
Support: 1.11836, 1.11767
Resistance: 1.11929, 1.11973, 1.12085
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.1197 asian high breaks the lower-high chain and puts the 1.1209 ny bounce in view
Loss of the 1.1184 asia shelf, then the 1.1177 asian low, extends the lower-low sequence
US midterm results through Asia/Europe hours could materially shift this read
US JOLTS and Factory Orders at 15:00 UTC are the next scheduled USD risk
04:16 UTC
Downtrend from Monday's high, stalling in Asia · RSI 53 · price 1.11894
Lower highs since 1.1237, now inside the 1.1177–1.1197 Asian range with a higher low.
Monday's London high at 1.1237 gave way to a lower-high sequence as the USD firmed on Fed hike bets. Late in the Asia session, price has set a higher low at 1.1181 and stalled at the 1.1193 bounce high, just under the 23.6% fib of the 1.1237 drop. It is still inside the 1.1177–1.1197 Asian range, with RSI(14) neutral.
Support: 1.11813, 1.11767
Resistance: 1.11929, 1.11973, 1.1200
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.1197 asian high breaks the Asian range top and puts the 1.1200 round number in play
Failure to hold the 1.1181 higher low reopens the 1.1177 asian low and resumes the lower-low chain
US midterm results flowing from ~05:00 UTC could spike volatility ahead of London open
Lower highs from 1.1237; micro higher low at 1.1181 inside the Asian range.
Monday's London peak at 1.1237 (prior high) faded through NY as the USD firmed on Fed hike bets, leaving lower highs down to the 1.1197 Asian high. Late Asia has recovered from the 1.1177 Asian low via a higher low at 1.1181 to 1.1191, pressing EMA50 and the lower-highs trendline; RSI(14) neutral at 56, ATR about 4.6 pips.
Support: 1.11813, 1.11767
Resistance: 1.11973, 1.12085, 1.12366
What it said to watch
Close above the 1.1197 Asian high breaks the lower-highs trendline, with the 1.1209 lower high next
Loss of the 1.1181 higher low reopens the 1.1177 Asian low
US midterm results from ~05:00 UTC could spike volatility before London open
JOLTS at 15:00 UTC is the next USD data risk in NY hours
03:46 UTC
Downtrend, pausing in late Asia · RSI 44 · price 1.11867
Lower highs since 1.1237 London high; Asian range 1.1177–1.1197, price mid-range.
Lower highs since yesterday's 1.1237 London high. The Asia session sold from the 1.1197 asian high to a 1.1177 asian low as Qeshm strike reports lifted USD, then held a 1.1182 higher low. Price is now pressing the lower-high line and the 1.1189 intraday cap, which lines up with the 61.8% of the Asian swing, with RSI(14) near 44.
Support: 1.1182, 1.11767
Resistance: 1.1189, 1.11973, 1.1200
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.1189 intraday cap breaks the lower-high line and puts the 1.1197 asian high back in view
Loss of the 1.1182 higher low reopens the 1.1177 asian low; a close below there confirms a fresh lower-low
Acceptance back above the 1.1200 round number would undo yesterday's NY lower-high sequence
US midterm results flowing from ~05:00 UTC, ahead of London open, could materially shift this read
03:31 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs through Asia · RSI 37 · price 1.11834
Descending highs capping a late-Asia bounce off the Asian low.
Monday's London spike to the 1.1237 prior high fully unwound through NY as the USD firmed. Late Asia is printing lower highs, with the latest at 1.1187, and the dip to the 1.1177 Asian low lined up with the Qeshm strike headlines. Price sits below both EMAs with RSI(14) near 37 and the Asian high at 1.1197 untested since the open.
Support: 1.11767, 1.11678
Resistance: 1.11867, 1.11973, 1.12366
What it said to watch
M15 close above the descending-highs line near 1.1187 breaks the lower-high chain and puts the 1.1197 Asian high back in play
Failure to hold the 1.1177 Asian low exposes the 1.1168 Monday low
US midterm results flowing through Asia/Europe hours could materially shift this read
London open can reset the Asian range; ATR near 4.6 pips reflects thin overnight conditions
03:16 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs since London peak · RSI 42 · price 1.11827
LH/LL chain from 1.12366; late Asia, bounce capped under 1.1187.
Monday's London rally to 1.12366 has fully unwound as the USD firmed on Fed hike bets. Each session since has printed a lower high (1.1229, 1.1203, 1.11973 asian high) and Asia set a fresh low at 1.11767 (asian low). The bounce stalled at the 1.11867 bounce high, near the 50% of the Asian leg fib and under descending trendline resistance near 1.1189.
Support: 1.11767, 1.1167
Resistance: 1.11867, 1.11973
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.11973 asian high breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.11767 asian low extends lower lows, with 1.1167 monday low next
Acceptance above the 1.11867 bounce high and descending trendline near 1.1189 shifts the read to range
US midterm results due through Asia/London hours, plus fresh Qeshm strike headlines, could materially shift this read
03:01 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off Asian low · RSI 47 · price 1.1186
Lower highs and lower lows since Monday's London peak at 1.1237.
The lower-high chain from Monday's London peak at 1.1237 is intact. Asia extended it with a dip to the 1.1177 asian low as Qeshm strike headlines firmed the USD, and price has since bounced to sit on EMA20 near 1.1186, with RSI(14) neutral at 47. The falling trendline caps the bounce at 1.1189–1.1190, just below the 1.1197 asian high.
Support: 1.1177, 1.1165
Resistance: 1.1190, 1.1197, 1.1203
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.1190 trendline opens the 1.1197 asian high
M15 close above the 1.1203 lower high invalidates the downtrend read
Failure to hold the 1.1177 asian low extends the lower-low chain toward the 1.1165 swing low
US midterm results and Qeshm/oil headlines during Asia and London hours could materially shift this read
02:46 UTC
Downtrend, grinding lower in Asia · RSI 37 · price 1.11791
Lower highs and lower lows since the 1.1237 London high; NY low lost.
Lower highs have stacked under a falling trendline since yesterday's 1.1237 London high, and the 1.1229 high in the first hour of NY sits on that line. USD firmed on Fed hike bets and erased most of the oil-led rally. Asia lost the 1.1184 NY low and printed 1.1177, at the 78.6% rally retrace just above the 1.1175 rally base, with RSI(14) near 37 and not stretched.
Support: 1.1175, 1.1165
Resistance: 1.1184, 1.1197
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 1.1184 NY low reverses the latest range break
Recovery through the 1.1197 Asian high and the falling trendline breaks the lower-high chain
Failure to hold the 1.1175 rally base exposes yesterday's 1.1165 prior low
US midterm results flowing through Asia/London hours could materially shift this read
LH/LL sequence from 1.1237 high, Asian floor broken.
The lower-high sequence from Monday's 1.1237 London peak runs through 1.1229, 1.1209, 1.1203 and the 1.1197 asian high. Price has now slipped through the 1.1183 asian floor to a 1.1179 session low as the USD firmed on Fed hike bets. RSI(14) near 39 is not stretched, and the descending trendline caps near 1.1194.
Support: 1.1179, 1.1175
Resistance: 1.1183, 1.1197, 1.1203
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 1.1183 asian floor turns the break into a false break
Loss of the 1.1179 session low exposes the 1.1175 pre-ldn base from Monday's Asian session
Close above the descending trendline and the 1.1197 asian high breaks the lower-high chain; the 1.1203 lower high sits just above
US midterm results flowing through Asia hours could materially shift this read ahead of London open
Lower highs and lower lows since the 1.1237 London high; Asia at fresh session lows.
Monday's London rally to the 1.1237 london high came as US-Iran diplomacy knocked oil and the USD lower. That move has been unwound through a chain of lower highs: 1.1229 in NY, then the 1.1208 lower high, then the 1.1197 asian high, with each capped by the descending trendline. Asia is now grinding to a fresh session low at 1.1182, just above the 1.1178 swing low. RSI(14) ~41 shows no extreme, and range is compressing at ~4 pips per bar.
Support: 1.11823, 1.11781
Resistance: 1.11973, 1.12085, 1.12366
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.1197 asian high and the descending trendline breaks the lower-high chain
Failure to hold the 1.1182 session low exposes the 1.1178 swing low, the base of Monday's London breakout
US midterm results headlines during the session, and JOLTS at 15:00 UTC, could materially shift this read
02:01 UTC
Short-term downtrend, compressing in Asia · RSI 45 · price 1.11854
Lower highs and lower lows since 1.1237 peak; tight Asian range at the lows.
Monday's oil-driven USD slide lifted the pair to 1.1237 in London, but NY faded it back under 1.1200 and a lower-highs sequence has since carried price to the Asian low at 1.1183. Price now sits between the 61.8% and 78.6% fib of Monday's rally, inside a 14-pip Asian range (1.1183–1.1197), below both EMAs with RSI(14) near 45.
Support: 1.11833, 1.11782
Resistance: 1.11907, 1.11973
What it said to watch
Break of the 1.1183 Asian low exposes the 78.6% fib at 1.1178, Monday's London-open pivot
M15 close above the lower-highs trendline and the 1.1197 Asian high breaks the descending sequence; 61.8% fib at 1.1191 caps first
US midterm results and US-Iran/oil headlines could materially shift this read; JOLTS at 15:00 UTC is the next scheduled USD test
01:46 UTC
Downtrend from Monday high, stalling in Asia · RSI 47 · price 1.11867
Lower highs since 1.1237; tight Asian range 1.1184–1.1197.
Monday's oil-driven rally from 1.1162 to the 1.1237 monday high has retraced past its 61.8% fib. NY printed a lower high at 1.1208. Early in the Asia session, price is rotating in a tight 1.1184–1.1197 range above the 78.6% fib at 1.1178, with RSI(14) neutral near 47 and ATR around 4 pips.
Support: 1.1184, 1.1178, 1.1162
Resistance: 1.1197, 1.1208, 1.1237
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 1.1184 asian low, tested twice, exposes the 78.6% fib at 1.1178 and then the 1.1162 monday low
M15 close above the 1.1197 asian high reclaims the 61.8% fib and puts the 1.1208 lower high back in play
US JOLTS at 15:00 UTC and US midterm headlines could materially shift this read
ECB's Nagel at 18:00 UTC and US-Iran/oil headlines are two-way risk for the range
01:31 UTC
Downtrend from Monday's 1.1237 high, momentum flattening in Asia · RSI 46 · price 1.11868
Lower highs and lower lows since the London peak; tight Asian range 1.1184–1.1197.
Monday's London spike to 1.1237 has retraced about two-thirds of the move as the oil-driven USD dip faded, with lower highs from 1.1229 down to the 1.1197 Asian high. Price now sits below the 61.8% fib and just above the 1.1184 Asian low. Early Asia is compressing: RSI(14) is neutral near 46 and ATR is under 4 pips.
Support: 1.11836, 1.11782, 1.11623
Resistance: 1.11973, 1.12085
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.1184 asian low extends the lower-low chain toward the fib 78.6 at 1.1178, with the 1.1162 monday low next
Close above the 1.1197 asian high and the falling trendline breaks the lower-high sequence, putting the 1.1209 swing high in play
US midterm results and JOLTS (15:00 UTC) could materially shift this read once London/NY liquidity returns
01:16 UTC
Downtrend, pausing in Asia · RSI 49 · price 1.11872
Lower highs and lower lows since Monday's 1.1237 high; tight Asian range.
Monday's oil-driven USD slide lifted EURUSD to 1.1237 in London. NY then unwound the move with a chain of lower highs and lower lows. Early Asia is holding a 1.1184–1.1197 range under the descending trendline, with the asian low tested twice and RSI(14) neutral near 49.
Support: 1.11836, 1.11781
Resistance: 1.11973, 1.1200
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.1197 asian high and the descending trendline breaks the lower-high sequence, with the 1.1200 round number next
Failure to hold the 1.1184 asian low extends the lower-low chain toward the 1.1178 london base
JOLTS at 15:00 UTC and overnight US midterm results could materially shift this read
01:01 UTC
Downtrend since Monday's 1.1237 high · RSI 46 · price 1.1189
Lower highs and lower lows; price back at the 61.8% fib of Monday's rally.
Monday's London rally on oil-led USD weakness carried price from the Asian range (Monday low 1.1162, Asia high 1.1175) to 1.1237. It has since faded in a lower-high sequence (1.1229, 1.1203, 1.1197) back to the 61.8 fib near 1.1191. Early Asia Tuesday printed a fresh swing low at 1.1184 and bounced to 1.1189, still under the lower-high trendline near 1.1196.
Support: 1.1184, 1.1175, 1.1162
Resistance: 1.1191, 1.1197, 1.1203
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.1197 swing high and trendline breaks the lower-high sequence; 1.1203 lower high is next
Failure to hold the 1.1184 swing low extends the lower-low chain toward the 1.1175 Asia high and 1.1162 Monday low
US midterm and US-Iran oil headlines through Asia could materially shift this read
00:46 UTC
Intraday downtrend, lower highs since London peak · RSI 47 · price 1.1189
LH/LL chain from 1.1237; early Asia probing 1.1184 swing low.
London ran EUR from the prior asian high at 1.1175 to a 1.1237 session high on the oil slump and hawkish ECB talk. Since then the pair has printed a steady lower-high sequence back below the 1.1200 round number. Early Asia swept the 1.1184 swing low and snapped back. Price is sitting on EMA20, with RSI(14) neutral near 47.
Support: 1.1184, 1.1175, 1.1162
Resistance: 1.1197, 1.1200, 1.1237
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.1184 swing low extends the lower-low chain toward the 1.1175 asian high, then the 1.1162 window low
Reclaim of the 1.1197 swing high and the 1.1200 round number breaks the lower-high sequence; 50% of the london fade sits near 1.1210
US midterm polls open ~05:00 UTC; results headlines plus US-Iran/oil news could materially shift this read
00:31 UTC
Downtrend from London high, early Asia bounce · RSI 59 · price 1.11949
Lower highs through NY; descending trendline broken in thin Asia trade.
Monday's London rally to 1.1237, driven by the oil-led USD slide, faded through NY in a lower-high sequence and bottomed at the 1.1184 swing low after the close. Early Asia session has lifted price through the descending trendline to the 23.6% fib near 1.1197, just under the 1.1200 round number, with ATR around 3.5 pips on thin liquidity.
Support: 1.1190, 1.11842
Resistance: 1.1200, 1.12085, 1.1229
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 1.1190 prior lows exposes the 1.1184 swing low; a break there resumes the lower-low sequence
Acceptance above the 1.1200 round number and the 38.2% fib at 1.1204 brings the 1.1209 swing high into play; the 1.1229 ny high caps the NY lower-high structure
US midterm headlines as polls open from 05:00 UTC could materially shift this read, with JOLTS at 15:00 UTC and Nagel at 18:00 UTC later in the day
Lower highs and lower lows from the 1.1237 day high; bounce off the 1.1184 session low testing the 23.6% retrace.
London broke Monday's Asian range and ran to a 1.1237 day high on oil-driven USD weakness, then rejection there turned into a fade through NY in a lower-high, lower-low sequence to a 1.1184 session low. Early Tuesday Asia has bounced to the 23.6% retrace near 1.1197, just under the 1.1200 round number, with ATR compressed near 3 pips.
Support: 1.1190, 1.11842, 1.1160
Resistance: 1.1200, 1.12085, 1.12366
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.1200 round number and the 1.1209 swing high breaks the lower-high chain
Failure to hold the 1.1190 NY lows and a break of the 1.1184 session low extends the lower-low sequence toward the 1.1160 Asian low
US midterm results and JOLTS later Tuesday could materially shift this read
00:01 UTC
Downtrend since NY open, momentum fading into Asia · RSI 38 · price 1.11878
Lower highs and lower lows from 1.1229; tight drift near the session low.
The London rally to a 1.1237 one-week high, driven by softer oil and the USD, ran into supply at 1.1200–1.1250 and met rejection at the 1.1229 NY high. Since then price has printed lower highs and retraced beyond 78.6% of the London rally. Early Asia is quiet at 1.1188, just above the 1.1184 session low, with ATR(14) compressed to about 3.5 pips.
Support: 1.11842, 1.11781, 1.1156
Resistance: 1.11964, 1.12085, 1.1229
What it said to watch
Break of the 1.1184 session low exposes the 1.1178 pre-ldn low, then the 1.1156 day low
An M15 close above the 1.1196 lower high and the lower-highs trendline invalidates the descending read
1.1209 swing high and 1.1229 ny high remain the caps above
US midterm results overnight and JOLTS at 15:00 UTC could materially shift this read